1
00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:03,560
Speaker 1: Welcome to Wage to Talk today, the gold standard of

2
00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,200
betting shows where we talked to talk and walk the walk.

3
00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:09,080
It is five dollars Tuesday. I cannot believe I still

4
00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,279
have a voice. But it was a great night, an

5
00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:15,400
even better day. It's my last day to wear this hoodie, Dan, Dan,

6
00:00:15,519 --> 00:00:16,480
come on in here.

7
00:00:17,039 --> 00:00:19,960
Speaker 2: Well, the last day to wear the hoodie, and you've

8
00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:21,879
just allowed yourself that you can wear this hoody for

9
00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:22,960
the rest of the damn year.

10
00:00:23,359 --> 00:00:24,879
Speaker 3: I mean, come on, I will.

11
00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:25,640
Speaker 4: I will say.

12
00:00:25,679 --> 00:00:27,879
Speaker 2: We were just getting ready for the show here, and

13
00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:29,800
we have a hell of a show coming your way,

14
00:00:29,879 --> 00:00:32,799
Steve Merrill, we got Jesse Schule obviously, Andy and I

15
00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,320
giving you some free plays here along the way, and

16
00:00:35,439 --> 00:00:38,479
the pres going to talk a little nh L action,

17
00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:40,719
but yes, Andy with the thumbs up. As we were

18
00:00:40,719 --> 00:00:43,159
getting ready for the show, Andy, I was like, you

19
00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,759
actually are very subdued. You're ready to go for the program.

20
00:00:47,799 --> 00:00:50,799
You're not wiping sleep out of your eyes. I would

21
00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,759
never have known that your team, who was never a

22
00:00:53,759 --> 00:00:57,799
football school, just had one of the most dominant college

23
00:00:57,799 --> 00:01:02,640
football runs here, and especially when you put it juxtaposition

24
00:01:03,039 --> 00:01:07,079
with where they came from before Signetti and now you

25
00:01:07,159 --> 00:01:12,200
go undefeated national champions as in Indiana, Alum, I am shocked, Dandy,

26
00:01:12,239 --> 00:01:14,200
I would never know that your team just made history

27
00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:14,680
last night.

28
00:01:15,359 --> 00:01:24,560
Speaker 1: Okay, hot water eye drops, I'd be profen, and I also.

29
00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,200
Speaker 2: Off screen have an IV drip into my main vein

30
00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:31,480
right now is.

31
00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:34,040
Speaker 1: We'll talk about it. I appreciate all the really nice messages.

32
00:01:34,079 --> 00:01:35,159
I do have a lot of I do have a

33
00:01:35,159 --> 00:01:38,120
lot of inner funny thoughts, and I'll explain the night.

34
00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,159
But here's what we're gonna do from now. Guys, we

35
00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,719
want to get started right off the bat with some

36
00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,680
free picks. So what we're gonna do is we're gonna

37
00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:48,120
move WTFLFG to now. So we're gonna start off the

38
00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:51,239
show with it. Let's go Dan explain the segment and

39
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:52,319
who are we going with today?

40
00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, well we heard your comments. We're here with you.

41
00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:57,799
Speaker 2: The jibber jabber will have to wait because we got

42
00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,719
plays for you right for the gate here with WTF

43
00:02:00,719 --> 00:02:03,200
and LFG every day on the show. Here what we do,

44
00:02:03,799 --> 00:02:06,599
Andy or I typically I if I am not or

45
00:02:06,599 --> 00:02:08,520
if I am on the show, actually give you a

46
00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,919
play and you let us know are you following, are

47
00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:15,560
you fading? That's WTF or LFG in this segment, folks,

48
00:02:15,879 --> 00:02:17,840
Andy stood in for me. He got a win. We're

49
00:02:17,879 --> 00:02:21,680
sitting at fifteen and seven. Last night we cashed the

50
00:02:21,719 --> 00:02:24,680
same game teaser and if you bet that over, you

51
00:02:24,759 --> 00:02:27,199
were a loser. If you bet Indiana minus seven and

52
00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,280
a half, you were a loser. If you tease them both.

53
00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,159
Speaker 3: Folks, you were a winner.

54
00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:34,520
Speaker 2: But we'll table that discussion, Andy, and we'll give you

55
00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,719
a play here in arguably one of the matches of

56
00:02:37,759 --> 00:02:41,319
the year in Champions League, this is inter Milan taken

57
00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:45,319
on Arsenal. This one goes at three pm Eastern time today,

58
00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,479
and Arsenal, if you've been paying attention, or even if

59
00:02:48,479 --> 00:02:51,960
you haven't been paying attention, probably your soccer fan friends

60
00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,879
have told you they're sitting atop of the table six

61
00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,159
and zero Champions League competition, really an all world competition.

62
00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,879
Arsenal has been solid in enters this game, sitting on

63
00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,199
a two game skid here in the Champions League.

64
00:03:04,199 --> 00:03:08,840
Speaker 4: But what is this We're seeing a favorite?

65
00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:10,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, inter Milan.

66
00:03:10,159 --> 00:03:12,360
Speaker 2: While they all be at a small favorite, they're at

67
00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,159
plus one sixty five here on the three way line,

68
00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,080
and Arsenal is sitting at plus one point eighty five.

69
00:03:18,159 --> 00:03:20,159
So the team who hasn't lost a game yet, Andy,

70
00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,319
is the team who is favored that starts putting my

71
00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,879
blinkers on and breaking down this game. You know, this

72
00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,560
is two teams who, as they play in this competition

73
00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:32,919
in soccer, they are playing in a bunch of different

74
00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,039
leagues as well. And with Arsenal, they have a game

75
00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:39,039
coming up in five days. They're playing Man you and

76
00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,120
you could tell me, oh well, inter also has a

77
00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:45,000
game coming up in three days and they're playing in Syria.

78
00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:47,800
Yet they're playing a team Andy, who hasn't won a

79
00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,080
match since November. So this is a team who surely

80
00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:54,800
will be focused on playing the class of the Champions League.

81
00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,560
I think they're telling you that this team is favored

82
00:03:57,639 --> 00:03:59,800
even coming off of two losses for a reason. I

83
00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:03,639
think we have a potential upset alert here as far

84
00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,719
as these standings are concerned, and a top five team

85
00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,240
moves a little closer to the top team. Give me

86
00:04:09,479 --> 00:04:13,759
Inter Milan on the three way line plus one sixty five, Andy,

87
00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:16,199
that is the play for you in Champions League. And

88
00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,759
RJ points out maybe a one to one draw. I

89
00:04:19,759 --> 00:04:22,959
wouldn't hate taking a draw, No bet at minus one twenty.

90
00:04:23,519 --> 00:04:26,120
But neither of these teams have really been drawing much

91
00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,160
with regularity. It's either been wins or losses, all wins

92
00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:32,279
for Arsenal, So sure a draw could be in coming.

93
00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:34,759
If you want to do that inter Milan minus one

94
00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,759
twenty draw, no bet, I'm fine with that bet as well.

95
00:04:37,759 --> 00:04:39,879
But if there's plus money to be had, Andy, I

96
00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,759
want that plus money. Give me inter at plus one

97
00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:42,399
sixty five.

98
00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:44,680
Speaker 1: So you're taking the plus one sixty five. See, I'm

99
00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:46,759
going to give you a WTF because I was looking

100
00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,519
at the ty. No bet, I think that's the safest

101
00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:51,759
way to do it. But it's only minus one one

102
00:04:51,759 --> 00:04:55,920
plus money. You don't normally get that good of prices

103
00:04:55,959 --> 00:04:57,759
on those kind of plays.

104
00:04:57,959 --> 00:04:58,879
Speaker 4: And that's the other one.

105
00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,079
Speaker 1: Fifty might exactly hundred.

106
00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:06,040
Speaker 2: Exactly, And I think it's only minus one twenty Andy,

107
00:05:06,079 --> 00:05:09,319
because neither of these teams have really been a draw side,

108
00:05:09,399 --> 00:05:11,480
you know what I mean. And other competitions, sure, but

109
00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,240
in Champions League it's really been decisions for all of them.

110
00:05:14,759 --> 00:05:17,480
But yeah, and nice point out here by Dave. The

111
00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:19,600
last time we gave out a soccer play here in

112
00:05:19,759 --> 00:05:23,120
WTF or LFG, we cashed a plus one ninety before

113
00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:24,360
the show was even done.

114
00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:26,639
Speaker 3: That won't happen today.

115
00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:30,199
Speaker 2: But but yeah, the play plus one sixty five, and

116
00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,680
as Andy Astuteley said, I'm fine with the draw. No

117
00:05:32,759 --> 00:05:36,120
bet at minus one twenty. So on tomorrow's show, Andy

118
00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:38,279
can say I told you Dan a nil nil draw

119
00:05:38,399 --> 00:05:40,519
and we could have just got cash our one twenty.

120
00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I want to be wrong every time I

121
00:05:43,079 --> 00:05:46,399
give you a WTF, which is very rare. So all right,

122
00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:47,759
that's your official play.

123
00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:49,519
Speaker 4: That's your official there's a play out the gate for

124
00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:50,040
you guys.

125
00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:51,879
Speaker 2: There you go, five minutes in, you already have a

126
00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,680
free play that's plus money. Let's let's ride now, Andy.

127
00:05:54,879 --> 00:05:58,040
Speaker 1: Okay, well, let's bring on Jesse and we're gonna give

128
00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,319
out not one, but two winners of the three of

129
00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:07,000
the three day pass because we had Indiana to Indiana

130
00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,399
covered the first half but not but might be covered

131
00:06:09,439 --> 00:06:12,720
the full game. So Jesse, I gotta give you props,

132
00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,839
said Fade Indiana. Everybody was all over that spread.

133
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:21,319
Speaker 5: I was pretty adamant that I wanted the first half points,

134
00:06:21,399 --> 00:06:24,199
and I you know, I'm not satisfied with the decision

135
00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:27,040
by Crystal Ball on fourth and two to kick a

136
00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,120
long field goal. I think the percentages would say you

137
00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:33,680
could pick up that first down a lot easier than

138
00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,759
than kicking a fifty plus yard field goal with a

139
00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:40,319
college kicker. A bad decision by Christaball. In fact, you know,

140
00:06:40,399 --> 00:06:42,920
that game was closer than a lot of people thought.

141
00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,639
But you know, everything I said about the game, I'll

142
00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:47,160
stand by it. Let's say it that way.

143
00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:48,800
Speaker 3: It was.

144
00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,360
Speaker 1: It was a good read, great game. I was terrified.

145
00:06:52,759 --> 00:06:55,639
I was absolutely terrified when.

146
00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,399
Speaker 3: When we could second half.

147
00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,720
Speaker 2: Dude, the second half of that game, I was thinking

148
00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:00,399
I was going to text Andy and I was like,

149
00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,480
that would be the worst thing right now to just

150
00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:04,959
be like, Andy, are you sweating this? Because I knew

151
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,319
you were, probably because the first half of the game

152
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,199
rocking chair stuff, you know what I mean. It was

153
00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,079
exactly how we thought that game was going to play,

154
00:07:11,439 --> 00:07:15,399
rock fight, good defense, and then the second half just exploded.

155
00:07:15,639 --> 00:07:19,319
I even started sweating my teaser under. So, yeah, the

156
00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,199
second half was it was a tail of two halves

157
00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:24,639
for sure, man, But that interception, that that ultimate equalizer.

158
00:07:25,439 --> 00:07:28,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you also had you also had that situation

159
00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,120
where the block punt, while exciting, changes the game. One

160
00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:33,519
of the things that it did was it put I

161
00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,879
used defense right back out on the field and they

162
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,600
were tired, like Miami was getting the best of the defense.

163
00:07:41,399 --> 00:07:47,040
I like when they let teams be physical in big games.

164
00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,560
But they missed some calls. They missed a lot of

165
00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,000
calls for IU. There was a couple of passenger farits.

166
00:07:53,879 --> 00:07:58,079
The targeting shot on Mendoza earlier wasn't easy, like even

167
00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:00,879
in the moment, it looked like a roughing penalty. But

168
00:08:00,959 --> 00:08:03,000
whatever it was, it was a good one. So, Jesse,

169
00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:04,680
you did really good. So we got two winners of

170
00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:08,839
the three Day pass coming, and let's just get started here,

171
00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,360
Jesse with let's have a break game and then we'll

172
00:08:11,399 --> 00:08:13,120
pick the winners here. So we're gonna go to the

173
00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:17,600
Spurs Rockets game. Here, there's a pretty big injury. Steven

174
00:08:17,639 --> 00:08:19,959
Adams rolled his ankle. It doesn't look like he's gonna

175
00:08:19,959 --> 00:08:23,160
be playing tonight. He's been one of the most insane

176
00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,120
offensive rebounding guys, so this to me is kind of

177
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,720
a bigger loss. Don't know if they're taking that into account.

178
00:08:28,759 --> 00:08:32,080
Minus four and a half on Houston Spurs two twenty one.

179
00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:33,639
They're coming off a big game last night. How do

180
00:08:33,639 --> 00:08:34,440
you break this game down?

181
00:08:36,039 --> 00:08:39,679
Speaker 5: Yeah, Andy, there's been some interesting line moves on this one.

182
00:08:39,799 --> 00:08:43,480
If you look at the overnight lines, money is coming

183
00:08:43,519 --> 00:08:46,240
in on Houston and money has come in on the

184
00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,639
under this one. The overnight lines had two twenty four

185
00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,879
and a half for the total. That one sharply bet

186
00:08:52,919 --> 00:08:56,440
on down to two twenty and a half. We got

187
00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:59,000
some buy back on the over, and we're now sitting

188
00:08:59,039 --> 00:09:01,360
around two twenty one and a half. And I'm going

189
00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:04,120
to focus on the total because something is going.

190
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:05,919
Speaker 3: On in the NBA these days.

191
00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:07,080
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm the.

192
00:09:07,039 --> 00:09:12,440
Speaker 5: Only one paying attention, but scoring is down across the league.

193
00:09:14,039 --> 00:09:16,320
You can see that the Spurs have gone under the

194
00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,360
total in nine of their last ten. Overall on the season,

195
00:09:20,399 --> 00:09:23,799
they rank eighteenth in pace of play, averaging one hundred

196
00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:27,320
and three point four possessions per game in their last

197
00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,080
three games, just one hundred and one point eight possessions

198
00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,720
per game. I looked at the league wide stats, twenty

199
00:09:33,759 --> 00:09:38,240
four of thirty teams are playing a slower pace from

200
00:09:38,279 --> 00:09:41,080
their season average over their last three games. If you

201
00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,039
just look at the scoreboard the last two days, ten

202
00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,919
of the last fifteen games have gone under the number,

203
00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:50,399
and yeah, this is a big game for both teams,

204
00:09:50,399 --> 00:09:53,919
obviously a big rivalry game. They have played to the under,

205
00:09:54,039 --> 00:09:56,919
trended toward the under in the head to head meetings,

206
00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:01,200
and Houston is also gone under the total in nine

207
00:10:01,279 --> 00:10:03,799
of their last ten games. And you look at that

208
00:10:03,919 --> 00:10:05,679
total of two twenty one and a half, you think, well,

209
00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:09,399
that's a pretty low number. Well, Houston hasn't reached two

210
00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:12,799
hundred and twenty points combined in eight of their last

211
00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:15,360
ten games, so they're going under the number. They're going

212
00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:19,320
way under the number. Houston ranks twenty seventh in the NBA,

213
00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,799
averaging one hundred and one point one possessions per game

214
00:10:22,799 --> 00:10:25,399
on the season, and they're one of those few teams

215
00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:28,759
I mentioned that twenty four of thirty teams playing at

216
00:10:28,759 --> 00:10:32,120
a slower pace in their last three games. Houston is

217
00:10:32,159 --> 00:10:34,200
one of those that is the exception of the rule,

218
00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:37,159
but it's by a miniscule amount, just one to one

219
00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:41,480
point four possessions per game. Houston also ranks fourth in

220
00:10:41,519 --> 00:10:44,480
opponents scoring, giving up just over one hundred and ten

221
00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:48,159
points per game on the season. Given the time of year,

222
00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:51,159
and I'm going to mention something else. This is something

223
00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:53,879
that one of my handicapping strategies always in the second

224
00:10:53,919 --> 00:10:56,399
half of the season. I find that teams that are

225
00:10:56,399 --> 00:11:00,440
still relevant, their defensive intensity increases. The games mean a

226
00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:03,120
little more, and we see a lot of sloppy defense

227
00:11:03,159 --> 00:11:05,600
in the early going in the season, which is why

228
00:11:05,759 --> 00:11:08,159
I like to I don't play a lot of NBA

229
00:11:08,279 --> 00:11:10,240
games in the first half of the season. I really

230
00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,279
ramp it up in the second half, and I find

231
00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:15,840
that the totals go lower in the second half of

232
00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:19,039
the season. And I was looking for some documentation, some

233
00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,240
evidence to bring to the show today. I found it

234
00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:26,799
difficult to really nail it with the evidence, but I

235
00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,279
did come across an interesting New York Times article from

236
00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:34,399
twenty twenty four, and they isolated a six week period

237
00:11:34,879 --> 00:11:39,000
in January and February of twenty twenty four where scoring

238
00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,200
took a nose dive, and it was really an interesting

239
00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:45,679
read because whoever wrote the article ended up coming to

240
00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:49,519
the conclusion that the officials weren't calling enough fouls and

241
00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:52,200
it was a lack of free throw shooting that led

242
00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,600
to the lower scores. My own opinion, I think the

243
00:11:55,639 --> 00:11:58,080
games mean more the teams that know they're going to

244
00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:01,480
be in the playoffs are playing harder on defense and

245
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:05,039
you get a lot less sloppy play, a lot a

246
00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:08,840
lot less easy buckets. But anyways, whatever it is, scoring

247
00:12:08,919 --> 00:12:11,919
is definitely down this week, and I think the money

248
00:12:11,919 --> 00:12:13,639
should be on the under two twenty one and a

249
00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:18,000
half in this game. That's my play for Spurs at Rockets.

250
00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:23,679
Speaker 1: You just touched on something. And this happens every once

251
00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:27,440
in a while. So what happens is there'll be a

252
00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:31,000
talking point about the officials and just overnight they'll change

253
00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:35,679
how they're officiating. Like it can affect overs, it can

254
00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:39,200
affect unders. But I was reading where Sga his free

255
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:41,240
throws are way down compared to where they were at

256
00:12:41,279 --> 00:12:43,480
the beginning of the season. I think it's there. There

257
00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:45,279
was a there was a time where they went the

258
00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:48,240
other way where where they like were calling everything and

259
00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,919
then they stopped calling something right before the playoffs and

260
00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:54,000
the playoffs were just rock fights. It was just unders galore.

261
00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,679
So you are absolutely onto something. When there's a league

262
00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,559
wide situation where points are down across the board, there's

263
00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:03,399
something going on. Smart to follow that trend. So all right,

264
00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,240
let's uh just let's do the winners here. So last week,

265
00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,840
Jesse and I went head to head Dan who won

266
00:13:09,879 --> 00:13:10,799
the three day passes.

267
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we're gonna, you know, do it a little

268
00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:17,159
bit different because there was some some consternation whether we're

269
00:13:17,159 --> 00:13:20,039
talking first half, whether we're talking full game. Well, guess what,

270
00:13:20,159 --> 00:13:22,840
then we get two winners. It benefits to be commenting

271
00:13:22,879 --> 00:13:24,879
below on these videos because you never know what's going

272
00:13:24,919 --> 00:13:27,960
to count and what won't. So Ed Olson he was

273
00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:31,600
rocking with Andy and Iu in the first half and

274
00:13:31,759 --> 00:13:35,240
Aubrey Hatchet. You're winning the full game as that second half,

275
00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,679
as we alluded to, uh it covered it every.

276
00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,799
Speaker 3: Number for the Miami Hurricanes. There. So both of these

277
00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:43,240
folks because.

278
00:13:42,919 --> 00:13:46,000
Speaker 2: They interacted, because they commented below and did it correctly

279
00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:49,039
with their wager talk username go into your accounts.

280
00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 3: But by the end of this show, folks, is going.

281
00:13:50,919 --> 00:13:55,279
Speaker 2: To be that three three day free, three day flex path.

282
00:13:55,399 --> 00:13:58,519
There we go, Andy, two winners for the price at one.

283
00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:00,559
Actually it's a nun you love to see.

284
00:14:00,399 --> 00:14:04,559
Speaker 1: It say price a none. Yeah, absolutely, So congratulations to

285
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:07,200
you guys. It's five dollars Tuesday. Jesse, what do you

286
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:08,440
have up and then we'll talk NFL.

287
00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:13,080
Speaker 5: Well, I got a college basketball total for my five

288
00:14:13,159 --> 00:14:17,279
dollars Tuesday play I also got just my third ever,

289
00:14:17,519 --> 00:14:20,279
only the third time I've put out a five percent

290
00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,159
NFL prop. I've never lost a five percent NFL prop

291
00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:27,360
in my career. We hit earlier with earlier in this

292
00:14:27,399 --> 00:14:31,720
season with Saquon Barkley over his rushing yards, and we

293
00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:35,759
got a five percent prop for the championship weekend. I

294
00:14:35,759 --> 00:14:37,799
think that's going to be a very popular one with

295
00:14:37,879 --> 00:14:39,000
the guys in the chat.

296
00:14:40,639 --> 00:14:43,039
Speaker 1: All right, well let's do it. Let's talk NFL. We're

297
00:14:43,039 --> 00:14:44,840
giving you you have to you have to pick a

298
00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:48,799
team to fade in the NFL playoffs. Suspects a little limited.

299
00:14:48,519 --> 00:14:52,240
Speaker 5: Here, Yeah, you're not giving me a lot of options

300
00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:53,919
from way.

301
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:58,480
Speaker 1: Do we get to the super Bowl? So all right, Jesse,

302
00:14:58,559 --> 00:14:59,720
who are you fading this weekend?

303
00:15:01,039 --> 00:15:04,919
Speaker 5: I Am going to fade the Lambs, the La Rams

304
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,399
that have looked more like Lambs in recent weeks. I

305
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:12,639
got to take you back to Week sixteen at Seattle.

306
00:15:13,159 --> 00:15:16,080
They were up big at halftime. It looked like they

307
00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,559
were going to win the division home field for the

308
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,679
rest of the playoffs. At that moment in time, the

309
00:15:21,759 --> 00:15:24,840
Rams were at the top of everybody's power rankings. They

310
00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,000
were the favorite to win the Super Bowl. They could

311
00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:31,120
do no wrong. Matthew Stafford is the MVP. You might

312
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,039
as well just hand them the Super Bowl right then

313
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,679
and there. But guess what. Seattle ran the ball down

314
00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:40,279
their throat. Kenneth Walker went for over one hundred yards

315
00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,039
and Seattle just came storming back. Sam Darnold did not

316
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,360
play well in the first half. He played excellent in

317
00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:48,799
the second half of that game. Seattle did get a

318
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,840
little bit lucky as well. But since that game, it's

319
00:15:51,879 --> 00:15:55,039
like the Rams defense has sort of fallen apart. Now

320
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,720
they've won back to back games here in the playoffs,

321
00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:02,200
they didn't cover either of those games, just squeaked by Carolina.

322
00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:06,159
And then last week against the Chicago Bears. Did they

323
00:16:06,159 --> 00:16:09,240
beat the Bears or did the Bears beat themselves? If

324
00:16:09,279 --> 00:16:12,840
you look at it, Chicago had more first downs, Chicago

325
00:16:12,919 --> 00:16:16,840
had more total yards, Chicago had more time of possession.

326
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:21,399
Chicago lost the turnover battle three to nothing. Caleb Williams

327
00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:25,120
throws three picks that handed the game to the Rams

328
00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:28,840
and they still needed overtime to get the win. If

329
00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:31,600
they play like that against Seattle in Seattle, I don't

330
00:16:31,639 --> 00:16:33,720
like their chances. The line sitting at two and a half,

331
00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:36,840
wrong side of three for me, I think it should

332
00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,799
be three and a half. Seattle fifteen and three on

333
00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:42,399
the season, seven and two at home. There has been

334
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,519
some talk that Seattle's not a great home team, and

335
00:16:45,559 --> 00:16:48,080
I think that's a little bit of recency bias. They

336
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,840
looked like a great home team against the forty nine ers. Now, granted,

337
00:16:52,159 --> 00:16:54,320
this Rams team is a whole different kettle of fish

338
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,960
than San Francisco. Their healthier, they've got. Certainly they have

339
00:16:58,039 --> 00:17:02,720
the advantage at quarterback, and Sean McVay obviously a pretty

340
00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:06,319
stellar head coach as well. That said, this Seattle defense,

341
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:08,960
I mean, the best in the league in my opinion.

342
00:17:09,319 --> 00:17:12,960
They rank first in the NFL in opponent quarterback yards

343
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:17,240
per attempt, just six yards per attempt. They rank first

344
00:17:17,279 --> 00:17:21,400
in the NFL in running back yards per carry, allowing

345
00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:24,920
just three point seven yards per carry to opposing running backs,

346
00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,240
and of course first in the NFL and opponents scoring average.

347
00:17:28,559 --> 00:17:30,480
I think they get it done with their defense and

348
00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,640
their running game. Yes, Sam Darnold is the weaker of

349
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,880
the two quarterbacks, but he's playing in front of an

350
00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:40,279
excellent defense. They got the home crowd behind them, I'll

351
00:17:40,279 --> 00:17:42,359
take the Seahawks minus two and a half in this game.

352
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,640
Speaker 1: I am so glad you didn't take the easy way

353
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,839
out and some finding Jared stood him in the Broncos.

354
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, I knew that.

355
00:17:51,559 --> 00:17:53,880
Speaker 5: That's what everybody in the chat wanted me to do.

356
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 1: I know I have not bet it. I will not

357
00:17:59,039 --> 00:18:01,200
be betting on the New England Patriots in that game.

358
00:18:01,279 --> 00:18:04,240
There's no chance. I think they got some.

359
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,839
Speaker 2: An eight point line move from Nick to Stidham.

360
00:18:10,839 --> 00:18:12,480
Speaker 3: That may seem a little bit rich.

361
00:18:12,519 --> 00:18:14,720
Speaker 2: We'll have to get present thought on that one, because

362
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,799
that that that does kind of feel a little.

363
00:18:16,559 --> 00:18:17,200
Speaker 3: Bit rich to me.

364
00:18:17,759 --> 00:18:21,799
Speaker 4: Do you agree that you're muted? You're yourself on the

365
00:18:21,839 --> 00:18:23,039
show and mute yourself.

366
00:18:24,319 --> 00:18:26,440
Speaker 3: You're muted.

367
00:18:27,279 --> 00:18:29,720
Speaker 6: I'm I want I want in, I want in, I

368
00:18:29,759 --> 00:18:30,160
want in.

369
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,039
Speaker 4: Well, hold on you muted your microphone. We'll be with

370
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:34,640
you in a second.

371
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 3: Press I'm not.

372
00:18:35,839 --> 00:18:38,759
Speaker 6: Giving, okay, I mean giving myself.

373
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:46,599
Speaker 2: Giving, giving press, giving, giving press studio powers.

374
00:18:46,839 --> 00:18:47,079
Speaker 1: Uh.

375
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,799
Speaker 2: Probably the worst mistake recently in my life that I

376
00:18:50,839 --> 00:18:53,240
have made. When he also Press logged in and he

377
00:18:53,319 --> 00:18:54,960
took me off the screen to he was just like,

378
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:56,440
screw you, Dan, here you go.

379
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:57,440
Speaker 3: It's a little bit for you.

380
00:18:57,839 --> 00:19:01,359
Speaker 1: He made three mistakes and forced like I'm not because

381
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,799
I'm not perfect. That's great, Jesse.

382
00:19:05,319 --> 00:19:05,559
Speaker 3: Jesse.

383
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:08,400
Speaker 1: Do you think do you think eight points from bow

384
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:10,920
Knicks to Stidham? Am I crazy?

385
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:11,200
Speaker 3: I think?

386
00:19:11,319 --> 00:19:14,680
Speaker 5: I think Stidham is a great unknown. But one thing

387
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:17,839
I think that he can't be underestimated. He's playing behind

388
00:19:17,839 --> 00:19:21,599
the number one offensive line in the NFL. There was

389
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:23,880
a time when people didn't think much of Mac Jones

390
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,720
or Daniel Jones or some of these other guys that

391
00:19:26,759 --> 00:19:29,559
came out of nowhere. You know, if ever there's an

392
00:19:29,599 --> 00:19:32,359
opportunity for a guy to thrive, this is it for Stidham.

393
00:19:32,559 --> 00:19:35,680
If he can't do it with this Broncos team, He's

394
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:37,039
not going to be able to do it. I like

395
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:41,759
Sean Payton's confidence. I haven't gotten there yet, but I'm

396
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:44,279
looking for I'm looking for ways to bet on Denver,

397
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,640
not looking for ways to bet against them, that's for sure.

398
00:19:47,519 --> 00:19:50,920
Speaker 1: Awesome great stuff Jesse, great breakdowns, great call in Miami,

399
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:54,079
coverning the spread in the National Championship Game. Jesse's five

400
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:58,880
dollars Tuesday plays up all right, good stuff, Andy.

401
00:19:58,680 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 3: Keep the show.

402
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,799
Speaker 2: What is I know Prez is gonna put himself on

403
00:20:01,799 --> 00:20:04,039
the screen any second now. But before he does so

404
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:08,079
you mentioned see like this power needs to be removed

405
00:20:08,079 --> 00:20:11,440
from pres I will say, but Andy, five dollars Tuesday.

406
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,119
You mentioned Jesse has a playoff. But I'm wondering for you,

407
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:16,039
what are we going with? Are we doing tennis? Because

408
00:20:16,079 --> 00:20:19,640
I know tennis has been a freaking cash cow, especially

409
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,480
if it's a play that you certainly are liking putting

410
00:20:22,559 --> 00:20:24,720
up in that you know, four or five percent territory.

411
00:20:24,799 --> 00:20:26,839
So is that where we're going with tennis tonight for

412
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:27,519
five dollars?

413
00:20:28,279 --> 00:20:31,359
Speaker 1: Yeah? So I normally do a player prop every Tuesday

414
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:34,119
for five dollars Tuesday, but we got a zig zag here.

415
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,160
We've had five four percent best bets in tennis in

416
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:40,640
the last seven months and we won all five of them.

417
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,000
So Jan came to me last night said this is

418
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,960
our play, and I'm like, that is a four percent

419
00:20:46,079 --> 00:20:48,039
worthy play if I've ever seen it. So I have

420
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,920
definitely bet this with my own money. You should too.

421
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,400
It's an Australian open play that goes off tonight. Half

422
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,160
of the parlay we mentioned on yesterday's show has cashed already,

423
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,240
so we seem to be seeing the sport pretty pretty decent,

424
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:04,440
So grab that one. It's five bucks again. Only had

425
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,039
five four percent best bets in tennis since last June

426
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:09,319
and we've hit all five of them. So it's a

427
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:12,960
rare smash spot in tennis. But when you when you

428
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,440
trust the process and everything lines up, you fire away.

429
00:21:16,559 --> 00:21:18,079
So it's five dollars up there, you can get their

430
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:23,039
quicker WT dot buzz slash al All right, present, now

431
00:21:23,319 --> 00:21:23,799
get in here?

432
00:21:23,839 --> 00:21:25,400
Speaker 3: What press we brought to it?

433
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:29,799
Speaker 1: What are you doing? What a centerfold? The old playboy?

434
00:21:29,839 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 3: What do we do?

435
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:32,680
Speaker 4: What are we doing here? Keep your hands above the

436
00:21:32,759 --> 00:21:33,480
mask board?

437
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: I came forward.

438
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 6: Did you know that women in nineteen sixty nine look

439
00:21:40,839 --> 00:21:45,319
as good as women do today?

440
00:21:45,559 --> 00:21:47,680
Speaker 2: This is this is how you know Pres is back

441
00:21:47,759 --> 00:21:49,920
and Pres is back with a vengeance. Not only have

442
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:53,279
we had an unsolicited drop in it, he was looking

443
00:21:53,279 --> 00:21:55,279
at the centerfold when we brought him on, when we

444
00:21:55,279 --> 00:21:56,680
were finally actually ready for him.

445
00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:02,319
Speaker 6: Andy, Yeah, nineteen sixty nine enter full May my birthday

446
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:06,160
or friend of mine bought that for me? Present, beautiful President.

447
00:22:07,319 --> 00:22:09,920
Speaker 1: I always tell people President I, from the day we met,

448
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:14,799
we just clicked present. I don't collect hardly anything except

449
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:20,079
I have boxes of old Playboys boxes. Definitely of them.

450
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:20,839
They're great.

451
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,079
Speaker 3: Mine got lost in the Moon.

452
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 1: Picture in time. So why am I not surprise both

453
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,079
you and I have something like that?

454
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:30,599
Speaker 3: All right?

455
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:31,160
Speaker 6: Uh?

456
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:36,599
Speaker 1: So pres eight point difference Nix and Jared Stidham.

457
00:22:36,839 --> 00:22:40,519
Speaker 6: Okay, So on the Best Betting Show Ever, which I

458
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:42,759
think happens to be the best betting show.

459
00:22:42,559 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: Ever, better be shocked.

460
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 6: But I think your show is the second best betting

461
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,759
show ever, which, for the record, is a huge compliment

462
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,720
because there's a lot of Rick and shows out there.

463
00:22:53,839 --> 00:22:58,759
Andy and Dan or Dandy the Dandy. Okay, Dandy. Uh

464
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:03,119
here's the On the Best Betting Show Ever, we did

465
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:08,799
a futures segment, and I think that Denver plus eleven

466
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,680
hundred and if you go to the Westgate it's plus

467
00:23:11,839 --> 00:23:18,359
thirteen hundred is an amazing bet. And instead of betting

468
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,000
Denver on the money line in this game, we had

469
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,000
Art Deseasar on the show and we worked it out. Ultimately,

470
00:23:25,039 --> 00:23:28,079
you can get Denver plus eleven hundred to plus thirteen

471
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,079
hundred depending on where you're betting. If Denver ends up

472
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,079
winning the game, miraculous, whatever the case may be. And

473
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,559
I can give you an argument why they will if

474
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:41,079
they end up winning the game, if they play Seattle

475
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:46,039
or the Rams, it'll be around minus four hundred, So

476
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:51,680
you will have a massive hedgeop not hedge. You'll win

477
00:23:52,599 --> 00:23:55,839
a ton of money if you bet Denver plus eleven

478
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:57,839
hundred and they get through and then you take the

479
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,400
other side. So I think that is an excellent futures bet.

480
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:08,240
And guys, you saw what Houston did to Drake May.

481
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:13,440
Will Anderson lived in that backfield they had. The pass

482
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:19,240
rush was electric. New England really struggles right now stopping

483
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:23,960
the pass rush. I think Bananas Filna and the rest

484
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,119
of the boys are gonna be all over Drake May

485
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:31,519
and Sean Payton is at his best when he has

486
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,880
adversary adversity.

487
00:24:33,279 --> 00:24:34,559
Speaker 3: In front of him.

488
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,400
Speaker 6: I'm not gonna sit here and tell you Denver's winning

489
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,480
this game, but I'm gonna tell you that Denver plus

490
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,279
eleven hundred is an outstanding bet.

491
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 3: That's my take.

492
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:46,640
Speaker 1: Okay, I agree. I don't think bone Nicks has been

493
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,400
that amazing this year.

494
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 2: Here's a question, too, praz would you consider it all

495
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,839
pairing that with like an exact on the other side.

496
00:24:57,039 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 6: No, you wouldn't, No, because I'm just gonna head on

497
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:01,559
the other side if they get that.

498
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 3: True.

499
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 2: Okay, I see what you mean, but it isn't the

500
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,039
NFC team going to be favored, is the only Yeah.

501
00:25:06,839 --> 00:25:09,039
Speaker 6: It's gonna be around minus four hundred.

502
00:25:09,319 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 3: I see what you're saying.

503
00:25:10,279 --> 00:25:14,559
Speaker 6: So then somewhere between minus three eighty and minus four

504
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:14,920
and you.

505
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 4: Have a free straddle.

506
00:25:16,039 --> 00:25:18,279
Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, I love that. I love that. I love

507
00:25:18,279 --> 00:25:20,279
it a lot more than the Buffalo Bills play. Although

508
00:25:20,319 --> 00:25:22,359
you were right on the Jaguars game. You were right

509
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,039
on the Jaguars game. I'll give you that much.

510
00:25:24,079 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 3: Press.

511
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:31,160
Speaker 6: Yeah, but listen, I cannot handicap five turnovers. I can

512
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:31,920
handicap three.

513
00:25:32,079 --> 00:25:32,759
Speaker 3: You can't.

514
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,839
Speaker 2: Unless you said, oh wait, Josh Allen does this every year.

515
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,279
It's like, but yeah, I'm right there with you, Pres,

516
00:25:39,319 --> 00:25:42,599
like like you get you that. That is what absolutely

517
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,880
blows anything that we do on these shows up in

518
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,319
the face. Is when you're is when your quarterback turns

519
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:49,720
the ball over five turns and he had six turnovers.

520
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,920
I had six turnovers potentially because they got back one

521
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,480
of those puffles. So yeah, I felt for you, Press.

522
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 3: I want to I.

523
00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 6: Want to quickly address this person, tesse Betts. If Denver

524
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,440
wins are things. It will be minus four hundred. I

525
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:07,200
see it being less. And that's interesting because we're looking

526
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,200
at the minus four hundred from a look ahead perspective,

527
00:26:10,319 --> 00:26:14,200
and it takes into account how bad everyone thinks Sidham

528
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:17,480
is going to be. What if Stidham comes out on

529
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:21,559
on Sunday and plays great and they win thirty one

530
00:26:21,759 --> 00:26:24,200
seventeen and they move them b all up and down

531
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:27,519
the field, then it's gonna be minus two ten, minus

532
00:26:27,559 --> 00:26:28,200
two eighty.

533
00:26:28,799 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 2: So that's it. It's only upside, is what you're saying.

534
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:33,880
At this number, You're only looking at upside.

535
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love that.

536
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:37,319
Speaker 6: It makes it and if you want another quick, If

537
00:26:37,319 --> 00:26:39,640
you want another quick, future's Brett. If I don't mind

538
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:44,519
hijacking the show, Minnesota Wild. Minnesota Wild plus two thousand,

539
00:26:45,039 --> 00:26:48,519
and the reason is really quickly. They're the only team

540
00:26:48,759 --> 00:26:51,920
in the race with a shit ton of draft capital.

541
00:26:52,319 --> 00:26:57,319
This is a team unlike Colorado, Edmonton, Florida, Toronto, Tampa

542
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:01,160
Bay and Dallas. They have not traded a way everybody

543
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,640
in every draft pick for the last five years. They

544
00:27:04,839 --> 00:27:07,400
have a ton of draft capital. They are going to

545
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:10,160
be the big player entering the trade deadline and that

546
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,400
plus two thousand will be half of what it is

547
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:14,519
in a month.

548
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,000
Speaker 3: Let's see a while.

549
00:27:19,559 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's break well, let's break down a couple of

550
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,799
games that we're going to see tonight. TNT Bruins Stars

551
00:27:25,799 --> 00:27:30,240
Devil's Oilers will start with Bruins Stars. Cra Correct me

552
00:27:30,279 --> 00:27:32,799
if I'm wrong, Like, are both these teams kind of

553
00:27:32,839 --> 00:27:35,200
making moves? One's moving up, one's moving down?

554
00:27:36,759 --> 00:27:41,599
Speaker 6: No, yes, yes and no no one yes, one moved

555
00:27:41,839 --> 00:27:47,200
up and one moved down. Now, okay, they're going to reverse?

556
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 1: Oh okay, all right.

557
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 6: The Boston Bruins. Nobody expected this team to be good

558
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,960
coming into the into the season, and they've been outstanding.

559
00:27:56,000 --> 00:28:00,519
Twenty eight nineteen a record. They've won seven games in

560
00:28:00,559 --> 00:28:03,079
a row, and out of those seven games, they won

561
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,000
six games in a row. Out of those six games,

562
00:28:06,039 --> 00:28:08,880
they have covered the puck line in five. They are

563
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:13,559
handily beating their opponents five to two against Chicago, four

564
00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:17,000
to two against Seattle, three nothing against Detroit, ten to

565
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:22,359
two against the Rangers. This Boston team is outstanding right now,

566
00:28:22,839 --> 00:28:26,079
but they are about to hit the skids. This team

567
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,880
is not good enough to sustain a seven, eight, nine,

568
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:34,240
ten game winning streak this team is about to crash,

569
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,480
and I'll tell you you can look. If you go

570
00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:39,960
into the numbers deeper, you can see what I'm saying.

571
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,960
When they beat Detroit three games ago, they outshot Detroit

572
00:28:44,079 --> 00:28:47,920
forty one to twenty four. They out shot the Rangers

573
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:52,359
thirty four to twenty nine. They did not outshoot Chicago.

574
00:28:52,519 --> 00:28:55,640
They only put twenty three shots on that against Chicago's

575
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,039
twenty four. They did not out shoot Seattle twenty four

576
00:28:59,079 --> 00:29:01,920
to twenty eight. They did not carry the puck. The

577
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,920
puck possession was less in the last two games. They

578
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,279
were not in the offensive zone as much in their

579
00:29:07,359 --> 00:29:11,559
last two games. They are slowly regressing in front of

580
00:29:11,599 --> 00:29:16,000
our eyes, but not on the double column. That happens tonight.

581
00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:20,079
Dallas is in that interesting spot, guys. This is a

582
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:24,720
team that had six road games in a row, Carolina, Washington,

583
00:29:24,759 --> 00:29:28,119
San Jose, the Kings, Anaheim, and Utah. Then they came

584
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,799
back home. They played the Tampa Bay Lightning, who doesn't lose,

585
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,640
and they lost for to one. Now they're in the

586
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:39,480
second game at home after a long road trip where

587
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:43,359
they lost their first game. That is an exceptional spot

588
00:29:43,599 --> 00:29:46,799
to bet on a team, and especially a team as

589
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,799
good as the Dallas Stars. The Boston Bruins are a

590
00:29:49,839 --> 00:29:52,480
fade team for the next couple of weeks. The Dallas

591
00:29:52,519 --> 00:29:54,720
Stars are a bet on team for the next couple

592
00:29:54,759 --> 00:29:57,759
of weeks. We're only getting around minus one forty to

593
00:29:57,799 --> 00:29:59,559
one fifty Dallas is.

594
00:29:59,599 --> 00:30:04,799
Speaker 1: My pl Wow, Okay, I like it. I didn't. I

595
00:30:04,839 --> 00:30:06,359
didn't see it going that way because just as I

596
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,680
know how good Boston has been playing.

597
00:30:08,559 --> 00:30:11,279
Speaker 6: Well the object Andy, And you know this because you're

598
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:13,200
one of the best betters I've ever met in my

599
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,319
entire life. Dan might not know this because he only

600
00:30:16,319 --> 00:30:17,920
brings hair to the table.

601
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:19,079
Speaker 3: But a lot of it.

602
00:30:19,599 --> 00:30:26,079
Speaker 6: Yes, but we are Our job, Andy, is to figure

603
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:31,480
out what these teams are gonna do in the future,

604
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:38,440
because tonight is still in the future. And in order

605
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,759
to do that, we gotta be ahead of runs. We

606
00:30:40,839 --> 00:30:43,920
got to sit there and say to ourselves, Okay, one

607
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:46,160
of the New Jersey Devil's gonna do in the next

608
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,880
two three weeks. This is a team that has hit

609
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,480
the skids, yet they're loaded with talent. They are a

610
00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:54,559
veteran team, they got great goaltending. There are bet on

611
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,839
team moving forward. When a bag Jets bent on team

612
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:03,680
moving Forward Philadelphia bet against team moving forward Bottalo Sabers

613
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:07,880
thirteen wins or something sick fourteen out of sixteen some

614
00:31:08,039 --> 00:31:12,279
insane number there are bet against team moving against. Let's

615
00:31:12,359 --> 00:31:16,839
get let's figure out the runs that are coming, not

616
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,440
the runs that happened.

617
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,359
Speaker 1: I couldn't agree more, Lawrence. I do the show the

618
00:31:22,359 --> 00:31:25,000
prop line, and we literally have a segment starting a

619
00:31:25,039 --> 00:31:27,640
streak where we try and pick a player prop that's

620
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,200
getting ready to go on a run. You get those.

621
00:31:30,279 --> 00:31:32,880
That's how you that's how you. Uh, that's that's how

622
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,880
you make money. Uh Devils Devils are playing the Oilers tonight.

623
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 3: Here?

624
00:31:37,319 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: What are we doing with these two teams? Edmonton a

625
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:40,319
little bit bigger favorite here?

626
00:31:40,839 --> 00:31:45,880
Speaker 6: Okay, So firstly, David Takarski, I love you too, dude.

627
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,200
You watch all our shows across all our channels. You're

628
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,799
just such an encrease. You know what, David Andy? Dan?

629
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,039
Can you get David some wager bucks?

630
00:31:56,359 --> 00:31:56,880
Speaker 3: Organize it?

631
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,240
Speaker 4: I mean you're the you're the owner, I'm one of

632
00:31:59,279 --> 00:32:00,119
the owners.

633
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:00,799
Speaker 3: Of the companies.

634
00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 6: Organize some wager bucks for David.

635
00:32:03,799 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: All Right.

636
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,799
Speaker 6: I don't mean to put it on your case, but

637
00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:09,200
the dude deserves it.

638
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,079
Speaker 2: Okay, we bring, we bring the star of the best

639
00:32:12,079 --> 00:32:15,359
betting show ever onto wager Talk Today and Andy somehow

640
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:16,519
we leave with homework.

641
00:32:16,599 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 3: This is ridiculous. But for you present, for David anything.

642
00:32:19,839 --> 00:32:20,920
Speaker 1: I love you, guys.

643
00:32:21,039 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 6: Okay, well so so I like the under a lot

644
00:32:24,039 --> 00:32:26,799
in this game, guys, and I understand that we don't.

645
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,759
We don't want to. It doesn't feel right betting unders

646
00:32:31,279 --> 00:32:34,519
in an Edmonton oiler game. But I mean this Edmonton

647
00:32:34,559 --> 00:32:37,240
Euler team has gone under three games in a row,

648
00:32:37,319 --> 00:32:40,440
four of their last five. They have held Saint Louis

649
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,960
and Vancouver, their last two opponents, to zero goals. That's

650
00:32:44,039 --> 00:32:50,680
six periods, six not six six six periods without allowing

651
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,640
a goal. They've allowed one goal in their last three games.

652
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,599
They've allowed more than one goal one time in their

653
00:32:56,680 --> 00:33:01,759
last five games. They are playing outstanding offensively, and their

654
00:33:01,799 --> 00:33:04,960
goaltending is playing well. And this New Jersey team is

655
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,759
not some offensive juggernaut. If they just put up two

656
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:12,039
against Calgary and one was in overtime, so one, and

657
00:33:12,079 --> 00:33:15,119
they put up one against Carolina, they've scored two regular

658
00:33:15,559 --> 00:33:19,640
regulation goals in their last two games. Plus, I think

659
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,960
that New Jersey is gonna go on a run. They've

660
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,680
won three of their last four and in order for

661
00:33:24,799 --> 00:33:27,559
New Jersey to win games, they need to play low

662
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:31,319
scoring hockey games. There are six and a halves out there.

663
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:37,240
Take the under. You guys are gonna kill me? Head

664
00:33:37,279 --> 00:33:39,680
office is gonna kill me? Why you give it out

665
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,039
wager Box randomly without telling us.

666
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:46,839
Speaker 2: I can guarantee you because JD Johnny Detroit always has

667
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,400
the show on like in his office. I guarantee you

668
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:52,400
he's like screaming across the hall to M two and.

669
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 4: This is what you know what?

670
00:33:53,559 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 3: You know what?

671
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 6: They all should be screaming. Damn right, pres David's the best.

672
00:33:59,599 --> 00:34:03,920
Serve a shout out. David deserves some wager bucks.

673
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:08,159
Speaker 1: We love David, We do love David. David was one

674
00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:10,800
of the OG winners of our Today past. We started

675
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,320
doing a head to head bets on this show, so it's.

676
00:34:13,159 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 2: Really and David is one of our wager Talk Insiders,

677
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,719
which we also can't say enough about. We're approaching guys

678
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:24,719
eight hundred or more people who have joined wager Talk Insiders,

679
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:26,679
and it's less than five dollars.

680
00:34:26,679 --> 00:34:27,880
Speaker 3: I think it's three ninety nine.

681
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,920
Speaker 2: You get early access to all of our videos when

682
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,280
present show goes live. You know, as it's in the

683
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,480
back end processing and YouTube, you get to be the

684
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,559
first people that see it. So that info from Art

685
00:34:36,559 --> 00:34:39,239
to Caesar, that's before these lines move.

686
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:40,039
Speaker 3: You know.

687
00:34:40,079 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 2: Sometimes by the time the videos go up, the line

688
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:43,840
moves have already happened. We try and get you this

689
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,559
info as quickly as we can, but the insiders get it.

690
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,360
Speaker 3: Even quicker, and it's three ninety nine to do it.

691
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:54,079
Speaker 6: Okay, there you go. I love that insider deal and

692
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,400
Art gives incredible info. Guys, I can't thank you enough

693
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,320
for having me on the show. I love working.

694
00:35:00,119 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 1: Quipped to you, I have afore you before you go

695
00:35:03,079 --> 00:35:05,840
real quick? Was that a really good result last night

696
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,880
for Art? Was he saying we need Miami a week long?

697
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:14,440
Speaker 6: So so here's the interesting thing about that. Their futures

698
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:18,000
was so my happy they were done if Miami won

699
00:35:18,039 --> 00:35:24,119
the Natty. Not done, but I mean they have got annihilated.

700
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:30,239
If Miami won the Natty and they they were like

701
00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:35,119
eighty percent Indiana on the game, the whole thing worked out,

702
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:42,599
of course perfectly. Doesn't that always work out perfectly?

703
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 1: For the books?

704
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:47,199
Speaker 6: I mean they won, they had almost no future bets

705
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:51,400
on Indiana of Substance and they needed Miami on the game.

706
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:52,920
Couldn't have worked out any better.

707
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 1: Well, good for him, good for the sports, but.

708
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 4: They lose my little violin. Horrible weekend for the books.

709
00:36:04,119 --> 00:36:04,960
I mean, you know we love.

710
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 6: The craziest thing is and I know Steve Merrill's coming up.

711
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,599
I got to promote too. But the crazy thing is

712
00:36:11,079 --> 00:36:13,719
people who watch the best betting show ever think that

713
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,000
Art is giving out info and like get them to lose.

714
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:22,920
Like a Art is like an employer, an employee, like

715
00:36:23,039 --> 00:36:24,000
he doesn't care.

716
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:26,280
Speaker 3: That would be Art care.

717
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:28,559
Speaker 2: That's like that's like so the other day we went

718
00:36:29,119 --> 00:36:31,000
when we were moving, we need to get a Dolly,

719
00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:32,599
and we went to one of these hardware stores and

720
00:36:32,639 --> 00:36:34,360
we're like, hey, can we rent a Dolly? And the

721
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,440
guy was like, yeah, don't tell anyone, but if you

722
00:36:37,559 --> 00:36:40,800
buy the DOLLI you can return it tomorrow for full price.

723
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:41,800
Speaker 3: Don't rent one.

724
00:36:42,039 --> 00:36:44,679
Speaker 2: And I was like, that would be like Art being like, hey,

725
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:46,559
I'm actually telling this to you know what.

726
00:36:46,559 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 4: Like we have we.

727
00:36:48,199 --> 00:36:51,639
Speaker 6: Have a big passover dinner every April where we have

728
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,239
like thirty people in the house. We go to Costco,

729
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:57,159
we buy thirty chairs and then the next day we

730
00:36:57,199 --> 00:36:58,800
take thirty chairs back to Costco.

731
00:36:59,599 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 1: So yes, there you go.

732
00:37:01,199 --> 00:37:05,440
Speaker 6: Hey, what am I supposed to feel bad for these big, big,

733
00:37:06,079 --> 00:37:09,079
big box stores that have time got rid of the

734
00:37:09,119 --> 00:37:16,239
middle class and destroyed all small businesses. All right, so

735
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:20,639
no politics allowed on big box stores. Okay, guys, real quick.

736
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,719
I came on last Tuesday. Now there are not all

737
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:27,440
promotions are created equal. Everybody comes on the show and

738
00:37:27,519 --> 00:37:29,960
promotes a play. I promote plays every day.

739
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:31,199
Speaker 3: That's what we do.

740
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:36,039
Speaker 6: This is a BEG play. I plead, beg, I insist,

741
00:37:36,119 --> 00:37:40,480
I implore, I encourage, I demand you buy my five

742
00:37:40,559 --> 00:37:45,920
dollars play. I said the exact same words last Tuesday,

743
00:37:46,079 --> 00:37:49,239
and it won. And why am I saying this because

744
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:53,840
over the last four years, this is my strongest play,

745
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:57,039
my most profitable play, the most important play I have.

746
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,960
It is a big NHL bet. Ninety percent of my

747
00:38:01,079 --> 00:38:04,039
NHL bets, not even percent of all my bets are

748
00:38:04,079 --> 00:38:06,800
two and three percent bets. This is the four percent play.

749
00:38:07,159 --> 00:38:09,679
I am on a six and oh run, I am

750
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,920
on a nine and one run, I'm on a nineteen

751
00:38:13,119 --> 00:38:17,039
and five run. Put all of that aside. I am

752
00:38:17,159 --> 00:38:21,760
forty two and seventeen in the last four years of

753
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:25,119
these plays. It does not get more profitable than that.

754
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:29,039
It is as strong as I can give out. It's

755
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:33,599
five fricking dollars. If you're not going to buy that

756
00:38:33,679 --> 00:38:35,480
plate for me, buy it for Dan.

757
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:37,760
Speaker 3: Thank you for having me.

758
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 1: Thanks, thank you, Lawrence, Well pres I love you guys, so.

759
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:46,400
Speaker 3: Appreciate your brother. Good luck the press.

760
00:38:46,679 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 2: So I messaged Danny on the side and I said,

761
00:38:49,159 --> 00:38:52,119
at the very worst, present segments will always be the

762
00:38:52,119 --> 00:38:54,840
most entertaining of the week, even at their very worst.

763
00:38:55,079 --> 00:38:56,840
And that was certainly not the very worst.

764
00:38:56,840 --> 00:39:02,239
Speaker 1: Great stuff, no nor now yep, awb floating all week

765
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:04,679
on to Natty. Let's do some free places here all

766
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,800
around the world. Then we'll talk to Steve Merrill and

767
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:11,760
I'll give some thoughts on closing thoughts on this IU

768
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:15,880
season and everything that's happened, and some things I learned

769
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,360
about last night. All right, let's go, let's go to

770
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:22,400
the Spurs in the rockets. I really like this play.

771
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,840
I'm gonna put this as a client play. This probably

772
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:26,960
has to be bet Luke Cornett over twelve and a

773
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,519
half points plus rebounds. Dan. We talked about how Steven

774
00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:32,840
Adams is out. Steven Adams is a beast coming in

775
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:36,400
off of the bench. He's not in tonight. So Cornett

776
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:39,199
comes in off the bench and now he faces Clint Capello,

777
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:42,159
who barely plays. Cornett has gone over in five straight

778
00:39:42,199 --> 00:39:45,360
games that Winbin Yama plays has plays sixteen and seven

779
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,199
on the season. This is too low. Take over twelve

780
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,239
and a half points plus rebounds. Again. When Luke Cornett

781
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,519
checks into the game, he's going up against the third

782
00:39:53,599 --> 00:39:56,559
stream center. Huge advantage for him. He's averaging twenty three

783
00:39:56,559 --> 00:39:59,960
and a half minutes, seven rebounds, eight point seven points.

784
00:40:01,639 --> 00:40:04,000
College basketball, Shane, you went to college basketball? This comes

785
00:40:04,039 --> 00:40:06,800
off the way to Talk Free Picks page. Iowa State

786
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:10,679
minus thirteen over Central Florida Cyclones back to back road losses,

787
00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:13,000
but they are perfect ten to zero at home. Central

788
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,079
Florida gives up seventy nine points per game. Cyclones average

789
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:20,880
ninety point five at home and the American Express PGA Tourney.

790
00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:23,840
Take a look at Matthew Fitzpatrick top twenty at plus

791
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:26,079
one seventy five. This guy is eighth in the world

792
00:40:26,159 --> 00:40:29,360
total strokes game the last twelve months. He hit a

793
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:33,159
blip in his game, which is a hilarious story. But

794
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:37,639
he looks good. He's been playing TGL, which I know

795
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:40,400
is not like actual real golf. But he's in shape.

796
00:40:40,639 --> 00:40:43,039
He should not be rusty. So Matthew Fitzpatrick really good

797
00:40:43,039 --> 00:40:47,840
price at top twenty. All right, Dan, did you know

798
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:51,800
about so the real quick the Matthew Fitzpatrick thing. One

799
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:53,360
of the best players in the world, and all of

800
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,639
a sudden he couldn't drive. You could not drive the ball,

801
00:40:55,679 --> 00:40:58,360
like sprang the ball everywhere, and it's like, this guy's

802
00:40:59,159 --> 00:41:01,800
a winner of a major. It turns out at the

803
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,559
beginning of the season they put these heavy weights in

804
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:08,679
his driver to increase speed and exercise, and they told

805
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:10,920
him they they never took him out. They told him

806
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,159
they took him out, and they never did. So he's

807
00:41:13,199 --> 00:41:17,840
swinging with the with his own driver drivers like way heavier.

808
00:41:18,079 --> 00:41:21,159
They took him out immediately back to being one of

809
00:41:21,199 --> 00:41:22,119
the elite players.

810
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 2: So he was just he was the anti happy Gilmour.

811
00:41:25,079 --> 00:41:28,039
He could do everything butt drive and he's what the

812
00:41:28,039 --> 00:41:29,239
hell is happening here?

813
00:41:30,519 --> 00:41:33,519
Speaker 1: We see these professional athletes and professional teams. You think, oh,

814
00:41:33,519 --> 00:41:40,519
they're always buttoned up. Not always. I mean the driver

815
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,920
the RAMS players were putting cayenne pepper in their socks

816
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:45,440
to try and keep their feet warm.

817
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:50,760
Speaker 2: Only crazy if it doesn't work, Andy, Only crazy. Earlier

818
00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:53,519
in the show, Shane Russell was asking not anybody Texas

819
00:41:53,559 --> 00:41:56,360
Tech over Baylor tonight some thoughts on that game. Well,

820
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,119
you're in luck because one of the greatest wader tell,

821
00:41:59,199 --> 00:42:02,159
Steve Merrill, is ending the show and he was already

822
00:42:02,159 --> 00:42:05,880
assigned this game. So Steve, that the chat apropos is

823
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,679
going to be getting answers that you were already prepared

824
00:42:08,679 --> 00:42:10,239
to make. How we doing, buddy, Getting to see you

825
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:11,719
two days in a row. What a treat for the

826
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:12,960
way you're talking today, audience.

827
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 7: That's why we're going to talk about that game. We're

828
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:16,800
all going so we talk about the Indiana Hoosiers basketball

829
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,239
because they're a basketball school. And that's why Andy Lang

830
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,079
apparently wore that sweatshirt today because he knew I was

831
00:42:21,119 --> 00:42:21,519
talking about.

832
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:26,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I'm rooting for the basketball Bactnight Big game, Steve.

833
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,119
You know when they play, Steve, I'm sure you like

834
00:42:31,199 --> 00:42:35,280
that Iowa State over Central Florida play. Well, I think

835
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:36,440
that was your play, wasn't it?

836
00:42:36,599 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 3: On there?

837
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:40,800
Speaker 7: I've got a free play up for college oops, so

838
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:42,400
people can go check out my page and see if

839
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,800
that was my free player or not. Well, and also

840
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:49,440
there's a couple five dollars, one for each side of

841
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:54,480
the bills. You normally take a zero off. They would

842
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:59,199
normally be fifty. That is an instant ninety discount. Five

843
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:01,840
is ten percent, fifty, that's ninety percent. That's how we

844
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,639
do math waitter talk dot com.

845
00:43:05,039 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 1: Well, let's math our way through this peacock double header

846
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:12,880
Indiana versus Michigan, my Hoosiers versus versus Michigan.

847
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:13,119
Speaker 2: Here.

848
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 1: First off, I would just say, like this, I've heard

849
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:20,519
there's a narrative like the basketball team may have a

850
00:43:20,599 --> 00:43:23,360
letdown because the football team just went. Is that really

851
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:23,760
a thing?

852
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:26,400
Speaker 7: I thought about it?

853
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,519
Speaker 4: Did you implement it in your life? I thought about

854
00:43:29,559 --> 00:43:30,559
it this game?

855
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:33,519
Speaker 1: What's your take on this game? Michigan huge favorites. Your

856
00:43:33,559 --> 00:43:37,039
mine is fifteen and a half over under one sixty three.

857
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:39,719
Speaker 7: Look, I'm all about situational handicap, and I think that's

858
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:41,599
one of the biggest edges in all seriousness you can

859
00:43:41,599 --> 00:43:43,800
get in any sport because the odds are set on base,

860
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,239
what's happened, what's expected happened? All kind of a norm,

861
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,159
so you look for extreme outliers, you know, misleading box scores.

862
00:43:49,199 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 3: I love that where a.

863
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:53,039
Speaker 7: Team has a lot of turnovers, and football are extreme outliers,

864
00:43:53,039 --> 00:43:55,039
like from the three point range for free throw line.

865
00:43:55,079 --> 00:43:58,360
But there's also the situational aspect that it did. When

866
00:43:58,360 --> 00:43:59,719
I saw I was doing this game and it was one

867
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:01,880
of the COG National TV games, I go wow in

868
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:03,760
the end of the day after they win the national title.

869
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:07,320
Could that affect the basketball team? Probably less likely because

870
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:09,400
it's a road game. If it was a home game,

871
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,079
I think it might be a positive. I think they'd

872
00:44:11,119 --> 00:44:14,559
be pumped up, the fans would be energized. On the road,

873
00:44:14,559 --> 00:44:16,880
they were most likely watching this game from the hotel

874
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:19,440
last night, So I don't think there's any aspect that

875
00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:21,039
will affect them. But they actually might have been a

876
00:44:21,079 --> 00:44:24,039
positive had they been a home dog, because they're currently

877
00:44:24,079 --> 00:44:26,119
a fifteen and a half point road underdog in Michigan,

878
00:44:26,159 --> 00:44:28,000
they would have been a good size, you know, touchdown

879
00:44:28,079 --> 00:44:32,119
underdog pun intended at home. The early money did come

880
00:44:32,119 --> 00:44:33,559
in on the Indiana in this game. It opened to

881
00:44:33,639 --> 00:44:35,679
highs seventeen and a half. It's down to fifteen and

882
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:37,480
a half. We have seen some sharp money in the

883
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:41,199
over opened one fifty now now one fifty nine. It's

884
00:44:41,199 --> 00:44:44,840
now up to one sixty three in most locations. And

885
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:47,239
of course, Michigan plays extremely fast. They're one of the

886
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,119
top ten fastest teams in the country, and everyone thinks

887
00:44:50,159 --> 00:44:52,960
slow down half court basketball and defense makes you a

888
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:55,280
good team. Hey, we've seen to change in the NFL

889
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,119
where everyone's a pass heavy attack. Now in football, speed

890
00:44:58,159 --> 00:45:00,360
it up in basketball, baby, I've got Michigan. Though they're

891
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:02,079
third in the AP poll, I've got them as the

892
00:45:02,079 --> 00:45:04,599
strongest college basketball team. They've basically been my number one

893
00:45:04,599 --> 00:45:06,960
team for several months now. In all the metrics I

894
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,719
look at, They're a top five offense and defense. Indiana

895
00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:13,880
is a very good offensive team, suspect at times on defense,

896
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,199
and Michigan. Put this in perspective. They have the best

897
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,840
two point percentage offense and defense in the country three

898
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:24,119
hundred and sixty five teams, and they shoot sixty four

899
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:27,159
percent from two point range and they allow just forty percent.

900
00:45:27,199 --> 00:45:29,519
That's number one ranked at both ends of the court.

901
00:45:30,079 --> 00:45:33,559
Indiana also a very good two point offense and defense.

902
00:45:34,079 --> 00:45:35,960
Michigan does it better. So you have two teams they're

903
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,679
going to play up tempo, two good offensive teams. Whenever

904
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,639
you get similar matchup, I'd rather have the better squad.

905
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,599
I disagree with the move on Indian I'd lean Michigan

906
00:45:44,639 --> 00:45:46,760
minus fifteen and a half. But I agree with the

907
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,360
move to the over one sixty three. As you know,

908
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:52,280
highest totals always go oh not always. We always look

909
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,239
for highest totals to go over. They normally go over.

910
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,679
Somebody caught me in the video. One time I say

911
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:58,920
high totals, we play over, low totals, we play under.

912
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,239
One time it didn't work. Like Steve, it didn't work.

913
00:46:01,519 --> 00:46:04,400
I'm like, nothing always works. But in general we do

914
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,960
get some value because they don't set it high enough.

915
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:08,679
And even with this four point move, I still think

916
00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:10,679
there's some value with the over in this one. And

917
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:12,679
by the way, Indiana did play a road game against

918
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:16,079
Michigan State, another really good Big Ten team last Tuesday.

919
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:19,199
Lost by twenty one in that one. I see another

920
00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:21,239
double digit loss to Night. They also lost by twelve

921
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:23,440
at Kentucky. They have not stepped up well in class

922
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:24,360
on the road this season.

923
00:46:27,079 --> 00:46:29,320
Speaker 1: Let's go to let's do Texas Tech and Baylor Bye.

924
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:33,239
By the way, Steve. There has been one thing that

925
00:46:33,360 --> 00:46:38,239
worked sixteen times in a row this season.

926
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:42,159
Speaker 7: Due tell yo.

927
00:46:43,519 --> 00:46:47,239
Speaker 3: Does Dan have a Yale football jersey? Yeah? Yeah, eighteen

928
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:49,039
ninety four eighteen Yeah. Baby.

929
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 1: Let's do Texas Tech versus Baylor. I think this is

930
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:56,719
the second leg here and much much closer spread here

931
00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:59,159
minus one and a half over under one fifty five

932
00:46:59,199 --> 00:46:59,679
and a half.

933
00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:00,679
Speaker 3: Yeah.

934
00:47:00,679 --> 00:47:03,119
Speaker 7: This year second game on Peacock nine o'clock eastern toon

935
00:47:03,159 --> 00:47:06,320
not on Tuesday, the Peacock doubleheader, and this one should

936
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,599
be a pretty competitive game a Baylor currently about a

937
00:47:08,639 --> 00:47:11,639
one and a half point home dog, unranked Baylor against

938
00:47:11,639 --> 00:47:14,079
I believe Texas Tech's like nineteenth right now in the polls.

939
00:47:14,079 --> 00:47:16,920
And by the way, this Saturday, I will be debuting

940
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,760
this year's Top twenty five video the first time this season.

941
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,079
Now that football is done on Saturdays, I will have

942
00:47:22,119 --> 00:47:24,360
my college basketball Top twenty five video like I do

943
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:27,280
for football every Saturday. So make sure you click subscribe

944
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:29,159
and you click that bell here on Wait to Talk TV.

945
00:47:30,079 --> 00:47:32,719
Recording that most likely on Friday evenings once we hopefully

946
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,119
get some lines out so we will be talking more

947
00:47:35,119 --> 00:47:36,800
about the rankings. But if you watch that video for

948
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:38,559
the last several years. You know, one angle I love

949
00:47:38,679 --> 00:47:41,639
is to play unranked home teams against a ranked opponent.

950
00:47:41,679 --> 00:47:44,039
Brian Power and I talk a lot about that. Baylor

951
00:47:44,079 --> 00:47:46,239
doesn't quite qualify here, but it should be a really

952
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:48,760
focused spot for him. Not much movement on the line

953
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,480
though They open as a one and a half point dog.

954
00:47:50,519 --> 00:47:51,840
We have seen it go up to two in a

955
00:47:51,840 --> 00:47:54,360
few spots. Texas Tech taking a little bit of money.

956
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:56,519
Sharp Mighty though on the under in this one. Talked

957
00:47:56,519 --> 00:47:57,920
about the over in the last game. The Sharp Mighty

958
00:47:57,920 --> 00:47:59,960
has been on the under in this one. Open one fifty,

959
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,840
it's now down to one fifty four in this one.

960
00:48:04,159 --> 00:48:07,199
Texas Tech Baylor should be a high scoring game, though

961
00:48:07,199 --> 00:48:10,199
both teams played a moderus pace. Neither team, though, gives

962
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:12,639
up many three point shots, and that's a little sneaky

963
00:48:12,679 --> 00:48:15,280
angle you can use when handicapping totals. You know, as

964
00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:17,599
I said earlier, three point variant is really the great

965
00:48:17,639 --> 00:48:20,320
equalizer in college basketball and the real random factor that's

966
00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,440
hard to quantify. But neither team gives up many shots

967
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:25,280
from the three point range. In fact, they both ranked

968
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:28,519
top fifty fewest three pointers allowed this season in the nation.

969
00:48:28,599 --> 00:48:30,840
Out of all three hundred and sixty five teams, and

970
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,519
Texas Tech does not get to the free throw line much.

971
00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:35,719
Only twenty nine percent of their points come from the

972
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,719
charity stripe. And Baylor allows some of the fewest amounts

973
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:41,119
of free throws in the nation this season. So not

974
00:48:41,199 --> 00:48:43,199
a lot of free throws in this game, not a

975
00:48:43,199 --> 00:48:46,039
lot of three point attempts from either team, although both

976
00:48:46,039 --> 00:48:48,000
teams can get up and down and have a good offenses.

977
00:48:48,039 --> 00:48:50,440
I agree with that move to the under here under

978
00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:53,719
one fifty four, low three point rate, less free throws.

979
00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:55,320
That's something you look at when you're playing the unders.

980
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:57,440
So take a look at under one fifty four between

981
00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:00,519
Texas Tech and Baylor your late night PM Eastern game

982
00:49:00,559 --> 00:49:01,920
on Peacock tonight on Tuesday.

983
00:49:04,159 --> 00:49:08,480
Speaker 1: All right, Steve Merrill, we've been asking this question. I'll

984
00:49:08,679 --> 00:49:12,440
pose it to you. Yeah, Jared's did them eight point

985
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:13,880
difference between him and bo.

986
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:17,559
Speaker 7: Nix, So that's interesting, Andy, I was thinking about that

987
00:49:17,639 --> 00:49:19,920
today and I didn't pull up the advanced lines from

988
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,199
last week, and I didn't think the Broncos would have

989
00:49:22,199 --> 00:49:24,920
been what a couple of point favorites that we were saying.

990
00:49:25,119 --> 00:49:27,000
Speaker 2: That's what I was trying to figure my favorite would

991
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:28,679
be my guess, I think those are that was the

992
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:30,840
advanced lines we were seeing from like draft games and

993
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,239
VANDUL how they put up those early look lines two

994
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:34,480
and a half three, So.

995
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:36,199
Speaker 7: We're talking about five now. So yeah, you talking about

996
00:49:36,199 --> 00:49:37,880
an eight point difference, and it's an excellent point.

997
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:38,159
Speaker 3: Andy.

998
00:49:38,159 --> 00:49:39,519
Speaker 7: This is something I was going to bring up later

999
00:49:39,519 --> 00:49:43,119
this week in my videos, still diving into both NFL games.

1000
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,679
Will have both games free, like I've done for every

1001
00:49:45,679 --> 00:49:48,800
playoff game, most likely around Friday probably we usually try

1002
00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:50,199
to do a few days in advance, get all the

1003
00:49:50,199 --> 00:49:53,320
information possible. Yet another reason clicks subscribed quick the bell.

1004
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:55,639
You get both NFL games and Saturday Top twenty five

1005
00:49:55,679 --> 00:49:58,039
college hoops. But I was going to bring up that point, Andy,

1006
00:49:58,039 --> 00:50:00,159
So I'm so glad you mentioned it. It's not the

1007
00:50:00,199 --> 00:50:03,599
player is worth, it's what the difference is between the

1008
00:50:03,679 --> 00:50:06,400
backup and the starter. And you know I brought that

1009
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:08,840
up in the Denver Bronco Kansas City Chief game. That

1010
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:10,519
was another one of those Prime winners.

1011
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 3: They thought it was done.

1012
00:50:12,039 --> 00:50:14,159
Speaker 7: I've had people begging me to say Prime this entire

1013
00:50:14,199 --> 00:50:17,760
playoff season. I still worked it in. But seriously, that

1014
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:21,679
was a huge adjustment between Minshew and Mahomes. And then

1015
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:23,679
we had another drop off with the third stringer. I

1016
00:50:23,679 --> 00:50:25,760
can't remember his name now, was Cuckam?

1017
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 3: What was it? Cha Ka Khan?

1018
00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:30,599
Speaker 7: Anyway, it was like a sixteen point difference, and I said,

1019
00:50:30,639 --> 00:50:32,760
that's too much. The Chiefs covered and lost the game.

1020
00:50:33,239 --> 00:50:35,320
I don't think bo Nicks is anything special. He's had

1021
00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:38,840
a solid season. He's serviceable, but he's a mediocre quarterback.

1022
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:41,800
Denver wins with defense, they win with their running game.

1023
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,880
Excellent point. I don't think there's an eight point difference.

1024
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,159
I haven't decided yet which way I'm going in this game.

1025
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,679
Might look at some props as well, but yeah, excellent point.

1026
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:51,960
That's how you have to handicap injuries. And we talked

1027
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:54,119
about it so much with the NBA. Right we see

1028
00:50:54,159 --> 00:50:56,199
these teams the line moves seven eight points, where the

1029
00:50:56,199 --> 00:50:58,880
star players out and the team still went outright, And

1030
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:01,440
the reason is because yet that guy's great, but the

1031
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,280
guys that begin half as many shots when he's on

1032
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:04,800
the court, no, I'll take twice as many shots and

1033
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,119
they can score in their sleep. That's another reason why

1034
00:51:07,119 --> 00:51:12,280
those injured NBA teams continue to cash.

1035
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff. Steve Merrills.

1036
00:51:16,639 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 7: The Chiefs, I honestly cannot remember.

1037
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:21,000
Speaker 3: I thought you nailed him with a Shaka Khan. It

1038
00:51:21,079 --> 00:51:22,000
was something like.

1039
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:24,519
Speaker 7: Chok a mom.

1040
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:27,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was something that I leave it to you

1041
00:51:27,679 --> 00:51:30,400
to pronounce in the videos.

1042
00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:31,719
Speaker 3: That's a great song.

1043
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:34,840
Speaker 2: I have enough trouble keeping up with the people's names

1044
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:37,039
who are actually going to play and contribute to the team,

1045
00:51:37,119 --> 00:51:39,519
let alone the third stringer for the Kansas City Chiefs.

1046
00:51:39,559 --> 00:51:41,119
Speaker 7: You know now about this real quick, guys. I mean

1047
00:51:41,119 --> 00:51:42,840
Stinham was with the Patriots. I gotta pull up the

1048
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,880
data still. I hadn't doune into that yet. But edge,

1049
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,239
does he have some INSI I mean, obviously Vrabel wasn't there,

1050
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:49,280
so it probably doesn't apply.

1051
00:51:49,519 --> 00:51:51,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, But but McDaniel.

1052
00:51:51,119 --> 00:51:53,199
Speaker 2: He worked closely with McDaniel, so I don't know if

1053
00:51:53,199 --> 00:51:55,679
he knows enough of what they're doing schematically. Now you

1054
00:51:55,760 --> 00:51:57,960
also have a new quarterback and everything like that. You

1055
00:51:58,000 --> 00:52:00,760
could argue that McGill's probably going to know and edge

1056
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,239
against him. But my big thing with this whole like

1057
00:52:03,320 --> 00:52:07,480
Knicks to Stidham thing is so often this year, when

1058
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:11,119
I was making a cap on the Denver Broncos, very

1059
00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:14,880
rarely did my handicap include I'm making this bet because

1060
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:17,400
of bo Nicks being the starting quarterback of the Broncos.

1061
00:52:17,599 --> 00:52:19,559
So a lot of the time you were handicapping this

1062
00:52:19,639 --> 00:52:23,119
team around what you got from the quarterback. So when

1063
00:52:23,159 --> 00:52:25,159
you were capping this team, it was what they brought

1064
00:52:25,159 --> 00:52:26,960
you on the defensive side of the ball, what they

1065
00:52:26,960 --> 00:52:30,000
brought you from a home field advantage standpoint. Does that

1066
00:52:30,119 --> 00:52:33,079
really change with the quarterback? It's something fascinating to kick

1067
00:52:33,079 --> 00:52:35,199
around with you guys all week long. Steve's gonna have

1068
00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:37,159
videos on it, and of course we'll be asking the

1069
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:40,840
chat the thoughts on how this really affects because it's

1070
00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:46,559
a pretty interesting situation and Patriots fans know backup quarterbacks

1071
00:52:47,119 --> 00:52:48,400
in big time games.

1072
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 3: It's been pretty good for the backup quarterback. That's all.

1073
00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 4: We'll say, Nick Foles, what do we got? Five dollars?

1074
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:58,280
Speaker 3: Tuesday? Steve Meryl, what are we what? Dan real quick?

1075
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:00,840
Speaker 7: I pulled up Stidhams like numbers here. The two years

1076
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:03,199
he played meaningful minutes in twenty two and twenty three

1077
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,199
with the Raiders and Broncos, he has not played at all.

1078
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:06,880
The last he has not thrown a pass. The last

1079
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:10,440
two seasons with the Broncos, he had over one thousand

1080
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:12,280
passing yards and an eighty eight and a half QB

1081
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,400
rating those two seasons eighty eight and eighty nine, very consistent.

1082
00:53:16,079 --> 00:53:17,559
I don't have Nicks in front of me, but I'm

1083
00:53:17,559 --> 00:53:19,800
pretty sure Nix is in that eighty range, probably career

1084
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,199
QB rating. So yeah, I don't think it's an eight

1085
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:24,519
point difference, and it's definitely something I'll talk more about

1086
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:26,880
in those videos this week, and you click subscribe, plick

1087
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:29,159
the bell here a wager Talk TV instant alerts when

1088
00:53:29,159 --> 00:53:31,920
all those free play videos go up. Bonus free college

1089
00:53:32,000 --> 00:53:35,519
basketball play as well for Tuesday, along with two best bets,

1090
00:53:35,519 --> 00:53:38,320
one in the NBA, one in college hoops. And I

1091
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:40,239
really like this college play tonight. I think it's a

1092
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:42,559
great situational play like I was talking about earlier. Loved

1093
00:53:42,559 --> 00:53:44,639
situational handicapping both.

1094
00:53:44,559 --> 00:53:45,360
Speaker 3: Five dollars each.

1095
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:47,320
Speaker 7: If you wanted to try out my basketball best bets,

1096
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,800
today's a day to do at five dollars Tuesday. Steve

1097
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,960
merrilllwager Talk dot com, get there, quicker, WT dot Buzz,

1098
00:53:53,159 --> 00:53:56,280
slash sn you see it on the screen. Dan Alexander,

1099
00:53:56,519 --> 00:53:58,960
the best in the business at Popping Graphics.

1100
00:54:00,199 --> 00:54:07,639
Speaker 3: You don't graphics, Sir, appreciate it, man, Thank you, Thanks Steve.

1101
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:10,519
Speaker 4: All right, and it's a great question, Andy.

1102
00:54:10,519 --> 00:54:12,360
Speaker 2: That's why I'm looking forward to seeing you know what

1103
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:14,920
the chat says all week long because again I've been

1104
00:54:15,400 --> 00:54:19,400
after talking with with Crack and Yanni yesterday, like I

1105
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:20,960
went and I locked in the five and a half

1106
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:23,039
while I still could Now there hasn't been that you know,

1107
00:54:23,119 --> 00:54:25,320
crazy move. It's going to keep fluttering around that, but

1108
00:54:26,119 --> 00:54:28,519
I don't know. It's it's a super interesting handicap for

1109
00:54:28,519 --> 00:54:30,800
a team who hasn't looked that strong outside of what

1110
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:33,719
they've done defensively. But it's also been bad weather games

1111
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:37,199
at home. It's a it's an interesting handicap, one of

1112
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:38,599
the most interesting of the season.

1113
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:46,039
Speaker 1: Absolutely, absolutely, Okay. A couple thoughts. The Giants made one

1114
00:54:46,039 --> 00:54:52,880
of the most savvy moves. There's this, there's a rule

1115
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:56,920
when you're hiring people, when you get your guy in

1116
00:54:57,000 --> 00:54:58,280
the door, you don't let him leave.

1117
00:54:58,639 --> 00:54:59,440
Speaker 3: You make it happen.

1118
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:04,760
Speaker 1: Think about if they were to get the step Shane No,

1119
00:55:05,079 --> 00:55:07,199
think about if they would have waited. You don't think

1120
00:55:07,199 --> 00:55:09,440
Harball wants that Bill's job Bill's job.

1121
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 2: You don't think are like ship I could have coached

1122
00:55:13,280 --> 00:55:13,920
Josh Allen.

1123
00:55:14,639 --> 00:55:18,159
Speaker 1: So so two teams got their guys and now both

1124
00:55:18,199 --> 00:55:21,039
of them would have been incredible Buffalo. So I thought

1125
00:55:21,079 --> 00:55:24,239
that was that was an interesting reread. Okay, last night,

1126
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:29,559
so we all kind of realized something. This is basically

1127
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:32,760
this is basically the only year that people are going

1128
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:33,679
to be happy for us.

1129
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:35,440
Speaker 3: That's a good point.

1130
00:55:36,199 --> 00:55:37,800
Speaker 4: This is now all.

1131
00:55:37,679 --> 00:55:40,760
Speaker 8: Of a sudden, there nobody's rooting for us next year,

1132
00:55:40,920 --> 00:55:45,320
nobody like So this is an interesting feeling that like

1133
00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:48,760
an hour after the game, it was like, oh oh yeah,

1134
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:50,719
now we got the target at our back and now

1135
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:51,920
we're going to be the ones.

1136
00:55:53,559 --> 00:55:56,679
Speaker 1: Story. Yeah yeah, So that like.

1137
00:55:56,639 --> 00:55:59,800
Speaker 2: The whole like feel good story about Signetty that's gone.

1138
00:56:00,039 --> 00:56:02,639
Now Signetty is gonna be the guy that everybody hates

1139
00:56:02,679 --> 00:56:04,719
that they can't stand to see on the sideline. That's

1140
00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:06,440
I thought it was funny when we started the show

1141
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:09,000
here today and every one of the chats like congrats Andy,

1142
00:56:09,159 --> 00:56:11,199
like let's go you know what I mean next to

1143
00:56:11,239 --> 00:56:14,239
your Chiefs fan that that would have that wouldn't happen.

1144
00:56:15,480 --> 00:56:20,280
Speaker 1: Okay, Okay, This was another thought that I had. I

1145
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:23,199
know everyone's glad that the chief happy that the Chiefs

1146
00:56:23,199 --> 00:56:27,599
are out of the playoffs, I'm not. Would you rather

1147
00:56:27,639 --> 00:56:30,280
watch c. J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes of a playoff game?

1148
00:56:30,599 --> 00:56:33,960
I would just like to see the best the best quarterbacks, please?

1149
00:56:34,440 --> 00:56:36,800
Uh would I would just like to see Patrick Mahomes

1150
00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:39,360
of the playoffs rather than some of the atrocities that

1151
00:56:39,400 --> 00:56:42,199
we've seen from the playoff of course, so I would.

1152
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:44,599
Speaker 4: I would rather be waterboarded than watch C. J.

1153
00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:46,239
Speaker 3: Stroud play playoff football.

1154
00:56:46,280 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 2: So that's that's a very the choir here man.

1155
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:53,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, like we just get the best quarterbacks in there.

1156
00:56:53,800 --> 00:56:56,159
Speaker 2: Okay, well it was it was like we paid for

1157
00:56:56,199 --> 00:56:59,360
our sins. Yes, the Chiefs are the Chiefs are now

1158
00:56:59,360 --> 00:57:00,000
out of the playoff.

1159
00:57:00,119 --> 00:57:00,760
Speaker 3: And what did it do?

1160
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:03,400
Speaker 2: It brought us back to the Patriots. So yeah, this

1161
00:57:03,559 --> 00:57:06,599
is eleven straight years of either the Chiefs or the Patriots.

1162
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:11,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, so the Patriots now great, let's see. Uh yeah.

1163
00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:14,159
It just goes back to like how in March Madness

1164
00:57:14,199 --> 00:57:17,559
when we all say we like to see upsets, but

1165
00:57:17,599 --> 00:57:19,440
whenever there's an upset and one of the big teams

1166
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:21,079
gets knocked out, the ratings plummet.

1167
00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 3: So like, now I get to see St.

1168
00:57:23,519 --> 00:57:27,079
Speaker 4: Peter's they do in the next round against UNC.

1169
00:57:27,400 --> 00:57:29,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is great. There was a fun upset. Now

1170
00:57:29,599 --> 00:57:32,039
I get to see them get completely boat raced by UNC.

1171
00:57:32,239 --> 00:57:32,639
Speaker 3: Awesome.

1172
00:57:33,159 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 1: Yes, it's really hard to I did not party nearly

1173
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:43,199
as hard as people think I did. It's really different

1174
00:57:43,199 --> 00:57:44,360
when it's on a Monday night.

1175
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:47,119
Speaker 4: Yes, like everyone else loves them.

1176
00:57:47,639 --> 00:57:50,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't love the Monday It doesn't really make

1177
00:57:50,079 --> 00:57:52,719
sense to me, especially when you're talking about and I

1178
00:57:52,719 --> 00:57:53,880
get it, you know, they don't want to go ahead

1179
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,039
to head with the NFL, like it's all strategically done,

1180
00:57:56,039 --> 00:58:00,599
but it's a game that's exclusively played on set Saturdays,

1181
00:58:00,719 --> 00:58:02,199
you know what I mean, and then just a Monday

1182
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:03,280
night championship.

1183
00:58:03,280 --> 00:58:05,039
Speaker 3: It just I don't love it.

1184
00:58:05,079 --> 00:58:07,039
Speaker 2: I don't like how it also says that it started

1185
00:58:07,119 --> 00:58:09,400
seven thirty and it doesn't really start until eight o'clock.

1186
00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 4: It's yeah, yeah, it's a whole thing.

1187
00:58:12,119 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 1: It's a whole yeah. So all right, So there was that.

1188
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:19,159
So it was not nearly the party that that that

1189
00:58:19,159 --> 00:58:21,480
that you would think it was. It was a blast,

1190
00:58:21,960 --> 00:58:24,000
it was. It was a lot of fun. But I

1191
00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:27,159
do have to tell them, so I have a friend.

1192
00:58:28,519 --> 00:58:30,639
And by the way, the weekend game, boy did we

1193
00:58:30,719 --> 00:58:33,119
tie one off? My god and one of more buddies

1194
00:58:33,119 --> 00:58:35,599
that was there, he tells us. So he's like, hey,

1195
00:58:35,679 --> 00:58:38,280
I have this presentation. So the biggest our company's history

1196
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:41,199
were a startup. I've been working on this six months.

1197
00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:44,760
People are flying in from another country. They're here for

1198
00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:48,519
one day and like, basically my entire company depends on

1199
00:58:48,599 --> 00:58:53,039
me eight o'clock Tuesday morning after the National Championship.

1200
00:58:53,639 --> 00:58:55,079
Speaker 4: So he had to like.

1201
00:58:55,719 --> 00:59:02,119
Speaker 1: Be on his absolute best behavior putting there. And what

1202
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:05,760
country would you not want them flying him for? As

1203
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:08,880
of certain things that are going on today in the world.

1204
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:13,239
They are they are from Denmark.

1205
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 3: Oh oof, that's it. This is how you know that

1206
00:59:20,400 --> 00:59:22,320
irony is not dead quite yet.

1207
00:59:22,719 --> 00:59:26,320
Speaker 1: Have fun at your presentation, my friend. So I cannot

1208
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:29,599
wait to talk to him tonight to see how that went.

1209
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:33,480
It's a pretty wild story. But boy, this season was

1210
00:59:33,559 --> 00:59:38,400
just a ton of fun. I also, I just I

1211
00:59:38,639 --> 00:59:41,480
have some questions about Mendoza. I have two big questions

1212
00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:44,760
about Mendoza. The first is, what is this guy really

1213
00:59:44,920 --> 00:59:46,920
like when there's not a microphone in front of him?

1214
00:59:46,920 --> 00:59:50,679
Because he's like this cartoon character. But then you saw it.

1215
00:59:50,719 --> 00:59:52,280
Did you see when they asked him, they were like,

1216
00:59:52,599 --> 00:59:55,440
what's tonight gonna be like? And it's like a something

1217
00:59:55,519 --> 00:59:57,679
just switched his head. He was like, it's gonna It's

1218
00:59:57,679 --> 00:59:59,639
like it's gonna be insane. I'm like, Oh, this is

1219
00:59:59,679 --> 01:00:04,320
the guy. It's gonna be tavoc at parties like this

1220
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:06,280
is the guy the project XU.

1221
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:11,199
Speaker 2: My My my thoughts on Mendoz are are this Andy

1222
01:00:11,320 --> 01:00:15,199
and it is trade the pick Las Vegas Raiders.

1223
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:18,119
Speaker 3: That That is my thought on on on Mendoz. I

1224
01:00:18,199 --> 01:00:21,880
trade the pick, get the draft capital. That's my thought

1225
01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:23,639
on Mendoza. Moving forward here.

1226
01:00:23,719 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 4: I hope you love the kid, get me kid to watch.

1227
01:00:27,920 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 2: I just if I was an executive, I would be

1228
01:00:30,519 --> 01:00:32,960
trading the pick if somebody wants him at the first

1229
01:00:33,000 --> 01:00:33,639
overall pick.

1230
01:00:33,719 --> 01:00:34,760
Speaker 3: That that's what I'll say.

1231
01:00:35,199 --> 01:00:38,239
Speaker 1: I will say. I if if he does get drafted

1232
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:40,840
number one, I actually hope they go get Sean McDermott.

1233
01:00:40,840 --> 01:00:42,800
I think that would be a great coach for him

1234
01:00:42,840 --> 01:00:46,320
to start off with. Like mcdermot's been. Mcdermot's been good

1235
01:00:46,320 --> 01:00:51,000
with developing guys. Yeah yeah, but I I worry about

1236
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:54,440
where he goes and I worry about his like he's

1237
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:56,400
like he's good. Don't get me wrong, but is he

1238
01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:59,679
this elite prospect that can like literally carry an entire

1239
01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:03,800
NF team on his back? I just don't really, But.

1240
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:07,239
Speaker 2: We're gonna get fun Jamis Winston esque quotes for the

1241
01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:10,719
entire Mendoza. He will give Jamis Winston lefs.

1242
01:01:11,719 --> 01:01:14,360
Speaker 1: He's gonna be great for the league, no doubt about it.

1243
01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:17,440
So yeah, it was really really cool. So great story,

1244
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:20,119
great season, a lot of fun to appreciate all the

1245
01:01:20,159 --> 01:01:22,719
well wishes. So all right, let's gonna do it for us,

1246
01:01:22,880 --> 01:01:24,519
big big show. Thank you so much.

1247
01:01:24,559 --> 01:01:24,800
Speaker 3: Guys.

1248
01:01:24,800 --> 01:01:27,599
Speaker 1: We've got an even bigger one tomorrow. It's five dollars Tuesday.

1249
01:01:27,679 --> 01:01:30,519
Get as many five dollars plays as you feel comfortable with.

1250
01:01:30,599 --> 01:01:33,480
David say that said the check gogin AND's play loves it,

1251
01:01:33,519 --> 01:01:36,360
Thank you very much. Four percent Australian Open best bet

1252
01:01:36,639 --> 01:01:39,400
that goes off tonight. Hopefully we show up tomorrow morning

1253
01:01:39,400 --> 01:01:42,320
with some cash in our pocket. And oh, by the way,

1254
01:01:44,079 --> 01:01:46,840
there is a four percent cricket play that is up

1255
01:01:47,320 --> 01:01:50,519
right now and that starts after midnight tonight. So if

1256
01:01:50,519 --> 01:01:52,679
you want to get the five dollars play and you

1257
01:01:52,719 --> 01:01:54,800
want to get the cricket play. That cricket play starts

1258
01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:58,840
at like twelve fifteen in the morning, so easiest cash

1259
01:01:58,840 --> 01:02:00,920
in the world on our last cricket play. So we

1260
01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:03,519
have a four uh four percent cricket play. It goes

1261
01:02:03,559 --> 01:02:05,679
off and we are going to run a cricket special.

1262
01:02:06,039 --> 01:02:07,639
If I would have if you would have told Johnny

1263
01:02:07,639 --> 01:02:09,920
Detroit we're gonna run a cricket special a couple of

1264
01:02:09,960 --> 01:02:12,199
years ago, to be like, no, we're not, but we're

1265
01:02:12,199 --> 01:02:14,280
gonna do three hundred and sixty five days worth of

1266
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:18,000
cricket because all this needs to be this needs to

1267
01:02:18,039 --> 01:02:20,079
be a part of your portfolio. So and now you

1268
01:02:20,119 --> 01:02:21,199
get to actually bet it with this.

1269
01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:23,320
Speaker 4: Damn I'm very excited.

1270
01:02:23,599 --> 01:02:24,719
Speaker 3: Yes, I'm very excited.

1271
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:27,199
Speaker 2: Books are not, but I am very excited to finally

1272
01:02:27,199 --> 01:02:29,400
be on board with some cricket that is for damn sure.

1273
01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:32,280
Speaker 1: Andy, all right, let's have a big Tuesday. Thank you

1274
01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:34,960
so much, guys. Hit the like button, subscribe to the channel,

1275
01:02:35,239 --> 01:02:37,239
and we'll see everyone tomorrow. Take care,

