1 00:00:02,839 --> 00:00:05,599 Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for total bases. 2 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,519 It is Tuesday. Had to think about that for a second, 3 00:00:09,599 --> 00:00:12,800 forget what day it is sometimes, but Tuesday is always 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,439 five dollars Tuesday at the wager Talk site. I'm here 5 00:00:15,439 --> 00:00:18,280 with Tokyo Brandon Brian Leonard. We're gonna hit as many 6 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,920 baseball games as possible over the next forty five minutes, 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,000 and I'm gonna start. Well, let's start the same place 8 00:00:24,039 --> 00:00:27,519 we did yesterday. Yankees Mariners heads over to TBS tonight 9 00:00:27,559 --> 00:00:32,000 here in the States, National TV game winner for me 10 00:00:32,119 --> 00:00:35,200 last night on the Mariners, Brian Leonard my only client play. 11 00:00:35,679 --> 00:00:38,439 It was nice to win in walk off fashion for 12 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:41,920 once after getting walked off multiple times over the weekend. 13 00:00:42,119 --> 00:00:45,600 So the Mariners get it done two to one, use 14 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:47,719 a whole bunch of relievers in the process. Now you've 15 00:00:47,759 --> 00:00:51,719 got Max Freed, Logan Gilbert. Definitely a matchup worthy of 16 00:00:51,799 --> 00:00:56,320 National TV. So talk to me about Yankees Mariners. Do 17 00:00:56,359 --> 00:00:57,960 you see it going the other way? Or you back 18 00:00:58,000 --> 00:00:58,880 on the Mariners tonight? 19 00:00:59,439 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 2: Ye, Mariners. If you've noticed, I'm wearing my glasses today 20 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,000 because I haven't been seeing the card well. So for 21 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:08,079 this season, I had I had a small player on 22 00:01:08,159 --> 00:01:10,560 the Yankees. I only had small plays yesterday in baseball. 23 00:01:10,599 --> 00:01:14,640 But uh yeah, it's been a rough start. You're right. 24 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,239 Both these guys are people you like to back. We're 25 00:01:17,239 --> 00:01:19,640 actually getting to the point now in the season where 26 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,599 we've got a little bit of information behind us, and 27 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:25,040 I know that means a lot to Tokyo. Brandon is. 28 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,239 He doesn't use a lot of last year's stats, and 29 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:31,000 maybe I shouldn't have either because it's getting off to 30 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,640 a rough start. But hey, let's get him back tonight. 31 00:01:34,159 --> 00:01:37,280 Gilbert going for Seattle tonight, and he's one of my 32 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:40,400 favorite pitchers. He's going at home. I've talked many times 33 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:43,079 about how well these Seattle pitchers pitch at home, and 34 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,359 they struggle on the road a little bit. But he's 35 00:01:45,359 --> 00:01:47,640 been very good against both lefties and righties. He's probably 36 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,280 gonna play six lefties tonight, and he's got a thirty 37 00:01:51,319 --> 00:01:54,000 one point seven to five point nine strikeout the walk 38 00:01:54,079 --> 00:01:56,840 ratio in that regard, which is very similar to what 39 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:01,799 he does against against the So he's very good. He 40 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:05,439 doesn't have any any problem going left already. It either 41 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:10,639 really does the pitcher for the Yankees going today in 42 00:02:10,719 --> 00:02:13,759 Max Free, He's very much the same way too, slightly better, 43 00:02:14,159 --> 00:02:16,639 I guess one or the other, but not major differentials 44 00:02:16,719 --> 00:02:20,000 for differentials like you see many times in the lineup today. 45 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,280 It's like, oh, Tony's only going to face one left 46 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:25,759 handed batter probably, or one right handed batter in the 47 00:02:26,319 --> 00:02:31,159 Cleveland lineup tonight. But like both these pitchers, the offenses 48 00:02:31,159 --> 00:02:34,960 have been hitt and miss so far from both these teams. Obviously, 49 00:02:35,039 --> 00:02:38,599 when you take a look at this line we are seeing, 50 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,400 basically it's it's somewhat of a pick on. The Yankees 51 00:02:42,439 --> 00:02:44,599 are slightly favored into one ten to one to fifteen 52 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,360 ranch total of a seven. Normally I'd say the under here, 53 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:50,879 but the Yankees do have one of the best hitting 54 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:55,439 teams in Major League Baseball. It's when like the Dodgers 55 00:02:55,599 --> 00:02:58,560 or the Yankees are playing, it's tough to play unders 56 00:02:58,599 --> 00:03:01,800 because the offenses can go off at any time. So 57 00:03:02,199 --> 00:03:04,680 I'm saying the line basically what I thought it was 58 00:03:04,719 --> 00:03:06,960 going to be. So there's not enough on me heater 59 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,960 to make it to play, and because of the way 60 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,000 we've been playing lately, I don't want to force anything. 61 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:15,520 So maybe maybe Brandon has something better than I do 62 00:03:15,599 --> 00:03:18,599 on this one or maybe yourself. 63 00:03:19,759 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, go ahead, TV. You had Max Freed on opening Day, 64 00:03:23,039 --> 00:03:26,319 a nice easy winner with the Yankees in their opener 65 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,000 out in San Francisco. So now you get Max Freed 66 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:32,280 around second time. I think he went six and a third, 67 00:03:32,319 --> 00:03:35,080 two hits, no runs, look really good on opening day. 68 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,719 How do you are you riding it with Max Freed 69 00:03:38,759 --> 00:03:40,199 here after that opening day effort? 70 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,039 Speaker 3: He did look good on opening day, and Gilbert didn't 71 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:47,400 look too good on opening Day, So yeah, what do 72 00:03:47,439 --> 00:03:50,319 you do with these guys? Well, take a look at 73 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:54,000 the bullpens. I think the Yankees bullpen. I mean, Seattle's 74 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,479 known for their bullpen, but the Yankees bullpen is playing 75 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,039 really well right now. Like Brian said, we're starting to 76 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,680 build up some stats now so we can kind of 77 00:04:04,039 --> 00:04:06,479 judge how things are. But you know, these guys have 78 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:10,639 only played one team so far or one series so far, 79 00:04:10,719 --> 00:04:13,400 and they're on their second team, So take it with 80 00:04:13,439 --> 00:04:15,280 a little bit of a grain assault, But yeah, the 81 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:20,639 Yankees bullpen is playing well. On my Twitter Tokyo underbar Brandon, 82 00:04:20,879 --> 00:04:24,959 I put up the today's pitchers and their ops against 83 00:04:24,959 --> 00:04:30,639 the team they're playing against, and yeah, Max Fried's ops 84 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,199 in sixty three at bats against these batters that he 85 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,920 faces today is six point twenty. And I've said in 86 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,000 previous shows that seven point fifty is kind of my 87 00:04:40,079 --> 00:04:42,959 Mendoza line. So he's under the Mendoza line. It means 88 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,519 he does pretty well against these batters. You might be 89 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:50,639 surprised to know that Logan Gilbert's ops in seventy four 90 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,959 at bats against these guys is a whopping nine to fourteen. 91 00:04:54,399 --> 00:04:58,439 That's not very good. The one caveat to these stats, 92 00:04:58,439 --> 00:05:01,079 and I put the whole list every starter up on 93 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:04,680 my on my Twitter ex. Tokyo and Barburton. The caveat 94 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:07,360 to this, though, is you don't know how recent these 95 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,240 these numbers are. They could be four or five years ago, 96 00:05:10,519 --> 00:05:13,199 and generally when I do my stats, I only consider 97 00:05:13,319 --> 00:05:17,839 last year and partial twenty twenty four at this point. 98 00:05:17,879 --> 00:05:22,079 So so some of these stats for long in the 99 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,759 tooth pitchers like Castillo and even Freed's been around for 100 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,040 a while. Some of these might be from six years ago. 101 00:05:28,079 --> 00:05:31,079 I don't know, and I can't differentiate, So that's the caveat, 102 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:34,680 But it is telling to know that Gilbert has been 103 00:05:34,759 --> 00:05:37,560 rocked by these guys at least at some point in 104 00:05:37,639 --> 00:05:42,160 his career. Particularly Stanton and Judge both have over one 105 00:05:42,199 --> 00:05:47,360 thousand ops's against him in twenty or more sorry ten 106 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,959 or more at bats, so that's relevant. I like the Yankees. 107 00:05:51,759 --> 00:05:54,680 I made a free play video about this. I sent 108 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,079 it in that Wager Talk might not have uploaded it yet, 109 00:05:57,079 --> 00:05:59,439 but it's on their YouTube channel. I like the Yankees 110 00:05:59,439 --> 00:06:01,040 on the money Line, and I think it's good value. 111 00:06:01,079 --> 00:06:04,560 They're Bullpens in good form. They Aaron Judge, they have 112 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:10,000 Max Freed. It's Yankees or nothing for me. Yeah, listen, 113 00:06:10,079 --> 00:06:14,000 I go ahead, I might make it my parlay leg. 114 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: Listen. I can't really argue there. I thought Free looked 115 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,560 really good in his opening start, and and like you said, Gilbert, 116 00:06:22,399 --> 00:06:25,160 he battled against the Guardians, but that I don't think 117 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,240 there is a very good Guardians lineup, and they got 118 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:29,319 to him for enough. It wasn't a it wasn't a 119 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,920 bad start, but you're right, TV, it was it was not. 120 00:06:32,439 --> 00:06:35,199 You know, when you're betting on Logan Gilbert, you kind 121 00:06:35,199 --> 00:06:38,279 of need better than that. Typically where he's he's priced 122 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,639 for me. Yesterday, I just came to the conclusion that Okay, 123 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:44,480 I've got I've got the Mariners rate. You know, do 124 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,000 my power rankings. I have the Mariners one, I had 125 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,399 the Yankees two. And I kind of sat there and said, 126 00:06:49,439 --> 00:06:51,800 wait a minute, so I could get the team that 127 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:53,519 I have won against the team that I have two 128 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:57,120 at minus one oh five. I'm not at a pitching deficit, 129 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,240 and all my bullpen guys are healthy. That was I 130 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:04,120 was ultimately rational with landing on Seattle last night. Something 131 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:09,360 I found interesting. I saw wager Talk Gianni are our coworker, 132 00:07:09,879 --> 00:07:12,079 Gianni the Greek who you know, I mean, if he's 133 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,680 gonna give something out to probably listen to it. He 134 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,279 posted his MLB power rankings to the wager Talk site 135 00:07:18,319 --> 00:07:21,319 yesterday in a video, and he didn't have the Mariners 136 00:07:21,319 --> 00:07:24,560 in his top five. And I said, okay, that's I'm 137 00:07:24,639 --> 00:07:27,360 surprised that that there's It almost seems like there's like 138 00:07:27,399 --> 00:07:30,600 a pretty polarizing opinion when it comes to this team. 139 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,720 For me, though, the pitching that they have is why 140 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:37,639 I have them so high. And last night to close 141 00:07:37,639 --> 00:07:41,399 that game out for Jose Ferrar to bizarre or de 142 00:07:41,439 --> 00:07:44,680 Spire to brash, that is really really good in my opinion. 143 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,920 That's that's as good as you're gonna get But all 144 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,040 four of those guys pitched last night, so we're early 145 00:07:51,079 --> 00:07:54,120 in the season. I still think you probably see some 146 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:56,480 of them here. I don't think anyone went crazy with 147 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:59,560 with pitch count, but it's not as good of a 148 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,560 spot for the Mariners as last night was in my opinion. 149 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:07,040 So I think with giving Freed the slight edge over Gilbert, 150 00:08:07,079 --> 00:08:08,920 I'm kind of with you, TV. I think i'd go 151 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:11,600 I think it would be Yankees or pass for me 152 00:08:11,639 --> 00:08:17,040 as well. Right here, Brian, Sorry, did you have something 153 00:08:17,079 --> 00:08:17,639 to add there? 154 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 2: Before we move on, I'll put up a finger in 155 00:08:20,279 --> 00:08:21,439 case I have something to add. 156 00:08:22,399 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 3: Brian in the finger. 157 00:08:25,639 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: All right, there's there's plenty of other games to get to, 158 00:08:28,079 --> 00:08:29,480 so go ahead. TV. 159 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:31,079 Speaker 3: I'm sorry to cut in. 160 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: It's five dollars Tuesday. 161 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 3: By the way, all three of us will certainly have 162 00:08:34,639 --> 00:08:36,799 a play up today for five dollars. I have a 163 00:08:36,799 --> 00:08:41,080 four percenter up so in MLB, so I just wanted 164 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:44,279 to throw that in make management happy. 165 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,399 Speaker 1: So we will move along. Yeah, I'll bring up the parlay. 166 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:51,840 Yesterday it was ozho and three, but guess what Friday 167 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,519 the parlay went three and oh. And you know when 168 00:08:54,759 --> 00:08:57,279 you're doing Parlays. I think that's right, that's how you'd 169 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,080 rather have it. Although I know some people bet the 170 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:04,519 the best bets individually. So anyway, uh yeah, listen, gee Hurt, 171 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:07,759 I don't know if the Jays being ashamed of themselves. Listen, 172 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:12,000 you want to know something even more rosiculous. Here's even 173 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:14,399 more ridiculous. I went into a ten minute my under 174 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:18,320 the Radar segment yesterday. I did ten minutes on Cody 175 00:09:18,399 --> 00:09:21,039 Ponce and how I expected this like breakout of him 176 00:09:21,879 --> 00:09:26,559 and the poor guy like pulls a hamstringer gets he 177 00:09:26,639 --> 00:09:29,320 leaves the game injured. He wasn't pitching bad too, you know, 178 00:09:29,399 --> 00:09:32,159 into the third. I think that if he made the play, 179 00:09:32,399 --> 00:09:35,159 the run probably would have come in. But the stuff's 180 00:09:35,159 --> 00:09:38,320 looking decent, and I think that's the reason. You know, 181 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,000 the Jays they lose their starter in the third. They 182 00:09:41,039 --> 00:09:42,759 have to kind of go to the bullpen earlier, and 183 00:09:42,799 --> 00:09:44,480 once it went off the rails, it just it just 184 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:47,360 kind of went off the rails. So we can go 185 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:49,399 back to that series here. So I'm going to go 186 00:09:49,399 --> 00:09:53,440 to Brian. Brian talk to me about man. I feel 187 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,840 like I maybe cursed Cody Ponce. He's back in the States. 188 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,039 For the first time in four years. Is his debut 189 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,480 with the Blue Jays, and I I don't know how 190 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:02,360 much I might have put him on the il for 191 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,759 a couple of months after that, but let's go to 192 00:10:05,799 --> 00:10:07,679 that game. I'll go to you Rockies, Blue Jays and 193 00:10:07,879 --> 00:10:08,720 what did you see there? 194 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, it sounds like it's a it's going to be 195 00:10:12,519 --> 00:10:14,919 a serious injury. And I think that took the air 196 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:18,200 out of Toronto because they've had so many starting pitchers 197 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,399 get hurt this year. It's a team coming into the 198 00:10:20,399 --> 00:10:22,559 season expect to go back to the World Series, so 199 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:25,679 they continue to lose their starters and they just don't 200 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,159 have the depth to do it. I think that's what 201 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:30,360 it is, an in game thing where you just don't God, 202 00:10:30,399 --> 00:10:34,399 here we go again. But today they got Feldner going 203 00:10:34,519 --> 00:10:37,879 for Colorado, and we talked about it. We like Colorado 204 00:10:37,919 --> 00:10:39,639 better this year than we have in the past. Still 205 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,799 the road Rockies, everybody writes it up as an automatic win. 206 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:49,080 But like I said before this series started, they're on 207 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:51,240 the road. They haven't been in Colorado yet. And when 208 00:10:51,279 --> 00:10:53,919 we Colorado travels from home to road, that's when you 209 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,840 take care. You could take advantage of the road Rockies 210 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,679 Felner goal for Colorado. Shares are going for Toronto. Toronto 211 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,840 big favorite here and they're about to watch seventy five. 212 00:11:03,919 --> 00:11:06,039 Watch seventy range eight and a half to the under 213 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:10,919 slightly on this one. Yeah, I'm sorry to seventy Yes. Yeah, 214 00:11:11,039 --> 00:11:14,759 Schurezer joined the team late because he was a late Sidney. 215 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:17,000 But from everything we have seen in the springding and 216 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:19,039 now we haven't seen a lot, he looks really good 217 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:22,039 right now. He's a dog out there. He's going to 218 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,159 make sure this team is ready to go in this game. 219 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,919 I've never been much of a Feltoner fan, but do 220 00:11:27,039 --> 00:11:29,279 I want to really lay this kind of number with Toronto? 221 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:33,080 I'm not sure. I think there's better ways to make 222 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,840 money on the cards, so I'm passing. But you would 223 00:11:35,879 --> 00:11:39,120 expect from a veteran team that that happened to yesterday, 224 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:42,320 we would expect a nice bounce back. But baseball isn't 225 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:46,279 like a physical sport like good basketball or a football, 226 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:47,919 so it's a little you have to take it with 227 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:49,039 a little bit of a grand salt. 228 00:11:51,279 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think for this one. Listen like you're still 229 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:58,159 paying a sort of a massive premium to back the 230 00:11:58,159 --> 00:12:01,399 Blue Jays. I was more inclined to do it yesterday 231 00:12:01,399 --> 00:12:03,000 with the minus one and a half because I felt 232 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,399 like we had such a nice pitching edge. I'm not 233 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,279 sure that the pitching edge, even even with Feldner, I 234 00:12:08,279 --> 00:12:12,279 don't think it's as pronounced here. My my numbers suggest 235 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,799 that Rockies plus one and a half, which is now 236 00:12:14,879 --> 00:12:17,159 four and oh on the season. We brought that up 237 00:12:17,159 --> 00:12:19,000 on the first show, that that would be a good 238 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:21,000 way to play the Rockies. It's four and oh against 239 00:12:21,039 --> 00:12:23,840 the number. I think that's how I would go again. 240 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,360 I I you know, I'll tell you what one thing 241 00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:29,600 about the Blue Jays. They have nothing at the Triple 242 00:12:29,639 --> 00:12:32,039 A level right now. I don't know where they're getting 243 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:36,000 reinforcements from unless they I mean, they have very very 244 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:38,240 little in the pipeline in terms of like big league 245 00:12:38,279 --> 00:12:41,679 ready pitching. So that is a that is rough for 246 00:12:41,799 --> 00:12:44,759 them to lose Ponts and like you said, probably lose 247 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,960 him for uh, you know, for for a long period 248 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:52,159 of time. Yeah. Tough, tough loss, right there, Rockies plus 249 00:12:52,159 --> 00:12:54,279 one and a half. Yeah, it's still undefeated, four and 250 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:55,799 oh against the number. 251 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:58,519 Speaker 3: We'll see how long TV. 252 00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:00,080 Speaker 1: I want to come to you with I want to 253 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,000 move it along to a different game. Uh, one that 254 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,600 I agreed with you on yesterday, just it didn't work out. 255 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,080 And that's the Tigers and the Diamondbacks. And you know, 256 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:11,320 kind of something that we brought up was, listen, Arizona's 257 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,919 still probably gonna hit. So lineups still, you know, they 258 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:18,039 still have a respectable lineup. Corbyn Carroll could tell Marte 259 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:25,440 per Domo there's there's offense there. Verlander yesterday didn't have 260 00:13:25,519 --> 00:13:27,840 it and Arizona was able to sort of pound their 261 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:30,480 way to a nine to six win. I think you 262 00:13:30,519 --> 00:13:33,759 were a day early on the Tigers. I think I'm 263 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:35,799 kind of leaning toward the Tigers here. I was wondering 264 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,360 if you're willing to come back with Detroit out in 265 00:13:38,399 --> 00:13:39,120 the desert tonight. 266 00:13:41,399 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 3: So this is what's interesting. And I was watching that 267 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:49,960 game last night, and uh, very interestingly, as soon as 268 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,360 the Diamondbacks took a seven to nothing lead and their 269 00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:54,600 starter came out of the game, I said, they're gonna 270 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:57,600 come back, They're gonna they took their starter at I 271 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,440 think after the fifth inning. I think it was If 272 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:01,960 I'm not miss I could be wrong, but I was like, 273 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,519 they're gonna get four full innings on this bullpen, they're 274 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:10,320 gonna come back, and they almost did. So yeah, I 275 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:13,399 agree with you Adam and your sentiment there. I think, 276 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:18,759 uh Man, that Arizona bullpen is bad. They got nobody nobody, 277 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,320 but they hit a lot. So, like I said in 278 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:24,720 the very first show that we did together this season, 279 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,360 look for a lot of overs with this team, especially 280 00:14:27,399 --> 00:14:31,679 in that ballpark. Bullpen is atrocious, but they got some 281 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:36,919 solid hitting. I mean, Carol whacked it last night. I mean, 282 00:14:37,279 --> 00:14:38,840 I mean, yeah, it was a good It was a 283 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,559 good game for them. Taking a look at the OPS 284 00:14:41,679 --> 00:14:45,200 ranking rankings, though, Mayes has a five to twenty nine 285 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:48,320 OPS against these batters and only thirty three at bats 286 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,759 and fat has a one thousand and one to sixty 287 00:14:51,759 --> 00:14:54,320 OPS against these batters in twenty five at bats. So 288 00:14:55,000 --> 00:15:01,480 definitely pitching advantage to Detroit. A definitely both advantage to Detroit. 289 00:15:01,519 --> 00:15:06,399 The problem is they're hitting is just flaccid. So if 290 00:15:06,399 --> 00:15:08,399 they can get any kind of I love that word, 291 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:12,320 if they can get any kind of run production, they 292 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,559 they should be able to win this. But you know, 293 00:15:14,879 --> 00:15:18,039 it's like it's like in football when like Toledo's playing 294 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,480 Hawaii and it's like seventy five to seventy You know, 295 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:24,200 it's it turns into these kind of games. Can Detroit 296 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:27,799 you know, uh, put it up and keep up with 297 00:15:27,879 --> 00:15:31,440 the Arizona Bats, That's the question. So I'm gonna stay 298 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,120 off this game. Over would be the only way I 299 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,360 would go in any Diamondbacks game for the rest of 300 00:15:36,399 --> 00:15:36,759 the year. 301 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 1: I mean, you can't make a MAC Football reference without 302 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:42,440 bringing Brian Leonard in. So if you're gonna throw it, 303 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:44,440 you're gonna throw the MATC conference in here. We got 304 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:46,279 to get his gotta get his take on this. I 305 00:15:46,279 --> 00:15:48,039 guess the question I would ask you, Brian, you know 306 00:15:48,679 --> 00:15:53,720 Casey Mize was I was pretty anti Casey Mice at one. 307 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 3: Point, and last year I think you were. Ye. 308 00:15:56,919 --> 00:15:59,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, and he he he sort of like won me 309 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,480 over over in the respect that like I feel like 310 00:16:02,519 --> 00:16:05,639 he's kind of reinvented himself. I don't know that he's 311 00:16:05,679 --> 00:16:08,720 He's certainly not a fade for me at this point. TB. 312 00:16:08,879 --> 00:16:12,639 I'll go, I'll echo your sentiment. The Diamondbacks bullpen is bad. 313 00:16:12,919 --> 00:16:16,399 I mean it is. It is a problem. So you 314 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,200 know yesterday they don't really need the bullpen. They built 315 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,799 themselves up such a big cushion. You know, I see 316 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:23,960 the Tigers that even money here, It's it's hard to 317 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,360 not to like want to take a shot with that price, Brian, 318 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,000 you know ge Hurt in the chat, let me pull 319 00:16:30,039 --> 00:16:32,879 his comment up. He says, you know, snakes are passed, 320 00:16:32,879 --> 00:16:35,080 they casey mees and the bump. You know, is he 321 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,559 going to hit the bottom of the rotation. I don't 322 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:40,879 know that I agree with that being like a deterrent 323 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,000 for me to be on the Tigers. So you know, 324 00:16:43,039 --> 00:16:45,519 how are you seeing miz the Tigers? And you know, 325 00:16:45,519 --> 00:16:46,559 talk to g Hurt there. 326 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, neither one of us really like myes last year, 327 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,679 but I agree he's grown on me a little bit. 328 00:16:52,399 --> 00:16:56,200 Rando font for Arizona. As I said yesterday, a lot 329 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,159 of these pictures have looked really good at spring training 330 00:16:58,159 --> 00:17:01,519 and it's been blown up in my face panic yesterday. 331 00:17:02,519 --> 00:17:06,000 But fot has looked good. And keep in mind he 332 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:10,279 was highly regarded as a minor league or big strikeout guy. 333 00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:13,119 It hasn't really been that way in the majors. But 334 00:17:13,319 --> 00:17:15,640 he was terrible last year, no doubt about it. He 335 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:17,720 was a good You get so many starts from the 336 00:17:17,799 --> 00:17:19,519 year before you go God how many times am I 337 00:17:19,559 --> 00:17:21,480 going to lose on this guy. It's tough to come 338 00:17:21,519 --> 00:17:24,279 back and back him. But the line to me looks 339 00:17:24,319 --> 00:17:27,240 about where it should be. I expect both pitchers to 340 00:17:27,279 --> 00:17:30,799 have have a pretty good game here. This This is 341 00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:33,160 a pretty good hitters ballpark, So I don't like to 342 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,920 bet the under in this one, but I'm not finding 343 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,200 an edge here either way. I think both these pitchers 344 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:40,920 are going to have better seasons than what they saw 345 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:41,440 in the past. 346 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean five. If he ever figures out the 347 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,359 secondary stuff again, he could be very good. That fastball 348 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,039 is a big fastball. You know what, Brian, I'm gonna 349 00:17:52,039 --> 00:17:53,960 stay with you and then and then we'll get Tokyo 350 00:17:54,039 --> 00:17:57,119 the next one. Just because blister bets here says thank 351 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,519 you by your breakdown on the Dodgers Guardians game yesterday. 352 00:18:00,559 --> 00:18:03,480 I wish I played Guardians first five, but the under 353 00:18:03,559 --> 00:18:06,599 verse five won me some good coin mess. It pitched 354 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,559 very effect efficiently. Yeah, he did that. That was a 355 00:18:09,559 --> 00:18:13,920 great call Guardians. I mean, you know, Brian, I think 356 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:16,240 now we're both in the mode of like the other 357 00:18:16,279 --> 00:18:19,680 shoe to drop mode with this team. I think because 358 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,119 they did look good yesterday and so I'll go back 359 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,680 to you show. Hey, Otani, Tanner, Biby looks like the 360 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:30,039 matchup tonight, So talk to me. Dodgers Guardians. Do you 361 00:18:30,279 --> 00:18:32,519 know when do we start fading the Guardians? I guess 362 00:18:32,519 --> 00:18:33,079 that's a question. 363 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 2: Well, as much as I talked up the Guardians, and 364 00:18:37,279 --> 00:18:40,759 yesterday's game was because of the starting pitcher, and he 365 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:45,240 was great, and I like the fire. He had something 366 00:18:45,279 --> 00:18:46,559 to keep in mind for the rest of the season. 367 00:18:46,599 --> 00:18:48,519 I've always liked he's the best picture, and I mentioned 368 00:18:48,519 --> 00:18:50,039 that yesterday. I think he's the best picture in the 369 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:55,960 organization starting pitchers. But the problem was I used Cleveland 370 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:57,720 over one and a half first five runs, and I 371 00:18:57,720 --> 00:18:59,839 always scored one. Now that I had other kinds on base, 372 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:01,920 thought they would go to score. So I'm probably the 373 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,880 only one out there that didn't play my entire Andy 374 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,799 cap and it ended up losing. What are you gonna do? 375 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,839 One and a half percent? But anyway, he got tenor 376 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:15,440 Biby going against Sotani today, and when Tony starts as 377 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:19,720 a starting pitcher, if you're a prop player, I like 378 00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:23,559 to bet against his props from hitting because he's got 379 00:19:23,599 --> 00:19:25,400 something else on his mind. If you take a look 380 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,519 at his stats when he's dhing as a post to pitching. 381 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,519 So if you're a prop guy, I'm not really I 382 00:19:32,559 --> 00:19:34,119 follow it a little bit, but I don't give out 383 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:36,680 a lot of plays to clients. But he hasn't done 384 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:40,519 well in that regard. But Biby did have They pulled 385 00:19:40,599 --> 00:19:44,160 up earlyer the last start he had, he had some problems, 386 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,400 but a few days later he said he was great, 387 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,799 So they were really originally concerned and but no, everything 388 00:19:50,839 --> 00:19:53,960 seems to be good for Bibby. I'm not a big 389 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,519 fan of this Cleveland offense. They have some guys right 390 00:19:56,559 --> 00:19:59,279 now hitting over their heads and so as the team 391 00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:02,000 I'm looking to face overall. But do I really want 392 00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:06,000 to lay anywhere from two thirty five to seventy on 393 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,640 the Dodgers here? It would be Dodgers or nothing for me. 394 00:20:08,799 --> 00:20:10,759 But I think there's other ways to play it as 395 00:20:10,839 --> 00:20:15,519 opposed to straight up. Cleveland's bullpad is still very good. 396 00:20:16,519 --> 00:20:21,079 Dodgers have a very good bullpad. Maybe Dodgers first half 397 00:20:21,079 --> 00:20:23,200 and try to try to find something with that, or 398 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:27,039 maybe Cleveland team total under first off something to that effect. 399 00:20:28,039 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 1: Tokyo, Brandon, You're good at in the other ways to 400 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,759 play the bigger favorites department. I feel like you do 401 00:20:32,839 --> 00:20:35,400 a good job at this, so I'll bring you in here. 402 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:37,920 Can you find a way to play the Dodgers here, 403 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,319 you know, try to circumvent this large price. 404 00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:47,759 Speaker 3: I can't. Unfortunately. If anything, I would play like a 405 00:20:47,839 --> 00:20:52,720 O tiny pitching prompt. Okay, like I would play his 406 00:20:52,839 --> 00:20:57,440 outs under perhaps if you look at his early season starts, 407 00:20:58,519 --> 00:21:01,359 he generally comes out of games pretty early, and the 408 00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:04,440 Dodgers do not want to get him injured in his 409 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,799 first start, So any kind of outs prop under perhaps, 410 00:21:08,079 --> 00:21:11,559 especially if it's fifteen point five, definitely playing under, but 411 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,119 it's probably you're probably not gonna get that, and you're 412 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:19,319 probably gonna be fourteen and a half. Probably his strikeouts 413 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:23,640 I haven't projected at six strikeouts and fourteen outs recorded, 414 00:21:24,039 --> 00:21:27,200 So I would look at that if you have to 415 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,759 bet this game. But I think there's other ways to 416 00:21:29,799 --> 00:21:32,559 make money today, and. 417 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,279 Speaker 1: That is what we are here to ultimately find, you know, 418 00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,279 working our way through the chats. Obviously, if you're new 419 00:21:38,319 --> 00:21:40,680 to the show, hang around. Last fifteen minutes will be 420 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,920 giving out the best bets for the show. But this 421 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,960 is the period of the show where we do things 422 00:21:47,039 --> 00:21:50,559 like try to talk people off of play. I guess 423 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,119 plays they don't want. Gee Hurt says, someone talk me 424 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,680 off the Nats again today, So I'll go to Brian. 425 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,640 I mean, I guess the quick thing I would say 426 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,799 is like maybe Andrew Painter has arrived. I guess that 427 00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:04,559 would be the way you look at like potentially not 428 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,119 being on the Nationals. This is a guy that I 429 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,279 feel like Philly has been waiting forever to come up 430 00:22:10,319 --> 00:22:13,279 and be in the rotation, and now he's in the rotation. 431 00:22:13,519 --> 00:22:16,880 So Bryan Leonard, can you talk gee her off the 432 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:17,599 Nats today? 433 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,799 Speaker 2: I'm glad somebody asked for this one because this is 434 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,039 probably going to be my play in the parlay today. 435 00:22:25,759 --> 00:22:26,039 Speaker 1: PJ. 436 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:31,319 Speaker 2: Polland is going for Washington. He's been installed as a reliever. 437 00:22:31,559 --> 00:22:34,680 He's already pitched twice this season coming out of the 438 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,480 ball been He's a lefty and if you take a 439 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,599 look at his breakdowns, he's a LEFTI. He doesn't have 440 00:22:40,599 --> 00:22:45,240 a lot of control against lefties. Last year he had 441 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,640 a thirty two point six strikeout percentage, which is very good, 442 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,519 but his walk percentage against lefties was fifteen point two percent. 443 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,400 He wasn't a whole lot better against Ready, but his 444 00:22:56,519 --> 00:22:59,640 strikeout right went really down eighteen point one, dropped from 445 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,480 thirty two point six to eighteen point one. With facing 446 00:23:02,559 --> 00:23:05,279 Righty's his walk Gray was still eleven point one. So 447 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,720 you've got a Washington pitcher who I'm assuming is only 448 00:23:08,759 --> 00:23:10,440 going to be out there for an inning or two 449 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:15,079 and he's had control problems. Philadelphi's a veteran team. They 450 00:23:15,079 --> 00:23:17,279 should be able to draw some walks here, and I 451 00:23:17,319 --> 00:23:19,799 think that's going to be good for them. The problem 452 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:23,200 with Washington is we've talked about this bullpen being the 453 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:27,240 worst in Major League Baseball. Cole Henry's who usually their 454 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,519 eighth inning guy. He's pitched to the last three days. 455 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,880 Brad Lord is their seventh inning guy. He threw fifty 456 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,799 one pitches yesterday. He won't be there. So that leaves 457 00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:40,559 Clayton Veeter along with the rest of the bullpen that 458 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,079 are the worst of the bullpen arms. So there's a 459 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:47,160 way to play this game, and it's not going to 460 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:51,240 be on Washington for me. When you're looking at obviously, 461 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:55,799 when you're looking at the Phillies, we've all heard about 462 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,680 Andrew Panner. Excited for Andrew Panner, but it is a 463 00:23:59,759 --> 00:24:02,440 game in which people have been waiting for. So you're 464 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,799 looking at you know, the line out there is anywhere 465 00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:08,279 from like one seventy five to one ninety. I like 466 00:24:08,519 --> 00:24:11,920 the Philadelphia spot, but maybe we're doing better. We'll look 467 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,160 better at the team total. Let's take a look at 468 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,319 the team total here for Philadelphia. You can get any 469 00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,559 It just goes anywhere from three and a half to 470 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:23,240 five and a half. Right now, I'm saying a four 471 00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:27,960 and a half out there at minus one forty I 472 00:24:28,079 --> 00:24:30,319 like to I like the Philadelphia team total over. I'd 473 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:32,240 even I'd even lay it for them to get six 474 00:24:32,319 --> 00:24:35,680 runs and get plus money back. So let's let's take 475 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,759 a look at that. I like the Philadelphia team total. 476 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:40,799 I'll even go to the five and a half here. 477 00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:42,559 I'm pretty confident they're gonna have a lot of success 478 00:24:42,599 --> 00:24:48,400 against this Washington pitching staff. Let's look at playing Philadelphia 479 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,960 to score six or more runs, and you're getting them 480 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:55,039 about a plus one oh five or something to that range. 481 00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,400 So I'll go with that. I think Philadelphia gets to 482 00:24:57,799 --> 00:25:00,680 this Washington team this right here. 483 00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: And Brian, just to clarify, that was Phillies team total over. 484 00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,519 What was the price on that and a half over 485 00:25:09,039 --> 00:25:12,440 five and a half. Okay, perfect, we will uh, and 486 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,200 we'll recap the parloight the end of the show. I'll 487 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,039 just say a couple of words about Andrew Paynter quick 488 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:19,160 before we move on on major league debut. Uh, he's 489 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,000 only twenty two. I think that's like the thing that's 490 00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:24,359 like he's been if you've if you follow the miners 491 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,359 and the prospects, he's been around for a while. Tommy 492 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:29,359 John surgery a couple of years ago. Uh, they really 493 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,599 protected him last year. He could they could have easily 494 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,880 called him up at some point last year, and they just, 495 00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:38,519 you know, he was coming off of an injury. It 496 00:25:38,599 --> 00:25:41,240 wasn't like he was just totally dominant in the miners. 497 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,559 And and that's that's the luxury. When you're the Phillies 498 00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:46,640 and you're just you're gonna win one hundred games, you 499 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,839 don't you don't need to bring a guy like that 500 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,240 up and and potentially expose him to the big leagues 501 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,799 and have him, you know, get his confidence shattered and stuff. 502 00:25:54,839 --> 00:25:57,039 So now he's had an entire offseason. This was the 503 00:25:57,079 --> 00:26:00,519 thirteenth overall pick in twenty twenty one, and they are 504 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,400 the organization's very high on him. I think is part 505 00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,680 of the reason that they were willing to let Ranger 506 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,039 Suarez go, knowing that, you know, they expect him to 507 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,240 hold down a rotation spot this year. So I'm pretty 508 00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:13,680 high on him as well. I think he's gonna be 509 00:26:13,759 --> 00:26:17,480 pretty solid and uh so, yeah, I'm I'm with Philly's 510 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:22,640 correlated stuff in this game. I still think the Nats 511 00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,200 are awful. I think I don't know how they win games, 512 00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,079 to be honest with you, his team's gonna start losing 513 00:26:27,079 --> 00:26:32,119 games soon. So TV, I'm gonna go. H I see you, 514 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,799 you know, chatting up with leg Show magazine in the chat, 515 00:26:35,559 --> 00:26:37,920 I'm gonna go to leg Show here and I'll send 516 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,799 this to you. He brings up the A's OH to 517 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,720 four straight up in first five. Yeah, the A's not 518 00:26:43,839 --> 00:26:46,480 off to a great start. Who would have thought that? Oh, 519 00:26:46,599 --> 00:26:49,000 we did, because we said that probably would happen on 520 00:26:49,039 --> 00:26:51,759 our opening show. So the oh and four A's heading 521 00:26:51,759 --> 00:26:55,279 out to Atlanta tonight, Will staying in Atlanta. Looks like 522 00:26:55,319 --> 00:26:59,000 we've got a couple of journeymen on the mound. Aaron Savale, 523 00:26:59,079 --> 00:27:02,200 Jose Suarez. How are you seeing this one? A's Braves. 524 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:07,079 Speaker 3: I won the Braves yesterday. Uh so yeah, I was 525 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,079 pretty happy about that. Let me address two things in 526 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,240 the chat very quickly. One person asked, what does F 527 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:17,079 five mean in your plays? It means first five innings? Uh. 528 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:20,400 And then uh, someone else said, leave it to Brandon 529 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,920 tell say that Washington is trash and then they come 530 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,480 out and win. So yeah, Uh, if you need Cody 531 00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:28,960 Ponce to come back off his injury, just let me 532 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,400 talk trash about him and he'll probably come back and 533 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:37,519 win the cy Young So anyways, to address this one, 534 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:42,480 the A's. The A's are another team that. Man, their 535 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:47,079 pitching is not performing, but they have some Their one 536 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:51,960 two three is really nice. They're they're whacking it really good. 537 00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,319 Not much of a bullpen. So this is another team 538 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,559 I look to a lot of overs on. I really 539 00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:03,720 want to play the Braves in this one, but a 540 00:28:03,799 --> 00:28:07,279 couple things holding me back number one two in a row. 541 00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:10,759 I'm not one of those guys. I treat every game 542 00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:12,960 as kind of its own entity, so I don't really 543 00:28:13,519 --> 00:28:15,839 do the like streak or on a roll kind of thing. 544 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,240 But recently I haven't been able to win the same 545 00:28:19,279 --> 00:28:21,079 team two times in a row, so it's kind of 546 00:28:22,559 --> 00:28:25,799 kind of a voodoo for me. Is kind of a 547 00:28:25,839 --> 00:28:28,160 taboo for me, so I'm not sure if I'll do it, 548 00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,400 but the price is pretty nice at minus one forty. 549 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:35,240 The Braves seem like they can win those one two 550 00:28:35,279 --> 00:28:38,319 three lineup for the A's though that scares me a 551 00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:42,400 little bit. Rooker and solderstrom Man they can whack it, 552 00:28:43,279 --> 00:28:45,920 but their pitching is terrible. If anything, I would take 553 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,240 the over, but Jose Suarez is kind of an X 554 00:28:49,279 --> 00:28:53,039 factor for me here. So those two factors are keeping 555 00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:55,720 me off the two in a row thing, and then 556 00:28:55,759 --> 00:28:57,960 the Jose Suarez. I don't really know what to expect 557 00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,480 from him. 558 00:29:00,119 --> 00:29:05,039 Speaker 1: Yeah I listen, Oh yeah, no, let's I'll I'm gonna 559 00:29:05,039 --> 00:29:06,680 go to Brian here. I was just gonna say that 560 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,920 that's going to be the the conundrum with the A's 561 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,920 this year, because they do have some really you know, 562 00:29:12,039 --> 00:29:15,359 exciting offensive players. They're gonna hit, but you're gonna have 563 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,640 to factor in some pitching. That again, I think Brian, 564 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,079 and I'll go to you to to sort of, you know, 565 00:29:21,839 --> 00:29:26,799 talk on this. If their young pitchers don't like step 566 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:28,359 up big time this year, I don't. I don't know 567 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,519 how this staff isn't near the very very bottom of 568 00:29:30,559 --> 00:29:30,839 the week. 569 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,079 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would agree. The problem with the A's is 570 00:29:34,359 --> 00:29:36,359 hitting sampoint. Is they striking out all the time. They're 571 00:29:36,359 --> 00:29:39,119 setting records for strikeouts. I believe they've had the most, 572 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:43,720 and there's small sample size, the most strikeout percentage, highest 573 00:29:43,759 --> 00:29:46,559 strikeout percentage of Major League baseball history. I mean, it's 574 00:29:46,559 --> 00:29:50,559 been terrible, so I would your first thought would be 575 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,440 Jose Suarez strikeouts over. But if you take a look 576 00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,480 at what he did last year against right handed batters 577 00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,240 and he's expected to see four right handed batters out 578 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,039 of this lineup, his strikeout on the walk ratio was 579 00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:05,240 exactly the same eleven point nine. How often do you 580 00:30:05,319 --> 00:30:07,920 see a walk rate the same as a strikeout rate 581 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,799 against right handed battery. Now he's a lefty, so that that's, Uh, 582 00:30:12,079 --> 00:30:14,039 he's done pretty well. I guess left he's twenty eight 583 00:30:14,039 --> 00:30:16,240 point nine compared to ten point five in the walk rate. 584 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:20,160 But against right he's he's I don't trust him at all 585 00:30:20,079 --> 00:30:22,920 against any right hander out there, So yes, I don't. 586 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,359 I don't like him at all. And uh, but the 587 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:29,400 age batters are not hitting, maybe maybe it's an underplay. 588 00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,440 Who knows, but yeah, open right now is just swing 589 00:30:32,519 --> 00:30:34,799 or Sacramento is just swinging for the fences and it's 590 00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:35,759 not they're not getting. 591 00:30:35,559 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: Attempt It's a really good observation. There were some awful 592 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:44,079 swings in that Blue Jays series, like straight up just 593 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:49,319 not even close, just hacking up there and gee hearts. Yeah, 594 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,440 close your eyes and swing as hard as you possibly can. 595 00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:54,200 It looked like that for periods of time in that 596 00:30:54,279 --> 00:30:55,559 opening series for sure. 597 00:30:56,839 --> 00:30:59,359 Speaker 3: Twenty five strikeouts in three games. 598 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:02,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gotta that's that's not gonna fly. I mean 599 00:31:03,039 --> 00:31:05,440 maybe maybe when you're playing in Sacramento and when you 600 00:31:05,519 --> 00:31:07,480 when you hit one of those pop ups, it goes out. 601 00:31:07,599 --> 00:31:11,680 But it is not a probably not a winning strategy, 602 00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:14,680 and it's something that we I feel like we forecasted 603 00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:16,920 on our very first show of the year. I think 604 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,440 we all were kind of in agreement that maybe maybe 605 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:20,839 the market was too high on them. 606 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:25,680 Speaker 3: And if they struck out twenty five times, you get 607 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:29,000 twenty seven outs per game, so they struck out an 608 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:29,880 entire game. 609 00:31:31,079 --> 00:31:34,279 Speaker 1: It's hilarious TV. I'm coming to you here. We got 610 00:31:34,279 --> 00:31:37,680 Frank Gomez with a donation, so very much appreciate you 611 00:31:37,759 --> 00:31:40,480 and and he's he says, thank you, gents. I hit 612 00:31:40,599 --> 00:31:43,880 on both unders for Pirates, Reds and Giants, Padres, Tokyo, 613 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:47,240 Brandon love your outs list. If you have it for today, 614 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,960 please share so over to you TV. Are you sharing 615 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,200 that today? And this is also your window for a 616 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:54,240 best bet? So take it. 617 00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:57,519 Speaker 3: Away, okay, best bet. I'm gonna do the Yankees here. 618 00:31:57,559 --> 00:31:59,519 I think they're gonna come back. Take them on the 619 00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:02,200 money line minus one twelve. I already broke it down 620 00:32:03,119 --> 00:32:06,319 on my Twitter at Tokyo underbur brand, and I will 621 00:32:07,039 --> 00:32:12,519 since since since mister Gomez asked me specifically, I will 622 00:32:12,519 --> 00:32:15,200 put it out later today before the games. It might 623 00:32:15,279 --> 00:32:18,480 be in the evening, but check my Twitter. I will 624 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,880 put it up. I promise. Today's theme is w k 625 00:32:23,079 --> 00:32:25,960 RP and Cincinnati by the way, and I'm Johnny Fever. 626 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:30,720 Speaker 1: So yeah, all the Twitter handles are right there on 627 00:32:30,759 --> 00:32:34,640 your screen. TV. That's something he tweets out. I think 628 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:38,720 somewhat somewhat regularly a couple times a week, basically daily. 629 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,359 Speaker 3: There's so many lists though, so I choose which list 630 00:32:41,359 --> 00:32:43,440 to put out today. But if he wants the outs, 631 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:44,599 I'll put the outs out later. 632 00:32:44,799 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's what you You ask it on 633 00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:51,000 here and we try to get it to you. So 634 00:32:51,079 --> 00:32:53,559 TV is going to make sure you get that outs list, 635 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,200 you know. Check that out for check that out on 636 00:32:56,279 --> 00:32:59,279 his Twitter. Also check out his page at wager talk 637 00:32:59,319 --> 00:33:01,759 dot com. I think you said four percent play. That's 638 00:33:01,839 --> 00:33:05,079 up for five bucks today so far mister yep, four 639 00:33:05,759 --> 00:33:07,920 four percenter up for five dollars and then we all 640 00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,400 will have something as part of five dollars Tuesday. That's 641 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,519 site wide. Any handicapper on the site five dollars play 642 00:33:14,799 --> 00:33:17,200 at wager talk dot com. I'm going to head to 643 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:19,759 Brian Leonard Bryan Dealer's choice for you. We already know 644 00:33:19,839 --> 00:33:22,519 what your parlay leg is. Pick a game, and then 645 00:33:22,599 --> 00:33:24,319 let's the three of us hit that game before I 646 00:33:24,359 --> 00:33:25,240 get to my best bet. 647 00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 2: Right, Well, let's look at Boston Houston. That's two very 648 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,319 expected to be two very good teams going below against Brown. 649 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,680 Brown's about a one forty five favorite total seven and 650 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,680 a half. We've talked to the past about how we're 651 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,279 at least myself and I think Trigger agrees Brian Bellow. 652 00:33:46,359 --> 00:33:50,279 It was the wrong starter to give the big contract 653 00:33:50,279 --> 00:33:54,039 to never been much of a Bellow fan, but he's 654 00:33:54,079 --> 00:33:56,119 performed better than what I thought he has the last 655 00:33:56,119 --> 00:33:59,200 couple of years. Brown is very polarizing. I know a 656 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:03,200 lot of guys in in the fantasy community. I think 657 00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,160 he's going to have a letdown this season. Other guys 658 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:07,079 think he's one of the best pitchers in baseball. So 659 00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:11,280 it'll be interesting how this one comes Outtake the look 660 00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,800 at the two teams. I'm not a Houston fan this year. 661 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,599 I think Houston's going to come up a little bit short. 662 00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:19,159 They're a team I'm looking to fade, and I think 663 00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:22,440 Boston is clearly, at least in my regard, the better team. 664 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,480 So you're getting the better team. Is a nice underdog 665 00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:27,760 price here. Yes it's on the road, but Boston's always 666 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,559 been a pretty good road team. I think there's a 667 00:34:29,599 --> 00:34:31,559 little bit of value here on Boston. Although I'm not 668 00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:34,960 a huge Bellow fan, I'm leaning that way, and the 669 00:34:35,039 --> 00:34:39,440 money it's pretty balanced here, so it's sticking in that 670 00:34:39,519 --> 00:34:43,280 same range. But I'm just wondering what you had thought here. 671 00:34:43,559 --> 00:34:45,719 I do want to point out that I am going 672 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,880 I've got to excuse me, a four percent play in 673 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:50,840 hockey going to now you want our hockey play again. 674 00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,280 Last night we had Toronto Maple Leafs, a big underdog 675 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,000 winning in every sport. Once again, it stuff for baseball, 676 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,599 So it'll turn around. The Glasses are going to do 677 00:34:58,599 --> 00:35:02,360 it today, folks. But wondering what your thoughts are on 678 00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:05,639 this Boston game, because I think there's a little bit 679 00:35:05,639 --> 00:35:07,199 of value on him on them here. 680 00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,079 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean, listen, it is March thirty. First, 681 00:35:10,079 --> 00:35:11,880 we have we have plenty of time to get in 682 00:35:11,639 --> 00:35:13,760 the in the in the plus in the in the bases, 683 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:18,440 and I would say handicappers players on the field, that 684 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,480 the the element of randomness those first couple of weeks 685 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:26,920 is just playing in temperatures like I mean it is. 686 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,719 It is pouring rain, It's it's cold out in the 687 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,719 Northeast right now. It's like those first couple of weeks 688 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:37,159 are battle So don't sweat that. We'll absolutely get there 689 00:35:37,199 --> 00:35:39,840 with the with the results. I'll before I kick it 690 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,880 to TV, I'll just talk about the Astros. Yeah, I'm 691 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,519 I'm in full fade mode with the Astros. The only 692 00:35:46,559 --> 00:35:49,519 reason I haven't done it yet this year is because 693 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,119 I couldn't really find I mean, their opponents so far 694 00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:56,039 were the Angels, who I think are atrocious and the 695 00:35:56,079 --> 00:35:59,559 Red Sox who you know, just I had the Red 696 00:35:59,599 --> 00:36:03,360 Sox Sunday and just the way they lost that game, 697 00:36:03,519 --> 00:36:05,960 I didn't like, you know, losing in that manner, not 698 00:36:06,039 --> 00:36:09,400 really hitting, blowing it to nothing lead and then kind 699 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,000 of having to turn around go to Houston. Because I 700 00:36:13,039 --> 00:36:15,559 thought about the Red Sox yesterday, and boy am I 701 00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:18,119 happy that I didn't get involved with them because they 702 00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:21,239 completely no showed that game and eight to one loss. 703 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:25,840 So yeah, like I'm certainly looking for spots to fade Houston. 704 00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:29,559 But once again, I'm with you, Brian. I don't know 705 00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:32,039 if I can get down, you know, with with Bao 706 00:36:32,199 --> 00:36:34,960 on the road here, given how the Red Sox have 707 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,400 come out of the gate one and three, you know, 708 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:42,079 just that's that's tough. That's tough for me to get 709 00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:44,440 there with them. So I'll bring TV. And why don't 710 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,760 why don't you give us your thoughts? Red Sox astros, 711 00:36:47,079 --> 00:36:48,280 how are you looking at this one? 712 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,440 Speaker 3: Okay? Yeah, I've never been a Brian Bao fan, but 713 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,400 looking at his ops against these batters in his career, 714 00:36:56,400 --> 00:37:00,760 it's right on the Mendos the line, and I am 715 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,360 a Hunter Brown fan and he might be polarizing, but 716 00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,360 I'm i'm i'm on, I'm in his click. I think 717 00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:09,119 he's great. I think he's on the precipice of being elite. 718 00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:13,119 I got him ranked really high according to my numbers 719 00:37:13,159 --> 00:37:17,199 as well. So neither one of these teams really hitting 720 00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:21,760 that well. So I would look. You know, the fact 721 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,960 that I like Hunter Brown and the fact that Boston's 722 00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:28,239 baths seem a little cold, but Astro's bullpen's not performing well, 723 00:37:28,639 --> 00:37:30,639 all of that kind of makes me lean to a 724 00:37:30,679 --> 00:37:33,599 first five team total under. And I just went and 725 00:37:33,639 --> 00:37:36,280 looked at it. For some reason, the books are switching 726 00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:38,559 back and forth for both of these teams. The full 727 00:37:38,599 --> 00:37:41,320 game you can get either team two and a half 728 00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,800 or three and a half, and for the first five 729 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:45,559 you can get either team one and a half or 730 00:37:45,559 --> 00:37:47,320 two and a half. So that's kind of strange, But 731 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,280 I think the Red Sox first five innings under two 732 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:51,760 and a half would be a pretty good bed if 733 00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:54,599 you can get it. I haven't pulled the trigger on that, 734 00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,320 but just you know, since you mentioned it to me, 735 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,239 I just did a little quick research, and that would 736 00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:01,400 be the way I would go. If you can get 737 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,280 a two and a half for Boston in the first five. 738 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:06,239 I think that would be the way. I think Hunter 739 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:09,599 Brown's great. His ops against these guys in his career 740 00:38:09,679 --> 00:38:11,559 is six oh seven. It's a little bit under the 741 00:38:11,559 --> 00:38:14,599 Mendos line. It's not electric, but it's good enough. 742 00:38:14,639 --> 00:38:19,760 Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, this is you know ge hurt references. 743 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,480 He saw the you know wager Talk posted Jeohnny's clip 744 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:24,719 where he gave his top five Major League Baseball teams out. 745 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,159 He had Red Sox at five. I don't think he's 746 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,880 like off on that. Like, I think the Red Sox 747 00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:33,199 are definitely in that. They're definitely in my top ten. 748 00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,000 I will say this and maybe I'll loop Bryan back 749 00:38:36,039 --> 00:38:39,320 in here. I had a hard time ranking this team 750 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:44,000 coming into the season, like I want to believe in them, 751 00:38:44,199 --> 00:38:47,960 but then then I watch what I watched the first 752 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:49,840 four days of the year, and I know I again. 753 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,360 I came out of the show yesterday and said, hey, 754 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:58,599 don't overreact to four games, but I can't. I couldn't 755 00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,679 watch the last two days and then like justify being 756 00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,280 on them here, so so help me make sense of that. 757 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:08,599 Speaker 2: Well, the reason why I think the Red Sox, there's 758 00:39:08,599 --> 00:39:10,039 a lot of people believe in them is that they've 759 00:39:10,039 --> 00:39:13,039 got a lot of pitching depth in the miners. Cruchet's 760 00:39:13,079 --> 00:39:17,559 great Sonny Gray, very good, very solid. Connerly early brought 761 00:39:17,639 --> 00:39:21,480 up early and he's great. We saw that these looked great. 762 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,519 Speaker 1: Shouldn't have taken him out, in my opinion, continue Yeah. 763 00:39:24,119 --> 00:39:26,920 Speaker 2: And uh, I've never been much of a Swas fan, 764 00:39:27,039 --> 00:39:29,519 but and Brian Bellow. But they've got guys down there 765 00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:34,199 in the miners that are really good. Peyton Toley, I 766 00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:36,960 really like him. I'm he'll be up in no time. 767 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,480 And they've got some other guys that are very good. 768 00:39:39,559 --> 00:39:43,320 So from a depth standpoint in the starting rotation, they've 769 00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,239 got probably more depth in that regard to anybody in 770 00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:49,880 that division. And I think that's why Boston. There's a 771 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:51,599 lot of people like Boston. Plus they've got a lot 772 00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:54,039 of good young players. Roman Athlete is terrific. 773 00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:54,679 Speaker 1: Uh. 774 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,320 Speaker 2: They you know, they've got so many good outfielders that 775 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:02,519 they tried to trade Jared Durant and he wouldn't let 776 00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:04,360 him train him because he had such a great spring 777 00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,719 and he performed well last year. Will you're a Bray, 778 00:40:09,159 --> 00:40:11,199 He's going to be one of the top hitters in 779 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,840 baseball this season. And I like the move I'm bringing 780 00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:17,440 into Kenlan Durman. The guy's got some speed, he plays 781 00:40:17,519 --> 00:40:19,840 two different positions. I think got a lot of good 782 00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,280 young players on this team. So the future in Boston 783 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,039 is very good, I believe, and in the next couple 784 00:40:25,079 --> 00:40:27,480 of years they are going to be the team debat 785 00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:30,559 in this in this division. So I like Boston, but 786 00:40:32,159 --> 00:40:34,159 I don't think I would have had them in my 787 00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:34,719 top five. 788 00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:37,360 Speaker 3: Definitely not TV. 789 00:40:37,559 --> 00:40:42,159 Speaker 1: I you know what about come to you TV, because 790 00:40:42,199 --> 00:40:44,199 I think as I listen to both that you talk 791 00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,880 about that, I think I'm you said you like the 792 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:50,920 under Red Sox under or like something correlated with Hunter Brown. 793 00:40:51,639 --> 00:40:54,440 I'm looking at the chat and they're they're pro Hunter Brown, 794 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,559 and I'm like, you know, watching the Red Sox swing 795 00:40:56,599 --> 00:40:58,440 the bats the last last two days, I don't think 796 00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:00,280 that's a terrible way to look at this here. 797 00:41:00,599 --> 00:41:06,079 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Boston's not swinging the bat that well, 798 00:41:06,119 --> 00:41:09,360 and you know, yeah they have Roman Anthony, but I 799 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,000 mean they're pretty mediocre team as far as I'm concerned, 800 00:41:12,039 --> 00:41:13,920 I think the Mets are a lot better than Boston. 801 00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:15,559 I think I think the Mariners are a lot better 802 00:41:15,599 --> 00:41:18,000 than Boss. There's no way, Boston is the fifth best 803 00:41:18,039 --> 00:41:21,639 team in MLB in my opinion. But you know this 804 00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:23,559 is what this is why they play the games, right. 805 00:41:24,159 --> 00:41:25,880 Speaker 1: If they do have why we have it. It's why 806 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:29,559 we can bet. If everyone we wouldn't have a market. 807 00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:33,159 Speaker 3: To bet exactly exactly. But I'm a big Hunter Brown fan. 808 00:41:33,159 --> 00:41:35,159 I think he's good. I think he's really good. But 809 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:39,360 and I think he's getting better actually, So we'll see though. 810 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,360 I mean, now that I'm backing him, he's probably gonna 811 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,360 rupture an achilles tendon or something, so we'll see. You 812 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:46,920 go ahead, Brian, Yeah, Brian, Ah. 813 00:41:47,079 --> 00:41:49,639 Speaker 2: I just I just wanted to point out we always 814 00:41:49,679 --> 00:41:51,719 make fun of ESPN because they talk about shit that 815 00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:55,400 nobody cares about and argue about it. VR. I don't 816 00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:58,239 think in the three years or the time we've been 817 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:02,599 doing this show two years, we've or Johnny whatever on 818 00:42:02,639 --> 00:42:05,320 the show and because of putting out something like this 819 00:42:06,119 --> 00:42:10,000 or he's getting to mention on this show. And that's 820 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:12,239 one of the things that ESPN does. They throw out 821 00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,320 something and somebody will make some not that this is 822 00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:17,440 a bad comment. He probably does have them in that 823 00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:19,880 regard with somebody that might make a comment about something 824 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,800 and they can spend a whole hour talking about it. Yeah, 825 00:42:23,159 --> 00:42:23,960 how wrong it is. 826 00:42:25,519 --> 00:42:27,360 Speaker 1: Well, that's the thing. I mean, I think I had 827 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,519 them nine. So it's not like I'm like, I mean, 828 00:42:29,519 --> 00:42:31,679 I'm still I've still got the Red Sox a top 829 00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:34,599 ten team. Shane in the chat says they can't hit 830 00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,719 right now. Yeah, that's that is true. But this is 831 00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:41,159 where it comes to like baseball small sample drop this 832 00:42:41,199 --> 00:42:43,800 in the middle of July, no one cares. No One's like, oh, 833 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,599 the Red Sox, Well, they can't hit. So for me, 834 00:42:46,679 --> 00:42:48,639 it's going to be finding a spot to back them. 835 00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,239 I am pro. I just want to make that very clear. 836 00:42:51,559 --> 00:42:54,920 I am pro Red Sox and finding a spot to 837 00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,760 get back in with this team. I just don't know 838 00:42:57,800 --> 00:43:00,599 that it's here. Maybe it's tomorrow. I thought it might 839 00:43:00,639 --> 00:43:03,280 be yesterday, And I'm glad I talked myself off of that. 840 00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:05,480 So for me and the way I think and the 841 00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:07,800 way I bet, because I talked myself off of that 842 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:11,000 yesterday they lost, I think I can, like, you know, 843 00:43:11,159 --> 00:43:14,519 I'll see another I'll try to, Like in poker, I'll check, 844 00:43:14,599 --> 00:43:16,320 I'll see if I can see a free card here 845 00:43:16,559 --> 00:43:19,519 and then and then look to play them later in 846 00:43:19,559 --> 00:43:22,280 the week. As far as the parlay is concerned, we 847 00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:24,679 already talked about my leg as well. I'm gonna use 848 00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:29,360 the Tigers even money. I'm at minus one thirteen on 849 00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,000 what the Tigers should be favored here. It's not a 850 00:43:32,079 --> 00:43:34,719 huge edge, but it's it's good enough to close out 851 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,880 the parlay. I think if they do get in a 852 00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:39,280 close game. We both talked about, you know, the starters 853 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,920 maybe being like a wash here. I'd much rather have 854 00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:44,199 the Tigers in a close game than the Diamondback. So, 855 00:43:44,559 --> 00:43:46,320 Brian Leonard, I'm gonna go over to you. Can you 856 00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:49,599 tell me what the price the juice was on your 857 00:43:49,639 --> 00:43:50,760 team total over. 858 00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:54,360 Speaker 2: I believe it's plus one oh five. And if you 859 00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:59,719 can't get the team totals, I'm fine with Philadelphia. You're 860 00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,960 gonna think minus what seventy seven in some books right now, 861 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,840 So if you can't get a team total, I'm fine 862 00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:09,440 with Philadelphia. It's a little bit high in what I 863 00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:12,039 normally use, but I don't want any part of this 864 00:44:12,159 --> 00:44:13,440 watching and pitching staff in this. 865 00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,719 Speaker 1: Game and the final point before we close it down. 866 00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:20,039 You know, Jack is like, I don't think Gianni meant 867 00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:23,159 the power ratings don't mean much until twenty twenty five games. 868 00:44:23,159 --> 00:44:26,440 And I think what he's saying is, don't don't marry 869 00:44:26,639 --> 00:44:30,599 like if you've got him there, you know, I think 870 00:44:30,599 --> 00:44:33,159 you're just not changing your If you came and did 871 00:44:33,199 --> 00:44:36,599 all this research coming into the season, you shouldn't be 872 00:44:37,519 --> 00:44:41,440 like abandoning it on four days of regular season play. 873 00:44:41,639 --> 00:44:44,000 I think that's probably the more pertinent like point to 874 00:44:44,039 --> 00:44:47,199 make about power inankings. Brian, you're nodding. Is that kind 875 00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:48,880 of what you're interpreting as well? 876 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, you're not gonna if you work with three 877 00:44:51,199 --> 00:44:53,400 months on doing all your work and you're not gonna 878 00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:55,719 throw it away off of one series or whatever. So yeah, 879 00:44:56,119 --> 00:44:56,920 that's a great point. 880 00:44:57,679 --> 00:45:00,599 Speaker 3: I never pay attention to power rankings. I only care 881 00:45:00,639 --> 00:45:03,800 about the matchups today. I don't care about power rankings 882 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:06,800 at all, So I don't pay attention to well, well. 883 00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:08,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, but it's not that you don't care TV, it's 884 00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:12,800 just that you're you're forming yours more in season, So like, yeah, 885 00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:15,519 you know, I think I think what you mean to 886 00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:17,639 say is you don't you're not as as married to 887 00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:20,840 like a projection. You want to go off the data. 888 00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:23,239 That's like in the like that's that's coming in from 889 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:25,239 the games, which is kind of how I bet minor 890 00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:27,559 league baseball, So I get it, like and I've I'm 891 00:45:27,599 --> 00:45:30,159 starting to gravitate more toward that at the big league 892 00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:30,800 level anyway. 893 00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:33,320 Speaker 3: So I think I don't care how a team is 894 00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:35,159 in general, I care how they are today. 895 00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:38,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's fair. I think that that that's 896 00:45:38,199 --> 00:45:42,360 a fair point to make. We've hit the we've hit 897 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,800 the the forty five minute marks. So let's recap the 898 00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,199 parlay one more time before we sign off Tokyo. Brandon 899 00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,199 is going with Yankees minus one ten. I'm going to 900 00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,079 use the Tigers on the full game money line, even money, 901 00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:57,480 and then we've got a team total from Brian Leonard. 902 00:45:57,519 --> 00:45:59,960 He says Philly's team total over five and a hal 903 00:46:00,039 --> 00:46:02,320 app that's plus one oh five. If you can't get 904 00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:04,280 the team total in the parlay, I'm with you, Brian. 905 00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:06,840 I think the Phillies money line you're gonna obviously win 906 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,840 a little bit less. It's a favorite, but I think 907 00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:11,840 that might work there as well. And we'll be back 908 00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:14,920 as always nine am Eastern every day here on the 909 00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:19,880 Wage You Talking YouTube channel more five dollars Tuesday, all 910 00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:22,760 day Today, all handicappers check out all of our pages. 911 00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,079 We've got the Double Play Special. Even though it's Tuesday, 912 00:46:25,119 --> 00:46:27,480 the Double Play Special is still there. You can pick 913 00:46:27,519 --> 00:46:31,079 two of us at a very reduced rate, and we'll 914 00:46:31,119 --> 00:46:33,719 be back in the morning tomorrow nine am Eastern for 915 00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:35,559 more total basis. Have a great day, everybody,