Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, always started this show by being transparent.
Yesterday ended up being another good day for myself. I'm
pulling it up here. I ended up going seventy three,
got there with the Texans. That was a top play winner.
Cougars Houston. Cougar's first half, that was a top play winner.
It might depend what number you got the late number.
I don't think cash, but I got in early at
twenty and a half. Took Princeton that was the winner.
Zubac overs rebounds, Paul George over rebounds. Both winners. Seventy
six Ers and Grizzlies were both winners. Losers were Memphis
and sack Over two thirty six to thirty five and
a half. Whatever it was. Hawks didn't work out like
I thought, and I had a hockey loser. I took.
The Canadians didn't go how I thought. So seventy three
overall hit sixteen of my last twenty bets. So heating
up here, Ravino. Good to be back here with you.
How's everything for you? And how you doing today?
Speaker 2: Doing good? Today's ski busy day. Obviously a lot going
on here all for sports overlapping. Yesterday one in two
NBA two in one college hoop was a three and
three split made a little bit of money because a
couple of the bigger plays were winners out of the
college basketball world. But NBA actually the one that I
won in the NBA SKI, I gotta admit I got
a little bit lucky because Philly and Tyrese Maxie forced
overtime and the overtime got the total there It was
one twelve I think at together of regulation, but where
Maxie played a heck of a game and sank a
couple of clutch free throws to get it too ot
bad with god? What was that bad with yesterday? I
have to even go back and look. Oh yeah, bad
with the Hawks. I thought the Hawks were the right side.
They were not. And in the Memphis Sacramento game, I
should actually kick myself. I had Sacramento's team total over
they didn't even get to one hundred. So was it
one in two NBA two in one college who didn't
play the football whatsoever? But I know we talked a
lot about the Texans, and boy, that defense was great
last night.
Speaker 1: Yep, they looked they looked damn good. Yesterday. I could
have played that one all the ways I thought under
Texans Bills team total, it didn't really matter what I
picked on. That one would have been a winner. So
let's see if we can do it again today. Have
a lot of NBA games out there, so we'll start
at the top. That looks like Pacers and Cavaliers opened
up minus thirteen. Looking at fourteen now, total has gone
from two thirty six and a half to to forty
for the Pacers, same usual suspects are out. Man, I'm
tired of mentioning for Cleveland. Jared Allen, Darius Garland, Tyson
all questionable. Merrill and Strew are out. Venom keep saying
this cass team they suck. They are so overrated, They're soft,
and they're just not good, especially when they don't have,
you know, Garland in there to help distribute. I don't
like anything that I've been seeing from the Cavaliers lately.
Now that said, there's not a whole lot to like
from the Pacers side either. But one thing you can
trust from the Pacers my opinion is you know they're back,
ready to play up tempo. They have their guards in
the lineup, and we know the style of play they
want to play. You can trust mather and to be
a bucket, to trust Pascal to get some buckets. So
pacing buckets from the Pacers side seems like, you know,
that's at least something I can trust there. And the
Cavaliers they have been playing up tempo. If Jared Allen
is not in obviously less rint protection, I would want
Garland in, like I said, to help with pace, to
help with you know, playmaking. And I don't like that
Merrill is out, but I would agree with the total
going up here. If I'm playing this one, it's up
and over for me. How do you see?
Speaker 2: If you know? Yeah, I think Kenny Atkinson, the coach
of the Cavs, agrees with you because he was not
real pleased with his team and kind of let loose.
He is not a coach that speaks often, but he
will and he was po'ed after they lost to Houston.
He said, because the Rockets won the rebounding battle by
twelve fifty one thirty nine twenty one second chance points
off of sixteen boards, Kenny Atkinson, we couldn't stand toe
to toe with them. We've got to rebound the ball better.
There's more to it here. Oh, We've got to focus
on it a little more so if Jared Allen was
in the game. Because Indiana's so small, I would think
that the Bigs could dominate inside for Cleveland if they
want to. I mean, the coach certainly wants them to.
Evan Mobley has help things at all, and he hasn't
helped from the foul line either. Ski I didn't realize
until reading this morning that they're twenty fifth and free
throw percentage and he's shooting the worst free throw percentage
since before high school. He said, I'm only sixty and
a half percent for Evan Mobley from the line. So
there's some things going wrong with Cleveland, certainly. I know
they have a little bit of revenge from last year's
playoff loss. Whether or not that comes into play tonight,
I'm not sure. I think in the end, I would
just agree with you that the number where the total
is concerned probably is reachable for both sides. Benedict Matherin,
for what it's worth, said Indiana can go on a
ten game win streak now, and you just called him
a bucket, but he called himself a bucket before you
told me was because there's a quote in here that
where he says, I don't want to sound cocky, but
I know I can score on anybody, and I need
to help my teammates. So Ben Matherick, ever since the
days at Arizona has been exactly that. I can see
a lot of points in this game. I saw the
mention in there, and I went through these cup standings earlier. Today.
Cleveland's in pretty good They're not in pretty good shape
because the Raptors are in real good shape in their group.
But if they want to stay in it, they would
have to win. I just don't know how much the
Cavs care about this cup them. I don't think they
really do.
Speaker 1: I don't think they really do either. Yeah, it mixed
Matherin's points, you know, appealing definitely, so different ways to
look at this game. We'll keep going down the list.
We do have a lot to talk about here. Today,
Washington and the Raptors open thirteen and a half. It's
like fourteen, fourteen and a half depending where you shop.
Not a whole lot of movement on the total. As
far as the injury report, CNB is out for the Raptors.
You have both. I'm sorry you have sar questionable and
you have badly doubtful For this Wizards team, the Wizards
just stink. How much do we have to even really
talk about this? They suck? Rob You know, it's not
a whole lot of reasons to look towards the Wizards,
especially in front of a back to back for them,
and this is a Cup day where the other teams
have all the incentives to go and blow you out.
So the only question is, in my eyes, it's going
to be more of the Raptors just scoring a million points,
scoring at will, where it's going to be the Raptors,
you know, suffocating the Wizards and the Ways are struggling
to score. I think it can go both ways, but
I'm picking one. I would say, you know, Raptors defense
has been pretty elite for about you know, ten games
maybe something like that, and the Wizards have really been
struggling to score versus everybody. So I would say Wizards
team total under that's what I like the most here.
But if you put them both together, that means you're
taking the Raptors. Ravino. How do you feel about it?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Raptors. I'm not big on laying
at this type of points, But for all the reasons
you just mentioned, they're capable of it. Their defense has
been really good this year. We've talked about it more
than once on this show for Washington. The two injuries
are worrisome for them now that they're good defensively anyway.
But if Sar doesn't play, you know Sar didn't play
the other night, Bagley was his replacement. Orsar got injured
the other night, Bagley was his replacement, and then Bagley
went down, and so now you've got the starter in
his backup. Both probably not going to play tonight, which
makes them even softer in the middle than they were previously.
Toronto is a team that's aggressive to the rim. I
could see a lot of points out of Toronto. They
are two and zero in their group Group A out
of the East. As far as Cup is concerned, contrary
to what I said about Cleveland, I think Toronto does care.
Toronto's a team that's up and coming and probably wants
to win something like this, so I could see a
lot of enthusiasm out of that side. They played this
team once earlier this year and only beat them by
one point. I think that's got to change here. I
think Toronto probably could win this one by twenty and
again using the two things you said, isn't they're just
going to go crazy scoring or are they going to
strangle Washington from scoring? I just put those two together
and think they'll win by more than fourteen. I think
you can get thirteen and a half two as I
talk here.
Speaker 1: All right, so we're in agreement on that one. We'll
keep going down the list. Nets and Celtics fifteen points
spread for this one for a total of two twenty
two or Boston only titum is out for Brooklyn, cam Thomas, Heismith,
Sarah all out. I mean this next team does continue
to struggle to score without cam Thomas out there. How
much can we trust this Celtics defense? I guess becomes
the question here tonight. Celtics definitely not a team that
I'm looking to lay fifteen Pointsmith, I'll tell you that
right now. But just looking here, they have been a
solid defense. Nets have been struggling to score. Could be
another Nets team total under. What do you think about
Celtics and Nets?
Speaker 2: Robbio, Well, we just saw it a couple of days ago,
and I think you cashed. I think I remember being
on the show when you said Celtics next full game
under and it stayed under. But I'm not You know,
the Celtics were in a far different pointspread position that night.
It wasn't minus fifteen. And I don't trust their three
point shooting enough Ski to tell you the truth. They
like to launch threes. They haven't shot them as well
this year. We've documented that quite a bit. Pritchard did
come on a little bit recently, but I'm not going
to lay fifteen with this Celtics, So for me, it
was a game I immediately scratched. I guess there's cases
to be built for some form of under in this game.
There's probably even a case to be built for holding
your nose and betting the dog, just because the other
side probably isn't worthy of laying fifteen points here. But
I choose neither. I can move on to the next game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, these are the slowest placed teams the last five games,
thirtieth and twenty nine. That was part of the reason why,
you know, I did roll with that full game under
last time, But I just, man, I don't trust them.
You know, he's a liar, He's definitely a liar. But
I don't trust his nets defense. That's the problem for me.
That's the kind of just give it up. I know
they were good that last time they played, but it's
looking at the nets. I mean they've been all right,
they've been all right defensively. It's just it's hard for
me to trust him. So I guess lean under next team.
Total Under is getting starting to get a little low
at one o three and a half, but it should
be a slower game. Yeah, I'll say full game under
again if I'm playing this one. All right.
Speaker 2: He had a little to say you off topic, didn't.
Speaker 1: He shout out to dropping dimes in the chat? Yeah,
MPJ has a lot to say. They telling them to
shut up. I'm telling him to leave the podcast alone.
I dam we got another another one. Miami and Chicago.
Not a whole lot of movement. I mean, sitting right
at the opener of two and a half. Total though,
dig go up from two forty six and a half
to two point fifty. I think this is the highest
total we've seen so far this season. No Wiggins, Roseer,
Yovick or hero for Miami. For Chicago, you do have
Trey Jones, questionable, Kobe White, questionable, and you have Jalen
Smith probable, Zach Collins out. I can't help but think Rob,
you know, and I'm pulling up these schedules. Let's put
up these schedules for both of these teams. The Heat, well,
first of all, it is Bulls have been playing a
lot of games lately. Could be it could be supposed
to be a flast spot. First came home after a
long road trip, right fourth game and sixth night and
the first of a back to back for them. They
played the Wizards tomorrow. The Heat do have the rest advantage. Okay,
So the Heat have played the Warriors without anybody, Steph, Jimmy, Draymond,
everybody said, the Knicks two times without Brunson, the Cavaliers
once without Donovan, Mitchell Garland, and I believe Mobley. I mean,
they just been taking advantage of teams and in unhealthy
spots or however you want to call it. So I
don't I can't really trust whatever I've seen from the
Heat lately. That's kind of how I'm feeling for the Bulls.
And I got to go through theirs too, to be fair,
they did have to fight with the Blazers. I don't
like that too much. They did win that game, though
they beat the Nuggets. That's a definitely a noteworthy win
right there. And that was the second game after Giddy
got it injury or came back from injury. So just
a loan off of that, you know, I think the
Bulls are a little more trustworthy than the heat here.
How are you doing this game?
Speaker 2: Yeah? And for the Bullski Remember that was the second
of a back to back in altitude for Denver at
the air for Chicago. Excuse me, They had played I
don't know it was a Utah the night before maybe,
and then played Denver. I remember because I had Denver
and they didn't even win the game. I don't want
to play into the first game, first home game, after
four road games for Chicago. It's actually six of their
last seven since November seventh. They've been on the road
a lot and not home, so I don't really want
to take their side. What I wanted to do, more
than anything, was played the Miami team total over here,
but they priced me out. It's one twenty four bam
out of Baio is back according to most reports for
Miami tonight, which should help the offense. But I can't
get there to play them to hit one twenty five
in this game. They could do it, just don't think
it's a good enough number for me to get involved.
So because the odds makers, like you say it's the
first two fifty we've seen, they kind of priced me
out of everything here. Don't like what Chicago has done
defensively recently. I think we've hammered that home. What Billy
Donovan said earlier in the year has gone south really quickly.
And that Portland game the other night where they were
up like nineteen with eight minutes left. Again, I got
stung by the Bulls twice on the road. Maybe I'm
just bitter. That could be it, but I'm going to
stay away here. I would have liked to play, to
have played Miami's team. Total over just a shade too
high for.
Speaker 1: Me, if you know, liking the Miami side a little
bit more, I'm liking the Bull's side. We'll see how
this one shakes out. Pelicans and Mavericks. Mavericks went from
a three and a half point spread to four to
four and a half. Total also went up from two
twenty nine and a half to two thirty four. That
is definitely surprising. There, let's just refresh hered Lo questionable,
no Ad, no Kyrie, no nim Hart for the Pelicans,
Paul Murray, Matt Kovich all out Pelicans. I mean, they're
just so sorry. I mean the MAVs are sorry too,
but I feel like the MAVs can be better. At
least they have given up on this Cooper flag point guard.
I mean, that's one positive for the Mavericks. I don't
think they've given up yet. I think they still want
to win. And being at home here seeing the you know,
Pelicans team everybody's been beating on, I like to think that,
you know, they play hard and get a win here
at home, Mavericks or nothing for me, what do you think?
Speaker 2: You know played hard the other night they got a
referee whistle against them on a driving layup at the
end of the game against the Knicks, but the Knicks
didn't have Bruns and the Knicks didn't have Ananobe. It's
still Dallas played them really, really tough. They're starting to
get a little bit healthier at the rim. To Ski
Gafford Lively, these guys are playing again. I think the
only one they're missing is Anthony Davis, so it helps,
and it is funny. I'll say it again, Cooper flag
point guard experiment ended as soon as Nico Harrison got fired,
and maybe now they're trying a little bit more to
what they should have been doing all along. I remember
this game too. It's funny how you don't remember your
wins as much as you remember your losses. But remember
Dallas laid eight and a half to this team a
while back and got beat at home. New Orleans was
on a back to back won the game straight up
one o one to ninety nine. That line is not
eight and a half anymore. It's only four to four
and a half. So better price, maybe a better Dallas
team at this point. That's hard to say because the
other side has Zion back, and Zion played pretty well.
His plus minus was up there the other night. So
difficult game I would like to play Dallas, just don't
trust them enough to win by five. Another one that
I had to let go ski. I don't understand the
total movee either here other day. I think I saw
yesterday Dallas has moved up to the second quickest tempo
in the NBA, which is outrageous if true, and.
Speaker 1: The number one and past the last five games Repelicans
are number four.
Speaker 2: I mean, there you go. That would explain to move up,
and I can buy into that myself. You just gotta
have enough shot making or little defense. Yeah, I don't know.
I have to look at it a little further. I
might maybe I can get to a MAVs team total here,
but we'll see.
Speaker 1: If the MAVs were going to break out, it will
be in an uptempo setting versus Pelicans defense. So I
can understand that. For those reasons, I'll laim maz. I'll
land with the market going over next game up here,
you know, t Wolves and Sons open three and a
half up to four and a half total coming down
though from two thirty three and a half to to
thirty one and a half or as low as two
thirty one and a half. Who is on the injury report?
Grayson Allen out flaming out, Jayalen greenout for the Wolves. No,
Terrence Shannon Jr. You do have both Ingles and Jaden
McDaniels questionable. I do know that the Wolves care about
the Cup. I've heard McDaniels talk about it. They've been
talking about they've never been to Vegas. They want to
make it to Vegas. They are number one in their
group and they have okay see beating the differential by
a good amount. You know, this game will be a
bit tougher than the game Okay sees today or expected
to be. But you know, I want to get there
with the I want to get there with the the Wolves.
But my problem is Sons do have a lot of
rest for this game. And the Sons have been playing
pretty competitive, pretty good too. And I worry that, like
the Wolves have just been looking good because of who
they played. There's just so many bottom chair teams in
their recent schedule. Play the Kings twice, play the Wizards,
play the Mavericks, like the Jazz twice. Like I don't.
I can't put too much stock into that. When you're
coming here and you're playing the Phoenix team that's you know,
they've been playing pretty solid. And not saying they're the greatest,
but they've been playing solid. And I'm looking at the
Sun's recent schedule. They beat the Blazers, It beat the
Hawks team that have been playing well. I mean, they
beat up on some bottom beaters too. So I guess
we'll learn who's the better of the two to night.
Who should be more respected. If I had to put
my money on this one, I think that the Timberwolves.
Timberwolves defense is more trustworthy in my opinion, offense might
be more trustworthy. But all lean Timberwolves here. How do
you see this one be? Now?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I agree. I mean I made a small play
on Minnesota earlier this morning, just from a fundamental matchup perspective.
Ski I just when I think of minutes, I always
think about how much reach they have on the defensive end,
and you kind of need three point shooters that can
get over the top of them. And without Grease and Allen,
that's one less for Phoenix, which to me is a
bit of a concern. I think maybe Minnesota defensively can
stop Phoenix from scoring all the points that they've been scored,
or contain them a little better than the bottom feeding
defenses that they played lately have done. Again, you mentioned
the Cup. I agree. I think Minnesota wants to get
there with the Cups. It's a big game for them
in that instance as well. Again for the fundamental reason,
and Phoenix, for what it's worth, defensively, I don't think
can handle Minnesota. So I just put two and two
together came up with a small play on Minnesota minus
the four to four and a half.
Speaker 1: You no like in that side. I'm somebody in the chat.
I forget who I just put up. I can't see
the screen right now. Just mentioned that the wool I
think it was b man. The Wolves haven't beat a
team over five hundred and yeah, Olden four straight up,
Olden four ats. They played the Spurs, the Celtics of
Thunder and the I'm sorry, that's not correct. That's who's upcoming.
They played the Nuggets, the Lakers and Knicks and the Nuggets,
so Nuggets twice, Lakers and Knicks and uh Olden four there.
I'm just curious what the Sons look like for some
of the better competition. So Sons two and four straight
up three and three ats, so a little bit better?
You know. The one thing too, I do have to
think about it mentioned here, you know, is the Sons
have played better at home than on the road. You know,
more I think about this, the Sons could compete in
this game. I mean, Minnesota is only beating up on
the bottom feeders. Were just planning toa one more thing here. Yeah,
Sons seven and one ahs at home so far this
season Wolves three and four. This is a tough, tough game,
you know, any last thoughts here.
Speaker 2: No, I you know, I stated the case to where
I think Minnesota probably gets to win. The only thing
I'd say real quick here is that oh and four
that you listed four Minnesota against better teams. I think
those four are different class than Phoenix. Two. Denver's a
Lakers and a Knicks. That's that's better class than Phoenix.
Speaker 1: Fair, very very very fair. All right, let's talk about uh,
let's talk about those Nuggets. Nuggets versus the Rockets should
be a good one open up minus two looks like
two and a half. Total's gone up slightly from two
thirty four and a half. That's how it's two thirty
six and a half. For Denver, you have Aaron Gordon
probable they'll be without Brown and Strauther. For the Rockets,
you still have Jabari Smith, junior, Steven Adams questionable, Tarry
Easton DFS and Van Fleet will be out first game
up a back to back for the Nuggets. We'll call
that out right away. I mean, you know, just very
very simple to me, the Nuggets have been full of
shit lately to me, honestly, like when I'm watching the game,
they're not even trying. Bro Like, they're not even attempting
to put a hand up in nobody's face. It's looked
like a team that they didn't really care too much,
you know, until maybe they get down and they feel like, Okay,
now we have to care and try to win the game.
I just don't like the idea of the back of
the team that's been playing like that versus a Rockets
team who I feel like they've been playing hard and
playing from the tip every single game and they're playing well.
It's Rockets are nothing in this game. I feel like
there's no way to eat on the Nuggets. How do
you feel about it?
Speaker 2: Well, I agree to the eye the ies Ski Houston
definitely looks like like the better team at this point
in time. Again, you know, I think you and I
pointed out a bit, and the chat even points it
out a bit that Denver just doesn't seem like a
good defensive team. He just said it again. But then
when you look at their statistics and their overall stuff,
it kind of shows that they're better than what we're seeing.
I don't know what's lying here. The stats are my eyes,
but I'm gonna trust what I see and say that
Denver is a team that's absolutely just trying to outscore
people right now. It almost seems like they feel like
they can. That being said, Christian Braun is probably their
best perimeter defender on the team. He hasn't played in
the last three games and are only one in two
ats without him. I think he's a big difference in
this game. You need all the defenders you can get
against Houston, we'll see Durant. I guess Aaron Gordon coming
back is a big deal too, because if anybody's gonna
at least give Kevin Durant some trouble offensively, Aaron Gordon's
as good at defensive three as there is in the
league or four, whatever you want to call it. So
kind of a wash there this particular group in the
Cup are all one in one, So it's probably a
big deal, But I think it might be a bigger
deal to Houston at this point in time. To me,
Houston's the team that is playing with a little more
sense of urgency to be in that elite group, where
Denver kind of walks around like we know we're elite
and we'll be there in the end. So we'll see
you then. So for two and a half point price
caught my eye because I just think there's value with
the home team at only two and a half. So
I did play Houston, played them small when I played
Minnesota this morning. Hopefully they get there by three points.
Speaker 1: I like them. I agree with Marc. It's a statement game.
Let them know, you know we're here over here in
the West. You better wake up Denver. And to that
point too, dropping dimes looking at the Rockets early. I
like that as well. Nuggets, like I mentioned, they didn't
sleepwalking and start these games they have not covered in
their last five first half. Yeah, I think that's could
be worthy of a double up Rockets first half, full game,
absolutely all right, real.
Speaker 2: Quick, her Ski Just to add to that real fast.
What Houston did to Cleveland the other night, I think
is kind of what we're saying here. You know, I
read you the quote from Kenny Atkinson. Houston made them
look soft, made them look like they're not caring too much.
And maybe that same thing happens here tonight with Denver.
Speaker 1: You know, I'm an agreement, I am, I do have.
I mean, it's an opinion. You know, what they thought
about Luca and how they were saying Luca is so
fat and out of shape and this, and I don't know.
I know Drunker's been putting up some points, but he
just been looking like he's I don't know, he's too
much loafing around from Joker. For me, he looking just
too slop. I don't that's my opinion. He's still going
out there and getting these triple doubles. But maybe that's
why the defense looks so so weak. He's not even moving,
Like if one person is not moving, the defense is
gonna be sorry. You can't everybody else can't just rotate
for you.
Speaker 2: So true, that's the horses instead, he wants to go
with the horses.
Speaker 1: They better go build a horse horse track close to
the Nuggets arena and get him excited.
Speaker 2: You could go for that, all right.
Speaker 1: Uh. Blazers and Warriors opened up six and a half up.
Aside his eight told on not a whole lot of movement.
Drew Holliday is questionable, sharpest questionable, granted is probable. Robert
Williams questionable. No Scoop, no teach table, no Wesley. For
the Warriors, you have Jimmy Dre, Buddy Hill all probable
Kamena and melting her out. Now, this Blazers team has
looked terrible, like they're lost without Drew Holiday out there
in my opinion, so seeing him no longer doubtful more questionable.
You know, if they get him out there, it'll be
a big boost for that Blazers team. So it's important
to know who's going to play in this game. This
is a game where I would absolutely wait to know
who's for sure like then, because if he's in, I
honestly I think you can get some value here on
the Blazers just because of how bad they've looked lately
and the warriors they've had it. You know, they look
good a game, maybe change the lineup. They've been inconsistent.
I'll say that they haven't proven that you know their
team you could trust night in the Night out yet.
So if Drew Holidays in, I think it would be Blazers.
If he's out, I want nothing to do with the Blazers.
How do you feel about it? You know a couple of.
Speaker 2: Things here and it was the biggest player I made
this morning. Ski I played Golden State, but I played
Golden State first off of reaction to the quote, from
Thiago Splitter, the head coach of Portland, who said, it's
difficult to play the way that we want to play.
We don't have the energy to play fast. We're getting
slower and slower as a team. We have to play
guys or we're having to play guys that are in
developmental roles right now. Speaking to the injuries that Portland
has suffered, remember how quick they were to start the end.
Their defense is falling apart. It's falling off the face
of the earth for Golden State. I mean, typical Steve
Kerr again, I should kick myself for just not betting
Miami as the largest play of the month. In that
final game of the road trip, where you just know
what Steve Kerr is gonna do. He's gonna tank it.
He's famous for doing that stuff. The starting five that
night was terrible, and you're just saving guys till you
get home to play a game here, which is a
little bit of a revenge. Portland beat this team by
twenty the end of October, so I think that's in
the back of Golden State's mind here. Of course, all
the starters are going to come back and play tonight
against a team that Tiago, Splitters says just doesn't have
the energy to play fast anymore. Pat Spencer, Cam Spencer's
brother of all people, had to open up with a
quote who said, I think we'll be grateful at the
end of the year that this isn't the stretch that
we have to play at the end of the season,
talking about the six game road trip. They got it
over with. They don't have to deal with it at
the end of the year. He had to play thirty
two minutes the other night because you know, Kerr didn't
play anybody. I just think that game the other night
was a setup to come home to win big here.
I don't know that the Cup means anything to the Warriors,
but it is a Cup game. And I don't like
what Splitter said about, you know, team not having energy,
can't play the way they want to play right now,
and they're playing guys that should be in the developmental League.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I wouldn't like that either, as if
I'm thinking about the Blazers for sure. Yeah, that's I mean.
Quote wise, can't back the Blazers. So move over to
the last game in the Association tonight, Thunder and Jazz
this when they go up from fourteen and a half
to sixteen and a half. Total has had a lot
of movement. It opened two thirty four and a half,
so I go up besides two thirty six and a half,
come back down as low as two thirty two and
a half, and I'm gonna just start there with that total.
You know, my initial thought earlier in the week when
I'm thinking about this game is I can't wait to
bet the Jazz over who they play on on Friday.
I'm betting the Jazz over because that's how their home
games are gone. This young team likes to run, run, run, run, run.
They see their opponent coming into the elevation and they
just want to run them into the ground. But this
Thunder team, yeah, they don't mind running. I gotta pump
the brakes like this Thunder defense has been elite. They're
barely allowing teams to get a hundred pointints and in
a game where a point differential matters, they could absolutely
just stuffocate this Utah Jazz team. And I don't view
the Thunder as a team that's going to come into
OKAC and be tired and get you know, they have
so much depth, so many guys like their main players
don't even play the fourth quarter most nights. I think
Okac's defense shows up. I think that's the reason that
they'll win by the big margin tonight. So I'd have
to butt the Utah home trend of high scoring games.
If it's high scoring, it's because the Jack the Thunder
is scoring tonight. I think it will be Jazz team
total under for me in this game or nothing. How
do you feel, you know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, from the Oklahoma City defensive standpoint, Ski, what
they like to do kind of is hand in glove
with Utah because I don't know that Utah has the
best ball protection backcourt. Oklahoma He's gonna come smother you.
And they're getting healthier by the day. Really, remember the
beginning of the season they played with a lot without
a lot of bodies in that rotation and still one games.
To your point about Oklahoma City not walking in, let's
say the way that we compared or compare them to
Denver the way we just talked about Denver kind of
lack a daisical. Okay, see sixteen and one. They have
been lack a daisical at all, and they've covered some
of these numbers. So the fact that they pressure the
ball as much as they do and score in bunches
off steels. I don't know that Utah's ball handling is
good enough to prevent that from happening here. I know,
okay See, you'll be rooting for Phoenix tonight because if
Phoenix wins, it would throw Oklahoma City with a wind
themselves into a tie for that first place for the Cup.
And they still have a game with Minnesota left in
the Cup, so Oklahoma City could certainly win it out
of their bracket as well. I just you know that
there doesn't seem to be any let up in okay See.
You would think all for the championship last year. They
played deep into the season more than anybody else that
perhaps you know a little. I guess load management is
caused by being ahead by so much at the end
of three. I guess you can do it that way too,
because that's the way they're doing it right now. I
wouldn't want Utah. I'm with you that you know, the
scoring in their home games has been way different than
the road games. But let's let's find an easier defensive
opponent for them where they can get off for the
one twenty plus that they like to score at home.
Speaker 1: All right, I yeah, I think I think this one
could be a beat down, rob, you know, a beat down.
So that's the NBA car for today. I think we
did enough on NFL yesterday, unless there is anything else
that she wanted to talk about, you know, I think
we're okay.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're okay with it. The NFL. We did a
good job yesterday. It just kept growing yesterday it went
from one to three.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So if you want to hear somewhere NFL, we
did talk about it yesterday. You know, thoughts han't changed really,
so yeah, I guess on that note we will or
before I go to best bets. So let's do the
promo stuff. We'll remind everybody about Weekend Warrior. If you
want to be involved for NFL, you can get Saturday,
Sunday and Monday night football includes five percent place you
get them for only forty nine dollars. You prefer basketball,
we have the full court all that access past three
days of college basketball, and NBA get that for only
forty nine dollars. If you want a little bit of everything,
you can get ten days of picks for less than
ten dollars per day, check out Robino or myself see
if you want to, you know, continue a little longer
term or however that may go. We want that longer term.
Get five hundred dollars off of one year past comes
out to just one twenty five a month. And if
you were to go rock with Robno for a year,
you would get a twenty five percent bonus cube. You
could come check out some of my stuff as well.
So that is it's a promo for today, you know,
best bets. Before you give yours, I'll ask you if
there's anything else you'd like to promote. And if you
don't have a best bet, that's okay too.
Speaker 2: Promos You've got him coverage Ski that's good for the
weekend NFL still remains really good for me. So if
you're into the Weekend Warrior, if you're into football, the
Weekend Warrior pass probably a good one to follow me with.
And just you know, Golden State was the player I
played the biggest, so I'm going to leave that here
is the best bet I gave. The reasons why I
don't like what Splitter said, like the fact that Golden
State's got a little bit of revenge, you know, to me,
Steve Kerr set up tonight's game the way he always
does on road trips by not playing anybody in the
Vinyl game. So for me, it's Golden State minus the
seven and a half. I know we see some eights
out there now, so shop around, try to get the
best number you can. But for me, best bet Golden
State minus the seven and a half. I think there's
still a bunch of those still available.
Speaker 1: I like it for myself. You know, I'm gonna go.
I'm gonna go with like I said, this game could
go either way, but I'm gonna go with what I've
been seeing lately, and that's Wizards. Team total under one
thirteen is a number I got. I mean, I bet.
I've been betting on Toronto's defense a lot lately. They've
held I think nine of their ten opponents under the
team total, so that defense has been locked in. Washington's
been a team that's really struggling to score. If you
look at I mean, I can look at their last
ten games here. Let me just go back there for
Washington the last ten games, they're averaging one hundred and
nine point two points per game, So just really struggling there.
And if you look at what the Raptors have been
allowing last ten, it's one O eight point five. And
if you look more at their home game in that
last ten, it's one O four. So I just you know,
if it ain't broke, don't fix it. Let's bet on
that Raptors defense. Let's faith those bum ass Wizards team
total under one thirteen for Washington will be my best
bet for the show. Vino. Oh, and a reminder to
everybody that I do have a five percent play lock
and loaded for tonight, and I've hit sixteen in my
last twenty bets, so if you want that five percent,
we had a five percent winner on the Raptors on Wednesday.
I'm pretty sure we have another one here tonight, so
if you want to be involved, that's also available. Veno
always appreciate you taking the time to capt these games
with me. Helps my process and I'm sure you help
everybody else as well. People in the comments, we appreciate you.
You guys are great people, great cappers, and we all
just you know, we're here trying to help each other cast.
So best of luck on all your action tonight. We'll
be back again Monday, so until then, peace,