Speaker 1: Then we are live, my friend, Welcome to the best
sports betting show on the planet. This is wager Talk Today.
I am your host, Andy Lang.
Speaker 2: It is Thursday, breaking down a lot of college football.
Dave Mason's going to join us from bet Online. We're
going to tell you where all the sharp money from
ben online is going. If you want to know where
the if you want to know what the books.
Speaker 1: No, guys, Dave Mason's here.
Speaker 2: We got Gjeohnny's going to do the Steam report, and
Nick Parsons is going to give us an individual game
breakdown on Sarahcuse and Tennessee.
Speaker 1: You don't want to miss that.
Speaker 2: And we got a really good section of all around
the world for some free plays. Let's get started, bringing
Giohnny while we're doing that, hit that like button. If
you're watching live, If you're watching after the.
Speaker 1: Fact, still hit the like button.
Speaker 2: Subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel. There he is
after a couple of days off the show. But because
just because you're off the show doesn't mean you're not
doing shows, Johnny, Yes, that's.
Speaker 1: Like you missed the show to do a show. So
how was your last couple of days? How is Contender series?
Speaker 3: Wonderful, wonderful turn the profit on Contender hit another prop
Parlan and back to back week so that's always good.
Up for the season through the three shows, so that's
always a lot of fun. But I've only released one
premium play to subscribers over three weeks of Contender. You know,
for the show, you're forced to give out picks, but
there's a difference between a pick and a bet. So
so far, so good. A week off, this is the
perfect week off for UFC because it gives us time
to really get ready for college football and next week's NFL.
And right now, I've just been so busy with college football.
I'm working with more groups than I have in a
very very long time. And so far, so good. Like
I said, we came off a really good first week
in college football. I like what I'm seeing in this
official Week one of college football. Already fired five premium
plays tonight, but moved about ten eleven pieces already, so
I could share a lot for you guys, especially added games.
We've bet about five or six added games this morning
over the last sixty minutes, and I think I released
only two of those six two subscribers. So I'm staying
real selective, really focusing on the ones that are getting
hit by multiple groups and making sure there's still time
for them to get down because these extra board games
move very quickly, and that's where fortunately like Steamroom comes
into play where we could be betting live tomorrow. So
a lot of fun over the next couple of days.
Speaker 1: Andy, Well, let's get into it.
Speaker 2: I mean, some of these line moves on these extra
games are in sanity. You got Bowling Green that went
from fourteen and a half to twenty one and a half,
and then you have an even more aggressive move on Monroe.
Speaker 1: It's like, what was half the other team suspended? What
happened there?
Speaker 3: That move we hit that. I'll give them to you
right now. Get your pens and pencils out, because you're
about to get some college football goal for Thursday night.
Start off with Duke minus thirty three and a half,
Oklahoma State minus twenty three, Missouri minus thirty seven, you
el Monroe minus twenty eight, West Georgia plus eight and
a half, plus eight plus seven and a half, and
then Ohio Rutgers first quarter over ten up the minus
one twenty five. Also saw those those quarter bets because
They're betting a lot of these first quarters on game day,
and so pay attention to those because that also help
you if you miss the first quarter bet. What I
urge betters to do is look quickly at the first
half line, you know what I mean. Or if you
like the game, Let's say you like that Ohio Rutgers
game over and you see that first quarter get confirmed over.
That gives you, you know, more confidence in your game
over bet because again, if they got to go over
in the first quarter, and that means they got to
go over ten plus points, you get, you know, more
than ten points scored in the first quarter, higher probability
you're going to go over first half, higher probability you're
going to go over for the game. So pay attention
to those derivatives because a lot of times you got
a lot of sharanp betters that know they're not going
to beat other traders to the side or the total,
so instead they go and attack the first quarter lines,
first quarter total lines, first half lines. So pay attention
to ohse a lot of hitting gold in them.
Speaker 2: Let's move to Friday. Looks like the pretty aggressive line
on a couple of them, but we went over them
on the last couple of days, and I think some
of them have kind of steadied out. So I'm guessing
you're going to say probably most of the value has
been extracted from some of those lines, but anything jumping
off the board to you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the only thing that the Sam Houston State that
got hit earlier at like thirteen and a half, and
then they came back and Bennett again at like plus eleven.
That's what you want to see if you got down early.
Because again, Week one lines, just like Week one, the
NFL is very different than every other week the first week,
in the second week, I think are different than the
rest of the season until the final week. And what
I mean is the second week usually offers a ton
of value because we only had sixty minutes of football.
And remember the Week one lines have been up all summer,
so betters have been betting into them, talking about the season.
They bet week one, and then we have six or
seven days to analyze sixty minutes of football, and so
many conclusions are drawn off of only sixty minutes of football.
And because of that, you get a lot of overreactions
going into week two. Like by the end of Week
one of NFL we're already going to talk about these
teams that we are not making the playoffs. This team's
making the playoffs. Like, we draw a lot of conclusions
because also we have this sixty minutes of data and
six or seven days to discuss it and analyze it.
And I think that the potential for over corrections are
always there in week two, and like I said with
week one, the key is as the information changed since
the bets got in, because you again, if you're betting
in early and late July, a lot of things can
change by the time end of August comes around, So
you kind of want to see that follow through in
not much resistance, but you are seeing some resistance. Perfect example,
because we're talking about Friday, is Western Michigan, Michigan, where
Michigan did catch that steam. They got steamed at seventeen
seventeen and a half eighteen all the way. The last
account that I saw took a bet on the favorite
was it the team They jumped twenty and went straight
to twenty one most books, and that's when you saw
the TakeBack. So at twenty one you saw some love
on the Western Michigan side, but less than twenty he
saw love on Michigan. So it shows you, even this
early on in the season, that you're gonna get some resistance.
But then other times you're gonna get that confidence where wait,
the line hasn't moved enough and they're gonna just keep burying.
So yeah, great week man, a lot of action, and
we even have some good market games for Saturday.
Speaker 1: Well let's move into let's move into Saturday.
Speaker 2: We got a lot of time on today's show, so
you know, it's Thursday, the sooner we can get out
ahead of some of these numbers. And there's a million games.
We obviously don't need to go over a bunch of them.
There's a line I don't know. There's a line I'm
surprised that hasn't moved. It's my Indiana Hoosiers. They're only
minus twenty three and a half against Old Dominion. I'm
stunned that this line hasn't moved. This is a coach
that loves to run up the score. This is a
coach that made it into the playoffs literally by running
up the score and having huge games.
Speaker 1: They bring in an experienced.
Speaker 2: Good quarterback, They've upgraded offensive line, they've upgraded defense. I'm
surprised that line hasn't moved. That's kind of my big
surprise quote surprise. Were there any surprises that you're seeing
on Saturday's game?
Speaker 3: And here's why. Here's why there's a by order on
ODU on Old Dominion. This was back in like July.
They took out some of the twenty fours that were
available and even some twenty three and a half. I
don't know what the line is exactly right now, but
that's that's why. And it's not that that with such
a big board on Saturday, it's not that isolated game
that's getting a ton of Indiana action. You know. I
think if it was a standalone game that even with
some sharp money on the dog, you would see the
love for Indiana kind of balanced that risk out. But
I think because there's just so many more high high
profile games, because they got some sharp money on July,
back in July on O Dominion, I think that's why
you're seeing the lack of movement on the Indiana side.
Game that stuck out to me, obviously is the prime
time game that everyone's talking about. It sucks that it's
going out early in the morning Texas and Ohio State
only because we knew all summer wise guys were taking
the three. They took the three on Texas. They took
the three out right away on Texas went to like
two to an hour halves, and you were seeing that
the money line wasn't a reflection of what the point
spread was because betters that were taking the dog Texas
once the three was gone, they were just betting it
on the money line rather than take the two or
one and a half two and a half depending on
the book, they were just taking the money line. So
the money line didn't reflect what the point spread was,
and it just kept dropping, drop and dropping. I thought
you would see some take back, that you would get
some ofhow state love. It just hasn't gotten there. I'm
interested to see on Saturday if this is a situation
where you have the public and the wise guys all
on the same side Texas again because of all the
hype with Texas that on, because power rating wise, I
just don't see how this is a pickle unless you're
concluding that Texas should be a favorite on a neutral field,
a decent favorite, you know what I mean. So again,
it's gonna be interesting to see where the money comes
in and it's all one sided on the under. Again,
you have last games game, last year's game to go
off of kind of at fourteen point swing that added
more points than they would have got, and I think
that's why you're seeing a lot of money come in
on the under as well. Be cautious with that because
even though with good defenses, good defense tend to create turnovers,
good defenses tend to create short fields, and when you
do that, points become a possibility. So be cautious with totals,
especially when they move, you know, off of that fifty
to fifty one, so you're looking at forty sevens now
and they're still just betting it under as if you
know either of these teams are gonna be able to
put up any points.
Speaker 2: Can I Can I give you something that's completely not
baked into the line on this Ohio State Texas take this.
Take Jiotny, take this for what it's worth. Okay, my
one of my best friends of the world. He's my
next door neighbor, Ohio State alum. He and hundreds of
guys they have incredible reads on this Ohio State team.
They are tearied of this game. None of them are
betting Ohio State, and they are right. They are right
most of the time. They know when this team is
a bet on and a bet and they are terrified
of this game. So you got a lot of Ohio
State alumni that are normally going to be flooding the
market with Ohio State bets, and I don't think it's coming.
That's that's just it's just kind of my outside take
on it.
Speaker 3: But I haven't seen them. I'm telling you, I'm looking
in the back end this morning, and this is when
you start seeing them, because they'd be tying in Thursday
parlays with Saturday like that, and I'm just anything I'm
seeing is already on the Texas sign even like teasers.
They're putting in teasers and text taking Texas up as well.
So it's it's it's just a lot of money on
that Texas signed and week one again, it was even
tough to them bet on it yesterday because what do
I have. I have preview magazines to share, Like everything
is just like projections. We don't have any data to
go on. Everything is more or less like what we're
projecting to happen, you know, and most of its on
analysis that we've all read, we're all reading the same things,
we're all analyzing the same you know, breakdowns of these teams.
But then once you get into week one, week two,
that's what I love. When you start getting some data.
Does it actually match up with what we thought, you know,
going into the season. That's where it starts to get interesting.
But week one, it's like we're all kind of just
guessing and reading off what we think they got. This
many returning starters, they have a quarterback in their offensive
line is rebuilt, like you don't know how it's going
to perform until they go out there and actually play
on the field. So I love that aspect of it,
but we all are just guessing in this week one.
Speaker 2: Let's do some questions here in the chaff. You guys
got any questions like came in there?
Speaker 1: Me and Johnny are going to talk for.
Speaker 2: A bit because Dave Mason is stuck on a flight,
so we have no Dave Mason.
Speaker 1: Gary.
Speaker 3: He question by Gary. Please watching the.
Speaker 2: Shows all the time, do you all ever bet parlays
or do you do straight bets?
Speaker 1: I'll go first, Johnny.
Speaker 2: I bet parlays all the time, but they're not normally
in the main sports I won't have a college football parlays.
I definitely will not have. I don't do daily sport
parlays like MLB, NBA. I've done a couple of sing
game parlays and WNBA when you got a good read
on a team, we hit a couple with the fever.
But I'm parlaying tennis, I'm parlaying MMA. I'm parlaying some
of those sports that are a little bit more off
the beaten path.
Speaker 1: Your take on parlays.
Speaker 3: If somebody's making money, long term profit off of parlays,
God bless them, keep firing away. Do your thing. Don't
let me change you at all. But havn't been in
sports betting as long as I've been, and haven't been
on both sides, the book making side and the betting side.
What I can tell you is the majority of profit
that book makers make come from parlays. The hold on
straight bets is four and a half percent, which means
we already know out of every one hundred dollars we
bet they expect to make four dollars and fifty cents
off of us on parlays. Out of everye hundred dollars
we bet they expect to make upwards of twenty five
thirty dollars, so seven eight x the amount of money
off the parlays. And why is that? It's because number one,
we're not getting tru odds the odds of hitting a
three team parlay or what closer to seven to one,
seven and a half to one. We're getting paid six
to one, so you're never getting tru odds. Kind of
like a roulette wheel, you're getting thirty five to one.
It's great when you hit a number, but there's forty
numbers on the wheel. Unless you're getting forty to one
or greater, you're not placing good bets. You're getting lucky.
Also with parlays. My argument is we know it that
to be a winning better you need to shop for
the best line, and you need to lock it in
at the most optimum time. In what world am I
going to be able to walk into a property and
have to place all my bets at the exact same
time and I'm going to get the best number for
all my bets at that exact time, at that exact property.
It's just not going to happen, maybe once on occasion
that that particular property has it's best lines on all
three of my games at the same time, but usually
you're gonna have to vet it at different properties to
get the best line. That is an argument against parlays
being positive. Ev With all of that said, having now
been in the MMA community for as long as I've
had being with the UFC, I have met specialists that
have turned profit with a statistical significant sample size that
have a positive ROI betting parlays. So I can't argue
what I'm seeing. The results speak for themselves, but I'm
just saying the reasoning is it's hard to conclude that
put in all your bets at the same time at
the same property is going to give you the optimum lines.
So that's a little of the argument anti parlays Again.
If I'm a book maker, I want parlays. I want
parlays more than anything else. If I'm a book maker,
I'm paying influencers to put out same game parlays. I'm
putting influencers to put out long shot parlays. I'm not
paying it influencers to tell you to straight bet because
my money is coming from your same game parlays, from
your parlays. That's the book maker side of it. But
there are guys out there like Andy who isolate them
in MMA, isolate them here or there and have been profitable.
So why would I tell the guy not the place
parlays fire away? But he has experienced, he knows what
he's doing, he's educated enough, and he's very selective, which
most recreational betters and even some series betters aren't, and
I think that's why he's been able to get a
positive ROI.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll just give you a random example of a parley.
We're looking at Sri Lanka over Zimbabwe and cricket, and
we're parlaying that with McLaren double podium finished this weekend
at the Dutch grund Prix.
Speaker 1: Like those are very random sports where we have edges in.
Speaker 3: And we can both made off too.
Speaker 1: Like yeah they are off, Yeah, they're they're totally off.
So uh, let's see.
Speaker 2: Uh we had another couple questions here, let's see parlays. Oh,
this is an interesting one. Scott fsu is a thirteen
and a half point favorite underdog, but the money line
is only plus four to twenty five.
Speaker 1: How does that happen? I'll let you go first on
this again.
Speaker 3: It's the discrepancy of bets that pile up. We talk
about it all the time in the Super Bowl, where
ten minutes before kickoff, the favorite on the money line
is almost always going to be positive ev because it's
it's a time when people are betting that usually don't
bet all year. So let's say Team A in the
Super Bowl is a six point favorite over Team B,
and because of that, there are minus three I'm just
throwing arbitrary numbers. Now, they're a minus three hundred on
the money line, that the dog is plus two to
twenty on the takee back. So I've never placed a bet,
but I'm going to a party. I want to go
have a route and side I go to the window.
I would just wanted to only got ten bucks. I
want to bet ten dollars, but I like Team A,
And they tell me, all right, if you bet ten
dollars on teammate to win, you're only going to get back,
you know, four dollars, five dollars. Let's say whatever it
is is. But if I take Team B with the points,
I'm only going to get nine dollars. What if I
take Team B to win the game, all of a sudden,
your ten dollars turns into twenty two dollars. That sounds
a lot more advantageous to most recreational bets. They want
to put up a little money to win a lot,
So what they do is they start betting the money
line instead of taking the points. When that happens, there's
an imbalance of money line bets. That imbalance forces them
to adjust the betting line on the money line even
though the point spread hasn't been adjusted. So it's a
lot of money line bets that do it, and you
see it usually with lower point spreads. You rarely see
it with thirteen and a half's fourteen's where they're gonna,
you know, take the money line dog. But that's usually
the reason FSU did get steam. But I didn't get
see steam on any money line.
Speaker 2: All right, last question from the chat here any tennis
looks today. DraftKings has a no sweat promo. No sweat really?
So now, so Jody not, not only do we have
to give him a tennis witter, it's got to be
no sweat. I'll go first take a look at that
Royer brooks By over thirty eight and a half games.
Brooksby just came off of a five setter. These guys
are pretty close. The money line's telling you the game
is going to be close. I would expect maybe probably
one of these sets to go seven to six. I
would expect four, maybe five sets, which gives you a
ton of games. So I'll tell you, look at Brooksby
Warrior over thirty eight and a half games.
Speaker 1: What do you got?
Speaker 3: I can't do. I don't have any tennis that he
asked for, But I have soccer for you really quick.
Europa Conference League, go under two and a half. Santa
Clara versus Shamrock Rovers under two and a half. Santa
Clara Shamrock Rovers. We laid one sixty to go under
two and a half. Probably go under two there as well.
And then Raccal versus Arba, Racal versus Arba also in
European Conference League, and we're going under two and a
half there as well. So two under two and a
half for you in soccer. It's the best I could do.
Speaker 2: Don't have tennis, all right, let's finish up with baseball.
Speaker 1: We got limited. Oh, I had to tell you this.
Speaker 2: So when you were going the Rockies, the Astros took
a ton of money. On Tuesday, we talked about it.
They opened like minus three fifty minus. They moved up
to almost four hundred. Rockies win the very next day,
Rockies take a ton of movie, Rockies.
Speaker 1: Get blown out.
Speaker 2: You keep saying like you gotta bet all of these
Rockies games. Like, if you're betting on the Rockies, you
just got to stick to it and say they're gonna
win one out of three and you're gonna be profitable.
Speaker 1: But I kind of chuck.
Speaker 3: Scary to do, Bro, You're running into a burning building
while everyone's running out of it, you know what I mean? Yeah,
it's hard to do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, what do we got and steam them for.
Speaker 3: Not not much? In baseball in fact, just two dogs,
smaller board, but two dogs. They steamed immediately that, multiple
groups got down on the rest. There's a lot of
manipulation going on again. All the attentions on college football
right now, and it's about to be on the NFL
as well. Baseball is going to take a back seat.
So you have a lot less recreational better money entering
the pool. A majority is now sharp because of that,
they are forced to manipulate a lot of these lines,
and you do it with overnights in early morning smaller limits,
so you could come back later when the limits are
much greater and actually get down on what you like
with a better number. So pay attention to line moves,
pay attention to odds logic, or at least the wage
to talk free odd screen. Talk to a guy yesterday
who did him a net call with me. That's a subscriber,
and he was saying, how the odds logic Because I
gave him a link to it. He's like, it actually
made him some money just being able to get up
to the second lines. That stuff does matter. Here's what
they're on. Arizona plus one forty five and the White
Sox plus one eighty. Those are the two dogs that
multiple groups got behind the day. The rest. Like I said,
I'm seeing a lot of manipulation going on. I'm not
confirming anything till later in the day, but those two
Arizona and the White Sox definitely sharp again. You're gonna
be ba having the bet bad teams down the stretch,
and you're gonna have to fade the best teams down
the stretch if you want to find some value, because
everyone knows who needs to win, and everyone knows who
the bad teams are. By now, it's no secret Colorado sucks.
It's no secret, you know. And now we all know
the White socks are terrible. That's no Secretslutely again, the
money line becomes a great equalizer.
Speaker 1: All right, Gianni, great segment. What do you have everyone
up on this Thursday Tomorrow?
Speaker 3: Oh, no, TOMORRS Friday, Well Saturday, nine Pacific, twelve Eastern.
As soon as those games kick off, steam room is
live and three open to everyone. We will be betting
live college football. You will be getting those extra games
any player prompts, will have baseball, WNBA, any of the soccer, tennis,
all that stuff live coming in throughout the steam Room
will set up for college football and NFL seasons. I'll
explain exactly what we're doing throughout the season with the
steam Room on Sundays, with the NFL teasers, all that stuff.
So make sure you join me tomorrow, bring any questions,
you have, any matchups you want me to break down.
I will do that too. It'll be free tomorrow to
all Saturday. Forgive me for today. I have my Thursday
night college football package up already with multiple four percent plays.
I think I got five premiums in there. Staying selected.
I have Friday action already, I have my Saturday College
Football with the first five percent big move of the
college football season. We're not wasting any time. We had
a really good week zero. Let's follow that up now
and yeah, NFL is next week, so yeah, just the
best time of the year man for sports betters. I've
done this now for thirty forty years and still like
the first week of NFL feel like the kid like
I wake up like a kid on Christmas every first
Sunday of NFL. And I've done it now thirty forty
years and it's still the same. I still love it.
So thank you, Thank you for your time. Hope you
guys do damage tonight tomorrow, this weekend, in the entire season,
whether you follow our faith, but head on over to
wayestalk dot com, come to the steam room, and don't
forget free pm ram plays. We've been crushing the free plays,
so don't forget to check those out as well.
Speaker 2: Johnny Greek everyone, we're gonna get you ready for the
weekend tomorrow. Thank you so much for joining us. We're
gonna keep the show rolling. We're gonna bring in Nick Parson.
Let's get an individual game breakdown on Syracuse in Tennessee.
This is this is odd because normally Nick's on here
giving us winners in CFL with the points.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna shake it up here a little bit.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Nick, I'm like kind of going through withdrawal. I
don't see like a rough Riders plus three or a
Els plus eleven and a half there. Instead, we're gonna
go to uh, let's get a little bit more technical
and a little bit more of a specific breakdown Syracuse
and Tennessee, and then after that we're going to talk
about a couple of contests in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Now you've entered, entered, and we're going to.
Speaker 2: Get your strategies. But let's talk to Syracuse Tennessee. What
do you see in this game?
Speaker 4: Well, I think that the offense for the Orange is
poised to take a significant step back this year. Andy
they lost Kyle McCord in the off season. Of course,
Syracuse also only brings back thirty seven percent of its
offensive production from last season, and so that's the least
among all of the ACC teams. They Syracuse brought in
former Notre Dame hopeful Steve Angeli to hopefully get the
job done under center, but it looks like he's going
to have his hands full here in this first game.
Tennessee's offense, though, was also about to suffer some growing
pains as well. It lost Nico Iamaalva to UCLA and
so the Balls. They also lost their leading rusher from
a year They also lost a bunch of their top
receivers from a year ago. Tennessee did finish ten and
three last year, and then it lost in the first
round of the College Football Playoff. So I mean, this offense,
it does appear like it's going to need a little
bit of time to develop some chemistry. But Tennessee the
reason it did so well last season wasn't necessarily about
the offense. It was their defense. Last year, they only
allowed sixteen point one points per game, and so that
was seventh in the country. Now the Orange, they weren't
nearly as good on the defensive end. They allowed twenty
nine point two points per game. Tennessee obviously a big
favorite here, but I just I don't see the Balls
running up the score in this neutral location. This one
is in Atlanta. I've I always believe that unfamiliar, unfamiliarity
of surroundings will always have an impact on players, especially
at the collegiate level. And so from my point of view, Andy,
I just believe there are enough factors that all point
to this being a lower scoring final outcome, and so
I'm going to roll with the under in this one.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it always taking the points. Taking the
under kind of the opposite of what the public does. So,
all right, you're doing something interesting here. You're entering a
couple NFL contests. I want to make sure I read
this right. So you're entering the Betting Memo Show. You're
entering it as an entry into both Circa and the
Super Contest, all right, So moving forward, you're going to
be talking about the picks on all these So all right,
what's the strategy of when you're entering in two different
contests but it's the same type of contest.
Speaker 4: Exactly exactly the same, And I need to really clarify
if they're using exactly the same lines as well, and
so if there's a discrepancy between lines, I have to
to figure that out here as well. I mean, I
only have a short time, but yes, I'm entering the
Betting Memo the actual show, which is the show that
I produce for Sports Memo guys, and so you can
check that out six days a week here on the
wage to Talk TV channel, and so, yeah, enter and
then there'll be something that everyone can follow along with
me every week talking about the picks and reviewing the
picks from the week before. But yeah, as you say,
I really have to. I haven't finalized exactly what I'm
gonna do. Am I going to use the same picks
for both contests, different picks for each contest. I'm getting
different opinions from different people before I do that, and
so these will be sort of the decisions that we
come to on the show next week, and then I
will release my official plays and so I'm really excited
and looking forward to all of that.
Speaker 2: Well, if you use the same picks in both, that's
like drafting the quarterback of your favorite team on your
fantasy team because they have a great week, right, I mean,
the rest of your week is gold.
Speaker 1: You have a bad week and now you're just like miserable.
Speaker 4: That's all in Yeah, I'm leading towards that exactly. I mean,
unless you have the season of all seasons, you know,
and it all comes together. But that's the way I'm
leaning is probably taking separate picks for each contest.
Speaker 2: Well, and if you're doing great, you give yourself some
hedging opportunities, and towards the end you can be like,
I'll take the opposite side of this one, and then
then that way, I almost guarantee myself something. All right, Well,
let us know what you decide to do. My vote,
and let us know in the chat. If you're entering
two different contests the same picks, put a comment or
leave us in the chat my vote. If I were
doing it, I'm going to be using different ones.
Speaker 3: In the difference.
Speaker 4: We'll talk about it next Thursday.
Speaker 1: Andy, Okay, all right, well we'll decide.
Speaker 2: We'll decide what the plan of attack is going to
be on that Nick entering two different contests here for it.
Speaker 1: So, Nick, tell everyone what you got going over at
sports Memo.
Speaker 2: And I understand nine Now, the last ten months I've
been turning a profit. August not great, but little regressions,
no big deal, looking forward to a great September. Yeah,
you've had a great run number one college Kappa at
Sports Memo since two twenty twenty three. Tell us a
little bit about what you have up in some of
the content over at sports Memo.
Speaker 3: I do.
Speaker 4: I've got a loaded college football card as well, plays
going tonight, Friday, Saturday, and on Sunday. And I do
have a Monday CFL pick up as well, guys for
Labor Day up in Canada. But yeah, I have. I
am the number one college football handicapper over at sports
Memo since it started twenty twenty three. I only went
one and two in Week one. I had Stanford and
I feel as if though, as that was a bit
of a bad beat. There were some really stupid penalties
there by the cardinal and then yeah, they just blew
it there at the end. But anyways, guys, yeah one
and two. But yeah, looking forward to week zero here
and is Johnny was touching on there as being primarily
a situational handicapper at the start of the season, We're,
as he said, we're just sort of guessing. We're making
the best educated guess as we can. But I feel
like my systems definitely get stronger as the season wears on,
because as a situational cap I'm definitely using the data
from the weekend before or the weekends.
Speaker 2: Before nice Nice and what's going to be some of
the schedule of content over at sports Memo throughout football season.
Speaker 4: Well, the Betting Memo show six days a week, guys.
And so yeah, if you tune in next week, you're
you're gonna I'll have the segment to do with both contests.
Please tune in and we can figure this out together,
and hopefully you guys can follow me all season long
with these picks as well.
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it Nick Parsons over at Sports Memo,
and we're going to talk heavy contest strategies next week.
Speaker 1: So Nick, good luck this weekend. Can't wait to talk
to you next week. Good luck, brother.
Speaker 4: Thanks Andy.
Speaker 2: All right, let's go all around the world for some
free plays before we do that. Only bet that I
have up right now, actually have two of them. One
of them is in cricket, that's in the Caribbean League.
It's a four percent best bet. We're three to one
in the Caribbean League. I know there's not a lot
of people love betting on cricket, but I know there's
a lot of people that love making money. We've hit
sixty percent of cricket bets this lifetime, so we're again
a four percent best bet that goes off tonight.
Speaker 1: Four percent.
Speaker 2: College football best bet is up for this weekend. I
keep it very, very selective and low volume. Over the
last two season, I've released thirty six college football plays.
I've won twenty six of them. That's a seventy three
percent win rate. So when we put up a college
football best bet, go lock it in. We're also offering
a thirty day special using the promo code Andy thirty
fifty percent off thirty days does not get better than that.
We're up one hundred and fifty five units a profit
the last three years. We're up fifteen units the last
thirty days. So short term we're running pretty good. Long
term we're running even better. Did not have a very
good spring, full disclosure, but last month we've really kicked
it in a high year and looking forward to getting
back in the winning ways, especially with this college football
love betting. These team totals in college football, so seventy
three percent winners can't beat that. All right, let's go
to the free plays in and we are done here.
Let's start with the w NBA sky at the Mercury.
I'm gonna take the sky over seventy five and a
half on the team total. Angel Reese Ronald talks about this.
Ski Provtt talks about this. When Angel rees plays, they score.
They've gone over in eight out of the last nine
games that Angel Reese has played in The Mercury have
given up over this total in five out of six
games Reese and Cardosa are playing. That means I'm taking
the over.
Speaker 1: We're gonna take a look at LSU at Clemson.
Speaker 2: This one comes from the free picks page over at
wager Talk Clemson minus three. Clemson is ranked number one
in returning starting production. LSU has one of the top
portal classes, if not the top, but it could take
a little bit of time to joel Brian Kelly struggles
against top ten teams two and four while he's been
at LSU six and twenty lifetime. Not very good in
week one, So looking at Clemson minus three, it's take
some dog money here. Mississippi State at Southern Miss Southern
Miss plus twelve and a half.
Speaker 1: This is from Ronald Kobang Miss this big team.
Speaker 2: Overall, they get Brayln Braxton, offensive player of the Year
from the Sunbelt transfer one and eleven. Last season, Mississippi
State ranked last in SEC rush defense only ten sacks,
so the defense has been pretty trash, lost ten games
last season, their starting quarterbacks recovering from a shoulder injury.
They get a home game here to start the season.
So we're taking a look at the points and Southern
miss and for your team total today, Braves over three
and a half on their team total.
Speaker 1: Nola's going for Philly.
Speaker 2: He's given up twenty two runs in the last seventeen innings.
The Braves have scored twenty three runs the last two games,
both of those on the road. Yeah, this could be
a classic regression where they go out and they put
up one but hot bats and Nola's.
Speaker 1: Struggling for Philly.
Speaker 2: I'll take a little roll here with the Braves over
three and a half on their team total.
Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it for us. Great show.
Speaker 2: Sorry, Dave Mason got stuck on a flight coming from Panama.
Story of his life getting stuck on flights and the Caribbean,
South America wherever he is trying to get back to
his cubicle. So we'll do it again tomorrow, guys. We
have a huge, huge Friday show. It's Football Friday, guys.
Every Friday from here on out till next year is
going to be football Friday.
Speaker 1: We are very very heavy.
Speaker 2: We got Teddy, We've got Marco, we got myself, we
got big time surprises and big time content to go over.
So hit that like button, leave us comment in the
comment section. Honestly, what's your strategy if you enter two
different two contests it's the same type of contest, just
the two different places. To use the same picks in
both or do you use different strategies? I vote yeah,
I use different strategies in each contest. I don't want
the heartbreak of having a terrible week and have ruining
my entire week. So all right, that's gonna do it
for us. Thanks so much for everyone in live chat.
Thanks everyone for watching. Have a great Thursday, good luck
on your bets. See you tomorrow. Take care,