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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It is Thursday. It's time

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for full court press, Robbino. Thursday, once we get to

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conference play, is my favorite day of the week because

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it's all of like the small mid major leagues, as

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I spend a lot of time following driving around the

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country going to games, and they all sort of play

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on Thursday. Now, I think it's a budget type thing

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that the travel when you're not a power five team

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and you don't you know, you don't have the same

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amenities if you will traveling around as some of the

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bigger leagues. It tends to be like Thursday Saturday tends

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to be make the most sense, meaning you're gonna go,

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You're gonna play on Thursday, You're gonna stay in the

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general area, play someone on Saturday. Less nights in the hotel,

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less strain on the athletic department. That's why we see

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so many leagues, so many of the mid major leagues

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play Thursday Saturday now a cost cutting measure. But you

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know the nice thing about it is on Saturday they

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tend to get lost in the shuffle because there's one

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hundred and forty games and everyone's playing on Thursday. It's

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almost like they get the stage to themselves. So I

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want to start with what I consider the feature game.

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It's still a mid major league. But you know, off air, Rob,

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we were kind of talking about the Yukon game last night,

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and you know, unfortunately it killed our parlay. Yukon comes

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back to get it done in overtime, but they fail

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to cover the number, and it's like almost like there's

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no one is immune. You know. I kind of joked yesterday,

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maybe they win every game by double digits, right, Like

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I said that, I didn't think they were gonna lose

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a league game this year, and it's almost like no

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one is immune to a dud and our feature game

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tonight Santa Clara Gonzaga. Gonzaga kind of had that the

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other day right where they they very much took for

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granted the Seattle RedHawks as a twenty three to twenty

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four point favorite and found themselves in a game with

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the with Seattle that they ultimately won, just like Yukon

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found away last night. It's just what good teams do.

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Gonzaga have a big favorite at home tonight against Santa

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Clara at the Kennel. Do you think they got the

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gut out of their system and do we see them

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running up here.

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Speaker 2: Well, I think it's a bad matchup for Santa Clara

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only because everything that Santa Clara does really really well

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from an offensive standpoint, Gonzaga defends either just as well

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or better. So it's gonna be difficult. You know, Santa

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Clara mostly an offensive, rebounding inside the arc type team.

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You don't get a lot of offensive rebounds against Gonzaga.

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You don't get a lot of clean looks inside the

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arc against Gonzaga. Santa Clara can still shoot the three

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a little bit, but they've become a little more two

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point dependent this season. And if I flip that over,

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everything Gonzaga does well offensively, Santa Clara defends it like

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a mid tier level. So it's hard to make a

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real case for Santa Clara. Fundamentally. They've shot the ball really,

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really well in their last four games since conference play started.

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Sixty four percent from the field against Oregon State, fifty

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four against Portland, forty nine against Pepperdine, and then fifty

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against San Diego. Those are really good shooting days for

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Santa Clara. Certainly, Gonzaga Mark few takes note of that.

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Their defense Just to give you the contrast to that,

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their defensive numbers since conference play started. They allowed only

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thirty four percent to Pepperdine thirty six percent to Seattle,

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despite the fact that it went ot and thirty percent

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in their last game to Loyola Merrimount. The sort of

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outlier is the game against San Diego where they allowed

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fifty two percent and got up and down the floor

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in a ninety nine to ninety three games So Gonzagas

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had a couple of close calls here which would make

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you believe that perhaps the price tag is too high.

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The matchup tells me that if they want to, the

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price tag isn't too high. I wonder about the total

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here at one hundred and sixty five points. I think

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it could end up being an under in this game.

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I think maybe the defensive side of Gonzaga comes out

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here at home, and perhaps Santa Clara defends enough to

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hold let's say Gonzaga to eighty five or less. If

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they do that, this game probably stays under. So that

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would be my initial look at him is under one

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sixty five. I don't really have a firm opinion on

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the side, because, as you just heard, I kind of

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make cases both ways. To make the case that Gonzagas

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had two out of four close calls despite being the

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superior team in league plays so far, and Santa Clara

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is just shot it so well for four straight I

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wonder if against this defense that number doesn't come down drastically.

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Speaker 1: We'll see, Uh, I think that's fair to think that,

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like the spread is probably my number came out very

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close to the to the number here. I do think that, like,

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I think Gonzaga is going to be able to kind

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of get what they want though in this matchup. So

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I I think Gonzaga has no problem scoring. Now we

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know that from a from a full game total perspective,

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Gonzaga they will wipe teams out on occasion, right, and

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and and the game I referenced was, uh, the Seattle

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game was not the most recent game, so that was there.

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They had their sort of bounce back from so you

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you referenced twice in conference play San Diego. That was

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concerning to me. Let's put it that way, san Diego

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scoring ninety three points against Gonzaga. But you know San

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Diego what they do well kind of like they have

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a lot of one on one kind of like shot

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making scores in that regard, So, like I guess, it

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doesn't surprise me that in a game where they trailed

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most of the game that they could just kind of

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hang around and score baskets. But you know, Gonzaga did

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have their bounce back moment against Loyola Marormount last time

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out eighty two to forty seven wins, So had this

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game fallen in that Loyola Marramount spot, I be far

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more inclined to lay the fifteen and a half with

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Gonzaga here. You know, I guess like I do see

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the merit with like Santa Clara does a lot of

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things well, but for me, like in this matchup, I

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think I think Gonzaga gets to the rim and scores

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pretty much as much as they want. So for me,

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it's gonna be can Santa Clara do what San Diego

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did score hang around to stay within fifteen and a

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half or do they or if they don't, Gonzaga winning

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by twenty is certainly not out of the question. So

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I think for me, the slightest of leans towards Zaga

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minus the point, and it's just being at home the

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fact that I think that they're gonna score with relative

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ease against Santa Clara. Who is gonna let them get

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up and down? Who's gonna let them get to the rim?

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Would put me on the Gonzaga side, but not a

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not something I'm gonna bet personally. It's just I know

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a game. This is the Drew Martin Degenerate Special ROB.

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It is the last game off the board. It is

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the last game off the board. And because of that,

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and because it's on ESPN two and gonzagas of course

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a national power at this point, it had to be

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the feature game. Coach forty says, Gonzaga team total over,

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Like yeah, I mean, I'm certainly I'm certainly not betting

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Gonzaga team total under. That's for sure, not with the

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with what I think the pace is going to be.

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Anything on that ROB.

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Speaker 2: The team total, it's just the game kind of to me,

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Adam to throw a number out there, the game just

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has the makings of like an eighty six seventy, Like

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they skim by the number. They hold Santa Clara to seventy,

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they get near ninety here you have to ask them

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to get over ninety. I think team total I'll go

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back and check, but I thought that their team total

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was maybe ninety and a half. I'm gonna look real

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fast while we toy well eighty nine and a half,

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there are some ninety and a half's out there. So basically,

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by the end of the day, you're probably gonna be

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asking Gonzaga to get to ninety one. And to me,

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there's not enough wiggle room there. But I think a

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full game under to me, kind of makes the most sense.

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It is interesting, Adam real quick here. Gonzaga forty point win,

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thirty five point win in conference play, close call, close

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call in the other two. So it's one or the other.

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Either they blow these teams out or they make it close.

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Styles make games and everything Santa Clara wants to do.

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On the offensive end, Gonzaga defends really well. So it's

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gonna be when you come in as a great offensive

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rebounding team or an elites statistically offensive rebounding team like

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Santa Claire is, asking them to get second chances against

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Gonzaga's board work on the defensive side. That that's not easy.

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There could be a lot of one and done for

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that side.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right about like your net, you're rarely gonna

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get like value on something like that a Gonzaga team

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total over at home. My projection for Gonzaga here ninety

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ninety sorry, ninety two point one, ninety two point one point,

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so suggest that it goes over eighty nine and a half.

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But as you said, like it's typically there's not going

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to be value in a bet like that, And I

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would agree that's that's not really enough of a of

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a you know, margin to like be like okay, yeah,

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that's that's any value there. But like Rob, like you're

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saying like you could with a total like this up

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where it is in the one sixties, like you could

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theoretically get a Gonzaga team total over and the game

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could still like stay under right without much issue because

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of how big that number is. That total for the game,

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definitely suggesting that there's going to be some points by

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both teams. Speaking of totals, Rob, here's an interesting one.

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This is I'm gonna go this is I guess something

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that we should point out. Garth appreciate the donation. He

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wants to go Summit League totals, which I know that

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you've you know, messed around within the past. Rob Denver,

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South Dakota State, Denver is thirteen to oh to the

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over this season Summit League totals. I know you've played

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around with these. Have you gotten involved at all during

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conference play? Now that we're back in conference play? And

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what do you have for Garth on this total right here?

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Speaker 2: Well, I certainly kicked myself last night for being on

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at least for client tile. The South Dakota game over

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went way over the total. South Dakota is another one

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of those that gets up and over. But to Denver

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run it was Denver an American You for quite a while,

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the surprise teams just going over every single game American You.

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Last night, I think came in under the total, and

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they've come in under the total a couple of times now.

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But Denver just continues to go up and over, So

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it's hard to say that they would play an under here.

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I'm not sure. Here's the thing about the Summit League.

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I'm not real sure oddsmakers catch up as quick in

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this particular league, like I say, last night, and maybe

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not the market either. At them, not even the Sharps

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got to that South Dakota game over. That number just

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got to a place, sat there, sat there, sat there.

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Nobody wanted to bet over and then the game goes

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like thirty points over. So that's kind of what you're

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dealing with here with Denvers. So to Guard's point, until

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this time, until this freight train either gets priced out

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of range or they stop showing you the ability to

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score and not defend, I think you continue to play

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it over now South Dakota State, for what it's worth,

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it's not the same team obviously under new leadership here,

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different player personnel. I don't know that there is good

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at you know, recent South Dakota State teams, let's go

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back a decade, always good perimeter shooting, high scoring teams.

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Not so sure South Dakota. South Dakota State is that

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this year. However, the Denver defense allows so much that

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you can become that on a single night. So matchups

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here suggests you probably want to play over. I haven't yet,

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but have taken notice of that Denver market trend, and

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I would say to Garth that I still don't think

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that the odds makers have correctly compensated for what Denver's

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doing right now. And it's probably because not a lot

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of people go to the window with Summit League totals.

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That's probably the reason no reason to adjust if nobody's

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gonna bet.

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Speaker 1: It, well, well, no one's gonna bet it because this

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is one of the toughest leagues to watch. It's like,

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not on ESPN Plus, you have to have like Summit

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log in. I think it. I can't even remember if

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it's paywalled. It might be, I might, I know, I

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just like subscribe, I can't. I think they actually charge

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listen in. I guess everyone charges to an extent, right

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because if you're if you're on ESPN Plus, then you

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have to pay a subscription for it. But yeah, I

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think that I think that hurts the Summit. You know, like,

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at least at least listen rob when you have to

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go over to any sea front row, at least it's free.

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You're just pulling the website up, you know. I've always

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found Summit being like the one of the tougher ones

241
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to watch. Of course, we'll get to a flow sports

242
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in just a minute, but that may be the you know,

243
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the Coastal may have the worst deal of any of them.

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But yeah, I agree with you. I don't think the

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Summit gets even the UH as much recreational better love

246
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than some of the other leagues. And so yeah, Well,

247
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one thing I will say that I don't think has

248
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really gone unnoticed is Denver from like the side perspective.

249
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You know, they've had some really nice results this year,

250
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and that that number certainly suggests that the odds makers

251
00:14:05,879 --> 00:14:10,799
are aware that Denver can play. I had it? Are

252
00:14:10,799 --> 00:14:13,480
we still seven and a half? My screen is frozen

253
00:14:13,519 --> 00:14:15,919
for whatever reason, probably because I'm back in New York

254
00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:17,360
and it's cold again. I'm back in the.

255
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Speaker 2: Yeah, all seven and a half, so all the way

256
00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:23,240
across the board, and we should have mentioned this right

257
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off the top four Garth, that game total has been

258
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hit dramatically hard to the under. Oh yeah, opened one

259
00:14:31,879 --> 00:14:34,399
sixty eight, and as you and I are talking, the

260
00:14:34,399 --> 00:14:37,960
screen's just flashing all over the place, all the way

261
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,759
down to one sixty one and in some places one

262
00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,279
sixty and a half. So you got a seven and

263
00:14:44,320 --> 00:14:47,360
a half point move to the under in some places.

264
00:14:47,919 --> 00:14:52,080
And I think it's part of what I mentioned when

265
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I was talking about this game is that South DA

266
00:14:53,879 --> 00:14:57,039
code is just not the same. You can't rely on

267
00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,639
them to score the way you used to be able

268
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to rely on them. That could change over the course

269
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:04,480
of conference season, and like I said first year head

270
00:15:04,519 --> 00:15:08,519
coach who knows. But they're not the same high flying

271
00:15:08,559 --> 00:15:10,600
team that they used to be, so maybe this one

272
00:15:10,679 --> 00:15:14,440
got too Obviously it did to some groups out there.

273
00:15:14,759 --> 00:15:17,159
This one got out of range at one sixty eight,

274
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,919
and they're trying to you know, correct the market so

275
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to speak.

276
00:15:21,759 --> 00:15:25,399
Speaker 1: Listen, Garth, I'm always gonna be pro playback in an

277
00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,279
eight point move. So it's like if you like the

278
00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,279
over and you liked it at one sixty three and

279
00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,919
a half and it's down to one sixty, like, I'm

280
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,200
always gonna be like yeah, I mean that's the only

281
00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:36,720
way you could play it at this point. And it's

282
00:15:36,759 --> 00:15:40,399
probably steamed too far as far as like just this

283
00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,639
game is concerned. You know, South Dakota State last time

284
00:15:43,679 --> 00:15:47,120
out loses in Grand Forks to North Dakota. Like if

285
00:15:47,159 --> 00:15:49,480
you want, if you want like a barometer for like

286
00:15:49,879 --> 00:15:52,399
where this program is right now without Eric Henderson, who's

287
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,399
now the coach of Drake, Like, when was the last

288
00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,279
time they lost to North Dakota, right, I mean that's

289
00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,519
that is a that I don't know, It's probably been

290
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,519
years unless it was like one of those surprise freak results.

291
00:16:04,559 --> 00:16:08,000
They haven't had many losses like that recently, so I

292
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:10,639
understand like, looking at this, you're like, man, it's only

293
00:16:10,679 --> 00:16:13,440
seven and a half. They can bounce back here. That's

294
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:17,519
a you know, that's like there's some appeal to that, right,

295
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,679
them coming back to Brookings where they historically play very well.

296
00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:23,320
But I think historically is the key when you're talking

297
00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,480
about South Dakota State. This just isn't the teams that

298
00:16:26,519 --> 00:16:28,919
South Dakota State has had year in and year out.

299
00:16:29,519 --> 00:16:32,279
And Denver's done some interesting stuff. Rob They hung around

300
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:34,639
with Seattle, they hung around with Washington, a win on

301
00:16:34,639 --> 00:16:39,279
the road against Montana State, They beat Colorado State as

302
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:42,759
a big underdog. That win looks even better now, and

303
00:16:42,799 --> 00:16:46,360
then you talk about, you know, win at Northern Colorado.

304
00:16:46,399 --> 00:16:49,600
That's a good win. Hung around with Tulsa, that's good

305
00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:53,399
result because Tulsa has now become a team that, you know,

306
00:16:53,679 --> 00:16:56,120
it looks like they could contend in their league. And

307
00:16:56,159 --> 00:16:58,759
then over the weekend they go to Saint Thomas and

308
00:16:58,799 --> 00:17:01,080
cover as a double digit under So I think the

309
00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:04,640
market definitely has adjusted to Denver. Right like two weeks ago,

310
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:07,960
this would have been ten and a half. Okay, Denver

311
00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,680
has put some really good results together as an underdog.

312
00:17:11,079 --> 00:17:12,759
Now it's seven and a half. But Rob, I think

313
00:17:12,759 --> 00:17:15,160
the odds makers kind of nailed the side here. I

314
00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:16,920
just don't think there's enough value. I think if you

315
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:18,559
were gonna give me ten and a half here with

316
00:17:18,599 --> 00:17:21,839
Denver again, I'd be all over Denver. But it's just

317
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,759
not enough points. Though. I wouldn't be surprised if Denver

318
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,559
gave South Dakota State a game, because I just don't

319
00:17:27,559 --> 00:17:31,440
really care for the South Dakota stateem Yeah.

320
00:17:31,319 --> 00:17:34,759
Speaker 2: Couple of interesting things there, Adam. It's probably a double adjustment.

321
00:17:34,839 --> 00:17:37,160
I think the power rating on South Dakota State has

322
00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,279
come way down, the Denver power rating goes up. That's

323
00:17:40,279 --> 00:17:42,319
why we get what we have today, seven and a half.

324
00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:46,039
And Denver all the games you mentioned, in every game

325
00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:50,400
they've played this year, they've hung around in one game's

326
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:54,119
playing zero defense. It's all on the offensive end. It's

327
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,920
just score score score, score score, And they're showing right

328
00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:01,759
now that they're good enough to score in any instance

329
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,680
road versus team that's better than them, you know, as

330
00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:07,319
a road dog at home, no matter where it is,

331
00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:12,880
they've been able to do good stuff offensive team total wise.

332
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:14,920
You know what I should look that up for Garth

333
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,640
real quick, and well, then we'll wrap this up because

334
00:18:18,799 --> 00:18:20,799
as much as I like the Summit League, we don't

335
00:18:20,799 --> 00:18:23,720
want to spend all day here on the Summit game.

336
00:18:23,759 --> 00:18:30,279
But team total for Denver looks like where the heck

337
00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:30,680
is it?

338
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:33,599
Speaker 1: And while you look that up, listen, Hey, we spend

339
00:18:33,599 --> 00:18:36,279
the time. Listen, if you're gonna if you're gonna donate

340
00:18:36,319 --> 00:18:38,759
to the show, we're gonna hit your game. And it's

341
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:42,720
equal opportunity handicapping here doesn't matter, if the Summit doesn't matter,

342
00:18:42,759 --> 00:18:45,359
if it's a big ten, every game deserves you know,

343
00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,480
any game deserves the same treatment. So what we're going

344
00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:50,359
to go into detail, especially if you're going to donate

345
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,240
to the show, it's much appreciated. Rob, did you find

346
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:54,079
what you were looking for?

347
00:18:54,559 --> 00:18:58,279
Speaker 2: Seventy six and a half seems rather low for a

348
00:18:58,319 --> 00:19:01,759
Denver team total, So you know, for Garth who was

349
00:19:01,839 --> 00:19:06,160
asking the question, maybe go ahead and throw that on

350
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,440
your short list and dig into that a little more.

351
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,200
But that could be a potential play here. Denverd to

352
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:16,079
get the seventy seven against anybody is become commonplace this season.

353
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, we have the chat kind of make our very

354
00:19:20,079 --> 00:19:22,599
intelligent chat. I always compliment the chat we have probably

355
00:19:22,599 --> 00:19:26,000
one of the smartest chat groups that comes in here

356
00:19:26,039 --> 00:19:28,920
every day that of any show I've ever done. Making

357
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,759
a good point, you know, if where this game is lined,

358
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,839
you know, if it's close like this definitely feels like

359
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:36,599
the type of game you could get some extension in

360
00:19:37,079 --> 00:19:39,359
and that could only help the over If that's the case,

361
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:42,279
all right, rob By, the game we.

362
00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:44,839
Speaker 2: Talked about earlier, the game we talked about earlier at

363
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,440
fifteen and a half Gonzaga Santa Clara, you may not

364
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:50,119
get that extension which would help you under if Gonzaga

365
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,720
is up by sixteen late like the spread indications.

366
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 1: All right, if you have taken out a second mortgage

367
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,720
on your house and you have a Flow Sport subscription,

368
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,839
you can watch this next game at twelve thirty pm

369
00:20:04,319 --> 00:20:08,640
PM Eastern time. I don't know why the Coastal Athletic

370
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:12,319
Association feels like that that, you know that they should

371
00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:16,200
behind this kind of paywall, but they are. And Flow

372
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:19,000
Sports I've said on a numerous number of occasions. One

373
00:20:19,039 --> 00:20:21,960
of the it's just one of the worst things out

374
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,720
there in sports that you have to essentially pay thirty

375
00:20:24,759 --> 00:20:28,799
bucks a month to watch Hofstra Tausen or whatever it is.

376
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,680
But that is that, that is what we will do.

377
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,599
And it is a twelve thirty am Eastern game or

378
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,200
a twelve thirty PM Eastern game. And before I get

379
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,079
into this, I will say, listen, I'm gonna this is

380
00:20:39,079 --> 00:20:41,799
gonna be by parlay leg I'm going to give out

381
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,960
another client play. So before I do that, I got

382
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:49,319
to promote the the the combo package for myself and Rob,

383
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,119
because if you guys don't start to buy the combo

384
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,359
package for myself and Rob, I'm not going to give

385
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:57,559
out the the occasional client play on the show anymore

386
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,480
as I did yesterday with Saint LOUI is cashing at

387
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:02,960
plus two and a half and I did the day

388
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,039
before with Syracuse. So go show us some love. Grab

389
00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:10,400
that that incredibly discounted Cambo three day, which gets you

390
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,440
all of my plays, all of Rob's plays, and I

391
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,599
will keep coming on here and giving the giving you

392
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,960
the occasional client play on the show. Rob. I'm willing

393
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:23,240
to do it today for three reasons, okay, one, well

394
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:27,720
two reasons. One, It's a loaded board today and I

395
00:21:27,759 --> 00:21:29,319
know I'm gonna have quite a few plays, so I

396
00:21:29,319 --> 00:21:32,680
don't mind. I don't mind giving the early one for

397
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:39,039
free two two my guy, so it was only gonna

398
00:21:39,039 --> 00:21:41,759
be a three percent play, and I'm usually more inclined

399
00:21:41,799 --> 00:21:44,680
to just give those out whatever. But my guy, by

400
00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:48,599
you Betts, texted me this morning and he said, he said,

401
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,039
Towson is doing one dollar beers for an eleven thirty

402
00:21:52,079 --> 00:21:55,960
AM game. That's gotta be a that's gotta be a

403
00:21:56,039 --> 00:22:00,559
four percenter. And at the same time, so I gotta

404
00:22:00,599 --> 00:22:02,680
be honest, I put the three percent in. It moved

405
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:04,519
a little bit. I said, all right, well, I can't

406
00:22:04,559 --> 00:22:07,960
add a I can't add an extra unit when the

407
00:22:08,039 --> 00:22:11,079
number has gotten out of range. But there's been a

408
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,680
little battling on this one. I wonder if there's kind

409
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:18,319
of some two way sharp action here. You had Towson

410
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,039
get hit up from minus one up to all the

411
00:22:21,039 --> 00:22:23,720
way up to three. I maybe even touch three and

412
00:22:23,759 --> 00:22:26,160
a half some places. A little bit of a counter

413
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,400
by with Hofstra has knocked this back down. So right

414
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,319
now we're right in the range where I played this

415
00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:35,440
for clients. I played Towson minus one thirty, which is

416
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,039
actually you could probably even get minus one twenty five

417
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:40,640
or minus one twenty on that towsand money line right now.

418
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,720
And you know, this kind of fits the pretty much

419
00:22:44,799 --> 00:22:47,359
what I've been having success with on this current run

420
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,720
since the first of the year. And I'm kicking myself

421
00:22:50,759 --> 00:22:52,799
because I played Old Miss plus four and a half

422
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:56,279
yesterday and totally like went against what I said, like

423
00:22:56,519 --> 00:23:00,000
taking those four to seven point underdogs and it costs.

424
00:23:00,319 --> 00:23:04,279
I'm very upset with myself for doing that. So recalibrating

425
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,440
coming back in and I'm looking for these games where

426
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,680
I think I'm getting the home team, or not necessarily

427
00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:12,039
the home team, but the better team at almost like

428
00:23:12,079 --> 00:23:14,680
a pick'm price. Now, Rob, I think you could argue

429
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:18,160
here that Hofstra might be the better team. Okay, I

430
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,039
think you could argue that, But I do think you

431
00:23:21,039 --> 00:23:24,960
have to respect basically every person that did a pre

432
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,319
that had a conference outlook Poweraking preview for the Coastal

433
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,160
Athletic Association and that ranked Tows in number one. Right,

434
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:37,000
So we talk about coming into conference play a clean slate.

435
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,680
If your Towson, the slate is no longer clean, Rob,

436
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,599
They've lost their first three conference games. I don't like

437
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:47,279
getting too caught up in the spot, but like is

438
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,839
Towson really gonna start Coastal Athletic Association play zero to

439
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:56,640
four after being the league favorite coming into the season. Historically,

440
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:58,960
Hofstra has been a good matchup for them and the

441
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,160
way they sort of will only teams on the glass.

442
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,480
I like towsing here. Do you agree or disagree?

443
00:24:06,279 --> 00:24:08,759
Speaker 2: I don't think I agree or disagree because I couldn't

444
00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:11,079
come up with a side on this. My first inclination,

445
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,400
Adam was to play thousand because of the defense in

446
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,519
the style, and probably the style takes Hofstra out of

447
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:19,680
a little bit of what they like to do. Not

448
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:22,839
that they're an uptempo team under Speedy Claxton, but they

449
00:24:22,839 --> 00:24:26,160
go quicker. No, nobody goes slower than tousand, basically three

450
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:28,799
sixty two and adjusted tempo. So there's three teams that

451
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:32,799
do then. As you mentioned, another part of the handicap

452
00:24:33,039 --> 00:24:37,160
was the desperation spot. And it's really weird to say

453
00:24:37,279 --> 00:24:40,839
desperation here in the first week of January heading into

454
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:44,559
the second week of January. But oh to four is

455
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,759
tough to come back from. I mean, obviously, in conference tournaments,

456
00:24:47,759 --> 00:24:51,279
you could be seeded anywhere and win a conference tournament championship.

457
00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:53,079
But if you want to be regular season champ of

458
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:58,119
the league, it becomes really difficult. The problem I have

459
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,279
with tousand is the last g they played against Mommouth.

460
00:25:01,319 --> 00:25:05,319
It's kind of disturbing. It was a miserable shooting performance. Now,

461
00:25:05,319 --> 00:25:08,279
I'm a guy I come on here every day just

462
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:10,559
about with one game that we talk about where I

463
00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:13,839
preach bounce back. It's part of my handicap. If I

464
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,000
see a good team underperform, I think they're gonna bounce

465
00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:19,839
back the next time around. You could get that out

466
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:24,119
of tousand here. But the other part of me says,

467
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,240
Hofstra may just be good enough to win a game

468
00:25:27,319 --> 00:25:30,279
straight up. So I had conflicting thoughts on the game. Adam.

469
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:34,279
The total for me, I would probably lean toward the under.

470
00:25:34,559 --> 00:25:36,359
I know it's a low number, one thirty three and

471
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:40,960
a half, but I think if thousand is focused and

472
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:45,559
motivated to put up their first conference win, especially at home,

473
00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:48,759
and especially in this time slot where you might get

474
00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:53,319
a you know, lackluster first half before second half kicks in,

475
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,519
I would think maybe under is a look that I

476
00:25:56,519 --> 00:26:00,279
would have. But I didn't play the game. And four

477
00:26:00,319 --> 00:26:02,759
percent I heard you mentioned is that the alcohol level

478
00:26:02,799 --> 00:26:05,279
of the beer that's going to be here for a dollar?

479
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,640
Or are we going thirteen percent ipa? Everybody loaded at

480
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:10,319
twelve thirty?

481
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I don't I don't know what the

482
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,279
IPA scene is like really in Maryland. I'll tell you what.

483
00:26:15,319 --> 00:26:17,319
If this game was at like Rhode Island or Brown,

484
00:26:17,559 --> 00:26:21,200
you'd have those like Narragansett like seven percenters. I think

485
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:27,200
the Roady Ram ipa is quite high in alcohol content.

486
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,039
Brown had a good one too. There's another brewery right there,

487
00:26:30,079 --> 00:26:32,599
but yeah, who knows, I mean, who knows how many

488
00:26:32,599 --> 00:26:34,240
people are even going to be there to drink them?

489
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,240
That's what I want to know, is it dollar beers?

490
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:37,839
Because like no one's going to be out the game.

491
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:43,839
Here's my thing for this. For Towsand, okay, they uh

492
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,799
Tyler Tahatta and Dylan Williamson just straight up have to

493
00:26:46,839 --> 00:26:50,759
play better like those two. The fact that Towson has

494
00:26:50,799 --> 00:26:53,920
those two back and they're still having all these offensive

495
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:57,200
issues is kind of mind boggling. Like no one can

496
00:26:57,279 --> 00:27:00,480
make a shot on this Towsand team, but those two

497
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:04,079
should be able to score like those are like on paper,

498
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,160
should be two of the better players in this league,

499
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:10,119
you know, especially Tahta, who you know, is still a

500
00:27:10,519 --> 00:27:12,440
you know, he's still shot, gonna shoot forty three percent

501
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:14,799
in the field, sixteen point five points per game. Like,

502
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,799
those two just have to get it going offensively, and

503
00:27:17,839 --> 00:27:20,720
then all of a sudden, like Towson's offensive problems are

504
00:27:20,759 --> 00:27:24,720
probably somewhat solved, right like, because they've gotten they just

505
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:27,160
don't have any shot makers. But if you can get

506
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,799
your two sort of go to scorers going going who

507
00:27:29,839 --> 00:27:32,359
have not really been going in conference play so far,

508
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:36,000
you're gonna be okay. Now, The reason that this matchup

509
00:27:36,039 --> 00:27:38,240
has been good for Towson in past years is because

510
00:27:38,319 --> 00:27:43,079
Haustra heavily relies on shooting the ball. But they you know,

511
00:27:43,079 --> 00:27:45,319
they're they're very good at it. They've got some really

512
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:48,119
good shooters. But going on the road and shooting the

513
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,319
ball is something we talk about on the show all

514
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,680
the time. Like if you are a jump shooting team

515
00:27:53,279 --> 00:27:55,400
and then you go on the road, typically that's where

516
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:59,119
you're gonna be vulnerable, right Like, it's just common sense.

517
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,960
You're in a that you're not totally used to, and

518
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:03,839
now you're trying to put it in from eighteen feet away,

519
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:05,680
So let you know, when you're two feet away from

520
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:08,240
the basket. It doesn't really matter where you are. It's

521
00:28:08,279 --> 00:28:13,079
like you're finishing around the rim. Towson. The other area

522
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,640
they have at edge here against Ostra and they have

523
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:19,920
in years past, is just tremendous defensive rebounding. Like that's

524
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,160
the one thing Hostra or I'm sorry, Towsand's a really

525
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,359
good rebounding team. They're going to clean up in that

526
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,119
department they're gonna defend. So rob I am sort of

527
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:32,960
just going with the spot play. Towson cannot start oh

528
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,839
and four in this league. I mean, it just I

529
00:28:36,839 --> 00:28:39,480
can't even wrap my head around that being possible that

530
00:28:39,799 --> 00:28:44,279
the tows And Tigers, many people's preseason favorite to win

531
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:47,559
the Coastal, are gonna be oh and four. I don't

532
00:28:47,559 --> 00:28:49,160
think they're going to be. I think they're going to

533
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,559
find a way to get it done. They've won ugly

534
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:54,160
games against Ostra in the past. I think they win

535
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:57,160
an ugly one here. This will be my leg of

536
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,279
the parlay Towsan money line. I think we could we

537
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:04,440
call it minus one twenty five at this point. Again,

538
00:29:04,519 --> 00:29:07,279
I don't I don't put any stock into like there's

539
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,200
there's back and forth money here. It's been Tousing money,

540
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,319
followed by host your money, followed by tows and Money

541
00:29:12,319 --> 00:29:14,680
filed by Hofst your money. So any money line that

542
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,599
you can get on Towson is good. I don't think

543
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,079
the line matters as long as you just need Towson

544
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:22,000
to win. I think we're gonna get a tows and

545
00:29:22,039 --> 00:29:25,440
win and Towson money line will be my leg of

546
00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:31,119
the parlay. Okay, no dollar There was no dollar beers

547
00:29:31,119 --> 00:29:33,400
in any of the games I was at this past weekend.

548
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:39,119
I did try two very good blonde IPAs. Both North

549
00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:43,440
Texas and Louisville had one. I kind of stopped drinking

550
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,279
beers years ago, but like listen, Rob, you slap a

551
00:29:46,319 --> 00:29:48,960
logo on something, I'm gonna get it. It's just that simple,

552
00:29:49,519 --> 00:29:51,720
you know. Like I think I made it through like

553
00:29:51,799 --> 00:29:54,720
three SIPs of each of those beers. But if it's

554
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,559
got a logo on it, I need a picture with it.

555
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,759
And that's just you know, I've said this many a time.

556
00:30:01,039 --> 00:30:04,160
If you're a cout like marketing like one oh one,

557
00:30:04,319 --> 00:30:06,640
if you don't have a beer at your arena with

558
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,680
a team logo on it, you are just straight up

559
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,559
missing out. Anyone, any anyone is gonna buy that even

560
00:30:12,599 --> 00:30:14,240
if they don't even like want to drink it, just

561
00:30:14,279 --> 00:30:16,799
to have the camp by you bets. It wasn't an

562
00:30:16,799 --> 00:30:19,680
IPA at Toledo that was really good. That was actually

563
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:26,039
a vodka lemonade, Blueberry lemonade. Brian Power and I mostly

564
00:30:26,079 --> 00:30:28,839
Brian Power because I was behind the wheel. Uh mostly

565
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,839
Brian Power had had a few of those. Actually by

566
00:30:32,839 --> 00:30:35,799
the Michigan State game, Brian Power is like pretty hammered,

567
00:30:35,839 --> 00:30:38,400
but you know we were. We moved on to the

568
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,480
Sparti Lager and yeah, we we got after it. But

569
00:30:42,559 --> 00:30:45,519
those were really good. Toledo Rockets Blueberry I p A.

570
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,960
All right, back to games. Let's go back to the

571
00:30:49,119 --> 00:30:54,359
chat here. Let's see, man, there's a lot of good one.

572
00:30:54,359 --> 00:30:57,279
There's a lot of God, there's so many, all right,

573
00:30:57,519 --> 00:30:59,799
Joey cheap I promised him. We talked about this game,

574
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,119
and he also was like, Trig, I need you to

575
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:06,200
wear your Northeastern gear on the show. And I said,

576
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:10,079
I said, Joe, they didn't have See this is another

577
00:31:10,119 --> 00:31:12,759
pet peeve of mine. Rob. If you're if you can't

578
00:31:12,759 --> 00:31:15,680
make it to the bookstore, bookstore hours are not very good.

579
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,599
So if I'm showing up at the game an hour before.

580
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,279
I need you to have a decent selection of merch

581
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,039
inside your arena, Like if you have like two T

582
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,039
shirts like that are screen printed, I can't. It's got

583
00:31:26,039 --> 00:31:28,720
to be like legit or I'm not going to get it.

584
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,960
So that's what happened at Northeastern. Now, rob their building

585
00:31:32,119 --> 00:31:35,319
was built in nineteen ten. They no longer play there anymore.

586
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,839
They are now somewhere on campus. I think it's at

587
00:31:40,279 --> 00:31:42,720
Joey Chi said this is this building is smaller than

588
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,079
my high school gym, and that's where this game is

589
00:31:45,079 --> 00:31:47,759
going to be tonight. So Wilmington's heading up north to

590
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:53,200
Boston to take on Northeastern in their temporary home. They

591
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,279
closed William Marine or they closed Matthew's Arena for good

592
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,319
a couple of weeks ago, and Northeastern's going to play

593
00:31:59,319 --> 00:32:03,200
out the seas in whatever facility that they're playing in

594
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:08,119
on campus Tonight, fourteen and two, Wilmington comes to town.

595
00:32:09,079 --> 00:32:11,599
Do you have a lean in this one? Another Coastal

596
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,920
Athletic Association game, Wilmington Northeastern.

597
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not playing against Wilmington. I don't care where.

598
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,480
If it's in my backyard, I'm not playing against Wilmington

599
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:27,319
right now. Certainly they've shown to be the class early

600
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:31,680
on in this league. I do find some interest at

601
00:32:31,759 --> 00:32:35,759
him in the fact that they had played a forty

602
00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:39,640
nine to forty five game prior, which is generally right

603
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,799
up my alley. You've got a good team out there

604
00:32:42,799 --> 00:32:47,200
that scored less than fifty points. My inclination is always

605
00:32:47,279 --> 00:32:51,279
let's bet that team total over next time out. That

606
00:32:51,359 --> 00:32:54,480
number tonight is seventy six and a half been bet

607
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:58,000
up from seventy four and a half, still a possibility.

608
00:32:58,039 --> 00:33:03,279
I could play it. Northeastern not quite good enough defensively

609
00:33:03,519 --> 00:33:07,720
to maybe keep this team from approaching seventy seven. So

610
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:12,119
I don't know that Northeastern tempo or defense could prevent

611
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,799
them from doing that in this game. What could prevent

612
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,440
them is from getting there is bad shooting. But I

613
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,640
think that the bad shooting might be out of their

614
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:23,279
system after the game against Hampton. In that particular game,

615
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:27,880
three of sixteen from three par NC Wilmington eighteen point

616
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,880
eight percent. Have to believe that comes up to a

617
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:35,319
round thirty here. If it does, they probably approach this one.

618
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,720
Haven't quite finished all the work I want to do

619
00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:41,519
on that game, but I'm telling you, I'm leaning somewhat

620
00:33:41,559 --> 00:33:46,559
toward Wilmington getting over this team total A because they're

621
00:33:46,559 --> 00:33:50,119
that good, because Northeastern doesn't do the things necessary to

622
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:54,759
stop them from being good offensively, and see, because they

623
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,680
just didn't perform well offensively in their last game. So

624
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:00,799
there could be some dead spots in the flowd This

625
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:03,720
could be like the Boston Garden where Wilmington dribbles it

626
00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:05,440
and the ball doesn't come back to them and they're

627
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:07,920
not aware where these spots are. But I think that

628
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,239
they're probably ticketed for seventy seven here.

629
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, Cheese, of course you have flow sports. You

630
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,440
told me before the show that you love Northeastern. Tonight

631
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:20,360
it might be a huge play for you, so i'd

632
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,559
hope you have have flowed to A. And he's a

633
00:34:23,599 --> 00:34:26,280
Northeast guy. He's a Northeast guy. Joey Cheese, like me,

634
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,480
is all over these like smaller Northeast conferences, not that

635
00:34:29,519 --> 00:34:33,239
Northeastern's in a Northeast conference anymore. Of course, the Coastal

636
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:37,840
pretty much the name change was, you know, I guess,

637
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,079
to represent the fact that it goes from Boston to Wilmington.

638
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,599
At this point in that league. Some injury news here,

639
00:34:44,679 --> 00:34:47,960
So Xander Alare is done for the year. He's been

640
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:49,440
out the last couple of games. So I don't really

641
00:34:49,519 --> 00:34:51,800
think that matters to the number that much for Northeastern,

642
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:56,039
but this was announced on the website, so here's here's

643
00:34:56,360 --> 00:35:00,000
a good example of a team that is like Listen,

644
00:35:00,159 --> 00:35:02,320
la Pratt has been out for since the beginning of

645
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,719
the year. I still think Northeastern gets maybe a little

646
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:09,239
bit too discounted on the number for injuries because they've

647
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,360
had injuries all year. So it's like that can't be

648
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,599
part of your handicap. Guys are banged up, they've had injuries.

649
00:35:15,639 --> 00:35:17,519
They've had a lot of these injuries, and a lot

650
00:35:17,519 --> 00:35:20,440
of these guys out all year. Rob you said, you

651
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:25,239
know the shooting woes for Wilmington. I mean, I don't

652
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,480
know have they gotten out of their system because I'll

653
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,280
tell you what. I took Wilmington in a home game

654
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,519
against Howard back on December twentie if. They lost the

655
00:35:33,599 --> 00:35:36,880
game as a fifteen point favorite to the Bison, and

656
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,280
that was really the first game that I felt like

657
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,519
they just didn't they I mean, they could not buy

658
00:35:41,559 --> 00:35:43,599
one and they ended up losing that game sixty seven

659
00:35:43,639 --> 00:35:46,320
to sixty six. They didn't shoot the ball particularly well

660
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,760
against NCAA and t pulled away at the end. There

661
00:35:49,039 --> 00:35:51,599
didn't shoot the ball well against Drexel. They end up

662
00:35:51,599 --> 00:35:54,719
winning that game by twelve, but it was certainly not

663
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:56,719
that the you know, they kind of pulled away at

664
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:00,320
the end forty nine to forty five against Hampton. That's

665
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:04,480
real concerning for me. You know, UNC Wilmington, I believe CJ.

666
00:36:04,639 --> 00:36:06,960
Luster is pretty much done for the year. Never he

667
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:08,960
has never stepped foot on the court for them. He

668
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:12,280
was one of their big portal gets from Stonybrook and

669
00:36:12,599 --> 00:36:15,719
he never he's never played. It looks like they're going

670
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:18,920
to red shirt him because of his injury. So even

671
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,440
though he's never played, I know that they were anticipating

672
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:26,599
getting him back. Jonathan Lamont finally stepped on the floor

673
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:29,599
in Wilmington's last game. He played nine minutes against Hampton.

674
00:36:30,039 --> 00:36:32,960
Didn't really do much And from what I so, I

675
00:36:33,039 --> 00:36:36,440
do know that I have a good contact down at Wilmington.

676
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,719
I know that the goal is to really ease him

677
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,320
back in. He could be a great so Jonathan Lamont,

678
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,440
I believe he started his career at Maryland last year.

679
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:47,920
He was one of nca and t's better players, which

680
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,679
you know, is actually pretty impressive when half his team

681
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,679
was trying to throw games. So the fact that he

682
00:36:52,679 --> 00:36:54,840
had a good season there while half of his team

683
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,199
was point shaving is pretty good. I think he could

684
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:01,440
be a huge piece for this Wilmington team, but I'm

685
00:37:01,519 --> 00:37:04,039
pretty sure that the goal is to ease him in

686
00:37:04,199 --> 00:37:07,400
very slowly, so this could be a spot. I know

687
00:37:07,519 --> 00:37:11,599
Joey likes Northeastern. I actually don't hate Northeastern. Plus the

688
00:37:11,639 --> 00:37:14,679
points here, I think Wilmington is a team that has

689
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:18,480
the aspirations are to get to the NCAA tournament, and

690
00:37:18,639 --> 00:37:21,440
this is a deep roster. Lamont will be one of

691
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,800
their better players when he's back to full strength, but

692
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,719
right now I don't know that they fully have their

693
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:31,039
rotation set. And then the other problem here Rob is

694
00:37:31,119 --> 00:37:33,679
I just they have not shot the ball well and

695
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:35,960
they're gonna go play this in a rec center. Basically

696
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,480
it's not even at Matthew so this is gonna be

697
00:37:38,519 --> 00:37:40,920
the first time they're stepping into this whatever it is,

698
00:37:41,119 --> 00:37:45,320
small gym on campus, and I don't know, that's just

699
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:49,559
not the scenario I want for a team that hasn't

700
00:37:49,559 --> 00:37:53,000
shot the ball well in three weeks, so Northeastern to

701
00:37:53,079 --> 00:37:57,000
maybe make this a sloppy game. Plus four Joey, I

702
00:37:57,039 --> 00:37:58,760
don't hate it. It's not gonna make my card, but

703
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:02,360
I don't really hate it. It's yeah, that'll be an

704
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:06,079
interesting game. Could could see a Northeastern upset right there.

705
00:38:07,119 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 2: I think real quick we should point out Adam that

706
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:13,320
early market move on this game where total is concerned,

707
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:17,559
right for they've pushed it up five points and a

708
00:38:17,599 --> 00:38:19,440
half all the way up to one forty eight and

709
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:22,320
a half, as if they know the Rims are friendly

710
00:38:22,639 --> 00:38:29,679
in this building already because off of still and analytical stuff,

711
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:33,000
you wouldn't project this game to be near one point fifty.

712
00:38:33,119 --> 00:38:36,880
But it keeps, it keeps going up, So we'll see

713
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,199
if there's pushback on that number. But right now we

714
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:41,360
see a lot of over money. No money on the

715
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:44,920
side and a fair slight amount towards Wilmington, but a

716
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:46,400
lot of money on this game to go over.

717
00:38:49,039 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 1: Sixer says just got into did we discuss the early game? Yes,

718
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:55,199
we did, so you can scroll back if you want to.

719
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:57,280
If you don't want to hear me yap about it,

720
00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:59,440
just hang on to the end of the show because

721
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:01,840
I use in the parlay and it will be recapped

722
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:03,800
in the parlay if you do want to hear the breakdown.

723
00:39:04,079 --> 00:39:07,360
As always wager Talk YouTube channel. This show is also

724
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:10,320
on demand. Like and subscribe while you're over there, drop

725
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:13,000
a comment. It all helps and you can watch it

726
00:39:13,039 --> 00:39:17,880
on demand at any time with time stamps. Eventually, I

727
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:20,679
you know that is not in my skill set yet

728
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:24,559
rob to timestamp the show in real time, though we

729
00:39:24,599 --> 00:39:27,199
have people that ask every day, so the time stamps

730
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,599
will be in there, I promise eventually, like a little

731
00:39:30,639 --> 00:39:32,960
bit after the show is done, and one of the

732
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,639
things that will be timestamped will be the hostra house

733
00:39:35,639 --> 00:39:40,039
and breakdown. But that's a twelve thirty game, remember, so yeah,

734
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,920
just rewind. It was like the third game we talked about.

735
00:39:43,039 --> 00:39:44,920
And while you're over on the wager Talk YouTube channel,

736
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:48,960
please like and subscribe. Garth is back. He wants to

737
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,679
know about this team total and I'm cool with talking

738
00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:55,760
about this game because it's a rob. Luisiana Monroe, for

739
00:39:55,800 --> 00:40:01,039
whatever reason, pops up on my their value for me

740
00:40:01,159 --> 00:40:04,360
every time they play. I don't. I guess I haven't

741
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,639
quite figured out why my numbers so far off the market.

742
00:40:07,679 --> 00:40:11,119
On Monroe, but they've actually haven't been you know, and

743
00:40:11,119 --> 00:40:13,159
again I'm going off of memory here, at least for

744
00:40:13,199 --> 00:40:16,079
the last three four weeks. I feel like they've been

745
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:19,320
kind of a cover machine because they're always you know,

746
00:40:19,519 --> 00:40:23,960
I jot them down. Admittedly, I haven't watched much Louisiana

747
00:40:24,039 --> 00:40:26,559
Monroe basketball. It's not a team that's in my wheelhouse,

748
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:30,559
but my number always likes them, and they seem to cover.

749
00:40:31,079 --> 00:40:32,960
Like if I'm just going over the last couple weeks,

750
00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:37,639
they cover against Miami, covered a big number against South Alabama,

751
00:40:37,679 --> 00:40:42,199
took them to overtime, covered against Kansas State. I believe

752
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,440
they covered against Texas State last time out as a

753
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,280
nine and a half point dog. And the game against

754
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:52,239
Southern Southern Miss. I think they hung around for a

755
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:54,280
while and maybe just failed to get inside the number

756
00:40:54,320 --> 00:41:00,519
in that one. We already have a rematch between this

757
00:41:00,599 --> 00:41:03,800
is This is kind of you know, interesting early January

758
00:41:04,159 --> 00:41:07,280
and we're already looking at a Sun Belt rematch here. Uh,

759
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:11,199
these two teams have played Louisiana lapaet won the game

760
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:14,960
seventy six sixty two at Monroe earlier this season. That

761
00:41:15,159 --> 00:41:18,119
was a game that they didn't cover. But I guess

762
00:41:18,159 --> 00:41:21,760
my point here is Monroe has been really like scrappy

763
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:25,559
as a dog, especially a bigger underdog. And plus seven

764
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:29,800
and a half here against the Louisiana Lapaete team, that's

765
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:31,920
nothing to write home about this year. Rob, three and

766
00:41:32,039 --> 00:41:35,119
thirteen in their own respect. So I would have to

767
00:41:35,199 --> 00:41:37,199
lean with my numbers here and lean toward the dog

768
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:40,239
Monroe plus seven and a half. Garth wants to talk

769
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:42,719
about the total. Do you have anything specifically for the

770
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,239
team total? Over Garth, I think we're correlated a little

771
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,719
bit there. If I like the dog plus seven and

772
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,159
a half to get there, it's probably gonna have to

773
00:41:50,159 --> 00:41:52,239
go over six. It's sixty six and a half. What

774
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:53,360
do you think about this one? Rob?

775
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:57,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think to Garth's point, Listen, first things first,

776
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:01,719
it's a it's a stark contrast, right, raging Cajuns want

777
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,280
to just play at a snail's pace. One of the

778
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,199
slowest in the country, Monroe has picked up the tempo

779
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,880
this year to the point where there you could almost

780
00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:14,239
call them extreme forty fastest adjusted tempo in the nation.

781
00:42:14,559 --> 00:42:18,119
Offensively only score sixty two the first game. How about this?

782
00:42:18,199 --> 00:42:22,679
They only made fifteen shots total from the field in

783
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:27,199
that first game and still got themselves to sixty two points.

784
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,199
To me, that's kind of intriguing when you get the

785
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,159
sixty two points only making fifteen shots, and here your

786
00:42:33,159 --> 00:42:35,280
team total is only sixty five and a half and

787
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:40,760
you play with extreme pace. They got Texas State to

788
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:44,760
play fast. It's a second time around. I say this

789
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:51,000
a lot in both college football, college basketball, NFL football,

790
00:42:51,199 --> 00:42:55,920
or excuse me, NBA basketball. College basketball coaches love to

791
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:59,440
fix what went wrong the first time around, and they

792
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,519
can study game film, and I'm pretty sure Monroe, fourteen

793
00:43:02,559 --> 00:43:07,119
point loser only making fifteen shots, can go back to

794
00:43:07,159 --> 00:43:09,239
the tape and find ways that they can score four

795
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:12,559
more points and get over this team total. So I'm

796
00:43:12,639 --> 00:43:15,360
kind of with Garth here. I mean, it wasn't something

797
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:19,440
that I had on my short list, probably because I

798
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,440
didn't really notice the team total until I just looked

799
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,280
it up here after he posted it, And at sixty

800
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,000
five and a half, I'd have to agree with him.

801
00:43:27,039 --> 00:43:28,880
It looks way too low. There's a price to pay

802
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,039
with it in some places, but you can get as

803
00:43:32,119 --> 00:43:35,320
cheap as fifteen cents attached to his sixty five and

804
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:38,760
a half. So for me, again. A lot went wrong

805
00:43:39,519 --> 00:43:43,599
for Uel Monroe the first time they played at Louisiana's pace. Somewhat,

806
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:47,199
they didn't make shots, got to sixty two. You're asking

807
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:50,559
for four more here second time around, and I'd be very,

808
00:43:50,639 --> 00:43:53,800
very surprised if they didn't get the sixty six in

809
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:54,320
this game.

810
00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, you remember, you remember who wants to be a millionaire?

811
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,320
When you could phone a friend. I wish I could.

812
00:44:02,559 --> 00:44:04,599
I wish I could just patch by you in for

813
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,599
one minute, like like Regis, Hey, we need to call

814
00:44:07,639 --> 00:44:10,159
by you here. Patch. I me get the one minute

815
00:44:10,199 --> 00:44:13,639
just to ask about these small Louisiana based teams, because

816
00:44:13,639 --> 00:44:16,079
that is certainly his wheelhouse and it is very much

817
00:44:16,159 --> 00:44:18,960
not mine. So I'm just gonna pull up what he

818
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:22,480
says here Louisiana me beat Monroe the game after Coach

819
00:44:22,519 --> 00:44:24,639
White got thrown out of the Southern Miss game. I mean,

820
00:44:24,639 --> 00:44:26,960
what other show are you getting that type of uh?

821
00:44:27,119 --> 00:44:29,519
You know that that is just a great nugget right there.

822
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,559
That was a ULM that you That ULM game was

823
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:36,280
a rally he's talking about for Louisiana Lafayette right this

824
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:39,119
is now, So that was a good spot for laugha

825
00:44:39,199 --> 00:44:42,679
Yet this being probably the less like a lesser spot

826
00:44:42,719 --> 00:44:45,440
for them. Now they're at home favorite once again, my

827
00:44:45,599 --> 00:44:49,039
number likes Louisiana Monroe. It seems to every single time

828
00:44:49,079 --> 00:44:51,760
this team plays. I'm only at six point eight here,

829
00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:54,440
so again it's not a huge it's not a huge difference,

830
00:44:54,599 --> 00:44:57,599
but it's my number is shading to the Monroe side,

831
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,000
so I lean toward Monroe, and Garth, if I'm gonna

832
00:45:00,119 --> 00:45:04,199
lean toward Monroe, I could only lean toward the team

833
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:06,360
total over because as you know, when it's an eight

834
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:10,440
point underdog, like a lot of times, there's some correlation there.

835
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:13,159
If you're gonna cover that that number, chances are you're

836
00:45:13,159 --> 00:45:17,000
gonna have to hit the team total over. That's already

837
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:20,599
being like sort of shaded toward the under, which would

838
00:45:20,599 --> 00:45:22,679
be which would be in this case. So I'm with you, Garth.

839
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,480
I like your look on the over. Me personally, I

840
00:45:25,559 --> 00:45:28,000
like the Louisiana Monroe side look a little bit better.

841
00:45:28,559 --> 00:45:30,320
I don't think there's a big enough edge there to

842
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,800
make my card, but it is. You know, it's kind

843
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,280
of something that it definitely works. The look if you

844
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:37,440
want to bet that game.

845
00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:41,280
Speaker 2: Real quick, just for Garth. In conclusion on that one.

846
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:45,440
Last twelve games Monroe has played, eleven of those have

847
00:45:45,559 --> 00:45:47,599
gone over sixty five and a half team total.

848
00:45:47,639 --> 00:45:47,840
Speaker 1: Wow.

849
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,519
Speaker 2: So again eleven and one above this number in their

850
00:45:51,599 --> 00:45:53,840
last twelve the pace has a lot to do with it.

851
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:57,519
I'd have to agree with Garth on that one. Louisiana

852
00:45:57,559 --> 00:46:00,039
Monroe looks like a very bitable team total over.

853
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,039
Speaker 1: Rob, I'm gonna give you the floor in a minute

854
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:05,840
to discuss your parlay legs. So I'm gonna give you

855
00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:07,920
about sixty seconds to think about what game you want

856
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,840
to talk about while I talk fish. Yes, this is

857
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:13,760
a Bang Energy drink right here. It is peach Mango.

858
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:16,360
It's delicious. I love this one. And I'm telling you

859
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:18,159
right now if any of you have a line, if

860
00:46:18,199 --> 00:46:21,280
there's a Bang or a Rain executive that watches the

861
00:46:21,320 --> 00:46:23,480
show on a daily basis, or anyone has a line

862
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:25,840
to one of them, if anyone wants to throw the

863
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:29,119
bag at Trig, I will be your spokesperson. Those are

864
00:46:29,159 --> 00:46:31,440
my two go tos, and so if they want to

865
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,559
fight out, if I will come on this show and

866
00:46:33,639 --> 00:46:36,239
drink a Bang Energy drink every day, that is my

867
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:38,599
go to like way to start my day.

868
00:46:38,679 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 2: Rob.

869
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,239
Speaker 1: It's either Rain or Bang. They're like one A and

870
00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:45,760
one B. So again I'm impartial. Whoever you know I

871
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,079
can be bought ROB is what I'm saying. Whoever wants

872
00:46:48,079 --> 00:46:50,039
to throw the bag at Trig for the to be

873
00:46:50,119 --> 00:46:53,480
the spokesperson, I like them equally. But yeah, this this

874
00:46:53,679 --> 00:46:57,000
fish head, this flavor peach mango is is solid one

875
00:46:57,039 --> 00:47:00,480
of the better flavors all right. After that quick promo

876
00:47:00,559 --> 00:47:02,000
for Bang that I'm not going to get paid for

877
00:47:02,039 --> 00:47:04,400
a Rob, do you have an idea of what you

878
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,599
want to what you want to fire out for your parlay? Way?

879
00:47:08,159 --> 00:47:08,519
I do.

880
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:15,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna shave this one in half and ISO this game, Adam,

881
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,679
it's gonna be out West Cal Poly Slow and Cal

882
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:20,199
State Northridge. A couple of teams we've talked about a bunch,

883
00:47:20,639 --> 00:47:23,360
a couple of teams that absolutely love pace up and

884
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:27,199
down the floor. I'm not gonna discourage anybody off of

885
00:47:28,079 --> 00:47:31,559
full game over here. In this instance, that number is

886
00:47:31,639 --> 00:47:33,960
one seventy four and a half. It's been bet up

887
00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:38,320
by four points. But when I looked at it pretty

888
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,159
extensively this morning, I find more value in playing the

889
00:47:41,199 --> 00:47:44,880
first half over eighty three. A couple of things here

890
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:49,480
Polly Slow last couple of games has been held far

891
00:47:49,559 --> 00:47:51,880
below their offensive average, and a lot of it's due

892
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:55,400
to match up style where the two opponents want to

893
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,760
go a little bit slower. Cal Poly Slow didn't make

894
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:01,559
enough shots to get the to the way they'd like

895
00:48:01,599 --> 00:48:05,239
it to be. But here Northridge is going to allow

896
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:06,840
them to do what they want to do, which is

897
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,480
get up and down. You just think back to the

898
00:48:08,559 --> 00:48:14,840
UCLA game. I remember sky Clark saying that the first

899
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:18,400
half of that game they had no expectation of cal

900
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:22,199
Poly Slow coming out and running and banging threes the

901
00:48:22,199 --> 00:48:24,639
way that they did to them, And then mc cronin's

902
00:48:24,679 --> 00:48:26,719
team had to put somewhat of a stop to it,

903
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,840
not a total stop, but enough to get them margin.

904
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:33,320
They can score, they go fast, Northridge can score more,

905
00:48:33,599 --> 00:48:37,960
they go faster. And Northridge was actually held by Santa Barbara,

906
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,800
which again, when you play Santa Barbara, you're going to

907
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,840
be in a more methodical pace. They weren't allowed to

908
00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:45,840
really break out and do what they do. So I

909
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,280
always say styles make matchups. To me, this is a

910
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:53,159
game full of opportunities for scoring. I don't see a

911
00:48:53,199 --> 00:48:55,760
heck of a lot of defensive resistance on either side

912
00:48:55,760 --> 00:49:01,559
of the floor here. Obviously moneyes with full game total,

913
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:03,760
and again I'm not going to argue anybody off of it,

914
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:07,199
but eighty three to me just seems like this should

915
00:49:07,199 --> 00:49:10,800
be a game where you know, you find at least

916
00:49:11,079 --> 00:49:13,840
a forty four to forty halftime score is what you

917
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:15,519
need to get over the number here, and I don't

918
00:49:15,519 --> 00:49:19,039
see any reason why that wouldn't happen unless somebody comes

919
00:49:19,039 --> 00:49:23,239
out ice cold. But again, just to use one of

920
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,440
my handicapping elements, which is bounce back, it's a nice

921
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:28,480
bounce back game for Polly Slow to be able to

922
00:49:28,519 --> 00:49:30,000
just break out and do what they want to do,

923
00:49:30,159 --> 00:49:33,320
and the same for Northridge. So to me, Adam makes

924
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:38,400
for a great high scoring game. Full game over still

925
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:42,000
available if you want to play it, but I think

926
00:49:42,039 --> 00:49:44,119
that first half shows more value. So for me, it's

927
00:49:44,119 --> 00:49:49,280
gonna be first half total over eighty three Cal Poly Slow,

928
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:53,639
Cal State North Richard Rob.

929
00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:56,119
Speaker 1: I know we talked about this off air. I can't

930
00:49:56,119 --> 00:49:58,440
remember if we ever actually brought it up on the show,

931
00:49:58,519 --> 00:50:00,559
but I said it would come up at some point

932
00:50:00,559 --> 00:50:05,440
this year. I think Northridge put those black walls in

933
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:09,440
in their gym because they are such an offensive oriented

934
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:12,360
team that it gives them. It's almost like if you

935
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,760
watch a north Ridge game at what I think they

936
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,440
still call the Matta Dome, which is awesome, by the way,

937
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:19,239
that's just a great name for a facility. I think

938
00:50:19,519 --> 00:50:22,800
it's now branded whoever whatever Bank. You know, all these

939
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:26,199
places are something something Bank Arena, but like it used

940
00:50:26,199 --> 00:50:28,159
to be the Mata Dome, and they put these black

941
00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:31,559
almost like backdrops, and I don't think I've ever seen

942
00:50:31,599 --> 00:50:34,679
anything quite like it at any venue that I've been in,

943
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:37,159
where it's like they almost put a shooter's eye in,

944
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:40,239
similar to a batter's eye in baseball, where you've got

945
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:42,639
like the better fields. Like if you I've ever listened

946
00:50:42,639 --> 00:50:45,280
to baseball players talk about hitting, they love hitting at

947
00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:48,280
Chase Field because that there's that huge batter's eye. They

948
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:51,000
love cores for obvious reasons. But they've got a nice

949
00:50:51,079 --> 00:50:54,440
view back there, you know, just nice unobstructed view. That's

950
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:57,440
what you're looking at in cal State Northridge's home gym.

951
00:50:57,719 --> 00:51:02,480
Unobstructed view, dark backdrop. It seems like everything Northridge throws

952
00:51:02,559 --> 00:51:05,079
up and this gym goes in. Not to mention they

953
00:51:05,119 --> 00:51:06,920
are they are a very good offensive team, they get

954
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:09,480
up and down, they put a lot of points on

955
00:51:09,559 --> 00:51:12,639
the board regardless. But man, it just seems like everything

956
00:51:12,719 --> 00:51:15,360
this team fires up in their home gym goes in.

957
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:18,960
I think the visitors benefit from it too. I mean,

958
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:23,880
we've seen some really good visiting offensive performances from teams

959
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:26,480
on the road at northwardge this year. Troy is one

960
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:28,800
that comes to mind that that game was just that

961
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:33,280
neither team could miss. So again, I can't argue with

962
00:51:33,320 --> 00:51:36,280
you on that, and it's been in my head for

963
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:39,599
a while, like teams are probably gonna score when they

964
00:51:39,599 --> 00:51:44,239
play Northridge in Northridge because it's a very friendly, you know,

965
00:51:44,559 --> 00:51:48,719
friendly shooting sort of backdrop, and Northridge is going to

966
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:50,960
play the style of game that allows you to score points.

967
00:51:51,199 --> 00:51:53,480
So Rob, I'm very much with you. That's a great

968
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,760
sort of fine. Doesn't surprise me one bit that the

969
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:58,280
market is that won somebody four and a half in

970
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:00,199
the full game total, or that it was better up.

971
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:03,119
But yeah, that that first half shouldn't take them long

972
00:52:03,199 --> 00:52:05,679
to get going, doesn't really ever take Northridge long to

973
00:52:05,679 --> 00:52:08,159
get going. So eighty three for the parlor, you're looking

974
00:52:08,199 --> 00:52:12,920
at eighty three, and that's first half, okay.

975
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:17,519
Speaker 2: And it's still it's one ten, probably because it was

976
00:52:17,559 --> 00:52:19,880
bid up off of the eighty two and a half opener,

977
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,960
but minus one tense. We're not paying anything special to

978
00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:23,719
get that number.

979
00:52:25,519 --> 00:52:27,519
Speaker 1: I'll pull by you back up again here. Yeah, I

980
00:52:27,519 --> 00:52:30,119
mean the way cal Poly they have run out of

981
00:52:30,159 --> 00:52:32,199
gas at times this year, but you're really not worried

982
00:52:32,199 --> 00:52:33,760
about that in a game like this if you only

983
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:37,840
need the first twenty, I'm with you. That's a that's

984
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:40,599
a great call, Rob. There's gonna be a lot of

985
00:52:40,599 --> 00:52:45,360
shots being put up, and again, very friendly shooting site

986
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:47,280
lines there in that gym, so hopefully you think a

987
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:51,280
lot of those go in. All right, let's get one

988
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,239
more in. Let's see, let's get let's get one more

989
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:59,880
in here before the horn. Let's go. Let here's a

990
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:03,119
good one. Let's yeah, here we go, Steve. That that's

991
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:05,159
this was one of like two I was gonna pick.

992
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,840
Let's go back to the West Coast conference. Give the

993
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:10,000
show a little bit of shelf life since I've since

994
00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:11,920
I've talked about a game that's gonna start at noon,

995
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:13,840
so we got to give the show a little shelf life.

996
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:17,840
Let's go back out West Seattle, Oregon State the Beavers

997
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:23,559
at home Seattle, listen at who if I'm Seattle, I've

998
00:53:23,599 --> 00:53:26,679
got a call into the league office. Like we get

999
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,719
to the West Coast Conference, Okay, this is our first

1000
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:33,559
year here, and they fed them like the top three

1001
00:53:33,599 --> 00:53:38,599
teams and like their first three games good San Francisco, Gonzaga,

1002
00:53:38,599 --> 00:53:41,159
Saint Mary's right off, right off the rip, welcome to

1003
00:53:41,199 --> 00:53:44,840
the WCC. If you're Seattle, right like you could, you

1004
00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:48,920
could not ask for a tougher San Francisco, Washington State

1005
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,880
and then on the road Gonzaga and then having to

1006
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:55,440
go to Saint Mary's after the Gonzaga game. That is brutal.

1007
00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:57,840
That is as brutal as it gets if you are

1008
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:01,079
talking about a start to conference and now they have

1009
00:54:01,119 --> 00:54:03,880
to stay on the road up to Corpallis to take

1010
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:07,199
on the Beavers of Oregon State. So Seattle comes in

1011
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:09,719
one in three. I don't know. I feel like they've

1012
00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:12,639
played good enough to be better than that, but hey,

1013
00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:14,639
it's just hard to get over the hump against a

1014
00:54:14,679 --> 00:54:17,599
team like Gonzaga, even if you do play well. So

1015
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:19,920
Seattle on the road tonight. Are you interested in the

1016
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:20,880
RedHawks here at all?

1017
00:54:21,159 --> 00:54:25,360
Speaker 2: Robto, I am the one thing that concerns me. Well,

1018
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,679
first of all, what the positive for Seattle is is

1019
00:54:28,719 --> 00:54:31,320
it becomes a step down in class. Right, You've just

1020
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:34,320
come through road games against Gonzaga Saint Mary's, got a

1021
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:37,480
taste of what it's like. Pushed gonzagaa overtime, a little

1022
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:39,639
bit of confidence there. Like I said the other day

1023
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,719
in that Saint Mary's game, they just ran out of gas.

1024
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,480
That those games were spaced by a couple of days,

1025
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:49,840
and after going overtime with all that emotion, coming back

1026
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:54,239
to play Saint Mary's at Saint Mary's just too difficult

1027
00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:59,000
a task. So you would think that this game they've

1028
00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:01,280
had a chance to recruit. Like I say, it's a

1029
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,119
little bit of a step down in class, it's actually

1030
00:55:03,119 --> 00:55:05,280
a huge step down in class when you play Oregon State,

1031
00:55:07,039 --> 00:55:10,280
So I would think Seattle will be ready for this part.

1032
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,480
That worries me. Well, let's give you one more positive

1033
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:16,880
for Seattle here. Oregon State's the same one in three

1034
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:20,159
in conference as they are, and Oregon State's one and

1035
00:55:20,239 --> 00:55:24,599
three against lesser competition. Right, They've lost a Pacific Washington State,

1036
00:55:25,199 --> 00:55:28,760
and they did lose huge to Santa Clara, but their

1037
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:32,239
one win was on this floor and they beat San Francisco,

1038
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:35,800
which is impressive in this league. So you got that

1039
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:39,239
little lingering thought that maybe home floor means something to them.

1040
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,360
I don't think Seattle's probably the better team at this

1041
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:46,320
point in time, Adam. If you can go to Gonzaga

1042
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:49,679
and do what they did with an a effort, if

1043
00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:52,679
they bring an a effort here, it's probably a win

1044
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,199
by a bucket, which is all that's required here. You're

1045
00:55:55,199 --> 00:55:57,960
a one and a half point favorite. I get it's

1046
00:55:57,960 --> 00:56:00,880
a road favorite. I don't know how imposed cor Vallas

1047
00:56:00,960 --> 00:56:02,840
is gonna be to them after you've been through the

1048
00:56:02,920 --> 00:56:05,800
Kennel and Saint Mary's. So to me, I think I

1049
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:08,079
could make a slight lean towards excuse me, that was

1050
00:56:08,119 --> 00:56:10,039
the first half line. I'm still hooked on first half

1051
00:56:10,079 --> 00:56:12,400
lines here. Shattle out obviously a four and a half

1052
00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:16,480
point favorite full game, and maybe first half is worth

1053
00:56:16,519 --> 00:56:18,039
to look up by a bucket at the end of

1054
00:56:18,079 --> 00:56:20,480
the first half, because I would expect Seattle to come

1055
00:56:20,519 --> 00:56:23,280
out with a certain amount of fire here on the

1056
00:56:23,320 --> 00:56:26,119
road after being beaten the way they were at Saint Mary's.

1057
00:56:27,920 --> 00:56:32,360
Speaker 1: Rob the books love this Seattle team. They are they

1058
00:56:32,599 --> 00:56:35,599
They've sucked the value out of Seattle and essentially every

1059
00:56:35,679 --> 00:56:39,639
game since the Washington win, and even in that game,

1060
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:44,239
the number move considerably towards Seattle in that game as

1061
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:47,320
the day went on, four and a half, four, four

1062
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:49,920
and a half. Like you're laying a premium on the

1063
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:52,760
road right there. But something you said, like Oregon State

1064
00:56:52,800 --> 00:56:55,320
has not had the crowds that they used to get

1065
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:57,440
when it was like big time pack twelve games in

1066
00:56:57,519 --> 00:56:59,800
core Vallas, it's been I've been a little bit dis

1067
00:57:00,039 --> 00:57:01,960
point in turning on Oregon State games this year and

1068
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:04,599
seeing like a half full arena. So there hasn't been much.

1069
00:57:04,679 --> 00:57:06,400
There hasn't been a ton of juice in that building,

1070
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,679
not like there used to be in my opinion, And

1071
00:57:09,039 --> 00:57:11,719
you know, something I noticed with this matchup that I

1072
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:15,199
think is very favorable to Seattle. So I complimented on

1073
00:57:15,239 --> 00:57:19,079
a couple of occasions. They're they're bigs from an offensive standpoint,

1074
00:57:19,159 --> 00:57:23,039
very creative offensive bigs. They're they're they're they're big, like

1075
00:57:23,119 --> 00:57:27,280
they have the size they can finish, you know, but

1076
00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:31,119
but what they haven't really been able to do is rebound.

1077
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:32,800
Like you know, some of some of the stuff on

1078
00:57:32,840 --> 00:57:35,159
the defensive end of the floor hasn't been quite as good.

1079
00:57:36,239 --> 00:57:38,719
You know, they they they've gotten crushed on the glass

1080
00:57:38,719 --> 00:57:40,599
in a couple of these games. But Oregon State's not

1081
00:57:40,639 --> 00:57:42,599
going to do that. Oregon State's one of the worst

1082
00:57:42,599 --> 00:57:45,679
rebounding teams in the country. They play, they play a

1083
00:57:45,679 --> 00:57:48,639
lot of zone. Wayne Tinkle almost plays all zone, and

1084
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:51,519
Seattle can shoot it. So you know this is you're

1085
00:57:51,559 --> 00:57:55,559
talking about Seattle top hundred three point shooting team. They

1086
00:57:55,559 --> 00:58:00,360
have offensive bigs with skill, meaning that they can probably

1087
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:03,519
work the ball into his zone and their bigs may

1088
00:58:03,519 --> 00:58:07,039
be able to finish in against the zone. So I

1089
00:58:07,559 --> 00:58:10,239
like the matchup for Seattle, But man, they are asking

1090
00:58:10,239 --> 00:58:12,199
you to play a premium with this team on the road.

1091
00:58:12,639 --> 00:58:15,280
If I could have gotten like a cheap money line

1092
00:58:15,559 --> 00:58:18,159
or Seattle minus two minus two and a half, I

1093
00:58:18,199 --> 00:58:20,440
would be all over this. At four to four and

1094
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:23,000
a half, I just feel like that's right in that

1095
00:58:23,159 --> 00:58:26,239
range where they could win a close game. It's just

1096
00:58:26,239 --> 00:58:28,760
just a much tougher number to cover. So Rob, I'm

1097
00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:31,960
gonna piggyback what you said about the first half. I

1098
00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:34,920
think the way you play this game is Seattle first half.

1099
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:37,800
If it loses, be ready to come over the top.

1100
00:58:38,079 --> 00:58:40,719
With your Seattle second half bet and then you kind

1101
00:58:40,719 --> 00:58:42,400
of take that four and a half out of the

1102
00:58:42,400 --> 00:58:46,679
equation BD in the chats, the Seattle minus one and

1103
00:58:46,719 --> 00:58:48,920
a half first half is a stronger play. Yeah, I

1104
00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:52,519
suppose if it's available for sure, maybe the money line

1105
00:58:52,559 --> 00:58:54,159
being cheap enough in the first half and you do

1106
00:58:54,199 --> 00:58:57,840
the same thing, But I would or maybe this is

1107
00:58:57,880 --> 00:58:59,639
late enough in the day where you can find something

1108
00:58:59,639 --> 00:59:02,360
to money line parlay into Seattle. All of those things

1109
00:59:02,360 --> 00:59:06,159
are options. I just at four and a half, man,

1110
00:59:06,199 --> 00:59:08,480
I feel like the books sort of nailed the number there.

1111
00:59:08,639 --> 00:59:10,840
They're they're they're really forcing you to play pay a

1112
00:59:10,840 --> 00:59:16,639
premium to back Seattle. All right, we are at the

1113
00:59:16,800 --> 00:59:20,480
end of the show. Time to recap. The parlay four

1114
00:59:20,519 --> 00:59:23,360
percent play for me goes early today, so you're gonna

1115
00:59:23,719 --> 00:59:27,199
know my mood by about two thirty pm Eastern. For

1116
00:59:27,239 --> 00:59:30,679
the day, I've got Towsan on the money line. It

1117
00:59:30,760 --> 00:59:34,480
is a twelve thirty pm Eastern start a four percent

1118
00:59:34,559 --> 00:59:37,519
play for clients, so you're getting it here for free

1119
00:59:37,599 --> 00:59:40,239
on the show. Please check out the package that Rob

1120
00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,519
and I have available right now. It's all of our

1121
00:59:42,559 --> 00:59:45,840
plays for three days, both of us in college basketball

1122
00:59:46,079 --> 00:59:49,400
full analysis. Just like you get on the show, You'll

1123
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:51,000
get in those plays and you won't have to hear

1124
00:59:51,039 --> 00:59:52,800
me talk about it. You just get to read it.

1125
00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:54,360
I think that's a huge plus. I said it the

1126
00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:58,199
last couple of days. Towsan money line for me. Then

1127
00:59:58,280 --> 01:00:00,679
go do something for eight to ten hours and then

1128
01:00:00,719 --> 01:00:05,880
come back at ten pm tonight for Rob Vino, Cal Northridge,

1129
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:11,079
Cal Poly first half over eighty two over eighty two,

1130
01:00:11,559 --> 01:00:14,440
eighty three. Sorry, so that's our two teamer for today.

1131
01:00:15,039 --> 01:00:18,639
Towson call it minus one. I'm gonna the probably is

1132
01:00:18,679 --> 01:00:20,920
gonna be plus two fifty. I'm gonna put the you

1133
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:22,719
know it's gonna allow for a little bit of a

1134
01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:25,599
juice on that towsand money line. You're gonna have Towson

1135
01:00:25,639 --> 01:00:30,960
money line, Cal Northridge, Cal Polly first half over eighty three.

1136
01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:33,599
That's the two teamer for today. We need one this week.

1137
01:00:33,639 --> 01:00:35,840
We haven't hit one yet this week. I'm feeling good

1138
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:38,559
about today's and we'll see you back here to close

1139
01:00:38,599 --> 01:00:42,320
out the week tomorrow morning, ten am. More Full Court Press.

1140
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,599
Have a great day, everyone, go go grab that three

1141
01:00:44,639 --> 01:00:46,519
day package for us. We'll see you guys tomorrow