WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.480 --> 00:00:06.040 This is the in This League Fantasy podcast network, In 2 00:00:06.080 --> 00:00:10.679 This League Fantasy Baseball podcast online at in this League 3 00:00:10.759 --> 00:00:15.759 dot Com. Now here's your host Bogman and the Welsh. 4 00:00:16.199 --> 00:00:18.280 What's up, friendos, and welcome into the in This League 5 00:00:18.640 --> 00:00:22.640 Fantasy Baseball podcast with the Welsh and Scott Bogman. It's 6 00:00:22.719 --> 00:00:25.399 il at in this League dot Com. You guys want 7 00:00:25.399 --> 00:00:27.399 to sign up, support you boys. It don't matter that 8 00:00:27.440 --> 00:00:31.600 it's July Baseball maybe winding down. It's all good. You 9 00:00:31.640 --> 00:00:33.719 could still support us because we're still doing the stuff 10 00:00:33.759 --> 00:00:37.240 and the things prospect in Dynasty updates. The MLB Draft 11 00:00:37.640 --> 00:00:40.240 is next week. This is gonna be crazy All Star 12 00:00:40.320 --> 00:00:43.359 break as well. Will also be uh drop an info 13 00:00:43.399 --> 00:00:45.679 on our second half draft, so kind of getting you 14 00:00:45.759 --> 00:00:48.159 guys into that space as well. But you want to 15 00:00:48.159 --> 00:00:50.119 support the boys, be a part of the conversation, have 16 00:00:50.200 --> 00:00:52.399 access to us, and just you know, help the podcast 17 00:00:52.439 --> 00:00:54.799 go around. Go to in this League dot Com. In 18 00:00:54.880 --> 00:00:59.679 this League dot Com. Celebrate Merca and it at the 19 00:00:59.679 --> 00:01:01.799 same time if you want, if you're not from America, 20 00:01:01.920 --> 00:01:04.480 you can just celebrate ital whatever you want to do. 21 00:01:04.640 --> 00:01:07.640 Isn't it good when you hit publish on episodes? Bogmin 22 00:01:07.959 --> 00:01:11.280 Isn't that a good thing when you don't let it 23 00:01:11.439 --> 00:01:15.079 sit for I don't know, two days and then. 24 00:01:15.040 --> 00:01:18.000 Yeah, you're gonna get shot delayed. Deny, you better get 25 00:01:18.040 --> 00:01:19.959 that episode up. What are you doing? 26 00:01:20.120 --> 00:01:22.719 I mean, I'm glad someone said something. It took two 27 00:01:22.799 --> 00:01:26.560 days for someone to say something, but I'm glad someone 28 00:01:26.599 --> 00:01:29.079 said something, or we'd have had back to back episodes 29 00:01:29.159 --> 00:01:32.319 or whatever. But apologies on that. Apparently I just had 30 00:01:32.319 --> 00:01:35.439 it sitting there. It was just chilling, just chilling. It 31 00:01:35.480 --> 00:01:38.359 was already edited it. It was literally in spreaker, what 32 00:01:38.640 --> 00:01:41.760 we've all got it? Oh yeah, no, it's not the now, 33 00:01:41.840 --> 00:01:45.599 the first, not the last. But this episode, we've got 34 00:01:45.640 --> 00:01:46.959 a lot to go through. We're gonna go through some 35 00:01:46.959 --> 00:01:49.359 player debates. Bogman has put some of those together. A 36 00:01:49.400 --> 00:01:51.599 lot of things going around baseball was actually outside of 37 00:01:51.640 --> 00:01:54.079 just like injury things. I think there's some conversation pieces 38 00:01:54.120 --> 00:01:56.239 to be had, and we'll look at two star pictures 39 00:01:56.760 --> 00:01:59.760 for what should be a nice fireworky week. And by 40 00:01:59.760 --> 00:02:02.000 the way, what do you what's your Fourth of July thing? 41 00:02:02.000 --> 00:02:03.760 At least forgetting textas I have I have. 42 00:02:04.920 --> 00:02:07.159 Well, I know you guys, just take care of your 43 00:02:07.400 --> 00:02:11.879 eleventeen dogs or whatever. Right because of the fireworks. 44 00:02:11.400 --> 00:02:14.560 Right, I mean kind of, but more that my wife 45 00:02:14.560 --> 00:02:17.319 and my daughter's birthday is on the fifth, So fourth 46 00:02:17.319 --> 00:02:19.639 of July is is a birthday weekend. 47 00:02:20.159 --> 00:02:23.280 Yeah, I don't. I'm probably gonna go to the Astros 48 00:02:23.319 --> 00:02:28.120 game and uh there's usually probably your favorite firework after that. 49 00:02:28.280 --> 00:02:30.400 Well it's in the city I live in, so yeah, 50 00:02:30.479 --> 00:02:34.680 I'm gonna go to the Astros and Rays. So yeah, 51 00:02:34.960 --> 00:02:36.199 that's probably what I'm gonna do it. 52 00:02:36.800 --> 00:02:38.520 Oh, I thought it would be more. I thought you'd be, like, 53 00:02:38.960 --> 00:02:41.319 you're a big foodie, like a big barbecue or anything 54 00:02:41.360 --> 00:02:41.599 like that. 55 00:02:41.680 --> 00:02:43.639 You're gonna look at him. 56 00:02:44.680 --> 00:02:47.800 I forgot. You don't eat barbecue, amort. You only eat fish. 57 00:02:47.960 --> 00:02:49.159 You only go to Papado's. 58 00:02:49.879 --> 00:02:54.159 I do like Papado you eat. Yeah, I do, like 59 00:02:54.199 --> 00:02:57.960 a lot of fish. But yeah, barbecue, Mexican food, Like 60 00:02:58.080 --> 00:03:00.439 it's all great here. The food in Texas is amazing. 61 00:03:00.599 --> 00:03:02.719 Look at the World Cup people, they'll tell you. 62 00:03:02.840 --> 00:03:05.240 So nothing. So you're gonna that's okay, though, you don't 63 00:03:05.280 --> 00:03:06.759 have to do like you're gonna what am I supposed 64 00:03:06.759 --> 00:03:06.919 to do? 65 00:03:07.039 --> 00:03:09.360 Go join the infantry for the Fourth of July Because 66 00:03:09.360 --> 00:03:11.120 it's a two hundred and fiftieth anniversary. 67 00:03:11.319 --> 00:03:11.719 I don't know. 68 00:03:11.919 --> 00:03:14.080 I don't know. You're gonna be like, Oh, we're gonna 69 00:03:14.080 --> 00:03:15.639 do you want to go shoot off fireworks? Is that 70 00:03:15.680 --> 00:03:17.000 what you want me to do? Blow my hand off, 71 00:03:17.000 --> 00:03:18.520 like Jack, I know what you want. 72 00:03:18.439 --> 00:03:21.400 Off fireworks a little bit in your neighborhood a little bit. 73 00:03:21.759 --> 00:03:25.759 But you understand that I don't like fireworks like for 74 00:03:25.759 --> 00:03:28.840 for two fifty. Great, if there's one big show, awesome. 75 00:03:29.039 --> 00:03:32.560 I don't like my haced redneck neighbors shooting them off 76 00:03:32.599 --> 00:03:34.719 over the uh, you know, over the lake for the 77 00:03:34.759 --> 00:03:36.960 next week and a half. It's gonna be a whole month. 78 00:03:36.759 --> 00:03:38.960 Of this you're living. If you were living next to 79 00:03:39.039 --> 00:03:41.719 Kate Kavali, you'd be like, it's fireworks for July. Boy, 80 00:03:44.400 --> 00:03:46.520 these fireworks, boy, oh my god. 81 00:03:46.639 --> 00:03:48.439 Boygate. Yikes, boy gate. 82 00:03:48.520 --> 00:03:51.439 You know what though, this is not the first boy 83 00:03:51.560 --> 00:03:55.840 gate that we have heard about before, though, because yeah, 84 00:03:55.879 --> 00:04:00.439 there's a little it wasn't me, actually was not me. 85 00:04:02.319 --> 00:04:06.159 Bogman loves to do the redneck voice and he says 86 00:04:06.280 --> 00:04:07.919 boy with it, but. 87 00:04:08.000 --> 00:04:10.360 There was say it to my cat because it's funny. 88 00:04:10.599 --> 00:04:13.800 Yeah, you know, But what's funny is there was a 89 00:04:13.800 --> 00:04:16.800 little controversy, so we got pissy about it happening. But 90 00:04:16.839 --> 00:04:19.839 it was on a show Bogmin was on. We assumed 91 00:04:19.959 --> 00:04:22.759 it was Bogman and it wasn't. Actually it was the 92 00:04:22.879 --> 00:04:25.000 other person that said boy So, this is not the 93 00:04:25.000 --> 00:04:27.079 first time you and I have even heard of a 94 00:04:27.160 --> 00:04:29.000 boy gate happened. 95 00:04:29.120 --> 00:04:35.879 So what is like k cavally unbelievably dumb to not know, 96 00:04:36.040 --> 00:04:38.759 Like I get, you know, he came out and apologized. 97 00:04:38.759 --> 00:04:40.759 I don't know if he talked to Wilson Trarez about 98 00:04:40.800 --> 00:04:43.680 it at all, but he did come out and say, Jesus, yeah, 99 00:04:43.680 --> 00:04:46.000 I was in the wrong, my bad. I had no 100 00:04:46.040 --> 00:04:48.279 idea about the connotation. Blah blah blah. 101 00:04:48.319 --> 00:04:51.360 So yeah, it's kind of like he didn't know about 102 00:04:51.399 --> 00:04:52.759 the connotation, like you know. 103 00:04:52.680 --> 00:04:54.800 I can't put that together through context. 104 00:04:55.199 --> 00:04:57.800 Well yeah, like that more of anything than else, Like 105 00:04:58.079 --> 00:05:00.639 I kind of like, don't tell us you didn't the 106 00:05:00.639 --> 00:05:04.279 connotation like maybe maybe younger kids don't or whatever. More 107 00:05:04.319 --> 00:05:06.839 would have been like, my bad, I didn't mean it 108 00:05:06.959 --> 00:05:10.240 like that. I wasn't thinking straight. I totally get how 109 00:05:10.279 --> 00:05:14.000 that was. I was just you know, that's that's Oklahoma 110 00:05:14.079 --> 00:05:17.120 for you. Whatever. I didn't have that behind me, but 111 00:05:17.160 --> 00:05:19.839 I do understand it to be like I've never heard 112 00:05:19.839 --> 00:05:25.279 of that, Like okay, all right, but you heard about 113 00:05:25.279 --> 00:05:29.160 it now, Yeah, because Gay Cavali struck out Wilson Catreras 114 00:05:29.199 --> 00:05:32.639 and was whatever he said, sit down boy, whatever and 115 00:05:33.079 --> 00:05:35.879 probably in a super redneck tone to I don't know 116 00:05:35.920 --> 00:05:38.800 how he talks, but he's from Oklahoma, and Wilson Catreras 117 00:05:38.879 --> 00:05:42.040 did not have any of it. You know, you know 118 00:05:42.079 --> 00:05:45.399 what I'm saying, like like, yeah, me saying sit down boy, 119 00:05:45.519 --> 00:05:48.839 versus like Debro saying it like it sounds different. 120 00:05:49.160 --> 00:05:53.360 You know what I'm saying, right, Uh yeah, it's gonna 121 00:05:53.360 --> 00:05:55.759 sound I understand what you're saying. I'll just say that 122 00:05:55.800 --> 00:05:57.759 it's probably not good no matter what your accent is. 123 00:05:57.800 --> 00:06:02.800 But agree, I agree, Uh yeah, what a what a 124 00:06:02.879 --> 00:06:06.639 dumb ass cake Vali was and we like the last 125 00:06:06.680 --> 00:06:08.560 person you can do that too and get away with 126 00:06:08.600 --> 00:06:11.399 it is Wilsk Tres. The guy's in the middle of everything. 127 00:06:11.079 --> 00:06:12.839 So he just doesn't put up with it. 128 00:06:12.959 --> 00:06:17.399 Yeah, yeah, that nonsense. He should not put up with 129 00:06:17.480 --> 00:06:19.639 I think he needs to be a little more uh 130 00:06:19.759 --> 00:06:23.000 less aggressive in some situations, but this one, I was like, well, 131 00:06:23.360 --> 00:06:24.399 I mean what do you expect. 132 00:06:24.480 --> 00:06:27.399 There's been so much with Contreras this year that not 133 00:06:27.519 --> 00:06:30.639 even like putting it on him right in that there's 134 00:06:30.680 --> 00:06:33.439 just been so much negativity and stuff thrown his way. 135 00:06:33.480 --> 00:06:36.319 Like he's just like a powder cake, you know what 136 00:06:36.360 --> 00:06:38.279 I mean, Like he's just ready to blow the rout 137 00:06:38.680 --> 00:06:41.639 to Yeah, he had absolutely not. So they both got 138 00:06:41.639 --> 00:06:45.879 suspended seven games. That's probably you know how It's the 139 00:06:45.920 --> 00:06:48.639 annoying thing with Pictures though, It's like, is he really 140 00:06:48.639 --> 00:06:50.360 going to lose a start or they just push his 141 00:06:50.439 --> 00:06:53.560 start back, you know whatever. I guess you would technically 142 00:06:53.560 --> 00:06:55.519 lose a start in there and then he could you know, 143 00:06:56.000 --> 00:06:58.959 I don't know whatever. It's pictures is always dumb, But 144 00:06:58.959 --> 00:07:01.399 Wilson Tras is going to be out seven games, both 145 00:07:01.439 --> 00:07:03.920 of those guys off of that whole mess, so you know, 146 00:07:04.600 --> 00:07:09.720 react accordingly. Junior Camonaro is the youngest player to hit 147 00:07:09.759 --> 00:07:14.040 a homer in six straight games six straight games. He 148 00:07:14.160 --> 00:07:17.600 is twenty two years old, with like seventy five homers. 149 00:07:17.639 --> 00:07:20.360 I believe I saw someone post he's on pace for 150 00:07:20.560 --> 00:07:22.639 thirteen hundred homers or something. 151 00:07:22.720 --> 00:07:24.040 Yeah, let's go. 152 00:07:25.120 --> 00:07:28.079 One of the more prolific big power hitters in baseball. 153 00:07:29.759 --> 00:07:31.839 I'm not really sure where the it go. I mean 154 00:07:31.839 --> 00:07:32.639 we kind of did this. 155 00:07:32.759 --> 00:07:35.439 Dude, pull up? Can can you just pull up on Twitter? 156 00:07:35.560 --> 00:07:39.279 His uh his homer that he hit against Casey and 157 00:07:39.319 --> 00:07:41.639 the Royals announcers. Dude, this was so funny. 158 00:07:41.800 --> 00:07:43.639 Let me see if I can't. Yeah, you were saying 159 00:07:44.759 --> 00:07:46.120 it's gonna be a whole thing. 160 00:07:46.160 --> 00:07:49.560 You were saying, just say Cameron Arow six homer call 161 00:07:49.759 --> 00:07:51.240 and it'll come up. It should come up. 162 00:07:51.399 --> 00:07:54.800 I will try. The difference is the tabs, but all 163 00:07:54.839 --> 00:07:56.839 the Camonaro, what do you want me to do? 164 00:07:57.040 --> 00:07:58.519 Sixth homer call? 165 00:08:00.120 --> 00:08:03.759 Home run? I mean it doesn't work like like Reddit 166 00:08:03.759 --> 00:08:05.959 where you can do that. But maybe this will pick up. 167 00:08:08.560 --> 00:08:12.160 When was this was a yeah, yes, yeah. 168 00:08:12.319 --> 00:08:14.920 Okay, why don't you keep talking because I just. 169 00:08:15.040 --> 00:08:17.439 Yeah, it was just it was a really interesting run. 170 00:08:17.480 --> 00:08:20.199 But Cameron Aro has been on this huge run. We 171 00:08:20.319 --> 00:08:24.800 talked about uh, like you know MVP picks on the 172 00:08:24.839 --> 00:08:27.959 betting show for Betting Pros earlier this week. We do, 173 00:08:28.279 --> 00:08:30.319 you know, we do a show at the first of 174 00:08:30.319 --> 00:08:32.559 every month just kind of go over what our bets 175 00:08:32.600 --> 00:08:34.440 would be for the rest of the season. Rookie of 176 00:08:34.440 --> 00:08:38.600 the year, you know, any odd bets MVP. That type 177 00:08:38.600 --> 00:08:41.559 of stuff. Rookie of the Year is basically over from 178 00:08:41.559 --> 00:08:45.279 what we saw, you know, a weather Holt and McGonagall 179 00:08:45.639 --> 00:08:48.559 and then MVP. I don't know, anything you pick in 180 00:08:48.600 --> 00:08:52.000 the NL outside of Otani's a waste. But for the AL, 181 00:08:52.080 --> 00:08:55.120 I said, well, I think I think Cameronaro was plus 182 00:08:55.159 --> 00:08:57.639 twelve hundred when we looked at him the other day, 183 00:08:57.759 --> 00:09:00.159 and it's probably you know, he doesn't steal bases, but 184 00:09:00.279 --> 00:09:05.000 the raiser playing really well, so he's definitely going to 185 00:09:05.080 --> 00:09:07.840 be in the mix. Did you find it here? Nope, Okay, 186 00:09:08.240 --> 00:09:08.840 I'll find it. 187 00:09:09.039 --> 00:09:12.159 Yeah. I mean you can just give the content and listen. 188 00:09:12.360 --> 00:09:16.799 Was it off of Seth Lugo? I think so, No, 189 00:09:17.159 --> 00:09:19.440 it can't be because this is on the first The 190 00:09:19.440 --> 00:09:21.879 whole point of it was you like what the announcers 191 00:09:21.879 --> 00:09:22.320 were doing. 192 00:09:22.440 --> 00:09:25.879 Yeah, well yeah, he just he comes up to the 193 00:09:25.919 --> 00:09:29.919 plate and it's before the first pitch, and the announcer goes, 194 00:09:31.279 --> 00:09:34.519 he's homered in five straight games, and then first pitch gone, 195 00:09:34.600 --> 00:09:37.320 he goes, he's homered in six straight games. It was 196 00:09:37.360 --> 00:09:38.320 just like so smooth. 197 00:09:39.480 --> 00:09:41.480 But the joke is dead now because it cannot find 198 00:09:41.480 --> 00:09:41.879 the video. 199 00:09:42.120 --> 00:09:42.320 YEP. 200 00:09:43.039 --> 00:09:45.399 Unfortunately, you know what his problem is, he has way 201 00:09:45.440 --> 00:09:47.960 too many home runs, so you type him in and 202 00:09:48.000 --> 00:09:51.080 there's just way too much stuff. So nobody cared about that. 203 00:09:51.120 --> 00:09:55.080 But Kemanaro continues to roll. It is a ridiculous run. 204 00:09:55.200 --> 00:09:57.120 And we had the conversation he's on the last shore 205 00:09:57.200 --> 00:09:59.960 the one before that, about like how high should he 206 00:10:00.120 --> 00:10:01.919 go and how high should he be? It'll be really 207 00:10:01.960 --> 00:10:03.960 interesting to see what it looks like in the second 208 00:10:04.000 --> 00:10:06.919 half draft that we're going to be doing. But he 209 00:10:07.000 --> 00:10:11.559 continues to absolutely dominate. And I don't know, I mean, 210 00:10:11.559 --> 00:10:13.399 could he be one of those guys it's like five 211 00:10:13.480 --> 00:10:16.440 hundred homers before thirty? Like that would that that would 212 00:10:16.519 --> 00:10:21.559 put on theoretical record setting pace if it happens. It's 213 00:10:21.559 --> 00:10:23.679 tough to say, but it's like if your first you know, 214 00:10:24.240 --> 00:10:27.960 two big full seasons are you know, forty plus homers, 215 00:10:28.000 --> 00:10:31.080 Like if you keep that trajectory, like yeah, dull like 216 00:10:31.240 --> 00:10:33.879 by two in ten years or I guess he started 217 00:10:33.919 --> 00:10:36.919 like closer to twenty, you would be you know, pacing 218 00:10:37.000 --> 00:10:39.960 up to be like four fifty to you know, anywhere 219 00:10:39.960 --> 00:10:42.240 from four to five hundred. If he keeps that pace, 220 00:10:42.279 --> 00:10:43.720 which is almost impossible to do. 221 00:10:44.200 --> 00:10:46.960 It does seem like that's probably an impossibility, right like, 222 00:10:46.960 --> 00:10:49.840 because there's going to be injuries and I mean we 223 00:10:49.919 --> 00:10:52.600 might even have a shortened season next year, who knows. 224 00:10:52.879 --> 00:10:57.000 So yeah, it take away the greatness of a that's 225 00:10:57.080 --> 00:10:59.279 I always hate that take when when you have that 226 00:10:59.399 --> 00:11:02.919 thought of like a tawny imagine sitting out of season 227 00:11:03.159 --> 00:11:09.000 and taking away a full season from the generationally the 228 00:11:09.039 --> 00:11:11.159 best player that we're like ever going to see and. 229 00:11:11.600 --> 00:11:12.759 Game pulled away from. 230 00:11:12.960 --> 00:11:15.320 Yeah, you had to call that, and that would be 231 00:11:15.399 --> 00:11:20.080 two seasons, two seasons, theoretical taking. 232 00:11:19.919 --> 00:11:24.720 Away best player to ever play. You know, Williams and 233 00:11:24.840 --> 00:11:27.080 a lot of players went to World War Two, so 234 00:11:27.159 --> 00:11:29.679 we had a lot of that as well. So we 235 00:11:29.720 --> 00:11:32.600 don't want this stuff. We just want baseball. You know, 236 00:11:32.840 --> 00:11:36.440 if it's World War three, we'll understand. But you know, 237 00:11:36.799 --> 00:11:39.440 if it's uh, if it's just the collective bargaining agreement, 238 00:11:39.519 --> 00:11:41.720 figure it the f out Yep, let's go. 239 00:11:41.960 --> 00:11:44.320 Don't want to hear about it. Paul Skeins got lit 240 00:11:44.399 --> 00:11:46.159 up a little bit, and it's starting to readse some 241 00:11:46.240 --> 00:11:49.679 questions because it's raising his era. He's got a three 242 00:11:49.799 --> 00:11:52.960 six two e RA through eighteen starts clearly the worst 243 00:11:53.320 --> 00:11:55.600 because the past two years he'd had to sub to 244 00:11:55.919 --> 00:11:59.360 e RA. His whip is over one for the first time. 245 00:12:00.559 --> 00:12:03.519 His expected era is actually still in line, by the way, 246 00:12:03.840 --> 00:12:08.440 it's like two seven to six. But something, something is off. 247 00:12:08.480 --> 00:12:11.320 He gave up seven earned runs to start. Before that, 248 00:12:11.360 --> 00:12:13.759 he gave up four earned runs. He had a couple 249 00:12:13.799 --> 00:12:16.360 of good ones in there, and then in May there 250 00:12:16.399 --> 00:12:18.279 was a couple five and four earned runs. 251 00:12:18.519 --> 00:12:20.600 He's on pace to give up twelve earned runs in 252 00:12:20.639 --> 00:12:24.080 the next game this time continues. If that four to seven, 253 00:12:24.159 --> 00:12:24.840 what the hell? 254 00:12:25.159 --> 00:12:28.399 But the walks are up as of recent that's the thing. 255 00:12:29.360 --> 00:12:32.600 I mean, I'm looking here. He's given up multiple walks 256 00:12:32.759 --> 00:12:36.399 in four of his last five games. And I guess 257 00:12:36.440 --> 00:12:38.159 the question is, I mean, you're getting a little snarky 258 00:12:38.200 --> 00:12:40.639 about it. You don't think there's anything whatsoever to care 259 00:12:40.679 --> 00:12:42.440 about with Paul Skin's downturn right now? 260 00:12:42.480 --> 00:12:45.919 I don't. I mean, because what is the downturn? A 261 00:12:46.000 --> 00:12:49.240 game of five innings and four and a tough game 262 00:12:49.240 --> 00:12:51.840 against Philly where he gave up seven He's still like 263 00:12:52.000 --> 00:12:55.080 the most he's walked in a game is three in 264 00:12:55.159 --> 00:12:57.440 any game right five. 265 00:12:57.240 --> 00:12:59.200 And a half percent walk rate, by the way, which. 266 00:12:59.000 --> 00:13:02.679 Is Yeah, twenty two walks in one hundred and nineteen strikeouts. 267 00:13:02.720 --> 00:13:06.919 So this to me, these last two starts, maybe he's 268 00:13:06.960 --> 00:13:10.039 getting tired, maybe you know, through the All Star break, 269 00:13:10.080 --> 00:13:14.559 maybe he's you know, not himself one hundred percent. But 270 00:13:14.639 --> 00:13:17.480 I think after the break he's probably gonna come back 271 00:13:17.519 --> 00:13:19.279 and be fine after a little bit of rest. So 272 00:13:19.440 --> 00:13:22.759 I'm not I understand, you know, you want to get 273 00:13:22.759 --> 00:13:24.559 on the warning signs early and all that stuff. I 274 00:13:24.600 --> 00:13:27.200 just don't think he's a true worry warning signs for 275 00:13:27.279 --> 00:13:27.799 Paul's scheme. 276 00:13:27.960 --> 00:13:32.159 So well, I think his velocity being down is a 277 00:13:32.200 --> 00:13:34.200 warning sign. It's down over a full mile per hour. 278 00:13:34.279 --> 00:13:36.080 He averaged ninety eight point two in his four seen 279 00:13:36.200 --> 00:13:39.440 last year. It's ninety seven, so that's over a full 280 00:13:39.480 --> 00:13:42.600 mile p hour. His sinker was ninety seven point six. 281 00:13:43.080 --> 00:13:46.320 It's ninety six point seven. It's roughly a full mile 282 00:13:46.399 --> 00:13:50.000 per hour. I think that's those are kind of concerning things. 283 00:13:50.840 --> 00:13:54.519 Is Slider's Slider's weird because it's he's throwing it harder, 284 00:13:54.519 --> 00:13:56.759 but he's throwing it like he doesn't really throw it 285 00:13:56.759 --> 00:13:59.519 a whole bunch. It's split finger, sweeper, sinker, change up 286 00:13:59.559 --> 00:14:05.639 and and forcing and both of the fastballs are down 287 00:14:06.000 --> 00:14:08.320 and if we go look like it's still got like 288 00:14:08.519 --> 00:14:12.159 I guess good, like relatively like positive run values. I 289 00:14:12.159 --> 00:14:15.279 want to look and see if characteristically there is there 290 00:14:15.320 --> 00:14:20.799 anything different like vertical drop, it's about the same horizontal 291 00:14:20.919 --> 00:14:24.720 drop it is down. And that's interesting because his arm 292 00:14:24.759 --> 00:14:27.960 angle is also up. It's a couple degrees, but he's 293 00:14:28.000 --> 00:14:30.759 sat at like this twenty three degree angle. It's up 294 00:14:30.759 --> 00:14:33.840 at twenty six. And the reason I throw the like 295 00:14:34.159 --> 00:14:36.840 that out a little bit where you can see actually 296 00:14:36.840 --> 00:14:38.360 now I want to look at the sinker because that's 297 00:14:38.360 --> 00:14:40.039 the thing I wanted to talk about, because I did 298 00:14:40.080 --> 00:14:41.919 do this a little bit on leading off. His sinker 299 00:14:42.759 --> 00:14:47.120 twenty two vertical, seventeen horizontal. The year before was twenty two, 300 00:14:47.200 --> 00:14:50.960 so that's about the same. And that's interesting because I 301 00:14:51.039 --> 00:14:55.639 was looking at his like plotted like heat maps, and 302 00:14:55.720 --> 00:14:58.480 something I did notice before I looked at the characteristics 303 00:14:58.519 --> 00:15:01.919 of like Earth statistically on the pitches, was his sinker 304 00:15:02.000 --> 00:15:05.799 looks different this year. His sinker is kind of all 305 00:15:05.840 --> 00:15:08.159 over the board. It's a little dead red, you know, 306 00:15:08.200 --> 00:15:10.960 it's a little like dead middle, but it's like you 307 00:15:11.000 --> 00:15:14.080 can see it's covering both corners. I don't know if 308 00:15:14.120 --> 00:15:16.879 he's trying to paint it more. It just looks. It 309 00:15:16.919 --> 00:15:19.879 looks very different than it did last year, where last 310 00:15:19.960 --> 00:15:26.200 year the characteristic was heavily plotted on the bottom left zone, 311 00:15:26.240 --> 00:15:28.440 like that is where he threw it. Now he's throwing 312 00:15:28.480 --> 00:15:30.960 it all over the place. Then you go and look 313 00:15:31.000 --> 00:15:34.159 and you go, oh, it just so happens that suckers 314 00:15:34.159 --> 00:15:37.919 getting banged around to sixty seven batting average against this year. 315 00:15:38.039 --> 00:15:40.320 It was only two twenty last year. It is a 316 00:15:40.399 --> 00:15:42.879 higher expected batting average and this is the most damning 317 00:15:43.559 --> 00:15:46.480 ninety two and a half average exit velocity against that 318 00:15:46.600 --> 00:15:50.240 is not only five miles an hour harder it's getting 319 00:15:50.320 --> 00:15:53.639 hit this year than last year. It is the number 320 00:15:53.799 --> 00:15:57.159 one hard to hit pitch against. And he's throwing it around. 321 00:15:58.080 --> 00:16:00.000 So I know you can hear all that in your life. 322 00:16:00.519 --> 00:16:03.360 But if you're looking for, like like an elite guy, 323 00:16:03.639 --> 00:16:07.440 like even saying you're worried doesn't mean like, oh, pole skins, Right, 324 00:16:08.000 --> 00:16:10.240 That's what I'm getting at. I am a little concerned 325 00:16:10.240 --> 00:16:13.600 because to me, this is either a couple of things. 326 00:16:14.360 --> 00:16:17.080 This is you know, getting tired, getting worn down. I 327 00:16:17.080 --> 00:16:22.200 think that's reasonable injury, which is a bigger thing an 328 00:16:22.200 --> 00:16:25.240 injury that you know, our angle has kind of changed. 329 00:16:25.279 --> 00:16:29.840 Maybe there's some uncomfortableness lingering, or there is a mechanical 330 00:16:30.120 --> 00:16:32.399 like problem, because like, if you are. 331 00:16:32.279 --> 00:16:35.559 Getting I just want to say, I don't think that's 332 00:16:36.080 --> 00:16:37.039 the mechanical thing. 333 00:16:37.120 --> 00:16:37.279 Is it? 334 00:16:37.639 --> 00:16:39.960 Simply because his location plus is still second best in 335 00:16:40.000 --> 00:16:40.960 the bigs? Right? 336 00:16:41.120 --> 00:16:43.759 Yeah, but his is down across the board. Go and 337 00:16:43.759 --> 00:16:46.840 look at his stuff plus location is fine, but okay, 338 00:16:46.840 --> 00:16:49.200 but the stuff overall is done, And that's what I'm 339 00:16:49.200 --> 00:16:52.080 getting at. His arm angle has changed, His sinker is 340 00:16:52.120 --> 00:16:54.960 all over the place, it's getting banged around, the v 341 00:16:55.120 --> 00:16:55.879 low is down. 342 00:16:56.279 --> 00:16:58.879 Like, so you are actually worried about schemes for the 343 00:16:58.879 --> 00:16:59.399 rest of the year. 344 00:16:59.720 --> 00:17:02.720 I'm right, there's something. Yeah, I don't this is not 345 00:17:02.799 --> 00:17:05.519 something I think should be just brushed off. But like, 346 00:17:06.720 --> 00:17:09.440 what's the application of that? That's the bigger question, because 347 00:17:09.440 --> 00:17:11.359 I think people trade. I think you're hearing that. Yeah, 348 00:17:11.400 --> 00:17:13.160 I think you're hearing me say that, and you're like, oh, 349 00:17:13.200 --> 00:17:15.039 so you're the worried guy. But it was like, yeah, 350 00:17:15.079 --> 00:17:17.359 I'm worried, but that doesn't mean I'm going to trade 351 00:17:17.400 --> 00:17:20.279 him for Max Meyer. But I think there is something 352 00:17:20.359 --> 00:17:24.079 off like, there's clearly something off. Velo's down, arm angles different, 353 00:17:24.359 --> 00:17:26.759 You're getting banged around. You don't have the location in 354 00:17:26.799 --> 00:17:30.759 your sinker, your stuff numbers, so the visual stuff and 355 00:17:30.920 --> 00:17:33.920 the numerical number that is attached to stuff, plus I'm 356 00:17:33.960 --> 00:17:38.839 fastball and everything, it's all down, So that is adequating 357 00:17:38.839 --> 00:17:42.599 to a pitch mix change. I don't I can't identify 358 00:17:42.759 --> 00:17:46.799 the one thing, but all of those pieces are creating 359 00:17:46.839 --> 00:17:50.599 some weird results. And if it's not injury and it's 360 00:17:50.640 --> 00:17:54.440 not like, you know, an exhaustion and getting worn out thing, 361 00:17:54.839 --> 00:17:57.440 then it's just like it's the life of a picture. 362 00:17:57.519 --> 00:18:00.240 You know, his pitch mix is off and he's a 363 00:18:00.279 --> 00:18:02.279 little bit off right now. So is he gonna be 364 00:18:02.319 --> 00:18:04.279 the number one overall pitcher in baseball? I don't know. 365 00:18:04.440 --> 00:18:06.039 I don't know what you guys do with it. Like 366 00:18:06.119 --> 00:18:11.200 if he's a three one era guy, we're holding him 367 00:18:11.200 --> 00:18:13.960 to a higher standard and we're like, oh, yeah he's down. 368 00:18:14.119 --> 00:18:17.000 That's still incredible and that's still amazing. And it doesn't 369 00:18:17.039 --> 00:18:19.759 mean I'm saying to get out from under. Maybe Paul 370 00:18:19.799 --> 00:18:23.599 Skins needs a little weekend with Libby Dunn or something 371 00:18:23.599 --> 00:18:25.880 and get stuff right and maybe get his head right, 372 00:18:25.920 --> 00:18:28.200 like those things can change. There's a whole second half 373 00:18:28.240 --> 00:18:32.519 to baseball, but he's shown a little bit more inconsistency 374 00:18:32.680 --> 00:18:35.720 this year. Velo is down. Stuff is down. That is 375 00:18:35.799 --> 00:18:38.839 something that should open your eyes. But like I can't 376 00:18:38.880 --> 00:18:41.640 tell people what to do with it because, like I said, 377 00:18:41.920 --> 00:18:45.279 Max Meyer or whatever, that doesn't make sense. But you know, 378 00:18:45.359 --> 00:18:49.039 if if you got like a Chase Burns and a 379 00:18:49.119 --> 00:18:51.319 hitter someone wanted to go for Paul Skins in a 380 00:18:51.319 --> 00:18:53.799 redraft like that stuff, I'm like, oh, maybe Chase Burns 381 00:18:53.799 --> 00:18:55.319 isn't the best example, by the way, but like you 382 00:18:55.319 --> 00:18:57.319 know what I'm getting at, Like, yeah, I'm open to 383 00:18:57.640 --> 00:19:01.519 being holding him to a slightly less of a standard 384 00:19:01.960 --> 00:19:05.279 if as in like I would move him or something 385 00:19:05.359 --> 00:19:07.559 like that. But yeah, I think there is something going on. 386 00:19:08.160 --> 00:19:12.200 Okay, I mean I I get the v Los down 387 00:19:12.200 --> 00:19:16.119 and everything. I do wonder if this has happened in 388 00:19:16.160 --> 00:19:18.640 the past couple of seasons, Like before the break does 389 00:19:18.680 --> 00:19:22.200 he does he hit kind of a clunky wall, and 390 00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:27.160 then after the break he pushes through it. I don't remember. 391 00:19:27.119 --> 00:19:31.480 June of last year to two point zero five era 392 00:19:31.880 --> 00:19:35.000 with a sub one whip, and then in July he 393 00:19:35.119 --> 00:19:38.519 was even better. He was dude point six seven ERA, 394 00:19:39.319 --> 00:19:42.079 thirty six strikeouts in that month and five starts to 395 00:19:42.319 --> 00:19:45.480 just three walks. That is what he was last year 396 00:19:45.559 --> 00:19:48.240 pre All Star. He is a two point zero one ERA, 397 00:19:48.400 --> 00:19:51.599 and he was better in the second half with a 398 00:19:51.640 --> 00:19:56.079 one point eight nine He's elite also in twenty twenty 399 00:19:56.079 --> 00:20:00.000 four one point seven eight ERA in June one point 400 00:20:00.039 --> 00:20:02.440 point five to nine e R in July, he was 401 00:20:02.519 --> 00:20:05.400