Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast DIM your
host Corey Evans, thanks for listening to this week's episode.
It is titled Rookie Price Check. I have five rookies
that I want to touch base on value wise. How
are they producing week over week through seven games played
let alone? What is their long term outlook in Dynasty?
What would I pay right now a twenty five draft
capital compared to what their cost was in twenty twenty
four rookiy drafts only a short few months ago. Before
I get to that, I wanted to announce that I
will be releasing my mid season by position rankings over
on Patreon. So it's quarterback, running back, wide receiver, then
tight end top fifty each position over the next four
weeks over on Patreon in the form of bonus episodes.
Those are in form so you can reference the attached
Google sheet to print out or look at your phone, tablet, computer,
et cetera, as well as audio spoken form. It's only
five dollars per month at the minimum to become a member.
It is very easy to do so with links in
all my social media bios or just simply clipping the
joint Patreon link in my Apple or Spotify show notes,
and there is an announcement I have coming on Patreon soon.
I'm going to be adjusting my tears due to Patreon
changing its policy on billing, So keep an eye out
for that announcement here soon. More to come on that
over the next few weeks. Let's get right to business up. First,
I want to check on the price of Troy Franklin
and al. He's fair with Denver, coming off a five
catch fifty yard performance ten yards per reception via six
targets against New Orleans, a fifty percent snap share. He
led the Broncos pass catchers and receptions, yards, receiving and
targets in the contest. It was a nice follow up
performance after his Week six showing versus Chargers, where Troy
Franklin scored his first NFL touchdown thanks to a two
to thirty one and one receiving effort. Season twelve grabs
a buck ten one touchdown, nine point two yards per catch,
twenty one targets. Let's all remember that he was a
fourth round pick one or two overall from Oregon, a
very polarizing and highly debated prospect based on how he
fared the college level he had an outstanding college resume,
objectively with a one to sixty to twenty forty three
twenty five receiving line across three years with Oregon. He's
twenty two in February young six to three a buck eighty.
Usually the pro case for Troy Franklin knows in favor
of him or supporting his talent was that he was fast.
A four point four point forty yard dash is quick,
but not elite top tier speed.
Speaker 2: It might not matter because he.
Speaker 1: Has opportunity in Denver and is already on a path
to surpassing his rookie ADP, which stood to the fourth
or fifth round. This past offseason, Bronco's head coach Sean
Payton has been vocal about featuring Denver's young talent on
offense as of lates, and Franklin appears to be front
and center of that movement or narrative. His snap shares
per week have checked in at zero, twenty, twenty five,
thirty one, one, seventeen, sixty five, and fifty one percent.
The past two weeks have been a very positive trend
for Troy's value here on out in terms of what
it would cost or what I be willing to spend
on Troy Franklin. I think a twenty twenty five third
is fair across the board. We have not seen enough
to justify a second, surely not a first, but a
fourth and a fifth would be a little bit too
inexpensive based on the scrutinized yet appealing in college resume
the athletic profile. But again, sometimes all it takes is opportunity,
no matter if you're a day one, Day two, or
Day three pick. And right now, bo Nix is looking
Troy Franklin's way early and often, or at least over
the past two weeks to sample size, and Courland Sudden
has not been phased out, but there's been a lot
of inconsistency with his usage. It has been the Troy
Franklin Show over the past two weeks, and I'm very
curious to see if that is a sign up things
to come or perhaps an outlier in usage. Up next
is Ray Davis, who had a five to forty one
one touchdown performance verse Tennessee eight point one yards per
carry and one catch for six yards. It was only
twenty four percent snap rates the week against the Jets.
That was when James Cook was sidelined with his foot
or toe injury. That was Ray's breakout party after erupting
for twenty totes on the ground ninety seven yards rushing
four point nine yards per clip, and then three grabs
fifty five yards fifty eight percent of snaps. That version
of Ray Davis was exciting for those who have n't
rostered as a handcuff or standalone value piece alongside James Cook.
And if you have James Cook roster, I think trading
for Ray Davis is paramount. It's very important to do
so because he literally fits the scheme of Joe Brady
to a tee like James Cook and the skill set
being versatiles both the rusher and receiver. On the year,
Ray Davis checks in with fifty one two thirteen two
rushing log that's four point two yards per carry and
then nine grabs or seventy nine yards on nine targets.
Speaker 2: We reflect back on the draft capitol.
Speaker 1: Ray Davis was a fourth round selection one twenty eight
overall Kentucky with an illustrious college resume a work course
at the collegiate level which we know was transferable to
the pro level based on his usage against Jets again,
twenty ninety seven on the ground and three fifty five
as a receiver. That is not going to be the
case when James Cook is healthy, at least not in
the short term. Ray Davis is twenty five this November.
He is older for running back prospects or the shelf
life might be a contract or two of the pro
level of relevancy, but hey, at five A two twenty,
he can get the job done between the tackles with
brute force and physicality as we've seen initiating and then
excelling after contact, and even the agility, elusiveness and just
overall contact balance to jump it out wide and still
hit the edge with speed or enough speed to be
difficult to bring down. The snapbreaks per week for Ray
Davis are ten thirty one, nineteen seventeen, three fifty eight
and twenty four percent. So clearly, when James Cook is
healthy and active, Ray Davis is not going to see
more than based on a sample size thirty forty percent
of snaps. But if Cook his sideline, then Davis seems
to be one A to TDD Johnson one B for Buffalo. Therefore,
Davis is not going to unseat James Cook in the
foreseeable future, but he could become a thorn in his
side and for us in fantasy where the standalone value
versus backup or handcuff goggle lenses is cloudy. It's foggy.
Similar to Brailen Allen to Breese Hall. Breese Hall is
the elite talent for the Jets, but there's weeks where
Braileen Allen has usage or touches via volume, where he's
startable as a flex or standalone value piece. And I
think it's where we are at with Ray Davis, meaning
if you have James Cook roster, I'd say a twenty
twenty five second is fair value of fair games. He's
locked down the bills backfield. Otherwise a twenty twenty five
third seems most fair across the board or parallel with
Ray Davis's independent value of James Cook, because you can't
bank on the usage increasing unless Cook misses time, and
it's never a situation you want to invest in. From
running back perspective. Up next is Ricky Pearsall he had
three catches, twenty one yards, five targets versus the Chiefs
and his NFL debut. You have to be in sideline
from heast one to six while recovering from a gunshot
wound in late August. Nonetheless, a seventy six percent snap
right out of the gate is very encouraging for his
rest of season value and outlook.
Speaker 2: Pearsall was expected to.
Speaker 1: Be brought along slowly with the forty nine ers, even
their lack of depth with all the injury that could
change rapidly with Brandon Ayuk, the knee injury torn ACL
and MCL and now we have learned that Deebo Samuel
has been hospitalized with pneumonia. That is very concerning. Hopefully
Debo can be back sooner than later, but Ayuk, after
earning a massive payday, is out until at least early
to mid twenty twenty five. So Ricky Piersaw his number
is going to be called upon early and often. He
was a first round pick for good reason, thirty first
overall out of Florida. He turned twenty four in September.
He's sixty three, a buck ninety two with a standout
an FLTIC profile, four point four to one forty yard dash,
forty two inch vertical ten foot nine ins broad jump,
and a six point sixty four second three cone drew
from a tape perspective, I tout of Pearsaw as a
mixture of Chris Olave meets Emmanuel Sanders stylistically out of
Florida during his time in college. He's a fluid route runner,
excellent change of direction skills, can start and stop on
a dime. And as after the catch traits or instincts
timprovised a receiver really do catch your eye, and we
saw glimpses of it. Five targets, three catches, twenty one
yards again in his first taste of NFL action at
this point based on the Ayyuk Debo, Christian McCaffrey timelines, uncertainty,
and even George Kittle aging the depth at wide receiver
being thin for the forty nine ers with Juwan Jennings
Jacob Cowing not a whole lot with Ayu out of
the picture unless Debo can remain healthy. So Ricky Piersaw,
I think legitimately is worth a mid to lay first
in twenty twenty five, unless it's super flex that could
be split to the second or just quite simply in
early to mid second across all formats. Because if we
knew at this time of the offseason that I you
could be out and Pearsall would be back and a
starter in two three receiver sets. In twenty twenty four,
he would have been a first round lock and virtually
all scoring formats being tied to Brock Purty.
Speaker 2: And Kyle Shanahan. So his value is soaring.
Speaker 1: Sometimes again, like Troy Franklin, it's opportunity based and you
can't predict the future of injuries, personnel usage, production spikes
or declines. Ricky Pearsall is climbing rankings as we speak,
with the talent and situation to back it up in
his favor. It's going to be a bad time to
acquire him because the cost is at a premium. When
he was at least one to six, you could have
slid in for a third. Perhaps not the case anymore.
Time for quick breakway back with two more rookie price
check players to just evaluate and touch base on for
the rest of this season.
Speaker 2: Before I get to that.
Speaker 1: If you want a one to one roster call over
on Google Meet to break down your team. If you're
a playoff contender, iuse you make trades basically what I
would do in your shoes. Then hit me up at
Dinasy Do Pod on all social media platforms. Send me
an email Diynastydepod atgmail dot com. Get in my calendar.
It's thirty bucks thirty minutes or fifty.
Speaker 2: Dollars for one hour.
Speaker 1: Once again, that is for a one on one call,
a roster call it, break down your team top to bottom,
and really strategize to get you in a position to
exceed this year or in the future. Over on Google,
meet be right back after a short break. Bo Nix
was actually the first player that came to mind for
me with this episode theme or topic. Pre draft views
on him as a pro level one college prospect, We're
all over the map so far. I'm a season one thousand,
forty six yards passing, five touchdowns, five interceptions, sixty one
point two completion percentage eight five point six yards past
attempt and then the bread and butter of his game
leaks in Fantasy forty seven two for the five and
three touchdowns. As a rusher, he reminds me of Justin
Fields or Daniel Jones in that respect or element where
he's a certain work and development in progress. As a passer,
there's good accuracy based only trades out of Oregon. However,
pushing the ball to the intermediate and deep levels of
the field are flaws in his game. Nonetheless, Bonnicks and
three week eight a seventy four point four passer rating
twelfth overall pick this yard of Oregon, who was a
Sean Payton favorite hand picked. He's twenty five. In February,
He's six two two seventeen. Denver is surprisingly four and
three entering this week thanks to an elite defense and
bo solid play as a rookie quarterback who has managed
to improve over time and make better decisions. He started
off incredibly viatile and erratic, but has since gained more
confidence and poise week over week. His yards passing per
week are one thirty eight, two forty six, two sixteen,
sixty two oh six, two sixteen, and one to sixty four,
so as non past the two hundred and forty six
yard passing mark. Therefore not much of a ceiling and
a clear work in progress that I alluded to, but
that is also in part due to Denver relying on
its defense to win football games and also attempt to
dominate time possession with long drives running the football things
of that nature. Four games, bo Nicks has had zero
passing touchdowns. That makes him hard to trust and fantasy.
One game with one passing touchdown and two games with
two passing touchdowns, It's all over the place. At least
four rushes per game with the season high ten. That's
where I'm intrigued about bo Nicks. His yards rushing per
week have been thirty five, twenty five, forty seven, three, nine,
sixty one, and seventy five. If the baseline is twenty
five plus yards rushing with three to nine those weeks
being thrown out as low data points, there's a lot
to be excited about, and the ceiling could easily push
sixty seventy five plus yards rushing if that is how
Payton allows Knicks to operate and function.
Speaker 2: All in all, bo Nix's rushing out.
Speaker 1: Put keeps him in the quarterback two mixed for me
in super flex or two quarterback leagues. I'm not sure
a quarterback one value exists based on his limitations or
development as a passer unless Denver adds a lot of
legitimate talent over the years via supporting cast at wide
out or tight end. There's just not enough infrastructure and
top tier commodities for Knicks to really have an elevated
game think brock Purdy, he was mister Irrelevant. But because
of the system the scheme at Kyle Shanahan, he's been
able to play at MVP Caldle level at times thanks
to his supporting cast of outlet options to throw a
ball to you.
Speaker 2: That's not the same for Boenix.
Speaker 1: Bonix is doing a lot of improvising and decision making
to showcase his versatile skill set. Any quarterback that has
the tools of Bonix is very intriguing from a fantasy lens,
because any passing output is expected, but the rushing production
is what is weak or league winning. So let's talk
cost a first in super flex that is undeniable at
this point. I'd say in a one quarterback league, a
third or a fourth probably gets it done. There is
a lot of untapped potential though in Bonix concern is
he's not pushing the ball downfield again five point six
yards press attempt. A lot of his value is derived
from being a rusher. If the rushing output goes away
or is not as consistent, then Nicks is going to
be hard to trust. He is incredibly difficult to assess,
but I do think in super flex or two quarterback
leagues you either have him or you're looking for a
quarterback two with youth on his side, which is why
I think a first for better or worse is spot
on the value. And then, finally, Ben Sinnett one of
my pre and post draft favorites based on his pure
skill set and draft capital. He actually recorded his first
NFL set of stats during Week seven versus Carolina. Two grabs,
six yards and a touchdown, two targets on forty five
percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: He's been basically on the field.
Speaker 1: But blocking, not target as a receiver over weeks one,
two seven. Therefore snap shares per week of twenty two
eighteen forty four, forty two, thirty six, nineteen and forty
five percent. He was a second round selection fifty three
over ad to Kansas State. Impressive college output in terms
of box score totals for a tight end collectively eighty two,
eleven thirty eight and ten touchdowns in three seasons.
Speaker 2: He's twenty two.
Speaker 1: He's sixty four two forty seven with an outstanding athletic
profile four point six to eight forty forty inch vertical,
ten foot six inch broad and a six point eight
two second three condril. Those numbers are now familiar because
they're not far off for Mickey Piersall as a wide receiver.
This is Ben Sinnett, a tight end at six four
to two forty seven who rivals the athleticism of Ricky Piersall.
Speaker 2: It's unbelievable.
Speaker 1: It's a matter of Senate usurping zach Ertz, who has
been functioning as Washington's primary tight end twenty five two
ct eight and a touchdown ten point seven yards per catch,
thirty four targets. That's the issue, that's the obstacle for
Ben Sinnett. Ertz himself turns thirty four in November. He
is under contract until twenty twenty five, so a free agent.
During the offseason. Those who took Ben Sinnet rookie drafts
spent most likely a second or third in a tighter
premium league, or perhaps a third or later and a
one tight end league. However, you were not, at least
I was not when I drafted him, banking out immediate
production because we've learned our lesson with tight ends, it's
a slow burn of the position, takes time to be
incorporated and adjust. Based on the early season returns of
rookie quarterback sensation jayde and Daniels. We should all be
thrilled and excited about Sinate's long term upside in Washington's
aerial attack. They have been playing amazing football and are
suddenly one of the better looking teams just sending offensively,
in particular in the NFC. In terms of what I
would pay now for Ben Senate, I think there's still
some Bilo appeal, so a second should be able to
get it done. A title premium and again a third
or fourth and a one title league is not outrageous.
You have to beat a position though, where you have
either draft capital to expose or burn, or you're middle
of the pack, possibly resetting you for twenty twenty five,
or you don't need the immediate production, so you send
off in Ertz and a third or another veterans tight
end and a pick for the youth, and theoretical upside
of Senate being tied to Daniels for the big picture
that will do what you all enjoyed my rookie price
check entering week eight.
Speaker 2: Thanks again for listening.
Speaker 1: If you found this episode informative, fun or entertaining, please
take a few moments leave a five star review on
Apple or Spotify. Has literally clicked those five stars me
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on Apple, I'll give you a shout out on next
week program. Until next time, this is the Dynasty checking out.
Good luck to you all, Me Kate talk to you soon.
Speaker 2: See yo,