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Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the MMA Happy Hour podcast. I am

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Kyle Anthony, your host were Today we are talking UFC

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Shanghai headlined by Min Yang Zang and Johnny Walker. We're

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gonna be breaking down four plays here on the show today. Now,

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if you want to become a client linked down description,

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I do have a five percent play up for this weekend.

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We'll be adding to that pack as a bit closer

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to fight night. Now, with that being said, let's dive

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into the main event of the evening between Min Yang

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Zang and Johnny Walker. Now, you got Zang sitting at

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minus three p thirty on the comeback. Here, you've got

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Walker plus to eighty. Now you got Walker here, who

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is an explosive athletic fighter, freak athletic fighter. You know,

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this guy can come forward, he's going to crash the

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pocket normally and he's gonna throw big shots. This guy,

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you know, has aerial attacks, jumping knees, all these great

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things that he does do he hunts for that finish

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and that's what he has done primarily.

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Speaker 2: Things have definitely changed over.

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Speaker 1: The last couple of years, and especially the fact that

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we do realize that Johnny Walker can't take a punch.

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Speaker 2: Now, this may not be the longest.

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Speaker 1: Breakdown uh normally what I do here, but you know,

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you look at Johnny Walker. I mean he is the

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definition of what a glass cannon is. You know, the

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guy just simply can't take a punch. I mean he's

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on the mount Rushmore of glass chins next to Luke Brockold.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he just simply can't take a punch.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the guy has the power, he's got the tools,

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there's a lot of great things again that he can do.

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Speaker 2: He just really just the absorption of damage is just

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very limited for him.

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Speaker 1: And even shots that are half locked, you know, he

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will struggle to just kind of stay.

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Speaker 2: On the feet on half block shots. And then you

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also got the fact that.

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Speaker 1: Now he's over at at SBG and he's training there

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and and you know those guys, you know, are really

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looking to make him more patient, you know, make him

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more patient in the pocket, be more technical, be more

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at range, you know, utilize those tools.

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Speaker 2: And you know all that's done we're.

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Speaker 1: Being patient is now he's just patiently waiting to get

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knocked out. I mean that's just simply you know kind

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of what it is. And it's just it's you know,

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he's the that I think really needs to have those

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wild exchanges. I think he needs to have any success

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against you know Zang in this spot is he needs

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the kind of pressure he needs to have that first round,

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come forward, guns blazing, you know, you know, have these

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awkward attacks, awkward movements, and find the opening, because otherwise

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I think he's in a lot of trouble. Plus the

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fact that you got Walker here, he's three four to

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one over his last eight fights, and he's in the

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main event, and this is pretty much the UFC saying

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we're shipping Johnny Walker to China to have him lose.

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And I do agree with with that statement there where

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you know you got Zang. You know, this guy is

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an absolute killer. He's got one hundred percent finish rate,

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and he's a guy that primarily was heavy grappling early

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and I think he still can grapple now, but heavy

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grappling early. But he's really fall in love with the power,

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He's fall in love with the damage. And he has

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nineteen wins, thirteen by knockout, six by submission, all coming

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in the very first round.

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Speaker 2: And that's where I'm going with this play here. I'm

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going with the trend here. I'm sticking with it. The

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trend is your friend, and that's what I'm going here

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with this. I'm going Min Yang Zang by knockout in

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round one. I don't think this is even going to

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hit the ground. I think if it does, it's Johnny

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Walker's head bouncing off the canvas. Year.

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Speaker 1: So I do like Zang at minus one ten, I

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feel like is an absolutely great price. He's been knocking

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guys out left and right. Johnny Walker's prime for it.

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I'm going Min Yang Zang by knockout in the first round.

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Next one we're going to talk about here is going

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to be Michelle Perera. He is a minus two ninety five.

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And the comeback here, we've got Kyle Dalcas he is

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plus plus two twenty. I said minus two ninety five

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right for Pereira, But you got Pereira.

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Speaker 2: Here who is coming off absolutely throwing a fight. Now.

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Speaker 1: I know that sounds crazy, but if you saw that

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fight against a boost Magametov, you probably will agree that

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he threw the fight against a boose. It was a

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glorified sparring match. It was pretty much him not even

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attempting to really hurt a boose.

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Speaker 2: It was.

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Speaker 1: He was not explosive early. He almost didn't seem like

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he cared. It almost seemed like he just wanted to

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survived the fight and that's about it.

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Speaker 2: And he did and he It's tough.

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Speaker 1: To trust a guy like that now who really didn't

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do anything in his last fight. But overall, you know,

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I too like the you know, the move for Pereira

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when he went from one seventy to one eighty five.

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Speaker 2: I think the move has been great for him. You know,

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he's keeping his.

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Speaker 1: Power, he's keeping his explosiveness and his athleticism, and I

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think it's kind of worked out well for him, at

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least early. You know, where the last the first three

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fights that he had in that division, goes out there,

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three straight first round finishes, looked great, really again kept

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that power, and then he has back to back losses

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which were very underwhelming. He loses to the Fluffy Hernandez,

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which no harm there. Fluffy is could be fighting for

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a title soon, and he's a nightmare matchup for Pereira

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because of his cardio issues and because you've got Fluffy

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who is just an absolute savage with his cardio.

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Speaker 2: But early in that first round Perrera did hurt him.

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Speaker 1: There was a spot where, hey, it looked like maybe

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he could put him away a little bit here.

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Speaker 2: But you know, Fluffy does what Fluffy does.

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Speaker 1: He've got that DURADILVII, he's got that and able to

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find that fifth round finish. And then he has that

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terrible fight against the Boost which they didn't really do anything.

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And you know, I do think those last two fights

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are providing some value here on this particular fight on

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a method of victory. But you look at Daucas. You know,

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Daucas is a guy on his second stint in the UFC.

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His first stint wasn't even that great. Really.

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Speaker 2: He was two four and one.

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Speaker 1: With back to back losses before going and being sent

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to a c FFC organization.

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Speaker 2: And now he's going over there. He has found some victories.

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Speaker 1: He has a nice four fight winning streak, but he's

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beating you know, grocery store clerks and garbage men that

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also fight part time. You know, he's got who's beating

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guys with records of six and three, eight and six,

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seventeen and nine, eight and eleven. Not that great when

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you're looking at that overall, and the biggest issue here

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for Daucas for me, is his their ability. I mean,

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this guy just really can't take a bunch. He has

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terrible striking defense, very hittable in the pocket, and you've

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got the power that Pereira does possess. I think he

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lands some very big shots early here and can find

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a lot of success. Also, I think that Daucas needs

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to get takedowns, and if he can't get those takedowns early,

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which I don't think he's gonna get, he is no

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Fluffier Nandez.

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Speaker 2: He's very far from fluffier Nandez, and it's just not

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that easy.

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Speaker 1: To get Pereira down Daucas twenty five percent takedown success rate.

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You've got Perera with a seventy six percent defense rate.

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I think that holds up here. I think that this

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is a spot where this is a great bounce back spot,

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a huge step down here for Pereira fighting Daucas here,

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I think he puts a stamp on it. You can

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get off the minus two ninety five number and you

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could get this around Pereira inside the distance is plus

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one hundred. I think he absolutely finishes this. I think

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there's a possibility for in the first or second round.

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But I do like Pereira in a bounced back spot

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here getting the finish at plus one hundred.

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Speaker 2: Next fight you're going to talk about is Loaner Kavanov.

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Speaker 1: He is minus two ten on the comeback, We've got

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Charles Johnsing he is plus one seventy. Now Loner is

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a rising prospect in the UFC, no doubt, nine to

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oh record two to zero in the UFC, and one

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of his biggest advantages that he has over a lot

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of fighters, he's really gonna be his his hand speed,

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his overall speed, I should say, but his hand speed,

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his foot you know, his footwork, his quick movement.

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Speaker 2: You know, he does back it up with some power.

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Speaker 1: He can mix that in there, so it's not that

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he's just pitter pattering shots. He does pack some power

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and also he does have some wrestling. You know, he's

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been able to really utilize that when he needs to

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utilize that, which you know, he got Charles Johnson the

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other side here, who is a tough UFC vet, you know,

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and although he has suffered some losses, you know, he's

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six and five in the UFC, so that isn't that great,

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but he has fought some tough guys really from the beginning,

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like as soon as he came to UFC, he was

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fighting some some really tough opponents overall, and now he's

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on a nice four and one run and he does

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have good striking, you know, good rangy striking, nice stand

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switches overall. I think he can mix in the wrestling

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mix into takedowns and he's just a very tough fighter

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where he does have that good footwork as well. But

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you look really at one of the biggest advantages here

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for Charles Johnson, and I think it's gonna be his

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takedown defense and his wrestling, and I think that is

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going to be where this is going to be, you know,

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make or break for him. He's got Loaner, who is

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you know, he's undersized. You know, he's just undersized for

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this division. You know, he's very small. You're gonna have

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you know, multiple, you know, physical advantages here for Charles Johnson,

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and I think that he's gonna struggle getting these takedowns.

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I think that Charles might be the stronger, more physical guy,

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but I also do think that Loaner has needed to

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Now recently, he struggled, I would say struggled, but he

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was he was competitive on the feed against Felipe de

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Santos and then he started looking for takedowns found success.

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I don't think he can lean on that here against

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Charles Johnson. Johnson has very good wrestling. He can wrestle offensively,

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he can wrestle defensively. He can mix it up a

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little bit here, and I do think if he needs to,

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he can look for those takedowns and really put that

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pressure a little bit more on Loaner. And I do

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think that a big advantage here also is going to

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be the output for Charles Johnson if he keeps us

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on a fee and this stays at range in the

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bigger cage, we're not in any apex here. I think that

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really works well for Charles Johnson, you know, utilizing the striking,

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utilizing that range, mixing it up, working in his takedowns,

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and I think this is gonna be a tough matchup

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prom Obrale. He could look to win positionally or outland

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him in this spot here, I'm going dog or past

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spot here. I'm going Charles Johnson here plus one seven.

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He feels like a very good price here. I think

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it's much closer than this line indicates. So I'm going

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Charles Johnson plus one seventy.

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Speaker 2: And the last one here we're gonna go over is

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gonna be wrong Zoo. He is minus to eighty.

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Speaker 1: On the comeback here we've got Austin Hubbard, he is

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plus to ten now wrong Zoo is twenty five years

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old with thirty two professional fights, which is pretty wild

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when you're thinking about that.

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Speaker 2: Overall, this guy is definitely growing up in the cage.

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Speaker 1: You know, he's definitely like, you know, on the job,

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on the job training, and we've seen him we recently

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goes out there winning on road to the UFC, and

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you know, we're definitely seeing him put it to get

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a little bit more. He's with CKB. I think he's

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you know, definitely rounding out his skill set, elevating and

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kind of hitting his stride.

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Speaker 2: Overall, but most recently we did see.

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Speaker 1: Him dominate and I mean dominate against Cody Steele, which

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was a spot where Wrongs who went out there outlanded

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Cody Steele one hundred and twenty five significant strikes to

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fifty two with the knockdown, won the decision. And that

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was a spot where Cody Steele was a plus two

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eighty favorite. Well, I mean favorite plus two eighty underdog

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wellout performed his number there, goes out there and gets

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the victory. Now you've got Hubbard on the other side here,

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another guy's second stint. In the UFC first go around,

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he was three and four. Right now on his second stint,

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he's one in three. He's about to be punted back

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to the lower level organizations here. And he's just a

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journeyman fighter, you know, the guy, very slow plotting footward,

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very slow handspeed, slow developing combinations, and he's gonna look

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for the wrestling, look for the grappling, look to look

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to you know, cage push, look to grind, and I

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don't think he much success doing any of that. Plus,

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he has a thirty one percent takedown rate, not very good.

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And you've got wrong Zoo here on the other side,

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who I think is better everywhere. I think also obviously

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the line is indicating that. But he's gonna have the

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faster hands beat, he's gonna have the better footwork, he's gonna,

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I think, have the solid takedown defense that is also

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gonna help him here. He's gonna have an eighty four

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percent takedown defense rate. I think that holds up here,

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but I do think that you're gonna see some grinding

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from Hubbard. You're gonna see him trying to, you know,

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push up against the fence a little bit. That may

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kill some clock here a little bit as well, get

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this fight a little bit further if he does find

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any top control. But overall I do like wrong Zoo here,

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and where I'm going with display is that Austin Hubbard

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is a tough guy actually to put away out of

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his nine losses six or by decision, I think there's

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gonna be some scrappy rounds here. I think that really overall,

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wrong Zoo will outland him over the three rounds. So

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getting off the minus two to eighty number, I'm going

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wrong Zoo by points. It's minus one oh five. I

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think that's a strong price here. I think it's a

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likely outcome, and I do think Hubb makes it to

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the scorecard. So I'm going wrong Zoo five points minus

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one five. Sure you have it for my place for

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UFC Shanghai if you want to become a client linked

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on description and we are off next week, but the

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following week. I absolutely love that card. It's in Paris.

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There's a great uh, some great bets. I will be

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placing we'll be putting those out early before next week.

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Come so check out that. And with that thing said,

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let's do this again and let's cash