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<v Speaker 1>All right, we're gonna leave you now. I'm gonna make

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of and or references, so I know that

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<v Speaker 1>would be so totally over your head. I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to embarrass you.

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<v Speaker 2>So yeah, well look I'm cool. Yep, not green.

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<v Speaker 3>Make him go away.

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<v Speaker 1>Guys, ask not what your country can do for you,

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<v Speaker 1>ask what you can do for your country. Mister garbach off,

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<v Speaker 1>tear down this wall. It's the Ricochet Podcast with Stephen Heyward,

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<v Speaker 1>Charles W. Cook the last but I'm James Lonax with

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<v Speaker 1>you and we're going to talk to Henry Olson about

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<v Speaker 1>the events in Europe and elsewhere. Gilette's Episode's a podcast.

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<v Speaker 4>Now we're in a diverse nation like ours, and I

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<v Speaker 4>celebrate that these rules become even more important. Without them,

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<v Speaker 4>we were becoming an island of strangers. So yes, I

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<v Speaker 4>believe in this. I believe we need to reduce immigration significantly.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome everybody. It's the Ricochet Podcast, number seven hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>forty two. I'm James Lllloxs in Minneapolis, Minnesota. I'm joined

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<v Speaker 1>by not Charles E. W. Cook. A. Last last we

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<v Speaker 1>heard of him his roof was leaking, so for all

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<v Speaker 1>we know, he is standing in a flooded house bailing,

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<v Speaker 1>or he's just off having lunch somewhere in sunny Florida.

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<v Speaker 1>Stephen Hayward in California. I presume, step and how are you?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm good, but busy week. It's hard to keep up

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<v Speaker 3>with everything.

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<v Speaker 1>So much stuff to do. Well, we could go with

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<v Speaker 1>something that actually happened minutes ago, I think, well three

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<v Speaker 1>hours ago, a little tweet from Harvard here and says,

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<v Speaker 1>without its international students, Harvard is not Harvard. And that

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<v Speaker 1>struck me at first as the University of Minnesota saying

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<v Speaker 1>without our students from Wisconsin, the University of Minnesota is

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<v Speaker 1>not the University of Minnesota. I think it possibly could be.

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<v Speaker 1>But the idea of the international students somehow having an

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<v Speaker 1>automatic cachet because they simply are not American, and when

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<v Speaker 1>you are not American, you bring an ineffable quality to

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<v Speaker 1>things about to find out how that plays. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you think is even of this idea that the administration

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<v Speaker 1>has said, well you know what, Nope, sorry, no more

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<v Speaker 1>international students, none of that wonderful full tuition that they pay. Sorry,

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<v Speaker 1>Is this just another negotiating tactic like what I believe

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<v Speaker 1>is a fairly significant tax on endowments to get them

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<v Speaker 1>to do what exactly as you see.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. So first of all, I think, James, you mispronounced

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<v Speaker 3>the word cash. You said cachet cash. You're right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, this is, of course, the business model for

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<v Speaker 3>many universities is to have foreign students come who pay

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<v Speaker 3>full freight. Some students have, some colleges have high numbers

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<v Speaker 3>of Chinese students who will pay, you know, the full

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<v Speaker 3>freight for universities, and it is a I've had college

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<v Speaker 3>administrators confess to me that it is a primary revenue

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<v Speaker 3>model for them. But second of all, Harvard is not

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<v Speaker 3>Harvard without it's apparently seven thousand foreign students is their

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<v Speaker 3>average number that they role was the number I've seen reported,

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<v Speaker 3>And Harvard wouldn't be Harvard without their fore students. And

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<v Speaker 3>I thought, oh, maybe they're starting to get the point

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<v Speaker 3>here that Harvard isn't Harvard. That's the point. That's that's

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<v Speaker 3>the object of the Trump administration. And you know, I'm

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<v Speaker 3>all for them. I mean, I you know, I know

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<v Speaker 3>some Harvard faculty that are good, and I feel bad

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<v Speaker 3>for them, except most of them privately say we richly

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<v Speaker 3>deserve it. So anyway, I think this is just one

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<v Speaker 3>more turn to the screw by the Trump people. And

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<v Speaker 3>Harvard has i think late yesterday or maybe this morning,

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<v Speaker 3>filed suit saying this is an illegal move. But you know,

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<v Speaker 3>the Harvard can afford a lot of lawyers, but the

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<v Speaker 3>Trump administration has an unlimited number of lawyers in time

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<v Speaker 3>to pursue this.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm sure the fund of judgeho believes and agrees

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<v Speaker 1>with them. You see this back and forth all the time,

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<v Speaker 1>the judge who says, no, you actually can't fire those

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<v Speaker 1>people because that impeedes their ability to do the work

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<v Speaker 1>of the agency, and such and side it which you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it has got to come to some sort of point

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<v Speaker 1>where these judges simply are not are are restrained show

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<v Speaker 1>we say, from over reaching their bonds because we're reaching

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<v Speaker 1>a point where there's a legitimacy of competency and confidence

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<v Speaker 1>in the courts, which is not a good thing. Where

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<v Speaker 1>people may say, good good, there are a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>rogue activists. Get them out of here. Let's just spend

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<v Speaker 1>that you don't want that you really don't want that

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<v Speaker 1>post court post rule or law world. You mentioned you

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<v Speaker 1>know some Harvard educators who believe that they richly deserve it.

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<v Speaker 3>Why Well, because the administration has coddled the left for

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<v Speaker 3>so long and you know, allowed all these you know,

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<v Speaker 3>firm intive action programs, quote the DEI stuff, ideological hiring also,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, refusing to hire. I mean I'm familiar with

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<v Speaker 3>a few hiring cases where they had a strong conservative

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<v Speaker 3>candidate and the person who ought to have been hired

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<v Speaker 3>was rejected. This is going back twenty years now. I

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<v Speaker 3>mean there's been systematic bias, not just at Harvard, but

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of universities against hiring well qualified conservative professors.

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<v Speaker 3>And so I think the Harvard faculty is the most upsided.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's ninety eight percent registered Democrats.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what I figured. But so you're speaking to the

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<v Speaker 1>two percent who are not the people who are suppose

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<v Speaker 1>you with the you know, with a cone of silence

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<v Speaker 1>over there. You were going to mention something else about this.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I thought you mentioned, you know, judges and injunctions.

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<v Speaker 3>I thought maybe you had in mind this case that

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<v Speaker 3>came out on Thursday, Trump H. Wilcox. It's one of

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<v Speaker 3>those shadow Dockett rocket docket cases. It's not a complete case,

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<v Speaker 3>but by a six to three vote, the court said,

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<v Speaker 3>you know what, Trump can fire members of some of

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<v Speaker 3>these boards and commissions, because you know they've been saying, oh,

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<v Speaker 3>these are independent agencies. The president can't do that. And

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<v Speaker 3>so anyway, this augurs well for this when the full

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<v Speaker 3>case comes before the court, or turn the old Humphreys

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<v Speaker 3>executor's case that said a president couldn't fire the head

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<v Speaker 3>of the Federal Tray Commission. There is one sentence in

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<v Speaker 3>Justice Kagan's descent that really jumps out at me. That's

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<v Speaker 3>very short. She said that the principal and a president

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<v Speaker 3>can't fire somebody. Here's a quote Undergirdz. A significant feature

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<v Speaker 3>of American governance bi partisan administrative bodies carrying out expertise

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<v Speaker 3>based functions with a measure of independence from presidential control.

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<v Speaker 3>That is the most perfect one sentence encapsulation of the

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<v Speaker 3>progressive idea of expert government unaccountable to political bodies, letther

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<v Speaker 3>Congress or the president. But it's also got the history wrong.

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<v Speaker 3>And so you know in thirty seconds, the reason we

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<v Speaker 3>set up the commission model, going all the way back

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<v Speaker 3>to the eighteen eighties with you five members, two from

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<v Speaker 3>the minority party and three from the president's party, was

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<v Speaker 3>to replicate the partisan divisions that exist between the two

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<v Speaker 3>parties and their views of how policies should be made

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<v Speaker 3>and what its goal should be. Congress figured out one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and fifty years ago that you couldn't escape the

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<v Speaker 3>essential disagreements of American politics, and therefore let's copy it.

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<v Speaker 3>So there's by saying bi partisan administrative bodies, as Justice

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<v Speaker 3>Kagan said, No, there's a look. Everybody who pays attention

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<v Speaker 3>knows that the Securities Exchange Commission, Federal Communications Commission, they

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<v Speaker 3>are partisan fights in those commissions every year, every week,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's on purpose. And so you're trying to pull

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<v Speaker 3>the wool over our eyes saying, oh, it's nothing here

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<v Speaker 3>about us bipartisan expert people unaffected by politics, and it's

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<v Speaker 3>about time for that whole game to end.

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<v Speaker 1>The belief seems to be that the civil service is

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<v Speaker 1>this non partisan sort of cadre of experts that floats

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<v Speaker 1>over things and makes decisions according to the best data,

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<v Speaker 1>unswayed by personal beliefs, which is nice to believe, but

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunately it doesn't work out that way. And the people

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<v Speaker 1>who seem to believe that it do also believe that

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<v Speaker 1>the technocratic expertise will be slightly left coded, if not

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<v Speaker 1>explicitly so, because that's just simply the right, correct and

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<v Speaker 1>smart thing to do. So while it would be nice

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<v Speaker 1>to believe in that sort of civil service, we're being

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<v Speaker 1>disabused of a whole lot of notions of our institutions.

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<v Speaker 1>Which brings to something else is that if you can't

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<v Speaker 1>get the courts to do exactly what you want to say,

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<v Speaker 1>or the courts are thwarting you, well then just figure

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<v Speaker 1>out a novel way to go around them. Who's reading

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<v Speaker 1>a story this week that what ICE is doing with

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<v Speaker 1>the Homeland Security is doing as dropping charges on some

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<v Speaker 1>guys so they you know, we need our day in court?

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Well you know what, we're dropping the charges,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're arresting you right now. Yeah, which does focus

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<v Speaker 1>the mind. Yes, uh so DC shooting, Jew shooting in DC.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know how else to put it. It has

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<v Speaker 1>had the immediate effects, as I wrote on Ricochet was

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<v Speaker 1>one You're not gonna hear an awful lot about stochastic

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<v Speaker 1>terrorism this week, where people talk about how bad, how

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<v Speaker 1>rhetoric that seems to be inflaming people has his story

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<v Speaker 1>of voltage that leads to actual terrorism, speeches, violence, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>Not gonna hear a lot about that this week. And secondly,

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<v Speaker 1>Luigi Mangioni, the previous darling of a certain set of

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<v Speaker 1>the progressive left, has now been replaced by somebody else

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<v Speaker 1>who has had the courage of his convictions. Hasn't burnt himself,

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<v Speaker 1>but he's done something brave, he's struck a blow, etcetera, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And a surprising number of people are self identifying as

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<v Speaker 1>fans of alludism of a murderous lunatic by saying, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the inevitable result. It is a necessary result.

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<v Speaker 1>It is what happens when you have a genocidal government,

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<v Speaker 1>its emissaries are free to walk them among the planet.

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<v Speaker 1>Even though these people weren't emissaries of the government at all.

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<v Speaker 1>They actually were, from what I understand, interested in outreach

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<v Speaker 1>to the ballast Indian community and finding some way to

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<v Speaker 1>foster peace. But it didn't matter because it comes down

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<v Speaker 1>to it, they're Jews. So yeah, so where does this

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<v Speaker 1>go exactly?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm afraid it's heading in some very dark directions. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>I have been reflecting the last several years that as

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<v Speaker 3>bad as things are, you know, black lives matter, riots

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<v Speaker 3>and especially things going on on campus. At least, it's

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<v Speaker 3>not yet as bad as it was in the late

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<v Speaker 3>sixties and early seventies when we were averaging what one

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<v Speaker 3>bombing every three days. I mean, there's something like a

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<v Speaker 3>thousand bombings, including on college campuses that killed some people

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<v Speaker 3>at the University Wisconsin. I thought, at least, we're not

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<v Speaker 3>bombing college campuses yet, We're not having political assassinations yet.

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<v Speaker 3>Now I said this before they took shots at Trump

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<v Speaker 3>a few months ago, and I'm worried that we are

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<v Speaker 3>very quickly edging our way back to that. The Left

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<v Speaker 3>is clearly going to legitimize violence. We're going to get

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<v Speaker 3>more of it. And this takes us back to the

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<v Speaker 3>university story once again. I mean, where did this kid

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<v Speaker 3>learn this stuff? He was an English major at the

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<v Speaker 3>University of Illinois, Chicago, and I couldn't find out much

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<v Speaker 3>about it. But I bet their English department is just

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<v Speaker 3>as bad as every other one these days. But they

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<v Speaker 3>teach this stuff in the universities or even earlier. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>one problem is is this guy. I suspect this Rodriguez

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<v Speaker 3>kid probably arrived at university fully Howard zinified already in

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<v Speaker 3>high school, and so the problem goes all the way down.

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<v Speaker 3>By the way, interesting news tidbit this morning. This guy's

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<v Speaker 3>father was a guest of a Democratic congressman from Illinois

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<v Speaker 3>at Trump's speech to Congress two three months back. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>you don't blame parents for the sins of the children,

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<v Speaker 3>I understand. On the other hand, that's going to be

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<v Speaker 3>difficult to explain, and we'll have to see where that

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<v Speaker 3>story goes.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the grenade doesn't fall far from the tree. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>English major, you're probably right that the curriculum that he

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<v Speaker 1>into which he was steeped and marinated was probably not

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<v Speaker 1>the same as mine. When I was an English major.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't remember, you know, spending a lot of time

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<v Speaker 1>on Canterbury Tales and you know Kate Chopin's The Awakening

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<v Speaker 1>and deciding that I should go out and shoot somebody.

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<v Speaker 1>But maybe when you talk about politic I mean, we

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<v Speaker 1>can have the whole conversation about how political violence has

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<v Speaker 1>been normalized by the left and has been exalted as

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<v Speaker 1>the voice of the people, the unsung, et cetera, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>We're told, of course that the biggest threat in the

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<v Speaker 1>country is political violence from the right. But yet we

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<v Speaker 1>keep seeing these things happen. But I don't think you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have a summer of riots over Gaza. I

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<v Speaker 1>think you need some approximate cause here in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States that gets that gin's up, the particular excuse. And

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<v Speaker 1>right now it seems to me the well on the

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<v Speaker 1>left has a great deal of grievances about Trump. They're

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<v Speaker 1>sort of indistinct, free floating, confusing. It's a miasma of gnats.

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<v Speaker 1>That's just they can't really do any wave their hands

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<v Speaker 1>to try to dispel them. There's no focus point yet,

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<v Speaker 1>but there might be who knows everything changes and moves swiftly,

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<v Speaker 1>such as your host moving from our general discussion to

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<v Speaker 1>one of a particular nature, with Henry Olsen, Senior fellow

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<v Speaker 1>with the Ethics and Public Policy Center, author of The

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<v Speaker 1>Working Class Republican, Ronald Reagan and the Return of Blue

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<v Speaker 1>Collar Conservatism, and the host of Beyond the Polls, which

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<v Speaker 1>is an election podcast. You can find it right here

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<v Speaker 1>on Ricochet. Henry, welcome, Well, thanks for having me. Well

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<v Speaker 1>we get to Europe, because yes it matters, and they

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<v Speaker 1>had elections and they are significant. But we want to

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<v Speaker 1>bring up a piece he wrote last month for unheard.

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<v Speaker 1>It was called Trump's dirty hairy theory of justice. And

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<v Speaker 1>you explain, with the voters today are unusually ammenable to

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<v Speaker 1>the president's methods. I was just talking with somebody about

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<v Speaker 1>this yesterday. It's like, you know, if you guys don't

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<v Speaker 1>do anything, then and you don't do anything, and you

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<v Speaker 1>import more of the problem and you gaslight the people

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<v Speaker 1>who say that there is a problem. Eventually somebody comes

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<v Speaker 1>along to try to solve the problems and the excesses

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<v Speaker 1>that the margins are not going to bother the people

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<v Speaker 1>who are concerned about these things because fine, something's finally

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<v Speaker 1>being done. Is that what you're talking about?

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<v Speaker 2>Pretty much? You know what Dirty Harry was For people

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<v Speaker 2>who may not have seen the nineteen seventy one movie

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<v Speaker 2>made Clint Eastwood's career in a sense, as he played

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<v Speaker 2>a cop who was consistently frustrated by Warren Court era

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<v Speaker 2>rulings that basically put procedure over justice and let criminals

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<v Speaker 2>go free and employed extra legal methods to pursue justice.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think that's what's going on here is it's

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<v Speaker 2>quite obvious that there are millions of people here who

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<v Speaker 2>were let in in violation of law. Many of them

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<v Speaker 2>are not committing crimes, but way too many of them are.

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<v Speaker 2>And even if they aren't, they're not supposed to be here,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, violating the law. And so Trump is pursued

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<v Speaker 2>doing that and sometimes looking a little askance or looking

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<v Speaker 2>the other way when procedure gets in the way. And

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<v Speaker 2>I think for his voters, as long as he's dealing

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<v Speaker 2>with the problem, he's pursuing justice and not letting law

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<v Speaker 2>get in the way, and they're justifying with that.

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<v Speaker 1>I was talking to somebody yesterday about the proposed Medicare

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<v Speaker 1>cuts and they were saying, this is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>very bad for hospitals. It's going to be it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be dreadful, and I said, well, and again in

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<v Speaker 1>this conversation, I was not defending. I was just simply

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<v Speaker 1>explaining what the logic was. Well, that there will be

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<v Speaker 1>significant cuts because the hospital is no longer have to

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<v Speaker 1>because Medicare will medicate whatever we're talking We'll never have

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<v Speaker 1>to give money again to illegals, to which the person responded, oh, well,

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<v Speaker 1>then grade fine, they'll just go to the emergency rooms.

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<v Speaker 1>And I said, well, no, actually, the idea is that

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<v Speaker 1>they won't be here, and that seems that seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be like a stunning revelations like that we have no

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<v Speaker 1>choice but to fund these people because they're the option

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<v Speaker 1>of just saying no, I'm sorry, you don't belong here,

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<v Speaker 1>you're not a citizen, and here you came, and you

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<v Speaker 1>slipped through, you ignored all your court dates, you are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be deported. Seems to be off the table

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<v Speaker 1>for an awful lot of people. But it's it's pretty

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<v Speaker 1>much everything on the table for a lot of others,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't it.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, I mean, look, going back to COVID, nobody

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<v Speaker 2>could get together outdoors until you were protesting something approved

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<v Speaker 2>by the progressive a lead, and then nobody can get

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<v Speaker 2>COVID if you're protesting racism, right right. So the thing

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<v Speaker 2>is that what they're shocked about is that somebody is

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<v Speaker 2>pursuing matters of culture and matters of law, of economics,

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<v Speaker 2>but predominantly matters of culture using all the same techniques

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<v Speaker 2>and the same sort of intensity that the left is

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<v Speaker 2>pursued for fifty or sixty years, and they're shocked, shocked

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<v Speaker 2>to discover there's gambling going on in this new federal

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<v Speaker 2>government state. Now, hello, McFly, you built it. You are

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<v Speaker 2>now have to deal with that. And the fact is

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<v Speaker 2>that these Medicaid cuts are not cuts. You know what

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<v Speaker 2>they are is, well, if you serve through state funds

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<v Speaker 2>illegal aliens, people who shouldn't be here anyway that you

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<v Speaker 2>recognize in your state law, we're going to not reimburse

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<v Speaker 2>your Medicaid program at the same rate. So the states

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<v Speaker 2>get to make a choice. You know, nobody is boarched

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<v Speaker 2>off the rolls, and you know they're the other thing.

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<v Speaker 2>It's that the biggest so called cuts are saying, well,

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<v Speaker 2>you have if you're able bodied and you don't have

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<v Speaker 2>dependent children, and you're not pregnant, and you're under the

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<v Speaker 2>age of sixty five, you have to at least try

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<v Speaker 2>to work or go to school or provide community service

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<v Speaker 2>twenty hours a week. And the CBO says, well, that

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<v Speaker 2>means millions of people will lose their healthcare, to which

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<v Speaker 2>most Trump voters would say, damn straight. If you can't

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<v Speaker 2>help yourself, you don't deserve our help. So these aren't cuts.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is the sort of thing that the left

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<v Speaker 2>is used to having a monopoly over the language, and

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<v Speaker 2>we can't let them do that. And I think what

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<v Speaker 2>they're finding is increasingly the right is not letting them

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<v Speaker 2>do that again. They're they're shocked to discover that the

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<v Speaker 2>right is not simply the Washington generals paid different for

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<v Speaker 2>the hard.

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<v Speaker 1>Should should note to everybody that we did, indeed catch

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that you made both the Casablanca and a

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<v Speaker 1>Back to the Future reference. I think in the span

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<v Speaker 1>of about seven seconds.

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<v Speaker 3>That's and Dirty Harry too, right now.

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<v Speaker 2>No, hey, look, I am just a rolling culture machine

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<v Speaker 2>for anything made before the year nineteen ninety four. Well, James,

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<v Speaker 2>I can do I can call fiction too, and that

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<v Speaker 2>was nineteen ninety four.

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<v Speaker 3>So I don't know, James, if you've caught the news

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<v Speaker 3>out of California where Coveror Newsom has not only announced

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<v Speaker 3>no further enrollments of illegal aliens in Medicaid, but existing

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<v Speaker 3>illegal alien enrollees have to start making a copey, maybe

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<v Speaker 3>Henry should talk about Newsom's obvious crab march to the

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<v Speaker 3>right to try to run for president. But by the way,

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<v Speaker 3>you mentioned Dirty Harry. I can't resist this. I think

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<v Speaker 3>it was Richard Granier who pointed out that that was

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<v Speaker 3>the first mainstream Hollywood movie that talked back to liberalism, right,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, you laid out theme about the war in court.

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<v Speaker 3>But my favorite scene you may remember it, James, is

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<v Speaker 3>when dirty Harry Callahan gets his new partner, a young

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<v Speaker 3>Hispanic guy named Chico. Nothing subtle about that, and he

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<v Speaker 3>looks at him skeptically. He says, what's your background? He says,

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<v Speaker 3>degree in sociology from San Jose State Hallahead looks at

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<v Speaker 3>him and says, oh, you'll go far. That just perfect, right,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, fifty years ahead of the whole DEI world

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<v Speaker 3>we see these days, right, But I was especially interested

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<v Speaker 3>in catching up with you on the scene in Europe,

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<v Speaker 3>which is of a piece with ours in a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of ways. And you know, you know, things down to

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<v Speaker 3>the precinct level, which is scary because I don't, I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>there's something wrong with you, Henry. I've been saying this

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<v Speaker 3>for forty years. But let's start with the United Kingdom.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I woke up here two weeks ago and

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<v Speaker 3>saw a tweet from Prime Minister Kirs Starmer saying, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>immigration to Britain is not a right, it's a privilege

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<v Speaker 3>that has to be earned, and I thought, well, this

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<v Speaker 3>is new for those guys are even more open border

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<v Speaker 3>than Joe Biden was and then I picked up the

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<v Speaker 3>news that Nigel Faraja's Reform Party swept the municipal elections.

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<v Speaker 3>That was hardly reported in the US press. I had

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<v Speaker 3>to go to the British press to see the full

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<v Speaker 3>dimensions of it. It was staggering. And they're now polling

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<v Speaker 3>number one, and I think the Tories have fallen in

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<v Speaker 3>number three. So first of all, the two part question

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<v Speaker 3>is Farage for real? I mean, is Reform now going

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<v Speaker 3>to replace the Tories? Are the Tories in such deep

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<v Speaker 3>trouble that will they come back? I mean, give us

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<v Speaker 3>your thumbnail assessment of what the turmoil that's going on

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<v Speaker 3>in the UK.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Parage is for real, Reform is for real, and

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<v Speaker 2>the Tories are in an existential crisis. There's a book

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<v Speaker 2>written many years ago about how the Liberal Party went

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<v Speaker 2>from running Britain. Oh yeah, right, the Strange Death of

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<v Speaker 2>Liberal England. There's a better than fifty percent chance that

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<v Speaker 2>we are in the middle of the strange death of

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<v Speaker 2>Conservative England that the Tory Party. And the basic question

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<v Speaker 2>is simple is that throughout the Western world, conservative voters

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<v Speaker 2>are increasingly pushing back against a liberal elite, and liberal

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<v Speaker 2>includes many Conservatives because I mean the liberal with a

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<v Speaker 2>small continental l that doesn't care about nationalism and doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>care about citizenship, and you see it in immigration and

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<v Speaker 2>you see it in trade. They just don't care. It's

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<v Speaker 2>open borders all the way. And conservative voters say, no, actually,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't think that's right. We think that UoS a

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<v Speaker 2>duty as citizens and that means protecting our way of

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<v Speaker 2>life and our standard of living, to which most elites

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<v Speaker 2>in the conservative movements say, sorry, I can't hear you.

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<v Speaker 2>You say you want more freedom, more liberty, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>not what they're saying. So what's happened is is that

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<v Speaker 2>the right in Britain has finally given up. In the

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<v Speaker 2>Conservative Party well ram things for fourteen years and didn't

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<v Speaker 2>keep any of their promises. And the most stunning thing

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<v Speaker 2>was in twenty nineteen when they basically have a Trumpian

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<v Speaker 2>victory where they win votes that they've never gotten before

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<v Speaker 2>from blue collar, former labor voters, and then they proceed

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<v Speaker 2>to govern and ignore all of their promises. And what

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<v Speaker 2>Reform is doing is getting the right of the Tory

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<v Speaker 2>Party and the former labor working class voter in the

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<v Speaker 2>same party. And that's a plurality in British poety.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well with a dirty Hall Harry that you know,

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<v Speaker 5>where people are constrained by what they believe they're allowed

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<v Speaker 5>to say and to think, and there's an inevitable reaction

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<v Speaker 5>that exceeds what people.

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<v Speaker 1>Thought it would be. Is this not going all the

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<v Speaker 1>way back to Enoch Powell? Is this not going back

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<v Speaker 1>to the idea of some sort of British identity that

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<v Speaker 1>deserves to be maintained. It's an idea that's been delegitimized

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<v Speaker 1>in the upper British culture time. You know.

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<v Speaker 2>The thing is that Enoch Powell spoke in a language

416
00:22:04.440 --> 00:22:08.079
<v Speaker 2>that Nigel Farajen never uses, you know, right, Nigel Farage

417
00:22:08.119 --> 00:22:10.559
<v Speaker 2>never talks about rivers of blood is of blood. There

418
00:22:10.759 --> 00:22:16.039
<v Speaker 2>are plenty of non white British citizens who are part

419
00:22:16.079 --> 00:22:18.359
<v Speaker 2>of Reform, which is one of the things that always

420
00:22:18.400 --> 00:22:21.119
<v Speaker 2>shocks people is why is it that, you know, the

421
00:22:21.200 --> 00:22:24.519
<v Speaker 2>chairman of Reform is somebody from either Pakistan or India.

422
00:22:24.559 --> 00:22:26.519
<v Speaker 2>I forget where's the a us off is from? But

423
00:22:27.000 --> 00:22:29.279
<v Speaker 2>you know, and the fact is that there are plenty

424
00:22:29.319 --> 00:22:32.200
<v Speaker 2>of people who are British even though they are not

425
00:22:32.359 --> 00:22:34.319
<v Speaker 2>of white heritage. And that's not something I think that

426
00:22:34.759 --> 00:22:36.720
<v Speaker 2>Powell could ever have admitted, and then you've got the

427
00:22:36.799 --> 00:22:39.000
<v Speaker 2>non conventional economic Well.

428
00:22:38.720 --> 00:22:40.519
<v Speaker 3>Just look at the leader, sorry interrupt, just look at

429
00:22:40.519 --> 00:22:43.039
<v Speaker 3>the leader of the Tory Party right now, Kemmy Badanock, right,

430
00:22:43.839 --> 00:22:46.480
<v Speaker 3>born of Kenyan parents. Yeah, okay, sorry.

431
00:22:46.279 --> 00:22:52.440
<v Speaker 2>And succeeding Rishish Shunoch, you know, Adu of Indian parentage,

432
00:22:52.480 --> 00:22:58.680
<v Speaker 2>who is British, born in and raised in Britain. But

433
00:22:58.799 --> 00:23:01.920
<v Speaker 2>that's the Conservative Party. And the fact is the Conservative Party,

434
00:23:02.440 --> 00:23:06.079
<v Speaker 2>like all conservative parties built in the post war era,

435
00:23:07.359 --> 00:23:10.759
<v Speaker 2>is coming apart. It's coming apart because the Liberal and

436
00:23:11.319 --> 00:23:13.680
<v Speaker 2>as John Howard of Australia said that the Liberal Party

437
00:23:13.720 --> 00:23:16.799
<v Speaker 2>of Australia, which is the Conservative party down there, big

438
00:23:16.960 --> 00:23:21.000
<v Speaker 2>l like classical right, could contain liberal and conservative elements,

439
00:23:21.279 --> 00:23:23.039
<v Speaker 2>you know, which is say people who are concerned first

440
00:23:23.079 --> 00:23:25.720
<v Speaker 2>about freedom, that people concerned first about tradition can find

441
00:23:25.759 --> 00:23:28.680
<v Speaker 2>their homes are. What happens is people who are concerned,

442
00:23:29.000 --> 00:23:31.640
<v Speaker 2>who are upper income and educated now don't care about

443
00:23:31.640 --> 00:23:37.359
<v Speaker 2>conservative culture the left, and there's no longer a chance

444
00:23:37.440 --> 00:23:40.559
<v Speaker 2>to combine them in opposition to something when the center,

445
00:23:40.680 --> 00:23:43.519
<v Speaker 2>when the left has in fact embraced some form of capitalism.

446
00:23:44.319 --> 00:23:49.000
<v Speaker 2>So all of these Western parties are finding there nineteen

447
00:23:49.119 --> 00:23:52.759
<v Speaker 2>forty five to nineteen ninety nine era coalitions going away,

448
00:23:53.400 --> 00:23:56.440
<v Speaker 2>and the Tory Party remains split between people who would

449
00:23:56.440 --> 00:23:58.720
<v Speaker 2>actually rather be the right wing of the left than

450
00:23:58.720 --> 00:24:01.839
<v Speaker 2>those who would rather be the establishment wing of the right.

451
00:24:02.240 --> 00:24:05.480
<v Speaker 2>And I don't think they'll solve that problem before the

452
00:24:05.519 --> 00:24:08.079
<v Speaker 2>next election. And I think they will be I think

453
00:24:08.079 --> 00:24:10.039
<v Speaker 2>there's a better than fifty percent chance that they'll have

454
00:24:10.119 --> 00:24:12.039
<v Speaker 2>fewer than fifty seats in the next parliament.

455
00:24:12.400 --> 00:24:15.319
<v Speaker 3>Wow. Well, the one more question about the Tory Party.

456
00:24:16.119 --> 00:24:18.640
<v Speaker 3>You know, in America we still talk about our rhinos,

457
00:24:18.720 --> 00:24:22.160
<v Speaker 3>right Republicans in name only, who they aren't endangered species

458
00:24:22.279 --> 00:24:26.039
<v Speaker 3>like African rhinos, And you know, the Republican Party became

459
00:24:26.079 --> 00:24:28.480
<v Speaker 3>more self identified conservative party, which we are going to see

460
00:24:28.480 --> 00:24:31.519
<v Speaker 3>that now. What I hear from our friends like Andrew

461
00:24:31.599 --> 00:24:34.319
<v Speaker 3>Roberts and others is that that never happened to the

462
00:24:34.359 --> 00:24:37.079
<v Speaker 3>Tory Party in Britain, even with the strong influence of

463
00:24:37.119 --> 00:24:39.960
<v Speaker 3>Margaret Thatcher. After she left, it snapped back and you

464
00:24:40.000 --> 00:24:41.960
<v Speaker 3>have a lot of I guess we'd call them Tino's

465
00:24:42.400 --> 00:24:45.519
<v Speaker 3>Tories in name only, right right, And I mean Andrews says,

466
00:24:45.559 --> 00:24:47.960
<v Speaker 3>you know, half the members of the Tory Party in Parliament,

467
00:24:47.960 --> 00:24:49.920
<v Speaker 3>and this was true under Boris Johnson. Are actually not

468
00:24:50.039 --> 00:24:53.839
<v Speaker 3>very ideological. They're Tory Party members out of convenience and

469
00:24:53.880 --> 00:24:57.039
<v Speaker 3>ambition because that's the way there are constituency rules. And

470
00:24:57.559 --> 00:24:59.799
<v Speaker 3>I think you can see that the party really lost

471
00:24:59.799 --> 00:25:02.519
<v Speaker 3>its way, and I don't know is there a chance

472
00:25:02.599 --> 00:25:05.440
<v Speaker 3>that they can Well you just said your prediction is

473
00:25:05.480 --> 00:25:08.880
<v Speaker 3>they're going to get wiped out, but I don't have

474
00:25:09.000 --> 00:25:11.200
<v Speaker 3>to solve that problem if they're ever going to come back.

475
00:25:11.839 --> 00:25:14.119
<v Speaker 2>I think those of us who are small Sea Conservative

476
00:25:14.240 --> 00:25:16.119
<v Speaker 2>or not ought not to be wedded to the big

477
00:25:16.160 --> 00:25:20.720
<v Speaker 2>C Conservative. Yeah, okay, I would have voted reform if

478
00:25:20.759 --> 00:25:25.440
<v Speaker 2>I were in Britain in four I am enthusiastically for reform,

479
00:25:25.920 --> 00:25:28.720
<v Speaker 2>not that I agree with everything Forage says and so forth,

480
00:25:29.759 --> 00:25:34.559
<v Speaker 2>because I think the Tory Party in Britain is essentially

481
00:25:34.680 --> 00:25:37.160
<v Speaker 2>now an expression of class preference.

482
00:25:38.599 --> 00:25:40.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Yeah. The people I know who in Britain who

483
00:25:40.440 --> 00:25:44.319
<v Speaker 1>are voting reform were not Tories before. So there's this

484
00:25:44.680 --> 00:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>there's a spectrum of legitimacy, it seems. In Europe, right,

485
00:25:47.960 --> 00:25:51.640
<v Speaker 1>there's reform, then maybe a f D and then down

486
00:25:51.680 --> 00:25:55.799
<v Speaker 1>below that the French, because the French are always castigating

487
00:25:55.839 --> 00:26:01.680
<v Speaker 1>their own right, but respectability seems to be coming up somewhat.

488
00:26:03.039 --> 00:26:06.799
<v Speaker 1>Are Let's look at AfD first, which I believe was

489
00:26:07.480 --> 00:26:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, investigated and found to be beyond the pale.

490
00:26:10.200 --> 00:26:11.640
<v Speaker 1>But they're not going away.

491
00:26:12.279 --> 00:26:12.359
<v Speaker 4>No.

492
00:26:12.480 --> 00:26:14.880
<v Speaker 2>Well, that's the thing that you in a democracy, you

493
00:26:15.000 --> 00:26:20.400
<v Speaker 2>can't abolish voters. And the elites have this sense that well,

494
00:26:20.400 --> 00:26:23.119
<v Speaker 2>if we can whole control the narrative, or we control

495
00:26:23.200 --> 00:26:26.000
<v Speaker 2>the leadership, you know, we can put this thing to bread.

496
00:26:26.079 --> 00:26:29.160
<v Speaker 2>But in a democracy, public opinion is everything. To quote

497
00:26:29.200 --> 00:26:32.680
<v Speaker 2>somebody who once had a beard and ended the Civil war,

498
00:26:33.799 --> 00:26:38.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, is that so they could aband AfD tomorrow

499
00:26:38.559 --> 00:26:42.720
<v Speaker 2>and it wouldn't matter. It wouldn't matter because a quarter

500
00:26:42.759 --> 00:26:47.319
<v Speaker 2>of Germans want the policies that AfD have. So somebody

501
00:26:47.359 --> 00:26:49.799
<v Speaker 2>would come and create a new party called DFA and

502
00:26:49.880 --> 00:26:54.319
<v Speaker 2>you know, and yeah, this happened in Belgium, is that

503
00:26:54.359 --> 00:26:58.000
<v Speaker 2>they had a right wing party, a populist anti immigrant party,

504
00:26:58.000 --> 00:27:03.200
<v Speaker 2>and they actually moved to abolish Vlam's Block, and Vlam's

505
00:27:03.240 --> 00:27:06.480
<v Speaker 2>Block dissolved itself ahead of the court hearing and reconstituted

506
00:27:06.519 --> 00:27:08.279
<v Speaker 2>itself as Vloms Belong.

507
00:27:08.400 --> 00:27:13.279
<v Speaker 1>And guess what they're still gidding bo AfD, though for

508
00:27:13.319 --> 00:27:15.240
<v Speaker 1>those people who don't know describe what they are. Two

509
00:27:15.400 --> 00:27:18.440
<v Speaker 1>main things would be there are two primary issues that

510
00:27:18.519 --> 00:27:19.839
<v Speaker 1>are gaining them popularity.

511
00:27:19.960 --> 00:27:23.799
<v Speaker 2>Well, the two primary issues that would be gaining them popularity,

512
00:27:24.279 --> 00:27:27.960
<v Speaker 2>first of all overwhelmingly as immigration, and the second is

513
00:27:28.160 --> 00:27:33.160
<v Speaker 2>i would say, German culture. It's where does AfD do best.

514
00:27:33.240 --> 00:27:36.720
<v Speaker 2>It does best in places that are not doing well economically,

515
00:27:37.079 --> 00:27:40.759
<v Speaker 2>and they also do well in places that historically have

516
00:27:40.920 --> 00:27:46.920
<v Speaker 2>been very supportive of particularly Catholic identity. You see where

517
00:27:46.960 --> 00:27:51.240
<v Speaker 2>they're take a look at the same regions on the

518
00:27:51.319 --> 00:27:56.200
<v Speaker 2>Czech Bavarian border that backed the Bavarian People's Party and

519
00:27:56.240 --> 00:27:59.960
<v Speaker 2>the Weimar Republic and gave huge majorities to the Christian

520
00:28:00.039 --> 00:28:03.759
<v Speaker 2>and Social Union in the post World War two environment

521
00:28:04.079 --> 00:28:06.519
<v Speaker 2>are still voting for the CSU, but they're giving the

522
00:28:06.559 --> 00:28:09.200
<v Speaker 2>AfD their strongest level of support in the West, and

523
00:28:09.240 --> 00:28:14.079
<v Speaker 2>that's not depressed industrial territory, that's Catholic ritory. So mainly

524
00:28:14.160 --> 00:28:19.160
<v Speaker 2>those two things that are gaining them gaining them supporting, but.

525
00:28:19.119 --> 00:28:21.880
<v Speaker 1>They are tightly bound together, the immigration and the idea

526
00:28:21.880 --> 00:28:22.440
<v Speaker 1>of German cost.

527
00:28:22.640 --> 00:28:26.039
<v Speaker 2>They are tightly bound together, but they're also several, you know,

528
00:28:26.079 --> 00:28:29.640
<v Speaker 2>and this is the thing is that if suddenly the

529
00:28:29.680 --> 00:28:33.720
<v Speaker 2>government tomorrow decided well, actually we're just going to steal

530
00:28:33.759 --> 00:28:37.119
<v Speaker 2>AfD's immigration policies, which is what the Social Democrats did

531
00:28:37.119 --> 00:28:40.039
<v Speaker 2>in Denmark, it wouldn't mean the AfD would go away

532
00:28:40.160 --> 00:28:42.680
<v Speaker 2>any more than the populist right went away in Denmark.

533
00:28:42.880 --> 00:28:45.359
<v Speaker 2>You know, populist right in Denmark still gets about twenty

534
00:28:45.359 --> 00:28:48.119
<v Speaker 2>percent of the vote, split a number of different parties

535
00:28:48.440 --> 00:28:51.359
<v Speaker 2>because there are other things that are pushing it. It's

536
00:28:51.440 --> 00:28:53.559
<v Speaker 2>not a one issue thing. And that's one of the

537
00:28:53.559 --> 00:28:57.000
<v Speaker 2>things that people tend not to understand. They tend to think, well,

538
00:28:57.000 --> 00:29:00.079
<v Speaker 2>this is just a protest party, and you move the

539
00:29:00.119 --> 00:29:02.599
<v Speaker 2>source of the protests and the party will go away. No,

540
00:29:02.759 --> 00:29:07.279
<v Speaker 2>this is an identity thing. This is a worldview that

541
00:29:07.319 --> 00:29:10.519
<v Speaker 2>has its expression and its saliens from immigration, but it

542
00:29:10.559 --> 00:29:16.720
<v Speaker 2>extends well beyond that and is simply uncoalitionable with a

543
00:29:17.160 --> 00:29:20.400
<v Speaker 2>move a political element that is dominated by a progressive

544
00:29:20.480 --> 00:29:24.799
<v Speaker 2>left that sees not know. Basically, the progressive lefts argument

545
00:29:24.880 --> 00:29:28.000
<v Speaker 2>worldwide now is if you backed a system of government

546
00:29:28.160 --> 00:29:31.480
<v Speaker 2>and a series of laws that were normal throughout the

547
00:29:31.480 --> 00:29:34.960
<v Speaker 2>West when we defeated Nazism, you are now a fascist.

548
00:29:35.880 --> 00:29:41.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah yeah, And so these people still believe that, you know,

549
00:29:41.759 --> 00:29:44.160
<v Speaker 2>the system of laws that we had as recently as

550
00:29:44.160 --> 00:29:47.720
<v Speaker 2>like nineteen eighty are you know that society was actually

551
00:29:47.759 --> 00:29:50.519
<v Speaker 2>pretty good? And why can't we have something like that today,

552
00:29:50.559 --> 00:29:53.519
<v Speaker 2>you know, not turning back the clock, but preserve and

553
00:29:53.640 --> 00:29:57.920
<v Speaker 2>conserving if you will, those values, and that is simply

554
00:29:58.000 --> 00:29:59.720
<v Speaker 2>uncoalitionable with the modern left.

555
00:30:00.359 --> 00:30:03.039
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, let's let's head east a little bit. I mean, uh,

556
00:30:03.480 --> 00:30:05.440
<v Speaker 3>you know, we know that, Uh they're doing law fair

557
00:30:05.519 --> 00:30:08.119
<v Speaker 3>in France against marine Lapan and in Germany against a

558
00:30:08.240 --> 00:30:10.839
<v Speaker 3>f D, and let's have to see how that plays out.

559
00:30:10.880 --> 00:30:13.559
<v Speaker 3>But in Eastern Europe you're seeing other weird things that

560
00:30:13.920 --> 00:30:17.440
<v Speaker 3>hard for Americans understand because of those peculiar parliamentary systems.

561
00:30:17.440 --> 00:30:19.960
<v Speaker 3>And by the way, sometimes when you post the europolls, Henry,

562
00:30:20.000 --> 00:30:23.079
<v Speaker 3>I can't tell. Is the color coding also red for

563
00:30:23.240 --> 00:30:26.519
<v Speaker 3>conservative and blue for liberal and everywhere else.

564
00:30:26.319 --> 00:30:27.920
<v Speaker 2>In the world blue is conservative?

565
00:30:28.119 --> 00:30:30.920
<v Speaker 3>Is that okay? Because and then you also have eight

566
00:30:30.960 --> 00:30:34.039
<v Speaker 3>parties to cope with and it's just a nuisance. But

567
00:30:34.039 --> 00:30:35.359
<v Speaker 3>but you know, so you Poland and.

568
00:30:35.359 --> 00:30:37.200
<v Speaker 2>Romania in the Netherlands.

569
00:30:37.200 --> 00:30:40.400
<v Speaker 3>But right, yeah, the smaller the country, the more parties.

570
00:30:40.920 --> 00:30:42.920
<v Speaker 3>You know, I want a party for my own block, right,

571
00:30:43.039 --> 00:30:46.720
<v Speaker 3>it's for Prince and groct andance. I don't know. Uh

572
00:30:46.759 --> 00:30:54.880
<v Speaker 3>So Romania invalidated an election. I knew. I knew that

573
00:30:54.920 --> 00:30:58.079
<v Speaker 3>was a mistake for me to bring that up. Uh So,

574
00:30:58.400 --> 00:31:02.279
<v Speaker 3>Romania they invalidated action here recently because of suppose Russian

575
00:31:02.440 --> 00:31:05.200
<v Speaker 3>I don't want say suppose. I'm sure there was Russian interference.

576
00:31:05.480 --> 00:31:07.759
<v Speaker 3>That is not new. I'm well schooled on the way

577
00:31:07.839 --> 00:31:11.559
<v Speaker 3>Russia has mucked around in Bulgaria's politics for at least

578
00:31:11.559 --> 00:31:13.680
<v Speaker 3>the last twenty five years, and we don't seem to

579
00:31:13.680 --> 00:31:16.440
<v Speaker 3>be bothered by that, but or invalidate their elections. But

580
00:31:17.079 --> 00:31:20.200
<v Speaker 3>they invalidated and then the establishment candidate managed to speak

581
00:31:20.200 --> 00:31:22.799
<v Speaker 3>by here in the last few days, I guess. And

582
00:31:22.839 --> 00:31:25.519
<v Speaker 3>then I'm confused in Poland too, where I think there's

583
00:31:25.559 --> 00:31:30.039
<v Speaker 3>similar lawfare, and Shenanigan's going on break those two down

584
00:31:30.079 --> 00:31:31.079
<v Speaker 3>for us briefly, if you will.

585
00:31:31.119 --> 00:31:34.839
<v Speaker 2>What happened in Romania is that the thing to remember

586
00:31:35.079 --> 00:31:41.240
<v Speaker 2>is that in what gave Trump his victory was over

587
00:31:41.279 --> 00:31:45.160
<v Speaker 2>the span of a decade, he has transformed a minority

588
00:31:45.200 --> 00:31:50.039
<v Speaker 2>movement into a tenuous majority coalition, and he's done that

589
00:31:50.200 --> 00:31:54.240
<v Speaker 2>by gaining the support of people who actually don't like

590
00:31:54.279 --> 00:31:56.400
<v Speaker 2>a lot of his policies, but they prefer him to

591
00:31:56.440 --> 00:31:58.920
<v Speaker 2>the left, and that's kind of like the nikky Haley

592
00:31:58.920 --> 00:32:03.279
<v Speaker 2>wing of the Republican And by adding opula and working

593
00:32:03.359 --> 00:32:06.720
<v Speaker 2>class voters across the spectrum from Democrats who have just

594
00:32:07.119 --> 00:32:09.880
<v Speaker 2>thrown up their hands at a modern party that doesn't

595
00:32:09.880 --> 00:32:12.640
<v Speaker 2>seem to care about them anymore, that's how he gets

596
00:32:12.680 --> 00:32:16.240
<v Speaker 2>to a majority. The Europeans haven't gotten to the majority

597
00:32:16.240 --> 00:32:20.000
<v Speaker 2>status yet, Okay. That's basically what happened in Romania is

598
00:32:20.000 --> 00:32:23.960
<v Speaker 2>that this party that didn't exist seven years ago has

599
00:32:24.000 --> 00:32:27.759
<v Speaker 2>suddenly come and gotten forty five I think they ended

600
00:32:27.839 --> 00:32:30.160
<v Speaker 2>up with about forty six percent of the vote. And

601
00:32:30.200 --> 00:32:34.119
<v Speaker 2>what held them back finally was that it's just too new,

602
00:32:34.160 --> 00:32:38.559
<v Speaker 2>it's too radical. So the sort of people who say, well,

603
00:32:38.599 --> 00:32:41.759
<v Speaker 2>I prefer Trump to Clinton said, well, actually I prefer

604
00:32:41.839 --> 00:32:45.960
<v Speaker 2>this nik Kashur Dan to George Simeon. So the center right,

605
00:32:46.039 --> 00:32:50.759
<v Speaker 2>the Hailey voter of Romania backed the establishment in four years,

606
00:32:50.799 --> 00:32:54.559
<v Speaker 2>that may not be the case. Yeah, And then you've

607
00:32:54.559 --> 00:32:57.759
<v Speaker 2>got inter ethnic things, you know, like sur five to

608
00:32:57.799 --> 00:33:00.359
<v Speaker 2>eight percent of the population is Hungarian and this guy

609
00:33:01.400 --> 00:33:04.640
<v Speaker 2>is an ultra Romanian nationalist. So the Hungarian Vogue turned

610
00:33:04.640 --> 00:33:07.440
<v Speaker 2>off on mass to oppose him, and that was another

611
00:33:07.440 --> 00:33:11.240
<v Speaker 2>reason why he lost in Poland. Yes, the establishment is

612
00:33:11.680 --> 00:33:14.519
<v Speaker 2>going on law fair against law and justice, which is

613
00:33:14.559 --> 00:33:17.839
<v Speaker 2>the populist conservative party there. But guess what, you can't

614
00:33:17.920 --> 00:33:23.279
<v Speaker 2>engage in law fair against twenty million Poles. And well

615
00:33:23.319 --> 00:33:26.759
<v Speaker 2>you can, but that's called Putin's Russia. And even the

616
00:33:26.880 --> 00:33:31.599
<v Speaker 2>establishment in Europe isn't willing to actually have phony rigged

617
00:33:31.599 --> 00:33:34.400
<v Speaker 2>elections and put people in jail and have people fall

618
00:33:34.440 --> 00:33:38.799
<v Speaker 2>out of fourth floor windows consistently. So what's happened is

619
00:33:38.799 --> 00:33:41.519
<v Speaker 2>is that you've got the mayor of Poland, the mayor

620
00:33:41.559 --> 00:33:45.400
<v Speaker 2>of Warsaw, who is a cultural liberal and an economic conservative,

621
00:33:45.440 --> 00:33:49.400
<v Speaker 2>perfectly at home as a Nicky Haley Republic who is

622
00:33:49.440 --> 00:33:52.960
<v Speaker 2>the running for president. He has called for abortion in

623
00:33:53.000 --> 00:33:56.119
<v Speaker 2>a country that's the most religious in Europe. He has

624
00:33:56.200 --> 00:33:59.720
<v Speaker 2>called for the ban. As mayor of Varce's imposed a

625
00:33:59.759 --> 00:34:02.960
<v Speaker 2>ban on the wearing of religious symbols even at your desk,

626
00:34:03.039 --> 00:34:05.559
<v Speaker 2>so you can't have like a crucifix on your private

627
00:34:05.640 --> 00:34:11.320
<v Speaker 2>desk if you're a Warsaw person. He supports LGBTQ rights issues,

628
00:34:11.360 --> 00:34:15.199
<v Speaker 2>again in a country where people have traditional views about

629
00:34:15.199 --> 00:34:19.559
<v Speaker 2>homosexuality and same sex marriage, and his coalition that got

630
00:34:19.639 --> 00:34:26.519
<v Speaker 2>him into parliament included socially conservative, rural voters who didn't

631
00:34:26.639 --> 00:34:32.000
<v Speaker 2>like law and justice. So guess what's happened now You

632
00:34:32.079 --> 00:34:35.400
<v Speaker 2>look and they say, well, if we support this guy,

633
00:34:36.159 --> 00:34:40.079
<v Speaker 2>then we're basically endorsing social liberalism, and a lot of

634
00:34:40.119 --> 00:34:43.000
<v Speaker 2>these voters refuse to do that, and that gives Law

635
00:34:43.039 --> 00:34:45.519
<v Speaker 2>and Justice a chance to win the runoff is that

636
00:34:45.920 --> 00:34:50.599
<v Speaker 2>their candidate finished second. The three anti abortion candidates got

637
00:34:50.599 --> 00:34:53.400
<v Speaker 2>a majority of the vote in a very high turnout

638
00:34:53.480 --> 00:34:57.119
<v Speaker 2>first round where the turnout was highest in the cities

639
00:34:57.280 --> 00:35:01.639
<v Speaker 2>where the liberals, the a Republicans and people to their

640
00:35:01.760 --> 00:35:04.000
<v Speaker 2>right and to do well. So if you look at

641
00:35:04.000 --> 00:35:07.639
<v Speaker 2>this and you say, in a democracy, public opinion is everything.

642
00:35:08.159 --> 00:35:10.800
<v Speaker 2>The center left and the establishment allies on the right

643
00:35:10.920 --> 00:35:15.519
<v Speaker 2>continually thumbed their nose at public opinion, considering them troglegite

644
00:35:15.719 --> 00:35:20.079
<v Speaker 2>or fascist. And guess what it's, you know, a revenge

645
00:35:20.119 --> 00:35:22.360
<v Speaker 2>of the Jedi. Ah. My point is that Poland is

646
00:35:22.400 --> 00:35:25.719
<v Speaker 2>divided like we are, and it matters. And if you're

647
00:35:25.719 --> 00:35:28.039
<v Speaker 2>going to be an elite that basically says public opinion

648
00:35:28.159 --> 00:35:33.000
<v Speaker 2>doesn't matter because we're right and you're wrong. You should

649
00:35:33.000 --> 00:35:34.719
<v Speaker 2>expect to have a come up and sit the balance

650
00:35:34.760 --> 00:35:36.960
<v Speaker 2>box at some point, and I think Europe is maybe

651
00:35:37.000 --> 00:35:40.199
<v Speaker 2>five to eight to ten years behind US and a

652
00:35:40.280 --> 00:35:43.320
<v Speaker 2>strong minority becoming a tentative majority.

653
00:35:43.639 --> 00:35:45.800
<v Speaker 3>Well. Now, one of the interesting things about Poland right

654
00:35:45.840 --> 00:35:47.880
<v Speaker 3>now is that I was not aware of this, but

655
00:35:47.920 --> 00:35:51.119
<v Speaker 3>their economy has been booming, and I think like they

656
00:35:51.159 --> 00:35:54.559
<v Speaker 3>already have passed Japan in per capita income, which is

657
00:35:54.599 --> 00:35:57.559
<v Speaker 3>an amazing thing to think about. And that suggests to

658
00:35:57.599 --> 00:35:59.719
<v Speaker 3>me that the election really is going to be decided

659
00:35:59.760 --> 00:36:02.719
<v Speaker 3>not on the old mix of economy and culture, but

660
00:36:02.760 --> 00:36:05.159
<v Speaker 3>it's going to be culture over economy. Maybe I don't know,

661
00:36:05.360 --> 00:36:07.320
<v Speaker 3>it sounds like it might happen that way. Yeah, okay,

662
00:36:07.519 --> 00:36:11.360
<v Speaker 3>well now let me let me ask you. Let's turn

663
00:36:11.440 --> 00:36:13.800
<v Speaker 3>to hungry for a moment. We're less than a year

664
00:36:13.840 --> 00:36:17.719
<v Speaker 3>out from another national election. I hear polls showing Orbon

665
00:36:17.920 --> 00:36:20.679
<v Speaker 3>and his Fidees party is in running behind, is in

666
00:36:20.760 --> 00:36:24.199
<v Speaker 3>some trouble, but they've always been very clever and hardy campaigners.

667
00:36:24.199 --> 00:36:26.239
<v Speaker 3>What maybe it's a little earlier for you to make

668
00:36:26.239 --> 00:36:29.239
<v Speaker 3>a call, But what are you expecting? What are you

669
00:36:29.280 --> 00:36:29.960
<v Speaker 3>looking for there?

670
00:36:30.039 --> 00:36:30.079
<v Speaker 1>What?

671
00:36:30.239 --> 00:36:30.760
<v Speaker 3>What?

672
00:36:30.760 --> 00:36:33.880
<v Speaker 2>Which we call an election, not a tenant, I know,

673
00:36:34.119 --> 00:36:36.639
<v Speaker 2>I know, but what I.

674
00:36:36.920 --> 00:36:39.000
<v Speaker 3>Have they have they outlaid, they're welcomes. It's just they're

675
00:36:39.039 --> 00:36:41.639
<v Speaker 3>tired of having this one party in for fifteen years,

676
00:36:41.760 --> 00:36:42.880
<v Speaker 3>or there's something else happening.

677
00:36:43.079 --> 00:36:46.159
<v Speaker 2>What I argued years ago is that again this is

678
00:36:46.199 --> 00:36:51.239
<v Speaker 2>you know, let's be let's be honest. Orbon has engaged

679
00:36:51.280 --> 00:36:55.079
<v Speaker 2>in some what would be considered thugish techniques, you know,

680
00:36:55.119 --> 00:36:57.320
<v Speaker 2>which isn't He doesn't put his opponents in prison and

681
00:36:57.360 --> 00:36:59.480
<v Speaker 2>so forth. But they do have some sort of consolidation

682
00:36:59.559 --> 00:37:03.760
<v Speaker 2>overall lot of mass market media through interlocking ownerships and

683
00:37:03.800 --> 00:37:07.119
<v Speaker 2>so forth, that tends not to report about the opposition,

684
00:37:07.199 --> 00:37:09.920
<v Speaker 2>you know, not just attacking like what they do here.

685
00:37:09.920 --> 00:37:11.719
<v Speaker 2>And you know, it's not like they at least mentioned

686
00:37:11.760 --> 00:37:13.960
<v Speaker 2>Trump's name and you know, give him a chance to

687
00:37:14.000 --> 00:37:16.599
<v Speaker 2>say something before they have ninety seconds of telling you

688
00:37:16.599 --> 00:37:18.840
<v Speaker 2>how terrible he is, you know. Orbon doesn't even do

689
00:37:19.000 --> 00:37:21.239
<v Speaker 2>that with some of the media, cantill they don't even

690
00:37:21.280 --> 00:37:26.079
<v Speaker 2>mention the opposition. But again, public opinion is everything unless

691
00:37:26.079 --> 00:37:29.679
<v Speaker 2>you're going to abolish the voters. Orbon is kind of

692
00:37:29.719 --> 00:37:33.639
<v Speaker 2>facing the same problem that the elites and Brussels are facing.

693
00:37:34.119 --> 00:37:36.440
<v Speaker 2>So Their argument I made years ago is why should

694
00:37:36.440 --> 00:37:38.760
<v Speaker 2>you be surprised that Orbon wins? Is that he's combined

695
00:37:38.840 --> 00:37:45.159
<v Speaker 2>economic capitalism with social support and Hungarian nationalism. And oh,

696
00:37:45.159 --> 00:37:47.119
<v Speaker 2>by the way, if you look at every single election

697
00:37:47.280 --> 00:37:49.639
<v Speaker 2>going back to nineteen ninety, which are the first free

698
00:37:49.679 --> 00:37:53.800
<v Speaker 2>elections after the fall of the Berlin Wall, that coalition

699
00:37:53.920 --> 00:37:56.519
<v Speaker 2>gets a majority. It used to be split between four

700
00:37:56.559 --> 00:37:59.039
<v Speaker 2>parties and now it's in one party. Why should you

701
00:37:59.079 --> 00:38:02.199
<v Speaker 2>be surprised that a guy who I don't know represents

702
00:38:02.239 --> 00:38:05.440
<v Speaker 2>public opinion of Hungarians wins an election in Hungary?

703
00:38:06.239 --> 00:38:07.840
<v Speaker 3>Right, Yeah, what's happened.

704
00:38:08.239 --> 00:38:11.679
<v Speaker 2>The economy is in the toilet. They've got high inflation,

705
00:38:12.039 --> 00:38:15.280
<v Speaker 2>they're cutting back on subsidies and so forth, and they're desperate.

706
00:38:15.480 --> 00:38:19.840
<v Speaker 2>They're engaging in price controls. They're desperate to restore economic

707
00:38:19.920 --> 00:38:24.280
<v Speaker 2>growth and low inflation. Before the election, and they're running

708
00:38:24.360 --> 00:38:26.960
<v Speaker 2>It used to be they were running against representatives of

709
00:38:27.000 --> 00:38:29.519
<v Speaker 2>the Brussels e League. And you know, it's kind of

710
00:38:29.639 --> 00:38:31.920
<v Speaker 2>like if you were if you were the mayor of

711
00:38:31.960 --> 00:38:34.599
<v Speaker 2>New York and Ghostbusters, here's here we go, and you

712
00:38:34.639 --> 00:38:35.320
<v Speaker 2>had a choice.

713
00:38:36.000 --> 00:38:38.400
<v Speaker 1>That's the fourth between.

714
00:38:38.239 --> 00:38:42.000
<v Speaker 2>Doctor Vankman and people who say there's ghosts or the

715
00:38:42.039 --> 00:38:47.360
<v Speaker 2>guy and the beard from the EPA department, right, and

716
00:38:47.360 --> 00:38:49.159
<v Speaker 2>and what is it that Bill Murray says. He says,

717
00:38:49.360 --> 00:38:51.679
<v Speaker 2>you know that if you believe us, you know you'll

718
00:38:51.960 --> 00:38:54.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, you know, you know, we basically we represent

719
00:38:55.000 --> 00:38:57.679
<v Speaker 2>the people you care about, millions of registered voters, and

720
00:38:57.719 --> 00:38:59.880
<v Speaker 2>that's when they get the okay to go checkout goes

721
00:39:00.199 --> 00:39:06.440
<v Speaker 2>on the side. Yeah, they used to run against elites

722
00:39:06.480 --> 00:39:09.519
<v Speaker 2>who are Social Democrats who were based in Budapest. Now

723
00:39:09.559 --> 00:39:13.360
<v Speaker 2>they're running against a former PETESH person who is basically saying,

724
00:39:13.400 --> 00:39:16.199
<v Speaker 2>you can have what you like about Orbon with me

725
00:39:16.960 --> 00:39:21.960
<v Speaker 2>Hungarian nationalism. And so it's he's kind of like Orbon plus.

726
00:39:22.000 --> 00:39:24.000
<v Speaker 2>And so yeah, he's running ahead in the polls. I

727
00:39:24.079 --> 00:39:28.199
<v Speaker 2>have looked at all all the constituencies. I know exactly

728
00:39:28.280 --> 00:39:30.760
<v Speaker 2>where the election is going to turn, somewhere around Lake Balaton,

729
00:39:30.800 --> 00:39:32.199
<v Speaker 2>and I might be there too.

730
00:39:39.400 --> 00:39:41.599
<v Speaker 1>I like to ask one of my trademark vague, interminable

731
00:39:41.639 --> 00:39:46.559
<v Speaker 1>and ignorantly sourced questions. Here we're seeing the rise of nationalism, obviously,

732
00:39:47.039 --> 00:39:48.800
<v Speaker 1>and I just remember all my life being told this

733
00:39:48.840 --> 00:39:51.239
<v Speaker 1>is very bad thing by the left. Nationalism is bad.

734
00:39:51.360 --> 00:39:53.679
<v Speaker 1>Nationalism gave us World War One. One World War Two.

735
00:39:53.760 --> 00:39:56.679
<v Speaker 1>Nationalism is good when Woodrow Wilson is trying to give

736
00:39:56.679 --> 00:39:58.760
<v Speaker 1>everybody there in a little country. But nationalism is bad.

737
00:39:58.840 --> 00:40:02.880
<v Speaker 1>Nationalism now is good for Gaza and the Palestinians, and

738
00:40:03.079 --> 00:40:05.559
<v Speaker 1>on some parts of the left, nationalism good for Ukraine.

739
00:40:05.599 --> 00:40:07.679
<v Speaker 1>It's nice to see them standing up for that. But

740
00:40:07.800 --> 00:40:11.199
<v Speaker 1>in general, no, it's a bad idea. But what we

741
00:40:11.320 --> 00:40:15.840
<v Speaker 1>had there eventually in the post war Europe was a

742
00:40:15.960 --> 00:40:19.000
<v Speaker 1>movement towards a unified Europe, the Common Market, the EU,

743
00:40:19.039 --> 00:40:22.199
<v Speaker 1>et cetera, that would respect national identities but at the

744
00:40:22.199 --> 00:40:26.360
<v Speaker 1>same time subsume them into a general transnational project. And

745
00:40:26.400 --> 00:40:30.039
<v Speaker 1>my question to you is might that have worked, because

746
00:40:30.079 --> 00:40:31.920
<v Speaker 1>I think that it would have. I think it would

747
00:40:31.920 --> 00:40:34.679
<v Speaker 1>have been cape. It would have been possible to create

748
00:40:34.800 --> 00:40:39.320
<v Speaker 1>a regulatory, legal, economic structure that spanned all of Europe,

749
00:40:39.320 --> 00:40:43.199
<v Speaker 1>but at the same time was keenly interested and invested

750
00:40:43.559 --> 00:40:47.519
<v Speaker 1>in maintaining national identity. But I think that it fell

751
00:40:47.559 --> 00:40:50.039
<v Speaker 1>apart because of the overweening desires of the people in

752
00:40:50.039 --> 00:40:53.519
<v Speaker 1>Brussels to absolutely control every elemental atom in the various

753
00:40:53.519 --> 00:40:56.920
<v Speaker 1>constituent states. I think Brexit happened when people woke up

754
00:40:57.039 --> 00:41:00.320
<v Speaker 1>one day and looked at a a story on the

755
00:41:00.360 --> 00:41:02.280
<v Speaker 1>front page of the Telegraph and the Mirror in every

756
00:41:02.280 --> 00:41:04.719
<v Speaker 1>other paper that said the EU was about to regulate

757
00:41:04.920 --> 00:41:08.280
<v Speaker 1>kettles and how fast they boiled in order to stave

758
00:41:08.360 --> 00:41:11.119
<v Speaker 1>off climate change. And I think that's when people said,

759
00:41:11.239 --> 00:41:13.320
<v Speaker 1>that's it. I'm not going to be part of this anymore.

760
00:41:13.519 --> 00:41:15.960
<v Speaker 1>So did they just was it overreach that doomed the

761
00:41:16.000 --> 00:41:18.360
<v Speaker 1>project or were the seeds of its downfall there in

762
00:41:18.440 --> 00:41:20.159
<v Speaker 1>the construction of it in the first place.

763
00:41:20.480 --> 00:41:22.440
<v Speaker 2>I think it a little bit of both. You know.

764
00:41:22.599 --> 00:41:24.920
<v Speaker 2>Is that let's take a look at the United States

765
00:41:24.960 --> 00:41:28.000
<v Speaker 2>of America. The United States of America started as thirteen

766
00:41:28.039 --> 00:41:32.679
<v Speaker 2>separate colonies, and they became a country through a shared struggle,

767
00:41:33.000 --> 00:41:36.519
<v Speaker 2>the War for Independence, and then it took many years

768
00:41:36.559 --> 00:41:39.400
<v Speaker 2>afterwards to finally settle on the way in which you

769
00:41:39.480 --> 00:41:44.320
<v Speaker 2>could maintain diversity and unity. And that was the Constitution.

770
00:41:45.159 --> 00:41:48.079
<v Speaker 2>What the fundamental thing about the Constitution was that it

771
00:41:48.119 --> 00:41:51.519
<v Speaker 2>was not intended to have a government in Washington that

772
00:41:51.559 --> 00:41:54.239
<v Speaker 2>would regulate the things that most people would deal with

773
00:41:54.280 --> 00:41:57.559
<v Speaker 2>on a daily basis. They would be one with respect

774
00:41:57.599 --> 00:42:03.039
<v Speaker 2>to the shared project, which is foreign and removing the

775
00:42:03.079 --> 00:42:05.960
<v Speaker 2>seeds for discord among the states. Hence why there was

776
00:42:06.079 --> 00:42:11.000
<v Speaker 2>effectively established a free trade zone among the thirteen states

777
00:42:11.519 --> 00:42:17.320
<v Speaker 2>and everything else was left to the states. And first

778
00:42:17.320 --> 00:42:20.000
<v Speaker 2>of all, the European Union was not born out of

779
00:42:20.000 --> 00:42:23.760
<v Speaker 2>a shared struggle. It was born out of a shared

780
00:42:23.880 --> 00:42:27.920
<v Speaker 2>failure the feet of World War Two. So you didn't

781
00:42:27.960 --> 00:42:30.360
<v Speaker 2>have that sort of buy in. You know. Initially, what

782
00:42:30.400 --> 00:42:33.000
<v Speaker 2>you had was a buy in from the six original members,

783
00:42:33.039 --> 00:42:36.199
<v Speaker 2>which were basically the countries who had been conquered by

784
00:42:36.280 --> 00:42:39.320
<v Speaker 2>one or another of them, you know, the Germans conquering

785
00:42:39.400 --> 00:42:41.639
<v Speaker 2>the other five and then being conquered in turn by

786
00:42:41.639 --> 00:42:45.639
<v Speaker 2>the Allies, who basically said we're going to bind ourselves

787
00:42:45.679 --> 00:42:48.599
<v Speaker 2>together in an economic not a political union, so that

788
00:42:48.639 --> 00:42:52.519
<v Speaker 2>we never go to war again. Okay, that could have worked.

789
00:42:52.800 --> 00:42:54.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well right, I mean right, remember, I mean it

790
00:42:54.840 --> 00:42:58.679
<v Speaker 3>began as the European Coal and Steel a union. Right

791
00:42:59.239 --> 00:43:02.239
<v Speaker 3>now now we OUTSOEUS steel to China and we've outlawed coal.

792
00:43:02.320 --> 00:43:06.440
<v Speaker 2>So what's left, well, well, what's left is the Eurovision

793
00:43:06.519 --> 00:43:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Song contest, so it's not going out of a struggle.

794
00:43:12.039 --> 00:43:15.639
<v Speaker 2>And then what you have not done is real is

795
00:43:15.760 --> 00:43:19.519
<v Speaker 2>create that clear division of responsibilities. In a weird sense,

796
00:43:19.639 --> 00:43:24.039
<v Speaker 2>they've inverted the American Constitution they try and regulate directly

797
00:43:24.119 --> 00:43:28.679
<v Speaker 2>or indirectly everything that's economic, and they have no common

798
00:43:28.719 --> 00:43:33.039
<v Speaker 2>foreign policy, and so you know, I would say the

799
00:43:34.159 --> 00:43:38.320
<v Speaker 2>invasion of Ukraine gives them an opportunity to actually create

800
00:43:38.480 --> 00:43:41.760
<v Speaker 2>a shared struggle, which is the preservation of freedom throughout

801
00:43:42.280 --> 00:43:46.800
<v Speaker 2>the European subcontinent or the European continent outside of you know,

802
00:43:46.840 --> 00:43:51.920
<v Speaker 2>the parts that Russia controls, by creating a unified common

803
00:43:51.960 --> 00:43:56.280
<v Speaker 2>defense and reverting almost everything except for free trade and

804
00:43:56.320 --> 00:44:00.440
<v Speaker 2>a common currency and a central bank to the nations. Now,

805
00:44:00.480 --> 00:44:02.440
<v Speaker 2>of course, that would mean there's no such thing as

806
00:44:02.440 --> 00:44:04.159
<v Speaker 2>a green New Deal. That would mean there's no such

807
00:44:04.199 --> 00:44:07.679
<v Speaker 2>things as a European Court of Human Rights. In other words,

808
00:44:07.679 --> 00:44:10.559
<v Speaker 2>the left can't go along with that. But that I

809
00:44:10.559 --> 00:44:15.199
<v Speaker 2>think is what the populace right would be accepted, would

810
00:44:15.199 --> 00:44:20.239
<v Speaker 2>find acceptable. But you know, absent that, then this can

811
00:44:20.320 --> 00:44:23.639
<v Speaker 2>continue to be a project that is neither fish nor foul,

812
00:44:24.480 --> 00:44:26.280
<v Speaker 2>and as a sense, just flounder.

813
00:44:27.000 --> 00:44:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, all right, Henry, let's go out today with one question.

814
00:44:31.119 --> 00:44:33.119
<v Speaker 3>It's a big one about a scene here at home.

815
00:44:34.119 --> 00:44:38.199
<v Speaker 3>So you know you have been acute an early perceptor.

816
00:44:38.239 --> 00:44:41.440
<v Speaker 3>I guess i'd say of Trump's abilities, his appeal the

817
00:44:41.480 --> 00:44:44.119
<v Speaker 3>coalition he's put together. You mentioned earlier that it's a

818
00:44:44.159 --> 00:44:47.639
<v Speaker 3>somewhat fragile one. So this is a big subject. So

819
00:44:47.679 --> 00:44:50.320
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to limit you to giving us briefly the

820
00:44:50.360 --> 00:44:55.559
<v Speaker 3>top two vulnerabilities or hazards that Trump and his supporters

821
00:44:55.599 --> 00:44:57.440
<v Speaker 3>should be on guardigans right now.

822
00:44:58.840 --> 00:45:04.880
<v Speaker 2>The number one thing is failing to recognize the breath

823
00:45:04.880 --> 00:45:08.960
<v Speaker 2>of your coalition. That typically what's happened in the last

824
00:45:09.000 --> 00:45:12.679
<v Speaker 2>thirty years is that people campaign to create a new

825
00:45:12.679 --> 00:45:15.480
<v Speaker 2>coalition and then they abandon the new elements of it

826
00:45:15.519 --> 00:45:19.559
<v Speaker 2>when they take power, give power to the base. And

827
00:45:19.639 --> 00:45:21.480
<v Speaker 2>you see elements of that in the Trump thing, you know,

828
00:45:21.519 --> 00:45:26.920
<v Speaker 2>which is there's no real desire for a ban abolishing

829
00:45:26.960 --> 00:45:29.440
<v Speaker 2>the Department of Education. It may not be something that

830
00:45:29.519 --> 00:45:35.800
<v Speaker 2>is particularly of salience to people who voted for Biden

831
00:45:36.199 --> 00:45:41.320
<v Speaker 2>and Clinton and Obama, but those aren't. That's why Trump

832
00:45:41.320 --> 00:45:45.239
<v Speaker 2>has got a majority is because of those voters. So

833
00:45:45.519 --> 00:45:49.280
<v Speaker 2>by giving into the temptation to satisfy the base across

834
00:45:49.320 --> 00:45:51.960
<v Speaker 2>the board and ignore the swing voter, that's the first thing.

835
00:45:51.840 --> 00:45:52.880
<v Speaker 1>You have to worry about.

836
00:45:53.119 --> 00:45:57.119
<v Speaker 2>And then just from an issue standpoint, you can't have

837
00:45:57.880 --> 00:46:01.000
<v Speaker 2>You have to again deal with public opinionublic opinion wants

838
00:46:01.079 --> 00:46:04.679
<v Speaker 2>is an economy that doesn't go into recession and where

839
00:46:04.679 --> 00:46:07.360
<v Speaker 2>inflation is under control, but that the gains to the

840
00:46:07.360 --> 00:46:10.840
<v Speaker 2>economy crew more to the workers on the margin than

841
00:46:10.920 --> 00:46:14.960
<v Speaker 2>to the owners of capital. Trump has been very uneven

842
00:46:15.000 --> 00:46:18.960
<v Speaker 2>about pursuing this. And you know, the fixation on tariffs

843
00:46:18.960 --> 00:46:24.920
<v Speaker 2>on tariffs, off tariffs, hot, tariffs coal. People don't want

844
00:46:24.960 --> 00:46:30.599
<v Speaker 2>that is that is, they'd be happy and would be

845
00:46:30.639 --> 00:46:33.679
<v Speaker 2>willing to give a chance to a new economic policy

846
00:46:33.719 --> 00:46:37.000
<v Speaker 2>that promises to over the long run, long run being

847
00:46:37.000 --> 00:46:40.519
<v Speaker 2>a political four years change, you know, put us on

848
00:46:40.559 --> 00:46:44.159
<v Speaker 2>a new trajectory. But hot, cold, up down, Yes, No,

849
00:46:44.400 --> 00:46:47.159
<v Speaker 2>is not something that they want. Is that Trump's job

850
00:46:47.199 --> 00:46:51.280
<v Speaker 2>approval ratings started to go south on or around Liberation Day,

851
00:46:51.840 --> 00:46:56.280
<v Speaker 2>it stopped going south on or around uh, the deal

852
00:46:56.320 --> 00:46:59.880
<v Speaker 2>with China. Yeah, and it started going back up. You

853
00:47:00.119 --> 00:47:03.000
<v Speaker 2>start going back to the up down up, you know,

854
00:47:03.360 --> 00:47:06.559
<v Speaker 2>hot as cold, you know blue is red sort of

855
00:47:06.639 --> 00:47:09.280
<v Speaker 2>what's going on then? And I guarantee you that by

856
00:47:09.400 --> 00:47:13.079
<v Speaker 2>July fourth, Trump's job approval rating will be down again.

857
00:47:13.440 --> 00:47:15.840
<v Speaker 1>We will consider your fourth pop culture reference to be

858
00:47:16.119 --> 00:47:19.360
<v Speaker 1>tariff on tariff off as a reference to karate Kid.

859
00:47:21.000 --> 00:47:23.239
<v Speaker 1>And for that we salute you, and for any other reasons.

860
00:47:23.679 --> 00:47:26.480
<v Speaker 1>Andrew's book The Working Class Republican Ronald Reagan in the

861
00:47:26.519 --> 00:47:29.159
<v Speaker 1>Return of the Blue Collar Conservatism, And of course he's

862
00:47:29.159 --> 00:47:30.920
<v Speaker 1>the host of Beyond the Polls, which you can find

863
00:47:31.039 --> 00:47:33.920
<v Speaker 1>right here on the Ricochet Audio Network. Henry, thanks so

864
00:47:34.039 --> 00:47:35.559
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us today. It's been fun. We'll get

865
00:47:35.559 --> 00:47:38.320
<v Speaker 1>into another forty five minutes, but the store next time

866
00:47:38.320 --> 00:47:41.079
<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk to you, we expect a sprinkling

867
00:47:41.159 --> 00:47:44.320
<v Speaker 1>of pop culture references from the late nineties or even

868
00:47:44.320 --> 00:47:48.639
<v Speaker 1>the early aughts, so so stretch your horizons and your

869
00:47:49.119 --> 00:47:56.000
<v Speaker 1>things in your cultural cupboard. Thanks are here before we go.

870
00:47:57.320 --> 00:48:01.840
<v Speaker 1>There was a book, it's called Original Sin, just lighting

871
00:48:01.920 --> 00:48:04.360
<v Speaker 1>up Washington. Everyone's a buzz about it. I'm sure I

872
00:48:04.400 --> 00:48:06.679
<v Speaker 1>see the authors everywhere being asked a series of just

873
00:48:06.760 --> 00:48:10.280
<v Speaker 1>absolutely tough questions, just every one of them being skewered,

874
00:48:10.480 --> 00:48:15.559
<v Speaker 1>hoisted batards the whole business or not. Stephen, what do

875
00:48:15.599 --> 00:48:20.159
<v Speaker 1>you make of this? I mean, it's the couple of

876
00:48:20.159 --> 00:48:21.880
<v Speaker 1>things that amused me this week is well, we shouldn't

877
00:48:21.880 --> 00:48:24.000
<v Speaker 1>be talking about any of this because Joe Biden is sick,

878
00:48:24.199 --> 00:48:28.440
<v Speaker 1>and that why did the president release the her tapes?

879
00:48:29.039 --> 00:48:32.599
<v Speaker 1>Now when he's just trying to take attention away from

880
00:48:32.599 --> 00:48:35.719
<v Speaker 1>his own failures and the rest of it. Chuck Schumer

881
00:48:35.760 --> 00:48:37.599
<v Speaker 1>is saying, we want to move on. We're focused on

882
00:48:37.639 --> 00:48:39.760
<v Speaker 1>the future, which is what they always think that people

883
00:48:39.800 --> 00:48:41.440
<v Speaker 1>want to believe. But I think there is a general,

884
00:48:41.800 --> 00:48:46.280
<v Speaker 1>growing national question about who exactly was the president anyway,

885
00:48:46.840 --> 00:48:49.360
<v Speaker 1>And when you have revelations about the role of Hunter Biden,

886
00:48:49.400 --> 00:48:53.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't think a lot of people actually bought in

887
00:48:53.440 --> 00:48:57.360
<v Speaker 1>to that guy having a role of any significance whatsoever.

888
00:48:58.159 --> 00:49:01.639
<v Speaker 1>The Hunter businesses, the stuff that that that makes my

889
00:49:01.639 --> 00:49:03.760
<v Speaker 1>eyebrows go up the most, That on the auto pen,

890
00:49:04.199 --> 00:49:07.320
<v Speaker 1>that on the inability to do anything best at eleven

891
00:49:07.320 --> 00:49:10.639
<v Speaker 1>o'clock in the morning. Do you think there's going to

892
00:49:10.639 --> 00:49:13.199
<v Speaker 1>be an accounting because I don't.

893
00:49:13.960 --> 00:49:17.480
<v Speaker 3>Well, there should be, And apparently the House Oversight Committee

894
00:49:17.480 --> 00:49:20.480
<v Speaker 3>says they're going to resume hearings, and they had not

895
00:49:20.559 --> 00:49:23.639
<v Speaker 3>yet subpoenaed the senior White House staff under Biden, but

896
00:49:23.719 --> 00:49:26.519
<v Speaker 3>they should, and the resistance of poena, then I think

897
00:49:26.559 --> 00:49:30.119
<v Speaker 3>that there are actual prosecutions of this. I mean, one

898
00:49:30.119 --> 00:49:32.320
<v Speaker 3>of the problems with this book is that it hints

899
00:49:32.320 --> 00:49:35.440
<v Speaker 3>at who was running the White House, but seems incurious

900
00:49:35.480 --> 00:49:38.559
<v Speaker 3>about what the process was and asking about any particular

901
00:49:38.719 --> 00:49:42.159
<v Speaker 3>or specific decisions, like really, how did Joe Biden review

902
00:49:42.199 --> 00:49:44.679
<v Speaker 3>twenty four hundred pardons all on one day in January?

903
00:49:44.760 --> 00:49:44.920
<v Speaker 2>Right?

904
00:49:44.960 --> 00:49:48.079
<v Speaker 3>I mean, this is absurd. It's a whitewash for the media.

905
00:49:48.159 --> 00:49:49.880
<v Speaker 3>By the way, Jane, you're gonna love this, James. Here

906
00:49:49.880 --> 00:49:52.920
<v Speaker 3>are two headlines from the last week. The Washington Post

907
00:49:53.039 --> 00:49:57.360
<v Speaker 3>editorial board headline was Biden too frail for the job?

908
00:49:57.639 --> 00:50:04.199
<v Speaker 3>Voters should have been informed? And the USA Today Biden's

909
00:50:04.199 --> 00:50:07.480
<v Speaker 3>cancer diagnosis raises the question was he ever in good

910
00:50:07.559 --> 00:50:08.079
<v Speaker 3>enough health?

911
00:50:08.599 --> 00:50:08.920
<v Speaker 2>Well?

912
00:50:08.960 --> 00:50:11.159
<v Speaker 3>You know that, God, somebody could have told us. Who

913
00:50:11.239 --> 00:50:14.119
<v Speaker 3>might have been that? Right? I mean, you know, it's

914
00:50:14.199 --> 00:50:17.519
<v Speaker 3>just a mystery, it is now. I you know here,

915
00:50:17.639 --> 00:50:21.039
<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry, I'm going to be very harsh and rude,

916
00:50:21.199 --> 00:50:25.880
<v Speaker 3>and people think I'm a moral monster. But I think

917
00:50:25.920 --> 00:50:31.440
<v Speaker 3>that there's a fitting irony of Biden's diagnosis of cancer,

918
00:50:31.880 --> 00:50:34.840
<v Speaker 3>an advanced case of it, apparently, because he has been

919
00:50:34.960 --> 00:50:38.320
<v Speaker 3>a malignant force in American politics in his entire career.

920
00:50:38.559 --> 00:50:40.239
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I think you can put an awful lot

921
00:50:40.280 --> 00:50:43.079
<v Speaker 3>of the blame for the toxic character of American politics

922
00:50:43.079 --> 00:50:47.199
<v Speaker 3>on his behavior in the Bork nomination thirty five years ago.

923
00:50:47.599 --> 00:50:49.679
<v Speaker 3>You know, there's a great quote I have in one

924
00:50:49.719 --> 00:50:52.039
<v Speaker 3>of my books where Biden said in nineteen eighty six,

925
00:50:52.159 --> 00:50:55.639
<v Speaker 3>right before he became chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee,

926
00:50:55.960 --> 00:50:58.280
<v Speaker 3>he said, if President Reagan sends up Robert Borke, I'd

927
00:50:58.280 --> 00:51:00.599
<v Speaker 3>probably have to vote for him. He's qualified. That presidents

928
00:51:00.599 --> 00:51:03.280
<v Speaker 3>should get their appointees of they're qualified. And if the

929
00:51:03.320 --> 00:51:06.039
<v Speaker 3>groups tear me apart, I'll just have to live with it.

930
00:51:06.440 --> 00:51:11.239
<v Speaker 3>I'm not Ted Kennedy exact quote. I'm memorized. And of course,

931
00:51:11.360 --> 00:51:16.280
<v Speaker 3>within thirty seconds of the Bork nomination, Biden capitulated to

932
00:51:16.440 --> 00:51:19.400
<v Speaker 3>the groups, who also we now ran his White House,

933
00:51:19.480 --> 00:51:24.199
<v Speaker 3>the groups and Ted Kennedy right, and he totally distorted

934
00:51:24.480 --> 00:51:26.920
<v Speaker 3>the U digital politics ever since. And I think that's

935
00:51:26.920 --> 00:51:30.360
<v Speaker 3>spread across the board in politics. And I think that

936
00:51:30.440 --> 00:51:32.199
<v Speaker 3>and they tried to run that drill over again, right.

937
00:51:32.320 --> 00:51:35.320
<v Speaker 3>Just ask Brett Kavanaugh, Just asked Clarence Thomas. Just ask

938
00:51:35.440 --> 00:51:38.320
<v Speaker 3>any number of nominees and other figures that we now

939
00:51:38.599 --> 00:51:43.320
<v Speaker 3>decide that personal attacks are legitimate and is now main

940
00:51:43.360 --> 00:51:45.960
<v Speaker 3>part of the Democratic playbook. He was the author of that.

941
00:51:46.400 --> 00:51:48.480
<v Speaker 3>So it's always been a myth that he was, oh,

942
00:51:48.519 --> 00:51:52.039
<v Speaker 3>good old moderate Joe from Scranton. He nevererly stood for

943
00:51:52.119 --> 00:51:56.119
<v Speaker 3>anything except himself. And I think that's now fully revealed everybody.

944
00:51:56.159 --> 00:51:58.760
<v Speaker 3>And my last word is all those people who work

945
00:51:58.840 --> 00:52:02.559
<v Speaker 3>for him Donalan, Jake Sullivan, Steve Schetty, all the rest,

946
00:52:02.639 --> 00:52:05.360
<v Speaker 3>and they should never have a job again, ever anywhere

947
00:52:05.360 --> 00:52:07.239
<v Speaker 3>in politics, and certainly not in government.

948
00:52:08.159 --> 00:52:10.039
<v Speaker 1>I was having a conversation last year with somebody in

949
00:52:10.079 --> 00:52:13.039
<v Speaker 1>England who was a member of the who wrote columns

950
00:52:13.039 --> 00:52:15.639
<v Speaker 1>for a very influential paper, who was just who was

951
00:52:15.679 --> 00:52:19.320
<v Speaker 1>saying that Joe Biden instructor as a kindly grandpa figure.

952
00:52:20.280 --> 00:52:26.599
<v Speaker 1>And I said, no, No, that may be because he's dim,

953
00:52:26.800 --> 00:52:30.400
<v Speaker 1>and he's in the marbles, have all rolled down a

954
00:52:30.440 --> 00:52:32.639
<v Speaker 1>hole in his spine and clattered out somewhere on the floor.

955
00:52:32.639 --> 00:52:35.599
<v Speaker 1>But let me tell you, this man is a prevaricating

956
00:52:35.679 --> 00:52:40.559
<v Speaker 1>intellectual nullity of boundless self regard. He's an awful man,

957
00:52:40.639 --> 00:52:43.719
<v Speaker 1>and anybody's been watching him all these times knows that

958
00:52:43.880 --> 00:52:46.159
<v Speaker 1>he is an awful man. And the way his positionship

959
00:52:46.199 --> 00:52:48.920
<v Speaker 1>shifted from this to that with equal conviction. I mean,

960
00:52:49.360 --> 00:52:51.920
<v Speaker 1>just because he got soft as putting in his dotage

961
00:52:51.960 --> 00:52:56.320
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean that he hasn't been a nasty fellow before.

962
00:52:56.480 --> 00:53:00.000
<v Speaker 1>And again the self regard, the inflation of the resume,

963
00:53:00.039 --> 00:53:04.639
<v Speaker 1>made the plagiarism, the constant need to I mean, it's

964
00:53:04.719 --> 00:53:06.800
<v Speaker 1>okay to be a guy from Scranton who makes it

965
00:53:06.800 --> 00:53:09.039
<v Speaker 1>into the Senate. That's accomplishment enough. But he's always going

966
00:53:09.079 --> 00:53:11.360
<v Speaker 1>back and finding apples from his past and polishing them

967
00:53:11.400 --> 00:53:14.239
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more. I just I cannot stand them

968
00:53:14.280 --> 00:53:17.639
<v Speaker 1>in regardless of politics, regardless of them because there were

969
00:53:17.719 --> 00:53:19.400
<v Speaker 1>times when I, you know, when I agreed with some

970
00:53:19.440 --> 00:53:21.639
<v Speaker 1>of the positions that he had, but there was just

971
00:53:21.719 --> 00:53:25.119
<v Speaker 1>a sneer and pointedness to him that I just that,

972
00:53:25.239 --> 00:53:27.599
<v Speaker 1>coupled with the with the egotism, just made him, I thought,

973
00:53:27.599 --> 00:53:30.079
<v Speaker 1>an incredibly unattractive figure. But they got old, and then

974
00:53:30.079 --> 00:53:32.840
<v Speaker 1>he got Then then he was the gravitas plug that

975
00:53:32.880 --> 00:53:35.159
<v Speaker 1>was dropped into the Obama administration to bring it weight

976
00:53:35.280 --> 00:53:38.559
<v Speaker 1>because we were so concerned about the inexperience of the occupant.

977
00:53:39.519 --> 00:53:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Oh good times, good times, as the kids saying before

978
00:53:42.800 --> 00:53:44.360
<v Speaker 1>we go out, one last little thing that we do

979
00:53:44.400 --> 00:53:46.920
<v Speaker 1>that bores everybody because they don't care. But I'll ask you, Steven,

980
00:53:47.000 --> 00:53:48.719
<v Speaker 1>what are you watching on television?

981
00:53:50.119 --> 00:53:50.440
<v Speaker 3>Nothing?

982
00:53:50.519 --> 00:53:50.639
<v Speaker 4>Right?

983
00:53:50.679 --> 00:53:52.679
<v Speaker 3>Now I'm so far behind on so many projects, and

984
00:53:52.719 --> 00:53:55.159
<v Speaker 3>I'm about to go traveling for a month overseas, although

985
00:53:55.159 --> 00:53:59.159
<v Speaker 3>I'll still show up for our weekly conversation. So I

986
00:53:59.159 --> 00:54:02.360
<v Speaker 3>haven't been watching any thing, not even the news.

987
00:54:02.400 --> 00:54:04.599
<v Speaker 1>But you don't load up your iPad or your iPhone

988
00:54:04.639 --> 00:54:07.280
<v Speaker 1>with content before you go on a trip so you

989
00:54:07.280 --> 00:54:08.920
<v Speaker 1>can watch something. And one of those guys who sits

990
00:54:08.960 --> 00:54:10.159
<v Speaker 1>there on the plane and just looks up.

991
00:54:10.920 --> 00:54:13.400
<v Speaker 3>Right, No, I probably will do that, but that's ahead

992
00:54:13.400 --> 00:54:14.239
<v Speaker 3>of me, not behind me.

993
00:54:15.320 --> 00:54:17.079
<v Speaker 1>Well, on my upcoming flight, I plan to take as

994
00:54:17.159 --> 00:54:20.199
<v Speaker 1>usual to Perry Mason's, because there's nothing better sitting down

995
00:54:20.199 --> 00:54:22.400
<v Speaker 1>for your little airplane meal than with a Perry Mason.

996
00:54:22.480 --> 00:54:25.000
<v Speaker 1>You are guaranteed a story, You're guaranteed a mystery, you

997
00:54:25.000 --> 00:54:28.079
<v Speaker 1>are guaranteed a resolution, and then it's done, unlike most

998
00:54:28.079 --> 00:54:30.199
<v Speaker 1>of modern television, which will go on and on and

999
00:54:30.239 --> 00:54:33.679
<v Speaker 1>on for twelve fifteen episodes and drag you to the

1000
00:54:33.760 --> 00:54:36.440
<v Speaker 1>last episode where there's a cliffhanger, and then you got

1001
00:54:36.559 --> 00:54:40.119
<v Speaker 1>to wait for another two years before they gather everybody

1002
00:54:40.119 --> 00:54:42.880
<v Speaker 1>together and do it up again. I am, however, happy

1003
00:54:42.880 --> 00:54:44.800
<v Speaker 1>to say that of the many shows that I have cued,

1004
00:54:44.880 --> 00:54:48.039
<v Speaker 1>I blasted through one end to end two nights sometimes.

1005
00:54:48.400 --> 00:54:50.400
<v Speaker 1>But the first season of and Or as a man

1006
00:54:50.440 --> 00:54:53.280
<v Speaker 1>who is utterly completely disgusted with Star Wars and tired

1007
00:54:53.320 --> 00:54:54.880
<v Speaker 1>of it and found it to be the children's show

1008
00:54:54.920 --> 00:54:57.440
<v Speaker 1>that it actually revealed itself to be. I was stunned

1009
00:54:57.480 --> 00:54:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to find that they actually made a grown up version

1010
00:54:59.519 --> 00:55:03.000
<v Speaker 1>of it. That an extraordinary piece of storytelling. So now

1011
00:55:03.039 --> 00:55:04.960
<v Speaker 1>I got to start season two tonight and then maybe

1012
00:55:04.960 --> 00:55:08.199
<v Speaker 1>find on the plane. I'll watch the last episode, stand

1013
00:55:08.239 --> 00:55:09.800
<v Speaker 1>up a cheer at three o'clock in the morning as

1014
00:55:09.840 --> 00:55:13.519
<v Speaker 1>the plane is arcing its way through the dark. Knight, folks,

1015
00:55:13.559 --> 00:55:15.000
<v Speaker 1>you got to go to Ricochet, is what you have

1016
00:55:15.039 --> 00:55:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to do. If this is your seven hundred and forty

1017
00:55:16.840 --> 00:55:18.760
<v Speaker 1>first podcast and you've never gotten there, I don't know

1018
00:55:18.760 --> 00:55:21.920
<v Speaker 1>what's the matter with you. It's unlikely, but it's statistically possible.

1019
00:55:22.159 --> 00:55:24.159
<v Speaker 1>If you go there, you will find in the member feed.

1020
00:55:24.239 --> 00:55:26.760
<v Speaker 1>Oh sorry, you can't because you don't belong, but we'd

1021
00:55:26.800 --> 00:55:29.239
<v Speaker 1>love you to belong. Everybody can read the main page.

1022
00:55:29.440 --> 00:55:31.280
<v Speaker 1>You're going to listen to the podcast, But the member

1023
00:55:31.320 --> 00:55:33.679
<v Speaker 1>feed was just the other day we were talking something

1024
00:55:33.679 --> 00:55:37.039
<v Speaker 1>about politics, something about Judaism, something about music, because one

1025
00:55:37.039 --> 00:55:40.079
<v Speaker 1>of the members had attended the madel A Great Long

1026
00:55:40.280 --> 00:55:44.280
<v Speaker 1>Malarian love Fest in Europe. I mean, it's everything. It

1027
00:55:44.400 --> 00:55:47.159
<v Speaker 1>is the sane, civil center right conversation you've been looking

1028
00:55:47.159 --> 00:55:49.400
<v Speaker 1>for on the internet. You won't find it on Twitter X,

1029
00:55:49.480 --> 00:55:52.239
<v Speaker 1>you won't find it in Facebook. You'll find it at Ricochet.

1030
00:55:52.679 --> 00:55:54.199
<v Speaker 1>And yeah, you got to pay a couple of shekels

1031
00:55:54.199 --> 00:55:56.960
<v Speaker 1>for it. And that's fine because that keeps everybody with

1032
00:55:57.119 --> 00:56:00.679
<v Speaker 1>as Rob Long used to say, Brother Rob, it keeps us,

1033
00:56:01.039 --> 00:56:03.320
<v Speaker 1>keeps you with skin in the game. I'm James, Lilyox

1034
00:56:03.440 --> 00:56:06.679
<v Speaker 1>here in Minneapolis, Stephen in California, You and a listener

1035
00:56:06.719 --> 00:56:09.000
<v Speaker 1>are wherever you are. We thank you for dropping by,

1036
00:56:09.119 --> 00:56:11.119
<v Speaker 1>and we hope to see you in the next episode

1037
00:56:11.159 --> 00:56:13.360
<v Speaker 1>of the podcast. In the meantime, we'll see everybody in

1038
00:56:13.360 --> 00:56:17.880
<v Speaker 1>the comments at Rigoget four point h Bye bye next week, James,
