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Speaker 1: All right, Welcome in everybody. It is Wednesday, another edition

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of Full Court Press. Don't look now, but here here

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come Rob and I on the Parlays another winter.

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Speaker 2: Last night we've been Rob.

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Speaker 1: I feel like we've been in a little bit of

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an uphill battle to try to get back to even

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for like a month now.

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Speaker 2: Actually no, not not quite that long.

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Speaker 1: We had a shot to be even last week at

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one point, but we're about I think we're one two

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team or away from getting the parlay back to even.

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Maybe we'll get crazy throw a three teamer out there tonight.

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I don't know, but we got it done last night.

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Rob kind of a little bit of a sweat there

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at the end of that Illinois regulation, was hoping that

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we weren't gonna be in a scenario where they were

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gonna play for a stop.

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Speaker 2: But we get.

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Speaker 1: Overtime, and then Western Illinois breaks their fourteen game lose streak,

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they win the conference game that I thought that they

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would win, and we get another parlay winner. So another

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two and oh night for me, Rob, I feel like

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I'm seeing it well right now, how is the night

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for you?

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Speaker 3: Lest up there goes the dog. Last night was two

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and three in college hoop Adams. So that would for

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those who chose to be on the double, the Firepower double,

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the CBB Firepower package. You get four and three yesterday

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from the two of us. Still a nice little prophet.

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The early stuff was good BYU. I chose to play

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their team total. They got way over their team total.

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You could have played full game total. We talked about

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it yesterday. Why they decrease from one sixty four down

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to one fifty eight and a half didn't make a

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lot of sense. Game hits one ninety three for goodness sakes.

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And then as you mentioned Illinois, which looked like a

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coach job the entire way. But I will say this

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late in the night, I hadn't lost with Oklahoma. That

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was a little bit disappointing team to over seventy eight

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and a half. When we get to seventy six with

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a zillion chances, good win by Arizona State. So we

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move on to today. It's still been a great run

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since December. First up fifty units, so we will look

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for winners on today's card.

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Speaker 2: Before we get into it.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the rare opportunity to promote myself, but it

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also it promotes Rob as well, because I have a

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five percent play college basketball tonight. It's my first one

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in a couple of weeks. I've won six straight. This

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is what I kind of like to do with the

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five percenters. I like to kind of press them when

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things are going well.

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Speaker 2: And things are going well.

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Speaker 1: But the way to get that, the much better way

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to get that, in my opinion, is to just grab

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the package with myself and Rob, because I mean it's

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like when you look at the cost in one of

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those five percenters, I think too covers the package cost Rob.

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And if I win this one, I'm probably gonna fire

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another one tomorrow because that's how I roll. So I mean,

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I think you should just do the double the power

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CBB package.

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Speaker 2: Rob. People are like, where are the energy drinks? Long gone?

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Speaker 1: I've been up since like five in the morning. I'm

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already onto a diet coke here. You gotta slow it down.

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Can't do can't do two energy drinks. But it was

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a rainbow Sherbert rain for those keeping track at home.

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All Right, it's time to get into it. The people

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have filed in. Let's start in the sec rematch of

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a game that we saw earlier this year and a

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game that I remember us talking about this game Florida

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Georgia when they played down at the Swamp. It was

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when Florida was still going through it a little bit.

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It was a terrible matchup back then for Georgia, and

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that was how it played out.

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Speaker 2: It was a close first.

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Speaker 1: Half, Florida exerted their will and the second happened up

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winning the game by fifteen. Still a bad matchup for Florida.

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Florida's playing much better now. This opened seven to seven

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and a half, all the way up to nine and

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a half. Now, Robino, do you agree with that move?

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And do you have anything for us on the total?

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Speaker 3: Well, in terms of bad matchup, I mean we can

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single out the boards right, interesting numbers on Florida, and

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they're rebounding over the course of this tremendous nine game

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string that they're on eight and one straight up eight

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and one ats. The only loss in there was that

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head scratcher to Auburn where Auburn just came from left

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field and beat them out right. But other than that,

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eight out of nine going through back to the first game, Adam,

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Florida outrebounds Georgia fifty six to thirty five plus twenty

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one on the boards. End of story. But going through

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their nine game stretch here, just to give you some numbers,

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seven of the nine games in this span, they've had

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a double digit rebound advantage over the opponent. Only twice

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didn't and once they had a nine rebound advantage. They're

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number two in the entire nation in second chance points.

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And we talked about their front line from opening day,

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not that that was news to anybody that Florida was

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going to have a dominant front line, but they have

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really exerted themselves here. And what's really interesting about Florida

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is that during this nine game stretch they don't shoot

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three pointers well at all. They've been miserable. They don't

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need the three pointer to beat these teams and beat

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them handily. It's kind of crazy. Five times in the

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last nine games Florida has not even hit thirty percent

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of their threes. It's been less than thirty six times.

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It's been thirty or less. Only twice in nine games

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have they shot better than thirty three percent from beyond

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the arc. They don't need it, it doesn't matter. They

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crushed Alabama by twenty three shooting lousy from the three

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point arc. They just destroyed Texas A and M shooting

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twenty something percent from beyond the three point arc. Doesn't matter.

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They continue to beat people on the glass and their

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defenses come around five straight full game unders five straight

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times their last five games where they've held their opponent

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under their team total. So you know, how does Georgia

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come bat this? It's kind of crazy. They have already

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been beaten by this team by fifteen once and I

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don't know that the matchup changes any except that I

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think we both feel like the backcourt of Lee and

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Fland is playing a little bit better than they were

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at that time, and not necessarily showing up in three

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point percentage, but certainly they're playing a little bit better.

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Is why Florida is on this great run. For Georgia,

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you want to if you want to play them, you

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want to add the home court into your handicapping angle. Right, Well,

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george is at home. They could be good at home,

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two and three at home in SEC play straight up

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and against the spread. The interesting thing about Georgia is

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they've got five home games, three of them have gone

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to overtime. They battle and battle and battle here on

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this floor, overtime against Auburn, overtime against Ole Miss, overtime

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against Tennessee, lose them all. The other two games were

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a nice win over Arkansas by fourteen and then a

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fifteen point loss to A and M. I just home

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floor aside here, Adam, it's kind of hard for me

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to see Georgia's staying in it for forty full minutes.

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The way Florida is rebounding and the way Florida is

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playing defense, that combination always travels glass and defense. However,

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you're dealing with a pretty sizable number here, nine and

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a half at this point in time, total up to

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one sixty four and a half. I could question that

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a little bit, just because Florida is on this five

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game understring where they've just stopped the polling squad. And Georgia,

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I think we saw it in the Texas game, Adam,

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not being not that it was on their home floor, right.

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That was a Saturday game. I think Ui and Kelly

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had that game. I think you had Texas that day,

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and Georgia went staggnant offensively for a long time. They

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got out to like twenty four to sixteen lead or something,

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and then after that they were just shut down by Texas.

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Could almost see that happening here, even on their home floor.

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I'm a little bit on the fence with this one

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because the money's coming so so strong on Florida, Like,

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you gotta win by ten points now on the road,

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which is not the easiest thing to do inside this league.

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Florida does have Kentucky on deck. I don't know my

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lean here would be towards Florida, despite the fact that

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you have to win by ten, just because I don't

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see how the first game doesn't repeat itself. It was

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a fifteen point win. Then I don't know. Is Georgia

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going to improve by five points here? Possible? But I'm

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not sure it will.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, don't get me wrong. The movement towards Florida.

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You know, Florida up from seven now to nine and

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a half. I mean, if this were to continue to

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go ten ten and a half, which I don't think

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will be the case, but if it did, I definitely

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you can start to look at punching back with the

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Florida side. So I'm sorry with the Georgia side. So

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let's look at the first meeting. You know, you talked

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about a fifteen point final margin. First half was close,

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second half wasn't. The rebounding disparity was always going to

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be there. What I found interesting about the first meeting

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Georgia four for nineteen from three. If they could improve

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on that, maybe they can hang around. But you know

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what interests me Rab or what's interesting to me Rob

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is Blue Kane. Who's who's kind of like their three

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point shoot. He's he's the guy that if, like, if

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he were to come out and have a huge game,

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hit five six threes, you know, I think I think

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that they could maybe be in the mix. But he's

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kind of been terrible this year shooting the ball. His

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his shooting numbers, even though his points per game are

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up at three point range, he was like a career

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thirty four percent three point shooter. I remember getting to

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see him in a ballroom down in the Bahamas when

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he was a freshman. You know, he's kind of like

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this like goofy kid. I was like, who who's this guy?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: And then you know I was watching him warm up,

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just an absolute sniper. He's down to like twenty six

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percent from three this year, and yeah, I don't think

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he hit one in that first meeting. So again, Georgia,

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that would be a way to stay in the game.

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Speaker 2: I just don't know if I trust them to do that.

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Speaker 1: Though they could improve on four for nineteen, it's not

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that hard to improve on four for nineteen. That's not

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a very good mark shooting the ball from.

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Speaker 2: The first meeting.

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Speaker 1: The other thing that's worth pointing out from the first meeting,

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Sumpto Siro got thrown out of that game. So he

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only played seven minutes. He got thrown out of the game,

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ejected for something I don't remember what, but that's obviously notable.

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Speaker 2: That being said, Georgia is gonna be.

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Speaker 1: Down Jeremiah Wilkinson here, who I believe has already been

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ruled out of this game.

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Speaker 2: So it depends on what you make of that.

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Speaker 1: I think the Wilkinson news is the reason that this

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move where it did. So I read Wilkinson is out,

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But is that is that kind of a swap, right

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because you didn't really have serial in the first game

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you get now you would assume he's going to play

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the whole game here because he you know, it was

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an ejection that caused him to miss the first game.

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But you lose Wilkinson who's another you know, is just

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another one of your pieces, right, you believe he's actually

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the top score, correct me if I'm wrong. Seventeen point

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one points per game. He's probably their top score, and

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I believe he's out here. So do am I dying

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to lay ten with Florida?

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Speaker 3: Not?

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Speaker 2: Really?

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Speaker 1: Could I see Georgia maybe improving on that first game, Yeah,

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if they can hit a couple of threes. But going

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back to something you said, Rob, which is a point

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we've made on this show a couple of times.

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Speaker 2: It's like Florida has.

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Speaker 1: Done this in spite of poor guard play, and now

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they started to get the guard play occasionally. But if

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Florida ever shows up and plays a game where Davie

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and Lee's playing well or Fland is playing well and

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they're getting production from their guards, it's gonna be hard

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to stay within ten against them. They're still very elite

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when that's the case, and the scary thing is they're

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probably elite when that isn't even the case.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a.

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Speaker 1: It's a tough one, maybe under a little bit, just

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because I don't know if it's gonna be you know,

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like just a ton of points in this one, But

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boy is this a uh, it's a daily occurrence here, Rob.

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The sort of game of the night game is like

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always the hardest one of handicap.

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Speaker 2: But I suppose that's how it should be to an extent.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, speaking of can Georgia improve from beyond the arc

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in this game, Adam and where it could help the

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counter that to that would be can the Florida Guard

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play improve? We talked about how they weren't playing well

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Fland and Lee up until this nine game string. They

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were three of eleven from the field, one for eight

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from three. Those numbers, even if they come up half

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a ticket kind of negates Georgia's numbers coming up. So

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it's hard to see other things home floor, Florida not

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showing up mentally, et cetera, et cetera, which are all

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things that are hard to handicap. But they're definitely the

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better squad and they're en route to you know, the

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way they're playing right now. They're playing Elite eight status

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and you just can't give these guys second chance points,

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but they continue to get. I mean, that front line

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is crazy good, so we'll see how it goes. Georgia has,

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as I mentioned, Ben feisty at home. Three overtime games

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in five sec contests on this floor, so it's no

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surprise if they do get a little feisty here at them.

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I just don't know they want to put my money

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on that?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, me either, And I think I think we've hit

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that one enough. You know, at some point on the show,

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we always find something that we want to put our

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money on. I think I'm on a pretty good string

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of actually giving out client plays on this show, so

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you know, it's one of the nice things about college

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basketball season and there being so many games the volumes higher.

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With the volumes higher, I can one or two of

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the client plays, and as of right now, I only

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have the five percenter locked in. But we'll we'll see

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if we can find something else on the show. Okay,

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let's go to Garth. Let's head to the MAC for

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some some Wednesday mactionin Rob Garth appreciate the donation. As always,

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he says thoughts on Toledo Western Michigan. He likes the

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Western Michigan team total under seventy four and a half

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or the full game under one fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Rob.

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Speaker 1: So when I when I look at Toledo. Something my

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sort of way into Toledo games earlier this year was

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recognizing their struggles against his zone. You know, so this

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this is not really going to speak toward what Garth

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wants to speak about. I'll kind of leave that that

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Western Michigan angle to you. But the way I have

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seen Toledo games was early in the year they really

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struggled against good zone defense. Now I've gotten all of

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this a little bit because they've been better. They got

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better for a stretch, they sort of figured out the

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zone a little bit.

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Speaker 2: That being said, I was never overly high on Toledo

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this year.

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Speaker 1: I thought this would probably be one of the worst

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teams that they've had that Ted qual Chick has had

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in a while. And yeah, it's sort of proving to

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look that way. They're inconsistent offensively, they struggle against the zone.

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They've managed to get to six and five in MAC play.

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But man, outside of Miami, Ohio and Akron and maybe

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you could throw Kent State into the mix there, the

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MAC isn't quite as good as I thought it was

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going to be. Some of the other teams that are

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typically up in the top, you know, the the Kent

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Toledo being one of them, Ohio not quite as good

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as I thought they were going to be, and then

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the bottom half of the Mac really not being very

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good at all this year.

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Speaker 2: Makes it difficult.

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Speaker 1: This is the you know, this is a little bit

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of a sandwich game here, Rob for Toledo. They had

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James Madison in the return leg of the Sun Belt

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MAC Challenge over the weekend, lost that game seventy three

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seventy one.

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Speaker 2: It was a good one. They put a lot into that.

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Speaker 1: I think that was a kind of a game that

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maybe they had a little bit more stock into than

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some of these other Sun Belt MAC games because James

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Madison's kind of a high profile team from that league.

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And then of course this weekend will be the rematch

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of their rivalry with Bowling Green, So Toledo Bowling Green

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right down the street from each other. Great first game,

325
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they won it seventy three seventy two if I remember correctly,

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they won it right at the end, and so now

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they have to head over to Bowling Green the Stro

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Center this weekend. So this kind of is an interesting

329
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spot here. I don't know if I love Toledo laying

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points on the road in this spot. But is there

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anything to like about Western Michigan? And talk to me

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about Garth's total here, what do you think about this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the number's been pushed down about a point and

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a half, two points right now, staring at one fifty

335
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four and a half like Garth list right there, they

336
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get over one fifty six and a half. Toledo's in

337
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kind of a free fall offensively at them. It's for

338
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their last five games I think seventy five or list,

339
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which is Toledo's not gonna win a lot of games

340
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scoring seventy five or less because they're so defensively poor.

341
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But the first time around, and this was a while ago,

342
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right December thirtieth seems like a ten years ago. But

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on December to thirtieth, it goes eighty four to seventy nine,

344
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one sixty three. Toledo, for what it's worth, only shot

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sixteen percent from three point land in that game and

346
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still got to eighty four against Western Michigan. So you know,

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I guess the dilemma becomes, is the matchup really good

348
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for Toledo that they can get to eighty four points

349
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only hitting four of twenty five from three, missing twelve

350
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three throws or is cur form to be taken more

351
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into consideration, because, like I mentioned, Toledo's not the offensive

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team that they were to start the season, and Toledo

353
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hasn't played a who's who of defenses in this stretch,

354
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right like Bowling Green to only score seventy three, ball

355
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State seventy three, Kent seventy two. Of course, James Madison's

356
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,880
a pretty good team seventy one in that one. They're

357
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just not generally you think of them as being in

358
00:18:29,039 --> 00:18:30,599
the eighties, and if this game is going to go over,

359
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,599
you need it to be in the eighties. Western Michigan

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I haven't talked about much because they just don't score,

361
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which you know, again going back to the original meeting

362
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and seeing eighty four to seventy nine makes you think,

363
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is it matchup or is it current form? I kind

364
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,359
of lean always towards current form. We've talked about this before.

365
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Overall statistics and earlier meetings can be skewed a little bit,

366
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and also coaches who like to fix what went wrong

367
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in that first game. You know, it's a lot of

368
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points to be giving up. I'd probably slightly lean with

369
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the under, but I don't know that there's a lot

370
00:19:06,759 --> 00:19:09,319
of wiggle room here at one fifty four and a half. Honestly,

371
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,160
it's a difficult bet to make the under seventy four

372
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and a half Western Michigan team total. I guess if

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on your list of reasons to play it, the main

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reason is Western Michigan's not a good offensive team scoring wise.

375
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But the counter to that is Toledo's just not a

376
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great defensive team either. So again, this is a difficult one. Garth.

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00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,880
I'm gonna let you go whichever way you want to go.

378
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I won't be involved. If I had to, I'll say this,

379
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I'd be leary of playing under one fifty four and

380
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a half. I just think that number is susceptible, and

381
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,119
you know they probably pushed it down as far as

382
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:48,519
you can go. We'll see how it rolls.

383
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Speaker 2: I'll take a stand real quick.

384
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Speaker 1: Rob the chat does not like defense riding, so I'm

385
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gonna come in and take a stand. If I if

386
00:19:58,839 --> 00:20:02,559
I could trust Western Michigan's defense at all to play

387
00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:06,200
a somewhat competent zone here, I would be on Western

388
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:09,400
Michigan in this spot. My number is shaded to thinking

389
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,400
Western like I'm closer to five than seven.

390
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 2: Here.

391
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: I don't know what it is right now, but I

392
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:16,640
was at like five point one. I think it was

393
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,039
like six and a half, maybe seven. So the problem

394
00:20:20,079 --> 00:20:22,920
is Western Michigan defensive rating on keen Pump three p

395
00:20:23,039 --> 00:20:25,720
thirty two right, so that it's it's very difficult to

396
00:20:25,759 --> 00:20:30,240
trust them to defend. But it's not the worst spot

397
00:20:30,279 --> 00:20:33,400
to go against Toledo. You had, you know, you want

398
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,680
to talk about just a little bit of a you know,

399
00:20:35,759 --> 00:20:39,519
Toledo taking that game against James Madison serious because James

400
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:42,319
Madison's sort of like a that They've become a name

401
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:43,200
out of the Sun Belt.

402
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 2: They're always near the top of the Sun Belt.

403
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,240
Speaker 1: I think they even I think they even got into

404
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,160
the top twenty five a couple of years ago. Yeah,

405
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,039
when I went when I went to see James Madison

406
00:20:52,039 --> 00:20:54,480
play two years ago with my buddy Aaron Kid, they

407
00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:56,279
were nationally ranked team.

408
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 2: So I do think they garner a little bit more.

409
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,359
Speaker 1: Whereas Western Michigan just went down to Texas this weekend

410
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,240
and couldn't have cared less, got blown out. I don't

411
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,359
think they put any stock into that game. I think

412
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:11,000
they were looking toward this game, which is you know,

413
00:21:11,079 --> 00:21:13,759
Toledo's become a name in this conference, and then of

414
00:21:13,799 --> 00:21:16,240
course Toledo's got the rivalry on deck. So I do

415
00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:17,880
think there's a little bit of value there. I don't

416
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,039
mind the spot. I lean toward Western Michigan plus the points.

417
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:23,559
I will, like I said, taking a stay at Rob.

418
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 3: There you go.

419
00:21:27,279 --> 00:21:29,519
Speaker 2: And if you do get involved with the total garth,

420
00:21:29,559 --> 00:21:30,079
good luck.

421
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:32,799
Speaker 1: But the only way I could play would be to

422
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:37,519
take the points and you know, hope that Toledo struggles

423
00:21:37,519 --> 00:21:39,000
to put the ball in the basket, which they have

424
00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:40,279
at times this year.

425
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:43,640
Speaker 2: All Right, real quick promo. Like I said, I have

426
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:44,880
a five percent play tonight.

427
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 1: We have the double the Firepower CBB package up on

428
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,160
both of our pages. It's been really good the last

429
00:21:51,519 --> 00:21:54,160
you know, pretty much for the last couple of weeks.

430
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,440
Rob carried us through the first two months of the season.

431
00:21:57,519 --> 00:21:59,680
I'm trying to pick up the slack right now. I

432
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,160
had a winning January. I'm off to a really good

433
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,759
start in February. I've got six wins in a row,

434
00:22:04,799 --> 00:22:07,920
going for seven in a row tonight, So hopefully we can.

435
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 2: Keep that going.

436
00:22:08,559 --> 00:22:10,519
Speaker 1: Run that package up for us so they don't take

437
00:22:10,559 --> 00:22:13,200
it down because they will if the packages aren't selling,

438
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,279
they'll take it down, so we can't let that happen. Also,

439
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:20,240
there's a sixty nine dollars Valentine's Day special. I'll get

440
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:21,880
a chuckle out of that the rest of the week.

441
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,799
I think we're promoing that the rest of the week.

442
00:22:23,839 --> 00:22:26,720
It'll every time I see that. We've been running that

443
00:22:26,759 --> 00:22:29,559
for years now. I just it always makes me laugh, Like,

444
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:35,039
you know, anyway, all right, let's get back to it.

445
00:22:35,519 --> 00:22:37,720
There's a good one in the ACC tonight that's taking

446
00:22:37,759 --> 00:22:39,480
a little bit of money. I'm gonna go to Jake here,

447
00:22:39,799 --> 00:22:43,359
he says, any thoughts on Clemson? My thought is I

448
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,720
thought that number was kind of ridiculous. At the open,

449
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,480
I had to look at the standings and then I'm

450
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:52,160
sitting there like, see this, this is what I'm talking about,

451
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:55,759
rob With the ACC, all these teams play such different

452
00:22:55,799 --> 00:23:00,920
schedules that it's like I lose track of like who's

453
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:02,079
where in the conference?

454
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Speaker 2: And then suddenly suddenly you're sitting there in Clemson's ten

455
00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:09,559
and one and you're like, how that happened? Who have

456
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:10,039
they played?

457
00:23:10,039 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 3: How that?

458
00:23:10,319 --> 00:23:10,839
Speaker 2: You know what I mean?

459
00:23:10,839 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: Like they're all all these teams are playing such different

460
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:14,680
league schedules.

461
00:23:14,799 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 2: That that it's hard to put a ton of stock.

462
00:23:16,839 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 1: Into the league, into like the league record, because there

463
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:25,599
are some teams in the ACC right now that have

464
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:30,359
played entirely different schedules to this point. How do you

465
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,599
how do you rate like one team versus another in

466
00:23:33,599 --> 00:23:34,920
the conference when that's the case.

467
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:36,319
Speaker 2: I do think it.

468
00:23:36,319 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 1: Makes for an interesting uh you know, I think it

469
00:23:39,039 --> 00:23:41,880
makes for an interesting like handicap, And I think that

470
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,000
there's probably some value to be had when we get

471
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,160
to this point in the season and you have like

472
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:50,680
an ACC record and teams haven't even played remotely the

473
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:54,519
same teams. So in this case, Rob, at first glance,

474
00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:56,559
I said, man, that is that is a big number

475
00:23:56,799 --> 00:23:59,039
for Virginia Tech to be catching on the road tonight.

476
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,720
I Mean, I like Brad Brown Allen Clemson as much

477
00:24:01,759 --> 00:24:04,799
as the next person. But were you kind of shocked

478
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:06,720
that that was nine and a half at the open?

479
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:11,839
Speaker 3: Yeah? And to your point, Adam, when you go over

480
00:24:12,519 --> 00:24:16,160
this Clemson schedule, they have not played Duke, they have

481
00:24:16,279 --> 00:24:19,559
not played Virginia, they haven't played Louisville, they haven't played

482
00:24:19,599 --> 00:24:22,400
North Carolina. Who have they played to get to ten

483
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,880
and one? Right, that's the top five of the top

484
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,240
or four of the top six in the league. They did,

485
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:32,119
to their credit, played Miamia, Florida won the game played.

486
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:36,960
NC State lost in overtime. But you know, you could

487
00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:42,200
argue that Louisville, North Carolina, Duke, and Virginia are four

488
00:24:42,799 --> 00:24:45,119
of the if you could argue they're the four top

489
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,119
teams if you wanted to argue against Clemson soft schedule. Actually,

490
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,559
so to your point, yes, Virginia Tech has surprised me

491
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:56,240
all season long. Their ability to score the basketball is good. Here,

492
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:58,599
Clemson's had a tendency to be able to shut these

493
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:02,279
type teams down. Nobody's scoring on them, Adam, Absolutely, nobody's

494
00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:04,839
scoring points on them. It took NC State overtime to

495
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,880
get to eighty. But I mean, you just go down

496
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,920
this list, fifty five, sixty four, fifty two, sixty three,

497
00:25:10,039 --> 00:25:13,920
fifty nine, fifty sixty one. SMU could only get to seventy.

498
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:17,599
It's hard to score on Brownell's team. And if you

499
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:21,039
take any bit of Virginia Tech's offense away, I don't

500
00:25:21,079 --> 00:25:26,759
know that they're good enough defensively to handle Clemson, even

501
00:25:26,839 --> 00:25:30,799
down low. Now that being said, you know, does that

502
00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:33,519
make Clemson nine points better when we really don't have

503
00:25:33,599 --> 00:25:37,640
a good assessment of how good they really are. But

504
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,839
I would count their argue that point by just saying

505
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:44,200
teams in Virginia Tech's weight class in this league, Clemson

506
00:25:44,279 --> 00:25:46,559
is ten and one against basically eight and one against,

507
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:50,359
and so from that perspective, you would say, yeah, at home,

508
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,920
they should be able to handle these guys. The total

509
00:25:53,759 --> 00:25:57,119
being set at one thirty six and a half tells

510
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,519
you not a lot of points scored. And when you're

511
00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:01,359
in that eight in a half range at him, it's

512
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,400
hard to lay that type of price in a game

513
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,799
where you're not gonna see a lot of points. Duke

514
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,519
did it last night. They beat Pittsburgh like seventy to

515
00:26:09,559 --> 00:26:12,920
fifty six. That's kind of the thing you're looking for

516
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,680
if you bet Clemson here, and it's not out of

517
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:19,480
the realm of possibility, but Virginia Tech, they might have

518
00:26:19,759 --> 00:26:24,880
just a little bit or one too many offensive options

519
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,920
for Clemson to hold to fifty six points here and

520
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:31,039
get that type of a win. So for me, again, man,

521
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,160
these guys were coming out of the box here with

522
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:35,799
some games that I can't I can't take a firm

523
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:39,559
stance on, but I would say off of what I've

524
00:26:39,559 --> 00:26:43,559
seen this year, Clemson is capable of handling this weight class,

525
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,839
especially on their home floor. Obviously Money thought nine and

526
00:26:47,839 --> 00:26:51,200
a half was too much. I even see a seven

527
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,119
and a half out there at him, it's stray. But

528
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,960
I see a seven and a half. I think I

529
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,559
would lean Clemson totally. I have no opinion on I

530
00:26:59,559 --> 00:27:01,759
think that in a really really good spot.

531
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, my personal number, I was at seven point one

532
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:11,160
here Clemson minus seven point one, so definitely enough. You know,

533
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:12,880
I look for a little bit. I look for like

534
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,200
a two point or more edge to fire. I certainly

535
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:20,440
thought about Virginia Tech and and I guess what's I

536
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:22,920
guess what kind of kept me off was going back

537
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:27,480
to something that you said about like Clemson defensively, just

538
00:27:27,559 --> 00:27:30,160
being like I've said this for years, Brad Brown now

539
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:32,400
is the best coach in the ACC that no one

540
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,680
ever gives any credit. This is this has been going

541
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,880
on for a while. He's he is a tremendous coach.

542
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,240
He's got this team playing great defense and any and

543
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:43,440
this is every year though, this is every year, Like

544
00:27:43,599 --> 00:27:48,119
Clemson in this league is always an afterthought when they

545
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,839
really like a lot of times like shouldn't be. They

546
00:27:50,839 --> 00:27:52,839
shouldn't they shouldn't be. This year, they're in the top

547
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,359
twenty five, they're ten and one, yet it still feels

548
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,160
like they're a little bit of an afterthought at times.

549
00:27:58,079 --> 00:28:01,559
I was impressed with Virginia Tech over the weekend hanging

550
00:28:01,559 --> 00:28:05,720
around with NC State. They you know, that was a game.

551
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:07,519
I thought they were gonna get blown out in that

552
00:28:07,519 --> 00:28:10,680
game route. I thought that set up for a Will

553
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:15,559
Weighe massacre blowout type game. And you know, Virginia Tech

554
00:28:16,039 --> 00:28:18,599
sort of took the took the punch in the face early,

555
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,839
went down double digits, and hung around and covered ten

556
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:22,440
and a half.

557
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 2: I kind of feel like that's what you're gonna be

558
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:25,200
doing here.

559
00:28:25,559 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: I don't know if I see Virginia Tech winning this game,

560
00:28:28,559 --> 00:28:31,400
but based on the way that they've played some of

561
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,519
these better teams, right, Duke, they kind of did the

562
00:28:33,519 --> 00:28:33,960
same thing.

563
00:28:34,079 --> 00:28:36,039
Speaker 2: Hung around. I don't think they covered the Dude game,

564
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:36,960
but you.

565
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 1: Know, they hung around and lost by fourteen, and and

566
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:44,240
you know, didn't really like they took that early punch

567
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,880
in that one as well, but didn't get completely blown out.

568
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:50,119
I could see the back door being open for v

569
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:54,200
Tech here there, they've been a little bit better offensively,

570
00:28:55,839 --> 00:28:58,440
you know, the last like month or so they had

571
00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:01,519
they dropped eighty nine on order to they came into

572
00:29:01,559 --> 00:29:04,119
the dome. Not that either of those teams deserve to

573
00:29:04,119 --> 00:29:08,839
even be discussed at this point. Syracuse awful somehow taking

574
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,039
money like someone knows the final score at this point.

575
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:15,119
Speaker 2: I don't know if we'll talk about that one or not.

576
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 1: But you know, come into the dome and get a win,

577
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,839
and then these this series of games. The game they

578
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,400
should have won they won against Georgia Tech. They really

579
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:30,039
weren't awful. Against Louisville covered fourteen and a half. I

580
00:29:30,039 --> 00:29:32,400
think that was one that they again they kind of

581
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,720
hung around the number. They did just enough to get

582
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,079
inside it did that against NC State. We're a bucket

583
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,599
away from doing that against Duke. So if you have

584
00:29:41,799 --> 00:29:44,279
nine and a half, I don't hate the Virginia Tech side.

585
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,519
I don't think I would take it at the worst

586
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,480
number at this point, but certainly a v Tech lean

587
00:29:49,559 --> 00:29:50,039
there for me.

588
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 3: Rob, Yeah, it's it's just an interesting game. Meet Clemson

589
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:59,680
at home, and they haven't been home a lot in

590
00:30:00,519 --> 00:30:02,960
I think I just counted four home games in League,

591
00:30:03,519 --> 00:30:05,559
but three out of the four times they've won by

592
00:30:05,599 --> 00:30:06,240
this margin.

593
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 2: Big at home, big game coming up for Clemson this weekend.

594
00:30:09,839 --> 00:30:12,799
I don't know. That could be another angle for v Tech.

595
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: Like, you know, if they you may have Clemson take

596
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,039
a more business like approach here right like they might

597
00:30:20,279 --> 00:30:22,359
if they get ahead, especially if they're up by ten,

598
00:30:23,039 --> 00:30:24,359
they might take the air out of the ball a

599
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,799
little bit. Got Duke coming up this weekend. That's a

600
00:30:26,799 --> 00:30:30,359
big one. So yeah, I think there's merits. A couple

601
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,599
of people ask me about Virginia Tech and on Twitter

602
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:36,319
prior to the show. I couldn't talk you off of that,

603
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:38,839
especially if you got in at the good note, especially

604
00:30:38,839 --> 00:30:39,359
if you got in.

605
00:30:39,319 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 2: At nine or nine and a half. That's uh.

606
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,839
Speaker 1: I think you have a decent bet at this point

607
00:30:44,839 --> 00:30:48,480
with the Hokies. All right, rob let's head back to

608
00:30:48,519 --> 00:30:52,039
the SEC. Mad Max, thank you for the donation to

609
00:30:52,079 --> 00:30:54,599
the show. We very much appreciate it. He says he's

610
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,200
leaning leaning Alabama team total over eighty five and a half.

611
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:00,680
He said, oh miss gave up eighty four or to Tennessee.

612
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:04,559
He likes the minus seven and a half two. Now,

613
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,759
I guess my quick thought on the total here, Rob,

614
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:11,160
I don't know that those two things are necessarily equal.

615
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,039
I go back to last year Ole Miss actually won

616
00:31:14,079 --> 00:31:19,119
this game in Tuscaloosa, and the one I guess they're

617
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,880
path to victory here, Rob, or playing the game that

618
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,279
they would want to play is to kind of make

619
00:31:24,319 --> 00:31:28,559
it slow and ugly. So if ole Miss can do that,

620
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:31,039
team total might not be the way to go. If

621
00:31:31,039 --> 00:31:34,559
they can't, of course, Alabama, when they are playing the

622
00:31:34,599 --> 00:31:36,799
game that they want to play, they're probably trying to

623
00:31:36,799 --> 00:31:39,119
get up and over that number. So Rob, do you

624
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,640
agree or disagree with Mad Max? Are you seeing over

625
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,119
Bama or under Ole Miss? How you see this one?

626
00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 3: Well, the one thing I could say is Chris Beard.

627
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:52,839
We know his reputation right and recently for ole Miss,

628
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,799
the defense, if nothing else, has gotten better. The Tennessee

629
00:31:56,920 --> 00:32:00,519
game that Max points out is kind of the liar

630
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,119
and over the course of their last five where they

631
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:07,480
only gave up seventy eight to Auburn high scoring team,

632
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:11,720
seventy two to Kentucky high scoring team, seventy one to

633
00:32:11,839 --> 00:32:16,759
Bandy high scoring team, seventy nine to Texas certainly another

634
00:32:16,839 --> 00:32:19,640
high scoring team. So you've got four teams in their

635
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,680
last five that they've held under eighty and here you're

636
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:28,319
asking for eighty six. Obviously, now, I don't know that

637
00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:33,240
any of those is as capable of imposing their offensive

638
00:32:33,319 --> 00:32:36,200
will and their style of play on an opponent as

639
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,680
Alabama is Alabama. It does just doesn't matter home road,

640
00:32:40,759 --> 00:32:43,720
doesn't matter where they go neutral, you're gonna end up

641
00:32:43,759 --> 00:32:46,359
playing their game. They may lose to you, they may

642
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,759
give you ninety five, and they may lose, but you're

643
00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:52,240
gonna end up playing their style of game. And especially

644
00:32:52,319 --> 00:32:55,880
if ole Miss gets behind in this game and Tempo

645
00:32:56,000 --> 00:33:00,599
picks up, those things kind of lend themselves to the number.

646
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:06,640
I honestly don't know how this Charles Bettioco news affects

647
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,319
Alabama here. I don't know, negatively or positively, I don't know.

648
00:33:11,559 --> 00:33:15,279
Certainly it takes away from their defensive ability at the rim.

649
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,519
Certainly it takes away from their capability on the glass,

650
00:33:18,519 --> 00:33:21,400
which Natos has kind of complained about with this team

651
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,200
all season long. And those two things right there, if

652
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,160
ole Miss can find their way to the rim a

653
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,359
little bit easier, which which prior to Betioco teams were

654
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:33,440
finding and even with him, they were still finding their

655
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,440
way to the rim, right. I think they gave up

656
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:39,920
one hundred to somebody with him in the lineup. That

657
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:44,039
would be my stipulation. If ole Miss at home, stays

658
00:33:44,119 --> 00:33:48,319
close in this game and doesn't have to go completely

659
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,000
rapid for forty minutes with Bama because they get down

660
00:33:51,039 --> 00:33:55,279
twenty to six to start the game, then this game

661
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,759
Alabama may not get to that number. They may not

662
00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:03,279
for the last five teams against Old mishavn't and ole

663
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:06,759
Miss had just come off of four straight road game.

664
00:34:06,799 --> 00:34:09,719
This is their first home game in ages, haven't played

665
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:12,800
at home since the twentieth January Way Away, Away Away,

666
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:16,000
So I don't know I'm giving credence. I think here

667
00:34:16,039 --> 00:34:19,559
to Chris Beard and their ability, his ability to draw

668
00:34:19,639 --> 00:34:24,039
up defenses and just trying to slow the game down.

669
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:29,000
I want to use Pittsburgh as an example last night, Adam,

670
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,199
but I can't even use them as an example because

671
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:35,159
Duke doesn't play fast like Alabama does, so I can't

672
00:34:35,159 --> 00:34:37,280
even use that as an example. Duke only getting to

673
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,760
seventy in a slower tempo game on an opponent's floor.

674
00:34:42,639 --> 00:34:45,400
Generally I'd be all in on Alabama overs this one.

675
00:34:46,079 --> 00:34:52,079
Little skeptical, however, if they react as an angry club

676
00:34:52,159 --> 00:34:56,199
to what just went down with Bettioco, then that backcourt

677
00:34:56,239 --> 00:35:01,000
starts nailing shots philion In Holloway, et cetera, and its

678
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:04,400
lights out. So tough call. I would lean under on

679
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:07,840
the Alabama team total, just based on what Ole Miss

680
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:09,760
has been able to do defensively over the course of

681
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:10,920
the last five games.

682
00:35:12,559 --> 00:35:15,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd lean under two on this one. I don't listen.

683
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,719
Speaker 1: I don't think Bettiaco is a I think it's more

684
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,320
of just a distraction than anyway little pr distraction. It's like,

685
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,280
I don't think it's going to like truly affect the

686
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:25,719
team now.

687
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 2: It is it is.

688
00:35:26,599 --> 00:35:29,119
Speaker 1: It will affect their depth of course, right, Like that's

689
00:35:29,199 --> 00:35:31,840
that's where you know, just taking his minutes away will

690
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:33,519
take a little bit of a hit, you know. I

691
00:35:33,559 --> 00:35:36,280
look at the schedule and I got to think Alaba.

692
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:39,719
Alabama's got to be exhausted. Look at like they've they've

693
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:44,119
given up one hundred ninety seven and ninety two since

694
00:35:44,639 --> 00:35:48,119
since February first, and this will be their third road

695
00:35:48,159 --> 00:35:51,119
game of the four third third road game of their

696
00:35:51,159 --> 00:35:54,079
last four games. The one home game was one hundred

697
00:35:54,119 --> 00:35:57,360
and ninety seven bucket ball against against Texas A and M.

698
00:35:58,039 --> 00:36:01,440
So they put all of that f into the Auburn

699
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:03,639
game over the weekend and win ninety six ninety two.

700
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,360
I do feel like if I do feel like this

701
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:08,679
is a little bit of a might be an attrition

702
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,679
type game for Bama here right where they're just like,

703
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:17,679
I mean that that's you know, one hundred, got got

704
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:22,599
gave up one hundred to Florida, got killed, give up

705
00:36:22,679 --> 00:36:24,400
ninety seven at Texas A and M in a one

706
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:26,440
hundred ninety seven final, and then play a game in

707
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:28,800
the nineties this weekend, and now you've got to turn

708
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:30,800
around and play on the road again. So yeah, I

709
00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:33,119
don't think I want any part of it over. I

710
00:36:33,119 --> 00:36:35,760
think i'd be looking at unders across the board here

711
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,880
because ole Miss is gonna drag this game down.

712
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:39,079
Speaker 2: Now.

713
00:36:39,119 --> 00:36:42,280
Speaker 1: Ole Miss can't play that their offense isn't very good,

714
00:36:42,679 --> 00:36:44,519
so I don't think you can really count on all

715
00:36:44,559 --> 00:36:48,159
Miss points ever, Right, that's the problem that that's why

716
00:36:48,199 --> 00:36:51,400
this game last Last year, this game was ranked versus ranked.

717
00:36:51,679 --> 00:36:54,119
Ole Miss went into Tuscaloosa and won. But all this

718
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,320
was I believe in the top twenty at the time.

719
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:59,880
So this year it's it's ole Miss is clearly not that.

720
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,159
But if they're gonna have any chance in this game

721
00:37:03,559 --> 00:37:06,719
that they're just gonna have to drag Alabama down with them.

722
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,639
So it's really gonna come down to who could probably

723
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:13,199
dictate the tempo, which normally would be Bama, but I

724
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,159
don't know if it's gonna be Bama on the heels

725
00:37:15,159 --> 00:37:18,000
of the schedule they've played of late to this kind

726
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,840
of feels like a game where they've just got to

727
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,159
will their way to a win. And if that's the case,

728
00:37:23,159 --> 00:37:24,400
I don't think it's going over.

729
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:27,519
Speaker 3: All.

730
00:37:27,639 --> 00:37:30,840
Speaker 2: Right, let's hit back to the chat here.

731
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 1: Gonna find a rob the as soon as the sweatshirts

732
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:40,559
getting compliments here. I know you, I know you're dying

733
00:37:40,599 --> 00:37:42,519
to talk Missouri Tigers basketball.

734
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:43,320
Speaker 2: And listen.

735
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:47,199
Speaker 1: I know on a Wednesday like this, I know folks

736
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:51,679
want to h Okay, I gotta I gotta comment on this. Bro,

737
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,639
you guys pick Nebraska. That's not to and no, gotta

738
00:37:55,679 --> 00:37:58,199
listen to the show. Gotta use your ears. Nowhere on

739
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,519
the show did we ever pick Nebraska. We gave a

740
00:38:01,559 --> 00:38:04,199
breakdown of the game. I think I said, I think

741
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:06,599
I went as far as to say if I like

742
00:38:07,039 --> 00:38:09,360
had a gun to my head and I was like

743
00:38:09,559 --> 00:38:13,639
in captivity and someone was like, you're we're gonna pull

744
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,440
the trigger. You have to make a pick on this game.

745
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,280
I think I said I would have taken Nebraska. We

746
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,519
did not pick Nebraska. We gave out two picks on

747
00:38:21,559 --> 00:38:24,360
the show yesterday and they went to and oh, we

748
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,480
we The point of this is to just you know,

749
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:29,559
we're gonna give a couple of picks out. If you

750
00:38:29,599 --> 00:38:31,480
want the picks. I've said this a million times. If

751
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,719
you want the picks, they're at wager talk dot com.

752
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,800
That's where the picks are. I went too, and oh

753
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,199
yesterday Rob was two and three. We went four and

754
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,320
three combined. That's where the picks are. If you want

755
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:44,360
just an hour worth of discussion with a couple of

756
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:46,559
picks on the show, we're gonna give that to you.

757
00:38:48,679 --> 00:38:50,639
Speaker 2: We did not pick Nebraska.

758
00:38:50,679 --> 00:38:53,039
Speaker 1: We gave a discussion of the game that I think

759
00:38:53,159 --> 00:38:56,559
was a more pro Nebraska discussion. But uh yeah, use

760
00:38:56,599 --> 00:38:58,679
your ears. Listen to the show before you come at

761
00:38:58,679 --> 00:39:01,480
me saying we picked Nebraska. All right, Rob, back to

762
00:39:01,519 --> 00:39:06,000
the show. The people apparently want picks. Apparently discussion is

763
00:39:06,039 --> 00:39:08,800
not enough. So I'm gonna ask you right now, do

764
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:11,320
you have something that you want to lock in for

765
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:14,280
the parlay or do you do you want me to go?

766
00:39:14,519 --> 00:39:16,199
I prefer you to go because I have no clue

767
00:39:16,199 --> 00:39:18,000
what I want to use yet, so it's up to you.

768
00:39:19,039 --> 00:39:20,079
Or do you want me to go back to the

769
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:21,880
chat we saw twenty two minutes?

770
00:39:23,159 --> 00:39:27,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, go to the chat here real quick. If they

771
00:39:27,679 --> 00:39:29,880
want to talk, Missouri Texas A and M. We will.

772
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:32,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I didn't put the I didn't put

773
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,119
the shirt on for my health this morning, although it

774
00:39:35,199 --> 00:39:37,199
is a sweatshirt and I'm cold as health because we're

775
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,679
apparently more snow here for us in Central New York.

776
00:39:41,119 --> 00:39:43,199
Did not realize that was happening again today. I thought

777
00:39:43,199 --> 00:39:45,679
it was warming up from our sub zero week, and

778
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:49,519
apparently apparently it's not. So Yeah, let's stay in the

779
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:52,880
sec Miszoo Texas A and M. Rob you know a

780
00:39:53,039 --> 00:39:57,199
rare strong total opinion for me here? I see points

781
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:58,880
points points points in this game?

782
00:39:59,639 --> 00:40:00,480
Speaker 2: Do you agree?

783
00:40:00,519 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 1: Tell me how there's not a million points in this game?

784
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,880
Missouri Texas A and M. I do agree.

785
00:40:06,039 --> 00:40:08,239
Speaker 3: I don't know how there's not a million points. And

786
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,159
I'll just I'm gonna go back to something that happened

787
00:40:11,159 --> 00:40:16,480
a couple of weeks ago, and actually thanks to whoever

788
00:40:16,559 --> 00:40:20,599
the guy in the chat was who came in that

789
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:26,000
day when Missoo played Alabama and actually afterwards credited us

790
00:40:26,039 --> 00:40:31,400
for talking talking him off of Missouri, which we're never

791
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,360
here to talk you off of things. But I guess

792
00:40:33,559 --> 00:40:38,199
are the points our analysis made him think twice about

793
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:42,199
betting Missou in that game. I see the same situation here, Adam.

794
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,599
I really do A and M off back to back

795
00:40:44,679 --> 00:40:48,360
losses now home, Missouri off back to back wins on

796
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:51,719
the road Alabama and A and M play the same

797
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:57,079
exact style bucky ball, a little more unique in its nature,

798
00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:01,320
not necessarily in its overall composition or style. Up tempo,

799
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:04,920
but it's extreme tempo basketball, and we're going to get

800
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:09,599
ninety and can you stop us from getting ninety? I

801
00:41:09,679 --> 00:41:12,039
see Missouri walking into the same hornets and ass that

802
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:17,360
they walked into against Alabama in that particular game that

803
00:41:17,599 --> 00:41:21,400
day the total ran its way up to one fifty

804
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:25,440
four because Missoo didn't score only sixty four points in

805
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:27,960
that game. I tend to believe that they'll get a

806
00:41:28,039 --> 00:41:30,960
few more here in A and M. And we're not

807
00:41:31,039 --> 00:41:32,880
asked to get that manymore. I think the numbers one

808
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,400
fifty seven and a half at last look, I think

809
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:36,840
it was one fifty seven and a half. So they're

810
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:38,840
asking us to climb from one to fifty four against

811
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,800
Bama at Coleman to one fifty eight here in College station.

812
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,840
A and M might get more than ninety. They could

813
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:50,320
get ninety two, ninety three. Missoo gets sixty. The sixty

814
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:53,920
four Missoo put up by Missoo was kind of rare

815
00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,679
in their season long numbers. It was a I don't

816
00:41:59,679 --> 00:42:02,039
know if it is the lowest output in SEC play

817
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,719
by them so far, but certainly they're more capable of

818
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:09,480
seventy than they are sixty four. So for me, again

819
00:42:10,519 --> 00:42:12,599
I use the word mathematics, but again we have to

820
00:42:12,679 --> 00:42:15,440
use mathematics to come up with these plays too. I think,

821
00:42:15,519 --> 00:42:19,280
sure mathematics tell you on top of the spot. Again,

822
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:23,920
I see this as the same setup as we saw

823
00:42:24,159 --> 00:42:27,559
against Alabama where BBAMA was off the loss Missouri was.

824
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:29,440
I think that was the game where Mark Mitchell chucked

825
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:30,960
in a three at the buzzer and then they had

826
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:32,639
to go on the road to play Alabama and they

827
00:42:32,679 --> 00:42:35,480
just got swamped they may get swamped again, but I

828
00:42:35,519 --> 00:42:37,519
think they'll score more than sixty four. So for me,

829
00:42:37,599 --> 00:42:40,480
this isn't over. I don't know which way the question

830
00:42:40,679 --> 00:42:44,760
was directed, whether it was directed side or total, but

831
00:42:45,559 --> 00:42:47,920
I've roaded defense all morning long here I will take

832
00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:49,559
a stance with this one. I think this game gets

833
00:42:49,599 --> 00:42:50,920
over one fifty seven and a half.

834
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of love the over here, just the

835
00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:59,440
Texas A and M should be able to play the

836
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,559
style that they want to play against Missouri, and you.

837
00:43:02,519 --> 00:43:03,880
Speaker 2: Know there's I want.

838
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 1: I actually woke up this morning looking at this game

839
00:43:07,039 --> 00:43:10,199
being like, man, if that I kind of expect Texas

840
00:43:10,199 --> 00:43:12,519
A and M to take a little money, and I

841
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:14,880
really want to make a case. I really wanted to

842
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:19,000
make a case for Missouri. But you know my number

843
00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:21,159
comes right, I'm right, I'm at Texas A and M

844
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:24,760
minus six. So I said, well, if they take money

845
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:26,400
and it gets steamed, let's say it goes to seven

846
00:43:26,440 --> 00:43:28,320
and a half or eight. Maybe maybe I could do that,

847
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:30,239
because I do think Missouri will be able to run

848
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:33,679
some offense and score enough to stay in this game.

849
00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:36,800
But I've kind of talked myself off of that because

850
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:41,800
just of just of how efficient the bucket ball style

851
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:44,360
could be in this game and.

852
00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:47,360
Speaker 2: That so that's kind of kept me off.

853
00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:50,280
Speaker 1: I do see sevens popping and maybe it will go there,

854
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,199
but again I think I'm pretty much off the side

855
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:55,159
and looking entirely toward the total.

856
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 2: Because here's the thing.

857
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,840
Speaker 1: If you do have if Texas A and M is scoring,

858
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:02,599
they're hitting their threes and it's an efficient bucket ball performance,

859
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,960
and then you get Missouri doing just enough to hang

860
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:09,840
around rob then you hit the jackpockets, you're probably an

861
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:13,039
extension area. Right if it comes in that six seven

862
00:44:13,119 --> 00:44:17,079
eight point range, Missouri's gonna go to the rim.

863
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to score at the rim.

864
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:21,679
Speaker 1: So unless you get a scenario where they're chasing so

865
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,719
badly that they're just chucking threes, that would that would

866
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:26,880
be the That's going to be a Texas A and

867
00:44:27,159 --> 00:44:29,639
A and M blowout that probably doesn't go over because

868
00:44:29,679 --> 00:44:32,000
that's not the game Missouri wants to play. That If

869
00:44:32,039 --> 00:44:34,719
Missouri can hang around long enough in this game, get

870
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:36,960
the ball inside, score at the rim where they can

871
00:44:37,079 --> 00:44:40,159
score against Texas A and M, you could have I mean,

872
00:44:40,199 --> 00:44:42,880
you're probably well into the eighties. I'd be surprised if

873
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:44,880
A and M isn't hitting ninety at some point. So

874
00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:50,760
I'm with you, Rob points all day in college station tonight.

875
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:54,119
Speaker 3: Okay, so can we can we take a pause in

876
00:44:54,159 --> 00:44:56,000
the show here right now so we can give half

877
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:57,039
of the parlay leg.

878
00:44:57,400 --> 00:44:58,719
Speaker 2: We absolutely can.

879
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I might as well. I mean it was I

880
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,800
kind of and I do this a lot of days

881
00:45:05,039 --> 00:45:07,079
on the show. I kind of try to. Questions will

882
00:45:07,119 --> 00:45:09,840
be asked on games that I have for clients, and

883
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:11,840
I try to dance around it a little bit, give

884
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:14,679
the best analysis I can without actually giving away, like

885
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:17,719
you just flat out giveaway place. Kudos to you. They

886
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,360
should appreciate that I try to get around it.

887
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,360
Speaker 1: We'll have to see if ownership agrees with that. But

888
00:45:23,519 --> 00:45:25,679
you know, I think if I come on and talk

889
00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:27,559
about it, it, come out and talk about it, it's

890
00:45:27,559 --> 00:45:28,480
hard to not give it out.

891
00:45:29,159 --> 00:45:32,360
Speaker 3: I'll take your spot today and I'll just flat give

892
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:35,760
one away. I talked a lot about the game without

893
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:37,920
saying exactly the direction I took. But A and M

894
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:41,800
team total over this number, Adam to me was crazy.

895
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,840
Eighty one and a half. Eighty two and a half's

896
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:49,199
are out there as well, but you can get eighty

897
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,039
one and a half. Use whatever you want for the show.

898
00:45:52,039 --> 00:45:56,000
I think A and MS in for eighty five or more. Adam,

899
00:45:56,760 --> 00:46:00,079
you know, enhanced my analysis, so you got double the

900
00:46:00,159 --> 00:46:05,960
CBB firepower and now are exactly A M goes. I

901
00:46:06,079 --> 00:46:07,880
just think, you know that's gonna be my half of

902
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,000
the parlay leg. Like I say, I see the same

903
00:46:10,039 --> 00:46:13,079
situation that happened in Alabama, So give me A and

904
00:46:13,239 --> 00:46:14,800
M over their team total today.

905
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:17,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they scored ninety. I think there's gonna

906
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:18,760
be a lot of points in this game.

907
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:22,280
Speaker 1: So someone bitty appreciate the donation, he says, No, the

908
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,639
difference between a pick and a lean. That was certainly

909
00:46:24,639 --> 00:46:26,760
a pick for Rob Bino. Listen, I'm not getting on

910
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:30,360
anyone personally. Actually, it was more because like people were,

911
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:34,000
it's like, you know, just what we're trying to give

912
00:46:34,039 --> 00:46:34,599
out the best.

913
00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:36,800
Speaker 2: Really, this show is is probably.

914
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:39,599
Speaker 1: More geared to people doing their own handicapping and and

915
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:43,039
wanting just to you know, to sort of hear both sides.

916
00:46:43,119 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 2: So uh yeah, just uh, I don't know.

917
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:49,280
Speaker 1: I think I think it was the It may have

918
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:51,199
been the caffeine. I got a little fired up there,

919
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:54,719
Cam says DC for Trigg today taking a break from

920
00:46:54,760 --> 00:46:55,119
the rain.

921
00:46:55,199 --> 00:46:57,039
Speaker 2: No, we just finished it already.

922
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,079
Speaker 1: And if I if I ever went back for a

923
00:46:59,159 --> 00:47:02,519
second rain, like, I might trash my house.

924
00:47:02,559 --> 00:47:03,360
Speaker 2: Like you can't. I can't.

925
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 1: That's too much. That's too much, Rob, they can't. It

926
00:47:06,519 --> 00:47:10,480
reminds me of they canceled. So Sianna canceled the football

927
00:47:10,519 --> 00:47:14,239
program the year before I got there. So I was

928
00:47:14,519 --> 00:47:17,440
a freshman at Sienna in the fall of two thousand

929
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,760
and four, and two thousand and three was the final

930
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:23,840
football year, which means a lot of these senior football

931
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:27,039
players just was like they just stayed at Sianna and

932
00:47:27,079 --> 00:47:28,960
they didn't like they weren't going to go try to

933
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,800
transfer to play one year somewhere. So we just had

934
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:35,119
all these just jacked up meatheads that had nothing to

935
00:47:35,159 --> 00:47:38,719
do walking around because they they just you know, they

936
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,679
would have normally been playing football, and these they would

937
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:44,280
just like throw a party and then like every once

938
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,719
in a while they'd be like, let's rev it up,

939
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:48,840
and they just start punching holes in the sheet rock.

940
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,559
Speaker 2: Rob, animals, animals.

941
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:53,559
Speaker 1: That's what I'd be doing if I did, if I

942
00:47:53,559 --> 00:47:56,480
did a second energy drink, That's why this is even aggressive.

943
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,039
I should be drinking the water right now. But you

944
00:47:58,039 --> 00:48:01,119
know what, it's Wednesday. There's a million games, so we

945
00:48:01,199 --> 00:48:03,679
gotta you know, we gotta bring the heat here. Got

946
00:48:03,679 --> 00:48:06,480
to come in with energy, and I probably have too

947
00:48:06,519 --> 00:48:09,440
much of it today. Some would you know, some would say, so, uh,

948
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,079
all right, we got another one from Mad Max and

949
00:48:13,119 --> 00:48:15,360
then I'll figure out a parlay leg. So let's hit

950
00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:19,880
Mad Max's game. Appreciate the donations to the show. That's

951
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:21,880
our other goal. We want to out. We want to

952
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,119
out donate because I think we take these donations and

953
00:48:25,559 --> 00:48:27,679
donate them to charity.

954
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:30,039
Speaker 2: I think we did like Opportunity Village last time.

955
00:48:30,079 --> 00:48:32,119
Speaker 1: It's not always the same one, but Rob and are

956
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:35,639
My's goal is to get far more to donations than

957
00:48:35,639 --> 00:48:38,480
any other show, just because we we just want to

958
00:48:38,519 --> 00:48:39,280
be those guys.

959
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:43,119
Speaker 2: So appreciate you donating to the show. Mad Max.

960
00:48:43,199 --> 00:48:45,639
Speaker 1: Is Michigan playing like a powerhouse Againstince the loss to

961
00:48:45,639 --> 00:48:50,400
Wisconsin cover last four ats? Is this another smash mop spot?

962
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:53,920
I'm leaning yes. Also, thoughts on the team total, Rob,

963
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,400
you know who brought that up? I think that was us.

964
00:48:56,760 --> 00:49:00,000
I think we said, all right, you know, Michigan, there

965
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:03,320
they're playing all these games where they're winning and not covering.

966
00:49:03,559 --> 00:49:05,360
And then it was the Michigan State game on a

967
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:08,360
Friday night where we thought the pendulum swung too far.

968
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:10,920
They went in and won that game, and now they're

969
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,840
starting to cover games left and right, probably because the

970
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:17,119
pendulum hasn't swung far enough back in the other direction.

971
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,920
I also think they benefited from Penn State being a

972
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:23,000
little bit shorthanded the other night. So I guess you

973
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:26,880
could make the argument that are they getting over inflated again? Maybe,

974
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:30,559
But I guess I'll throw this to you smash spot

975
00:49:30,599 --> 00:49:31,679
for the Wolverines tonight.

976
00:49:31,679 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 2: Do you agree with mad Max?

977
00:49:35,599 --> 00:49:40,800
Speaker 3: I do in the sense that I listen, Chris Collins

978
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:47,119
team is never gonna give up the fight. But their season,

979
00:49:47,159 --> 00:49:50,800
Adam is going straight down the dream here, and they're

980
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:55,719
not even They're not even good at stopping the opponents

981
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:58,159
from scoring anymore. Like that's one thing you could lean

982
00:49:58,199 --> 00:50:00,239
on with Commins. You gets some three point shooting, you

983
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:03,480
get a pretty good defense, you get a pedestrian style offense.

984
00:50:03,519 --> 00:50:06,599
You mix it all together, and you're competitive in games.

985
00:50:07,679 --> 00:50:11,039
Just played Iowa as hard as they could on the road,

986
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:15,920
lose again. But the game before beat by forty by Illinois,

987
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:20,840
which is Michigan's weight class Illinois. They had no answers

988
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,840
for Illinois whatsoever. And Illinois brings a lot of the

989
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:27,840
same traits to the table that Michigan brings to the table.

990
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:31,639
And I think that I'm thinking back to the day

991
00:50:31,679 --> 00:50:34,559
when we had the Michigan Michigan State game, and I

992
00:50:34,599 --> 00:50:39,960
think we pointed out and pretty pretty solidly that while

993
00:50:40,039 --> 00:50:44,039
Michigan State is known for their toughness, their glasswork, whatever,

994
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:49,239
a good rebounding team, statistically that Michigan probably has even

995
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:52,480
more size and can be even better interior wise than

996
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:55,719
Michigan State was, and it rang true. Tom Mizzoo kind

997
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:57,559
of said so after the game, you know, those guys

998
00:50:57,559 --> 00:51:01,039
are grown men, and I just don't that Northwestern has

999
00:51:01,079 --> 00:51:03,719
the horses to contend here. I really don't. Now again,

1000
00:51:04,639 --> 00:51:08,400
you're absolutely right. You're always paying attacks with this Michigan team,

1001
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:11,480
especially now that they're winning again. The odds makers have

1002
00:51:11,519 --> 00:51:14,480
put bigger numbers attached to them. I'm trying to get

1003
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:17,400
the current so I can kind of give a solid

1004
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,679
opinion on the team total question that was asked. So

1005
00:51:19,719 --> 00:51:24,440
we're looking at eighty four and a half in Northwestern.

1006
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:28,599
The look ahead for Michigan is only a home game

1007
00:51:28,639 --> 00:51:31,000
at UCLA. They'll probably be glad to get home on

1008
00:51:31,079 --> 00:51:33,320
Saturday against UCLA. But I don't know that that's a

1009
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:37,239
major look ahead Perdue and Duke or the two behind that.

1010
00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:40,159
So maybe the Ucla game just projecting guys. Maybe the

1011
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:42,960
Ucla game is a look ahead for Michigan because that

1012
00:51:43,039 --> 00:51:45,719
purduing Duke after that. But here I don't see it

1013
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:47,800
that way. I think it's just a game where Michigan

1014
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,559
rolls in. They just beat Ohio State by twenty one,

1015
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:58,760
took Penn State by thirty one forty one. Again, Northwestern

1016
00:51:58,800 --> 00:51:59,880
is never going to give up the fight, but I

1017
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:02,760
I just don't think there's a lot of fight even

1018
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:04,440
if they come one hundred percent. I think they gave

1019
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:09,119
it all against Iowa, probably a route and two mad

1020
00:52:09,159 --> 00:52:11,639
Max has thought about over the team total of eighty

1021
00:52:11,639 --> 00:52:13,960
four and a half. I couldn't argue you off because

1022
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:16,119
Michigan is one of those teams that can roll out

1023
00:52:16,119 --> 00:52:18,400
of bed and put up eighty five. And if this

1024
00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:23,239
gets out of hand, Dusty May is not Adam, give

1025
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,719
me your feeling on this, but I don't view Dusty

1026
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:28,920
May at all as a coach who lets off the

1027
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,239
gas pedal in games like this, like if he's up

1028
00:52:32,119 --> 00:52:35,440
eighty two fifty two with three minutes left, they're just

1029
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:39,079
gonna keep scoring. They'll get to nineties. So to me,

1030
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,079
you don't have a coach who's sympathetic in that respect.

1031
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,880
He's just gonna win big. I think you're probably onto

1032
00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:49,519
something with the Michigan team total and the smash spot.

1033
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:55,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, it wasn't. It wasn't Dusty May not trying

1034
00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:59,239
to cover in those games. It was the numbers in

1035
00:52:59,280 --> 00:53:01,719
the games that miss Michigan. They were the string of games.

1036
00:53:02,239 --> 00:53:06,079
So they crushed USC and then they played one, two, three, four, five, six,

1037
00:53:06,119 --> 00:53:09,000
I think like seven or eight games, I mean where

1038
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:12,639
they were just being asked to cover egregious numbers. Like

1039
00:53:14,119 --> 00:53:16,800
but like, Rob, how many times did we even bet

1040
00:53:16,840 --> 00:53:21,400
against Michigan in that stretch? Probably zero, because you know why,

1041
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:25,760
they still they're still very capable of doing it right.

1042
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:28,960
So it's like, but I mean I remember some of

1043
00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:32,079
those some of those games. You know, it was like

1044
00:53:32,440 --> 00:53:35,079
Ohio State on a Friday night and they were like

1045
00:53:35,119 --> 00:53:36,719
a fifteen point favorite.

1046
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,840
Speaker 2: You know, they won by twelve. Like it was basically

1047
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:43,599
that this. This is kind of that.

1048
00:53:43,679 --> 00:53:46,360
Speaker 1: Although if you just want to go straight off like

1049
00:53:46,679 --> 00:53:50,719
numbers and stuff, I've got Michigan minus seventeen point two here,

1050
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:54,920
not quite the two points i'd like, but I still

1051
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,599
lean toward Michigan based on my number. I make the

1052
00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:02,360
Michigan number in that to get to that eighty five

1053
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:06,760
point nine, So again not exactly what I would like

1054
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:09,559
to get there, but it definitely is on the other

1055
00:54:09,559 --> 00:54:11,719
side of eighty five. So to me, I think the

1056
00:54:11,760 --> 00:54:14,519
market has come back to the right place. But you

1057
00:54:14,559 --> 00:54:16,960
won't find me on Northwestern here, let's put it that way.

1058
00:54:17,039 --> 00:54:19,039
So mad Max, good luck. If that's the way you

1059
00:54:19,079 --> 00:54:23,079
decide to go. I cannot talk you off of the Wolverines.

1060
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:26,039
All right, Rob, I'm gonna I'm gonna throw it out.

1061
00:54:26,079 --> 00:54:28,559
He did not play this for clients, but it's certainly

1062
00:54:29,039 --> 00:54:31,679
one I'm kind of thinking of a little bit today,

1063
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:34,199
and I'm gonna go with a similar theory. So last

1064
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:39,480
night I cash with George Washington, and part of my reasoning.

1065
00:54:39,119 --> 00:54:40,119
Speaker 2: There was.

1066
00:54:41,599 --> 00:54:46,079
Speaker 1: That matchup. So they had been missing Raphael Castro. They

1067
00:54:46,199 --> 00:54:48,239
looked really bad for a couple of games without him,

1068
00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:51,360
and I looked and I said, you know, what last night.

1069
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:53,920
Rhode Island was not the worst matchup for them without him,

1070
00:54:54,119 --> 00:54:58,079
and the market had moved considerably. I took George Washington.

1071
00:54:58,199 --> 00:55:02,480
They covered Marshall is in almost the same spot tonight.

1072
00:55:03,039 --> 00:55:07,480
So if you haven't followed Marshall, Matthew van Coman, there's

1073
00:55:07,519 --> 00:55:12,920
seven foot four center, the sort of end all be

1074
00:55:13,079 --> 00:55:15,079
all to that team, at least it's been this year.

1075
00:55:15,119 --> 00:55:16,800
Of course, he's new to the team. This year comes

1076
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:21,000
from Elon, has not played the last couple games, and

1077
00:55:21,519 --> 00:55:25,599
they really struggled against Miami Ohio over the weekend without him,

1078
00:55:25,639 --> 00:55:29,119
although they were going to probably struggle against Miami of

1079
00:55:29,159 --> 00:55:32,320
Ohio anyway. It's just they had no chance with Van

1080
00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:36,000
Comen not in there. He was in a walking boot.

1081
00:55:36,039 --> 00:55:38,960
So my guess is he's out again. I think the

1082
00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,599
only reason I didn't fire this for clients, Rob is

1083
00:55:42,519 --> 00:55:45,039
this number. I thought I was hoping to get closer

1084
00:55:45,079 --> 00:55:49,519
to a pick. I wonder if the market still thinks

1085
00:55:49,559 --> 00:55:52,239
there's a chance he's gonna play, and then this is

1086
00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:55,199
a scenario where he gets announced out and maybe Old

1087
00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:57,920
Dominion takes a little money. So like that to me,

1088
00:55:58,199 --> 00:56:00,440
I was if you were to give me Marshall pick

1089
00:56:00,519 --> 00:56:04,039
right here, I probably probably end up on my client card.

1090
00:56:04,440 --> 00:56:06,719
But at two and a half, that to me still

1091
00:56:06,760 --> 00:56:09,760
says okay, they kind of think he might play. I

1092
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:11,920
don't think he's gonna play. So this is something to

1093
00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:13,880
keep an eye on throughout the day because you may

1094
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:17,000
actually get a better number on Marshall. But this is

1095
00:56:17,039 --> 00:56:19,760
the type of matchup where it's just like, I don't

1096
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:22,480
think it matters. Similar to George Washington last night against

1097
00:56:22,519 --> 00:56:25,159
Rhode Island, you got two things working for you here.

1098
00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:27,800
One it's now going to be their third game without him.

1099
00:56:28,039 --> 00:56:30,159
So like, the further you get away from the injury,

1100
00:56:30,159 --> 00:56:32,119
we talk about this all the time, the further you

1101
00:56:32,159 --> 00:56:35,639
get away from the injury, the less the injury is

1102
00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:39,440
matter slashed isn't already baked into the number. And then

1103
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:43,639
old dominion they're just kind of poor offensively. So that's

1104
00:56:43,679 --> 00:56:45,320
a team where it's like, I don't know that they're

1105
00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:47,079
going to be able to do a ton of damage

1106
00:56:47,119 --> 00:56:50,559
on offense regardless. So I don't think his I don't

1107
00:56:50,599 --> 00:56:52,719
think his absence is quite as big of a deal.

1108
00:56:53,079 --> 00:56:56,159
And then of course without him, Marshall can go a

1109
00:56:56,199 --> 00:56:59,239
little bit smaller, maybe play a little bit quicker. They

1110
00:56:59,559 --> 00:57:02,840
kind of Corney Jackson kind of revamped that style a

1111
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:06,280
little bit to accommodate Van Comen. They started going a

1112
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:08,320
little bit more of his zone. So maybe they just

1113
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:11,719
get back to last year. So I'll put Marshall minus

1114
00:57:11,760 --> 00:57:13,960
two and a half in the parlay. We have a

1115
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:16,559
couple minutes, Rob, Does that make you want to look

1116
00:57:16,599 --> 00:57:19,039
at the over knowing that Van Coleman might not be

1117
00:57:19,119 --> 00:57:20,639
in there to slow things down a little bit?

1118
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know I would have asked you that, and

1119
00:57:23,440 --> 00:57:25,199
I thought you kind of answered it for me when

1120
00:57:25,239 --> 00:57:30,400
you said Old Dominion is not offensively quite capable of

1121
00:57:30,440 --> 00:57:32,840
taking full advantage, but the total has been pushed up

1122
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:35,239
at him from one fifty one to one fifty four

1123
00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:39,840
and a half, which generally I like to give these

1124
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:43,079
line movements. I would love to give these line movements credit,

1125
00:57:43,159 --> 00:57:46,760
but I never do because I think they're always based

1126
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:49,760
when they're of this size, I feel like they're based

1127
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:53,960
on injury news mostly and not fundamental matchup. But it

1128
00:57:54,000 --> 00:57:56,320
would make sense that when you take the seven foot

1129
00:57:56,360 --> 00:57:59,079
four guy off of the rim, maybe it's a little

1130
00:57:59,119 --> 00:58:01,719
easier for Old Need to score. And if Marshall goes

1131
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:07,280
quicker without the big center. I've been burnt on Michigan

1132
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:10,000
totals a couple Excuse me, I'm Marshall totals a couple

1133
00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:13,360
of times within the last month. But this one just

1134
00:58:13,400 --> 00:58:17,840
seems like, you know, off of your analysis, they'll go quicker,

1135
00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:21,320
not as much rim defense, so the other side gets

1136
00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:24,440
a few more. Maybe it isn't over, or maybe they've

1137
00:58:24,480 --> 00:58:27,880
just pushed it to a place where it's not attainable now.

1138
00:58:27,880 --> 00:58:30,920
But I do know Marshall in the past capable of

1139
00:58:31,079 --> 00:58:33,159
you know, eighty plus on any given night.

1140
00:58:35,360 --> 00:58:38,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, for the parlay, and we are at that time

1141
00:58:38,199 --> 00:58:40,320
part of the show where we're gonna recap the parlay.

1142
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:42,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna keep I'm gonna lay the two and a half.

1143
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:45,639
Speaker 1: All I was saying is if if Old Dominion got

1144
00:58:45,679 --> 00:58:47,960
hit at some point during the day and suddenly that

1145
00:58:48,039 --> 00:58:50,440
money line was in like the minus one twenty range,

1146
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:52,559
which I don't I don't necessarily think it will be.

1147
00:58:54,039 --> 00:58:57,599
I might consider I like it more obviously, I think

1148
00:58:57,599 --> 00:59:00,079
it goes without saying I'd prefer to not have to

1149
00:59:00,159 --> 00:59:02,599
lay two and a half, but I don't want to.

1150
00:59:02,719 --> 00:59:04,559
I don't want to not lay it and then turn

1151
00:59:04,599 --> 00:59:06,599
around and have to lay like minus one forty five

1152
00:59:06,639 --> 00:59:10,440
minus one fifty juice. So right here, I'm gonna go Marshall.

1153
00:59:10,599 --> 00:59:13,320
We'll just keep it very simple for the parlay. Marshall

1154
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,559
minus two and a half minus one ten against the

1155
00:59:15,559 --> 00:59:18,320
spreadits that's what it is everywhere right now. And then

1156
00:59:18,400 --> 00:59:20,440
rob Bino, we're going with another two team or today.

1157
00:59:20,440 --> 00:59:24,119
If we hit this two teamer, we're pretty much even

1158
00:59:24,159 --> 00:59:26,639
on parlay of the day for the year, within like

1159
00:59:26,679 --> 00:59:31,000
a within like a tenth of a unit, So plus

1160
00:59:31,000 --> 00:59:34,800
two sixty odds. Rob Bino's got Texas A and M

1161
00:59:35,039 --> 00:59:38,159
team total over eighty two and a half for me

1162
00:59:38,559 --> 00:59:40,960
Marshall minus two and a half. Let's see if we

1163
00:59:40,960 --> 00:59:44,320
can make it a third straight two team parlay. I've

1164
00:59:44,320 --> 00:59:46,840
got the five percent play tonight that's up on my page.

1165
00:59:47,079 --> 00:59:48,599
Better way to get it is to just do the

1166
00:59:48,679 --> 00:59:52,360
joint package myself and Vino. Let's cash some more tickets tonight.

1167
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:55,000
We'll see you guys in the morning for another mid

1168
00:59:55,079 --> 00:59:58,360
major Thursday edition of Full Court Press, my favorite day

1169
00:59:58,400 --> 00:59:58,840
of the week.

1170
00:59:59,079 --> 01:00:00,880
Speaker 2: See you guys tomorrow. Good luck tonight,