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<v Speaker 4>The information economy has a ride. The world is teeming

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<v Speaker 4>with innovation as new business models reinvent every industry industry.

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<v Speaker 4>Inside an Analysis is your source of information and insight

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<v Speaker 4>about how to make the most of this exciting new era.

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<v Speaker 4>Learn more at inside analysis dot com, insideanalysis dot com

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<v Speaker 4>and now Here's your host, Eric Kavanaugh.

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<v Speaker 5>All right, ladies and gentlemen, Hello and welcome back once

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<v Speaker 5>again to the only coast to coast radio show all

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<v Speaker 5>about the information economy. It's Inside Analysis, yours truly, Eric

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<v Speaker 5>Kavanaugh is here with the legendary entrepreneur, the man about

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<v Speaker 5>i'd say, the man of my Townity's the man about

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<v Speaker 5>the world. He's all over the place Shanghai, Malaysia doing

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<v Speaker 5>amazing things in the world of modern technology. We have

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<v Speaker 5>Alvin fu his latest Gig zero two launch is about

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<v Speaker 5>three years old now, and he knows a lot about bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 5>knows a lot about enterprise technology and really global market trends.

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<v Speaker 5>And Alvin, I'll just throw it over to you first.

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<v Speaker 5>We are living in fascinating times right now. And when

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<v Speaker 5>I look at these foundational models that are coming out,

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<v Speaker 5>what I find so fascinating is that they are, in

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<v Speaker 5>many senses a reflection of human knowledge. It's like a

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<v Speaker 5>dynamic encyclopedia Britannic. I think gets things wrong. Sometimes they're

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<v Speaker 5>still hallucinating a bit, and we're all working on that.

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<v Speaker 5>We're working on the ground truth. But you just suddenly

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<v Speaker 5>have at your fingertips outrageous amounts of information which can

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<v Speaker 5>be shared and articulated in perfectly syntactically correct sentences. That's

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<v Speaker 5>a really big deal. What are your thoughts, having been

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<v Speaker 5>in the industry for a couple decades now or more,

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<v Speaker 5>what are your thoughts about this inflection point we're facing

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<v Speaker 5>right now?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, Eric, thanks, thanks again for inviting me to your show. Well,

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<v Speaker 6>we are living in an exciting time. You know something

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<v Speaker 6>that never I mean, I mean we grew up. I

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<v Speaker 6>think we probably grew up almost at the same time,

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<v Speaker 6>the same era where we saw, you know, everything that

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<v Speaker 6>was analog, right, you mentioned encyclopedia, You know things that

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<v Speaker 6>that I think kids of today don't even know what

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<v Speaker 6>what in the world encyclopedia because now get access to

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<v Speaker 6>the internet. And now of course you know AIHL g BT.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, the way is rapidly moving towards an era

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<v Speaker 6>where nobody can comprehend and the speech will only.

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<v Speaker 2>Get faster and faster.

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<v Speaker 6>And AI I think it's going to be the tool

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<v Speaker 6>or the single single because you know, to me is

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<v Speaker 6>the biggest denominator that's going to disrupt every single business

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<v Speaker 6>in every category, every industry, and possibly our.

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<v Speaker 2>Lives as well.

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<v Speaker 6>So we are we are definitely living in exciting times,

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<v Speaker 6>and I think it's just going to get much faster

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<v Speaker 6>and we just have to accept and I always coined

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<v Speaker 6>this this this term. You know, we live in an

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<v Speaker 6>era where we need to learn very quickly. We also

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<v Speaker 6>need to unlearn what we are learned very quickly so

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<v Speaker 6>that we can relearn new things, because I think that

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<v Speaker 6>is the only way to stay relevant or staying ahead

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<v Speaker 6>of the game.

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<v Speaker 5>That's a brilliant Yeah, that's a really good point. We

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<v Speaker 5>have to unlearn to relearn. It kind of reminds me

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<v Speaker 5>of one of the challenges with these models. So Watson Acts,

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<v Speaker 5>i'm told, was designed originally such that you could pull

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<v Speaker 5>out a data set and then retrain the model. And

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<v Speaker 5>I'm sure they did that because they realized we might

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<v Speaker 5>load something in and then realize, oh, we shouldn't have

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<v Speaker 5>done that take it back out. Well, most of these

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<v Speaker 5>other models are not built like that, and once you

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<v Speaker 5>train a model on something, it's very hard to untrain it.

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<v Speaker 5>And the example I give is like raising kids. If

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<v Speaker 5>you curse in front of your two year old, don't

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<v Speaker 5>be surprised if you curses back, because that's now in

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<v Speaker 5>her model, right, So it's hard to you can try,

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<v Speaker 5>like with your rag model, you can try now, don't

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<v Speaker 5>curse the only daddy can say that word. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>good luck with that one, right, What do you think

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<v Speaker 5>about that?

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<v Speaker 2>All? Right? I mean it's easier said than done. I

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<v Speaker 2>mean learning, I think is given.

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<v Speaker 6>Everyone learns something, right, to unlearn what they've learned, that's.

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<v Speaker 2>Difficult, right.

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<v Speaker 6>And if you look at you know, these days, when

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<v Speaker 6>you talk about you know, maybe maybe twenty years ago,

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<v Speaker 6>when you tell people that you have got like twenty

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<v Speaker 6>three years of work experience, that means a lot, right,

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<v Speaker 6>That's that's valuable, right, But twenty years to thirty years

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<v Speaker 6>of work experience in today's world, that's a lot.

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<v Speaker 2>That's that's not that's not going to be helpful.

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<v Speaker 6>And because you're going to come with legacy, right, lots

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<v Speaker 6>of baggages and and it's difficult to learn something new

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<v Speaker 6>and let's not even talk about learning something new. To

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<v Speaker 6>unlearn what you've learned for the last twenty three years difficult.

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<v Speaker 6>So that's why a lot of companies, when you look

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<v Speaker 6>at how they're moving forward, you know, what they've been

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<v Speaker 6>organized to achieve past success, right, is probably going to

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<v Speaker 6>make you know, probably going to be very difficult for

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<v Speaker 6>them to to move forward because of the legacy, right,

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<v Speaker 6>because it's very hard for a company that has been

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<v Speaker 6>around for for fifty years, one hundred years, right to unlearn,

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<v Speaker 6>to uncheck themselves right and reorganize them again in a

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<v Speaker 6>way that is totally not what they're used to.

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<v Speaker 2>So unlearning is actually a lot lot harder.

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<v Speaker 6>Relearning is, probably, but you need to unlearn first before

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<v Speaker 6>you can relearn. So again, in that, in that, in that,

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<v Speaker 6>in that context, while it all seems easy, it's.

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<v Speaker 2>Not not so simple after all.

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<v Speaker 6>But so this is something I practice all the time,

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<v Speaker 6>and and I'm not so young, but but I've learned

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<v Speaker 6>how to, you know, sometimes dump out.

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<v Speaker 2>All the all the all the all the legacy and.

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<v Speaker 6>Trying to keep an open mind. Now, keeping an open

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<v Speaker 6>mind is is also easier said and done. Now, well

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<v Speaker 6>what you want to keep an open mind, but you're

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<v Speaker 6>still structure within a framework. Right. So so that's why

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<v Speaker 6>I'm and I always talk about when people always say

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<v Speaker 6>let's think out of the box, right, But the trove

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<v Speaker 6>is that it's very difficult because if you're getting the

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<v Speaker 6>same people who have been in the same industry for

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<v Speaker 6>twenty thirty years and asking him to think out of

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<v Speaker 6>the box is almost next to impossible. The only way

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<v Speaker 6>to think out of the box right is to get

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<v Speaker 6>someone not from the same industry right to look in

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<v Speaker 6>and figure out how to think out of that industry.

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<v Speaker 5>Mm hmmm, So someone like gohead, go ahead, No. I

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<v Speaker 5>was going to say, you bring up a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>really really good points here, and from an organizational perspective,

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<v Speaker 5>I think you're going to need a lot of introspection

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<v Speaker 5>and then some extro spection, I suppose, and as you suggest,

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<v Speaker 5>get someone to come in from outside the organization and

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<v Speaker 5>just look at your plan, look at your vision.

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<v Speaker 3>You know.

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<v Speaker 5>I have a really good friend who is a developer.

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<v Speaker 5>He's been doing this stuff for twenty odd years in

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<v Speaker 5>the valley in San Francisco, and he has a really

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<v Speaker 5>interesting mantra where he says, busy is the enemy of

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<v Speaker 5>creative And what he means is, if you're just constantly

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<v Speaker 5>behind the eight ball, if you're constantly trudging away, trudging away,

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<v Speaker 5>you're not thinking of creative answers. And especially in the

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<v Speaker 5>coding world and the information architecture world, there are no

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<v Speaker 5>limits to how you can design something these days. And

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<v Speaker 5>I think a lot of people who don't know code

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<v Speaker 5>don't realize how constrictive it is in terms of how

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<v Speaker 5>you have to write things. You have different ways, different architectures,

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<v Speaker 5>calling you, of course, modular architectures, you have monolithic. You

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<v Speaker 5>now have all these distributed systems like Kubernetes. My point

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<v Speaker 5>is that there are countless ways to reinvent how you're

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<v Speaker 5>doing things, but it does require that sort of shedding

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<v Speaker 5>of the old mindsets. And that's what you're talking about,

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<v Speaker 5>right It's being able to really thoughtfully discard the structures

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<v Speaker 5>of your thinking to adopt a new way of living

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<v Speaker 5>and doing.

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<v Speaker 6>What do you think, well, I I can, I can resonate.

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<v Speaker 6>I mean, the thing is that now I work with developers,

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<v Speaker 6>I'm not a coder.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm bye bye.

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<v Speaker 6>By practice, I'm I'm supposed to be practicing law. I

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<v Speaker 6>actually graduated with a law degree some thirty years ago.

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<v Speaker 6>Uh and and my first job was I actually started

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<v Speaker 6>off in an advertising industry, so nothing to do with

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<v Speaker 6>technology and nothing to do with whatever that I'm doing

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<v Speaker 6>right now. So it has gone through an evolution that

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<v Speaker 6>I got into internet and gradually understand networking and then

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<v Speaker 6>understand one point oh two point zero and subsequently I'm

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<v Speaker 6>just trying to understand and and you know, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>have a much better grap than Web three point zero.

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<v Speaker 2>So the entire evolution.

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<v Speaker 6>Has taken, you know, some twenty five years or more,

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<v Speaker 6>right to learn and learn and also relearn and and

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<v Speaker 6>when I work with my my coders, now, my coders

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<v Speaker 6>are so bake into the way of working, right. Therefore,

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<v Speaker 6>whatever they think about is always you know, the practicality

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<v Speaker 6>and and how you code. But when you when I,

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<v Speaker 6>when I work with them, I I don't think so

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<v Speaker 6>much of coding. I think of user experience, you know. Uh,

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<v Speaker 6>I think more in terms of the practicality.

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<v Speaker 2>And the the the.

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<v Speaker 6>Application and how that how would that then adapt and

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<v Speaker 6>adapt to the to the real world.

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<v Speaker 3>Right.

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<v Speaker 6>So so that's why when you when we look for

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<v Speaker 6>people within the team, we want to find a good combination,

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<v Speaker 6>a combination of someone who can quote very well and

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<v Speaker 6>also very receptive because the probably the problems a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of coders is that they're also receptive, and they always

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<v Speaker 6>stuck right stuck within the idea the square. And then

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<v Speaker 6>the thinking is that they always start then and not

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<v Speaker 6>willing to move beyond. So we need to find a

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<v Speaker 6>good combination. You know coders, we are you know CEO

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<v Speaker 6>who are very open minded. And then we're got you know,

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<v Speaker 6>product persons who understand products very well and use experience

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<v Speaker 6>and the customers, so that that's a good combination. If

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<v Speaker 6>you look at most successful set up, they are made

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<v Speaker 6>up of combination of people who are really good in

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<v Speaker 6>their own domain and who are very very receptive because

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<v Speaker 6>in today's role, right, it's all about understanding your customer.

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<v Speaker 6>If you understand them and being able to execute right

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<v Speaker 6>according to what they need, right, and that makes the

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<v Speaker 6>product very successful. And that's lacking in a lot of

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<v Speaker 6>companies because you know, some of them are just good engineers,

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<v Speaker 6>they're good programmers and that's all about it. But to

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<v Speaker 6>understand the customer and take it to market sometimes lacking.

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<v Speaker 5>Right.

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<v Speaker 2>So so again, when.

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<v Speaker 6>You want to find a team, right, you need to

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<v Speaker 6>find a team that are able to do what I've

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<v Speaker 6>just said. But if you look at most organizations I'm

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<v Speaker 6>talking about multinationals, the companies that has been around for

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<v Speaker 6>a long time, the combination that actually missing and most

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<v Speaker 6>of the time being led by people who have been

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<v Speaker 6>in the industry right for several years. And if even

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<v Speaker 6>if they will find replacement for the CEO or CFO.

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<v Speaker 6>Usually they will also they will they will end up

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<v Speaker 6>finding the old gods from another company, a similar company,

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<v Speaker 6>to run the company because it's safe to do so, right,

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<v Speaker 6>Because if you find someone who is.

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<v Speaker 2>New, right, that's taking a lot of risks right.

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<v Speaker 6>For a new startup, it's a lot easier because there's

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<v Speaker 6>no legacy, there's no historical so basically you're starting from

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<v Speaker 6>ground zero. But when you are taking on a mountinnational,

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<v Speaker 6>there are a lot of boundaries that you need to work

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<v Speaker 6>with and then you answer about to your shareholders, your

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<v Speaker 6>board of directors and so forth.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's very difficult. So that's not what you're seeing

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<v Speaker 2>right now.

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<v Speaker 6>We have seen over the last twenty years their disruption

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<v Speaker 6>in several sector industry.

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<v Speaker 2>And many big companies.

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<v Speaker 6>There was one once very big are no longer around

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<v Speaker 6>like companies that called that companies like no Care. And

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<v Speaker 6>now now what is impacting is in what we're seeing

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<v Speaker 6>very clearly is.

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<v Speaker 2>In the auto industry.

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<v Speaker 6>When you look what you're seeing right now, the evs

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<v Speaker 6>from China are now disrupting right the global auto industry

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<v Speaker 6>because the auto industry, which has been so structure and

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<v Speaker 6>organized right to a very well structured supply chain for

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<v Speaker 6>the last god knows how many years, right, are now

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<v Speaker 6>facing disruption caused by companies new EV company that build.

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<v Speaker 2>Cars entirely on their own.

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<v Speaker 6>They design and manufacture a car entirely by themselves in

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<v Speaker 6>the shortest time. If you look at most companies a

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<v Speaker 6>design car, it takes seven years, right, at least seven

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<v Speaker 6>to ten years to come up with one new model. Now,

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<v Speaker 6>the company in China, a company called bid As, I'm

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<v Speaker 6>sure you must have heard, one of the largest EV companies.

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<v Speaker 2>They can come.

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<v Speaker 6>Up with a new model almost every month, right now,

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<v Speaker 6>that's scary, right. So so the Chinese, the Chinese manufacturing

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<v Speaker 6>right has I mean what whatever I always say is

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<v Speaker 6>right Now, anything that that that that it has a

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<v Speaker 6>linkage to electronics, right, whether that's a smartphone or the

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<v Speaker 6>fan that you're using at home, the air conditioning system, whatever,

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<v Speaker 6>that is being powered by electric.

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<v Speaker 2>The Chinese are really good at it.

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<v Speaker 3>Right.

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<v Speaker 6>Years before EVE came about, the Chinese had a hard

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<v Speaker 6>time catching up because it was it was based on

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<v Speaker 6>a very old technology called engine, the combustion engine. Today, right,

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<v Speaker 6>it is being built empowered by batteries, So that's electric again.

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<v Speaker 6>So the electrification of auto, of the auto industry, right

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<v Speaker 6>provides a new entire paradigm shift for the manufacturing the

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<v Speaker 6>auto manufacturing industry in China. And suddenly, right they have

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<v Speaker 6>gone from nowhere and became the largest EV manufacturers in

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<v Speaker 6>the world. Right, So they've disrupted many many industry right

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<v Speaker 6>and and the auto industry is the next one to

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<v Speaker 6>be hit now.

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<v Speaker 2>So so when you look.

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<v Speaker 6>At when you look at a lot of these companies,

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<v Speaker 6>I mean I had the opportunity to speak to some

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<v Speaker 6>of them, some of the CEO that I know personally,

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<v Speaker 6>uh and and most of them started the company almost nothing,

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<v Speaker 6>literally almost nothing, with a couple of people.

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<v Speaker 2>And all they had was a dream that they want

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<v Speaker 2>to build a car.

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<v Speaker 6>Right And and when you look at them, right, they've

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<v Speaker 6>got a lot there have almost no legacy, and all

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<v Speaker 6>they all they know, right is that it's huge market.

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<v Speaker 2>Out there is how how do I come up with

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<v Speaker 2>a car?

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<v Speaker 6>And the shortest sign and the competition in China is

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<v Speaker 6>that they are over one hundred and sixty five EV

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<v Speaker 6>manufacturers only it's crazy and and most of them are

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<v Speaker 6>not making money. Most of them are not making money.

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<v Speaker 6>They're all funded now of course when when when the

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<v Speaker 6>funding stops, like the music stops, right, So so at

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<v Speaker 6>some point they will there's going to be I mean,

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<v Speaker 6>as of now, there are they are already already some

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<v Speaker 6>have already applied for bankruptcy early, right, And I'm sure

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<v Speaker 6>along the way you see more and more ev companies

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<v Speaker 6>in China are going bus and I think that's where

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<v Speaker 6>the consolidation will come in. And of course there's the

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<v Speaker 6>more solid company, the companies at bid. You know, they

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<v Speaker 6>will continue to be, you know, a key player in

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<v Speaker 6>the global market.

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<v Speaker 2>And and and that's a competition.

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<v Speaker 6>Competition is in China on any sector super competitive, super

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<v Speaker 6>super competitive.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean China basically went hyper capitalist, you could argue, right,

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<v Speaker 5>I mean you went from this an older system, a

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<v Speaker 5>more traditional system of governance and societal developments and dynamics

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<v Speaker 5>to this hyper capitalist environment right now. And that's why

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<v Speaker 5>the economy is.

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<v Speaker 2>Doing so well.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, capital breeds excellence. Competition breeds excellence. And when

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<v Speaker 5>you do it, when you don't have competition, that's when

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<v Speaker 5>things slow down and you do not get a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of innovation. I mean you see this in organizations too,

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<v Speaker 5>Like the more competition a certain company has the harder

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<v Speaker 5>they have to fight to get their market share, right,

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<v Speaker 5>real quick, we got one minute in the segway, go ahead.

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<v Speaker 6>Right, I mean it is it is, it is what

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<v Speaker 6>it is. I mean the you know, innovation in China

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<v Speaker 6>is given. It's not like innovation has to be something

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<v Speaker 6>that we that that people are being taught what innovations

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<v Speaker 6>is given and and and the only way to fight

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<v Speaker 6>competition in China is innovation, no other way. And that's

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<v Speaker 6>why when you look at all the all the auto manufacturers,

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<v Speaker 6>in all the cars that's been designed, right, every single

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<v Speaker 6>one of them will come up with you know, very

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<v Speaker 6>gimmicky features and so forth, right, just to.

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<v Speaker 2>Out compete each other.

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<v Speaker 6>And and and then you multiply that with one hundred

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<v Speaker 6>and sixty five manufacturers.

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<v Speaker 2>It's painful.

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<v Speaker 6>And that so so so I mean short, right, that

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<v Speaker 6>has caused a whole disruption to the auto industry, pushing

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<v Speaker 6>out the Japanese brands. Right, Some of the Japanese brands

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<v Speaker 6>are exiting the market already, some of the some of

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<v Speaker 6>the American many manufacturers like GM are closing closing down

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<v Speaker 6>factories now they're all getting hit and German brands like

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<v Speaker 6>the Mercedes and BMW are also getting hit as well,

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<v Speaker 6>and it's painful because China is a market that car

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<v Speaker 6>manufacturers cannot afford to lose.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like, it is the largest auto.

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<v Speaker 6>Market in the world, right and it's a market that

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<v Speaker 6>it cannot afford because there's no way that you can

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<v Speaker 6>replace that lost revenue. And this is exactly what's happening

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<v Speaker 6>in China right now in the auto sector.

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<v Speaker 5>That's crazy. Well, folks, don't touch it. Dow Or will

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<v Speaker 5>be right back with the legendary Alvin Fou. You're listening

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<v Speaker 5>to Inside Analysis.

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<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Inside Analysis. Here's your host, Eric Tavanaugh.

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<v Speaker 5>All right, folks, back here on Inside Analysis talking to

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<v Speaker 5>Alvin fu your host here, Eric Kavanaugh. We're talking all

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<v Speaker 5>about innovation and how China has one hundred and sixty

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<v Speaker 5>five manufacturing companies for cars. I mean, that's just crazy.

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<v Speaker 5>Here in America they talk about the Big Three and

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<v Speaker 5>even they're having trouble and they've been subsidized and given

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<v Speaker 5>all sorts of money. And you know, I drove a

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<v Speaker 5>maz to me out of myself two thousand and one,

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<v Speaker 5>a six speed. It's a beautiful car. I don't think

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<v Speaker 5>there'll ever be another car as beautiful as my car.

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<v Speaker 5>To be honest with that, I'm selfish. But Alvin, you

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<v Speaker 5>are a lawyer by trade. You studied law and I

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<v Speaker 5>just gave a keynote this morning where I basically said,

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<v Speaker 5>in the not too distant future, and this mayread be

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<v Speaker 5>happening somewhere around the world, you, as a plaintiff, are

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<v Speaker 5>you going to have the option to go with an

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<v Speaker 5>AI judge and jury or a real judge and jury.

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<v Speaker 5>And if you do the AI judge and jury, You're

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<v Speaker 5>just gonna load your lawsuits. You're gonna load all your evidence.

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<v Speaker 5>You're going to talk to a camera for an hour

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<v Speaker 5>or two and answer questions. The defendant's going to do

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<v Speaker 5>the same thing. And once all that information is in there,

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<v Speaker 5>the engine's going to open, read through it and say

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<v Speaker 5>we find in favor of the plaintiff. Here's what you

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<v Speaker 5>have to do. I think that's going to happen. And

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<v Speaker 5>think about this, because you can, even with the ability

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<v Speaker 5>to model these days, you could even you talk about

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<v Speaker 5>a jury of your peers, you could scrape data from Facebook,

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<v Speaker 5>from Instagram, from other social platforms, and a particular geography

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<v Speaker 5>and then create jurors based upon the personalities in that geography.

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<v Speaker 5>Then you could even have a random jury selection. You

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<v Speaker 5>can do the whole thing through AI. And you look

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<v Speaker 5>at the legal world today, well, what is law really

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<v Speaker 5>boiled down to? It boils down to the practice, the rules,

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<v Speaker 5>and what you can do at certain points in time.

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<v Speaker 5>Emotion to dismiss, for example, is something you can do well.

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<v Speaker 5>Right now, You've got to pay people a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>money to do all that stuff, and they have to

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<v Speaker 5>know how to do it. Then you have to get

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<v Speaker 5>them to do it. I've had only one experience with

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<v Speaker 5>a lawyer in my life, but he was very lazy.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, we we worked out, everything worked out fine,

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<v Speaker 5>but he was very lazy and he just didn't really care.

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<v Speaker 5>And that's when I learned, Oh man, when you hire

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<v Speaker 5>a lawyer, make sure you get one who's going to

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<v Speaker 5>actually work for you and care about your case, because

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<v Speaker 5>even that's difficult. But what do you think about this

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<v Speaker 5>prediction that AI is going to revolutionize juris jurisprudence.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I think AI it's not just going to replace,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, the current you know, legal system, the potentially

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<v Speaker 6>is going to also revolutionary the healthcare industry and so

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<v Speaker 6>many other industry right now, now, going back to what

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<v Speaker 6>you have just said, I do believe, I do believe

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<v Speaker 6>in a very very near future you're going to have

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<v Speaker 6>a situation where you know, it's going to be an

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<v Speaker 6>AI judge, it's going to be an AI lawyer. I

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<v Speaker 6>mean it, it's doable because you can, you know, machine

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<v Speaker 6>train them, you can and and they can continue learning,

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<v Speaker 6>right and you and and the thing is that now

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<v Speaker 6>they can do they can work twenty four hours a day, right,

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<v Speaker 6>human human cannot work any four hours a day. And

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<v Speaker 6>they will know everything. The judges and the lawyers will

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<v Speaker 6>know you know some of this stuff well, but not everything.

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<v Speaker 6>But your AI just will know everything every single sat

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<v Speaker 6>statutory law, all the all the proceedings and so forth.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, So so.

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<v Speaker 6>He's going to be a much more knowledgeable, knowledgeable lawyer now.

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<v Speaker 6>But but but having said that, right, there's one part

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<v Speaker 6>of the legalism, the law that requires you know, some

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<v Speaker 6>some some deep you know, some critical thinking, especially into

426
00:22:39.680 --> 00:22:42.279
<v Speaker 6>the facts of the case. Now on the law you

427
00:22:42.319 --> 00:22:45.880
<v Speaker 6>can change, but the facts of a case right, sometimes

428
00:22:45.880 --> 00:22:49.839
<v Speaker 6>can be very subjective. I think this is where uh,

429
00:22:50.880 --> 00:22:52.920
<v Speaker 6>I'm not saying human will play better at all, but

430
00:22:53.119 --> 00:22:57.720
<v Speaker 6>suddenly human can think better well right now, as far

431
00:22:57.799 --> 00:22:59.599
<v Speaker 6>as far as the next you know, five ten years,

432
00:22:59.640 --> 00:23:03.279
<v Speaker 6>right until really it comes to day where you know,

433
00:23:03.440 --> 00:23:06.640
<v Speaker 6>a g I is is you know, becomes a reality

434
00:23:07.640 --> 00:23:10.119
<v Speaker 6>where where you can't even out compete or are you

435
00:23:10.160 --> 00:23:12.680
<v Speaker 6>an out talk and in AI, I think that's where

436
00:23:12.720 --> 00:23:13.880
<v Speaker 6>a g I comes in, right.

437
00:23:15.039 --> 00:23:19.240
<v Speaker 2>But I think in a short period of time you're

438
00:23:19.279 --> 00:23:19.839
<v Speaker 2>going to get.

439
00:23:19.680 --> 00:23:22.839
<v Speaker 6>AI lawyers, a I a I judges, but they are

440
00:23:22.880 --> 00:23:26.079
<v Speaker 6>they're just going to play They're going to play a

441
00:23:26.279 --> 00:23:30.440
<v Speaker 6>very element elementary role of a judge. Right, So basically

442
00:23:30.839 --> 00:23:34.400
<v Speaker 6>very simple cases, right, very straightforward cases.

443
00:23:35.240 --> 00:23:35.400
<v Speaker 2>Right.

444
00:23:35.440 --> 00:23:38.079
<v Speaker 6>I think for for cases that require that s more,

445
00:23:38.240 --> 00:23:43.000
<v Speaker 6>there's there's more that requires you know, critical thinking and

446
00:23:43.119 --> 00:23:46.400
<v Speaker 6>for for or even on a few cases right that

447
00:23:46.519 --> 00:23:49.079
<v Speaker 6>you probably need, right, a human judge.

448
00:23:49.160 --> 00:23:52.519
<v Speaker 2>Right. I don't think this would this would they would

449
00:23:52.559 --> 00:23:53.640
<v Speaker 2>be replaced.

450
00:23:53.200 --> 00:23:55.880
<v Speaker 6>In in the far in in the future, but at

451
00:23:55.960 --> 00:24:00.880
<v Speaker 6>least I think the magistrate court, you know, the very

452
00:24:00.960 --> 00:24:05.640
<v Speaker 6>low low, low level judges or likely be replaced by AI,

453
00:24:05.880 --> 00:24:09.400
<v Speaker 6>including very low level lawyers as well.

454
00:24:09.960 --> 00:24:12.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think similarly, yeah.

455
00:24:12.079 --> 00:24:16.599
<v Speaker 6>Similarly, similarly to the healthcare and medical medicare, where the

456
00:24:16.640 --> 00:24:19.920
<v Speaker 6>GPS are going to be replaced right, right, what's going

457
00:24:19.960 --> 00:24:23.079
<v Speaker 6>to be left by the specially because what people want

458
00:24:23.160 --> 00:24:26.160
<v Speaker 6>to talk to, they want to talk to specialists, they

459
00:24:26.160 --> 00:24:29.839
<v Speaker 6>want to talk to experts, right, But AI can do

460
00:24:29.880 --> 00:24:32.839
<v Speaker 6>that that that that's very straightforward jobs.

461
00:24:33.240 --> 00:24:34.519
<v Speaker 2>So I think that's where that's.

462
00:24:34.319 --> 00:24:37.960
<v Speaker 6>Where AI is going to play a huge role in

463
00:24:38.000 --> 00:24:43.000
<v Speaker 6>replacing very general roles, even for lawyers and doctors.

464
00:24:43.279 --> 00:24:43.559
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

465
00:24:43.599 --> 00:24:46.000
<v Speaker 5>Well, and I'll tell you what. One other topic I'd

466
00:24:46.000 --> 00:24:49.559
<v Speaker 5>love to get your opinion on is transparency. So open

467
00:24:49.599 --> 00:24:52.880
<v Speaker 5>AI originally was open and now it's a black box.

468
00:24:52.920 --> 00:24:54.680
<v Speaker 5>So I joke they should change their name to close

469
00:24:54.720 --> 00:24:57.079
<v Speaker 5>the AI because they're not open anymore. But there is

470
00:24:57.119 --> 00:24:59.559
<v Speaker 5>this all mode that just came out which is true

471
00:24:59.599 --> 00:25:02.759
<v Speaker 5>open and they even give you access to the training data.

472
00:25:03.240 --> 00:25:08.119
<v Speaker 5>And from my mind, I believe transparency will be crucial

473
00:25:08.640 --> 00:25:13.839
<v Speaker 5>for auditability and for fairness with these models, because if

474
00:25:13.880 --> 00:25:16.440
<v Speaker 5>they're not transparent, if they are a true black box,

475
00:25:16.920 --> 00:25:20.400
<v Speaker 5>then there's no real way to audit them and the

476
00:25:20.400 --> 00:25:22.680
<v Speaker 5>truth be told, the complexity of these things is so

477
00:25:22.839 --> 00:25:25.680
<v Speaker 5>tremendous that even if it's completely open source, it's still

478
00:25:25.720 --> 00:25:28.000
<v Speaker 5>not like the average person could come along and understand

479
00:25:28.119 --> 00:25:30.839
<v Speaker 5>what the heck it's doing. These are very very very

480
00:25:30.880 --> 00:25:33.839
<v Speaker 5>complex systems, and they're all different. Now, I try to

481
00:25:33.880 --> 00:25:36.720
<v Speaker 5>explain that there is no limit to the number of

482
00:25:36.799 --> 00:25:39.480
<v Speaker 5>ways you can set up a deep learning module, how

483
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:42.319
<v Speaker 5>you define the parameters, how many parameters you have, how

484
00:25:42.319 --> 00:25:45.400
<v Speaker 5>many inference layers you have. You could even make them dynamics.

485
00:25:45.440 --> 00:25:48.160
<v Speaker 5>So there's really there's no limit to how complex they

486
00:25:48.200 --> 00:25:51.880
<v Speaker 5>can be. Not the complexity necessarily equals better value or

487
00:25:51.880 --> 00:25:54.359
<v Speaker 5>better efficiency, because it doesn't. That's why I think these

488
00:25:54.359 --> 00:25:57.319
<v Speaker 5>small language models are going to become fairly prevalent. But

489
00:25:57.480 --> 00:26:01.799
<v Speaker 5>what do you think about transparency in code and architecture?

490
00:26:02.160 --> 00:26:05.039
<v Speaker 5>I know that goes against the grain of traditional capitalists

491
00:26:05.039 --> 00:26:08.440
<v Speaker 5>thinking with intellectual property, but let's face it, these models

492
00:26:08.440 --> 00:26:11.799
<v Speaker 5>have kind of they've absorbed all this intellectual property and

493
00:26:11.799 --> 00:26:14.559
<v Speaker 5>then now they have it trained in their systems. So

494
00:26:14.599 --> 00:26:17.640
<v Speaker 5>it's like, is I P even a thing anymore? What

495
00:26:17.640 --> 00:26:21.400
<v Speaker 5>do you think about about legislation to mandate that AI

496
00:26:21.519 --> 00:26:24.720
<v Speaker 5>models be transparent in their code and in their training data.

497
00:26:26.359 --> 00:26:30.079
<v Speaker 6>I think I think the the regulation around this area

498
00:26:30.799 --> 00:26:34.200
<v Speaker 6>is coming uh and and I think we need regulation

499
00:26:34.279 --> 00:26:38.319
<v Speaker 6>around it because if not right, then how how do

500
00:26:38.359 --> 00:26:39.759
<v Speaker 6>you define transparent?

501
00:26:40.400 --> 00:26:40.519
<v Speaker 3>Right?

502
00:26:40.640 --> 00:26:44.200
<v Speaker 6>So what what what is transparency? And how much is

503
00:26:44.599 --> 00:26:46.119
<v Speaker 6>being transparent right?

504
00:26:46.279 --> 00:26:46.519
<v Speaker 5>Right?

505
00:26:46.920 --> 00:26:48.119
<v Speaker 2>And and the.

506
00:26:48.119 --> 00:26:52.559
<v Speaker 6>Models that you just talk about what what what what

507
00:26:52.640 --> 00:26:55.200
<v Speaker 6>can be defined as a good model, And that's that's

508
00:26:55.240 --> 00:26:59.000
<v Speaker 6>the same problem that was saying that if you want

509
00:26:59.039 --> 00:27:02.000
<v Speaker 6>to build an AI model, then you've got to make

510
00:27:02.039 --> 00:27:06.279
<v Speaker 6>sure that whatever that you input into the model is

511
00:27:07.160 --> 00:27:08.200
<v Speaker 6>making sure there's a.

512
00:27:08.160 --> 00:27:11.599
<v Speaker 2>Lot of truth to it, right, because it's all about

513
00:27:11.880 --> 00:27:13.079
<v Speaker 2>truth right, right.

514
00:27:13.160 --> 00:27:17.799
<v Speaker 6>And and if if you only if you only teach

515
00:27:17.920 --> 00:27:20.960
<v Speaker 6>or input models and data that you want it to

516
00:27:21.039 --> 00:27:23.920
<v Speaker 6>model that way, then it becomes biased.

517
00:27:24.759 --> 00:27:24.960
<v Speaker 2>Right.

518
00:27:25.000 --> 00:27:28.720
<v Speaker 6>Now, imagine if if the lawyers are being the AI

519
00:27:28.799 --> 00:27:31.920
<v Speaker 6>lawyers or AI doctors are they are being skewed towards

520
00:27:32.480 --> 00:27:36.400
<v Speaker 6>the pharmaceutical industry, just like how the pharmacies the farmer

521
00:27:36.599 --> 00:27:40.400
<v Speaker 6>the farmer companies are lobbing the government. Can you imagine

522
00:27:40.480 --> 00:27:44.599
<v Speaker 6>right that the AI doctors or AI lawyers are being

523
00:27:44.680 --> 00:27:48.279
<v Speaker 6>skilled biased, right, and that that will.

524
00:27:48.119 --> 00:27:51.720
<v Speaker 2>Not work for all of us? Right? So so what

525
00:27:51.799 --> 00:27:55.440
<v Speaker 2>you what you teach the model? Right?

526
00:27:55.440 --> 00:27:57.039
<v Speaker 6>I think that needs to be that needs to be

527
00:27:57.119 --> 00:27:59.480
<v Speaker 6>defined right now, there's no there's no regulation and also

528
00:27:59.480 --> 00:28:02.000
<v Speaker 6>because it's is we're moving so fast, right and and

529
00:28:02.000 --> 00:28:05.599
<v Speaker 6>as I'm sure you know, regulation always play catch up role. Right,

530
00:28:06.000 --> 00:28:07.920
<v Speaker 6>Just like how it's playing a catch up role into

531
00:28:07.960 --> 00:28:10.880
<v Speaker 6>digital asset, it's also playing a catch up role to AI,

532
00:28:10.880 --> 00:28:13.720
<v Speaker 6>and everyone's trying to learn and as much as we

533
00:28:13.720 --> 00:28:16.480
<v Speaker 6>we we are trying to understand it's better, you know,

534
00:28:16.720 --> 00:28:20.359
<v Speaker 6>the the transparency, privacy, cybersecurity and so forth. There's so

535
00:28:20.400 --> 00:28:23.359
<v Speaker 6>many areas and even copyrights when we look when we

536
00:28:23.400 --> 00:28:27.960
<v Speaker 6>look at generative AI, every single image that's being generated

537
00:28:28.000 --> 00:28:29.319
<v Speaker 6>on generative AI.

538
00:28:30.480 --> 00:28:32.079
<v Speaker 2>Is a copy of something.

539
00:28:31.720 --> 00:28:36.799
<v Speaker 6>Else, right, right, and usually uh, that's something else being optimized.

540
00:28:37.359 --> 00:28:39.119
<v Speaker 2>But you know true AI, right.

541
00:28:39.359 --> 00:28:44.920
<v Speaker 6>So what what levels of of of of optimization right

542
00:28:45.039 --> 00:28:47.319
<v Speaker 6>then you need to do before it becomes a new

543
00:28:48.200 --> 00:28:50.599
<v Speaker 6>a new image or a new copyrighted material.

544
00:28:50.960 --> 00:28:54.039
<v Speaker 2>So right now nobody, nobody has a definition.

545
00:28:54.960 --> 00:28:57.160
<v Speaker 6>So so basically what we are all doing is copying

546
00:28:57.200 --> 00:29:01.559
<v Speaker 6>each other, right and it could be an image of

547
00:29:02.319 --> 00:29:05.200
<v Speaker 6>a cartoon on the Disney or that could be a

548
00:29:05.279 --> 00:29:08.079
<v Speaker 6>copyright of Marvel and whatever that may be. So so

549
00:29:08.119 --> 00:29:12.880
<v Speaker 6>we all are taking these images, right and then you know,

550
00:29:13.039 --> 00:29:14.319
<v Speaker 6>repurpose them.

551
00:29:14.440 --> 00:29:16.279
<v Speaker 2>But what about copyright?

552
00:29:16.400 --> 00:29:19.880
<v Speaker 6>So so I think regulations will catch up, and we

553
00:29:19.960 --> 00:29:22.440
<v Speaker 6>need one because if we don't have one, right, then

554
00:29:23.759 --> 00:29:28.119
<v Speaker 6>which standard and which center are we following right? And

555
00:29:28.279 --> 00:29:29.960
<v Speaker 6>what is right to you may not be right to

556
00:29:30.079 --> 00:29:33.279
<v Speaker 6>to me, or what's right to one one country may

557
00:29:33.319 --> 00:29:35.039
<v Speaker 6>not be right to another. So I think I think

558
00:29:35.039 --> 00:29:37.599
<v Speaker 6>they need to put this in place so at least

559
00:29:37.640 --> 00:29:40.640
<v Speaker 6>there's a more defined role and as to how you

560
00:29:40.759 --> 00:29:45.119
<v Speaker 6>train your model and what's what's transparency.

561
00:29:44.960 --> 00:29:49.759
<v Speaker 5>Right, Yeah, I think that then all the right it's

562
00:29:49.799 --> 00:29:51.440
<v Speaker 5>just up for grabs. I mean, if there's no if

563
00:29:51.480 --> 00:29:53.799
<v Speaker 5>there are no rules, you know, or if there and

564
00:29:53.920 --> 00:29:55.640
<v Speaker 5>here's the other side of the equation, you know. I've

565
00:29:55.640 --> 00:29:58.680
<v Speaker 5>got a very colorful history. And for a couple of

566
00:29:58.720 --> 00:30:00.920
<v Speaker 5>years I worked for a rush and I often do

567
00:30:00.960 --> 00:30:03.880
<v Speaker 5>my Russian inmitation. They worked for Alexandri Khananik and we

568
00:30:04.039 --> 00:30:08.279
<v Speaker 5>kid the post Rasha and he was Boris Yeltsin's financier.

569
00:30:08.880 --> 00:30:12.200
<v Speaker 5>And he tells me stories that basically way back in

570
00:30:12.200 --> 00:30:15.960
<v Speaker 5>the day, in what the nineteen eighties, nineteen nineties, basically

571
00:30:16.359 --> 00:30:19.480
<v Speaker 5>he said, from his perspective, and he became a multimillionaire

572
00:30:19.519 --> 00:30:21.960
<v Speaker 5>by the age of twenty four or twenty five because

573
00:30:21.960 --> 00:30:24.559
<v Speaker 5>he got into the construction business and he did commodities

574
00:30:24.599 --> 00:30:27.039
<v Speaker 5>trading at the very beginning of the internet. So if

575
00:30:27.039 --> 00:30:29.759
<v Speaker 5>you can see that lumber is one rouble of pound

576
00:30:29.799 --> 00:30:32.400
<v Speaker 5>over here in ten over there well by Sell, and

577
00:30:32.440 --> 00:30:34.359
<v Speaker 5>he did that before and he had a first mover

578
00:30:34.400 --> 00:30:36.680
<v Speaker 5>advantage basically. But one thing he told me I thought

579
00:30:36.680 --> 00:30:39.279
<v Speaker 5>that was very interesting was that the system back then

580
00:30:39.279 --> 00:30:41.480
<v Speaker 5>in Russia was set up so that you could not

581
00:30:41.480 --> 00:30:43.960
<v Speaker 5>not steal. That's how he described it. But you weren't

582
00:30:43.960 --> 00:30:46.319
<v Speaker 5>supposed to steal from you weren't spposed to steal more

583
00:30:46.359 --> 00:30:48.839
<v Speaker 5>than your boss, right, Like the senior director can steal

584
00:30:48.880 --> 00:30:51.000
<v Speaker 5>a lot, the manager can steal a little bit the

585
00:30:51.079 --> 00:30:52.960
<v Speaker 5>new guy, but it not steal very much. And this

586
00:30:53.039 --> 00:30:55.000
<v Speaker 5>is this is what he tells me, right. And then

587
00:30:55.519 --> 00:30:58.079
<v Speaker 5>what I picked up on which I thought was very interesting,

588
00:30:58.200 --> 00:31:01.279
<v Speaker 5>was that the laws were so complex. And this goes

589
00:31:01.279 --> 00:31:02.920
<v Speaker 5>I'll tell you what. This goes back to laut Su,

590
00:31:03.039 --> 00:31:06.720
<v Speaker 5>because I love Chinese philosophy. Laut Su said three thousand

591
00:31:06.839 --> 00:31:11.400
<v Speaker 5>years ago, when the laws are complex, the bandits will abound.

592
00:31:12.119 --> 00:31:15.599
<v Speaker 5>And his point was that bad guys love very complicated

593
00:31:15.680 --> 00:31:18.119
<v Speaker 5>law because they can navigate it. If they can understand it,

594
00:31:18.119 --> 00:31:20.880
<v Speaker 5>they can take advantage of it. And I think that

595
00:31:21.200 --> 00:31:25.400
<v Speaker 5>getting back to this AI overthrow that I'm talking about,

596
00:31:25.640 --> 00:31:29.799
<v Speaker 5>when you see this permeate the legal industry, healthcare industry,

597
00:31:29.920 --> 00:31:32.920
<v Speaker 5>financial services, et cetera. It's good for the bad guys,

598
00:31:32.960 --> 00:31:34.880
<v Speaker 5>but it's hopefully good for the good guys. And I

599
00:31:34.920 --> 00:31:37.319
<v Speaker 5>think we can start to unwind some of that stuff

600
00:31:37.480 --> 00:31:42.079
<v Speaker 5>because from a prosecutorial perspective, if everyone's breaking the law

601
00:31:42.119 --> 00:31:44.920
<v Speaker 5>all the time, then you can be very selective on

602
00:31:44.960 --> 00:31:47.839
<v Speaker 5>who you prosecute, and that is a bastardization of the

603
00:31:47.920 --> 00:31:50.720
<v Speaker 5>law and the whole point of having laws. Right, So,

604
00:31:51.319 --> 00:31:53.519
<v Speaker 5>what do you think about that in general? Because I

605
00:31:53.559 --> 00:31:55.519
<v Speaker 5>think that we have to get back to basics. And

606
00:31:55.559 --> 00:31:57.880
<v Speaker 5>you know, I'll give you one last fun quote when

607
00:31:57.920 --> 00:32:00.640
<v Speaker 5>I describe this to my business partner, doctor Robyn Bloer,

608
00:32:01.079 --> 00:32:03.799
<v Speaker 5>who is a very very intelligent guy, a British man.

609
00:32:04.160 --> 00:32:06.359
<v Speaker 5>I explained it two years ago. He goes, do you

610
00:32:06.480 --> 00:32:09.720
<v Speaker 5>know how many rules Napoleon had? I was like, no,

611
00:32:09.799 --> 00:32:14.720
<v Speaker 5>He said seven, And he was talking about going back

612
00:32:14.759 --> 00:32:18.119
<v Speaker 5>to basis, going back to first principles. And I think

613
00:32:18.119 --> 00:32:20.119
<v Speaker 5>we kind of need that because it's like things have

614
00:32:20.160 --> 00:32:23.160
<v Speaker 5>gotten so complex now from many different perspectives that we

615
00:32:23.319 --> 00:32:26.599
<v Speaker 5>have to distill in order to be able to govern

616
00:32:26.640 --> 00:32:29.319
<v Speaker 5>effectively in the future. We're going to have to distill

617
00:32:29.440 --> 00:32:33.400
<v Speaker 5>down to core values and rethink all these processes for

618
00:32:33.480 --> 00:32:34.200
<v Speaker 5>how we do things.

619
00:32:34.200 --> 00:32:38.279
<v Speaker 7>But what do you think, right, Well, if you if

620
00:32:38.319 --> 00:32:42.039
<v Speaker 7>you look at most most profession, right, whether that's going

621
00:32:42.079 --> 00:32:46.839
<v Speaker 7>to be the medical profession, the financial industry, or even laws,

622
00:32:46.880 --> 00:32:48.039
<v Speaker 7>it's actually quite complex.

623
00:32:49.319 --> 00:32:53.880
<v Speaker 6>And I think they are complex for reasons. They are

624
00:32:53.960 --> 00:33:01.319
<v Speaker 6>complex because then everyone has a job, right, everyone gets

625
00:33:01.319 --> 00:33:02.599
<v Speaker 6>to keep your job right. And if you look at

626
00:33:02.640 --> 00:33:05.519
<v Speaker 6>the financial sector, it's so so complex to the point

627
00:33:05.519 --> 00:33:08.960
<v Speaker 6>that that the regular guy on the street right will

628
00:33:09.000 --> 00:33:12.400
<v Speaker 6>not understand that they need a wealth advisor, that they

629
00:33:12.440 --> 00:33:14.400
<v Speaker 6>need that they need someone to advise them what to

630
00:33:14.440 --> 00:33:14.920
<v Speaker 6>do right.

631
00:33:15.279 --> 00:33:18.480
<v Speaker 2>And that's why there's a lot of roles and jobs around. Right.

632
00:33:18.759 --> 00:33:21.000
<v Speaker 2>So when you look at when you look at you're

633
00:33:21.039 --> 00:33:22.240
<v Speaker 2>talking about laws.

634
00:33:22.559 --> 00:33:28.240
<v Speaker 6>Now, I think in especially technology, uh, you need a framework,

635
00:33:28.359 --> 00:33:30.839
<v Speaker 6>you need regulation, But at the same time, you need

636
00:33:30.880 --> 00:33:36.160
<v Speaker 6>a very balanced framework because if the regulation comes in

637
00:33:36.200 --> 00:33:38.960
<v Speaker 6>and it is complex and how to understand, how to apply,

638
00:33:39.799 --> 00:33:42.880
<v Speaker 6>or or it becomes so strict that that you then

639
00:33:43.400 --> 00:33:48.240
<v Speaker 6>then there's no innovation, right because now people have to

640
00:33:48.240 --> 00:33:49.960
<v Speaker 6>start to think, right now, I can't do this, I

641
00:33:50.000 --> 00:33:51.920
<v Speaker 6>can't do that, and then I need this license I

642
00:33:51.960 --> 00:33:53.920
<v Speaker 6>need that license or the cost of even operating it

643
00:33:53.960 --> 00:33:59.359
<v Speaker 6>becomes very high. Then then instead of you pushing innovation,

644
00:33:59.720 --> 00:34:02.119
<v Speaker 6>you not having no innovation. So I think they need

645
00:34:02.160 --> 00:34:05.039
<v Speaker 6>to be a very balanced framework. And I think that's

646
00:34:05.079 --> 00:34:07.640
<v Speaker 6>that's difficult. Right, So where do you again, when you

647
00:34:07.680 --> 00:34:10.920
<v Speaker 6>go back to transparency, right, so how do I Where

648
00:34:10.920 --> 00:34:14.320
<v Speaker 6>do I draw that line? I think that's that's something

649
00:34:15.360 --> 00:34:17.880
<v Speaker 6>a lot of regulators are having a lot of difficulty,

650
00:34:18.000 --> 00:34:20.599
<v Speaker 6>and that applies the digital assets. Same thing when I

651
00:34:20.599 --> 00:34:22.719
<v Speaker 6>look at a lot of new regulations that's been designed,

652
00:34:23.119 --> 00:34:25.079
<v Speaker 6>especially especially tech related.

653
00:34:25.760 --> 00:34:28.480
<v Speaker 2>Right, the problem is is where do you draw that line?

654
00:34:28.800 --> 00:34:29.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

655
00:34:30.599 --> 00:34:32.159
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, let's pick this up after the break. That's a

656
00:34:32.280 --> 00:34:34.639
<v Speaker 5>very very good question. Where do you draw the line?

657
00:34:34.719 --> 00:34:37.719
<v Speaker 5>And how malleable should that line be? When do you

658
00:34:37.800 --> 00:34:39.960
<v Speaker 5>redraw the line? We'll pick this up right after the break.

659
00:34:39.960 --> 00:34:40.320
<v Speaker 6>Don't touch.

660
00:34:40.320 --> 00:34:43.239
<v Speaker 5>I tell you're listening to the Inside Analysis.

661
00:34:48.679 --> 00:34:53.599
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Inside Analysis. Here's your host, Eric Tabanac.

662
00:34:56.320 --> 00:34:59.039
<v Speaker 5>All right, folks, back here on Inside Analysis with the

663
00:34:59.119 --> 00:35:01.719
<v Speaker 5>legendary Alpha and Food dialing in from the other side

664
00:35:01.760 --> 00:35:03.719
<v Speaker 5>of the planet. So thanks for staying up late here

665
00:35:04.119 --> 00:35:07.239
<v Speaker 5>on my time, and Alvin, I want to ask you

666
00:35:07.280 --> 00:35:10.239
<v Speaker 5>a question because we're asking these deep, thoughtful questions about

667
00:35:10.519 --> 00:35:13.920
<v Speaker 5>where do you draw the line with regulations, with innovation,

668
00:35:14.079 --> 00:35:17.599
<v Speaker 5>with transparency, what are the rules by which we must live?

669
00:35:17.639 --> 00:35:19.400
<v Speaker 5>Because and if there are too many rules, there are

670
00:35:19.400 --> 00:35:21.199
<v Speaker 5>no rules. I guess that's the argument I was making

671
00:35:21.199 --> 00:35:22.880
<v Speaker 5>in the last segment. If there are too many rules

672
00:35:23.159 --> 00:35:25.880
<v Speaker 5>and they're not comprehensible, then there may as well be

673
00:35:26.000 --> 00:35:30.079
<v Speaker 5>no rules. And also, if you don't understand a rule,

674
00:35:30.559 --> 00:35:32.960
<v Speaker 5>there's no way that you can consciously adhere to it

675
00:35:32.960 --> 00:35:35.079
<v Speaker 5>because you don't understand it. And I think some of

676
00:35:35.119 --> 00:35:37.119
<v Speaker 5>these laws they've come up with, you're like, what on

677
00:35:37.159 --> 00:35:39.760
<v Speaker 5>earth is this saying? But I will say that these

678
00:35:39.880 --> 00:35:44.000
<v Speaker 5>beautiful language models are so good at summarization. You can

679
00:35:44.039 --> 00:35:48.400
<v Speaker 5>take highly complex, draconian language, throw it into a model

680
00:35:48.440 --> 00:35:50.360
<v Speaker 5>and say what does this mean. It's going to do

681
00:35:50.400 --> 00:35:53.400
<v Speaker 5>a pretty good job to tell you. But in terms

682
00:35:53.480 --> 00:35:58.519
<v Speaker 5>of things like copyright and ownership and really understanding providence,

683
00:35:59.000 --> 00:36:02.199
<v Speaker 5>I think that's a very fascinating use case for blockchain

684
00:36:02.599 --> 00:36:05.960
<v Speaker 5>because it is immutable. Of course, bitcoin sits on top

685
00:36:06.000 --> 00:36:09.760
<v Speaker 5>of blockchains, and there's all these complex ways of mining

686
00:36:09.800 --> 00:36:12.519
<v Speaker 5>for the coins and trading the coins and consensus and

687
00:36:12.559 --> 00:36:14.639
<v Speaker 5>then we can get all into that stuff. But the

688
00:36:14.679 --> 00:36:18.199
<v Speaker 5>thing I find interesting is using blockchain as a system

689
00:36:18.280 --> 00:36:21.599
<v Speaker 5>of record to know who owned what and when. So

690
00:36:21.639 --> 00:36:24.400
<v Speaker 5>you think about deeds, you think about property, for example,

691
00:36:24.679 --> 00:36:27.559
<v Speaker 5>and who owned which property? Right now, it's a fairly

692
00:36:28.400 --> 00:36:31.360
<v Speaker 5>convoluted process that has lots of different players. The title

693
00:36:31.440 --> 00:36:34.480
<v Speaker 5>company for example, has to come in, the bank, the owner,

694
00:36:34.639 --> 00:36:38.000
<v Speaker 5>the county recorder of deeds. All these people do stuff,

695
00:36:38.039 --> 00:36:40.679
<v Speaker 5>and they're bad guys who come in and manipulate that

696
00:36:40.719 --> 00:36:43.199
<v Speaker 5>system too. But when I think about the future in

697
00:36:43.320 --> 00:36:47.239
<v Speaker 5>like copyright for example, or whose idea was this, who

698
00:36:47.239 --> 00:36:51.719
<v Speaker 5>took that photo? I think we can use blockchain as

699
00:36:51.760 --> 00:36:55.800
<v Speaker 5>a foundational layer to record who did what and when,

700
00:36:55.960 --> 00:36:58.360
<v Speaker 5>and that's going to be very valuable in the future.

701
00:36:58.400 --> 00:37:02.760
<v Speaker 2>But what do you think, Well, that's that's the power blockchain.

702
00:37:02.960 --> 00:37:05.719
<v Speaker 6>I mean, that's that's that's what we are all trying

703
00:37:06.119 --> 00:37:10.159
<v Speaker 6>espressly the web tree, right, trying to promote decentralization, you know,

704
00:37:10.280 --> 00:37:13.039
<v Speaker 6>the blockchain. You talk about the benefits of it, right,

705
00:37:13.039 --> 00:37:15.760
<v Speaker 6>I think that there's a lot of I think every

706
00:37:15.800 --> 00:37:19.079
<v Speaker 6>sector uh is going to be impacted, right or it's

707
00:37:19.119 --> 00:37:22.199
<v Speaker 6>going to benefit right from the adoption of blockchain, right,

708
00:37:23.119 --> 00:37:25.960
<v Speaker 6>you're going to see not just not just you know

709
00:37:26.559 --> 00:37:29.360
<v Speaker 6>we're talking about copyright, right, it could be supply chain

710
00:37:29.400 --> 00:37:31.000
<v Speaker 6>where the supplies are coming from.

711
00:37:31.280 --> 00:37:33.360
<v Speaker 2>Right, it could be music.

712
00:37:33.199 --> 00:37:38.679
<v Speaker 6>Right, uh, copyright music, copyright movies, or even togonization Like

713
00:37:38.840 --> 00:37:42.039
<v Speaker 6>togalization is actually a very big sector because a lot

714
00:37:42.079 --> 00:37:43.960
<v Speaker 6>of things today that we we we have to be

715
00:37:44.000 --> 00:37:48.360
<v Speaker 6>all physical, right, the physical asset. Imagine being able to

716
00:37:48.400 --> 00:37:51.239
<v Speaker 6>take all the physical asset in the world, right, all

717
00:37:51.280 --> 00:37:55.760
<v Speaker 6>the real asset could that that could be properties, you know, companies, equities,

718
00:37:56.599 --> 00:38:00.239
<v Speaker 6>goal and so forth, and you tognize them and and

719
00:38:00.280 --> 00:38:02.719
<v Speaker 6>having tokenized them knowingly that you can keep a record

720
00:38:02.719 --> 00:38:05.239
<v Speaker 6>of all these assets. At the same time you're able

721
00:38:05.280 --> 00:38:09.519
<v Speaker 6>to trun for the asset seems right anyway, cross border

722
00:38:09.639 --> 00:38:13.960
<v Speaker 6>right right. So plus, I mean it's a it's it's

723
00:38:14.039 --> 00:38:16.599
<v Speaker 6>mind blowing and and and that's that's the reason why

724
00:38:17.199 --> 00:38:20.199
<v Speaker 6>I have I've gone into blockchain some some eight years ago.

725
00:38:20.199 --> 00:38:21.920
<v Speaker 2>When I when I when I took a.

726
00:38:21.880 --> 00:38:24.840
<v Speaker 6>Look at the power of what you could do and

727
00:38:24.880 --> 00:38:27.719
<v Speaker 6>the potential that we can impact business in the future.

728
00:38:27.760 --> 00:38:29.960
<v Speaker 2>I just I just think that there is massive.

729
00:38:30.280 --> 00:38:33.119
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think you're right, and you so like in

730
00:38:33.159 --> 00:38:36.920
<v Speaker 5>the risk management world, in the financial services world, clearing

731
00:38:36.960 --> 00:38:40.239
<v Speaker 5>houses things of this nature. To your point, if you

732
00:38:40.400 --> 00:38:43.719
<v Speaker 5>have a sophisticated blockchain system underneath a lot of that

733
00:38:43.760 --> 00:38:46.760
<v Speaker 5>stuff becomes very easy. You could transfer the assets, move

734
00:38:46.800 --> 00:38:49.800
<v Speaker 5>them all around, and have a record and immutable record.

735
00:38:50.320 --> 00:38:53.159
<v Speaker 5>I remember Madge, I think the guy's name was, who

736
00:38:53.199 --> 00:38:54.800
<v Speaker 5>for a short period of time was the see I

737
00:38:54.840 --> 00:38:57.840
<v Speaker 5>think the CFL maybe for Twitter, and he's the guy

738
00:38:57.840 --> 00:39:01.480
<v Speaker 5>who testified before Congress, and that from what he had learned,

739
00:39:02.199 --> 00:39:05.840
<v Speaker 5>any number of developers at Twitter had root level access

740
00:39:06.280 --> 00:39:08.480
<v Speaker 5>and you could go in and change something. You could

741
00:39:08.519 --> 00:39:12.079
<v Speaker 5>change data like a in a thread for example, and

742
00:39:12.119 --> 00:39:14.519
<v Speaker 5>then there's no log file, or you could actually delete

743
00:39:14.559 --> 00:39:16.559
<v Speaker 5>the log file. And I've heard of that in some

744
00:39:16.599 --> 00:39:19.960
<v Speaker 5>other instances too, and it's like, well, that's not immutable.

745
00:39:20.360 --> 00:39:23.000
<v Speaker 5>It's the point is like, that's mutable. Like if you

746
00:39:23.039 --> 00:39:24.800
<v Speaker 5>can go in and delete the log file and that

747
00:39:25.000 --> 00:39:28.159
<v Speaker 5>you know, you change something, that's no bueno. Right, That's

748
00:39:28.199 --> 00:39:30.800
<v Speaker 5>not good, Which is why I think we need some

749
00:39:31.079 --> 00:39:35.079
<v Speaker 5>level of blockchain to underpin these systems. Right, to have

750
00:39:35.199 --> 00:39:38.440
<v Speaker 5>the true system of record that keeps check of everything

751
00:39:38.480 --> 00:39:41.119
<v Speaker 5>that happened, so you can undwind anything. You can run

752
00:39:41.159 --> 00:39:43.480
<v Speaker 5>an AUDITAI, you could do impact analysis all that kind

753
00:39:43.480 --> 00:39:46.639
<v Speaker 5>of stuff. That again is another power of blockchain. What

754
00:39:46.639 --> 00:39:48.400
<v Speaker 5>do you think I mean.

755
00:39:48.400 --> 00:39:53.400
<v Speaker 6>Government should love this, right, imagine a wall way, imagine

756
00:39:53.519 --> 00:39:58.519
<v Speaker 6>all the all the invoicing, right, all the revenue big

757
00:39:58.599 --> 00:39:59.719
<v Speaker 6>capture on the blockchain.

758
00:40:00.679 --> 00:40:00.920
<v Speaker 2>Right.

759
00:40:01.719 --> 00:40:04.119
<v Speaker 6>So if you if you capture all the accounting on

760
00:40:04.159 --> 00:40:07.199
<v Speaker 6>the blockchain, you don't need to do audit anymore because

761
00:40:07.320 --> 00:40:08.880
<v Speaker 6>it will self audit on his own.

762
00:40:09.800 --> 00:40:12.480
<v Speaker 2>That's right, right, that's right and right.

763
00:40:12.559 --> 00:40:14.679
<v Speaker 6>And not only did he sell audit on his own

764
00:40:15.000 --> 00:40:16.519
<v Speaker 6>automatically the.

765
00:40:17.000 --> 00:40:20.239
<v Speaker 2>Taxes, yeah right, this is the thing.

766
00:40:20.719 --> 00:40:23.159
<v Speaker 5>Right, So it's like you look at tax preparation. I

767
00:40:23.159 --> 00:40:26.480
<v Speaker 5>remember I was, I got QuickBooks, and I'm sitting there

768
00:40:26.679 --> 00:40:28.760
<v Speaker 5>and banging through all this quickbook stuff and I'm trying

769
00:40:28.800 --> 00:40:32.159
<v Speaker 5>to do my taxes for corporate taxes, and I realized,

770
00:40:32.239 --> 00:40:35.119
<v Speaker 5>you know, this should not be that difficult. And you

771
00:40:35.159 --> 00:40:38.199
<v Speaker 5>see it now in QuickBooks where they you start typing

772
00:40:38.239 --> 00:40:41.039
<v Speaker 5>in a company name and go, oh is it this company.

773
00:40:40.719 --> 00:40:41.400
<v Speaker 2>With this address?

774
00:40:41.519 --> 00:40:44.639
<v Speaker 5>Like, oh, yeah, actually it is. Well, a restaurant obviously

775
00:40:44.679 --> 00:40:48.639
<v Speaker 5>sells food. An accounting firm does accounting. You can tell

776
00:40:48.679 --> 00:40:52.079
<v Speaker 5>by the registration of the companies what they do, and

777
00:40:52.119 --> 00:40:54.840
<v Speaker 5>that should be also very good for auditing and for

778
00:40:55.039 --> 00:40:58.360
<v Speaker 5>automating the process of doing your taxes, like this is

779
00:40:58.400 --> 00:41:01.039
<v Speaker 5>a hard cost for my big business. Take it off

780
00:41:01.079 --> 00:41:03.400
<v Speaker 5>the bottom, take off the top line. Like, so, I

781
00:41:03.400 --> 00:41:05.840
<v Speaker 5>think we are getting close to that. But to your point,

782
00:41:05.880 --> 00:41:07.880
<v Speaker 5>there are a lot of people try to stop that

783
00:41:07.960 --> 00:41:10.039
<v Speaker 5>from happening because their jobs are going to go away.

784
00:41:10.079 --> 00:41:15.920
<v Speaker 2>What do you think, Well, well, definitely, definitely.

785
00:41:15.920 --> 00:41:18.800
<v Speaker 6>This is this is a point that I always said, right,

786
00:41:19.840 --> 00:41:23.039
<v Speaker 6>technology is a man to make our lives easier, right,

787
00:41:23.719 --> 00:41:27.719
<v Speaker 6>And and if you don't, if you don't reskill yourself,

788
00:41:28.119 --> 00:41:31.719
<v Speaker 6>or if you don't relearn something new, right, then you're

789
00:41:31.719 --> 00:41:34.480
<v Speaker 6>going to have no job period, right right, right right,

790
00:41:34.760 --> 00:41:37.519
<v Speaker 6>And and there's no no way that you can stop technology,

791
00:41:37.760 --> 00:41:41.360
<v Speaker 6>no way, right. Blocking will come AI will come up

792
00:41:41.400 --> 00:41:44.440
<v Speaker 6>to your job, uh and and they will come a

793
00:41:44.519 --> 00:41:46.679
<v Speaker 6>day where everything is going to be, you know, very

794
00:41:46.719 --> 00:41:50.719
<v Speaker 6>crackable because now not only that it's crackable, it's also.

795
00:41:50.599 --> 00:41:53.679
<v Speaker 2>Immutable, right, so every record is being kept.

796
00:41:54.159 --> 00:41:57.119
<v Speaker 6>So imagine a world where if everything is being tracked

797
00:41:57.119 --> 00:42:00.880
<v Speaker 6>on the blockchain, there's no money laundering, right exactly where

798
00:42:00.920 --> 00:42:03.719
<v Speaker 6>all the moneys are being found? Where where are the

799
00:42:04.079 --> 00:42:07.800
<v Speaker 6>transaction taking place where what time and and and everything

800
00:42:07.840 --> 00:42:10.599
<v Speaker 6>is trackable and that that day will come, and that

801
00:42:10.679 --> 00:42:12.960
<v Speaker 6>day will come. Now, of course there's going to be

802
00:42:13.000 --> 00:42:15.719
<v Speaker 6>a lot of resistance, right, just like you know how

803
00:42:15.920 --> 00:42:21.840
<v Speaker 6>people are resisting e V, how people once resisted the internet,

804
00:42:22.039 --> 00:42:25.280
<v Speaker 6>and and I mean it's it's it's common, right and

805
00:42:25.480 --> 00:42:30.639
<v Speaker 6>now uh, you know you've got people who's also resisting AI. Now, yeah,

806
00:42:30.639 --> 00:42:32.760
<v Speaker 6>it's going to come after your job, regard like it

807
00:42:32.840 --> 00:42:35.280
<v Speaker 6>or not, right, you know, they will come at a

808
00:42:35.320 --> 00:42:38.519
<v Speaker 6>time where many people are going to lose their job,

809
00:42:38.559 --> 00:42:42.119
<v Speaker 6>and and many jobs have already been replaced, especially in

810
00:42:42.159 --> 00:42:46.800
<v Speaker 6>the financial sector. Imagine all the analysis that that was

811
00:42:46.840 --> 00:42:48.320
<v Speaker 6>done by an analyst.

812
00:42:48.840 --> 00:42:52.960
<v Speaker 2>AI can do that that's right, right, right.

813
00:42:52.840 --> 00:42:56.280
<v Speaker 6>And and anything that that can can be written, you know,

814
00:42:56.320 --> 00:43:01.000
<v Speaker 6>the books done by copywriter journalism. Yeah, I can do

815
00:43:01.239 --> 00:43:04.000
<v Speaker 6>a much faster job. I remember I was just telling

816
00:43:04.039 --> 00:43:06.440
<v Speaker 6>my friends. You know, in good old days, I need

817
00:43:06.559 --> 00:43:10.000
<v Speaker 6>like at least you know, a day or two to

818
00:43:10.039 --> 00:43:11.840
<v Speaker 6>prepare a PowerPoint for presentation.

819
00:43:12.639 --> 00:43:16.239
<v Speaker 2>Right these days, I can do like twenty in a day. Yeah.

820
00:43:16.039 --> 00:43:20.480
<v Speaker 6>So if you if you know how to harness you know, technology,

821
00:43:20.519 --> 00:43:24.320
<v Speaker 6>it can really benefit you and increase your productive productivity

822
00:43:24.400 --> 00:43:28.039
<v Speaker 6>by by leaps and bound really. But at the same time,

823
00:43:28.119 --> 00:43:30.320
<v Speaker 6>if you if you if you sit and do nothing,

824
00:43:31.039 --> 00:43:32.239
<v Speaker 6>it will work against you.

825
00:43:32.760 --> 00:43:33.599
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

826
00:43:34.760 --> 00:43:36.239
<v Speaker 2>It similarly like any other technology.

827
00:43:36.239 --> 00:43:38.119
<v Speaker 6>I mean, And to me, I I don't have a

828
00:43:38.119 --> 00:43:40.159
<v Speaker 6>specifically love from any technology because to.

829
00:43:40.119 --> 00:43:40.719
<v Speaker 2>Me, it's a tool.

830
00:43:41.480 --> 00:43:44.400
<v Speaker 6>It's a tool to get humanity to the next level.

831
00:43:45.159 --> 00:43:47.280
<v Speaker 6>And you know, and not only that, it gets the

832
00:43:47.320 --> 00:43:50.159
<v Speaker 6>next level. So so the next level would mean how

833
00:43:50.679 --> 00:43:54.239
<v Speaker 6>how that technology and enhance our line and so that

834
00:43:54.400 --> 00:43:57.000
<v Speaker 6>we can go on and do things that we love

835
00:43:57.159 --> 00:44:00.039
<v Speaker 6>and leaving those mundane jobs right to the AI to

836
00:44:00.079 --> 00:44:03.039
<v Speaker 6>do it right, like how it aim takes over the

837
00:44:03.079 --> 00:44:06.559
<v Speaker 6>job of a judge, right of a low entry lawyer.

838
00:44:06.719 --> 00:44:09.599
<v Speaker 6>I mean, I think a lot of easy job AI

839
00:44:09.679 --> 00:44:11.079
<v Speaker 6>will do a much better job.

840
00:44:11.760 --> 00:44:13.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think you're right about that. And it does

841
00:44:13.840 --> 00:44:16.440
<v Speaker 5>the tedious stuff. To your point, you don't No one

842
00:44:16.480 --> 00:44:18.519
<v Speaker 5>wants to do tedious work. No one wants to pour

843
00:44:18.599 --> 00:44:22.639
<v Speaker 5>over ten thousand documents to find the seventeen that are

844
00:44:22.679 --> 00:44:26.079
<v Speaker 5>missing a particular field. And that's something that AI and

845
00:44:26.119 --> 00:44:29.719
<v Speaker 5>automation can do in seconds, just scan through, Oh these

846
00:44:29.719 --> 00:44:31.639
<v Speaker 5>are the seventeen. You know, it's going to be very

847
00:44:31.639 --> 00:44:34.920
<v Speaker 5>good for pointing out what else needs to be done.

848
00:44:35.000 --> 00:44:39.440
<v Speaker 5>It'll find things. Now Again, these models, depending upon the models,

849
00:44:39.480 --> 00:44:42.400
<v Speaker 5>they are not perfect and they probably never will be perfect,

850
00:44:42.679 --> 00:44:44.960
<v Speaker 5>nor will human beings. Human beings aren't going to be perfect.

851
00:44:45.079 --> 00:44:46.920
<v Speaker 5>But I will say that at least in the old

852
00:44:47.000 --> 00:44:51.119
<v Speaker 5>days of database technology ACID transactions, as we talk about,

853
00:44:51.360 --> 00:44:54.119
<v Speaker 5>they were designed to deliver what is in that information

854
00:44:54.760 --> 00:44:57.599
<v Speaker 5>system or that system of record. So AI is not

855
00:44:57.599 --> 00:45:00.159
<v Speaker 5>going to take over everything, but it is going to

856
00:45:00.239 --> 00:45:06.920
<v Speaker 5>be an augmentation an analysis tool, and an automation tool

857
00:45:07.159 --> 00:45:09.880
<v Speaker 5>and a quality assurance tool. I mean, that's that's kind

858
00:45:09.880 --> 00:45:12.480
<v Speaker 5>of what some of these other folks are focused on now.

859
00:45:12.719 --> 00:45:15.519
<v Speaker 5>On the far end of an output from an LM

860
00:45:16.000 --> 00:45:18.639
<v Speaker 5>is some kind of a QA process. But folks don't

861
00:45:18.679 --> 00:45:20.840
<v Speaker 5>touch out to podcast ponus segment is coming up next

862
00:45:20.880 --> 00:45:26.840
<v Speaker 5>on Inside Analysis. All right, folks are back here on

863
00:45:26.920 --> 00:45:30.199
<v Speaker 5>Inside Analysis. You're truly Eric Kavanaugh with the legendary Alvin Fou.

864
00:45:30.280 --> 00:45:33.199
<v Speaker 5>We're talking all things AI and crypto and blockchain and

865
00:45:33.400 --> 00:45:35.639
<v Speaker 5>what's coming, what's happening. And I just shared with him

866
00:45:36.039 --> 00:45:39.480
<v Speaker 5>my thoughts on the death of journalism and my speech

867
00:45:39.559 --> 00:45:42.519
<v Speaker 5>at the Javit Center earlier this year where I ask people,

868
00:45:42.559 --> 00:45:44.559
<v Speaker 5>do you know where inflation came from? No one had

869
00:45:44.599 --> 00:45:47.760
<v Speaker 5>any idea. I showed them a chart where you see

870
00:45:47.840 --> 00:45:50.199
<v Speaker 5>the price of gas on average in America went from

871
00:45:50.320 --> 00:45:53.639
<v Speaker 5>under two dollars to over five dollars inside like a

872
00:45:53.719 --> 00:45:56.679
<v Speaker 5>year and four or five months, which is a shocking

873
00:45:56.760 --> 00:45:59.639
<v Speaker 5>spike in price. Well, of course that affects everything. Is

874
00:45:59.679 --> 00:46:03.639
<v Speaker 5>everything has to be shipped around, food products, whatever, is

875
00:46:03.679 --> 00:46:07.400
<v Speaker 5>a factor. But more than anything, it's monetary policy. And

876
00:46:07.440 --> 00:46:09.320
<v Speaker 5>when you just go and print money, which is what

877
00:46:09.360 --> 00:46:12.239
<v Speaker 5>you do with THEAC currency, this is print money. Every

878
00:46:12.280 --> 00:46:14.079
<v Speaker 5>time you print a dollar, the value of every other

879
00:46:14.079 --> 00:46:16.119
<v Speaker 5>dollar goes down a little teeny tiny bit. And if

880
00:46:16.159 --> 00:46:19.400
<v Speaker 5>you print freaking five to ten trillion dollars in a

881
00:46:19.440 --> 00:46:22.360
<v Speaker 5>short period of time, that's what's going to cause inflation.

882
00:46:22.440 --> 00:46:25.400
<v Speaker 5>And Alvin, what really pissed me off, to be honest,

883
00:46:25.880 --> 00:46:28.920
<v Speaker 5>was that the storyline here in America and the American

884
00:46:28.960 --> 00:46:32.239
<v Speaker 5>media back when this was happening was, oh, inflation is global.

885
00:46:32.599 --> 00:46:35.119
<v Speaker 5>They kept saying that inflation is global, implying that it's

886
00:46:35.119 --> 00:46:37.400
<v Speaker 5>not our fault. I'm like, well, you're right, it is global.

887
00:46:37.760 --> 00:46:41.079
<v Speaker 5>That's a true statement, but it doesn't nullify my statement,

888
00:46:41.079 --> 00:46:43.280
<v Speaker 5>which is that the printing of money caused the inflation.

889
00:46:43.719 --> 00:46:46.719
<v Speaker 5>So we did cause inflation, and that hit everybody in

890
00:46:46.840 --> 00:46:50.639
<v Speaker 5>the world. I was in Belgium in I guess it

891
00:46:50.719 --> 00:46:53.400
<v Speaker 5>was what it was like two and a half years

892
00:46:53.400 --> 00:46:56.519
<v Speaker 5>ago maybe, and the cab driver was telling us that

893
00:46:56.559 --> 00:46:59.440
<v Speaker 5>the elderly people in Belgium, many of them don't even

894
00:46:59.519 --> 00:47:01.760
<v Speaker 5>drive any they don't go anywhere. They're stuck in their

895
00:47:01.800 --> 00:47:04.679
<v Speaker 5>homes because they're unfixed income and they can't afford the

896
00:47:04.719 --> 00:47:08.280
<v Speaker 5>petrol to even go visit their child two hours away

897
00:47:08.320 --> 00:47:13.000
<v Speaker 5>by car. So this affected everybody. It's not a story

898
00:47:13.039 --> 00:47:15.559
<v Speaker 5>that the media talks about, which I find bizarre. I

899
00:47:15.599 --> 00:47:18.440
<v Speaker 5>think it's political, to be honest. But what do you

900
00:47:18.440 --> 00:47:20.000
<v Speaker 5>think about this, and what do you think about how

901
00:47:20.079 --> 00:47:24.199
<v Speaker 5>how does that map to blockchains meteoric rise, Because of

902
00:47:24.199 --> 00:47:27.440
<v Speaker 5>course blockchain is not fiat currency. It does have a

903
00:47:27.559 --> 00:47:32.119
<v Speaker 5>specific set amount of coins to be mined and as such,

904
00:47:32.440 --> 00:47:35.360
<v Speaker 5>and I believe it was designed as a hedge for

905
00:47:35.480 --> 00:47:38.119
<v Speaker 5>fiat currency. That's my theory. And if you look back

906
00:47:38.159 --> 00:47:40.000
<v Speaker 5>and see when the paper was written and when all

907
00:47:40.039 --> 00:47:42.159
<v Speaker 5>that stuff happened, well guess what it was like back

908
00:47:42.159 --> 00:47:45.000
<v Speaker 5>in two thousand and seven eight timeframe. So it was

909
00:47:45.119 --> 00:47:51.239
<v Speaker 5>either remarkably precient or at least coincidentally timed with this

910
00:47:51.400 --> 00:47:54.519
<v Speaker 5>collapse of our or near collapse of our financial system.

911
00:47:54.519 --> 00:47:55.440
<v Speaker 5>But what do you think about all that?

912
00:47:57.039 --> 00:48:00.000
<v Speaker 6>I think the man, the person who wrote this right

913
00:48:00.480 --> 00:48:06.320
<v Speaker 6>certainly was impacted by the event, right uh and and

914
00:48:06.320 --> 00:48:09.880
<v Speaker 6>and because of this event that has impacted him, that

915
00:48:09.960 --> 00:48:16.519
<v Speaker 6>he lost trust in this in this centralized system. That

916
00:48:16.519 --> 00:48:21.199
<v Speaker 6>that pushed him right to rewrite the whole concept of bitcoin,

917
00:48:21.840 --> 00:48:23.480
<v Speaker 6>which is it lives, it lives.

918
00:48:23.239 --> 00:48:24.159
<v Speaker 2>In the decentralies.

919
00:48:24.199 --> 00:48:30.000
<v Speaker 6>Well right, Uh, it's defictionary with twenty one million bitcoin

920
00:48:30.039 --> 00:48:33.239
<v Speaker 6>that's going to be emitted, you know up until it's

921
00:48:33.239 --> 00:48:35.880
<v Speaker 6>still about maybe a hundred years from now, But every

922
00:48:35.880 --> 00:48:39.440
<v Speaker 6>four years it's going to half, right, So it's going

923
00:48:39.480 --> 00:48:41.199
<v Speaker 6>to be less and lesser and less, a big cooin

924
00:48:41.280 --> 00:48:44.880
<v Speaker 6>along the way. So that's why the concept of bitcoin

925
00:48:44.920 --> 00:48:49.719
<v Speaker 6>has always been a hedge over year, right, right, Because one,

926
00:48:49.840 --> 00:48:52.039
<v Speaker 6>on the one hand, you get you get the fats

927
00:48:52.079 --> 00:48:56.360
<v Speaker 6>who are constantly printing more money I think right now

928
00:48:56.480 --> 00:49:01.159
<v Speaker 6>is about a trillion dollars every hundred days, right, uh,

929
00:49:01.239 --> 00:49:05.000
<v Speaker 6>and and and you and you have bitcoin that's deflationary,

930
00:49:05.519 --> 00:49:07.840
<v Speaker 6>and there's going to be less and lesson bitcoin. And

931
00:49:07.880 --> 00:49:11.840
<v Speaker 6>that's why you have companies at MicroStrategy accumulating lots of bitcoin.

932
00:49:12.400 --> 00:49:14.039
<v Speaker 2>And not only my strategy is doing that.

933
00:49:14.079 --> 00:49:17.159
<v Speaker 6>There are lots of companies UH in Corporate America and

934
00:49:17.199 --> 00:49:21.559
<v Speaker 6>also now companies in Japan and Singapore and even China

935
00:49:21.760 --> 00:49:26.280
<v Speaker 6>right acquiring uh a bitcoin and and putting that on

936
00:49:26.360 --> 00:49:31.480
<v Speaker 6>the balance. Now, if you believe that, that's why it's heading,

937
00:49:31.639 --> 00:49:34.239
<v Speaker 6>you know, And and I don't think the money supply,

938
00:49:35.719 --> 00:49:38.519
<v Speaker 6>the money printing will stop ever. So I don't think

939
00:49:38.559 --> 00:49:42.559
<v Speaker 6>because because unless if they can game change their current

940
00:49:42.599 --> 00:49:49.400
<v Speaker 6>deficit massively, right, the current interest repayment alone is more

941
00:49:49.480 --> 00:49:53.639
<v Speaker 6>than a trillion dollars, right, is bigger than the entire

942
00:49:53.920 --> 00:49:57.519
<v Speaker 6>you know, the annual defense budget of the US. That's

943
00:49:57.599 --> 00:50:02.599
<v Speaker 6>just interest repayment. So unless I'm drastic, is changed on

944
00:50:02.639 --> 00:50:05.360
<v Speaker 6>the deficit, you're going to end up keep keeping you know,

945
00:50:05.360 --> 00:50:07.239
<v Speaker 6>you're you're going to end up printing more money.

946
00:50:07.599 --> 00:50:08.960
<v Speaker 2>And I think bitcoin is the answer.

947
00:50:09.039 --> 00:50:13.119
<v Speaker 6>Bit Bitcoin is a solution right to the FIAT prom

948
00:50:13.639 --> 00:50:16.119
<v Speaker 6>in in the US. And I think that's the that's

949
00:50:16.280 --> 00:50:18.599
<v Speaker 6>that's probably the only way that I can see. And

950
00:50:18.639 --> 00:50:21.480
<v Speaker 6>I think my I think Mike Sailor has coined up.

951
00:50:21.519 --> 00:50:23.920
<v Speaker 6>You know, I'm not going to go to Mike Casaida.

952
00:50:23.960 --> 00:50:25.599
<v Speaker 6>I think a lot of people must have read about him.

953
00:50:25.920 --> 00:50:28.320
<v Speaker 6>I think the idea behind it being a digital capital,

954
00:50:28.679 --> 00:50:32.480
<v Speaker 6>a digital goal as as as as a hedging and

955
00:50:32.559 --> 00:50:36.800
<v Speaker 6>at the same time, right for potentially using bitcoin that

956
00:50:36.960 --> 00:50:39.920
<v Speaker 6>to repay the the United States.

957
00:50:39.960 --> 00:50:42.079
<v Speaker 2>You know that that's been there has been.

958
00:50:42.119 --> 00:50:45.119
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think right now it's like thirty six strellion dollars.

959
00:50:45.239 --> 00:50:48.719
<v Speaker 6>And if you at the at the trajectory that bitcoin

960
00:50:48.840 --> 00:50:52.599
<v Speaker 6>is going in value at some point, I think, you know,

961
00:50:52.639 --> 00:50:55.800
<v Speaker 6>you you could probably use bitcoin right as a payback

962
00:50:55.880 --> 00:50:58.960
<v Speaker 6>to your debts. And that's that's potentially. That's that's that's

963
00:50:59.000 --> 00:51:01.400
<v Speaker 6>put that's quite potentially if you look at the jectory

964
00:51:01.440 --> 00:51:04.480
<v Speaker 6>of what's the value of bitcoin is going to be

965
00:51:04.719 --> 00:51:08.039
<v Speaker 6>in twenty one years from now where you know, Michael said,

966
00:51:08.039 --> 00:51:11.079
<v Speaker 6>the sale already even at base right, they have got

967
00:51:11.199 --> 00:51:15.400
<v Speaker 6>three model, the base model, the bowl case, and also

968
00:51:15.519 --> 00:51:17.199
<v Speaker 6>the bad case.

969
00:51:17.519 --> 00:51:20.119
<v Speaker 2>Even for the bad cases about four million dollars.

970
00:51:20.559 --> 00:51:25.480
<v Speaker 6>Right, the base case is like thirteen million dollars and

971
00:51:25.719 --> 00:51:28.599
<v Speaker 6>the bowl case is forty nine million dollars.

972
00:51:29.559 --> 00:51:31.559
<v Speaker 2>So if you multiply the.

973
00:51:33.119 --> 00:51:37.199
<v Speaker 6>Bitcoin reserve, that trumpet has been has been promoting, right,

974
00:51:37.320 --> 00:51:39.800
<v Speaker 6>you know, trying that the miss is also trying to

975
00:51:39.880 --> 00:51:40.880
<v Speaker 6>push through Congress.

976
00:51:40.960 --> 00:51:42.559
<v Speaker 2>Right, that's going to be like what.

977
00:51:44.880 --> 00:51:47.199
<v Speaker 6>One million of bitcoin in the next five years, So

978
00:51:47.239 --> 00:51:50.519
<v Speaker 6>trying to acquire two thousands of bitcoins annually.

979
00:51:50.880 --> 00:51:52.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean that's doable, right.

980
00:51:52.920 --> 00:51:56.039
<v Speaker 6>I Mean my thinking is that if America could print money,

981
00:51:56.400 --> 00:51:59.440
<v Speaker 6>why not print more money and buy more bitcoin? Right?

982
00:52:00.480 --> 00:52:02.920
<v Speaker 5>That's crazy, right? So wild?

983
00:52:03.239 --> 00:52:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

984
00:52:03.800 --> 00:52:07.000
<v Speaker 6>And I mean if I can print money out of Tina,

985
00:52:07.079 --> 00:52:08.840
<v Speaker 6>I would print more money out of Tina and then

986
00:52:08.880 --> 00:52:09.679
<v Speaker 6>buy more bitcoin.

987
00:52:10.679 --> 00:52:13.920
<v Speaker 2>Right? Why would I? Right?

988
00:52:14.280 --> 00:52:17.119
<v Speaker 6>Why why am I printing money and and then giving

989
00:52:17.480 --> 00:52:19.639
<v Speaker 6>giving to countries you know with lost costs?

990
00:52:19.719 --> 00:52:19.840
<v Speaker 3>Right?

991
00:52:19.880 --> 00:52:21.239
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to name all those countries.

992
00:52:21.280 --> 00:52:22.920
<v Speaker 6>I mean, I don't want to get too political, but

993
00:52:22.960 --> 00:52:25.239
<v Speaker 6>the fact is that if they can print more money,

994
00:52:26.199 --> 00:52:28.760
<v Speaker 6>they should print more money and buy bitcoin and a

995
00:52:28.840 --> 00:52:35.199
<v Speaker 6>bigcoin you know, price continues to increase. Right, then what's

996
00:52:35.239 --> 00:52:37.039
<v Speaker 6>what's the problem with printing more money?

997
00:52:37.280 --> 00:52:38.039
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

998
00:52:38.119 --> 00:52:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Right?

999
00:52:38.679 --> 00:52:40.920
<v Speaker 5>Well, and you know, speaking of money printing, and I'll

1000
00:52:40.960 --> 00:52:43.119
<v Speaker 5>just kind of close on this. I saw this story

1001
00:52:43.199 --> 00:52:47.480
<v Speaker 5>yesterday Javier Malay down in Argentina with his chainsaw and

1002
00:52:47.519 --> 00:52:48.599
<v Speaker 5>all this crazy stuff.

1003
00:52:48.880 --> 00:52:49.960
<v Speaker 2>He was saying.

1004
00:52:50.000 --> 00:52:53.599
<v Speaker 5>He was going to cut government spending and bring down inflation.

1005
00:52:53.880 --> 00:52:57.400
<v Speaker 5>And apparently Argentina now has a surplus. The government has

1006
00:52:57.440 --> 00:52:59.840
<v Speaker 5>a surplus in their budget for the first time and

1007
00:53:00.079 --> 00:53:06.320
<v Speaker 5>one and twenty three years, I mean, wowsers. So we

1008
00:53:06.360 --> 00:53:09.639
<v Speaker 5>are very inn l Salvador too, I think the president

1009
00:53:09.639 --> 00:53:12.480
<v Speaker 5>of El Salvador also invested heavily in bitcoin and of

1010
00:53:12.480 --> 00:53:15.800
<v Speaker 5>course was ridiculed. Well, it's like, geez, he's looking pretty

1011
00:53:15.800 --> 00:53:18.559
<v Speaker 5>good now, rightly, Christmas.

1012
00:53:18.880 --> 00:53:20.079
<v Speaker 2>This is a huge bel.

1013
00:53:20.719 --> 00:53:24.239
<v Speaker 6>Ye, I mean El Salvadore bitcoin holding is now at

1014
00:53:24.360 --> 00:53:27.440
<v Speaker 6>least you know, six hundred million dollars over six hundred million.

1015
00:53:27.239 --> 00:53:29.159
<v Speaker 2>Dollars, right and yet debt crazy.

1016
00:53:29.519 --> 00:53:33.719
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that that death is about eighty million dollars to IMS,

1017
00:53:34.039 --> 00:53:36.760
<v Speaker 6>so she could easily pay back already. So so there's

1018
00:53:36.800 --> 00:53:40.360
<v Speaker 6>not a non issue, I think at the end of

1019
00:53:40.400 --> 00:53:44.239
<v Speaker 6>the day, right for corporate America, for America, I think

1020
00:53:44.440 --> 00:53:48.800
<v Speaker 6>the way to solve this long term problem bitcoin reserve

1021
00:53:49.360 --> 00:53:54.519
<v Speaker 6>is certainly one one solution, and al Salvado has proven

1022
00:53:54.559 --> 00:53:57.440
<v Speaker 6>that and putting the right leaders around the country like

1023
00:53:57.559 --> 00:53:59.280
<v Speaker 6>Argentina has also proven that.

1024
00:53:59.320 --> 00:54:01.000
<v Speaker 2>So so maybe Trump, as.

1025
00:54:00.880 --> 00:54:03.159
<v Speaker 6>Much as a lot of people may not agree or

1026
00:54:03.199 --> 00:54:04.679
<v Speaker 6>may not like him, but The fact is, I think

1027
00:54:04.719 --> 00:54:07.719
<v Speaker 6>if there's one person who can fix that problem, I

1028
00:54:07.760 --> 00:54:11.239
<v Speaker 6>think I think Trump and his and his team which

1029
00:54:11.280 --> 00:54:15.599
<v Speaker 6>included Elon Mass and I'll just right they they are

1030
00:54:15.599 --> 00:54:17.559
<v Speaker 6>in a position to solve this problem.

1031
00:54:18.079 --> 00:54:19.880
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I love it. What a great way to end

1032
00:54:19.880 --> 00:54:22.639
<v Speaker 5>the show. Alvin Food. Look this gentleman up online LinkedIn.

1033
00:54:22.639 --> 00:54:25.760
<v Speaker 5>He's got a huge following, something like four hundred thousand followers,

1034
00:54:26.119 --> 00:54:30.559
<v Speaker 5>always sharing excellent fun content, very insightful, very incisive. Loved

1035
00:54:30.599 --> 00:54:32.159
<v Speaker 5>Have you on the show. Look him up, folks, We'll

1036
00:54:32.159 --> 00:54:33.960
<v Speaker 5>talk to you next time. Send me an email info

1037
00:54:33.960 --> 00:54:35.440
<v Speaker 5>at inside analysis dot com if you want to be

1038
00:54:35.440 --> 00:54:36.760
<v Speaker 5>in the show. We'll talk to you next time. You've

1039
00:54:36.760 --> 00:54:41.280
<v Speaker 5>been listening to Inside Analysis.

1040
00:54:40.239 --> 00:54:43.719
<v Speaker 8>Now you can listen to casey AA radio anytime on

1041
00:54:43.760 --> 00:54:47.199
<v Speaker 8>your smartphone device call seven two oh eight three five

1042
00:54:47.360 --> 00:54:50.719
<v Speaker 8>three oh nine nine seven two oh eight three five

1043
00:54:50.880 --> 00:54:53.599
<v Speaker 8>three oh nine nine.

1044
00:54:55.559 --> 00:54:57.679
<v Speaker 9>And these times sometimes you have to take away the

1045
00:54:57.719 --> 00:55:01.800
<v Speaker 9>stress or dressed to impress. Transportation has just the ticket

1046
00:55:01.840 --> 00:55:04.320
<v Speaker 9>for you and your niece to relax, kick your feet

1047
00:55:04.360 --> 00:55:07.320
<v Speaker 9>up in style and makes new fund memories. Looking for

1048
00:55:07.360 --> 00:55:10.639
<v Speaker 9>a hassle free, comfortable ride experience the ultimate and luxury

1049
00:55:10.760 --> 00:55:14.760
<v Speaker 9>Transportation and as sleek, luxurious, black on black suv, private

1050
00:55:14.760 --> 00:55:19.199
<v Speaker 9>discrete rides, airport runs, sightseeing, proms, weddings and romantic date

1051
00:55:19.320 --> 00:55:23.159
<v Speaker 9>nights are all ahead in your future with lux transportation, karaoke,

1052
00:55:23.480 --> 00:55:27.039
<v Speaker 9>disability friendly and no problem. We're also senior citizen friendly too.

1053
00:55:27.199 --> 00:55:29.119
<v Speaker 9>Call it text mister Holland is to take away the

1054
00:55:29.119 --> 00:55:31.760
<v Speaker 9>stress at nine five to one three nine nine five

1055
00:55:31.840 --> 00:55:35.199
<v Speaker 9>four two five. That's nine five one three nine nine

1056
00:55:35.360 --> 00:55:38.199
<v Speaker 9>five four to two five lux transportation when you need

1057
00:55:38.239 --> 00:55:39.079
<v Speaker 9>the absolute best?

1058
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<v Speaker 10>What does it take to take on Alzheimer's? Awareness that

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<v Speaker 10>nearly two thirds of those diagnosed to women, including black women,

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<v Speaker 10>about screening and early detection. You have what it takes

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<v Speaker 10>to take on Alzheimer's. Learn about signs and screening at

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<v Speaker 10>California Department of Public Health.

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<v Speaker 11>Be responsible, don't drink and drive, choose a designated driver.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, this is Gary Garber. If you work out like

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<v Speaker 1>I'm always active, playing golf, working out, fixing up my

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<v Speaker 1>place right now, and I put it on in the

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<v Speaker 1>evening around my back and it gives me maximum pain relief.

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<v Speaker 1>ice bod, go to ice bodactive dot com and get

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<v Speaker 1>code KCA eight. Go to ice bodactive dot com.

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<v Speaker 12>What is your plan for your beneficiaries to manage your

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<v Speaker 12>final expenses when you pass away life insurance, nuity, bank accounts,

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<v Speaker 13>National average, which means no money's immediately available, and this

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<v Speaker 13>paid out in twenty four to forty eight hours out

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<v Speaker 13>a deficitary urge out a defity call us at one

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<v Speaker 13>A hundred.

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<v Speaker 12>Free zero six fifty eighty six.

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<v Speaker 3>Located in the heart of San Bernardino, California, the Teamsters

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<v Speaker 3>Local nineteen thirty two Training Center is designed to train

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<v Speaker 3>workers for high demand, good paying jobs and various industries

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<v Speaker 3>throughout the Inland Empire. If you want a pathway to

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<v Speaker 3>a high paying job and the respect that comes with

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<v Speaker 3>a union contract. Visit nineteen thirty two training center dot.

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<v Speaker 2>Org to enroll today.

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<v Speaker 3>That's nineteen thirty two Training Center dot org.

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<v Speaker 14>NBC News Radio. I'm Lisa Carton. A holiday season government

1114
00:59:14.840 --> 00:59:18.920
<v Speaker 14>shutdown has been averted. The House passed a stopgap measure Friday,

1115
00:59:19.000 --> 00:59:22.599
<v Speaker 14>with the Senate following suit, passing the bipartisan funding bill

1116
00:59:22.679 --> 00:59:25.400
<v Speaker 14>by a vote of eighty five to eleven. Senate Majority

1117
00:59:25.480 --> 00:59:27.719
<v Speaker 14>Leader Chuck Schumer praised the development.

1118
00:59:27.920 --> 00:59:32.360
<v Speaker 6>There will be no government shutdown right before Christmas. This

1119
00:59:32.639 --> 00:59:33.440
<v Speaker 6>is a good bill.

1120
00:59:33.760 --> 00:59:35.360
<v Speaker 2>It'll keep the government open.

1121
00:59:35.719 --> 00:59:39.480
<v Speaker 14>This capta chaotic week that saw President Electromp and Elong

1122
00:59:39.639 --> 00:59:42.480
<v Speaker 14>Musk cast doubt on whether an agreement could be reached.

1123
00:59:42.639 --> 00:59:46.599
<v Speaker 14>President Biden signed the measure on Saturday. President Electromp says

1124
00:59:46.599 --> 00:59:50.000
<v Speaker 14>the US may take back the Panama Canal. Speaking today

1125
00:59:50.000 --> 00:59:53.400
<v Speaker 14>at the Turning Point USA's America Fest in Arizona, Trump

1126
00:59:53.480 --> 00:59:56.440
<v Speaker 14>told the conservative crowd it will happen if Panama does

1127
00:59:56.519 --> 00:59:59.559
<v Speaker 14>not stop overcharging the US for use of the key

1128
00:59:59.599 --> 01:00:03.159
<v Speaker 14>Central American waterway. Trump called the fees being charged by

1129
01:00:03.239 --> 01:00:07.480
<v Speaker 14>Panama ridiculous and highly unfair. Lisa Carton NBC News Radio
