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Speaker 1: Welcome to the prop line Thanksgiving and Black Friday Audition,

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the only show we're two thirds of the host celebrate

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Thanksgiving and probably even know what Black Friday is? Corbyn,

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can you imagine a Friday after.

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Speaker 2: We have Black Friday in the hen now?

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Speaker 1: Is it is? It is a nightmare?

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Speaker 3: Chaos is Like I it's always viral videos. Back in school,

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we used to load up like the news page for

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Black Friday during like it and used to just sit

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there and it's like woman like attacks full for like.

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Speaker 4: Okay, so.

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Speaker 1: You're in the holiday spirit. Okay, it's always watch I

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did it once just to say I've done it and

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I've had better ideas in my life. We'll just leave it.

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Speaker 2: What did you come away with? What did you manage

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to get?

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Speaker 1: Oh? I got I got a lot of gifts. But

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when I say a lot of gifts, it took me

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like like twelve hours to get like six of them.

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Like it was like, I'm glad I did it, but

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it was like going to the Ryder Cup bucket list.

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Glad I did it, couldn't pay me to do it again.

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So all right, well let's get into it. So guys,

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here's what we're gonna do. We're gonna break down the

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Thursday and the Friday game. We do not have enough

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props out officially for the Sunday game, so we'll have

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to do that in a separate video. So we're just

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gonna concentrate on these games. We do have best bets

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that are up. We'll tell you about those so that

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we can get cashing on Thanksgiving. I'm just telling you, guys,

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cashing on props on Thanksgiving just hits just a little

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bit different. There's something pretty cool when you hit a

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prop on Thanksgiving and you just you're like, you know what,

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I'm gonna go celebrate by getting another sandwich. All right,

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Jim knows the.

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Speaker 4: Stuff. And if you lose, you go get another save.

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That's the best part.

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Speaker 1: All right. We're gonna start with the Packers and the Lions.

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Corbyn coming to you first. Any props that you like

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in this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I have two, one more stronger than the other.

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I start with the weaker of the two, Jimmed Gibbs

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over seventeen and a half longest rushing. We've discussed his

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stats before, but it's really weird. It's like every other

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week he just has an amazing game and then comes

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flying back down to earth. I picked his longest because

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I feel like that's one he can get, even if

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they have to struggle that week I've mentioned I think

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the Packers rush defenses falling backwards basically, and they only

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gave up I think it was ninety three yards at

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the at the weekend. But the things I saw that

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they still the rush defense is slowly reverting back to

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how it was, so I quite liked Jimmy Gibbs at

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home with the speedy has to get a long run.

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Speaker 2: Sorry here my only other Corbyn.

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Speaker 1: I don't mean interrupt, but just to her on your point.

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Look at his just rushing yards the last six weeks. Yeah, like,

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explain this sixty five one, thirty six, twenty five, thirty nine,

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two nineteen.

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Speaker 2: It's it's pappling.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense. So good luck figuring this

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one out, all right, what's your next problem?

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Speaker 2: Exactly? The other one is field goals.

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Speaker 3: Actually I love the over field goals in this game,

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but particularly the Packers side of the ball.

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Speaker 2: Six of a.

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Speaker 3: McManus has gone over one and a half field goals.

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Who the Packers have had a couple of kickers this

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year and they've all basically been going over this total.

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We've had some red zone issues. I think Jacobs will

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be back. I think for this game he was dealing

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with an injury. Love, we mentioned it. He's been a

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bit flustered. I'm not the biggest Love supporter. I think

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we're gonna have some red zone issues and kick a

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couple of field goals.

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Speaker 5: So that's where I'm looking Jim Well, I'll go David

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Montgomery anytime touchdown. Gibbs coming off the absolute monster game.

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They're not silly over there. They know that they have

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to alternate. And maybe that's the explanation on the Gibbs

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workload is you know you have a big week.

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Speaker 4: Okay, we're gonna run the other guy the next following week.

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Speaker 5: I mean you can go back and even look and

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see if it's good defense, it is bad defense. It

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doesn't make sense that way either. So I would be

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looking at Montgomery to score. He's gone three games without it.

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He's due David Montgomery anytime touchdown with the Lions at

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home just sounds right on Thanksgiving, and so does aman Ross.

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Saint Brown at home on Thanksgiving. If we look at

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Saint Brown splits home and away. He is much better

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as far as scoring at home than he is away.

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We got him back on the board this week. He

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had the week off, so we'll get back to him. Corbin,

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curious about your opinion. Somebody's got to catch the ball.

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This Lion's defense got eaten up by Jamis Winston. How

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high could we go on Watson if he's the deep

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threat weapon. Can Jordan Love complete a deep pass against

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the Lion's defense that gave up three?

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Speaker 3: There's just so many options, Like like Dobbs, I think

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Wix came back last week. I think Jaden Reid might.

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I've seen Read practicing. I don't know if that if

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he's going to be back. That's like it is Watson

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out of all of them, that I would trust the most,

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But we're talking about four or five, maybe six different

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guys here, Like as soon as it gets into that territory,

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it's just I can't trust anyone with any kind of confidence.

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But if I had to pick one, it it's probably

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Watson's longest receiving again, so.

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Speaker 1: I will go with I don't know what to do

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with it. It's just I don't know. If you love it,

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go for it. You can get it at minus four

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to threey it mightus forty thirty three is playable over

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one and a half. Passing touchdowns for Jared Goff, can

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I submit to you that since he's been with the Lions,

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he's thrown for two in every home game against Green Bay.

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This is just home games, four out of five this year.

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And you know you look at away games, you know,

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three for three, So home games Jared Goff to throw

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a touchdown or throw two touchdowns at Minas won forty

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three at DraftKings probably playable up to minus one fifty.

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Anything after that you might win a parlay it with something.

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I don't know. Sometimes we hum in hall about the

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lines on these props and then they end up just

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hitting game after game after games. So home against Packers,

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Jared Goff passing touchdowns. All right, we'll move on to

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the Chiefs. And how about them Cowboys?

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Speaker 2: Cowboys say it? Yehaw?

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Jim. You're not a believer

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of the Dallas defense. No, A few good quarters against

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Philly down that vaunted Raiders offense. What do you think

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here about this game?

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Speaker 5: I don't think the two guys could transform a defense. Look,

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they're coming off the big win. Philly does what Philly does.

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They just keep things close and it bites them when

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it can they can't. You know, it was a pretty

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nette passing day and Jalen Hurts still for two touchdowns

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against this Dallas defense. And the takeaway after the game

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was just how bad at quarterback Jalen Hurts is. Yet

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he throws.

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Speaker 4: For two touchdowns. So I think you just go back

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to it. Now the books have caught on.

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Speaker 5: Obviously we're sitting at a two and a half on

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Patrick Mahomes, but I think you have to do something

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with Mahomes.

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Speaker 4: Over one and a half.

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Speaker 5: I'm a little terrified that this becomes the Siev run

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defense of the Cowboys, and we can look at Kareem Hunt.

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But it's the spotlight and I'll take a page out

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of Korbyn's book here, greedy Patrick Mahomes on Thanksgiving once

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to be the star and he always is the star.

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It just I was dying and was about halftime in

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the Colts game. Watch him with someone.

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Speaker 4: They go, this is it.

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Speaker 5: This is the end of the Chiefs. Everyone keeps watching it,

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but I got a feeling we're gonna see this team.

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We're gonna see them hitting their stride when they need to.

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I expect them to pull this one off. I'd be

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looking at a turnover for Dak. I believe they're gonna

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be down, They're gonna be tossing. We did get that

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home already last week. So but they don't know where

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to go with the rest of the props. I know

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you guys have some opinions on some players, but I'll

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be looking at the passing game of Mahones to exploit

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the Cowboys defense in some way or for him.

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Speaker 1: All right, interesting, So you're pretty bullish on the Chiefs here, Corbyn.

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What do you think?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the Chiefs are gonna win quite easily.

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I'm gonna I have three props. They kind of roll

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into each other. So we're gonna startf with Mahomes over

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his longest pass of thirty seven and a half yards.

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I believe you just look, he's done it in five stride.

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They have so many weapons. Now, if it's not Kelsey's worth,

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if it's not worthy, it's rice. There's just too many

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deep threats speed, particularly obviously with the last two. The

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Cowboys past defense is the fourth worst. It's just awful,

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which is then going to lead into I also like

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Kelsey over his longest of twenty and a half four

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or five. The one he went under was last week

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where he had seventeen. Again, Cowboys are awful against the pass.

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It's clutch. They have to win this. You know that

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he's going to get the targets and receptions. Kelsey always

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seems to find a way which is then going to

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lead into my little parlay, which is Chief's money line

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and Kelsey forty plus receiving yards. Again, I think the

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Chiefs are better all over the pitch against it. I

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think they win this game actually quite comfortably. It's also

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a must win at this point. Every game's a miss

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must win for the Chiefs. And then Kelsey forty us receiving.

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I think he's done it in all bar one game

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this season. It's such a low tail for Kelsey. I

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really like that it's plus one hundred for that play,

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So you put those two pieces together and get plus

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one hundred.

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Speaker 2: That's my probably my favorite one.

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Speaker 1: All right. They have really upped the numbers on George

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Pickens seventy five and a half. I'm still not taking

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hunderds on this one. I saw they sat him out

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of practice, and then they he got listed to this questionable. Yeah,

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the only questions is how many yards is he going

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to go over? I think he goes over this one.

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He is the number one. He's not the one dropping

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balls out there, He's the one making one handed catches.

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So I think George Pickens, if it ain't broke, don't

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fix it. And then there was another passing prop. It

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may have been receptions. It was it Hollywood Brown. Yeah,

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one and a half again juicy here it went under

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against Indy. But I'll just go back to playing it consistently.

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I know that they've got all their guys back, but

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I think this game, I think this game could be

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up and down the field. I think that I think

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the Dallas defense is a little bit more bend, maybe

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don't break, But I think there's gonna be opportunities. I

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think the game is way closer than you guys think me.

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Cowboys plus three and a half wow at home? Yeah yeah,

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yeah yeah, Chiefs win a real close one and Dallas,

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I don't know, Dallas has a ball with you know,

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a chance to win, and there's a fumble or Dallas

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does something stupid and clocks it on fourth down, just

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something very dallasy, just like something very cowboys y on

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Thanksgiving that makes everybody laugh. And then that's what leads

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the headlines.

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Speaker 4: So what's the Can you pull up the field goal props? Please?

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Speaker 1: They are not up yet. They don't come on.

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Speaker 4: CORB. But I'm sure you have an opinion on that

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as well.

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Speaker 1: Oh wait, they do have them here.

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Speaker 4: Okay, I was.

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Speaker 3: Gonna say they always won, no now what the game

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is or anything, it's always one and a half.

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Speaker 5: I'm playing them both. I'm just I'm playing a boat.

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The Chiefs kickfield goals. They don't go for on fourth

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down all the time like some of these teams. And

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I think both these coaches understand that three points can

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sway a game of this bad. If you're thinking close game,

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we could get a lot of value in those two bets.

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Speaker 4: I used that V word. Everybody have a heart attack.

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Good if it's going to be a close game.

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Speaker 2: In the third, Yeah, Aubrey, Aubrey's won that.

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Speaker 3: At the start of the if anyone said Aubrey over

239
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one and a half field goals, you would be like sure,

240
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Like that's great, he's the best kicker. But the amount

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of juice you've had to pay these last four games.

242
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Speaker 4: Oh, it's been crazy.

243
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Speaker 3: At one point this was like minus two fifty for

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him to go over one and a half and he

245
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went under. And it's still juice. You can't lay the

246
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juice on Aubrey. The Bucker won is good. I think

247
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he had four last week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if I had to look anywhere, I'd go with the.

249
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Speaker 5: It just seems to be like a defense that could

250
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stall them.

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Speaker 1: All right, we move on to the Ravens and of

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the Bengals, but real quick, we mentioned that we have

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our plays up. If you want to get those plays

254
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for Thanksgiving and for Friday, that's fine, but running a

255
00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:09,759
great special. We do this every year seven days for

256
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sixty seven bucks. Don't buy a play, don't buy two plays.

257
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Buy seven days here you get all plays in all sports.

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00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:18,799
We're recording this on Wednesday, and we've got NBA and

259
00:13:18,919 --> 00:13:20,879
NHL props and we're gonna have those for the next

260
00:13:20,879 --> 00:13:22,759
seven days. So you're gonna get all of our NFL

261
00:13:23,039 --> 00:13:25,399
you're gonna get all of our NBA props, you're gonna

262
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get all of our NHL props. And this is probably

263
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the best special we do all day in terms of

264
00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:32,519
bang for your buck with all the sports that we

265
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have going on, So seven days, sixty seven dollars. Hit

266
00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,279
them up at wager talk dot com. Go to the

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00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:40,080
specials page or you can get there faster to our

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00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:44,000
page wt dot buzz slash al lock in these plays.

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Let's cash on Thanksgiving. All right, interesting game here, We've

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got Joe Burrow coming back and I can make the

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case that Joe Burrow is the healthiest quarterback in this game,

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which is just just absolutely wild. So Cormyn coming to you.

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Speaker 3: For Yeah, well we all know where Corbyn's going when

274
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there's an injury involved. A player coming back from injury

275
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is like money to my ears. I don't care who

276
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it is, I don't care where they are, what sport.

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I'm playing their overs and I'm doing the same with

278
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Joe Burrow.

279
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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 3: He went under his passing yards in the two games

281
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that he played this season. If you pull up the

282
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last I think it's last ten games, he ended the

283
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season with nine straight over this total, I'm pretty sure.

284
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Same with the completions, twenty four and a half completions,

285
00:14:33,279 --> 00:14:36,120
they kind of go hand in hand together. Not so

286
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,240
good to start the year, but you look previous head

287
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to heads. You look last year, it all kind of

288
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:46,120
tallies up really well. Again, this line is too low.

289
00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:49,519
You look at the quarterbacks that have played the Ravens

290
00:14:49,519 --> 00:14:52,240
and it's like Tyrod Taylor had two hundred and twenty two,

291
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:56,840
McCarthy two forty eight, Tour two sixty one, Caleb Williams

292
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two eighty five last two head to heads over Just

293
00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:02,159
I love this player. I love Joe Burrow to go

294
00:15:02,279 --> 00:15:04,679
over and if I think he's gonna make a lot

295
00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:08,000
of passing, there's one problem that I am very confused about.

296
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It's no a fan over one and a half receptions.

297
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I played his yards last week and I think he

298
00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,279
only had one reception for like ten eleven yards or something.

299
00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:22,960
So he's gone under twice this whole year, which was

300
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,879
against the Lions and obviously last week against the Patriots.

301
00:15:26,159 --> 00:15:28,679
But he had four in the opener with Burrow, so

302
00:15:29,039 --> 00:15:31,399
the whole borough coming back, Oh, he's not gonna have

303
00:15:31,399 --> 00:15:33,600
the same production. I just I don't agree with that

304
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,559
in the slightest. I don't understand why this isn't two

305
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,159
and a half. So yeah, I really liked that. Over

306
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,240
one and a half. All the receiving on this player

307
00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:44,799
as well. It's basically the same, Jim.

308
00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:46,840
Speaker 4: I love the one and a half receptions.

309
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:48,840
Speaker 5: I wish somebody you explained to me, well, all of

310
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:50,960
a sudden, Mike Kosecki was the focal point of the

311
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:52,240
entire offense last week.

312
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:56,200
Speaker 1: That's what That's what was so weird, ridiculous. Four catches

313
00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,480
thirty five yards from Koseki. Okay, nowhere.

314
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:05,159
Speaker 5: What has Giseki done the rest of the season. He

315
00:16:05,279 --> 00:16:08,519
hasn't nothing. I didn't even know he was on the team.

316
00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:12,399
Speaker 3: If we think he's not gonna have the same production,

317
00:16:13,039 --> 00:16:15,080
and if you could just pull that back up, so

318
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:18,799
he only just went over with four receptions, now we

319
00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:22,360
can take an under when he's flown underneath this every

320
00:16:22,399 --> 00:16:22,919
other game.

321
00:16:23,519 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 1: Like, I don't know what the deal was with it.

322
00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:28,879
I mean, he came back from an injury, but it

323
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,320
still doesn't make any sense. Why why you know it's

324
00:16:32,399 --> 00:16:38,840
it's Mike Kisicki's time to eat d not Micah Sicki's time.

325
00:16:40,639 --> 00:16:40,879
Speaker 4: Uh.

326
00:16:40,919 --> 00:16:43,440
Speaker 5: Well, bottom line for me is that this Joe Burrow

327
00:16:43,559 --> 00:16:49,600
or not, this Bengals defense is still absolutely atrocious. I

328
00:16:49,639 --> 00:16:52,679
know Keith Mitchell didn't get any run, but I have

329
00:16:52,759 --> 00:16:56,919
to figure that against this defense, a number like twenty

330
00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,759
at minus one eighteen, Boy is that low?

331
00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:02,159
Speaker 4: Boy? Is that low?

332
00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,440
Speaker 5: We're talking about a draw play on third and twenty

333
00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:10,400
that can get you twelve right there. You know, if

334
00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,920
Lamar's not gonna run, they're gonna have to be a

335
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,000
little creative, and I think they're gonna have to give

336
00:17:16,039 --> 00:17:20,440
Derek Henry a breather. The carries are the worry. If

337
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,160
we get a two carry performance, we're dead. If he

338
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,759
gets six carries, he flies over this number. Against the Bengals,

339
00:17:26,759 --> 00:17:29,920
we're looking at forty yards, so we don't know what

340
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,519
the games script can be. I don't know if I'm

341
00:17:32,519 --> 00:17:34,680
betting it beforehand, but I'll just say this number is

342
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:37,599
one of those that you can look back on after

343
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,599
the game and just say, Mike, I can't believe I

344
00:17:39,599 --> 00:17:42,680
got him at eighteen and a half yards rushing against

345
00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:46,519
the Bengals. The Bengals we're talking about here. As far

346
00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:48,920
as the passing game goes for Baltimore, I have no

347
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,480
clue what to make of it with Lamar. I want

348
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:54,480
to play the tight ends against Cincinnati, but we don't

349
00:17:54,519 --> 00:17:57,880
know which one it's gonna be. Mark Andrews dropping passes.

350
00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:02,079
Isaiah likely very very very small role in the offense

351
00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:05,119
last week, but somebody has to catch the ball here,

352
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,880
So who's gonna step up? I believe Andrews had what

353
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:13,240
one reception, so they very well could on Thanksgiving if

354
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,640
he gets three receptions he sets I believe the Bengals

355
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:20,400
the uh help me out here Ravens record.

356
00:18:20,839 --> 00:18:21,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Ravens.

357
00:18:21,599 --> 00:18:25,400
Speaker 5: So we're looking at three receptions here to get there.

358
00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,000
So of course they're gonna line it at three and

359
00:18:27,039 --> 00:18:29,200
a half. If you feel like he goes over and

360
00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:31,359
they're gonna want to do this on Thanksgiving, that's where

361
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:32,640
you go with the receptions over.

362
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,039
Speaker 1: I don't know what to make of Mark. I mean,

363
00:18:36,039 --> 00:18:37,359
look at these receiving totals.

364
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 2: It's just under. You can look at that, girlf and go,

365
00:18:39,759 --> 00:18:40,440
I'm gonna play it.

366
00:18:41,839 --> 00:18:45,279
Speaker 1: I agree, I agree completely. I will go back to

367
00:18:46,559 --> 00:18:48,559
one of my biggest regrets from last week, and that's

368
00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:51,680
not playing the Lamar Jackson under his rushing. He comes

369
00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,960
back against Miami and he only has fourteen he's not rushing,

370
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:58,359
goes over against Minnesota and hurts himself again, and now

371
00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,680
he's got another injury, like he's got like two leg

372
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,319
injuries and now a big toe injury, and this just screams,

373
00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:10,119
I'm not gonna rush. So twenty five and a half

374
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,359
just seems like a lot for a quarterback that absolutely

375
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,720
does not want to run. I'm just wondering if the

376
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:17,519
books are telling us a story with this Keaton Mitchell

377
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:22,599
and Derrick Henry thing. Derrick Henry only sixty four yards,

378
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,799
but they have ninety and a half. Some books have

379
00:19:25,839 --> 00:19:27,960
already popped up to ninety two and a half. Could

380
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,599
this be just the ton of Derrick Henry so I

381
00:19:31,599 --> 00:19:34,519
would look at his rush attempts as opposed to his yards.

382
00:19:35,319 --> 00:19:38,640
You know, they gotta have these wins like that they're

383
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,559
in you know they're well, they may not be because Pittsburgh

384
00:19:41,599 --> 00:19:44,920
is just free falling, and you know, Pittsburgh still My

385
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,720
favorite part about Pittsburgh is how they keep bringing back

386
00:19:47,759 --> 00:19:49,920
Mason Rudolph and thinking he's the answer, and then it

387
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,559
turns out he's never the answer. And then I just

388
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:56,720
think this is a week where you could really run

389
00:19:56,839 --> 00:20:00,240
Derrick Henry hard because he's got an XT's got extra

390
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:03,240
rest going into next week. So if you're gonna use

391
00:20:03,279 --> 00:20:05,759
your your hammer, this would be the week to do it.

392
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:07,400
I know he had twenty one carries last week, but

393
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,279
he didn't have a bunch of yards. I think this

394
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,359
is a rushing game for Derek Henry. The fact, the

395
00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:14,920
fact that the books are putting out ninety it just

396
00:20:15,519 --> 00:20:23,160
touchdown price minus two hundred. I know, I know it's

397
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,039
it's scary because he's got to get it for like

398
00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:25,920
five yards out.

399
00:20:26,759 --> 00:20:27,119
Speaker 2: He doesn't.

400
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,839
Speaker 3: He just you know he's gonna get one. You know

401
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,279
he's going to score a touchdown. And that's why probably

402
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,279
that's why you said it earlier. We sit here and

403
00:20:34,319 --> 00:20:36,559
we say minus two hundred, then it's like yucky, but

404
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:40,400
it is probably just gonna hit at which.

405
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 2: Point just doesn't mean anything when you win.

406
00:20:42,599 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 1: Well, it's yucky when it's first and one and they

407
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,079
handed to him and then it's you know, first and

408
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,640
goal from the four because he got tackled for a

409
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,880
loss of three. So I don't know. All right, we

410
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:56,640
move on to the Black Friday game. If you guys

411
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,799
could please hit like button, leave his comment, tell us

412
00:20:58,799 --> 00:21:01,200
what your favorite prop. Tell us if you agree disagree

413
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,240
with any props that you've heard on the show. We'll

414
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,759
get the Bears traveling to Philly. Philly crowd always in

415
00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:14,680
a festive mood. Corbyn, Corbyn coming to you. What are

416
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:16,799
you making this Bears Eagles game?

417
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,839
Speaker 3: Well, I still know one thing that the Bears still

418
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:24,440
suck and nothing ever changes. Wow, yeah, yeah, I hate

419
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,039
the Chicago's They're awful.

420
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 2: We're going to.

421
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:30,960
Speaker 3: Start with Jalen Hurts not to throw an interception. I

422
00:21:31,039 --> 00:21:34,440
mentioned last week how we got to keep playing it

423
00:21:34,599 --> 00:21:37,920
and it hit again. And that's where the juice doesn't matter,

424
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:42,920
because if it just keeps hitting. I always like parlaying

425
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,839
anything over kind of my minus one sixty. I always

426
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,400
find a piece to put it with. I don't like

427
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:51,039
actually laying the juice. So you look, he's had one

428
00:21:51,079 --> 00:21:53,839
all year. The Bears are not a great team. But

429
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,640
then you look and the Bears have had sixteen interceptions.

430
00:21:56,640 --> 00:22:01,039
They actually lead lead the league in interception. Not sure

431
00:22:01,079 --> 00:22:04,759
if that means much in this game, because it all

432
00:22:04,839 --> 00:22:06,839
kind of comes down to how much Hurts froze the

433
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,480
ball again. He just doesn't throw the ball a time,

434
00:22:09,559 --> 00:22:12,359
which means that he doesn't get that many interceptions. It's

435
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,759
kind of how you think they're going to attack all

436
00:22:14,759 --> 00:22:18,319
the score line against the Bears. Will then go for

437
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,920
my second favorite prop, which is Adunza over twenty and

438
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:27,039
a half longest reception, Eagles in middle of the pack

439
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,799
versus the run and the pass, and doesn't really lean

440
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:34,079
either way for me in that regards eight of his

441
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,119
last ten, he's gone over. And you just look at

442
00:22:37,319 --> 00:22:40,880
who the Eagles have played and what their wide receivers

443
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,640
did at I'm not going to read all these names,

444
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:46,119
because there's a hell of a lot Pickins, Turpin, Lamb

445
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:50,559
all way Over last week on all for Dallas, a

446
00:22:50,599 --> 00:22:54,400
week before, Saint Brown and Williams both had huge games,

447
00:22:54,799 --> 00:22:59,319
Watson for the Packers, Robinson the week before, Justin Jefferson,

448
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:03,359
Addison all Way over. These totals of just twenty and

449
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,880
a half Agenza is they're only real kind of deep

450
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,400
threat on this team. I think he could. I think

451
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,640
twenty and a half is way too low. I think

452
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,160
he could have twenty five even thirty longest reception.

453
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 2: So yeah, I really like that play.

454
00:23:17,599 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 1: All right, Corbyn, Let's do a completely uncorrelated parlay a

455
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:29,960
Duneesa over his longest, Caleb under his longest. We got

456
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:33,839
basically a fifteen middle window here.

457
00:23:34,279 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 3: You have to work out what that price is on

458
00:23:36,319 --> 00:23:39,559
that last year Okay, all right, so I'll go through.

459
00:23:39,599 --> 00:23:42,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, he's gone under three straight games. Now he's

460
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:48,359
going into Philly. It's a long, long pass, all right.

461
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:54,759
I will go to the rushing yards. And it's not

462
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,240
happening for Saquon Barkley. It's just not The thing is

463
00:23:58,319 --> 00:24:00,400
under seventy six and a half is Are the Bears

464
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:05,079
good at stopping the run? Absolutely not. Dallas wasn't supposed

465
00:24:05,079 --> 00:24:08,319
to be that good. They got him for twenty two.

466
00:24:08,799 --> 00:24:14,799
He looks slow. There's just no explosion the offense. It's

467
00:24:14,839 --> 00:24:17,599
like they try to be geared around him and it's

468
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,799
just not happening. So I will take Saquan under seventy

469
00:24:20,839 --> 00:24:26,200
six and a half. I will also go to DeAndre

470
00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:30,240
Swift over his passing. He's gone under or under. He's

471
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,039
gone over in seven out of the last eight games.

472
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:34,720
You can do this number at twelve and a half

473
00:24:34,799 --> 00:24:36,559
with one catch, just like he did last week. And

474
00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:40,720
it's just a weird scenario with Swift fumbles on the

475
00:24:40,759 --> 00:24:44,480
ball and then Manonguy gets most of the carries. They're

476
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,359
not benching DeAndre Swift. They need him. They use both

477
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,640
of these running backs, so they're not just casting one

478
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,400
out you gotta keep his confidence. But what if Manonguy

479
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,119
gets some more carries and DeAndre Swift moves into the

480
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,319
third down role. This is an Eagles team that gives

481
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,319
up but third most receiving yard to running backs. So

482
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:05,279
Jandre Swift I think could be a sneaky play out

483
00:25:05,279 --> 00:25:13,680
of the backfield. And then I just there's something about

484
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,720
there's something about Caleb Williams in this over one and

485
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:21,000
a half touchdowns. It's not like he does it a lot,

486
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,279
but you can play this at two to one if

487
00:25:25,279 --> 00:25:27,680
they're playing from behind and they can't get this running

488
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,720
game going with Swift and manong Guy. I know Philly's

489
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:34,400
got a really good pass defense, but two to one just,

490
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,720
I don't know, it feels like a really really good

491
00:25:36,759 --> 00:25:40,400
price on Caleb Williams. I know he's only done it

492
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,640
four times, but there's I don't know, it's a gut

493
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,559
that's more of a gut feeling than anything. I was

494
00:25:45,559 --> 00:25:47,599
just look at that going that plus money price sounds

495
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,720
pretty juicy. Did you find that is that parlay?

496
00:25:51,319 --> 00:25:53,279
Speaker 2: It wouldn't let you parlay it together.

497
00:25:53,319 --> 00:25:57,519
Speaker 1: Because they know, you know why, because they know right

498
00:25:57,519 --> 00:25:59,519
in the middle. Thank you, Jim, Do you like anything

499
00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:00,160
in this game.

500
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 5: I'm gonna stick with Saquon Barkley. With you, I'm gonna

501
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,000
play it a different way, though, I'm gonna go Barkley

502
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:08,440
over twenty and a half receiving yards. Everything that you

503
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:12,759
said rings true, and it looks like it's just not working. However,

504
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,279
they have to get him the ball in this offense,

505
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:17,880
and I would say a much more efficient way of

506
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,519
doing it, which they did last week, was get him

507
00:26:20,559 --> 00:26:25,119
involved in the passing game. Also, the Steelers went over

508
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:29,000
this number against the Bears. The Giants sored over this

509
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,880
number with Singletary against the Bears. So this twenty and

510
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,920
a half is a very low number a couple plays.

511
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,000
If we're looking at three receptions to Barkley, I could

512
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,200
see it getting there. It just I'm not gonna buy

513
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:44,240
into Jalen Hurts being this comfortable quarterback because he threw

514
00:26:44,279 --> 00:26:46,079
two touchdowns last week.

515
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 4: It's just a clunky, clunky offense.

516
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 5: And you see if it's not there, like Corbyn said,

517
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,480
he's not gonna throw it up for an interception, He's

518
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:56,279
gonna look for the check down. He's gonna look for

519
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:59,799
the dump off, and that's Barkley. So I only need

520
00:26:59,799 --> 00:27:02,759
one in this game to make money. It's twenty and

521
00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:06,279
a half for Barkley. That's it, biggest thing. Public service announcement.

522
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,960
Do not have nine million different bets on these games

523
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,920
while you've been drinking and eating all day. Take your

524
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,519
profits and get out of the holiday. Take your money

525
00:27:15,519 --> 00:27:16,720
and run one play.

526
00:27:16,799 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 4: We're out.

527
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 1: I'm not kidding Corbyn when I say this is the

528
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:25,720
hardest besides the Super Bowl. Maybe this is the hardest

529
00:27:25,759 --> 00:27:29,440
day to prevent yourself from live betting. There are only

530
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:33,440
three games, and yet when you're at Thanksgiving pulling out

531
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,720
your you can just heavy of the day and be like,

532
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:40,079
how did I have thirty bets today? And it's just

533
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:45,640
like mashed potatoes taste good? I'll fire one on Jamar Chase. Okay,

534
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:51,039
like uncle's telling a boring story. Let's going ooh burrow pass.

535
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,880
I'm I'm serious, man, Be careful, guy. That is that

536
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,079
is Jim's best Publicsnotsman, Be careful. It is way too

537
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,599
easy to pull out your phone and start firing off bets,

538
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:03,200
and at the end of the day you're like, three games,

539
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:04,640
how did I have thirty bets?

540
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:08,680
Speaker 4: My favorite? Out of wine? We're out of wine? But

541
00:28:08,759 --> 00:28:11,680
we have whiskey, so the bets really get going once

542
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:14,079
you just go from wine to whiskey. That always works great.

543
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I put my bets in and that's it. There's

544
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:24,359
just on your account. Yeah, it's it's it really is

545
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:26,839
the truth. So however, if you want to join us

546
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:32,279
on bets that we made sober before that are properly

547
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:35,839
researched and not going off of your gut feeling at

548
00:28:35,839 --> 00:28:39,079
three o'clock in the afternoon, join us, but really get

549
00:28:39,119 --> 00:28:41,559
the seven day special sixty seven bucks locking in now,

550
00:28:41,799 --> 00:28:44,359
start getting those plays asap for us. We have a

551
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,240
Formula One race with a sprint race involved, so that's

552
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:51,000
always good, and our NFL props. We also have NBA, NHL,

553
00:28:51,119 --> 00:28:53,400
all the good stuff that we normally have. So thanks

554
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:57,799
very much, watching, safe travels, happy holidays, Happy Thanksgiving, enjoy yourself,

555
00:28:57,799 --> 00:29:00,440
be responsible with your bankroll, and we'll have a video

556
00:29:00,519 --> 00:29:03,359
out on Friday. Get you ready for the Sunday games.

557
00:29:03,359 --> 00:29:04,880
Good luck under your bets and we'll see you later.

558
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,559
Speaker 4: Take care, good luck, Happy Thanksgiving,