1
00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:08,519
Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It is Thursday, fourth of July.

2
00:00:08,679 --> 00:00:09,000
Speaker 2: Eve.

3
00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:13,199
Speaker 1: It's July third, also known as the day between my

4
00:00:13,279 --> 00:00:14,599
birthday and fourth of July.

5
00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:16,239
Speaker 2: My birthday was yesterday.

6
00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:20,519
Speaker 1: I just had the most unhealthy breakfast you could ever imagine,

7
00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:24,879
which was just the leftover cake from last night. Had

8
00:00:24,879 --> 00:00:27,280
a nice winner with the Tigers yesterday, so it was

9
00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,440
a good birthday for me. Appreciate all the birthday wishes

10
00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,000
in the chat. And it's a Thursday, a little bit

11
00:00:33,039 --> 00:00:36,079
of a slower day. We had nineteen games yesterday or

12
00:00:36,119 --> 00:00:38,200
eighteen and a half games yesterday, A crazy day of

13
00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,799
baseball all day. Today, we've got a little bit more time,

14
00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:42,840
so I'm going to take the time to ask you guys,

15
00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,320
how you're doing. We'll go to Brian Leonard first. Hopefully

16
00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:46,759
everyone's having a great week.

17
00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:48,320
Speaker 3: Yeah.

18
00:00:48,359 --> 00:00:51,240
Speaker 4: For the people who were able to get that continuation game,

19
00:00:51,759 --> 00:00:53,679
it worked out well for us and then they got

20
00:00:53,719 --> 00:00:56,880
the victory. Unfortunately, I did not play it to one

21
00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:02,359
of those public books, but I found and by the way,

22
00:01:02,439 --> 00:01:05,079
we won our parlay two days ago. We lost it

23
00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,719
yesterday because of me. I had the first five over

24
00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,040
in the Miami game, and I thought about it, and

25
00:01:12,079 --> 00:01:15,840
I think I found a weakness in my handicapping.

26
00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:16,840
Speaker 3: And I've been doing.

27
00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:21,480
Speaker 4: This for forty five years. In that rough range, you're always

28
00:01:21,519 --> 00:01:24,760
trying to better yourself. And one of the things that

29
00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,079
I played yesterday, I played the Minnesota first five over,

30
00:01:28,519 --> 00:01:31,840
even though they're in a slump. And I thought about

31
00:01:31,879 --> 00:01:34,319
it and I said, well, I also lost for my

32
00:01:34,359 --> 00:01:39,200
clients yesterday on the Cardinals against Pittsburgh, a team who

33
00:01:39,239 --> 00:01:43,040
was pitching out of their minds. And then I thought

34
00:01:43,079 --> 00:01:45,480
back when the Yankees were playing just a week or

35
00:01:45,519 --> 00:01:48,760
two ago. I put out a play A part of

36
00:01:48,799 --> 00:01:51,000
my parlay was the Yankees because we thought it was

37
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,920
such a great value on the Yankees and they were

38
00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,680
in a major slump and we lost it. And I've

39
00:01:58,719 --> 00:02:02,840
always paid more attention to bigger sample sizes. I've always

40
00:02:02,879 --> 00:02:07,680
been told, you know, that anything that's bigger has more importance.

41
00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,639
Brandon just the opposite. If you see his numbers, and

42
00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,199
he talks about this all the time, what they've done lately,

43
00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:19,159
and he is proven. You know, I don't want to

44
00:02:19,159 --> 00:02:22,599
blow anything up, blowing smoke. You don't need anything else, tokyo,

45
00:02:23,159 --> 00:02:27,680
but he's proven he's very good at this and then

46
00:02:27,719 --> 00:02:29,439
I thought about it, I says, you know what, maybe

47
00:02:29,479 --> 00:02:31,680
I should pay more attention to what they have done

48
00:02:31,759 --> 00:02:34,520
lately that may have kept me off of those games.

49
00:02:34,719 --> 00:02:39,800
So you've you've warned me, you've you've broken me down

50
00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,800
a little bit on that, On that, Brandon, and but

51
00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:44,719
I just wanted to point out that we all have

52
00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:48,159
weaknesses in our games, no matter how long you've been

53
00:02:48,159 --> 00:02:51,520
doing it. Sometimes you fall into you know, you're not

54
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,000
winning on underdogs, you give up underdogs, or you're not

55
00:02:54,039 --> 00:02:56,680
winning off favorites so you can't play favorites. Just keep

56
00:02:56,719 --> 00:02:59,080
in mind that you're always trying to improve yourself and

57
00:02:59,159 --> 00:03:01,719
hopefully I can do that for you guys on my

58
00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,199
play today, because I did cost us that part of yesterday.

59
00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,639
Speaker 5: My weakness is Asian women in tight leather pants. But

60
00:03:08,759 --> 00:03:14,120
besides that, I have a five percent play out today.

61
00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:14,400
Speaker 3: Guys.

62
00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:18,560
Speaker 5: I think Adam does two in MLB Small Slate. But

63
00:03:18,599 --> 00:03:20,719
it's kind of interesting we both found something we like

64
00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:22,520
enough to make a five percent play out of it.

65
00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:27,439
I am going to do a quick little rant on losers.

66
00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,719
Just give me one quick minute here, and if anyone

67
00:03:30,759 --> 00:03:33,560
in the chat knows which TV show this is from,

68
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:35,960
put it in the comments. First person, I'm gonna give

69
00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:38,719
you Mike Today's five percent play for free. I'm gonna

70
00:03:38,759 --> 00:03:45,159
DM it to you on X. But the Brewers are losers.

71
00:03:45,639 --> 00:03:47,280
Do you know what show that's from? Put it in

72
00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:50,719
the comments. They are losers because they had a really

73
00:03:50,759 --> 00:03:53,599
good chance to take out the Mets in two games

74
00:03:53,639 --> 00:03:56,000
and they just laid down and play dead. In game two,

75
00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,879
they had the better pitching matchup. They are less talented. No,

76
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:06,360
it's not from Seinfeld, guys, because they're losers. You should

77
00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:08,599
know that what show that is, guys, It's just show

78
00:04:08,639 --> 00:04:12,759
that I love beside Seinfeld. But anyways, they had a

79
00:04:12,879 --> 00:04:15,159
chance to take out the Mets and just stick a

80
00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,600
dagger in them, and they let them go free. They

81
00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:21,240
let Lindor get hot, they let Nemo get hot. Now

82
00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,360
these Mets, they're going to be on fire and they're

83
00:04:23,399 --> 00:04:26,319
going to crush the Brewers today. In my opinion, the

84
00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:29,399
Brewers had a chance to sweep this team, a team

85
00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,399
that's two times more talented than they are, and they

86
00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,800
just let them off the hook, and they looked dead

87
00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,959
in that game. The Brewer the Mets. The Mets were

88
00:04:38,399 --> 00:04:42,000
struggling to score even two or three runs the whole week,

89
00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,240
and they let Lindor hit a Grand Slam. They let no, no, no,

90
00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,879
you guys are all wrong. So for oh you got it,

91
00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:53,480
you got it, Judge Judy. Yes, I love Judge Judy

92
00:04:53,519 --> 00:04:57,959
by the way. But anyways, because they're losers, you know

93
00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,040
that one, right? Okay, anyways, that's that's my rant. I'll

94
00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,839
cut it off there. But man, this is why teams

95
00:05:03,879 --> 00:05:06,519
like the Milwaukee Brewers will never sniff the World Series

96
00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,480
because they're losers. They're losers, and and they let the

97
00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:11,519
Mets off the hook, and the Mets are going to

98
00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,040
crush them. The Mets, the Met this is a team.

99
00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,040
They're going to be challenged at the end of the

100
00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,160
postseason to try and get into the playoffs. The Brewers

101
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,360
season is over. Sorry, that's my rank.

102
00:05:22,519 --> 00:05:25,519
Speaker 1: This is I'm glad that you just went on that

103
00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:27,240
tirade right there, because.

104
00:05:26,959 --> 00:05:28,959
Speaker 2: It's a great segue, the guys.

105
00:05:28,959 --> 00:05:31,240
Speaker 1: It's a great it's a great segue into our first game,

106
00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:35,079
which is gonna be Brewers and Mets. Now listen, I

107
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,879
think you're you're overstating, Like the Brewers losing the second

108
00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:42,199
leg of a doubleheader after they w like that, that

109
00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:45,399
game last night was was really not a big deal

110
00:05:45,439 --> 00:05:47,160
for the Brewers in my opinion, Like I don't take

111
00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,480
I don't think the Brewers could get care less about

112
00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,720
what the Mets are doing it like these are like

113
00:05:52,959 --> 00:05:55,560
the Brewers don't go into that series and say we

114
00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,680
got to step on the Mets throats, like they go in, Hey,

115
00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,680
we got the first one, let's see how the second

116
00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:01,079
one goes.

117
00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,319
Speaker 2: Okay, Miss Rowski doesn't really have it. Let's move on

118
00:06:03,399 --> 00:06:03,920
to tomorrow.

119
00:06:04,639 --> 00:06:07,160
Speaker 1: Where I agree with you, Tokyo Brandon, is that could

120
00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:09,879
be the game that wakes the Mets up. And I

121
00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,480
do think you are going to see the Mets start

122
00:06:12,519 --> 00:06:17,040
to win games going forward, not because I have anything

123
00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:18,879
to do with the Brewers, but because there's still a

124
00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:22,160
really good baseball team that needed something positive to happen.

125
00:06:22,439 --> 00:06:25,279
They got the something positive to happen last night, and

126
00:06:25,319 --> 00:06:27,920
now I think have a pretty favorable matchup tonight.

127
00:06:27,959 --> 00:06:29,120
Speaker 2: So let's go to Brian Leonard.

128
00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:30,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if I agree with the price here,

129
00:06:31,079 --> 00:06:33,720
but I definitely agree with Tokyo Brandon's assessment that like

130
00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:35,720
that could be the thing that gets the Mets to

131
00:06:35,759 --> 00:06:36,720
start pounding again.

132
00:06:36,879 --> 00:06:38,279
Speaker 2: How do you see Brewers Mets.

133
00:06:38,639 --> 00:06:43,000
Speaker 4: I am totally opposite, but we'll get to that in

134
00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:47,600
a second. Two lefties go on Katana against Peterson. Peterson's

135
00:06:47,639 --> 00:06:52,160
basically about a one fifty two three favorite total on

136
00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:58,800
this is eight. Yes, miss Rowski pitched. You knew it

137
00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,399
was going to happen. Obviously, when we've seen a rookies

138
00:07:02,439 --> 00:07:05,160
go out there, he's he's been terrific so far. And

139
00:07:05,199 --> 00:07:08,360
I talked about this yesterday. That says you're buying high

140
00:07:08,399 --> 00:07:12,279
if you're playing Mizroskie. I didn't have anything on the game,

141
00:07:12,839 --> 00:07:16,879
but he even come out and said he said, I

142
00:07:16,959 --> 00:07:19,040
threw through the pitches where I wanted him to go.

143
00:07:19,399 --> 00:07:22,040
He says they hit him. It happens, these got professionals.

144
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:24,680
I liked the way he came out and didn't blame

145
00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,360
it on anybody. He just said, Hey, that's that's the

146
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,639
way I pitch, and that's that's going to happen. He

147
00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:33,000
didn't have quite the controls he had in the past,

148
00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:37,639
but there was one play at the umpire blew a

149
00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:41,480
call and that may have cost him that beginning. Also,

150
00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:43,759
that was that ground ball to second base, but they

151
00:07:43,759 --> 00:07:45,519
couldn't just catch the ball and step on the base

152
00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,160
and that would have made a difference. It was a

153
00:07:48,199 --> 00:07:51,319
bad luck in that case for Milwaukee. In that game,

154
00:07:51,639 --> 00:07:51,920
it was.

155
00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:53,680
Speaker 3: The home runs when he give up. He doesn't give

156
00:07:53,759 --> 00:07:55,519
up those two home runs they're right in that game.

157
00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:59,639
Speaker 4: So obviously he did and they lost. But that's not

158
00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,199
as he's not a killer for their season. I totally

159
00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,079
disagree in that, and I actually like Milwaukee a little

160
00:08:06,079 --> 00:08:09,959
bit in this game. When you're taking a look at

161
00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:14,680
the stats for Jose Quintana, Uh, he's not going to

162
00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:15,600
overpower anybody.

163
00:08:15,639 --> 00:08:18,959
Speaker 3: He's got a three point three oh e RA one

164
00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:20,079
point four to two whips.

165
00:08:20,079 --> 00:08:21,959
Speaker 4: We's little highs and he's not even a very good

166
00:08:21,959 --> 00:08:24,839
strikeout minch walk guy right now. But what he does

167
00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,399
do is keep the opposition a little bit off balance.

168
00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:29,399
And if you take a look at his splits so

169
00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,600
far this season on the road, he is four and

170
00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:35,159
oh one point three to one e RA one.

171
00:08:35,039 --> 00:08:35,960
Speaker 3: Point two two whip.

172
00:08:36,279 --> 00:08:38,519
Speaker 4: He's pitched much better on the road than he has

173
00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:41,039
on his home mount a five point nine to six

174
00:08:41,159 --> 00:08:44,480
e R. Yes, he's not a guy who's going to

175
00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:45,600
get a lot of strikeouts.

176
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:46,240
Speaker 3: Uh.

177
00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,519
Speaker 4: He does walk people. That is a concern. Uh, And

178
00:08:49,639 --> 00:08:52,879
this Mets team will take pitches. Obviously, Soto's the king

179
00:08:52,919 --> 00:08:55,240
of that. They're very good in that situation.

180
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:56,120
Speaker 3: But if you've.

181
00:08:56,080 --> 00:09:01,080
Speaker 4: Followed, if you have followed the Mitch Mets pitcher as

182
00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:04,919
of late David Peterson, he was great early on. He's

183
00:09:04,919 --> 00:09:06,879
surprised a lot of people comes in with a three

184
00:09:06,919 --> 00:09:10,840
point three ORA one point two to eight whip. But

185
00:09:10,919 --> 00:09:13,919
you take a look at his game logs and the

186
00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:17,159
last three times out he played Pittsburgh give up five

187
00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,600
earned runs and four point two innings. He played Philadelphia

188
00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:23,799
five earned runs and four innings. He played the Braves

189
00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:27,360
three earned runs and seven innings. Before that, he had

190
00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,519
a great game against the Nationals and he threw a

191
00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:32,639
complete game shut up. Since then, he has not been

192
00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,759
the same pitcher, and I don't trust him here. His

193
00:09:35,759 --> 00:09:39,799
hard hit rates in the sixteenth percentile basketball velocity thirteenth

194
00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,360
exit of Velossie the nineteenth. Is he better than the

195
00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:47,639
starter for the Brewers? Quite possibly? But why are the

196
00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,879
Mets the way they are playing? And I fell for

197
00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:52,759
this the other day. I gave out the Mets in

198
00:09:52,799 --> 00:09:56,120
a game and they weren't hitting. That's just just one

199
00:09:56,120 --> 00:10:00,600
game yesterday. I'm not overly concerned with it. And if

200
00:10:00,639 --> 00:10:06,279
you take a look at the bullpens here if I

201
00:10:06,279 --> 00:10:13,720
could find my find that on here. The Milwaukee Brewers yesterday,

202
00:10:14,399 --> 00:10:17,519
they didn't use McGill or your eBay. They're two best relievers.

203
00:10:17,519 --> 00:10:19,480
They have not pitched in three days. They're totally fresh.

204
00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:23,000
Take a look at what the Mets had to do yesterday.

205
00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:29,559
The Mets had to use all but one reliever in

206
00:10:29,639 --> 00:10:33,519
the doubleheader Yesterdayose Budou is the only one that did

207
00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:37,679
not pitch. Their closer Dias threw twenty one pitches. Read

208
00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:42,200
Garrett blue A save twenty one pitches, standing seventeen pitches.

209
00:10:42,519 --> 00:10:45,120
I really like this Mets bullpen, but they all had

210
00:10:45,159 --> 00:10:47,759
to be used yesterday. Now, granted they had the last

211
00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,559
two days they didn't use them, so they're going to

212
00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:51,840
be a little bit more fresher. But I think the

213
00:10:51,879 --> 00:10:55,320
Milwaukee bullpen's fresher. I liked the price on Milwaukee today.

214
00:10:55,919 --> 00:11:00,919
And as for the Mets being the better team, yeah,

215
00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,480
if you look at the talent on the teams, possibly,

216
00:11:04,159 --> 00:11:07,159
but talent does not win all these games. The Mets

217
00:11:07,159 --> 00:11:10,120
are five sixty three on the season, the Brewers of

218
00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:10,960
five point fifty eight.

219
00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:11,600
Speaker 3: They're right there.

220
00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,600
Speaker 4: Night next to each other, and you can make the

221
00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:21,840
comment that the Central is the better better division. The Cubs,

222
00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:26,519
the Brewers, Cardinals, Reds, and the Pirates against the Phillies, Mets, Braves, Marlins.

223
00:11:26,039 --> 00:11:26,759
Speaker 3: In the Nationals.

224
00:11:27,639 --> 00:11:30,559
Speaker 4: We expected the East to be great this year, the Phillies, Mets.

225
00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,399
Speaker 3: And Braves. The Braves are done.

226
00:11:32,519 --> 00:11:34,759
Speaker 4: If you're talking about team, it's done, it'll be the

227
00:11:34,759 --> 00:11:38,279
Braves now. The Schwellenbach is out now for possibly the season,

228
00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:40,519
say all the same thing. The Braves are in a

229
00:11:40,519 --> 00:11:44,559
rebuilding situation right now. So I totally disagree with Tokyo

230
00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,120
on this one. And that's a rarity because I don't

231
00:11:47,159 --> 00:11:49,759
like to do it, but I prefer Milwaukee.

232
00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:49,799
Speaker 3: In this game.

233
00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:56,360
Speaker 5: So this is why a team like the Brewers never

234
00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:59,799
even sniffs the World Series because they're stupid. They had

235
00:11:59,799 --> 00:12:04,159
a chance yesterday to just pile drive this team and

236
00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:09,240
just knock out their complete momentum. And what did they do.

237
00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,759
They let Lindor hit a Grand Slam, They let Nimo or,

238
00:12:12,879 --> 00:12:16,799
they let Lindor hit hit, they let Nemo hit. They

239
00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,120
basically let a team that's two times more talented than

240
00:12:20,159 --> 00:12:23,159
they are catch fire. And that's what exactly what you

241
00:12:23,159 --> 00:12:26,200
didn't want to do. They should have won the second game.

242
00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,960
They had the better pitching matchup. They blew it. They

243
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,879
didn't even show up to the game. They led a

244
00:12:31,919 --> 00:12:35,320
team that was averaging two point three runs the whole week,

245
00:12:35,519 --> 00:12:39,559
scored seven on them. And you know that those are

246
00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,960
the kind of This is why you don't even sniff

247
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:45,799
the World Series is because you're a loser. And Milwaukee

248
00:12:45,919 --> 00:12:48,399
Brewers are losers, and that's how they're going to be.

249
00:12:49,519 --> 00:12:51,240
Speaker 4: They got a double header, they scored four and a

250
00:12:51,279 --> 00:12:57,679
half runs. Yeah, they haven't turned it all around in

251
00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,559
one game. I'm sorry, And you can't blame somebody is

252
00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,480
a loser when you lose one baseball.

253
00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:02,639
Speaker 2: Game, all right.

254
00:13:02,919 --> 00:13:05,279
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest. I am so sick about talking

255
00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:07,679
about this game. I really want to move on. So

256
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,799
here's a couple of things. One, I think the price

257
00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,320
is insane. Would never pay a dollar fifty for the

258
00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,799
Mets here, that's insane. Two agree with the thing. I

259
00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:18,679
do think the Mets could get it going.

260
00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:19,639
Speaker 2: Three.

261
00:13:20,159 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 1: Final point that no one gives a shit about game

262
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,559
two of a doubleheader anymore. It's a it's part of

263
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:27,159
the problem.

264
00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,919
Speaker 5: It's a season changer, it's a season changer.

265
00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,480
Speaker 2: It's not trust me, trust me, it's this is.

266
00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:36,279
Speaker 3: Going to change the division.

267
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, if it's a season the only the only season,

268
00:13:39,519 --> 00:13:40,720
it couldn't the last time the.

269
00:13:40,759 --> 00:13:42,360
Speaker 5: Brewers even sniffed the World Series.

270
00:13:42,399 --> 00:13:43,840
Speaker 2: This is why, because the World Series.

271
00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,639
Speaker 4: I believe Brewers won the World Series. When's last time

272
00:13:46,639 --> 00:13:47,120
the Mets won?

273
00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:48,000
Speaker 5: Robin?

274
00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:54,399
Speaker 1: You Milwaukee not a market. Milwaukee's not a market that

275
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,519
should be winning World Series? Right, So, Jesse, I gotta

276
00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,200
move this on. Wait, wait time you gotta move Hey,

277
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:02,679
we gotta move on, Jesse Schule.

278
00:14:02,799 --> 00:14:03,200
Speaker 2: Thank you.

279
00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:06,279
Speaker 1: I'm almost forty. I'm actually thirty nine. One more year

280
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,519
and i'll be forty. But thank you for for tuning in.

281
00:14:08,799 --> 00:14:11,720
Thank you for the birthday wishes. Yeah, we got we

282
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,639
gotta get rolling. We got to get to a different game.

283
00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,559
Uh no one even really had a pick in that game.

284
00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,200
But I do like the banter. But to say it's

285
00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:20,480
a season changer.

286
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:21,200
Speaker 5: It is?

287
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,480
Speaker 2: Sorry, all right, well it is. Well, let's see. To

288
00:14:24,519 --> 00:14:25,840
be honest with you, I think there, I mean, I

289
00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:27,279
think the Brewers are going to be what they are.

290
00:14:27,639 --> 00:14:29,919
Speaker 1: I think they'll they'll hang around maybe when maybe get

291
00:14:29,919 --> 00:14:33,159
in the wild cook they're done don't sleep on the

292
00:14:33,159 --> 00:14:37,639
Mets though. The Mets are still a very good baseball team, uh, Brad, Brad.

293
00:14:37,679 --> 00:14:41,840
Sometimes Astros to keep it going well, I mean, uh,

294
00:14:42,279 --> 00:14:44,679
if they don't, it would, I guess, be considered a

295
00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:49,039
bad loss. That being said, this this on being on

296
00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:51,080
the side of two dollars it was on, was a

297
00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:55,159
little bit surprising to me. Astros, of course win on Tuesday.

298
00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,200
I got lucky with a ninth inning home run that

299
00:14:58,360 --> 00:14:59,960
backdoor the plus one and a half to give me

300
00:15:00,039 --> 00:15:04,039
a four percent winner on the Rockies. Yesterday, I went

301
00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,440
to bed. I ended up not even watching the end

302
00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,799
of that game yesterday? Did they did the Astros win

303
00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,039
by more than a run? Yesterday? It was a five

304
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,759
to three, so five three yesterday. Neither game has really

305
00:15:14,759 --> 00:15:17,159
been a blowout yet though, so maybe maybe this is

306
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,799
priced appropriately. Brian Leonard, I know you always kind of

307
00:15:19,799 --> 00:15:23,759
looked for Rockies home spots, at least in years past.

308
00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:26,080
This year's been a little bit different, though, But do

309
00:15:26,159 --> 00:15:29,320
you have any desire to take a shot with Kyle

310
00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:31,240
Freeland in the Rockies this afternoon?

311
00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:34,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, Rockies scored a run in the ninth on a

312
00:15:34,399 --> 00:15:34,960
solo homer.

313
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:36,600
Speaker 3: I believe in kind of to two.

314
00:15:36,799 --> 00:15:42,559
Speaker 4: But Walter's going for Houston and Colorado's Freeland, both lefties.

315
00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:45,159
You're looking at a total of about eleven and a

316
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:50,039
half eleven to the over Rocky or Houston's at basically

317
00:15:50,039 --> 00:15:54,840
one eighty one eighty range. Walter has been terrific and

318
00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:58,240
by the way, two lefties. We already know about Colorado

319
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:03,200
when when they play lefties on the season now two

320
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:08,399
and twenty three. Freeland, although he's pitched very well in Colorado,

321
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:13,320
he's he's probably the one guy. Marquez is also pitched

322
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,639
pretty well here over the years, but it's tough to

323
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:18,879
pitch in this ballpark. And that's the problem you're running

324
00:16:18,919 --> 00:16:22,159
into here with Houston is you've got a pitcher in

325
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:25,320
BRANDW Walter that hasn't pitched here before. He's only got

326
00:16:26,039 --> 00:16:29,279
fourteen major league starts in three years, but he's been

327
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,879
terrific this year. And as I've talked in the past,

328
00:16:31,919 --> 00:16:34,399
I love playing lefties when the other teams don't know

329
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,759
anything about him. Comes into a three point three four ERA,

330
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:40,000
three point three five expected, one point oh far whip.

331
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:47,159
He's not a big fastball pitcher, fourteenth percentile velocity, but

332
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,759
if he can if he can pitch pretty well in

333
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:56,000
this ballpark, he'll have some success. But that said, if

334
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:59,000
you take a look at how Colorado has hit against

335
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,840
the lefties since the getting a June, they've got an

336
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,400
eighty seven w RC plus And now you may say, well,

337
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:08,640
that's not that great. Well, considering a team like the Mets,

338
00:17:08,799 --> 00:17:11,319
who are facing a lefty today, by the way, are

339
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:15,480
sixty two, dead last in Major League Baseball. Another reason

340
00:17:15,559 --> 00:17:21,160
to play Milwaukee. Sorry, sorry about that, Brandon, But Colorado

341
00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,799
at the eighty seven that's eighteenth in baseball. So they're

342
00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:27,279
hitting lefties a little bit better now. But I prefer

343
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:29,920
Houston side in this one a little bit. I think

344
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,880
the line is somewhat fair, but I am a little

345
00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:37,240
bit worried about Walter without the great fastball, being able

346
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:39,480
to get what he normally gets out of those breaking pitches.

347
00:17:39,519 --> 00:17:41,839
That is a concern, and that's probably why I won't

348
00:17:41,839 --> 00:17:42,759
get involved in this game.

349
00:17:45,039 --> 00:17:49,480
Speaker 5: So the Astros are better at everything than the Rockies.

350
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:53,200
But Rockies have a top five catcher man. That guy's

351
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:57,680
good what was the name? Goodman? Is good Man?

352
00:17:59,279 --> 00:18:00,799
Speaker 2: Homer for me Tuesday.

353
00:18:02,279 --> 00:18:06,200
Speaker 5: Hitting hitting two eighty with fifteen home runs or something. Hey,

354
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,720
almost any Major League Baseball team besides the Dodgers would

355
00:18:09,799 --> 00:18:14,000
would start that guy at catcher pretty much. Dodgers have

356
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,160
have Smith, who's doing pretty good as well. So anyways,

357
00:18:17,839 --> 00:18:21,000
or am I getting his name wrong? Who's the Dodgers

358
00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:21,920
catcher Smith?

359
00:18:22,039 --> 00:18:22,200
Speaker 3: Right?

360
00:18:22,279 --> 00:18:22,480
Speaker 2: Well?

361
00:18:22,519 --> 00:18:22,839
Speaker 3: Smith?

362
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, he's doing a little better. But oh and

363
00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,839
don't forget rally for the Mariners. But man, this guy's good.

364
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,680
But besides him, they don't really have a lot going.

365
00:18:33,759 --> 00:18:38,559
Freeland is their their their best pitcher. But that's kind

366
00:18:38,599 --> 00:18:42,279
of like, you know, saying yeah, that's like saying this

367
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:45,680
is the prettiest piece of garbage in the garbage camp.

368
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,559
So uh, He's rank twenty four out of thirty according

369
00:18:49,599 --> 00:18:53,119
to my rankings on a curve of thirty Walter sample

370
00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,279
sized small, but he's ranked eight. He's looked really good.

371
00:18:56,279 --> 00:18:59,720
He's striking out a lot, he's got good numbers. Sample

372
00:18:59,759 --> 00:19:01,799
size is small, so you got to be a little careful.

373
00:19:01,839 --> 00:19:05,480
But from what I've seen, it looks pretty good. Colorado's

374
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,079
bullpen stepping up. Both teams have a pretty good bullpen,

375
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,119
but the Astros are just a better put together team.

376
00:19:11,319 --> 00:19:14,680
The thing is, these guys are human beings, and the

377
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,440
Astros have already wrapped up the series and they have

378
00:19:17,519 --> 00:19:21,000
to travel this weekend to play the Dodgers. So are

379
00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:23,039
there Are they really going to be into the game

380
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,359
or not? Is the question. So this is back to

381
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:28,960
the Milwaukee Brewers thing again. I'm not going to start

382
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,880
it up again. But these are the kind of games

383
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,920
you have to win. These are the kind of games

384
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,759
that show if you're a good team or if you're

385
00:19:38,519 --> 00:19:41,640
the Brewers. So the Astros, I think, are a good

386
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,200
team though, and I think the Astros will probably take

387
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:47,160
care of business by one run, So I would not

388
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,200
better run line in this one. But they're better, They're

389
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:51,720
not the Brewers, so they're not going to just give

390
00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:55,640
it away. I think, yeah, they'll probably win it in

391
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,359
a tight one here in my opinion.

392
00:19:59,079 --> 00:20:01,519
Speaker 1: Great, great comments going on in the chat. David Edgingtin

393
00:20:01,599 --> 00:20:04,480
says Paul Malader, robin me out four to three Cardinals

394
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:05,279
nineteen eighty two.

395
00:20:05,839 --> 00:20:06,519
Speaker 5: Yeah, nineteen.

396
00:20:07,279 --> 00:20:09,440
Speaker 2: Good job Brewers in the series.

397
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,079
Speaker 3: What about the Mets?

398
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:17,039
Speaker 1: What was the Mets? Like the Brewers lost that World Series?

399
00:20:17,079 --> 00:20:19,119
The Mets were in a World series back in like

400
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,200
when I was in college. No, the Mets were, didn't

401
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,240
the Met or No, was that the NLCS. I'm not

402
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:25,200
going to get off topic here.

403
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:29,319
Speaker 2: I forget it all. It's all meshing together.

404
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,880
Speaker 1: Oh wait, we had a Subway series like two thousand

405
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:33,160
rights Yankees?

406
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:34,079
Speaker 2: All right?

407
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 1: Anyway, this uh and then Colin Gregory pointed out the

408
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,000
same thing you pointed out. I think that's a really

409
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:45,119
good point that they're heading to LA tomorrow. This actually,

410
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,359
I disagree with the fact that this is a big

411
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:48,240
game for the Astros.

412
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,559
Speaker 2: They have a huge lead in the division. This feels like.

413
00:20:53,039 --> 00:20:56,759
Speaker 1: Yankees Royals from a couple of weeks ago when the

414
00:20:56,839 --> 00:20:59,799
Yankees were headed to Fenway and they rested a couple

415
00:20:59,839 --> 00:21:02,000
of It was the last sort of leg of a

416
00:21:02,039 --> 00:21:05,319
getaway day and they ended up winning the game one nothing.

417
00:21:06,039 --> 00:21:08,279
It was the sort of the game before it started

418
00:21:08,279 --> 00:21:10,359
there a little bit of a slump, but they played

419
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,440
it like, hey, we've got a big series coming up

420
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,319
over the weekend. It ended up being a Thursday night

421
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,680
game in Kansas City that they won one nothing before

422
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:19,880
they had to defend within. I could kind of see

423
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,200
something similar here. No, I'm not disagreeing with you, Tokyo.

424
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:26,759
Brandon Kyle Freeland is garbage. I mean, he's not I mean,

425
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:29,440
but he's a veteran. He will get some swing and miss.

426
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:30,279
He doesn't really walk.

427
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 2: Guys.

428
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 1: Now, if the Astros are feeling themselves today and they

429
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,200
and they show up focused, they absolutely could put a

430
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,119
crooked number on him, that's for sure. But if this

431
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,519
is just like you know, this is a day game, right,

432
00:21:42,599 --> 00:21:45,200
like this is almost even more so like day game.

433
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,880
We're getting out of here after the game. If they're

434
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,039
just kind of going through the motions today and they

435
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,839
let Freeland settle in, he gets some swing and miss,

436
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,839
suddenly he gets through five six innings. I think you

437
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,039
actually have some nice value with Rockies plus one and

438
00:21:58,039 --> 00:21:58,440
a half.

439
00:21:58,880 --> 00:21:59,839
Speaker 2: Do I want to do it?

440
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:01,759
Speaker 1: No, I'm gonna have No. I don't think I'm gonna

441
00:22:01,759 --> 00:22:03,799
have any action in this game. I already cashed with

442
00:22:03,839 --> 00:22:07,000
the Rockies on on Tuesday. That's enough probably for the

443
00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:11,079
next month for me when this Rockies team. Uh, but

444
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,720
it's an interesting conversation, and I think I would would

445
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:17,599
pause before I laid minus one ninety with the Astros today.

446
00:22:17,599 --> 00:22:18,440
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian Lenney.

447
00:22:18,519 --> 00:22:20,039
Speaker 4: Yeah, I just want to point out since they are

448
00:22:20,039 --> 00:22:23,559
playing in Colorado and that's a really good Headers park. Uh,

449
00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:26,160
those guys are not gonna They're not gonna leave without

450
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,519
getting As you pointed out, they were lower scoring games

451
00:22:28,519 --> 00:22:31,200
in the first two. They're gonna get whatever they can

452
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,960
get out of this game. I believe there's their hitters

453
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:39,519
are before they leave, because, yeah, you go into Colorado,

454
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:43,359
you expect to score a good amount every game and

455
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,039
they have not done that. And uh, it wouldn't surprise

456
00:22:46,079 --> 00:22:47,920
me if they hit well. But like I said, I'm

457
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:48,559
not involved.

458
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 1: Well, one more comment from from Colin I think is

459
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:55,160
is you know, remember we had that conversation about Yankees Royals.

460
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:58,200
They ended up resting Judge. You could see al too.

461
00:22:58,200 --> 00:22:59,680
They get a day off here and.

462
00:23:01,839 --> 00:23:05,079
Speaker 2: Average player, yeah, I would say, yeah, I would agree

463
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:05,400
with that.

464
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:09,519
Speaker 1: But guys that that Astros lineup though, Man, there are

465
00:23:09,559 --> 00:23:13,480
some names that I don't think even got people that

466
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,839
follow baseball would would get. It's I'll say one more

467
00:23:16,839 --> 00:23:19,480
thing before we move on. I think the Astros right

468
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,319
now is a long term fade in terms of, like

469
00:23:22,839 --> 00:23:24,720
in your betting the next couple of months. If you're

470
00:23:24,759 --> 00:23:26,920
trying to fade the Astros, I think you're gonna make

471
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:31,839
money because you cannot convince me that that group of guys.

472
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:33,960
It's Al Tube and a bunch of guys that you

473
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,119
probably don't know their names are going to be profitable

474
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,039
against the betting number from this point to let's say September. First,

475
00:23:41,319 --> 00:23:43,799
I think the Astros are a very very good fade

476
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,640
on a day to day basis.

477
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 2: Like going forward. I had to get that out.

478
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:50,640
Speaker 1: There because that was really the basis at what led

479
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:52,960
me to bet the Rockies on Tuesday night and I

480
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,599
won in that game. All right, moving on, let's go

481
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,880
day game. Chad Pricard says he likes the spot for

482
00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,319
the Twins today. Brian Leonard, I made a comment yesterday.

483
00:24:01,319 --> 00:24:03,279
I said, well, you know, the Marlins when they're hot,

484
00:24:03,319 --> 00:24:05,240
they're the type of team that I think you want

485
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:06,960
to ride. I actually said that about a week ago

486
00:24:07,039 --> 00:24:10,200
before they won all their games. They finally snapped the

487
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,920
winning streak yesterday. My gut tells me that they could

488
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:15,960
go in the other direction, in direction a couple of

489
00:24:16,079 --> 00:24:18,599
you know, I wouldn't be that surprised if they maybe

490
00:24:18,599 --> 00:24:21,079
followed up the eight game winning streak by losing like

491
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,880
four or five or something like that. It's David Festa

492
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,440
Jerry Perez on the mound today. This is an afternoon game,

493
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,759
one of the only afternoon games. How are you seeing

494
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:29,880
Marlins twins?

495
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,839
Speaker 4: Well, if you remember, Minnesota has been very hot and

496
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,480
cold all season long and very streaky. Started the season terribly,

497
00:24:37,559 --> 00:24:40,359
got on a really good winning streak, now they're fading again.

498
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,680
This is a team that has the talent, but they

499
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:47,400
just don't seem to put it together. I'm not a

500
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,680
big Baldlly fan. I never really cared for him as

501
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,920
a manager. But David Festus on them Ount today against

502
00:24:54,279 --> 00:25:00,279
Eerie Perez, Minnesota is about a one month thirteen road

503
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:03,400
favorite here, totally about seven and a half to the over.

504
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:08,799
David Festa on the Mount for Minnesota, a guy who

505
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,440
we've all liked, but he's not done that well in

506
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,519
in the major leagues. He's got a five point four

507
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:16,519
oh e RA, a one point four to two whip

508
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:20,119
expected DRA four point seven to five. He's not been

509
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:24,079
able to last very long in these he rarely goes

510
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,559
six innings. He's had problems going long enough to get

511
00:25:27,559 --> 00:25:30,720
the win. If you followed him, and I've said this before,

512
00:25:30,759 --> 00:25:33,680
I play fantasy baseball. The David Festa problem is he

513
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,160
looks really good for three or four innings. Then once

514
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,920
he sees the batter scene for the second third time,

515
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:43,039
he struggles. And so he'll pitch great in the first

516
00:25:43,079 --> 00:25:44,640
three innings, then all of a sudden, he gets hit

517
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,000
in the fourth and the fifth. That's always my concern there.

518
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:55,160
I do like this Miami offense. But they did lose yesterday,

519
00:25:55,319 --> 00:25:57,759
But yeah, they could go on. It would not surprise

520
00:25:57,799 --> 00:25:59,319
me if they go on a losing streak after that

521
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:02,359
win winning streak. But Uri Press is getting a little

522
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,000
bit better every time out six point one ninety or

523
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:06,920
a one point five to zero whip on the season.

524
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:11,519
His game logs his last two times out. He's only

525
00:26:11,519 --> 00:26:14,400
pitched four times so far the season. He's yet to

526
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:21,279
go five innings. He's his walks are not real bad.

527
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:23,519
He's walked two or three in every game. That's the

528
00:26:23,599 --> 00:26:25,759
last thing that comes back to you is your control.

529
00:26:26,559 --> 00:26:29,000
His strikeouts. You want that game against Washington did not

530
00:26:29,079 --> 00:26:31,480
strike out a single batter, and then he comes back

531
00:26:31,559 --> 00:26:34,279
against the Brave strikes out six and struck out three

532
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:37,240
last time. So he's not where he will be. His

533
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:41,440
fastball velocity is accellent ninety fifth percentile, but he's not

534
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:42,440
where he needs to be.

535
00:26:42,799 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 3: Later on. I think he's If you break down.

536
00:26:45,759 --> 00:26:48,319
Speaker 4: His individual pitches, they're looking better than they were before,

537
00:26:49,079 --> 00:26:52,880
but he's still giving up some runs. I can see

538
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:56,799
Minnesota winning this game, but it's the total right now

539
00:26:56,839 --> 00:26:59,640
at seven and a half. And I said earlier, I

540
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:01,880
don't want to playing over with the team slump and

541
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:03,640
fester like Minnesota is.

542
00:27:04,319 --> 00:27:05,839
Speaker 3: That would be the way I would look at this one.

543
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,079
Speaker 4: I don't trust either one of these pictures, but because

544
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:11,720
of Minnesota struggles off asually, I'll pass this game.

545
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 5: It's Festivus for the rest of us. David Festa takes

546
00:27:16,519 --> 00:27:20,839
the mound today. Look, Miami is better than Minnesota at

547
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,480
almost everything, and if they had a decent starting pitcher,

548
00:27:24,519 --> 00:27:26,680
I would be all over Miami in this game. But

549
00:27:27,279 --> 00:27:30,119
they don't. But I do agree with hey, Brian, we

550
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:35,279
agree on something today. Ary Perez is improving. His numbers

551
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:40,160
are terrible, but he's He's no Jr. Richard, but he

552
00:27:40,319 --> 00:27:44,720
is improving a little bit slowly. I like him better

553
00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:47,039
than Festa, actually, I mean that's hard to say. I

554
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,640
like him better, but I think he can hold it

555
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:53,160
down enough. His walks are a little alarming. That's the

556
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,359
one area where fest Is actually pretty good is his

557
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:56,720
walk to strikeout ratio.

558
00:27:56,599 --> 00:27:56,759
Speaker 2: But.

559
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:03,039
Speaker 5: Bullpen and hitting. There's only one team worse than Minnesota

560
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,920
in current form, and that would be Cleveland. Minnesota's in

561
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:10,680
terrible current form right now and Miami's in great current form.

562
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,519
They're smashing it pretty good. Their bullpen is amazing right now.

563
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:19,240
The only X or the only negative dark cloud on

564
00:28:19,279 --> 00:28:22,039
this is Zeri Perez. But like Brian said, he's improving,

565
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,920
so I think I could trust him here for plus money.

566
00:28:26,039 --> 00:28:27,519
I think I think it would be a good play

567
00:28:27,559 --> 00:28:30,720
to play, to play the Marlins today. I don't know

568
00:28:30,759 --> 00:28:32,680
if I'm doing it. I haven't done it yet, But

569
00:28:32,799 --> 00:28:34,319
what do you think, Adam?

570
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:38,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have a huge opinion on the side here,

571
00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:39,480
but I really couldn't talk.

572
00:28:39,319 --> 00:28:41,599
Speaker 2: You off of a plus one oh five with the

573
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:42,519
Marlins at home.

574
00:28:42,799 --> 00:28:46,519
Speaker 1: Reason being, I think Perez has the upside because we know,

575
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,240
we know what Perez has the potential to be and

576
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,119
what he is when he's fully healthy. Now, you gotta

577
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:57,000
remember this was a very long layoff that he had.

578
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,359
He had you know, he was essentially coming back from

579
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,920
multiple in It's been almost a season long rehab. So

580
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,400
I don't know that we'll even see ury Perez be

581
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:10,000
be his full sort of like you know what he

582
00:29:10,039 --> 00:29:12,599
could be at one hundred percent. I don't know that

583
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,039
we'll see that at any point this year, maybe after

584
00:29:15,079 --> 00:29:17,839
the All Star break, but he's just not there yet.

585
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,240
He's still getting the feelback for his pitches. I talked

586
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,519
about this last time he pitched. I know internally they're

587
00:29:23,599 --> 00:29:27,000
very happy with how his rehab has gone, but at

588
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:28,920
the big league level, he's he's still trying to find

589
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:32,559
the corners, get a feel for where the strike zone is,

590
00:29:32,599 --> 00:29:34,720
and and you've kind of seen that in his results

591
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:37,039
where he'll pick up a couple of strikeouts, he'll walk

592
00:29:37,079 --> 00:29:40,680
a couple of guys. I don't think that's gonna change today,

593
00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:43,079
like from last start to this start. So my gut

594
00:29:43,079 --> 00:29:45,880
tells me ury Perez could be pretty good. It's probably

595
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,319
four or five innings that he might give up a

596
00:29:48,359 --> 00:29:51,119
runner two, but but he probably has the Marlins in

597
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:51,440
the game.

598
00:29:51,519 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 2: Now.

599
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: Could David Festa get pummeled, Yeah, I could see that.

600
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,519
Like what Brian says is very accurate. He's a guy

601
00:29:57,559 --> 00:30:00,519
that I've I've followed closely in the minors since he's

602
00:30:00,559 --> 00:30:01,519
gotten to the big leagues.

603
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,799
Speaker 2: He when he's cruising along, he's fine.

604
00:30:05,079 --> 00:30:07,359
Speaker 1: When he puts guys on base, he can't seem to

605
00:30:07,359 --> 00:30:10,440
get around that that one batter where there's like first

606
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,440
and second no outs, or first and second one out,

607
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,920
and he throws one right down the the you know,

608
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,599
right just right down the gut, and and he's had

609
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,039
bad luck with that pitch that pitches has gone for

610
00:30:23,079 --> 00:30:24,799
a double in the gap, it's gone for a three

611
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,799
run homer, and you know, and then the on the

612
00:30:27,839 --> 00:30:32,079
flip side, Roco Baldelli has has started to anticipate this,

613
00:30:32,519 --> 00:30:35,480
so you'll see them get him out in the fourth inning.

614
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:39,079
Like there will be times where David Festa goes up

615
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,279
nine down or like three three innings, one hit very

616
00:30:42,319 --> 00:30:45,599
clean for the first three innings, and then Roco Baldelli

617
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:47,920
has to go get him in like the fifth because

618
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,559
he's in a bases loaded, one out situation, and he's like,

619
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:53,279
do I leave him in and and now I'm down

620
00:30:53,359 --> 00:30:55,960
four nothing, because that's kind of what's happened to him

621
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,559
at times when he gets guys on base second time

622
00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:02,960
through ther are basically exactly what Brian said. I think

623
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:06,519
Brian's gonna get his runs today. My gut tells me, Brian,

624
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:10,519
like the over yesterday, you know, teams didn't hit it

625
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,839
was right there kind of early on, and and the

626
00:31:12,839 --> 00:31:14,240
offense never materialized.

627
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 2: Is that really seven and a half. That's shocking.

628
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,519
Speaker 1: If that totals down to seven and a half, I

629
00:31:19,519 --> 00:31:21,759
would have to play against that move to the under.

630
00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:26,480
I think the Marlins bullpen can certainly be be hit

631
00:31:26,559 --> 00:31:30,359
around at times. The Twins, their their bullpen strength is

632
00:31:30,359 --> 00:31:33,319
the big guys, right the Griffin Jacks, Johann Duran. When

633
00:31:33,359 --> 00:31:36,400
it's like a three to two type game. Bullpen depth

634
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,200
has never been the Twins game. And then and you've

635
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:43,279
got two starters, Baldelli will go get faster early. And

636
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,359
I just don't know that Uri Perez is pushed past

637
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,839
four or five innings unless he's absolutely lights out, at

638
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,039
which point you'd have to tip your cap because again,

639
00:31:52,079 --> 00:31:54,839
you've you've watched this guy in a season long rehab.

640
00:31:55,119 --> 00:31:57,119
So why would you just assume that today is the

641
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,559
day that he comes out and goes seven scoreless. I

642
00:31:59,559 --> 00:32:02,000
don't think it's gonna happen. So I think I think

643
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,640
you're gonna have your runs here somehow. Someway, I'll call

644
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,960
it over eight, you know, and if that over eight

645
00:32:08,039 --> 00:32:10,359
is plus money, that's worthwhile over seven and.

646
00:32:10,359 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 2: A half is a good bet as well.

647
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:14,359
Speaker 1: I'm gonna hold off on making that a parlay bet

648
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:16,039
because we've got more games to talk about, but I

649
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:17,079
think that's a good over.

650
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:19,480
Speaker 2: Sorry, were you gonna add to in there?

651
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 3: Brian?

652
00:32:19,759 --> 00:32:20,119
Speaker 2: Go ahead?

653
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:22,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, I just want to say there's one eight out

654
00:32:22,279 --> 00:32:24,440
there right now. You can get over eight at plus

655
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:25,000
one oh four.

656
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 1: All right, let's move it along, o'doyle rules. Can we

657
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,640
talk Angels Braves? We absolutely can't. Someone in the chat

658
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,200
comments yesterday was sad we didn't talk about that game.

659
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,200
Can't get to them all when we're sort of going

660
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,799
deep like this. But we'll get to it today. Brian Leonard,

661
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,920
you said the Braves are cooked. I'm very much in agreement,

662
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,559
and I think it's kind of crazy that they're favored

663
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:47,839
the way that they're favored here.

664
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:49,920
Speaker 2: So, Angels Braves, how are you seeing? How are you

665
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:50,640
seeing this one?

666
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 3: Yeah?

667
00:32:51,319 --> 00:32:56,119
Speaker 4: I'm in agreement with you. The Soriano against Elder. Elder

668
00:32:56,200 --> 00:33:00,440
is about a one eight favorite total nine and a

669
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:04,440
half here. Soriano had been pitching great last time out.

670
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,400
He struggled comes in with a three point nine nine ara,

671
00:33:07,599 --> 00:33:10,759
four point oh four expected one point four to seven whip,

672
00:33:11,279 --> 00:33:16,359
which is the highest he's had in his career. A

673
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:22,240
great ground ball pitcher ninety nine percentile, and that may

674
00:33:22,839 --> 00:33:25,240
come into account here because the ball does fly out

675
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:26,160
a little bit in Atlanta.

676
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 3: I've been there.

677
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:29,799
Speaker 4: They do hit a lot of home runs the team

678
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,400
basically they're sort of like the Yankees, where most of

679
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:37,160
their scoring is from the home runs. But you take

680
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,559
a look at his game logs, he was terrific un

681
00:33:39,559 --> 00:33:41,200
to the last time out, and he just got blown

682
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:45,799
out against the Nationals four innings, eight earned runs. Before that,

683
00:33:45,839 --> 00:33:49,799
he'd given up one in runs zero one played the

684
00:33:49,839 --> 00:33:53,079
Red Sox, they bombed them seven before that, zero three, three,

685
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:54,359
three is there all the way.

686
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 3: For the last month.

687
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:58,480
Speaker 4: So he's a couple of times he's gotten hit hard,

688
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:00,960
but for the most part he's been a pretty good

689
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:03,880
pitcher and he've made money by backing him. He's five

690
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:08,440
and five on the season in his game, So the

691
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,000
Angels are usually an underdog, and that's why we've been

692
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:13,400
taking advantage of that.

693
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:14,760
Speaker 3: The Angels right now.

694
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:19,599
Speaker 4: I like the Angels hitters, not so enamored with Atlanta

695
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,440
right now, and Atlanta's got Elder on the mountain, and

696
00:34:22,559 --> 00:34:26,000
anytime you can get a picture of Bryce Elder status

697
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:29,400
as a sizable favorite, I'm glucky to fade.

698
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:30,800
Speaker 3: It comes in.

699
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 4: With a five point eight two ERA five point seven

700
00:34:34,039 --> 00:34:37,440
zero expected one point four to seven whip in his

701
00:34:37,519 --> 00:34:41,079
career four point five oh ERA one point three six whip.

702
00:34:42,039 --> 00:34:44,280
His ground ball percentage is what keeps him in there.

703
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,400
He's in the eighty fourth percentile. It does not give

704
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,280
up a lot of home runs, but everything else is

705
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:54,360
in the blue, which is not good. Is expected batting average,

706
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:59,760
the second percentile, expected DRA, fifth percentile, fifth percentage, tenth percentile.

707
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:01,599
Speaker 3: He's a guy I look to fade.

708
00:35:01,639 --> 00:35:06,039
Speaker 4: And as I mentioned earlier, with another injury to what

709
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,400
was then welling Back, the best pitcher they have on

710
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,360
this team, to go along with Sale, to go along

711
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,119
with the guys who are after the season after off

712
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:20,079
season surgery. This Atlanta team is killing for starting pitching.

713
00:35:20,639 --> 00:35:23,599
They're going to have to keep Elder in there even

714
00:35:23,639 --> 00:35:27,119
if he's not pitching well. That means that the Angels

715
00:35:27,119 --> 00:35:29,280
could take advantage of that. I like the Angels here.

716
00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:34,519
I may end up using this as my part of

717
00:35:34,559 --> 00:35:38,800
the parlay, But I'm looking at them here. I just

718
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,039
think there's plenty of value here where the team is

719
00:35:41,039 --> 00:35:44,360
playing with a lot more confidence than the than Atlanta is.

720
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,239
And if you're a player on this seam in Atlanta,

721
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:51,960
you expected to fight the Phillies and in the Mets

722
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,239
for the division title. You thought you were going to

723
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,280
get a nice bounce back. You've got your best player back.

724
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,440
He's starting in the All Star Game after only played

725
00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:04,039
a few games. Cohen is back and you're so excited,

726
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,159
and then this happens. You got a lot of veterans

727
00:36:07,199 --> 00:36:10,119
on this team. I would not surprise me if they

728
00:36:10,159 --> 00:36:11,119
go on the tank right now.

729
00:36:12,639 --> 00:36:15,760
Speaker 5: Quick promo, guys, I have a five percent play. I

730
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:17,960
think Adam does too. You can see our pages down

731
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,599
there at that little scroller down there. Wager Tuk has

732
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,280
a lot of promos for us, including a fourth of

733
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,760
July promo that you should check out as well. Go

734
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:31,599
to the replay of this and leave comments and like it.

735
00:36:31,599 --> 00:36:33,280
It helps us a lot. As a matter of fact,

736
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,840
management has reached out to all three of us two

737
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:40,480
days in a row congratulating us on the great engagement

738
00:36:40,559 --> 00:36:42,960
we're getting with the audience. And it's all because of you, guys,

739
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,119
So keep it coming please. We appreciate it and it's

740
00:36:46,119 --> 00:36:51,280
helping us out in house as well. So regarding this game,

741
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:55,440
I have Bryce Elder ranked out of two hundred and

742
00:36:55,519 --> 00:37:00,239
twenty starting pitchers. He is fourteenth from last. He's horrible.

743
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:06,360
He sandwiched between Chase Dolander and Kyle Hart. That's how

744
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:12,840
bad he is. So yeah, he's pretty bad. Bullpen wise,

745
00:37:13,519 --> 00:37:16,400
the Braves bullpen is performing a little bit better than

746
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:21,320
the Angels, but the Angels offense is just smacking away.

747
00:37:22,559 --> 00:37:25,760
Looking at this, I would think an Angels team total

748
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,639
or even Angels on the money line would be a

749
00:37:28,639 --> 00:37:31,039
way to go. Soriano is one of those guys. I

750
00:37:31,039 --> 00:37:32,920
think we talked about it in one of our earlier

751
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,159
shows in the season that we liked him, but he

752
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:38,320
kind of struggled coming out. I had high hopes for

753
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:42,119
him coming into the season, but he really stumbled at

754
00:37:42,119 --> 00:37:43,920
the beginning of the season and I kind of lost

755
00:37:44,679 --> 00:37:49,480
he lost his shine in my eyes. But he's he's

756
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:52,599
actually doing He's actually doing pretty good at the moment.

757
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:57,719
So I would say Angels or an Angels team total,

758
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,079
There's no way he could back the Braves here. The

759
00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:04,239
Angels bullpen worries me a little bit, but uh, Soriano,

760
00:38:04,679 --> 00:38:06,679
he might be able to go six or seven incs,

761
00:38:06,679 --> 00:38:08,760
so the bullpen might not be a huge factor.

762
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're you're gonna get the first parlay League by

763
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,079
the end of this breakdown, because someone's gonna use the Angels.

764
00:38:16,079 --> 00:38:19,440
If it's not Brian, it's gonna be me. Tokyo Brandon

765
00:38:19,519 --> 00:38:23,719
likes the Angels. I'm in agreement. Bryce Elder's atrocious, absolutely

766
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,400
insane that he is is a favorite of this magnitude.

767
00:38:28,679 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 2: You know, the Angels. I'm not really sold on the Angels.

768
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to remain a five hundred

769
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:36,039
team for the rest of the year, but you know,

770
00:38:36,119 --> 00:38:38,360
you put him in this spot, I think you know,

771
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:40,280
in the Parlay I almost may look to the plus

772
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,199
one and a half lay a little juice because you

773
00:38:42,199 --> 00:38:44,960
get the road team with with the with the run cushion.

774
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:47,559
That's the thing with like these these teams, like the Angels,

775
00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:49,920
I can see them losing some close games. But but

776
00:38:50,079 --> 00:38:54,239
man like, well, however you slice it, there's absolutely value

777
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:55,480
on the Angels here.

778
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,079
Speaker 2: I couldn't agree more with Brian.

779
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:00,039
Speaker 1: It really feels like the Braves are the team that

780
00:39:01,199 --> 00:39:04,119
let's see what is this July third, three weeks from now,

781
00:39:04,119 --> 00:39:06,280
at the trade deadline, I think you see them selling

782
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,199
off pieces. I think I think the Braves are going

783
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:11,239
to be in a mode where they have to seriously

784
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:16,320
think about like retooling, rebuilding. Obviously you're building around a Kuna,

785
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:20,119
but for like future seasons, because this team just isn't

786
00:39:20,119 --> 00:39:22,559
it in my opinion, and now they've got the injuries

787
00:39:22,599 --> 00:39:26,280
to go with it. So yeah, I'm all about the

788
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:29,480
Angels here, Brian, Who's doing it?

789
00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 2: Me or you?

790
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:32,519
Speaker 3: I have a question for Tokyo.

791
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:38,679
Speaker 4: Where do you have the bullpen for the Braves rated?

792
00:39:39,199 --> 00:39:41,039
Speaker 5: I have them rated sixteen.

793
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 4: I don't think they're very good at this point. If

794
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:52,440
take a look at the bullpens.

795
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 3: But this is interesting.

796
00:39:54,679 --> 00:39:59,119
Speaker 4: You could play the Angels and get basically one thirty four,

797
00:40:00,199 --> 00:40:03,159
or if you only wanted to play the first half,

798
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,559
you're only getting plus one oh five on the Angels.

799
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,800
Is there that big of a difference of thirty cents

800
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,159
on the bullpens here? I don't think there is.

801
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 2: I got a point here? Can I chime in on

802
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:17,519
that topic?

803
00:40:17,559 --> 00:40:17,760
Speaker 3: Yes?

804
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,800
Speaker 1: All right, So the Angels came into the season with

805
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:25,320
an atrocious bullpen, and something that they've done to their credit,

806
00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:27,800
something they've done is kind of take these guys like

807
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:31,119
these these re debt mers and that there's a couple

808
00:40:31,159 --> 00:40:33,960
of them down there that we're just like kind of

809
00:40:34,079 --> 00:40:36,559
kind of fading away into the into the abyss in

810
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:40,480
their organization. Failed starters, they didn't really have a place.

811
00:40:40,519 --> 00:40:42,199
They tried to do it with Ian Anderson. It didn't

812
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:45,599
work and they shipped him out, but they they figured out,

813
00:40:45,639 --> 00:40:47,800
like you know, Debt Meer is this guy that he

814
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:50,920
really can't stay in the rotation. Sort of made them

815
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,960
into like long reliever type guys that have actually given

816
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,119
the bullpen some really good innings. And then the trade

817
00:40:57,159 --> 00:41:00,480
from last year to bring Zephyr John over in that

818
00:41:00,519 --> 00:41:02,440
Red Sox trade that he was one of the pieces

819
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,559
they got from the Red Sox. He's turned into a

820
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:09,239
really good reliever. So they actually have I would say

821
00:41:09,320 --> 00:41:13,000
right now, like at present, their bullpen is better than

822
00:41:13,039 --> 00:41:15,199
the Braves. The Braves are at a bottom ten bullpen

823
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,960
all year, can't figure out the closer situation, have some

824
00:41:18,079 --> 00:41:22,199
injuries at worst, these are probably pretty even bullpen. So

825
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,880
I for a parlay, can I can I just do it.

826
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:28,559
Can I make Angels plus one and a half the

827
00:41:28,599 --> 00:41:30,559
parlay lake? That's what I'm gonna use for the parlo.

828
00:41:30,599 --> 00:41:33,079
It's minus one fifty five. But remember we're putting together

829
00:41:33,119 --> 00:41:35,199
a three teamer. Why do I want the plus one

830
00:41:35,199 --> 00:41:37,679
and a half. Well, again, it's a three team parlay,

831
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:39,800
so I don't mind the minus one fifty five. I'm

832
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:42,400
getting a run to work with with the road team,

833
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,880
so I know I'm getting an extra at that. I

834
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:47,480
don't trust the Angels to win like a ton of

835
00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:49,960
close games. Again, I look at this team forty two

836
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:52,400
and forty three, say, okay, that's kind of crazy. I

837
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,360
don't think they're gonna be a I think they're probably

838
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,079
finished this year five to ten games under five hundred.

839
00:41:57,599 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 2: But are they talented enough to hang around with the Braves?

840
00:42:00,119 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 1: Absolutely so, in my opinion, it makes Angels plus one

841
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:07,440
and a half the ideal parlay leg. If the Braves

842
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,639
somehow steal this one, they probably do it by a

843
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:12,960
run and we're still we're still cashing anyway, So first

844
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,559
leg of our three team or today for me, is

845
00:42:15,599 --> 00:42:18,119
going to be the Angels plus one and a half.

846
00:42:18,199 --> 00:42:19,960
What am I looking at there? Brian like minus one

847
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:21,119
fifty five something like that.

848
00:42:21,199 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 4: You see one fifty three basically is about in the middle.

849
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:27,639
Speaker 1: Well, all right, we'll call it minus one fifty five.

850
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:30,519
That's fine. I see that on a couple of sites. Yeah,

851
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:32,840
it's a I think it's a solid look, and we

852
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,000
all seem to agree on it. One more thing I

853
00:42:35,039 --> 00:42:37,920
will point out, uh, before we go to the next game.

854
00:42:38,639 --> 00:42:41,079
They put up a package for all three of us,

855
00:42:41,159 --> 00:42:45,599
So it is next seven days. It's one price, you

856
00:42:45,639 --> 00:42:47,440
get all three of our plays. I have a five

857
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:51,000
percenter tonight as well. I'm twenty two and seven on

858
00:42:51,039 --> 00:42:54,239
my last twenty nine MLB plays, so it's it's rolling

859
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,039
right now. I like a game quite a bit tonight.

860
00:42:57,079 --> 00:42:59,199
I've made it a five percenter and if you if

861
00:42:59,199 --> 00:43:02,639
you do that, you get both of them. So that's

862
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:05,320
something to check out. It is I think going to

863
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:07,840
be up through the weekend. So give that a look.

864
00:43:08,119 --> 00:43:09,920
I know that's something that they put up last night,

865
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:11,159
and it would.

866
00:43:11,639 --> 00:43:14,639
Speaker 5: Your pages, Yeah, all of our pages as well.

867
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:16,360
Speaker 3: Seven days.

868
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:19,519
Speaker 4: For the for all three of us, and you get

869
00:43:19,559 --> 00:43:21,639
it for one hundred and fifty eight dollars, which basically

870
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,719
is you buy two, get one free. That's that's the

871
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:26,760
deal for it. And there was a lot of people

872
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,960
that were calling in and we appreciate that, a lot

873
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:30,639
of people calling in trying to see if we could

874
00:43:30,639 --> 00:43:33,599
get a deal for all three of us. And yes,

875
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:35,880
I did want to point that out.

876
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:37,679
Speaker 3: That was nice for them to do that for us.

877
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,760
Speaker 1: Yep, Russell Russell Deck must have jumped in late. He said,

878
00:43:41,159 --> 00:43:43,679
can we talk to Mets Brewers. This is my chance

879
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:47,000
to remind you that the show is always live and

880
00:43:47,079 --> 00:43:49,800
on demand, So head on over to YouTube, throw us

881
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,079
aik and subscribe right there, and you can watch us

882
00:43:53,119 --> 00:43:55,760
the first fifteen minutes of the show about Mets Brewers

883
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:57,800
and then not give out a pick because that's how

884
00:43:57,840 --> 00:43:59,599
we opened the show today. But it was at our

885
00:43:59,639 --> 00:44:02,639
meeting and I do think there were some good points

886
00:44:02,639 --> 00:44:05,719
in there. So if you want that Mets Brewers discussion

887
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:07,880
that is at the beginning of the show.

888
00:44:08,159 --> 00:44:09,440
Speaker 2: We appreciate all the comments.

889
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:12,199
Speaker 1: We still have fifteen minutes of show left and we

890
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,840
still have two plays to lock in. Gee, Hurt, I

891
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,800
lost your original comment, but I'm gonna pull this one up.

892
00:44:18,199 --> 00:44:20,639
He goes Chris Sale looking at homes around Metro Detroit.

893
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:21,199
Speaker 2: I love it.

894
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:23,599
Speaker 1: I love these Tigers fans. They were saying that about

895
00:44:23,679 --> 00:44:27,119
Skeens last week. But listen, hey tell him to talk

896
00:44:27,119 --> 00:44:29,679
to Johnny Detroit. He'll point out all the great things

897
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:34,079
about that area. Our offices, our wager Talk offices are

898
00:44:34,119 --> 00:44:37,639
outside of the metro Detroit area, so we love Detroit,

899
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,039
not as much as our chat who seems to be

900
00:44:40,079 --> 00:44:43,880
all Tigers fans. Sean must have had an engagement today,

901
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:47,159
he's not here. Shout out to Sean. Shout out to

902
00:44:47,199 --> 00:44:49,280
me for being on the Tigers game one yesterday. That

903
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:51,519
was as easy of a winner as I've had all season.

904
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 2: And shout out to our guy.

905
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:57,119
Speaker 1: Dietrich Enz, former LG twin who's now come back to

906
00:44:57,159 --> 00:44:59,480
the States and having himself a really nice season.

907
00:44:59,639 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 2: Has been great at Toledo.

908
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:04,719
Speaker 1: Was great in his first MLB game Brian Leonard since

909
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:06,920
I believe twenty twenty one or twenty twenty.

910
00:45:06,639 --> 00:45:08,079
Speaker 2: Two last week.

911
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:10,320
Speaker 1: And he's got a nice matchup again against a team

912
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:11,880
that struggled against left tinged pitching.

913
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,519
Speaker 2: So let's go to Nats Tigers. How do you see

914
00:45:14,519 --> 00:45:14,920
this one?

915
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:16,320
Speaker 3: Yeah?

916
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 4: I wanted to take my head off to the to

917
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:23,239
the Tigers fans too, because Papier Bayas is the starting

918
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:26,960
center fielder on the All Star team. How much money

919
00:45:27,039 --> 00:45:30,039
would you have bet to get? What were the odds

920
00:45:30,079 --> 00:45:32,519
on that coming into the season. If the Tigers can

921
00:45:32,559 --> 00:45:36,320
get Javier Bias is an All Star start, those fans

922
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:40,920
stuff those ballot boxes. Good for you, yep, But that's

923
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:43,360
the only problem with the American League is now they've

924
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:48,639
got Hopyer Bias starting at center field. Yes, we're going

925
00:45:48,679 --> 00:45:54,000
with Detroit today on the road Ends against Irvin Ends

926
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:58,039
as a lefty. Total LA is about one forty right now,

927
00:45:58,280 --> 00:45:59,880
nine and a half to the under twenty.

928
00:46:01,199 --> 00:46:01,400
Speaker 3: Yeah.

929
00:46:01,519 --> 00:46:05,320
Speaker 4: Ends looked really good, as was pointed out before that

930
00:46:05,639 --> 00:46:06,360
game he was started.

931
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:08,199
Speaker 3: You give us a little bit of the background.

932
00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:11,599
Speaker 4: On him, his first start in Major League Baseball since

933
00:46:11,639 --> 00:46:15,239
twenty twenty one, and he looked good. Comes in with

934
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:18,519
a perfect zero ERA zero point six to zero wipth.

935
00:46:18,519 --> 00:46:21,199
Can't get much better than that. Five innings, struck out

936
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:25,039
four batters, one point sixty four expected ERA. Yeah, he

937
00:46:25,119 --> 00:46:26,760
looked very good in that game, and I think he'll

938
00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:30,559
have success here. This Detroit team is obviously a very

939
00:46:30,559 --> 00:46:33,400
good team. They haven't played as well over the last

940
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:36,000
three or four weeks as they had earlier. But teams

941
00:46:36,079 --> 00:46:40,280
run into win streaks losing streaks. It's just something that

942
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:43,400
they do and ends as a guy that I definitely

943
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,159
can take a look at. Here, let's take a look

944
00:46:45,159 --> 00:46:51,079
at the the Detroit bullpen. Is we're looking at this

945
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:57,039
game the Tigers bullpen yesterday, they did have to use

946
00:46:57,079 --> 00:46:59,039
a lot of their pitchers, but they had the last

947
00:46:59,039 --> 00:47:03,119
two days off before that. Tommy Kainnely blew the save

948
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:08,960
in yesterday's game and or lost lost it. They had

949
00:47:09,000 --> 00:47:11,719
a lot of bullpen guys yesterday. Obviously we talked about that,

950
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:15,559
going in thirty for oh and thirty pitches for almost,

951
00:47:15,559 --> 00:47:20,039
fifty three for Herder, twenty two for the sixteen fan

952
00:47:20,119 --> 00:47:23,760
I fy, twenty eight for Holten, and eighteen for Connie. Finally,

953
00:47:25,079 --> 00:47:27,280
will Vest the closer is not pitched in three days.

954
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:29,400
None of those guys pitched the last two days, so

955
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:32,119
I think they're bullpen. Other than the guys who threw

956
00:47:32,199 --> 00:47:35,440
thirty pitches or more will be available in this one. Here,

957
00:47:36,639 --> 00:47:39,639
going the opposite direction and looking at the starter here,

958
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:44,119
Jay Gervin for Washington. Jake Irvin comes in four point

959
00:47:44,119 --> 00:47:48,079
seven three ERA five point four one expected one point.

960
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:48,519
Speaker 3: Three l whip.

961
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 4: His extension is actually ninety third percentile, is walk rates

962
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:56,280
is very good sixteenth percentile. Other than that, a lot

963
00:47:56,320 --> 00:48:01,840
of blue on this card second percentile, barrel ray sixth percentile,

964
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:06,039
and with f rate seventh percentile and expected dra And

965
00:48:06,119 --> 00:48:10,719
while Detroit earlier in the season had some weaknesses in

966
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:15,599
the lineup, now they're good from one through nine. I

967
00:48:15,639 --> 00:48:18,719
really like the way this Detroit team is playing. Obviously,

968
00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:21,920
the big power hitter in the middle, they just put

969
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:22,840
him on the il.

970
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 3: He will not be there.

971
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,039
Speaker 4: But this Detroit team, I guess Washington, I think they'll

972
00:48:27,039 --> 00:48:28,840
have a lot of success. I think this will be

973
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:31,400
a higher scoring game. And I kind of let you

974
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:31,840
try here.

975
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,280
Speaker 5: Well, I'm gonna pump the brakes a little bit on

976
00:48:36,519 --> 00:48:40,039
Ends because he's pitched only five innings since twenty twenty one,

977
00:48:40,079 --> 00:48:42,360
so I'm and I watched him in Japan, and I

978
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,440
didn't really like him in Japan, so I'm not saying

979
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:48,480
he's bad, but I'm saying I'm not sold on him

980
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:53,320
quite yet. So and I'm definitely not sold on Irvin either.

981
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:58,559
Washington's bullpen always bad. You can always rely on them

982
00:48:58,599 --> 00:49:03,480
to blow games and horrible Detroit's bullpen's performing really well

983
00:49:03,519 --> 00:49:06,400
and their hitting is performing really well. The thing is,

984
00:49:06,519 --> 00:49:09,239
Washington's bats are pretty hot right now as well. We

985
00:49:09,360 --> 00:49:13,960
got two really hot offenses, one bad bullpen, one picture

986
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:16,480
I'm not sold on, and one picture I know is bad.

987
00:49:16,679 --> 00:49:20,679
So I think Detroit team total would be a good

988
00:49:20,679 --> 00:49:22,960
way to go here. I haven't played it yet, but

989
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:26,800
if I were to, I would go that way rather

990
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,960
than a victory, because I just don't know if ends

991
00:49:30,159 --> 00:49:33,280
is what he is. Romi ROMs you're writing, Judge, Judy,

992
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:37,280
Now that was like forty minutes ago. Go ahead on him.

993
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:43,079
Speaker 1: Life life altering moment for me just now mid show.

994
00:49:43,639 --> 00:49:46,880
I just realized that you can star comments and it

995
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:52,159
will tag them into a separate list. It is July third,

996
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:56,119
we started we made the software change for Wager talk

997
00:49:56,159 --> 00:50:00,519
shows like before the season. I cannot it took me

998
00:50:00,599 --> 00:50:03,559
till July three to figure that out, hosting every single

999
00:50:03,639 --> 00:50:05,119
day for five days a week.

1000
00:50:05,159 --> 00:50:06,719
Speaker 2: But life changing moment.

1001
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:10,119
Speaker 1: That means I can when I see a comment, then

1002
00:50:10,119 --> 00:50:12,000
I don't have to go scroll back and not be

1003
00:50:12,079 --> 00:50:14,000
able to find it. I want to point out too,

1004
00:50:14,039 --> 00:50:16,079
that are really good. Jay Main says, ends to shove

1005
00:50:16,119 --> 00:50:19,639
again against I'm tired NAT bats. I would agree with

1006
00:50:19,679 --> 00:50:24,280
that doubleheader yesterday NAT sort of, that's no question about it.

1007
00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:27,599
The Nationals were more engaged in that second game after

1008
00:50:27,639 --> 00:50:30,800
getting blown out in the first one. I definitely think

1009
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,280
you're gonna see more fatigue on the NAT side with

1010
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:36,480
just with the willingness for the Tigers to shuffle their

1011
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,280
lineup and stuff like that. The other thing is the

1012
00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:41,760
Nationals have really struggled against left handed pitching this year.

1013
00:50:41,840 --> 00:50:44,639
So while I'm with you TV like I don't know

1014
00:50:44,679 --> 00:50:47,679
that I'm ready to you know, tetrich Ens isn't winning a.

1015
00:50:47,639 --> 00:50:48,599
Speaker 2: Cy young or anything.

1016
00:50:49,039 --> 00:50:51,559
Speaker 1: It was one start, but I will point out he's

1017
00:50:51,559 --> 00:50:54,039
been very, very strong at Toledo and he is now

1018
00:50:54,079 --> 00:50:58,199
getting another dream matchup here against a team that doesn't

1019
00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:00,960
hit left handed pitching very well. Steve Duke might have

1020
00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:02,360
the best common of all. And then I'll go to

1021
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:06,719
Brian Leonard. Tigers have regressed. They just somehow don't lose many.

1022
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,840
I think that's a tremendous point. It's such a good point.

1023
00:51:10,039 --> 00:51:15,199
The Tigers have not played as good. Okay, they crushed yesterday,

1024
00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,760
but like they really haven't played as good as they've

1025
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,320
played maybe the first two months, but this team just

1026
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:23,480
finds a way to win games. Aj Hinch best manager

1027
00:51:23,519 --> 00:51:24,199
on the planet.

1028
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:26,519
Speaker 2: He pushes all the right buttons he can.

1029
00:51:27,119 --> 00:51:30,199
Speaker 1: He can pivot in game yesterday, they get a huge

1030
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:32,119
lead and he goes hole in and says, you know what,

1031
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:34,920
let me just let me we're good seven nothing.

1032
00:51:35,039 --> 00:51:36,920
Speaker 2: My depth, bulpen arms can take care of this.

1033
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 1: He just I feel like he's just two, three, four

1034
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:43,119
steps ahead of most of the other managers, and I

1035
00:51:43,159 --> 00:51:48,199
think that really gets discounted just how well run this

1036
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:51,880
organization is. Right now, I love the Tigers again today.

1037
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,119
I don't love the price kind of a little bit

1038
00:51:54,159 --> 00:51:55,840
steep for Dietrich Enz, but I.

1039
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:58,880
Speaker 2: Kind of expect them to win today. Brian Leonard go ahead.

1040
00:51:58,840 --> 00:51:59,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, A couple of things.

1041
00:52:00,159 --> 00:52:04,159
Speaker 4: First off, Detroit's a better team now than they were

1042
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:06,960
earlier in the season when they were winning a lot more.

1043
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:11,880
And then we mentioned yesterday ols since coming back, other

1044
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:16,079
than the the the injury to the UH, the OUTFITLD

1045
00:52:16,119 --> 00:52:20,679
or d H, they're they're loaded. Washington over the last

1046
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,920
month has a w r C plus of one oh

1047
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,760
three against lefties, so they picked it up in the

1048
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:30,119
last month going against lefties. UH so I you know,

1049
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:33,320
while I like, uh, I like to try in this game,

1050
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:35,480
it would not surprise me if this game goes over.

1051
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 2: All. Right, let's uh.

1052
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, I already commented on this, So yeah, I was

1053
00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:45,960
gonna say, my friend got a league out though, But

1054
00:52:46,039 --> 00:52:47,480
it's a game we've already covered, should we.

1055
00:52:47,639 --> 00:52:48,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, So let's let's go.

1056
00:52:49,079 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 1: No, let's let's go to your parlay league and then

1057
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:53,519
we'll we'll we'll get Brian's and maybe get to one

1058
00:52:53,519 --> 00:52:53,920
more game.

1059
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:54,760
Speaker 2: Who are you getting?

1060
00:52:55,880 --> 00:52:58,679
Speaker 5: I'm gonna I'm gonna take to Miami Marlins. Team total

1061
00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:01,440
over three and a half and it's minus one ten

1062
00:53:01,559 --> 00:53:05,159
on Pinnacle. I don't know what it is on American books.

1063
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:09,000
Minus one ten on Pinnacle. That's unbelievable value. He's going

1064
00:53:09,159 --> 00:53:13,639
up against a shive and a horrible bullpen. So yeah,

1065
00:53:14,199 --> 00:53:17,440
three and a half, minus one twenty, minus one twenty,

1066
00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:20,760
so minus one fifteen. I guess we'll.

1067
00:53:20,599 --> 00:53:23,000
Speaker 1: Give you minus well, I we'll give you minus one fifteen. There,

1068
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:25,199
I I juiced up mind a little bit, so I

1069
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:28,039
think that's fair. That's going to be my leg Listen,

1070
00:53:28,119 --> 00:53:30,559
I don't know if David I would. I'm not going

1071
00:53:30,639 --> 00:53:33,639
to stand for that. Type of David festuslander. However, I

1072
00:53:33,679 --> 00:53:36,679
do think he is so prone to giving up that

1073
00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,440
like that three run home or something. If you're talking

1074
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,559
about only needing three and a half to get over

1075
00:53:41,599 --> 00:53:45,599
that Marlins total, I rest assure he will be in

1076
00:53:45,639 --> 00:53:48,239
a situation where he's got a couple guys on and

1077
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:50,400
he throws one right down the middle and there are

1078
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:53,840
those Marlins hitters can absolutely do damage in that situation.

1079
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:56,920
Speaker 2: So I'm with you very much.

1080
00:53:57,159 --> 00:53:57,599
Speaker 3: Project me.

1081
00:53:58,199 --> 00:54:01,760
Speaker 5: I project Festa to go only fourteen fourteen outs here too.

1082
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:05,079
I don't expect him to finish, project him to not

1083
00:54:05,119 --> 00:54:08,079
finish five innings. He might finish five, but he's not wrong.

1084
00:54:08,679 --> 00:54:11,960
Speaker 1: You're not wrong about that either, because bal Delly doesn't

1085
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:14,280
trust him second time through the order at this point.

1086
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:16,840
So I think those are really two very good points,

1087
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:19,320
and I'm very much in agreement with your leg Brian Leonard,

1088
00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:20,639
Do you know what you want to add to the

1089
00:54:20,639 --> 00:54:23,320
parlat or do you want to comment on that first?

1090
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 4: Well, I was just going to say if you if

1091
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:28,519
you're playing live and he's pitching pretty well in the

1092
00:54:28,559 --> 00:54:31,480
first couple of innings, then you've got a better number

1093
00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:35,599
to play. The total in live I don't do they

1094
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:37,920
do they play I live in Vegas.

1095
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:40,320
Speaker 3: We don't get anything here. Do they let you play

1096
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:41,840
team totals as the game goes on?

1097
00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:44,599
Speaker 1: Yes, most books do, I think I think some of

1098
00:54:44,639 --> 00:54:47,480
them do, at least I know the PPH is that

1099
00:54:47,639 --> 00:54:50,079
certain ones do. And I'm pretty sure you can play

1100
00:54:50,079 --> 00:54:53,760
team totals on like DraftKings FanDuel in game right TV.

1101
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,159
Do you can you play in game team totals on

1102
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:57,079
those books?

1103
00:54:57,440 --> 00:54:59,800
Speaker 5: I think we're spitting is illegal in Japan, so I

1104
00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:03,760
have to kind of circumvent and decent creative things, But

1105
00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:04,480
yes I can.

1106
00:55:05,679 --> 00:55:07,599
Speaker 4: Or spending is about to be illegal in the United

1107
00:55:07,599 --> 00:55:09,239
States too, if they passed that long.

1108
00:55:09,639 --> 00:55:10,280
Speaker 3: But we don't get it.

1109
00:55:11,519 --> 00:55:15,440
Speaker 5: You know, you live in the mecca of of of gambling,

1110
00:55:15,559 --> 00:55:18,079
and you guys are the most limited people on earth.

1111
00:55:18,199 --> 00:55:19,039
It's crazy.

1112
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, if you haven't gotten into it, If you don't

1113
00:55:22,639 --> 00:55:25,960
know what I'm talking about, get on Twitter and read

1114
00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:29,239
uh some of the comments about this thing that's in

1115
00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:32,920
the Big Bill. Okay, there's two games. I was looking

1116
00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:36,480
at number one with the Angels, and since you already

1117
00:55:36,480 --> 00:55:38,760
took them plus one and a half, I will not

1118
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:41,519
play that, but I will go back to the game

1119
00:55:41,559 --> 00:55:46,320
that I argued breheaded about earlier. I will take Milwaukee

1120
00:55:46,639 --> 00:55:48,400
full game plus.

1121
00:55:48,599 --> 00:55:55,679
Speaker 6: Oh my god, one seven plus was met on Milwaukee

1122
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:58,679
plus one thirty seven full game the match.

1123
00:55:58,760 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 3: Do not hit lefties?

1124
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:02,079
Speaker 4: There worst in Major League Baseball guest lefties over the

1125
00:56:02,119 --> 00:56:06,119
last month. Quaitana's been terrific all year on the road,

1126
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,960
and Milwaukee's The season is not dead.

1127
00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 1: You're trying to stick it to I can't from a

1128
00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:22,519
price standpoint, from just a sheer numbers price standpoint, I

1129
00:56:22,559 --> 00:56:23,719
can't argue with that at all.

1130
00:56:24,119 --> 00:56:24,440
Speaker 2: It is.

1131
00:56:26,039 --> 00:56:27,039
Speaker 5: They're gonna crush him.

1132
00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:32,679
Speaker 4: Why no, there you go.

1133
00:56:33,559 --> 00:56:35,000
Speaker 2: It is everything.

1134
00:56:37,159 --> 00:56:37,239
Speaker 5: Up.

1135
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 1: Let's get one more. The The chat is really firing

1136
00:56:44,440 --> 00:56:47,559
away on on. I'm just gonna grab a comment at random.

1137
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:51,679
Mohammad says, Yankees put up nine runs. They want to

1138
00:56:51,679 --> 00:56:54,760
talk Yankees Blue Jays. I was wrong about Will Warren.

1139
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:57,599
He got destroyed yesterday Tokyo. Brandon was was sort of

1140
00:56:57,639 --> 00:57:03,360
on that he was off, but I would I don't.

1141
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:05,480
I'm not gonna write him off, but he he sort

1142
00:57:05,480 --> 00:57:08,920
of the guy that that showed up and got crushed

1143
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:10,840
by the Dodgers, and then it has been pretty good

1144
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:14,559
since that guy showed up yesterday. Blue Jays have been

1145
00:57:14,679 --> 00:57:18,000
some other kind of hot right now. But I don't

1146
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:19,840
hate the spot for the Yankees. Brian Leonard, you have

1147
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:22,320
any desire to go against this Blue Jays team At

1148
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:23,440
the moment, I.

1149
00:57:24,039 --> 00:57:27,559
Speaker 3: Prefer Schmid in the game. Yeah.

1150
00:57:27,559 --> 00:57:30,239
Speaker 4: I kind of like the Yankees. Hey, I don't like

1151
00:57:30,320 --> 00:57:34,320
the price. You know, they're about a one twenty five favorite.

1152
00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:37,239
If it was a pick them, maybe on the Yankees here, Well,

1153
00:57:37,239 --> 00:57:40,199
we kind of talked about the Yankees pitcher yesterday how

1154
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:44,280
he was so inconsistent, and you find that a lot

1155
00:57:44,320 --> 00:57:47,320
of out of the young players, and obviously the Brewers

1156
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:50,800
rookie yesterday got got hit, but you're gonna find that

1157
00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:52,960
and a lot of the young players. He's looked good.

1158
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,159
A lot of times. Things are going well, it's great,

1159
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:59,119
but once some of these guys hit that hit, that

1160
00:57:59,159 --> 00:58:01,119
part of the game, and you talked about it with Festa,

1161
00:58:01,679 --> 00:58:04,119
they the young players are struggling with it. Where the

1162
00:58:04,239 --> 00:58:07,079
veterans have done it before they can get out of it.

1163
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:10,599
A veteran like one Tona going for the Brewers today.

1164
00:58:10,679 --> 00:58:14,880
That was my last one?

1165
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:20,280
Speaker 5: Are you done? Oh okay, I'm done. I'll go from there.

1166
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,280
You know, everything points to the Yankees here. Uh, but

1167
00:58:26,599 --> 00:58:29,920
the batting, Uh, Toronto's bats are pretty hot right now.

1168
00:58:30,119 --> 00:58:32,559
I got Clark Schmidt rinked really high. But then I

1169
00:58:32,559 --> 00:58:34,719
looked at his splits on the road, and he's got

1170
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:36,559
a five plus e RA on the road. If I'm

1171
00:58:36,599 --> 00:58:40,440
not mistaken, that kind of scares me. I oh no,

1172
00:58:40,559 --> 00:58:42,639
I'm sorry. He's got a three seventy RA on the

1173
00:58:42,679 --> 00:58:46,199
road in twenty six innings, small sample size, and I

1174
00:58:46,559 --> 00:58:48,719
don't know who his opponents were, so that kind of

1175
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:52,000
makes a difference if it was Pittsburgh or if it

1176
00:58:52,119 --> 00:58:56,960
was you know, the Dodgers or whatever. But uh, that aside,

1177
00:58:57,000 --> 00:59:04,239
my numbers love Schmidt. Uh, Toronto's bullpen is not playing well,

1178
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:06,800
and the Yankees bullpen's not playing well either. Right now,

1179
00:59:08,159 --> 00:59:11,320
I got Toronto ranked really high and hitting Yankees ranked

1180
00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:13,760
fairly little. But there are coming on as of late,

1181
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:15,760
the Yankees are starting to heat up a little bit,

1182
00:59:16,039 --> 00:59:18,119
So I would think an over here would make a

1183
00:59:18,119 --> 00:59:23,599
lot of sense. I don't think Schmid's gonna be lockdown

1184
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:26,800
Schmidt today. I think he's gonna give a few runs.

1185
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:29,239
I would take either the Toronto team total over three

1186
00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:32,159
and a half or the game over is what I

1187
00:59:32,159 --> 00:59:32,599
would take.

1188
00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:34,679
Speaker 4: I just wanted to point out since you asked the

1189
00:59:34,719 --> 00:59:39,039
Clark Schmidt on the road, he faced Cleveland bad offense,

1190
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:43,719
Seattle in Seattle a bad offense, Colorado and Colorado a

1191
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:46,840
bad offense, the Angels probably the best of the group,

1192
00:59:47,239 --> 00:59:50,440
and the Kansas City Royals in Kansas City a bad offense.

1193
00:59:50,519 --> 00:59:53,119
Speaker 3: So yeah, even though it's era on the road, isn't bad.

1194
00:59:53,159 --> 00:59:55,119
He's played a lot of bad offenses on the road.

1195
00:59:55,199 --> 00:59:57,880
Speaker 5: YEP, I would expect some runs here. Toronto's bats are

1196
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:00,519
hot right now. They're ranked nine according to my rankings

1197
01:00:00,519 --> 01:00:03,639
out of thirty. Yankees are ranked seventeen. But actually, if

1198
01:00:03,679 --> 01:00:06,920
you took the last you know, five days, Yankees are

1199
01:00:07,199 --> 01:00:10,000
hotter than seventeen. So I think an over here or

1200
01:00:10,159 --> 01:00:10,840
Toronto over.

1201
01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in agreement with the over. You've got some

1202
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:16,960
tired bullpen arms for the J's. They've used a lot

1203
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:21,320
of bullpen over the last five six days. Schmidt is

1204
01:00:21,360 --> 01:00:23,280
a guy that I think I've talked about on the

1205
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:25,800
show a few times. You know, not so much the

1206
01:00:25,840 --> 01:00:28,639
second time through, but like third time through, fifth, sixth inning,

1207
01:00:28,679 --> 01:00:30,800
he'll start to give up some runs. He'll start to

1208
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,559
get hit a little bit, so you got to I

1209
01:00:33,559 --> 01:00:36,199
don't know that he's gonna go super deep. And again,

1210
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:39,159
I'm just the reason I have no interest in the

1211
01:00:39,239 --> 01:00:41,119
Yankees is because I have I just don't want to

1212
01:00:41,119 --> 01:00:42,800
step in front of the Blue Jays, who are playing

1213
01:00:42,880 --> 01:00:45,679
fantastic ball right now, knocking the cover off the ball.

1214
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:48,519
Speaker 2: I think they'll probably get something off of Schmidt.

1215
01:00:49,079 --> 01:00:51,519
Speaker 1: I like, you know, the Yankees, like, you know, Bassett's

1216
01:00:51,559 --> 01:00:55,199
a guy that they've seen enough of over the years.

1217
01:00:55,199 --> 01:00:56,840
Speaker 2: He's been Most of those guys have been in the

1218
01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:57,639
league for a while.

1219
01:00:57,880 --> 01:01:01,159
Speaker 1: Bassett's been in the league forever, so I think they've

1220
01:01:01,199 --> 01:01:03,039
got a good enough sample size against him.

1221
01:01:03,079 --> 01:01:05,519
Speaker 2: But I do like the fact that the back end.

1222
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:07,280
Speaker 1: Of this game for Toronto is going to have some

1223
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:10,559
question marks, as you know, more so than some of

1224
01:01:10,559 --> 01:01:13,280
the games leading up to this point, because they have

1225
01:01:13,400 --> 01:01:15,679
used up some pen arms. And if this was a

1226
01:01:15,679 --> 01:01:17,880
scenario where you know you're getting an eight and a half,

1227
01:01:18,079 --> 01:01:20,599
let's say it is a four to three game. Late like,

1228
01:01:20,840 --> 01:01:22,840
I could kind of see both teams getting a four run.

1229
01:01:22,880 --> 01:01:24,920
So I'll say over eight and a half is pretty

1230
01:01:25,199 --> 01:01:27,280
a pretty decent look in this one.

1231
01:01:27,360 --> 01:01:30,239
Speaker 2: Okay, we have reached the finish line.

1232
01:01:30,239 --> 01:01:33,199
Speaker 1: It is ten am and Brian Leonard juiced up our

1233
01:01:33,199 --> 01:01:36,880
parlay with that Brewers leg So one more time I

1234
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:39,880
will point out great special to site put up right now.

1235
01:01:39,880 --> 01:01:42,519
It's all three of us, seven days, one price. You

1236
01:01:42,559 --> 01:01:44,880
get all plays for all three. It's on all of

1237
01:01:44,920 --> 01:01:47,320
our pages. Can't miss it, so go check that out.

1238
01:01:47,320 --> 01:01:48,960
I've got a five percent.

1239
01:01:49,440 --> 01:01:52,519
Speaker 5: Yeah you have, I have a five percent. Normal price

1240
01:01:52,519 --> 01:01:54,360
would be seventy dollars just for that.

1241
01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:57,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean that. Yeah, it's a it's definitely

1242
01:01:57,760 --> 01:01:58,280
good value.

1243
01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:01,480
Speaker 5: If you're Brian might have a five we don't know yet.

1244
01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:06,039
Speaker 1: Multiple gappers, so yeah, check that out. Also give us

1245
01:02:06,039 --> 01:02:09,480
those likes and subscribe. We very much appreciate it. It

1246
01:02:09,519 --> 01:02:13,039
helps the show grow, and it's helped the show grow considerably.

1247
01:02:13,079 --> 01:02:16,599
So appreciate everyone that's tuning in on a daily basis commenting.

1248
01:02:17,440 --> 01:02:21,559
It means a lot, and it gets us charged up

1249
01:02:21,559 --> 01:02:24,159
to come up and do this show five days a week.

1250
01:02:24,199 --> 01:02:24,679
Speaker 2: And we will.

1251
01:02:24,679 --> 01:02:26,119
Speaker 1: Oh that's the last thing I wanted to say. We

1252
01:02:26,159 --> 01:02:29,280
will be here tomorrow. It's a holiday, but not for us.

1253
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:31,880
It's just another day where we're talking about baseball. We

1254
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:35,079
will be here nine am Eastern tomorrow to break down

1255
01:02:35,079 --> 01:02:38,559
the fourth of July slate without further ado. The parlay

1256
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:41,920
is plus six twenty nine. We're not messing around today,

1257
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:45,159
Ryan Len, like, we're not messing around today. Brewer's money

1258
01:02:45,239 --> 01:02:48,519
line plus thirty seven plus one thirty seven is what

1259
01:02:48,559 --> 01:02:51,599
I've got in there. I'm gonna go a little bit

1260
01:02:51,599 --> 01:02:55,239
more conservative with Angels plus one and a half. That's

1261
01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:58,960
full game, And if Tokyo Brandon's leg doesn't hit, then

1262
01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:01,599
it won't even matter because early we need to get

1263
01:03:01,679 --> 01:03:05,199
through that first leg. Early, Marlin's team total over three

1264
01:03:05,239 --> 01:03:08,480
and a half. So the plan for today very simple.

1265
01:03:08,559 --> 01:03:11,519
Tokyo Brandon is gonna get us those Marlins runs right

1266
01:03:11,519 --> 01:03:14,920
around noon eastern. He's got Marlin's team total over three

1267
01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:17,360
and a half. Then we've got Angels plus one and

1268
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:21,199
a half. Brewers money line. That parlay plays pace plus

1269
01:03:21,239 --> 01:03:23,760
six twenty nine. If you've been playing a long all

1270
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:27,079
season for every if you've played them equally all year,

1271
01:03:27,159 --> 01:03:30,639
one dollar has returned twelve ninety on these parlays. Not that,

1272
01:03:31,559 --> 01:03:33,679
but we really want to get to that twenty unit mark.

1273
01:03:33,719 --> 01:03:36,400
I think I think we were a shade under twenty

1274
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:39,039
units and that's the highest we've been all year. This

1275
01:03:39,119 --> 01:03:43,039
would would put us right back in striking distance to

1276
01:03:43,360 --> 01:03:46,440
get to that mark. So one more time. Three team

1277
01:03:46,440 --> 01:03:49,119
are Marlin's team total over three and a half. We've

1278
01:03:49,119 --> 01:03:52,360
got the Angels plus one and a half Brewer's money line.

1279
01:03:52,679 --> 01:03:55,199
That's your parlay for today. Five percentergs for me and

1280
01:03:55,199 --> 01:03:58,840
Tokyo Brandon. Great special up on the wager Talk page

1281
01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,280
for the three of us, Happy birth in July.

1282
01:04:01,320 --> 01:04:03,599
Speaker 2: Will see you guys back here nine a m. Tomorrow