Speaker 1: And you are alive, my friend. Welcome to wager Talk Today,
the gold standard of sports betting shows, where we talk
the talk and walk the walk. It's Wednesday. We're gonna
hit all the major sports here. Ralph Michaels is gonna
join us. For college basketball. We're gonna talk South Dakota
and Creighton, and also a surprise impromptu college basketball game
where he's gonna break down that we just discovered right
before we went live. Here. We're gonna tak Ohio State
Purdue college football. That game is actually ten minutes away
from where I live. I may go watch that one.
NFL Week ten Trends and angles, Ross is gonna break
down Spurs and Lakers, Sarahcuse and Miami Florida, and another
segment of this line makes no sense. Mid Week means momentum.
That's what we're building today. Let's go with a Someone
asked if we can do a little Steam report, So yeah, absolutely,
we can do a little mini Steam report and show you.
Speaker 2: Where the money's coming in. We'll start in the NBA.
Speaker 1: We have a little bit of money coming in on
Cleveland that started at nine and a half. That's a
to ten. There's ten and a half's out there as well.
Cleveland at home against Philadelphia. A little bit of money's
coming on Detroit. That's up to nine and a half.
There's a ten that's popping up at Pinnacle. Money is
coming in on Boston minus eleven fading the Wizards makes sense.
Speaker 2: New York.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna break down this Timberwolves in Knicks game. This
line is moving based on news coming out about Anthony Edwards.
He's been upgraded questionable and he was in practice yesterday.
So Nicks opened minus five. Minus threes are popping up.
That tells us that Anthony Edwards is probably playing today,
and we got money coming in on Denver. Minus eight
was opening line. That is up to minus nine and
a half. And then when we go to college basketball,
I was joking that a lot of money has come
in on Georgia. They opened to minus twenty nine and
a half. That is now up to minus thirty four
against Maryland East Shore and Ralph says, oh, that's like
one of my free plays. So and then he proceeds
to tell me some tidbits about Maryland East Shore. So
I don't see any real steam coming in on the
football games tonight. I don't really see anything on the
Thursday night game. So let's just bring in Ralph. All right, Ralph,
I said, Georgia and Maryland e Shore and you said,
oh yeah, I've got I got information on that one.
Speaker 2: All right, give it to us. You clearly moved the line.
Speaker 1: This is a five point line move. We got Georgia,
we got Maryland Shore. What do you know about this game?
Speaker 3: Well, you look at that game and you know I, lady,
that I released it as a free play today, Andy
a twenty nine and a half and you said, that
is up to what now.
Speaker 4: Thirty four and a half?
Speaker 2: Thirty four, thirty four and a half's popping.
Speaker 3: Up, So at that I'm gonna put a note in
my free play. I would not play it with a
five point line move. But again, I don't know the
lines moving when I post that play in the morning.
But you look at Georgia, they're off a win against
Bellermind where they won one hundred and four to fifty nine.
But I was actually impressed with Maryland Eastern Shore, and
at least when he looked at the score, they were
a twenty eight and a half or twenty nine point
favorite at Georgia Tech They led that game with five
minutes to go.
Speaker 4: And they lost by four in overtime. But it was
a situation where Georgia Tech played poorly.
Speaker 3: The Hawks did not play well. Georgia Tech nine of
eighteen from free throws, they were five of twenty six
from three pointers. So merin Eastern Shore. Yes, they covered
by twenty four and a half points, and yes they're
staying in the state of Georgia and just have to
play a couple miles down the road. But I look
at this Georgia team and they are a team that's
very fast tempo. Last year they were quick Temple with
Mike White. This season they're number two as far as possessions. Again,
we only played one game, so I understand it's early,
but game number two teams college basketball teams, and game
number two off a home win by twenty one points
against the spread since two thousand and sixty three percent
as a double digit favorite. Georgia played thirteen players yesterday
to go and no one played more than twenty four minutes.
Now they face a team that played an overtime game.
Georgia last year thirteen and six against the spread at
home and nine and two is a home favorite of
minus four or more. Only seven teams have been a
double digit favored in game one and went into overtime.
Those teams are one in six against the spread and
zero to three failing to cover as a dog of
five or more. I thought some people might bettern Maryland
Eastern Shore early.
Speaker 4: Not the case.
Speaker 3: I think the line move is completely right. Georgia blows
them out again. Ten players are gonna play. We're gonna
have six or seven players in double digits for Georgia.
Speaker 4: They pull away and win that game late.
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it. I just was I
was not prepared for a Maryland East Shore breakdown. But
that is why Ralph is the absolute best. SF Niner
wants to know where the pen is? Ralph? Where's where Ralph?
Where's the pen? You showed it earlier, Let's see it
there it is. When the pen is out, it's time
to make some money. All right, Let's let's break down
another game. Let's talk South Dakota and Creighton College basketball.
Speaker 2: Here we go, another big, big.
Speaker 1: Favorite, Creyton minus twenty nine and a half over under
one sixty eight and a half. How do you break
this game down?
Speaker 3: Well, we have a unique dynamic Andy. We have a
South Dakota team that's already a play the game against
a Creighton team that's playing their first game of the season.
And when a team like South Dakota has a game
under their belt and now they're a dog of six
or more, they've gone thirty nine and twenty two sixty
four percent. Not a huge sample size, but if they're
off a loss like the Coyotes are, those teams have
gone twenty five and seven seventy eight percent against the
spread since twenty eighteen, and only four of lost hosted
Hull home they've gone four and oh against the spread.
Those numbers also apply to Tartanite against LSU South Dakota
under Eric Peterson in his fourth season, they sped up
Temple year two.
Speaker 4: Last year.
Speaker 3: In year three, South Dakota was number two in tempo
in the country. They're not the one game this year
I loot Ouf Dakota. They went nineteen and fourteen. They
had a winning record in the Summit Content Conference. They
were tuned six of thirteen players. That doesn't sound like much,
but in a mid major like them that had a
winning record, that is actually a very positive spot.
Speaker 4: You look at Creighton. Losing players is one thing.
Speaker 3: Losing a Biggieest Defensive Player of the Year in Ryan Cackileburn,
who's also playing now for the Hornets in the NBA,
is a bigger loss. They also lost Ashworth and Neil.
They have a lot to recover from. Creighton last year
started oh and three against the spread and they were
only two and seven against the spread their first nine games.
Creighton last year zero to three against the spread as
a favorite of twenty one or more. And let's remember
this is only their first game. It it does not do
anything for him. Yes, to win the game, but will
they really look to cover when their next game is
playing Gonzaga on the road. I don't think so. I
think they bring in some more depth. They empty their
bench again. South Dakota keeps firing, keeps firing up threes,
keeps the game within the number.
Speaker 4: I like South Dakota. This was actually on.
Speaker 3: My list to be a client release today. In college basketball,
I am conservative to start the year. I did only
load one to four percent in college hoops. It is
my first four percent best bet winner and college hoops
two and oh.
Speaker 4: The first two nights in basketball.
Speaker 1: Nice starts the season Ralph and Yeah, those big numbers early, man,
that's that's tough for a team to cover that huge
number when you first getting started often the season. So
we're gonna move to college football. This Ohio State Perdue
game that's right up the road from where I live.
I've got a strong opinion on this game. I'm interested
what your take is. We got minus twenty nine.
Speaker 2: Why we keep giving.
Speaker 1: You the minus twenty nine s and the minus twenty
nine and a half today. That's three of them we've
talked about across two sports. You got an over under
of forty eight. Obviously, this Ohio State team is way
better than Perdue.
Speaker 2: But can they cover this? How do you break this
game down?
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're gonna cover this.
Speaker 3: There's no way in hell I'm betting against Ohio State,
and I don't think I've ever said that for a
college football team early in November.
Speaker 4: You want to talk about an awesome defense.
Speaker 3: Yes, they gave a Penn They gave up fourteen points
to Penn State in the first half, but one was
a fluke and one was a big play and then
they got situated. What happened They shut them out the
rest of the game. They are number one in college
football on defense, holding opponents to one hundred and sixty
two yards per game under their average.
Speaker 4: They have called six opponents to a season low.
Speaker 3: Well, let's see Purdue season low two hundred and seventy
six yards.
Speaker 4: They're gonna hold them under that.
Speaker 3: The offense has had a season best five out of
six times. We know Julian's saying has been remarkable, a
twenty three to three ratio. Looking to become the first
ever starter quarterback that qualifies with over eighty percent completions.
The rush attack got underway against Penn State over five
point zero yards per carry. The defense six four, four
three and four sacks the last couple of weeks. That's
without blitzing. Purdue tried to run the ball the last
few weeks. They had about four hundred yards rushing and
about five point h yards per carry. But does Buckey's
rush defense along eighty two yards per carry and two
point six points couple TNA stats. Purdue is off their
seventh loss. If you watch my TNA bet on a videos,
you know that teams are deflated after losing a seventh
game because they're no longer Bowl eligible. So when a
team is a home dog of eight or more awful loss,
which was their seventh loss of the season, They've only
gone thirty six and fifty three forty percent. Lank twenty
eight and a half or more is a big deal,
but eight p top four teams from game seven on
are fifty eight percent against the spread, and conference away
favors of twenty one or more with a total under
forty nine have gone fifty nine percent against the spread
and sixty seven percent from game number seven on. One
more thing I want to remind people, I actually prefer
laying big point spreads on the road versus ad home.
The Buckeys dress about one hundred and twenty players, and
when you're in a blowout, you are playing not only
your second string, your third string, your fourth string. When
you go on the road in a conference game, you
are limited to seventy two or seventy five players, So
that is basically.
Speaker 4: Your first two strings, some of your third string, and
your special teams players.
Speaker 3: So even if you're blowing on the opponent in the
second half, like Ohio State will, your third string is
playing against their second string. A big edge for a
team like Ohio State.
Speaker 4: I'm gonna call this game forty two to three.
Speaker 3: Buckeys win and cover again only failed to cover one
game on the year.
Speaker 4: They cover another one Saturday.
Speaker 2: I agree on.
Speaker 1: I don't see how Purdue. Yeah, I don't see how
Purdue scores their team total seven and a half. I'm
not taking the over on that team.
Speaker 2: I would be Yeah.
Speaker 4: I even saw a nine and a half at DraftKings.
I thought about betting it.
Speaker 3: I was pissed last week because on the blitz with
Brian and Ross, I said, oh, I like Ohio State.
Penn State team total underlear in the first half, so
Penn scores the first time down. I said, that was
a quick bet, and then what do they do. They're
pissed off and they shut them off the rest of
the game.
Speaker 4: So it is what it is.
Speaker 3: But don't let one bad performance change you, because it
truly wasn't a bad performance for Ohio State. It was
just one guy broke a big play and then they
had a short field and the other That is not
a defense that's getting walked over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if you guys are on DraftKings, we've been using
the AL team total under for Ohio State opponents as
a really good parlay piece. You can get Purdue at
eleven and a half at like minus three hundred and
throw it in apart. I use it as a parlay
piece or something. But yeah, making money again, fading the
Ohio State opponents is definitely a really, really good good
way to to to add some profits to the bank. Well,
all right, Ralph, before you let you go, let's go
over some quick week ten trends and angles. We're looking
at bad teams as a favorite of three or more
and good teams as.
Speaker 2: A dog of three or more.
Speaker 1: Pretty good stats here to back up some of these trends,
and we got a couple of teams that this does
actually affect this week. Walk us through this.
Speaker 3: One thing I want to qualify, Andy, is this is
from game nine on. So if the team is two
and one after two games, that doesn't mean they're a
good team. But when you're a sixty percent or better
from game number nine and later, or you're forty percent
or less from game number nine or under, it's fair
to say you're a you're a poor performing team, or
you're a good team.
Speaker 4: So on the left hand side.
Speaker 3: Of the chart you see in the gray these are
teams that have a win percentage of forty percent or
less and are a favorite of three.
Speaker 4: Or more this week.
Speaker 3: Take a look at those home numbers, Andy, when you're
at home and you're a favorite, and you're a bad team,
a lot of red and since twenty fifteen, those teams
are only forty five percent. But look at teams that
are away favorites. Those teams have gone sixty nine percent.
And if you take out game nine later, remember this
from week eleven on, take a look at all those
positive records, that number will be about seventy five percent
if we look at teams from game number eleven and one,
And that to me makes sense because if you're a
home favorite of three, you basically are basically pick them
against this opponent. If you aren't a way favorite of three,
you add in the home home edge, and this team
is actually five or six points better than the situation.
So the home road dichotomy, and that makes complete sense.
To the right hand chart, let's look at good teams.
Those were the win percentage of sixty percent or higher
from game number nine and later. Well, look at the
home teams again, Andy, only forty five percent against the
spread since twenty fifteen.
Speaker 4: And those away teams not quite as good.
Speaker 3: But if you're an away dog of three or more
and you've won sixty percent of your games, you've gone
sixty one and forty seven fifty seven percent against the spread.
There is one team that applies to the dog roll,
that's the forty nine ers. There is one team that
applies to the away favorites role, and that's the Baltimore Ravens.
And two teams are close. The Texans and the Browns
currently aren't at that minus three level, but again they
could get there by Sunday. So this chart applies to
San fran and Baltimore, and may apply to Houston and Cleveland.
But it's so nice when you do a chart like
this and it makes sense and you have these home
road dichotomies that can really show your profit.
Speaker 4: The last quarter of the NFL season.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's really good stuff and it does make sense
the math kind of like you said when you we're
getting those three points from being home and absolutely one
makes sense.
Speaker 2: So, Ralph, you've got.
Speaker 1: Off to a good start in college basketball. Tell everyone
what we have up on this Wednesday.
Speaker 4: Two and oh start college hoops.
Speaker 3: I have one college basketball four percent, my first of
the season loaded tonight, and college football just continues to shine.
Five percent on Saturday, my college basketball, my college football
five percent now eleven and two eighty five percent.
Speaker 4: I will have another one this week.
Speaker 3: And last year I trailed only one person, It's the
guy who follows me on the show Ross the Boston
College Football. But currently the last thirty days, I'm on
a fourteen and six run and number one at wager
Talk in college football. Weekend Warrior, the absolute way to
go forty nine bucks. My five percent college football play
will be thirty five dollars by itself. Why not get
the rest of my Saturday college football, all of my
Sunday NFL and a Monday night NFL play if I
have it Weekend Warrior for me, you Ross or anyone
at wager Talk.
Speaker 1: Ralph Michael's great stuff, great segment today, Ralph the pen,
the Maryland e Shore, everything, great job, Ralph Michael's everyone
really really cooking in college football. And yes that we
can Warrior. Probably the best way to go forty nine dollars,
gets Saturday, gets Sunday, gets Monday. And Ralph just told
you it's going to have that five percent play that
is up. This is keep telling everyone. This was like,
we're gonna run this one week and then it's been
like one of the most popular specials that we have.
So let's just keep ring here.
Speaker 3: There are times we have to listen Andy that the
overwhelming response after week one, the bigger response in week two.
It's growing every year. I don't think we could take
it away the rest of the year. We may have
a boycott on our hands.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, thank you very much, Ralph. We can warrior for
forty nine dollars. Thank you very much to Ralph. All Right, Chris,
let's do the let's do it. Let's let's talk to
the NFL trades. Let's talk some NFL trades here. We
had a slew of them yesterday, so let's go through
and let me know in the chat what you guys
liked if was there a trade you guys didn't like,
Was there a trade you did like. The biggest splash was,
obviously the Colts gets Sawt Gardner, the Jets get two
first round picks, and Mitchell. I'm not sure why Mitchell wasn't.
There's probably something to do with the salary, but I
know he was in the doghouse here in Indianapolis when
he dropped the ball going into the end zone.
Speaker 2: Pretty expensive, but.
Speaker 1: As a Colts fan, I don't know how I feel
about it.
Speaker 2: I don't know how I feel about it. That's really expensive.
Speaker 1: But they obviously really really like this team, and I
think they got a real chance in the AFC. I
wouldn't call the Bills or Chiefs very dominant this year,
So you know, listen, this is a Colts team that
took a player out of New York and he is flourishing.
That's Daniel Jones. So I guess they're the saying let's
try and do it again. Cowboys get Quentin Williams, Jets
get twenty twenty six second twenty twenty seven first round picks.
Jaguars went out and got Jacoby Myers. We've got Travis
Hunter on IR. I'm not sure how bad that injury is,
but the Jags obviously think they can do some damage
going and trading for a wider seat. Eagle's going to
try to resurrect JayR Alexander, who's been dealing with a
lot of injuries recently. So Ravens gave up on JayR
and the Eagles go get him. Eagles also go get
Jalen Phillips Dolphins get a third round pick and a
Seahawks go and get Rashid Shaheed. So all these guys
are or all these teams are saying, hey, we think
we can make some noise in the playoffs. So I
would have to say, I love that Rashid Shaheed trade
for Seattle. Add another wide receiver alongside JSN, and that
offense is now really really dynamic. So uh PZ doesn't
Peze doesn't like the sauce.
Speaker 2: I'll bark no bite.
Speaker 1: Let's see, Andrew, the Colts are last year's Vikings, nothing more. Wow.
Shots fired at the Indianapolis Colts. Man, I don't know.
It didn't affect anything in the markets, by the way,
went and looked at the future. Didn't affect anything nothing.
Colts still ten to one to win the Super Bowl.
What are the Jags? You gotta scroll down to Jag
Jag seventy to one to win the Super Bowl. Seahawks
twelve to one to win the Super Bowl. So after
all that, it really didn't affect anything in the markets.
So we'll see how these trades work out. So fortune
says John Lynch, and the Niners standing path. They're not
reaching and sacrificing the future.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.
Speaker 1: I'm with you this this Colt's trade, that is a
lot to give up. And you gotta figure these picks
are probably gonna be in the twenties if the Colts,
you know, continue their success. So they're not like amazing
first round picks, but you know, it could be an
offensive lineman, defensive lineman, secondary someone, a receiver, someone that
comes in and delivers. Of course, you got to nail
those picks. And let's be honest, the Jets haven't exactly
been nailing these these draft picks. So all right, let's
bring in Ross the boss, and we got to talk
some NBA, we had to talk some college football. Then
we got to do this line. It makes no sense. Ross,
Happy Wednesday? Are you good?
Speaker 4: How are you? And I agree with you.
Speaker 5: I think the best trade that was made was by
Seattle bringing in another quality wide receiver. You know, the
Jets trade. I think they gave up too much to
getas Gardner. And in terms of Indianapolis, buyer beware because
Daniel Jones is coming off. You said he's resurrected in Indy,
and you would be correct if you look at his
overall numbers, but last week he reverted back to old
form to our lost fumbles and two interceptions in their loss.
Speaker 1: So we'll see as a Colts fantom nervous that that
terribied me.
Speaker 5: I mean, look, I'm a Bills fan and they didn't
do anything at the trade deadline, and that's shocking to me,
you know, so.
Speaker 1: Especially seeing that Shaheed was available for just a couple
of late round picks, you would think Buffalo would have
tried to bolster that wide receiving corps. I mean, you
would think so.
Speaker 5: And he was, you know, between him and Chris 'labe.
Those were the rumors going around locally here that that's
who they were after. But you know, can't question Brandon Bean.
He's done a hell of a job as a general
manager and he must have had his reasons. Maybe the
asking price was too high and they don't have a
lot of sailor cap room either.
Speaker 1: Andy interesting, you like you, I love your team. Your
team's getting healthy at the right time. You got faith
in them.
Speaker 5: Well, I mean look healthy at the right time. I'm
not so sure. The defensive line is banged up. Michael
Hoyt was terrific in two games that he played, and
he tours Achilles last week and out for the year.
And then at Oliver, yes, at Oliver, you know, with
the torn bicep, he might not be back to the playoffs,
if at all. So on the defensive line, they're very
inexperienced and very shallow. That's concerns me, you know, but
they're pretty good at linebacker. Maxwell Harrison, the first round
pick out of Kentucky, finally came back off for injury
two weeks ago, and he's playing awfully. He's played awfully
well in the limited time he's played in the first
two games.
Speaker 1: I say, our good friend Rob has jokes Colts aren't
going to the Super Bowl. Indiana Jones will be the
temple of doom.
Speaker 3: I don't.
Speaker 1: Shout out, shout out to Rob. All right, let's talk.
Speaker 2: Let's talk a little NBA here.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Spurs and the Lakers.
Speaker 2: Boy.
Speaker 1: This Spurs team, man, boy, they had a lot of
fun to watch. Wenby is just musty TV. And then
you got the Lakers. Austin Reeves has just turned into
I don't know, he's not a superstar yet, but boy,
he keeps playing like this, he's gonna be looking real good.
I love that La Ravia guy that the Lakers have
off the bench. This is gonna be a good game.
I'm staying up to watch this one. Lakers minus two
and a half over under a two to twenty seven
and a half. Russ. What's your breakdown on this game?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm finding two twenty eight's out there too, so
I'm gonna look at the total here. Look San Antonio
off to a great start five and one, coming off
their first loss of the season, poor defensive effort, which
was rare in their first six games. In their previous game,
look for them to bounce back on that side of
the floor tonight. This is a team that's number four
in scoring defense in the NBA, giving up just one
hundred and eight points per game, number two in defensive efficiency.
They've allowed one hundred and seven points a fewer and
four of six games this year, they're number twenty six
in three point attempts and they only make ten per game,
So this isn't a team that lights it up from
beyond the arc. And also four and one to the
under this year when the total is two thirty two
and a half or less, which it is tonight. Offensively,
this team doesn't get to the free throw line. Well,
they do get to the free throw line a lot,
excuse me, but they're not very good when they get there.
They're only seventy three point eight percent from the free
throw line, which is terrible by NBA standards. And then
you look at the pace of both of these teams
and how they play. San Antonio number twenty six in
pace and the LA Lakers number twenty three. So neither
one of these teams likes to get up and down
the floor and they play at a slower tempo by
NBA standards, and it shows in their field goal attempts. Now,
the Lakers field goal attempts per game is eighty two.
That's the last in the league. But that's a bit
deceiving because they're shooting fifty two percent from the floor. However,
that's still a low number. In San Antonio is just
eighty five per game. It's number twenty seven in the league.
And when it comes to free throws allowed, San Antonio
is number six and the Lakers are number seven, and
the least amount of free throws allowed per game this year.
I'm gonna go San Antonio in the Lakers under to
twenty eight.
Speaker 2: All right, under twenty eight. I like it. I like,
have you watched much of Wimby?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 5: I did some pieces. You know, I really haven't sat
down and watched san Antonio for an entire game. Uh,
you know, and uh, but you know I saw him
a lot last year. To get the kid is terrific,
no doubt about it. He's uh, he's a rare talent
with size and everything he could do athleticism.
Speaker 1: That team's really good. I like that Spurs team a lot.
They're they're they're real dangerous if they they mature. So
all right, let's talk a little Syracuse and myami. We
got Miami minus twenty eight and a half over under
forty five and a half. So the books are telling
us this is a Syracuse team that probably is not
going to score a whole lot. How do you break
this one down?
Speaker 5: Yeah? I agree with that assessment. And this isn't a
game I'm going to use on my premium card, folks,
I'll say that right up front. But being close to
the Syracuse situation, I'm fully aware of what's going on there,
and I think I got a pretty good handle on
this game. Look, Syracuse started a year three and one.
In their fourth game, they upset Clemson at Clemson and
Steve Angeli went down in the second half of that
game with a season ending injury. Steve Angelly, by the way,
was leading the nation and passing at that time. Incomes
back up Ricky Collins, a transfer from LSU, and he
starts the next four games, and he was brutal, brutal
to the point where last week they opted to go
with two freshman quarterbacks and they went to combine six
and six for twenty one twenty eight point six percent
passing last week. Syracuse since that Clemson game, has gone
zero to five, and during his five game losing streak,
Andy goes hand in hand to what you just said
at the top here. Syracuse has only averaged twelve points
per game, two hundred and eighty eight points, six yards
per contest, and eleven turnovers during this five eleven turnovers
committed during this five game losing streak, and they reached
a low point last week in a twenty seven ten
home loss to North Carolina. That's a North Carolina team
that had no wins against FBS opponents this year, if
I remember right, maybe one in non conference play. I
know they were winless in the ACC and they showed
no signs of life offensively throughout this season. But last Friday,
the Tarer Heels were able to put up four hundred
and twenty five yards against Syracuse and hold the Orange
to one forty seven. So they were not only lose
that game in a game that was pretty much a
pick A matchup, but they were all gained in that
game by over two hundred yards and dominated. Miami is
going to be in a sour mood. Andy coming up
that twenty six to twenty overtime upset loss at SMU
last week. Since twenty twenty four, Miami three games went
coming off with loss. They've scored forty one points or
more in each of those contests, and I think they
can approach that number here based on everything I just said.
And also since twenty twenty three, the Hurricanes have been
a favorite of twenty three to thirty one three separate times.
They went three and zero straight up in ats. In
those games, won by thirty two point seven points per
game and allowed to combine twenty eight points. Not good
news for Syracuse with their offensive struggle. And lastly, and
this is the real kicker, here. This is a Miami
team that's going to be playing with big time revenge,
and if they could rub it in against Syracuse and
blow them out, they're going to take the opportunity to
do so. And right now they're in desperate need of
style points. Last year, in the regular season finale at Syracuse,
they went up in a game twenty one to nothing
in the first half, ended up blowing the game, losing
forty two to thirty eight, and ultimately that loss cost
him a spot in the college football playoffs. Give me
Miami here minus twenty eight and a half over Syracuse.
Speaker 1: All right, Ross, expecting a blowout in Miami versus Syracuse, Ross,
We're gonna do This line makes no sense. But first off,
tell everyone what you have up But wait you.
Speaker 5: Talk yeah again, I don't have anything up right now.
I will have three to five plays on Saturday in
college football, including the five percent best bet by the
Way seven and two at five percent best bets in
college football this year twenty six and fourteen on the
season in college football sixty five percent, number one win
percentage number one and return on investment and number two
in units earned and college football folks since September of
twenty twenty three, up one hundred and twenty one units
in my MBA, which I will have an NBA pick
or picks up within the next hour MBA six and
two start to the season and dating back to last
year twenty and seven run in the NBA.
Speaker 1: Nice. Nice, well done, well done in NBA college football.
That's impressive. Plus one hundred and twenty one point seven
units since twenty twenty three. Excellent job. All right, let's
go over this line makes no sense. You've been lights
out with these one of my favorite segments of the week.
Speaker 2: Which line makes no sense?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I was really hard pressed to come up with something,
I'll be honest with you, Andy, But the one that
probably sticks out the most. You have number eight BYU
nine to zero at number nine Texas Tech eight and one.
Texas Tech right now is a ten point favorite.
Speaker 4: Wow.
Speaker 5: This jumped right out at me. You've got a lower ranked,
one loss team in Texas Tech as a double digit
favorite versus an undefeated, higher ranked team in BYU. And BYU.
By the way, they're coming off a bye week where
Texas Tech played last week, so even more puzzling. This
Tech Tech would be a three to four point favorite
based on the odds makers current line at BYU as
a lower ranked team as a one loss team against
an undefeated foe, which probably speaks a lot to strength
to schedule to this point. And look, if it looks
too good in sports betting, more times than not, it
is and this seems to be a textbook example of such.
I'm just going to say, buy er, beware of taking
the undefinited double digit dog in this spot. It's it
looks very inviting and enticing, but look a little deeper
into the numbers before you make a play on this game.
Speaker 1: All right, being careful with that, b y U Texas Tech. Ross,
thank you so much for joining us every week. Ross Benjamin,
absolutely crushing college football. Congratulations, man, that is that is
a hell of a hell of a run you're on,
so Ross the boss Benjamin bringing the heat every single Wednesday.
Can't wait to see you next week. Ross, have a
great week, brother.
Speaker 5: Yeah, thank you for having me and you as well.
Speaker 1: Andy. All Right, Ross Benjamin. First off, guys, thank you
for getting the five dollars NBA play. We hit it yesterday.
Wasn't easy, it wasn't dominant, but we get there. We
had Jalen Suggs over five and a half rebounds plus assists.
He gets in foul trouble, he gets teed up, All
signs are pointing to him not getting there, he gets
there late. And that's a twelve and three start to
the NBA season. And our special is still up. Guys,
I've been telling you for the very beginning of the season,
props is how you build a bank roll. We're running
that special seven days of NBA and NHL props for
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up and we're gonna continue crushing. Man. These NBA props
are absolutely dynamite. We've really hit our stride, so please
partner up. We can build your bank roll up with
these NBA props. They've been absolutely, absolutely phenomenal. So let's
go over a couple of props with all around the
world and we're gonna hey, listen, we're going right back
to it.
Speaker 2: Kelly Ubray over one and a half threes.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be a little cautious with this one, though
he went over again last night and he's hit this
every single game this season. I'm a little worried he
only had four attempts last night, and this streak is
now seven games in a row. All of these streaks
come to an end at some point. We've made really
good money off of this prop, but only four attempts
and he's still shooting over forty percent. But if he's
only getting four or five attempts, this is gonna regress
down a little bit. So we're gonna keep playing until
the streak is over. But I'm gonna tread a little
bit lately. Brian Leonard has a free play in the
Blue Jackets in the Flames. He likes the Blue Jackets
here at even money. Flames have dropped eleven of thirteen games,
outscored by seventeen goals on the season, first game back
home after a four game road trip. This is a
typical fate spot. Calgary is currently the betting favorite, and
Brian does not buy it. This is the only game
the Blue Jackets play in a five day span coming
in off of a loss, So Brian Leonard likes the
Blue Jackets on the money line. We'll do a quick
play here in Thursday Night football, bo nicks over one
and a half passing touchdowns. This is a This is
a streak that is going on for three straight games,
and he's gone over in both games against the Raiders.
This is a pretty good price. I believe it's only
minus one twenty minus one twenty five. So wanted to
get this one out with you guys. So bo Nick's
over one and a half passing touchdowns. We're gonna break.
Speaker 2: Down Nicks and Timberwolves.
Speaker 5: Guys.
Speaker 2: Please hit the like button.
Speaker 1: If you're enjoying the content, hit the like button. Also
subscribe to the channel. My gosh, do we have so
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We've got NBA breakdown videos. You get notified when all
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videos get up, so make sure you subscribe. Over quarter
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be doing something right. Must be doing something right here.
So all right, thanks very much for watching. Guys. We're
gonna break down the Timberwolves and the Knicks. Knicks or
minus three and a half over under sit at two
twenty seven and a half. Big story here is Anthony Edwards.
He practiced on Tuesday with the hamstring injury and was
upgraded from out to questionable.
Speaker 2: That's a really good sign.
Speaker 1: I am going to assume at the time of recording
this that he is going to play. The Knicks have
won two straight games at home to the Bulls and
the Wizards. They have seven straight home games. They do
not go on the road till November nineteenth. Meanwhile, the
Timberwolves kind of the opposite. They've won their last two
on the road by big margin, but they were playing
the Hornets and the Nets. Wolves are fifth in offensive efficiency,
Knicks are thirteenth. Both teams neck and neck with defensive
efficiency was sixteenth and eighteenth. Interesting stats here. The Timberwolves
zero to four first half spread on the road this season.
Knicks are three to one first half spread at home
this season. Wolves last game on a mini three game
road trip. I'm gonna take the Knicks minus one and
a half in the first half to cover at home.
This is a this is a trend that I just
can't ignore. Wolves have yet to cover a first half spread.
Speaker 2: On the road.
Speaker 1: And if you're looking at player props, I know Anthony
Edwards is back. A prop that we've been hitting is
nasried over one and a half threes. You're probably gonna
get a good price if Edwards is here, but Nazrid
comes off the bench and is still shooting well below
his career average. We expect that to regress up. He's
hit this his last couple games, so we're looking at
Nicks minus one and a half in the first half
of Nasrid to go over one and a half threes.
NBA Best Bet is up twelve and three to start
the season, coming off with one to no night on
five dollars Tuesdays, so grab that. I've attached a couple
of other best bets to that package tonight as well.
You get three NBA plays. One of them is a
really nice plus money play that I absolutely love. We're
gonna be playing that for the next week or so.
And I also attached an NHL play to that one
as well. All Right, thanks guys for joining us. Great
show on Wednesday. We're gearing up for Thursday, and don't
forget Football Friday. Every Friday, it's probably our best show
of the week because we just get you ready for
the weekend with all the college football and NFL. Make
sure you're here tomorrow's same time at noon eastern nine
a m. Pacific. Appreciate all you guys for watching and
hitting that like button. Leave us comment, tell us what
you like on tonight's cart college basketball, college football, and Famba.
Leave us comment, tell us what you like. I always
love reading those comments. Thanks very much, guys, Look on
your bets night. Take care,