Speaker 1: Two. You're live. Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold
standard of sports betting shows, where we talk the talk
and walk the walk. It's Thursday, it's the end of
the NBA season, but we do have three games to
look at. We're gonna look at college hoops and we're
gonna look at Olympic hockey. You guys have asked, we deliver.
So Lawrence is gonna join us, and we're gonna talk
some Olympic hockey. Joyanry's gonna join us. We're gonna break
down a college basketball game, and we're gonna talk a
couple of NBA games. And of course we're gonna start
off with Yanni doing the Steam Report and Dan is
at a doctor's appointment. So we always start off with
wtf LFG. So you guys are getting a special treat.
We're bringing on Yannie. Yanni, it's your first time doing WTFLFG.
All right, here's how it goes. So I'm gonna give
you a play tonight and you tell me WTF if
you think it's bad, if it's if it's gonna lose LFG,
if you think it's gonna win, Here's where I'm going.
I'm going Portland eight and a half against the Utah Jazz.
So Yanni, the Jazz make these trades and then they
attempt to go into full tank mode, except they accidentally
win two games in a row, which is a disaster
for their draft status. My guess is the owner and
the GM getting the ear of the coach is like,
you better not play these damn starters tonight. Uh, Portland,
they're in the play in, They're they're the they're the
last playing team. They are not tanking. They are playing
for something. This would be a really nice, easy win
for them in Utah after blowing out the Kings last
night on the back leg of a back to back,
has every you know quote reason to sit these guys
that have been playing well, like Lois Markin and such.
I think this is Portland in a blowout. What do
you say, WTF or LFG.
Speaker 2: I'm so glad you're asking me this question, and I'm
going to answer it while addressing a comment the last
time I was on here on Monday, because I saw
it on the way out and uh that wait, So
I get back to address it because it rubbed me
the wrong way because it was the just the way
it was told that when the guy went in and commented,
I hate how Yanni doesn't know anything about players and
doesn't watch the stuff and just cut some pastes.
Speaker 3: Brother, nothing could be further from the truth.
Speaker 2: I just don't sit there and follow the stuff like
a fan like probably you do.
Speaker 3: Like I don't sit.
Speaker 2: There and own fantasy teams where I actually believe I'm
the owner of anything like I don't do that shit.
But I bet I actually do move these numbers that
you're betting into. In fact, as of nine oh three
am Pacific time, I bet exactly one hundred and thirty
six thousand dollars in these.
Speaker 3: College basketball moves.
Speaker 2: And I don't need to watch these games because, as
I'm betting, are inefficient numbers. The only thing I care
about is the betting line compared to my data.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 2: The rest of the narrative, the sports centers to all
that nonsense, to me doesn't matter. I've done this long
enough to know what matters, and that's how we're going
to break down this game that you're talking about. The
Only thing that matters to me is what's the number?
What's the power rating? Here's what I have. I know
that on my power ratings. Portland's the twenty first best
team in the NBA. You tolls the twenty seventh best
team in the NBA. So on paper, we know Portland's better.
Portland's had the second toughest strength of schedule, so they've
played the second toughest schedule in all of the NBA.
Speaker 3: Utalls played the seventh toughest. So two teams with.
Speaker 2: Very respectable strength of schedule. Now let's look at how
they match up offensively and defensively. Portland fourteenth inefficiency going
up against the thirtieth defense in Utah. You toss fourth
in offense dis efficiency going up against the twenty third
defense in Portland. Now, again, both these defenses look very weak.
Both these offenses look very strong against very respectable strength
of schedules. What sticks out to me right there that
the bias will definitely be on the over, on the over,
And what did we see the overnight get bet over
two thirty six got bet all the way.
Speaker 3: To two thirty nine and a half, even some two
forties out there this morning.
Speaker 2: And then what happened this morning early early while my
man who commented was probably watching Sports Center, I was
steaming the under too forty the under two thirty nine
and a half's and moving a lot of money.
Speaker 3: On those unders.
Speaker 2: For one of the groups that I bet NBA for
that currently has me up over fifty units in twenty
twenty five twenty twenty six season, without knowing any player's names,
let's throw that out there, up over fifty units. So
definitely the Sharps are on the under, and I one
hundred percent agree with that because it matches up with
my power ratings, where the narrative is the offenses are good,
the defenses suck. We talked about it during football with
bet on it how we usually have the perfect storm
for an under in those cases because the total is
going to be bumped up those biases, and so I
like the total.
Speaker 3: Now you like the Portland side. Power rating wise, I.
Speaker 2: Have Portland as a four percent favorite on a neutral court,
So if they were playing on a neutral court, based
on my power ratings, Portland should be about a four
to four.
Speaker 3: And a half point favorite.
Speaker 2: Now we have to add home field advantage for Utahl,
and I make Utall's home field advantage home court advantage
about two and a half at the most, let's say two.
We'll just round it off at two. So with that,
Portland should only be about a two to two and
a half point favorite in this game. On the road,
they're way higher than that. They're eight and a half. Usually,
usually that tells me something's wrong, that there's players missing there.
Speaker 3: It's usually never going to be.
Speaker 2: The narrative that forces the line to be that way
off from what my power ratings are. Like, if this
was two and a half points off, I'd be firing
on Utah.
Speaker 3: There was three points off, I'd be firing on you all.
Speaker 2: But when I see that it's upwards of five six
point seven points off, then I have to pay attention
and realize I'm missing something. Something's not factored into my
power ratings. They're missing something. So what if I have
to pay attention, it's probably players are out for Utah,
or players are back in.
Speaker 3: For Portland, or like you said, you Halls tanking.
Speaker 2: They don't even want to play, they actually want to lose,
while Portland's still playing for something. All of that makes
sense on why this line's higher than what the power
ratings reflect, and that's why I agree with you.
Speaker 3: When it's that different from my power ratings.
Speaker 2: More times than not, it's the right side, meaning the
adjustments warranted. So if I had to bet this game,
I'd be a long way of saying, I'd be on Portland.
I'd be looking to lay eight, even if I had
to pay a little juice. If I could get eight
minus one point fifteen, which is currently availuable at bet online,
that's the bet I'd be making instead of the minus
eight and a half. So yeah, I left their Portland.
I like it at minus eight. I like the under
as well, So hopefully Dan is able to conclude a
little quicker for the viewers. But that's my roundabout way
of saying, I like Portland, so I agree with you there,
and I like the under as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was definitely the most in depth breakdown. Normally
it's Dan's saying what do you think? And I either
go yeah sure or I don't know. Yeah, no, I
don't like it. So but no, that's what you do.
That's uh, that's why you're the best in the business here.
So all right, we got Portland. Uh last night before
the All Star break minus eight and a half. Agree
with you, Yatti? That the power and that's the thing
you toss.
Speaker 4: Been pretty good.
Speaker 1: It's what the team doesn't want my Pacers. They won
the other night. I don't know if you saw this clip.
They won the other night in overtime, and the head
coach was so mad.
Speaker 2: He was like, yeah, dude, that's why NBA is almost
unbetable until the playoffs.
Speaker 1: It's so funny. It's it's so funny. Yeah.
Speaker 2: So City is still so much better than everyone else,
just because we're talking NB. I'll just throw that out
there real quick, because I got the updated NBA Power
ratings on Monday, and he has Oklahoma City four points
better than the next best team, Detroit. And behind Detroit
is right there is Boston, Detroit, New York. Those three
are all within like a point of each other.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and here we'll just piggyback off this. We don't
have a ton of to talk to, so any questions
you guys have, this is the perfect thing. Yeah, Gary,
is Jared Jackson injured? No he's not. He's not injured,
but he's he's healthy. But this team doesn't want to win,
so they will come up with he tweaked his hankle.
Shoulder soreness like fatigue, knee soreness. The Pacers are getting
ready to do the exact same thing. The Kings already
did it last night. They threw out a G League
line up against Utah, And so you're you're gonna see
these these quote injuries pop up for these teams that
are taking taking has never been worse. It's it's got
to be addressed because it's bad to look bad, bad
look for the league. But it's just nature of the beast.
Speaker 2: Schedule means everything right now because I'm looking at it.
Oklahoma City, Boston, Detroit, New York, Cleveland their strength of
schedule twenty eighth, twenty ninth, twenty seventh, thirtieth, and twenty fifth.
So those five teams have the twenty fifth, twenty ninth, thirtieth,
twenty eighth, twenty ninth, the toughest schedules. Like, they all
have the easiest schedules in all the NBA.
Speaker 4: So no.
Speaker 2: Surprise that they're crushing it. Sacramento, Brooklyn, Utah, New Orleans.
All those teams in the basement that won around fifteen
games that are you know, less than thirty percent win rate,
they all have a top five strength of schedule. The
most impressive is Miami. Miami, believe it or not, because
they they're above five hundred, and they have like a
top five strength of schedule. Everyone else up there, the Denvers,
the Houston's, the even the Minnesota's.
Speaker 3: They all have easy, easy schedules. It'll be hot where
the playoffs come.
Speaker 1: YACHTI breaking news. I'm not making this up. Jaron Jackson
out for rest of season. There you go, Hey, you
need a little touch up surgery. Yep, season ending surgery.
That's how they run it perfect. Is that amazing what
he played last night? And he had Yeah, he had
an amazing games or like twenty plus points when you
know what he's out for the year. All right, great,
we got some questions coming in here about NCAA basketball.
JK Yanni in West, who are the best two teams
after Oklahoma City? I I want your power rankings. I'll
go with my gut feeling. My gut feeling eye test
is at San Antonio and Denver. I think they've bypassed Houston.
I think Houston their chemistry looks off. They still have
problems at the point guard position. When all teams are healthy.
I have San Antonio and Denver. What's your power rankings?
Speaker 2: San Antono in the West, San Antonio other than after
Oklahoma City. After that, it's it's you know, Detroit, like
I said, in New York, Boston, Cleveland, and then it's
San Antonio. The next best team in the West is
San Antonio, followed by Minnesota. Then like you said, Denver, Houston,
they're all right there next.
Speaker 3: To each other.
Speaker 1: So you have Minnesota up there.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, and they've actually dropped. He actually dropped them
this week on Minnesota. I mean, has had an easy
strength of schedule at top five offense, barely top fifteen defense.
But yeah, he's got them right now in the top
eight in all.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I like what they did. They traded for a point
guard that I think is really really going to help
them out. So I think that's pretty good. So any
NCAA basketball steam, any line moves. I know it's early
in the day. I don't know if you've got anything forced.
Speaker 2: Tony, Yes, sir, I have a ton So I'm only
going to read off a handful because I think there's
like I said, I've been bet really early today.
Speaker 3: Here's what's been happening.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to share something with the viewers that
for them to pay attention that we bet the overnights.
Speaker 3: I don't really mess with them.
Speaker 2: Again, not Brad higher up in the food chain where
I don't like use my accounts.
Speaker 3: For that stuff.
Speaker 2: But the overnights a lot of times they're used to
dummy up numbers the next morning, So pay attention to
see if there's followed through in the morning. But then
here's what happens. We bet a bunch of stuff early
in the morning. Like I said, I just bet about
twenty plays college basketball sides totals extra board games, and
then around one o'clock our time four o'clock Eastern. Between
one o'clock my time and three o'clock those two hours,
a bunch of more stuff comes in. That's where I
get all those NBA player props, That's where I get
all that late college basketball action and even some NBA
So pay attention to those line moves after four pm
Eastern because a lot of the off screen books, like
the ones I use to move this stuff in, they
don't even offer a lot of the player props till
later in the afternoon, Like they'll offer the first game
or the second game that go off at seven o'clock,
but they won't offer the later games in the NBA slate.
So what these groups have been doing. They've been waiting
till those open up have then been firing. So those
player props that start coming in at four pm Eastern,
those are usually like legit, and they've been waiting hours
to get down on them. So pay attention now. College basketball,
let's jump right in. Start off seven forty nine VALTPOW
plus the nine uh seven forty seven Robert Morris minus
the three seven to fifty nine Georgia State plus six
and a half seven seventy Florida International minus the eight
seven eighty four Nebraska Omaha plus the four eight oh
three Utah Valley minus the eight eight twenty Bakersfield plus
the thirteen added game three zero six five to nine
to three Winthrop minus the twenty five seven to four
Main plus the four and five seven two Binghamton plus
the twelve and a half. Like I said, if anyone
that got the subscribers that and anyone that bought today's
seam sheet, there's already.
Speaker 3: Four we're added games in there, twenty plus.
Speaker 2: College basketball, three or four NBA We got really busy early.
More stuff will be added in there as well as
the buybacks.
Speaker 3: I always come back and let them.
Speaker 2: Know this group's middling this game, or this is a
different group that's now taking the other.
Speaker 3: Side at this number.
Speaker 2: So I'll always go back and let them know if
there's resistance coming in later, because again, a lot of
this stuff, as you can see, is bet really early,
and as the day goes on, information changes, positions change,
so we update that constantly.
Speaker 1: All right, let's see who are your power ratings in
college basketball here at this point?
Speaker 6: All right, Duke Duke, Duke, Duke number one, Houston. Houston
is now my number two team, surpassing Arizona who's right
behind them, followed by Michigan, and Florida is my fifth
best team in college basketball. That's the one that is uh,
probably people scratching their heads.
Speaker 3: So like, wait, the.
Speaker 2: AP has Florida at fourteen, and if I'm not mistaken,
let me see where Ken Palm has them, real fast,
Ken Pom's got Florida.
Speaker 3: Okay, he's got him fit, see, so he knows, he knows,
he knows.
Speaker 2: Florida is the top five team that's an undervalue team
right now in the betting market because the AP where
the AP has them. So yeah, Florida is a team
that's sticking out in my top five. So yeah, Duke's
still at the top, Still at the top, followed by
what's it called, Arizona, Houston, Michigan, and Florida.
Speaker 1: Johnny Detroit is not happy with you in the live
chat about Michigan, your lack of respect for Michigan. Hey, listen, Johnny,
he's just he's just reading the markets.
Speaker 3: Michigan's good, dude, they haven't.
Speaker 2: They have a very respectable schedule, tenth toughest strength of
schedule and.
Speaker 3: Only have one loss. That's very very good.
Speaker 2: Duke's nineteenth, Houston's thirty six, Arizona's thirteenth. Only Florida has
had a toughest length to schedule the number three. So yeah,
Michigan's legit bro fourth best offense as well, most efficient,
but barely top twenty defense. That's where they're gonna have
to shore it up. They got to improve on the
defensive side of the ball if they want to cut
down the nuts in April.
Speaker 1: All right, So, Yanni, not a whole lot going on,
unless you're you and me, there's always stuff going on.
So what do you have about for everyone of Thursday?
Speaker 2: The steamsheet's already up there, with an NBA best bet.
I think we've won every steam Sheet best bet this week,
so hopefully that continues. I also the strongest NBA bet
of the day. I put that up in Sports Memo
because they have that seven dollars. So I'm like, let
me put the strongest bet out there for seven bucks.
I don't know, not everybody's bank roll, you know, warrant
a twenty nine to thirty nine dollars package, because again
you're paying for the information.
Speaker 3: Your ROI gets affected.
Speaker 2: So we got to throw some gold out there for
those five dollars Tuesdays and seven dollars over Sports Memos.
Speaker 3: So I got the NBA best bet there.
Speaker 2: And just like yesterday, if I could piece together a
strong college basketball package, I'll do that. Yesterday's went to
and one. The day before that I think went too
and oh a day before that three and oh. Package
will only be put together if I could confirm a
couple of plays, otherwise they'll all be in the steam
Sheet and nab at it.
Speaker 1: All right, Joanni, thank you very much. I can't wait
for you to return. Next week, we're gonna talk about that.
Fluffy Hernandez doing an interview where he talks about a
potential injury. Rutt Roll will dive into that next week.
So thanks very much, Jeannie. We'll see you tomorrow. Brother,
have a great Thursday. Let's see good question from Mark here,
is there anyway we can get a promo package that
comes with Carmine and Andrew throughout the Olympics when by
a package, can't decide on on who I want? Yeah,
Johnny already answered this in the chat. Just email customer service.
They'll put you together. They can do anything you guys want,
Like if you're interested in Joe Vernier, he's college basketball
plays and my rugby plays. They'll they'll they'll make something
for you. It's a nice thing about being a being
a part of wager talk. So do it asap. That
way you get the plays. I mean, we're we're already
you know, started into the hockey in Olympics. So email
asap and they'll get you settled. Settled up. There a
lot of good specials. We're still running the Valentine's Day
special six days for the price of three for only
sixty nine dollars. That gets you all sports, So just
pick a handicapper. It's the same price as a three
day pass just because there's no NBA or other sports.
I'll just use myself as an example. We have a
darts play that's up today, two four percent rugby plays,
a four percent boxing play. On Sunday, we have a
three percent soccer play. So there are a lot of
handi caappers with a lot of sports that are have
a lot of ways to profit. So there's golf going
on this weekend several leagues. So just because we don't
have any doesn't mean there's not plenty of opportunity to profit.
And somebody that's always finding ways to profit. Sure, Neeri
coming in, Joe, I just made that up. But yeah,
down for college basketball rugby promo? Why not?
Speaker 5: No brainer, man, exactly it if you can think of it,
trust me, we can figure out how to put it
together for you. It's not yeah, yeah, absolutely, whatever your
imagination goes, we can figure it out for you without
a doubt.
Speaker 4: It's what we do here.
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely. You got three games to break down, so
we're gonna waste no time here. Perdue Fort Wayne. So
Purdue is in West Lafayette. Fort Wayne is on the
other side of the state versus Green Bay. I love
these geographical these colleges named after two different parts of
the state. So I know nothing about these teams. I
do know Perdue Fort, Wayne, I know that the campus,
it's actually a nice campus. What do you know about
these teams? Tell us about it? What are we gonna
do with this game? Looks like it's a pretty close
spread here.
Speaker 5: Yeah, we're gonna have to have a word with Chris
picking up this game of the card that we have
here today, and he's throwing out the Masta Dons versus
Green Bay Phoenix here for the viewing audience. But listen,
the reality is you got two different styles going at
one another.
Speaker 7: Right.
Speaker 5: You got Purdue for it, Wayne, who wants to do
it defensively. You got green Bay that wants to do
it offensively. I think the spread tells you everything in
this game, right. It's basically a pickham price and PFW
is gonna wanna pressure as much as they possibly can't
double team, and that is what's gonna separate who wins
this game. Are they gonna be able to get enough turnovers?
Both teams give or take average around seventy six points
a game, so the tempo isn't gonna be overly fast.
Neither is overly efficient offensively. But this is one of
those spots where you got to give credit to the
home team, right, That's the whole point in this, yere is.
I do believe the offensive efficiency for green Bay at
home is ultimately what's gonna get it done here. If
I was gonna go anywhere here, it would be with
the home team to get it done against the Mastodons.
Speaker 1: Let's let's make one thing clear. Joe, he Chris clearly
looked at the mascots and was like, Ooh, Mastadons Phoenix
Phoenix like action movie.
Speaker 7: No.
Speaker 5: I mean, we could have went Belmont Northern Iowa for
the Mountain. Nope, We're doing Purdue Fort Wayne versus Green Bay.
Speaker 4: Baby, I love it.
Speaker 1: The Master Dons versus the Phoenix. That is a pretty
good title for a movie, you get it. I might
be in, like ye throw.
Speaker 4: A couple of monstars.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's get to Let's get the team
with some players that I've heard of. We're gonna do
the NBA Prime here. We got Bucks versus Thunder, we
got MAVs versus Lakers here. Bucks are probably done with
Giannis for the season, maybe forever. Thunder though, nice it's
just a pretty easy chance to steal it in going
into the All Star break here. So it's a big,
big t it's a big, big spread. I get it.
And that's what we're here to talk about. So you're
looking at the over under, you're looking at the spread here,
what do you see in this game tonight?
Speaker 4: I wouldn't go.
Speaker 5: I mean, listen, these last couple of days in the
NBA has been absolutely hilarious because there is a clear
line in the sand where you have teams that honestly
are willing to do whatever they can to rack up
as many wins as they can prior to this vacation.
And then you've got teams, oh, I don't know, like
Phoenix last night in front of their home crowd, or
Philadelphia in front of their home crowd, who wanted nothing
to do with winning a bass ball game or trying
in any way, shape or form. In fact, they all
should have just left to go on vacation yesterday instead
of actually playing those games. Dan, you could have played
for Philadelphia last night and the score wouldn't have changed
at all.
Speaker 4: Unbelievable.
Speaker 5: So now you've got a Milwaukee Bucks team that did
win last night against Orlando, but now second of a
back to back, to Thunder handled their business against Phoenix.
But it's clear that even without you know, Shay gilgis there,
that they are trying to win as many games they figured. Listen,
we've already lost what thirteen games on the season. We
have no intention of losing many more than that. Because
they came out fireing last night. Phoenix had another one
of those scheduled losses. No Booker, no Green, no Allen.
They weren't taking any chances last night. They won the
night before and that was good enough for them. The
Thunder don't care. It is a big number, but I
would not shock me in front of their home crowd
that they absolutely.
Speaker 4: Win this game going away.
Speaker 5: But I listen, can we trust the Bucks to score
enough to get this thing up and over? We've already
seen a little bit of movement in the total in
this game, Andy, and you'd be hard pressed here. I
keep seeing the number go up for Okay, see, I
agree with it, it's up to thirteen, but we're also
starting to see the total drop, and I think I
agree with that move.
Speaker 4: More than anything else.
Speaker 5: There's only so much Cam Thomas is going to be
able to do for the Milwaukee Bucks, although he did
drop thirty four against Orlando last night.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Cam Thomas, Yeah, it looks like Ryan Rollins
is probably questionable here, so shocker. Yeah. Yeah, we do
have a Seth has a really really in depth question here.
Can Joe give us the sound of a master to don?
Speaker 4: I will come off with that Seth for you. We'll
have that before it is all said.
Speaker 1: Yes, is it? Is it a growl? Is it a scream?
I don't. I don't really know what a mastadon is?
Mastadon water? That's a good question. Is that is I
think a madon can.
Speaker 4: Work, That's a good question. I'm not sure what the
hell it is. I'm gonna look at how do you
dressed up as a mascot like that? That's interesting, Andy.
Speaker 1: I'll look up the mascot of a Macedon here real quick,
but I'll do it while you're breaking down this Mavericks Lakers.
Cooper flag has been incredible. Sadly, he's not going to
play tonight. Donci remains out as of now. Austin Reeves
and Lebron are gonna play. Makes sense they sat in
the last one. So what do we have here for
Mavericks and Lakers night. What do you see in this game?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 5: You mean Lebron and Reeves and Marcus Smart took what
just took the night off against the Spurs. But they're
willing to come back against the lowly Mavericks and now
lost Cooper flag. What a shock here? Yeah, let's Lebron
made a big deal after the last game in which
he didn't participate in, which is hilarious about his team
not playing a full forty eight minutes.
Speaker 1: Andy that we.
Speaker 5: Can't be serious if we don't give maximum effort for
four quarters, says the guy that sat out against the
Spurs here. But they are going to play, no doubt
against the MAVs here. But no Cooper flag, no offense
for Dallas here, And I don't mind laying the seven
and a half.
Speaker 4: Listen, donchag and Odonci. The Lakers have been great against
teams under five hundred. It's where they rack up most
of the wins.
Speaker 5: Don't trust them against teams like the Spurs or Okay
See or others, But no, against these sub five hundred
teams like the Dallas Mavericks, they can be trusted to
go out at least with a win, and if Lebron,
he was the first one I think that was cleared
to play tonight. Andy, So if Lebron is good enough
to go, then I believe Reeves will go. The rest
of them will go, and they will uh they will
win this game, likely by double digits, as the MAVs
just don't want to lose any more players.
Speaker 1: At this particular point, it makes sense. Listen, it was
a back to back, Lebron. Lebron has earned the right
to not play in back to backs and has earned
the right to not play against women. Yes, would you
want to play against women? Yama?
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's a good point. That's a good point.
Speaker 5: And don't be shocked when all of a sudden they
missed the play in tournament too, because Lebron earned the
right to take games off.
Speaker 4: Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: Okay, we have all right, here's a mastdon and I
have found I found the mastdon. So it's an elephant.
Speaker 4: Oh, I would not have come up with that at all.
Speaker 1: Here, I believe I can pull up here. Uh so yeah,
this this is the let's see. Yeah, So it's it's
I can't I can't pull it up. It's it's just
an elephant. It's an old elephant, and the mascot is
pretty easy. It's just a big elephant.
Speaker 5: Oh, I think I found it, Andy, I think I
found it. Yeah, yeah, here's what it is.
Speaker 4: There it is. Yes, yeah, that's what it sounds like.
Speaker 1: Yeah it yes, all the elephants, all the elephants. I
seen you just like that.
Speaker 5: Yeah yeah, yes, that's exactly what it sounds like.
Speaker 1: All right, I'll be the first one to do. All right,
I'll be the first one here. All right, ready, all
the good news is you have a mastodon coming up here,
I think after me.
Speaker 4: So you're good to go. You're gonna have him through
the sound. It'll be great.
Speaker 1: I think that was more of like a elephant mixed
with a donkey. I think there was a there's some
donkey DNA.
Speaker 4: That's what when you mix a phoenix and a mastadon together.
Speaker 5: That's exactly the sound that you get, exactly unreal.
Speaker 1: Oh well, Joe, it is the NBA All Star break here.
But I know you still got college basketball and other things.
So tell everyone what we can expect from this break
and what do you have up by wage you're talking about.
Speaker 5: Well, you can expect me not watching the All Star Game,
because I don't even know what the hell they're doing.
They should just stop playing it and give these guys
a week off. And if we're being honest here, I mean,
unless you get the players to be interested at all
and competing against one another for this event, it's going
to be a coin flip kind of situation. You don't
know what you're going to get here, but you won't
have Cooper Flag, but you will have Conkin Nipple, who
I think might be worth a bet for the Rookie
of the Year award in those markets there. But listen,
if there's clearly a line that has been drawn in
this sand with those teams that are looking to tank
this year, and there's a lot of and I think
the big reason why is that if you've watched college
hoops this year, there are a bunch and I mean
a bunch of players coming out that are game changers
for franchises. So there are going to be a lot
of teams vying for those ping pong balls and trying
to better themselves in this draft because there's a lot
of guys that can change the trajectory of franchises coming
out of College's one of the best freshman classes I
can remember in a very very long time. So having
said that, be very careful when you see teams like, oh,
by the way, Utah just now shut down Triple J. Shocker,
because who thought Utah is trying to tank? Just about
anybody who's actually watched Utah pull their starters in the
fourth quarter of every game. But Triple J is now
on the shelf. I'm assuming marketing will be close behind,
So tread carefully. And what we learned over the last
couple of days, teams like the Knicks and okay, seeing
San Antono, you know there are teams out there that
don't care what your goal is. They are going to
stick it to you as best they can. So be
careful take advantage of those spots when they come back
after this All Star break. And it's pretty clear and
those that don't want to win versus those that want
to keep rolling right into the postseason.
Speaker 1: And Joe, real quick, we got we got some time.
I'm with you, either scrap the All Star game. I
brought this. I brought this up to Steve merriland he
actually kind of liked it, like, why can't you just
do some kids games like knockout. Who wouldn't want to
see all the NBA All Stars playing knockout? Yes, they're
just like or twenty one or like pig or Like
why can't we do some of those where because these
guys don't want to compete hard against each other. Who
could blame him? It's a long season. They do this
All Star Game in the middle of it, Like, why
can't we just do something like that where we get
to see the guys all together on the court. But
it's not in something that's quote competitive to them. It's
really bit a ball dropping.
Speaker 5: Dodgeball, Like I hear you. I mean, look at the
NFL and flank football. Who didn't love that? In a
you know, looked like a catering hall they were having
a bar Mitz fan like I don't even know what
that was either, But I will say this, I think
it's very simple. Here's what you do is you take
five million dollars from the salary of every All Star
and put it into a pot and let them play
for their own money and watch how much they care
andy about who wins the All Star Game. You watch
just take five million from each All Star. Here you
go throwing the pot, winning team wins. All watch how
fast they they go ahead and care about the All
Star Game weekend.
Speaker 1: I heard I was jealous of this one. So Nick
Wright had a good one on a podcast. He was like,
put Luka Jokic, Austin Reeves, kan Ka Nipple to white
guys versus black guys.
Speaker 5: They'll play hard, they'll play yeah, right, exactly, They'll just
shoot him. It's ridiculous. It's it's I mean, Kobe rest
is soul man. Goby's got to be just watching this
every year, going, you gotta be kidding me here, man,
A guy that would rather cut off a limb than
lose to anybody in any game anywhere. And this is
what we've got with this generation of NBA players.
Speaker 4: Unreal.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta be honest. I know, blame teams for tanking.
It's the system that's set up. Like it's it's not
the team's fault. Nope, it's just the way it is. Like,
I mean, I'm one year removed from my Pacers being
in the NBA Finals and now I'm just rooting them
to sit sack him for the rest of the correct.
Speaker 4: You know, like anybody else get hurt, don't anybody else
get hurt.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, yeah, exactly. Well, okay, Joe, you're number one.
We brought up somebody brought up top five hairdos at
wager Talk. So he has me and Jesse tied Teddy.
I gotta be honest, I had Teddy in the top three. Uh,
John says Teddy. Silver Fox covers three Uh with the
flowing locks ross the Boss, Benjamin and Joe Ranieri coming
in at number one.
Speaker 5: I think I just saw a mast it on. Oh
my god, what are you gonna do there? Oh?
Speaker 1: No, oh boy? All right, well Joe, great breakdowns, continued success,
all of his plays are over at wager Talk. Let's
have a big weekend, Joe, and I'll see you next week. Brother,
Thank you so much. Oh well, we know who's coming
up next, So let's talk to Lawrence and then we'll
talk about talk all around the world.
Speaker 7: So what I'm hearing is I wear a hat too often,
because if I didn't wear a hat too often, I would.
Speaker 1: Be number one, clearly.
Speaker 4: Club.
Speaker 7: I'm fifty six years old, bro, fifty six years old. Like,
I don't understand how it gets better than this.
Speaker 1: It's it's good, You're right though we can't see it
hardly ever, that's the best the thing it's ever on
the play.
Speaker 7: Next time I come on, I am going to do
I'm going to the hairdresser. I'm gonna get it straightened, highlighted, colored, styled, stepped,
flock of seagulls, the works.
Speaker 1: You're gonna look fabulous, absolutely fabulous. So we're gonna talk
Olympic hockey here, and I want your overall thoughts here.
I'm guessing the books have done quite well on Olympic
hockey so far into this. So walk us through what
you've seen in Olympic hockey. What's the surprises, what are
the things that you expected? Just give us an overall
view of what's going on there, and then we'll talk
a couple of specific games.
Speaker 7: Well, listen, right up the bat, nothing has majorly surprised me.
We obviously had an update with Finland losing the Slovakia,
but Slovakia is a much better team than most people anticipated,
and that we're on a down moment for Finland, so
I don't even really look at that as some major upset.
Other than that Canada's up three nothing against the Czech Republic.
No one saw that coming. And yeah, I mean the
Canadians got throttled by the women American women team. That's okay,
round robin game, but yeah, the American women team look really,
really good. I think they should win the gold medal.
Plus Canada's missing their number one female hockey player, so yeah,
no major surprises. But I'm excited it's here and it's
great to see the professionals playing at the Olympics this year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk a couple of specifics here. We'll get
to Sweden and Finland, but let's start off with USA
versus Latvia. This is today, I believe, so yeah, yeah,
so what do you expect from today's game? Usa Lavia?
Speaker 7: You know, I expect the under in this game, and honestly, Andy,
I think ultimately you bet the under all the way
through from now to the finals, you're going to win
more than you're going to lose. These are playoff games, man,
These are games that these teams are trying their best for.
And what we have here is a lopsided game. America
has got loaded with talent. There are not many NHL
players on the Latvian team, and the only way to
beat a team that is a lot better than you,
especially in hockey, is to close ranks, play five back,
play a very very defensive style, keep America on the outside.
I don't think Latvia is coming out saying how are
we going to score goals? They're coming out saying how
are we going to limit America to three or two
and hope we could get lucky. They've played each other
nineteen times, it's gone. The average is five point two
goals a game. We got five and a half in
this game, a six and a half in this game.
So we already know that these two teams when they
play each other, play to the under. And I understand
everyone's going to sit there and say, well, look, I
mean these were completely different rosters, especially nineteen games ago.
That's not the point. The point is every time they
played each other, America was light years better than the
Latvian team. So we know the style of play that
America is going to come in playing it's minus three
and a half, Andy, I would have no issue taking
America here. I think we will see a five nothing,
five to one game and both of those get US
America minus three and a half and both of those
cash the under. My favorite play on this game is
the under. I have no issue in America minus three
and a half. But if I was only to make
one bet, it would be on the under.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean I'm looking at some of these scores here,
you know, four to one with Slovakia, Finland, in five
to two Sweden Italy, but then four zero Switzerland, France,
Canada checking three zero, and we saw the under barely
hit on the US you know, Canadian women's game.
Speaker 7: Yeah, you know, Andy, I'll tell you something. It is
super hard for a team like say Denmark to score
a goal. It's super one goal, like Latvia could go
the whole way with with with zero goals in this
entire tournament. It is these are I mean Connor Hullenbuch
is in that, Bro. This guy shuts out NHL players
on a nightly basis, and now he's playing a bunch
of players that are you know, slightly better than me. Ah,
it's gonna be very hard for Latvia to score.
Speaker 4: Bro.
Speaker 7: Hey, you've never seen me play hockey.
Speaker 1: I like slightly. I love the pat on the back
slightly better than.
Speaker 7: I'll tell you they don't have better hair than me.
Speaker 1: No, only only five people do. They just happen to
be a wager talk. No, they don't.
Speaker 7: And Joe, we don't even know if that's Joe's real
hair or if he just has this gelled shag sitting
next to him that he plops on his damn head.
There hasn't been one strand has never moved out of
place on Joe's hair, not ever in history. So it
could be fake. It could be fake.
Speaker 1: All right, I were gonna go over Sweden, Finland, then
I want to get some overall overall thoughts on just
the Olympics in general inclusion, what could you and I
partner up in? So let's talk. Yeah, let's talk about baby.
I want to be on the bottom. That's where I
was going was the two.
Speaker 7: I want you lying on top of me while we
practice for four years, six hours a day, You on
top of me for no reason.
Speaker 1: On a flimsy sled wearing a razor thin one piece.
Speaker 7: My question is why stop at two? Next year Manaja
ta luge a triple? Why not have sixteen people lying
on top of each.
Speaker 1: Other just like the duct tape them all?
Speaker 7: Yeah, exactly. The DUC taping is part of the event,
so you can risk. You could do a light duct
tape and hope they hold together or you can spend
an extra thirty seconds doing a power duct tape so
we know they get to the end.
Speaker 1: This is great, Yeah, this is great. I also thought
lot about figure skating, one of us throwing the other
in air while they while they try and turn four
times and the other has to catch. Surely there would
be at least one where the other would drop the
other on purpose, as just as.
Speaker 7: I would never drop you on purpose. Andy, Look, I
actually like the figure skating strange.
Speaker 1: I love it.
Speaker 7: I was like edibled up last night and I was
like watching the ice dancing I was in Man plus
that frenchwoman A moment fight a moment.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I just can't wrap my head around
skating around in a costume and then jumping and spinning
four times and lading on one foot like and going
out a sport.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I mean, I dropped the glass of water the other day,
Like I couldn't walk through my own kitchen without having
an accident.
Speaker 7: Yet, Dude, it's shocking to me that ice dancing is
a thing and ballroom dancing is not. At the Olympics, okay,
but hey, yeah dancing. They did have a break dancing
at the Olympics. Anyway, Look, I love the freking Olympics.
Let's get back to that.
Speaker 1: Let me give you my skate.
Speaker 7: My Swedeen Finland pick. But before we get into that,
my favorite play today is Germany minus one and a half.
I gave that out on the Best betting show ever.
That is my single bet for the day. Germany minus
one and a half, Sweden and Finland. I like Sweden
and regulation here. Look, they had a scare against Italy.
They got it done, they won the game, but they
did not play well. And the bottom line here Andy
is there are three teams that are gonna be vying
for the gold medal, three Canada, America and Sweden. One
of those two of those teams are gonna play have
to play each other in the semifinals. The key right
now is to avoid that. And the way the system
is set up, regulation wins get you more points than
overtime wins. Sweden, America, Canada, these guys need to sweep.
They need to sweep in regulation. I think Sweden gets
it done. I am not high on this Finland team
at all, and we saw how bad they played. I
think they're gonna play better, but I think Sweden gets
it done and likely by two goals. So yeah, I
like Sweden tonight minus one and a half US one
twenty four, but I do prefer them in regulation.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, all right, what other any other Olympic
sports you I like the snowboard racing, that's pretty yeah.
Speaker 7: I mean, look, I'm a skier, right, so I do.
I do like that. The problem I have with the snowboard,
like the Big Air, is every jump looks the same
to me. It's like there's a ten twenty six eighty
four thirty twelve fifteen. Who's up next? Oh my god,
he did a twelve twenty three eighty four fifty six twelve. No,
I mean, I mean you and I would just be
like they all look the same.
Speaker 1: No, I mean the race they put five of them
together and they go down a.
Speaker 7: Truck snow cross. That's including snowcross. I like the skir
to call it for all you people who are my age,
and remember the beautiful movie Hot Dog, where I had
sunny side up, sunny side down, and sunn east side
is way around. Uh, we prefer to call that the
Chinese downhill.
Speaker 1: Really, the the Red Bull does the they're on skates, which.
Speaker 7: Is yea, oh that I want to do that so bad, dude.
Speaker 1: If they set one of.
Speaker 7: Those up in Toronto, I would enter the over fifty
five year old decrepid.
Speaker 1: Section.
Speaker 7: I wanted badees so bad, bro. But the snow cross
is so fun. But it's tough to watch downhill skiing
or slollom skiing. Even as a skier. Everybody just looks
the same dude, and cross country skiing, I mean, how
boring is that? Just give the award to the Norwegians
and move on.
Speaker 1: I hit my wall with skiing this year. I thought
the exact same thing. I was like, they all kind
of look the same. I don't see a polarizing story.
I started watching the Moguls and I was like, hey,
it's not grabbing my.
Speaker 7: Well, at least the Moguls. At least with the Moguls,
it's not all exactly say but yeah, dude has a skier.
I mean I say this, you know all the time, Like,
as a person who's had sex once, I don't like
to watch other people doing and I prefer to do
it myself. So I feel exactly the same way about skiing.
And I've had sex twice, I've I got two jords.
Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know, maybe like obstacles or like boulders.
Speaker 7: Yeah, grow shit at it. Everyone may just throw shit
at it, well, like dodge skiing.
Speaker 1: Snowballs kind of in the same realm. It's winter, so
you know, something like that. So what do you have
up at wager talk for today?
Speaker 7: I will have I haven't put it up yet, but
I will have won college basketball and one in NBA play.
You know, Andy, I hit the skids slightly in college basketball,
and yet I'm on an eighteen and nine run. I
was on an eighteen and five runs, so I've lost
four in a row and I'm opening it change that tonight.
I mean, these things happen still on an eighteen and
nine run. I'm a profit college back in the college
basketball season, and my NBA is doing great. Bro, I
went one on one last night. But yeah, I'm excited
about both the basketball leagues right now. I'm really seeing basketball. Well.
So that's that, and other than that, we're taping the
best betting show ever late today Steve Merrill, myself and Joe.
The show should be up by two point thirty pm Easter.
And really appreciate you having me on, Andy. I got
one more week. I think I'm leaving well West on
February twenty eighth, so hopefully Chris will get me in
the next week because I love doing the show with you.
Speaker 1: Love it, man, I love it. I appreciate you. Thanks
for coming on breaking down a lip hockey Lawrence the Press.
Thank you very much, brother, appreciate you. Have a good one.
Take care of all right. Yeah, we're gonna get to
all around the world do some free picks. Free picks.
Haven't been good that doing that well this week, so
tread lightly. Okay, lacrosse, here's what Dan and I are
gonna do with lacrosse moving forward. So what we do
is we put we put a client play in and
then Dan tries to give out a free play that
is a different play. So we're only gonna give out
client plays for lacrosse moving forward, like we're rowing to
the last two days and free plays two to one
on four percent plays for clients. So we're not gonna
talk about lacrosse unless it's a four percent play that's
on this show. So that's how we'll address that moving forward. Okay,
today's free plays, we're gonna do the MAVs and the Lakers.
I'm gonna do a same game parlay. I'm gonna take
Lebron twenty plus points and Austin Reeves eighteen plus points.
You heard Joe talk about it. The MAVs have given
up one hundred and twenty one hundred and thirty eight,
one hundred and thirty five the last three games. Cooper
Flag is already out. Great chance for the Lakers to
get a win going into this game, and I think
with rest coming up for both guys they didn't play
the last game, I like both of them to have
good games tonight. College basketball that comes off the wager
Talk Free picks page. This is from Ben Burns. San
Francisco mins eight and a half over Oregon State. The
Beavers are three and five on the road. They did
beat San Francisco at Oregon State earlier this season, but
San Francisco coming off their worst loss in the season.
This is a revenge and anger spot for San Francisco.
And then I do need to give out a Darts
Premier League. This play starts in like fifteen minutes, so
if you want to get it live, I have a
client play that is up right now. I love the
client play. This one Littler and Humphries over nine and
a half legs. These guys are so razor thin close
with talent and this is a great rivalry. And they
just played this exact style of format on February first
and they went eleven legs, So it's a slight lean.
This is not a huge play, but it's a little
bit of sprinkle speak of darts. Myself and Yan we
will be on the winning in the Shadows YouTube channel
watching Darts live. Fun fact, Johnny Detroit loves watching myself
and Yon talk about darts and he doesn't even watch darts,
so it's a lot of fun. If you want to
join us, we got live betting and we'll watch the
Premier League of Darts Week two, which starts here at
one fifteen Eastern, so that's coming up real soon. Thanks
for joining in, guys, Even though there might not be
a lot of sports going on, We're here to walk
you through everything and find the best ways to make
money and add to your bankroll. And I've been seeing
you guys are doing it the right way. You guys
are not buying just individual plays. You guys are buying packages,
and you're taking advantage of those specials. This time of year,
we're running smoking hot deals like this buy six for
the price of three, and you guys are taking advantage
with It's very very smart, so keep doing that. We
got big plays coming up for this weekend and we
will be back, same time, same place tomorrow to get
you ready for the weekend. Thanks very much. Please hit
the like button on your way out. Good luck on
your bets. We'll see you tomorrow. Will take care