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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone. It is time for full

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court press. It's also five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk,

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which means myself, Rob Bino, every other handicapper on the

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site will have plays today on their page for just

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five dollars, So be sure to check that out. Be

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sure to check out Robin, and my page is for

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joint specials from now through the end of the NCAA tournament.

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You've got three day specials in the full season, and

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we have a monster board today, Rob, So real quick

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recap of last night I have because I have to

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point this out. I have come on here numerous times

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and said, Rob, I you know I made a good

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bet that lost. What does that mean? Well, I was

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right on in my intel was correct. I beat a

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line move and it just didn't work me out that

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that would typically is. You know, you can make good

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bets that lose, and so I got to at least

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acknowledge last night. I feel like I made a bad

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bet that one. I was on Cleveland State. I thought

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Neessa was gonna play. He did not play. They actually

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showed up without two starters, and so the number moved

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against me. But sure enough, what did Cleveland State do

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they came out dropped one hundred I think more than

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one hundred and won the game. So hey, I kind

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of would rather be on the bad bet that win. Dram,

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I don't know about you, what do you think.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's take the bad bet that wins every day

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of the week at them. Yeah, that's definitely. You know,

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there's the old saying, rather be lucky than good, and

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then in instances were unlucky. In this business, when you

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do it every single day of the year of the season,

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you're gonna run into spots like that and we'll take them.

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I mean, you know, sometimes you have the wrong calculation,

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but it works out right in the final result. For

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myself last night, parlay record with Eastern Washington eighty five

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eighty one law And I tell you, I don't know

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if anyone an infactive Garth who was on the Eastern

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Washington side with me if you watch that second half

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of that game, but it was that was as gut

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wrenching and as frustrating as it could get watching Idaho

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just get second chance after second chance after second chance

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and hit just about every three they threw up in

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the second half. And but despite all that Eastern Washington

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comes back, it takes the lead sixty three to sixty two,

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comes down, the next possession commits a foul, Idaho misses

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the front end. What happens? Offensive rebound kick out three?

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Missed the three? What happens offensive rebound kick out for three?

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Make the three? Sixty five sixty And that's kind of

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how the entire second half went as Eastern Washington tried

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to claw back.

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Speaker 1: You know, you get out real quick, you would be

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you know, that was an even better back when Idaho

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showed up with no Colton Mitchell last night. So yeah,

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you know, you second leading scorer for Idaho doesn't play.

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You had to feel like you were in a good

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spot there. It just didn't work out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, two games in a row, Northern Colorado I had

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their team total against Idaho lost by a half because

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of no Colton Mitchell and then again no Colton Mitchell's yeah,

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he probably returned for the Big Sky Tournament. I would think,

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I mean, Beco Johnson's a nice backup obviously senior and

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did a nice job, but twenty five second chance points

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you just can't give them up, and you can't get

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beaten forty two to eighteen from the three point zero stuff.

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I didn't handicap. I have to admit I didn't see

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any of that coming here. But watching Eastern Washington tried

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a defensive rebound last night, you'd have thought the opponent

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was Michigan State, Arizona Duke, Michigan, somebody that just our

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monsters on the boards, and Idaho's not monsters on the boards,

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but they were last night.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, this is like specifically in those Big

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Sky games, and it's something we're gonna have to keep

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an eye on for today. A lot of those Big

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Sky teams I felt like just sort of showed up

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to play last night, went through the motions for forty.

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They know that most of those teams were locked in

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to like their general seed, and it looks like they're

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already for the Big Sky Tournament. The reason I bring

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that up is we're going to see a lot of

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teams playing tonight, teams from the Colonial, the America East,

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like teams that are already the tournament field is essentially

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set and now they're playing their final regular season games.

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So it's it's something that I'm sure we'll bring up

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on the show. Shane Russell says, UCLA plays well at home.

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Let's go there first, Rob, I said, you know, we

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got to pick one of these for me. I'll I'll

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harp on it. The feature game for me is always

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going to be an NCAA Conference tournament game over a

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regular season finale. But we have to, you know, we

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still have to do a show for the folks that

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pay us, and I know that they would love of

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a feature game from a power conference, specifically one that

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they maybe they can clip. So I'm gonna be a

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good company guy today, Rob. I picked the latest big

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game on the board for the feature game. And I'll

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start with the point Shane is making here because I

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think that's ultimately the handicap. UCLA does play well at home.

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And I think we're starting to see, you know, you've

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had Mick cron and complain a little bit. I'll just

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I just pause there for a second because you could

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fill in the blank about just about anything. But he

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did complain about, you know, having to travel early in

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the conference season. Well, I would say, Mick, you know what,

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it does work in your favor also, right, because I

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think we're starting to see Rob teams struggling a little

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bit to go out to the West Coast, especially as

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it gets later in the season and now you have

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a west coast trip. So like, if you were to

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tell me, hey, I love the spot for Ucla because

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it's probably a tough spot for Nevada, I think I

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would agree with you there. If you were to tell

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me Nevada might do what Minnesota just did to Ucla

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the weekend space the floor and just torch them and

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go in there and win, I'd agree with that too.

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Nebraska's a top ten team if they can get over

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kind of having to go on to the West Coast.

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I don't see why they would would not have success here.

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So how are you seeing this one, Rob? Do you

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want the spot with Ucla or do you want what

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I consider to be the better team with Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, ultimately that is it, right Adam, Ucla seven to

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zhero straight up at home against big ten competition. Haven't

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lost on this floor yet as far as this straight

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up goes in today, Actually you're only asking them to

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win straight up. I mean minus one and a half,

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we've seen a line switch, here's some pick them still

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out there. Ones shot the best you can, But essentially

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you're asking UCLA to win the game, and you can

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money line those one and a halfs down if you

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really wanted to. But you counter that by saying, Nebraska

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has been great on the road six and two against

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the spread on the Big ten road. I mean, nothing

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has phased these guys. And it's not like they've walked

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into horrendous arenas every time they've been on the road.

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I mean, cover at Michigan as a huge dog, went

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straight up in places like Indiana and Ohio State. So

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they've been very good on the road themselves. I think fundamentally,

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when you try to handicap this one out, Nebraska does

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have some edges. And it's interesting, you know, the last

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game that they played. You talked about Nebraska beating USC

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the other day, and obviously USC is going through some

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turmoil here. Chad Baker Mazara kicked off the team. So

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that win, I think they took advantage of a team

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that was just in disarray. Eric Musselman's got a lot

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of work to do there here. They're not necessarily facing

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a team in disarray. You just hit on it a

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little bit. I talked about it the other day, how

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the team has responded to Mick Cronin and then they

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go out and lose on the road at Minnesota. So

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UCLA is a funny team. Home road dichotomy is a

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real thing. But Nebraska unfazed by this stuff. Nebraska the

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better shooting team. Stuff that Nebraska doesn't do well offensively, Adam,

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UCLA doesn't necessarily do well defensively, which kind of negates itself.

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So you can't take advantage of the fact that Nebraska

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doesn't get to the free throw line a lot. You

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can't take advantage of the fact that Nebraska doesn't offensive

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rebound really well because UCLA doesn't do those on the

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defensive side very good either. What you wind up with

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is a really basically a debate. I think you ended

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it pretty well, the fundamental over the situational or the

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situational over the fundamental. Both teams. You know, both teams

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can climb standings. Here, Nebraska's in a position where they

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can be a two seed if they get you know,

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they're tied with four losses with Michigan State fourteen and

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four each. UCLA has the ability to climb the standings.

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They're only a game behind Perdue in Wisconsin. These teams

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both have two to play, so the intention the focus,

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everything will be there. This is a difficult game. I

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will say. One last thing is that we talk an

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awful lot about Rink Mask, the pivotman for Nebraska who

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stretches the floor from three point range. UCLA does have

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a guy in Tyler Billadeau that is athletic enough to

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go out and cover him around the arc. So that

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advantage that usually helps Nebraska a little bit might not

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be such an advantage here tonight. And to counter that,

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Mask is going to have to guard Billadeau, and Billadoh

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is extremely athletic around the perimeter too, so that matchup there,

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which generally swings in Nebraska's favor, doesn't really swing in

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their favor tonight. I'd probably look at this game staying

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I was gonna say, staying under the total. I'm afraid.

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What I'm afraid of it with that statement is game

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extension at the end, close game score, foul score, foul score, foul,

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and before you know what, you're at one forty four

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and you lose the bit. So nothing firm here on

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either side. I would say, you have to make that

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decision which side of the fence you want to stand on,

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And for me, yeah, I'd rather firmly stand on one

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side of the fence and other games in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kind of with you in terms of, you know,

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we know Nebraska they are going to have some variants

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in their games, right, Like the three point shooting for

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Nebraska can really swing a game one way or the other.

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I was just kind of going to my I just

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want to go to my numbers here and see what. Yeah, like, see,

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here's the thing. For me, I'm pretty much right in

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line side in total, I think you can make a

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very strong case for both sides. And I'm kind of

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looking in the chat. I think the chat is like

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sort of playing this out the way I would have

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expected this conversation to play out. There is very strong

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points to be made for Nebraska and there's very strong

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points to be made for UCLA. If you just think,

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if you're just trying to take the better basketball team here,

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I think you would take Nebraska. They have proved, you know.

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I don't know who was Maybe it was by you.

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I was scrolling the chat. I'm like trying to watch

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the chat, look into the camera, look at the odd screen.

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So I miss who SAIDs some things sometimes, but whoever

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made the point of Nebraska's law. Like, look at Nebraska's

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losses at Michigan, and they were down two starters and

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they nearly won that game. They lost by three. That's

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actually a win for Nebraska. They were a ten point underdog,

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they were missing two starters. They led for the majority

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of that game. They lost by three to Michigan, very

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very impressive. A home game against Illinois, which was a

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huge revenge spot for Illinois, if you remember Nebraska went

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to Illinois earlier this year and wanted the buzzer, so big,

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big revenge spot. Illinois gets the win in that game. Yeah,

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that's another top ten team. They lost to Purdue at

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home by three in what was a very very competitive game.

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And if I remember kind of a desperate spot for Purdue.

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I feel like Purdue really needed a result in that game,

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and they got the result at Nebraska by three. And

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then finally the road lost to Iowa, where Nebraska kind

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of played one of their worst games in the season,

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only scored fifty two points. It was a fifty two

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to fifty seven final. It's just a really off night

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for Nebraska. Now, Nebraska has Iowa coming up at home

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this weekend, So if you want to make the case

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that Nebraska is looking ahead to that Iowa rematch because

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Nebraska like Iowa. I'm sure, I am certain that Nebraska

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cares more about Iowa, like the program, like I would

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think the Iowa game is a bigger game than like UCLA,

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who they're probably still trying to figure out why they

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have to play Ucla or why they're in their league.

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Like I could buy into that as well. But man, Rob,

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if Nebraska comes in here and plays their game tonight,

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they're probably gonna win. And that's that's why it's really

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tough for me to bet. I don't like to just

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bet a spot without having a lot to back it up,

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and I feel that like that's what I'd be doing

242
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with Ucla here, So it's a pass for me. Probably

243
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shouldn't have picked this as the feature game because now, like,

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if they watch this back, they're gonna be like, we

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can't clip that. How are we supposed to clip that

246
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right there? But I mean, you know, we're here to

247
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we're here to talk basketball. And I did think that

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was an intriguing discussion, So we'll move it along. I'm

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sure we'll go with it. There's gonna be another big

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game that comes up. I'm sure they can find something

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better to clip from the show. But again it's it's

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supposed to you know that this show is also supposed

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to illustrate, Like, maybe that's not you know, we have

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this huge late of games tonight. Maybe Nebraska UCLA isn't

255
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the one to target. Maybe the one to target is

256
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the one Garth wats to look at out in the

257
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Atlantic ten tonight. So Garth says he's looking at the

258
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A ten dayton Richmond under one forty six and a half.

259
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I'm glad you brought this game up, Garth, because this

260
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is this is this Richmond team ever since I saw

261
00:14:12,879 --> 00:14:14,799
them play a couple of weeks ago. It is one

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that I have a fairly strong opinion on. And Rob,

263
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what I've noticed about Richmond is they are gonna chuck

264
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threes and if they go in, they're gonna have a

265
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chance to win, and if they don't go in, they're

266
00:14:27,279 --> 00:14:30,320
gonna lose. It is it is really that simple. They

267
00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:34,679
take a lot of outside shots, and my concern with Richmond,

268
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,279
Rob is they don't they don't make up for it

269
00:14:38,279 --> 00:14:40,759
in other places. So it's like they truly are a

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team that is going to live and die by the

271
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perimeter shot. Now I have noticed that they they are

272
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:51,279
scrappy and I like how they play from behind. A

273
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,679
couple times this year, Richmond has dug themselves into a big,

274
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big hole, and I thought they did a really impressive

275
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job to get back in the game. The game I

276
00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,120
was at against VCU, they were down twenty, came back

277
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to within two. The following game, I believe I had

278
00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,000
them as a five percent play. They were down fifteen,

279
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,440
came back and easily covered the five and a half.

280
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So how do you do? You can? You can you

281
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,360
take that and make a case for the over, and

282
00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:20,639
then I guess I'll give my final thoughts on the side.

283
00:15:21,279 --> 00:15:24,159
I mean, I'm sorry the under Garth wants specifically says under,

284
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but make a case for the total either way.

285
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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think Garth was probably on the right

286
00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,399
side here because of the number where it is. It's

287
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:38,399
in that higher half of the one forties, in the

288
00:15:38,759 --> 00:15:42,440
lower half of the one forties. I might not agree

289
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,279
as much as I would with one forty six in that,

290
00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:46,120
but let me just start with why I agree. It's

291
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because Anthony Grant's team seems to have gotten back to

292
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what Dayton basketball has been under him and what his

293
00:15:52,799 --> 00:15:58,240
entire coaching career has really been, which is very pedestrian

294
00:15:58,399 --> 00:16:02,960
like pace led by your defense. So he slows the game, Adam.

295
00:16:03,039 --> 00:16:06,879
He cuts possessions in two different ways. A they're playing

296
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,840
better defense, and it's you know, it's not remarkable defense

297
00:16:10,879 --> 00:16:12,960
when you go through the game logs. It's not like

298
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:16,720
they're holding teams to thirty percent shooting or less, but

299
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,000
it's good enough to where when you play the methodical style,

300
00:16:20,639 --> 00:16:24,600
you can cut teams opportunities to score. Last six games

301
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:26,720
they or excuse me, on this five game winning streak

302
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,279
that they're on. Last five results. Davidson fifty nine points.

303
00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,480
You can justify that. You could say to me, all right, Rob,

304
00:16:32,519 --> 00:16:34,759
you know, David's is not a good offensive team, okay.

305
00:16:34,919 --> 00:16:37,480
George Mason sixty seven points. George Mason is not a

306
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:43,519
great offensive team, Okay. Saint Louis sixty two points. Don't

307
00:16:43,519 --> 00:16:46,039
come at me from either angle there. Saint Louis is

308
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,399
a fast paced team and extreme tempo team that scores

309
00:16:49,559 --> 00:16:54,000
in bunches sixty two points, little revenge in that game,

310
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:59,320
and then GW sixty six points. These teams are all equivalent,

311
00:16:59,799 --> 00:17:05,160
if not better than Richmond is offensively, So you would

312
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,400
have to believe that the Richmond side here, even at home,

313
00:17:08,519 --> 00:17:12,720
is destined for a result somewhere between sixty four and

314
00:17:12,759 --> 00:17:18,079
sixty eight. The way Dayton's playing and Dayton offensively they've

315
00:17:18,079 --> 00:17:20,359
been really good as of late, but you give yourself

316
00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,720
a lot of room there. I mean, you could win

317
00:17:22,759 --> 00:17:25,720
a game seventy seven sixty eight, stay under seventy eight

318
00:17:25,759 --> 00:17:28,799
sixty eight and stay under. So just from the sheer

319
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:31,480
mathematics of it, Adam, I like the fact that this

320
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,839
total is priced, like I say, in the upper half

321
00:17:34,839 --> 00:17:36,960
of the one forties. I think it's a severe difference

322
00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:38,960
between being like one forty three and a half on

323
00:17:39,079 --> 00:17:40,720
forty four and a half on forty six and a half.

324
00:17:40,759 --> 00:17:43,640
Makes that difference, So I'd be with Garth in this instance.

325
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,400
And we'll see. I mean, this is the kind of

326
00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:50,319
game where if Dayton's going to falter at some point

327
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,440
off of this five game hot streak, it could be

328
00:17:52,519 --> 00:17:57,279
here on the road at Richmond. But if they win again,

329
00:17:58,039 --> 00:18:00,720
you know Vcus on deck four him and we could

330
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:05,400
see Dayton being a major player inside this conference tournament.

331
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:09,119
They can Yeah, I'm just looking at their standings now.

332
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:13,400
They can secure themselves a top four spot in the

333
00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,400
A ten tournament with a win here, which is big

334
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:20,279
for Dayton. Richmond for what it's worth, you know, trying

335
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:22,480
to fight their way out of the bottom. But it's

336
00:18:22,519 --> 00:18:27,519
not really other than it being Richmond's final home game, right.

337
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: Everyone makes it in this league, rob Everyone goes in

338
00:18:31,039 --> 00:18:33,599
this league, and their.

339
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: Ambition would be the senior night, the final home game

340
00:18:37,559 --> 00:18:40,799
is the point I was trying to make here. So

341
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:45,039
I think you've got different motivations here, both motivated, but

342
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,400
I think Dayton probably a little more as they try

343
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:48,799
to lock in a top four spot.

344
00:18:50,519 --> 00:18:53,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it'd be Dayton or under for me.

345
00:18:53,599 --> 00:18:55,519
I'll just wrap it up by saying, so you've got

346
00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,799
Richmond might have some depth issues again. Jaden Daughtry did

347
00:18:58,799 --> 00:19:03,559
not play against Loyol Chicago and Jonathan Beagle has not

348
00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:07,920
played in a couple of games, and they did rich Richmond.

349
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,599
I watched a good amount of that Richmond Loyal in

350
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:16,640
Chicago game on Saturday. Richmond just listen like they're not.

351
00:19:16,839 --> 00:19:19,200
I mean, I don't think they rely on either of

352
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:23,160
those players particularly, but I do think depth matters a

353
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,599
little bit for Richmond like out like obviously, like they're

354
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,359
so the way they're set up, you're gonna have like

355
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,400
AJ Lopez barely you know, they try to. You know,

356
00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:35,759
he's kind of there's three guys that they play like starters. Okay,

357
00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:40,480
it's Lopez, argabright, and Will Johnston kind of get like

358
00:19:40,519 --> 00:19:44,839
what would you would consider quote unquote starters minutes. Everyone

359
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,680
else kind of plays like fifteen to twenty minutes per game.

360
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,480
So they do so, so Mooney does have a pretty

361
00:19:50,519 --> 00:19:54,160
deep rotation, and you start to take two guys out

362
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,960
of the rotation when you like if you're playing rob

363
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,720
if you're gonna play nine ten guys, but but you

364
00:19:59,759 --> 00:20:03,039
sort of to take like what you would consider guy

365
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,400
like four or five and five or six out of

366
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,480
that rotation. I think you get something like you saw

367
00:20:08,519 --> 00:20:10,680
over the weekend against Loyola Chicago was a team that

368
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:14,200
scored in the mid sixties, was never the right side

369
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,400
in that game. Loyola Chicago was always the right side

370
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,720
in that game. And how poor has Loyal in Chicago

371
00:20:18,759 --> 00:20:24,680
been this year like historically bad a you know, a

372
00:20:24,839 --> 00:20:27,000
ten team relative to what they were supposed to be

373
00:20:27,039 --> 00:20:30,400
coming into the year. So I can see where you're

374
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,279
going with the undergarth, and I think that you make

375
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:36,400
a good point. Dayton has totally turned their season around

376
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,160
and and now like you can almost you know, it's

377
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,160
almost like they smell blood in the water a little bit,

378
00:20:41,519 --> 00:20:44,880
knowing they can get into that top four. And just

379
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,200
look at the defensive efforts from Dayton the last couple

380
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,680
of games to you know, to beat like some of

381
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,920
the teams they've beat along the way. Saint Louis played

382
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:57,000
really good defense in that game. I'm going off memory.

383
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:58,240
I should have had this pulled up. I want to

384
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,000
say George Mason might have been one of them. I

385
00:21:01,079 --> 00:21:03,960
know the Davidson game where we laid I laid five

386
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,440
as a client play with Dayton. They really locked in defensively.

387
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,559
Davidson couldn't really do much, scored fifty nine points. Yeah,

388
00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:13,240
so here here you go. This is all. This is

389
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:17,359
all in the last two weeks. Fifty nine Davidson sixty seven,

390
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:21,599
George Mason sixty six, Ducane sixty two. Saint Louis. That

391
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,640
Saint Louis team that was that put that dropped the game.

392
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,640
I went to up at Chapis Arena. Day I think

393
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,519
Saint Louis dropped one hundred plus. I know we were

394
00:21:30,599 --> 00:21:33,400
celebrating one hundred being on the scoreboard, everyone in the

395
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:36,440
in the arena, and then the most recent game holding

396
00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:39,759
George Washington Rapio Castro back to sixty six. So this

397
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,759
Dayton team has figured it out and where they figured

398
00:21:42,759 --> 00:21:44,799
it out. As the defensive end, you make a great

399
00:21:44,799 --> 00:21:47,680
point about pace, rob when they're at their best, they're

400
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,279
they're kind of, you know, slowing it down. They're not

401
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,079
letting teams run on them. So, yeah, garthiare under makes

402
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:54,519
a lot of sense. And I kind of feel like

403
00:21:54,519 --> 00:21:56,720
if Dayton shows up here, they're going to cover this

404
00:21:56,839 --> 00:22:00,359
numbers is smaller than Richmond took some money. Hear that

405
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,599
I don't understand. I thought this would have gone the

406
00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:04,000
other way. So if you're looking at a four and

407
00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:07,160
a half, I think Dayton might be something I may

408
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,640
circle back and consider when we get off the show here,

409
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:15,720
all right, Yeah, I mean, listen, this is a this

410
00:22:15,799 --> 00:22:19,200
is a good time to promo. There are so many

411
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,319
games today. I've got one locked in already. I'm probably

412
00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:24,319
gonna give it out here on the show because I

413
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,599
have a feeling I'll have quite a few plays on

414
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:28,480
this board, and I've just been you know, we're at

415
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,400
the point in the year, late in the year where

416
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,240
I'm gonna take I'm gonna take my time on some

417
00:22:34,319 --> 00:22:37,440
injury stuff and just like you know, making sure that

418
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,839
we're not gonna have a team show up and sit

419
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,319
three guys. Probably what you and Ski do all season

420
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,640
long in the NBA, just try to figure out who

421
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,839
the hell is playing rob because that's what I think

422
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,079
you might see. I think you might see some load

423
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:53,519
management this week in college basketball, So it's something to

424
00:22:53,599 --> 00:22:57,880
keep an eye on. Where I was. Where I was

425
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,440
going with that though, it was you'll get all our

426
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:04,279
plays on the three day double, the Firepower package, or

427
00:23:04,839 --> 00:23:07,519
I believe we have at least for one more day,

428
00:23:08,279 --> 00:23:11,119
the March Madness Package. Do you remember what they said

429
00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:14,559
about that. I probably should have read our email.

430
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it was extended out It had expired

431
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,160
but then got extended. So you're still able to go

432
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,519
ahead and purchase both of our plays in a combo package,

433
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:30,599
much like the double the CBB Firepower three Day package.

434
00:23:30,599 --> 00:23:33,680
You could just have that right through the National Championship

435
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,039
Game and now. And those of you who have been

436
00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:38,720
watching the show for it since November. You know, all

437
00:23:38,759 --> 00:23:42,799
these little conference tournaments, you're probably not going to get

438
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:47,480
better info on these games than what you're getting here, Adam,

439
00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:51,279
especially with mid to low majors on top of personnel

440
00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:54,519
as well as anybody. So we're gonna have plays, guys,

441
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,359
we like this stuff, and you're probably gonna get an

442
00:23:58,599 --> 00:24:01,279
exorbitant amount of plays. I will say this for myself

443
00:24:01,279 --> 00:24:04,680
just speak before. Myself been in a plus column for

444
00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:09,160
the entire season, but have not played anything with a

445
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:13,519
rating above three percent at wager Talk all season long,

446
00:24:13,599 --> 00:24:16,799
and I can honestly say that three percent probably is.

447
00:24:16,839 --> 00:24:19,680
On one hand, I could count them. But now that

448
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,319
we're into the conference tournament and the major tournament stuff

449
00:24:23,599 --> 00:24:25,680
will be upgrading a lot of these players, you'll see

450
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,559
more four percent stuff out of me. So a good

451
00:24:28,599 --> 00:24:31,039
time to get on board right through the end of

452
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:35,200
March madness, Adam. The only thing I don't recall is

453
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,680
what they're charging for a price for the two of

454
00:24:37,759 --> 00:24:40,480
us with the combo pack is priced at I want

455
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:43,200
to say one ninety nine, but don't hold me to that.

456
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,359
I'm not positive. I'd have to go back and check

457
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,519
the board here to see exactly where the Detroit office

458
00:24:49,559 --> 00:24:53,160
has that package price. But nonetheless, it's the busiest time

459
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,480
of year. It's March madness. You're gonna get a ton

460
00:24:56,559 --> 00:24:58,960
of action from the two of us. And last thing

461
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:03,079
I'll say is that I'll preface this package by saying

462
00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:05,359
I like it a lot, and I would like it

463
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,559
as a consumer simply because Adam comes from a side

464
00:25:08,599 --> 00:25:11,720
perspective and I come from a totals perspective, and you

465
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:13,759
get a huge mix of both with the two of us.

466
00:25:13,799 --> 00:25:15,599
So whatever you like, you'll find it here. Double the

467
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,240
CVB Firepower three day or full season.

468
00:25:19,279 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think I can count on one hand how

469
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:24,680
many times we've even we've been on this either like

470
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:26,680
the same game, same side. I don't know if we've

471
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:28,799
ever been head to head, but I do know, like

472
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,920
I know, San Diego State was like one of the

473
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,200
only ones I can think of where we both had

474
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:37,240
it and thankfully it won. So you know, no complaints there,

475
00:25:37,519 --> 00:25:39,160
all right. I want to go to mad max here

476
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:43,599
because this this might exemplify load management as as good

477
00:25:43,599 --> 00:25:44,759
as any game on the board.

478
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 2: Tonight.

479
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 1: Your boy was in the building on Saturday, rob at

480
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,960
the O Dome, the O'Connell Center, the exact Tech arena

481
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:58,640
for Florida, just absolutely dismantling Arkansas. That was Listen. I've

482
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,240
been all I've been around this year. I've seen a

483
00:26:02,279 --> 00:26:05,799
lot of the top twenty five in person. That was

484
00:26:05,839 --> 00:26:09,079
as impressive of a performance that I've seen all season.

485
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:12,400
Any team. I've seen Duke play twice in person, seen

486
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:17,799
Arkansas play twice, Michigan State, Kansas, a lot of the

487
00:26:17,799 --> 00:26:21,359
top teams, and Florida. What they did to Arkansas on

488
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:27,279
Saturday was as impressive as it gets. I stayed after

489
00:26:27,319 --> 00:26:33,839
the game for the net cutting ceremony, so because Alabama.

490
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:37,039
I think it was the Alabama result them beating Tennessee

491
00:26:37,519 --> 00:26:43,319
on Saturday. It created the outright conference win. So Florida

492
00:26:43,319 --> 00:26:45,799
basically they announced it before the game, which I was

493
00:26:45,799 --> 00:26:47,759
a little nervous of. I was like, not that I had.

494
00:26:48,079 --> 00:26:51,160
I rode ct loved Florida, so obviously I was there.

495
00:26:51,519 --> 00:26:53,440
I laid the nine and a half with him just

496
00:26:53,519 --> 00:26:55,960
for some action while I was there, and I was like,

497
00:26:56,079 --> 00:26:59,599
they literally made an announcement before the game like if

498
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:04,079
Florida wins, they win the SEC. Everyone goes nuts. Then

499
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,839
they said to hang around after the game. I'm like, oh,

500
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,119
I was like, did they just indirectly tell you that

501
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:13,480
they're gonna celebrate the SEC win before the game rob

502
00:27:14,079 --> 00:27:18,319
By fifteen minutes into that game, the celebration they you know,

503
00:27:19,319 --> 00:27:21,160
they had shirts. I don't know how they did. So

504
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:22,920
someone needs to explain to me how they already had

505
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,640
this stuff. They had the shirts, the hats ready to go.

506
00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:27,519
They must have been generic. I didn't get a good

507
00:27:27,519 --> 00:27:30,160
look at them. They must have just said, like SEC champions.

508
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:34,880
But the point is they celebrated that win. They cut

509
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:40,440
the nets down. Todd Golden addressed the crowd. He's there

510
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,559
with the shirt on the backwards hat thanking the fans.

511
00:27:44,079 --> 00:27:48,400
They now come in tonight as a twenty three. They're

512
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:52,799
a million point favored against Mississippi State. I would be

513
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,640
shocked if like half of their starters don't get the

514
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:59,799
night off. I already think Thomas Hoe might either not

515
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:03,599
player barely play. There's there's some guys that are probably

516
00:28:03,599 --> 00:28:06,079
gonna rest here. And if they're not gonna rest, like

517
00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:13,440
you're you're likely gonna see Golden like play everyone like that.

518
00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:15,839
That would I'd be I'd be really surprised if this

519
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,759
is like, especially if like let's say they get up

520
00:28:17,759 --> 00:28:23,359
fifteen or twenty. The crowd went insane. The people that

521
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,000
were still there, which was most of them. When they

522
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:26,880
brought in the seven to nine guy at the end

523
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:30,160
of the game against Arkansas, I forget his name. He

524
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,319
sees literally eight feet tall, can barely move, but he's

525
00:28:33,319 --> 00:28:36,240
on the Florida bench. Point I'm trying to make here

526
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:39,720
is mad. Max says he really likes Florida. I don't

527
00:28:39,759 --> 00:28:43,119
know that this is a a duke scenario like last

528
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,319
night with NC State. I think this could be like

529
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:49,279
ause because I believe correct me if I'm wrong, Rob,

530
00:28:49,319 --> 00:28:52,279
But I think Florida heads to Kentucky this weekend. So

531
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,880
to me, like this will be a celebration of basketball

532
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:59,200
for Florida where the entire team plays, especially the seniors.

533
00:28:59,559 --> 00:29:03,799
The suit manager who doesn't even have a uniform, might

534
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:06,240
end up in this game for Florida, and then they

535
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:10,920
will take the Kentucky game this weekend serious because that

536
00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:13,359
you know that that's just I think that would be

537
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:18,400
in the name of like staying sharp. I don't know,

538
00:29:18,519 --> 00:29:21,000
I just like, under those circumstances, I just don't think

539
00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:23,839
I could lay twenty three. But the question is, do

540
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:26,759
you have the do you have the guts to take

541
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,200
Mississippi State. It feels a lot like Troy Louisiana Monroe

542
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,200
for from the other day, which Monroe ended up cashing

543
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,960
as a big dog. So what do you do with

544
00:29:37,039 --> 00:29:41,359
this game here for mad Max, Yeah.

545
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 2: It's hard. Just from that situational aspect, Mississippi State has

546
00:29:45,039 --> 00:29:47,680
shown you the last two games they're more than capable

547
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:51,960
of being beaten by this number in a great spot.

548
00:29:52,319 --> 00:29:54,319
I would say great, because I don't know that Mississippi

549
00:29:54,319 --> 00:29:56,640
State ever has a great spot. But in a favorable

550
00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:02,279
spot against Missouri the other day, they lose by twenty four,

551
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:04,960
and prior to that they've lost by twenty five. So

552
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,359
you've got two consecutive games where they've lost by twenty

553
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,200
three plus, which is what you need tonight to go

554
00:30:10,279 --> 00:30:14,039
ahead and get to get a point spread cover ninety

555
00:30:14,079 --> 00:30:17,440
one plus out of Florida. I think could be somewhat

556
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,119
in danger because of exactly what you said. You would

557
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,839
expect everybody to play here. It's Florida's final home game.

558
00:30:24,559 --> 00:30:28,920
They've already done the work necessary to obtain the number

559
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:32,559
one seed in the conference tournament. This is you know,

560
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:36,720
you call it let down, call it sandwich, call it

561
00:30:36,759 --> 00:30:38,799
whatever you want. It's one of those spots where you

562
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,559
just don't know that Florida is going to have maximum

563
00:30:41,559 --> 00:30:45,359
focus in this game where Mississippi State will come to play.

564
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,160
They're not very good, but they're going to play the

565
00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:51,440
entire time, and Josh Hubbard is still capable of leading

566
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,920
the team to a point spread cover the ninety one

567
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:55,920
and a half. I do think just comes into issue

568
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,960
because of the fact that you're probably not going to

569
00:30:59,119 --> 00:31:03,759
see a host of starters on the floor for Florida

570
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,200
the last five minutes of this game, four minutes of

571
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,319
this game, and when you're looking for buckets and you're

572
00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:11,799
trusting the deep, deep reserves, the low end reserves to

573
00:31:11,839 --> 00:31:16,000
get you those buckets, it's tough. So I think this

574
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,200
is probably one of those spots where you can't qualify

575
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:24,400
it as a situational letdown off the high from Saturday,

576
00:31:24,559 --> 00:31:28,440
off the energetic performance of Saturday, that same energy probably

577
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,440
not applied here by Florida, who knows they can roll

578
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:35,720
the balls out and win this basketball game. So to me,

579
00:31:36,519 --> 00:31:39,759
for anybody who does watch the NBA Show with myself

580
00:31:39,799 --> 00:31:43,519
and Ski Profit, we had the same instance last night

581
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:46,960
on an NBA level with Houston and the Washington Wizards.

582
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,880
It just was, you know, it was Houston concluding a

583
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,680
road trip with a couple of days for rest after that,

584
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,839
and then a big game on Thursday night, and you

585
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,319
saw it play out double digit Favorite wins by five.

586
00:31:58,519 --> 00:32:00,880
Kind of the same thing here. It's your favorite that's

587
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:02,759
not gonna win by five. They could probably win by

588
00:32:02,799 --> 00:32:05,759
fourteen fifteen. Twenty two and a half is a lot

589
00:32:05,759 --> 00:32:09,279
to ask in this particular situation, as far as I'm concerned,

590
00:32:09,359 --> 00:32:14,079
and again it correlates to get ninety two is a

591
00:32:14,079 --> 00:32:17,440
lot to ask in this situation. You might be better off.

592
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:20,960
Was it Max who asked that question? I would say this,

593
00:32:21,319 --> 00:32:24,119
you might be better off isolating your bet to a

594
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,799
first half bet, knowing that you'll probably get to Florida

595
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,559
starters in full force for the first half, and if

596
00:32:31,559 --> 00:32:37,039
they don't come out half asleep or not caring, then

597
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,960
you'll get You'll get exactly what you're asking for here,

598
00:32:40,039 --> 00:32:43,039
probably Florida points. I'm trying to look real fast forward.

599
00:32:43,119 --> 00:32:44,920
Turn it over to you, Adam, what the first half

600
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,599
team total is here for Florida And I'm showing forty

601
00:32:48,599 --> 00:32:51,079
four and a half, So it's been bet down from

602
00:32:51,079 --> 00:32:53,000
forty five and a half to forty four and a half.

603
00:32:53,119 --> 00:32:56,400
But I think max my best, my inclination would be

604
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,519
try something first half rather than full game.

605
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:05,119
Speaker 1: Jacob Hepger says, Mississippi State is the play. I agree.

606
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,480
If I was listen here, I tried to. So I'm

607
00:33:08,519 --> 00:33:14,200
trying to like manually tweak my number with like who

608
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,559
I think is going to be out and like how

609
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:20,640
much it matters and who I think, you know, even

610
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,680
though if they're not out they may play sparingly. I'm

611
00:33:23,799 --> 00:33:26,720
I'm coming out up with eighteen and a half as

612
00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:30,720
what the number should be for this game. So again,

613
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:32,880
as you get as you know, Rob, I always say this,

614
00:33:33,079 --> 00:33:38,160
the higher you get away from pick right, the less

615
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,359
like a four point difference in my number. If it's

616
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:46,599
like the spread is one and I'm at five, that's

617
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:48,640
a big deal to me. Once you get up in

618
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:50,799
the twenties, it's it's not as big of a deal,

619
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,359
but but that is where I'm at, like eighteen and

620
00:33:54,359 --> 00:33:59,599
a half on Florida all things considered, So there's some

621
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,359
twenty three is out there right now, like that that's

622
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:06,960
not a bad bet. Listen, you you could be. It's

623
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,280
one of those ones where you could look really stupid

624
00:34:09,599 --> 00:34:11,480
when it's all said and done. I think back to

625
00:34:11,599 --> 00:34:13,280
my Notre Dame bet from a couple of weeks ago

626
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,800
against Duke. But I'll say this again, I don't think

627
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,119
that's I don't think this is the same scenario. I

628
00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:22,920
really do think Florida, this might be a televised practice

629
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,280
rob and then let the game that they actually care

630
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,880
a little bit about is this weekend in Lexington. So

631
00:34:28,039 --> 00:34:31,800
I will Jacob and I are right in line, he goes,

632
00:34:32,039 --> 00:34:34,039
He goes, I uh, I wish I could show you

633
00:34:34,079 --> 00:34:36,840
all the papers I write down all my predicted spreads.

634
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,079
I of Florida minus eighteen and a half. Well, we're

635
00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:42,000
right in line with that. That is uh, I'm right

636
00:34:42,039 --> 00:34:44,679
on eighteen and a half with you, and it would

637
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:48,119
be Mississippi State or pass. All right, do you know,

638
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,199
let's I'm gonna take the floor here, I'm gonna give

639
00:34:51,199 --> 00:34:54,000
out my parlay leg and this is gonna be a

640
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,039
client play for me and oh yeah, there it is,

641
00:34:58,119 --> 00:35:01,480
so all right. So I I I wish I did

642
00:35:01,559 --> 00:35:05,239
this ten minutes ago. But what I thought was gonna

643
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,599
happen happened, And so here. This is so, here's what

644
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:11,360
we're gonna do. I for for the parlays. Because we

645
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,440
have we have a little ground to make up. We're

646
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:15,719
gonna go three teamers the rest of the way because

647
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,559
I think we I want to get a full payoff

648
00:35:17,559 --> 00:35:20,480
on our parlay. It's gonna be me, it's gonna be you,

649
00:35:20,679 --> 00:35:22,960
and it's gonna be someone that I think made a

650
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,079
really smart point in the chat. Okay, that's our that's

651
00:35:26,079 --> 00:35:29,079
gonna be our three team parlay. I I have not

652
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:33,239
decided yet. It might be Jake, it might be Jacob

653
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,719
because our numbers land the same on Mississippi State. I

654
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:38,960
haven't decided how much I want to piss you guys

655
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,760
off yet. So let we're gonna we'll revisit that because

656
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,199
twenty two and a half Mississippi State might be in there.

657
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,239
By you says by you might buy. You might take

658
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,559
this over and be like, no, I'm giving the third legout,

659
00:35:50,599 --> 00:35:53,719
which is which is fine because he's he's I still

660
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:57,920
owe him one. But the point is, we're going three

661
00:35:57,920 --> 00:35:59,840
teamers the rest of the way. I'm gonna give out

662
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:03,840
a four percenter right now. I played New Jersey Institute

663
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,639
of Technology plus five and a half. Now, the reason

664
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:08,679
I wish that I said I gave it out a

665
00:36:08,679 --> 00:36:14,119
few minutes ago is UNBC got bet further. I thought

666
00:36:14,119 --> 00:36:17,440
I was getting the best of the numbers, so UNBC

667
00:36:18,119 --> 00:36:20,159
got bet up and it actually went to six and

668
00:36:20,199 --> 00:36:22,239
a half. And I said, man, I hope that's a headbake,

669
00:36:23,079 --> 00:36:25,320
And sure enough it was, because it's back down to

670
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,519
five and a half or five. I played it at

671
00:36:27,519 --> 00:36:29,199
five and a half. That six and a half was

672
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:32,880
clearly someone manipulating the extra board. At nine forty five,

673
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:39,159
nine fifty am, that was quickly gone. So so Colin

674
00:36:39,159 --> 00:36:42,599
Gregory says, NJIT plus five and a half for the parlate, No,

675
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:44,679
take the five and a half. I'm not giving out

676
00:36:44,679 --> 00:36:46,119
the money line. We are going to take the five

677
00:36:46,159 --> 00:36:48,559
and a half here because I do think that spread

678
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:51,199
is important. And so I want to set this game

679
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,360
up because Rob, this is the mindset that you need

680
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,400
to go into tonight for a lot of these games

681
00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:59,960
like this handicap can be applied to a lot of

682
00:37:00,199 --> 00:37:05,840
these games. Okay, UNBC has won their league, They've already

683
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:08,599
won the one seed. Okay, they've they've wrapped up the

684
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:11,880
outright America East title. For this year and they wrapped

685
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:15,280
up the number one seed in their conference tournament. We

686
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,880
talked about it on Saturday. I gave out UNBC on

687
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,760
Saturday on the Show with Kelly. They won by a million.

688
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:23,599
They wrapped up the league. Okay, now they have to

689
00:37:23,639 --> 00:37:27,639
go on the road to the the I think it's

690
00:37:27,679 --> 00:37:31,480
the Joel and Dianne Bloom Wellness and Events Center. I'm

691
00:37:31,519 --> 00:37:32,880
going off the top of my head. They call it

692
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:36,880
the weck Great Building. I put up my walk through

693
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,519
that building. I couldn't believe, can't believe how big it is,

694
00:37:39,559 --> 00:37:42,199
can't believe how nice it is. I'm over here watching

695
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,280
ESPN Plus thinking nj i T plays in some little gym,

696
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,199
no rob This thing was built like only like maybe

697
00:37:48,199 --> 00:37:51,599
seven years ago. It was awesome. They are gonna host.

698
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,119
So here's the situation with nji T, which I think

699
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:57,440
is just as important as UNBC not not having much

700
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:00,320
to play for. Here there is a scenario where they

701
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,039
get the two seed, which, of course in the America

702
00:38:03,079 --> 00:38:08,400
East that matters because this tournament goes highest seed host

703
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:12,440
reseed at the end of each round. So remember America East,

704
00:38:13,079 --> 00:38:16,199
higher seed, host reseed at the end of each round,

705
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:18,960
so every seed is very very important because that too.

706
00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:23,280
Not only is that to the potentially hosting a semi final,

707
00:38:23,599 --> 00:38:25,599
but it like you you know, it could mean you

708
00:38:25,639 --> 00:38:28,760
host the final or not. So again, they would need

709
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:33,159
Vermont to lose, but still it's it's possible. What I

710
00:38:33,199 --> 00:38:35,800
think is more important here for NJIT rob is just

711
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:40,079
playing a good game because this team. I was at

712
00:38:40,079 --> 00:38:42,840
the Vermont game. I thought they played good enough to win.

713
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,039
They didn't get a single call down the stretch. Vermont

714
00:38:45,079 --> 00:38:47,239
ends up winning by like six. It was a game

715
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:52,239
that NJIT was competitive in throughout and the last couple

716
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,840
like over the weekend, they got crushed by Briant. I

717
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,519
just think that, like I'm not I feel like they

718
00:38:57,519 --> 00:39:00,719
got a little bit tired. They went on the road.

719
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:03,480
I believe that was a road game. My point is

720
00:39:03,519 --> 00:39:08,280
this NJIT, just for the vibes, needs to play good tonight, right, Like,

721
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,559
I really think you'll love this. Their head coach is

722
00:39:11,559 --> 00:39:15,119
a former Seaton Hall legend, Grant bill Meyer. Big big dude.

723
00:39:15,119 --> 00:39:18,199
He was on I think he was on the Shaheen

724
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:22,000
Holloway Seaton Hall teams back in the day. It's like

725
00:39:22,079 --> 00:39:25,199
he's like six' eleven and the guy goes absolutely nuts

726
00:39:25,199 --> 00:39:27,639
on the. Sideline it's just funny watching tall dudes get

727
00:39:27,639 --> 00:39:29,840
pissed off and like freak. Out it's just a little bit.

728
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:36,079
Different the point is This BILL, njit in my, opinion

729
00:39:36,519 --> 00:39:39,159
needs some good mojo going into the conference. Tournament this

730
00:39:39,199 --> 00:39:41,519
is the best season they've ever. Had they are at

731
00:39:41,679 --> 00:39:45,639
worst here the three. Seed someone, says Does rob, Talk

732
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:48,320
hold on a, second this is this is my parlay,

733
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,519
Leg SO i will let him speak in a. Second

734
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:54,440
they're at worse the three. Seed they could be as

735
00:39:54,519 --> 00:39:56,440
high as the. TWO i think they need to play

736
00:39:56,480 --> 00:40:00,000
well just to have some positive momentum going into The Common.

737
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:04,239
Tournament So New Jersey institute Of technology plus five and

738
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:07,480
a half is my leg in a Parlay David, Silva,

739
00:40:07,559 --> 00:40:09,559
Yes i'm Giving rob the floor in the. Second rob,

740
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,119
either do you want To if you have anything to

741
00:40:12,119 --> 00:40:14,199
add to this, game, Great if, not and you want

742
00:40:14,199 --> 00:40:16,039
to go into your parlay, leg we can do that.

743
00:40:16,079 --> 00:40:16,679
Too it's up to.

744
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 2: You, WELL i don't want to take away from. ANYTHING

745
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,079
i couldn't get any more in depth about nj it

746
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:28,360
other than just to fortify the fact that you made

747
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,159
that there are games that are going to be played this,

748
00:40:31,199 --> 00:40:34,119
week including, tonight where there is an importance level to

749
00:40:34,199 --> 00:40:37,039
one side and zero importance level to the other. Side

750
00:40:37,159 --> 00:40:41,000
and unless it's a rivalry, game which like last Night's

751
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:45,360
Eastern Washington idaho, game it didn't matter in the standings

752
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,880
or the seedings for those Two Big sky, teams but

753
00:40:49,519 --> 00:40:53,119
it is a rivalry game that's a little, different then

754
00:40:53,159 --> 00:40:55,519
you'll get full. Focused that's what you got last night

755
00:40:55,519 --> 00:40:58,039
eighty one seventy seven. Final but in games where there's

756
00:40:58,039 --> 00:41:00,360
no rivalry to be had and one team can and

757
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,280
the other team doesn't about their position in the upcoming conference,

758
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:06,800
tournament then you know the situational plays are. There here

759
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:10,880
you're getting a home. Underdog So i'm all for everything

760
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,880
That adam just. Said we could move on, though AND

761
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:17,639
i don't know necessarily for a parlay. Leg just pick

762
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,960
somebody out of the, chat you know, what let me.

763
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:21,960
Go i'll.

764
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 1: Go, yeah you need to go because they don't want

765
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:25,559
to hear me talk right. NOW i JUST i just

766
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:27,599
went way too long on NJ I. T so we

767
00:41:27,639 --> 00:41:28,639
need to do your parlay.

768
00:41:28,679 --> 00:41:34,039
Speaker 2: Leg, guys, Listen they're not going to get any N

769
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:41,280
J I t AND U Nbc Inside talk on any other.

770
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:45,840
Show so obviously you can take that as a as

771
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:50,280
a added bonus. Here i've Had i've got so many

772
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:52,639
games on this card THAT i like, tonight and they'll

773
00:41:52,639 --> 00:41:55,880
all be. Up you, Know i'll probably have four on

774
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,199
board my five. Dollars tuesday play is already up for

775
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:03,360
those who are, in it's already. Up But i'm gonna

776
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:05,360
go against my grain and just to show THAT i

777
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:08,320
am not an absolute homer in any, way shape or,

778
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:12,320
Form i'm gonna go Play oklahoma tonight Against. Missouri oklahoma

779
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:16,960
in this instance is a one point. Favorite no they're.

780
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,679
Not they're one and a. Half. Two best you can, get,

781
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:24,360
guys is one and a half mostly twos out. There

782
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,159
let me go ahead and check money line on this

783
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:31,880
approximately thirty five. CENTS i would just assume lay the. Two,

784
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:33,840
listen this is as big a revenge game as there

785
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,239
is on the board, tonight And oklahoma is the team

786
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:41,559
at home seeking the. Revenge missouri Beat oklahoma in. OVERTIME

787
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:46,679
a little while, back when out of, Desperation Mark, mitchell

788
00:42:47,639 --> 00:42:50,840
who is not known for three point shooting power forward For,

789
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:55,000
missouri race down the, floor down. Two heaved up at

790
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,599
three at the. Buzzer it went In missoo wins eighty

791
00:42:57,639 --> 00:43:02,480
eight eighty. Seven, oklahoma in typical this, season ends up

792
00:43:02,519 --> 00:43:04,599
on the short end of a game where they played

793
00:43:04,639 --> 00:43:06,599
hard and just did not come out with a. Win

794
00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:12,440
they have blown countless amount of games in the second

795
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:14,880
half this. Year Gayser oklahoma has been competitive with his

796
00:43:15,079 --> 00:43:18,400
entire sec and just didn't come up with the. Victory

797
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:20,840
but recently they've started to get a couple of these,

798
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:25,400
wins AND i think their mindset tonight is going to

799
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:29,400
be to avenge what happened In Columbia. Missouri LIKE i

800
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:34,199
said about a month maybe five weeks, ago they certainly

801
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:37,760
showed that day that they've got the talent to play With.

802
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:41,760
Missoo maszoo comes off a twenty four point pounding Of

803
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:44,519
Mississippi state the other, day AND i think What missouri

804
00:43:44,559 --> 00:43:50,519
has done overall now to this point is enough on

805
00:43:50,559 --> 00:43:52,719
the resume to get them. IN i Think missoo was

806
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:55,400
kind of, pushing, pushing pushing to get into the. TOURNAMENT

807
00:43:55,679 --> 00:43:58,119
i think they're safely in. NOW i don't check these

808
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:02,639
bracket tala just rankings every single, day but those of

809
00:44:02,679 --> 00:44:04,840
you who, do you'll probably Find missouri settled in the.

810
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:08,440
Tournament by now got enough quality wins that the road,

811
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:10,840
win even though it was Against Mississippi, state probably helps

812
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:12,960
a little bit because it was on THE sec. Road but,

813
00:44:13,159 --> 00:44:16,320
here you, know one Thing i've noticed as of, Late,

814
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,679
adam Is Nigel packs beginning to play and the way

815
00:44:19,679 --> 00:44:22,199
we would expect him to. Play Nigel pack was off

816
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,840
for a majority of the season as far as shooting has,

817
00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:27,119
gone but there's been a couple of instances here recently

818
00:44:27,559 --> 00:44:30,920
Where Nigel pack and the guard played For oklahoma has been. Outstanding,

819
00:44:32,199 --> 00:44:35,719
again it's more situational, spot but the fundamentals come into

820
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:39,599
it because having watched that game In missouri the first time,

821
00:44:39,639 --> 00:44:42,480
around you could See oklahoma has every ingredient to Beat

822
00:44:42,519 --> 00:44:45,159
missouri and probably should have won that. Day So i'm

823
00:44:45,159 --> 00:44:49,039
gonna play the revenge angle here With oklahoma the short

824
00:44:49,079 --> 00:44:53,079
priced home favorite to atone for what. HAPPENED i don't

825
00:44:53,119 --> 00:44:57,199
Foresee Mark mitchell throwing in another three at the buzzer

826
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,639
to defeat this. TEAM i Think oklahoma right now trying

827
00:45:00,679 --> 00:45:04,840
to make some strides hitting at the conference. Tournament, actually you,

828
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:06,320
know there was a point in the, Season, adam AND

829
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:08,719
i think THAT i probably was not alone on this.

830
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:11,719
Bandwagon WHERE i felt, like you know, what oh you

831
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:16,400
has suffered so many heartbreaking losses that they're just gonna.

832
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:20,760
Surrender but give them, credit the team has not surrendered

833
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:24,320
at all and still continue to play. Hard so for

834
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:26,639
me one more, time the parlay leg is gonna Be

835
00:45:26,679 --> 00:45:31,239
oklahoma minus the, two because that's the prevalent number. Here,

836
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:34,280
again if you shop, well you can find one and a,

837
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,559
Half's BUT i Like Porter moses a bunch here to

838
00:45:37,599 --> 00:45:38,360
come up and win this.

839
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:42,280
Speaker 1: Game you could for the parlay say Go oklahoma money

840
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:44,519
line if you wanted, to LIKE i mean that, way

841
00:45:44,559 --> 00:45:46,760
it would just take out because you have one and a,

842
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,840
half you have, twos and, then like you, KNOW i feel,

843
00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:51,880
like in case it goes to two and a half

844
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:53,360
or three later in the, day do you want to

845
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:54,320
just Say oklahoma money?

846
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,039
Speaker 2: LINE i looked it up to and THINK i saw

847
00:45:56,119 --> 00:46:00,400
one thirties across the board mostly so is probably. Great,

848
00:46:00,559 --> 00:46:02,320
yeah why don't we go ahead and do that money?

849
00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:06,800
Line play owe you, sooners you, know get in The

850
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,679
sooner schooner and right off to victory.

851
00:46:09,679 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 1: Here someone just, said does add and. Talk i'll tell you,

852
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,639
what you know What i'm Gonna we usually get to

853
00:46:15,679 --> 00:46:19,440
six games on the show in. Depth but Because rob

854
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:21,280
did such a good job of breaking that one down

855
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,280
AND i have nothing to add, There i'm gonna not

856
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:26,559
talk about that game BECAUSE i feel LIKE i would

857
00:46:26,559 --> 00:46:29,119
just be rehashing what he just. Said and we're gonna

858
00:46:29,119 --> 00:46:32,400
get you an extra game. Today So, ROB i am

859
00:46:32,519 --> 00:46:35,760
going to let me go to The Star chat make

860
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:38,800
Sure i've got, Okay, yeah we'll do. This here's what

861
00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,559
we're gonna. Do i'm gonna go to a conference tournament

862
00:46:41,599 --> 00:46:44,320
game because we need some conference tournament talk on this,

863
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:48,079
show and then we're gonna finish up with the game

864
00:46:48,119 --> 00:46:53,400
Mad max has recommended for. Us SO i want to

865
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,320
talk about The Patriot league, tournament which starts. Tonight and

866
00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:58,519
the REASON i want to discuss this, Game, rob is

867
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:02,480
you a couple of weeks ago that we were probably

868
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:05,519
getting a rematch Of Army bucknell when they played at ELEVEN.

869
00:47:05,559 --> 00:47:09,199
Am we both agreed that the over was probably the right.

870
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:12,000
SIDE i Remember Colin gregory really Liked bucknell in that

871
00:47:12,039 --> 00:47:13,480
game they won as a three and a half point,

872
00:47:13,559 --> 00:47:17,320
underdog and you were. Correct we have the rematch tonight

873
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:20,800
in The Patriot league first. Round that means the four

874
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:23,880
worst teams in The Patriot league will play, tonight it

875
00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:28,719
is in this, matchup, specifically is going to Be bucknell Hosting.

876
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:31,480
Army the REASON i want to bring this game up

877
00:47:32,519 --> 00:47:36,400
is Because i'm looking at the total starting to drop

878
00:47:37,199 --> 00:47:41,280
and that makes absolutely no sense to, me Because bucknell

879
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:44,119
is gonna play zone against a team that only. Shoots

880
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:46,079
they did it the Other REMEMBER i texted YOU i

881
00:47:46,119 --> 00:47:50,480
THINK i was driving somewhere AND i was, like that overseemed,

882
00:47:50,519 --> 00:47:52,960
easy AND i pulled up the box score AND i was,

883
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:56,119
Like army shot forty five threes in that. Game AND

884
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:58,800
i went back and looked and, basically buck now'll just

885
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,760
let him shoot, it which is kind of an issue

886
00:48:01,760 --> 00:48:04,440
because All army wants to do is shoot. Threes so

887
00:48:04,519 --> 00:48:06,440
it's almost like you're letting them do what they want to,

888
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:10,519
do but at the same, time like they couldn't Defend

889
00:48:10,519 --> 00:48:14,159
bucknell at. All what changes, Here? Roby why would we

890
00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:16,079
not see the same game we saw a couple weeks.

891
00:48:16,079 --> 00:48:21,559
Speaker 2: AGO i, mean that's a that's a million dollar. QUESTION

892
00:48:21,599 --> 00:48:23,719
i don't, know because it's a conference tournament, game and

893
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:27,679
because it's single, elimination and because perhaps you know those

894
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:31,800
who have pushed this game down figure, that and again

895
00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:34,239
we talked about conference tournament handicapping. Yicity it does get

896
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:38,320
a little more defensive because everybody knows that once you lose,

897
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:41,719
this your season is. Done but to your, Point army

898
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,679
shot forty five threes in that game in nineteen. Twos

899
00:48:45,079 --> 00:48:51,000
forty five threes nineteen. Twos that's. Crazy but the first

900
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,400
game is shot thirty one. Threes it's what you're gonna

901
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:57,039
get out Of, army and just to forty five a

902
00:48:57,079 --> 00:48:59,239
little bit. Here the first game went, overtime but it

903
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,000
was one sixty at the end of regulation one, sixty

904
00:49:02,039 --> 00:49:04,159
it was eighty, eighty and then you had one forty

905
00:49:04,199 --> 00:49:09,079
eight in the. Rematch everybody knew what the other team could.

906
00:49:09,079 --> 00:49:10,960
Do you've got game film of the other, team and

907
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:13,719
you still make it to one forty. Eight so it's, Hard,

908
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:18,079
adam unless you have just, miserable miserable three point shooting

909
00:49:18,159 --> 00:49:22,159
here to understand why you would push this total down

910
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:25,239
into a. Range. NOW i just talked earlier about how

911
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,599
the upper half of the one, forties to me at,

912
00:49:27,679 --> 00:49:29,920
least is different than the lower half of the one.

913
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:33,039
Forties you've come from one forty six down to one

914
00:49:33,159 --> 00:49:35,199
forty three and a half at this, point which makes

915
00:49:35,199 --> 00:49:37,679
this kind of playable at the one forty three and

916
00:49:37,679 --> 00:49:42,360
a half. Range money in On army in this, instance

917
00:49:42,639 --> 00:49:45,400
which makes it even more head. Scratching why would you

918
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,440
be Betting army in Under if you're Betting, army you

919
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:51,880
think they're gonna make? Threes so, yeah i'd agree with

920
00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:54,320
you here that the line move is kind of, weird

921
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:58,280
and why would you expect anything other than another game

922
00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:00,559
that can make it to one forty?

923
00:50:00,599 --> 00:50:00,840
Speaker 1: Four?

924
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 2: Now is all you're asking for at this point is

925
00:50:02,880 --> 00:50:06,320
one forty. Four SO i would definitely subscribe to that.

926
00:50:06,639 --> 00:50:09,840
Speaker 1: PLAY i think Buck nell is getting bet right, now

927
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:11,519
WHICH i WHICH i agree. With IF i had to

928
00:50:11,559 --> 00:50:13,519
bet a side in this, one it would be Buck

929
00:50:13,559 --> 00:50:15,920
nell for for the and the REASON i would make

930
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,960
that play, well they're at remember they're at, home they're

931
00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:22,159
hosting this, game so that certainly. Helps but, two they

932
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,760
they get the easier points, right so it's like they're

933
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,039
going to be able to get to the rim On

934
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:30,880
army and score at the rim because they have a

935
00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:34,119
couple of. Bigs remember maybe a month AGO i, said

936
00:50:34,119 --> 00:50:37,559
well this is Buck, nell this team. Has last year

937
00:50:37,559 --> 00:50:39,800
they Had Noah, williamson who was as good of a

938
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:43,159
rim defender as you're gonna find in this, league and you,

939
00:50:43,199 --> 00:50:45,320
know as good of a post player as you're gonna

940
00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:47,679
find in The Patriot, league and they really don't have

941
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:50,119
that this, year but they've over the course of the

942
00:50:50,119 --> 00:50:54,679
season Buck nell's had some reasonably good post play emerge

943
00:50:55,119 --> 00:50:58,880
for this. Level, remember like you, know in the context

944
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,599
of the Pay, league which is what happens in this

945
00:51:01,679 --> 00:51:04,199
league sometime because a lot of these teams go out

946
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:07,519
and play non conference games against opponents that are always

947
00:51:07,559 --> 00:51:10,079
better than. Them so sometimes it takes you until Late,

948
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:15,239
february mid to Late february to see like a team

949
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:19,239
has guys that are good Against Patriot league. Opposition Aimon

950
00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:22,880
dorris is that. Guy he Is he's Not Noah, williamson

951
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,480
but he's. Sticked he's six, eleven, Right, like he's still

952
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:27,719
a six to eleven guy that is that has shown

953
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:29,920
the ability to score at the rim sixteen point one

954
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:32,519
points per. Game so the WAY i look at this, Game,

955
00:51:32,599 --> 00:51:36,039
ROB i Think bucknell's gonna get easier, points and they're at.

956
00:51:36,039 --> 00:51:39,199
HOME i actually am a little bit. OFF i Think

957
00:51:39,199 --> 00:51:42,679
i'm closer to. Five so there's still two and a

958
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:44,400
half's out there. ALONE i don't think they're gonna be

959
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,639
there very. LONG i think you're gonna have to lay,

960
00:51:46,679 --> 00:51:50,519
three but it's one That i'm definitely considering as far

961
00:51:50,519 --> 00:51:52,679
as the total is. Concerned there is a scenario Where

962
00:51:53,039 --> 00:51:56,239
army just bombs threes and hits, them which probably puts this.

963
00:51:56,320 --> 00:51:58,760
Over so we're, saying, hey we're still looking for a

964
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,840
third leg of the. PARLAY i, mean we could go

965
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:04,159
cut IF i don't know how much you like this,

966
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:08,519
over but it's an option you don't have to decide right.

967
00:52:08,559 --> 00:52:10,719
NOW i want to talk about one more game before

968
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:13,079
we decide on, that BECAUSE i think you're gonna have

969
00:52:13,119 --> 00:52:16,440
an opinion. HERE i have an opinion, here and like

970
00:52:16,519 --> 00:52:18,639
half of the chat is asking me about this specific,

971
00:52:18,679 --> 00:52:21,559
game which also happens to be what Mad max donated.

972
00:52:21,559 --> 00:52:24,840
About so this seems like the logical place to finish

973
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:29,920
up the. Show, Alabama. Georgia, tonight Mad max is leaning

974
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:32,559
over one hundred and seventy nine and a. HALF i

975
00:52:32,599 --> 00:52:36,280
TEXTED ct like an hour ago AND i was, like

976
00:52:36,639 --> 00:52:40,000
probably a casual two hundred in this game. TONIGHT i was, joking,

977
00:52:40,039 --> 00:52:43,840
obviously but, like you, know a couple weeks, Ago, rob

978
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,280
we were laughing at how high The Alabama arkansas total

979
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:52,960
was and it went over with like literal no. ISSUE

980
00:52:53,079 --> 00:52:54,960
i think there was what were we? Mind it was

981
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:56,920
in the mid one eighties or something crazy like.

982
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:58,159
Speaker 2: That it gets tark.

983
00:52:58,159 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 1: As, yeah, Listen georgia's got guards that are gonna be

984
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,079
able to score. Here and if you subscribe to the

985
00:53:05,079 --> 00:53:07,960
theory That alabama just put a lot of effort into

986
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:12,480
that comeback win Over tennessee and they don't come out

987
00:53:12,519 --> 00:53:16,679
like balls to the wall defensively, Here i'm inclined to

988
00:53:16,760 --> 00:53:19,519
agree With max that this one's probably gonna go. Over

989
00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:23,000
what do you Think Alabama georgia do you have a

990
00:53:23,039 --> 00:53:25,599
side opinion in this one as? Well?

991
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 2: Well two things, HERE, A i did cash a ticket

992
00:53:30,159 --> 00:53:33,480
On georgia team total over Against South carolina the other

993
00:53:33,559 --> 00:53:37,320
day they put up eighty. Seven but bigger than that

994
00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:42,639
is the last four games Since Jeremiah wilkinson returned to

995
00:53:42,679 --> 00:53:48,559
the lineup For, georgia they have reverted back to basically

996
00:53:48,559 --> 00:53:50,800
what they were early on this, season where they just

997
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:54,159
scored like there was a lull In georgia for a

998
00:53:54,159 --> 00:53:59,519
while Without. Wilkinson but Since wilkinson's returned the last four.

999
00:53:59,599 --> 00:54:03,519
Games they've absolutely been on fire eighty, six ninety, one

1000
00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:09,639
eighty and eighty Seven alabama ever Since Charles bediaco was

1001
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:13,519
finally ruled ineligible to play For alabama. Anymore it just

1002
00:54:13,559 --> 00:54:18,000
seems to me that they took their return natural form

1003
00:54:18,079 --> 00:54:23,280
Natural NATO's form back and started scoring Now. Saturday Because

1004
00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:27,159
i'm such a bounce back. Player the game Against tennessee

1005
00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:29,400
is not like Any alabama. Game when you play a

1006
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:33,280
game that low, Scoring alabama doesn't, score they hold their opponents.

1007
00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:36,320
DOWN i always look for the bounce, back And alabama

1008
00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:40,199
has an opponent here much different Than, tennessee an opponent

1009
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:43,159
that will run with. Them SO i looked at this.

1010
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:46,159
Immediately i'm not going to disagree with over one seventy

1011
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:48,360
nine and a half, because like, You, adam after seeing

1012
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:51,480
That arkansas, game it just it looks like the same exact,

1013
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:57,320
game especially With wilkinson back For, georgia and they PROBABLY

1014
00:54:58,599 --> 00:55:00,840
i wouldn't even say. Probably they are less of a

1015
00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:04,960
defensive team Than arkansas Is. Georgia So alabama could be

1016
00:55:05,119 --> 00:55:08,360
to one hundred plus on their, Own georgia could get

1017
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:12,519
to ninety. Plus you know their, sides SO i, WOULD

1018
00:55:12,599 --> 00:55:15,000
i would totally agree with over one seventy nine and

1019
00:55:15,039 --> 00:55:15,320
a half.

1020
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:20,719
Speaker 1: Here, YEAH i mean BECAUSE i DON'T i don't See

1021
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:24,480
georgia just getting like stop after stop Against. ALABAMA i.

1022
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:26,519
DON'T i don't, think, like let's put it this. Way

1023
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:30,679
if IF i wasn't so concerned That bama was a

1024
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:33,599
little bit gassed from, playing you, know from finishing The

1025
00:55:33,639 --> 00:55:37,400
tennessee game the way they finished, It i'd be like

1026
00:55:37,519 --> 00:55:40,320
probably beyond Just i'd just be laying the money line With.

1027
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:43,280
Bama it was like One bama minus, one Like i've

1028
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:46,880
GOT i actually make them more like minus. Five but

1029
00:55:47,039 --> 00:55:49,360
the REASON i haven't bet it yet is my concern

1030
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:52,840
that this might this might be a spot where they

1031
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:55,119
allow some points To georgia and suddenly we're in a

1032
00:55:55,159 --> 00:55:59,159
game like a Like Abama. Arkansas that's like that's a.

1033
00:55:59,159 --> 00:56:02,079
Game and then of course you're Factoring georgia at home

1034
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:05,800
the game probably meaning more To, Georgia georgia having the home,

1035
00:56:05,880 --> 00:56:07,760
fans and it's like then you're starting to be, Like,

1036
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,360
okay DO i want to play into that? Spot but

1037
00:56:10,559 --> 00:56:12,760
like for, me it's pretty strong leans here To bama

1038
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:16,599
and the, over AND i Guess i'll throw it to.

1039
00:56:16,639 --> 00:56:22,039
You so we have three options for The SO i

1040
00:56:22,119 --> 00:56:24,320
actually want to address this. FIRST i gotta address this,

1041
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:28,000
First chris. MULHERN i got, listen this is not like

1042
00:56:28,039 --> 00:56:29,920
a negative, thing BUT i WANT i want to make sure,

1043
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:32,400
that like if you're new to the, show like people

1044
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,559
know what they're getting with this. Show he, says the

1045
00:56:34,559 --> 00:56:37,559
show is can't misvalue. Place where are the? Place, okay

1046
00:56:38,199 --> 00:56:41,320
here's the thing this, show like where are the? Plays

1047
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:44,239
i'm just going to, promote like we work for Wager.

1048
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:46,880
Talk we sell our. Picks, Okay so like we come

1049
00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:50,199
on here an hour every single day give in depth

1050
00:56:50,239 --> 00:56:53,159
information about six or seven. Games today we did. Seven

1051
00:56:54,320 --> 00:56:56,199
i've already given out a PICK i could sell on the,

1052
00:56:56,199 --> 00:56:59,000
website So New Jersey institute Of technology plus five and a.

1053
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:01,000
Half that's a four. Percent any other day it's a

1054
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:03,480
twenty five dollars pick on the. Site today we would

1055
00:57:03,519 --> 00:57:06,280
sell it for five because It's. Tuesday rob gave Out

1056
00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:09,400
oklahoma as a. PICK i don't know if that's a

1057
00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:11,719
client player him or, not but he gave that as a.

1058
00:57:11,760 --> 00:57:14,679
Pick we're gonna find a third one we agree on

1059
00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:17,199
in a. Second and then we gave opinions in the other.

1060
00:57:17,239 --> 00:57:19,159
One i'll say this till on blue in the. Face

1061
00:57:19,239 --> 00:57:22,039
if you just want the, picks head on order to Wager.

1062
00:57:22,079 --> 00:57:24,719
Talk we have a great special up that gets you

1063
00:57:24,880 --> 00:57:27,760
all of the. Picks that is the way to get the.

1064
00:57:27,800 --> 00:57:30,320
Picks there's never a scenario Where i'm coming on the

1065
00:57:30,320 --> 00:57:32,119
show And rob is coming on the show and we're

1066
00:57:32,199 --> 00:57:35,960
just rattling off fifteen to twenty opinions because we sell

1067
00:57:36,320 --> 00:57:39,159
like otherwise we Don't rob AND i don't, eat so

1068
00:57:39,239 --> 00:57:42,199
it's like it's never gonna. Happen so if you're looking

1069
00:57:42,199 --> 00:57:45,719
for the picks wager talk dot, com there's specials on

1070
00:57:45,719 --> 00:57:47,920
both of our. Page that's how you get the. Picks

1071
00:57:48,119 --> 00:57:50,719
if you're looking for an hour of in depth discussion

1072
00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:52,480
on six or seven, games you're in the right. Spot

1073
00:57:52,519 --> 00:57:56,000
and look at. That you do get. Picks Because i've

1074
00:57:56,039 --> 00:57:58,280
already given out a play That i'm betting that's a

1075
00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:01,360
play for my. Clients rob gave, It. OKLAHOMA i, AGAIN

1076
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:03,039
i didn't catch up that was a client player or.

1077
00:58:03,079 --> 00:58:05,320
Not and now we're gonna we're gonna figure out a

1078
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:08,920
third one, Here. Rob So i've got three. Options, Okay

1079
00:58:09,079 --> 00:58:12,280
we're either gonna ride With jake On Mississippi state or

1080
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:15,599
we're gonna do one of these. Totals i'm gonna let

1081
00:58:15,639 --> 00:58:18,039
you give your input on which one of those options

1082
00:58:18,039 --> 00:58:21,320
you like, best Because i'm kind of Like i'm on the.

1083
00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:22,840
FENCE i think all three are good.

1084
00:58:22,840 --> 00:58:27,679
Speaker 2: Options, YEAH i would say IF i were to list

1085
00:58:27,719 --> 00:58:31,800
them in pecking, order and we're talking about very slim

1086
00:58:31,880 --> 00:58:35,119
variance between these three. ADAMS i was just gonna make

1087
00:58:35,159 --> 00:58:40,599
the point About army And, bucknell Where Ryan curry And

1088
00:58:40,719 --> 00:58:43,320
Jackson bell two. Guys you shoot a lot of. Threes For,

1089
00:58:43,519 --> 00:58:48,119
army we're three of. Twenty last, game three of, twenty

1090
00:58:48,239 --> 00:58:51,599
those two, guys and that game still got to one forty.

1091
00:58:51,639 --> 00:58:54,320
Eight good reason to play that thing over one forty

1092
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:56,480
three and a. Half but IF i have my way in,

1093
00:58:56,519 --> 00:59:00,360
this my say would probably be the safest that is

1094
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:04,039
The Alabama georgia game over one seventy nine and a.

1095
00:59:04,079 --> 00:59:08,519
HALF i think that's the. SAFEST i probably Like Mississippi

1096
00:59:08,559 --> 00:59:11,320
state plus the, best BUT i don't feel it's the

1097
00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:15,480
safest because you have the ability to get absolutely destroyed

1098
00:59:15,519 --> 00:59:17,920
if things don't go your, way AND i would prefer

1099
00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:21,440
some first half. Stuff so my two cents Is Alabama

1100
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:22,719
georgia over one seventy nine and a.

1101
00:59:22,719 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 1: HALF i was gonna, say you you basically you did

1102
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:30,079
not help at, all right, there you just you basically

1103
00:59:30,079 --> 00:59:33,679
said all three are, good they're all pretty much. Even,

1104
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:37,800
yeah let's let's do. That then, collinsays not gonna, overthink

1105
00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:40,239
And i'm taking a two unit On bama tunion and

1106
00:59:40,239 --> 00:59:42,519
On bama team total. Over, colin if you like The

1107
00:59:42,519 --> 00:59:44,960
bama team total, OVER i kind of Think georgia's team

1108
00:59:44,960 --> 00:59:47,480
total over gets there as. Well that's kind of what's

1109
00:59:47,559 --> 00:59:50,639
keeping me Off. Bama so let's do. That let's Go Bama.

1110
00:59:50,679 --> 00:59:53,079
Georgia what do we say over one seventy nine and a?

1111
00:59:53,119 --> 00:59:55,239
Speaker 2: Half you coin is? That? What? Yeah one seventy nine

1112
00:59:55,239 --> 00:59:57,760
and a half unless it's moved since we've been, talking

1113
00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:00,519
let me, see but it, Was, yeah it's one seventy

1114
01:00:00,599 --> 01:00:00,880
nine and a.

1115
01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:05,519
Speaker 1: Half all, right let's do. That that's the three teamer for.

1116
01:00:05,559 --> 01:00:08,039
TODAY i think THAT'S i like that a. LOT I

1117
01:00:08,519 --> 01:00:12,000
my gut tells me that we're gonna be laughing about

1118
01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:14,519
how many points there are in This Alabama georgia, game

1119
01:00:14,599 --> 01:00:18,480
similar to The arkansas. Game and if it's, CLOSE i

1120
01:00:18,519 --> 01:00:20,840
mean it's a one point. Spread you've always got the

1121
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,360
chance that it goes o t just like That Arkansas

1122
01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:26,639
bama game. Did even though they never needed overtime for that,

1123
01:00:26,719 --> 01:00:29,679
over that was over. Easily so we have hit the hour.

1124
01:00:29,760 --> 01:00:32,119
Mark we appreciate you guys tuning, in And i'm not

1125
01:00:32,159 --> 01:00:33,719
trying to be like you, Know i'm just trying to,

1126
01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:37,119
say like, clearly like we. Can't there's there's reasons we

1127
01:00:37,159 --> 01:00:39,880
can't just rattle off twenty opinions because then no one

1128
01:00:39,880 --> 01:00:44,280
would buy our. Picks so at any, rate the three

1129
01:00:44,360 --> 01:00:46,800
team are for, today WHICH i feel good about this. One.

1130
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:49,079
Rob i've got a client play a four percent play

1131
01:00:49,079 --> 01:00:53,800
A New Jersey institute Of technology The highlanders plus five

1132
01:00:53,840 --> 01:00:56,519
and a half at the at The weck tonight In,

1133
01:00:56,559 --> 01:01:01,000
Newark New. Jersey, rob you're gonna go With oklahoma money

1134
01:01:01,039 --> 01:01:03,880
and then it seems like we all agree that there's

1135
01:01:03,920 --> 01:01:07,239
gonna be points galore In Alabama. Georgia so we are

1136
01:01:07,280 --> 01:01:09,920
gonna Go Alabama georgia over one seventy nine and a

1137
01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:14,119
Half oklahoma money LINE njit plus five and a. Half

1138
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:16,920
that's our three teamer. Today let's run it up this.

1139
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:19,880
Month we will be back tomorrow morning for more full

1140
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:23,920
Court press ten Am, Eastern, sorry ten Am. Eastern right

1141
01:01:23,960 --> 01:01:25,920
here on The wager talk to YouTube channel five Dollars,

1142
01:01:25,920 --> 01:01:28,719
tuesday check out all the handicappers five dollars, picks and

1143
01:01:28,760 --> 01:01:30,320
we will see you guys tomorrow