Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standards of sports
betting shows where we talk to talk and walk the
walks Tuesday, rolling into Sweet sixteen tournament strategy, and it's here.
MLB season is officially here, and it's gonna be here
with us Dan for the next seventeen months.
Speaker 2: It feels like it feels like forever.
Speaker 3: Baseball season just started and it will continue through the
rest of our lives. Those who are daily viewers, they're
probably happy. Right at the top here I can actually speak.
I'm gonna keep it low though, Andy, so we can
be full powered for baseball season. But yeah, I'm pumped.
Jesse Schule coming on, Yankees Giants. He's gonna be breaking
down here. He's also gonna give you two teams you
should be fading in the Sweet sixteen. That's how we're
gonna kick things off here as baseball is back.
Speaker 4: So that opening night game.
Speaker 3: Best bet coming your way from our man Jesse, and
then Brian Power gonna come on. He'll talk a little
bit about the Sweet sixteen as well, obviously, But tonight
you want that action Tonight, Hawks Pistons, Rockets, te Wolves
best bets in both of those.
Speaker 4: Andy's taking you all around the world.
Speaker 3: Andy, we cashed our lacrosse play last night and we
cast our favorite play of all time, which is just
Charlie McAboy to have a point, the gift that keeps
on giving it. It makes no sense, but we told you, hey,
you want an NHL play, macaboy to have a point,
And we.
Speaker 4: Did it again, Andy, and we're gonna do it again today.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're going to talk about this.
Speaker 1: This is gonna be a little bit of a deep
dive about how can you follow these streaks? Because this
is a streak that has hit twenty seven out of
the last thirty one games that he's played in, and
it's too important to not figure out how we can
take advantage of these streaks. I mean, you, we could
retire off of this man's player props, but we'll dive
into that deep. We also got another unboxing of an
autographed baseball, a mystery baseball.
Speaker 2: I think we shot our load.
Speaker 1: Yesterday with one that's going down for twenty bucks on
eBay right now, So all right, let's bring in Jesse Schule,
who is.
Speaker 2: Uh on location. He's out in the field from the normal.
Speaker 3: Super secret agent who knows that Yeah, Jesse, how are you.
Speaker 5: I feel like Dan's voice sounds. It's not it's not awesome,
but I feel something coming along. But let's let's hope
I can perform well on the show.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, Jesse is in the middle of losing
his voice. Dan is on the way of gaining his
voice backs, and I am in the middle. Yeah, and
I'm suffering from allergies. There was a massive fight at
my house this morning between myself and the allergies, and
the allergies ten aided me.
Speaker 2: It wasn't a fair fight.
Speaker 3: So yeah, Andy, welcome, Welcome to wager Talk Today, where
one coach can't or one coach one host can't talk,
the other can't see, and the guest is getting sick.
Speaker 4: Let's go, baby, wager Talk Today.
Speaker 1: Sanitize your computer screens and keyboards after watching this. We
are an absolute mess. But Jesse, we all bring you on.
You're the fade god. You talk to us about fading,
and credit to you. You said were fading the underdogs.
This is a Chalky tournament and you were right twenty
nine and no it was the under two and a
half rounds like the allergy's got the ko blow to
me to me earlier today.
Speaker 2: So, yeah, you were right.
Speaker 1: This has been a pretty chalky tournaments as expected. But
we get two teams to fade in the sweet sixteen.
Give me your first team. What are we looking at
a team that you want to bet against.
Speaker 5: Well, we're gonna look Oh, whoa, whoa, We're gonna look
at Iowa.
Speaker 4: I know how that feels. I know how it feels.
Just seventy three.
Speaker 5: You know, people complain that we didn't see any upsets,
but how about Iowa seventy three, seventy two over the
defending champs Florida. All the credit in the world to Iowa.
They're a pretty damn good team, pretty competitive, they play
solid defense. They've turned things around completely under head coach
Ben McCollum. Last year, they were one of the fastest
teams in the country. This year, in a field of
three hundred and sixty five, they rank three hundred and
sixty fifth, dead last in possessions per game. If you
look at this game and you look at how they
match up against Nebraska, these two teams sort of look similar.
But at the end of the day, I was in
nine seed. I said it last week. Chasing dogs is
a fool's errand despite the fact that I was armed
with that knowledge. Now the favorites, I picked what they
all seem to lose by half a point. But nonetheless
we were on the right track, even though I didn't
have a great week. But the fact that we can
get Nebraska here minus one and a half, I'll take
them on the money line. I think you can get
them for a buck and a quarter, a buck thirty
five something in that range. Nebraska has some edges. Nebraska
started the season twenty in. They didn't lose until they
landed at Michigan and lost by a score of seventy
five to seventy two, just a three point margin against
one of the best teams in the country on the road.
Speaker 4: If you're looking for edges for.
Speaker 5: Nebraska, they should have the edge on the glass. They
average significantly more rebounds per game and three point mix.
They make a lot more three pointers than Iowa does.
But probably the most important factor is coaching matchup. I
talked up Ben McCollum a bit, but his resume doesn't
really stack up against Hoyburg. Hoiberg's got multiple Coach of
the Years, multiple tournament wins in the Big Twelve, before
he landed here NBA experience. Yeah, for me to be
able to get in Nebraska at this price, I got
a fade Iowa in this letdown spot after that, you know,
when the clock strikes midnight, Cinderella's carriage turns into a pumpkin.
No Cinderella story for Iowa. Let's take Nebraska.
Speaker 1: We're gonna move on to your next team to fade.
And what is it you hate about the Big Ten here, Jesse?
What's the what's what's what's?
Speaker 5: Yeah, you will point out Nebraska is a Big Ten team,
but semantics a great point. So yeah, I don't hate
anything about Illinois. Illinois is a damn good team, as
is Iowa. Houston happens to be a great team. And
as I mentioned with the coaching matchup in the previous
game I mentioned, I mean, this one's very much the same.
Nothing wrong with Underwood for Illinois. But Kelvin Sampson's a legend.
You look at his resume that the two resumes don't
stack up. Houston, you know they're destined to be playing
in the Final four. In my opinion, Illinois, they're they're
right there, They're close. But Houston thirty and six they
lost twice to Arizona. Arizona might be, if not the
best team in the country, second behind Duke. You take
away those losses. You know, Houston didn't lose too many games.
And it's at the Toyota Center in Houston. I think
I think Illinois put up a fight. But this line
of minus three, we can get to Houston on the
money line as well, relatively cheap. Give me the Houston
Cougars in Houston will fade that dog again.
Speaker 1: One of the funniest things, like one of these things
that just aged kind of funny, like like in my lifetime,
you were allowed to smoke on airplanes and the movie
theaters and things. One of the funniest things to me
is that Kelvin Simpson was once suspended for sending too
many text messages to recruits. This is this is a
real thing that they're like, wait a minute, you have
sent too many text messages double do tech millions of
dollars going never double text?
Speaker 2: Here we are.
Speaker 3: Whether your recruiter in the dating pool Andy, never double text.
It's a good rule to live.
Speaker 1: Jesse Johnny Detroit has entered the chat and says Jesse
has a sick promo at Picks and Parlays.
Speaker 2: What is the sick promo you speak?
Speaker 4: Is it related to your oncoming sickness or is it unrelated?
Speaker 5: Yes, very sick. No, my major League Baseball profits have
been sick last year. I believe I was number one
at the All Star break. I finished last season number
three at wager Talk in total profit with Major League
Baseball fifty eight units, sixty one percent winners. But last
year was not a one off. If you go back
to twenty twenty four, top three in profit, twenty twenty three,
twenty twenty two, last four years consistently top three in
profit with Major League Baseball. Really excited about Opening Day
tonight and the package we have available, this sick promo
that Johnny is talking about. It's a three for one deal,
three top three cappers for the price of one, seven
days for seventy nine bucks. You get myself, You get
my man Ricky Tran, who's number one on the network
the last three seasons in total profit and Pro Sports Picks,
also a top three handicapper last season. All three of
us hit over sixty percent with our picks last year.
Speaker 1: Baseball is such a grind like, it's such a bragging
point to be in the top three.
Speaker 2: You're never going to be number one, but like four
years in a row, just.
Speaker 1: As baseball, but be top three, top five and consistently
turned profits and such a grinding, hard sport is really
good work.
Speaker 2: Jesse. That's a that's a feather in your cap. Brother.
You should be very thank you.
Speaker 5: Andy. I would say any victories in this business consistently,
you know a lot of people here sixty percent and say,
oh hey, fifty five percent's pretty damn and none of
it comes easy.
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about this game tonight.
Speaker 1: Here, it's Opening night, Yankees giants here, what are your
thoughts on this game?
Speaker 5: Well, I do have a play for clients up posted
on the website, so we're not going to talk about
the side. We're going to try not to give that away.
But when I was deciding which side I was going
to go with, I was also looking at the total.
I was kind of torn. Decided to put out the side,
but I also like the under, and I like the
under in the first five innings. At the end of
the day, it is opening day. Both teams are sending
their aces to the mound. Logan Webb in the World
Baseball Classic. He only allowed one run in all his
appearances there, tossed four and two thirds scoreless innings in
the quarterfinals against Canada. Logan Web has been fantastic for
the Giants, specifically at home. Not the numbers in just
three starts against the Yankees, but only one of those
was at home. And then you got Max Freed four
and one with a two point six eight e r
A and a dozen starts versus the Giants. Both these
pictures have more strikeouts than hits allowed against these two opponents.
Here first three under first three hunder two and a half,
says Mark Martin. I'm gonna go first five under three
and a half. I thought he had guessed what I
was gonna go with, but yeah, I think both these
picture will hold court for the first five innings. So
I'm not sure what's gonna happen with the bullpens come in,
but I do like the under three and a half
for the first five.
Speaker 1: We need to clip that quote from Jesse. I'm not
sure what's gonna happen when the bullpens come in, because
that applies to about ninety percent of baseball.
Speaker 5: I a lot of first fives for that reason exactly.
Speaker 4: I'm right there with you.
Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's tough unless you really dive in
and handicap the bullpens, and you need at least a
month plus at data to start doing that. You know,
how much rest, how deep did they go, how deep
did the pitcher go, how early did they go to
the bullpen.
Speaker 4: I feel like that's.
Speaker 3: Become, Jesse, one of the most popular ways to bet baseball,
simply because people don't want to mess with with rotations
on the back end there.
Speaker 4: So I'm right there with you, man.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, if I'm backing a team based on
their starting pitcher, it's got to be a first five bet.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 5: If I'm backing a team based on their bets or
based on other factors that are weigh the starting pitching,
I'll go full nine. But if it's a bet based
on starting pitching, it's got to be first five.
Speaker 2: Love it, Jesse Schul. Thank you so much for joining us, Jesse.
Speaker 1: I know you're not feeling great, but great breakdowns as always,
or fade and Iowa or fade and Illinois. We're sporting
the under on the first five. Get better and go
check them out at picks. And Parlays've got a great
special Jesse, one of the best in the business, especially
when it comes to baseball. Craig says in the chat,
sixty percent is great, however, not if you're laying minus
one seventy. It's a great point. It's a fair point.
The way the way that you can do this because
there are some people that like to lay a lot
of juice. I'm I found a lot of success once
I got rid of juice tolerance, where I was like,
I'm never gonna lay another minus one forty.
Speaker 2: But once I got over that hump, it got a
lot better.
Speaker 1: But all you have to do is really go through
the algorithms, and now you can with AI. You can
just put in how many bets do I have to
win over three thousand bets if I'm an average of
minus one twenty, minus one forty, minus one fifty. So
you can plug that into an algorithm and you can
get really, really good. So like we always I always
tell our clients we need to hit about fifty seven
percent of our bets, not fifty five percent to turn
because we are okay with laying juice with some of
the fringe sports that we got so and then, of
course then because we have smart asses in our in
our comments, which I love.
Speaker 2: Better, but only at minus twenty five hundred odds. Okay,
all right, well.
Speaker 3: And something that we had I'm not even going to
try and pronounce the user name there. Something he said
earlier too, he's he's rocking with the Yankees tonight.
Speaker 4: I don't hate that.
Speaker 3: I don't hate that look and getting into minus one
seventeen when the market's moving your way, that that's fine,
but he quantifies it with it's way too low for
a Yankees team. Ever, this Yankees team last year against
this San Francisco team they don't play very often, they
went one and two, you know what I mean. So
I would pump the brakes with just c saying, oh,
the Yankees are supposed to be good this year. Let's
eat chalk with them early. Not advocating for the dog.
I'm just saying, especially in baseball last year, didn't mean bupkus,
you know what I mean. What you saw in spring
training doesn't mean anything. Guys tread lightly to begin MLB.
Some of these guys are going to dive in. Some
guys like Jesse, they have an edge right out of
the gate. But guys be SMA to start MMB. This
is I would argue, Andy, the number one sport that
you need big sample sizes in because every single season
is a microcosm. So in my opinion, I always pump
the brakes out of the gate, except maybe player props,
strikeout props, things like that where you can handicap it
a little bit better. But as far as money line
plays tread lightly out of the gate.
Speaker 1: We are going to have a player prop coming up
and all around the world.
Speaker 2: This is a market. Yeah, we've seen success and.
Speaker 1: So we are going to talk a lot about player
props throughout the baseball season on this show. We had
a great meeting myself, Dan Yan Jim. We're tackling baseball
head first. A few years ago, we were number one
in baseball at wager Talk, and I would really love
that crown again for all access clients. I'd love to
be top five, top three. But we're going to talk
a lot about baseball because the props markets are they're
getting wider, they're getting more available on all the sports books,
and there's just a lot of ways to profit off
of that one.
Speaker 2: So well, and.
Speaker 3: Andy speaking, I was just about to say, speaking of which,
we were talking to the Detroit office and we were like, dude,
we are seeing it great right now. We cash our
lacrosse play last night, we got the h the NBA
prop home. We won some free plays here for the folks.
So I think you know we've been talking about the
buy three, get three everything like that. Tell them about
this thirty day special that we have because the action
is only picking up for us and our team, Andy
and I think people should be striking while the iron's hot.
Speaker 2: To be honest with you.
Speaker 1: Yeah, when you're when you're seeing things really good and
it's at a sustainable number, that's that's when you want
to run specials and get people to jump on board.
I don't want to run a special when we when
we go twelve and one because I no regressions coming.
But we're hitting a good percentage of our plays, and
we got a thirty day special. We're knocking one hundred
dollars off goes from two ninety nine down to one
ninety nine.
Speaker 2: We lost the cricket.
Speaker 1: Play overnight, but yesterday two and one and the winning
in the Shadows family. All you guys that are all
Access clients like you guys have been You guys have
been really supportive and really good, and it is paying dividends.
We're up thirty five units just in the last two weeks.
You get all of our plays. We have a five
percent golf play and a five percent darts play. We
have our NBA play that's up today. And I will
tell you right now, Dan, I doubled down on our
golf five percent play. I played it big and then yeah,
and then.
Speaker 2: I put no money on it. Yeah.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, we got to get to Brian so he
can he can give us some stuff and then I
can fire mine up. But but Andy continue because I
need to go double down myself, is what I'm saying.
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, So thirty days, two ninety nine down to
one ninety nine. I said we wanted to be up
thirty units in the end of March. We're creeping up
on forty units. We're way ahead of schedule. Really really
happy with that. That's wt Dot Buzz Slash al again.
NBA Best Bet is up five percent golf play, five
percent darts play. Those go off tomorrow. So grab these plays, guys.
This is this is the time of year where we
can cash big on these sports that are off the
radar and the books are not paying any attention to.
But you know who we are paying attention to is
Ryan Power and that is in the professional I mean
you got to go to school to catch up on
uh say, that was well done in Happy and.
Speaker 6: Great as a matter of fact, always great to be
here on the program. It's getting ready for the Sweet
sixteen tomorrow major League Baseball, as you guys were talking
about getting underway, and then a couple of NBA games.
We'll be breaking down here for the people. So lot
going on as I don't need to tell you.
Speaker 1: Guys, it's funny when baseball season starts, like at the beginning.
Speaker 2: We're all like, eh, Baseball's here, and then you realize
how many hours that adds.
Speaker 4: To your work day.
Speaker 6: You're like, I wish it would have started next week.
To be honest with you, I'm not gonna lie. I
know I don't know Rob Manfred's done it again. I
don't know why you would do I don't know why
you would start it this weekend.
Speaker 4: But that's just me.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: I can have a casual Oh wait, the Mariners play
the Angels. Great, I get to break down that pitching matchup.
Speaker 2: Wonderful, what great.
Speaker 3: I got Skeens Versus Part one o'clock tomorrow. I thought
I was actually gonna get to enjoy my cup of coffee.
Speaker 4: Here we go.
Speaker 1: Uh So we brought you on, Brian for NBA double header.
We got Hawks, Hawks, Pistons, Rockets, Timberwolves.
Speaker 2: Let's go over NBA and then we get your thoughts
on any other sports that you have going on.
Speaker 1: But let's talk this Hawks Pistons team. This Cade Cunningham injury,
he goes out, and sometimes you just see these teams
that discover gold when a player goes out. You saw
it with the Denver Nuggets with Peyton Watson coming in
and oh, they discovered a real player.
Speaker 2: And then this, uh is it Jenics? Is that Jake?
Speaker 1: I can't remember the guy's name. He goes off for
thirty against the Lakers. So you have this Hawks team that's,
you know, flirting around with the playoffs. You got this
Pistons team that's trying to hold on to one of
the top spots.
Speaker 2: What do we do with this game today? How do
you break it down?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 6: Just so over scar. Both games we're talking about here
today on the show are on ESPN in both games,
Andy and I set up there we'll be talking about
teams who's star players injured and they're doing okay still.
But before we talk about Detroit without Cunningham, I want
to talk about Atlanta. They've won thirteen or fourteen. But
let's look through the list of teams they've beaten, Andy,
Dan It is a real rogues gallery, if you will.
These are the teams the Hawks have beaten Okay, Brooklyn,
Washington twice, Portland, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Dallas, Brooklyn again, Milwaukee again,
Orlando that's a decent win, Golden State, and then Memphis.
None of those teams, guys would currently reside in the
top fifteen of my power ratings, so all teams in
the lower half of the league. Also, eleven of the
thirteen wins for the Hawks came at home.
Speaker 4: Wouldn't you know?
Speaker 6: One time the Hawks did lose over those last fourteen games,
it was to a fifteen opponent and it was on
the road, one seventeen to ninety five at Houston. And
I'm bringing all this up because tonight they are in
the Motor City, the Hawks facing a Pistons team that
leads the East, of course, with a fifty two to
nineteen straight up record, already clinched a playoff spot, and
the Pistons are currently without their best player, Kade Cunningham,
as you mentioned at the top Andandy, but since it
was announced Cunningham would be out with the collapse long,
Pistons have gone three and all. If you caught the
morning wager on Monday two days ago, Zeno and I
told you to back the Pistons's home dogs against the Lakers.
Sure enough, comments section didn't like that one. But the
Pistons were a winner in that game, and Pistons are
favor tonight. Okay, but I think all things considered, the
number is too short. Just not a believer in the
Hawks big edge defensively to Detroit in this matchup, and
with Cunningham out, If you're looking for someone to step up, Andy,
you mentioned this is the NBA. Someone always steps up.
It's not like when you lose the leading score team's
gonna score sixty points. Okay, it's just not gonna happen.
The NBA, somebody always steps in to fill that vacuum.
I think Thompson is a guy for the Pistons who
might have a good game. He always plays better at home.
But regardless of who steps up, Pistons minus two and
a half is how I play this one.
Speaker 4: Guys.
Speaker 6: I just think this number is too short. The Atlanta Hawks,
to me, are just a team that right now I
want to as I often preach, sell high on.
Speaker 1: I mean that who's who of who they who the
Hawks beat is just was scheduling.
Speaker 6: It's not a surprise. When you look at you're like,
oh my god, the Hawks are are this hot, Well,
how did this happen? And then you look who they played,
You're like, oh, well, they've played everyone who's not trying.
I mean, you know, I mean, could they have not
ordered Utah or Sacramento on that trip, I mean, or
on that home stand.
Speaker 2: I should say, what are the Pacers doing these days? Well, yeah,
Wizards on the schedule?
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, so it was they took it. I mean, look,
you can only beat the teams in front of you.
Give him credit that, I mean, obviously they they might
avoid the play in tournament the Hawks that you have
to in the top six to do that. They are
in the top six right now. But yeah, I don't know.
To me, the Pistons in the market, we talk about
how players always seem to step up in the wake
of these injuries. Andy, I just think there's always an
over in the NBA. There's just an overreaction in the
market to these injuries. This is just too short of
a number to me. The Troy Pistons, they're trying. I
realized they pretty much got the top spot sewn up,
but minus two and a half at home, I'll take
the better team.
Speaker 1: Blocked is in the chat. He's a huge Hawks fans,
and yeah, he's saying, no, they didn't make the schedule.
Speaker 2: I will say this about the Hawks.
Speaker 1: I have no proof of this, but I just think
if they still had Trey Young, I think they lose
three or four of those games where they had no
business losing him. I like this Hawks team, actually, I
really like the makeup of them. I think they're maybe
not this year, but maybe moving forward next year they
get all the pieces right.
Speaker 2: I like there. So, speaking of a team.
Speaker 1: Without their star player and somebody that steps in, can
I introduce the public to Bones Highland. Yes, he's been
a player prop Gem Gem since Anthony Edwards went out,
and Bones Island was kind of one of these guys
that was like, you don't really want to depend on him.
Speaker 2: He's not bad. He's pretty good.
Speaker 1: Given a lot of you know, energy off the bench here.
And maybe the Timberwolves have stumbled onto something here as
they move into the playoffs. Here they're playing a Rockets team.
I could not be more out on a playoff team
than this Rockets team. Yeah, their defense has kind of
gone there. They're just kind of seemed like a mess.
So what do we make of this Rockets Timberwolves game tonight?
Speaker 6: Yeah, Andy, I'll echo your sentiments. As a matter of fact,
Houston's the team I faded on Monday. If you're client
of mine, you got a three percent play on the
Bulls plus eight and a half turns out we didn't
even need the points. Bulls won that game outright, led
by as many as twenty two at one point to
get a little Harry at the end, but again it
was an outright winner. It was horrible. Sounds like maybe
you were aware of this, Andy, that was a horrible
scheduling spot for the Rockets playing their third game in
four days on the road against the Bulls team that
had been off for three days. You don't see that
very often in this league. But like you, Andy, I
have to say, big picture, the Rockets are a team
I'm not buying. In terms of the playoffs, I think
it all look it all depends on the matchup. Right,
we can say, oh, they're not looking so good. I
don't think they'll win a first round matchup. Well, let's
see who they play. But I think another first round
exit could very well be in the cards for Houston.
But here is the thing. For tonight, I do expect
them to shoot better than twenty seven percent from three.
They were only eleven of forty one. It's twenty seven
percent from beyond the arc against Chicago, and they still
scored one hundred and twenty four points. Mind you, despite
lousy three point shooting. Now, I know the Bulls are
really bad defensively, but still any improvement from behind the
three point arc for Houston and we should see them
still put up a decent number. Tonight here in Minnesota,
who was coming off a pretty shocking, outright win. They
were ten point hundred at Boston. I had a free
play on the t Wolves and that one, if you
visited wt dot buzz slash pp, I just thought it
was way too many points. Even though the t Wolves
are as. You've already stated Andy without Anthony Edwards, but
similar to the Pistons we talked about earlier without Cunningham,
Minnesota's three and one without Edwards since he went down
with the knee injury. They only scored one O four
and one O two in the last two games. But
you look at Minnesota the makeup the roster without Edwards,
it's a more it's more of a perimeter oriented team.
I think that's going to mean more three point attempts.
I'll play the three point variance game here. I know
that can be dangerous and just say hey, I think
the shots will be falling tonight. But not only will
Houston be better from three than they were in their
last game, I think Minnesota will be as well. We've
seen the overtake money all morning total for this game
is now as high as two twenty four at some places.
Just double check here.
Speaker 2: Sometimes things can change if I.
Speaker 4: Do my notes.
Speaker 6: Yeah, two twenty four is the high point. Two twenty
three and a half some other shops to shop around, guys,
I still like the overt the current number. I think
this total is in overreaction to the Edwards absence.
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, major League baseball that's starting, Brian. Any teams
you got your eye on like seems to think maybe overachieve, underachieve.
Just you know, don't don't need any specific plays, just
some teams you're you're looking at.
Speaker 6: I could like list off a bunch as a matter
of fact, if you guys want to check out the
Morning Wager today, Zeno and I did a twenty minute
Crash Course preview. We went over a lot of over
over win totals. We like underwin totals, you like going back.
I know you guys were talking the Yankees earlier. Zeno,
who obviously is a big Yankees fan, he you know,
I kind of agreed that ceiling wise, this is probably
the lowest ceiling for a Yankees team entering a season
in recent memory. But if there's three, a couple a
few teams, some dark horses to take a note of
in the these are all American League teams. I like
the Rays over, I like the Rangers over. I like
the Royals over their win total. I like the White
Sox over their win total as well. So kind of
rare to be so positive, I guess, But that's four
teams that I think the odds makers have them over
in there. There's gonna be teams that step step up
this year, Andy and Dan. You look at all these
win totals, with the exception of the Dodgers, I mean
everybody and the Yankees, who I would not get over
their win total. Everyone else is in the eighties or lower.
So look, I think some teams are gonna step up
in the American League. And that's a handful that I
think could.
Speaker 2: Do it.
Speaker 5: Nice.
Speaker 1: Tell everyone what you have up a Wager Talk. Tell
everyone about Morning Wager. It's an awesome, awesome show, gets
get your day started off right.
Speaker 2: Tell us about it.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 6: As a matter of fact, we have a great special
offergun on. This is available exclusively at Picks and Parlays,
not on my page at wager Talk, but if you
go to my page of Picks and Parlays or Zeno's
page Picks and Price, you can get this. You can
get the rest of the college basketball season from both
of us for just ninety nine dollars. I think that's
a really good deal. It was a winning first week
for me in the NC DOUBLEA tournament. Felt like I
was through a twelve round price fight emotionally, Andy, and
that weekend. The ups and downs of that thing, man,
like you win a couple in a row and you
lose a couple in a row. But it was a
winning first week. That's all it's about. I'm excited about
the Sweet sixteen and the Elite eight. Also for today,
I have two NBA plays, not either game I talked
about here on the show. On a forty and twenty
NBA run. That's sixty seven percent if I do the math.
So pick that up two for one deal you can
get right now. But if you want the rest of
the NC doublea tournament from both Mark and I. Mark
was awesome first week.
Speaker 2: He was a team at ten and two.
Speaker 4: You can get that.
Speaker 6: At Picks and Parlays right now, exclusively ninety nine dollars
both of us.
Speaker 2: Rest the way.
Speaker 1: Awesome stuff. Great job till Mark. We said, hey, and
I I will.
Speaker 4: I won't tell you what he said.
Speaker 6: I'll tell you what who knows what he's gonna say.
Speaker 4: But yeah, that's a good point.
Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, yeah, you'll rantom about something. But yeah, hey, true,
all right, guys, thanks pleasure, Thank you very much.
Speaker 2: Brian, Brian Power joining us.
Speaker 3: Uh, it's true, all right, there's a great yin to
the Yang, which is Mark Zeno, which again, watch the show,
the fact that they swept the board yesterday. Shore you
get the free plays, but just to watch Brian cringe
whenever Zeno goes off the chain. That's worth the price
of mission, which is zero. The price of mission. Really
hit subscribe. That's all we ask.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, absolutely So, all right, we got a lot to
get to here, Dan, you and me. So we can
talk about bank rolls, we can talk about opening, unboxing
autographed baseball's, we can talk about props and streaks. Let's
talk about the streak actually all around the world, and
then we'll talk about steaks.
Speaker 2: Let's give it. Let's give the people some some some
free plays here.
Speaker 4: Yep.
Speaker 1: I it's just I feel like this is becoming the
Charlie McAvoy show.
Speaker 2: But my god, he had a point again. Last night.
Speaker 1: They only scored two goals. He had one of the goals,
and he plays again tonight. It's a tougher matchup. The
Sabers have been very good. You've heard Ross talk about
his Sabers, but the last four home games for Buffalo,
they have allowed fourteen goals. And this is a Bruins
team that scored ten goals in the last the last
few games.
Speaker 4: So we'll go.
Speaker 1: Right back to Charlie McAvoy minus one thirty two.
Speaker 2: He will have a point.
Speaker 1: This is a props market that we talked about yesterday
in our meeting. Yankees and Giants were taking Aaron Judge
over half a walk. Yep, there are these guys that
get walked all the time when they don't have protection
protection in the lineup, when teams don't want to pitch
to them, you get a ton of walks. You go
look at the walk leaders last year and it's astounding
how many walks some of these guys have. And the
lines are going to just throughout the season. So we
need to attack this early and often it's minus win
twenty nine on DraftKings. We'll take Aaron Judge to have
a walk. And this is kind of one of those
rints and repeat plays like.
Speaker 2: One and zero would be great.
Speaker 1: We're looking forward to go six and two, seven and three,
one of these types of plays before the line's adjusted.
So yep, and let me yeah, let me go to
the Warriors and nets. Gary Payton over ten and a
half points. We talked about this on Monday. Scary sad
injury to Moses Moody. But that's gonna mean Gary Payton's
gonna get even more minutes. He's gone over this in
seven straight games. He's shooting sixty percent from the field.
He's making five to six shots per night. And he
gets a horrible team, horrible team, the Brooklyn Nets. And
not only does he play the Brooklyn Nets, Dan, he
comes off the bench, so he plays the bench players
of the Brooklyn Nets.
Speaker 2: So I get a.
Speaker 1: Bench player at ten and a half points to go
over his POY total against the bench players of the
Brooklyn Nets. Yes, I will take this one. Gary Payton
is one of these. He's one of these bench players
that we talk about here at the end of the year.
Rob Dillingham, Taylor, Hen Gary Payton. These are the props
that you can make.
Speaker 2: A lot of money on.
Speaker 1: So all right, Dan, we got to talk about Charlie
McAvoy in a serious nature.
Speaker 2: We kind of joke about him.
Speaker 1: This man has hit this prop in twenty seven out
of thirty one games. We talk about our let It
Ride mission twice. Since January, he has gone eight games
in a row with a streak. Yeah, if I could
bottle this formula and figure out when these streaks are
going to happen. I could retire next year and I
don't have the answer to it and chat.
Speaker 2: You're more than welcome to jump in and point out
the streets.
Speaker 3: This is the numbers. Yeah, so he goes on these
absolute tears and then boom, it loses. But then he
had three in a row, like there's never been a
time where it loses, and then he doesn't immediately go
and get a point the next game. That is something
that I think is prescriptive, you know what I mean, Like, yes,
I wish we could hop on when he gets.
Speaker 4: The beginning of the eight and we ride it all
the way. But this shows you Andy's something that you
talk about all the time, and it is.
Speaker 3: Just because something that is working loses, doesn't mean you
reinvent the wheel, right, just because maybe you went a
little bit too higher. You hit five in a row,
so you were laddering it. You put it all and
then you lose. Don't be afraid to go back to
what has worked for you in the past. You know,
once it loses twice, maybe then you settle back. Maybe
once it loses three times, then you push off. But
this is this is something that you've been preaching since
you've been at Wader talk is like, you know, Joe says,
if it ain't broke, don't fix it. But this is
really don't overreact to one loss, especially if you have
a formula that's working. And Knack avoid Point for whatever reason,
is a formula that's been working.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so I chat.
Speaker 1: If you guys know streaks that are going on right now,
I will tell you there is no doubt it is.
Speaker 2: It is.
Speaker 1: We don't do lots on the show. I'm giving you
a lock. There's gonna be two or three.
Speaker 2: Of these happen in baseball this season.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, some prop is going to hit twenty out
of twenty three games. It's going to be a guy
getting a hit. It's gonna be something. And if we
can just identify these streaks, not after they're done, but
as they're happening, can we figure out what these streaks are,
because that is really what I've made my mind. Those
are the All Access clients. You guys know John Ram
on the Live Tour to finish top.
Speaker 2: Ten every single week that.
Speaker 1: They have a tournament. He finishes top ten. A couple
of years ago Xander Schoffley to finish top twenty. This
was a no brainer. So these streaks are out there.
Speaker 2: Help me out, guys, help me out if we can
find these stats.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and the chat right here is a great place
to drop them, and the comments below is a great
price to drop them.
Speaker 4: But one of the places where people are.
Speaker 3: Exchanging this kind of info all the time is our
discord channel, you know what I mean, Like these are
the kind of thing that are in discussion in the
Winning and the Shadows discord channel. And if you want
to know, you know how you join in. Reach out
to Andy, reach out to me. We can easily get
your access in there. And we highly suggest anyone who
buys all access like this great you know, thirty thirty
day package that we have going here where you save
you know, over one hundred dollars on that. It's absolutely
no brainer. If you get that, I would suggest to
join the discord. It's completely free. And then it also
gives you maybe a little bit more guidance and a
direct line to all of us who are actually capping
these plays, and we'll answer any questions that you have.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll put the link in the comments after the show.
Perfect it's a free, free discord. So yeah, so we
will be we block that's wild, that's wild.
Speaker 4: Block that is wipe, wipe your ass blocked.
Speaker 1: Come on, buddy, Yeah, we're gonna try. I'm telling you guys,
there are going to be these streets that unveil themselves
throughout baseball season, and and we we identify. You only
need one or two of them and you will make
a lot of money on the bank rolls. So all right,
are we ready for a.
Speaker 4: Baseball unboxing time?
Speaker 6: Baby?
Speaker 1: All right, those of you that missed yesterday, I have
a bunch of mystery autographed baseballs that I'm going to unbox.
I've never seen these, they're wrapped, and yesterday we might.
Speaker 4: Have hit the jat.
Speaker 2: We might have blown our wad yesterday.
Speaker 1: So Dan, if you could pull up eBay and see
if you can find how much this particular baseball?
Speaker 4: Ye?
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 1: Uh So opening the book yesterday was Keith Mitchell. We
discovered that baseball was going for about one hundred and
twenty bucks. We got six more of these. What is
your prop record the last two weeks? Tom, I don't
have it in front of me. I know sports memo
is seven and one that's not sustainable. It's very good.
I'm really happy with it. But I know we're I
know we're plus thirty five units in all sports last
two weeks. I do not have the exact prop record.
I know what it is at Sports Memo because I
was just in that website.
Speaker 7: So all right, here we go, Yonier Diaz, Yon here.
Speaker 1: I have a feeling this one's not gonna be worth
one hundred.
Speaker 4: Yon yeah. eBay Astros of the Houston.
Speaker 1: A DA signed with the Cleveland Indians international free agent
twenty sixteen. In twenty twenty one, he was traded to
Astros made his MLB debut in twenty twenty two. I
don't know this guy, and I can't imagine this baseball
is worth the material.
Speaker 2: One sign, one soul.
Speaker 3: He Actually it was Tuesday, So yesterday, at eleven forty four,
Yonier Diaz signed official baseball thirty nine ninety nine.
Speaker 2: Not bad, Okay, all right, not bad.
Speaker 3: I'd be like, legit unless it's super like they feel
like that's gonna be the floor for these baseballs.
Speaker 4: Like I think.
Speaker 3: I think thirty nine ninety nine is pretty pretty damn
good for something that you won because you're good at
playing David Busters games. You know what I mean, the
investment has already recouped itself if you sold this for
thirty nine ninety nine.
Speaker 1: All right, so the chat's telling me that that he's
pretty good. He's a starter, could go up. Okay, all
right starting Oh so he's still playing. So that's a hole.
Speaker 4: That's a diamond hand hold we're holding.
Speaker 2: We're holding this.
Speaker 3: One as one posted this is this is with authenticity.
So there's one that's sold this morning for thirty nine
ninety nine. There's one with a certificate of authenticity that's
listed right now for sixty nine to ninety five.
Speaker 4: So this is one that could go up.
Speaker 3: But I don't think you go much lower than thirty nine.
You're doing good. Any I'd say that's two for two,
Say that's two for two.
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, I mean, listen, they don't have like horrible
players autograph baseballs.
Speaker 2: No, like if they don't go to the minor leagues
and be like, they don't.
Speaker 3: Have many after this celebrity softball game signing baseballs.
Speaker 2: Yeah, like yeah, like.
Speaker 1: Hey, hey, you the one that never plays autograph this baseball.
Speaker 2: I think it'll be awesome.
Speaker 3: Yeah, most are I know the one sold yesterday Andy
for forty bucks, but most of these are posted for
around seventy So that's a good poll.
Speaker 4: Another good poll. Two.
Speaker 3: And I like this because now you and I have
just become the bigger Yannire Diaz fans in the entire world.
Speaker 2: One hundred percent, one hundred percent. Yes, yeah, yeah, I
love this. I love this. Now I'm rooting for him.
Speaker 3: I'm going to time everyone in the world how good
Yanni are Diaz is for the rest of the days
that I am on Earth.
Speaker 4: Andy to drive the value of your baseball up.
Speaker 1: Every time he hits a home run. I'm gonna add
ten cents onto the sale.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've just become a Daz Truther. I've just become
a Daz Truther.
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely absolutely so.
Speaker 1: All right, uh oh oh that would be amazing if
he broke the all right, so this is gonna be hold.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put that Keith Mitchell.
Speaker 1: Ball up for sale along with a few other ones
that I have, but I'm gonna hang on to this one.
Speaker 2: So the chat tells me this is a this is
a solid one.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I'm gonna hold I'm gonna hold onto
this one for s been fun.
Speaker 4: Andy.
Speaker 3: I love a good unboxing and I feel like I
got skin in the game now because it's my my, my,
you know, my partnering crime here who's doing the unboxing?
Speaker 4: I love this?
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, absolutely absolutely this. Yeah, it's a lot
of fun. I have other stuff I can maybe I
don't know.
Speaker 3: Comment below and let us know. Should Andy and I
to end shows during baseball season when things are a
little bit lighter, We'll have something fun to do over
the summer May Will we just start getting in some
unboxings here on the show, Andy, maybe you guys want
us to continue some other unboxings. Comment below and let
us know. Should we go cards, should we go memorabilia?
Should we go grab bags? Let us know, let us know.
I like this, Andy, I'm I'm with you. I'm with you,
so full disclosure.
Speaker 1: I want to answer Tom's question because we tell you
when we win, tell you when we lose. Last two
weeks on PROPS seven and eleven, so we have a
losing record on PROPS. The last week has been much better.
But just not trying. We don't hide anything from here.
We will talk honestly about about when we win, when
we lose, When we're running hot when we're running cold.
So last two weeks on props seven and eleven on
props across all sports.
Speaker 2: That's wager talk.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and also it's worth mentioning too, seven and eleven
on props. Yet we're also telling you the last two
weeks we're up thirty two units. And that's because what
you get with Andy's team.
Speaker 4: Isn't just prop plays anymore, you know what I mean?
Speaker 3: Like that was his thing when he first came on
to wager talk, but this has morphed into me, Jim
Jan Andy, and we're attacking sports that nobody else is.
So even though you went seven and eleven on your props, Andy,
because of the team that we have and the way
that we you know, go across the gambit on what
we're betting. You know, thirty two units documented speaks for itself.
We won another lacrosse play last night, guys, speaks for itself.
You wanted that baseball all season long, be my guest.
You want to cash for the team who's thirty two
units for you, which some people can't get you.
Speaker 4: In a year. We did it in two weeks. WT
dot buzzbackslash Al. That's That's all I got to say
about it. That's what I'm doing, Andy, I'm rocketing the team.
I suggest they do it as well.
Speaker 7: I do too.
Speaker 2: Like I said, I've doubled down on our golf best bet.
It was funny when we were recording our golf show yesterday,
Jan and I log in. We don't talk, Yan and I.
That's one of the things we do when we record
the golf show. We don't talk.
Speaker 1: And we started we just started talking, and we both
agreed without even talking to each other.
Speaker 2: What our five.
Speaker 1: Percent best bat you guys, we're very excited. Yeah, yeah,
we're very excited. So I've doubled down on that with
my own money. So let's cash on that.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: We're gonna do it again tomorrow, same time, same place,
loaded baseball slate tomorrow, guys, expect us to be very
very baseball heavy tomorrow. We'll get you excited about that.
We're sweet sixteen. We got NBA, we got NHL role,
and we got a lot of stuff. So thank you
so much for joining us. Please like button, leave a
comment below, tell us what you like until if you agreed,
disagreed with anything. Special things to Brian Power and Jesse
Schule for jumping in. Let's cash. We've got two five
percent plays that go off tomorrow. Let's have a big day.
Good luck under your bets. Guys, We'll see you tomorrow.
Take care,