Speaker 1: All, Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk
the walk.
Speaker 2: It is Monday. We got to set the tone for
the week.
Speaker 1: We got football, we got hopes, we got sharp market insight.
I'm always John, joined by Dan, who's wearing a Guinness shirt.
He enjoyed a Guinness last night, a proper Guinness.
Speaker 3: Yeah go wrong, properly bored Irish pob. They know how
to do it. You know, you got and everything feeling
good on a Monday, Eddie, how you doing, brother?
Speaker 2: You know I'm doing pretty good.
Speaker 1: We hit a five percent NFL yesterday, woke up to
a four percent cricket winner and with three and one
in darts already this morning.
Speaker 2: So it's it's noon and we're already we're already doing
very very well. The week's off to a good start,
which was much much needed.
Speaker 3: So and you well know, you well know, and folks
who watch his show know when you get to start
the week off on the right foot, it just puts
you in the right mindset to like cap games. It's
not like you're fighting from behind. So I'm glad to
hear you got a little pep in your step. I'm
also glad to hear that it is Monday here on
the program. Got another full week of shows coming your way.
No more days off, folks. We're gonna be here grinding
with you all along the way. On today's show, you
know what we got going, Janni the Greek is gonna
kick it off with us. Talk a little Steam report,
see what we're seeing in some of these college football
bowl games or you know, the playoff games obviously that
are coming up, and of course talk Monday Night Football.
Teddy Covers filling in for the illustrious Steve Merrill, so
we're gonna do a Rams and Falcons deep dive with him.
He's also got to show up on the channel. You
can check out right now. He's fresh off of opening
Line report. We're gonna do a little NBC doubleheader with him.
In NBA Cavs Spurs, MAVs Trailblazers, and you know we're
talking with Bill Krackenberger. He's gonna get you an NBA prop,
maybe a Monday Night football prop. I'm gonna be talking
some thoughts here in football as well, So a quasi
football Monday to start off with a touch of basketball
free plays all along the way wtforl G, and Andy's
going to take you all around the world, buddy, So
nothing too fuck to do it. Let's get into it, brother.
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring on Yannie Yanni. Happy Monday. Always
good to see you. How was your weekend, sir?
Speaker 4: Wonderful?
Speaker 5: Hit a five percent in college football, my first and
only college football five percent of the bowl season to date.
Speaker 4: That was on the bowl game.
Speaker 5: I got to play all five percent coming up for
subscribers in the next few days. What else it's great
steam room five premiums I released in the NFL yesterday
early games and four PM games went four and one
and gave out five props. Premium props for those hit
as well in the steam room. So I ended up
going eight and two on premiums in the steam room
and a free prop that hit. So we had over
fifteen hundred people that joined us. Hopefully they made money
off of that hour and an hour plus they spent
with me. So really good end to the week and
excited to end the year strong. Brother, It's that time
of the year and looking forward to twenty twenty six,
another chance to you know, move forward and progress like
we all want to do.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna guess what your five percent play was.
I love doing this, Dan News, I'm a nerd for this.
It was was it Penn State?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Penn State? Penn State?
Speaker 3: I did not right? Was that was? That was right?
Speaker 5: Maybe for Pussy's Bowl that was the points or for
Pussy's Ball that was to take the points for that one.
If you don't know who the better team on the
field is, you're doing it wrong.
Speaker 4: You're doing it.
Speaker 3: The crazy thing is is with how all these bulls
are named like, I won't be shocked if there's a
pointer for Pussy's Bowl next year. Yeah, I'm not gonna lie.
Don't don't be surprised. Brought to you by Bad Boy Mowers.
It's coming your way.
Speaker 4: It's State.
Speaker 2: Got Oh that's amazing. I was like at Penn State.
Sounds right up Yonni's Alley to be.
Speaker 5: Those are the best when they come in like that,
you know, and you almost never sweat it wired or wire.
Speaker 1: Yeah all right, Well, let's uh let meet your thoughts
on what you've seen in bull season so far. I've
had a couple of plays we've done well. We've been
focusing on team totals out. Yeah, in the chat, Army
Army was easing money. Yeah, we cashed a good one
on the Army team total in that one. What have
you noticed in bowls so far?
Speaker 5: No real surprises, meaning like you expect teams to give
effort in bowl games, you expect the back door to
be open for some of these dogs, like we saw
I was on the wrong side of one I had
in North Texas. They seem like the right side for
a lot of that game. But the back door stays
open in bowl season. It's kind of following what we
see year in in year out. A lot of conclusions
drawn are mistaken. A lot of the rankings, the final
rankings are off because they're based on the record, and
it should be because these teams make bold games based
on their records, meaning you got to win a certain
amount of games to make the Bulls. So if you're
able to win a lot of games, you're going to
be in the rankings. But all that has to do
with conference, has to do with strength of schedule, and
that sports betters were able to take advantage.
Speaker 4: So it's kind of.
Speaker 5: Been a normal bull season to date for me, you know,
and what I'm seeing from the groups that I work with.
It's been profitable, which why I expect each and every
bowl season, and it really starts to take form this
next week. Like with the playoffs, I think now it'll
really like get a lot more exciting because the formats changed,
where before it was like, you know, you look forward
to that ball season with college football, most notably New
Year's Day, But that's changed now with the playoffs, so
it's a little bit different. And I think now it'll
start to pick off as far as the excitement level
because we're about the crown and national champion real soon.
Speaker 2: Let's do Monday Night Football hero real quick.
Speaker 1: I guess the big thing was after last night's game,
the Rams kind of don't have a whole lot to
play for. I look at this game like the Rams
are going to play everybody their normal you know, their
normal usage. McVeigh said that this morning in an interview.
So are we seeing any big change with the markets?
I know it's the player props haven't moved really at Also,
those markets are telling me.
Speaker 5: Yeah, here here's the situation. And I mean, listen, everybody
knows that you don't need to hear it from me.
You have the Rams, which are the number one team
in the NFL power rating wise. In fact, I actually
bet a future on them two days ago at plus
four fifty to win the Super Bowl. I just happened
to be in the casino that had the line up
at four fifty. I was hoping to get at plus
five honor, but they had plus four to fifty. I
had some money on me, and I laid it only
because I had just gotten my updated power ratings and
they're a one and a half point better than the
second best team, which is Seattle. And they're about a
field goal better than the third best team, which is
San Francisco.
Speaker 4: And at the end of.
Speaker 5: The day, you're giving me four to one on a
team that nobody in the field is better, then I
got to take it, and I put a future on
the Rams. Obviously, now tonight's game means nothing except for seating,
so again it doesn't matter for the playoffs. Obviously, you
want better seating if you want to win a Super Bowl.
So I expect the Rams to show up, and on
paper they're the much better team. They're the number one offense,
they're top ten defense, and they've had the number one
strength of schedule that's the reasons that I bet them
in the future market. And then I also have a
quarterback that's number two in passing success rate. Like, you
can't get better team on paper than all of that data.
Speaker 4: You just can't.
Speaker 5: So the Rams are the best team in the NFL.
And the thing with Atlanta is what are they playing for?
Pride primetime game, Monday night football, That's about it, right,
But they already had that earlier in the season where
they had more or less nothing to play for, and
it was a big Monday night game. I remember because
I cashed the ticket on them with that narrative that
it really matters. They hadn't had a Monday night game
for a couple of years in Atlanta and it was
a big deal.
Speaker 4: That's gone now that's gone.
Speaker 5: So for me, like taking Atlanta is tough to do,
but power rating wise, it's the right side. And that's
where I'm having difficulty getting to because I do think
power rating wise, Atlanta is the right side. The Rams
should not be this big of a favorite on the
road against Atlanta, but it's hard to quantify motivation. And
if Atlanta finds themselves ten points behind, fourteen points behind,
are they going to give me that effort for the
whole sixty minutes that I want from an underdog. That's
where I got to get to between now and kickoff,
because when you look at Atlanta, they're barely in the
you know, a twenty fifth offense, twenty fifth defense. They
had a twenty five twenty sixth strength of schedule.
Speaker 4: Like it's a week football team.
Speaker 5: But in the NFL, you know, we know that the
points spreads is the great equalizer, and I do think
the line's a little bit too high, but you know,
I got to see if I could get to the
window with with Atlanta. But I do like the total
a lot if I'm able to confirm it, check within
the next sixty minutes, if it's up on wager talk.
Because this tonight's game, the primetime pimp sees a five
percent possible possibility in this game. It's set up nicely.
But again, we got to we got hours between now
and kickoff. But that's where it stands. I think the
Rams will be heavily teased. I think the books will
need Atlanta when this game kicks off, no surprise, they
usually need the dog on primetime anyway. But this this
sets up for a teaser at seven and a half.
And that's what I talked about in the steamer with
my subscribers yesterday that there was only one side on
Sunday that was teasable and the only other thing you
could tease it with was the rams on Monday night.
So hopefully some guys got rams at you know, minus
one and a half for tonight.
Speaker 4: That's a good bet.
Speaker 5: Again, I think they are teaser if it gets the
seven and a half across the board. If not, then
it doesn't fall under there and I'll probably just sit
on my total.
Speaker 1: I got a five percent in this game tonight. I
love it, you know me, I focus on props, so
it's my first five percent of prime time the entire season. Yeah,
it's player prop. Yeah, I love it this game. This
game has so many soft lines on it. I'm pretty stunned.
So I'm locked and loaded.
Speaker 6: Ready.
Speaker 1: We do have a question here in the chat. Damn,
you want to pull this one up. It's about uh
Bama and Indiana?
Speaker 3: Is that right?
Speaker 7: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's wondering thoughts. I mean, obviously he's hoping that
you're going to tell that there's a live barking dog
because smooth with the Alabama Criston High logo.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna tell you what my power rating is right now.
Painted yeah, power rating neutral field. It's exactly uh five
and a half, five and a half. Indiana's five and
a half points better than Alabama. And the edge is
both in offense and on the defensive side of the ball,
meaning they have the advantage offensively and they have the
advantage defensively. And their strength of schedule is really respectable.
They have an eighteenth strength of schedule and Alabama had
the fourth toughest strength of schedule in college football. So
for Indiana'd be thirteen and oh and have a you know,
a top twenty strength of schedule and with that produce
a top three offense, top three defense.
Speaker 4: This team's legit.
Speaker 5: They're number two of my power ratings and they deserve it.
I have a few on Alabama and I'm really can't
hedge this. Luckily, I also have a future on Ohio State.
That's why I'm gonna let it ride. The Alabama wont
n Ohio State, and it's for the same amount to
win twenty five units, but I don't expect to win that.
I do think Indiana is the better team, and they
should be about a five to five and a half
point favorite in this game. So if you could get like,
you know, seven, if they drive it to their I
think the values on Alabama, but I don't think on
paper at least Indiana is the much better team.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I'm looking at DraftKings right now
and it is seven. DraftKings has moved to seven.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think line value is in Alabama. Line values Alabama, Yeah, I.
Speaker 3: Mean it's it's basically it's painted seven. I mean, circo
what they're hanging an even money on it, so you
can call it what six point seven five I guess,
but basically seven's across the marketplace there. Yeah. I'm also wondering,
I mean, since we segued into it here, what else
are we doing here? Thoughts here on the college football playoffs?
Because I know we got bowl games that people are
going to betting, but the Marquees are obviously what we're
going to be having coming up here to end the
end the week. So what are we thinking here?
Speaker 5: I'll give you one. I like Michigan a lot. I
like Michigan over Texas. I think these two teams are
a lot closer than the betting line reflects. In fact,
I have Texas being maybe a one one and a
half point favorite on a neutral field. And the big
difference between the two teams is the strength of schedule,
because Texas has had like a top ten strength of schedule,
very respectable strength of schedule. Michigan barely top thirty two,
nine and three teams, but with a different strength of schedule.
But the touchdown is just way too much. I'll let
you know. I gave it out to my subscribers as
a four percent. I think we took Michigan at plus eight.
I thought that was way too high. I get it.
A lot of players opt in. Now we saw that,
but that's already factored and baked into the cake. Unless
you got information before, you're not getting ahead of anything.
That's why everybody you know was talking about the players
out on Penn State and opting out.
Speaker 4: That's already factored into the price. It's already baked.
Speaker 5: You don't need the dm ME to tell me, hey,
do you know this about your five percent? I already
factored that into that. I know, I know he opted out.
Speaker 3: I get it.
Speaker 5: I get it, like I appreciate I appreciate having my
back and let me know in case I overlooked the
starting quarterback's not going to be there, No just throwing it.
It wasn't the starting quarterback. But I got DMS like, hey,
you know this guy's opted out.
Speaker 4: I don't.
Speaker 5: It's funny, like, yeah, I kind of know, but yeah,
don't don't. Don't put too much stock in that because again,
unless you got out ahead of it, it is baked into
the cake. But yeah, that's what I'm looking at. Exciting
playoffs ahead in college football. Then of course NFL playoffs.
Speaker 6: Love it.
Speaker 1: Can you give us a quick steam report any college basketball,
NBA anything that you're seeing up right now before we
let you go.
Speaker 4: Yeah, i'll give you.
Speaker 5: I gave out two NBA premium. I was already a
four percent and a three percent. I'll give you a
three percent. It's Golden State. It's public two. And it's
because it got bet down too low. The overnight was
like at seven, it got steamed down. A group took
the home dog there with Brooklyn maybe at seven, but
down at four. We got involved at minus four on
Golden State, minus three and a half and four on
Golden State. Here's a couple of college basketball for you
aightoh three Merrimack plus two eight fifty nine, Yale plus
sixteen and a half eight oh eight, William and Mary
minus one eight fourteen, Rider plus three eight oh nine,
Dartmouth plus thirty seven eight four to three, Saint Peter
plus three and a half eight sixty five South Dakota
State plus thirty four. I said, it's Monday, but it's
been a busy, busy, busy, busy morning and already unloading.
Let's close out the year strong by hitting this five
percent tonight.
Speaker 2: All right, let's get it, Yanni, you and me.
Speaker 1: Let's let's let's let's reconvene in both celebrating our five
percent wins.
Speaker 2: Tell veron what you up a wager?
Speaker 5: Talking good luck brother, That's what's comming. I can't pull
the trigger yet. Within the next sixty minutes, if it's there,
it'll be there. Otherwise I have bolt packages up, and
more importantly, the long term package you still have like
forty eight hours. I think to use that ex Miss
twenty five for twenty five percent all jump on board
long term steam sheet Thurtin January first subscribers will get
that for free. You'll have all that information each and
every day and again coming off of a solid close
to twenty twenty eight and excited about twenty twenty five
and excited about twenty twenty six, getting ahead of myself.
Speaker 4: So yeah, good luck to everybody tonight.
Speaker 1: Yanni already predicted your future that he's going to have
a big twenty twenty eight.
Speaker 2: Yani, Yeah, I can see it.
Speaker 3: Awesome.
Speaker 1: Nobody better than Yanni to get to started on a Monday, Dan,
that's for sure.
Speaker 3: Gets you up. It would be hilarious if if Janni
was like, I think I'm gonna suck next year, but
we'll see how it goes like that would be so
atypical of Yanni's personality. But you know, hey, I love
turning the page. It's crazy because you always get to
start fresh, obviously, you know with the new calendar of
seeing if it was a rough year, hey, you know,
it's bounced back time. If you had a great year,
you try and trust the process, you keep on rolling.
So you know, that's that's the time of spot that
we're in here.
Speaker 2: I do want to tell you, but I do have
a five percent best bet that is up tonight.
Speaker 1: It's the first primetime five percent, best bet I've had
all season in the NFL. We just saw the card
really well. This weekend reads were spot on. We hit
a five percent yesterday. As you know, Dan, like some
weeks you're like, I don't have a good read on this.
Speaker 2: NFL week, we really nailed.
Speaker 1: We really nailed some of these plays and some of
these reads and these free plays and videos that we did.
Speaker 2: So time to fire a big one tonight.
Speaker 1: Like I said, we hit our five percent yesterday, So
first one of the season for primetime. We're twenty seven
and fifteen. Primetime has been good. Five percent was good.
This weekend reads we were pretty confident. So that's over
to wager talk dot com WT dot bus slash A.
I believe that's the only play we're going to have
up for today. It's only when we need so great
morning cash, some darts plays, cash, a big cricket plays
in the chat.
Speaker 3: Saw people in the chat saying, hey, we got our
cricket winner last night, back to back cricket winner. So
only on wager talk today following a crazy NFL week
seventeen Sunday is half of the chat populated with crickets
and darts. Hey, we had some bets you got.
Speaker 1: Dan, Dan, I've been watching darts all morning. They've been
playing all morning. And when the steamer Yanny did the
steamer part, he said Dartmouth.
Speaker 2: I immediately went to, oh, Dar.
Speaker 3: We're like, who got hit in the mouth with the dark?
Speaker 6: What happened?
Speaker 3: Here?
Speaker 7: Is everything?
Speaker 6: Okay?
Speaker 8: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Because that's been all just got steam rolled? All right,
let's do uh, let's do some questions. Good week of
questions for the NFL. Yeah, Week seventeen in.
Speaker 3: The top one, Andy.
Speaker 6: One.
Speaker 1: They did it again, Jets no interceptions. They got one
game left, So, Dan, will the Jets finish the year
with no interceptions?
Speaker 6: There?
Speaker 1: I think there's a possibility they're facing Mitch Trubisky next week.
Speaker 2: That's the thing.
Speaker 7: Yeah.
Speaker 3: But I mean, and at this point, this is this
has become now you almost don't want an interception. The
Jets have to get into the record book for something,
you know what I mean? Why not getting the record
book for this? There ain't gonna be winning seasons.
Speaker 1: I'll you know what, We've we've made so much money,
Betty hikgainst this Jets team not to have an interception.
Speaker 2: Let's roll with it next week.
Speaker 1: I almost hope we get Triubisky because if it's if
it's Josh, if Josh Allen's playing, then like we're not,
Like yeah, the lines away like minus three hundred. So
all right, better QB for the Ravens right now, Dan,
all of a sudden, they have this really intriguing game.
If you are a Ravens fan, if you are a
good friend Ariel, do you want Lamar or Huntley right now?
Speaker 3: I mean, Lamar Jackson is still Lamar Jackson. We can
say that, but the proof is in the pudding, right Andy,
And this season, Lamar Jackson MVP hasn't showed up for
all of what one or two plays here and there.
The dude's clearly injured number one, number two ever since
the big blow up on the sideline between him and
Harball this was early on in the year, where He's
throwing down his helmet, Carbo's throwing down his clipboard. It's
just been oil and vinegar for those two this entire season.
So if you got a guy who can fall in
line put up the points that they put up in Huntley,
it's crazy to say, but look, I would be surprised
if Lamar Jackson didn't play this weekend, simply because it's
a winner, go home game. But man, there is something
wrong in that locker room between the head coach and
that quarterback, you know, tapping out the way that Lamar
kind of did with back injury. So I'm gonna get
killed in the comments. But Huntley is the proof being
in the putting. Last week they went up against a
decent defense in the Packers on the road, and you
know we're able to put up points I have.
Speaker 2: I think it's honly.
Speaker 3: Because he can hand it off Henry Henry, That's the
recipe of success.
Speaker 1: Are the Saints the best team in the NFC South
right now?
Speaker 3: I don't like it.
Speaker 2: This is a legit question.
Speaker 1: I might This is when we got opposed to Teddy
when Teddy comes on here? Are the Saints the best
team in the NFC South right now?
Speaker 2: What I mean? I'm I lean.
Speaker 1: No, But the fact that it's a question does not
speak well of who's leading.
Speaker 2: This for their head coach.
Speaker 3: For sure, they're buying what Kellen Moore's selling.
Speaker 1: Man, Uh, your team had the most tango and cash
performance of the season yesterday. No completions in the second half,
seventeen yards. I'm sorry no completions and seventeen yards in
the second half in a win, and I couldn't take
my eyes off of it. So I'm asking did the
Bills peak to early? Are the Eagles peaking at the
right time?
Speaker 3: Dan, I think you know, watching this team week after week,
there's one constant. And there were a lot of people
talking about how this paralleled the Philadelphia Eagles twenty twenty
three season, when they had this super hot start the
bottom fell out. The difference was in twenty twenty three,
they didn't have Big Fangio as a defensive coordinator. They
didn't have this defensive talent that they have with Jalen
Carter and Jordan Davis just absolutely mucking things up. So
this has been the constant for the Philadelphia Eagles is
some ineptitude offensively, especially in the play calling department and
especially in the offensive line consistency department. However, the one
thing that is state constant is the defense. This defense
continues playing the way that they've been playing. You'd like
to see that offense come along a little bit, but Andy,
they're the first team who not only in the second
half did they not you know, complete a pass to
get seventeen yards, they don't score a point. Andy, They've
done that twice this year and they won both games.
They did the same thing against the Bucks. I mean,
if that doesn't Sandio doesn't walk into the office and say, hey,
I need to raise next year Jeff Lorie and put
those two games and say that's why. I mean, you're
doing yourself a disservice, old Vicky.
Speaker 2: They're the best ed.
Speaker 1: Finally, Steelers, Is that the most inexcusable loss of this
year in the NFL?
Speaker 3: I mean there's been a lot of them, Andy, I
don't I don't know if it's the most inexcusable loss.
But playing against the Browns team with a rookie quarterback
all in the world to gain setting it up, I
will say, Andy, misspass interference calls in that game. You
can't put it all on the Steelers, but it's pretty
it's pretty awful loss for them.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 1: All Right, So those are the questions. Let us know
in the comments section which one which one you like? So,
Phoenix sun Dust put in the chat Appalachians state plus ten.
If you want to have some fun, Phoenix Dust, I'll
go head to head with you. I'll take Georgia Southern
minus ten. Just let me know in the chat if
you want to go head.
Speaker 2: To head, we'll bet a three day pass on it.
Speaker 1: So let me know if you're still around and you
want to go have a little fun little head to
head for this afternoon's bowl game.
Speaker 2: Let's go to Yeah, let's go to.
Speaker 1: Where the books won and where the public one the
Bucks minus the points, books one big Broncos minus the points,
books on the books, one big on this Baltimore Green
Bay game that was that was where they did well,
and I wear the public. One Seattle Carolina under Giants
minus the points, just fading the Raiders. I listened to
John Murray say, he's like, we need the Raiders again,
like every week we need the Raiders and hasn't been working.
Patriots minus the points and the happless Jets and then
the Cowboys minus the points. So all right, let's go
to some prop winners and guys that won some fantasy
champ I mean, dere Derrick Henry was the big story.
Speaker 2: The problem is, I don't think he was in many champions.
I don't think he made it to that.
Speaker 3: That's a good point because if you've been wronging with
Derek Henry all year long. You probably didn't make it
because he's been not great.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Christian Watson was good, Zach Charboneay had the big,
big win, Drake May just absolutely huge, Jaylen McMillan for
the Bucks, and Chris Godwin. Of course we'll get to
the losers in that game. Parker Washington was huge, Tyler
Schuck and Chris a lobby. They've got something special going.
I want to bring up cam Ward because he's not
been playing that bad. He's gotten better over the course
of a season. He's he's on a bad team, He's
he's at least getting better. He's I just shout out
cam Ward. I think he's I think it's seasons being
swept under the rug a little bit. Chase Brown continues
to be a prop machine. Michael Wilson has won many leagues.
I'm sure Joe Burrow is huge. Tomorrow Chase and then
Jacorey Krossky merrit the late addition, if you were smart
enough to get Krosskey merited when they ruled out Rodriguez,
you probably won your league because of him and then
the big losers. Jamier Gibbs absolutely newked your fantasy teams
and props down the sid Justin Jefferson probably the worst health,
the worst healthy draft pick in the first round. Mike
Evans was terrible, Jayalen Wattle was awful, and I think
Jayla Wattle would you have nine snaps?
Speaker 2: Thanks very much? And Jalen Warren was not very good.
Speaker 1: So all right, so those are your prop fantasy football
winners and losers. Let's bring on Bill Krackenburger. Bill Happy Monday.
I hope everything's going well for you, sir.
Speaker 7: Yeah, Hi, what's going on, guys?
Speaker 8: No, I had a good uh had a good week,
and you know, it's just a good family week. And
I was, I was out of town. Besides getting bit
by a dog. Everything else is uh yeah.
Speaker 3: Buy a dog. What do they do it a dog?
Speaker 4: I love dogs, me too, We're all dog people.
Speaker 7: And uh yeah I was.
Speaker 8: I was protecting one of the other dogs, one of
the little four pound dogs, and a thirty pound dog
was charging at him, and I figured to get in
the way. Well, I'd probably save the other dog though,
but the dog bit me.
Speaker 7: Yeah it happens. Two gashes on my leg, but I'm okay.
Speaker 3: But the one wee could come on with the injured.
I now you're getting dog a type bill. We need
you healthy, man, you got you stay out of Hard's way.
Thank you for protecting the other dog. But be careful, buddy,
Come on man, we need you here.
Speaker 8: Yeah, everything was good, good, great week on wager Talk again,
Uh sixteen and eight plus eleven units and people will say, well,
why are you How can you be plus eleven unit
as well? Because you're betting more on NFL props that
I tell you to bet more than sides and totals.
Speaker 7: You're betting more on.
Speaker 8: That than you're betting on college basketball or anything else
outther sports. You have to go unit size. There is
stronger plays than other place. So and listen, had a
great football season. I've been telling people every week in
this spot and on many spots on wager Talk, uh,
get with me for a full season, get with me
till the end of Super Bowl. And those people have
prospered and they know what we have done. So yeah,
it's been a those NFL props have We're gonna win
on them. But you have to have UH Caesars, MGM
Drafting fan Duel or some of the local shops that
may offer props player props, because that's what it's going
to be player props, so and and but most of
them do. But they're gonna limit you after a while,
people know. But you're gonna play your own stuff too,
So not making fun of anybody, but you're gonna play
your own stuff, your own your your stuff that you
come up with.
Speaker 7: You're on your own.
Speaker 8: Uh So that that mixed in with the player props.
And I bet at first half yesterday that one. So
you're gonna bet I give out first half. We were
on a roll on the on first halfs and even
even sizes, you're up up a little bit. I don't
really bet too many sides. Maybe I don't know two
words for a month, not not a lot. I could
have been a disaster because the guy that I have followed,
I just smelt a rat and he is won every
year and he's losing this year. But I got off
him real early, like the second week, I said, let
me just sit and watch the third week, so he's
down about fifteen units for the year. He's won every
every single year that I followed me as one, so
you know, you know he's one of our originators. But
he does other things too. But his NFL has been
so good. And last year I made money on him.
The year before I made a few bucks. I said,
you know what, I'll start giving this stuff out. And
thank god I only gave it out week one and two. Yeah,
because I rebounded from that, and you know I have
some other sources also. So yeah, things are things are good,
having a good season. Like I said, though, I'll say
it now. I'll say at the end of my spot here,
you got to get on for a month super Bowl.
You know, super Bowl is only six weeks away. People say, what,
no way, Yeah, it's like less than six weeks away.
You know, you want to get on for a package
like that. You want to get on for the props exactly,
all props college college football. We've had our best season
in college football that I've had in a long time.
Rolling along there, it's been. It's been really good college basketball.
Uh turned around a couple of games last week, so
we're gonna have some good stuff there.
Speaker 7: And uh yeah, you have to just you have.
Speaker 3: To just have your alerts.
Speaker 8: On what's the word notifications, You have to have your
notifications on. If you don't have your email notifications on
when it comes to certain lines, maybe not the props
so much so, but because there's so many different spots
and there's slower move props too, But for college basketball
stuff like that, you want to have your notifications on.
You want to get those bets in as quick as
possible because a lot of my stuff does move the market.
Speaker 3: So absolutely, yeah, no, it's and you have to be
quick with it because, like you said, in those volatile markets,
they'll move like at the drop of the hat on once. Obviously,
once Bill throws in bets in and they see, you know,
all these accounts following them throwing them in, I mean,
Andy runs into the same thing in the prop market,
and we do got prop plays. We're gonna have a
free front play coming up for you from Bill Krackenberger.
But first, Bill opening Line Report is the show that
goes live before this with Teddy covers Kelly and Vegas
and they take a look at Hey, here's what the
opening lines are, Here's where we think they may be moving,
Here's what I would bet now. And one thing that
Teddy said that I wanted to get your thoughts on,
and we got Teddy coming up here to wrap the
show as well. You mentioned how week eighteen you can
almost liken it to like week three of the NFL preseason,
where there's a lot of players who aren't gonna be in.
It's guessing who's gonna be in, who's going to be out,
who has motivation, who's playing for what? How do you
kind of navigate week eighteen? Because Teddy put it perfectly,
he said, this is a minefield week. Is it a
lower volume week? Is it reading a lot of press clippings?
Is it following people that you trust? How do you
attack a week that very is unique where there's a
lot of teams who don't have much to play for.
Maybe they're even playing to lose in the case of
the Raiders, you know, shutting players down. Things like that.
When Week eighteen rolls around and it's question marks galore
and then teams with major motivation, how does Bill Krackenberger
bet it?
Speaker 8: Well, it's funny because last night, of course, I'm on
Sunday Night betting things, and I can't release them to
wager talk or the public because it's not fair.
Speaker 7: I don't do that.
Speaker 8: I can pad my record by releasing you know, Baltimore
Ravens minus three minus one ten. It's at circa only
or it's at Westgate only, or it's at DraftKings only.
I don't do that shit. I give you something that's obtainable.
So but I know a lot of people that want
to sell do that on other sites. I see it
terribly with little obscure books. You might as well say
bet this with the old lady on Arthur Rabbit that
runs Dot, that runs the hot dog cart.
Speaker 7: I mean, it's ridiculous, it's so stupid.
Speaker 8: So but last night was a very unusual Week eighteen
for me, very unusual last week of football. I know
we're going to get the moves and I know I'm
gonna beat the market and I will give you guys.
So the Ravens minus three minus one time, it was
a real play last night. I betted at Westky. I
believe westk I betted that for their max bet and
it moved. It's three and a half there, it moved
to I also laid the minus one sixty money line
at bet MGM. I found a really good money line there.
I like the Ravens over them. This is minus three
minus twenties out there. But then again, I'll bet more
on it. I'll try to bet more on an NFL
prop than I will this so But here's the unusual thing.
There was two plays last night. There was the Jets
plus thirteen and Arizona plus thirteen and a half. First,
the Rams well normally, and okay, now that I see
the line movement this morning, I jumped on it for
a peanut, just based on, all right, I'm gonna get
some line value here, because you know, the other teams
don't aren't gonna play their starters and stuff.
Speaker 7: So I just didn't know they moved to like nine, they.
Speaker 8: Moved four and a half points at a max because
you know, nine minus nine plus thirteen and a half's
a good bet. Minus nine and a half plus thirteen
i'm looking at is a good bet. But here's the thing.
The Jets are so terrible they could still easily get
blown out, easily the fire of an organization. I usually
don't say that I'm a math guy. I'm an algorithm guy.
I'm a model guy. It's driven by the number, and
the number means everything. This was a little unusual last night.
I was almost forced into take in the Jets plus
thirteen at the one spot that had it here, and
I just feel uncomfortable even with the even though the
line move four points. Now I do I and same
thing with Arizona. Maybe not as bad as the Jets,
but they're pretty bad. They're pretty bad, so either team
can get blown out. So how do I feel about that? Well,
I was ahead of the numbers. That's one thing, Yeah,
to be head of the marketplace. But I feel more
confident in the raven play, even though the Ravens play
really didn't move that I do the Jets or Arizona.
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're just some of.
Speaker 7: The moves that I was involved in last night.
Speaker 3: Yeah, And it's really almost like you're you're with these
kind of things. It feels like Bowl season almost you're
navigating who the hell is going to be playing? Who
the hell cares? So interesting stuff there, Bill. Before we
turn you loose, we get some thoughts on what you
have up here at wader talk dot com, WT dot buzz,
slash bks where you can get there. Quicker free player
prop for the folks. What are we doing? Are we
going to hoops? Are we on the hardwood? We go
into the grid iron tonight? What do you got for
the folks here? A little free play?
Speaker 8: I just want to make sure people know I bet
my own money on the this this is my MGM account.
As you can see, Ravens minus one sixty. I also
bet the Bengals minus seven on that line is now
under forty and a half in the Jets game forever.
Speaker 7: Whatever the max beets were there, their max beets are.
Speaker 8: A little bit lower, you know, for for that Sunday
night's definitely a more sensitive area for for max bets.
Speaker 7: And you asked me what I had up tonight? Did
you ask me about the NBA props that we asked me?
Speaker 3: I apologize, yeah, I will. Well, we'll talk about what
you got up before we turn you loose here. I
just wanted to get your thoughts. What do we got
for the NBA props? I know people love these free plays, man,
I have.
Speaker 8: An NBA prop for you guys. I just made sure
that they had the line there too. And I hate
to give out a line that's not obtainable. As matter
of fact, we'll even say thirty six and a half
or thirty good to thirty seven and a half. How
about that the Knicks Carl Anthony Towns to go over
a big number. I know it's a big number, thirty
six and a half minus fifteen, I'm seeing up to
thirty seven and a half minus won ten his points
and rebounds nixt to without John Hart and Robinson tonight
Pelicans are one of the worst teams against big men,
and look at this total, it's like two forty three
or something. High told that Towns should have plenty of
opportunities for scoring and rebounds. So let's go over Towns
on his points and rebounds tonight. As a as a player,
That's something I adjusted to too. I was always an
under guy. Now I'm still an underguy NFL props player props.
I still bet about seventy percent player props under sixty
to seventy, I would say, but I was more like
an eighty ninety percent under. I've adjusted a little bit
because the books have over adjusted in certain areas. So
but yeah, there's an over for you guys for in
tonight's NBA.
Speaker 3: Game, Kat going over and giving you some parameters there
on what it's good up to. That's Bill Krackenberger. Bill,
what do he got over at your page? Obviously incredible
follow even before he was at Wager talking. I think
all of us have been following at Bill Crackman, So
check him out on Social Bill what he got over
at your page wt Dot Buzz.
Speaker 7: And I do.
Speaker 8: I have the socials where I you know, I talk
common sense and you know, all my shows I try
to I'm real spontaneous.
Speaker 7: There's nothing prepared.
Speaker 8: It's even when I do my show at Boston spontaneous,
my show at Genre Orlando very spontaneous. John's a degeneric gambler.
He admits it so I could pick on him. And
he's a lot of the public. On my show with
Kelly in Vegas, I have no idea. We're getting ready
to do a show today. I don't know what it's about. Man, No, whatever,
she asked, bang we go with. Yeah, that's it's spontaneous.
Now over to the wager Talk wager Talk page. Yeah again,
I said at the beginning, I'll say it again. You
guys should sign up with me for more than a
even though we've won almost every week in the NFL.
We really had a spectacular season here, including last week
plus eleven units. I would sign up for a month.
Sign up, you know, email the girls, sign up to
the end of the super Bowl. Make sure you get
those super Bowl props, playoff props, super Bowl props, let
me be blunt.
Speaker 7: I haven't bet anything yet Week eighteen props.
Speaker 8: You want to be on these because I'm not the
guy that's gonna tell you, Hey, this incentive he's gonna
you want to play this because of the incentive for
him to score, He's gonna make money that's already baked
in the line.
Speaker 7: We know that there'll be times that I'll.
Speaker 8: Actually bet against that because they overmove the line so much.
Speaker 7: You know, guys, you know gets gets twenty.
Speaker 8: Five yards all year long and now he's lined at
thirty nine because he has an incentive. You know there
there'll be a lot of times dere wiggle against the grain.
There great information for Week eighteen. Like I said, go
onto the playoffs, I would sign up for. Like I said,
till up to the super Bowl. Get get all the super
Bowl props in.
Speaker 3: That's Bill Krackenberger, Big ops Man. Enjoy your show with
k IV and we'll see you next week. Bill crack
Man is where you can follow him on Twitter. And
Yet Andy also want to mention that x miss two
five code x NAS two five believe it's gonna be
live through the end of the day today maybe so
it's it's a great twenty five percent off anything even
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Speaker 6: Andy.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: You know we intro the show and we say we
talked to talk and walk the walk. Uh, shout out
to Phoenix Dust. Phoenix Dust has accepted the off for uh.
Speaker 2: So we're gonna we're gonna have a head to head.
Make Yeah, we got a head to head.
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be in this Georgia Southern app State
Phoenix dost has app State plus ten. I get Georgia
Southern minus in. I believe there's just too many opt
outs for app State. I don't even think they knew
they were playing in a bowl game. They have a
losing record, but they didn't have anybody else to play.
So by the time they had like got around to
like putting, like saying you're in the bowl, people had
opted out, coaches had left. So I'm gonna lay the
minus ten here, but the shout out to you, Phoenix.
Speaker 2: Shout out to you, Phoenix.
Speaker 1: It takes a lot to come on and make a
bet with.
Speaker 3: The so Andy side. If Andy side covers here he
gets a three free day access and if if you're
a side wins, then he'll be purchasing the axis. I
like it. We got to make it official. Whenever we
go head to head with the chat boxing bell must
be wrong. So the official bet has been made. And also, guys,
you know, commenting and being a part of the show
is huge. Commenting after the show is just as big.
And one of the things that we do with Teddy
covers who's coming up here in just a second, is
we do this sell me segment. It's an incredible segment.
Look forward to it. Everybody loves it in the office,
everybody on the show loves that. We look forward to it.
Where Andy and Teddy they get two random NFL sides.
And I think we're gonna try and continue this maybe
the NBA season something like that with you and Teddy
as we have them on with a little more regularity here.
But we break it down and you guys decide who
do you agree with, who do you disagree with? And
all you do is you comment with your username as well.
And we got a winner. That's right. He did it
correct Andy. After we explained how to do it, we
had the most proper entries in the history of doing
the sell me segment. We yeah, did it, dozens and
dozens and dozens crayon one. You're gonna be the winner
and we have your username, so that's going to be
in your account here once we get a chance to
chat with customer service. So congratulations. And it's that easy
to win here man, all you do you enjoy and
even just commenting here live on the show, Andy the
Guy had a chance to win a three three day
pass to Andy Lang's access. So we love doing it
here for you folks trying to build a community and
that goes a long way. We appreciate you chiming in.
Speaker 2: Then let's bring on Teddy. Teddy's the reason why create on.
Speaker 1: One resratulations and Teddy, Yeah, congratulations Teddy.
Speaker 2: That was a big one. I don't know if you heard.
We do everybody.
Speaker 1: We do questions coming out of the NFL week and
the question I want to get your take, are the
Saints the best team in the NFC South right now?
Speaker 9: So I had to go to my Power Ratings to
to get the numbers, and I have all four NFC
South teams priced right now within a point and a half.
Speaker 6: Of each other. They're all the same, you know, they're
all the same.
Speaker 3: It's crazy because think about how in the beginning of
the season Tampa Bay they were come from behind Kings.
You know, you have the the MVP favorite, Baker Mayfield.
That's ancient history. We're talking about the Saints, who were
projected to be one of, if not the worst team
in the league this year, being priced within a point
and a half of someone who had an mvpak ended
earlier in the season. That's wild, Teddy, But that that's
what your eyes are saying too.
Speaker 6: You know, the thinks started too and ten man.
Speaker 9: You know, so my clients and I had a five
percent big ticket with New Orleans yesterday and what they
did yesterday, So count me in as a Saints believer
in that regard, whereas I wasn't another season. But any
opinion you have, you got to be ready to change
it when when the when the facts change on the ground,
and New Orleans was a team that the earlier season
we wanted to bet against this part of the year,
not so much obviously guessing big take with them, but
the fact that they were able to go on the road,
get slapped around early and still find a way to
rally to win the game, you know, I mean that,
and overcome adversity in the rally. I don't know if they
turn them all over in the red zone before the
game winning touchdown, before the other touchdown attack on to
cover the points.
Speaker 6: Bread.
Speaker 9: So I mean it's the fact that all the teams
are equal, and my prior raies are close to equal.
Really current form, I mean New Orleans probably should be higher.
Speaker 2: Agreed, So I have toady.
Speaker 1: I have an ongoing the Saints under six and a
half wins, and as of four weeks ago, all I
needed for them to lose one game against the Bucks, Panthers, Jets,
Titans or Falcons. Now down to the last freaking leg.
I do see that the Falcons are favorites next.
Speaker 9: So note that you're under six and a half wins.
I'm looking at the Westgates two book sheet from August
right here, and it has their opening numbers, their current numbers.
Their number for the Saints is five. They already can't
be over five, so amazing that line variants doesn't matter
what we're talking about. You can talk about futures for
their winning the World Series. You can talk about NFL's
season win totals. You can talk about weekend week out
line variants, the ability.
Speaker 6: To cash a bet that other people aren't gonna care. Yes,
it makes a.
Speaker 9: Big difference to your bottom line. Having all those outs
makes all the difference.
Speaker 3: Well, I think that's that's one thing.
Speaker 7: You know.
Speaker 3: Obviously, we got free plays coming up here. We're gonna
talk this Rams and Falcons game Teddy as an NBA
double header. But one of the first things that I
learned since working behind the scenes here with wager talk
Teddy was with with something that you've always preached, and
it is casual better, It doesn't matter. The half points
will be the difference between you being a winning or
losing better long term. And I think that's one thing
that recreational betters really need to drill home is yes,
have more outs, you guess have this, But if you
can have the difference between a half point and even
five cents of juice here and there, that's one of
the most important parts of being a better recreational or professional. Correct.
Speaker 9: So I moved to Vegas in ninety eight, and I
moved I was you know, I was a square.
Speaker 6: A square could be if you know, back in the day.
Speaker 9: You know, I was like anybody else and I'm like, oh,
I'm gonna come in Vegas and kick ass, you know,
and and I did. I had success early on, but
lots of lessons got you know, you learn lots of
lessons by.
Speaker 6: Getting punched in the face by them. And the half
point lesson is one that I learned early on.
Speaker 9: Hey, you should have gone across the street and gotten
the three and a half and instead you took a three,
and now you got a post instead of a win.
The lessons you get punched in the face with stay
with you. And obviously I've been doing this full time
and it's getting close to thirty years now, so I
know there are many betters out there who are just
learning these lessons like I was thirty years ago, and
I get it.
Speaker 6: And it doesn't happen automatically a lot of times, you do.
You know.
Speaker 9: I keep on hitting myself in the face today because
it's making for good TV.
Speaker 3: And it's making Langland literally.
Speaker 9: Like that's a part of the process, is getting punched
and realizing that fricking sucked, that didn't have to happen.
Let's figure out how not to get kicked in the
balls next time.
Speaker 1: Well said, very well said, let's talk this Monday night
football game real quick. You can check out Teddy on
Opening Line Report Fantastic show today. I watched the whole
thing I always do. I watch it live while I'm
getting ready for the show. So how do you break
down this game tonight? What was your what was your
take on this one?
Speaker 7: So?
Speaker 9: I got a free play video on this game on
my homepage on wadertalkwt dot, buzz Backslash TC. I got
a free play up obviously on YouTube for this game.
And if you haven't subscribed to the Way You Talk
YouTube channel, now is a great time to do so.
Approaching a quarter of a million subscribers. Guys, why, it's
freaking good content every single day and it's free. But
I'm made a case for the over in this contest,
and let's start with the la piece of the equation.
The Rams offense has gained five hundred yards in each
of the last three weeks. All right, in the NFL
is hard a game five hundred yards any week, and
when you do it three weeks in a row late season,
with all the injuries, with the fact that Devanta Adams
is hurt, with the other issues that they've had.
Speaker 6: It speaks volumes about how comfortable.
Speaker 9: Matthew Stafford is and what Sean McVay is doing in
terms of the play calling. This is a really of
offense to stop and they're absolutely clicking on off cylinders.
Look at Seattle's defense and look what LA did to
Seattle's defense last week. It's certainly a Rams team that
you have to take seriously as a as a Super
Bowl contender, and an offense that.
Speaker 6: Is clicking every way an offense can click.
Speaker 9: They can run, they can pass, they're not turning the
ball over off the line players there, et cetera, et cetera.
And Atlanta certainly on the defense side of the football,
it's not one of the teams you're.
Speaker 6: Like, oh, yeah, the Falcons defense is great.
Speaker 7: It's not.
Speaker 9: On the other send of the equation. Rams defense is
pretty darn good. But they're coming off a game they
were on the field what eighty four plays against Seattle.
I know they had a lot with extra rest, but
I worry about it when teams are on the field. Well,
when if players are on the field for that many
plays in one game, there's often u Xcal the next contest,
and when you're talking about the Falcons with their key
skillets and players healthy, the Bejhon Robinson's of the world,
the Drake London's of the world, the Kyle Pitts's of
the world. When those when that trio is healthy, this
is a really good offense. You look at the numbers
they put up of late, and all they're doing is
moving up and down the field.
Speaker 5: You know.
Speaker 9: I do worry a little bit about Cousins against the
pass rush because Cousins is not exactly very mobile of
wait at this stage of his career. But I think
the Falcons can get their fair share as well. I
don't know if we're gonna see eighty points like we
did last night in San fran but I think we'll
see over forty nine forty nine and a half over
Falcons and Rams Monday night football.
Speaker 2: Moving on to NBA. I always love talking NBA with Teddy.
Speaker 1: There's this phrase I think it's overused, like two teams
going in opposite directions. But when we're talking the Cavs
and the Spurs, Teddy, we have two teams going in
opposite directions. So I've been watching a lot of both
of these teams they face off tonight. So what's your
take overall on these teams and then more specifically, what's
your take on this game tonight.
Speaker 9: I've been watching both of a lot of NBA as well,
watching both of these teams. Sanatois made me a lot
of money.
Speaker 7: You know.
Speaker 9: One game they did not make me money was their
last time against Cleveland where the Cavs blew him off
the floor and I had him that night as well.
I've been looking to back the Spurs as dogs, and
the Spurs are making me good money as dogs, and
the Spurs step up and class really well. And I
don't know if Daron Fox is playing for San Antonio tonight.
And you talk about impact players, I get it Wenby
Wemby Wemby, He's an impact player.
Speaker 6: Admittedly, Darren Fox is the.
Speaker 9: Guy that the Spurs have with the ball in his
hands in the last five minutes of all tight games.
Speaker 6: All right.
Speaker 9: He's their closer, he's their playmaker down on the stretch,
he's instant offense.
Speaker 6: He makes the right decisions. That's what they brought him
there for.
Speaker 9: And when Fox isn't in the game, it's a big
loss for San Antonio, which is a concern for me here,
and of course, the Spurs off the NBA Cup win.
They're coming off a game in which they basically know
showed in a very real way, losing at home to
Utah as the first lost all season against the team
that was a blow five hundred. Calves aren't blow five hundred.
The Caves have had all kinds of issues this year. Obviously,
the team chemistry hasn't been there. They battled it, they
battled injuries from the get go, and my first lean
I had the Spurs on my short list today and
then I saw the Fox injury, and then that's one
check against. And then I started reading the quotes from
Cleveland after the last loss, you know, the game in
which they too got absolutely annihilated in an note show
against Houston, and the quotes from Kenny Atkins after that
game was, I knew this game was over in the
first quarter.
Speaker 6: We didn't show up. We can't do that.
Speaker 9: There's a different level of urgency for Cleveland than there
is for San Antonio tonight, and the initial lean towards
the Spurs when you get the Fox injury, when you
get the urgency for Cleveland, that initial lean is now
no way I laid with san Antonio in this ballgame,
it's calves are passed and from my perfective. When I
started on one side and then the facts point me
to the other side.
Speaker 6: I tend to leave those games alone. It's not a
client player for me.
Speaker 9: You know, you get really frustrated when you started this
way and then the research takes you that way, and
then this way covers or vice versa. You know, you're like, oh,
I leaned that way, and so when you have a
game where my you know, my initial reaction is, oh,
look my point, my powering number was higher than the.
Speaker 6: Three and a half.
Speaker 9: Now my initial lean is Swords of Spurs. But I
ain't getting there. Given the situation, I'm not gonna flip
and go the other way. It's a pass for me.
But I can certainly understand why Cleveland has taken the
money they've taken overnight in an early betting action today.
There's urgency for the Cavs right now there, and Kenny
Atkinson made that very clear after their no show against
the Rockets on Friday.
Speaker 6: On Saturday, whenever day.
Speaker 2: That was, it'll never happen.
Speaker 1: They will never commit to it, but I will pile
the desk and say, Wemby should be coming off the bench. Okay,
this team, this team is so good when Wemby comes
off the bench and all of a sudden, the backups
are going up against Wemby.
Speaker 2: So but I know they're not going to do that.
Speaker 6: All right.
Speaker 1: We move on to the MAVs and the Trail Blazers.
Hard to it's weird their their records are pretty similar.
But you would say that the Blazers are kind of
maybe overachieving a little bit based on expectation. The MAVs
are underachieving. This Mavericks team is kind of in an
interesting spot. Anthony Davis is hurt again. Of course. I
think Cooper Flags having a really underrated year. He's gotten
a lot better. I love watching him. He's going to
be the real deal.
Speaker 2: This draft class was insane.
Speaker 1: This draft class has got all the potential of the
world to be big, big timers here.
Speaker 2: But what do you make this MAVs and Blazers game?
Two interesting teams?
Speaker 9: So Prez always complains that I never bitched anyone else
the way I bitched him. You really think, do you
really think that Cooper Flag is underrated?
Speaker 6: Right now?
Speaker 9: Cooper Flag is a shoe in to win every award.
He's been like lead story folksen and over and over,
Cooper Flag's getting nothing but hype.
Speaker 2: Oh wow.
Speaker 1: I just I always hear it about Harper, I hear
it about well edge Comb's been out a little bit,
so all right, Maybe maybe I just I think that
because of the record, the MAVs are not are not
taking that serious.
Speaker 2: So but maybe maybe it maybe I've overstated that, but
it was.
Speaker 3: Like a vintage vintage wager talk today Teddy right there,
vintage wag long time years of the shower, Like, hell yeah, Teddy's.
Speaker 6: Fire, I'm flicking them.
Speaker 9: But yeah, So I think that that Cooper Flag is
shoeing for Rookie of the Year, shoeing for everything he's
been the best, I mean for as well as Edgecomb
and Castle and all that a play. Cooper flags the
guy and and he's showing it at the NBA level
right now. That being said, Portland's a really interesting team
to talk about. For second of back to backs. Last year,
the Blazers had thirteen back to backs. They went eleven
one and one against the spread in those back to backs,
the single best team in the league and it wasn't close.
The number two team had five losses. So here we
already say, oh, that was kind of an anomaly. That
wasn't anything real, all right, just one of those years.
Speaker 6: What do we have this year?
Speaker 9: Guess who the best team in the NBA is with
no rest this year? The Portland Trail Blazers. Five tries,
four points, break cover in eighty percent ats in this role.
They've been really, really good in situations where they're playing
without rest.
Speaker 6: And they're a youthful team. They're an energetic team.
Speaker 9: We expect that sort of thing from teams like Portland,
and Dallas didn't necessarily that. That being said, every Blazer
starter played thirty plus minutes last night, all right. And
when you talk about the key guys for Portland, all right,
you know the injuries that matter for the Blazers. Jeremy
Grant is one of those key guys. And Jeremy Grant
I have a hard time putting my money on the
Blazers when Grant is not in the lineup. Grant is
not expected to play this evening. That being said, Dallas
isn't very good, you know, uh, And we're seeing that
pretty clearly. And now Anthony Davis has been shut down
for the indefinite future, and given Portland's track record in
these back to backs, given the fact that even without
Grant in the lineup, it's a Mavericks team that hasn't
necessarily uh you know, I I'll just put it this way.
I can only play Portland given that back to back
track record. I'm not exciting about playing Portland because Grant's
in the lineup. But the blazers of these two teams
right now, I think Portland is the more undervalue of
the two current commodities, and particularly in the back to
back settings, they've been great. They you can perhaps find
some extra value with the Blazers in that regard.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right, Cooper Flags, I'm looking right now minus
five twenty five Rookie of the Year.
Speaker 2: I just I guess I was not aware of it.
Speaker 1: I've been paying attention to the tom Ca nipples and
edge combes and Derek Queen looks like like he's good.
Harper looks good. But you're right, You're right.
Speaker 2: I stand here corrected, So it's okay.
Speaker 1: Well, the thing is, I think it's I can't get
mad like I can't like I can't get an arguments
on these shows. So like, if you're if you're hoping
for a heated argument between Teddy and me, I probably
am not going to contribute a whole lot to.
Speaker 3: That, so uh you get it? Sell me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, all those heated sell these segments. Teddy, it's
great Monday. You crushed opening line report. What do you
have up for clients?
Speaker 6: Yeah?
Speaker 9: Right now, I just a single play in the NBA
up for tonight. I want to go through the college
hoops card one more time. There was something that stood
out to me that I haven't had time to go
through right now, but hopefully we'll have some college hoops
up as well. I do have the single NBA best
bet running good.
Speaker 6: An NBA again. Guys.
Speaker 9: You know NBA has been my sport long term, short
term or you want to put it U seventy over
the last ten days and obviously number one at Wader
Talks in twenty twenty two. Single best bet on my
home page right now, WT Dot Buzz Backslash TC.
Speaker 2: Teddy covers.
Speaker 1: Always love talking NBA any sports with you. Thank you
so much for jumping in uh and subbing, so appreciate you.
If Andy argues with you, he has to hate you
maybe maybe, I mean, no, that is probably true. If
I get in a really heated argument, there's definitely some
some hatred.
Speaker 3: So you're you're a cooler heads will prevail kind of guy,
you know what I mean? Like, I feel like it's
very unless it's like I could see something with a
production company being like what the hell is wrong with Like,
I feel like that's where the fire would come out
for And you know, see, I have no I have.
Speaker 1: To be the cooler head because my business partner is
the one that goes bulliet.
Speaker 3: Yeah that's important. Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1: A couple takeaways real quick, and then we got some
free plays. So Bill was showing us, like, here's the bets,
and that's one of the most common questions, you guys,
bet your bets. I made the mistake one time on
social media of trying to show bet slips, and that
was a failed experiment.
Speaker 2: Never ever do that on social media.
Speaker 1: Maybe here on this show, I've showed I've I've showed
myself holding some paper tickets from Caesar's. But if you
want to see the most venomous trolls come out, show
your bet slips on social media.
Speaker 2: That was a two or three day miss.
Speaker 1: I thought it would like make me look, you know
a little bit more official, and like, oh, I'll prove
everybody wrong.
Speaker 2: I do bet those, but bad idea.
Speaker 3: All right, let's question here from Dan Russell. This is
like a prop that you're able to play as squares
on things like underdog fantasy or prize picks. You know,
the regulated sportsbooks they're not really doing stuff on the
on the fantasy point totals with regularity. Sometimes they do,
sometimes they don't, but I know it's an offering on
things like prize picks, like underdog sports. So so there's
there's your answer.
Speaker 6: For you, Dan.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's not it's not available in every state,
so you have to be in the right.
Speaker 3: Exactly you're you're that's that's one of the things for
what it's we're like betting out West when I'm here
in California, Like one of the things that I can
do is do those uh you know, fantasy games as
it's it's not as it's not legal here for any
other sports betting. So so yeah, it's it's a state
by state basis. Like if you're in Pennsylvania, you can't
do prize picks. You're in you drive over the state
line in New Jersey, you can that's crazy.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do wtf LFG and then we'll do
all around the world.
Speaker 2: What prop you got for us?
Speaker 3: All right? I got I got one that I have
a feeling I'm gonna get hit with some wtfs here
because the numbers maybe don't quite back up the play,
but I think situationally it does. Now, Andy, let's recap
real quick. We end up we're going to grade the
Saquon bet as a loss. The last WTFLFG was his
longest rush attempt over and we had fifteen and a half,
we had sixteen and a half, and we agreed, Hey,
let's call it sixteen and a half. Use the higher
number in case people didn't want to lay the juice
with the fifteen and a half. He ends up with sixteen, Andy,
So if you're wondering how important a half points are,
he ends up with sixteen, and we'll grade it as
a loser. So seven and four still winning, and we
have hit any time we've given out the plus money
prop here on the show, and that's what we're doing. Andy,
Matt Stafford to throw an interception. We're looking at plus
one thirty five. Here's the reasoning for me. This Falcons team,
they pride themselves on the takeaway ability. Now there's only
been five times this year that they haven't gotten interception
in action, and three straight games they've forced an interception
in those games. Now, for Stafford, MVP favorite largely due
to the fact he's not turning the ball over. He
only has five interceptions on the season. However, two of
those came with a common opponent here, and that's the Panthers.
It was a two interception and the road loss. And
pay attention to that road part of the equation because
the five picks that Stafford has on the year, four
of them have come in road games. I don't know
how much motivation there's going to be to Stafford even
play this whole game. Maybe not. That could be why
we're seeing that plus money. I think the bigger reason
why we're getting plus one thirty five on this is
because he just hasn't been throwing interceptions. But if the
Falcons want to make this, you know, fun spoiler game
at home for people, it's largely going to do to
what they're doing on the defensive side of the ball.
I'm taking a shake of the Cat plus one thirty
five Matt Stafford interception. Andy, we fade in or following
this one?
Speaker 1: Uh, compelling case, good price. I am going to fade
this one. I will not bet it though, because I
don't want to lay that one. Well, we're going to argue, Andy, No,
I'm just kidding. So what's the pot behind a.
Speaker 3: Phase there aren't going to be meeting?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would. I would say a heavy rush attack.
Will Stafford played the whole game unless it's an absolute massacre? Yes,
he will play. I thought, I think I read something
that don't they don't the Rams have like the Falcons pick.
Speaker 2: I think I let me look at that.
Speaker 3: There could be a little I think that does. No
that that is for that is exactly uh the case,
because I remember I forget which which game was. It
was when they were playing the Cardinals and the talk
was the Atlanta Falcons will somehow, uh you know, screw
this up, or the Cardinals will screw this up where
they'll beat the Falcons. So it's actually making the Rams
pick better and the Rams who are already owning the division.
So yes, the Rams do own the Atlanta Falcons pick.
So that could be a little hey, Yeah, to get
this win.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I think this is a heavy rush attack.
Speaker 1: I think Blake Korm, Kiren Williams, Stafford plays it safe.
I love Andrews take that they could run the ball
down to the twenty ten yard line and then Stafford
throws touchdowns to boost his MVP. I'm gonna slightly lean
to the WTF. I'm fading this one Dan.
Speaker 3: All out, all out, and honestly, the WTF fades have
gone well for us. Matt Stafford interception follower fade comment
below plus one thirty five is the price that I
am seeing. And Andy people can't worry. We still got
the lovely segment where we get multiple plays from Andy
and that is all around the world. But first Andy,
mind people again, the primetime record has been sick, and
we're rocking a five percent or with the team tonight.
Speaker 2: Yeah, twenty seven and fifteen in NFL primetime.
Speaker 1: That's it's our first five percent primetime NFL bet of
the season. And we had good read yesterday. We hit
our five percent in the NFL yesterday and you just
have some really good vibes coming into this week. We
hit the overnight cricket play three and one on Dark's play.
So feeling really good, feeling really confident. So w buzz
slash al it's the only play we're gonna have tonight.
All the other ones have cashed this morning. So five
per cent best bet. If you cashed with us yesterday, listen, listen,
if you cast with us yesterday, it's pretty much state law.
Speaker 2: You have to jump on board.
Speaker 6: Takes it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, take some of those winning. You're not gonna leave
your boy over.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I think of how pissed you're gonna be if if
it hits and you you missed out. So all right,
let's do all around the world. Let's give some free
plays for the people. Prop heavy here. Raptors Magic Manuel
quickly over nine and a half rebounds plus assist. He's
gone over in five out of the last six games.
He's playing thirty two minutes, the Magic give up fifteen
rebounds assists to point guards. Portal's still out. Argie Barrett's back,
but he's playing limited minutes, so there's a lot of
stats still available for this. For the Raptors starters. That
Spurs Calves game that Teddy just talked about, I think
we just need to play Luke Cornette over his points.
He's nine and four of the over with Wemby in
the lineup, and when he's coming off the bench, he
gets to go up against the back.
Speaker 2: He's getting twenty two minutes per game.
Speaker 1: He's shooting seventy percent from the field because all of
his shots are right at the rim.
Speaker 2: His decent free throw shoot.
Speaker 1: So well, I think with Wemby in the lineup, we
go Cornette over his points, and we will go with
a prop tonight. I like Kirk Cousins over his passing
I got two twenty six and a half. Rams have
given up two seventy plus the last three starting quarterbacks.
Cousins has gone over and two out of his last four,
and for the season, the Rams are twenty third against
the pass, eleventh against the run. This could look like
a mirror image of that Tampa Bay game where Cousins
had to come from behind gotten a shootout.
Speaker 2: He threw for three seventy three.
Speaker 1: So maybe take a sprinkle on Kirk Cousins over his
passing yards. So that was when I was I was bummed.
I did not ladder that thing up against Tampa. I
was like, what if what if Cousins goes off like
any You think you could have bet four hundred and half?
Speaker 2: Yeah, yes, so uh and.
Speaker 1: Yes the five percent yesterday was Trevor Lawrence over his
passing yards even with Sauce Gardner back in the lineup.
This is a cult secondary like an absolute, be exploited.
Speaker 3: So for Sauce Gardener, he goes from one and seventeen
and then he joins the Colts and the Colts go
one and seven since he got there.
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely absolutely.
Speaker 1: Oh by the way, you did you do you have
that slide of that I that I said this morning
of the betting stats.
Speaker 2: We didn't do the.
Speaker 3: Betta the way out. Let's pull that up.
Speaker 2: This is just some fun facts and stats for you guys.
Speaker 1: The Cowboys, Why couldn't we have picked up on this earlier?
Speaker 2: Cowboys are fifteen and one to the over in the
first half.
Speaker 1: Be retired, and I know, Jets, we already went over
zero interceptions. Cory Krosky, Merritt, Trevor Lawrence, and Tyler Algier
they all have more rushing touchdowns than Bijon.
Speaker 2: Good Lord.
Speaker 1: Chiefs are now one in six ats on the road,
and the Saints, the Saints who are gonna kill my
season with told us if they win next week, they
are a future two and thirteen in the first quarter spread.
So even though they won yesterday, Dan, that was against
the Titans. They were struggling against the Titans. Uh So,
I don't think I'm in a hedge man, I don't
think I'm gonna hedge.
Speaker 3: No, you can't. They let that ship ride.
Speaker 2: Falcons are Falcons are playing for Yeah, the Falcons.
Speaker 3: The Falcons are playing. The Falcons are gonna be playing
their players, and the Falcons are favorites in that game.
So you know, absolutely, if you really want to take
a little plus money, you know.
Speaker 2: I could, I could hedge out a little bit.
Speaker 3: I'll wait, all right, you know what, you find something
you like in a teaser leg take the Saints up
to eight and a half, you know what I mean?
And then and then you're just like, I'm happy.
Speaker 2: Either way, Pasy saying cash out, Well, I gotta.
Speaker 3: If you're gonna do something hedge, don't ever take the
cash out price.
Speaker 2: Yeah I know, I know.
Speaker 1: So all right, Well, thank you so much. What an
incredible Monday show. Shout out to the guest. The guys
brought the energy. We went long, but uh yeah, this
is a great show.
Speaker 2: So we got live, we got darts.
Speaker 1: We're watching today, We're watching this app State Georgia, Southern,
myself and Phoenix dust RT and we're gonna do the
same thing tomorrow.
Speaker 2: It's a big, big day and night of bets. Yes,
let's go, let's go.
Speaker 1: We got a three day pass going out tomorrow, so
we're going back tomorrow. We've got a great lineup tomorrow.
Get you ready for all of Tuesday's action. Thank you
so much, Hit the life button, leave us a comment below,
and as always, subscribed to the YouTube channel.