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Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk today.

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Speaker 2: I'm Kelly Stewart filling in for the best guy in

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this seat, Andy Lang.

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Speaker 1: Hope he's doing well.

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Speaker 2: We've got kind of a short show today, so we're

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gonna mix it up just for some fun. Do you

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guys want to get in on the show. You guys

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have a question for one of our handicappers. I want

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you guys to drop it in the chat because that's

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worked fun. We want to build a community here at

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wager Talk. We want to make people better better and

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the only way to do that is to start off

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with the one and only, the great Gambler. VR is

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gonna come in guys, and we're just gonna let him

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run today because we've got plenty of time. After VR's here,

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we're gonna go to Ross Benjamin. We're gonna talk some MLB,

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some college football. But VR, we have a new show

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coming out, well not a new show, but we have

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a new series of Beat on It coming out next week.

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We're gonna do all of our previews NFL college football.

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We're gonna break it all down, get you guys ready

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for the season. I'm so excited to have you back

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in a full time capacity.

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Speaker 3: Thanks, Cal. I can't wait either.

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Speaker 4: It makes me a better indicapper and better sports better

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actually doing a show like bet on it because it

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makes me prepare.

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Speaker 3: Like I've been knowing we're doing our show Monday.

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Speaker 4: I've prepared so much more this preseason than I did

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last preseason, just getting ready for NFL, getting ready for

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college football, and it actually, it really.

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Speaker 3: Does help you. So I'm excited about it.

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Speaker 4: I'm working with two new groups this football season and

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college football, so I'm excited to share as much information

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as I can on the show. Yeah, we're gonna have

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a good time over the next couple of months. I'm

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really excited. And yeah you can see. Man football has

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already started huge line moves already, like it's crazy.

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Speaker 1: So let's get into it. Let's attack preseason.

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Speaker 2: So if you guys have missed it, I just started

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doing the opening line report with Teddy and I'll hand up.

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I never did anything with preseason. I got information from Teddy,

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I got information from VR and Ralph. Hey, I'm gonna

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about this. Hey I got ahead of the line. Great, Nope,

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you missed it by four points. Snooze, you lose. I'm

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going to get into your process. Because I found it

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really interesting to hear Teddy kind of talk about some

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of you using don'ts for preseason.

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Speaker 1: That's up on the wager Talk Instagram page.

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Speaker 2: Can you kind of break down your madness in preseason

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because it is so crazy you have to get the

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best of the information before you can even get the

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best of the number because it's gone.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And that's the truth.

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Speaker 4: As far as the preseason goes, I try to handicap

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a little of the market kell but I don't dive

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deep as far as who's playing, who's not playing, because

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I know there's guys out there that are way ahead

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of that kind of information. So I made myself an

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asset by moving for those groups, and in preseason that's

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what I do. Ninety plus percent of the bets that

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I released are those that I piggyback from these betting syndicates.

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And the regular season is different. I'm confident betting and

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candicapping the regular season, but with preseason, it simply comes

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down to trying to get out ahead of information, trying

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to quantify things that we don't know how to quantify

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during the regular season, like motivation, Like does this team

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even care about winning? Do they care about keeping it

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close or is it just about evaluating talent. I mean,

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everybody talks about those things, but being able to quantify

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them is a different animal altogether. And I know historically

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these betting st gets have done so well with the

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preseason that I don't even waste those months, those weeks

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handicapping the preseason. Instead, I've spent the last couple of

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weeks diving into preparing for the regular season season win totals,

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teams that I'm looking that I'm high on, teams that

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I'm low on teams and I think are overvalued teams

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and I think are undervalue, so that I'm ready to

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handicap what they bet during the regular season. Before the preseason,

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it's like you're almost flying blind because once you get

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a confirmation of something, like a team cares about, you know,

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figuring out who their second quarterback going to be. Once

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that gets confirmed, the number is already going to reflect it.

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It's really hard to get out ahead in preseason, so

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you almost have to be ahead of the information or

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you have to wait until it gets overvalued. Meaning you

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see some of these lines I gave out yesterday. We

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bet Cincinnati at minus one, now at Cincinnati minus six

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at that spot, you need to decide whether there's value

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on taking the six.

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Speaker 3: Laying the six is gone, like.

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Speaker 2: In the middle of that preseason game here, because we

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all know that is like you're getting.

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Speaker 4: Five points exactly like listen, you have to you have

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to like. But it makes it easy if you're handicapping

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it for recreational betters, because once a line moves like that,

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you can't bet it anymore. Like I'll tell you what

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I gave my subscribers. I gave them Cincinnati minus one.

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They're at minus six. I gave them Tennessee minus two.

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There minus four and a half. I gave them New

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England minus two, they're minus six. Like those are all gone.

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You shouldn't even be looking at Cincinnati, New England or Tennessee.

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You should be looking opposite now and trying to conclude

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has the market overreacted? Is there now value on these

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dogs because we.

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Speaker 3: Stop betting it.

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Speaker 4: We didn't lay New England minus six, we didn't lay

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Tennessee minus four and a half. We bet it early,

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so now the e may be opposite what we're on.

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That's a dangerous game to play. But I think if

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you're a handicapp in the preseason. That's kind of the position.

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Speaker 3: You're put in.

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Speaker 4: Either you're digging in all day online, social media, whatever,

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trying to get that one nugget of info that's not

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factor into the betting line, or you wait for us

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to bet it, others to piggyback it and then that

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overreaction take advantage of it. I think that's how you

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attack preseason, Otherwise you spend.

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Speaker 3: It to prepare for the regular season.

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Speaker 4: I think there's a ton of value and the line

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moves reflect that because you're not going to see that

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in the regular season. I'm not going to get a

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five point NFL line movement without a quarterback going down.

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Speaker 3: That's not going to happen.

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Speaker 4: But in preseason it is and it shows you how

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inefficient these lines are. But the groups that are betting

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into it, these are specialists. These traders are specialists. You're

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going up against the sharpest traders on the planet. And

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that's why I say, if you're not ready for that game,

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you're probably better preparing for the regular season than trying

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to get out ahead of the information.

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Speaker 2: There's a really good question from Brent Henderson in the chat, Yanni,

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would you consider yourself more of a confirmation handicapper versus

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situational and technical. I wanted to chime in on this

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because this is what I love about doing. Beat on it,

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and I'm really happy that the original gang is back together, you,

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me and Marco, and that's because we're all a little

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different as far as handicapping goes.

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Speaker 1: Can you get into your style so that.

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Speaker 2: People kind of know whether they want to buy a package,

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whether they want to watch you on a show, what

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they're going to get in, Why you're kind of doing

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your own hybrid version of handicapping.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what I do is simple.

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Speaker 4: I obviously I've been following the markets and following line

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moves and all these different sports for a very very

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long time, opening lines, closing lines, results, box scores, what happened,

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and that's no secret. I provide betting accounts for different

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wise guys in different betting markets, specialists that are good

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at particular sports that need to get down. I help

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them get there. I know they're going to win long

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term because they've proven that, so I'm able to get

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that information.

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Speaker 5: Now.

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Speaker 3: They fire a ton of volumes, so what I'm able

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to do with.

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Speaker 4: It is choose those strong positions that I still think

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are advantageous. So after I when I'm betting it for them,

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I already have my selections chosen who I like, sides

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and totals. If they come in on it, that helps confirm.

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Speaker 3: What I like.

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Speaker 4: But I'm less of an x's and o's guy because

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I don't think I'm going to be able to see

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anything that's going to give me value. I'm not going

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to be able to see anything that's not factored into

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the betting line.

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Speaker 3: So instead I.

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Speaker 4: Approach it by trying to handicap the market. I believe

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the market's going to be right more time than it's

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going to be wrong. I believe it's efficient, that's why

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it keeps correcting itself, and I try to look take

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advantage of those opportunities where I think the market's over

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correcting or undercorrecting. I've gotten really good at that to

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where I'm not trying to handicap every particular player, every

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X and know a point value for every player like

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some handicappers do, and that's what works for me. But

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it's like some guys are able to watch games and

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that's how they win and.

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Speaker 3: Do what works for you.

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Speaker 4: If you've made a thousand bets and you're profitable, then

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you're a favorite to be profitable over your next thousand.

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Speaker 3: Don't change what.

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Speaker 4: You're doing, but if you're not, maybe then try to

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do a little different approaches, because again, you have to

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be able to separate yourself from a fan to a trader.

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Speaker 3: And that's where I think the difficulty comes in.

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Speaker 4: For myself, I've gotten really good at that because I

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don't follow sports as passionately as I used to. So

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for me, it's all about the market and trying to

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find those inefficiencies and those overreactions because we determine where

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the line's going to go, and I believe that a

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lot of times at the end of the market gets

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it right. But a lot of times there's an overreaction.

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There's some biases we're able to take advantage of.

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Speaker 2: All right, vre a couple questions and then chat about

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week one. Jave Cash wants to know. He's hoping he

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could get a little plus money with the Bears week one.

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So Westgate super Book has put out these lines forever ago.

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It feels like at this point three four weeks ago,

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they got a nice little infographic shows you the head

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of the spreads and what they are before the.

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Speaker 1: Games are actually played.

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Speaker 2: Week one lines have been out for a while now

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at this point in time, should we just be waiting

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until closer to kick off? Because we you know, things happen,

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people get hurt in training camp. I mean, this is

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kind of an overused example, but Andrew Locker retiring less

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than a month into you know, the before the NFL season,

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crazier stuff has happened. If they haven't already bet Week one,

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are they too late to the party.

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Speaker 5: No?

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Speaker 4: No, I think if you're gonna wait till Sunday of

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Week one to put in all your bets, you're probably

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not gonna turn be profitable because by that time it

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probably is too late. And at that point you're just

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waiting to see if the influx of money knocks some

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lines out of whack. Like because of the po A

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lot of the recreational betters, they don't have credit accounts,

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so they're not going to tie up Week one NFL

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MO today when they're able to bet baseball, they're able

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to bet WNBA or what have your over the next

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couple of weeks preseason and all of that, so they're

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not gonna bet until that weekend, mostly that two hours

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before kickoff. So because of that influx of money, some

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lines will get knocked out of whack. You'll be able

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to pick up some value late, but if you're waiting

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to place all your bets on that Sunday again, it's

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probably gonna be hard to be profitable unless you know

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you're very selective a bet or two Otherwise. I do

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think you have to start betting early, kind of through

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the preseason, because what's gonna happen is the preseason is

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gonna affect that Week one line. Remember, we're gonna draw

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a lot of conclusions by the end of preseason. We're

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gonna talk about what teams are gonna make the super Bowl,

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what teams are making the playoffs, what injuries crush the

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team's dreams. Like, we're gonna have drawn conclusions before we

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ever see a week of football. That's where you're gonna

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be able to take advantage of over the next couple

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of weeks when some conclusions are drawn over a preseason

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final that really isn't gonna affect the regular season. I

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think that's how you could take advantage over these next

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few weeks weeks because again, you nailed it those week

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one lines are up for so long, they're they're they're

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really bet into shape by the time week one rolls around,

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and the book is comfortable by that point, whether you

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bet Team AY or Team B laying eleven to ten,

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they don't think you're going to have the best of it.

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They're very confident by that point. And that's why you

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know you can't really wait till late, late, late. But again,

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the good thing is we have twenty plus weeks. We

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have a few months of betting. You don't have to

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make all your money in week one. You don't have

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to place all your bets in week one. Week two

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is going to be their Week three is going to

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be there. There will all be there, So don't get

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too excited.

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Speaker 3: That's the key. We all get excited for football.

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Speaker 4: But once those lines are shaped, bet into shape, let

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it go, don't You don't have to guess, don't have

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to gamble. Wait for a better position, and that will

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probably be in week two.

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Speaker 2: All right, VR, everybody's here because they want to know

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what's up with your Steam report for today? So got

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tons of MLB action, We've got w NBA as we've

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already been talking, We've got pre season. Go ahead and

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give us some of that gold and kind of get

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a lot of people know what they can expect from

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that segment as well.

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Speaker 4: On bet on it, I got you, I got you.

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Here's some MLB for this morning, real quick. If you

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go over to wagestalk dot com on the free picks page,

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I have a four percent tennis play.

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Speaker 3: It's a dog.

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Speaker 4: I sent that out probably within fifteen minutes ago. It

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just came across. I send it to subscribers to four percent.

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Also put it on the free picks page, So make

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sure you check out that free picks page. Yesterday I

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gave out two four percent WNBA plays. Unfortunately, I put

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the total on the Fight Hour package and put the

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side in the free plays. I split four percent winner,

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four percent, loser the free play four percent.

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Speaker 3: One.

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Speaker 4: Again, if I'm putting a four percent, I'm betting it

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like a four percent. I'm putting it for free just

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because again I didn't have a package up for all

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the WNBA. But here's where we're at in MLB nine

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oh five, over eight and a half and over nine

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up to minus one twenty one, twenty five Tampa, Saint

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Louis and La Dodgers nine to twelve, Detroit minus one

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the little Chalky they didn't mind.

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Speaker 3: Nine thirteen under eight.

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Speaker 4: And a half Yankees and Texas. That's why you're looking

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at eights there. Nine to fifteen, Tampa Bay minus ten,

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nine twenty two, Philadelphia minus one sixty Philadelphia under eight

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and a half up the minus one twenty five ninth game,

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nine twenty five Toronto minus two twenty another Chalky favorite,

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and nine twenty eight Miami minus one ten I'm seeing opposite.

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That one sticks out to me because it's opposite the public.

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I'm seeing a lot of recreational accounts already opposite Miami

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sharpsel on Miami there and then under under eight in

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the Mets game. Under eight in the Mets. That's with

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Cleveland nine twenty three. That kind of came across why

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we were doing this right now. So under in the

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Mets game. Yeah, that's a seven and a half now,

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so that that thing's gone while we were doing this. Yeah,

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that so far, it's a little early, little early, but

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already some moves in Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 2: Little early, but we appreciate him coming in early there

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on the West Coast. VR, you guys can follow him

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at Greek Underscore Gambler on all your social channels and

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at Greek Underscore Gambler on TikTok.

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Speaker 1: He does some funny stuff. VR. I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 2: The other day when I opened up the app and

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you were in the shower, I was like, what what

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is happening here?

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Speaker 6: Me it me?

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Speaker 4: I have fun with it? On is I have thinks

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to fire. I've always thinks to say.

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Speaker 1: It was hilarious.

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Speaker 2: You know what this is at least gonna garner some

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views and some comments, and that's exactly what it did.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to this football season so we can

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cash him. Don't trash him.

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Speaker 2: We'll also see you on Saturday and Sunday Sundays for

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Last Call. VR is working seven days a week for

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you guys. Make sure you guys give him a follow.

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Head over to wt dot buzz backslash.

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Speaker 1: I think it's what I just forgot it.

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Speaker 3: Shortly, VR, VR.

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Speaker 2: Of course I got you because I'm the only other

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one in the world is called the VR. But I

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was trying to think, did we change it to Greek Gambler?

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Speaker 1: We did not?

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Speaker 2: All right, We've got Ross Benjamin coming up here next, guys,

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if you have a question for him regarding the baseball slate,

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maybe Week zero college football, some college football futures drop

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them in the chat. As I mentioned, we have a

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shorter show today, but we're gonna have a lot of

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fun doing it. Let's bring in Ross Benjamin, the man

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who has been on absolute fire on his free plays

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there on the wager Talk YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Ross, welcome in.

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Speaker 5: Always good to see you, Kelly.

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Speaker 2: It's always a great day here at wager Talk, especially

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when you have one of the guys who has been

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crushing this year, just absolutely obliterating his free picks.

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Speaker 1: It's been on a MLB run right now.

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Speaker 2: He's currently number one at wager Talk, seventy four and

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forty six, just a little over seventy seven units. A

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crazy time here during the well was the slowest month

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of the season. Now before we get here to football season,

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kind of let everybody know what you're looking at today.

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I know you message me you liked the Brewers Braves game.

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Kind of break that one down for us.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, we got jose Kintana going for the Brewers, we

356
00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:16,039
got Spencer Streider going for the Braves. I'm gonna focus

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in on the Braves in this game, losing the first

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two games of the series, Milwaukee has been red hot.

359
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But here's a couple noteworthy items. The current Atlanta roster

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is thirty four for one oh four lifetime against Kintana.

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That's a three twenty seventeen batting average, a three ninety

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seven base percentage, fourteen extra base hits, including six home runs.

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Speaker 5: So this current roster for Atlanta.

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Speaker 6: Has had a lot of success against Jose Kintana, and

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Milwaukee bullpen has struggled over their last six games with

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a five ninety six ERA and one sixty three whip.

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As a staff, you're gonna pay a premium price here

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at minus one forty seven, But I like the Atlanta

369
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Braves to go over their team total of three and

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00:17:05,079 --> 00:17:07,559
a half. I got two more prop picks in this

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00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:11,680
game batting prop picks, Kelly. But anything you want to

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add or ask after.

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Speaker 2: That, Yeah, we're we're gonna let the guys jump in

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00:17:15,559 --> 00:17:18,079
the chat here and ask kind of away some baseball

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games only you and VR today, so we get to

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dictate how.

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Speaker 1: Long this show is going to be.

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Speaker 2: So if you guys have a baseball question, please jump

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00:17:27,519 --> 00:17:29,480
it in there. I'll get to Justin's question here about

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00:17:29,519 --> 00:17:32,400
splash after we get done with Ross right now, guys,

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00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:36,000
flexpicks over at wager dot dot com. You have a

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00:17:36,079 --> 00:17:38,559
three day FlexPass for only forty nine bucks. That's gonna

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00:17:38,559 --> 00:17:41,119
save you up to thirty percent. Why do we love

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00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,920
flex picks Because you are in control of how and

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00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:47,720
when you access your betting experts. So you gotta choose

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00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,119
your handicapper on each day and you get full access

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00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,640
to all their selections for that day. So you like

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00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:56,200
Ross on Wednesday, you can have Ross on Wednesday. You

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00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,359
want to switch on Thursday and go back to Ross

390
00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:02,000
on Friday, you absolutely can do that. Let's a couple

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00:18:02,039 --> 00:18:04,720
of those prop bets here in this Brewers Braves game.

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Two guys, I don't know anybody on the baseball teams,

393
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:09,799
Let's be honest. That's why we need Ariel Epstein in

394
00:18:09,839 --> 00:18:14,200
here host in baseball shows. But Asie Alby's and Marcel

395
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,759
Azuna here, let's talk about both these guys both plus

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00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,440
money prop bets here.

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00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,559
Speaker 6: Ross yeah on total basis, and as the lbi's let's

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00:18:23,599 --> 00:18:30,119
start with him Kelly eight for sixteen lifetime career versus Quintana.

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00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:34,200
So it's a five hundred batting average three home runs

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00:18:34,519 --> 00:18:38,759
out of those eight hits. Albie's over his last eight

401
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:42,119
games isn't really lighting it up, but he's still nine

402
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:46,119
for thirty one two ninety team batting average, and very important,

403
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,799
he's walked six times in those last eight games, plus

404
00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:55,400
two doubles. So I'm gonna go with Ozzie Albie's two

405
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,640
or more extra base hits or excuse me, two or

406
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:02,599
more total basis at money line odds of plus one

407
00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:06,480
point thirty. Let's turn to Marcello Zuna. It's always, you know,

408
00:19:06,519 --> 00:19:09,400
if you're looking at using Marcelo Zuna this year, it's

409
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,720
always good to check to see if he's in the

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00:19:11,759 --> 00:19:15,519
starting lineup because he's become somewhat of a part time

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00:19:15,559 --> 00:19:18,359
player for the Braves over the last month or so.

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00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,519
But he is slated to be hitting in the three

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hole today and he's eleven for twenty six career against

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00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:29,319
Kintana with one home run. It's a four to twenty

415
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:34,319
three batting average of four to eighty three on base percentage.

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00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:40,960
He's also walked six times against Kintana in those plate appearances,

417
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:44,920
and over his last seven games he's hitting two eighty six,

418
00:19:45,039 --> 00:19:48,079
not great again, not bad either, but he smashed two

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00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:53,160
home runs and hit six RBIs will walking nine times

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00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,319
in his last seven games. I'm gonna go with marcel

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00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:01,319
O Zona two or more total bases at moneyline odds

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00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:03,880
a plus one forty five. And last week, folks, if

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00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:07,240
you were with me, I had Andre Volpi or excuse me,

424
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:11,680
Andrew Volpi one or more hits, and I also had

425
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:15,319
Andrew Vope to hit a home run at plus five

426
00:20:15,319 --> 00:20:18,279
point fifty. And guess what, Kelly hit a home run

427
00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:18,920
at the top.

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00:20:18,759 --> 00:20:20,720
Speaker 5: Of the ninth. So let's keep it going.

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00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,559
Speaker 1: Oh, the top of the ninth. That sounds very exciting, guys.

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00:20:24,599 --> 00:20:27,079
Speaker 2: In the comment section, I tried to post the link

431
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:28,680
to the wager talk free picks page.

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00:20:28,759 --> 00:20:31,039
Speaker 1: For some reason, Streamyard will not let me do that.

433
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,119
Speaker 2: But go to wager talk dot com right there to

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00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,559
the top bar, click free picks and you will get

435
00:20:35,599 --> 00:20:39,319
all of the free picks on that page. Ross, do

436
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:41,039
you have anything up on the free picks page or

437
00:20:41,079 --> 00:20:43,160
do you have anything up on the wager talk YouTube

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00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:44,240
channel For today.

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00:20:44,599 --> 00:20:47,559
Speaker 6: I will have something up on the wager Talk YouTube

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00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:52,240
channel and it will be this game. Actually, I take

441
00:20:52,279 --> 00:20:54,799
that back, I'm not scheduled to do a video. My

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00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,160
only video today is my segment with Kelly, and she

443
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,119
always makes me look a hell of a lot better

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00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,799
because people who want to look at my face all

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00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,880
day she want they want to see her beautiful face.

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00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 5: So there you have it.

447
00:21:06,039 --> 00:21:08,039
Speaker 6: I mean, if you missed this live, I guess you

448
00:21:08,079 --> 00:21:09,200
can catch it on archive.

449
00:21:09,799 --> 00:21:11,680
Speaker 1: Yes you can. Ross.

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00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 2: Let me know what else you've got going on over

451
00:21:14,079 --> 00:21:17,920
at wager Talk for football season last year, you absolutely

452
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:22,400
crushed football season number one, and you just were red

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00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:24,119
hot for a better part of the year. I think

454
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,799
you and I switched roles. I couldn't get a single

455
00:21:26,839 --> 00:21:29,240
outright underdog winner. No that's not true. I just couldn't

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00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:31,480
get three of them in one weekend. We're going to

457
00:21:31,599 --> 00:21:34,160
change that this year. But tell everybody for college football

458
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,000
kind of if they're looking to buy your package, what

459
00:21:36,039 --> 00:21:38,920
to expect from you, what type of college football handicapper

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00:21:39,039 --> 00:21:41,359
you are, and just got to give them an idea

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00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:43,200
of what to expect for this upcoming season.

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00:21:43,519 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 5: Well, thank you for asking. Kelly.

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00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,119
Speaker 6: Number one in college football last year, and both units

464
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:53,359
earned and win percentage. Two years ago, I was number

465
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,400
two in units earned and if you combine the last

466
00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:00,519
two college football seasons number one and units earned at

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00:22:00,519 --> 00:22:03,839
wager talk dot com and Kelly, you know, there's some

468
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,319
world class sports betting experts at wagertalk dot com. And

469
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,160
that's facts, folks. That's not me bragging about the rest

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00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:12,720
of the guys.

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00:22:13,079 --> 00:22:13,799
Speaker 5: In any event.

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00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 6: You can get my college football annual package right through

473
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,880
the National Championship Game right now for just five ninety nine.

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00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,640
I finished the last college football season on a sixty

475
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:31,039
and thirty five run, which is a sixty three percent run,

476
00:22:31,799 --> 00:22:34,160
So a lot of good things to look forward to

477
00:22:34,319 --> 00:22:37,519
in college football. If you want to throw in the NFL,

478
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,799
you can get college Football NFL right now for seven

479
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,319
hundred and seventy seven dollars, folks. I mean, you can't

480
00:22:44,319 --> 00:22:47,720
beat that. That's what's that in an additional one hundred

481
00:22:47,759 --> 00:22:50,680
and seventy eight dollars if my math is correct, and

482
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,440
you'll get the NFL right through the Super Bowl, all

483
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:57,400
my preseason picks, and again the college football right through

484
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:01,160
the National Championship Game, and then one of the best

485
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,920
specials we got going on right now five ninety eight.

486
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:09,440
You can get my next thirteen weeks all access pass

487
00:23:09,519 --> 00:23:12,680
on anything I put out on the premium side five

488
00:23:12,839 --> 00:23:15,440
ninety eight for the next thirteen weeks, folks. That's at

489
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,680
eight hundred and ninety nine dollars value, two hundred and

490
00:23:18,759 --> 00:23:19,960
ninety nine dollars off.

491
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,319
Speaker 5: Take advantage of that offer.

492
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,799
Speaker 6: And lastly, the best value on the board, three hundred

493
00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:28,680
and sixty five day all access passed from yours truly

494
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,440
normally nineteen ninety nine right now for a limited time,

495
00:23:32,799 --> 00:23:35,519
you can get it for eleven eighty eight. That's eight

496
00:23:35,559 --> 00:23:40,000
hundred and eleven dollars off, folks. And also you were

497
00:23:40,039 --> 00:23:42,759
going to get a twenty five percent bonus coupon. Not

498
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,079
only will you get my pics for the next three

499
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,839
hundred and sixty five days in all sports, but you'll

500
00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:50,200
have three hundred and sixty five days to use that

501
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,519
twenty five percent bonus coupon toward any other handicapper on

502
00:23:54,599 --> 00:24:00,039
the site, whether it be daily picks or all access passes. So,

503
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:05,880
in terms of college football handicapping, there's various ways I

504
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:10,640
attack it, Kelly, and I let me just start at

505
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,680
the top. I look for a good underdog with value,

506
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,880
not only a good underdog, but an underdog I truly

507
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:21,200
believe can win the game outright realistically, I start there.

508
00:24:21,839 --> 00:24:24,440
I also look for look ahead spots once we get

509
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:25,880
into the conference.

510
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,400
Speaker 5: Schedule, even early in the year.

511
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,799
Speaker 6: If a team has a non conference game against a

512
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:35,000
nationally ranked opponent ahead of them and maybe they were

513
00:24:35,039 --> 00:24:39,039
a road favorite the week before, another situation to keep

514
00:24:39,079 --> 00:24:41,920
an eye on. So there's several I could go on

515
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:43,960
and on, and we just don't have enough. I know

516
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:45,759
we have a lot of time on today's show, but

517
00:24:45,839 --> 00:24:46,640
not that much.

518
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,559
Speaker 2: All right, at ross Benjamin one there on APS, you

519
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:53,920
guys can check him out as well as the Wager

520
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,920
Talking YouTube play page. He does a ton of free

521
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:58,720
baseball videos. That's where he went.

522
00:24:58,839 --> 00:24:59,559
Speaker 1: How many did you.

523
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 3: End up going in a row?

524
00:25:00,519 --> 00:25:00,559
Speaker 1: Was?

525
00:25:00,599 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 5: It?

526
00:25:00,759 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 1: Wasn't it like last I looked? It was like fifty

527
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:03,480
two and eleven.

528
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I sent it to you. Let me check real quick.

529
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 2: I can't remember it was And it was a run

530
00:25:10,319 --> 00:25:12,039
I've never seen my entire life.

531
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:15,039
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's still good, but I cooled off a bit,

532
00:25:15,319 --> 00:25:18,599
and as you well know, the trolls come out of

533
00:25:18,599 --> 00:25:21,039
the woodwork once you cool off a little bit.

534
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:24,039
Speaker 2: Sorry, fifty two and eleven is pretty darn good.

535
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 1: I'm not worried about the trolls.

536
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,559
Speaker 2: I'm just mad I didn't jump on until you were

537
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,640
like thirty nine and nine.

538
00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:32,279
Speaker 1: That was the problem I waited.

539
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 6: You can't.

540
00:25:33,039 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 2: You can't jump on the end of the hot streak.

541
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,720
You gotta get on it and get on it early.

542
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 6: But that's yeah.

543
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:39,519
Speaker 2: Here at wager Talk, we put out a ton of

544
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:42,559
free content. So we love you guys. We always appreciate

545
00:25:42,559 --> 00:25:45,000
the likes. We always hit the subscribe buttons. You guys

546
00:25:45,079 --> 00:25:47,519
never missed another episode. Also shout out to a couple

547
00:25:47,519 --> 00:25:50,680
of our new premium subscribers in the chat titan seet,

548
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:51,799
I see you.

549
00:25:52,839 --> 00:25:54,839
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get to some of these questions, Ross, So.

550
00:25:54,759 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna let you get out of here and get

551
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:58,119
ready for football season.

552
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 6: Get Run by the Way is currently fifty eight, nineteen

553
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:05,880
and seventy two and twenty six with the free picks,

554
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,519
and I don't forget folks, those are free. My best

555
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,000
bets are the way to go over to long haul.

556
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:13,960
You know, I like to tell you I'm going to

557
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,039
continue on that type of run with my free picks,

558
00:26:17,079 --> 00:26:20,000
but it's not realistic, Kelly. You know, it's not a

559
00:26:20,079 --> 00:26:22,039
lack of confidence, it's just reality.

560
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 2: So jump on regression to the mean, we all have

561
00:26:26,079 --> 00:26:28,920
regression and it comes for us. We can't control when

562
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:30,759
it'll be. It might be in one hundred picks from now,

563
00:26:30,839 --> 00:26:34,640
it might be starting today. Hopefully it keeps nice and

564
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,039
hot for you through college football season. Ross, and I'll

565
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:39,440
be doing a lot of talking during college football because

566
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:41,599
we are similar handicappers in that we're looking for those

567
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:46,319
outright underdogs. Maybe we can't cash little three team moneyline parlay. Ross,

568
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:47,319
What do you say.

569
00:26:47,559 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 5: You know anything for you, my dear, So, I think

570
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:52,920
we could do that.

571
00:26:53,279 --> 00:26:53,799
Speaker 1: I love it.

572
00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:56,319
Speaker 2: We'll get you out of here on this beautiful Wednesday.

573
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:58,519
We'll get a couple more questions in the chat. Justin

574
00:26:58,599 --> 00:27:02,559
p wants to know about Splash. So, justin full disclosure,

575
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,799
last year we had way too many ties out of

576
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,279
everybody in the world mad at me. So I wanted

577
00:27:07,319 --> 00:27:09,599
to do pick two and then pick three weeks. But

578
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,359
the Splash guys and I kind of all got together.

579
00:27:12,839 --> 00:27:15,319
Speaker 1: And said, hey, no, aac.

580
00:27:15,519 --> 00:27:17,880
Speaker 2: They said, picked three major conferences, and I was not

581
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,319
leaving the big twelve out. We want some big chances

582
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,519
of upsets, of course, but I do think we are

583
00:27:23,559 --> 00:27:25,000
going to see it, especially because you have to pick

584
00:27:25,039 --> 00:27:26,559
two picks a week. If you guys want to get

585
00:27:26,599 --> 00:27:31,440
involved in the Kelly and Murray College Football Survivor, it

586
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:35,960
is over on splash sports dot com Backslash Kelly in Vegas,

587
00:27:36,039 --> 00:27:37,640
so guys head over there. I've also got a one

588
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:42,440
hundred dollars college football that picked seven contests every single week.

589
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,279
You got to pick seven games against the spread, and

590
00:27:44,319 --> 00:27:47,440
they just guaranteed that one twenty five thousand dollars prize pool.

591
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:49,720
If you're a heavy hitter, get in on the five

592
00:27:49,799 --> 00:27:51,759
hundred dollars one. Aaronl Epstein and I are going to

593
00:27:51,799 --> 00:27:54,920
try to do a touchdown survivor and many losers.

594
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 1: John Murray's idea. We're going to do a mini Losers

595
00:27:58,319 --> 00:27:59,480
NFL Survivor. That's right.

596
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:01,839
Speaker 2: You have to pick a loser every single week instead

597
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,519
of pick a winner. Pick losers for eighteen weeks, and

598
00:28:04,559 --> 00:28:06,599
you are getting paid. So we're working out some of

599
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,559
the last details on those.

600
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 1: It's all I got for you, guys.

601
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,079
Speaker 2: I was in the comments section today seeing what you

602
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:13,839
guys want.

603
00:28:13,759 --> 00:28:14,359
Speaker 1: To talk about.

604
00:28:14,559 --> 00:28:16,559
Speaker 2: You guys are kind of quiet outside of Sean Michael.

605
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:18,519
So I'm gonna get out of here. I gotta get

606
00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:21,799
packed for Boston. We've got PLL weekend. You guys can

607
00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:25,319
see that lacrosse stick behind me. Very excited for Boston

608
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,440
and to hang out there at the beautiful Harvard Stadium

609
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:30,319
with my best friend Aaron Epstein. So make sure you

610
00:28:30,319 --> 00:28:33,720
guys head over to our ex Instagram and so forth

611
00:28:33,799 --> 00:28:36,920
so you guys can watch all the Premier Lacrosse League

612
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:40,119
action for this weekend. Don't forget we also have our

613
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:43,400
Hit Streak Survivor. We just did a little reap fifteen

614
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,240
dollars buy in. Just got to pick a guy to

615
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,759
get a hit every single day. I made it eight days.

616
00:28:47,839 --> 00:28:49,680
The girl who knows nothing about baseball made it eight

617
00:28:49,759 --> 00:28:52,880
days last time. See if we can't win the whole

618
00:28:53,119 --> 00:28:57,160
dang thing. I hope you guys have a wonderful Wednesday

619
00:28:57,319 --> 00:29:01,640
afternoon and cash some of those tickets. Andy Lang will

620
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,599
be back Thursday and Friday right here on the wager

621
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,759
Talk YouTube channel, and you can of course catch Steve

622
00:29:06,799 --> 00:29:09,319
Merrill filling in for Aerial Epsteine here Saturday.

623
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 1: Last Call