WEBVTT 1 00:00:22.960 --> 00:00:26.600 And Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast 2 00:00:27.519 --> 00:00:31.399 on this Thursday. Today is the sixth day of November, 3 00:00:31.640 --> 00:00:34.159 Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty five. My name is 4 00:00:34.159 --> 00:00:41.520 Tom Sullivan. And well here we are day anybody counting. Well, 5 00:00:41.600 --> 00:00:45.880 I am a day thirty seven of the shutdown, and 6 00:00:47.039 --> 00:00:50.840 it's interesting to watch. We don't get to see what's 7 00:00:50.880 --> 00:00:53.359 going on behind the scenes. You know, there's a lot 8 00:00:53.439 --> 00:00:58.159 of people brainstorming trying to figure out what to do. 9 00:00:58.240 --> 00:01:01.520 I was talking with a friend of mine earlier today 10 00:01:01.520 --> 00:01:05.359 and she has this theory that she's because I had. 11 00:01:05.400 --> 00:01:08.799 I told her about this theory that well, they're not 12 00:01:08.840 --> 00:01:12.760 going to solve this until after the election. That was 13 00:01:13.359 --> 00:01:15.920 two days ago. And I said, they'll wait a couple 14 00:01:15.920 --> 00:01:20.000 of days and then all the ramifications from the shutdown 15 00:01:20.040 --> 00:01:22.959 won't have anything to do with politics or elections or 16 00:01:22.959 --> 00:01:25.599 anything like that, so they'll go ahead and solve whatever 17 00:01:25.599 --> 00:01:28.400 their problems are. So give it a couple of days 18 00:01:28.439 --> 00:01:30.079 to make a little space in there and make it 19 00:01:30.120 --> 00:01:33.319 look like it's not tied to the elections. Well, here 20 00:01:33.359 --> 00:01:35.560 we are a couple nks later, and there's nothing but 21 00:01:35.799 --> 00:01:42.159 my friend's viewpoint is this, I mean, it's pure speculation, folks, 22 00:01:43.159 --> 00:01:44.599 I don't know what else to do with it at 23 00:01:44.599 --> 00:01:50.120 this point. She says that what they're doing, especially with 24 00:01:50.200 --> 00:01:53.079 the airlines now that they are going through and saying 25 00:01:53.120 --> 00:01:57.400 we're going to be cutting back on ten percent of 26 00:01:57.439 --> 00:02:04.120 the flights in four different airports and then forty well 27 00:02:04.120 --> 00:02:07.599 we'll get into that in a minute here, but that 28 00:02:08.520 --> 00:02:11.840 will really cause all kinds of consternation. It will be 29 00:02:11.879 --> 00:02:17.319 a big nuisance. And then after everybody's all upset about 30 00:02:17.360 --> 00:02:21.120 that for a day or two, then the White House 31 00:02:21.159 --> 00:02:26.400 will come along and solve all this by saying, fine, 32 00:02:26.680 --> 00:02:32.919 we will sit down and negotiate the extension to the 33 00:02:33.159 --> 00:02:37.319 Obamacare ACA, and then it will all come to an 34 00:02:37.439 --> 00:02:40.199 end because they have to look like heroes. They've got 35 00:02:40.240 --> 00:02:42.719 to come out of this looking they both need off ramps. 36 00:02:42.719 --> 00:02:45.639 They're both stuck, and so that will be the White 37 00:02:45.639 --> 00:02:48.000 House will say, Okay, we will sit down and negotiate. 38 00:02:48.199 --> 00:02:50.520 And what they're already talking about, there's a number of 39 00:02:50.560 --> 00:02:56.439 people already talking about the fact that they are talking 40 00:02:56.479 --> 00:03:00.400 about maybe instead of the one point five trillion dollars number, 41 00:03:00.400 --> 00:03:06.639 that's a ten year number on the if the subsidies 42 00:03:06.680 --> 00:03:12.680 for people on Obamacare or were boosted or were not 43 00:03:13.240 --> 00:03:15.159 what they're supposed to expire at the end of this year, 44 00:03:15.199 --> 00:03:17.759 they would not expire. It would cost one and a 45 00:03:17.800 --> 00:03:20.479 half trillion dollars over the next ten years. So then 46 00:03:20.520 --> 00:03:22.680 you will what about if we just do one year, 47 00:03:24.199 --> 00:03:28.159 or maybe we do two. And that's so typical of Washington. 48 00:03:28.159 --> 00:03:31.120 They love to kick the can down the road. This 49 00:03:31.159 --> 00:03:34.879 thing was supposed to be a temporary help for people 50 00:03:35.479 --> 00:03:39.039 that were on Obamacare during COVID when they did not 51 00:03:39.240 --> 00:03:41.759 have jobs, a lot of businesses were closed. It was 52 00:03:41.840 --> 00:03:46.280 let us help you out through this crisis. Well, the 53 00:03:46.360 --> 00:03:49.960 crisis is pretty much behind us, isn't it. So they're 54 00:03:50.000 --> 00:03:53.400 going to kick it down the road another I don't 55 00:03:53.439 --> 00:03:55.680 know what you watch, it'll be a one or two, 56 00:03:56.439 --> 00:03:59.800 maybe three year deal, and that's how they're going to 57 00:03:59.840 --> 00:04:03.199 get out of this. In fact, Josh Gothheimer, who is 58 00:04:03.520 --> 00:04:07.680 a Congressman from New Jersey, he's a Democrat. What was 59 00:04:07.719 --> 00:04:12.599 the name of that committee, he was on the Solution 60 00:04:12.800 --> 00:04:16.439 Committee or something. It was made up a handful of 61 00:04:16.560 --> 00:04:20.439 Democrats and Republicans and they got together to try to 62 00:04:20.439 --> 00:04:25.800 solve some of the political problems that Congress faces. Anyway, 63 00:04:25.839 --> 00:04:29.439 here's a little bit from Josh Gothheimer and listen to 64 00:04:30.399 --> 00:04:32.759 sounds like he's kind of looking for something like a 65 00:04:32.800 --> 00:04:34.199 couple of years huge. 66 00:04:34.000 --> 00:04:35.040 Hit on our economy. 67 00:04:35.040 --> 00:04:38.079 You're talking about twenty percent of the nation's GDP runs 68 00:04:38.079 --> 00:04:41.319 through this region. It just puts a finer point on 69 00:04:41.720 --> 00:04:44.040 the fact that and as the President admitted himself, as 70 00:04:44.040 --> 00:04:48.120 you just reported, that the shutdown was caused by the Republicans, right, 71 00:04:48.199 --> 00:04:50.639 admitted that the shutout was hurting Republicans. That we saw 72 00:04:50.680 --> 00:04:54.399 that on Tuesday night, very clearly the public has said enough. 73 00:04:54.839 --> 00:04:57.439 And what we're doing and why I'm continuing to talk 74 00:04:57.480 --> 00:05:00.160 to my colleagues across the aisle every single day in 75 00:05:00.199 --> 00:05:02.279 the House, in the Senate is to figure out how 76 00:05:02.279 --> 00:05:04.160 we can get the government back open and of course, 77 00:05:04.199 --> 00:05:07.879 at the same time address what people made it clear 78 00:05:07.920 --> 00:05:10.639 Tuesday night that they're concerned about, which is the rising 79 00:05:10.680 --> 00:05:12.600 prices across the board that's killing them. 80 00:05:12.639 --> 00:05:14.399 So you hear where his point is he's talking about. 81 00:05:14.439 --> 00:05:17.639 The President did go talk to the Republicans in the 82 00:05:17.680 --> 00:05:23.279 Senate and said, man, the shutdown is really hurting Republicans. 83 00:05:23.319 --> 00:05:26.560 Everybody always blames the Republicans regardless, but even the President 84 00:05:26.639 --> 00:05:29.560 admitted it, and his answer was to get rid of 85 00:05:29.560 --> 00:05:33.680 the filibuster, and nobody wants to do that. That is 86 00:05:34.160 --> 00:05:37.800 not a good idea, and it's the first time that 87 00:05:37.879 --> 00:05:42.000 a lot of Republicans in the Senate have bucked the 88 00:05:42.040 --> 00:05:48.079 President on his ideas. So Josh Gosheimer says, while this 89 00:05:48.279 --> 00:05:52.600 is obviously hurting Republicans, so there's going to be some 90 00:05:52.680 --> 00:05:54.079 give on their part. 91 00:05:53.959 --> 00:05:56.519 You know, whether it's healthcare insurance premiums, which we know 92 00:05:56.600 --> 00:05:59.319 are up massively and we'll go up next year on 93 00:05:59.399 --> 00:06:02.720 average about eighteen percent in Jersey. If you're on the 94 00:06:02.759 --> 00:06:05.600 ACA and getting those subjects and extra help on those 95 00:06:05.639 --> 00:06:07.639 tax credits, you're talking about one hundred and seventy five 96 00:06:07.639 --> 00:06:11.519 percent increase plus energy costs and childcare bills. 97 00:06:11.600 --> 00:06:11.720 Right. 98 00:06:11.759 --> 00:06:15.199 People need some help, and the tariffs aren't doing it. 99 00:06:15.240 --> 00:06:17.680 And what we're clear is they say to the President enough, 100 00:06:18.000 --> 00:06:20.240 the country's going in the wrong direction. You've got to 101 00:06:20.319 --> 00:06:22.480 change things. So that's what we're focused on doing, is 102 00:06:23.000 --> 00:06:23.839 helping people out. 103 00:06:27.279 --> 00:06:29.560 So he believes he's helping people out, and a lot 104 00:06:29.600 --> 00:06:33.199 of people in Congress are of the same thought, but 105 00:06:33.279 --> 00:06:37.399 they're actually hurting people. We've talked about this before. Every 106 00:06:37.439 --> 00:06:42.079 time they subsidize something. What the easiest one to understand 107 00:06:42.279 --> 00:06:49.199 is when they give college students loans student loans, they're 108 00:06:49.240 --> 00:06:52.319 subsidizing their education. It's got to be paid back some 109 00:06:52.519 --> 00:06:57.079 day theoretically. But what they do is makes it easier 110 00:06:57.079 --> 00:07:00.519 than for the universities to raise the students to wish. 111 00:07:00.759 --> 00:07:03.160 And it's the same in this is that as the 112 00:07:03.199 --> 00:07:08.120 government keeps subsidizing people on the government health insurance plan, 113 00:07:08.720 --> 00:07:14.000 the insurance companies just raise their prices. It's not helping 114 00:07:14.120 --> 00:07:17.439 anybody other than the insurance companies. And I'm sure there's 115 00:07:17.480 --> 00:07:20.079 some of them in Congress that know that and are 116 00:07:20.079 --> 00:07:24.800 more than happy to accept the campaign contributions from the 117 00:07:24.839 --> 00:07:28.040 insurance companies. But there's a lot of them like Josh Gothheimer, 118 00:07:28.600 --> 00:07:31.399 who thinks he's helping people out, and all he is 119 00:07:31.439 --> 00:07:35.240 doing is helping the insurance companies out. But there are 120 00:07:35.279 --> 00:07:40.199 a lot of Republicans licking their wounds. After Tuesday, Democrats 121 00:07:40.800 --> 00:07:45.519 ran the board And I got an email the other 122 00:07:45.560 --> 00:07:48.759 day from somebody who thought that saying the word affordability 123 00:07:48.879 --> 00:07:52.959 was fake and wasn't real and all that. No affordability 124 00:07:53.680 --> 00:07:58.160 is I think the issue that came out of the 125 00:07:58.240 --> 00:08:00.639 election on Tuesday and I've heard it before the election. 126 00:08:01.240 --> 00:08:05.439 People are screaming about the fact that prices are too high. 127 00:08:05.920 --> 00:08:09.720 Now you've got gas prices are down. That's one of 128 00:08:09.720 --> 00:08:13.839 your economic indicators for most people. But they're not back 129 00:08:13.839 --> 00:08:17.160 to where they were back in Trump one point zero, 130 00:08:18.040 --> 00:08:22.480 so they've come down. The other big economic indicator is 131 00:08:22.480 --> 00:08:26.399 the grocery store. In grocery prices by and large are up. 132 00:08:27.519 --> 00:08:31.360 People also have had pay raises, and companies feel like 133 00:08:31.399 --> 00:08:33.600 they've had to in order to get people to work 134 00:08:33.600 --> 00:08:36.600 for them, give them pay raises, and those pay raises 135 00:08:36.679 --> 00:08:41.120 have been inflationary. They drive up the cost of the employer, 136 00:08:41.799 --> 00:08:45.080 and so the employer raises the price of their products. 137 00:08:45.360 --> 00:08:50.200 So it's a vicious circle. And the latest example of 138 00:08:50.240 --> 00:08:54.080 it was Tuesday, people said, I don't like what's going on. 139 00:08:55.519 --> 00:09:00.639 When you look at the polling about President Trump. Approval 140 00:09:00.679 --> 00:09:04.200 ratings are down into the mid thirties, while on the 141 00:09:04.240 --> 00:09:09.960 economy they're down to like forty percent approve of the economy. 142 00:09:10.039 --> 00:09:12.000 That doctor Donald Trump is doing a good job on 143 00:09:12.039 --> 00:09:17.679 the economy. That's the same as as Joe Biden, and 144 00:09:18.720 --> 00:09:22.279 back when he bailed out of running for a second term, 145 00:09:22.559 --> 00:09:26.399 his approval rating was forty Donald Trump's is forty one 146 00:09:27.279 --> 00:09:30.360 on the economy. So people are looking at going You 147 00:09:30.440 --> 00:09:32.320 said you were going to get you were going to 148 00:09:32.360 --> 00:09:34.399 get prices down, the cost of living was going to 149 00:09:34.399 --> 00:09:38.360 go down, and it hasn't And that I think has 150 00:09:38.399 --> 00:09:43.960 a great deal to do with the election results on Tuesday. 151 00:09:44.399 --> 00:09:46.600 And also they don't know what to do in the 152 00:09:46.639 --> 00:09:50.639 Congress because they don't want to upset the president. But 153 00:09:50.759 --> 00:09:55.440 they're hearing this from their constituents as well. Steph Knight 154 00:09:55.679 --> 00:09:59.879 is a reporter for Axios, and she was asked about 155 00:10:00.120 --> 00:10:03.519 what she is hearing is she wanders in the halls 156 00:10:04.240 --> 00:10:08.960 of the US capital. Have there been any signs of 157 00:10:09.320 --> 00:10:10.840 somebody coming to an agreement? 158 00:10:11.200 --> 00:10:13.039 You know, at the start of the week on Monday, 159 00:10:13.120 --> 00:10:15.759 it seemed that we were moving pretty quickly towards some 160 00:10:15.840 --> 00:10:18.159 kind of a deal. We started getting a framework for 161 00:10:18.279 --> 00:10:21.000 what a deal would look like, what it seemed that 162 00:10:21.080 --> 00:10:24.080 at least a handful of moderate Democrats would be willing 163 00:10:24.120 --> 00:10:26.840 to vote for to open the government and move forward 164 00:10:26.879 --> 00:10:28.279 on some of these other issues. 165 00:10:28.519 --> 00:10:30.159 But then two big moments happen. 166 00:10:30.240 --> 00:10:34.600 Of course, Tuesday night, a Democrats swept in Virginia and 167 00:10:34.639 --> 00:10:38.639 New Jersey. In California, and that's really emboldened parts of 168 00:10:38.679 --> 00:10:42.320 the Democratic Party. To Senator Bernie Sanders point, it's emboldened 169 00:10:42.399 --> 00:10:45.000 many of them to keep going, to not keep yet, 170 00:10:45.039 --> 00:10:47.200 and to not distract from the fact that their party 171 00:10:47.480 --> 00:10:49.519 is really riding a high right now. They want to 172 00:10:49.600 --> 00:10:53.000 keep the focus on them fighting Trump and moving forward. 173 00:10:53.240 --> 00:10:56.759 There are still some Democrats who are willing to work 174 00:10:56.799 --> 00:11:00.320 with Republicans. There are still ongoing conversations happening. Be a 175 00:11:00.399 --> 00:11:04.480 key meeting with Senate Democrats today where we expect the 176 00:11:04.519 --> 00:11:07.639 caucus to really hash out what the path forward is, 177 00:11:08.000 --> 00:11:11.799 how long they want to delay there any decision to 178 00:11:11.919 --> 00:11:14.440 vote to reopen the government. So today is going to 179 00:11:14.440 --> 00:11:16.600 be a key day. The other thing that happened yesterday 180 00:11:16.720 --> 00:11:21.000 was that President Trump blamed Republicans for the shutdown behind 181 00:11:21.000 --> 00:11:23.159 closed doors. He said the shutdown has been worse for 182 00:11:23.240 --> 00:11:28.039 Republicans than Democrats. He also again put pressure on Republicans 183 00:11:28.039 --> 00:11:31.320 to end the filibuster. This has kind of sown tension 184 00:11:31.399 --> 00:11:34.919 within Republicans who felt like they were actually, you know, 185 00:11:35.000 --> 00:11:38.519 doing well when it comes to the shutdown politics. Republicans 186 00:11:38.639 --> 00:11:41.360 were continuing to say that they felt that, you know, 187 00:11:41.519 --> 00:11:44.279 Democrats were at fault for the shutdown, and the American 188 00:11:44.320 --> 00:11:48.639 people were hearing that Trump completely undermined that message, and 189 00:11:48.759 --> 00:11:51.639 that has sewn, you know, some discord within Republicans as well. 190 00:11:52.039 --> 00:11:55.440 So Monday, the Democrats were feeling like, oh boy, we better, 191 00:11:55.960 --> 00:11:59.200 we better give in, looking pretty bad for is Tuesday. 192 00:11:59.240 --> 00:12:03.799 The election gave wind into the sale of the Democrats. 193 00:12:03.840 --> 00:12:07.559 They are feeling bigger and better, stronger from the results 194 00:12:07.639 --> 00:12:13.000 of their clean sweep on Tuesday. The Americans for Limited 195 00:12:13.080 --> 00:12:19.679 Government conservative organization in their newsletter that came out today, 196 00:12:20.159 --> 00:12:24.120 they're talking about around the election time. In twenty twenty four, 197 00:12:24.200 --> 00:12:27.799 Biden's approval rating on the economy was around forty percent. 198 00:12:28.919 --> 00:12:33.879 Democrats fared poorly as swing voters punished Biden, who repla 199 00:12:34.000 --> 00:12:37.759 and then Harris, who replaced Biden on the ballot. Oil 200 00:12:38.080 --> 00:12:44.279 was seventy two dollars. It's now down to sixty. So far, 201 00:12:44.360 --> 00:12:48.279 so good. By using the same metrics, even with inflation 202 00:12:48.440 --> 00:12:52.759 continuing to cool versus income, the president's approval on the 203 00:12:52.799 --> 00:12:58.120 economy today averages forty one percent. Every election is a 204 00:12:58.159 --> 00:13:02.039 referendum on the incumbent, and now the shoe is on 205 00:13:02.120 --> 00:13:05.480 the other foot. With the twenty twenty six congressional mid 206 00:13:05.600 --> 00:13:11.519 terms now one year away. Perception is everything inflation is cooling, 207 00:13:11.600 --> 00:13:18.120 but are American people feeling it? That's from the Americans 208 00:13:18.120 --> 00:13:22.320 for Limited Government. I think their question is a very 209 00:13:22.399 --> 00:13:29.200 very legitimate question. All Right, we have the election reaction 210 00:13:29.360 --> 00:13:33.240 from let's check in Harry Inton always finds the latest 211 00:13:33.279 --> 00:13:37.120 numbers on what's going on out there. Here's Harry On reacting. 212 00:13:37.159 --> 00:13:39.519 Tatoosay, Yeah, I think there are a lot of Republicans 213 00:13:39.559 --> 00:13:42.320 who saw those polls that you know, showed Donald Trump 214 00:13:42.480 --> 00:13:46.360 low nationally and they didn't necessarily believe them. But for Democrats, 215 00:13:46.399 --> 00:13:49.600 those polls are real and they are spectacular. And the 216 00:13:49.639 --> 00:13:51.840 reason I say that is because take a look here, 217 00:13:51.919 --> 00:13:55.159 voted for the Democratic nominee. Among Trump disapprovers, I got 218 00:13:55.200 --> 00:13:58.120 twenty seventeen Trump's first term and twenty twenty five in 219 00:13:58.159 --> 00:14:01.399 New Jersey. In Virginia and seven team Among the Trump disapprovers, 220 00:14:01.399 --> 00:14:04.240 the Democrat nominees got eighty two percent in New Jersey, 221 00:14:04.440 --> 00:14:06.960 eighty seven percent of Virginia. Come over to this side 222 00:14:06.960 --> 00:14:09.960 of the screen. If there is any idea that Republicans 223 00:14:09.960 --> 00:14:12.639 are going to be able to outrun Donald Trump's low 224 00:14:12.879 --> 00:14:15.919 approval ratings, this says, Nah, they're going to be like 225 00:14:15.960 --> 00:14:18.440 and Paula's getting chased down in the African desert by 226 00:14:18.440 --> 00:14:19.080 a big lion. 227 00:14:19.159 --> 00:14:19.519 Look at this. 228 00:14:19.679 --> 00:14:23.320 Ninety three percent of Trump disapprovers voted for the Democrat 229 00:14:23.440 --> 00:14:26.879 nominee in New Jersey and ninety two percent voted for 230 00:14:26.960 --> 00:14:28.919 them in the Great Commonwealth of Virginia. 231 00:14:29.159 --> 00:14:32.080 I get that because people that disapproved of Donald Trump, 232 00:14:32.320 --> 00:14:34.600 we're certainly going to vote for the Democrats to one 233 00:14:34.799 --> 00:14:36.679 in New Jersey and Virginia. 234 00:14:36.919 --> 00:14:39.039 Okay, what does that all mean? Right? I think there 235 00:14:39.080 --> 00:14:41.519 are a lot of Republicans saying, Okay, Donald Trump ain't 236 00:14:41.559 --> 00:14:44.679 that popular, but the Democrats aren't popular either, and those 237 00:14:44.720 --> 00:14:48.000 Democratic low favorite ratings, those will save us. Well, we 238 00:14:48.120 --> 00:14:50.559 had a test of that on Tuesday night. So what 239 00:14:50.600 --> 00:14:54.000 do we see here? Okay, vote for the Democratic nominee, 240 00:14:54.120 --> 00:14:56.799 view neither party favorably. Here's the margin. Look at this 241 00:14:56.879 --> 00:15:00.159 in New Jersey. If you viewed neither party favorably in 242 00:15:00.200 --> 00:15:03.720 New Jersey, Mike, you sure won that vote by sixty 243 00:15:03.879 --> 00:15:07.919 six points. How about in Virginia, Abigail Spamberger won that 244 00:15:08.039 --> 00:15:12.279 vote by fifty six points. It doesn't necessarily matter. It 245 00:15:12.320 --> 00:15:15.360 turns out that the Democrats have viewed that unfavorably because 246 00:15:15.399 --> 00:15:19.000 amongst those who like neither party, the Democrats ran away 247 00:15:19.039 --> 00:15:20.840 with it. You know, I started off with a running 248 00:15:20.879 --> 00:15:24.000 analogy talking about the African desert. These folks are like 249 00:15:24.120 --> 00:15:28.000 Usain Bolt, despite the fact that Donald Trump is despite 250 00:15:28.000 --> 00:15:30.480 the fact that Democrats have viewed unfavorably, Democrats are like 251 00:15:30.519 --> 00:15:32.879 usaying vote because Donald Trump is like rocket fuel, and 252 00:15:32.879 --> 00:15:34.639 they're able to run away from the pack. And I 253 00:15:34.639 --> 00:15:36.480 think you say, boat would leave both of us in 254 00:15:36.519 --> 00:15:36.840 the disk. 255 00:15:36.960 --> 00:15:40.919 So people like me that don't care for Republicans or Democrats, 256 00:15:41.879 --> 00:15:44.879 I think there are a bunch of clowns voted heavily 257 00:15:44.960 --> 00:15:48.799 for the people that won't in Virginia and in New Jersey. 258 00:15:49.399 --> 00:15:54.600 Something to chew one after the Tuesday election, let's talk cairlines, 259 00:15:54.799 --> 00:15:58.639 because if you're flying someplace, there's a little bit of 260 00:15:58.639 --> 00:16:00.200 a roll of the dice that you're going to be 261 00:16:00.240 --> 00:16:05.159 facing starting tomorrow. We're going to find out sometime probably 262 00:16:05.279 --> 00:16:09.240 late this afternoon or this evening which airports are involved. 263 00:16:09.759 --> 00:16:15.480 But you'll hear Sean Duffy, the Transportation Secretary, and the 264 00:16:15.919 --> 00:16:20.799 FAA administrator. They've decided to reduce the number of airplanes 265 00:16:20.840 --> 00:16:24.559 in the sky by saying ten percent of the flights 266 00:16:24.720 --> 00:16:29.240 at forty of the busiest airports are going to be canceled, 267 00:16:29.919 --> 00:16:34.799 So your flight may be one of those. Now, one 268 00:16:34.799 --> 00:16:37.120 of the things that I'm hearing from people that I 269 00:16:37.159 --> 00:16:42.679 know in the aviation industry is what they're targeting, probably 270 00:16:42.799 --> 00:16:46.480 regional airlines. So if you're flying in and again it 271 00:16:46.519 --> 00:16:50.039 may say American Airlines, that may say United Airlines. But 272 00:16:50.080 --> 00:16:56.440 if your ticket or your reservation says operated by and 273 00:16:56.480 --> 00:17:01.320 there's three or four big regional carriers that operate the 274 00:17:01.360 --> 00:17:07.160 flights for United and American and Delta, and they don't 275 00:17:07.240 --> 00:17:11.960 carry a lot of passengers. They fly to smaller communities, 276 00:17:13.359 --> 00:17:17.160 but they take up one space of one airplane in 277 00:17:17.279 --> 00:17:21.000 the aviation sky. So it may be where the ones 278 00:17:21.039 --> 00:17:27.599 that they pick on for cancelations will be regional carriers' 279 00:17:27.920 --> 00:17:30.759 flights will have to wait for the officialdom from them. 280 00:17:31.640 --> 00:17:36.640 Here's Sean Duffy, the Secretary of Transportation. 281 00:17:37.079 --> 00:17:39.319 But our number one priority is to make sure when 282 00:17:39.319 --> 00:17:44.640 you travel, you travel safely. And that's why, as the 283 00:17:44.640 --> 00:17:48.279 Administrator and I have been talking throughout the day, his 284 00:17:48.400 --> 00:17:50.839 team has been working for the last twenty four to 285 00:17:50.960 --> 00:17:55.160 thirty six forty eight hours crunching data. We're noticing that 286 00:17:55.160 --> 00:17:59.960 there's additional pressure that's building in the system. And again, 287 00:18:00.480 --> 00:18:03.319 our priority is to make sure that you're safe, and 288 00:18:03.400 --> 00:18:06.400 so we're going to talk about additional measures that we 289 00:18:06.920 --> 00:18:08.920 are going to take that's going to reduce their risk 290 00:18:08.960 --> 00:18:12.759 profile in the national airspace. And I'm going to turn 291 00:18:12.759 --> 00:18:14.799 it over to the administrator to do that. As he 292 00:18:14.839 --> 00:18:17.680 walks through what that plan is going to look like. 293 00:18:18.359 --> 00:18:22.000 I anticipate there will be additional disruptions, there will be frustration. 294 00:18:22.680 --> 00:18:25.359 We are working with the airlines, they're going to work 295 00:18:25.400 --> 00:18:31.440 with passenger tent reduction in capacity at forty of our locations. 296 00:18:32.480 --> 00:18:34.079 The administrator is going to tell you, the trader is 297 00:18:34.079 --> 00:18:37.799 going to talk about all of the tools we're going 298 00:18:37.839 --> 00:18:40.039 to deploy. One of them, though, is going to be 299 00:18:40.079 --> 00:18:42.799 that there is going to be a ten percent reduction 300 00:18:43.599 --> 00:18:46.359 in capacity at forty of our locations. 301 00:18:46.480 --> 00:18:49.279 Hey, you heard that right, ten percent of the fights 302 00:18:49.319 --> 00:18:53.599 at forty of the busiest airports in the country. Like 303 00:18:53.640 --> 00:18:57.359 you said, the disruption is going to get worse. Here's 304 00:18:58.480 --> 00:19:00.720 Brendon Bedford, who's the FAA administrator. 305 00:19:00.799 --> 00:19:03.119 There's no perfect science here, so it's really trying to 306 00:19:03.160 --> 00:19:06.720 look at where the potential pressure points are building, what 307 00:19:06.759 --> 00:19:09.640 we're seeing in terms of safety disclosure reporting from our 308 00:19:09.640 --> 00:19:13.640 commercial air transport pilots that's informing us, and then as 309 00:19:13.680 --> 00:19:17.799 we get into the granular details on these forty individual markets, 310 00:19:18.160 --> 00:19:20.759 we felt like this was the appropriate next step. 311 00:19:21.240 --> 00:19:24.000 Again, I refer back to the lady I know whose 312 00:19:24.039 --> 00:19:26.279 grand theory is is that they're going to make it 313 00:19:26.400 --> 00:19:29.160 very uncomfortable and then the White House will come in 314 00:19:29.240 --> 00:19:34.160 and save the day by negotiating some sort of partial 315 00:19:36.720 --> 00:19:42.279 subsidy for people on Obamacare. Peter Gottz is a former 316 00:19:42.400 --> 00:19:48.079 NTSB chairman and his whole world is about safety. 317 00:19:48.079 --> 00:19:52.119 He's dead right unfortunately. I mean, this is chaos out there, 318 00:19:52.400 --> 00:19:56.119 and I think Secretary Duffy, you know, he's a good guy, 319 00:19:56.640 --> 00:19:59.680 but he's not an aviation guy. His service in the 320 00:19:59.720 --> 00:20:03.319 con was not on the Aviation Committee. He's been doing 321 00:20:03.359 --> 00:20:08.400 the best he can, but there's a profound mistrust on 322 00:20:08.480 --> 00:20:11.920 the part of some of the Democratic negotiators that they 323 00:20:11.960 --> 00:20:14.880 could cut a deal with John Thune and the White 324 00:20:14.920 --> 00:20:18.440 House wouldn't back it up. So they want somebody from 325 00:20:18.440 --> 00:20:21.240 the White House to commit to any kind of deal 326 00:20:21.319 --> 00:20:24.440 going forward. And that's just not there yet. I would 327 00:20:24.519 --> 00:20:29.279 say he's learning on the job. He's getting reports from pilots. 328 00:20:29.720 --> 00:20:33.599 The pilots are saying that there are more and more 329 00:20:34.839 --> 00:20:40.559 indications that the system is beyond you safe, that it 330 00:20:40.599 --> 00:20:45.640 is stretching, and they the pilots call in their reports 331 00:20:45.720 --> 00:20:48.759 after their flights. He has to make a decision to 332 00:20:48.839 --> 00:20:51.519 back those down, to back up if he has an 333 00:20:51.559 --> 00:20:55.359 accident in an area where the pilot has warned, where 334 00:20:55.400 --> 00:20:59.880 pilots have warned that this has been an unsafe situation developing, 335 00:21:00.200 --> 00:21:03.200 it would be devastating. The entire system would have to 336 00:21:03.240 --> 00:21:06.079 shut down. So it's a very delicate situation. 337 00:21:06.279 --> 00:21:06.440 Now. 338 00:21:06.960 --> 00:21:10.960 It raises the question of privatization of the airspace. This 339 00:21:11.000 --> 00:21:16.240 has long been a goal of the conservative Republican side. 340 00:21:16.359 --> 00:21:20.640 They think the airspace should be privatized, should be run 341 00:21:20.759 --> 00:21:25.640 as a private entity with some government input. The pilots 342 00:21:25.880 --> 00:21:29.519 and the air traffic controllers have opposed that. This is 343 00:21:29.640 --> 00:21:33.200 underscoring that debate, and I think we'll see it come 344 00:21:33.279 --> 00:21:34.720 up again in the future. 345 00:21:34.920 --> 00:21:37.799 Well, Peter Gtz is right. The whole thing about privatizing 346 00:21:38.640 --> 00:21:41.759 the air traffic control system is being fought by the 347 00:21:41.960 --> 00:21:47.720 Air Traffic Control Union. It's being fought by a lot 348 00:21:47.799 --> 00:21:52.519 of people that are commercial airline pilots. The general aviation 349 00:21:52.640 --> 00:21:57.079 pilots don't want that because a private system would require 350 00:21:57.119 --> 00:21:59.279 that if you want to fly, you've got to pay 351 00:21:59.319 --> 00:22:01.680 a fee before you you can take off, or it 352 00:22:01.720 --> 00:22:04.799 would also encourage people not to file flight plans, which 353 00:22:04.839 --> 00:22:09.039 would make more flights, make it more danger especially if 354 00:22:09.039 --> 00:22:13.839 there's an emergency. They do have a private air traffic 355 00:22:13.880 --> 00:22:18.960 control system in Canada, and it works. It's very it 356 00:22:19.000 --> 00:22:22.440 works very well, it's very professional, but they don't have 357 00:22:22.680 --> 00:22:26.119 anywhere near the air traffic that we have here in 358 00:22:26.160 --> 00:22:31.200 the United States. So we wait to see what's going 359 00:22:31.240 --> 00:22:33.720 to happen on how many of the Even if you 360 00:22:33.759 --> 00:22:37.680 don't live in an area where there are the forty 361 00:22:37.720 --> 00:22:40.480 airports that they're going to select, if you want to 362 00:22:40.480 --> 00:22:43.160 take a flight, are you going to fly from a 363 00:22:43.240 --> 00:22:48.079 smaller medium sized airport to another smaller medium sized airport, 364 00:22:48.599 --> 00:22:50.480 or are you're going to be flying into one of 365 00:22:50.480 --> 00:22:53.720 the big airports where there are going to be restrictions. 366 00:22:53.799 --> 00:22:56.920 So we still are waiting to see what happens. But again, 367 00:22:56.960 --> 00:23:03.200 this all starts Friday eight We're recording this on Thursday, 368 00:23:03.279 --> 00:23:07.519 the sixth. This starts Friday the seventh, So if you 369 00:23:07.680 --> 00:23:12.039 have a ticket, be prepared now. Ten percent. If you 370 00:23:12.119 --> 00:23:15.319 want to do the math on this, there's about fifty 371 00:23:15.400 --> 00:23:19.680 thousand flights a day in the United States. Ten percent 372 00:23:19.759 --> 00:23:26.119 means five thousand flights could effectively be canceled. Is that 373 00:23:26.319 --> 00:23:29.880 enough to reduce the pressure on the air traffic system. 374 00:23:30.279 --> 00:23:33.680 I don't know. But that also means that if you 375 00:23:33.759 --> 00:23:37.680 have a flight schedule for Tomorrow or Saturday or Sunday, 376 00:23:37.759 --> 00:23:40.119 if ten percent are going to be canceled, that means 377 00:23:40.160 --> 00:23:42.680 you have a ninety percent chance that your flight is 378 00:23:42.720 --> 00:23:45.519 going to go. I don't know if it'll be on time, 379 00:23:46.440 --> 00:23:48.440 but a ninety percent chance that it is going to 380 00:23:48.519 --> 00:23:52.279 actually get from point A to point B. Still a 381 00:23:52.319 --> 00:23:56.599 lot of buzzs flying around today after the Supreme Court 382 00:23:57.599 --> 00:24:01.000 did a hearing yesterday on the tariffs. Whether the President 383 00:24:01.160 --> 00:24:06.200 has not this president just presidents have the authority to 384 00:24:07.000 --> 00:24:11.480 lay tariffs on foreign countries. Here are some of the 385 00:24:11.519 --> 00:24:15.799 comments from justices. The first voice you hear is Chief 386 00:24:15.960 --> 00:24:22.160 Justice Roberts, the second voice you hear is Amy Coney Barrett, 387 00:24:22.799 --> 00:24:25.880 and the third voice is a Justice Gorsage. 388 00:24:27.200 --> 00:24:27.720 Tariffs. 389 00:24:28.119 --> 00:24:33.319 If a tariff is imposed on either automobiles, who pays them? 390 00:24:33.599 --> 00:24:34.160 Is it your. 391 00:24:34.079 --> 00:24:38.400 Contention that every country needed to be tariff because of 392 00:24:38.559 --> 00:24:43.799 threats to the defense and industrial base? I mean it Spain, France, 393 00:24:43.839 --> 00:24:45.559 I mean I could see it with some countries. 394 00:24:45.839 --> 00:24:49.599 Could the president impose a fifty percent tariff on gas 395 00:24:49.640 --> 00:24:53.400 powered chorus and auto parts to deal with the unusual 396 00:24:53.440 --> 00:24:57.039 and extraordinary threat from abroad of climate change? 397 00:24:57.200 --> 00:24:59.960 The last one, Justice Gorsage, he was making the point, 398 00:25:00.519 --> 00:25:02.720 if there is a president, and it would have been 399 00:25:02.839 --> 00:25:06.279 something I could imagine Joe Biden would have done. If 400 00:25:06.319 --> 00:25:10.160 a president can issue tariffs for whatever he or she thinks, 401 00:25:11.359 --> 00:25:17.359