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Speaker 1: All, Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk

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the walk.

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Speaker 2: It is Monday. We got to set the tone for

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the week.

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Speaker 1: We got football, we got hopes, we got sharp market insight.

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I'm always John, joined by Dan, who's wearing a Guinness shirt.

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He enjoyed a Guinness last night, a proper Guinness.

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Speaker 3: Yeah go wrong, properly bored Irish pob. They know how

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to do it. You know, you got and everything feeling

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good on a Monday, Eddie, how you doing, brother?

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Speaker 2: You know I'm doing pretty good.

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Speaker 1: We hit a five percent NFL yesterday, woke up to

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a four percent cricket winner and with three and one

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in darts already this morning.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's noon and we're already we're already doing

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very very well. The week's off to a good start,

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which was much much needed.

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Speaker 3: So and you well know, you well know, and folks

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who watch his show know when you get to start

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the week off on the right foot, it just puts

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you in the right mindset to like cap games. It's

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not like you're fighting from behind. So I'm glad to

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hear you got a little pep in your step. I'm

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also glad to hear that it is Monday here on

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the program. Got another full week of shows coming your way.

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No more days off, folks. We're gonna be here grinding

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with you all along the way. On today's show, you

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know what we got going, Janni the Greek is gonna

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kick it off with us. Talk a little Steam report,

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see what we're seeing in some of these college football

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bowl games or you know, the playoff games obviously that

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are coming up, and of course talk Monday Night Football.

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Teddy Covers filling in for the illustrious Steve Merrill, so

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we're gonna do a Rams and Falcons deep dive with him.

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He's also got to show up on the channel. You

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can check out right now. He's fresh off of opening

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Line report. We're gonna do a little NBC doubleheader with him.

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In NBA Cavs Spurs, MAVs Trailblazers, and you know we're

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talking with Bill Krackenberger. He's gonna get you an NBA prop,

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maybe a Monday Night football prop. I'm gonna be talking

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some thoughts here in football as well, So a quasi

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football Monday to start off with a touch of basketball

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free plays all along the way wtforl G, and Andy's

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going to take you all around the world, buddy, So

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nothing too fuck to do it. Let's get into it, brother.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's bring on Yannie Yanni. Happy Monday. Always

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good to see you. How was your weekend, sir?

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Speaker 4: Wonderful?

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Speaker 5: Hit a five percent in college football, my first and

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only college football five percent of the bowl season to date.

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Speaker 4: That was on the bowl game.

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Speaker 5: I got to play all five percent coming up for

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subscribers in the next few days. What else it's great

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steam room five premiums I released in the NFL yesterday

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early games and four PM games went four and one

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and gave out five props. Premium props for those hit

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as well in the steam room. So I ended up

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going eight and two on premiums in the steam room

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and a free prop that hit. So we had over

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fifteen hundred people that joined us. Hopefully they made money

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off of that hour and an hour plus they spent

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with me. So really good end to the week and

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excited to end the year strong. Brother, It's that time

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of the year and looking forward to twenty twenty six,

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another chance to you know, move forward and progress like

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we all want to do.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna guess what your five percent play was.

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I love doing this, Dan News, I'm a nerd for this.

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It was was it Penn State?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Penn State? Penn State?

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Speaker 3: I did not right? Was that was? That was right?

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Speaker 5: Maybe for Pussy's Bowl that was the points or for

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Pussy's Ball that was to take the points for that one.

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If you don't know who the better team on the

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field is, you're doing it wrong.

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Speaker 4: You're doing it.

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Speaker 3: The crazy thing is is with how all these bulls

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are named like, I won't be shocked if there's a

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pointer for Pussy's Bowl next year. Yeah, I'm not gonna lie.

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Don't don't be surprised. Brought to you by Bad Boy Mowers.

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It's coming your way.

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Speaker 4: It's State.

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Speaker 2: Got Oh that's amazing. I was like at Penn State.

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Sounds right up Yonni's Alley to be.

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Speaker 5: Those are the best when they come in like that,

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you know, and you almost never sweat it wired or wire.

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Speaker 1: Yeah all right, Well, let's uh let meet your thoughts

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on what you've seen in bull season so far. I've

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had a couple of plays we've done well. We've been

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focusing on team totals out. Yeah, in the chat, Army

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Army was easing money. Yeah, we cashed a good one

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on the Army team total in that one. What have

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you noticed in bowls so far?

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Speaker 5: No real surprises, meaning like you expect teams to give

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effort in bowl games, you expect the back door to

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be open for some of these dogs, like we saw

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I was on the wrong side of one I had

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in North Texas. They seem like the right side for

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a lot of that game. But the back door stays

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open in bowl season. It's kind of following what we

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see year in in year out. A lot of conclusions

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drawn are mistaken. A lot of the rankings, the final

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rankings are off because they're based on the record, and

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it should be because these teams make bold games based

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on their records, meaning you got to win a certain

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amount of games to make the Bulls. So if you're

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able to win a lot of games, you're going to

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be in the rankings. But all that has to do

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with conference, has to do with strength of schedule, and

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that sports betters were able to take advantage.

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Speaker 4: So it's kind of.

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Speaker 5: Been a normal bull season to date for me, you know,

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and what I'm seeing from the groups that I work with.

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It's been profitable, which why I expect each and every

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bowl season, and it really starts to take form this

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next week. Like with the playoffs, I think now it'll

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really like get a lot more exciting because the formats changed,

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where before it was like, you know, you look forward

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to that ball season with college football, most notably New

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Year's Day, But that's changed now with the playoffs, so

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it's a little bit different. And I think now it'll

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start to pick off as far as the excitement level

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because we're about the crown and national champion real soon.

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Speaker 2: Let's do Monday Night Football hero real quick.

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Speaker 1: I guess the big thing was after last night's game,

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the Rams kind of don't have a whole lot to

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play for. I look at this game like the Rams

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are going to play everybody their normal you know, their

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normal usage. McVeigh said that this morning in an interview.

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So are we seeing any big change with the markets?

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I know it's the player props haven't moved really at Also,

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those markets are telling me.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, here here's the situation. And I mean, listen, everybody

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knows that you don't need to hear it from me.

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You have the Rams, which are the number one team

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in the NFL power rating wise. In fact, I actually

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bet a future on them two days ago at plus

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four fifty to win the Super Bowl. I just happened

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to be in the casino that had the line up

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at four fifty. I was hoping to get at plus

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five honor, but they had plus four to fifty. I

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had some money on me, and I laid it only

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because I had just gotten my updated power ratings and

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they're a one and a half point better than the

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second best team, which is Seattle. And they're about a

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field goal better than the third best team, which is

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San Francisco.

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Speaker 4: And at the end of.

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Speaker 5: The day, you're giving me four to one on a

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team that nobody in the field is better, then I

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got to take it, and I put a future on

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the Rams. Obviously, now tonight's game means nothing except for seating,

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so again it doesn't matter for the playoffs. Obviously, you

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want better seating if you want to win a Super Bowl.

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So I expect the Rams to show up, and on

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paper they're the much better team. They're the number one offense,

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they're top ten defense, and they've had the number one

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strength of schedule that's the reasons that I bet them

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in the future market. And then I also have a

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quarterback that's number two in passing success rate. Like, you

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can't get better team on paper than all of that data.

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Speaker 4: You just can't.

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Speaker 5: So the Rams are the best team in the NFL.

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And the thing with Atlanta is what are they playing for?

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Pride primetime game, Monday night football, That's about it, right,

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But they already had that earlier in the season where

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they had more or less nothing to play for, and

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it was a big Monday night game. I remember because

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I cashed the ticket on them with that narrative that

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it really matters. They hadn't had a Monday night game

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for a couple of years in Atlanta and it was

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a big deal.

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Speaker 4: That's gone now that's gone.

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Speaker 5: So for me, like taking Atlanta is tough to do,

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but power rating wise, it's the right side. And that's

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where I'm having difficulty getting to because I do think

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power rating wise, Atlanta is the right side. The Rams

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should not be this big of a favorite on the

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road against Atlanta, but it's hard to quantify motivation. And

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if Atlanta finds themselves ten points behind, fourteen points behind,

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are they going to give me that effort for the

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whole sixty minutes that I want from an underdog. That's

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where I got to get to between now and kickoff,

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because when you look at Atlanta, they're barely in the

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you know, a twenty fifth offense, twenty fifth defense. They

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had a twenty five twenty sixth strength of schedule.

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Speaker 4: Like it's a week football team.

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Speaker 5: But in the NFL, you know, we know that the

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points spreads is the great equalizer, and I do think

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the line's a little bit too high, but you know,

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I got to see if I could get to the

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window with with Atlanta. But I do like the total

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a lot if I'm able to confirm it, check within

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the next sixty minutes, if it's up on wager talk.

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Because this tonight's game, the primetime pimp sees a five

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percent possible possibility in this game. It's set up nicely.

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But again, we got to we got hours between now

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and kickoff. But that's where it stands. I think the

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Rams will be heavily teased. I think the books will

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need Atlanta when this game kicks off, no surprise, they

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usually need the dog on primetime anyway. But this this

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sets up for a teaser at seven and a half.

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And that's what I talked about in the steamer with

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my subscribers yesterday that there was only one side on

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Sunday that was teasable and the only other thing you

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could tease it with was the rams on Monday night.

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So hopefully some guys got rams at you know, minus

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one and a half for tonight.

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Speaker 4: That's a good bet.

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Speaker 5: Again, I think they are teaser if it gets the

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seven and a half across the board. If not, then

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it doesn't fall under there and I'll probably just sit

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on my total.

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Speaker 1: I got a five percent in this game tonight. I

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love it, you know me, I focus on props, so

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it's my first five percent of prime time the entire season. Yeah,

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it's player prop. Yeah, I love it this game. This

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game has so many soft lines on it. I'm pretty stunned.

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So I'm locked and loaded.

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Speaker 6: Ready.

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Speaker 1: We do have a question here in the chat. Damn,

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you want to pull this one up. It's about uh

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Bama and Indiana?

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Speaker 3: Is that right?

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Speaker 7: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he's wondering thoughts. I mean, obviously he's hoping that

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you're going to tell that there's a live barking dog

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because smooth with the Alabama Criston High logo.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna tell you what my power rating is right now.

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Painted yeah, power rating neutral field. It's exactly uh five

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and a half, five and a half. Indiana's five and

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a half points better than Alabama. And the edge is

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both in offense and on the defensive side of the ball,

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meaning they have the advantage offensively and they have the

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advantage defensively. And their strength of schedule is really respectable.

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They have an eighteenth strength of schedule and Alabama had

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the fourth toughest strength of schedule in college football. So

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for Indiana'd be thirteen and oh and have a you know,

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a top twenty strength of schedule and with that produce

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a top three offense, top three defense.

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Speaker 4: This team's legit.

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Speaker 5: They're number two of my power ratings and they deserve it.

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I have a few on Alabama and I'm really can't

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hedge this. Luckily, I also have a future on Ohio State.

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That's why I'm gonna let it ride. The Alabama wont

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n Ohio State, and it's for the same amount to

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win twenty five units, but I don't expect to win that.

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I do think Indiana is the better team, and they

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should be about a five to five and a half

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point favorite in this game. So if you could get like,

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you know, seven, if they drive it to their I

253
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think the values on Alabama, but I don't think on

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paper at least Indiana is the much better team.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I'm looking at DraftKings right now

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and it is seven. DraftKings has moved to seven.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think line value is in Alabama. Line values Alabama, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 3: Mean it's it's basically it's painted seven. I mean, circo

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what they're hanging an even money on it, so you

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can call it what six point seven five I guess,

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but basically seven's across the marketplace there. Yeah. I'm also wondering,

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I mean, since we segued into it here, what else

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are we doing here? Thoughts here on the college football playoffs?

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Because I know we got bowl games that people are

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going to betting, but the Marquees are obviously what we're

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going to be having coming up here to end the

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end the week. So what are we thinking here?

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Speaker 5: I'll give you one. I like Michigan a lot. I

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like Michigan over Texas. I think these two teams are

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a lot closer than the betting line reflects. In fact,

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I have Texas being maybe a one one and a

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half point favorite on a neutral field. And the big

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difference between the two teams is the strength of schedule,

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because Texas has had like a top ten strength of schedule,

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very respectable strength of schedule. Michigan barely top thirty two,

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nine and three teams, but with a different strength of schedule.

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But the touchdown is just way too much. I'll let

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you know. I gave it out to my subscribers as

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a four percent. I think we took Michigan at plus eight.

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I thought that was way too high. I get it.

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A lot of players opt in. Now we saw that,

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but that's already factored and baked into the cake. Unless

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you got information before, you're not getting ahead of anything.

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That's why everybody you know was talking about the players

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out on Penn State and opting out.

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Speaker 4: That's already factored into the price. It's already baked.

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Speaker 5: You don't need the dm ME to tell me, hey,

288
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do you know this about your five percent? I already

289
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factored that into that. I know, I know he opted out.

290
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Speaker 3: I get it.

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Speaker 5: I get it, like I appreciate I appreciate having my

292
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back and let me know in case I overlooked the

293
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starting quarterback's not going to be there, No just throwing it.

294
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It wasn't the starting quarterback. But I got DMS like, hey,

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you know this guy's opted out.

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Speaker 4: I don't.

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Speaker 5: It's funny, like, yeah, I kind of know, but yeah,

298
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don't don't. Don't put too much stock in that because again,

299
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unless you got out ahead of it, it is baked into

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the cake. But yeah, that's what I'm looking at. Exciting

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playoffs ahead in college football. Then of course NFL playoffs.

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Speaker 6: Love it.

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Speaker 1: Can you give us a quick steam report any college basketball,

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NBA anything that you're seeing up right now before we

305
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let you go.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, i'll give you.

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Speaker 5: I gave out two NBA premium. I was already a

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four percent and a three percent. I'll give you a

309
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three percent. It's Golden State. It's public two. And it's

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because it got bet down too low. The overnight was

311
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like at seven, it got steamed down. A group took

312
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the home dog there with Brooklyn maybe at seven, but

313
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down at four. We got involved at minus four on

314
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Golden State, minus three and a half and four on

315
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Golden State. Here's a couple of college basketball for you

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00:15:25,879 --> 00:15:29,840
aightoh three Merrimack plus two eight fifty nine, Yale plus

317
00:15:29,879 --> 00:15:32,240
sixteen and a half eight oh eight, William and Mary

318
00:15:32,279 --> 00:15:36,200
minus one eight fourteen, Rider plus three eight oh nine,

319
00:15:36,279 --> 00:15:39,840
Dartmouth plus thirty seven eight four to three, Saint Peter

320
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plus three and a half eight sixty five South Dakota

321
00:15:42,679 --> 00:15:45,960
State plus thirty four. I said, it's Monday, but it's

322
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been a busy, busy, busy, busy morning and already unloading.

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Let's close out the year strong by hitting this five

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percent tonight.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get it, Yanni, you and me.

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00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:58,799
Speaker 1: Let's let's let's let's reconvene in both celebrating our five

327
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percent wins.

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Speaker 2: Tell veron what you up a wager?

329
00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,240
Speaker 5: Talking good luck brother, That's what's comming. I can't pull

330
00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:06,720
the trigger yet. Within the next sixty minutes, if it's there,

331
00:16:06,799 --> 00:16:10,559
it'll be there. Otherwise I have bolt packages up, and

332
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more importantly, the long term package you still have like

333
00:16:15,039 --> 00:16:17,600
forty eight hours. I think to use that ex Miss

334
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twenty five for twenty five percent all jump on board

335
00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:26,240
long term steam sheet Thurtin January first subscribers will get

336
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:29,039
that for free. You'll have all that information each and

337
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:34,639
every day and again coming off of a solid close

338
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to twenty twenty eight and excited about twenty twenty five

339
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and excited about twenty twenty six, getting ahead of myself.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, good luck to everybody tonight.

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Speaker 1: Yanni already predicted your future that he's going to have

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a big twenty twenty eight.

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Speaker 2: Yani, Yeah, I can see it.

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Speaker 3: Awesome.

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Speaker 1: Nobody better than Yanni to get to started on a Monday, Dan,

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that's for sure.

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Speaker 3: Gets you up. It would be hilarious if if Janni

348
00:17:02,799 --> 00:17:04,880
was like, I think I'm gonna suck next year, but

349
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we'll see how it goes like that would be so

350
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atypical of Yanni's personality. But you know, hey, I love

351
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turning the page. It's crazy because you always get to

352
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start fresh, obviously, you know with the new calendar of

353
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seeing if it was a rough year, hey, you know,

354
00:17:20,839 --> 00:17:22,799
it's bounced back time. If you had a great year,

355
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,279
you try and trust the process, you keep on rolling.

356
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So you know, that's that's the time of spot that

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we're in here.

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Speaker 2: I do want to tell you, but I do have

359
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a five percent best bet that is up tonight.

360
00:17:33,599 --> 00:17:36,000
Speaker 1: It's the first primetime five percent, best bet I've had

361
00:17:36,039 --> 00:17:38,480
all season in the NFL. We just saw the card

362
00:17:38,559 --> 00:17:41,160
really well. This weekend reads were spot on. We hit

363
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a five percent yesterday. As you know, Dan, like some

364
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weeks you're like, I don't have a good read on this.

365
00:17:46,279 --> 00:17:47,920
Speaker 2: NFL week, we really nailed.

366
00:17:48,039 --> 00:17:50,039
Speaker 1: We really nailed some of these plays and some of

367
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these reads and these free plays and videos that we did.

368
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Speaker 2: So time to fire a big one tonight.

369
00:17:54,799 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 1: Like I said, we hit our five percent yesterday, So

370
00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,319
first one of the season for primetime. We're twenty seven

371
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,319
and fifteen. Primetime has been good. Five percent was good.

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This weekend reads we were pretty confident. So that's over

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00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,119
to wager talk dot com WT dot bus slash A.

374
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:09,839
I believe that's the only play we're going to have

375
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,039
up for today. It's only when we need so great

376
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:15,480
morning cash, some darts plays, cash, a big cricket plays

377
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:16,240
in the chat.

378
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:18,119
Speaker 3: Saw people in the chat saying, hey, we got our

379
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:20,799
cricket winner last night, back to back cricket winner. So

380
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:25,000
only on wager talk today following a crazy NFL week

381
00:18:25,039 --> 00:18:28,680
seventeen Sunday is half of the chat populated with crickets

382
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,839
and darts. Hey, we had some bets you got.

383
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,759
Speaker 1: Dan, Dan, I've been watching darts all morning. They've been

384
00:18:34,759 --> 00:18:39,119
playing all morning. And when the steamer Yanny did the

385
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:40,559
steamer part, he said Dartmouth.

386
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Speaker 2: I immediately went to, oh, Dar.

387
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Speaker 3: We're like, who got hit in the mouth with the dark?

388
00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 6: What happened?

389
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:46,160
Speaker 3: Here?

390
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:46,880
Speaker 7: Is everything?

391
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:47,640
Speaker 6: Okay?

392
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 8: Yeah?

393
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,759
Speaker 1: Because that's been all just got steam rolled? All right,

394
00:18:50,839 --> 00:18:54,039
let's do uh, let's do some questions. Good week of

395
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:58,519
questions for the NFL. Yeah, Week seventeen in.

396
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:01,200
Speaker 3: The top one, Andy.

397
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:01,960
Speaker 6: One.

398
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:05,119
Speaker 1: They did it again, Jets no interceptions. They got one

399
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:09,000
game left, So, Dan, will the Jets finish the year

400
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:10,519
with no interceptions?

401
00:19:10,559 --> 00:19:10,799
Speaker 6: There?

402
00:19:10,839 --> 00:19:13,920
Speaker 1: I think there's a possibility they're facing Mitch Trubisky next week.

403
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:14,519
Speaker 2: That's the thing.

404
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 7: Yeah.

405
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:19,799
Speaker 3: But I mean, and at this point, this is this

406
00:19:19,839 --> 00:19:22,720
has become now you almost don't want an interception. The

407
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:25,240
Jets have to get into the record book for something,

408
00:19:25,559 --> 00:19:27,240
you know what I mean? Why not getting the record

409
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,880
book for this? There ain't gonna be winning seasons.

410
00:19:31,519 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 1: I'll you know what, We've we've made so much money,

411
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:37,279
Betty hikgainst this Jets team not to have an interception.

412
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:38,640
Speaker 2: Let's roll with it next week.

413
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:40,799
Speaker 1: I almost hope we get Triubisky because if it's if

414
00:19:40,839 --> 00:19:43,960
it's Josh, if Josh Allen's playing, then like we're not,

415
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,440
Like yeah, the lines away like minus three hundred. So

416
00:19:48,039 --> 00:19:51,759
all right, better QB for the Ravens right now, Dan,

417
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,240
all of a sudden, they have this really intriguing game.

418
00:19:54,319 --> 00:19:56,279
If you are a Ravens fan, if you are a

419
00:19:56,279 --> 00:19:59,920
good friend Ariel, do you want Lamar or Huntley right now?

420
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,519
Speaker 3: I mean, Lamar Jackson is still Lamar Jackson. We can

421
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:07,079
say that, but the proof is in the pudding, right Andy,

422
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:11,759
And this season, Lamar Jackson MVP hasn't showed up for

423
00:20:11,839 --> 00:20:14,519
all of what one or two plays here and there.

424
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,880
The dude's clearly injured number one, number two ever since

425
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,319
the big blow up on the sideline between him and

426
00:20:22,319 --> 00:20:24,720
Harball this was early on in the year, where He's

427
00:20:24,759 --> 00:20:28,000
throwing down his helmet, Carbo's throwing down his clipboard. It's

428
00:20:28,039 --> 00:20:30,799
just been oil and vinegar for those two this entire season.

429
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,759
So if you got a guy who can fall in

430
00:20:32,839 --> 00:20:35,519
line put up the points that they put up in Huntley,

431
00:20:36,279 --> 00:20:39,200
it's crazy to say, but look, I would be surprised

432
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,799
if Lamar Jackson didn't play this weekend, simply because it's

433
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:46,200
a winner, go home game. But man, there is something

434
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:50,519
wrong in that locker room between the head coach and

435
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:53,319
that quarterback, you know, tapping out the way that Lamar

436
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:57,440
kind of did with back injury. So I'm gonna get

437
00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:01,759
killed in the comments. But Huntley is the proof being

438
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:03,559
in the putting. Last week they went up against a

439
00:21:03,559 --> 00:21:06,039
decent defense in the Packers on the road, and you

440
00:21:06,079 --> 00:21:08,000
know we're able to put up points I have.

441
00:21:09,279 --> 00:21:10,279
Speaker 2: I think it's honly.

442
00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:14,640
Speaker 3: Because he can hand it off Henry Henry, That's the

443
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:15,720
recipe of success.

444
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,400
Speaker 1: Are the Saints the best team in the NFC South

445
00:21:20,519 --> 00:21:20,920
right now?

446
00:21:21,079 --> 00:21:21,799
Speaker 3: I don't like it.

447
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:23,680
Speaker 2: This is a legit question.

448
00:21:23,839 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: I might This is when we got opposed to Teddy

449
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,880
when Teddy comes on here? Are the Saints the best

450
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:29,359
team in the NFC South right now?

451
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,599
Speaker 2: What I mean? I'm I lean.

452
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:35,279
Speaker 1: No, But the fact that it's a question does not

453
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,960
speak well of who's leading.

454
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:39,039
Speaker 2: This for their head coach.

455
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 3: For sure, they're buying what Kellen Moore's selling.

456
00:21:41,559 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 1: Man, Uh, your team had the most tango and cash

457
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:49,200
performance of the season yesterday. No completions in the second half,

458
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:53,559
seventeen yards. I'm sorry no completions and seventeen yards in

459
00:21:53,599 --> 00:21:56,200
the second half in a win, and I couldn't take

460
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,960
my eyes off of it. So I'm asking did the

461
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:02,319
Bills peak to early? Are the Eagles peaking at the

462
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:02,920
right time?

463
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 3: Dan, I think you know, watching this team week after week,

464
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:10,079
there's one constant. And there were a lot of people

465
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:13,039
talking about how this paralleled the Philadelphia Eagles twenty twenty

466
00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:15,119
three season, when they had this super hot start the

467
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,119
bottom fell out. The difference was in twenty twenty three,

468
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,559
they didn't have Big Fangio as a defensive coordinator. They

469
00:22:21,559 --> 00:22:24,680
didn't have this defensive talent that they have with Jalen

470
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:28,279
Carter and Jordan Davis just absolutely mucking things up. So

471
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,599
this has been the constant for the Philadelphia Eagles is

472
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:35,799
some ineptitude offensively, especially in the play calling department and

473
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,400
especially in the offensive line consistency department. However, the one

474
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,440
thing that is state constant is the defense. This defense

475
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:45,000
continues playing the way that they've been playing. You'd like

476
00:22:45,039 --> 00:22:47,640
to see that offense come along a little bit, but Andy,

477
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,240
they're the first team who not only in the second

478
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,960
half did they not you know, complete a pass to

479
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:58,079
get seventeen yards, they don't score a point. Andy, They've

480
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,839
done that twice this year and they won both games.

481
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,519
They did the same thing against the Bucks. I mean,

482
00:23:04,839 --> 00:23:08,240
if that doesn't Sandio doesn't walk into the office and say, hey,

483
00:23:08,279 --> 00:23:10,480
I need to raise next year Jeff Lorie and put

484
00:23:10,519 --> 00:23:13,720
those two games and say that's why. I mean, you're

485
00:23:13,759 --> 00:23:15,359
doing yourself a disservice, old Vicky.

486
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:16,839
Speaker 2: They're the best ed.

487
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 1: Finally, Steelers, Is that the most inexcusable loss of this

488
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:21,720
year in the NFL?

489
00:23:22,279 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 3: I mean there's been a lot of them, Andy, I

490
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,480
don't I don't know if it's the most inexcusable loss.

491
00:23:26,519 --> 00:23:31,359
But playing against the Browns team with a rookie quarterback

492
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,079
all in the world to gain setting it up, I

493
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:39,119
will say, Andy, misspass interference calls in that game. You

494
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,160
can't put it all on the Steelers, but it's pretty

495
00:23:42,279 --> 00:23:43,680
it's pretty awful loss for them.

496
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: Man.

497
00:23:44,839 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 1: All Right, So those are the questions. Let us know

498
00:23:46,759 --> 00:23:51,079
in the comments section which one which one you like? So,

499
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:56,880
Phoenix sun Dust put in the chat Appalachians state plus ten.

500
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,799
If you want to have some fun, Phoenix Dust, I'll

501
00:23:59,799 --> 00:24:01,720
go head to head with you. I'll take Georgia Southern

502
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,880
minus ten. Just let me know in the chat if

503
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:04,720
you want to go head.

504
00:24:04,519 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 2: To head, we'll bet a three day pass on it.

505
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,319
Speaker 1: So let me know if you're still around and you

506
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,160
want to go have a little fun little head to

507
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:11,720
head for this afternoon's bowl game.

508
00:24:12,079 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: Let's go to Yeah, let's go to.

509
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,880
Speaker 1: Where the books won and where the public one the

510
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:22,680
Bucks minus the points, books one big Broncos minus the points,

511
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,839
books on the books, one big on this Baltimore Green

512
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,160
Bay game that was that was where they did well,

513
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:31,440
and I wear the public. One Seattle Carolina under Giants

514
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,079
minus the points, just fading the Raiders. I listened to

515
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,279
John Murray say, he's like, we need the Raiders again,

516
00:24:38,039 --> 00:24:41,319
like every week we need the Raiders and hasn't been working.

517
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,599
Patriots minus the points and the happless Jets and then

518
00:24:44,599 --> 00:24:50,319
the Cowboys minus the points. So all right, let's go

519
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:54,759
to some prop winners and guys that won some fantasy

520
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,640
champ I mean, dere Derrick Henry was the big story.

521
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 2: The problem is, I don't think he was in many champions.

522
00:25:00,519 --> 00:25:01,519
I don't think he made it to that.

523
00:25:01,519 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 3: That's a good point because if you've been wronging with

524
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,119
Derek Henry all year long. You probably didn't make it

525
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:06,799
because he's been not great.

526
00:25:07,559 --> 00:25:10,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, Christian Watson was good, Zach Charboneay had the big,

527
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:14,400
big win, Drake May just absolutely huge, Jaylen McMillan for

528
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,960
the Bucks, and Chris Godwin. Of course we'll get to

529
00:25:17,079 --> 00:25:20,240
the losers in that game. Parker Washington was huge, Tyler

530
00:25:20,279 --> 00:25:22,680
Schuck and Chris a lobby. They've got something special going.

531
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,720
I want to bring up cam Ward because he's not

532
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,519
been playing that bad. He's gotten better over the course

533
00:25:27,559 --> 00:25:30,920
of a season. He's he's on a bad team, He's

534
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,000
he's at least getting better. He's I just shout out

535
00:25:34,039 --> 00:25:36,440
cam Ward. I think he's I think it's seasons being

536
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,839
swept under the rug a little bit. Chase Brown continues

537
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:43,440
to be a prop machine. Michael Wilson has won many leagues.

538
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,079
I'm sure Joe Burrow is huge. Tomorrow Chase and then

539
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:49,759
Jacorey Krossky merrit the late addition, if you were smart

540
00:25:49,839 --> 00:25:52,599
enough to get Krosskey merited when they ruled out Rodriguez,

541
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,000
you probably won your league because of him and then

542
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,960
the big losers. Jamier Gibbs absolutely newked your fantasy teams

543
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:03,000
and props down the sid Justin Jefferson probably the worst health,

544
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:07,160
the worst healthy draft pick in the first round. Mike

545
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,480
Evans was terrible, Jayalen Wattle was awful, and I think

546
00:26:10,559 --> 00:26:12,240
Jayla Wattle would you have nine snaps?

547
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 2: Thanks very much? And Jalen Warren was not very good.

548
00:26:15,599 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 1: So all right, so those are your prop fantasy football

549
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:26,200
winners and losers. Let's bring on Bill Krackenburger. Bill Happy Monday.

550
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,240
I hope everything's going well for you, sir.

551
00:26:28,839 --> 00:26:30,279
Speaker 7: Yeah, Hi, what's going on, guys?

552
00:26:30,319 --> 00:26:32,599
Speaker 8: No, I had a good uh had a good week,

553
00:26:34,079 --> 00:26:36,440
and you know, it's just a good family week. And

554
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,599
I was, I was out of town. Besides getting bit

555
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:43,759
by a dog. Everything else is uh yeah.

556
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 3: Buy a dog. What do they do it a dog?

557
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:50,799
Speaker 4: I love dogs, me too, We're all dog people.

558
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 7: And uh yeah I was.

559
00:26:52,799 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 8: I was protecting one of the other dogs, one of

560
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,440
the little four pound dogs, and a thirty pound dog

561
00:26:57,559 --> 00:26:59,200
was charging at him, and I figured to get in

562
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,799
the way. Well, I'd probably save the other dog though,

563
00:27:03,039 --> 00:27:04,319
but the dog bit me.

564
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:09,759
Speaker 7: Yeah it happens. Two gashes on my leg, but I'm okay.

565
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,039
Speaker 3: But the one wee could come on with the injured.

566
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,200
I now you're getting dog a type bill. We need

567
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,359
you healthy, man, you got you stay out of Hard's way.

568
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,119
Thank you for protecting the other dog. But be careful, buddy,

569
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:21,720
Come on man, we need you here.

570
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,759
Speaker 8: Yeah, everything was good, good, great week on wager Talk again,

571
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,680
Uh sixteen and eight plus eleven units and people will say, well,

572
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,880
why are you How can you be plus eleven unit

573
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,119
as well? Because you're betting more on NFL props that

574
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,640
I tell you to bet more than sides and totals.

575
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 7: You're betting more on.

576
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:42,319
Speaker 8: That than you're betting on college basketball or anything else

577
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,160
outther sports. You have to go unit size. There is

578
00:27:45,279 --> 00:27:50,279
stronger plays than other place. So and listen, had a

579
00:27:50,279 --> 00:27:53,599
great football season. I've been telling people every week in

580
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,440
this spot and on many spots on wager Talk, uh,

581
00:27:58,039 --> 00:27:59,880
get with me for a full season, get with me

582
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:02,480
till the end of Super Bowl. And those people have

583
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,279
prospered and they know what we have done. So yeah,

584
00:28:07,319 --> 00:28:10,880
it's been a those NFL props have We're gonna win

585
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:14,920
on them. But you have to have UH Caesars, MGM

586
00:28:15,319 --> 00:28:19,079
Drafting fan Duel or some of the local shops that

587
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,440
may offer props player props, because that's what it's going

588
00:28:21,519 --> 00:28:24,960
to be player props, so and and but most of

589
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,680
them do. But they're gonna limit you after a while,

590
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,279
people know. But you're gonna play your own stuff too,

591
00:28:30,319 --> 00:28:33,279
So not making fun of anybody, but you're gonna play

592
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:35,839
your own stuff, your own your your stuff that you

593
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:36,480
come up with.

594
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 7: You're on your own.

595
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:41,400
Speaker 8: Uh So that that mixed in with the player props.

596
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,400
And I bet at first half yesterday that one. So

597
00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,279
you're gonna bet I give out first half. We were

598
00:28:46,319 --> 00:28:48,519
on a roll on the on first halfs and even

599
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:50,920
even sizes, you're up up a little bit. I don't

600
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,599
really bet too many sides. Maybe I don't know two

601
00:28:53,599 --> 00:28:56,200
words for a month, not not a lot. I could

602
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,319
have been a disaster because the guy that I have followed,

603
00:29:00,799 --> 00:29:04,039
I just smelt a rat and he is won every

604
00:29:04,119 --> 00:29:07,000
year and he's losing this year. But I got off

605
00:29:07,039 --> 00:29:09,240
him real early, like the second week, I said, let

606
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,519
me just sit and watch the third week, so he's

607
00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:15,240
down about fifteen units for the year. He's won every

608
00:29:15,319 --> 00:29:17,880
every single year that I followed me as one, so

609
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:20,960
you know, you know he's one of our originators. But

610
00:29:21,119 --> 00:29:23,799
he does other things too. But his NFL has been

611
00:29:23,839 --> 00:29:26,440
so good. And last year I made money on him.

612
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,160
The year before I made a few bucks. I said,

613
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,039
you know what, I'll start giving this stuff out. And

614
00:29:30,079 --> 00:29:32,720
thank god I only gave it out week one and two. Yeah,

615
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:36,000
because I rebounded from that, and you know I have

616
00:29:36,079 --> 00:29:39,319
some other sources also. So yeah, things are things are good,

617
00:29:39,359 --> 00:29:42,319
having a good season. Like I said, though, I'll say

618
00:29:42,359 --> 00:29:44,119
it now. I'll say at the end of my spot here,

619
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,400
you got to get on for a month super Bowl.

620
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,640
You know, super Bowl is only six weeks away. People say, what,

621
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,359
no way, Yeah, it's like less than six weeks away.

622
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:56,519
You know, you want to get on for a package

623
00:29:56,559 --> 00:30:00,759
like that. You want to get on for the props exactly,

624
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:04,799
all props college college football. We've had our best season

625
00:30:04,839 --> 00:30:07,359
in college football that I've had in a long time.

626
00:30:08,319 --> 00:30:12,359
Rolling along there, it's been. It's been really good college basketball.

627
00:30:12,759 --> 00:30:14,720
Uh turned around a couple of games last week, so

628
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:16,160
we're gonna have some good stuff there.

629
00:30:16,559 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 7: And uh yeah, you have to just you have.

630
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,079
Speaker 3: To just have your alerts.

631
00:30:20,599 --> 00:30:22,839
Speaker 8: On what's the word notifications, You have to have your

632
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,119
notifications on. If you don't have your email notifications on

633
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,519
when it comes to certain lines, maybe not the props

634
00:30:29,519 --> 00:30:32,279
so much so, but because there's so many different spots

635
00:30:32,279 --> 00:30:35,720
and there's slower move props too, But for college basketball

636
00:30:35,799 --> 00:30:38,160
stuff like that, you want to have your notifications on.

637
00:30:38,519 --> 00:30:41,359
You want to get those bets in as quick as

638
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:44,200
possible because a lot of my stuff does move the market.

639
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 3: So absolutely, yeah, no, it's and you have to be

640
00:30:47,079 --> 00:30:49,519
quick with it because, like you said, in those volatile markets,

641
00:30:49,519 --> 00:30:52,279
they'll move like at the drop of the hat on once. Obviously,

642
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:54,720
once Bill throws in bets in and they see, you know,

643
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,160
all these accounts following them throwing them in, I mean,

644
00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:59,359
Andy runs into the same thing in the prop market,

645
00:30:59,759 --> 00:31:01,680
and we do got prop plays. We're gonna have a

646
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,519
free front play coming up for you from Bill Krackenberger.

647
00:31:04,559 --> 00:31:07,359
But first, Bill opening Line Report is the show that

648
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,920
goes live before this with Teddy covers Kelly and Vegas

649
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:12,960
and they take a look at Hey, here's what the

650
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:15,440
opening lines are, Here's where we think they may be moving,

651
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,480
Here's what I would bet now. And one thing that

652
00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:19,440
Teddy said that I wanted to get your thoughts on,

653
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,160
and we got Teddy coming up here to wrap the

654
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,920
show as well. You mentioned how week eighteen you can

655
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,640
almost liken it to like week three of the NFL preseason,

656
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,400
where there's a lot of players who aren't gonna be in.

657
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,319
It's guessing who's gonna be in, who's going to be out,

658
00:31:34,599 --> 00:31:37,759
who has motivation, who's playing for what? How do you

659
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,680
kind of navigate week eighteen? Because Teddy put it perfectly,

660
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,559
he said, this is a minefield week. Is it a

661
00:31:44,599 --> 00:31:47,960
lower volume week? Is it reading a lot of press clippings?

662
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,119
Is it following people that you trust? How do you

663
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,880
attack a week that very is unique where there's a

664
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:54,920
lot of teams who don't have much to play for.

665
00:31:55,039 --> 00:31:56,880
Maybe they're even playing to lose in the case of

666
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,759
the Raiders, you know, shutting players down. Things like that.

667
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,160
When Week eighteen rolls around and it's question marks galore

668
00:32:03,279 --> 00:32:06,720
and then teams with major motivation, how does Bill Krackenberger

669
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:07,000
bet it?

670
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 8: Well, it's funny because last night, of course, I'm on

671
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:13,279
Sunday Night betting things, and I can't release them to

672
00:32:13,319 --> 00:32:15,440
wager talk or the public because it's not fair.

673
00:32:15,759 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 7: I don't do that.

674
00:32:16,759 --> 00:32:20,920
Speaker 8: I can pad my record by releasing you know, Baltimore

675
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:24,640
Ravens minus three minus one ten. It's at circa only

676
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,079
or it's at Westgate only, or it's at DraftKings only.

677
00:32:28,119 --> 00:32:30,920
I don't do that shit. I give you something that's obtainable.

678
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:32,440
So but I know a lot of people that want

679
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:34,960
to sell do that on other sites. I see it

680
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:39,119
terribly with little obscure books. You might as well say

681
00:32:40,039 --> 00:32:42,960
bet this with the old lady on Arthur Rabbit that

682
00:32:43,039 --> 00:32:44,559
runs Dot, that runs the hot dog cart.

683
00:32:44,599 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 7: I mean, it's ridiculous, it's so stupid.

684
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 8: So but last night was a very unusual Week eighteen

685
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,279
for me, very unusual last week of football. I know

686
00:32:55,359 --> 00:32:57,119
we're going to get the moves and I know I'm

687
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,279
gonna beat the market and I will give you guys.

688
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:02,880
So the Ravens minus three minus one time, it was

689
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,480
a real play last night. I betted at Westky. I

690
00:33:05,519 --> 00:33:08,880
believe westk I betted that for their max bet and

691
00:33:09,079 --> 00:33:11,880
it moved. It's three and a half there, it moved

692
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,680
to I also laid the minus one sixty money line

693
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,759
at bet MGM. I found a really good money line there.

694
00:33:18,079 --> 00:33:20,200
I like the Ravens over them. This is minus three

695
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:23,960
minus twenties out there. But then again, I'll bet more

696
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,119
on it. I'll try to bet more on an NFL

697
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:30,079
prop than I will this so But here's the unusual thing.

698
00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:34,039
There was two plays last night. There was the Jets

699
00:33:34,079 --> 00:33:38,039
plus thirteen and Arizona plus thirteen and a half. First,

700
00:33:38,119 --> 00:33:43,279
the Rams well normally, and okay, now that I see

701
00:33:43,359 --> 00:33:47,200
the line movement this morning, I jumped on it for

702
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,240
a peanut, just based on, all right, I'm gonna get

703
00:33:50,279 --> 00:33:52,920
some line value here, because you know, the other teams

704
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,279
don't aren't gonna play their starters and stuff.

705
00:33:55,319 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 7: So I just didn't know they moved to like nine, they.

706
00:33:58,119 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 8: Moved four and a half points at a max because

707
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:02,720
you know, nine minus nine plus thirteen and a half's

708
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,480
a good bet. Minus nine and a half plus thirteen

709
00:34:05,519 --> 00:34:09,119
i'm looking at is a good bet. But here's the thing.

710
00:34:10,159 --> 00:34:14,079
The Jets are so terrible they could still easily get

711
00:34:14,119 --> 00:34:18,199
blown out, easily the fire of an organization. I usually

712
00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:20,920
don't say that I'm a math guy. I'm an algorithm guy.

713
00:34:21,199 --> 00:34:24,599
I'm a model guy. It's driven by the number, and

714
00:34:24,639 --> 00:34:28,480
the number means everything. This was a little unusual last night.

715
00:34:28,519 --> 00:34:31,760
I was almost forced into take in the Jets plus

716
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:35,000
thirteen at the one spot that had it here, and

717
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,760
I just feel uncomfortable even with the even though the

718
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:43,480
line move four points. Now I do I and same

719
00:34:43,519 --> 00:34:45,920
thing with Arizona. Maybe not as bad as the Jets,

720
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:50,159
but they're pretty bad. They're pretty bad, so either team

721
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:53,639
can get blown out. So how do I feel about that? Well,

722
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:56,280
I was ahead of the numbers. That's one thing, Yeah,

723
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,880
to be head of the marketplace. But I feel more

724
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,559
confident in the raven play, even though the Ravens play

725
00:35:01,599 --> 00:35:05,239
really didn't move that I do the Jets or Arizona.

726
00:35:05,559 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're just some of.

727
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,360
Speaker 7: The moves that I was involved in last night.

728
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, And it's really almost like you're you're with these

729
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,480
kind of things. It feels like Bowl season almost you're

730
00:35:14,559 --> 00:35:17,039
navigating who the hell is going to be playing? Who

731
00:35:17,119 --> 00:35:21,000
the hell cares? So interesting stuff there, Bill. Before we

732
00:35:21,039 --> 00:35:23,320
turn you loose, we get some thoughts on what you

733
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:27,000
have up here at wader talk dot com, WT dot buzz,

734
00:35:27,159 --> 00:35:30,280
slash bks where you can get there. Quicker free player

735
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:31,920
prop for the folks. What are we doing? Are we

736
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,199
going to hoops? Are we on the hardwood? We go

737
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:36,519
into the grid iron tonight? What do you got for

738
00:35:36,559 --> 00:35:37,760
the folks here? A little free play?

739
00:35:38,039 --> 00:35:39,519
Speaker 8: I just want to make sure people know I bet

740
00:35:39,519 --> 00:35:41,800
my own money on the this this is my MGM account.

741
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,480
As you can see, Ravens minus one sixty. I also

742
00:35:45,559 --> 00:35:47,880
bet the Bengals minus seven on that line is now

743
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:50,719
under forty and a half in the Jets game forever.

744
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 7: Whatever the max beets were there, their max beets are.

745
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:57,239
Speaker 8: A little bit lower, you know, for for that Sunday

746
00:35:57,280 --> 00:36:00,840
night's definitely a more sensitive area for for max bets.

747
00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 7: And you asked me what I had up tonight? Did

748
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:04,960
you ask me about the NBA props that we asked me?

749
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,559
Speaker 3: I apologize, yeah, I will. Well, we'll talk about what

750
00:36:07,599 --> 00:36:09,440
you got up before we turn you loose here. I

751
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:10,840
just wanted to get your thoughts. What do we got

752
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:13,400
for the NBA props? I know people love these free plays, man,

753
00:36:13,599 --> 00:36:13,880
I have.

754
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:17,519
Speaker 8: An NBA prop for you guys. I just made sure

755
00:36:17,559 --> 00:36:20,559
that they had the line there too. And I hate

756
00:36:20,559 --> 00:36:22,280
to give out a line that's not obtainable. As matter

757
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:23,840
of fact, we'll even say thirty six and a half

758
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:25,920
or thirty good to thirty seven and a half. How

759
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:30,440
about that the Knicks Carl Anthony Towns to go over

760
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,320
a big number. I know it's a big number, thirty

761
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,559
six and a half minus fifteen, I'm seeing up to

762
00:36:34,599 --> 00:36:37,320
thirty seven and a half minus won ten his points

763
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:41,280
and rebounds nixt to without John Hart and Robinson tonight

764
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,159
Pelicans are one of the worst teams against big men,

765
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:47,719
and look at this total, it's like two forty three

766
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,719
or something. High told that Towns should have plenty of

767
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:55,480
opportunities for scoring and rebounds. So let's go over Towns

768
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,599
on his points and rebounds tonight. As a as a player,

769
00:36:58,599 --> 00:37:00,960
That's something I adjusted to too. I was always an

770
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,960
under guy. Now I'm still an underguy NFL props player props.

771
00:37:05,199 --> 00:37:09,440
I still bet about seventy percent player props under sixty

772
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,880
to seventy, I would say, but I was more like

773
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,480
an eighty ninety percent under. I've adjusted a little bit

774
00:37:14,519 --> 00:37:17,360
because the books have over adjusted in certain areas. So

775
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:20,760
but yeah, there's an over for you guys for in

776
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:21,880
tonight's NBA.

777
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:26,800
Speaker 3: Game, Kat going over and giving you some parameters there

778
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,280
on what it's good up to. That's Bill Krackenberger. Bill,

779
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:32,480
what do he got over at your page? Obviously incredible

780
00:37:32,519 --> 00:37:34,880
follow even before he was at Wager talking. I think

781
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,000
all of us have been following at Bill Crackman, So

782
00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:40,000
check him out on Social Bill what he got over

783
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:41,519
at your page wt Dot Buzz.

784
00:37:42,159 --> 00:37:42,599
Speaker 7: And I do.

785
00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:44,760
Speaker 8: I have the socials where I you know, I talk

786
00:37:44,960 --> 00:37:47,719
common sense and you know, all my shows I try

787
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:49,480
to I'm real spontaneous.

788
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 7: There's nothing prepared.

789
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:54,119
Speaker 8: It's even when I do my show at Boston spontaneous,

790
00:37:54,159 --> 00:37:57,760
my show at Genre Orlando very spontaneous. John's a degeneric gambler.

791
00:37:57,800 --> 00:37:59,679
He admits it so I could pick on him. And

792
00:37:59,679 --> 00:38:02,119
he's a lot of the public. On my show with

793
00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:04,079
Kelly in Vegas, I have no idea. We're getting ready

794
00:38:04,119 --> 00:38:06,159
to do a show today. I don't know what it's about. Man, No, whatever,

795
00:38:06,199 --> 00:38:09,280
she asked, bang we go with. Yeah, that's it's spontaneous.

796
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:13,400
Now over to the wager Talk wager Talk page. Yeah again,

797
00:38:13,599 --> 00:38:15,199
I said at the beginning, I'll say it again. You

798
00:38:15,199 --> 00:38:17,559
guys should sign up with me for more than a

799
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,199
even though we've won almost every week in the NFL.

800
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:23,880
We really had a spectacular season here, including last week

801
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,400
plus eleven units. I would sign up for a month.

802
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:29,880
Sign up, you know, email the girls, sign up to

803
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,119
the end of the super Bowl. Make sure you get

804
00:38:32,119 --> 00:38:36,039
those super Bowl props, playoff props, super Bowl props, let

805
00:38:36,119 --> 00:38:37,199
me be blunt.

806
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:41,639
Speaker 7: I haven't bet anything yet Week eighteen props.

807
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 8: You want to be on these because I'm not the

808
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,519
guy that's gonna tell you, Hey, this incentive he's gonna

809
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:50,519
you want to play this because of the incentive for

810
00:38:50,639 --> 00:38:53,920
him to score, He's gonna make money that's already baked

811
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:54,679
in the line.

812
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 7: We know that there'll be times that I'll.

813
00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:00,199
Speaker 8: Actually bet against that because they overmove the line so much.

814
00:39:00,639 --> 00:39:03,559
Speaker 7: You know, guys, you know gets gets twenty.

815
00:39:03,199 --> 00:39:06,039
Speaker 8: Five yards all year long and now he's lined at

816
00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:08,119
thirty nine because he has an incentive. You know there

817
00:39:08,159 --> 00:39:10,599
there'll be a lot of times dere wiggle against the grain.

818
00:39:10,679 --> 00:39:14,320
There great information for Week eighteen. Like I said, go

819
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,039
onto the playoffs, I would sign up for. Like I said,

820
00:39:17,079 --> 00:39:19,199
till up to the super Bowl. Get get all the super

821
00:39:19,199 --> 00:39:19,880
Bowl props in.

822
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:24,639
Speaker 3: That's Bill Krackenberger, Big ops Man. Enjoy your show with

823
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,360
k IV and we'll see you next week. Bill crack

824
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:30,519
Man is where you can follow him on Twitter. And

825
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,360
Yet Andy also want to mention that x miss two

826
00:39:33,519 --> 00:39:36,920
five code x NAS two five believe it's gonna be

827
00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:40,159
live through the end of the day today maybe so

828
00:39:40,199 --> 00:39:43,079
it's it's a great twenty five percent off anything even

829
00:39:43,159 --> 00:39:46,000
discounted packages already, so you can use that code x

830
00:39:46,079 --> 00:39:50,679
miss two five at checkout at anyone's page, and damn

831
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:51,119
good deal.

832
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 6: Andy.

833
00:39:52,639 --> 00:39:53,159
Speaker 2: Uh.

834
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 1: You know we intro the show and we say we

835
00:39:55,039 --> 00:39:57,320
talked to talk and walk the walk. Uh, shout out

836
00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:01,000
to Phoenix Dust. Phoenix Dust has accepted the off for uh.

837
00:40:01,119 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 2: So we're gonna we're gonna have a head to head.

838
00:40:03,519 --> 00:40:05,239
Make Yeah, we got a head to head.

839
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be in this Georgia Southern app State

840
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,000
Phoenix dost has app State plus ten. I get Georgia

841
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,079
Southern minus in. I believe there's just too many opt

842
00:40:14,079 --> 00:40:16,599
outs for app State. I don't even think they knew

843
00:40:16,639 --> 00:40:18,159
they were playing in a bowl game. They have a

844
00:40:18,199 --> 00:40:20,719
losing record, but they didn't have anybody else to play.

845
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,760
So by the time they had like got around to

846
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,519
like putting, like saying you're in the bowl, people had

847
00:40:26,519 --> 00:40:28,920
opted out, coaches had left. So I'm gonna lay the

848
00:40:29,679 --> 00:40:32,280
minus ten here, but the shout out to you, Phoenix.

849
00:40:32,599 --> 00:40:33,559
Speaker 2: Shout out to you, Phoenix.

850
00:40:33,599 --> 00:40:36,119
Speaker 1: It takes a lot to come on and make a

851
00:40:36,159 --> 00:40:36,599
bet with.

852
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:40,840
Speaker 3: The so Andy side. If Andy side covers here he

853
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,760
gets a three free day access and if if you're

854
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:46,880
a side wins, then he'll be purchasing the axis. I

855
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:48,440
like it. We got to make it official. Whenever we

856
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:50,760
go head to head with the chat boxing bell must

857
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:54,440
be wrong. So the official bet has been made. And also, guys,

858
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:57,039
you know, commenting and being a part of the show

859
00:40:57,239 --> 00:41:00,960
is huge. Commenting after the show is just as big.

860
00:41:01,119 --> 00:41:02,840
And one of the things that we do with Teddy

861
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,360
covers who's coming up here in just a second, is

862
00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:08,199
we do this sell me segment. It's an incredible segment.

863
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,599
Look forward to it. Everybody loves it in the office,

864
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:12,800
everybody on the show loves that. We look forward to it.

865
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:16,360
Where Andy and Teddy they get two random NFL sides.

866
00:41:16,599 --> 00:41:18,400
And I think we're gonna try and continue this maybe

867
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:21,400
the NBA season something like that with you and Teddy

868
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,719
as we have them on with a little more regularity here.

869
00:41:24,039 --> 00:41:26,559
But we break it down and you guys decide who

870
00:41:26,599 --> 00:41:29,079
do you agree with, who do you disagree with? And

871
00:41:29,119 --> 00:41:32,199
all you do is you comment with your username as well.

872
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:34,239
And we got a winner. That's right. He did it

873
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,880
correct Andy. After we explained how to do it, we

874
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:41,360
had the most proper entries in the history of doing

875
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,679
the sell me segment. We yeah, did it, dozens and

876
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:49,400
dozens and dozens crayon one. You're gonna be the winner

877
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:51,239
and we have your username, so that's going to be

878
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:53,760
in your account here once we get a chance to

879
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:57,440
chat with customer service. So congratulations. And it's that easy

880
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:00,199
to win here man, all you do you enjoy and

881
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:02,639
even just commenting here live on the show, Andy the

882
00:42:02,679 --> 00:42:04,320
Guy had a chance to win a three three day

883
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,199
pass to Andy Lang's access. So we love doing it

884
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:09,440
here for you folks trying to build a community and

885
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,480
that goes a long way. We appreciate you chiming in.

886
00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:15,119
Speaker 2: Then let's bring on Teddy. Teddy's the reason why create on.

887
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 1: One resratulations and Teddy, Yeah, congratulations Teddy.

888
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 2: That was a big one. I don't know if you heard.

889
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:23,000
We do everybody.

890
00:42:23,039 --> 00:42:25,679
Speaker 1: We do questions coming out of the NFL week and

891
00:42:25,679 --> 00:42:27,119
the question I want to get your take, are the

892
00:42:27,119 --> 00:42:29,519
Saints the best team in the NFC South right now?

893
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,320
Speaker 9: So I had to go to my Power Ratings to

894
00:42:32,559 --> 00:42:36,840
to get the numbers, and I have all four NFC

895
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:40,519
South teams priced right now within a point and a half.

896
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 6: Of each other. They're all the same, you know, they're

897
00:42:43,519 --> 00:42:44,159
all the same.

898
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 3: It's crazy because think about how in the beginning of

899
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:52,320
the season Tampa Bay they were come from behind Kings.

900
00:42:52,519 --> 00:42:56,360
You know, you have the the MVP favorite, Baker Mayfield.

901
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:58,639
That's ancient history. We're talking about the Saints, who were

902
00:42:58,639 --> 00:43:01,280
projected to be one of, if not the worst team

903
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:03,559
in the league this year, being priced within a point

904
00:43:03,599 --> 00:43:05,960
and a half of someone who had an mvpak ended

905
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:08,840
earlier in the season. That's wild, Teddy, But that that's

906
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:10,119
what your eyes are saying too.

907
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 6: You know, the thinks started too and ten man.

908
00:43:13,079 --> 00:43:17,639
Speaker 9: You know, so my clients and I had a five

909
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:20,400
percent big ticket with New Orleans yesterday and what they

910
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:22,599
did yesterday, So count me in as a Saints believer

911
00:43:22,639 --> 00:43:25,679
in that regard, whereas I wasn't another season. But any

912
00:43:25,679 --> 00:43:27,360
opinion you have, you got to be ready to change

913
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,800
it when when the when the facts change on the ground,

914
00:43:30,159 --> 00:43:32,119
and New Orleans was a team that the earlier season

915
00:43:32,159 --> 00:43:35,199
we wanted to bet against this part of the year,

916
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,519
not so much obviously guessing big take with them, but

917
00:43:38,559 --> 00:43:40,559
the fact that they were able to go on the road,

918
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,599
get slapped around early and still find a way to

919
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:48,079
rally to win the game, you know, I mean that,

920
00:43:48,559 --> 00:43:51,079
and overcome adversity in the rally. I don't know if they

921
00:43:51,079 --> 00:43:53,599
turn them all over in the red zone before the

922
00:43:53,639 --> 00:43:57,000
game winning touchdown, before the other touchdown attack on to

923
00:43:57,000 --> 00:43:57,559
cover the points.

924
00:43:57,559 --> 00:43:57,760
Speaker 6: Bread.

925
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 9: So I mean it's the fact that all the teams

926
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:03,960
are equal, and my prior raies are close to equal.

927
00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:06,920
Really current form, I mean New Orleans probably should be higher.

928
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,360
Speaker 2: Agreed, So I have toady.

929
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 1: I have an ongoing the Saints under six and a

930
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:19,480
half wins, and as of four weeks ago, all I

931
00:44:19,519 --> 00:44:23,960
needed for them to lose one game against the Bucks, Panthers, Jets,

932
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:27,760
Titans or Falcons. Now down to the last freaking leg.

933
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:31,440
I do see that the Falcons are favorites next.

934
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 9: So note that you're under six and a half wins.

935
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,840
I'm looking at the Westgates two book sheet from August

936
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:40,199
right here, and it has their opening numbers, their current numbers.

937
00:44:40,519 --> 00:44:43,360
Their number for the Saints is five. They already can't

938
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:47,199
be over five, so amazing that line variants doesn't matter

939
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:50,480
what we're talking about. You can talk about futures for

940
00:44:50,519 --> 00:44:52,760
their winning the World Series. You can talk about NFL's

941
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,000
season win totals. You can talk about weekend week out

942
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,400
line variants, the ability.

943
00:44:58,199 --> 00:45:00,199
Speaker 6: To cash a bet that other people aren't gonna care. Yes,

944
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:01,480
it makes a.

945
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 9: Big difference to your bottom line. Having all those outs

946
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:04,800
makes all the difference.

947
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:07,440
Speaker 3: Well, I think that's that's one thing.

948
00:45:07,519 --> 00:45:07,679
Speaker 7: You know.

949
00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:09,559
Speaker 3: Obviously, we got free plays coming up here. We're gonna

950
00:45:09,559 --> 00:45:11,599
talk this Rams and Falcons game Teddy as an NBA

951
00:45:11,639 --> 00:45:13,880
double header. But one of the first things that I

952
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,679
learned since working behind the scenes here with wager talk

953
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:19,880
Teddy was with with something that you've always preached, and

954
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:24,159
it is casual better, It doesn't matter. The half points

955
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:27,039
will be the difference between you being a winning or

956
00:45:27,079 --> 00:45:29,880
losing better long term. And I think that's one thing

957
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:32,880
that recreational betters really need to drill home is yes,

958
00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:35,159
have more outs, you guess have this, But if you

959
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:37,519
can have the difference between a half point and even

960
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,800
five cents of juice here and there, that's one of

961
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:44,280
the most important parts of being a better recreational or professional. Correct.

962
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:47,519
Speaker 9: So I moved to Vegas in ninety eight, and I

963
00:45:47,599 --> 00:45:49,280
moved I was you know, I was a square.

964
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,199
Speaker 6: A square could be if you know, back in the day.

965
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,679
Speaker 9: You know, I was like anybody else and I'm like, oh,

966
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:56,639
I'm gonna come in Vegas and kick ass, you know,

967
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,639
and and I did. I had success early on, but

968
00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:03,119
lots of lessons got you know, you learn lots of

969
00:46:03,199 --> 00:46:03,599
lessons by.

970
00:46:03,519 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 6: Getting punched in the face by them. And the half

971
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,719
point lesson is one that I learned early on.

972
00:46:09,039 --> 00:46:10,840
Speaker 9: Hey, you should have gone across the street and gotten

973
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:12,320
the three and a half and instead you took a three,

974
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:13,559
and now you got a post instead of a win.

975
00:46:14,119 --> 00:46:16,960
The lessons you get punched in the face with stay

976
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,000
with you. And obviously I've been doing this full time

977
00:46:19,039 --> 00:46:22,880
and it's getting close to thirty years now, so I

978
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,159
know there are many betters out there who are just

979
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:27,639
learning these lessons like I was thirty years ago, and

980
00:46:27,679 --> 00:46:28,199
I get it.

981
00:46:28,559 --> 00:46:31,679
Speaker 6: And it doesn't happen automatically a lot of times, you do.

982
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:31,960
You know.

983
00:46:32,159 --> 00:46:34,599
Speaker 9: I keep on hitting myself in the face today because

984
00:46:34,599 --> 00:46:36,000
it's making for good TV.

985
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:37,679
Speaker 3: And it's making Langland literally.

986
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,599
Speaker 9: Like that's a part of the process, is getting punched

987
00:46:42,599 --> 00:46:46,360
and realizing that fricking sucked, that didn't have to happen.

988
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,360
Let's figure out how not to get kicked in the

989
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:50,480
balls next time.

990
00:46:52,079 --> 00:46:56,039
Speaker 1: Well said, very well said, let's talk this Monday night

991
00:46:56,079 --> 00:46:58,360
football game real quick. You can check out Teddy on

992
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,199
Opening Line Report Fantastic show today. I watched the whole

993
00:47:01,199 --> 00:47:03,280
thing I always do. I watch it live while I'm

994
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:07,599
getting ready for the show. So how do you break

995
00:47:07,599 --> 00:47:09,400
down this game tonight? What was your what was your

996
00:47:09,400 --> 00:47:10,199
take on this one?

997
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:10,840
Speaker 7: So?

998
00:47:11,079 --> 00:47:12,960
Speaker 9: I got a free play video on this game on

999
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:16,719
my homepage on wadertalkwt dot, buzz Backslash TC. I got

1000
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,440
a free play up obviously on YouTube for this game.

1001
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:20,880
And if you haven't subscribed to the Way You Talk

1002
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:22,639
YouTube channel, now is a great time to do so.

1003
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:26,199
Approaching a quarter of a million subscribers. Guys, why, it's

1004
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:30,000
freaking good content every single day and it's free. But

1005
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,760
I'm made a case for the over in this contest,

1006
00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:34,840
and let's start with the la piece of the equation.

1007
00:47:36,079 --> 00:47:39,519
The Rams offense has gained five hundred yards in each

1008
00:47:39,559 --> 00:47:42,639
of the last three weeks. All right, in the NFL

1009
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,039
is hard a game five hundred yards any week, and

1010
00:47:45,079 --> 00:47:47,079
when you do it three weeks in a row late season,

1011
00:47:47,079 --> 00:47:49,599
with all the injuries, with the fact that Devanta Adams

1012
00:47:49,679 --> 00:47:52,239
is hurt, with the other issues that they've had.

1013
00:47:52,639 --> 00:47:55,800
Speaker 6: It speaks volumes about how comfortable.

1014
00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 9: Matthew Stafford is and what Sean McVay is doing in

1015
00:47:57,480 --> 00:48:00,119
terms of the play calling. This is a really of

1016
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:03,199
offense to stop and they're absolutely clicking on off cylinders.

1017
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:05,239
Look at Seattle's defense and look what LA did to

1018
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:09,559
Seattle's defense last week. It's certainly a Rams team that

1019
00:48:09,599 --> 00:48:11,480
you have to take seriously as a as a Super

1020
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:13,559
Bowl contender, and an offense that.

1021
00:48:13,559 --> 00:48:15,719
Speaker 6: Is clicking every way an offense can click.

1022
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:18,159
Speaker 9: They can run, they can pass, they're not turning the

1023
00:48:18,199 --> 00:48:21,039
ball over off the line players there, et cetera, et cetera.

1024
00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:23,320
And Atlanta certainly on the defense side of the football,

1025
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:24,239
it's not one of the teams you're.

1026
00:48:24,159 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 6: Like, oh, yeah, the Falcons defense is great.

1027
00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 7: It's not.

1028
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:30,840
Speaker 9: On the other send of the equation. Rams defense is

1029
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:34,639
pretty darn good. But they're coming off a game they

1030
00:48:34,639 --> 00:48:36,840
were on the field what eighty four plays against Seattle.

1031
00:48:36,840 --> 00:48:38,159
I know they had a lot with extra rest, but

1032
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:41,000
I worry about it when teams are on the field. Well,

1033
00:48:41,039 --> 00:48:43,559
when if players are on the field for that many

1034
00:48:43,599 --> 00:48:48,000
plays in one game, there's often u Xcal the next contest,

1035
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:51,360
and when you're talking about the Falcons with their key

1036
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:54,079
skillets and players healthy, the Bejhon Robinson's of the world,

1037
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,000
the Drake London's of the world, the Kyle Pitts's of

1038
00:48:57,039 --> 00:49:00,400
the world. When those when that trio is healthy, this

1039
00:49:00,559 --> 00:49:02,320
is a really good offense. You look at the numbers

1040
00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:04,079
they put up of late, and all they're doing is

1041
00:49:04,119 --> 00:49:05,199
moving up and down the field.

1042
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 5: You know.

1043
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:10,079
Speaker 9: I do worry a little bit about Cousins against the

1044
00:49:10,119 --> 00:49:13,079
pass rush because Cousins is not exactly very mobile of

1045
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:17,159
wait at this stage of his career. But I think

1046
00:49:17,199 --> 00:49:19,760
the Falcons can get their fair share as well. I

1047
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:21,360
don't know if we're gonna see eighty points like we

1048
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:23,519
did last night in San fran but I think we'll

1049
00:49:23,519 --> 00:49:26,800
see over forty nine forty nine and a half over

1050
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:29,639
Falcons and Rams Monday night football.

1051
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:34,679
Speaker 2: Moving on to NBA. I always love talking NBA with Teddy.

1052
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 1: There's this phrase I think it's overused, like two teams

1053
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:42,239
going in opposite directions. But when we're talking the Cavs

1054
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:45,639
and the Spurs, Teddy, we have two teams going in

1055
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:49,440
opposite directions. So I've been watching a lot of both

1056
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:52,639
of these teams they face off tonight. So what's your

1057
00:49:52,679 --> 00:49:55,400
take overall on these teams and then more specifically, what's

1058
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:56,519
your take on this game tonight.

1059
00:49:57,079 --> 00:49:59,360
Speaker 9: I've been watching both of a lot of NBA as well,

1060
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:02,000
watching both of these teams. Sanatois made me a lot

1061
00:50:02,039 --> 00:50:02,400
of money.

1062
00:50:02,559 --> 00:50:02,760
Speaker 7: You know.

1063
00:50:03,119 --> 00:50:04,840
Speaker 9: One game they did not make me money was their

1064
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,760
last time against Cleveland where the Cavs blew him off

1065
00:50:07,800 --> 00:50:09,360
the floor and I had him that night as well.

1066
00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:12,039
I've been looking to back the Spurs as dogs, and

1067
00:50:12,320 --> 00:50:14,000
the Spurs are making me good money as dogs, and

1068
00:50:14,039 --> 00:50:17,039
the Spurs step up and class really well. And I

1069
00:50:17,199 --> 00:50:20,880
don't know if Daron Fox is playing for San Antonio tonight.

1070
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,679
And you talk about impact players, I get it Wenby

1071
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:27,559
Wemby Wemby, He's an impact player.

1072
00:50:27,639 --> 00:50:29,880
Speaker 6: Admittedly, Darren Fox is the.

1073
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:31,880
Speaker 9: Guy that the Spurs have with the ball in his

1074
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:33,920
hands in the last five minutes of all tight games.

1075
00:50:34,199 --> 00:50:34,519
Speaker 6: All right.

1076
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:36,639
Speaker 9: He's their closer, he's their playmaker down on the stretch,

1077
00:50:36,679 --> 00:50:37,440
he's instant offense.

1078
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:40,239
Speaker 6: He makes the right decisions. That's what they brought him

1079
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:40,639
there for.

1080
00:50:41,159 --> 00:50:42,960
Speaker 9: And when Fox isn't in the game, it's a big

1081
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:47,599
loss for San Antonio, which is a concern for me here,

1082
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:49,519
and of course, the Spurs off the NBA Cup win.

1083
00:50:49,559 --> 00:50:51,880
They're coming off a game in which they basically know

1084
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:56,480
showed in a very real way, losing at home to

1085
00:50:56,559 --> 00:50:58,599
Utah as the first lost all season against the team

1086
00:50:58,639 --> 00:51:01,760
that was a blow five hundred. Calves aren't blow five hundred.

1087
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,119
The Caves have had all kinds of issues this year. Obviously,

1088
00:51:04,119 --> 00:51:06,400
the team chemistry hasn't been there. They battled it, they

1089
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:10,480
battled injuries from the get go, and my first lean

1090
00:51:10,519 --> 00:51:12,679
I had the Spurs on my short list today and

1091
00:51:12,719 --> 00:51:14,519
then I saw the Fox injury, and then that's one

1092
00:51:14,639 --> 00:51:17,039
check against. And then I started reading the quotes from

1093
00:51:17,079 --> 00:51:20,639
Cleveland after the last loss, you know, the game in

1094
00:51:20,679 --> 00:51:27,039
which they too got absolutely annihilated in an note show

1095
00:51:27,039 --> 00:51:29,840
against Houston, and the quotes from Kenny Atkins after that

1096
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:31,880
game was, I knew this game was over in the

1097
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:32,440
first quarter.

1098
00:51:32,679 --> 00:51:34,599
Speaker 6: We didn't show up. We can't do that.

1099
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 9: There's a different level of urgency for Cleveland than there

1100
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:43,679
is for San Antonio tonight, and the initial lean towards

1101
00:51:43,679 --> 00:51:45,440
the Spurs when you get the Fox injury, when you

1102
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:48,119
get the urgency for Cleveland, that initial lean is now

1103
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:51,000
no way I laid with san Antonio in this ballgame,

1104
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:54,360
it's calves are passed and from my perfective. When I

1105
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,280
started on one side and then the facts point me

1106
00:51:56,320 --> 00:51:57,599
to the other side.

1107
00:51:57,719 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 6: I tend to leave those games alone. It's not a

1108
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:00,320
client player for me.

1109
00:52:00,679 --> 00:52:02,800
Speaker 9: You know, you get really frustrated when you started this

1110
00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:06,119
way and then the research takes you that way, and

1111
00:52:06,159 --> 00:52:09,800
then this way covers or vice versa. You know, you're like, oh,

1112
00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:12,400
I leaned that way, and so when you have a

1113
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,599
game where my you know, my initial reaction is, oh,

1114
00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:16,920
look my point, my powering number was higher than the.

1115
00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:17,440
Speaker 6: Three and a half.

1116
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,519
Speaker 9: Now my initial lean is Swords of Spurs. But I

1117
00:52:21,519 --> 00:52:25,519
ain't getting there. Given the situation, I'm not gonna flip

1118
00:52:25,599 --> 00:52:26,880
and go the other way. It's a pass for me.

1119
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:29,760
But I can certainly understand why Cleveland has taken the

1120
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:32,360
money they've taken overnight in an early betting action today.

1121
00:52:33,039 --> 00:52:36,480
There's urgency for the Cavs right now there, and Kenny

1122
00:52:36,519 --> 00:52:39,199
Atkinson made that very clear after their no show against

1123
00:52:39,199 --> 00:52:41,760
the Rockets on Friday.

1124
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:43,280
Speaker 6: On Saturday, whenever day.

1125
00:52:43,199 --> 00:52:45,760
Speaker 2: That was, it'll never happen.

1126
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:48,920
Speaker 1: They will never commit to it, but I will pile

1127
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:53,000
the desk and say, Wemby should be coming off the bench. Okay,

1128
00:52:53,039 --> 00:52:56,239
this team, this team is so good when Wemby comes

1129
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:57,920
off the bench and all of a sudden, the backups

1130
00:52:57,920 --> 00:52:59,079
are going up against Wemby.

1131
00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 2: So but I know they're not going to do that.

1132
00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:01,320
Speaker 6: All right.

1133
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:05,559
Speaker 1: We move on to the MAVs and the Trail Blazers.

1134
00:53:05,599 --> 00:53:09,159
Hard to it's weird their their records are pretty similar.

1135
00:53:09,239 --> 00:53:11,079
But you would say that the Blazers are kind of

1136
00:53:11,119 --> 00:53:14,119
maybe overachieving a little bit based on expectation. The MAVs

1137
00:53:14,119 --> 00:53:18,079
are underachieving. This Mavericks team is kind of in an

1138
00:53:18,159 --> 00:53:21,719
interesting spot. Anthony Davis is hurt again. Of course. I

1139
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:24,639
think Cooper Flags having a really underrated year. He's gotten

1140
00:53:24,679 --> 00:53:27,440
a lot better. I love watching him. He's going to

1141
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:28,079
be the real deal.

1142
00:53:28,159 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 2: This draft class was insane.

1143
00:53:30,159 --> 00:53:32,119
Speaker 1: This draft class has got all the potential of the

1144
00:53:32,119 --> 00:53:34,039
world to be big, big timers here.

1145
00:53:34,119 --> 00:53:36,360
Speaker 2: But what do you make this MAVs and Blazers game?

1146
00:53:36,440 --> 00:53:37,400
Two interesting teams?

1147
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,119
Speaker 9: So Prez always complains that I never bitched anyone else

1148
00:53:40,159 --> 00:53:46,280
the way I bitched him. You really think, do you

1149
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:48,440
really think that Cooper Flag is underrated?

1150
00:53:48,480 --> 00:53:48,800
Speaker 6: Right now?

1151
00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,079
Speaker 9: Cooper Flag is a shoe in to win every award.

1152
00:53:51,519 --> 00:53:54,159
He's been like lead story folksen and over and over,

1153
00:53:54,199 --> 00:53:55,880
Cooper Flag's getting nothing but hype.

1154
00:53:56,679 --> 00:53:57,199
Speaker 2: Oh wow.

1155
00:53:57,320 --> 00:54:00,199
Speaker 1: I just I always hear it about Harper, I hear

1156
00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,679
it about well edge Comb's been out a little bit,

1157
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:06,239
so all right, Maybe maybe I just I think that

1158
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,320
because of the record, the MAVs are not are not

1159
00:54:08,559 --> 00:54:09,800
taking that serious.

1160
00:54:10,239 --> 00:54:13,440
Speaker 2: So but maybe maybe it maybe I've overstated that, but

1161
00:54:13,599 --> 00:54:13,840
it was.

1162
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:17,159
Speaker 3: Like a vintage vintage wager talk today Teddy right there,

1163
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:22,000
vintage wag long time years of the shower, Like, hell yeah, Teddy's.

1164
00:54:21,679 --> 00:54:24,079
Speaker 6: Fire, I'm flicking them.

1165
00:54:24,599 --> 00:54:28,320
Speaker 9: But yeah, So I think that that Cooper Flag is

1166
00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:30,639
shoeing for Rookie of the Year, shoeing for everything he's

1167
00:54:30,639 --> 00:54:32,719
been the best, I mean for as well as Edgecomb

1168
00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,719
and Castle and all that a play. Cooper flags the

1169
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:38,000
guy and and he's showing it at the NBA level

1170
00:54:38,079 --> 00:54:42,039
right now. That being said, Portland's a really interesting team

1171
00:54:42,039 --> 00:54:46,480
to talk about. For second of back to backs. Last year,

1172
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:52,079
the Blazers had thirteen back to backs. They went eleven

1173
00:54:52,599 --> 00:54:56,079
one and one against the spread in those back to backs,

1174
00:54:56,079 --> 00:54:58,719
the single best team in the league and it wasn't close.

1175
00:55:00,559 --> 00:55:03,679
The number two team had five losses. So here we

1176
00:55:03,679 --> 00:55:05,480
already say, oh, that was kind of an anomaly. That

1177
00:55:05,519 --> 00:55:08,400
wasn't anything real, all right, just one of those years.

1178
00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:09,679
Speaker 6: What do we have this year?

1179
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:12,519
Speaker 9: Guess who the best team in the NBA is with

1180
00:55:12,599 --> 00:55:16,480
no rest this year? The Portland Trail Blazers. Five tries,

1181
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:19,000
four points, break cover in eighty percent ats in this role.

1182
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:24,239
They've been really, really good in situations where they're playing

1183
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:25,079
without rest.

1184
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:27,239
Speaker 6: And they're a youthful team. They're an energetic team.

1185
00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:30,280
Speaker 9: We expect that sort of thing from teams like Portland,

1186
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:34,920
and Dallas didn't necessarily that. That being said, every Blazer

1187
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:38,360
starter played thirty plus minutes last night, all right. And

1188
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:42,519
when you talk about the key guys for Portland, all right,

1189
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:48,239
you know the injuries that matter for the Blazers. Jeremy

1190
00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:51,280
Grant is one of those key guys. And Jeremy Grant

1191
00:55:51,280 --> 00:55:52,760
I have a hard time putting my money on the

1192
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,159
Blazers when Grant is not in the lineup. Grant is

1193
00:55:55,199 --> 00:56:00,360
not expected to play this evening. That being said, Dallas

1194
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:04,920
isn't very good, you know, uh, And we're seeing that

1195
00:56:05,000 --> 00:56:08,159
pretty clearly. And now Anthony Davis has been shut down

1196
00:56:08,199 --> 00:56:14,199
for the indefinite future, and given Portland's track record in

1197
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:19,159
these back to backs, given the fact that even without

1198
00:56:19,199 --> 00:56:23,760
Grant in the lineup, it's a Mavericks team that hasn't

1199
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:29,760
necessarily uh you know, I I'll just put it this way.

1200
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:32,719
I can only play Portland given that back to back

1201
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:37,079
track record. I'm not exciting about playing Portland because Grant's

1202
00:56:37,079 --> 00:56:39,519
in the lineup. But the blazers of these two teams

1203
00:56:39,599 --> 00:56:42,480
right now, I think Portland is the more undervalue of

1204
00:56:42,519 --> 00:56:45,519
the two current commodities, and particularly in the back to

1205
00:56:45,519 --> 00:56:49,840
back settings, they've been great. They you can perhaps find

1206
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:52,719
some extra value with the Blazers in that regard.

1207
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:57,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right, Cooper Flags, I'm looking right now minus

1208
00:56:57,199 --> 00:56:58,679
five twenty five Rookie of the Year.

1209
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:00,599
Speaker 2: I just I guess I was not aware of it.

1210
00:57:00,639 --> 00:57:03,920
Speaker 1: I've been paying attention to the tom Ca nipples and

1211
00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:07,679
edge combes and Derek Queen looks like like he's good.

1212
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:09,920
Harper looks good. But you're right, You're right.

1213
00:57:10,039 --> 00:57:13,519
Speaker 2: I stand here corrected, So it's okay.

1214
00:57:14,119 --> 00:57:16,360
Speaker 1: Well, the thing is, I think it's I can't get

1215
00:57:16,400 --> 00:57:19,519
mad like I can't like I can't get an arguments

1216
00:57:20,159 --> 00:57:23,400
on these shows. So like, if you're if you're hoping

1217
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:26,320
for a heated argument between Teddy and me, I probably

1218
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:28,880
am not going to contribute a whole lot to.

1219
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,400
Speaker 3: That, so uh you get it? Sell me.

1220
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:38,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, all those heated sell these segments. Teddy, it's

1221
00:57:38,199 --> 00:57:40,159
great Monday. You crushed opening line report. What do you

1222
00:57:40,159 --> 00:57:40,920
have up for clients?

1223
00:57:41,159 --> 00:57:41,360
Speaker 6: Yeah?

1224
00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:43,079
Speaker 9: Right now, I just a single play in the NBA

1225
00:57:43,199 --> 00:57:44,960
up for tonight. I want to go through the college

1226
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:46,719
hoops card one more time. There was something that stood

1227
00:57:46,719 --> 00:57:49,000
out to me that I haven't had time to go

1228
00:57:49,039 --> 00:57:51,000
through right now, but hopefully we'll have some college hoops

1229
00:57:51,039 --> 00:57:53,039
up as well. I do have the single NBA best

1230
00:57:53,079 --> 00:57:54,239
bet running good.

1231
00:57:54,119 --> 00:57:55,199
Speaker 6: An NBA again. Guys.

1232
00:57:55,199 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 9: You know NBA has been my sport long term, short

1233
00:57:57,320 --> 00:58:00,280
term or you want to put it U seventy over

1234
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:02,559
the last ten days and obviously number one at Wader

1235
00:58:02,559 --> 00:58:04,760
Talks in twenty twenty two. Single best bet on my

1236
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:11,559
home page right now, WT Dot Buzz Backslash TC.

1237
00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:13,039
Speaker 2: Teddy covers.

1238
00:58:13,119 --> 00:58:15,519
Speaker 1: Always love talking NBA any sports with you. Thank you

1239
00:58:15,599 --> 00:58:18,519
so much for jumping in uh and subbing, so appreciate you.

1240
00:58:19,800 --> 00:58:22,760
If Andy argues with you, he has to hate you

1241
00:58:27,199 --> 00:58:32,559
maybe maybe, I mean, no, that is probably true. If

1242
00:58:32,599 --> 00:58:35,639
I get in a really heated argument, there's definitely some

1243
00:58:35,639 --> 00:58:36,199
some hatred.

1244
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:40,079
Speaker 3: So you're you're a cooler heads will prevail kind of guy,

1245
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:42,480
you know what I mean? Like, I feel like it's

1246
00:58:42,679 --> 00:58:45,559
very unless it's like I could see something with a

1247
00:58:45,639 --> 00:58:48,880
production company being like what the hell is wrong with Like,

1248
00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:51,000
I feel like that's where the fire would come out

1249
00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:53,360
for And you know, see, I have no I have.

1250
00:58:53,320 --> 00:58:55,559
Speaker 1: To be the cooler head because my business partner is

1251
00:58:55,559 --> 00:58:56,559
the one that goes bulliet.

1252
00:58:56,679 --> 00:58:58,960
Speaker 3: Yeah that's important. Yeah, exactly.

1253
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,440
Speaker 1: A couple takeaways real quick, and then we got some

1254
00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:06,880
free plays. So Bill was showing us, like, here's the bets,

1255
00:59:06,920 --> 00:59:08,760
and that's one of the most common questions, you guys,

1256
00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:11,880
bet your bets. I made the mistake one time on

1257
00:59:12,000 --> 00:59:16,800
social media of trying to show bet slips, and that

1258
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:18,000
was a failed experiment.

1259
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:20,800
Speaker 2: Never ever do that on social media.

1260
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:24,119
Speaker 1: Maybe here on this show, I've showed I've I've showed

1261
00:59:24,119 --> 00:59:27,800
myself holding some paper tickets from Caesar's. But if you

1262
00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:31,079
want to see the most venomous trolls come out, show

1263
00:59:31,119 --> 00:59:32,760
your bet slips on social media.

1264
00:59:33,159 --> 00:59:34,880
Speaker 2: That was a two or three day miss.

1265
00:59:35,039 --> 00:59:36,960
Speaker 1: I thought it would like make me look, you know

1266
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:39,800
a little bit more official, and like, oh, I'll prove

1267
00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:40,400
everybody wrong.

1268
00:59:40,440 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 2: I do bet those, but bad idea.

1269
00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:47,199
Speaker 3: All right, let's question here from Dan Russell. This is

1270
00:59:47,239 --> 00:59:51,199
like a prop that you're able to play as squares

1271
00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:57,559
on things like underdog fantasy or prize picks. You know,

1272
00:59:58,320 --> 01:00:00,880
the regulated sportsbooks they're not really doing stuff on the

1273
01:00:00,960 --> 01:00:05,119
on the fantasy point totals with regularity. Sometimes they do,

1274
01:00:05,199 --> 01:00:07,920
sometimes they don't, but I know it's an offering on

1275
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:12,400
things like prize picks, like underdog sports. So so there's

1276
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:13,320
there's your answer.

1277
01:00:13,159 --> 01:00:13,639
Speaker 6: For you, Dan.

1278
01:00:14,960 --> 01:00:17,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's not it's not available in every state,

1279
01:00:17,559 --> 01:00:18,639
so you have to be in the right.

1280
01:00:18,639 --> 01:00:21,280
Speaker 3: Exactly you're you're that's that's one of the things for

1281
01:00:21,360 --> 01:00:23,400
what it's we're like betting out West when I'm here

1282
01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:25,079
in California, Like one of the things that I can

1283
01:00:25,159 --> 01:00:29,280
do is do those uh you know, fantasy games as

1284
01:00:29,599 --> 01:00:32,039
it's it's not as it's not legal here for any

1285
01:00:32,079 --> 01:00:34,760
other sports betting. So so yeah, it's it's a state

1286
01:00:34,760 --> 01:00:36,880
by state basis. Like if you're in Pennsylvania, you can't

1287
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:38,800
do prize picks. You're in you drive over the state

1288
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,840
line in New Jersey, you can that's crazy.

1289
01:00:43,239 --> 01:00:45,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's do wtf LFG and then we'll do

1290
01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:46,760
all around the world.

1291
01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:48,079
Speaker 2: What prop you got for us?

1292
01:00:48,639 --> 01:00:50,840
Speaker 3: All right? I got I got one that I have

1293
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,079
a feeling I'm gonna get hit with some wtfs here

1294
01:00:53,119 --> 01:00:56,039
because the numbers maybe don't quite back up the play,

1295
01:00:56,079 --> 01:00:59,199
but I think situationally it does. Now, Andy, let's recap

1296
01:00:59,239 --> 01:01:01,199
real quick. We end up we're going to grade the

1297
01:01:01,239 --> 01:01:04,960
Saquon bet as a loss. The last WTFLFG was his

1298
01:01:05,039 --> 01:01:08,800
longest rush attempt over and we had fifteen and a half,

1299
01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:11,199
we had sixteen and a half, and we agreed, Hey,

1300
01:01:11,239 --> 01:01:13,800
let's call it sixteen and a half. Use the higher

1301
01:01:13,880 --> 01:01:15,639
number in case people didn't want to lay the juice

1302
01:01:15,639 --> 01:01:18,480
with the fifteen and a half. He ends up with sixteen, Andy,

1303
01:01:18,719 --> 01:01:21,079
So if you're wondering how important a half points are,

1304
01:01:21,559 --> 01:01:23,920
he ends up with sixteen, and we'll grade it as

1305
01:01:23,960 --> 01:01:26,480
a loser. So seven and four still winning, and we

1306
01:01:26,559 --> 01:01:28,960
have hit any time we've given out the plus money

1307
01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:31,920
prop here on the show, and that's what we're doing. Andy,

1308
01:01:32,639 --> 01:01:35,599
Matt Stafford to throw an interception. We're looking at plus

1309
01:01:35,679 --> 01:01:39,519
one thirty five. Here's the reasoning for me. This Falcons team,

1310
01:01:39,960 --> 01:01:43,280
they pride themselves on the takeaway ability. Now there's only

1311
01:01:43,320 --> 01:01:46,159
been five times this year that they haven't gotten interception

1312
01:01:46,519 --> 01:01:50,360
in action, and three straight games they've forced an interception

1313
01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:54,679
in those games. Now, for Stafford, MVP favorite largely due

1314
01:01:54,679 --> 01:01:56,880
to the fact he's not turning the ball over. He

1315
01:01:56,960 --> 01:02:00,639
only has five interceptions on the season. However, two of

1316
01:02:00,679 --> 01:02:04,000
those came with a common opponent here, and that's the Panthers.

1317
01:02:04,039 --> 01:02:06,559
It was a two interception and the road loss. And

1318
01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:10,400
pay attention to that road part of the equation because

1319
01:02:10,719 --> 01:02:13,760
the five picks that Stafford has on the year, four

1320
01:02:13,800 --> 01:02:16,840
of them have come in road games. I don't know

1321
01:02:16,880 --> 01:02:19,000
how much motivation there's going to be to Stafford even

1322
01:02:19,039 --> 01:02:21,199
play this whole game. Maybe not. That could be why

1323
01:02:21,199 --> 01:02:23,280
we're seeing that plus money. I think the bigger reason

1324
01:02:23,280 --> 01:02:25,519
why we're getting plus one thirty five on this is

1325
01:02:25,519 --> 01:02:27,679
because he just hasn't been throwing interceptions. But if the

1326
01:02:27,679 --> 01:02:30,840
Falcons want to make this, you know, fun spoiler game

1327
01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:33,000
at home for people, it's largely going to do to

1328
01:02:33,039 --> 01:02:34,960
what they're doing on the defensive side of the ball.

1329
01:02:35,239 --> 01:02:37,719
I'm taking a shake of the Cat plus one thirty

1330
01:02:37,760 --> 01:02:41,239
five Matt Stafford interception. Andy, we fade in or following

1331
01:02:41,320 --> 01:02:41,760
this one?

1332
01:02:42,800 --> 01:02:48,920
Speaker 1: Uh, compelling case, good price. I am going to fade

1333
01:02:48,920 --> 01:02:51,039
this one. I will not bet it though, because I

1334
01:02:51,079 --> 01:02:53,119
don't want to lay that one. Well, we're going to argue, Andy, No,

1335
01:02:53,159 --> 01:02:59,440
I'm just kidding. So what's the pot behind a.

1336
01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:02,559
Speaker 3: Phase there aren't going to be meeting?

1337
01:03:03,239 --> 01:03:07,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would. I would say a heavy rush attack.

1338
01:03:08,199 --> 01:03:12,239
Will Stafford played the whole game unless it's an absolute massacre? Yes,

1339
01:03:12,480 --> 01:03:15,360
he will play. I thought, I think I read something

1340
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:18,519
that don't they don't the Rams have like the Falcons pick.

1341
01:03:20,239 --> 01:03:22,480
Speaker 2: I think I let me look at that.

1342
01:03:22,519 --> 01:03:24,719
Speaker 3: There could be a little I think that does. No

1343
01:03:24,800 --> 01:03:27,480
that that is for that is exactly uh the case,

1344
01:03:27,519 --> 01:03:30,039
because I remember I forget which which game was. It

1345
01:03:30,039 --> 01:03:32,199
was when they were playing the Cardinals and the talk

1346
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:36,119
was the Atlanta Falcons will somehow, uh you know, screw

1347
01:03:36,159 --> 01:03:38,159
this up, or the Cardinals will screw this up where

1348
01:03:38,159 --> 01:03:40,920
they'll beat the Falcons. So it's actually making the Rams

1349
01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:44,119
pick better and the Rams who are already owning the division.

1350
01:03:44,159 --> 01:03:47,079
So yes, the Rams do own the Atlanta Falcons pick.

1351
01:03:47,119 --> 01:03:51,079
So that could be a little hey, Yeah, to get

1352
01:03:51,079 --> 01:03:51,440
this win.

1353
01:03:52,079 --> 01:03:54,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I think this is a heavy rush attack.

1354
01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:57,840
Speaker 1: I think Blake Korm, Kiren Williams, Stafford plays it safe.

1355
01:03:57,920 --> 01:04:00,800
I love Andrews take that they could run the ball

1356
01:04:00,840 --> 01:04:03,400
down to the twenty ten yard line and then Stafford

1357
01:04:03,440 --> 01:04:07,280
throws touchdowns to boost his MVP. I'm gonna slightly lean

1358
01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:10,320
to the WTF. I'm fading this one Dan.

1359
01:04:10,760 --> 01:04:13,920
Speaker 3: All out, all out, and honestly, the WTF fades have

1360
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:17,440
gone well for us. Matt Stafford interception follower fade comment

1361
01:04:17,559 --> 01:04:20,119
below plus one thirty five is the price that I

1362
01:04:20,159 --> 01:04:23,920
am seeing. And Andy people can't worry. We still got

1363
01:04:24,280 --> 01:04:28,119
the lovely segment where we get multiple plays from Andy

1364
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:30,880
and that is all around the world. But first Andy,

1365
01:04:31,119 --> 01:04:34,679
mind people again, the primetime record has been sick, and

1366
01:04:34,679 --> 01:04:36,760
we're rocking a five percent or with the team tonight.

1367
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:39,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, twenty seven and fifteen in NFL primetime.

1368
01:04:40,599 --> 01:04:43,760
Speaker 1: That's it's our first five percent primetime NFL bet of

1369
01:04:43,880 --> 01:04:46,320
the season. And we had good read yesterday. We hit

1370
01:04:46,360 --> 01:04:49,800
our five percent in the NFL yesterday and you just

1371
01:04:49,840 --> 01:04:52,880
have some really good vibes coming into this week. We

1372
01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:56,159
hit the overnight cricket play three and one on Dark's play.

1373
01:04:56,199 --> 01:05:00,239
So feeling really good, feeling really confident. So w buzz

1374
01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:03,000
slash al it's the only play we're gonna have tonight.

1375
01:05:03,039 --> 01:05:05,400
All the other ones have cashed this morning. So five

1376
01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,039
per cent best bet. If you cashed with us yesterday, listen, listen,

1377
01:05:08,079 --> 01:05:11,159
if you cast with us yesterday, it's pretty much state law.

1378
01:05:11,599 --> 01:05:12,840
Speaker 2: You have to jump on board.

1379
01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:14,800
Speaker 6: Takes it.

1380
01:05:14,920 --> 01:05:16,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, take some of those winning. You're not gonna leave

1381
01:05:16,880 --> 01:05:17,880
your boy over.

1382
01:05:18,639 --> 01:05:18,840
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1383
01:05:18,840 --> 01:05:21,480
Speaker 1: I think of how pissed you're gonna be if if

1384
01:05:21,519 --> 01:05:24,599
it hits and you you missed out. So all right,

1385
01:05:24,639 --> 01:05:26,760
let's do all around the world. Let's give some free

1386
01:05:26,760 --> 01:05:31,000
plays for the people. Prop heavy here. Raptors Magic Manuel

1387
01:05:31,079 --> 01:05:33,880
quickly over nine and a half rebounds plus assist. He's

1388
01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:35,760
gone over in five out of the last six games.

1389
01:05:35,800 --> 01:05:38,519
He's playing thirty two minutes, the Magic give up fifteen

1390
01:05:38,679 --> 01:05:42,199
rebounds assists to point guards. Portal's still out. Argie Barrett's back,

1391
01:05:42,199 --> 01:05:43,920
but he's playing limited minutes, so there's a lot of

1392
01:05:43,960 --> 01:05:47,920
stats still available for this. For the Raptors starters. That

1393
01:05:48,039 --> 01:05:50,800
Spurs Calves game that Teddy just talked about, I think

1394
01:05:50,800 --> 01:05:53,480
we just need to play Luke Cornette over his points.

1395
01:05:54,000 --> 01:05:56,159
He's nine and four of the over with Wemby in

1396
01:05:56,199 --> 01:05:58,719
the lineup, and when he's coming off the bench, he

1397
01:05:58,760 --> 01:05:59,800
gets to go up against the back.

1398
01:06:00,079 --> 01:06:01,400
Speaker 2: He's getting twenty two minutes per game.

1399
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:03,800
Speaker 1: He's shooting seventy percent from the field because all of

1400
01:06:03,840 --> 01:06:04,960
his shots are right at the rim.

1401
01:06:05,039 --> 01:06:06,599
Speaker 2: His decent free throw shoot.

1402
01:06:06,800 --> 01:06:09,760
Speaker 1: So well, I think with Wemby in the lineup, we

1403
01:06:09,840 --> 01:06:13,000
go Cornette over his points, and we will go with

1404
01:06:13,159 --> 01:06:15,840
a prop tonight. I like Kirk Cousins over his passing

1405
01:06:16,039 --> 01:06:17,960
I got two twenty six and a half. Rams have

1406
01:06:17,960 --> 01:06:21,320
given up two seventy plus the last three starting quarterbacks.

1407
01:06:21,559 --> 01:06:23,639
Cousins has gone over and two out of his last four,

1408
01:06:23,679 --> 01:06:25,519
and for the season, the Rams are twenty third against

1409
01:06:25,559 --> 01:06:28,280
the pass, eleventh against the run. This could look like

1410
01:06:28,320 --> 01:06:30,880
a mirror image of that Tampa Bay game where Cousins

1411
01:06:30,880 --> 01:06:32,639
had to come from behind gotten a shootout.

1412
01:06:32,760 --> 01:06:34,159
Speaker 2: He threw for three seventy three.

1413
01:06:34,199 --> 01:06:37,039
Speaker 1: So maybe take a sprinkle on Kirk Cousins over his

1414
01:06:37,199 --> 01:06:40,719
passing yards. So that was when I was I was bummed.

1415
01:06:40,719 --> 01:06:42,840
I did not ladder that thing up against Tampa. I

1416
01:06:42,880 --> 01:06:45,239
was like, what if what if Cousins goes off like

1417
01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:48,800
any You think you could have bet four hundred and half?

1418
01:06:49,159 --> 01:06:51,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, yes, so uh and.

1419
01:06:51,280 --> 01:06:54,519
Speaker 1: Yes the five percent yesterday was Trevor Lawrence over his

1420
01:06:54,639 --> 01:06:57,920
passing yards even with Sauce Gardner back in the lineup.

1421
01:06:58,199 --> 01:07:01,599
This is a cult secondary like an absolute, be exploited.

1422
01:07:01,639 --> 01:07:05,000
Speaker 3: So for Sauce Gardener, he goes from one and seventeen

1423
01:07:05,119 --> 01:07:07,039
and then he joins the Colts and the Colts go

1424
01:07:07,159 --> 01:07:08,800
one and seven since he got there.

1425
01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:12,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely absolutely.

1426
01:07:13,119 --> 01:07:14,519
Speaker 1: Oh by the way, you did you do you have

1427
01:07:14,599 --> 01:07:17,000
that slide of that I that I said this morning

1428
01:07:17,039 --> 01:07:18,000
of the betting stats.

1429
01:07:18,039 --> 01:07:18,639
Speaker 2: We didn't do the.

1430
01:07:18,559 --> 01:07:21,639
Speaker 3: Betta the way out. Let's pull that up.

1431
01:07:21,840 --> 01:07:24,360
Speaker 2: This is just some fun facts and stats for you guys.

1432
01:07:25,360 --> 01:07:28,920
Speaker 1: The Cowboys, Why couldn't we have picked up on this earlier?

1433
01:07:29,000 --> 01:07:31,039
Speaker 2: Cowboys are fifteen and one to the over in the

1434
01:07:31,039 --> 01:07:31,599
first half.

1435
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:36,840
Speaker 1: Be retired, and I know, Jets, we already went over

1436
01:07:37,119 --> 01:07:41,920
zero interceptions. Cory Krosky, Merritt, Trevor Lawrence, and Tyler Algier

1437
01:07:42,039 --> 01:07:44,039
they all have more rushing touchdowns than Bijon.

1438
01:07:44,440 --> 01:07:45,679
Speaker 2: Good Lord.

1439
01:07:46,480 --> 01:07:49,679
Speaker 1: Chiefs are now one in six ats on the road,

1440
01:07:50,079 --> 01:07:53,440
and the Saints, the Saints who are gonna kill my

1441
01:07:53,639 --> 01:07:56,000
season with told us if they win next week, they

1442
01:07:56,000 --> 01:07:58,920
are a future two and thirteen in the first quarter spread.

1443
01:07:59,280 --> 01:08:01,800
So even though they won yesterday, Dan, that was against

1444
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:05,920
the Titans. They were struggling against the Titans. Uh So,

1445
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:09,119
I don't think I'm in a hedge man, I don't

1446
01:08:09,119 --> 01:08:10,079
think I'm gonna hedge.

1447
01:08:10,719 --> 01:08:13,760
Speaker 3: No, you can't. They let that ship ride.

1448
01:08:15,159 --> 01:08:18,840
Speaker 2: Falcons are Falcons are playing for Yeah, the Falcons.

1449
01:08:19,000 --> 01:08:21,000
Speaker 3: The Falcons are playing. The Falcons are gonna be playing

1450
01:08:21,039 --> 01:08:25,239
their players, and the Falcons are favorites in that game.

1451
01:08:25,359 --> 01:08:28,920
So you know, absolutely, if you really want to take

1452
01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:30,399
a little plus money, you know.

1453
01:08:30,920 --> 01:08:32,720
Speaker 2: I could, I could hedge out a little bit.

1454
01:08:32,920 --> 01:08:35,039
Speaker 3: I'll wait, all right, you know what, you find something

1455
01:08:35,079 --> 01:08:37,079
you like in a teaser leg take the Saints up

1456
01:08:37,119 --> 01:08:38,960
to eight and a half, you know what I mean?

1457
01:08:39,159 --> 01:08:42,720
And then and then you're just like, I'm happy.

1458
01:08:42,439 --> 01:08:46,520
Speaker 2: Either way, Pasy saying cash out, Well, I gotta.

1459
01:08:47,880 --> 01:08:50,399
Speaker 3: If you're gonna do something hedge, don't ever take the

1460
01:08:50,439 --> 01:08:51,279
cash out price.

1461
01:08:51,800 --> 01:08:53,039
Speaker 2: Yeah I know, I know.

1462
01:08:53,199 --> 01:08:54,880
Speaker 1: So all right, Well, thank you so much. What an

1463
01:08:54,920 --> 01:08:57,159
incredible Monday show. Shout out to the guest. The guys

1464
01:08:57,159 --> 01:09:00,119
brought the energy. We went long, but uh yeah, this

1465
01:09:00,199 --> 01:09:00,760
is a great show.

1466
01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:02,760
Speaker 2: So we got live, we got darts.

1467
01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:05,479
Speaker 1: We're watching today, We're watching this app State Georgia, Southern,

1468
01:09:05,520 --> 01:09:07,560
myself and Phoenix dust RT and we're gonna do the

1469
01:09:07,600 --> 01:09:08,800
same thing tomorrow.

1470
01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:11,560
Speaker 2: It's a big, big day and night of bets. Yes,

1471
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:12,920
let's go, let's go.

1472
01:09:13,159 --> 01:09:15,279
Speaker 1: We got a three day pass going out tomorrow, so

1473
01:09:15,760 --> 01:09:17,640
we're going back tomorrow. We've got a great lineup tomorrow.

1474
01:09:17,760 --> 01:09:19,840
Get you ready for all of Tuesday's action. Thank you

1475
01:09:19,880 --> 01:09:22,560
so much, Hit the life button, leave us a comment below,

1476
01:09:22,720 --> 01:09:24,640
and as always, subscribed to the YouTube channel.

