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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It is total basis. We're

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here to kick off a new week. It is Monday.

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I'm here with Brian Leonard, Tokyo Brandon, and our goal

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is to do what we're here to do, five days

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a week, every day, nine am Eastern, bring you solid

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MLB analysis and free MLB picks, the only show right

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now that's exclusively doing MLB free picks on the wager

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Talk YouTube channel. So appreciate you guys tuning in with us,

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and guess we'll get right into it. I didn't even

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have a I didn't have a feature game in mind,

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per se, but I think I know what it is.

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Brian Leonard, we got to talk Cubs Brewers. This is

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a huge series in the NL Central. Shocking in my

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opinion that the Brewers have closed the gap as quickly

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as they have, because if you go back a month,

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what are the Cubs have a six game lead in

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this division? Now it looks like this race might be

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it might be like one of the storylines of the

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second half. So Cubs Brewers, we got I believe it's

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Matt Boyd for the Cubs. Are you getting involved with

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this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Boyd against Miseroski and Boyd is actually a slight favorite

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right now minus minus one twelve thirteen or something for Boyd,

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a lefty going against Miserowski at home, a total of

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at eight. The problem with Meserowski is they're trying to

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limit his innings for the playoffs, so as you have seen,

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they will pull him early after like sixty pitches. Not

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good for his fantasy value if you're at him on

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your fantasy team because he doesn't get the wins. But

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he still has been very impressive. We'll see how this goes.

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Matthew Boyd comes in with a two point two OERA

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three point two two expected, so he's pitching over his head,

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but he's been terrific. Last year had that two point

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seven two, but he only had eight games. This year's

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up to twenty already, so he's gone from seventy one

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innings in twenty twenty three, only thirty nine last year

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with an injury, and now he's up to one hundred

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and eighteen. So I just talked about Meserawski limiting their innings.

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I'm a little bit worried about Matthew Boyd getting his

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innings limited. At this point, he's already over what he

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has been for a long time. In fact, you go

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back in his career right now, I was the seventeen

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eighty two pitches thrown. You got to go all the

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way back to twenty nineteen where he threw thirty one hundred.

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So it's been a while since he's been up in

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this numbers. So I could see even though he's got

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two great pictures on the mound here, I could see

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this possibly going over. His weap is one point o one.

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He's got a lot of really nice numbers walk grate

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obviously being number one at ninety three, but he's ground

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bow percentage is only in the thirty second percentile, fifth percentage,

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thirty third. A lot of his numbers are showing that

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he's been pretty lucky so far. But still he's been great,

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and we'll see what happens. Misowski two point four five,

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ERA zero point nine two, whip two point four to

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seven expected ninety ninth percentile and extension, and he's six

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foot seven, so that makes it very hard uh to see.

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Plus his fastball velocities in the ninety ninth percentile. His

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average for saymer is ninety nine point three, which is

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about four and a half miles an hour faster than

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the average right hander. Two very pressive pitchers, but I

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am worried about their limited innings, so I think we'll

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see the bullpens for probably three to four innings at

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least for the Cubs. Cubs probably three innings, Milwaukee may

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get four, maybe get five out of this. So if

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you do like these pitchers and you want to bet

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the under, I would bet the first half under as

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opposed to the game, so it seems to be price

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right for me. I don't know if I'll get involved,

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but I'd definitely be watching it. I love these two pictures.

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It should be a fun game to watch.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with Brian. Miserrowski's been great so far

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in his six starts of his MLB career. One bad

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game only against the Mets. He gave up five, and

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every other start he's given up two or lesser and

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runs excellent stuff if you look at the expected numbers

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and current form. Actually I got Matthew Boyd ranked higher

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than Miserowski, but like Brian said, he's not exactly a

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spring chicken. He's thirty four years old, so usually these

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guys who are over thirty ten to either limit innings

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or regress in the second half most of them. Let's see,

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Boyd has great stats against these Brewers though in his

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career thirty three at vats against one eighty two average

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against in a four eighty five ops, which is shiny

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shiny like seven fIF actually average. So I would agree

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on the first five under here if you can get

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a four and a half or altered up to a

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four and a half four and a half, I certainly

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don't think that this game is going to be on

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a one inning pace or one run per inning pace

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in the first five. It could get there in it

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at the end. As far as my rankings are concerned,

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I have the Brewers ranked slightly higher and hitting slightly

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higher in bullpen, and then I got Void slightly higher

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than Milwaukee, so I won't play aside.

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Speaker 1: So two follow ups to two things you said in

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regards to Bisarowski, which are I think are very important.

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One Tokyo Brandon pointed out his one bad start was

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the Mets start. That was when he kind of got

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jerked around with the rain, So I think he actually

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may have gotten rained out and maybe pushed off a day.

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I know that start came as part of that doubleheader

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against the Mets. I can't remember if it was like

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the second game, but long story short, he probably you know,

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that probably disrupted his you know, prep a little bit

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because there was rain, and I think he maybe got

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pushed today or so on and so forth. The second

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thing was Brian pointed out last week, you know, getting

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pulled early that by anything that I could find, look

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to be by design, Like that looked to be planned out.

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He had pitched one inning in two weeks, so he

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had made a start. He had thrown an inning seven

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days later during the All Star Game, and then that

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start came seven days later. So he was all smiles

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when he came out of that game. There was no

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like if you watch the game, I mean he was

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in the dugout joke and with like that was a

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pre planned Hey you could be you could throw sixty

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straight strikes. Sixty five pitches were done today, So I

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don't even look anything into that.

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Speaker 2: That was just like, hey, you haven't thrown much in

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two weeks.

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Speaker 1: We really because now you got to think the Brewers

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have had to like do this probably shift in thought

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process where it was like, let's get him up if

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you're a Milwaukee you got to be like, this is

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our game one starter in the playoffs right here, Like,

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we think we have a good enough team to get

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to the playoffs now, and this is the guy that

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we want starting the big games in the playoffs. And

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I think you're gonna see them start to manage like

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that a little bit now. So that's why he was

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out early last week. And you know what, though, I

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don't think that is a real reason to like, maybe

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not back him. The better reason in terms of not

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backing him, would be, I think he's gonna start getting

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the Paul Skeans treatment where there's just gonna be zero

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value in doing so. Now Here you could say, okay,

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there's a little value you get him at a pick,

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but in my opinion, you're getting him a year. The

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Brewers are still the lesser team that the Cubs are

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still going to win this division, I think, and the

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Cubs with Matt Boyd on the mound, is still a

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more complete team. I think the Cubs are gonna flex

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on some teams over the next four or five weeks

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where it's like they had their little lull surrounding the

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All Star break and you're gonna see the Cubs sort

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of like reinforce why they maybe are the best team

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in the National League this year. So no shade to

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the Brewers, but they are, in my opinion, up against

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a better team, and I lean Cubs because of that.

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Speaker 2: Go ahead Bright.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this was the game that I mentioned last week

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that the coach was on the national broadcast on uh

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ON in Baseball and he talked about it. He said, yeah,

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he said, he says we're going to pull him early.

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And when I looked, it was under five innings or whatever,

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it minus two fifty on on his stats. But yeah,

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it's what happened. But I got to say, Brandon, was

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it was it Friday show that you used the Brewers

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on and then all of a sudden they had a

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bad weekend. So I know, I sure hope you don't

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have a play honor against the Brewers today because that's

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the one team that's been giving you struggles. Mine has

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been really Houston Astros. And I should have been listening

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to a trig over the last three weeks about the

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Astros because they continue to burn my bankroll.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they very much look like the sugar Lands Space

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Cowboys this weekend, which that lineup was basically sugar Lands

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lineup at the beginning of the year.

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Speaker 2: So just to before we move on from this game.

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Speaker 1: Though, Sean is right, like he says he's not going

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past sixty pitches. I could see him going past sixty pitches.

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But the point is he they're they're the Brewers have

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to start limiting limiting his pitches. Markinson says, do we

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know why they're limiting his pitches? Yeah, because now the

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Brewers they know that they are, Like if you look

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at the National League and where they are, they should

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be a playoff team this year, and that that's your game.

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That is your that's your game one starter in the playoffs.

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Like that, he is your ace. So you now the

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Brewers as equally as is important to win games, you

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have to get to September or you have to get

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to October with Miserowski ready to rock as your ace.

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If you want to if you want to win anything

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other than like, if you want to do anything other

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than get to the playoffs, if you want to win

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in the playoffs, this has to be your ace and

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you've got to be able to send him out there

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as such.

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Speaker 3: Go ahead, last comment, Uh, he will not be their

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number one starter, unless it happens to come up that way.

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They've already talked about their other two veterans that they're

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healthy now, so he'll be number three. But that's he

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will be the best number three starter in baseball. Want

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to get to the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: That's a good point, Brian, I misspoke. I should not

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have said that. What I meant is he is the

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X factor from them being a wild card team to

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potentially ending up in the World Series. I should have

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I should have phrased that differently. Sorry, TV, were you

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gonna jump in there?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 1: No? Uh?

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Speaker 4: Number three starter, Yeah, Seattle's got a pretty good one

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in WU as well. But yeah, I mean that's a

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heck of a that's a heck of a rotation.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that I should have. I should have phrased that differently.

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Speaker 1: I mean, like, he's the X factor that could get

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them to like over the hump against the team like

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the Dodgers or the or the Cubs come playoff time

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if they team them out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, for a team that's supposed to be nose diving. Yeah,

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it's a great rotation.

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Speaker 1: Well, I just think it illustrates the point perfectly where

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it's like they were in a little bit of limbo

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and they bring him up. Like, listen, you can't expect

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We've seen talented guys come up. You can't expect this

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to happen. This is this is the dream. This is

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the miser Miseroski thing. Is why these teams call these

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guys up when they do. It's why the Reds call

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Chase Burns up. What we do right, Like, it's like

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the dream is to have it all click at the

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big league level and then to be able to sort

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of be like, oh now we've got this guy this year.

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Speaker 2: We didn't expect to have him.

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Speaker 1: It's like it's like going out and signing a big

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time free agent. So that's you know that, That's really

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what the reason for bringing that up was.

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Speaker 4: All right, Also have that Henderson guy too.

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Speaker 3: Can't find his plot for him right now, I can

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back up there.

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Speaker 4: But Dodgers, the dogs would kill for that hill.

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Speaker 1: They are they He pitched good again this weekend at

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Triple A, like he's he's down there and and he's

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giving them reasons to bring them up. But like Brian said,

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they're they're just it's a it's an embarrassment of riches

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to an extent. It's not a bad problem to have.

241
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Let's put it that way. Let's go to this game.

242
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This is an interesting one. Brian kind of alluded to

243
00:12:12,639 --> 00:12:16,480
it a second ago. The A's took it out on

244
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the Astros this weekend, Nick Nick Kurtz one of the

245
00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:24,240
best performances in recent memory for Homers. Think he went

246
00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:27,919
six for six in that game. Brian Leonard, this is

247
00:12:27,919 --> 00:12:30,039
a This is a big series for the Mariners. They

248
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made the move for Naylor last week, they turned around

249
00:12:32,399 --> 00:12:34,639
and I think dropped two of three to the Angels.

250
00:12:34,879 --> 00:12:37,120
The A's come in red hot, and we've talked about

251
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the A's a bunch of young kids. When they get going,

252
00:12:40,039 --> 00:12:42,559
they get going, uh and and they you know, when

253
00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:44,440
they're playing good, they're playing good. When they're playing poorly,

254
00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:47,240
they're playing poorly. How much of last weekend do you

255
00:12:47,279 --> 00:12:50,480
think was the Astros finally coming back to Earth and

256
00:12:50,519 --> 00:12:53,159
playing to their level or as the A's a team

257
00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,720
you want to keep riding here? Interesting series of A's Mariners.

258
00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:57,320
How do you see in this one?

259
00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think a little of both, especially the Houston

260
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,919
coming down to earth a little bit. I am surprised

261
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:08,000
a little bit about this line. Seattle is a legitimate

262
00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:11,200
playoff team. The A has got a pretty nice future,

263
00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:15,039
at least from their hitting standpoint. But Castillo on the

264
00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,799
road against seriars here series a lefty, Castillo's down to

265
00:13:18,879 --> 00:13:21,519
like a you know, a one thirteen, one fourteen favorite

266
00:13:21,519 --> 00:13:26,159
here and the total is ten. I've not been a

267
00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,559
still fan if you watch this at all, but still

268
00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:30,679
that number is a little bit cheap if you ask me,

269
00:13:30,759 --> 00:13:35,519
if you're look at place Seattle series has been pretty good,

270
00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:39,320
but he's he's a journeyman. He's a fourth or fifth

271
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,960
starter for most teams. So I'm a little bit surprised

272
00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:43,919
about the Lion. So maybe there's a little bit of

273
00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:48,480
value here on Seattle. But Castillo three point three, Oh,

274
00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:52,200
you're a four point twenty six expected one point two

275
00:13:52,279 --> 00:13:55,480
for a whip. You know, the last two years combined,

276
00:13:55,519 --> 00:13:58,399
despite playing for what I consider a pretty good team

277
00:13:58,399 --> 00:14:01,759
in Seattle. I know, wins losses don't tell the whole story.

278
00:14:01,799 --> 00:14:05,600
But he's he's eighteen and eighteen. Even though he's been

279
00:14:05,639 --> 00:14:08,200
a really good pitcher three point six four ERA three

280
00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:12,000
point three zero, his numbers have not been good. There's

281
00:14:12,039 --> 00:14:15,480
really no red on his deckcast page. The best things

282
00:14:15,519 --> 00:14:18,440
he does is his walk grade sixty seven percent, fastball

283
00:14:18,519 --> 00:14:22,159
rate sixty fifth. So you know, he's a guy that

284
00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:23,840
I've been looking to fade, but I don't know if

285
00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,879
I could fade him at this number. Maybe do something

286
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:30,960
with the a's, you know, maybe team total over or

287
00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:34,240
something to that effect. But JP sears four point nine

288
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,600
to eighty RA three point ninety five expected, just the opposite.

289
00:14:37,639 --> 00:14:40,360
He's been better than what his number show, one point

290
00:14:40,399 --> 00:14:43,200
twenty five whip. His walk grade is really the only

291
00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:45,200
thing he's good at. He's in the eighty fifth percentile,

292
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:49,879
only walks five point eight his walk percentage. His struckout

293
00:14:49,879 --> 00:14:52,000
percentage is twenty point one, so he's got a fourteen

294
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:55,120
point three, slightly less than league average. So we got

295
00:14:55,120 --> 00:15:01,360
two pictures here that are okay, but I don't I

296
00:15:01,399 --> 00:15:04,159
don't think there are anything special. So the total of

297
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,039
ten makes sense, and they can even be a little

298
00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:08,960
bit short because this has been a pretty good hitting ballpark,

299
00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,799
although mostly it's been the visiting teams that have been

300
00:15:11,879 --> 00:15:18,759
hitting in Sacramento. Slight value on Seattle, slight value on

301
00:15:18,919 --> 00:15:23,200
the over likely not getting involved. At this point, I'll

302
00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:24,759
give it more of a look later on, and I

303
00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:27,759
will say, as opposed to the games we've had over

304
00:15:27,799 --> 00:15:30,519
the weekend, all these games are on the evening card,

305
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,879
and most of them have pretty good weather situations. There's

306
00:15:34,879 --> 00:15:37,080
only one or two that you have to worry about

307
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:42,080
some rain. The Minnesota game is pretty nice all day long,

308
00:15:42,639 --> 00:15:45,639
and then at night it really the weather is supposed

309
00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:49,360
to be really bad, so you know, and with that,

310
00:15:49,399 --> 00:15:51,799
if they didn't have the fans storry about, they could

311
00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:53,799
easily move this game to a day game and get

312
00:15:53,799 --> 00:15:56,519
the game in. But I think there's gonna be some

313
00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:01,600
some stoppages in the in the game tonight for the

314
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,240
Boston Minnesota game. But other than that, looks pretty clear

315
00:16:04,279 --> 00:16:04,639
out there.

316
00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:09,840
Speaker 4: I'm gonna kind of go against Brian on this one

317
00:16:09,879 --> 00:16:14,879
because I really like I really like the JP series

318
00:16:14,879 --> 00:16:17,720
in this one. I like how he's pitched. He's got

319
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,960
one hundred and nine at bats against the Seattle lineup.

320
00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:23,159
He's got a one to sixty five average against in

321
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:26,559
a for eighty two oh ps. That's amazing. I realize

322
00:16:26,559 --> 00:16:30,320
that he's kind of dropped off. Like two or three

323
00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:34,120
years ago, Sears was like just really dealing, but he's

324
00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,440
kind of fallen off a cliff a little bit. I

325
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,799
think he can recover, though I think he can. I

326
00:16:38,799 --> 00:16:41,960
think he can hold cl down quite a bit. I

327
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,519
like Castillo's numbers. I agree with Brian in the fact

328
00:16:44,519 --> 00:16:47,960
that Castillo's kind of on a downward trajectory in his career.

329
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:52,000
He's not the the lights out k master that he

330
00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:54,600
used to be, but he's a He's a very respectable

331
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:58,120
innings leader right now. I mean he quietly holds teams

332
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:00,559
to If you look at his last five starts, it's

333
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:04,680
three earned, zero earned, three earned, zero earned, one earned.

334
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:09,400
He's actually got quality starts in most of his starts

335
00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:12,400
this season, so I like how he's performing. So I

336
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:14,559
kind of like the under on this one. I realized

337
00:17:14,559 --> 00:17:20,720
the park is like a little A game a Nintendo

338
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:24,079
park here where the balls do tend to fly. But

339
00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,640
I think ten's a little high here, considering the pitchers

340
00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:29,279
have good numbers and looking at the bullpens. I have

341
00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:33,200
both of these bullpens ranked thirteen or better out of

342
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,200
thirty teams, So I think I'll look at an under

343
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:36,720
in this one.

344
00:17:39,559 --> 00:17:42,319
Speaker 1: Russell in the comments says, Adam glows when he talks

345
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:45,079
about the A's. Yeah, I don't have children, but I

346
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,359
have to feel like this is similar to like when

347
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,119
you see your kid go out and like play a

348
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:50,839
good game where they do something to make you proud.

349
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,759
I feel like it's like similar to that, because before

350
00:17:53,839 --> 00:17:58,319
the season I talk this team up. I think I

351
00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,319
gave out Jacob Wilson Rookie of the Year year on

352
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:03,559
a show somewhere, which has proved to be a good

353
00:18:03,599 --> 00:18:05,920
bet based on where that is in the market. Now,

354
00:18:06,799 --> 00:18:09,920
if you listen to my breakdowns even last year into

355
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,759
this year, I was I was already talking about all

356
00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:15,200
these kids Nick Kurtz and like that that are now

357
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,519
up and playing well. And I still think I'm gonna

358
00:18:18,559 --> 00:18:22,160
end up being right about the A's exceeding their market position,

359
00:18:22,319 --> 00:18:25,119
meaning getting their season win total over But on a

360
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,359
day to day basis, they've been value and if you've

361
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,359
been able so that. The tough part about the A's

362
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:33,119
is that they go on these they'll go on these

363
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,839
stretches where they are terrible for a couple of weeks

364
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:38,839
at a time, if you've been able to sort of

365
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,440
like meander with them and like try to catch them

366
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,519
when they're playing good ball and then leave them when

367
00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:45,599
they're on one of these ruts where they lose nine

368
00:18:45,599 --> 00:18:49,440
of ten. I bet you've done pretty well, you know,

369
00:18:49,559 --> 00:18:52,799
betting the A's this year, because it really has been

370
00:18:52,839 --> 00:18:55,880
feast or famine for this team. It's why I can't

371
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,839
bet the Mariners here, even like Evan Bambridge has like

372
00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,559
the Mariners in this game favorite spot on the card.

373
00:19:02,319 --> 00:19:04,839
If the A's weren't red hot right now, I would

374
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:08,079
agree with you, like Brian's brought it up a couple

375
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:11,119
times this year, very much agree that the Mariner's profile

376
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:12,480
is a better team on the road.

377
00:19:12,799 --> 00:19:14,599
Speaker 2: And what a good ballpark for the Mariners?

378
00:19:14,599 --> 00:19:17,839
Speaker 1: A team that really is is reliant on the home

379
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:19,839
run ball, and a lot of what they do is

380
00:19:20,079 --> 00:19:22,839
a lot of their run productions predicated on hitting home runs.

381
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:25,640
Couldn't ask for a better ballpark for that because the

382
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:29,119
ball will get out of this park relatively easily. But

383
00:19:29,759 --> 00:19:32,119
I am just not I'm not going against the A's

384
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,960
until they lose, because when you have young teams go

385
00:19:35,039 --> 00:19:37,200
back like what it was it four weeks ago, five

386
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,880
weeks ago, everyone's like, oh, Marlins, the loss is coming,

387
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,000
the loss is coming. What do they rattle off eight

388
00:19:43,079 --> 00:19:45,440
or nine in a row? The A's and the Marlins

389
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,000
are very similar teams. It's all young guys. We don't

390
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,960
truly know. We don't really know what the ceiling of

391
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,200
a Nick Kurtz is yet. I mean he could be

392
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,160
a league MVP, like he is literally that good. Where

393
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,160
we don't really know the ceiling. I mean they the

394
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,160
A's could be sitting on like a couple of guys

395
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:07,559
that are like legitimate All Star Lawrence Butler, Kurtz, Jacob Wilson.

396
00:20:07,839 --> 00:20:10,039
Speaker 2: So how do you really appropriately price this team?

397
00:20:10,319 --> 00:20:12,200
Speaker 1: But if the books are going to continue to just

398
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,240
give you plus money with them, I feel like you

399
00:20:14,279 --> 00:20:17,559
either have to take it or pass, or wait for

400
00:20:17,599 --> 00:20:21,319
them to start playing poorly where you're like, Okay, they're unraveling. Now,

401
00:20:21,319 --> 00:20:23,519
they're having bad at bats. Now I can go against them.

402
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,880
With that being said, i'd have to go with the over.

403
00:20:27,079 --> 00:20:29,000
I disagree on the total here TV. I have to

404
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,319
go with the over because the Mariners they fit better

405
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,799
in this park from a run production standpoint. And even

406
00:20:34,839 --> 00:20:37,160
though the A's don't hit left handed pitching particularly well,

407
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,000
they're hitting well right now and I think that they

408
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:40,640
get their part.

409
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 2: So I kind of like the over here, go ahead.

410
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:47,599
Speaker 3: Brian Well, Seattle, you mentioned there were similar Seattle's pitching

411
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:51,960
staff is tremendous. The A's pitching staff is terrible. And

412
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,160
when you see young teams like the White Sox have

413
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,680
put it together some pretty good ball games. Now you

414
00:20:57,759 --> 00:21:00,319
see more variance as the season goes on on. As

415
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,200
you pointed out, the younger of the team is the

416
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,160
the more ups and downs you're going to have. Unfortunately

417
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,000
in baseball this year, there's been a lot of ups

418
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,079
and a lot of winning streaks and losing streaks going

419
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,640
on for some of these teams, but very stricty this year,

420
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:15,839
and I can see not one there. You know, it's

421
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,000
a young team, as you pointed out, that is starting

422
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,000
to gain confidence. So yeah, I understand that, which, fy,

423
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:23,799
I'll probably sit this one out.

424
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of think I'm gonna sit it out too,

425
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,000
because there's a lot of great points being made here.

426
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:31,839
And that's another thing, Like we talked about a game

427
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,960
like Tokyo, Brandon brings up JP sears and his numbers

428
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,759
against the Mariners. Yeah, you can't ignore that because I'm sorry,

429
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:39,599
his numbers against the.

430
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, but you can't. You know, that's that's things that

431
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:44,640
you can't ignore.

432
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,559
Speaker 1: And he's like the kind of guy that will like

433
00:21:48,039 --> 00:21:49,880
when when he can come out and sort of has

434
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:51,799
all his stuff working, like he can give you six

435
00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:54,759
innings two runs and suddenly have his team in the game.

436
00:21:54,839 --> 00:21:57,240
So yeah, that's uh. But the a's profile better against

437
00:21:57,319 --> 00:22:00,240
right handed pitching. They they really could like because deal

438
00:22:00,319 --> 00:22:02,079
up tonight. I wouldn't be that surprised about that.

439
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:02,680
Speaker 2: So it's an.

440
00:22:02,559 --> 00:22:05,599
Speaker 1: Interesting game, tough, tough one. I don't know if I'll

441
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:07,759
be involved with this one, but it's certainly a lot

442
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:13,000
of good talking points there. And yeah, that's uh, let's move.

443
00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:17,680
Oh okay, five people have asked for it. I see

444
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,039
Sean is back today. Tigers got off the they broke

445
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:23,599
the streak. Even though Shawn on Twitter canceled the season

446
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,799
days ago. He said, we're on the football season. He's

447
00:22:27,839 --> 00:22:29,160
on to the Lions. The season's over.

448
00:22:29,279 --> 00:22:31,279
Speaker 4: Oh now, the Lions are going to win the Super Bowl.

449
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 1: And you know what, they actually very well might. This

450
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,440
might this might mean they could be the Super Bowl

451
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,839
favorite right now. I wouldn't argue with that one bit.

452
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,240
Brian Leonard, I don't think the season's over for the

453
00:22:43,279 --> 00:22:46,240
Tigers by any means. He got off the Schneid as

454
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,240
Berman used to say, yesterday finally won a game. They're

455
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,799
fifteen games over five hundred, and they still have an

456
00:22:51,799 --> 00:22:55,160
eight game lead in the division, which is Little Sisters

457
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,200
of the Poor, basically the rest of the the rest

458
00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:00,640
of that division. None of those teams, Guardians, Royals, Twins,

459
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,920
White Sox are winning that division. So your Detroit Tagos

460
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:06,960
will be in the playoffs. I don't think it will

461
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,559
be particularly close. Do you think this is where they

462
00:23:09,559 --> 00:23:12,559
sort of make their ascent back to double digit lead

463
00:23:12,599 --> 00:23:13,799
and putting this division away?

464
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, That's that's the problem with being a fan, is

465
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,519
you get disappointed if a team doesn't play as well

466
00:23:20,559 --> 00:23:24,000
as you expect them on an everyday basis, And now

467
00:23:24,039 --> 00:23:26,720
they have not been playing well. But no, this season

468
00:23:26,799 --> 00:23:29,559
is still in good shape for the Tigers. As long

469
00:23:29,599 --> 00:23:32,720
as they've got school ball and he's healthy. This is

470
00:23:32,759 --> 00:23:36,720
a team that's the best team in this division. Although

471
00:23:36,759 --> 00:23:38,640
I do like some of the moves that the Royals

472
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:43,000
have been making as of late, I don't think they're

473
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:49,039
going to lose this division. Erad Rodriguez going for Arizona.

474
00:23:49,079 --> 00:23:52,839
He's a lefty going against Melton for Detroit. Detroit's about

475
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,759
one twenty six seven favorite here total of nine to

476
00:23:56,839 --> 00:24:03,000
the under Eduardo Rodriguez on the season five point five

477
00:24:03,039 --> 00:24:05,759
all we are a four point three one expected one

478
00:24:05,799 --> 00:24:09,160
point sixty five whip. Last two years his whip has

479
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,519
really hurt him once point sixty five this year, one

480
00:24:11,519 --> 00:24:15,839
point five to zero the season before. What he does

481
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,960
good heart hit percentage eighty eighth percentile average ex velocity's

482
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,839
seventy first, but he's got a lot of negativity here.

483
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,039
Fastball velocity is not what it used to be. It's

484
00:24:26,039 --> 00:24:29,960
only ninety two point zero and he throws that fastball

485
00:24:30,039 --> 00:24:31,400
forty five percent of the time.

486
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:31,640
Speaker 1: Now.

487
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 3: He does have six pitches, but the slider seven percent,

488
00:24:35,799 --> 00:24:40,319
curve one percent cutter is eighteen cutter change in for seamer,

489
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,680
and I don't like to back guys who are less

490
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:52,079
than league average in the fort seemer four seamer miles

491
00:24:52,079 --> 00:24:54,799
more hour. But he is a lefty and that helps

492
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:58,720
him a little bit about that, but his numbers have

493
00:24:58,799 --> 00:25:01,279
not been great. He is it's been a disappointing sign

494
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:06,960
for Arizona. Troy Mountain, coming in just his second start

495
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:11,480
for Detroit, didn't work out very well. In the first

496
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:15,279
game ten point eight Ora seven point seven to two,

497
00:25:15,279 --> 00:25:17,880
expect at one point eight oh whip. I think things

498
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:19,920
would be better better for him as he goes on,

499
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:24,319
but that first start in the major leagues is always

500
00:25:24,559 --> 00:25:27,119
a concern, especially if you're a righty. He does have

501
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,119
that nice fastball ninety seven miles an hour, and he

502
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,599
does throw six pitches. I mean it goes to fastball

503
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:35,920
only twenty nine percent of the time. That's something I like.

504
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:40,000
So from a pitching standpoint, I prefer the Tigers a

505
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:44,319
little bit here over Arizona. Arizona. We talked about this

506
00:25:45,079 --> 00:25:47,880
last Friday, that this is a team either selling or

507
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,799
looking to sell, and they've already gotten rid of Naylor

508
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,559
and a lot of other guys are on the chopping

509
00:25:53,599 --> 00:25:57,519
block for Arizona. I prefer the Detroit side here, but

510
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:01,119
I don't know enough about Melton to know how long

511
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:04,200
he's going to go. They've got a pretty good bullpen

512
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:08,400
in Detroit, so I'm leaning Detroit here, and I want

513
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,279
to fade Rodriguez. I don't know if they'll get their

514
00:26:11,279 --> 00:26:12,720
at this line. It' a little bit higher than what

515
00:26:12,839 --> 00:26:15,319
I liked, but I'm still leaning a little bit with Detroit.

516
00:26:17,279 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 4: So I don't know much about the Meltain guy, and

517
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:24,640
I agree with Brian that Detroit's bullpen is performing quite well.

518
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:27,640
Their lineup is ranked thirty out of thirty right now.

519
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:32,880
Arizona's is ranked twenty three, But I got Eduardo Rodriguez

520
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,480
on a curve of thirty ranked twenty five, so not

521
00:26:35,599 --> 00:26:39,960
much faith in him. So I'm definitely gonna stay away

522
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,160
from this game. It's too mini X factors. But I'm

523
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,319
going to take a minute here to say, please visit

524
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,200
our pages, you guys, because we always put free plays

525
00:26:49,279 --> 00:26:52,759
up and we're the best baseball cappers in the world.

526
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:55,720
Go to our pages and check what we have out

527
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:59,000
for free, and check what we have for sale. Go

528
00:26:59,039 --> 00:27:02,160
to the replay comment and like we would appreciate it.

529
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,400
Till Wager talk. You love baseball and you love our

530
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:05,720
show at him.

531
00:27:07,079 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have a five percent plate tonight.

532
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 1: Should have probably brought that up at some point, but yeah,

533
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,839
it's on my page. Just probably as bad of a

534
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,720
promo as you could possibly imagine right there. Uh, but

535
00:27:18,839 --> 00:27:21,039
keep it simple. As far as this game is concerned,

536
00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:24,920
I'll talk about Troy Melton. He is, he's he's well

537
00:27:25,039 --> 00:27:27,240
up on my rankings as far as starters at Triple

538
00:27:27,279 --> 00:27:28,119
A this year.

539
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 2: Uh you know.

540
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,079
Speaker 1: And so if you want to talk about length he's got,

541
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,079
he's going the full It's a full start. I mean

542
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,559
he's pitching. He's been pitching six seven innings at Triple A.

543
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,279
He's not he's not out there. I mean he the

544
00:27:40,319 --> 00:27:42,319
only way he's out early is if he is if

545
00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:45,039
he gets knocked around. And I don't have any faith

546
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:49,200
in the Diamondbacks knocking anyone around right the second, because, uh,

547
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:52,279
that was so I I got. I lost with Arizona

548
00:27:52,319 --> 00:27:57,119
on Saturday, and I could not believe how how mentally

549
00:27:57,279 --> 00:28:01,000
not there they were in that game, especially after winning

550
00:28:01,079 --> 00:28:04,079
the extra inning game on Friday night. I thought the

551
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,240
Friday night extra innings win was was what was gonna

552
00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:08,440
kind of like get.

553
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:09,119
Speaker 2: The juices flowing.

554
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 1: And they were more concerned about hugging Randall Gritschik on

555
00:28:12,519 --> 00:28:15,640
Saturday in the dugout than they were about playing.

556
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 2: A baseball game.

557
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 1: And I mean, Yo Suarez came up at one point

558
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:21,559
with the game on the line, it's like a two

559
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,640
nothing game. I mean he swung at three pitches that

560
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,680
were not even remotely close to the strike zone.

561
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 2: So I'll go back to Tokyo.

562
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 1: Brandon was right about this, and I gotta I have

563
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:35,400
to go back to last week's conversation and really like

564
00:28:36,839 --> 00:28:39,200
you were right, like the Diamondbacks do not look like

565
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,640
they're in the mental state to play a game right now,

566
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:47,519
like they're just in yesterday totally checked out. Now, I

567
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,200
will circle back because I do think when the dust

568
00:28:50,319 --> 00:28:54,079
settles and if those young guys are up, if they've

569
00:28:54,119 --> 00:28:56,359
got like Tim Tawe in the lineup, that Jordan Lawler

570
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:59,960
ever comes back, guys just hurt every year for long stretches,

571
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,839
then maybe you've got a little bit of a chance

572
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,200
to buy low with Arizona.

573
00:29:05,519 --> 00:29:07,119
Speaker 2: But yeah, right now, on.

574
00:29:07,039 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 1: All accounts, if you watched them the last really all weekend,

575
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,039
they won that game on Friday, won nothing.

576
00:29:13,599 --> 00:29:15,079
Speaker 2: They're just not mentally there.

577
00:29:15,319 --> 00:29:19,319
Speaker 1: And I'm starting to buy into maybe they're just you know,

578
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,920
they're checked out, they're mailing it in a little bit.

579
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:25,160
They don't know the veterans, don't know who's leaving at

580
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,960
this point, and you're not gonna go on the road

581
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:32,279
and beat the Tigers, especially a Tigers team that just

582
00:29:32,359 --> 00:29:35,720
got smacked around by the Blue Jays for four days. Basically, yeah,

583
00:29:35,759 --> 00:29:38,559
they salvaged yesterday, but they still lost that series.

584
00:29:38,599 --> 00:29:39,799
Speaker 2: They lost the series before.

585
00:29:40,359 --> 00:29:42,599
Speaker 1: I think you get a very motivated Tigers team on

586
00:29:42,599 --> 00:29:45,160
their home field here, and this is what I've had

587
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,079
my eye on today. So have not played the ship,

588
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,039
but I'm gonna put this in the parlant. Brian Leonard,

589
00:29:50,079 --> 00:29:51,640
go ahead, and then also tell me what line I

590
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:53,920
can get on this game sewn Michael.

591
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 3: I appreciate your fandom for the Tigers, but Kerry Carpenter

592
00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:59,960
went out with three with two strikeouts yesterday. They scored

593
00:30:00,039 --> 00:30:05,599
ten runs without him, so I understand his value on

594
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,839
this team, but he did nothing yesterday.

595
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, but Brian, don't you just think him being in

596
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,880
the lineup is huge for them? Just him literally, Like

597
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,599
I feel like he makes that lineup turnover and everything's

598
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:18,119
better when he's in that.

599
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's definitely a good player and they need him

600
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,240
in the lineup, but he doesn't he doesn't play against lefties,

601
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:28,920
and he didn't do well yesterday. He's definitely somebody that

602
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,240
you want in the lineup, but I'm just pointing out

603
00:30:31,279 --> 00:30:33,599
that he had nothing to do with them scoring ten runs.

604
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,359
Right now we're looking at Detroit. It did take a

605
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,119
little bit of money since we just spoke about it

606
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,079
probably about a one twenty eight favorite.

607
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 2: No question, that works, that's what you're looking for.

608
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 3: That's one twenty eight right now.

609
00:30:50,079 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I was actually I was hoping that might

610
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:55,880
go the other way a little bit because Arizona did.

611
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,279
Arizona did take some money in that Pirate series on

612
00:30:58,319 --> 00:31:00,799
a couple of occasions. So that's why I haven't played

613
00:31:00,799 --> 00:31:02,720
it yet. I was I was kind of like hoping

614
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:05,839
that someone would come in and see underdog price, not

615
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,839
really know who Troy Melton is, and decide to drive

616
00:31:08,839 --> 00:31:12,480
the price down. But right now, Melton's probably the more

617
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:15,200
desirable of the two pitchers, and again he is. He

618
00:31:15,279 --> 00:31:17,720
is someone I've been super impressed ate with than the

619
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,359
miners this year. I don't put a ton of stock

620
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:24,400
into the into the Pirates start, which which was his

621
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,559
big league gave you not going like as planned. I

622
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:29,440
think he's gonna be fine, got it. He's a good

623
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:31,640
He's a really good pitcher. And I think in that

624
00:31:31,839 --> 00:31:35,599
organization too, Hinge tends to Hinge tends to know.

625
00:31:35,559 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 2: When a guy needs to come out. He's a he

626
00:31:37,799 --> 00:31:39,519
presses the buttons as well as anyone.

627
00:31:39,599 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 1: So I think Meltain's going to pitch well tonight, and

628
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:44,279
I'll take the Tigers for the parlay.

629
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:46,599
Speaker 2: Good good week for the parlay.

630
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,279
Speaker 1: Last week, we're back up, even even losing it on Friday,

631
00:31:49,319 --> 00:31:52,799
We're back up plus eleven point four units on the season,

632
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,079
or eleven dollars and forty cents for every dollar. And

633
00:31:56,319 --> 00:31:59,480
over the next twenty eight minutes we'll be locking in

634
00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:02,279
two other So don't go anywhere. This will be a

635
00:32:02,279 --> 00:32:04,880
three teamer by the time we get off the show.

636
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:06,599
Speaker 2: Let's move on.

637
00:32:06,759 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 1: We had someone in the chat asking about the Giants

638
00:32:11,279 --> 00:32:14,079
and if it was gonna be a bullpen game. I

639
00:32:14,119 --> 00:32:16,160
don't believe. So it looks like they're gonna call up

640
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,279
Carson wizen Hunt to make his big league debut. Giants

641
00:32:20,359 --> 00:32:23,480
last night felt like they had that one, Brian Leonard.

642
00:32:23,799 --> 00:32:26,079
I thought they were gonna salvage one from the Mets,

643
00:32:26,519 --> 00:32:29,759
Matt Chapman putting the team on his back, and they

644
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:33,000
just couldn't get it done. So Giants kick off a

645
00:32:33,039 --> 00:32:37,599
new series here. Why am I blanking on?

646
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:38,279
Speaker 2: Who they?

647
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:41,160
Speaker 1: Jesus Christ, I just had this game in my head.

648
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:42,440
I'm blanking out.

649
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 2: Who is there?

650
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:44,440
Speaker 3: Mitch Keller?

651
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:46,319
Speaker 2: Mitch Keller, Yeah, that's right.

652
00:32:46,359 --> 00:32:49,519
Speaker 1: Okay, Pirates are out on the West Coast, it's Carson

653
00:32:49,519 --> 00:32:51,000
wizzen Hunt, It's Mitch Keller.

654
00:32:51,079 --> 00:32:52,079
Speaker 2: Kick us off, Brian Lennon.

655
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 3: To me, San Francisco is a much better team than

656
00:32:56,079 --> 00:33:00,160
Pittsburgh is. They're gone with nine. He's a lefty, like

657
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:04,319
the lefties their first month or so in major leagues

658
00:33:04,319 --> 00:33:08,559
and sometimes even longer if they perform well. Right now,

659
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:12,240
current line, wizen Hunt and the Giants are about a

660
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:15,519
one thirty favorite in total of eight. That would be

661
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:19,359
a cheap line for me. Mitch Keller is a guy

662
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:23,079
who is what he is, and there's been talk about

663
00:33:23,799 --> 00:33:26,720
some pretty good teams. The Mets have been in discussions

664
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,599
with bringing him to New York. I'd love to see

665
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:30,759
him pitch in that ballpark, although he's pitch is in

666
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:34,759
a good pitching ballpark right now in Pittsburgh. But as

667
00:33:34,759 --> 00:33:37,119
good as he is, you know, the Pirates are only four.

668
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,920
He's four and ten in those games. He's very similar

669
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,680
to Schimes where they just doesn't get a lot of

670
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,920
run support. Comes in with a three point five to

671
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:47,920
three ear, a three point eight one expected, one point

672
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:51,359
one six whip, all pretty nice numbers. His whiff rate

673
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,079
is only a ten percentile though strike out right twenty six.

674
00:33:54,119 --> 00:33:55,799
He's not going to blow you away in that regard,

675
00:33:56,359 --> 00:33:59,160
but he doesn't walk walk a lot of batters eighty

676
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:03,920
fifth percentile, eight seventy fifth percentile. He's been pretty good

677
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:07,160
this year. Carson win Wiston hunt for the Giants have left.

678
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:11,880
He twenty four years old, six three. He pitches for

679
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:16,840
the Sacramento river Cats, same stadium as the Oakland Excuse me.

680
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:20,679
The Sacramento A's play in interesting when you take a

681
00:34:20,679 --> 00:34:23,639
look at his stats, and he's highly thought of in

682
00:34:23,639 --> 00:34:27,519
that organization. But he's always been a guy who just

683
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:33,000
blew past more than one strikeout para inning. Last year

684
00:34:33,679 --> 00:34:38,840
he pitched, he pitched in Sacramento one hundred and thirty

685
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,760
five strikeouts in only one hundred and four innings. His

686
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,239
other seasons in the lower miners all more than one

687
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:50,920
strikeout per inning. He's been very good. Now this year

688
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:54,480
he's a little bit different. Is his era is four

689
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:56,719
point four two, which is really when you're playing in

690
00:34:56,760 --> 00:35:00,519
that's in that ballpark afterc games isn't bad. But in

691
00:35:00,599 --> 00:35:03,280
ninety seven eight he's only struck out eighty six batters,

692
00:35:03,559 --> 00:35:06,800
but he's only walked twenty eight. Last year he walked

693
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:10,159
fifty three and only seven inning. He's more so, he's

694
00:35:10,199 --> 00:35:12,440
been more of trying to get his control down. That

695
00:35:12,559 --> 00:35:16,079
was probably what the management said, get your control down

696
00:35:16,159 --> 00:35:18,840
and don't walk his money batters and you can get

697
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:21,599
your you can get up there. His whip is at

698
00:35:21,599 --> 00:35:24,519
one thirty three, which isn't actually that bad when you

699
00:35:24,559 --> 00:35:28,039
pitch in the PCL, So I'm interested in seeing him pitch.

700
00:35:28,079 --> 00:35:30,440
He's a lefty. I think he'll have six success against

701
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:34,239
this Pittsburgh offense, and I think there might be some

702
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,679
value here on San Francisco, but they're really struggling. You

703
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:40,480
mentioned the two home runs yesterday, but the San Francisco

704
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:44,480
offense has been dead for a while. So I think

705
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,199
the Giants are a better team and it would not

706
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,480
surprise me for them to break out of this against

707
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,280
Pittsburgh and win a series and get on a run.

708
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,960
But they're not playing well right now, which makes me

709
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:57,880
very tentative about putting my money on him.

710
00:36:00,159 --> 00:36:05,440
Speaker 4: So here's an interesting statistic about the Pirates. They're the

711
00:36:05,559 --> 00:36:10,000
number number four under team in MLB and more than

712
00:36:10,079 --> 00:36:13,199
thirty three percent of the games they've played today have

713
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:17,119
ended in a shutout either for them or against them.

714
00:36:18,679 --> 00:36:23,800
So they are a team that really like unders. I

715
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:28,800
don't have confidence betting for or against a pitcher who's

716
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:32,719
making his MLB debut, because, as I've said in shows previous,

717
00:36:33,599 --> 00:36:38,320
they could either go five innings shut down, or they

718
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,480
could get blown up for eight runs in the first inning.

719
00:36:40,519 --> 00:36:44,679
We saw that with the Red sky Burns got blown out.

720
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:49,679
Now he's coming back. But I mean, you know, I

721
00:36:50,079 --> 00:36:52,440
just don't really like to. It's it's kind of an

722
00:36:52,599 --> 00:36:56,519
X factor for me, so I will probably stay away

723
00:36:56,519 --> 00:36:59,679
from it. But I kind of like the first five

724
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:02,639
under here because it's four and a half. I feel

725
00:37:02,639 --> 00:37:05,079
like doing it, but I don't really want to. The

726
00:37:05,119 --> 00:37:08,599
Pirates are just such a huge underteam. I'm so tempted

727
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:11,440
to take the under. If I had confidence that the

728
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:15,679
wizen Hunt guy could could hold his ground, I would.

729
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,119
I would like to take an under, but haven't done

730
00:37:18,159 --> 00:37:18,519
it yet.

731
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, if I had confidence that wizard Hunt was going

732
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:24,199
to pitch, well, I'd like to take the Giants. I

733
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,280
haven't done it yet, and for a lot of the

734
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,760
same reasons. Like you know, Brian makes a good point.

735
00:37:30,119 --> 00:37:32,519
He makes a good point about the difference from last

736
00:37:32,559 --> 00:37:35,039
year to this year. So, like I'll just talk about

737
00:37:35,039 --> 00:37:37,639
wizard Hunt for a second. He he's the guy. Like

738
00:37:37,679 --> 00:37:39,519
if you look at all the pitching prospects in the

739
00:37:39,559 --> 00:37:42,440
Giants organization, he is. He is their guy right now.

740
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:45,039
He's the one that they've been trying to protect. He

741
00:37:45,159 --> 00:37:47,000
was the one that was having a really good season

742
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:50,400
when he got to Triple A last year and spent

743
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:52,159
almost all year at Triple A last year, and they

744
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:56,079
didn't really want to sort of force him up, you know,

745
00:37:56,119 --> 00:37:58,880
because he is the Usually we talked about this off air,

746
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:03,199
Brian and I typically the top prospect, your your top

747
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:07,360
pitching prospect, you either don't want to bring up or

748
00:38:07,599 --> 00:38:11,119
it's a Miseroski or Chase Burn situation where you're like fit,

749
00:38:12,199 --> 00:38:14,840
we're gonna see if they can, you know, potentially come

750
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,840
up and then be like a like our number two,

751
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,840
number three starter. So the Giants have been hesitant to

752
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:24,039
bring us and Hint Hut up for that reason. I

753
00:38:24,119 --> 00:38:26,239
thought we would have seen him earlier this year.

754
00:38:26,679 --> 00:38:27,320
Speaker 2: And I think the.

755
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 1: Reason we haven't goes to what Brian's saying. The strikeouts

756
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:32,000
are down, he's catching too much of the plate at

757
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:35,280
Triple A. The command's better, he's not walking anyone, but

758
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:38,679
suddenly he's he's too he's he's too much over the plate.

759
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,840
Batting average against is now two seventy three against him,

760
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:46,199
and he's given up some hard contact. So that would

761
00:38:46,199 --> 00:38:49,719
be like, my only real concern now having him come

762
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:51,960
to the big league level is you're you're gonna you're

763
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,840
you're gonna get punished for making mistakes. That being said,

764
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:58,559
if there was a team that wasn't gonna punish a mistake,

765
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,639
it's probably the Pittsburgh player who have had one of

766
00:39:01,639 --> 00:39:05,000
the lowest WRC pluses of any team in Major League

767
00:39:05,039 --> 00:39:08,119
Baseball this season. So it's a tough one because I

768
00:39:08,119 --> 00:39:11,400
could absolutely see him, you know, kind of hold keeping

769
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,480
this Pirates lineup that bay. The Pirates are not in

770
00:39:14,519 --> 00:39:17,440
the PCL, which means none of these guys have seen

771
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,320
him at the Triple A level. I'd be far more

772
00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:23,119
concerned if this was like the Giants playing let's say

773
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,400
the Astros or the A's or like the Rockies, like

774
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,840
a team that's seen him a ton, that would be

775
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:33,079
more concerning to me because the PCL, you see everyone

776
00:39:33,119 --> 00:39:35,519
a bunch. There's only ten teams in the league, so

777
00:39:35,559 --> 00:39:38,280
I think I think I'm okay with wizen Hunt here

778
00:39:38,519 --> 00:39:40,960
based on the fact that the Pirates haven't seen him,

779
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:44,400
and the Pirates they have a hard time like punishing mistakes.

780
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:46,760
They just it's not like they hit particularly well. This

781
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:50,599
weekend sort of took two of three off Arizona, but

782
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,320
because Arizona didn't hit at all. So I do think

783
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,239
this is where the Giants snapped their losing streak. So

784
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,320
I like the Giants in Tokyo, Brandon, I can't put

785
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,119
you off that under because I think was an it

786
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:06,440
holds his own here. Yeah, and there was one other Yeah,

787
00:40:06,559 --> 00:40:08,400
I forget. I thought I had one other thing to say.

788
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:12,280
But we'll move on. So we'll move on to there's

789
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,159
a bunch of there's a bunch of games popping up

790
00:40:15,199 --> 00:40:19,320
in the chat. This is a pretty pretty solid Monday here,

791
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,559
Big Slates, Big Slates, the last couple of Monday Sean, Yes,

792
00:40:23,639 --> 00:40:27,199
and I'll have to double check. I'm like ninety eight

793
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:30,599
percent sure. This is Carson Wizzon hunts major league debut.

794
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:34,000
And while I'm finding the next game, Victoria. Yeah, last

795
00:40:34,039 --> 00:40:35,920
night it was a bullpen game for the Giants and

796
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:39,960
the starter Matt Gage Siena College, Saint. We don't get

797
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,639
many big leaguers out of my album on or Sienna College.

798
00:40:42,639 --> 00:40:45,599
I could probably count on two hands how many guys

799
00:40:45,639 --> 00:40:49,079
have made the MLB out of our school. Matt Gage

800
00:40:49,079 --> 00:40:51,159
is one of them. So shout out to Matt Gage.

801
00:40:51,199 --> 00:40:53,320
He did come out of the bullpen and start that

802
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:58,920
game for Arizona last night. Will Will says money is

803
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:02,480
rolling in on the Red think they win today. This

804
00:41:02,559 --> 00:41:04,280
is an interesting one in Brian Leonard, I think this

805
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:05,760
is one you said there might be some rain in

806
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,599
the forecast we have to look for. But at any rate,

807
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,679
how are you seeing this one because I'm very interested

808
00:41:10,679 --> 00:41:13,039
in this matchup Red Sox twins.

809
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:16,159
Speaker 3: A couple things here before we get to that one

810
00:41:16,599 --> 00:41:21,679
San Francisco game tonight with Pittsburgh. From a weather standpoint,

811
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:25,199
no precipitation at all, but it is going to be cold.

812
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,800
It starts at sixty one, probably ends up fifty nine

813
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,159
for the weather part. But the winds blowing out at

814
00:41:30,199 --> 00:41:33,679
sixteen miles an hour. Now, we've seen them the last

815
00:41:33,679 --> 00:41:36,519
week blowing out at ten miles an hour and it

816
00:41:36,559 --> 00:41:40,920
doesn't seem to matter. But sixteen is blown out pretty good.

817
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,960
But this is the one stadium where it could probably

818
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,320
blow out thirty and would make a bunch of difference.

819
00:41:47,079 --> 00:41:48,599
I'd hate to be able. I hate to be a

820
00:41:48,599 --> 00:41:52,199
player playing in that wind and in San Francisco. But

821
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:55,239
as for the weather in Minnesota, yes, let's get back

822
00:41:55,280 --> 00:42:00,360
to that in one percent chancewerin all all way up

823
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:03,119
until seven pm. The game starts at eight, then it's

824
00:42:03,159 --> 00:42:07,920
twenty four fifty five, eighty seventy nine, seventy eight, so

825
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,840
a lot of rain after this game starts. So I

826
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:12,360
don't think we're going to see either one of these

827
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:17,360
pitchers going very long. Temperatures starts at eighty eight and

828
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,199
then starts to drop about ten degrees since after that,

829
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:24,039
so that is a concern in this one. We have

830
00:42:24,159 --> 00:42:29,079
got Fits against Woods Richardson and Woods Richardson and Minnesota

831
00:42:29,119 --> 00:42:31,719
is about a one ten favorite right now. We're looking

832
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:34,159
at nine and a half to the under about one

833
00:42:34,159 --> 00:42:39,039
point fifteen twenty fits in Woods Richardson, Fits is a

834
00:42:39,079 --> 00:42:44,639
guy who very similar to a couple of other guys Dobbins,

835
00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,719
who has looked good and then he gets hurt. And

836
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:49,559
that's the problem that Fitch has had. Now Dobbins is

837
00:42:49,559 --> 00:42:52,679
out for the season, Fitch comes in four point eight

838
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,840
six ERA four point nine to nine expected one point

839
00:42:55,920 --> 00:43:00,440
two seven whip. His numbers are better. He's than his

840
00:43:00,519 --> 00:43:04,639
actual stats chase percent ninety fourth percentile, walk rates seventy ninth,

841
00:43:05,079 --> 00:43:09,559
extension seventieth. His problem is he is getting hit hard

842
00:43:09,559 --> 00:43:12,320
in the barrel rates in the ten percentile, in barrel

843
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:16,559
percentage thirteenth and expected the ra twentieth in hard hit percentage.

844
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:20,119
I liked him coming into the season, but because of

845
00:43:20,639 --> 00:43:24,400
injuries and other guys in the rotation, he just can't

846
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:28,000
get that rhythm going. Simmey and Woods Richardson, He's pitched

847
00:43:28,079 --> 00:43:30,239
much better as of late. Comes in with a four

848
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:33,039
point one four ERA four point two to three expected

849
00:43:33,599 --> 00:43:36,920
one point three to seven whip. But his extension is

850
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,639
good in the seventieth percentile. But everything else is blue

851
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:43,840
on his deckcast pages. Ground ball rate eight percent ofle

852
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,079
so he gives up a lot of fly balls. Barrel

853
00:43:46,159 --> 00:43:50,599
rate thirteenth, walk grate twenty third. So these are two

854
00:43:50,679 --> 00:43:53,960
pitchers that I think could get hit here in Minnesota.

855
00:43:54,159 --> 00:43:56,639
The problem is I don't know how long they're going

856
00:43:56,679 --> 00:44:00,360
to be in this game because of the rain, and

857
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,119
it's tough to make decisions on a game where you

858
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,519
come in and you basically know they are going to

859
00:44:05,559 --> 00:44:09,960
be stoppages in the game. So I prefer to bet

860
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:16,239
this game over, but without knowing the situation with who's

861
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:18,760
going to all play and the whole thing is rather

862
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,159
be a game that I would rather pass on. There's

863
00:44:21,199 --> 00:44:24,159
a lot of other games today, as you mentioned, pretty

864
00:44:24,159 --> 00:44:27,599
good Monday Card, but I don't have enough on this

865
00:44:27,639 --> 00:44:28,840
one to put my own money on.

866
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:34,519
Speaker 4: So everyone go to our pages again and grab our plays.

867
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,960
I have an MLB play out, Brian will have one out,

868
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:40,440
Adam has a five percent, So go to our pages

869
00:44:41,159 --> 00:44:44,360
and grab our plays. We also post a lot of

870
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:48,639
free plays, so go grab those as well. So the

871
00:44:48,639 --> 00:44:51,199
Red Sox bats are really dead right now. I have

872
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,119
them ranked twenty three out of thirty, and I have

873
00:44:54,159 --> 00:44:59,519
the Twins ranked slightly under fifteen out of thirty. So

874
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,760
the thing is the Boston bullpen is pitching really good.

875
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:07,079
I have them ranked three. So usually when I see that,

876
00:45:07,599 --> 00:45:09,760
it makes me say I want to bet an under here,

877
00:45:10,599 --> 00:45:14,880
but I'm exactly with Brian. There's a lot of X

878
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:18,400
factors here, so I Am not going to bet this game,

879
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,440
but I'll just give you my rankings for the Twins

880
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,840
as well. I have their bullpen ranked twenty first out

881
00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:26,840
of thirty, which is not very good. Line up sixteen,

882
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,519
that's about where the Twins always are, very middle of

883
00:45:29,559 --> 00:45:33,960
the road. I got Simeon Woods Richardson ranked fifteen, and

884
00:45:34,079 --> 00:45:36,480
I don't have a ranking for Fits because he hasn't

885
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,840
pitched enough innings the last thirty days. So not even

886
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:43,000
going to touch this one, so go ahead at him.

887
00:45:44,199 --> 00:45:46,639
Speaker 1: I'm very much in agreement with Brian. I like the over.

888
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:48,800
That's how I would play this one. I think if

889
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:51,760
you can get that juiced nine, I don't know what

890
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:53,280
the juice is on that, but I do I see

891
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:55,360
a bunch of nine and a half evens, which if

892
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:59,119
you're at the some of the other shops, like the

893
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,719
League US based ones will give you that nine maybe

894
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:06,280
like over nine minus one twenty five. I definitely think

895
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,400
that's a good bet. Brian makes a good point about

896
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,360
the rain. You have to maybe worry about them being

897
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:13,360
taken out Tokyo. Brandon points out the Red Sox offense

898
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:16,400
hasn't done much well. What do you expect their last

899
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:20,000
ten games or their last nine games at Chicago at

900
00:46:20,039 --> 00:46:23,239
Cubs at Phillies and then Dodgers at home, Like you

901
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,400
want to talk about a nine game stretch that might

902
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:28,199
kill your offense a little bit. Basically, just played the

903
00:46:28,199 --> 00:46:31,000
three best teams in baseball, or three of three of

904
00:46:31,039 --> 00:46:34,079
the top five or six teams. So now now you're

905
00:46:34,079 --> 00:46:36,639
gonna get Simeon Woods Richardson. That should be a field day.

906
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:40,599
Because Simeon Woods Richardson is not a a top caliber

907
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:44,519
MLB starter. Brian pointed out some of the Yeah, I

908
00:46:44,559 --> 00:46:46,119
mean he doesn't give up.

909
00:46:46,159 --> 00:46:48,039
Speaker 2: He doesn't. He gives up a lot of fly balls,

910
00:46:49,039 --> 00:46:51,519
a lot of age. Yeah.

911
00:46:51,559 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 1: And and the thing is, I was I was high

912
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:57,239
on him two years ago or a year ago, but

913
00:46:57,440 --> 00:46:59,239
now like he's got a big enough sample at the

914
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:02,599
big league level, he's He's only a guy I really care.

915
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:04,599
Speaker 2: I'm really interested in fading.

916
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,880
Speaker 1: So I fully expect the Red Sox to hit better

917
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:11,559
in this series, just based on the fact, you know,

918
00:47:11,599 --> 00:47:13,599
they're not going to be up against like big time aces.

919
00:47:13,639 --> 00:47:16,760
And then for the Twins, like their top top relievers

920
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:20,400
are very strong, but there is some some chances for

921
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:23,079
offense in the middle of that. Twins bullpen so to

922
00:47:23,159 --> 00:47:25,840
comment on the rain situation, well, if Simeon Wentz Richardson

923
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:28,119
is out early here, I still think the Red Sox

924
00:47:28,159 --> 00:47:30,920
maybe can generate some offense until you get to the

925
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:35,199
guys like the Johanna Rans Griffin Jacks. You know, that's

926
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:39,679
the tough part of the Twins bullpen. On the other side, Listen,

927
00:47:40,039 --> 00:47:43,320
Richard Fitz like he he does have some redeeming qualities

928
00:47:43,320 --> 00:47:46,119
to gets some swing and miss, But my gut tells

929
00:47:46,119 --> 00:47:49,400
me he's gonna trend toward being a Simon Wood Richardson

930
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:51,880
at the big league level. I just don't have like

931
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:55,199
super high hopes for him. He's not someone that ever

932
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,519
really popped for me at Triple A and then all

933
00:47:57,559 --> 00:47:59,199
of a sudden he was kind of in the big leagues.

934
00:47:59,679 --> 00:48:02,199
I'm sure sure the Red Sox know more about that

935
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,719
than me, but like, I just I've watched him pitching

936
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,599
off at Worcester and then in the few big league

937
00:48:08,639 --> 00:48:11,159
starts the last couple of years were like I just,

938
00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:14,360
he's just not like overly like, I don't have him

939
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:17,360
super highly rated. So the Twins who lose yesterday to

940
00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:20,519
the Nationals, you'd like to think they can bounce back

941
00:48:20,559 --> 00:48:22,760
a little bit from Matt. I think this one gets

942
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,440
to nine. I mean, you're talking about eating four each way.

943
00:48:26,079 --> 00:48:28,119
If you can get that juice to nine, I gotta

944
00:48:28,199 --> 00:48:31,599
like the total right there. Very much agreeing with Brian.

945
00:48:31,639 --> 00:48:35,199
I think there's gonna be offense. All right, let's keep

946
00:48:35,199 --> 00:48:40,000
it going. Titan CT Yeah, bad weather in Minneapolis. Yeah,

947
00:48:40,199 --> 00:48:41,440
maybe the game doesn't even get in.

948
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:42,280
Speaker 2: I thought, I.

949
00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:45,760
Speaker 1: Thought, I saw that they would probably get the game in.

950
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:50,880
But who knows, Dan Zone, I don't think the Yankees

951
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:53,199
are even gonna make the playoffs. To be honest with you, well,

952
00:48:53,679 --> 00:48:57,239
you echo the sentiment of every Yankee fan who's melting

953
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:01,760
down this weekend. I know this firsthand because my Siena

954
00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:04,760
college group chat is full of them all myt with

955
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,960
the exception of a couple of Mets fans, like basically

956
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:11,519
everyone that went to Siena either lived in the Capitol

957
00:49:11,559 --> 00:49:14,400
region like me, or came up from like Long Island,

958
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:17,639
New York City, Westchester. So they're all Yankee fans, some

959
00:49:17,760 --> 00:49:21,440
Met fans. My group chat Leans Yankees, Brian Leonard and

960
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,559
of the thirteen or fourteen of us that are in

961
00:49:23,599 --> 00:49:26,599
there that are all college buddies, and the melting down

962
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:29,599
was was really starting over the weekend from the time

963
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:33,800
that they traded for Brian McMahon to you know, through

964
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:38,840
that game on Sunday, the meltdown was happening. I don't know, Brian,

965
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,400
Is the Yankee season over? Do they just bounce back

966
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:42,280
here against the Rays?

967
00:49:42,360 --> 00:49:42,880
Speaker 2: What do you think?

968
00:49:43,559 --> 00:49:45,880
Speaker 3: Well, other seasons are not over. But you do have

969
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:53,480
some concerns about Judge. Initial reports were saying that he

970
00:49:53,599 --> 00:49:56,559
may be up for the season. Now they're looking at it.

971
00:49:56,639 --> 00:50:00,639
He's looking for other other ways to deal that. But yeah,

972
00:50:00,679 --> 00:50:04,840
when you lose the best pure hitter in baseball, that

973
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:07,519
is a concern. Plus some of the other guys. You know,

974
00:50:07,519 --> 00:50:10,159
you take a look at that lineup, it's pretty weak

975
00:50:10,199 --> 00:50:12,400
when you get out of the top five or six guys.

976
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:15,639
So that is a concern. And they really wanted Suarez

977
00:50:16,119 --> 00:50:19,440
and they didn't get them the Arizona, which just asked

978
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:22,000
it for too much, so they had to settle for

979
00:50:22,039 --> 00:50:25,760
a Colorado Rocky. And anytime you trade for a Rocky

980
00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:28,440
and you have to be concerned. Now, he's got off

981
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:31,360
to a pretty good start for the Yankees, but half

982
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:34,239
your stats are in Colorado and he's been in Colorado

983
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:37,960
for a long time. So yeah, the Yankees it's not

984
00:50:38,079 --> 00:50:40,920
going as well as the Yankee fans would like going

985
00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:45,360
against Rasmussen against Slitter, and I don't want to say

986
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,519
Schlitter again because I know I'm gonna screw it up.

987
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:51,280
But the Yankees are about a one to twenty eight

988
00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,599
favorite here. Total of eight and a half has gone

989
00:50:54,599 --> 00:50:57,400
down from it was at nine for the opener, So

990
00:50:57,440 --> 00:51:01,599
money's coming on the under here. Rasa. They decided to

991
00:51:01,679 --> 00:51:04,559
keep him in the rotation. I think they pulled him

992
00:51:04,559 --> 00:51:07,360
a little early last time, but he comes in with

993
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:09,840
a two point nine three ERA three point six one

994
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:13,920
expected one point h three whip. He is a really

995
00:51:14,199 --> 00:51:16,800
underrated pitcher overall, but you don't know how many innings

996
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:20,400
you're gonna get out of him today. Last three years

997
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,960
is eras two point nine three, two point eight three

998
00:51:23,079 --> 00:51:26,000
two point sixty two and six seasons two point nine

999
00:51:26,199 --> 00:51:30,119
five ERA one point oh five whip. Because of his

1000
00:51:30,199 --> 00:51:33,760
injuries and because he doesn't wreck up a lot of innings.

1001
00:51:34,159 --> 00:51:36,280
You know, this year is at ninety five, last year

1002
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:39,039
is at twenty eight. The year before forty four, which

1003
00:51:39,079 --> 00:51:43,320
is why they've been pulling him early, and they don't

1004
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:46,119
want him to get hurt. But when he pitches. He's great,

1005
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:50,360
and he's pitching today, so I like the situation with

1006
00:51:51,639 --> 00:51:56,159
him going against this diminished Yankees offense. Round Bowl percentage

1007
00:51:56,199 --> 00:51:59,480
eighty seventh percentile, which is something you always have to

1008
00:51:59,519 --> 00:52:02,960
keep in mind when you're playing in the Yankee stadium.

1009
00:52:03,679 --> 00:52:07,079
The barrel rate eighty five percentile, wall grade eightieth. I

1010
00:52:07,159 --> 00:52:11,079
really like Rasmussen when you take a look at the Yankees.

1011
00:52:11,119 --> 00:52:17,320
They're going with Schlider, as I mentioned, and he's had

1012
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:20,880
limited inning so far. He's only pitched ten innings. He

1013
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:23,320
got his ten strikeouts, but four point three five ERA,

1014
00:52:23,559 --> 00:52:26,599
three point four eight expected, one point five to five

1015
00:52:26,679 --> 00:52:31,079
whip fastball velocity ninety fourth percentile. He's very good in

1016
00:52:31,079 --> 00:52:34,800
that regard, ninety seven point eight percent on his four seemer,

1017
00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:37,679
but he does throw it fifty two percent of the time.

1018
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:41,000
He may have a good enough fastball to get away

1019
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:44,880
with that because he's so young at twenty four, but

1020
00:52:45,679 --> 00:52:48,159
as he goes on, he needs to develop his other

1021
00:52:48,199 --> 00:52:50,360
pitches a little bit better. He's got five pitches, but

1022
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:54,760
slider he throws twenty eight percent of the time. I

1023
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,920
kind of like Toronto, or excuse me, Tampa Bay in

1024
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,760
this game. In fact, I think I'm gonna use that

1025
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:05,239
as my my parlay piece right here. It's just that

1026
00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:09,000
I don't really see anything jumping out at me today,

1027
00:53:09,639 --> 00:53:13,440
and I know the Yankees offense is taking a big

1028
00:53:13,519 --> 00:53:17,519
hit without have and without haveing judge in there. So

1029
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:21,079
let's play Tampa Bay is my parlay here. We're looking

1030
00:53:21,079 --> 00:53:25,360
at let's go one thirteen plus one thirteen here at

1031
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,880
Tampa Bay on the road. Hopefully you know this is

1032
00:53:27,920 --> 00:53:29,679
one of those teams that there is the season's going on,

1033
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:31,920
they've been a really good hitting team or a terrible

1034
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:34,519
hitting team. I like the coaching in Tampa Bay. I

1035
00:53:34,519 --> 00:53:36,400
think it's much better than I've been never to like

1036
00:53:36,519 --> 00:53:39,599
going as a coach for the Yankees. So let's go

1037
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:43,920
Tampa Bay here at plus yeah plus one thirteen will

1038
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:47,599
be my part of the parlay.

1039
00:53:47,679 --> 00:53:48,159
Speaker 2: So I was.

1040
00:53:48,159 --> 00:53:51,280
Speaker 4: Gonna make this game my parlay piece, but a different

1041
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,519
direction than Brian. But I don't think we can use

1042
00:53:53,559 --> 00:53:55,440
the same game in the parlay. But I was gonna

1043
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:58,039
go Yankees team total under four and a half. But

1044
00:53:58,199 --> 00:54:01,760
I have another backup, so don't worry about that. But

1045
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:06,719
I totally agree with Brian's sentiments here on Rasmussen and actually, Brian,

1046
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,480
his name is more difficult than you're actually saying it.

1047
00:54:09,599 --> 00:54:14,519
His name is actually Schlitler, so there's an extra l

1048
00:54:14,599 --> 00:54:17,360
in there to even make it more tongue twisting and

1049
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:23,159
more dangerous to say on air. So yeah, if you'll

1050
00:54:23,199 --> 00:54:25,360
excuse me, I have to go to the Schlitzler for

1051
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:30,880
a minute. How's that sound anyways? Yeah, I was gonna

1052
00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:34,599
use the Yankees because without Judge there, they're hitting towards

1053
00:54:34,639 --> 00:54:38,119
the bottom of the rankings in MLB. I know they

1054
00:54:38,119 --> 00:54:42,039
did beat the Phillies, but they're they're ranking less than

1055
00:54:42,199 --> 00:54:46,519
twenty out of thirty teams. Rasmussen, as you said, he

1056
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:50,599
sometimes gets pulled early, but they have a pretty good

1057
00:54:50,599 --> 00:54:53,519
bullpen there. My only concern is the Yankees play really

1058
00:54:53,519 --> 00:54:56,239
good at home or really well at home? Shall I say?

1059
00:54:56,840 --> 00:54:57,039
Speaker 3: So?

1060
00:54:57,519 --> 00:55:00,079
Speaker 4: That concerns me for the Yankees teams total, But that

1061
00:55:00,079 --> 00:55:04,119
would be the only way I would go here. Uh yeah,

1062
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:06,719
even Tampa Bay to win or the Yankees team total

1063
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:08,280
under would be how I would go. But I do

1064
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:11,119
have a different game for my parlay, which which we'll

1065
00:55:11,119 --> 00:55:12,199
bring up in a minute.

1066
00:55:13,320 --> 00:55:17,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll be quick on this one. I don't disagree

1067
00:55:17,039 --> 00:55:19,360
with Brian. I don't have much of a play. I

1068
00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:21,320
realize we're like five minutes away from the end of

1069
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,960
the show, and I want to give TV's game like the.

1070
00:55:23,840 --> 00:55:25,440
Speaker 2: Full the full rub.

1071
00:55:25,559 --> 00:55:29,039
Speaker 1: So all, I'm gonna say to the initial poster that

1072
00:55:29,079 --> 00:55:31,440
we we brought up the original question. I don't think

1073
00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:33,840
the Yankees are gonna have any trouble making the playoffs

1074
00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:37,639
more and and it's more. It's it's not a pro

1075
00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:41,599
Yankee statement. I just don't see how three teams catch them.

1076
00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:44,119
Because now, if they were in the National League, yeah,

1077
00:55:44,159 --> 00:55:47,039
they might be in trouble. But right now, like, are

1078
00:55:47,079 --> 00:55:52,039
the Red Sox, Mariners, and Rangers all gonna chase them down?

1079
00:55:52,159 --> 00:55:53,760
I guess you could throw the Rays in the mix

1080
00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:59,039
there too. No, like this just not happened. I'd be shocked.

1081
00:55:59,519 --> 00:56:01,719
I would be absolutely shocked. And this comes from someone

1082
00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:04,119
at the beginning of the season gave out on a

1083
00:56:04,159 --> 00:56:06,320
couple of shows the Yankees to not make the playoffs.

1084
00:56:06,360 --> 00:56:08,280
I think it was like plus two to eighty or something.

1085
00:56:08,599 --> 00:56:11,320
I'd love to see it happen. I just don't think

1086
00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:14,280
that there's there's three teams like Titan CT says the

1087
00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:17,000
Red Sox are coming. Yeah, someone might catch them for

1088
00:56:17,079 --> 00:56:19,599
that top wildcard spot. But now that you've got three

1089
00:56:19,679 --> 00:56:23,079
teams that make the wildcard, I will be very surprised

1090
00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:24,840
if someone catches them.

1091
00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:26,800
Speaker 3: Go ahead, right, Well, the Yankees right now are five

1092
00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:31,000
forty three win percentage, with Judge red Sox five thirty three.

1093
00:56:32,039 --> 00:56:34,440
We've got Seattle in second place of five twenty eight

1094
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:37,360
and the Rangers of five to twenty eight. I like

1095
00:56:37,519 --> 00:56:40,239
their starting pitchers for the for the Mariners and the

1096
00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:44,840
Rangers a lot better. I'm not I'm in agreement. I

1097
00:56:44,840 --> 00:56:47,079
don't think the Yankees unless they go out in free

1098
00:56:47,119 --> 00:56:50,320
agency and make some big grades, I don't think the

1099
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:51,639
Yankees will make the playoffs.

1100
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:54,760
Speaker 1: Like I said, I'd love to see it happen. It

1101
00:56:54,760 --> 00:56:58,800
would it would make that futures that from the beginning

1102
00:56:58,800 --> 00:57:01,960
of the season a winner. But feel like they just

1103
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:03,639
find a way to turn it on. And then this

1104
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:06,239
is coming from someone that can't stand this team. I'm

1105
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:10,039
very anti Like I've never been a Yankee fan, so like,

1106
00:57:10,519 --> 00:57:13,000
you know, having to listen to like all the buddies

1107
00:57:13,079 --> 00:57:15,199
chirp about how great they are. I love nothing more

1108
00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:18,320
than to see the Yankees miss the playoffs. Tokyo, Brandon,

1109
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:19,800
what game are we closing the show out with?

1110
00:57:20,519 --> 00:57:23,559
Speaker 4: Okay, let's close it with the Blue Jays and Orioles.

1111
00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:26,480
We've got Oh, do you want to start, Brian? Or

1112
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:27,320
should I just go no?

1113
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:28,440
Speaker 2: No, you just go ahead.

1114
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:32,400
Speaker 4: Okay, So we got basket going against Eflyn. I don't

1115
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:34,480
have enough numbers on Eflyn, but I do know that

1116
00:57:34,679 --> 00:57:39,519
I don't really like him very much, like I like

1117
00:57:39,599 --> 00:57:42,760
the Blue Jays here, and I think the line is

1118
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:46,719
somewhere around one twenty five. No way this team should be.

1119
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:49,599
The books are sliding the Blue Jays so much, and

1120
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:51,679
like you guys are talking about the Yankees might not

1121
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,239
make the playoffs, the Blue Jays are the main reason

1122
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:57,320
they might not make the playoffs because they're probably going

1123
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:00,800
to take this division and the Red are probably going

1124
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:04,440
to be number two. So that's how it's looking to

1125
00:58:04,519 --> 00:58:07,920
be right now. But you know, anything can happen. Judge

1126
00:58:07,960 --> 00:58:10,920
is probably going to come back next week, so they

1127
00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:13,679
put him on the ten day, right, and then Boone's

1128
00:58:13,679 --> 00:58:15,760
already talking about when he comes back, he's going to

1129
00:58:15,760 --> 00:58:19,119
be a DH and not play the field. So I

1130
00:58:19,159 --> 00:58:22,679
think Judge will be back sooner than later. But anyway,

1131
00:58:22,719 --> 00:58:26,440
back to this game, Bassett worries me on the road,

1132
00:58:27,599 --> 00:58:30,599
and actually he doesn't have really good numbers against these Orioles.

1133
00:58:30,639 --> 00:58:33,960
So there's a couple of red flags. But the Orioles

1134
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:39,480
bullpen is so bad, and Toronto is just smashing the ball.

1135
00:58:39,719 --> 00:58:42,800
They're just on fire, and their bullpen is top three

1136
00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:46,519
right now. I got Bassett ranked twelve out of thirty

1137
00:58:46,519 --> 00:58:49,599
on a curve of thirty starting pitchers. I do realize

1138
00:58:49,639 --> 00:58:51,880
that he hasn't performed well against the Orioles and he's

1139
00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:55,079
not a good road pitcher, but I think he's still

1140
00:58:55,159 --> 00:58:59,000
better than Eflyn and no other way I could go

1141
00:58:59,079 --> 00:58:59,800
than the Blue Jays.

1142
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:03,679
Speaker 3: Here the number on this right now Toronto is only

1143
00:59:03,719 --> 00:59:06,079
a one oh five favorite. It's more it's like a

1144
00:59:06,119 --> 00:59:08,239
pick him right now, so you can get a good

1145
00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:12,079
number there. My question, and you do the head to

1146
00:59:12,119 --> 00:59:16,559
head Capline has been uh faced Toronto a lot in

1147
00:59:16,559 --> 00:59:20,400
his career. What is the career numbers against Zach Eflin

1148
00:59:20,519 --> 00:59:21,159
for Toronto?

1149
00:59:22,559 --> 00:59:27,960
Speaker 4: They're not listed. I can't find him anymore, Okay, all right, Yeah,

1150
00:59:28,639 --> 00:59:31,800
I don't know. He is the only answer, but I

1151
00:59:31,840 --> 00:59:33,119
know he's not a very good picture.

1152
00:59:33,599 --> 00:59:35,800
Speaker 3: Well, he was hurt and he came back from injury

1153
00:59:35,840 --> 00:59:37,840
and pitched pretty well in his first game back. I

1154
00:59:37,880 --> 00:59:39,800
do like Athleen. He's not a big strikeout guy, but

1155
00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,480
you usually get pretty good value when you play those

1156
00:59:42,559 --> 00:59:45,400
kind of guys, and I was just curious against Toronto

1157
00:59:45,480 --> 00:59:48,239
what you have done. I don't I don't use that

1158
00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:53,559
value by myself, but just but yeah, the price on Toronto,

1159
00:59:53,639 --> 00:59:57,360
considering how hot they are, is pretty cheap. Sometimes that

1160
00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,360
tells you something, and that's why I'm always worried.

1161
01:00:00,639 --> 01:00:03,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, Blue Jays are decent team on the road. I

1162
01:00:03,599 --> 01:00:06,199
think they're twenty six and twenty six where actually the

1163
01:00:06,920 --> 01:00:09,760
Orioles are twenty four and twenty six at home, so

1164
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:13,119
home away doesn't really factor into it as far as

1165
01:00:13,159 --> 01:00:16,679
I'm concerned. So yeah, I mean the way they're hitting

1166
01:00:16,679 --> 01:00:19,079
and the way their bullpenner is performing, I couldn't go

1167
01:00:19,159 --> 01:00:20,079
any other way. Really.

1168
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:26,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going to just go back to the comment

1169
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:30,960
from Slick Vic here Yankees. He's saying Yankees are plus

1170
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:33,519
four hundred that missed the playoffs. I think that's a

1171
01:00:33,519 --> 01:00:36,119
great bet. I did not realize that. I did not

1172
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:41,360
realize that the Yankees were like that. That bet was

1173
01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:44,920
that was priced like that because prior to the season,

1174
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:47,079
it was like plus two to eighty, which I thought

1175
01:00:47,119 --> 01:00:49,519
was a really good bet coming into the season. The

1176
01:00:49,599 --> 01:00:51,960
fact that you can get Yankees plus four hundred now

1177
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:55,000
pretty much knowing they're not going to win their division, Like,

1178
01:00:55,039 --> 01:00:56,840
I'm sorry, they're just not catching the Blue Jays.

1179
01:00:56,840 --> 01:00:59,719
Speaker 2: I don't think they are great bet.

1180
01:01:00,639 --> 01:01:02,639
Speaker 1: Yankees plus four hundred miss the playoffs is a very

1181
01:01:02,639 --> 01:01:05,400
good vet at the price point TV. Sorry reading your

1182
01:01:05,440 --> 01:01:07,880
parlay leg with the with the price again so I

1183
01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:09,760
can do it would be the.

1184
01:01:09,639 --> 01:01:11,760
Speaker 4: Blue Jays money line at minus one.

1185
01:01:11,639 --> 01:01:14,119
Speaker 2: Oh five minus one oh five.

1186
01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:16,440
Speaker 3: In regards to the judge coming back, I mean, he's

1187
01:01:16,599 --> 01:01:19,000
he's a good defensive player too. He's got a gun

1188
01:01:19,760 --> 01:01:23,480
and he obviously without him in right field, that's gonna

1189
01:01:23,519 --> 01:01:27,679
hurt them defensively. Obviously you're worried about his bat being

1190
01:01:27,719 --> 01:01:30,440
in the lineup, but he's he's got one of the

1191
01:01:30,480 --> 01:01:33,119
best guns in uh major League Baseball.

1192
01:01:33,800 --> 01:01:38,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I gotta I gotta be when so I

1193
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:43,159
I looked at the the the original poster, I gotta like, no,

1194
01:01:43,280 --> 01:01:45,440
that that was a very valid comment. I think I

1195
01:01:45,599 --> 01:01:47,840
just looked at the standings and I said, Okay, are

1196
01:01:47,840 --> 01:01:51,000
these three teams, these four teams really gonna jump them,

1197
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:53,280
Like I saw the Guardians creeping into the mix.

1198
01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:55,000
Speaker 2: Sorry, Brian, they're not making the playoffs.

1199
01:01:55,039 --> 01:01:57,840
Speaker 1: So I was just like, man, like three or four

1200
01:01:57,880 --> 01:01:59,960
teams are gonna have to play good ball to jump them.

1201
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:04,760
But that's it's possible. I mean four to one, that

1202
01:02:04,880 --> 01:02:08,639
is crazy. I would have thought it was more like

1203
01:02:08,639 --> 01:02:12,480
like plus one fifty. I would have thought my preseason

1204
01:02:12,519 --> 01:02:14,599
number on that was better than the number now. So

1205
01:02:14,639 --> 01:02:16,159
the fact that they're going to give you four to

1206
01:02:16,159 --> 01:02:20,440
one is is crazy. With how close Yeah, slick, slick thick,

1207
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:22,000
I think he was the one that brought it up

1208
01:02:22,760 --> 01:02:24,360
or one of the people that chimed in with how

1209
01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:27,760
close the wild card is right now. The only reason

1210
01:02:27,760 --> 01:02:30,199
I'm harping on it is I think that's like probably

1211
01:02:30,199 --> 01:02:32,039
the best bet I've given out on the show so

1212
01:02:32,119 --> 01:02:34,360
far today. Like, if you have the means to that

1213
01:02:34,440 --> 01:02:37,000
futures or you have credit a credit account, you can

1214
01:02:37,039 --> 01:02:39,239
get that down on like confidently, and you can get

1215
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:41,599
four to one on the Yankees to miss the playoffs.

1216
01:02:41,920 --> 01:02:46,440
That is a fantastic bet. Okay, we are at the

1217
01:02:46,559 --> 01:02:48,760
end of the show. We've got to read off the parlay.

1218
01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:51,840
Very simple today Boys. Three sides, Let's get it home.

1219
01:02:51,880 --> 01:02:56,079
Three sides plus six forty. That's actually really good. Brian

1220
01:02:56,119 --> 01:02:59,199
helping out with the odds. The Rays plus one thirteen,

1221
01:03:00,039 --> 01:03:01,719
I got a root that we're definitely rooting for that.

1222
01:03:01,760 --> 01:03:03,280
I'm gonna be going to look to add to the

1223
01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:05,599
Yankee Samiss playoffs bet as soon as we got off

1224
01:03:05,639 --> 01:03:08,039
the show, so hopefully his Rays get it done today

1225
01:03:08,079 --> 01:03:09,079
plus one thirteen.

1226
01:03:09,599 --> 01:03:10,000
Speaker 2: Tokyo.

1227
01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:12,159
Speaker 1: Brandon is on the Blue Jays minus one oh five,

1228
01:03:12,960 --> 01:03:16,280
and it's it's the Tigers for me. I think I'm

1229
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:18,480
gonna become like the newest Tigers fan now because I

1230
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:21,199
feel like the market's abandoned them. So I'm with Sean

1231
01:03:21,239 --> 01:03:23,679
in the chat. I'm very pro Tigers, at least for

1232
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:29,239
the foreseeable future. So once again, three sides Tigers. Jay's

1233
01:03:29,599 --> 01:03:33,039
Rays that three teamers plus six forty.

1234
01:03:33,639 --> 01:03:36,199
Speaker 2: So let's start the week off with a parlay.

1235
01:03:36,280 --> 01:03:38,679
Speaker 1: Win had a good week with the parlays last week,

1236
01:03:38,760 --> 01:03:41,599
hit two of them, so hopefully we're hitting here. Head

1237
01:03:41,639 --> 01:03:43,719
on over to the wager Talk YouTube channel if you

1238
01:03:43,719 --> 01:03:46,760
want to catch the replay, but also to drop a

1239
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:50,400
like and subscribe on the page. We appreciate it and

1240
01:03:50,440 --> 01:03:54,079
a communist Tokyo. Brandon said, we appreciate it. It helps grow,

1241
01:03:54,119 --> 01:03:56,599
It helps us grow the show. I've got a five

1242
01:03:56,639 --> 01:03:59,280
percenter Tonight, the boys have plays up. You can find

1243
01:03:59,360 --> 01:04:01,719
all of that at wagertalk dot com and you can

1244
01:04:01,800 --> 01:04:05,519
find us back here tomorrow morning, nine am for another

1245
01:04:05,519 --> 01:04:06,599
episode of Total Basis.

1246
01:04:06,599 --> 01:04:08,440
Speaker 2: Have a great day. Everyone will see you guys tomorrow