Speaker 1: An old rivalry returns tonight in the NHL. The Mompshaw
Canadians and Toronto Maple Leafs will go head to head.
Of course, the Battle of Alberta, the Calby Flames and
then Jen Oilers.
Speaker 2: Mitch Murder plays his first game in the regular season
as Vegas Golden Knights, and.
Speaker 3: Of course we have a first back to backspot of.
Speaker 2: The season, the La Kings visiting the Vegas Golden Knights
after losing to the Colorado Avalanche. Guys, welcome to pup time,
Andrew and Carmen here as we are every day.
Speaker 3: Eleven a m.
Speaker 2: Eastern Carmen, I'm gonna stick through my guns with the
whole Hey, offenses are there more than defenses at the gate,
but three and oh more the unders to start off
the season.
Speaker 4: Man, wow, yeah, no, I get it. In the in
the Florida game, you know, that was a tight checking
affair and I didn't want to lay that with Florida.
And you couldn't have even felt comfortable in the third period.
That was a close game throughout that stayed somehow managed
to stay under the total as well too. The you
needed pretty much a couple shots of espresso or a
B twelve shot in order to stay stay and watch
the Arrangers game. My god, that had to be one
of the most boring games I have seen, going dating
back to last season. It was the Rangers had zero PEP.
It was like Pittsburgh was a was using five G
network and it was dial up for the New York Rangers.
So we'll see, it's one game into the season. You
can you can sort of expect expect this, and this
is why andre I say to you and I say
to everyone to tread lightly, you know, sort of. That
first week Rangers were minus two twenty. I said on
the show yesterday, that's absurd. And then Colorado did which
to Colorado I thought Colorado would do last night, which
was get the win. So I was pretty happy about
that as well too. And then as far as as
far as yesterday's prop bets, they fared pretty well as
well to anyone who jumped on board the card. For
ver Hagi, he had a ton of shots on goal.
We talked about it on your show. Samosavich to get
a point at plus one point fifteen, he got there.
The only one that didn't get there was Landeskog. Anytime
goalscorer Andrew. But in hindsight, that was probably a bad
play because they are limiting his ice time. I think
he only played about ten to eleven minutes last night.
They want him to last the season, so it's not
going to be the and he's not even on the
number one unit. So maybe look at the neckus props
because Andrew, him and McKinnon kind of looked like Connor McDavid.
And who's the former relief Zach Hyman who just had
to keep his stick on the ice and would score goals.
Speaker 2: Zach Hymon exactly looks very similar to that situation there, Karen,
hats off to you with the props. A great night,
and my five dollars Tuesday best bet was the Cauto Avalanche.
So a ton of you guys joined me five dollars Tuesday.
What better of a day to start off the NHL
season than five dollars Tuesday to get a ton of
you guys with me on the Colorado Avalanche. Love that
play and half we got there and the free play
of the day which was also a three percent play
for me and clients the first period over Blackhawks and
Panthers man ten minutes no goals, you start getting a
little bit worried, and then it's two to one after
the first period. So you gotta love that. Shout out
to Tie he told me I was in the wrong mic,
you know, but doing this forever and sometimes you still
don't know if you're got the right one going. Jay
is with us, the Godfather, Ken, Robert RJ Alex appreciate
that made some money.
Speaker 3: Will cut richer.
Speaker 2: Hey, hopefully we can keep doing that because only day
one of the season, Caren. Let's move on to today though,
before we do more, mind people, guys, if you like
the videos, hit the like button, subscribe to our channel,
and do not forget about the great code we have
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buzz backslash c B. All right, Caren, before you get
the Montreal Canadian fan perspective here, you let me know
what you think about this one? Every year, these two
teams they open the season against each other, the Toronto
and Montreal.
Speaker 3: What are your thoughts?
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, it's weird. It's like feasts or famine
between these two when they meet in that first week
of the season. I remember going to a game with
pres and this was like back in twenty one, I
believe and Andrew. This was during when they allowed some
fans into the stadium, sort of post pandemic as far
as the NHL goes in twenty one, and that game
finished two to one for the Leafs. There wasn't much
happening in that game. A couple of years ago we
see a slugfest. The Leafs win six' FIVE i believe
in ot in that one Against. Montreal and then last
year The Montreal canadians at home at The Bell, center
a unbelievable performance by their goalie in that. One was It?
MONTABLE i think it Was. Montable they win and shut
out The leafs one. Nil famine between these. Two And
i'm not entirely sure it's going to be feast tonight
Because i'm gonna stick with my narrative on The leafs
going into the. Season That Craig bruby wants this team
to play a better defensive. Game they tried to do
it last. YEAR i did it successfully for most of
the season and even in the, playoffs but can they
do it for a full. Season it's kind of like
The Florida. Panthers different, team different, makeup different, players But Paul,
maurice they eventually bought into his, system and when they
did buy into a, system they turned into a high caliber.
TEAM i would lean the under. HERE i wish it
was six and a. Half i'd be all over the
under at, six shaded slightly to the over eleven cents
to the Over i'm seeing on the, line and that
probably a slight Lean Andrew. ON i know you're A
montreal fan and a lot is expected of The Montreal
needings this season with their off season acquisitions and getting
better in another season With Lane, Hudson but minus one
sixty seven on The leafs to open at, HOME i
would probably lean. There it is about the high end
guys of the big THAT i would normally lay on a.
GAME i don't lay anything normally higher than like one
seventy BECAUSE i think you have to be, extremely extremely
successful at the high end in order to in order
to eke out a profit on the season if you're
betting minus one seventy favorites every single, night Which i'm
not trying to be. Doing but with that, Said andrew
slightly into the Under Toronto Maple leafs three to two.
Final ooh maybe o t.
Speaker 3: Three to two. Final LOLL i remember, This.
Speaker 2: KARL i mean you talked About Sam montembo standing on his,
head AND i KNOW i can't really handicap a game
right now On october eighth of twenty twenty five based
on a game that HAPPENED i think What october, sixth
twenty twenty. Four but at the end of the, DAY i,
mean like you, said that game last year could have
had ten, goals could have had at least five.
Speaker 3: Goals we'll.
Speaker 2: Say you, know the fact that it finished one nothing was,
Crazy Sam. Montembo it was a cold caught field power
play goal first. Period then after that there was pretty
much nothing as far as the goals were. Concerned there
was nothing as far as things were. CONCERNED i got
the lineups, Here. KAREN i want to just bring this
up real. Quick Matthew Kny's Austin, Matthews Mattias mitchelli are
going to be. Together this is what they're projecting. Here
so they are deciding to Drop Max domi into the
bottom six people were.
Speaker 3: Projecting were they going to be bottom? Six was he
going to be top?
Speaker 2: Six but they Want mitchelli pretty much filling in for
That marner role right. Away big shoes to. Fill here's
the THING i think people forget about With Mitch. Marner
AND i know he's not the most physical player by any,
means but it's very similar to HOW i feel About
Alexander barkov for The Florida. Panthers he's not just an offensive.
Player LIKE i, Know marner wasn't the physical. Guy he
wasn't an in your face, guy but he was a
good two way, forward you. Know and of Course Austin
matthews has made a name for that as. Well when
you lose a guy Like, marner you're not just losing
your offensive, touch you're losing defensive touch as. Well he
was a good both, ends two hundred foot type of.
Player so gonna be interesting to see from that. Perspective
i'm gonna say two, things Parm we'll see what ends up.
Happening first period over might be a look for me
in this. One just we've got a couple of different
guys on each roster that want to make a name for.
Themselves you, know This Monshreal canadians lineup is real interesting With, Kawfield, Zooki,
slevkovski that's the mainstay, lineup the second, Line New, Hook, Kappenin,
Demetov Bull, Duke Doc, Gallagher Lione, Evans Josh. Anderson we've
Got Patrick lyone on the fourth. Line that's how they
feel about his speed level right. Now karm they don't
trust him to be able to skate with the two lines.
Above they don't trust him to be able to be
fast enough to skate With Bull duke or new hooking those,
guys putting him on the fourth. Line SO i think
we're gonna see a lot of new combos do well.
Offensively we'll see how they fare, defensively BUT i think
we should see some. Goals but here's the, deal and
before we move, on we got to get a lot of.
GAMES i, Know i've been mapping things out just like you.
Speaker 1: Do And.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna Take.
Speaker 2: Montreal in their first two games of the, season they're
playing The leafs and they're playing The Red. Wings they
find themselves being plus money in both those. Games CARM i,
think at very, worse they go one and one in
those two. Games they made the playoffs last, Year detroit.
Didn't they got better in the. Offseason detroit. Didn't they Got,
noahdopson they Got zach Bull, duke they picked up Demidov,
or they got him for this. Season NOW i think, that,
hey it's obviously a bigger, price a bigger plus money Against.
Toronto if they win, TONIGHT i don't play it again In.
Detroit if they, LOSE i play it again In, detroit
AND i hope that they at worst go one and
one in their first two.
Speaker 3: Games what do you? Think AM i crazy?
Speaker 2: Here or does the team that went the playoffs last
year and maybe not deserve to be plus money Against?
Speaker 3: Detroit?
Speaker 4: Man that almost sounds like The Martin gale system of
BETTING nhl. HOCKEY i don't mean to. LISTEN i don't
mean to bespirts you or what have you? BOUGHT i,
KNOW i. LISTEN i completely understand what you're. Saying AND
i think the you, Know Marty Saint louis has kind
of changed the culture in that dressing. Room the players
in there are buying into his. System they're playing a lot.
Better they see with the moves that they're making of
bringing some guys in that the team is serious about.
Winning it just it is now everyone needs to pull
together and do. It you. Know the one thing and,
Guys i'm gonna harp on this probably for the first
week or so and maybe into next, week is you,
know when we throw some stats in, TRENDS i think
it's important when you're betting these games is not.
Speaker 3: To apply.
Speaker 4: Mid season form on the beginning of the season. GAMES
i mean you look at you, know you look at
games Like florida And chicago and you're Thinking chicago last
place three years in a, Row Florida Stanley cup winners
raising the, banner they got their rings the night, before
they're just going to pound. Them you can't do that
at the beginning of the. Season And chicago game a.
Game so and it's the same thing With. PITTSBURGH i,
mean LIKE i have the Undertotal andrew For pittsburgh as.
Points m pissed that they lost last, Night, no BECAUSE
i know that the whether you win or lose season point.
Totals andrew comes down to the middle of the, season
those six, seven eight game spurts where you lose seven
in a, row eight in a, row that completely guts the.
Team The Buffalo sabers last, YEAR i think thirteen at
one point thirteen or fourteen games in a row they.
Lost that is what guts a team not winning a
few games at the beginning of the, season and teams
with depth avoid those. Ones good teams with depth definitely
avoid those long losing. Streaks so we shall, see but
we'll see what The Montreal canadians have to. Do, Guys
we're gonna cover all four games today on today's, show
so you definitely better hit that like button as well.
Too and then tomorrow we have the pres coming on
first and Then Brian leonard and hopefully he chooses The
Vegas Golden knights game tomorrow nights to.
Speaker 2: Discuss, yes, sir BUT i like this one before go
to the next. One Trans canada said line over one
and a half shots looks.
Speaker 3: Money he'll be on that power.
Speaker 2: Play so that's kind of the interesting, thing right everybody
thinks right, now all he is is a powerplay, guy and,
well last year he scored twenty Goals, karen he had
fifteen on the power.
Speaker 3: Play that's pretty.
Speaker 2: Much all he was last year was a power play,
guy whether or not he's on THE pp one or
he's on THE pp. TWO i like that over one
and a half shots as. Well SO i saw a
few guys in here mentioning that. ONE i like. THAT i, Mean,
gerald you Know Patrick, lane fourth? Line how far has he?
Fallen it seems like value to, me so over one
and a Half i'm up for it for. SURE i
like that one quite a bit, Here, Sorry, carmen back to.
Speaker 4: You, YEAH i gotta fix. This i'm wearing Wager talk.
Swag needed to make sure not wearing the same top as.
You on today's. SHOW i went with the the grayish hoodie.
Today i'll go back to my polo shirts on the next.
Show but, Yeah, andrew we got a lot to discuss
and MAYBE i answer a couple of. Questions so let's
hit the Brew ruins and. Capitals Capitals i'm seeing on
The caps plus one fifty three on The. Bruins five
and a half is the total on this. One i'm
gonna toss it to you, First, andrew for your. Thoughts
i'm hoping we don't have the same thought on this,
one because Then i'm just gonna have to say diddo
and move on to the next.
Speaker 3: Game all.
Speaker 2: Right, LOOK i mentioned this on my show last, night
AND i feel like this is a good opportunity for
my first underbet of the. Season not sure if it'll
make the client card quite. Yet we did see three
unders to start off the regular season, yesterday even though
we kind of were expecting some more. Action but WHEN
i look at both these, TEAMS i don't expect a
ton of, offense especially when it comes to The Boston.
Bruins number One Jeremy swayman didn't have his contract signed
until a little bit into the season last. Year was
it like a week or? Two CARM i can't remember
exactly what it, was but when it comes down to,
it he didn't have a full training camp with the
t and it clearly impacted. Him Jeremy' swayman didn't look
like himself to start off the regular season last. Year
This Boston bruins, team of, course no More Brad. Marshaan
it feels like It's David pasternach alone on an. Island
who else is going to score for this? Team who
else is going to produce offense for this. Team i'm
not sure who's going to be that offensive character for
them Besides David. Pasternach but WHEN i look at them
and their, goaltending look at The Washington, capitals and you
even think back to the last fifteen games of the
season last year to how The capitals played shut down,
hockey defensive, hockey physical, hockey and good. GOALTENDING i, know
in this day and, age it's not hard to get
over five and a, half but as we saw, yesterday
in the first day of the, season you get a
couple patches of defensive hockey with not much going. On
just like, that it's very, hard you, know to get
two or three the last ten minutes of a period
to get this game. Over this is my first time
of the, season KARM i am leaning towards an. UNDERPLAY
i think The bees and The caps could take us.
There then, again my one. Worry The bruins have a
lot of players looking to make names for themselves sometimes
early in the, season similar to How pittsburgh played well.
Yesterday nobody likes The bruins this. Year nobody liked The
penguins going into. Yesterday we'll see which team today can
pull off the. Upset we've, got of, course The kings as,
dogs The flames as, dogs The bees as, dogs and
The halves as. Dogs karm all four road teams are underdogs.
Today you know there's gonna be at least, one at
least one upset knocking on that. Door we'll see which
team it. Is what are your thoughts? Here are we
on the same page in this? Game what do you.
Speaker 3: Think about the whole understyle and both these teams playing
good D?
Speaker 4: YEAH i think once we're done the four, GAMES i
will give you WHAT i think is my live dog
amongst the four. Games but you know this is, one you, Know,
yeah a lot of is expected or is not expected
of The bruins this, season and that's why they have
that low point TOAL i believe at something like eighty
and a half points for this. Team but you, know
it's it's basically it's. Pasta it's geeky and where's the
other scoring going to come? From With marshawn now In
florida and join the surfing The sun and The stanley Cupp.
Ring so we'll see what comes of The. Bruins it's
another season Of Jeremy, Swayman you know WHAT i. Mean
he got the bag last. Year, andrew he wanted that,
contract he held, out he got the. Money he worked
better in a two goalie system With Linus almark who's
In ottawa right. Now i'm not sure how the season
is going to go for him as. Well you, know
one of the things with The capitals is getting off
to another good, start much like they did last. Season
they did lose their opener last, season but they win
on something like a ten and one or ten and
two run and just never looked back in winning The Eastern.
Conference the one thing you know WHEN i look at
is like their team totals last, year their team totals
in ninety two total games that they played season, playoffs
they were fifty one and forty one to team. Totals
at home they were twenty seven and twenty to the team.
Total they averaged three point seven to three goals per
game last season at. Home what about The. Bruins The
bruins on the road allowed three point seven eight goals per.
Game the team total sits here at three and a
half plus one oh five on the. Over these are
normally that's your, Territory, ANDREW i have swum into your
end of the your deep end here with the team,
totals AND i am taking The Washington capitals over three
and a half goals plus one oh. Five you can
still hite your under four to. One, yep four one's.
Speaker 3: Good that's.
Speaker 2: TRUE i can still hit the under and carm that
price tag is the best price tag for. Me the
plus one hundred plus one oh. FIVE i can't explain
what it is as Odds logic is giving us a
live update on the Danil medvedev tennis.
Speaker 3: Match thank, you Odds.
Speaker 2: LOGIC i can't explain what it, is but that plus
one hundred plus one oh five price tag has always
been Something i've.
Speaker 3: Liked it just always HAS i like.
Speaker 2: It it's like when a team is like minus one
thirty five over they're team.
Speaker 3: TOTAL i don't really love it as. Much i'll give
you guys an.
Speaker 2: Example Yesterday colorado they were plus one forty, five you,
know and guess what The New York rangers were over
their team total minus one twenty one twenty.
Speaker 3: Five, yeah they did. Nothing they got shut.
Speaker 2: Out, Also karen will see if the quote unquote system,
played it started up last year is alive because well
we pretty much had a team like The kings get shut,
out and we did have The rangers get shut. Out
so we'll see if we get more goals involved those
games moving. Forward but, yeah those teams look pretty flat
out the, gate all, right the team Total Washington. Capitals you,
know they've got. Depth that's the biggest thing about. Them
they've got. Depth vetos in here SAYING i love that
this show is. Back our, boy wash, redskin here we.
Go i'll take my caps minus one and a half
plus one forty.
Speaker 3: Five he's, loyal, Karm he's. LOYAL i like. IT i
want to mention one.
Speaker 2: Thing we're going to be taking questions at the end
of the, show, guys AND i have a few of
you guys, Already, Timothy, Leroy kevin And.
Speaker 3: Thomas i'm going to start your.
Speaker 2: Messages i'm gonna stash them away until the end of the,
show so guys feel free to ask any. Questions we'll
go back at the end of the show and make
sure we we touch on. THEM i like this. One,
fortunately not going to hold my. Breath and The kings
tonight scoring goals in the desert, tonight, well their offense
didn't look very good. YESTERDAY i did a kr this.
Speaker 4: Offense But i've got to take on that one. Once
we discuss The alberta The alberta rivalry, here what's it called?
There it's The Alberta. Double it's just The, alberta The
battle Of, Alberta battle Of. Alberta, yes The battle Of.
Alberta Andrew edmonton minus two Eighteen calgary plus, one seventy
six the over rate the tory now six shaded seventeen
cents to the Over you, Know, Andrew i'm going to
say this with these big prices, again tread. Lightly why
the let's not forget last year The Edmonton oilers got
off to a slow. Start made it to The Stanley Cup,
finals but they lost their first three games of the.
Season what did they do the year? Prior made it
To Standy Cup? Finals but how did they start the.
Season they started by losing six of their first seven,
games ten of their first twelve games before their coach
in the Fresh prince of Bel, air and he was
tossed out of the. Mansion, andrew it is laying to
eighteen with The. OILERS i can't do. It and you
know the problem, is and this is you, KNOW i
could be wrong at the end of the day and
all the favorites end up. WINNING i don't want people to, think,
well The oilers to, eighteen you got to take them
and you just Add, washington you Asked, vegas and you
end up with a good little parlay a plus money
because one of them you have to go perfect. Three
no one of them ends up. Losing in your, toast
your money is down the. Drain that's why the sort
of that from that parlay, perspective just tossing in favorites
and some of you guys, know come, on how many
of you guys have played those seven or eight league
parlays where you're, like let me just add this minus
one thousand at the end to get it up fifteen,
cents and that's the game that ends up. LOSING i
have seen it from my, friends SO i know that
it happens to. Everyone, andrew.
Speaker 3: It's the game you. Love the. Screw i'm, hoping you, Know.
Speaker 4: I'm hoping for a better start for the from The
Edmonton oilers that the last two seasons are are in
the rear view. Mirror but when they play The Calgary,
flames Guys it's like The Toronto Maple leafs and The Montreal.
Canadians these are rivalry games where these teams just love
to beat each. Other And calgary at the beginning of
the season went Into edmonton and beat them three. NOTHING
i believe it might have been one of those first three.
Games so with that, Said i'm not laying the two.
Eighteen i'm not even taking. Regulation i'm gonna watch this
game and MAYBE hopefu some. Goals maybe this is one
of the games where we see some. Goals, andrew so
at six it's playable at, Five at six and a,
HALF i wouldn't touch.
Speaker 2: It i'm gonna give out a play, Here, karmen and
this is gonna be a client play.
Speaker 3: HERE i like this.
Speaker 2: One quite a, Bit and a lot of the reasons
Why i'm feeling generous today is BECAUSE i THINK i, Love,
Love Love tomorrow's card On, thursday so it'd be a
lot of best bets and client only plays for. TOMORROW
i Think edmonton gets off to a fast. START i
talked about how YESTERDAY i find it a little bit
tough to believe that we're gonna see. Pits The panthers
motivated from day, one although they did Lose barkov And
kulchuk for a, while they did look a little flat
at certain, points even though they got off to a good.
Start Look, Edmonton it's gonna be hard as hell to
go back for three straight years to The Stanley Cup.
Finals it's gonna be real, hard AND i think there's
gonna be bumps in the. Road there's gonna be certain
times of the year where we see An Edmonton oilers
team that just can't wait for the. PLAYOFFS i remember
you used to always say, it The Tampa Bay lightning
are on cruise. CONTROL i believe that was the expression
that you would. Use they're getting ready for the. Playoffs
last year The panthers didn't win the, division they were
getting ready for the. PLAYOFFS i Think edmonton shows up
here tonight in The battle Of. Alberta i'm on the
first period puck line in this. One, Here, karen let's
pull Up Odds. Logic we love breaking it down with Odds.
Logic shout out to Odds, logic best odds page in
the game and looking At circa right now At circa
plus one, thirty Bet online plus one twenty Five FanDuel
plus one Thirty westgate plus one twenty, Five DraftKings plus one.
Speaker 3: Fourteen so, guys there you.
Speaker 2: Go the worst number is Not, DraftKings so Avoid DraftKings
if you want this. Bet we have no affiliation with
any sportsbook on this. Show we want you guys to
get the best of the. NUMBER i love this. PLAY
i Think evon gets off to a real fast, start
and LIKE i, said the best number out there available
right now is a round plus one point thirty courtesy
Of Fan. Duel courtesy OF Circa Just Real, quick Carm Trent,
frederick he used to be kind of like a fighter
with The Boston bruins and a third line. Guy they're
pairing him up With leon And. CONNOR i love. That it's, Like,
okay we're gonna start the. Season and they always say
that not every game Are leon And connor are going
to play, together but in this game they're going. To
and if anybody messes with, them anybody hits them. Bad
Trent frederick's right, there but.
Speaker 3: He can also play hockey.
Speaker 2: Too and THEN i think the old third Line Isaac
howard's making his first start of his. Career you know
how it goes karm whenever players make THEIR nhl first.
Start something could. Happen there could be some value on
player props For Isaac.
Speaker 4: Howard, yeah you know guys in her chat who are
familiar with the The oiders and those and teams like,
that Like Chuck. Pod well remember The gretzky days of
Having Dave simenko on that. Line you Touched gretzky and
you were picking up your chicklets off the ice and
giving them to the trainer to push them back into
your gums between. Periods but that's just the way it.
Was you protect your you protect your. Stars so we'll.
See it should be a good. Game The battle Of
alberta is always a good. One we've got some really good,
GAMES i have to, Believe so we'll see how it.
Goes andrew as far as this one. Goes but with that,
said should we before we get some, Questions we got
to talk about This Vegas Golden Knights Ali kings.
Speaker 3: Game so do it.
Speaker 2: Again guy here expecting a blowout in this. Game he,
said the game is, tomorrow, hopefully you, know the game is.
Tonight i'm not sure what time zone you're in, here
but the game is. Tonight but he thinks it's going
to be a. Blowout what do you, Think Patruce Edward.
Speaker 4: Junior is it like the Wine. Patruser that's it's spelled,
differently but it's a very good, wine an expensive. One
vegas minus two, hundred The La kings plus one sixty.
Two the total sits here at. Six, Andrew i'm going
to go back to a stat THAT i was giving
you guys the beginning of last, season in the first
couple of weeks of the, season first two three weeks
of the, season and it was extremely profitable and then
it just sort of tailed. Off and that's where you
jump off of the train and you, Say, Okay i've had.
Enough and that was The vegas first period overs at
home last, year first six games of the season at
home six and ohero first period, overs the first twelve
games at, home ten and two. Over they catch AN
La kings team coming off of a game last, night quick,
flight it's a hopper flight From la To, vegas as
long as they're not On Jet. Blue because you, Know,
andrew nothing beats A Jet blue.
Speaker 3: Holiday nothing but.
Speaker 4: Nothing beats A Jet blue. Holiday Jet blue sponsors Of Puck. Time.
No with that, Said i'm going to take over one
and a half in this, Game Vegas Golden Knights Elie
king's first period over one and a half minus one twenty.
Five maybe The knights catch them a little leg tired to,
start which sounds ridiculous normally two games into the. Season
BUT i saw the interviews during the game last night
and then postgame WITH A, hiller the coach of The,
kings and he said they made too many mistakes and
too many mistakes to give The Colorado. AVALANCHE i have
to believe that they're going to be a better, tonight
better enough to beat The Vegas Golden. KNIGHTS i would
not be Surprised andrew at plus one sixty two if
they ring that bell and cash the ticket tonight In.
Vegas that's your.
Speaker 3: LIFELOGH i like.
Speaker 2: IT i like, it BUT i worry about the fact
That vegas' offense is so. Improved this could be a
track meet as, well, which LIKE i GOTTA i gotta
be the Old teddy covers from Wager talk.
Speaker 3: Today so Carm, on if you think THAT la could,
win how many goals do they have to?
Speaker 2: Score that's my question to, you Because vegas is probably
gonna get, theirs, right how many goals do you THINK la.
Speaker 4: Three three, TWO la wow uh two one to one after,
one so the first period over cash is okay speaking
as a gambler right, now as a betting person one
to one after one with both goals coming, early SO
i don't have to sweat the last five minutes of
the first, period AND i can watch A jay's game
if if it's still going. On, GOD i didn't want
to talk about that one from. Yesterday, yeah and Then
kings get ahead and win the game three to. Two
So i'm not saying it's going to, happen BUT i
do believe The Elie kings have a very good. Team
they were somewhat embarrassed first game at home on home
ice to The Colorado, avalanche which is a very good.
Team SO i have a feeling they've got to be better.
Tonight you would think they were going to be better.
Tonight we'll see if that actually.
Speaker 2: HAPPENS i don't love the odds for this carm But
i'm going to fall for the bait right now of
a guy making his debut With Mitch.
Speaker 3: Marner If i'm not going to take the, Goal i'm
going to take the.
Speaker 2: Assist it's minus one thirty some books have thirty. Five
Mitch marner is a playmaker at. Heart he can score,
goals but he's a playmaker at. Heart he'll set Up Jack,
Egal he'll set Up Mark, Stone he'll set up his, Teammates.
Barbashev that's what he'll be there, for especially attracting, people
drawing them in and dishing that puck. OFF i don't
necessarily love taking assist props at a minus price like,
that but that's Something i'm kind of interested.
Speaker 3: In but you got, Me.
Speaker 2: Karen, look it's not exactly the system bet from last
year because The kings didn't get shut Out Kevin fiala
sniped one top corner in like the dying two minutes
of the. Game but it pretty much. Is this is
the perfect, scenario back to back team traveling and they
pretty much got shut. Out they didn't exactly get shut,
out but they pretty much got shut out and they
got owned by The. Avalanche give me the first period
over in this, one, guys we cashed The panthers And
hawks first period over. Yesterday let's cast this one the
late night play of the. DAY i will decide IF
i have any props or. Sides full game totals in this.
One those will be sent out to clients after the
show and into the afternoon a little. Bit but today's
gonna be a prop package and a handful of. Picks
you guys did hear a lot of the picks.
Speaker 3: That i'm going to be releasing.
Speaker 2: Today but it's gonna be a great, DAY krm, Today
no four percent plays for me. Again shout out to
everybody the cash with me on the. Avalanche it's gonna
be a package at wager talk dot com with just
a handful of my plays that you guys can grab
in one. Spot but that promo code still. AVAILABLE nhl
two hundred works for, you works for, me, guys two
hundred bucks off our FULL nhl season.
Speaker 3: Pack we're both ready to go on a huge.
Speaker 2: Run karen was dialed in yesterday with his props already
and we got a huge slate tomorrow as.
Speaker 4: Well, YEAH i just didn't think there's anything strong enough
to release to my clients, yesterday which is WHY i
mentioned to you guys the prop plays that.
Speaker 3: THAT i.
Speaker 4: Liked and the first play of the season is, tonight
so you can pick that up over at wager.
Speaker 3: Talk.
Speaker 4: Andrew the first week to ten days of the. SEASON
i will have, plays of, course But i'm gonna let
You this is like if you, ever, guys have you
ever watched what's that show ON? Tv that tuna, Show
Big tuna or whatever that gets. Called i'm gonna let
you the, Press Brian. Leonard i'm gonna let you guys swim.
Out sometimes you got to give the tuna a little some.
String i'm gonna let you guys swim, out and Then
i'm gonna reel you guys in and then stab you
guys in the neck and with the thing, there put
you on board and sell you guys for eighteen dollars a.
Pound so that's WHAT i am planning on doing THIS
nhl season on my rise to the. Top i'm looking
forward to.
Speaker 3: It all, Right let's look at some questions, Here.
Speaker 2: Karen then you reeal us in come end Of, october
we'll see what happens with. That i'm looking to get
off to a hot. Start no hesitating on my end this.
Year shout out To timothy And timothy also, says how
y'all doing new to puck? Time, timothy thanks for being.
Here carl AND i are here every day eleven Am.
Eastern both of us are best bets at wager talk every, Day,
Caren i'll let you go first with this. One i've
got a question for. Y'all how often do you factor
betting splits into your? Wagers does lopsided action push you
away from making a wager on said?
Speaker 4: Team, well first of, all lopsided action won't push me
off of a. TEAM i know that people tend to say,
that you, know if everyone is on one side or
the squares are on one, side they get it. Right
we see it in THE nfl where books have taken
other than last, week where books have taken a hit
first couple of weeks with first few weeks with teams
are supposed to. Winning AND i think the same goes
for THE. NHL i think the cream eventually rises to the.
TOP i think THE nhl is harder to bet at
the end of the season just because of the sort
of the gulf between the better teams and the ones
at the, bottom and you don't know if they're tanking or,
not and the prices are. Overblown you now have games
that normally mid season would be much like This vegas.
Game let's say minus two plus one sixty, two and
you'll see one of the bottom feeders that are playing
a team that is minus three forty and it's like
minus three. Forty this is ridiculous unless they're playing with no.
Goalie as far as, SPLITS i think splits are. IMPORTANT
i think you have to look at home and. AWAY
a trend sort of establishes throughout the. Year you can
see teams that go on road trips and aren't very
good on the. Road but if you can identify teams
that are very good on the road and they get
off to a good, start especially on a long road,
TRIP i think you need to ride them because a
lot of the times they're going to be plus. Money
brings to mind two years back to The Seattle kraken
go on the road and win all eight games on
the road on The East coast pretty much plus money
every single. GAME i think they were plus money every single.
Game so with that, said, SPLITS i think splits are.
IMPORTANT i use it For european football as well. Too the.
Splits there are just some teams that are very good
at home and just can't, win to say their lives
on the. Road SO i think you need TO i
think you need to to keep that in sort of
like your handicapping.
Speaker 2: Portfolio, yeah for, Me i'll just say that that's one
of the reasons WHY i started doing my night show
was to follow the, money follow the opening, lines using odds,
logic look at the, numbers and then when we wake
up and we're on puck time and locally at the,
afternoon we can see where the money is. Going when you're,
asking does lopsided action push you away from making a
wager on that? Team, WELL i think sometimes it can
be positive money coming in on a certain, team and sometimes,
hey you don't want to get the wrong, price you
missed a good, number or you know this team is
a bit, overinflated like. Yesterday carl AND i said, it
and both of us don't even like The penguins going
into this.
Speaker 3: Season we both said.
Speaker 2: It and this is something That Andy lang always says
On Wager talk. Today it's easier for bad teams to
be bad than good teams to be. Good but guess,
what a bad team is only bad once they start
actually being. Bad, Yeah pittsburgh doesn't know they're a bad team.
Yet nobody's told them. Yet they haven't played like it.
Yet it's game one of the, seasons so the fact
that they were you, know plus one, sixty what was it?
SEVENTY i Mean New york were like minus two twenty
five two.
Speaker 3: Fit they were huge.
Speaker 2: Favorites so, yeah you, Know, timothy the biggest one That
i'll say to you guys is, This AND i got
this from a guy who shows it all the, Time Jeff.
Dawson he loves the overnight, flips like if you see
an opening line the night, Before like even yesterday the
game was pick him For la And colorado overnight wake
up in the, Morning colorado was minus one. TWENTY i
had a lot of. Books you, know you can kind
of respect the book's action that. Way so it depends
on what you look. At but carme and you are
so deep into THE, nhl we don't really care about
what the odds are, doing what the money's.
Speaker 3: Doing we trust our own.
Speaker 2: Research Lee roy says unders went three and oh, yesterday early, season, jitters.
Speaker 3: Etc stand to. Reason same applies.
Speaker 2: Tonight not That i'm going to blind bet all, unders
but something to think. About i'm gonna, Say, CARL i
saw good goaltending. YESTERDAY i THOUGHT i saw good goaltending as.
Speaker 4: Well, YEAH i don't think what happened yesterday has any
effect on what is going to happen. TONIGHT i think
the matchups last, night The kings normally play a very
good defensive game at, home made some mistakes were made
to pay for it and losing that game four to.
One Archer silov's played phenomenal For pittsburgh and he's he
likely can stamp himself as the number one goaliere Because Tristan,
jarry who has that, CONTRACT i think he still has
four years at four and a half million dollars avv
or AV i can never get those ones correct on his.
Contract and this is a guy who had a losing
record last, season a goals against average above three and
a save percentage below. Nine the save percentage is probably
the most troubling. One so and then of course The
Florida chicago. Game you don't expect a lot of offense
from A chicago team when they're playing a very Good florida.
Team SO i could you can make a case for
why those games all stayed Under it's obviously it's easier
to be the armchair quarterback on A monday for The sunday.
Games but with that, said you, know we got some
rivalry games, here we'll see how it.
Speaker 3: Goes BUT i.
Speaker 4: Wouldn't think they all go. Under but Tonight i'm hoping
we see some very good games.
Speaker 2: Though, yeah and you, know like we saw a lot
of teams play that like you said that last, Year
i've been using NATURAL statureck And i'll look at twenty
twenty four all situations expected goals against or expected goals
four in different situations like that we had one here.
Speaker 3: There we go.
Speaker 2: Fortune that does seem like a huge line for a rivalry.
Game which goaltender would you rather have in That oilers?
Game so here's What i'm going to say is that
both teams actually roughly had the same expected goals against
on the. SEASON i think they were actually like next
to each OTHER karm WHEN i looked at natural stat
trick on the full. Season but here's the. Difference The
oilers were like number two or three as far as
expected goals four is. Concerned we always say, this if
The oilers get an average outing out Of Stuart skinner
and we're not trying to be offensive to, him then
they're in good.
Speaker 3: Shape my answer is going to be, THIS.
Speaker 2: KRM i think the flames were carried by goaltending last.
Year some people think they're going to be better this
year and have a. Chance when you see a team
Like i'll be the first one to say. It you,
know The Montreal canadians were like they were number four
or five as far as the fifth most expected goals
against last. Year people think That Sam montambeau isn't AN
nhl number one. Goalie whoever says that is crazy because
he bailed.
Speaker 3: Them out of a ton of games last. Year SO.
Speaker 2: I obviously Think calgary has better. Goaltending i'd, say even
though you Know Stewart skinner's had his good games in the.
Playoffs don't get me, wrong BUT i think that the
offense just overcomes that for The.
Speaker 3: Oilers what do you?
Speaker 4: Think, yeah, no, LISTEN i Like. SKINNER i think he gets.
Blamed he's had some bad, games but a lot of goalies.
DO i think he gets blamed more than he gets
the accolades when he has a very good. Game so
it's it's it's obviously tough for. Him uh HE'S i read.
THAT i think yesterday that he should be starting, tonight
so we'll. SEE i couldn't see how they wouldn't start
him tonight unless there was some sort of an injury
and such for. Him but you know when we mentioned
like books and, uh it's not to to put down
certain books or what have. You you, Know, DraftKings, DraftKings you,
know sort of shades their lines because they know the
makeup of sports. Betters uh that you, know they've they
want to take an. Over they put it at six
and a half instead of. Six and you see six
is across the board yesterday and you see a six
and a half at The. DraftKings it makes a little
tougher for you to bet and times and the juice
is always. Moving the juice on player props will, move
And i'll use a different. Sport, andrew you AND i
were talking AND i was on Wager talk last call
last last week AND i TALKED i think it was
With Ariol epstein about one and that was The Sam donald,
Said Sam donald rams, quarterback sorrys. Quarterback his rushing props
are always half a. Yard last, year twelve, games first
twelve games of the, season he had no rushing yards
or minus rushing. Yards wasn't until week. Thirteen this, year
four or five, GAMES i believe he has had zero
or fewer yards one game where he scrambled for fifteen.
Yards you AND i were, talking, WELL i was betting this.
One it went from like while we're on the, phone
minus one thirty, seven minus one, fifty minus one. Sixty
the big is moving too quickly at one. Point at
some point it's, Unbettable. Andrew and that's the same goals
FOR nhl player. Props at some point you get as
much as you like the, prop the big price this
is you out of it and you just have to
pass it, by regardless of whether it wins or. Loses
you have to just move. On just because it's there
does not mean you have to bet.
Speaker 2: It sometimes it just gets a little bit too, much
too rich for your. Blood, yesterday for, EXAMPLE i went
one and one with my player.
Speaker 3: Props which one was the ONE i?
Speaker 2: Lost the one that was minus one forty, six which
was the one THAT i, won the plus one, Hundred
SO i went one in, one BUT i lost, money you,
Know and of course the one you know that lost
was the one that was you, know heavily.
Speaker 3: Favored that's just the way she goes, sometimes all.
Speaker 2: Right carm's back in action tonight in THE NHL Wt
Dot bus SLASH cb. MYSELF i will have a package
up with just all of my, plays everything THAT i,
like you know, What i'm gonna throw everything. In so
at some point you guys are gonna get, sides, totals
maybe same game parlay, props all of it into one. Package,
guys don't miss that off the four percent winner yesterday
AND nhl two hundred is still that promo, code CARM
i gotta give you. Credit you had that set up
BEFORE i. DID i copied you on that ON. Nhl.
Good but we're going to go into wager talk, today,
Man so we got to get out of here before
before we start.
Speaker 3: Talking To Andy lang and we're on the wrong show right.
Now so.
Speaker 2: Anything you want to, Mention, carmen if you, want you
can close it, out. Man we got to.
Speaker 4: Go, yeah a lot of you guys took advantage of
the five dollars play as part Of Customer Appreciation day
that goes On sundays AND Nfl best pat just a
fantastic run right now WITH nfl four percent, plays which
normally all of my plays are seven and one of
the last two, weeks and if it wasn't for The
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Night it would be eight to know for. Me with,
those THE nhl two hundred is. Available you can get
every single play in THE, nhl including five percent plays
for the season and. Playoffs if you want a mix
of THE nhl AND, nfl send our customer service an,
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twitter or THE x whatever you call, it AND i
will get you a coupon code to get you both
of those for the football IN nhl the full seasons
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Speaker 2: Price all, right carm combo package AT NHL. Nfl hope
you crush. It hope you guys all got Car MINES
nfl play, Yesterday but he's back in action on the.
Ice thanks for, watching. Guys we'll see you, tomorrow same,
time same. Place hit the like button on the way.
Out it really does more for us than you guys can.
Imagine thanks for. Watching we'll see you.
Speaker 3: Tomorrow