Speaker 1: II Light.
Speaker 2: Welcome into the last edition of the opening line Report
for the twenty twenty five twenty twenty six NFL season.
Kelly Stewart Here, Teddy covers yesterday was Super Bowl Sunday,
and it looks like, well, at least from what I
can see on my own, Teddy, you didn't have an
amazing day, but you didn't have a bad one either.
Kind of break down Super Bowl Sunday from your client
perspective as we get into it, this.
Speaker 3: Kelly, Kelly saddle down, good morning, Welcome, let's start with
this one hundred and seventy eight days from today until
the Hall of Fame game.
Speaker 2: Good, I'm gonna need it. I'm gonna after yesterday's Super Bowl, Teddy,
I'm gonna need it. That was not great from a
lot of perspectives. I'll just leave it at that, Like,
I'm still the reason why I started off asking about you,
because I didn't want to talk about me, because I'm
myself the same girl that went on Kelly and Murray
and this show and everything else and said the frauds
I talked to myself into the damn Patriots two weeks
ago with you on the show. I thought all right
five and a half. I'll come back on Seattle money
line right anyway. So here we are now I get
to eat crow twice. The Patriots got me regular season
and Super Bowl.
Speaker 3: One hundred and seventy eight days till the Hall of
Fame game Kel just around the corner, two hundred and
one days from today until the start of college football.
There's I think four games at opening college football Saturday
at the end of August. I did not give the
number of days till the NFL regular season starts. I
don't care when the NFL regular season starts yet, worried
about the Hall of Fame game.
Speaker 1: That's a taker. So we have one hundred and seventy days.
Speaker 3: Days off when it comes to well, not off off
between football games, you know, one hundred and seventy eight
days in a row off way. I have a real
longbeard by the time we got back when it comes
to yesterday's game, Kel and certainly I had New England
with you that my props did very well or they
did fine. I went eight and four with the props.
We made money in the propey. Yeah, close to going
ten and two with the props.
Speaker 1: We didn't get there.
Speaker 3: It happens. That's plaud be Paul Blakeney. If it's from Essex, England.
Thanks Paul. We love having young, we love your comments.
We appreciate it very much. But in terms of what
we're gonna do now for the next six months, obviously
take some time off.
Speaker 1: I'm not an NFL Draft grew.
Speaker 3: Every year, I'm like, we're gonna do shows for the
NFL Draft, and then I never end up doing them.
Speaker 1: It's not my gig.
Speaker 3: And the guys that beat the NFL Draft are active
well before the week before the draft, met to make
the best of their money. So I'm not going to
give you guys NFL draft content. I'm not the best
at that. That said, over the summer, Kelly and I
be back and we'll be doing division previews. I think
last year we did four four or five division preview show,
did an overview and then we did the East, the West,
the North to the souths. We'll do that this summer again,
and then obviously for the start of football, for the
start of the Hall of Fame Game, We'll be back
in August each and every Monday morning, so I expect
we'll do some shows in June for the preview shows
and then again in August for the start of the
Hall of Fame game. And for what it's worth, I
wrote it down last night, thine my target date, my
target date for the NFL Win Report, Friday, July tenth.
I'm like, let's we'll see if that comes to fruition.
And this year, of course, we lost in fact, two
teams that I met under in the NFL Win Report.
I had New England under eight and a half wins.
I had Seattle under eight and a half wins, and
they met in the Super Bowl. Well, that's two wrong predictions. Obviously,
was not a great year for the season. Is that
being said? The long term track record speak forself one
oh five and fifty six since twenty twenty one, since
two thousand and one, I should say, And this was
not a great NFL season for me, cal you know,
it was not a great super Bowl. Obviously I had
New England plus the points in New England they were wrong.
And really it was three things, you know, what was
wrong with the Patriots. First, obviously, the most surprising thing
of all the things for both me was that Sam
Donald was the elusive one and Drake May was the
one who was the statue back there. You know, Sam
Donald escaped at least half a dozen sacks, at least
half of nowhere. There were free rushers about to mess
up the Seahawks day, and Donald just stepped around him.
So some of that may have been New England and
they're brushing too hard. But Sam Donald was elusive, you know,
and Drake May was just kepting, you know, he couldn't.
Speaker 1: Step out of any pressure, kept on getting popped.
Speaker 3: And it was six sacks for Seattle, you know, where
Saddle had on the May and I think the Pagris
had won on Donald, and that was it was in
the game. The pressure created the turnovers. All three turnovers
that the New England had came from Mayshe's where May
was under pressure, and Donald didn't make those same mistakes
when he was under pressured. So the six sacks, the
three turnovers, and obviously Kenneth Walker was the difference yesterday
and he deserved the MVP award. Congratulations to Dan. Alexandrew
had Walker MVP in his pocket, but Walker was a
difference maker in terms of even don't want to make
a big plays all game, you know, uh, and in
a game where the defense is ruled early. I mean
New England was live at nineteen nothing. New England wasn't
alive anymore. They were live at twelve nothing. They were
live two drives into the second half, and they just
couldn't move the football and Seattle was able to make
enough big plays that they were so uh. There's some
initial thoughts on the game, Kel have you finished?
Speaker 1: Have finished? EA and Hay ready to talk?
Speaker 2: Oh, I've been ready to talk, Teddy. I just didn't
to hijack your show. And there was a lot of
things on social media where you were like, oh, well
you said this or you said that. And here's what
I tried to remind people, Right. I was on Radio
Row there in San Francisco, and I was like, guys,
this is just one game, right, It's fun to have
a lot of props. It's fun to do a lot
of different things. Last year, I had a lot of
money on this game. This year I just did not.
And that is I think another reason why I didn't
come back on Seattle minus two thirty one. That's a
little steep for my liking. And two, I just thought
it was gonna be a closer game, right, And you
mentioned twelve nothing at twelve nothing. I was just like, eh,
I could go to bed, you know, like I made
jokes with my friends, like we're down south watching the game.
I'm like, you, guys, I could go to bed. I
have to drive home in the morning. I've got a
lot of shows I've got to do. And you sit
around and you watch and you're right, nineteen nothing. It
just turned on his head and it was like, Okay,
this game is over. And I went upstairs and it
was in the kitchen and started doing dishes so that
I didn't have to do them this morning. Right, Like,
it was just one of those games. It wasn't that exciting.
And that's where it gets kind of difficult. Looking at
the comment section, Hey are you gonna make you were
wrong about darnold things like that. I'm gonna say it
was Seattle dominant. Sure, Seattle was dominant in that game,
Seattle's defense most importantly, but there was nothing super impressive.
I would say this. I would say the Alex Barnard
touchdown was a pretty good throw, right, it was a
good play call. He was wide open there in the
end zone. That was like, okay, there's the Seattle offense
we've been waiting for but you guys mentioned Kenneth Walker
outside of him, I was kind of cheering for Myers
to get the MVP, right, like I make a lot
of jokes about kicking his for losers, and well Rabel
punting there late in the third quarter, I thought, all right, Rabel,
all right, this is telling me you're starting to surrender
and that sucks. Yes, it's the right move, but I
was hoping to see a coach on the scale of
aggressiveness be just a touch more aggressive. I did cash
a couple of different prop bets, and a couple were
not great, like the mccollins under receiving yards blew that
one out of the water.
Speaker 3: But I had Steph Diggs under and the whole game
was perfect per and then all of a sudden they
threw that bomb to him at the end and I'm like,
oh my god, that just ruined it.
Speaker 1: But no, it wasn't like it was a twenty six
yard path. So but that scared the you know what
at of me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, of course I think there was jes Now.
Speaker 3: Really, you know, all the New England props went over
and took up those passing props where they couldn't move
the ball at all, and then the fourth quarter boom boom, boom,
boom boom, patriots up and down the field.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about them of the props in a minute.
Speaker 2: Yeah, garbage. Garbage time is always interesting for these prop bets, right,
And that's the scariest part about holding some of these unders.
I did have Drake may interception, which was great. I
had Sam Darnold as well. He did not throw an
iron t But if you did have over one and
a half receptions, congratulations to you. I was probably the
better bet instead of trying to get one in one.
It is what it is. Teddy. We've got some guys
in the comment section, little over seven hundred of you
guys watching live here the Monday morning after Super Bowl.
If you guys have a question for Teddy, please drop
it in the chat. Cheddy, I will let you continue
to go on about Super Bowl Sunday and how it
was for you and the client.
Speaker 3: Sure, sure, let's so, let's talk about some props and
kel jump in whenever you see fit. And first of all, guys,
am I gonna be admit that I was wrong about
Sam Donald.
Speaker 1: Sam Donald was not great yesterday. Okay, you know he
really wasn't you know?
Speaker 3: The nineteen incomplete passes were a lot of them were
not pretty. And if Donald was great, it would have
been a bigger, much bigger blowout than it was. Seatt
wouldn't settle for all those field goals. So Drake may
was bad, but I'm not gonna say Sam Donald was.
That said, there's a reason Sam Donald, as a winning
QB of the Super Bowl team did not win the MVP.
Let's start, Seattle called tails, landed heads, New England won,
and de third.
Speaker 2: Teddy, I do want to chime in there. Here's one
thing that I did get a text about and I
thought it was really weird, and Ariel and I did
talk about on radio row. So I had tails, but
I had a different not a traditional coin flip. Well,
the team making the call call heads or tails, and
Seattle on the road, dating all the way back until
I think it was week seven in October, every time
they've been on the road, they've called tail. So that
was a nice little cash. Granted I can only get
a few hundred bucks down on it, but that one
was fun because I'm cheering and everybody goes Kelly was
heads and I go but Seattle called that's awesome.
Speaker 3: Yeah, a little bit of research goes a long way,
doesn't it. You know, it really does call tails landed heads.
New England won and deferred. First play of the game
was a run that was good for me, run versus pass.
First run of the game Kenneth Walker that went over,
Walker's first carry over, Barner's first reception went over. Cups
first catch went over. The no score of props were
not great for me because we had no score first
I think five and a half, six and a half,
seven a half minutes. But we also had both Seattle
to punt before they scored in New England to punt
before they scored.
Speaker 1: To those two ended up splitting. You know.
Speaker 3: Seattle did not punt before they score, they had that
field goal drive to open, and then New England did
punt before they score. Then they didn't score again. The
rest of the first quarter stayed under in that regard. So,
but the one thing that I missed, and it really
I felt like after the game, like you're such an idiot,
you know, or after it happened, I'm like, ty is,
how do you not reck the no score? First three
and a half four and a half five and a half,
six and a half, seven a half. All those came
in an era where a touchback got you the twenty.
Now a touchback gets you to thirty five. And that
made a huge difference on that opening drive. And I'm like,
you can't bet this's no score three and a half,
four and a half, five and a six and a half,
seven and a half, eight and a half minutes anymore, because
the opening kickoff touchback gives the team that gets the
ball you no you need one, two first downs, you're
in a field goal range, you're ready, which exactly what
happened for Seattle on that first drive. So that's a
bet that I made and advised my clients to make.
And at the end of it, I'm like, that's stupid.
That's not a bet you're going to be making every
year anymore because of the new kickoff rules. So I
felt like an idiot with that one. Seattle scored before
they punt first score of the game field goal at
the plus price, and I was eleven to fifty eight
when Jason Myers hit that first field goal just after
three minutes into the game. I didn't see that the
national anthem, By the way, Kelly, do you know I
national anthem.
Speaker 1: I didn't remember if it went over or under.
Speaker 2: It went under. And it was crazy because I always
get a pretty good text. But here's the problem. You
got to get it before all of the books take
it down, right, and the second they start getting nailed.
By the time I get the text, you're lucky to
maybe get down a couple hundred bucks. Here was the
problem this year. The books didn't take it down. They
just drastically dropped the line three four five seconds, and
I thought, I can't bet this now, and of course
it still went under.
Speaker 1: So yeah, exactly, you couldn't bet the best of number.
Yeah you could. You know. I had that with the
Knicks and the celt Exist Tham like, oh, I can't
bet it under and yeah, yeah you can.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And that was honestly. I had several people that
I told that I couldn't bet the Super Bowl under right.
We did all of the I mean I think we
did forty four interviews in two and a half days,
Earl and I did. I mean, so fifteen minutes here,
two's there, grab it, Mike on the side of the road,
talk to people, and I just said I didn't have
the Stones to take the under and then it was
started off with four field goals. I'm thinking, golly, Kelly,
what it did get spicy there in the second half.
Speaker 3: Spicy the game went over and got called back on
a penalty.
Speaker 1: No, that's a tough beat. Oh no, there's a flag. Oh,
I don't worry about it.
Speaker 3: But I know if you had the under in that game,
you had a sweat.
Speaker 1: That you didn't think, not necessarily of that, and you were.
Speaker 3: Very thankful for a late holding call that took away
to Kenneth Walker touched on. Guaker still got the MVP,
but he did not get the TV. By the way,
for what it's worth, there were three DK commercials by
the eleven fifty eight mark of the first quarter, and
no other nobody else had won.
Speaker 2: Well, they did, listen. It's just it's funny because we
barely saw those guys on Radio Row, and the Fanduels
of the world had their own giant corner, and we
laughed that you didn't see a lot of the smaller
representations of the books, and I'm like, I think I
just realized. I think they just paid to be the
only sports book on Radio Row. So I guess it
would be arguing that maybe draftings paid to be the
only commercial during halftime or during during the game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, that was the first three minutes, you know,
between the between the national anthem, I turned it on,
and then in the middle of the national anthem, and
then between then in the first three years of the game.
I'm like, I was, you know, it just chrackling bards.
I'm like, that's the second one. That's a third. Wait
a minute, I heard, you know, write it down three
dkros so. New England returned their opening kick while Seattle
took the touchback that was seven extra yards at the
Seahawks actually got I'm like they do this all game.
We talked about the Seahawks special team's edges.
Speaker 1: They were real.
Speaker 3: In yesterday's ball game, New England first play was a
run reminder, Stevenson first carry went over. Both teams converted
their first first third down attempt. In the ball game tomorrow.
Douglas first catch for eight yards, first sack came from
Derek Hall, and of course, the Drake Bay first rush
went eleven yards over. New England punted before they or
no touchback in that regard five field goals over obviously,
but the five field goals, so total field goals went over.
Myers field goals went over. Patriots no field goals, so ringo,
the field did not go over.
Speaker 2: But it's crazy.
Speaker 3: The longest field goal the game was only forty one yards.
The longest field goals stayed under kel.
Speaker 2: It was weird. So I remember we were sitting there
talking to Clay and he asked, He was like, how
do you see the game script? And I said that
I wanted to bet over three and a half field goals.
You know how you can ladder it at the Westgate
super book. They give you like two and a half
juiced three and a half might have been like minus
one twenty four and a half, right, And I was like,
I like there to be a lot of field goals
in this game. And I was this close to betting it,
and Ariel goes, you know that the Patriots give up
the least amount of field goals the Patriots. Stephens is
giving up the least amount of field goals all season long.
And I was like, all right, I bet I better
just not And then of course, right out of the
gate over three and a half field goals, I mean
before halftime, and I was thinking that was when I overthought,
you know, and it's it's interesting because you're right, the
Patriots scoring no field goals. I mean I made a
joke about kicking as for losers. I meant punting is
for losers for a vrabel, but it's kicking nonetheless.
Speaker 3: So I had the longest punt over fifty four and
a half yards, and that was a sweat.
Speaker 1: It cashed. I got there and all said done.
Speaker 3: But with all the punt that they had, I think
there was only one that went over that number. I mean,
between them, they won a dozen punts at least.
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, defensively in the first half, that was
a pretty great game, right, and then it just kind
of turned on its head there in the second, right
after the Patriots went three and out, and he thought,
all right, we're not going to see a rejuvenated second
half from this team. I thought, maybe at halftime, all right,
we may see they may come out, they may score
a touchdown and maybe twelve seven, right, and this game
could get turned around for them. But no avail.
Speaker 1: Sure, fifteen punts.
Speaker 3: By the way, yesterday, both guys kicked the fifty five
yard punts in the buckle and that was a really
it was a fast game as sort of.
Speaker 1: The first half was really fast, you know. It was
if we were.
Speaker 3: Doing that game. It was if we were doing End
Zone Live. I know, Sean Higgs did En Zone Life
yesterday all by himself. Was Jesse schelling there for a while,
Kudos to you, Sean. But if we were doing the
End Zone Live like we do every Sunday during the
regular season right here on Wait You Talk TV, that
would have been the first game going a halftime, you know,
because the first half was boom boom boom fast and
then obviously once the Bad Bunny and everything kind of
slowed down in the second half, it was more scoring.
But that was a relatively fast Super Bowl for what
it was worth. There were no penalties, you know, a
relatively penalty free ball game. The key penalty obviously came
on the touchdown that would have sent the game over
in the end, but from a penalty standpoint, both teams
played really clean. They finished with seven penalties between them
for a total of fifty yards. Seven accepted penalties between
the soul of the penalty props stayed. Oh Walker was
a lock for not a lock for MVP, but he
was a favorite by a big favorite by the third quarter.
He went over rushing yards in the first half. He
went over rushing and receiving yards in the first half.
He had the twenty one.
Speaker 1: That second reception he had that got hto twenty sixth
sent that over.
Speaker 3: You know, Drake May less than forty yards of offense
in the first half, although the Patriots had less than
forty yards of offense ord to that final driver the first half,
first half eight to four and first downs. We had
one first down after the first quarter, between the first
and the end of the third.
Speaker 1: I mean May it was just off. Drake May was.
It was probably the worst game I've seen him play period.
He saw the.
Speaker 3: Ghosts, not the Sam Donald. I talked about Darnald's elusiveness.
You know, the Pats got sacked, Seattle escaped and made plays. Obviously,
great day for kicking props, bad day for return props,
bad day for the big plus price. We talked about
it a little bit in some of the videos that
I did. We talked about it last week. But there
was no safety. There was no point two point giver,
and there was no octopus. There were no fourth down conversions.
Speaker 2: Yes, there was one that I actually should go back in.
Have you ever been like just not wanting to open
your accounts, Teddy, Like that's what I was today. I
was like, I'm just not gonna look. I'm just not
gonna look today because again I knew that it wasn't great.
I did have no fourth down conversion. That was one
of the props that I got a text about plus
one seventy that the Eagles would not have attempt a
fourth down conversion. Not it would, they would not even
attempt one. So it was plus one seventy. So that
was really nice to be able to cash that one.
Now that you say that things are looking up for me,
maybe I should log in.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: So yeah, the two teams are combined zero for zero
on fourth downs in that ball game, although total yards
in the game went over the numbers six sixty six
total yards.
Speaker 1: What do you think about that now? Between the two teams.
Speaker 2: That's very interesting because you're absolutely right. You mentioned the
Patriots in the first half, and it was like that
the joke was I think somebody tweeted a half time
bad Bunny has more yards than at halftime in the Patriots,
because you know, he's running around the whole stadium, like
they were joking about him having more yards than the Patriots,
and I thought, man, that's well, it's probably true.
Speaker 3: Let's see Smith and Jigba was the one guy for
Seattle who didn't catch anything.
Speaker 1: Uh. He had the winning for.
Speaker 3: Concussion protocol in the third quarter and he really had
a lousy you know whatever. He didn't have the day
that betters were expecting. And of course Christian Gonzalez gets
some credit for that. He made plays all games, Christian
Gonzalez if the Pats would have won, which they were
never in a position to win. But in my mind,
he was here. He was as important as any player
in the game yesterday. For Chris collins Worth gave him
some love and I thought he deserved it. And of
course no turnovers, no penalties, only one sack for Seattle
that was a mistake, yellow gatorade. Yes, defensive, especially his touchdown.
Speaker 1: Yes.
Speaker 3: Seven players had a rush attempt over under was eight
to play with a pass attempt over under was two
and a half. Players with the reception that were fifteen.
The over under was thirteen and a half. Seattle had six,
New England had nine, and a lot of that was
the Patriots in their comeback attempt in the fourth quarter,
which also sent Drake May's numbers over the total, while
Sam Donald stayed under the total. When you talk about
the touchdown scorers, A J. Barner, you got o, WOSU
got one, a chain of Wosu on the defense side,
Matt Collins and Ramande Stevenson. The books cleaned up on
the touchdown props yesterday, and the quotes coming at out
of several books after the game were that was a
pretty good Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was a good.
Speaker 3: Game, you know, And I think the anytime touchdown scores
that were the most popular players did not.
Speaker 2: That's one thing. And I didn't want to call anybody
out because I'm I'm in the gray area in this industry, right,
Like I'm not a big media personality on daytime TV.
I'm a sports gambler, but like, I do a lot
of content on some of these outlets. And I saw
a tweet from somebody who was pretty prominent say, oh man,
the books are gonna hate that they have to refund
all these anytime touchdown score bets. And I was like, okay,
so I just sit inside tweet. I didn't retweet their
tweet and was like, hey, just for a reference, no
touchdown was available, as it is every single week in
like and I know a lot of these guys are
only seeing it for the Super Bowl, right, but every
single week you walk into Circle, you walk into Westgate,
you go into draftings, wherever no is always an option, right,
no touchdown scored?
Speaker 3: Right?
Speaker 2: It was one hundred and twenty one at the Westgate
super Book, and they had some people betted. I know
Jeff Benson told Brett that several people had betted, actually
for a like a small five figure loss for them,
that no touchdown would be scored. Obviously we saw touchdowns.
But I did find it really interesting that a lot
of people who don't gamble every single week thought that
they would get their money back based on someone if
there if there was no touchdown score.
Speaker 3: Sure, people that people that don't gamble often have funny
reactions to stuff that you and I take for granted,
and I'm sure most of our audience take for granted.
How about this cash to what fourteen years in a row?
Sixteen years in a row and I was lost each
of the last two years, team to score last loses the game.
Speaker 1: Ooh, that was.
Speaker 3: The one Ralph that was when when Ralph started putting
out that that wager Talk sheet. And by the way, guys,
make sure you download that sheet that she's so valuable.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 3: And it's free uh from waygertalk dot com, from Ralph's homepage.
I think you have it on the man on the page,
but that's your.
Speaker 2: Ball under download you guys can even go back and
look at it. And from a historical perspective.
Speaker 1: Does the history matters?
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter, It absolutely matters, especially so like uh, Louis,
one of the producers on the Kelly and Murray Show,
said Kelly, I want to bet that there will be
a touchback on the opening kickoff, And I said, I
sent him Ralph's guy, and I said, just be careful,
and then of course he would have cast a sick in.
And I'm like, historically this has not been a good bet.
Speaker 3: But we have to be aware now that when we're
talking about the kickoff stuff, all that everything that's old
has got to be thrown in the trash because with
the new return, with the new rules, it changes the
whole equation for first scores.
Speaker 1: And that's something that I didn't think through properly.
Speaker 2: No, and I didn't either telling him because again my
brain went immediately to history and thinking, this is not
a good bet for you. I get it. It's plus money,
it's enticing, it's exciting. Sure enough, it does make sense
to not get too over zealous there in the end
zone and just get your team in good field position
right out of the gate.
Speaker 3: Sure yeah, no doubt. But team to score last loses
again that second straight year.
Speaker 1: That's happened.
Speaker 3: Every Patriots rushing prop, every one of them went under
except for two. Drake May's longest ru rush went over.
He had a sixteen yard rush and Triviaon Henderson had
five and it was over five and a half carries.
Speaker 1: He got to six. That was it. Every other New
England rushing prop stayed under.
Speaker 2: Ye, Drake mayl six and a half rushing attempts. I
thought him running for his life was going to be
a good thing. Unfortunately.
Speaker 1: So clearly Drake May was hurt yesterday.
Speaker 3: Okay, clearly Drake May was not yes And that's something
that the Patriots hid, and that's something that was not
actually reflecting on the injury report. And that's something that
if you if you bet New England, you did not
get You know, that was not the Drake May that
we've seen all year.
Speaker 1: It was he wasn't good.
Speaker 3: He missed open receivers, he saw ghosts, he didn't take
off and scramble and positions where he normally would. He
took sacks who were normally would be elusive. My takeaway
was the Patriots live on their injury report.
Speaker 2: And that didn't make me feel any better about my Patriots.
Bet I did three separate Boston radio hits, so there
was a point in time on radio Row where Ariel
had to do like her Ringer Show, and just so
happened my handler Andrew, our babysitter for the week. I
was like, Hey, I got you in Boston radio. Oh
when I got you in Boston radio. No, I got
you in Boston radio. Don't you want to tell them
your thoughts on the game. And I was like, oh,
the Boston fans love me. I've been telling them there
are a bunch of frauds all year long, and I
kind of had to walk back some of it. But
the nice thing about that, Teddy is getting to sit
there and talk to some of those guys, right because
they're one of two of those guys are in Gillette
doing their show every week, right like they are in
the lot. No one, No one knew Drake May was hurt,
I mean, and if they did, they kept it very
close to the vest.
Speaker 1: Sure it was well hidden, you know what. So he was.
Speaker 3: There were there were There were buzzes on both quarterbacks
the first week. You know, hey Darnold's not right, Hey
May's not right. And then neither guy was listening on
the report second week say Okay, you're not gonna worry
about it, but May was not anywhere near one hundred
percent yesterday. That certainly it costs me money, but honestly,
it wouldn't my thought process. And again I took the Patrio.
I'm not gonna make any pologies taking the Patriots, all right.
I'm not laying more than a field. Going a Super
Bowl not doing for me. It's a priori. I'm not
doing it because I've seen enough Super Bowls to know, yeah,
they're gonna be games like yesterday, all right, And yesterday
that thought process probably hurt because Seattle was certainly the
better team on both sides.
Speaker 2: Of you mentioned his history, the underdogs have been cashing,
if not winning out right at a really great rate, Teddy.
Speaker 3: Yes, so I had eleven and two in the thirteen
Super Bowls this century of of higher than a field
goal with the underdog. But the issue wasn't just that history.
The issue was how did that happen? And in game
after game in the Super Bowl, where I'm like, this
team's better than that team, this team of the freaking
that this Giant's team is garbage? Dude, what Eli Manning?
Speaker 1: Really?
Speaker 3: You know, I mean, over and over again the Super Bowl,
I've everer the Niners, Ravens. You know, we're like, you know,
Joe Flacco really, you know, early Joe Flacco really, you know, uh,
I mean you can go through a bunch of them
where there was clearly one team had been better than
the other team all year, and then all of a sudden,
two weeks go by and the hype comes and then
two teams are even. And that lesson has been driven
into my brain in a way that it's not coming
out all right. And if we start to see blowouts,
then maybe we'll change it. You know, we see a
couple more Super Bowls like the one we saw yesterday,
but the fact that no matter how good they were,
a month and two months and three months ago for
how good they are today. What the history of the
Super Bowl has shown me is that you can't. You
don't even with the Juggernauts against supposedly lesser squads. Now
we're gonna played a crappy game yesterday. That was not
the Patriots a game they didn't come close. Certainly on
the offensive side, they didn't come close. I mean they
were you know, and I think a lot of it
was maazing injury. A lot of it was Seattle's defense,
and if you watch the opening line report every week,
I think it was It was about beginning of November
where I started giving old Seahawks quotes talking about how
good this defense was, and the quotes coming out of
that Seattle locker room saying this is the best defense
ever played on, this is the best defense. Is Deven's
caable of doing something? And those are quotes we talked
about from literally mid season. It wasn't like the December.
That was maybe October November we were I had three
or four weeks in a row where it was like
the same type of quotes, and for what it's worth,
you know, Seattle's defense was the what was the best
that's the.
Speaker 2: Best part about the show, saying, hey, guess what hand up.
We were wrong about this. I was wrong about that,
Kelly was wrong about this, and here's how we're going
to fix it going forward. Right. I think you admitted, hey,
I was wrong on the Seahawks Week seven. Maybe it
was definitely October, and you said, hey, look we lost this.
We're going to move along, and here's where we're going
to start to make money. Making those in season adjustments
can really mitigate some of your losses when you try
to hang on to that you were wrong, and that's
what I tried to do in the super Bowl. It's like,
all right, here's here's this narrative that I was pushing myself.
Maybe I was wrong in that fact. I really do
stand behind that the Patriots defense was absolutely solid. I
really do stand behind that Sam was not some you know,
MVP caliber quarterback out there. He he he was a
good game manager. I'm gonna give him that. I'm happy
for Sam Darnold after all of the bs that he
went through in New York. Imagine having to be a
jet and they just run you out of town. It
is what it is. Happy for the guy. But in
a different scenario, a healthy Drake. May I think that
game could have gone vastly different.
Speaker 1: He said twice, the only FLA once. So that that's
what I have on. Oh yeah, I got more props.
You want to said? You what? What? One last little
prop salvo?
Speaker 2: Well, real quick, Teddy, tell everybody what's going on right now.
It's basketball season. We've got NBA going on, We've got
college basketball going on. I feel like baseball season is
going to be here before you know it. We've got
all sorts of fun stuff this summer, like the World
Cup that I know nothing about. You're not going to
be doing any soccer I'm assuming neither am I. But
it doesn't mean I'm not going to be betting it.
Speaker 3: The one thing I do I stay in my lane.
You know, I've learned in this business.
Speaker 1: You know what.
Speaker 3: I know what I'm capable of, and I know what
I'm not and I don't try to I don't try
to bite off more than I can chew. That being said,
we got some great promos right now, and I want
to start with one for next football season. All right,
twenty twenty five with not my best NFL work played
and simple. That being said, I do not expect to repeat.
I talk about hungry and motivated and ready, and I
understand exactly what went wrong this year. I didn't believe
my lion eyes nearly as much as I should have.
Was a disaster bury anyone, But it wasn't a great year.
Next year, we expect better right now, right now. And
this is the best price you're gonna get on it
for ninety nine complete NFL season from the first game
of the preseason through next year super Bowl. It's as
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my homepage. Tot Dot Buzz, Backslash TC talked about hoops.
Who's been good of late? We've been running hot in
basketball both college UH sixty seven percent running college the
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one at wager talk in NBA action since twenty twenty two,
over two hundred units of profit. I love the Association.
Down the stretch. Use promo code B ball one hundred.
B ball one hundred is gonna get you one hundred
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No promo code need it on my homepage. College and NFL,
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I expect to make money, bottom line, if you're interested.
Speaker 1: All right, but you got buzz back to last DC.
Speaker 2: I also expect to make some money here in the
upcoming basketball season. As I mentioned, March madness is going
to be right behind the corner. Sean Michael says, Teddy
nailed the NIXT plus three yesterday money. We love to
hear it, Teddy, I would be getting involved in some
NBA after the playoffs start. We all know right now.
It's kind of an interesting thing.
Speaker 1: I love this time here in the NBA.
Speaker 3: I love the dog days of March when the market market.
Speaker 2: I know he does, I know Vino does. Like We've
got lots of great NBA guys. I think I'm just
not in it this late in the year, right because
I was too busy for and November. I was too
busy focus in college football, college backs, things like that.
So let everybody know if they do want to get
involved from NBA, like, where are you finding some edges
right now?
Speaker 3: So my whole thought process on the NBA is that
by a week into the season, by two each of
the season, you have season long stats and they start
to lie right away, all right. All I look for
in the NBA is full season stats that are lying.
I want teams that are hot just now. Just ride
this team for a week or two, Ride that team
for a week or two, right bet against this team
for three weeks while the you know, this key role
player got hurt. The markets aren't adjusting. This is a
bet against squad. You know this is an over team
right now. This is an under team right now. I
look for the short term streaks. When you're watching NBA
every night and you're paying attention to NBA night, you're
going through every box score every night. You see the
short term stuff, and the markets don't adjust the way
they should.
Speaker 1: I do.
Speaker 3: So I love the NBA, and I love it at
this time of year because by February you have these
season long stats.
Speaker 1: They're baked in.
Speaker 3: It takes the markets a month of good play for
a team to adjust their appro power rating enough and
by the time they adjust it, that bump has gone
out and now they're a better against team. You know,
so you can really, you know, I really ride some
streaks this time of year, and the association has been
you know, probable short term, propable long term. Going to
the All Star break around the trade deadline could be
a little tricky, but you just I stay true to
my strategies and philosophies of how to beat the NBA,
and that's I don't worry too much about this guy's
playing or not. You know, some guys freak out on injuries.
I don't freak out on anjury. I don't care, you know,
especially for teams that have depth. So that's stuff that
we look for.
Speaker 2: Teddy, we don't have any we don't have any NFL questions,
but we do have my NBA question. If you want
to answer it, it's up to you. I know, this
is not an NBA show, but anything else you want
to kind of wrap up put a little bow on
that twenty five six NFL season, Yeah.
Speaker 3: I just want to go through what one last has
bit of props rated them out last night for the show.
I'm like, let's go through it. We'll have the team
score three tight three. Why did team score three straight times?
Speaker 1: Yes?
Speaker 3: Why the teams score four straight times? Yes, that was
a nice plus price if you had that team score first,
Seattle team to score last, New England and the plus price.
Speaker 1: Will both teams score in the first quarter.
Speaker 3: No, we'll have the teams score in the first three
and a half, four and a half, five and a half,
six and a half, seven a half, eight and a
half minutes. Yes see I got that early field goal.
A lot of teams scored in the last two minutes
of the first half. Yes, another Seahawks field goal. Will
they score it in the final three and a half
minutes of the game? Yes, but not in the last
two minutes of the game for what it was worth.
Will both teams have a lead in the first half?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 3: Will there be a lee change in the fourth quarter? No,
that was a nice minus. Will the game be tied
after zero zero? No, that was a favorite. Will there
be a missed extra point kick? Was there a missed
extra point? I wrote down yet? No, there was a
missed extra point.
Speaker 2: Yesterday no, I don't believe.
Speaker 3: So, yeah, I know there wasn't. I think I just
wrote it down wrong. No, will both teams make thirty
three yarder field goals longer? No?
Speaker 1: What else we got on here?
Speaker 3: Total touchdowns over under five and a half under first
score of the game will be a touchdown, and the
other and the under at the plus price long as
touching on the game over thirty six and a half
yards that came on the defensive score short of touch
into the game over one and a half yards.
Speaker 1: They never got the one yard TD. Of course, I
only have a right.
Speaker 2: There was no touch push this year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3: Total yardage of all made field goals went over because
it went over this into. The last touchdown of the game,
with seven yards was over under eight and a half.
Total yardage of all touchdowns in the game seventy six
and a half that went over again thanks to the
forty four yard was originally ruled as a fumble but
then later changed to an interception, which was very very
good for my bank role.
Speaker 1: So there you go.
Speaker 3: There's some last props for you. Let's talk next year.
I gonna talk some future book gods.
Speaker 2: Yeah, why not?
Speaker 3: I do not recommend betting on any of these at
this stage. That being said, what we're looking for right
now and I got MGM numbers here bet MGM numbers.
If you want to go to the West Gate, you're
gonna find comparable, the Circle, you're gonna find comparable.
Speaker 1: You can shop around. But the concept piece is tiers.
Speaker 3: You know, we're looking for the different tiers of teams
for twenty twenty six and what we're looking for about
the future book right now, we're looking for long shots
that are live. Obviously, last year we had two long
shots that were live in to Seattle and New England.
Both paid better than fifty to one if you bet
him at this time of the year. Do we have
any teams like that this year? So looking at the
bet MGM numbers at the opener for the twenty twenty
six Super Bowl, Seahawks eight to one, Rams nine to one,
Ravens and Bills twelve to one, Packers and Eagles fourteen
to one, Lions, Chiefs, Chargers and Patriots fifteen to one.
So that's your tier. The favorites, maybe forty nine Ers
at seventeen to one, those would be the favorite. Seahawks, Rams, Ravens, Bills, Packers, Eagles, Lions, Chiefs, Chargers, Patriots,
and forty nine Ers. It's a lot of favorites. At
twenty to one. Broncos, Texans, Jaguars, three live teams, probably
twenty five to one the Bears. I think the Bears
probably take a step back next year. I don't know
if you have a big step back, but they're gonna
be able to have the type of success in winning
all the close games like they did this year. Thirty
one Bengals, Cowboys forty to one, Colts Buccaneers. Colts might
be interesting at forty to one, Vikings fifty to one.
That's something I might look Commanders fifty to one, Falcons
and Giants sixty six to one. Now we're getting to
the real long shots. Steelers eighty to one, Panthers, Titans
one hundred to one, Browns Raiders, Saints one hundred and
fifty to one, Cardinals, Dolphins, Jets two fifty to one.
Of those three, I mean, the Jets aren't live, but
Arizona probably is right not so much, but I don't
look at the Cardinals. Are Dolphins as any worse than
Saints or Browns? You know, and to see those two
teams at one hundred to an extra one hundred to
one versus the one hundred and fifty to one for
the Browns and the Saints is a bit of a
surprise to this better. I don't see that huge disparity
between those bottom three and the three just above them.
That being said, those aren't teams I expect to win
the Super Bowl in twenty twenty six. I will not
be putting any of my money on this future book wager,
and not if there's no reason I bet any of
these right now. This is for information purposes only at
this time.
Speaker 2: That you should not bet it is until least we
have the schedules coming out, yes or after the draft.
I mean, when do you recommend people I actually start
to take some of these numbers. Seriously, I don't so.
Speaker 1: These are numbers that I bet.
Speaker 3: I don't bet NFL futures like they're gonna one team's
gonna win, the other thirty one are gonna lose. Yes, Okay,
if you want to bet these, I would certainly recommend you, know,
so I start realistic looking at the bet we win
totals after the draft comes out, after the schedule comes out,
the schedule.
Speaker 1: Three is much more important. The draft. You know, the draft.
Speaker 3: Everyone's wrong about every draft opinion that there is all right,
no one, no, you know. The one thing you get
to the draft is this team's trying to win this
year because I'm making win now moves. This team's playing
for next year because they're making win later moves. You know,
So that can you in a direction. But in terms
of oh, these players got drafted by this team, therefore
they're way better. No, you know, the tunets are wrong,
the gms are wrong, the betters are wrong, the drafts are,
in terms of predicting them, are fairly random. So if
you're going to get involved in the in the future
book market, I would look later rather than sooner. And certainly,
once the schedule comes out, you have the list of
opponents already, but you don't have any The nuances of
that schedule and the new ones of the schedule matter
a lot, and certainly when in terms of the factors
that get you the position to be in the Super Bowl,
like getting home Peole avanas in the playoffs, like Seattle
had and we had for the first two games. You know,
in New England's going to Houston, or New England's going
to LA maybe a very different participant in the Super
Bowl this year from the AFC, but they got those
two home games, and they played a team with a
backup QB in the championship game, which gave.
Speaker 1: Them the route to get there. But uh, yeah, there
you have it.
Speaker 3: Kil I don't know, I'm now you take over for
a minute.
Speaker 2: No, I think that's pretty much all I had. I
got to get a little bit of my vincing out.
You made me feel better about Drake May's performance. Suddy.
Any final thoughts that our audience needs to know before
we don't see them until summertime.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so, look, guys, again, we really appreciate all the likes,
all the comments, all the follow us. You guys give
us so much support, the positive feedback during the regular season.
Speaker 1: It really helps.
Speaker 3: Thank you for watching every week, Thank you for telling
your friends about our show. And of course you know
we're gonna do it again. I ain't going anywhere. You
guys can hate me, you guys can love me, do
what you like. But Detroit Lions, Phoenix Sunsets Phoenix Sundust
got it right.
Speaker 1: You know this year the Lions here isn't it.
Speaker 2: Cal good grief, the poor Lions. I feel so bad
for you and Johnny Detroit. Imagine growing up there and
having to deal with such a long suffering franchise. Maybe
it will be the Bills turn too. Uh see how
that plays out for the twenty twenty seven Super Bowl.
By the way, guys, it is on Valentine's Day, so
start getting your excuses.
Speaker 3: And now I want to ask you about this kel
because that's a that's actually really a big deal, all right,
because this is the first one ever on Valentine's Day,
and Valentine's Day is a different dynamic.
Speaker 1: You guys out there understand, you know, I don't think that's.
Speaker 2: Gonna help you to shock you to hear that I
could care less about Valentine's Yeah.
Speaker 1: So I wish well, I'm not let let me phrase
this correctly.
Speaker 2: I'll just say it. Just say what you're gonna say.
Speaker 3: I was there in that case. They wish you were
my wife. But I don't wish you were my wife
because you and I would be a horrible couple.
Speaker 1: But my wife is, well, what.
Speaker 3: Are you doing for me? Anatinas day? Super rowls on
Valentine's Day, you know, And I love my wife, but
it's going to be an issue. And I'm really interested
to see, like how these battles play out across the country.
Speaker 1: I gotta think viewership's down, you know. I got to
think there's.
Speaker 3: Going to be a lot of women are like you
after val you know. Kara's like, f you, you ignore
me all year. You're taking me out and you're taking
me out nice for Valentine's Day, And She's right, I
do ignore all year, and I do it.
Speaker 1: You know, I get it, you know.
Speaker 3: So and then of course our anniversary is the next day,
so it's Valentine's Da anniversary, you know, And of course
you don't me. I got married, literally, I got married
that weekend because I'm like, that's Super bowth over and
the nb's on All Star break and I can get
married this weekend. And then the Super Bowl said, and
then n NFL's like, oh, we're gonna go to seventeen games,
and then they push the All Star break through the
NBA All Star break back in the best laid plans
of mice and men. So I'm sorry, I'm going on.
Speaker 2: Oh good luck to everybody. I saw that and I
was like, oh boy again, I don't care. I'd rather
go out in a random Tuesday in April. But I
understand where some women might really prefer the pomp and
circumstance that goes along with it, and if they don't
get it, there could be some battles unfortunately for you guys,
And no, Sean Michael, do not propose on Valentine's Day. Please,
for the love of God again, random Tuesday in April,
much better day. Don't do it on Valentine's Day. Just
some personal opinions here or any other holiday or her birthday.
Speaker 1: You're welcome though, if you know. Look, if the clock's
kicking and you gotta propose, you know.
Speaker 3: But if you don't do it on Valentine's Day, you
feel it, she knows you didn't propose to her, then it's.
Speaker 2: Like, then do it on Friday afternoon before Valentine's Day,
Then do it Thursday night. I don't care. Please don't
do it on Valentine's Day. It's so cheesy. Okay, I'm
off my pulpit. You guys have been the best. Over
two thousand of you guys watching with us live here
the Monday morning after Super Bowl. Hopefully none of you
are too hungover. I am not I should have drank
through that Super Bowl because that's how bad it was.
But I elected to be a good citizen of the
world so I could be present for all of you
here with Teddy Covers like we have been every single
Monday morning at Teddy Underscore covers on all your social channels.
Teddy will be around for basketball all season, and then
we will see you guys this summer. Go ahead, Teddy.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to give that promo code one
more time, guys, if you want again. This was not
my best NFL season, all right, I don't hide it,
all right, I'm not embarrassed by it. I didn't do great,
all right, I didn't My clients didn't get buried, but
it wasn't great. I expect better next year, four ninety nine.
Right now, NFL full season on my own page WT
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Thanks for watching. We appreciate you guys. Have a great summer,
have a great spring, and I guess we'll see you.
We'll see it, we'll see it come summertime.
Speaker 2: Bye guys, thank you again. Make sure you hit that
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