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<v Speaker 1>With Laurent's Segal end from London and Gerard read from Berlin.

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<v Speaker 1>This is redefining energy today.

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<v Speaker 2>On redefining energy, we're going to look at hyperscalers and

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<v Speaker 2>US utilities. But we did something sort of similar a

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<v Speaker 2>few months back, and actually what we did is we

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<v Speaker 2>looked at from the hyper scaler's point of view. This

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<v Speaker 2>time we're going to look at from the utilities, the

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<v Speaker 2>US utilities, how they see barber World's going forward, how

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<v Speaker 2>they can meet demand going forward, what new services are

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<v Speaker 2>in it, and whether it's a hype cycle.

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<v Speaker 3>Or our But first the world from my partner.

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<v Speaker 1>A b Loco Energy is Europe's premier leaser of ten

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<v Speaker 1>foot container mobile batteries built in Europe with COTL best

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<v Speaker 1>LFP cells. A Bloco Energy serves fourteen European countries, including France,

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<v Speaker 1>Germany and the UK. A Bloco's batteries can be leased

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<v Speaker 1>for any duration between six weeks and six years, and

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<v Speaker 1>they are monitored by the Dutch award wearing platform school

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<v Speaker 1>A block or Energy make your life easier, make your

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<v Speaker 1>business more flexible.

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<v Speaker 3>Back to the show, Yes Chad, in episode two nineteen,

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<v Speaker 3>we really analyzed the need for power from hyper scalers,

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<v Speaker 3>and in order to get the view of the US utilities,

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<v Speaker 3>we have brought Rajif Bajarj is VP of Solutions Sales

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<v Speaker 3>that Constellation and for our listeners, Constellation it's in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of capacity, in terms of generation, it's the largest power

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<v Speaker 3>producer in the US, and their fleet is extremely interesting

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<v Speaker 3>because it's fifty percent nuclear and fifty percent gas after

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<v Speaker 3>the acquisition of Calpine last year. So you're going to

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<v Speaker 3>see how the growth of Hyperscalar is perceived from a

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<v Speaker 3>US utility point of view.

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<v Speaker 4>So why don't we bring them on a show. I'm

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<v Speaker 4>looking forward to this.

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<v Speaker 3>Rash Welcome to the show. Thank you very much. Lauren.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, right, maybe i'd kick off. I used to be

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<v Speaker 4>a utilities on list and if I look at utilities,

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<v Speaker 4>they've always traded a very low multiples because basically los

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<v Speaker 4>has been happened in the utility space for twenty years.

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<v Speaker 4>And then I look at the share prices in the

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<v Speaker 4>last few years of the utilities and evaluations they're at.

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<v Speaker 4>Suddenly they're trading like growth stocks. So gives an a

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<v Speaker 4>view of what's happened too for the sleepy utilities to

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<v Speaker 4>suddenly have these great valuations and growth stories.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, when I first joined the industry, it was

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<v Speaker 5>a very sleepy, boring industry. Nothing ever changed, and there's

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<v Speaker 5>been a tremendous transformation in the industry and with our company,

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<v Speaker 5>because everything is now revolving around energy. And that's just

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<v Speaker 5>not in the data center space, but in general. The

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<v Speaker 5>supply demand has shifted very significantly, continues to change, and

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<v Speaker 5>it's going to have a significant impact on the global

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<v Speaker 5>economy and how things play out over the next few

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<v Speaker 5>years for sure.

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<v Speaker 4>And by the way, look at im enough see you

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<v Speaker 4>work for Constellation. What for me is incredible is to

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<v Speaker 4>see the share price has going up sixfold in five years.

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<v Speaker 4>And again I've never seen anything like that in the

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<v Speaker 4>utility space.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 5>That's the amazing part is, in many ways, a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of our company's stocks, so it's just not Constellation, with

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<v Speaker 5>other companies as well, has tracked what has happened in

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<v Speaker 5>the data center space. There's a fairly strong correlation in

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<v Speaker 5>some cases that shows how much energy is being valued

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<v Speaker 5>as being impactful to the world in this very important

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<v Speaker 5>segment of the market.

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<v Speaker 3>If you try to put some numbers to a Constellation,

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<v Speaker 3>you're the biggest usut t term of capacity in generation,

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<v Speaker 3>so you generate to a rotel one hour per year.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean front of you. You've got those Hyperscalars, the Amazon,

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<v Speaker 3>the Google, the Microsoft, and they consume thirty to how

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<v Speaker 3>what hour? You're much bigger, But those guys, guys have

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<v Speaker 3>big plans, big money, big demand. How do you accommodate

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<v Speaker 3>those people? Which pace of development for outstreet even probably

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<v Speaker 3>what you can deliver.

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<v Speaker 5>What I can do here is provide a little bit

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<v Speaker 5>of a background on Constellation as a company. Constellation is

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<v Speaker 5>a three year old company. We call it it's a

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<v Speaker 5>new old company because as a company it's been around

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<v Speaker 5>for a long time. But it was at one point

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<v Speaker 5>fired by utility Excellon three years ago, we spun off

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<v Speaker 5>from Excellent in an ipo and we are listed on

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<v Speaker 5>the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. Since then, the company has done

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<v Speaker 5>extremely well. But a lot of times, when you think

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<v Speaker 5>about companies doing well, a lot of it is hard work,

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<v Speaker 5>but you also need some good luck at the same time,

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<v Speaker 5>and the time of our spin off was very good

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<v Speaker 5>because nuclear power at the time was really not in

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<v Speaker 5>vogue at all. Actually, one of the reasons we're being

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<v Speaker 5>spun off is because from an ex Alon standpoint, it

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<v Speaker 5>was a strategic and the shareholders didn't really want it

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<v Speaker 5>as part of the portfolio. During the time of the

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<v Speaker 5>spin off, things changed and the nuclear fleet, many of

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<v Speaker 5>which we had already taken out of commission, some others

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<v Speaker 5>we were considering or had announced we're going to be

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<v Speaker 5>taken out of commission, became more valuable and we got

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<v Speaker 5>the benefit of it during the IPO process and as

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<v Speaker 5>a new company. Because nuclear all of a sudden became

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<v Speaker 5>the thing in vogue. It became important because of the

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<v Speaker 5>reliability of a nuclear fleet and the fact that it

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<v Speaker 5>runs twenty four by seven by three sixty five, which

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<v Speaker 5>became a high priority for data centers as well as others.

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<v Speaker 5>At the same time last year we also announced the

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<v Speaker 5>acquisition of Calpine. That was very much related to where

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<v Speaker 5>we saw the market going moving forward. Our president and CEO,

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<v Speaker 5>Joe Dimingus is he's a visionary. I highly admire his

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<v Speaker 5>knowledge and insight, and he saw that because reliability was

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<v Speaker 5>becoming a bigger issue and we needed to provide every

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<v Speaker 5>electron to the grid as possible, having a nuclear fleet

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<v Speaker 5>was great being clean and reliable, but you can't build

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<v Speaker 5>a nuclear fleet overnight right and add to it. So

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<v Speaker 5>gas became an important part of our strategy. We closed

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<v Speaker 5>the deal at the end of last year and now

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<v Speaker 5>what I would call the new constellation post the Calpie

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<v Speaker 5>and acquisition, we are the largest independent power producer in

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<v Speaker 5>the world. In the US, we have the largest nuclear

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<v Speaker 5>fleet and the largest gas fleet producing electricity. We also,

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<v Speaker 5>through Calpine, have become the largest geothermal provider in the

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<v Speaker 5>US as well. So it's a much more diverse mix

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<v Speaker 5>with generation and a lot of different parts of the country.

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<v Speaker 5>And so it gives us the ability to be more

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<v Speaker 5>flexible in terms of putting together strategies for our customers

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<v Speaker 5>that help them address the three key needs that we

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<v Speaker 5>see moving forward, which are reliability, sustainability, and I will

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<v Speaker 5>add affordability because as power prices are going up, that's

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<v Speaker 5>becoming a bigger and bigger problem.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and affordability. It's the blessing of the US. You

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<v Speaker 3>have gas at three dollar and n metu and if

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<v Speaker 3>you look at what's happening in the girlf right now,

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<v Speaker 3>everybody was getting this gas a twenty dollars. You can

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<v Speaker 3>run a gas fleet at a three dollars and it's

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<v Speaker 3>going to be I guess very profitable. But for the

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<v Speaker 3>rest of the world, gas becomes not top water or

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<v Speaker 3>more like Champagne. So we can't do this fuel strategy.

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<v Speaker 3>You need to import gas even when it arrives. That's

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<v Speaker 3>the blessing you have and good for you to maximize

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<v Speaker 3>the value of it. You are talking to the amazons

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<v Speaker 3>and the metal of this world. What type of conversation

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<v Speaker 3>you're having with them?

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<v Speaker 5>In general, the conversations continue to evolve. Two years ago,

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<v Speaker 5>the discussions were very much focused on stage ability. Everyone

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<v Speaker 5>was very zeroed in on you know, Scope two, scope

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<v Speaker 5>on reductions. Folks that started talking about Scope three. But

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<v Speaker 5>when it became very clear that the demand side of

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<v Speaker 5>things was going to continue to ramp up, each projection

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<v Speaker 5>was higher than the last one. There's been a pivot

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<v Speaker 5>where the reliability has become a much bigger part of

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<v Speaker 5>the conversation. Reliability in the US has become more of

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<v Speaker 5>an issue because of some of the auctions that we've

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<v Speaker 5>had in areas like PGM last year, where there's been

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<v Speaker 5>some very dramatic increases in the capacity numbers, and there's

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<v Speaker 5>a recognition that we should be thinking about not only

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<v Speaker 5>just the electricity price, but other components of what's on

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<v Speaker 5>a customer's bill, right, so capacity, transmission and some ancillaries

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<v Speaker 5>are all being looked at more carefully because each of

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<v Speaker 5>those areas together is the final bill, and you just

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<v Speaker 5>can't look at one section of it, which is your

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<v Speaker 5>energy bill, which interestingly enough, has not changed very dramatically

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<v Speaker 5>over the past few years. It's more the CND side

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<v Speaker 5>capacity prices, which are the largest components of that increase.

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<v Speaker 4>Can I ask you just when you look at the

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<v Speaker 4>end of the day, go back to my whole thing

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<v Speaker 4>about your trading like a growth stock, can you talk

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit about how you see that growth going

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<v Speaker 4>forward and how you manage it and what you see

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<v Speaker 4>is the risks in other words, more easier or does

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<v Speaker 4>anything warrier.

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<v Speaker 5>My job is to understand what the customer is doing,

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<v Speaker 5>what are their pain points, and where do they want

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<v Speaker 5>to go moving forward. Our strategy is very much dictated

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<v Speaker 5>by coming up with new products and solutions that match

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<v Speaker 5>up to their changing needs. And there's a lot going

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<v Speaker 5>on with the pricing part that I talked about earlier,

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<v Speaker 5>but along with that, there's many other exciting things that

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<v Speaker 5>are happening on the technology side of things, as one

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<v Speaker 5>of the largest companies in this space. It's really important

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<v Speaker 5>for us not to just come up with a strategy

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<v Speaker 5>that we're comfortable with and then as an assembly line

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<v Speaker 5>go to every customer with that same solution and expect

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<v Speaker 5>that it's going to work for everyone. That is exactly

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<v Speaker 5>the opposite of what we're seeing. We have to be

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<v Speaker 5>very nimble. We have to understand that the customer and

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<v Speaker 5>their objectives are changing because of what's going on in

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<v Speaker 5>the market. And there are some examples are the Big

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<v Speaker 5>Beautiful Bill last year, some of the executive orders coming

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<v Speaker 5>out of the President. But then what we're seeing in

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<v Speaker 5>terms of impact on solar and wind. On the flip side,

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<v Speaker 5>we have technologies like battery and storage, for example, that

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<v Speaker 5>are becoming a bigger part of the conversation, along with

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<v Speaker 5>exciting areas like SMRs and potentially even fusion if you

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<v Speaker 5>look way into the future. So how do we take

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<v Speaker 5>all of this information and insight and put it together

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<v Speaker 5>in a manner that a company can understand and they

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<v Speaker 5>can say, Okay, I have a ten, fifteen, twenty year

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<v Speaker 5>horizon to get from where I am today to my

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<v Speaker 5>ultimate goal. The planning given what's available today, the constraints

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<v Speaker 5>that are in place, affordability, and then new technology. There

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<v Speaker 5>are all pieces to the puzzle that have to come

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<v Speaker 5>together to really feel like we're providing the value the

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<v Speaker 5>customer is looking for.

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<v Speaker 3>Rash. I'm glad you introduced batteries because I want to

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<v Speaker 3>have a bit of a deeper conversation around batteries. And

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<v Speaker 3>I guess that your Calpine part being very present in Texas,

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<v Speaker 3>so you are interacting with batteries more and more. And

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<v Speaker 3>it's also related to the famous paper of Duke University

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<v Speaker 3>Tayler Norris, who now works at Google, saying the grid

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<v Speaker 3>is okay except for a few hundreds of hours per year,

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<v Speaker 3>which means that if we put flex in fact, we

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<v Speaker 3>we don't need to build as much generation as we

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<v Speaker 3>can imagine. But if I look at batteries in the US,

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<v Speaker 3>it's really Texas, California and the rest you talk about PGM,

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<v Speaker 3>nobody's building battery or maybe I'm wrong, are the huge

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<v Speaker 3>battery plans or not.

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<v Speaker 5>In PGM, things are evolving very rapidly on the battery

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<v Speaker 5>side in the US, where folks are very interested and

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<v Speaker 5>looking at in front of the battery as well as

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<v Speaker 5>behind the meter. Battery Solutions and Texas California by far

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<v Speaker 5>they're the leaders, and they're seeing some very positive impact

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<v Speaker 5>from the battery that they have implemented over the last

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<v Speaker 5>few years. Where California, for example, notifications are going out

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<v Speaker 5>in the summer months as texts to regular citizens of

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<v Speaker 5>California to take their electricity down, and even those types

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<v Speaker 5>of things have had a very powerful impact. Where I'm

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<v Speaker 5>starting to see a change in mindset is also behind

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<v Speaker 5>the battery and here taking battery, looking at demand response

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<v Speaker 5>laurent which you were just referring to, and then in

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<v Speaker 5>some cases also looking at solar as another component. Behind

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<v Speaker 5>the meter is giving people a bundle that they can

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<v Speaker 5>really understand and implement. Now, the cost is still a factor.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm not going to say that. You know, we're in

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<v Speaker 5>a place where it's being embraced in a very significant manner,

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<v Speaker 5>but what you're starting to see is many more people

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<v Speaker 5>having that conversation. We are doing a lot of modeling

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<v Speaker 5>for customers, trying to show them how a battery can

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<v Speaker 5>pay out over a long period of time and how

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<v Speaker 5>it's going to help mitigate the risk for them by

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<v Speaker 5>itself or along with solar, but demand response is a

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<v Speaker 5>very significant part of the conversation as well, and where

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<v Speaker 5>demand response, what I'll say is, and you're talking about

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<v Speaker 5>the Duke paper. We are very proud of the fact

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<v Speaker 5>that being a market leader is great, but one of

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<v Speaker 5>the responsibilities when you are a market leader is you

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<v Speaker 5>should be taking the lead and show new and innovative

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<v Speaker 5>ways to make change and drive change because you have

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<v Speaker 5>an audience that where people will listen to you. And

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<v Speaker 5>with demand response, traditionally it's been a one year program

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<v Speaker 5>and kind of bid into the program because prices for

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<v Speaker 5>capacity we're very low. A lot of companies that were

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<v Speaker 5>in the program have not participated in it. What we

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<v Speaker 5>have tried to do over the last year or so

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<v Speaker 5>is rolled out a product that we called our Enhanced

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<v Speaker 5>Demand Response Product, where we are going for a longer

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<v Speaker 5>term up to ten years, but we're also providing certainty

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<v Speaker 5>in terms of the payout for these companies. So that

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<v Speaker 5>going back to your question on a battery, when people

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<v Speaker 5>are trying to model battery and they're looking at demand

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<v Speaker 5>response at the same time, if you have that certainty

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<v Speaker 5>in terms of the revenue you're going to generate, it

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<v Speaker 5>can even help offset the cost of the battery and

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<v Speaker 5>make the financial models look much more attractive.

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<v Speaker 4>Rash, Can I talk about another technology and listen, you're

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<v Speaker 4>the king of geoturmo in the Western world. I'd love

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<v Speaker 4>to hear your thoughts on the future of it. In

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<v Speaker 4>other words, are we going to see growth in that?

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<v Speaker 4>Is there new technologies there? How do you feel and

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<v Speaker 4>see about that?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, geothermal is a very interesting question. Recently we actually

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<v Speaker 5>had a very good conversation about this, and I'll talk

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<v Speaker 5>about that in a minute, But first, CEBAY is an

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<v Speaker 5>organization that is the acronym stands for Clean Energy Buyers Association.

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<v Speaker 5>They are about four hundred companies, all the hyperscalers, other

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<v Speaker 5>organizations like Target and Walmart and Exonmobile and others are

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<v Speaker 5>part of this group. So it's a very cross functional

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<v Speaker 5>group of energy users very much focus on sustainability and

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<v Speaker 5>our reliability. As part of a board meeting, we visited Washington,

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<v Speaker 5>DC and the Capital and talked with members from the House,

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<v Speaker 5>the Senate as well as the White House, and geothermal

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<v Speaker 5>was something that actually came up for discussion and geothermal

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<v Speaker 5>people put it all together as one term, but they're

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<v Speaker 5>really two distinct pieces to geothermal. One is just through

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<v Speaker 5>natural geysers in places like California, you get a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of heat. From what I understand, the Calpine facility that

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<v Speaker 5>we have in northern California fits into that particular category.

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<v Speaker 5>But then you have a lot of other startups that

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<v Speaker 5>have new and innovative technologies that could be impactful and

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<v Speaker 5>could be used across wider part of the world if successful,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's an area of focus and a topic of

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<v Speaker 5>the conversation. From the discussions I was referring to, the

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<v Speaker 5>problem is that the technologies are still very much in

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<v Speaker 5>their infancy. The price is very high, and more workers

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<v Speaker 5>going to have to be done to really embrace eobermal

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<v Speaker 5>in a significant way. But one thing that was very

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<v Speaker 5>clear to me is that at least from a federal

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<v Speaker 5>government standpoint in the US, there's a lot of interest

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<v Speaker 5>in geothermal and what I'm hoping is that they will

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<v Speaker 5>provide a first of a kind risk or ways for

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<v Speaker 5>these new technologies to come to market faster, because as

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<v Speaker 5>more people embrace it, hopefully prices will come down, it

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<v Speaker 5>will be competitive, and we'll see more of it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, on the pot we've been following Timular Timer at

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<v Speaker 3>Fervo really supported by Google and Cindy at Sage, which

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<v Speaker 3>for me are the two startups. I mean there are

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<v Speaker 3>a bit more than startups because they have raised hundreds

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<v Speaker 3>of millions. And it's true that it's a wonderful technology,

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<v Speaker 3>but as you say, how much can you replicate when

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<v Speaker 3>you go from site A to side B. Probably what's

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<v Speaker 3>above the ground should be pretty much the same. But

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<v Speaker 3>all trilling thing. And it's great. They invented new techniques

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<v Speaker 3>and they just get better all the time. But the

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<v Speaker 3>question remain. Everybody loves it, but everybody questioned the pace

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<v Speaker 3>with which it can be scaled up, which is a

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<v Speaker 3>question we don't have for solar and batteries. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>you just put them on the parking lot or on

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<v Speaker 3>the roof. And Bobby Uncle, there's a lot of technology

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<v Speaker 3>you refer a bit earlier, and here I'm very curious.

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<v Speaker 3>It's SMR And if there's something you know, it's really nuclear.

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<v Speaker 3>So on one camp you have Westinghouse and the book

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<v Speaker 3>Fields who say the big is better, but it has

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<v Speaker 3>been a bit of a pain through av girl, and

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<v Speaker 3>on the other hand get those a lot. I don't know.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm many ten twenty with some declination of the same

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<v Speaker 3>some with new tech, but they've been successfully in raising money.

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<v Speaker 3>How do you see the landscaping.

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<v Speaker 5>SMRs somrs are great technologies, And to the first part

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<v Speaker 5>of your question, we don't think that there's going to

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<v Speaker 5>be a focus only on big or a focus just

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<v Speaker 5>on SMRs. It's going to be a mix moving forward,

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<v Speaker 5>and that mix is going to how that percentages shakeout

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<v Speaker 5>is to be determined, but it's going to be a combination.

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<v Speaker 5>From a constellation standpoint, when we look at a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of these new technologies for SMRs, at this point we

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<v Speaker 5>are agnostic to it. We're talking with every company, We're

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<v Speaker 5>understanding the technologies.

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<v Speaker 4>We do have a lot.

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<v Speaker 5>Of knowledge and insight, obviously on the nuclear side, so

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<v Speaker 5>we are getting prepared to implement SMRs as a strategy

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<v Speaker 5>at some time in the future. Having said that, in

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<v Speaker 5>the US there have been a lot of announcements, but

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<v Speaker 5>there are certain parts of the world that are a

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<v Speaker 5>little ahead of the US when it comes to SMRs.

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<v Speaker 5>We will see SMRs. SMRs are going to become important

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<v Speaker 5>across the world, but in the US realistically, SMRs are

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<v Speaker 5>not going to be at at any significant scale until

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<v Speaker 5>at least twenty thirty five. That's because there's a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of process work and approvals that are going to be

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<v Speaker 5>needed before we get there. So technology is important, it's

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<v Speaker 5>one part of it. But then how are you going

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<v Speaker 5>to license and the permitting and where they go in

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<v Speaker 5>and how they are brought on are all things that

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<v Speaker 5>have to be decided is still work in progress. What

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<v Speaker 5>I can say is a lot of companies that we

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<v Speaker 5>talk to, and this is probably true across the world,

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<v Speaker 5>people think about SMRs and they think that, oh, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>I can just drop an SMR anywhere. Given our experience

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<v Speaker 5>in nuclear, you just can't build nuclear anywhere. There's a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of work that needs to be done on where

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<v Speaker 5>the location is. There's a lot of work that has

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<v Speaker 5>to be done in terms of talking with the local communities,

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<v Speaker 5>giving them the insights and knowledge and giving them the

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<v Speaker 5>opportunity to learn more about nuclear And so when we

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<v Speaker 5>look at nuclear including somrs in the US, we feel

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<v Speaker 5>the best places for SMRs to be located is where

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<v Speaker 5>you already have a nuclear facility because generally there's a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of land and you have a community that is

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<v Speaker 5>very comfortable with nuclear. So in terms of timing interconnections community,

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<v Speaker 5>those are probably the most ideal places for them to

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<v Speaker 5>be located. So Rogie, the one thing that I also

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<v Speaker 5>see in the space is that there's a huge change

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<v Speaker 5>in the way the customers are actually using energy, and

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<v Speaker 5>that means you also have to change the way you're

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<v Speaker 5>servicing them and the products you will for them and

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<v Speaker 5>stuff like that. Could you talk a little bit about

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<v Speaker 5>that and expand the there's a bit of a month on

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<v Speaker 5>the innovations you see in that area there. Jared, it's

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<v Speaker 5>a very good question because conversations keep all evolving with

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<v Speaker 5>our customers. A lot of that has to do with

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<v Speaker 5>pretty much everything that we've been talking about so far.

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<v Speaker 4>Some things that come to mind is.

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<v Speaker 5>Behind the meter, and they're behind the meter strategy a

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<v Speaker 5>lot more interests than probably what we had a year,

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<v Speaker 5>definitely two years ago, so the reliability piece is becoming

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<v Speaker 5>very critical for them. On the reliability side, we also

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<v Speaker 5>have a lot of conversations about nuclear Three four years

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<v Speaker 5>ago we launched an hourly product that started with data

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<v Speaker 5>center companies where if you are pulling wind or solar

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<v Speaker 5>and the sun isn't shining or the wind isn't blowing,

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<v Speaker 5>how can you fill those gaps and still have clean energy.

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<v Speaker 5>We're filling the gaps with our nuclear power in many cases,

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<v Speaker 5>and that has expanded beyond data centers to a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of other verticals as well, so that interest is growing.

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<v Speaker 5>What we're also so starting to see tight reliability is

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<v Speaker 5>that customers now are looking for a long term reliability,

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<v Speaker 5>a way to lock in capacity because they're seeing a

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<v Speaker 5>trend here. The trend is worrisome, it's adding risk for them,

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<v Speaker 5>and so how do you create a long term ppa

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<v Speaker 5>where you can also lock down that capacity is generating

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<v Speaker 5>significant interest as well. Those would be some critical areas.

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<v Speaker 5>Another area that's interesting is Scope three. You know, Scope

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<v Speaker 5>three Europe is very important, but given everything that happened

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<v Speaker 5>over the last year, especially since the election, you would

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<v Speaker 5>think that many of the larger companies would not be

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<v Speaker 5>interested in Scope three. But what we're seeing is a

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<v Speaker 5>fair amount of interest in Scope three and company wanting

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<v Speaker 5>to continue to develop strategies and implement plans to reduce

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<v Speaker 5>their Scope three. It's a misconception to think that companies

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<v Speaker 5>on the US side are not trying to implement their

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<v Speaker 5>sustainability goals. They're doing it, but they're they're looking at

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<v Speaker 5>it more in the context of risk management as well

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<v Speaker 5>as reliability and affordability all at the same time. The

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<v Speaker 5>conversations have become a lot more complex because of that.

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<v Speaker 3>So when you have an a Pascalo or arrives and say, okay,

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<v Speaker 3>I hear you. You know you took a good game,

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<v Speaker 3>but you know I'm going to put some fuel cells

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<v Speaker 3>or all jet engines from buying that I refurbished from

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<v Speaker 3>the scrup yard or even SMO because we've seen meta signing.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know how many giga goot to this company.

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<v Speaker 3>We have a beautiful power point, but that's pretty much

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<v Speaker 3>the end of it. What do you tell them he

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<v Speaker 3>said you want to go fringe, go for it, or

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<v Speaker 3>you just say, look, we can do better.

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<v Speaker 5>It really depends because in many cases what we see

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<v Speaker 5>the customers they're thinking about one thing at a time.

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<v Speaker 5>So they may come to us thinking about can we

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00:23:53.279 --> 00:23:57.559
<v Speaker 5>do off site renownbal project for additionality, or they may say, hey,

423
00:23:57.599 --> 00:23:59.759
<v Speaker 5>you know, we have a certain fuel cell that we're

424
00:23:59.799 --> 00:24:03.720
<v Speaker 5>in state in we want to implement that, And for us,

425
00:24:03.960 --> 00:24:07.839
<v Speaker 5>it's more about broadening that conversation. It's easy to say, okay,

426
00:24:07.880 --> 00:24:10.920
<v Speaker 5>you know, I just want a solar that flows three

427
00:24:11.000 --> 00:24:13.160
<v Speaker 5>years from now because it's going to help me with

428
00:24:13.240 --> 00:24:16.880
<v Speaker 5>certain targets that I had in mind. But given everything

429
00:24:16.880 --> 00:24:21.039
<v Speaker 5>else that just mentioned, it's important to at least try

430
00:24:21.039 --> 00:24:24.079
<v Speaker 5>to engage them in a conversation about what other things

431
00:24:24.119 --> 00:24:26.880
<v Speaker 5>could be impactful for them and help them do some

432
00:24:27.000 --> 00:24:30.240
<v Speaker 5>modeling and risk management so that they can understand that

433
00:24:30.680 --> 00:24:33.480
<v Speaker 5>maybe a fuel cell is not the best because it

434
00:24:33.519 --> 00:24:36.960
<v Speaker 5>could be more expensive, or there's some other issue that

435
00:24:37.160 --> 00:24:39.480
<v Speaker 5>may not be the best fit, but you know, you

436
00:24:39.599 --> 00:24:43.039
<v Speaker 5>have other options that you should consider before you make

437
00:24:43.079 --> 00:24:45.519
<v Speaker 5>the final decision to go down that road. Those are

438
00:24:45.559 --> 00:24:47.559
<v Speaker 5>types of things that we're starting to do quite a

439
00:24:47.559 --> 00:24:48.640
<v Speaker 5>bit more gragi.

440
00:24:48.640 --> 00:24:50.079
<v Speaker 4>If we go and have a look at the future,

441
00:24:50.359 --> 00:24:52.920
<v Speaker 4>give us a view of how you see firstly, you know,

442
00:24:52.960 --> 00:24:55.160
<v Speaker 4>how you see the US power markets developing in the

443
00:24:55.200 --> 00:24:57.119
<v Speaker 4>next five years, and then just also talk about how

444
00:24:57.119 --> 00:25:01.400
<v Speaker 4>you see Constellation in that evolving market, the Constellation as.

445
00:25:01.319 --> 00:25:04.640
<v Speaker 5>A company coming all the way down from Joe Domingus

446
00:25:04.880 --> 00:25:09.279
<v Speaker 5>to everyone else within the company. It's all about understanding

447
00:25:09.319 --> 00:25:12.759
<v Speaker 5>and learning what are the trends, what are the technologies,

448
00:25:13.519 --> 00:25:16.279
<v Speaker 5>and what are the products and services we can offer

449
00:25:16.400 --> 00:25:20.200
<v Speaker 5>that match up to it for our customers. When I

450
00:25:20.240 --> 00:25:23.680
<v Speaker 5>look at things from that lens, we really have to

451
00:25:23.720 --> 00:25:26.240
<v Speaker 5>be on top of things in terms of what all

452
00:25:26.319 --> 00:25:28.599
<v Speaker 5>is happening in the market on a daily basis, right,

453
00:25:28.640 --> 00:25:32.200
<v Speaker 5>and then you add on all the volatility that we're

454
00:25:32.200 --> 00:25:36.119
<v Speaker 5>seeing in the commodity markets itself because of political, economic,

455
00:25:36.200 --> 00:25:40.640
<v Speaker 5>and other factors. We have to make sure that we

456
00:25:41.359 --> 00:25:43.799
<v Speaker 5>know what the impacts are going to be of all

457
00:25:43.839 --> 00:25:48.240
<v Speaker 5>of these changes to companies and help them in adapting

458
00:25:48.440 --> 00:25:52.759
<v Speaker 5>their own strategies most effectively. If there's one word that

459
00:25:52.839 --> 00:25:57.680
<v Speaker 5>I'll use, it's risk management, because risk management is becoming

460
00:25:58.400 --> 00:26:02.759
<v Speaker 5>probably the most critical hard of any strategy that involves

461
00:26:02.799 --> 00:26:07.319
<v Speaker 5>reliability and sustainability right now. Giving confidence that you can

462
00:26:07.359 --> 00:26:10.359
<v Speaker 5>adapt and pivot and change, but what you're going to

463
00:26:10.400 --> 00:26:12.440
<v Speaker 5>do is actually going to be better than what you

464
00:26:12.480 --> 00:26:17.319
<v Speaker 5>were previously thinking. For all these reasons is what companies

465
00:26:17.359 --> 00:26:19.799
<v Speaker 5>are looking for and hopefully that is what a company

466
00:26:19.880 --> 00:26:21.640
<v Speaker 5>like Constellation can provide to them.

467
00:26:21.960 --> 00:26:24.039
<v Speaker 3>Well, I thank you very much for coming on the show.

468
00:26:24.319 --> 00:26:27.599
<v Speaker 3>We're enjoying very much and it's refreshing to have the

469
00:26:27.640 --> 00:26:31.200
<v Speaker 3>point of view of a very professional US utility and

470
00:26:31.640 --> 00:26:34.400
<v Speaker 3>knowing what they're doing compared to all the noise we

471
00:26:34.480 --> 00:26:36.960
<v Speaker 3>hear around. So thank you very much for coming.

472
00:26:37.359 --> 00:26:39.079
<v Speaker 5>Thank you for having me really appreciate it.

473
00:26:39.240 --> 00:26:41.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, great conversation, Thanks a lot.

474
00:26:42.279 --> 00:26:45.359
<v Speaker 3>Well job. Alsoll we like to thank Rash for coming

475
00:26:45.400 --> 00:26:49.680
<v Speaker 3>on the show. I want to analyze at two level

476
00:26:50.000 --> 00:26:52.400
<v Speaker 3>what he says and I want to analyze what he

477
00:26:52.519 --> 00:26:55.640
<v Speaker 3>didn't say. So if we go to what he said,

478
00:26:56.400 --> 00:27:01.559
<v Speaker 3>he said, Okay, SMR interesting, good luck guys, but come

479
00:27:01.599 --> 00:27:08.039
<v Speaker 3>to Papa because the nuclear sites we got them. Joe Thermon. Yeah,

480
00:27:08.359 --> 00:27:11.960
<v Speaker 3>interesting in theory, but is it going to scale? He

481
00:27:12.039 --> 00:27:15.519
<v Speaker 3>took about batteries, but more like other guys are going

482
00:27:15.599 --> 00:27:18.519
<v Speaker 3>to do it, despite the fact that Calpine has a

483
00:27:18.680 --> 00:27:22.400
<v Speaker 3>big new battery last year in California, and you talk

484
00:27:22.440 --> 00:27:26.000
<v Speaker 3>about demond response, which of course gets more interesting when

485
00:27:26.039 --> 00:27:28.680
<v Speaker 3>you look at the press on PGM. So that's what

486
00:27:28.759 --> 00:27:31.079
<v Speaker 3>he said. What's your view on what he said?

487
00:27:31.119 --> 00:27:33.880
<v Speaker 4>Yes, I agree with what you said. The thing that

488
00:27:34.400 --> 00:27:37.319
<v Speaker 4>I was struck by, which is not really related to this,

489
00:27:37.640 --> 00:27:40.519
<v Speaker 4>but it was that he said, look at his clients

490
00:27:41.000 --> 00:27:45.279
<v Speaker 4>have not given up on carbon emission targets, and I

491
00:27:45.359 --> 00:27:48.240
<v Speaker 4>thought that was quite interesting. I thought, oh, because I

492
00:27:48.240 --> 00:27:50.599
<v Speaker 4>was quite surprised at that. So, in other words, what

493
00:27:50.640 --> 00:27:52.759
<v Speaker 4>these guys are trying to do is. Obviously they want

494
00:27:52.799 --> 00:27:55.599
<v Speaker 4>as much power as possible and as quick as possible,

495
00:27:56.200 --> 00:28:00.799
<v Speaker 4>but they also want to take their responsible abilities for

496
00:28:00.880 --> 00:28:03.960
<v Speaker 4>the environment. They're still taking those seriously as well. I

497
00:28:03.960 --> 00:28:05.400
<v Speaker 4>think that was the other thing I took out of it.

498
00:28:06.000 --> 00:28:10.119
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Jah, okay, and Google for sure. But when you

499
00:28:10.160 --> 00:28:14.640
<v Speaker 3>look at Meta, they just announced that the Louisiana Project

500
00:28:14.960 --> 00:28:20.240
<v Speaker 3>now as ten new ccgts seven gigawatt you have. Microsoft

501
00:28:20.599 --> 00:28:24.000
<v Speaker 3>just announced two point five gigawats seven billion with Chevron

502
00:28:24.039 --> 00:28:26.759
<v Speaker 3>in Texas. I don't know how they're going to meet

503
00:28:26.799 --> 00:28:29.839
<v Speaker 3>their net zero commitments, but some of the hyper scale

504
00:28:30.039 --> 00:28:34.119
<v Speaker 3>they're piling big on gas in the source of the US.

505
00:28:34.119 --> 00:28:37.160
<v Speaker 4>Oh yeah, of course absolutely. I'm innocent that I understand.

506
00:28:37.200 --> 00:28:39.559
<v Speaker 4>The first priority is get power as quick as possible.

507
00:28:39.599 --> 00:28:41.359
<v Speaker 4>Simple a staff, right, that's the first priority.

508
00:28:42.160 --> 00:28:45.400
<v Speaker 3>Now, the other part is what it didn't say, and

509
00:28:45.680 --> 00:28:48.519
<v Speaker 3>that was almost more interesting than what he said.

510
00:28:49.200 --> 00:28:50.640
<v Speaker 4>So what do you not say?

511
00:28:50.920 --> 00:28:57.359
<v Speaker 3>For you? What is constellation? Constellation used to be the ugly,

512
00:28:57.400 --> 00:29:00.839
<v Speaker 3>don't clean, and nobody wanted the nuclear fleet in their books.

513
00:29:00.880 --> 00:29:04.279
<v Speaker 3>That's why they were spun out of Excellent a few

514
00:29:04.319 --> 00:29:07.680
<v Speaker 3>years back. And of course, a nuclear fleet, it's the

515
00:29:07.799 --> 00:29:11.039
<v Speaker 3>Golden Goose. For instance, one of the deals they made

516
00:29:11.319 --> 00:29:15.880
<v Speaker 3>was to restart three mile Islands with Microsoft. That's their position.

517
00:29:16.160 --> 00:29:20.839
<v Speaker 3>It's really to maximize the value of their nuclear fleet.

518
00:29:21.359 --> 00:29:24.160
<v Speaker 3>In order to do so, what they want is surprised

519
00:29:24.200 --> 00:29:27.319
<v Speaker 3>to go high. Are they going to invest in new assets, No,

520
00:29:27.440 --> 00:29:31.640
<v Speaker 3>they're not. What they want is to upgrade their assets.

521
00:29:32.119 --> 00:29:34.160
<v Speaker 3>But do they have any plan to do any new

522
00:29:34.240 --> 00:29:37.920
<v Speaker 3>nuclear plants. I don't think so. So that's half of

523
00:29:38.000 --> 00:29:42.279
<v Speaker 3>the fleet. The other half is the gas fleet. And

524
00:29:42.359 --> 00:29:45.200
<v Speaker 3>if you analyze what a gas fleet is, a gas

525
00:29:45.200 --> 00:29:48.279
<v Speaker 3>fleet in what we call the merit order is in

526
00:29:48.359 --> 00:29:50.640
<v Speaker 3>the middle of the merit order. So at the beginning

527
00:29:50.920 --> 00:29:53.519
<v Speaker 3>of the merit order, you're really gonna have your wins

528
00:29:53.519 --> 00:29:56.720
<v Speaker 3>solar nuclear, and then you can have your gas fleet.

529
00:29:56.799 --> 00:29:59.119
<v Speaker 3>And then at the bottom of your merit order you

530
00:29:59.160 --> 00:30:02.359
<v Speaker 3>can have your cold lands and your pickers. So the

531
00:30:02.440 --> 00:30:06.400
<v Speaker 3>load factors they have are in the mid forties. Okay,

532
00:30:07.160 --> 00:30:10.720
<v Speaker 3>of course they want the load factors to increase. Now

533
00:30:10.880 --> 00:30:13.519
<v Speaker 3>the margin they are doing when you buy gas at

534
00:30:13.519 --> 00:30:19.599
<v Speaker 3>three dollar and mbtu, which gives you it's calculations relatively simple,

535
00:30:19.640 --> 00:30:22.960
<v Speaker 3>but the cost of the gas they are burning into

536
00:30:23.000 --> 00:30:26.319
<v Speaker 3>their turbine Omega whatever is about twenty dollars, and they

537
00:30:26.319 --> 00:30:30.400
<v Speaker 3>sell it that's seventy dollars, So they make sparks spread

538
00:30:30.440 --> 00:30:33.519
<v Speaker 3>close to fifty dollars. Omega what hour and I can

539
00:30:33.599 --> 00:30:36.960
<v Speaker 3>tell you this is really great, but they need higher

540
00:30:37.000 --> 00:30:42.200
<v Speaker 3>load factors because what's happening is that batteries and solar

541
00:30:42.799 --> 00:30:48.079
<v Speaker 3>are eating their lunch every day, so they're kind of

542
00:30:48.119 --> 00:30:51.319
<v Speaker 3>freaking out, especially in Aircot what there's a lot of

543
00:30:51.519 --> 00:30:55.400
<v Speaker 3>renovable development. If I want to summarize their strategy, and

544
00:30:55.720 --> 00:30:57.599
<v Speaker 3>you know, you tell me if you agree with me

545
00:30:57.720 --> 00:31:02.240
<v Speaker 3>or not, it's to sweat their existing fleets extract the

546
00:31:02.319 --> 00:31:08.640
<v Speaker 3>maximum value out of it. It's conservative management, considering that

547
00:31:09.000 --> 00:31:12.519
<v Speaker 3>ninety percent of their capacity was built in the twentieth century,

548
00:31:12.640 --> 00:31:16.839
<v Speaker 3>so that the free starts to be rather mature. And

549
00:31:17.079 --> 00:31:20.440
<v Speaker 3>they'll tell their hyperscalers, but guys, you're going to pay.

550
00:31:20.400 --> 00:31:21.720
<v Speaker 4>So you miss a mon thing and all of that.

551
00:31:22.119 --> 00:31:24.839
<v Speaker 4>And it relates to the valuation of these businesses, because

552
00:31:24.839 --> 00:31:28.200
<v Speaker 4>the evaluation of these businesses in terms of are multiples

553
00:31:28.200 --> 00:31:31.400
<v Speaker 4>around these are like thirty year highs. So the question

554
00:31:31.480 --> 00:31:34.039
<v Speaker 4>is why is that because there's a belief in the

555
00:31:34.079 --> 00:31:36.680
<v Speaker 4>market that those capacity factors will go up, and why

556
00:31:36.759 --> 00:31:39.920
<v Speaker 4>will they go up Because the hyperscalers. And that's actually

557
00:31:39.920 --> 00:31:42.640
<v Speaker 4>the other part of the strategy is they are moving

558
00:31:42.680 --> 00:31:46.039
<v Speaker 4>towards the hyperscalers because the hyperscalers at the end of

559
00:31:46.079 --> 00:31:48.079
<v Speaker 4>the day, they want to have power twenty four to

560
00:31:48.079 --> 00:31:51.359
<v Speaker 4>seven and if they get close to them in every way,

561
00:31:51.440 --> 00:31:54.279
<v Speaker 4>then then get those capacity factors up. So that'd be

562
00:31:54.319 --> 00:31:54.960
<v Speaker 4>the major point.

563
00:31:55.160 --> 00:31:58.559
<v Speaker 3>I would say a few years ago, the prices for

564
00:31:58.720 --> 00:32:01.240
<v Speaker 3>power in the US were on what the thirty dollars

565
00:32:01.240 --> 00:32:04.519
<v Speaker 3>fifty dollars. Now they're up to seventy eighty dollars. If

566
00:32:04.559 --> 00:32:07.200
<v Speaker 3>a nyper Scalda want to build the CCGT is gonna

567
00:32:07.240 --> 00:32:10.519
<v Speaker 3>costume to make it what our one hundred plus dollars.

568
00:32:10.640 --> 00:32:13.440
<v Speaker 3>So that's what they're aiming for. As you said, high

569
00:32:13.480 --> 00:32:17.359
<v Speaker 3>a lout factors, higher prices, especially for the new clou feed.

570
00:32:17.960 --> 00:32:20.799
<v Speaker 3>They are in a very good place. They are not

571
00:32:21.000 --> 00:32:25.559
<v Speaker 3>going to invest more. It's really about optimizing the current fleet.

572
00:32:26.200 --> 00:32:29.200
<v Speaker 4>Of course, absolutely, it is about getting capacity factors up,

573
00:32:29.240 --> 00:32:32.400
<v Speaker 4>That's what we're really saying, and then selective investments when

574
00:32:32.440 --> 00:32:33.920
<v Speaker 4>it's rerest exactly.

575
00:32:34.240 --> 00:32:38.079
<v Speaker 3>Okay, we like to thank Uraj for coming on the show.

576
00:32:38.480 --> 00:32:39.640
<v Speaker 3>Very interesting I.

577
00:32:39.720 --> 00:32:43.519
<v Speaker 4>Can just say, Rajh, thanks again and Loron has ever

578
00:32:43.680 --> 00:32:46.160
<v Speaker 4>got senior blocome forward our conversation next week.

579
00:32:46.400 --> 00:32:47.960
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely looking forward to it.

580
00:32:48.759 --> 00:32:51.319
<v Speaker 4>Thank you for listening to Redefining Energy.

581
00:32:51.720 --> 00:32:56.720
<v Speaker 2>Don't forget to rate the show and subscribe on Apple Podcast, Spotify,

582
00:32:57.160 --> 00:32:58.880
<v Speaker 2>or the platform of your choice
