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Speaker 1: We saw an exciting Week one of college football.

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Speaker 2: Bat on It crew, Kelly and Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Here back for week two, we got those top twenty

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five games, some barking dogs. Of course, we're gonna see

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if that Deli's open with Marco D'Angelo, we're gonna get

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ran over by that steam engine with VR and.

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Speaker 2: All of that gold.

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Speaker 1: Finally, some best bets helpe you guys win some of

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that extra coin.

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Speaker 2: This is bad on it.

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Speaker 1: Welcome in Kelly Stewart here. You guys know me as

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Kelly in Vegas. We got VR there in the middle,

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Yann and the Greek and Marco di'angelo to my right

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at Marco and Vegas. If you guys are not following

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him on Twitter, quite the creative name. Yes, I waited

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in a whole three weeks Marco before I brought that up.

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Once again, let's get into the it's out twenty five games.

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I'm going to you first one game that I really like.

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We've got the Iowa Hawkeyes headed to Ames to take

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on the two and zero, also number twenty two team

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in the country Iowa State total forty one and a half.

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Speaker 3: Well, Kelly, right now, the stock can't be any higher.

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In Iowa State. You know, they went to Ireland for

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that Big twelve showdown with your Kansas State Wildcats. They

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beat Kansas State in a dogfight. Return home what could

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have been a flat spot considering all of the travel

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that they had to endure the week before, they took

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care of business against South Dakota fifty five to seven.

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Now they face in state rival Iowa at home. And

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here's the problem for me. They're only minus three. I'm

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gonna be honest with you, this almost was my trap

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game for this week. I could have very easily slid

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this play in. There. You've got a ranked team versus

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an unranked team playing at home. They're a favorite, and

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they're under a touchdow down favorite. That's always a red

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flag for me to look deeper into that game. Then

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you look at this is a rivalry game between these

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two teams, and it's got a low total. That means

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points are going to be at a premium. And if

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you've watched these games in the past, that's exactly what

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it's been. They've been absolute dog fights. Now you consider

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Iowa State already playing their third game three weeks into

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the season, because they played in that week zero as

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we said in Ireland, you had all of the travel.

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You have another physical game with Iowa here. I just think,

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come fourth quarter, this is going to be a spot

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where concerns for Iowa state and fatigue issues because it

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is going to be a physical game. And then Kelly,

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my last golden rule, give me the better defense getting points.

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I'm there, give me Iowa in this one. I'm calling

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for the outright upset. We've got Iowa plus the three.

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Speaker 1: With you, Marco, Iowa six to oh their last six

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games there in Ames.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to the SEC with my TV game here.

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That's right.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna back a team that we bet against last

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week Saturday, three thirty pm Eastern, Number twenty one Old

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Miss is a ten point favorite at Kentucky fifty and

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a half. I mentioned I bet against Kentucky last week,

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kind of look ahead spot if you will, and I

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took the worst of.

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Speaker 2: The number of VR would have been very disappointed in me.

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That's a right.

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Speaker 1: I took the eight with Toledo went back up to

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ten and a half, and of course that ultimately ended

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up being a push for me. The reality was Kentucky

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got out gained in that game. If you kind of

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want to break it down a little bit further. The

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final score was a little misleading. Now that being said,

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there's not a seventh year transfer quarterback to playing against

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this week in the ReBs. I understand a lot of

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people love Lane Kiffen and this Old Miss team, ready

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to put them back in the college football playoff once again.

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The lots of hypes arounding this defense, Well, they played

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Georgia State.

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Speaker 2: I like Mark Stoops.

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Speaker 1: A lot, have always since his days at Kansas State.

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And what he's gonna do defensively is try to slow

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down this pace, and I think that he is going

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to be successful in doing so. Ten points is too

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many here in this one for a Wildcats team. That

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wouldn't shock me if they had a defensive score. I

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know a lot of people are gonna like the over.

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That does bode well for that as well. I like

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the Kentucky Wildcats. We're gonna see if they end up

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making my three team money line parlay VR Saturday night,

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seven thirty pm Easter Number fourteen Michigan is a five

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point dog. Number eighteen. Oklahoma total sitting here at forty six.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and at one point Oklahoma got as high as

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a six point favorite, got a little Michigan money, and

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I think you'll get more Michigan money as we head

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into the weekend. Bottom Line, I have Michigan as a

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top ten power rated team, so being ranked fifteenth, that

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tells me they're a little bit under bound. The problem, though,

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is Oklahoma's even more undervalued. They're currently ranked eighteenth in

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the poll and they're top fifteen, a little bit behind Michigan.

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But you add in the home field advantage and the

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way this game sets up, and I really think Oklahoma

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should be a touchdown favorite here. And more importantly, I

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think they offer value on the money line anything minus

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two hundred or less, where they just got to win

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the game two out of three times. I think they're

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able to do that at home. All the talk is about,

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you know, Michigan head coach going back to Oklahoma his

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alma mater, and you know, all the hype behind Michigan's

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Bryce Underwood at quarterback. Bottom line, if you look into

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that first game they played last week, and you don't

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want to put too much stock in that first game,

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but they needed three turnovers, three interceptions by the New

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Mexico quarterback. New Mexico actually had one more first down

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then Michigan. New Mexico actually won the time of possession

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battle by more than five minutes. I think they're gonna

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have a lot of problem with this Oklahoma team, who

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just came into the season under Vounde because of the

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disappointment last year. But they have a study quarterback who

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transferred from Washington State. He looked phenomenal in his first game.

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Obviously it was against weak competition, but I liked what

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I saw out of him. And as tough as Michigan

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is in the trenches, you know, that's where their bread

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and butter is. I think they're gonna have a lot

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of problems against this Texas defense. I mean Oklahoma defense,

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Texas defense, Oklahoma d they're elite, man. They really aren't

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what they've been able to do there in the last

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two seasons. I just think they're gonna improve off of

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so anything less than a touchdown, I think Oklahoma is

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the right side. And like I said, I like Oklahoma

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on the money line even more. I think they get

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to win at home, force some turnovers, get the w

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give me Oklahoma minus the five for the pick.

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Speaker 1: All right, guys, help you have your odds Logic screens

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open because you're gonna need them.

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Speaker 2: Here for the.

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Speaker 1: Steam report with Vroddslogic dot Com backslash ace Ace get

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you guys a one week free trial from our guy

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with the locomotive VR. Let's bring in all of that

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steam for college football Week two.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and not as heavy as last week, which is expected.

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Those lines were up for months and pretty much every

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game got dissected.

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Speaker 3: So far.

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Speaker 4: We do have some moves, but I think the majority

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are gonna come later in the week, and I think

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even a lot on game day as you get a

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lot of that recreational money moving a lot of these lines.

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Let's start off with one Friday total James Madison, Louis.

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They'll go over fifty seven, go over fifty eight. Then

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Saturday three three three Bailer plus the four all the

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way down the plus three. That's why it's off that

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key number right now, three thirty five Illinois on the

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money line. On the money line, up the good to

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minus one fifty three forty six laying the chalk with

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Navy nineteen and a half and twenty three seventy six

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Charlotte plus sixteen. I think they now have gone under

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that four plus fourteen number as well. So multiple groups

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hit that Charlotte sign three fifty six, Cincinnati minus eighteen,

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Good minus one excuse me, good to minus twenty three

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eighty one two Lane minus ten, three seventy one Sam Houston.

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I gave them out to subscribers. I think four percent

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play at plus ten. They hit him again at plus nine,

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they hit him again at plus eight. I don't I'm

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thinking you'll have trouble getting plus seven right now. But

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Sam Houston a lot of steam against ha why three

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sixty two, Colorado minus twenty three and a half, four

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oh five, Ucla minus one and a half and minus

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two three point fifty, Oregon State minus two and two

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and a half, three ninety eight Mississippi State plus the

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touchdown public on Mississippi State as well, and finally fort

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eleven San Diego State plus the three. That's what we

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got in college football so far. Whether you follow a faith,

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hope casham, don't trash them do some damage with the information.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I love to hear a couple of those things

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going my way.

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Speaker 1: Another game that's going my way because we're headed towards

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the barking dogs.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if this is good or bad news

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for you, Marco.

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Speaker 1: I had think ended up three six and one last

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week when it was all said and done, thank you

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for LSU and br thank you for FSU because I

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had to live bett it to try to save some face.

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That being said, we're looking for underdogs that have a

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chance to win outright, and Marco is up first.

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Speaker 2: With a dog.

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Speaker 1: I went to put it in the script and it

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was already there, and I said, Derek Marco, I too

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liked the Yukon Huskies this week.

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Speaker 3: Well, Kelly, the knee jerk reaction here is to grab

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Syracuse at home to bounce back as they're stepping way

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down in class coming off losing to Tennessee last week

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on the road actually was a neutral site they played

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in Atlanta. But this is that was a big game

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for Syracuse to play you an SEC school in week one.

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For them to come off that game and come back

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home and to think automatically they're going to bounce back,

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I'm not buying at And I'm going to quote our

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old friend Dave Cochin who used to say, you know,

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a team can lose a game twice, and I think

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that's what we're looking at here with Syracuse. They went

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into that game last week, they gave up nearly five

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hundred yards to Tennessee offensively, Syracuse decided to go for

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whatever reason, with an up tempo offense. They ran eighty

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four offensive plays against Tennessee last week, they only had

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three hundred and seventy seven yards. That's four point four

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yards per play. That's not good. Now, granted it's going

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against an SEC school this week. They're stepping way down

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in class Connecticut. They're coming off a blowout win last week.

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But what did that really prove because they played a

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little sister of the poor Central Connecticut state. But you

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know what, we don't know how good or bad they are.

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I'm not sold on Syracuse. I'm not sold on them

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laying the number. And speaking of that number, here's one

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where we saw early movement in this game. This line

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opened up over a touchdown and it was immediately bet

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down to six and a half. They went through that

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key number of seven pretty quickly. And you don't have

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recreational players betting early in the week. So that also

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confirms that I did the sharp guys like the side

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that you and I are on, Kelly, I'm gonna say

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to take Connecticut. I think they can pull an upset here.

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They're plus six and a half right now. Usually I

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tell you get down on a game right now, because

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the line's gonna move. In this case, I'm gonna tell

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you to hang on because if we lose the half

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a point on the six and a half and it

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goes to six, we really didn't lose that much. But

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if we gain the half a point and it goes

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back to seven, we gain a ton. And I think

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when the record, when the recreation players get involved on

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Saturday morning, they're not betting Connecticut, they're betting Syracuse. So

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we can find some sevens. I think on Saturday, take Connecticut.

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I like them at six six and a half, like

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them even better at seven.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a pretty good chance they're gonna be in

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my three team underdog money line parlay VR. You're gonna

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dig in a little deep here with the smaller dog.

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Why do you like New Mexico State plus three.

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Speaker 4: And a half Because if you watch the Odds logic screen,

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you have seen this one get dummied off through that

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key number of three. It happened on Sunday night, day

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after Saturday. College football limits extremely low on those openers,

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and it's the offshore books first to go to market,

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ones like bet online that opened it around two too

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and a half and saw some money come in on Tulsa.

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Because Tulsa, you know, getting it don looking good against

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Abilene Christian, big deal. They're gonna have a lot of

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problems against this New Mexico State defense. I like what

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I saw out of New Mexico State. Again, you can't

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put too much stock in one game, but that's exactly

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their strength was the defensive side of the ball, and

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they were able to shut down Bryant only to three points.

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I get it, it's Bryant, but it's that defense that

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you rely on for New Mexico State, and I think

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that's what's going to have the problem for Tulsa because

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they're an offensive juggernaut. I mean, that's what Tulsa wants

255
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to do, put up points, and I just don't think

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they're going to be able to do that against New

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Mexico State. You're even looking at a low total. If

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you look at the first game four Tolsa, that total

259
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was like fifty nine. Look at last season, so many

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of those totals up in the sixties. I think the

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market's letting you know they're not going to have an

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easy gull of it on the offensive side of the ball.

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And give me New Mexico State. I think they'll be

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able to do a little better running the football, that's

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the offense. If they could just take a little step

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forward on the offensive side of the ball, be able

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to rush, eat up some clock. Their defense is going

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to keep them in the game, and I think they'll

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be able to win on the money line at home.

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I won't go as far as saying wrong teams favored

271
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like with Cal, but I don't think they should have

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been up over that field goal range. I took the

273
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plus four. I think it's worth the money line sprinkle

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as well. Giving New Mexico State as my dog for

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this week.

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Speaker 2: There are just a little backup here.

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about what dumbing up means, just

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for those that don't know. Can you kind of explain

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how groups like to set up certain games, just so

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our audience maybe some newer viewers understand.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's not even really I mean, we call

282
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it dummying up because in some markets that's exactly what

283
00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:44,759
you're doing when you're able to manipulate a line, Why

284
00:14:44,759 --> 00:14:47,399
would it you? So I have an account that's a

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skin of Pinnacle. Okay, they the only stuff I put

286
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:54,080
in there is sharp stuff, so they already have that

287
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label as a sharp account. My limit is only five

288
00:14:57,639 --> 00:15:00,480
hundred dollars. But the group I work with knows that

289
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I could bet into that account. They're going to see it.

290
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:08,200
Assume it's a you know, steam move. They're going to adjust,

291
00:15:08,399 --> 00:15:11,039
and everyone's going to follow the screen because if Pinnacle

292
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moves that a half a point, everyone else is pretty

293
00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:14,759
much going to move at a half a point in

294
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most markets. And what I do a lot with their

295
00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:21,679
is MMA. So I could move a money line on

296
00:15:21,799 --> 00:15:24,840
Fighter A from minus one fifty up to minus one

297
00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:28,879
sixty minus one seventy with with maybe two limit bets,

298
00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:34,200
and then as the limits get bigger, my real bet

299
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,399
was on Fighter B or Team B. Now I come

300
00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:39,960
in on the other side with a two x three

301
00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:43,559
x four x five x size of my bet as earlier,

302
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and I have an even better number than before. But

303
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here's the best part about it. Because if you have

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the power to minute late markets, you know, why.

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Speaker 3: Would it you?

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Speaker 4: It's harder to do in these bigger ones. College football NFL.

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But worst case scenario for these groups is they're going

308
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to have a better ticket in their pocket than what

309
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the line closes at. So even their initial bet, though

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it wasn't a move they wanted to take a position on,

311
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it puts them.

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Speaker 3: On a good bet.

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Speaker 4: They're laying the two two and a half on Tulsa,

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they're not laying the field goal. So now even though

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the big money's on New Mexico State at plus four,

316
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that game lands three, which you know is three key number.

317
00:16:26,559 --> 00:16:30,440
They hit both bets. But worst case scenario is, you know,

318
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,159
they have more on the New Mexico State side at

319
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:36,039
a better number than if they beted early at plus

320
00:16:36,039 --> 00:16:38,320
two and a half or even at plus three. Now

321
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:41,919
we were able to get plus four, which matters. You know,

322
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every point matter is, let alone, every half point matters.

323
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So when I see that, I pay very close attention

324
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:51,360
because it lets me know they already liked the New

325
00:16:51,399 --> 00:16:55,360
Mexico State side and wanted to take a bigger position,

326
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so wanted to get a little better number. Give me

327
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,600
this New Mexico's eighteen to get it done for us

328
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this week, all.

329
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Speaker 1: Right, And for my marking dog, this says what I

330
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do during the summer, I start looking at some of

331
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the scheduling spots. I start looking at some of the

332
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teams that I want to start backing as underdogs, and

333
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I've had the University of Kansas circle since probably mid

334
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July for the spot. This is a game that hasn't

335
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been played since twenty twenty one.

336
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Speaker 2: They call it the Border War.

337
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Speaker 1: I feel like there is so much hate between Kansas

338
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and Missouri growing up in Kansas.

339
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Speaker 2: At the rest of the world just doesn't know.

340
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,680
Speaker 1: Go dig yourself read about the history lesson Bleeding Kansas

341
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,680
and it explains so much. I think it's a fun

342
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,759
little history lesson. That being said, I was setting down

343
00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:45,440
on the Jayhawks to start the season in terms of

344
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Fresno State. Maybe I wasn't down on the Jayhawks, but

345
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,039
I was higher on Kurt Warner's kid.

346
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Speaker 2: My bad.

347
00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:57,880
Speaker 1: The reality was Kansas with a healthy Jalen Daniels is

348
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a much better team, and I think we knew that

349
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,319
he's been hurt over the last two seasons. Last week

350
00:18:03,519 --> 00:18:07,799
they got to play a well Wagner team. Didn't think

351
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:10,119
that they would show too much, but they did have

352
00:18:10,759 --> 00:18:13,880
two Two times they turned the ball over in the

353
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,279
red zone, that was nice to see them get them

354
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out of the system. Before going to Miszoo, you guys

355
00:18:19,799 --> 00:18:23,119
saw Sam Horn got hurt against Central Arkansas and they

356
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,839
brought in a Penn State transfer who proceeded to light

357
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,680
the board up. I did miss the seven and a

358
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,039
half here, which was not available for very long. But

359
00:18:32,079 --> 00:18:34,880
the reality is I expect Kau to be able to

360
00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:36,799
air the ball out. I expect Miszoo to be able

361
00:18:36,799 --> 00:18:40,240
to air the ball out in the Frankly, whoever has

362
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:41,359
the ball last is.

363
00:18:41,319 --> 00:18:44,119
Speaker 2: Probably going to win this game. But give me the

364
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:44,920
six points here.

365
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,039
Speaker 1: With the Kansas Jayhawks, I think they are much improved again,

366
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:52,160
much healthier than they were last year, and positive regression

367
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:55,319
is coming for this team. I think KU got to start,

368
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,240
got to rescues me most of their starters after you know,

369
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:02,720
forty six seven lit up the scoreboard, so they are

370
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:06,759
ready for this Missou team. I like Kansas plus the points.

371
00:19:06,839 --> 00:19:09,599
I like Kansas to sprinkle a little bit there on

372
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:14,880
that money line. If you guys are looking for a

373
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copy of the gold Cheat WT Dot buzz Backslash GTS,

374
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375
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376
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377
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Speaker 2: It's about ten bucks a week.

378
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Speaker 1: You're gonna get analysis on every NFL and of course

379
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,720
every FBS level college football game from the country's longest

380
00:19:38,799 --> 00:19:42,119
running sports betting newsletter right now through the Super Bowl

381
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,559
for about ten bucks a week. One ninety nine there

382
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on WT dot Buzz backslash GTS Marco DiAngelo with your

383
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:53,960
specially segment here it is week two.

384
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:56,440
Speaker 2: Is the deli back open?

385
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:00,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, the deli is open, Kelly. We've got a sandwich

386
00:20:00,519 --> 00:20:04,200
game for you this week, and it's a sandwich out

387
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,680
of my hometown. We're heading to Pittsburgh this week, and

388
00:20:07,799 --> 00:20:12,119
on paper, pitt looks like they should blow out Central Michigan.

389
00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,640
After all, pits a Power five conference playing a MAC school.

390
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:20,440
But Pitt's coming off a sixty one to nine blowout

391
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:24,000
over Duquine. For those of you that don't know who

392
00:20:24,279 --> 00:20:28,440
Duquine is, they're a smaller school in Pittsburgh. So even

393
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:32,039
though it was a blowout, the pitt players had a

394
00:20:32,079 --> 00:20:35,759
good They felt pretty good about it, beating up on

395
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:40,559
their little brother across town in Pittsburgh. They enjoyed that

396
00:20:40,759 --> 00:20:43,279
baby a little bit too much. Now they've got the

397
00:20:43,319 --> 00:20:46,640
Mac School coming in, but it's who's coming in next

398
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:52,000
week that's got my attention. Pitt plays West Virginia, and

399
00:20:52,319 --> 00:20:55,440
if you know the history, these two were rivals. They

400
00:20:55,519 --> 00:20:57,319
used to play every year. It was known as the

401
00:20:57,359 --> 00:21:01,880
backyard Brawl. Because of different conference and affiliations, they hadn't

402
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:06,079
been playing this series anymore, but they renewed it. They

403
00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:09,319
played last year and it was a barn burner. Pitt

404
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,640
came from behind to win thirty eight to thirty four.

405
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,720
So definitely they are looking ahead to next week's game

406
00:21:16,559 --> 00:21:19,640
Central Michigan. They played a game last week and I

407
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,319
got to give them credit. You got a Max Schull

408
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:26,200
went west. Granted they played San Jose State, not a powerhouse,

409
00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:28,680
but for the first week of the season to go

410
00:21:28,759 --> 00:21:32,400
cross country play on the West coast pull an upset

411
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,839
as a fourteen point underdog. I will note they were

412
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,640
aided by three turnovers by San Jose State, but still

413
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:43,279
they got the win. I think this team can stay

414
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,880
with Pitt, especially if Pitt is looking ahead. And even

415
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:50,200
if Pitt does come focus, how much of the playbook

416
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,119
do they want to show this week against Central Michigan

417
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,319
with West Virginia on deck, I think they'll run a

418
00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:00,640
pretty vanilla offense most of the game just to pound

419
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,559
out a win. Pitt will get the win. I don't

420
00:22:03,599 --> 00:22:06,559
see them covering this huge number of twenty three points.

421
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:10,319
I'm gonna go ahead and take Central Michigan to keep

422
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:14,480
this one close enough to cover that huge number Pit wins.

423
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,960
But Central Michigan covers the spread, all right.

424
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 2: I hope you guys are hungry.

425
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,799
Speaker 1: That is a big sandwich spot there from Marco DiAngelo,

426
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,279
and that is the end of our specially segment, So

427
00:22:25,319 --> 00:22:29,119
that means it is time for best bets VR.

428
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:30,079
Speaker 2: You are up first.

429
00:22:30,079 --> 00:22:32,279
Speaker 1: Please let everybody know what you've got going on over

430
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,400
at wager talk dot com before you tell me why

431
00:22:36,319 --> 00:22:40,359
I need to not be taking Western Kentucky here. I

432
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:44,240
had them circled on my long list, possibly for my parlay,

433
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,240
and you may have just gotten me to cross them

434
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:48,960
off my list.

435
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,759
Speaker 4: Don't do it. Don't do it first, head on over

436
00:22:51,799 --> 00:22:54,640
to wage talk dot com. I have my Saturday Conege

437
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,839
football package off, my Sunday NFL package up. The numbers

438
00:22:57,839 --> 00:23:00,240
speak for themselves, I said, coming into the sea, and

439
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,000
I'm more prepared for this NFL in college football season

440
00:23:03,039 --> 00:23:05,559
than I've been in a number of years. Based on

441
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:08,039
the groups that I'm working with. You're seeing the stuff

442
00:23:08,079 --> 00:23:11,720
that's going into the subscription. If you're a subscriber, you're

443
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,519
getting everything, all the college football. I'm not afraid to

444
00:23:14,559 --> 00:23:16,799
throw volume. We're getting extra games in there, We're getting

445
00:23:16,839 --> 00:23:19,920
first quarters in their first halfs. We are firing because

446
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,839
it's winning stuff. Also in the past, I'm going to

447
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:26,440
limit it be selected for you, and I'm choosing the strongest.

448
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,039
But still there'll be enough in there for Saturday and

449
00:23:30,079 --> 00:23:33,799
again NFL Sunday. We'll have this steam room leading up

450
00:23:33,839 --> 00:23:37,000
to kickoff of the first NFL games. So we'll have

451
00:23:37,039 --> 00:23:39,400
a two hour steamroom. We go over each and every

452
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:43,720
NFL game, sign total player prompts, answer all your questions,

453
00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:48,079
and fifteen minutes before kickoff, we will put together those

454
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,720
teasers that did a lot of damage for us last year.

455
00:23:51,839 --> 00:23:55,039
So jump on board, head on over towageertalk dot com,

456
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,079
and like I said, numbers tell the story. With that

457
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:02,880
said total lead dough, we should be laying so many

458
00:24:03,079 --> 00:24:05,720
point more points than this. They win this game call

459
00:24:05,799 --> 00:24:09,759
by two touchdowns. Phill Toppers pony is a three dollars bill.

460
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:16,839
They're offensively, they look phenomenal right, throwing the football, throwing

461
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,319
the football. The weakness for Toledo is against the run.

462
00:24:20,799 --> 00:24:22,720
You got to run on them to beat this team.

463
00:24:22,759 --> 00:24:24,839
That's where their weakness is. That's what they came into

464
00:24:24,839 --> 00:24:28,400
the season having the fix. That's where their problems are.

465
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,240
Against the past, they're just fine. This is a decent

466
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:35,720
defense in the secondary, more importantly, offensive side of the ball.

467
00:24:37,319 --> 00:24:39,920
Western Kentucky's gonna have a lot of problems they give

468
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:41,880
up the bit. You saw in their first two games.

469
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,519
They played absolutely nobody's but they were giving up some

470
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:50,319
big plays. Those teams can't sustain drives, they can't put

471
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,960
game plans together to beat a superior opponent. But you

472
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,640
just saw how vulnerable Western Kentucky was even against these

473
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,640
bad teams by giving up those kind of points. And

474
00:25:01,839 --> 00:25:07,720
you saw with Kentucky just how well Toledo played. Like

475
00:25:07,759 --> 00:25:10,200
I said, they limited them. Again, Kentucky wants to run

476
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,200
the football, but just how they limited that That quarterback

477
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:18,240
that eighty five yards passing like forty percent completion rate. Again,

478
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,279
Kentucky not an offensive juggernaut by any stretch, but still

479
00:25:22,519 --> 00:25:25,880
liked what I saw against the pass. Take Toledo, lay

480
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:30,680
the points. This offense will start to get margin once

481
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,799
the Hilltoppers are forced to just you know, throw the ball,

482
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,319
throw the ball, throw the ball against this defense won't

483
00:25:36,319 --> 00:25:39,319
have success. It turns into a two touchdown win. At

484
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,960
least give me Toledo at home, laying this small spot.

485
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:48,519
Speaker 1: All right, Marco DiAngelo, you're up next, and wow, wow,

486
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,759
wow wow. Before you get into your best bet, and

487
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,279
why you haven't given up on this team even though

488
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:56,920
I have, Please let everybody know what you have.

489
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:58,839
Speaker 2: Going on over at wagertalk dot com.

490
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,559
Speaker 3: All right, Kelly, Well, last week we told you about

491
00:26:01,759 --> 00:26:05,960
grabbing that seven day all access package. You know, we

492
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,640
don't go high volume. We're different. I try to be

493
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,119
more selective and it paid off last week for us.

494
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,559
It's my style, not saying either style is better than

495
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:17,119
the other. You have to do what you're comfortable with.

496
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,359
We had four plays last week in football, we won

497
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,519
all four of them. Good start to the season. Last

498
00:26:23,559 --> 00:26:27,799
year we were number two in college and pro money

499
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,400
one combined. So you've got last year's stats, you've got

500
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,640
a good start this year, so why not let's run

501
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:37,880
it back. Get seven days this week, they're running it sitewide.

502
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,880
You can get any cap or seven days for seventy

503
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,680
seven dollars, so you don't have to use a coupon

504
00:26:43,759 --> 00:26:46,519
code to get it. Just head over to my page

505
00:26:46,599 --> 00:26:49,799
get seven days for seventy seven dollars. That would include

506
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,440
any and all five percent plays, and you know the

507
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:56,920
five percent plays sell for thirty five dollars by themselves.

508
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,240
All right, let's get to the play the Kelly.

509
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 4: Wow, Wow Wow, And.

510
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,759
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go while not Kelly, you're giving up too

511
00:27:05,839 --> 00:27:09,519
soon here, and I am totally throwing out last week's

512
00:27:09,559 --> 00:27:12,960
game and we're talking about Kansas State. They were life

513
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:18,599
and death last week Kelly's Kansas State Wildcats thirty eight

514
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:24,039
thirty five against North Dakota. Are you kidding me? Twenty

515
00:27:24,079 --> 00:27:26,000
seven and a half point favorite, and they were life

516
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:29,079
and death. Well, what did we say earlier is Dave

517
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,000
Cochin always like to say you can you can lose

518
00:27:32,039 --> 00:27:35,559
the same game twice. That was a horrible spot for

519
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:39,599
Kansas State to return from Ireland after a hard fought

520
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:43,880
game which you know, could you know, have a deciding

521
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:47,400
factor for the Big twelve. Everybody you know built that

522
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,720
game up all summer to start the Big twelve season

523
00:27:50,839 --> 00:27:53,200
over in Ireland in a key game like that, and

524
00:27:53,279 --> 00:27:56,759
to come up short and then travel back off of that.

525
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,359
How was your flight back, Kelly off of that wasn't enjoyable?

526
00:28:01,759 --> 00:28:04,519
Then you play a team that you're a twenty seven

527
00:28:04,599 --> 00:28:06,680
and a half point favorite, you figure we just got

528
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,039
to show up and we're gonna win the game. Well,

529
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:13,799
it almost cost them. I love taking teams the week

530
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,160
after they had a major scare like that because it

531
00:28:17,319 --> 00:28:20,079
is an absolute wake up call. It's also a license

532
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,799
for the coaches to drill these team, these players in

533
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,759
practice and get their attention, and they're gonna be focused

534
00:28:26,759 --> 00:28:31,119
this week. They're playing an Army team. Now, on surface,

535
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,079
you look at Army and you remember Army, you know,

536
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,000
maybe from the last couple of years. This is not

537
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,920
that Army team. They had a lot of turnover from

538
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,920
last season. Last week they gave up thirty points to

539
00:28:44,039 --> 00:28:49,400
Tarlington State. Are you kidding me? What's Kansas State gonna do? Focused?

540
00:28:49,599 --> 00:28:52,599
They should put up forty forty five to fifty points

541
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,240
in this game. And how's Army gonna be able to

542
00:28:55,359 --> 00:29:01,119
score consistently against Kansas State? I know the Kansas State defense.

543
00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:05,440
There's concerns, but we're the concerns Kelly. You said it

544
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,920
early in the year. It's in the secondary. It's not

545
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,759
the run defense. What's Army do. That's all they do

546
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,519
is run. They'll throw a few passes, they might, you know,

547
00:29:13,559 --> 00:29:18,359
catch them by surprise on a broken play, but consistently,

548
00:29:18,519 --> 00:29:20,359
Army's not going to be able to move the ball

549
00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:22,799
through the air because that's not what they do. And

550
00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:24,920
they're gonna fall behind in this game, and they're gonna

551
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,000
fall behind early and have to force the issue. I

552
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:31,599
like Kansas State. This is a get right game for them.

553
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:35,480
It's blowout city. In my opinion, lay the seventeen. I

554
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,880
think we're getting a break on the number as well.

555
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,480
I have this should be more closer to twenty twenty

556
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,440
and a half, but because of last week's over reaction,

557
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:45,960
we're getting value.

558
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:50,559
Speaker 2: Overreaction is an understatement. Marco. I will be cheering for you,

559
00:29:50,759 --> 00:29:52,079
but I am very.

560
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,799
Speaker 1: Close to giving up on that team. It's better for

561
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:58,920
my mental well being. All right, guys, my best bet

562
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,000
and it looks like we're all going for best bets

563
00:30:01,039 --> 00:30:04,319
this week is a little chalky, but I do like

564
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:08,480
the Florida Gators minus seventeen Here and look, South Florida.

565
00:30:08,519 --> 00:30:11,240
We all saw it last Thursday night. What did they do?

566
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,720
They got the outright win versus Boise State. I of

567
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:17,279
course played them in the contest, not in real life,

568
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,079
and that was a frustrating one for me. But they

569
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,839
won a twenty seven point home win over Boise State

570
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,400
as a six and a half point underdog. Pretty pretty impressive.

571
00:30:28,319 --> 00:30:30,519
Brown went sixteen to twenty four two hundred and ten

572
00:30:30,599 --> 00:30:32,440
yards and then forty three yards on the ground.

573
00:30:32,759 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 2: Hey great, why not? You gotta love to see it.

574
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 1: They snuck in a backup quarterback for a fake punt

575
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:42,279
for a touchdown.

576
00:30:42,559 --> 00:30:46,079
Speaker 2: They won the turnover battle three nothing. Again, they looked great.

577
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: If you guys remember I took South Florida plus twenty

578
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,680
three and a half in twenty twenty two, I sat

579
00:30:50,759 --> 00:30:54,240
right there on the fifty yard line in Gainesville. Cheer

580
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,559
for USF who almost won the game outright. This is

581
00:30:57,599 --> 00:31:00,000
a much better Florida team than we saw in twenty two,

582
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:04,599
twenty two and Billy Napier's first season. Last week, Florida

583
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:06,839
got to beat the breaks off of Long Island in

584
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,759
FCS School fifty five to nothing as a forty seven

585
00:31:09,839 --> 00:31:12,799
point favorite. So that's what they got to do. They

586
00:31:12,839 --> 00:31:17,160
got to put in lots of backups who are very rested.

587
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,839
You got Dallas Wilson coming back this week, Caleb Banks.

588
00:31:21,279 --> 00:31:24,480
I think we're gonna see a much better Gators team

589
00:31:24,559 --> 00:31:27,279
than we even saw last week, with fresh legs to

590
00:31:27,319 --> 00:31:29,759
work with. I think seventeen is a bi low spot

591
00:31:29,799 --> 00:31:32,759
here in an overreaction to what we saw usf do

592
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:35,079
last week in prime time.

593
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 2: All right, guys, that is the show.

594
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,079
Speaker 1: I hope everybody enjoyed it, the new faster edition of

595
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:44,559
the college football show, so everybody has time to watch.

596
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,000
If you love it, tell us in the comments. If

597
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,559
you hate it, tell us in the comments. We're gonna

598
00:31:49,559 --> 00:31:52,559
get up that recap graphic for everybody that they all

599
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:56,119
love so much. And of course, if you guys are

600
00:31:56,119 --> 00:31:59,559
looking for the NFL edition of bet On, you guys

601
00:31:59,599 --> 00:32:01,880
can watch it right here. And if you guys are

602
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,599
missing Ralph Michaels TNA, don't worry.

603
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 2: We've got you guys covered