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Speaker 1: I find myself in a very peculiar position. I'm kind

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of in defending Jerome Powell, which I never thought I

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would do in my life, you know, carry for the

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life of me. I don't understand what the administration, who

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I support, is thinking when they say they want to

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fire Powell and cut interest rates to one percent.

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Speaker 2: You are listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network, where

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you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else

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to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial

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Survival Network.

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Speaker 3: Now more than ever.

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Speaker 2: Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your free

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newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever.

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Speaker 3: And welcome. You are listening to and watching the Financial

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Survival Network. I'm your host. Carrie Let's Michael Pento is

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on vacation, although as long as Michael has a phone,

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he's never really on vacation. In fact, he manages hundreds

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of millions of dollars, not with computers but with his iPhone.

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If you could believe it, that's how easy he's got

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the job down to.

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Speaker 1: Right Michael, Yeah, I'm in a beautiful Belmore New Jersey

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in the upstairs apartment of a close friend, and I

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forgot we were doing these interview But I'm here, here,

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my athletic freaky shirt on, and I'm ready to go.

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Speaker 3: So no, you know what Woody Allen said, ninety percent

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of life has showing up, right.

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Speaker 1: Well, I'm going to show up at the pick a

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ball courts in maybe about a half an hour, so

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let's see what happens.

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Speaker 3: All right. I'll say a prayer for you, because everybody

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that I know, except for one or two people, has

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sustained fairly significant injuries from a very low impact, low

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effort sport with jarring lateral movements, studden stops running backwards

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like I don't know how you do it?

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Speaker 1: Oh hey yeah, I'm so Just to digress for a second,

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I had preci gift significant concussion from doing a Frankenstein

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walk backwards and soup pine on my head, and then

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I popped a calf muscle and now I'm nursing a

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broken tendon in my foot as well as of displaced bones. Well,

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pick a bowl is very safe. I suggest everybody do it.

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Speaker 3: Just put a hell out. I think it's about as

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safe as the bright Line train, you know. Just talking

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a little Florida biz I wrote an article about this,

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The bright Line is unsafe at any speed. We thought

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there were only one hundred twenty six deaths bright line

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related since twenty seventeen, but the Miami Herald just came

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out with an expose. It's actually one hundred and eighty

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six deaths. So they've been covering it up. But I'm

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not so much worried about the carnage on the tracks

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in Florida. I'm worried about the carnage and the tracks

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coming out of Wall and Broad Street, right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the echoes building at the at the Federal Reserve.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So, what's what's going on here with the Federal Reserve.

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It seems like they got some pretty luxurious digs there.

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Central banking is good business, isn't it.

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Speaker 1: I find myself in a very peculiar position. I'm kind

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of in defending Jerome Powell, which I never thought I

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would do in my in my life, you know, carry

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for the life of me. I don't understand what the administration,

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who I support, is thinking when they say they want

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to fire Powell and cut interest rates to one percent.

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Now the curve the funds rate is for four and

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a quarter to four and a half, So it's just sowing. Know,

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we're talking about one percent, which is an over you know,

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a three hundred and twenty five basis point rate cut immediately.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess.

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Speaker 1: I guess inflation that has wiped out the middle class

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isn't good enough when you have sixty percent of Americans

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that have a networth of one thousand dollars or less.

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Sixty big zero? What are we doing here? But do

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we want to make home prices go up even faster

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and make them eve expensive? I don't understand it. So

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on what premise would you cut interest rates? Let's see

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the unemployment rate is is? I think it's four point

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one or four point two percent is historically very very

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very low. The stock market is at an all time

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record high valuation, home price to income ratios are an

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all time high. Credits reds are extremely tight. Financial conditions

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are extremely loose. We're not in a recession. GDP growth

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for this quarter is supposed to be about a little

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bit over two percent, and inflation is inflation carry has

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been above the Fed's asinine two percent target for fifty months.

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Speaker 3: Right now.

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Speaker 1: If I just told you, what if you just heard that,

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if you came from Mars and said, you know, I

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understand the federal reserves shorter is to maintain you know,

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a level prices, you know, stable prices. And I just

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told you all those things and you and I also

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said that the Fed has missed its target to the north,

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it's two percent target to the north for fifty months,

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and that target is moving further away.

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Speaker 3: In other words, the.

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Speaker 1: Inflation rate is moving further away from the target two.

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What do you think the conversation would be. It wouldn't

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be when are you going to cut rates? It shouldn't

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certainly shouldn't be when you're going to lower rates to

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one percent. It's gonna be when you're going to raise

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interest rates.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Well, and really historically, going back, you know, as

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far back as you can go, really, the rates are

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not out of line. They're kind of normalized. Now, if

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we need zero percent interest to keep this economy going,

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then we've got a real problem here, don't we. No,

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we not.

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Speaker 1: If we have a real problem. We have a tremendous

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credit bubble.

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Speaker 4: We have an an unbelievable equity bubble two hundred Well,

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the total market cap of equities is now two hundred

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and twelve percent of.

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Speaker 1: GDP, so it's more than double the size of the

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entire US economy. Now, the normal relationship there's around ninety

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to one hundred percent, that's just normal. So that means

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stock prices could drop fifty percent and still be above

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valuation historical valuations. That's how that's how crazy. And then

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you also have you know, the Cape ratio, which is

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that I think it's at almost twenty seven or thirty seven,

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I forgot where it was anyway, it's astronomically high. It's

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historically speaking, pryces deals ratio is three risk premiums are

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negative in the risk premium the inverse of the pe ratio, right, Sure,

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get your earnings yield, and the earnings yield is less

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than what you can earn in a T bill. This

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is all highly unusual record low dividend yields. So the

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stock market's in an epic bubble. Home prices are the

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most expensive they've ever been in history, even relate in

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relation to incomes. And we have a massive credit bubble

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when there's like, you know, trillions of dollars of things

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like private credit, which hardly ever existed before, I mean

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in the previous decades. Now, there's a whole cottage industry

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of businesses that can't get loans from a bank or

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float corporate paper, so they get loans from you know,

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the shadow banking system. Yeah, that's a huge problem these

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that's a huge when we have when not the not if,

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when we have a recession, because the the the business

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cycle hasn't been repealed. When we have the next versus

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when we have the next credit crisis or recession, this

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is when reality is going to hit. So it's not if,

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it's when I have a timing model that lets me

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know when to get out. I'm been, I've been you

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know in a you know, I have a long short strategy,

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so mostly long, sometimes short. The past few years mostly

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went out long, but holding our nose because we know

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that if you're gonna be one of those people, one

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of those automatic buy and hold dollar course to averaging

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funding their four to one k in a target date fund,

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and you're gonna be down thirty five percent in a

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few weeks time, not a few weeks from now, but

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in a few weeks, a truncated period of time, when

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the when the poop hits the bed, we're gonna be

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down thirty percent in a very quick period of time.

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And then you're gonna panic and call your administrator for

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your four to one K plant and say move my

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plan into cash. And that's what market goes down fifty

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to sixty seventy percent.

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Speaker 3: But haven't people been programmed to not behave that way?

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Speaker 1: They have been inculcated through the decades to just buy

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and hold. But Carrie uh, stock ownership among Americans has

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never been higher, and the stocked ownership is concentrated mostly

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in people who are my age or older. So you

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went around in their fifties, like fifties, early sixties, or

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in their retirement ages. Not not not in the twenty

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year old, not in the mean stock people. It's our age, yes,

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approaching retirement or in retirement. Kerry. When they're down thirty

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five percent in their portfolio, I don't know the exact number,

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but it's probably around. That's my guest to mint. They're

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gonna exist because they cannot see. Then it becomes what

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you just said, it's a it's an existential crisis. I

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am not gonna be their wife is going to tell

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them from probably being a little sexist here, but if

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you're a man, your wife's going to tell you, hey,

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I'm not canceling my trip to Europe and I'm not

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selling my my lake house. You can sell. You're gonna sell,

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and you're gonna sell now and will wait for it

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to settle down. That is going to happen, and that

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is gonna be synergistic. It's gonna be a death spiral

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in my opinion. It's just it's just a matter of

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mean reversion. If you believe in nature, heats vacuums, this

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is a mean Listen, this is one or two things

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are gonna happen mathematically certain. Either stought pressures are gonna crash,

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so the ratio that you know they're not the enumerator

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matches the denominator, or they're going to stay where they

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are for a decade not could not do anything until

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the denominator catches up. Now, the latter scenario never happens

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in history. It just never has happened before bubbles burst.

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They don't just stay bubblicious for a decade.

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Speaker 3: Wow, all right, So uh ah, so you got to

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think what should you be doing now because this appears,

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from what you're saying here, Michael, to be inevitable.

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Speaker 1: Well, you better first of all, if you're you're in

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one of those buy and hold dollar cost averaging rubrics,

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you've got to get the hell out of there as

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fast as possible. You got to put yourself in an

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active money managuer. It doesn't have to be me. I mean,

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I'm I mean, let me speak altruistically. Find somebody else

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besides me. I have plenty of money, and I have

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plenty of money under management. I don't care. But find

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yourself a rouste a robust model that is in the

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purview of a very honest and experienced money manager. Does

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not have to be me. But do it for your

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own retirement sake.

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Speaker 3: You need to do it all right, sir.

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Speaker 1: You've worked your entire life to get where you are.

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Realize where you are. Realize the triumvirate of bubbles that

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we have unprecedented in history, all three of them. Yeah,

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and be a historian. See what has happened, not only

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in the United States but around the world. What happens

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to asset prices when they get this this elevated and

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the inculcation the mindset is overwhelming. Where you know, you

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have to now convince people that there is such thing

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is a business cycle. You have to convince people that

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the FED and the Treasury and the administration can't always

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bail you out. And you know, in the past, Carrie,

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what is it. What does the Treasury and particularly the

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FED have done. They've always solved the problem every hiccup

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in the stock market or a steed speed by economy.

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They just lower interest rates and print money. Carry Do

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it again, do it one more time, and see what

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happens to inflation if they actually start cutting, if they

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ever stop, If they started cutting interest rates now to

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desert QE helicopters money, I think it would be an

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absolute disaster. It already is a disaster for this country.

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When you have, when you have over sixty percent of

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the population with really no or negative net worth, you

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can't have a viable nation. So try try now pursuing

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a policy that bails out Street and screws Main Street.

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See what happens.

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Speaker 3: It ain't gonna be pretty, is it?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 3: So gold silver, It appears certainly for silver we're on

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the verge of a major breakout and things are not

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looking good for those silver shorts, are they. No. Now

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I've I've i have.

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Speaker 1: So I took a nice position in platinum several months ago,

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bit more gold for a very long time too. So

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my proxy for the the bit so the precious metal

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is proxies that I use are gold and platinum, but

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silver too is you I'm not going to argue against silver,

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but you should. You have to get your your hands

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on some of this. And there's a there's a bull

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market happening in platinum. You know, for decades and decades

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on end, platinum was more expensive than gold.

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Speaker 3: It's a it's.

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Speaker 1: A rarer, more more rare metal, it's a more precious metal.

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It has some industrial components to it as well, and

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that flip that has flipped. So I would not only

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own gold, I would definitely own some platinum here because

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there's only one thing that's going to happen. There's only

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one thing that I could be assured to occur, and

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that stackflation like we've never before imagined. We're going to

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have another recession. Business cycle hasn't been repealed. We're going

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to have a credit crisis. The playbook is going to

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be deployed because it's worked all that every time in

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the past. What's the Pavlovian response from the Fed and

253
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Treasury borrow print spend or it was automatic stabilizers that

254
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kick in are going to send a deficit not to

255
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you know, the deficit was two hundred billion in prior

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to the global financial crisis. Then it went to you know,

257
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the trillion trillion now it's now it's two trillion. In

258
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the party times man, in the good times with full

259
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employment and record a stock market, it's two trillion. So

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when the automatic stabilizers kick in, the unemployment benefits kick in,

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this deficit is going to go between from from two

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to four to six trillion per ADAM. So that means

263
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when four to six trillion, where's six trillion dollar annual deficit,

264
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And and that means the money is going to go

265
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directly to the people. It's not gonna be like it

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wasn't the global financial crisis where you just bail out

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Wall Street by taking the banks got their assets bailed

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out from the Fed. Now this is going to go

269
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right into the hands of the pockets of the people

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through these through the unemployment insurance that they're gonna get

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right and through the subsidies that they're gonna get from

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from the Fed, and the helicopter money coming from the Treasury.

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So we're gonna have inflation, not the way they measure it.

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Stop at nine, it's going to go to nineteen. Yeah,

275
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and that's you know, if you that's what you have

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to be prepared for, because if you're saying to yourself,

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you know, I think I'm gonna I think I'm going

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to retire, and five percent on a thirty year treasury

279
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bond sounds pretty pretty good because the first is only three.

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Speaker 3: You know, that's wonderful.

281
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Speaker 1: Uh, tell me how you feel about earning five percent

282
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when inflation is nineteen.

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Speaker 3: So that's a that's an existential problem in and of itself, right.

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Speaker 1: Garry inflation core inflation rose to two point nine percent

285
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year over year coreation, wrote, I mean, then the morons

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that speak on mainstream financial media when the when the

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inflation report came out, they're.

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Speaker 3: Like better than expected because.

289
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Speaker 1: The month over month was a little bit better the core.

290
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But here the core rate of inflation increased. At the

291
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end of the form reading was two point seven or

292
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two point six, it jumped to two point nine core

293
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inflation year over year. That's that is that is a

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disastrous conversation to have him. Inflation on the core level

295
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is spiking, and I want to have a scenario where

296
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I'm firing the central bank so I can put a

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what I would call an obsequious sicko fan, a puppet

298
00:17:08,319 --> 00:17:11,000
of the president, to put rates at one percent.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what could possibly get wrong here?

300
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Speaker 1: What happened to that stuff? What would happened to the

301
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housing market? Let me hear here's the scenario. The scenario

302
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:23,000
scenario is this some so April April two thousand or

303
00:17:23,039 --> 00:17:27,039
May twenty twenty six comes, Powell is shoved out the door,

304
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an obsequious sick ephan, a puppet of the president, comes in.

305
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He cuts rates to one percent. And what what happens

306
00:17:33,839 --> 00:17:37,279
when the long end of the bond market interest rates

307
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go ballistic? I mean, if that can control the overnight

308
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,319
interbank lending rate, and the money markets will will trade

309
00:17:44,319 --> 00:17:47,319
in sympathy with that. But let's say, unless they assent

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to buy every single treasury bond issued, like the Bank

311
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:53,240
of Japan does, we're gonna have a huge problem with

312
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the interest rates. And if they do buy everything, we're

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gonna have a bigger problem with inflation.

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Speaker 3: M h yeah, it sounds like we got problems on

315
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the way here. Huh.

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Speaker 1: Well, I mean, listen, what when you when you abrogate

317
00:18:10,599 --> 00:18:12,599
free markets. When you say, you know, the free market

318
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doesn't have to function. We could just nineteen eighty seven,

319
00:18:16,519 --> 00:18:18,839
just print some money. Greenspan says, we'll just print some money.

320
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We have, we have a tool, we have a technology.

321
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We don't need to Why would we Why would we

322
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make money peg to something like gold?

323
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Speaker 3: Why would we do that?

324
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Speaker 1: Well, because mine supply of gold is limited, and you

325
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have something real and tangible that's backing your currency. But

326
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then they came up with the idea we could just

327
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we could just live in faeryland. We could just back

328
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our currency with nothing. We'll back it with the taxing

329
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:51,839
authority of the US Treasury and the American military complex.

330
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That's what will Yeah, and then the dollars, you know, crashes.

331
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You know, go look at what the dollar has done

332
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:00,400
since nineteen thirteen.

333
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:01,440
Speaker 3: It's purchasing power.

334
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,680
Speaker 1: And then those people have the nerve to tell you

335
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that they're they're they're they're in charge of protecting the

336
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:13,640
purchasing power of the of the currency. That's a comedy routine, Kerry,

337
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:14,480
it's a joke.

338
00:19:14,559 --> 00:19:19,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, that is a comedy routine. And you know it's

339
00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:23,160
that old uh, that old saying. Will Rogers said, every

340
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,559
time Congress makes a joke, it becomes a law, and

341
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:28,799
every time they make a law, it's a joke.

342
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 1: Right Gary, let me just I have I had this

343
00:19:33,039 --> 00:19:35,240
written down. I want to make sure when I talk

344
00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:39,799
about credit bubbles, total non financial US debt as a

345
00:19:39,839 --> 00:19:43,160
percentage of GDP is higher today than at the start

346
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of the global financial crisis and the start of the

347
00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:50,680
Nasdaq crash in two thousand. So current ratio is two

348
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:55,000
one hundred and fifty seven percent of GDP total non

349
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financial debt. In two thousand and seven, before the stocks

350
00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:00,799
lost fifty percent of their value, the S and B,

351
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,279
it was two hundred and thirty four percent. And in

352
00:20:05,279 --> 00:20:07,960
two thousand that great recession where the NASDAK lost eight

353
00:20:08,039 --> 00:20:10,559
percent of its value, it was one hundred and eighty

354
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,960
nine percent. And the current ratio is two hundred and

355
00:20:13,039 --> 00:20:18,480
fifty seven percent. That's your credit bubble. That's your credit bubble.

356
00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 3: Man. So there's no way out of this.

357
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,039
Speaker 1: There isn't any easy way out of it. I mean,

358
00:20:26,039 --> 00:20:28,119
they're gonna try to hyperinflate their way out of it.

359
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,880
But since we haven't adjustable rate mortgage as a as

360
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:34,960
A as our you know, everybody said, hey, Janet Yellen,

361
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,920
why don't you know when interest rates were like aero

362
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,119
point three on the ten year note, why don't you

363
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:43,079
like float some thirty year dead out there and finance

364
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,200
it or maybe even issue a fifty year bond. I

365
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,799
guess the wasn't any appetite for that, But at least

366
00:20:47,799 --> 00:20:50,960
they should have really loaded up on that lawn kerry.

367
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,599
If they're gonna, if they're gonna, if Wall Street's gonna

368
00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,240
supply you with a ten year note that's yielding a

369
00:20:56,279 --> 00:20:59,319
third of one percent, wouldn't you want to lock in

370
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,839
those that that's a pretty good rate, right right? Well,

371
00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:05,599
guess what they said, Now we're just gonna do T bills.

372
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,839
We're gonna do T bills and chill. Well that's now

373
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:13,079
you have to roll over those tea bills every single year. Yeah,

374
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:16,799
and that's what you have. So if if if you

375
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,000
really want to know the truth as to why President

376
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:24,440
Trump wants that interest rate artificially suppressed even further lower,

377
00:21:24,799 --> 00:21:26,799
is because it would really bring down the interest on

378
00:21:26,839 --> 00:21:32,599
the debt. Yeah, with no no negative ramifications with housing

379
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:37,039
or real estate or or or the equity market.

380
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:45,359
Speaker 3: So it's that simple, huh, yeah. So it's it's all

381
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:46,440
about rates.

382
00:21:47,319 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 1: It's all about interest on the debt, which is over

383
00:21:49,279 --> 00:21:50,359
a trillion dollars already.

384
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, gotcha.

385
00:21:52,079 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 1: Do you see how you see how well doge work?

386
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 3: Right?

387
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 1: The Doge roar into town and they really slashed the

388
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,559
government slashed everything down. I mean, we're all we're good now, right.

389
00:22:01,599 --> 00:22:03,960
I think they decided to cut one hundred and sixty

390
00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:05,160
billion dollars.

391
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, for I was still cutting in theory. Yeah, I

392
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:10,200
don't know what they cut.

393
00:22:10,279 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 1: Well, those have been run out of town faster than

394
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,119
the shrve has been run out of town. And they

395
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,200
should be cutting a trillion dollars per We need to

396
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,119
cut a trillion dollars per andum to get to that

397
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:23,039
magical Scott Besson, you know, three percent. But guess what,

398
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,839
we decided to cut one hundred and sixty billion, So

399
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,079
we're a little bit short. It is about eight hundred

400
00:22:28,079 --> 00:22:28,920
and forty billion a year.

401
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 3: Just a little, just a little all right? So what

402
00:22:34,079 --> 00:22:35,680
about bitcoin here?

403
00:22:37,599 --> 00:22:41,680
Speaker 1: Well here, well, you you know you opened the Pandora's

404
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,240
box here when you talk about Hey, bitcoin, I actually

405
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:50,240
liked as as a concept. I hated the I hate

406
00:22:50,279 --> 00:22:53,279
I didn't buy any of it. Unfortunately, so I've been

407
00:22:53,319 --> 00:22:56,640
wrong about the direction of this thing. But the concept

408
00:22:56,640 --> 00:23:00,240
of the bitcoin originally, or cryptocurrencies in general, was, Hey,

409
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:06,000
we have a decentralized currency that nobody knows who you are,

410
00:23:06,039 --> 00:23:09,799
and it's outside the purview of government, and it protects

411
00:23:10,079 --> 00:23:14,880
and it protects you against a falling US dollar. So

412
00:23:15,039 --> 00:23:17,920
fast forward in a few years, and of course the

413
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,920
pimps and the hookers on Wall Street would they say, oh,

414
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,359
we fall in love what bitcoin? We can make some

415
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,039
money on this, on this horrified barcode, which is what

416
00:23:28,079 --> 00:23:31,039
it is. It's just, you know, all bitcoin is your

417
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:33,680
private key is a bunch of letters and numbers. Okay,

418
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:37,119
it's a it's a password that's worth one hundred and

419
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,400
seventeen thousand dollars. But okay, let's just let's just talk

420
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:44,640
about this for a second. So it goes, it goes

421
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,759
from basically nothing to one hundred and seventeen thousand dollars

422
00:23:47,799 --> 00:23:51,240
per unit. But it got there because it's been bastardized

423
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:54,640
by Wall Street. They've co opted and corrupted it. So

424
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,920
now your your decentralized coin that you think you own

425
00:23:58,079 --> 00:24:01,759
is completely centralized. It can be taken away from you

426
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:05,160
capriciously by the government because they actually know exactly who

427
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:05,519
you are.

428
00:24:05,799 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, you know.

429
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 1: It's Wall Street has know your customer rules and anti

430
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:16,119
money laundering rules. You own an asset that's pimped by

431
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:20,400
Wall Street. They know exactly who owns every single one

432
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,799
of these bitcoins, so they can take it from you.

433
00:24:22,839 --> 00:24:26,000
So it's no longer it's decentralized. And then to pour

434
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,680
icing on the cake is or gasoline on the fire,

435
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,400
I guess would be a better analogy. They say it's

436
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,759
it's an alternative a dollar, but now they want to

437
00:24:33,799 --> 00:24:37,480
link it to this the US dollar into treasuries by

438
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:40,759
stable coins. Right, so the whole concept of this thing

439
00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:45,480
has been has been obliterated. And they did this so

440
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,680
they can pump up the stop the bitcoin price to

441
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:52,519
one hundred and seventeen thousand dollars in unit. Now, two

442
00:24:52,519 --> 00:24:54,200
more things I want to tell you about this. Number one,

443
00:24:54,519 --> 00:24:59,039
it is hot gold. There's an unlimited number of cryptocurrencies

444
00:24:59,079 --> 00:25:03,200
that can be created. I do like the blockchain technology, Yeah,

445
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:07,440
extremely useful, But to think that the blockchain technology is

446
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:16,079
the same thing as a coin that relates gold is ridiculous. Yeah,

447
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,559
so there's twenty one million bitcoins, but there's an unlimited

448
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,920
number of other currencies that could serve the same purpose.

449
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:25,079
So it's just a commodity. Cries are commodity, and there

450
00:25:25,079 --> 00:25:28,759
are limitlessons in supply, unlike platinum and unlike gold.

451
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is true. I totally agree with you there.

452
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:35,599
But I think there's something else going on with bitcoin

453
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,759
that we're not going to know. I think there's a

454
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:42,319
bitcoin short squeeze coming because you've got a huge synthetic

455
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:47,319
derivatives to market there, and you've only got seven percent

456
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,119
of all the bitcoin ever created that actually free trade,

457
00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:56,119
which will be substantially less because you've got ETFs. This week,

458
00:25:56,799 --> 00:26:01,079
two point two billion more went into bitcoin. Eat where

459
00:26:01,079 --> 00:26:03,799
are they getting all these bitcoin from this when they

460
00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:04,799
stopped making it?

461
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, completely wrong on the price, missed the entire thing.

462
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,680
This thing much higher. But when you get an unfriendly

463
00:26:12,759 --> 00:26:16,799
administration in place, and you will, and an unfriendly sec

464
00:26:17,079 --> 00:26:19,759
and you will in the future, this thing will crash

465
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:22,559
because its intrinsic value is maybe closer to one thousand

466
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:27,200
dollars rather than one hundred and seventeen thousand. So just beware.

467
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:31,599
I mean, it's just not something at this especially now,

468
00:26:32,559 --> 00:26:35,079
at this price level I'm interested in getting involved with,

469
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,039
but hey been wrong with both.

470
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:44,599
Speaker 3: Interesting was that I was at the Bitcoin conference and

471
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:50,160
it's amazing guy I know who told me to buy

472
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:54,640
bitcoin at five, who's never sold one bitcoin, he is

473
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,400
buying it at a dollar. And let's not forget Michael

474
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:02,480
that if you invested ten cents in coin in twenty ten,

475
00:27:02,759 --> 00:27:05,359
it'd be worth one hundred and eighteen hundred nineteen thousand

476
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,400
dollars as we're speaking. What he told me is that

477
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,839
over half the contributions going to the Republican Party are

478
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,799
coming from crypto bros. So that's I think, of course,

479
00:27:16,799 --> 00:27:19,000
say are now, Gary.

480
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,279
Speaker 1: You're exactly right, but you know three years from now,

481
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:27,000
I don't know. Yeah, play with it now. The volatility

482
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:33,079
attributes to this product are just astronomically off the charts.

483
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,359
So it's just not something i'd like to That's why

484
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:40,160
I prefer platinum to silver. I don't like that high data. Yeah, Like,

485
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,799
can you make money in bitcoin? Yeahp hundred percent? Can

486
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:45,680
you still make money? Probably? Did I miss everything?

487
00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:46,079
Speaker 3: Yes?

488
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 1: I did, But beware because you when you have something

489
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,519
that's supposed to have its value derived from having a

490
00:27:55,599 --> 00:28:03,400
decentralized anonymous, immutable transaction, and you're to get the value

491
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:09,319
is now derived from government. M I'm the only person

492
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,000
I've ever heard talk about I mean, maybe I just

493
00:28:11,039 --> 00:28:13,279
don't have it in my ears out there, but who

494
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,920
have you ever heard anybody else say how absolutely absurd?

495
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 3: This is? Oh completely but but bus, that doesn't mean

496
00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:24,319
you can't make money on it, right undred percent?

497
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 1: No, I maya kopa here. I'm the last person to

498
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:31,359
ask about the future to make a bitcoin price.

499
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:32,240
Speaker 3: Can do you know?

500
00:28:32,519 --> 00:28:36,319
Speaker 1: For me to do that, it'd be it'd be completely

501
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:41,599
inappropriate because I've been so wrong. The picture is interesting though,

502
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:46,880
but but the but caveat emptor here though, they will

503
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,680
be hell to pay. And it's coming, and it's one

504
00:28:50,759 --> 00:28:54,440
day because because what bitcoin really is now has become

505
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,880
it's just a derivative of the stock market. So it's

506
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:03,839
a it's a it's a higher a derivative on equity.

507
00:29:04,279 --> 00:29:08,359
And if liquidity ever drives up again, not if when

508
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,680
it happens, yeah, when it's gonna it's it's gonna be

509
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,559
a disaster for the entire space.

510
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,519
Speaker 3: All right, Well, I think we'll let it go there.

511
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,200
We got other things to talk about next time. After

512
00:29:20,279 --> 00:29:25,319
you've done traveling things about the worst cycle, what's happening

513
00:29:25,359 --> 00:29:28,759
there in Europe, the euro, the dollar, all that good stuff.

514
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:34,440
But you'll find Michael's work excellent work. Sign up pentoport

515
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:38,000
dot com links in the show notes, and if you

516
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,039
got a question for Michael myself, shoot me an email

517
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:45,240
k l Atcarrie LUTs dot com. Michael, we'll talk to

518
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:46,440
you in a month or two. Be well.

519
00:29:46,599 --> 00:29:48,839
Speaker 1: Always a pleasure, Carrie, Thank you, thanks.

520
00:29:48,599 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: For listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your solution

521
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:57,039
to today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial

522
00:29:57,119 --> 00:30:02,720
Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial service evel network now more than ever,

