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<v Speaker 1>Right.

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<v Speaker 2>So, so you're the only other guy who's done it, and

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<v Speaker 2>you've done it with payments probably one of the hardest

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<v Speaker 2>industries to disrupt on the web, cars and going to space.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, yeah, so what do you do later this year?

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<v Speaker 2>By the way, so oh yeah, but Juke hasn't as

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<v Speaker 2>a co founder.

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<v Speaker 4>For that one. No.

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<v Speaker 3>Actually, they offered to have me be listed as a

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<v Speaker 3>co founder, but I thought that although I suggested the

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<v Speaker 3>initial idea, I did not put enough sort of sweat

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<v Speaker 3>equity into it to be considered.

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<v Speaker 1>So you should have been because you could have been

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<v Speaker 1>the first guy at four.

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<v Speaker 5>Uh.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's I think there's sort of a sudden threshold

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<v Speaker 6>of idea contribution and you know, initial effort that's that's

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<v Speaker 6>required for that.

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<v Speaker 4>That's sort of.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I mean, sort of subjective, but I think

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think I did enough.

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<v Speaker 4>Right. They did offer it to me, but I said,

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<v Speaker 4>so it.

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<v Speaker 2>Is part of the reason you've done this that you

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<v Speaker 2>are so crazy?

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<v Speaker 1>Are you lucky?

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<v Speaker 4>You know?

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<v Speaker 3>I've been thinking about that lately, and I sort of wonder,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, I think I probably am a but crazy,

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<v Speaker 3>but I think but maybe that's just that's sort of

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<v Speaker 3>a healthy sign because of the point which you conclude

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<v Speaker 3>you're not crazy at all than you probably are.

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<v Speaker 1>So the fact that you read sort of a recursive thing.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there's a story that I've heard about you, Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>about you. Here's the story that made me think you

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<v Speaker 2>were crazy, and you can tell me New York Times.

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<v Speaker 2>No Elan got me in so much trouble several years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>and he called someone a douchebag and a liar, and

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<v Speaker 2>I started laughing and never.

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<v Speaker 4>To be precise, douchebag and an idiot.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually to the liar. We cut out the liar. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it would be liabelest.

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<v Speaker 4>That we cut Okay.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well I think that that made well I guess

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<v Speaker 3>that's probably true too, but but I think it's more

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<v Speaker 3>more of the first two.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So no, this is the story that made me

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<v Speaker 2>think you were crazy.

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<v Speaker 1>I heard right after you sold.

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<v Speaker 2>PayPal, before the other two companies, you went and bought

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<v Speaker 2>a mclareness one because one yes, sorry, that's that's the

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<v Speaker 2>same part, right, partially because you were going to race

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<v Speaker 2>cars with Jim Clark and Larry Ellison.

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<v Speaker 3>No, well not really, no actually, and I never did,

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<v Speaker 3>although that was one of the things that was sort

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<v Speaker 3>of talked about at one point, but I never did.

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<v Speaker 3>In fact, I've never raced anyone with McLaren. I had

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<v Speaker 3>several years. I put eleven thousand miles on it, and

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<v Speaker 3>I drove it from Eli to San Francisco. It was

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<v Speaker 3>my daily driver, which is a crazy car to have

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<v Speaker 3>his daily drive, particularly on four or five.

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<v Speaker 2>But I understand when you got it. Yeah, you're driving

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<v Speaker 2>down to Ady and you wrecked it.

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<v Speaker 3>No, well, and you let me just tell the story, correct,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, yeah, let's see the story that you tell

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<v Speaker 3>is actually how does that how that compares to the

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<v Speaker 3>real because the reality is pretty messed up.

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<v Speaker 1>Better.

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<v Speaker 2>So you wreck the car, you get out of the car,

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<v Speaker 2>you're doubling over with laughter, listen with you said, why

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<v Speaker 2>are you laughing that you just wrecked this car?

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<v Speaker 1>And you said, no, you don't know the funny part

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<v Speaker 1>it wasn't insured.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, the punchline's correct. Yeah, So I was.

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<v Speaker 3>Actually I was driving up sand Hill Road with with

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<v Speaker 3>Peter teele Co found a PayPal actually driving to see

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<v Speaker 3>Mike Moritz. This is in in two thousand and so

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<v Speaker 3>we're driving up. I didn't really know how to drive

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<v Speaker 3>the McLaren, and Peter says so so what can this do?

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<v Speaker 3>And they're like, I'm probably number one on the list

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<v Speaker 3>of famous last words. I said, watch this, so so

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<v Speaker 3>I floored it. I floored it and did a lane

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<v Speaker 3>change on Sandhill. And so the mccarion has no attraction

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<v Speaker 3>control or anything. It was just its massive power to

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<v Speaker 3>the wheels six and forty break course power and it

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<v Speaker 3>only weighs a ton, so it has a massive power

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<v Speaker 3>to where it can break the wheels free at eighty

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<v Speaker 3>miles an hour. So it broke the rear end free

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<v Speaker 3>and started spinning and I sort of, let's see, I

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<v Speaker 3>think it was sort of. I was going straight and

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<v Speaker 3>then turned and I remember seeing the cars coming towards

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<v Speaker 3>me while I was going backwards. And then we hit

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<v Speaker 3>the hit an embankment, sort of a forty five degree

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<v Speaker 3>embankment on sand Hill, which tossed the car into the

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<v Speaker 3>air like a discuss, and it kept rotating with about

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<v Speaker 3>three foot of air air clearance according to witnesses, and

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<v Speaker 3>then slammed down on the ground going the original direction,

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<v Speaker 3>and we blew the suspension out and now it didn't

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<v Speaker 3>actually erect the card. The core chassis and the engine

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<v Speaker 3>were okay, but but all the glass and the wheels

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<v Speaker 3>and everything was was shredded, and and there was massive

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<v Speaker 3>body damage in the front and rear and yeah, did

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<v Speaker 3>you start laughing?

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<v Speaker 4>I don't recool laughing. I mean, I.

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<v Speaker 3>Could have been laughing in shock, but I don't recool laughing.

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<v Speaker 3>And and then and then Peter quote A hitched a

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<v Speaker 3>ride to to Mike.

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<v Speaker 4>I waited while the fire truck and the ambulance ride.

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<v Speaker 2>Then finally the did Peter Teal literally hitched a ride to.

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<v Speaker 4>To like yeah too, so quiet to yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>And then and then I once, once the car was

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<v Speaker 3>taken care of, then I hitched a ride too, And

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<v Speaker 3>so we continued the meeting that I'm picturing.

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<v Speaker 2>You and Peter Teal like that scene and Tommy Boy, and.

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<v Speaker 4>You're both like oh, like yeah really wow, Yeah? Is

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<v Speaker 4>there a pair of give you a live really?

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<v Speaker 1>I should say so?

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<v Speaker 2>Is there a parallel with how you build companies in

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<v Speaker 2>that story?

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<v Speaker 4>I hope not.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's see what you can do.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, watch this. That could be awkward with a rocket launch,

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<v Speaker 3>you know. Yeah, it's it's one thing. If you've got

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<v Speaker 3>a one ton car versus a million pounds of TNT equivalent,

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<v Speaker 3>that is a.

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<v Speaker 1>Little dice here.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Now what I think is so, I mean, one

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<v Speaker 2>of the things I find so interesting about you. The

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<v Speaker 2>rest of the PayPal guys, they get done with PayPal,

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<v Speaker 2>they start starting and investing in web two point zero

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<v Speaker 2>companies at a point in time whatever and said, that's insane,

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<v Speaker 2>that's insane. The Internet will never come back. They were

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<v Speaker 2>considered the crazy ones. Meanwhile, you moved to La and

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<v Speaker 2>start working on Solar City SpaceX. Tesla's a glint in

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<v Speaker 2>your eye?

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<v Speaker 1>Why didn't you?

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<v Speaker 2>What you ever do an internet company again? Do you

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<v Speaker 2>find the Internet boring?

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's unlikely that I'll do an internet company again,

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<v Speaker 3>because not that I find the Internet boring.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I'm still sort of.

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<v Speaker 3>I think I'm relatively sort of net savvy and interested

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<v Speaker 3>in the Internet and what's going on. You know, I

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<v Speaker 3>don't even want to be the like like Grandpa who

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<v Speaker 3>doesn't do email or something like that.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, so I think.

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<v Speaker 3>But but I think I'm trying to allocate my efforts

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<v Speaker 3>to that which I think would most affect the future

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<v Speaker 3>of humanity in a positive way. And the I think

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<v Speaker 3>there's there's lots of entrepreneur energy and fin and and

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<v Speaker 3>and financing headed towards the Internet, whereas in certain sectors

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<v Speaker 3>like automotive and solar and space, you don't see new entrants.

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<v Speaker 4>You don't there's not there's not a lot.

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<v Speaker 3>Of capital going to startups and not a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>entrepreneurs going to that in those arenas and the and

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<v Speaker 3>and the problem is that in the absence of some

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<v Speaker 3>new entrants into an industry, you don't you don't have

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<v Speaker 3>that in that forced for innovation. It's really new entrants

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<v Speaker 3>that that drive innovation more than anything. So that that's

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<v Speaker 3>why I have deveoted my efforts to those those industries.

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<v Speaker 3>And there are industries that require, I said, your cap

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<v Speaker 3>quite a bit of capital to get going. And even

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<v Speaker 3>with SpaceX, I mean I invest, I mean my proceeds

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<v Speaker 3>from PayPal aftertext about one hundred and eight million dollars

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<v Speaker 3>one hundred that went into into SpaceX, seventy into Tesla

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<v Speaker 3>and tenant sol City, and I literally had to borrow

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<v Speaker 3>money for rent.

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<v Speaker 4>So that was a close call. That was not the plan.

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<v Speaker 1>What one is the plan? You thought, I'll put ten

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<v Speaker 1>in each of these are.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, Actually I thought the SpaceX, I thought it would

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<v Speaker 3>be about well, I guess I was probably about double

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<v Speaker 3>it could cost. It ended up being double in most cases.

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<v Speaker 3>So with SpaceX, I thought it'd be fifty. With Tesla,

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<v Speaker 3>I thought it'd be I thought it'd be putting in

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<v Speaker 3>twenty five maybe thirty. With solar City, for well, solicity

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<v Speaker 3>actually went really well. And that's that's the one where

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<v Speaker 3>I wasn't the co founder. So mean, that's a good sign.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean I should I should co found less stuff.

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<v Speaker 4>So that's so what happened?

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<v Speaker 2>Why did you have to put more money in the

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<v Speaker 2>other two or did investors flake did you have Well?

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<v Speaker 3>I didn't actually seek investor funding for the first three

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<v Speaker 3>rounds of space X, because I mean the first thing

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<v Speaker 3>that investors want to ask you is sort of, well,

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<v Speaker 3>what's tell us about prior successes in this field?

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<v Speaker 4>And you know, what can we compare this to uh

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<v Speaker 4>and and this?

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<v Speaker 3>You know, when when you've got kind of the doughnut

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<v Speaker 3>in the success category and a lot of you know,

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<v Speaker 3>a cemetery full of failures, than that they're not that

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<v Speaker 3>keen and rockets are just pretty far out of the

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<v Speaker 3>capital zone.

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<v Speaker 4>Of most metro capitalists.

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<v Speaker 3>And now we were able to get a menure funding

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<v Speaker 3>after we've made some progress and demonstrated that we were

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<v Speaker 3>able to.

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<v Speaker 4>Almost get to orbit.

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<v Speaker 3>And the credit goes to sort of to founder's fund

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<v Speaker 3>and which is obviously some of my compatriots from from PayPal,

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<v Speaker 3>Peter and Peter Thiel and Luke no Sick and Ken

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<v Speaker 3>Howry and.

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<v Speaker 4>And the other guys.

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<v Speaker 3>So and they invested before we got to orbit, so

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<v Speaker 3>so credit to them for that. But but I did

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<v Speaker 3>have to show that I could actually make stuff, like

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<v Speaker 3>I never actually made physical stuff before, you know, before SpaceX,

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<v Speaker 3>so let alone rockets. So you started with the rocket, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean it's that's a that's a hard one, and

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<v Speaker 3>it's that the probability of success was low. In fact,

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<v Speaker 3>when I started SpaceX, I thought that the most likely

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<v Speaker 3>outcome was failure. But and and I think to have

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<v Speaker 3>any other expectation would have been irrational.

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<v Speaker 1>So why did you want to do it?

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<v Speaker 2>I know, for Tesla it seems more obvious, like, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>save the planet. Big automakers aren't doing this. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's fairly abo, so that's good for humanity.

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<v Speaker 2>Why did you feel like SpaceX needed.

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<v Speaker 1>To be done?

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<v Speaker 4>Well? I guess.

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<v Speaker 3>If you look at the trajectory of space technology and progress,

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<v Speaker 3>the pinnacle of that progress was around maybe nineteen sixty

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<v Speaker 3>nine nineteen seventy with the Moon missions, and so we

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<v Speaker 3>made incredible progress in the sixties and then we were

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<v Speaker 3>able to clown the Moon, and then with the Space Shuttle,

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<v Speaker 3>it can only get people to Low with all. But

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<v Speaker 3>now the Space Shuttle is retired, and that's just a

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<v Speaker 3>there's no trajectory of improvement.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a trajectory to nothing.

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<v Speaker 3>And I kept thinking that there'd be some plan to

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<v Speaker 3>say people to Mars, because that's the obvious next step.

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<v Speaker 3>And the actual origin of SpaceX is when I was

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's around two thousand one or so, and

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<v Speaker 3>I was visiting a friend of mine, Adare Oressi, who

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<v Speaker 3>actually you may have met, but he lives in Palo Alta.

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<v Speaker 4>Now.

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<v Speaker 3>We were college housemates, and he asked me what I

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<v Speaker 3>was going to have PayPal, and I said, well, I've

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<v Speaker 3>always been interested in space, but I didn't think there

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<v Speaker 3>was anything I could do in space as an individual.

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<v Speaker 3>So my initial plan in space was actually to send

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<v Speaker 3>to do a small mission to Mars with a greenhouse

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<v Speaker 3>essentially seasoned dehydrate and nutrient jail and a little greenhouse

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<v Speaker 3>that would land and you'd hydrate the jail, and then

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<v Speaker 3>you grow the plants and you have this great shot

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<v Speaker 3>of green plants in the red background, and that would

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<v Speaker 3>be the money shot, essentially. And the people tend to

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<v Speaker 3>respond to precedents and superlatives, and this would be the

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<v Speaker 3>furthest that LIFs ever traveled the first life on Mars

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<v Speaker 3>as far as we know, and and that that would

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<v Speaker 3>give you excited and I thought, well, that would result

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<v Speaker 3>in an increased NASA budget and then we could send

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<v Speaker 3>people to Mars, because that's you know, I think you

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<v Speaker 3>want to have a future where you're expecting things to

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<v Speaker 3>be better, not one where you're expecting things to be worse.

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<v Speaker 4>So that was how things started out.

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<v Speaker 3>And then as I learned more and I went to

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<v Speaker 3>speaking of crazy things, went to Russia three times to

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<v Speaker 3>negotiate a deal to buy a couple of the largest

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<v Speaker 3>ICBMs in the Russian fleet.

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<v Speaker 4>A strange experience.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you even get into that negotiation?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, you talk to people who know people, and I'm

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<v Speaker 3>pretty soon you're talking to the Russian rocket forces, and you.

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<v Speaker 4>Know they.

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<v Speaker 3>It turns out Russia is quite quite a capitalist society,

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<v Speaker 3>and so it definitely has had some some weird meetings

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<v Speaker 3>in places like that. I swear they looked like a

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<v Speaker 3>sanitarium or something.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know. It was very odd.

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<v Speaker 1>We keep going back to the theme of crazy.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, seriously, this place had padded walls, like winding up

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<v Speaker 3>added walls.

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<v Speaker 4>It was weird.

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<v Speaker 3>And yeah, and then I had some some sort of

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<v Speaker 3>Russian guy who was missing up front two started yelling

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<v Speaker 3>at me because his friend, when of his front teep

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<v Speaker 3>the was saying it was like spip flying at me

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<v Speaker 3>in the place and patted walls like it's really bizarre.

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<v Speaker 1>And that was what we thought. I'm gonna build my

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<v Speaker 1>own rocket.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>That was probably when I got back from that third trip,

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<v Speaker 3>I was like, well, I realized that that the real issue,

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<v Speaker 3>the reason we haven't advanced in space is because the

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<v Speaker 3>cost of space transportations has become unaffordable. It's it's become

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<v Speaker 3>more and more expensive to do to do less and

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<v Speaker 3>less in space, and we really need to improve the

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<v Speaker 3>technology of space transportation. So that's why I sought at SpaceX.

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<v Speaker 3>But it may seem odd that I saw SpaceX with

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<v Speaker 3>an expectation of failure, but bear in mind that my

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<v Speaker 3>initial thing was to do essentially a philanthropic mission with

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<v Speaker 3>a zero percent chance of success from a financial standpoint,

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<v Speaker 3>so it would have effectively been a donation to the cause.

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<v Speaker 4>And so anything better than that is when right right?

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<v Speaker 2>So you know, I know people think of you as

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<v Speaker 2>someone who's had a lot of success, but you had

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<v Speaker 2>several failures within SpaceX before the recent launch.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you tell us a little bit about what.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like to put that much work into something and

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<v Speaker 2>be doing something that really no one else is doing

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00:15:42.480 --> 00:15:44.720
<v Speaker 2>and at least trying something and putting that much of

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<v Speaker 2>your own money in it that you're having to borrow

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00:15:46.600 --> 00:15:50.039
<v Speaker 2>money from friends to pay your rent and there are

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<v Speaker 2>launches and it's failing.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well it super sucks, I'll tell you. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>That was two thousand and eight particular was was was

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<v Speaker 3>was awful because we had the third launch failure in

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<v Speaker 3>a row of of our Falcon one with vehicle at SpaceX,

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<v Speaker 3>and we uh, the Tesla financing round that we were

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<v Speaker 3>raising fell apart because the economy is going through tailspin

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<v Speaker 3>and it's pretty hard to raise money for a startup

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<v Speaker 3>car company. Uh, you know, late two thousand and eight,

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<v Speaker 3>win Gym and christ a busy going bankrupt, that that was.

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<v Speaker 3>That was tough, and then Solar City had to deal

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<v Speaker 3>with Morgan Stanley, and Morgan Stanley had to reneg on

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<v Speaker 3>the deal because they themselves running out of money. So

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<v Speaker 3>looked like all three companies were going to die. And

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<v Speaker 3>I was also going through divorce. So that was definitely

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<v Speaker 3>a low point. And but fortunately the fourth launch worked.

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<v Speaker 3>And and then did.

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<v Speaker 1>You think that their launch was going to work? Was

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<v Speaker 1>it a shock that it didn't?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I thought it would most like I think I

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<v Speaker 3>thought the odds were working were better than percent.

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<v Speaker 4>But yeah, there was just a little little change.

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<v Speaker 3>In the thrust transient of the first stage engine that

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<v Speaker 3>resulted in that we didn't we couldn't see it on

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<v Speaker 3>the ground because of the thrust transient. Well it's a

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<v Speaker 3>good slightly technical For a second, the pressure decay on

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<v Speaker 3>the truck thrust transient dropped below sea level pressure. So

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<v Speaker 3>when you when you look at it on the test

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<v Speaker 3>and at with you know, at sea level, you don't

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00:17:28.599 --> 00:17:30.799
<v Speaker 3>see it. It doesn't that that doesn't look like there's

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<v Speaker 3>a thrust transient. And because we changed the architecture of

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00:17:33.279 --> 00:17:36.400
<v Speaker 3>the engine to one that was generally cooled instead of

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00:17:36.400 --> 00:17:40.279
<v Speaker 3>relatively cooled, it had this little tiny transient which caused

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00:17:40.279 --> 00:17:43.799
<v Speaker 3>the first stage to round the upper stage and and

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00:17:44.000 --> 00:17:48.240
<v Speaker 3>the upper stage engine started started inside the interstage section.

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<v Speaker 3>Like it's like sort of firing up this giant this

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<v Speaker 3>engine indoors with with a big plasma blowback that fried

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<v Speaker 3>fried the upper stage.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I wasn't expecting that.

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<v Speaker 2>So, so it's two thousand and eight, You're going through

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<v Speaker 2>a divorce, which, like some to borrow your word, douchebag

348
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<v Speaker 2>bloggers are writing about to make even worse.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, Yes, that's true.

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<v Speaker 3>In addition to to a less stuff happening, I was

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00:18:12.200 --> 00:18:15.599
<v Speaker 3>getting dumped on massively in the press, right, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>You're you know, it looks like all three companies are

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<v Speaker 2>going to get file.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, why do you keep going with all three?

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<v Speaker 2>Like I feel like even a lot of great entrepreneurs

356
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<v Speaker 2>in that situation would have been like I've already sunk

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<v Speaker 2>everything I have in these companies and I got to

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<v Speaker 2>pick one.

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00:18:31.519 --> 00:18:34.480
<v Speaker 1>But you didn't. I mean, you kept doing all three. Why.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 3>That was that was a very tough pool at the

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<v Speaker 3>end of two thousand and eight. That was that was

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00:18:40.039 --> 00:18:41.799
<v Speaker 3>probably the tough you know, one of the toughest goals

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00:18:41.799 --> 00:18:47.119
<v Speaker 3>I've had to make because I could either reserve capital

365
00:18:47.279 --> 00:18:50.519
<v Speaker 3>for one company or the other. I mean solo, the

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00:18:50.519 --> 00:18:52.839
<v Speaker 3>city didn't need a ton of capitals there they were okay,

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00:18:53.880 --> 00:18:59.359
<v Speaker 3>But between SpaceX and and Tesla, you know, it's sort

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00:18:59.359 --> 00:19:02.839
<v Speaker 3>of like like you've got two kids, and what do

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00:19:02.880 --> 00:19:05.599
<v Speaker 3>you do? Do you spend all your money to maximize

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<v Speaker 3>probably the success of one, or do you do you

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00:19:09.000 --> 00:19:09.960
<v Speaker 3>try to keep both life?

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<v Speaker 4>Unfortunately it worked.

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<v Speaker 1>You also had to step back in as the CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Tesla.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Michael was never to be the CEO of Tesla

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<v Speaker 3>from the beginning. I mean I've had Inderson electric cars

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00:19:22.039 --> 00:19:23.920
<v Speaker 3>that goes back twenty years to you know, when I

378
00:19:24.000 --> 00:19:25.880
<v Speaker 3>was in college. In fact, I used to talk to

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00:19:25.880 --> 00:19:29.480
<v Speaker 3>my dates about electric cars. Probably not the best strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>Close those dates.

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<v Speaker 3>No, no, I usually have to stop talking about that.

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00:19:39.319 --> 00:19:43.079
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, so I've got long standing interest in electric cars.

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<v Speaker 3>But since I was doing SpaceX, I knew that if

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00:19:47.640 --> 00:19:50.359
<v Speaker 3>I did try to start an electricock company and run it,

385
00:19:50.880 --> 00:19:54.720
<v Speaker 3>that it would be extremely painful to run two companies.

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00:19:55.000 --> 00:19:57.359
<v Speaker 3>So I tried, really tried my hardest not to be

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<v Speaker 3>the CEO of Tesla. I mean any at any point

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00:20:00.519 --> 00:20:02.119
<v Speaker 3>from day one I could have been the CEO because

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00:20:02.160 --> 00:20:05.240
<v Speaker 3>I had a majority of control of the company, but I.

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00:20:07.359 --> 00:20:08.200
<v Speaker 4>Really tried not to.

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00:20:08.440 --> 00:20:09.960
<v Speaker 3>And in the end it was at the end of

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00:20:09.960 --> 00:20:13.519
<v Speaker 3>two thousand and eight, it's I'd commit all of my.

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00:20:13.559 --> 00:20:15.960
<v Speaker 4>Reserve capital to Tesla.

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00:20:17.480 --> 00:20:22.400
<v Speaker 3>That wasn't allocated to SpaceX, and so I felt I

395
00:20:22.440 --> 00:20:26.640
<v Speaker 3>had to sort of steer the ship directly. But it

396
00:20:26.680 --> 00:20:29.160
<v Speaker 3>was it was not it was not out of it

397
00:20:29.200 --> 00:20:32.000
<v Speaker 3>was most it was really not fun, like super not fun.

398
00:20:32.559 --> 00:20:32.759
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

399
00:20:32.799 --> 00:20:36.039
<v Speaker 2>I remember when we talked, I guess maybe the next

400
00:20:36.119 --> 00:20:37.920
<v Speaker 2>year after that, you said, you know this is not

401
00:20:38.079 --> 00:20:40.599
<v Speaker 2>at the fun level running these two companies.

402
00:20:41.279 --> 00:20:46.759
<v Speaker 4>No, I mean, it's definitely gotten a lot better with SpaceX.

403
00:20:47.200 --> 00:20:49.039
<v Speaker 4>You know, so since we've now.

404
00:20:48.920 --> 00:20:50.920
<v Speaker 3>Had five successful lunchers in a row, and we were

405
00:20:50.920 --> 00:20:54.160
<v Speaker 3>able to talk with the space Station and with Tesla,

406
00:20:54.160 --> 00:20:57.039
<v Speaker 3>we're able to raise enough capital to get the company

407
00:20:57.559 --> 00:21:01.680
<v Speaker 3>to be able to produce the model ay and do

408
00:21:01.720 --> 00:21:05.920
<v Speaker 3>the IPO, and you know, so I've got a much strong,

409
00:21:06.599 --> 00:21:08.480
<v Speaker 3>much stronger, a much stronger team, a lot of bench

410
00:21:08.480 --> 00:21:13.039
<v Speaker 3>strength at both companies. So you know, I can go

411
00:21:13.119 --> 00:21:17.359
<v Speaker 3>from essentially almost every waking hour being being spent on

412
00:21:17.440 --> 00:21:21.240
<v Speaker 3>the companies to ninety percent which is a big difference.

413
00:21:21.440 --> 00:21:25.440
<v Speaker 2>Actually, is the ambition still to find another CEO for

414
00:21:25.519 --> 00:21:26.079
<v Speaker 2>one or the other?

415
00:21:27.200 --> 00:21:33.559
<v Speaker 3>Well, I I expect to run both companies for the

416
00:21:33.599 --> 00:21:37.519
<v Speaker 3>foreseeable future because I've I've made equipment to people at

417
00:21:37.559 --> 00:21:39.480
<v Speaker 3>both companies to do that.

418
00:21:41.759 --> 00:21:43.200
<v Speaker 4>Will I be running both companies forever?

419
00:21:43.240 --> 00:21:45.880
<v Speaker 3>I think that's that's unlikely, but but certainly for the

420
00:21:46.000 --> 00:21:47.400
<v Speaker 3>foreseeable future I will be.

421
00:21:47.839 --> 00:21:50.200
<v Speaker 1>Is there one that has your heart more than the

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00:21:50.240 --> 00:21:50.799
<v Speaker 1>other one?

423
00:21:51.680 --> 00:21:53.720
<v Speaker 3>Well, you know, they they both, They both do have

424
00:21:53.799 --> 00:21:58.160
<v Speaker 3>my heart. But I think that they may come a point,

425
00:21:59.119 --> 00:22:04.039
<v Speaker 3>you know, several years in the future where the the

426
00:22:04.079 --> 00:22:06.480
<v Speaker 3>fundamental good that Tesla is trying to accomplish, which is

427
00:22:06.480 --> 00:22:10.480
<v Speaker 3>to serve as a catalyst for the acceleration of sustainable transport,

428
00:22:11.359 --> 00:22:13.599
<v Speaker 3>has been accomplished. In other words, I mean that's really

429
00:22:13.599 --> 00:22:17.759
<v Speaker 3>what what what has the if looked from an historical standpoint,

430
00:22:17.880 --> 00:22:20.000
<v Speaker 3>or what what's important here.

431
00:22:20.079 --> 00:22:23.559
<v Speaker 4>In affecting the world.

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00:22:24.079 --> 00:22:27.079
<v Speaker 3>It's it's to what degree is Tesla's serving as a

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00:22:27.119 --> 00:22:28.960
<v Speaker 3>catalyst for the advent of electric vehicles?

434
00:22:30.279 --> 00:22:32.400
<v Speaker 4>And at some point, you.

435
00:22:32.359 --> 00:22:37.160
<v Speaker 3>Know, when when uh say, most cars being manufactured are electric,

436
00:22:37.680 --> 00:22:42.480
<v Speaker 3>then that will have been accomplished and.

437
00:22:43.960 --> 00:22:45.720
<v Speaker 4>Or the catalytic value.

438
00:22:45.400 --> 00:22:50.759
<v Speaker 3>Of Tesla will will have been realized, and the diminishing

439
00:22:50.759 --> 00:22:53.079
<v Speaker 3>returns in our garden. I think at that point I

440
00:22:53.400 --> 00:22:56.480
<v Speaker 3>would not need to run the company.

441
00:22:56.680 --> 00:22:59.519
<v Speaker 2>Can we talk a little bit about across the companies

442
00:23:00.079 --> 00:23:05.119
<v Speaker 2>your experience with venture capitalists, because it's been pretty varied, right, Yes,

443
00:23:07.200 --> 00:23:09.160
<v Speaker 2>so you've had good experiences and you've had not so

444
00:23:09.279 --> 00:23:10.839
<v Speaker 2>good experiences.

445
00:23:11.119 --> 00:23:12.440
<v Speaker 4>A wide wide range.

446
00:23:12.799 --> 00:23:18.079
<v Speaker 2>Yes, what have you What would you advise entrepreneurs watching

447
00:23:18.119 --> 00:23:20.839
<v Speaker 2>this or in the audience to make sure they don't

448
00:23:21.279 --> 00:23:22.359
<v Speaker 2>they don't live through what.

449
00:23:22.279 --> 00:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>You did in the bad experiences? And can you tell

450
00:23:24.079 --> 00:23:25.240
<v Speaker 1>us about the bad experience?

451
00:23:28.119 --> 00:23:28.319
<v Speaker 4>Well?

452
00:23:28.359 --> 00:23:31.119
<v Speaker 3>I think I think one thing that's important is if

453
00:23:31.240 --> 00:23:35.000
<v Speaker 3>if you have a choice of a lower evaluation with

454
00:23:35.119 --> 00:23:38.039
<v Speaker 3>someone you really like or a higher evaluation with someone

455
00:23:38.079 --> 00:23:40.839
<v Speaker 3>you have a question walk about take the lower valuation.

456
00:23:42.680 --> 00:23:45.279
<v Speaker 4>It's better to have a higher.

457
00:23:45.079 --> 00:23:49.200
<v Speaker 3>Quality uh bench capitalist who you think is would be

458
00:23:49.200 --> 00:23:53.279
<v Speaker 3>great to work with, than to you know, get get

459
00:23:53.279 --> 00:23:57.119
<v Speaker 3>a higher evaluation with someone where there's even a question

460
00:23:57.200 --> 00:23:59.960
<v Speaker 3>walk really, you know, I think that's that's important. That's

461
00:24:00.039 --> 00:24:02.640
<v Speaker 3>sort of like getting married. You know, I don't know, Well,

462
00:24:02.720 --> 00:24:03.359
<v Speaker 3>maybe I haven't been.

463
00:24:03.319 --> 00:24:08.559
<v Speaker 4>That good at that, but probably ten years. Okay, I mean,

464
00:24:08.559 --> 00:24:09.200
<v Speaker 4>it's too bad.

465
00:24:10.680 --> 00:24:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Did you do that wrong? Did you maximize for evaluation?

466
00:24:16.359 --> 00:24:20.880
<v Speaker 4>The I suppose in the case of the Tesla series C.

467
00:24:24.400 --> 00:24:27.079
<v Speaker 3>I mean, at some point I think I'll tell the

468
00:24:27.240 --> 00:24:29.039
<v Speaker 3>full story, but not tonight.

469
00:24:29.079 --> 00:24:30.119
<v Speaker 4>But not tonight.

470
00:24:31.279 --> 00:24:33.599
<v Speaker 1>The they did wait an hour.

471
00:24:33.680 --> 00:24:39.599
<v Speaker 3>Right, No, I know, Well, I'll tell part I'll tell

472
00:24:39.720 --> 00:24:46.519
<v Speaker 3>I'll tell part of the story. So the there was

473
00:24:48.599 --> 00:24:50.880
<v Speaker 3>there were there were two multiple competing bits. But there

474
00:24:50.920 --> 00:24:56.000
<v Speaker 3>were two competing bits. One was from uh Klana Perkins,

475
00:24:56.039 --> 00:25:00.599
<v Speaker 3>the other one was from vantish Point. Klaner offered a

476
00:25:00.640 --> 00:25:05.000
<v Speaker 3>fifty million dollar pre money Fintah Point offered seventy. I

477
00:25:05.000 --> 00:25:09.480
<v Speaker 3>actually said to John Dura that if John joins the board,

478
00:25:10.079 --> 00:25:15.119
<v Speaker 3>we'll do it at fifty. But John felt that there

479
00:25:15.160 --> 00:25:19.079
<v Speaker 3>was that he had too many obligations and that there

480
00:25:19.079 --> 00:25:22.480
<v Speaker 3>was another partner at Klanner who who really wanted the deal,

481
00:25:22.759 --> 00:25:28.039
<v Speaker 3>and so he could not supplant that person. And I thought, well,

482
00:25:28.519 --> 00:25:31.319
<v Speaker 3>we could do I would be okay if John ur

483
00:25:31.359 --> 00:25:33.599
<v Speaker 3>were joined the I mean there's a forty percent different

484
00:25:33.599 --> 00:25:34.960
<v Speaker 3>That difference has pretty significant.

485
00:25:34.960 --> 00:25:36.359
<v Speaker 4>I thought if John would would.

486
00:25:36.119 --> 00:25:37.920
<v Speaker 3>Be willing to join the board, then we could do that,

487
00:25:37.960 --> 00:25:39.240
<v Speaker 3>but not if it was somebody else.

488
00:25:42.279 --> 00:25:43.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that was probably a mistake.

489
00:25:45.400 --> 00:25:47.839
<v Speaker 1>And so then they did Fisker instead, which.

490
00:25:48.359 --> 00:25:49.400
<v Speaker 4>And that was their mistake.

491
00:25:49.519 --> 00:25:58.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yes, but I hope they live past the election.

492
00:26:00.880 --> 00:26:03.400
<v Speaker 2>Fiscer and A one two three are both having a

493
00:26:03.400 --> 00:26:04.920
<v Speaker 2>lot of issues.

494
00:26:05.359 --> 00:26:08.279
<v Speaker 1>What has Tesla done that it hasn't fallen in that bucket?

495
00:26:08.559 --> 00:26:09.200
<v Speaker 1>What was I mean.

496
00:26:09.400 --> 00:26:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Looking back, was there a crossroads where you made a

497
00:26:12.319 --> 00:26:14.720
<v Speaker 2>right choice that has put you guys so far? I

498
00:26:14.759 --> 00:26:17.240
<v Speaker 2>mean you're not profitable yet, but in a different category.

499
00:26:18.240 --> 00:26:21.400
<v Speaker 3>Uh well, Tesla is a really different company to to Fisker.

500
00:26:21.480 --> 00:26:25.519
<v Speaker 3>I mean we're Tesla is a hardcore technology company and

501
00:26:25.880 --> 00:26:30.119
<v Speaker 3>we we do really serious engineering. And I think you

502
00:26:30.200 --> 00:26:32.680
<v Speaker 3>only boilth value in a company if you if you're

503
00:26:32.720 --> 00:26:35.880
<v Speaker 3>doing hard work to solve tough problems. That that's that's

504
00:26:35.920 --> 00:26:38.599
<v Speaker 3>why companies are valuable. That's why they should be valuable,

505
00:26:38.640 --> 00:26:43.599
<v Speaker 3>and largely is why they're valuable. So and and we

506
00:26:43.640 --> 00:26:46.799
<v Speaker 3>do we do aren't We do real manufacturing as well?

507
00:26:46.839 --> 00:26:49.519
<v Speaker 3>I mean that the model as coils of aluminum and

508
00:26:49.599 --> 00:26:52.400
<v Speaker 3>plastic pelts come in and cars come out. I mean

509
00:26:52.440 --> 00:26:59.720
<v Speaker 3>we're we do real podcore manufacturing, quite vertically integrated, and

510
00:27:00.279 --> 00:27:02.559
<v Speaker 3>we did all the vehicle engineering, all the power train engineering,

511
00:27:02.720 --> 00:27:08.319
<v Speaker 3>all the software and whereas uh. And also we also

512
00:27:08.359 --> 00:27:10.839
<v Speaker 3>of course do the styling and design of the car.

513
00:27:10.839 --> 00:27:12.920
<v Speaker 3>We've got a great design shoot. Our head of design

514
00:27:13.000 --> 00:27:14.440
<v Speaker 3>fronts when wholeshouse and is awesome.

515
00:27:16.079 --> 00:27:16.279
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

516
00:27:16.519 --> 00:27:20.319
<v Speaker 3>In the case of Fisker, it's it's headed by was

517
00:27:20.359 --> 00:27:24.720
<v Speaker 3>headed by you know, Henry Fisker, and UH. And he's

518
00:27:24.880 --> 00:27:26.759
<v Speaker 3>he's a designer, so he's he's good at sort of

519
00:27:26.799 --> 00:27:29.279
<v Speaker 3>the styling of the cars. But he thinks it's all

520
00:27:29.279 --> 00:27:34.359
<v Speaker 3>about styling and and and it's not, you know, it's

521
00:27:34.400 --> 00:27:37.839
<v Speaker 3>it's really this is you know, the reason we don't

522
00:27:37.880 --> 00:27:39.960
<v Speaker 3>have electric cars is not for lack of styling.

523
00:27:40.400 --> 00:27:47.720
<v Speaker 2>Right at the time when you were getting started with Tesla,

524
00:27:49.000 --> 00:27:51.759
<v Speaker 2>the Valley was trying to take a turn back towards

525
00:27:51.920 --> 00:27:56.680
<v Speaker 2>science and towards saving the world. You had Kleiner Perkins,

526
00:27:56.920 --> 00:28:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Coastal Adventures, a lot of these big firms really getting

527
00:28:00.039 --> 00:28:01.880
<v Speaker 2>aggressive about clean tech and saying that was going to

528
00:28:01.920 --> 00:28:02.680
<v Speaker 2>be the next Internet.

529
00:28:02.920 --> 00:28:06.279
<v Speaker 1>That has not been the case. Why did clean tech

530
00:28:06.359 --> 00:28:07.440
<v Speaker 1>not work for the Valley?

531
00:28:08.319 --> 00:28:12.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think the jury's out on clean tech. I

532
00:28:12.200 --> 00:28:15.240
<v Speaker 3>think as far as Tesla and Tesla and Solar City

533
00:28:15.279 --> 00:28:18.720
<v Speaker 3>have certainly clean tech or it's say, I think of

534
00:28:18.839 --> 00:28:23.200
<v Speaker 3>more like sustainable energy stuff. I think sustainable energy is

535
00:28:23.200 --> 00:28:26.119
<v Speaker 3>a better it's more of a mouthful, but it's more

536
00:28:26.119 --> 00:28:32.000
<v Speaker 3>accurate than than than than clean tech. And uh, I

537
00:28:32.000 --> 00:28:34.440
<v Speaker 3>mean I think the I think, I think Tesla is

538
00:28:34.480 --> 00:28:37.799
<v Speaker 3>going to be an extremely valuable company in the long term.

539
00:28:37.880 --> 00:28:40.240
<v Speaker 2>And what have you done differently because a lot of

540
00:28:40.279 --> 00:28:43.720
<v Speaker 2>ACS said, well, the problem with clean tech is you

541
00:28:43.720 --> 00:28:45.440
<v Speaker 2>have to rely on subsidies, and if you have to

542
00:28:45.440 --> 00:28:46.759
<v Speaker 2>rely on subsidies.

543
00:28:46.279 --> 00:28:47.119
<v Speaker 1>It's never going to work.

544
00:28:47.160 --> 00:28:49.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, people buying a Tesla in park get a subsidy,

545
00:28:49.960 --> 00:28:52.160
<v Speaker 2>it takes down the price I assume.

546
00:28:51.799 --> 00:28:54.319
<v Speaker 1>With solar City. So it's like like that hasn't.

547
00:28:54.039 --> 00:28:56.519
<v Speaker 2>Been a knock against you guys, Like why have these

548
00:28:56.559 --> 00:28:59.160
<v Speaker 2>two companies worked when when so many other ones haven't.

549
00:28:59.880 --> 00:29:02.920
<v Speaker 3>I think it's you know, in any industry, there are

550
00:29:02.920 --> 00:29:05.480
<v Speaker 3>only a few companies that that kind of get big

551
00:29:05.519 --> 00:29:06.880
<v Speaker 3>and succeed.

552
00:29:08.119 --> 00:29:12.960
<v Speaker 4>And I don't know, I think it just seems that.

553
00:29:14.400 --> 00:29:17.519
<v Speaker 3>In the in the case of Tesla, we were focused

554
00:29:17.599 --> 00:29:21.160
<v Speaker 3>on making great products, uh and and doing solving hard

555
00:29:21.240 --> 00:29:24.519
<v Speaker 3>engineering problems. I mean, as evidence in Tesla for the

556
00:29:24.519 --> 00:29:26.759
<v Speaker 3>fact that we solve hard heart engineering problems is the

557
00:29:26.799 --> 00:29:30.960
<v Speaker 3>fact that Toyota and Daimler and Mercedes, you know, buy

558
00:29:31.240 --> 00:29:33.759
<v Speaker 3>electric power trains from US. I mean they if this

559
00:29:33.920 --> 00:29:37.599
<v Speaker 3>was easy, they would just do it. So so we

560
00:29:37.720 --> 00:29:42.480
<v Speaker 3>focused on solving really hard engineering problems at at Tesla,

561
00:29:44.559 --> 00:29:48.839
<v Speaker 3>Like I said, that contrasts with Fiscer some degree. And

562
00:29:48.839 --> 00:29:53.640
<v Speaker 3>and then at Solar City, the solo city does everything

563
00:29:53.720 --> 00:29:57.559
<v Speaker 3>except the panel. So what what a lot of people

564
00:29:57.720 --> 00:29:59.920
<v Speaker 3>don't realize is that the solar panel, if it's just

565
00:30:00.039 --> 00:30:03.079
<v Speaker 3>and efficiency solar panel, the difficulty of manufacturing that is

566
00:30:03.079 --> 00:30:04.839
<v Speaker 3>about as hard as manufacturing drywall.

567
00:30:05.000 --> 00:30:07.519
<v Speaker 4>It's really easy.

568
00:30:07.640 --> 00:30:10.920
<v Speaker 3>And so I mean, it seemed to me pretty obvious

569
00:30:11.000 --> 00:30:13.359
<v Speaker 3>that in the long term we'd see.

570
00:30:14.480 --> 00:30:16.279
<v Speaker 4>Cutthroat competition between.

571
00:30:17.480 --> 00:30:23.400
<v Speaker 3>Silicon PB manufacturers in China, Japan, Germany and other places.

572
00:30:24.119 --> 00:30:26.440
<v Speaker 3>As much as you see this competition in the d

573
00:30:26.559 --> 00:30:28.880
<v Speaker 3>RAM market, I think the PBM market in the dram

574
00:30:28.960 --> 00:30:32.000
<v Speaker 3>market very similar, And so that that cost would be

575
00:30:32.079 --> 00:30:35.920
<v Speaker 3>driven down to very low number, approaching the raw material

576
00:30:36.240 --> 00:30:40.000
<v Speaker 3>cost really and that that's that's pretty much what happened.

577
00:30:40.279 --> 00:30:42.160
<v Speaker 3>And and so the real the real cost of solar

578
00:30:42.240 --> 00:30:44.559
<v Speaker 3>and real challenge with solar is what's called balanced system

579
00:30:44.559 --> 00:30:50.119
<v Speaker 3>it's everything except the panel, and and so the cost

580
00:30:50.200 --> 00:30:52.599
<v Speaker 3>per installed what for a residential system might be around

581
00:30:52.599 --> 00:30:54.839
<v Speaker 3>four dollars now, which is a big drop from where

582
00:30:54.839 --> 00:30:57.160
<v Speaker 3>it was a few years ago used Topeak sort of

583
00:30:57.240 --> 00:30:58.039
<v Speaker 3>seven eight dollars.

584
00:30:58.079 --> 00:30:59.640
<v Speaker 4>Now it's it's sort of kind of have that.

585
00:31:00.680 --> 00:31:03.680
<v Speaker 3>But the optimization really has to be at the everything

586
00:31:03.720 --> 00:31:05.960
<v Speaker 3>except the panel, because the panels are dropping now to

587
00:31:06.000 --> 00:31:10.079
<v Speaker 3>like ninety cents a wide. So you know, over three,

588
00:31:10.160 --> 00:31:12.759
<v Speaker 3>you know, three dollars of the four dollars is balance

589
00:31:12.799 --> 00:31:17.279
<v Speaker 3>the system, which which includes the you know, it includes

590
00:31:17.480 --> 00:31:20.200
<v Speaker 3>the custom ownership experience that designing the system, particular to

591
00:31:20.240 --> 00:31:24.559
<v Speaker 3>particular rooftop, installing it, the wiring the inverter, after sales service,

592
00:31:25.599 --> 00:31:29.400
<v Speaker 3>figuring out the financing system, the found financing of it all.

593
00:31:30.440 --> 00:31:32.359
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's in the same way that say, say Dell.

594
00:31:32.519 --> 00:31:35.279
<v Speaker 3>Dell doesn't make the CPU or the hard drive of

595
00:31:34.720 --> 00:31:37.279
<v Speaker 3>the RAM or anything, but they kind of designed the

596
00:31:37.279 --> 00:31:38.000
<v Speaker 3>system and they.

597
00:31:38.039 --> 00:31:39.240
<v Speaker 4>Manage the customer experience.

598
00:31:39.319 --> 00:31:42.559
<v Speaker 3>And that's that's kind of how solar City is. So

599
00:31:43.400 --> 00:31:47.559
<v Speaker 3>when I looked at the problem of solar power, that

600
00:31:47.559 --> 00:31:49.039
<v Speaker 3>that that's what it looked.

601
00:31:48.799 --> 00:31:49.119
<v Speaker 4>Like to me.

602
00:31:49.839 --> 00:31:54.640
<v Speaker 3>So that's why solar City is working the problems that

603
00:31:54.680 --> 00:31:58.240
<v Speaker 3>it is working on, and it's doing super well with

604
00:31:59.640 --> 00:32:04.640
<v Speaker 3>you know, the credit credit due to Lennon and Peter

605
00:32:04.759 --> 00:32:06.720
<v Speaker 3>Ryve and the rest of the team at Social.

606
00:32:09.000 --> 00:32:12.039
<v Speaker 2>You've said, I think this is the first time I've

607
00:32:12.079 --> 00:32:14.480
<v Speaker 2>interviewed you and you haven't said it that being an

608
00:32:14.599 --> 00:32:16.799
<v Speaker 2>entrepreneur is like standing on the edge of a bit,

609
00:32:16.839 --> 00:32:19.039
<v Speaker 2>looking into abyss and chewing broken glass.

610
00:32:19.400 --> 00:32:19.599
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

611
00:32:19.640 --> 00:32:21.960
<v Speaker 3>Actually that's a phrase from a friend of mine, Billy,

612
00:32:22.240 --> 00:32:25.960
<v Speaker 3>who is early internet entrepreneur, has done done a number

613
00:32:26.000 --> 00:32:32.079
<v Speaker 3>of things since and and he the the phrase that

614
00:32:32.079 --> 00:32:34.920
<v Speaker 3>he uses is like starting companies, like it's like chewing

615
00:32:34.920 --> 00:32:39.519
<v Speaker 3>glass and starring into the abyss. Right, so I've flipped it, yeah,

616
00:32:39.720 --> 00:32:43.359
<v Speaker 3>just so it's it's I mean, there's a point which

617
00:32:43.400 --> 00:32:44.079
<v Speaker 3>obviously it's.

618
00:32:43.960 --> 00:32:45.359
<v Speaker 4>Not that not that way.

619
00:32:46.119 --> 00:32:49.400
<v Speaker 1>Do you still feel like that or now?

620
00:32:52.519 --> 00:32:52.720
<v Speaker 4>You know?

621
00:32:52.799 --> 00:32:55.240
<v Speaker 3>The stirring the abus part is just you know, are

622
00:32:55.240 --> 00:32:56.839
<v Speaker 3>you are you facing him and a death? And we

623
00:32:56.920 --> 00:33:00.200
<v Speaker 3>certainly were at SpaceX and Tesla and socially for a

624
00:33:00.200 --> 00:33:03.680
<v Speaker 3>long time. I think we're no longer staring into the abyss,

625
00:33:03.720 --> 00:33:04.279
<v Speaker 3>which is great.

626
00:33:05.200 --> 00:33:07.359
<v Speaker 4>There's always gonna be some amount of glass that's got.

627
00:33:07.200 --> 00:33:11.720
<v Speaker 3>To be chewed it's never zero, but it's less and

628
00:33:11.759 --> 00:33:14.000
<v Speaker 3>less as time.

629
00:33:13.839 --> 00:33:15.799
<v Speaker 1>Resspard less glass and no more abyss.

630
00:33:17.119 --> 00:33:19.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the best is kind of there in the distance,

631
00:33:19.519 --> 00:33:21.680
<v Speaker 3>but I'm not staring my peripheral vision.

632
00:33:21.839 --> 00:33:25.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, you know, you guys did PayPal, which

633
00:33:25.720 --> 00:33:28.119
<v Speaker 5>was you know, obviously started at a time when there

634
00:33:28.160 --> 00:33:30.160
<v Speaker 5>was a lot of money and there were advantages, but

635
00:33:30.359 --> 00:33:32.200
<v Speaker 5>you know, compared to other dot COM's, was a very

636
00:33:32.240 --> 00:33:34.720
<v Speaker 5>hard company to build, and then you go on to the.

637
00:33:34.839 --> 00:33:35.759
<v Speaker 4>Company to keep alive.

638
00:33:36.079 --> 00:33:39.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, right, as you point out, I mean, PayPal got

639
00:33:39.400 --> 00:33:42.000
<v Speaker 3>started in like late ninety nine, late ninety eight to

640
00:33:42.039 --> 00:33:47.720
<v Speaker 3>early ninety nine, and it was a sort of merger

641
00:33:47.720 --> 00:33:50.359
<v Speaker 3>of two companies x X dot com that I started

642
00:33:50.400 --> 00:33:53.880
<v Speaker 3>and Confinity that Maxi Peter started, and we started to

643
00:33:53.880 --> 00:33:58.039
<v Speaker 3>sort of pull our resources and tackle problem together. And

644
00:34:00.519 --> 00:34:04.640
<v Speaker 3>we went from starting the company to less than eighteen

645
00:34:04.680 --> 00:34:09.519
<v Speaker 3>months later, maybe fourteen months later or something, having a

646
00:34:09.559 --> 00:34:15.599
<v Speaker 3>valuation of five hundred million dollars. And you know, these days,

647
00:34:15.599 --> 00:34:19.119
<v Speaker 3>you know and have to see some of the you know,

648
00:34:19.559 --> 00:34:23.480
<v Speaker 3>things like the recent position by Facebook, think oh, well,

649
00:34:23.800 --> 00:34:28.400
<v Speaker 3>maybe that's not that great, but but at the time

650
00:34:28.440 --> 00:34:31.239
<v Speaker 3>it was certainly was like this is this is completely ridiculous.

651
00:34:32.239 --> 00:34:33.679
<v Speaker 2>Did you feel that way though, because I know there

652
00:34:33.679 --> 00:34:36.000
<v Speaker 2>were some people inside the company who thought, why we

653
00:34:36.039 --> 00:34:37.760
<v Speaker 2>are why are we only worth five hundred million?

654
00:34:38.119 --> 00:34:46.360
<v Speaker 3>I thought it was completely ridiculous. But the Nasdak peaked

655
00:34:46.400 --> 00:34:49.280
<v Speaker 3>I think in March or thereabouts of two thousand and

656
00:34:49.320 --> 00:34:51.760
<v Speaker 3>that's around when we when we did the valuation for

657
00:34:51.760 --> 00:34:52.679
<v Speaker 3>five million dollars.

658
00:34:53.239 --> 00:34:55.519
<v Speaker 4>The challenge was really keeping the company.

659
00:34:55.159 --> 00:34:59.840
<v Speaker 3>Alive for the next two years roughly until well until

660
00:34:59.840 --> 00:35:00.719
<v Speaker 3>we're sold to eBay.

661
00:35:01.320 --> 00:35:04.239
<v Speaker 2>What what is you and Peter's relationship like and what

662
00:35:04.360 --> 00:35:04.760
<v Speaker 2>was it like?

663
00:35:04.840 --> 00:35:05.039
<v Speaker 3>Then?

664
00:35:05.280 --> 00:35:07.480
<v Speaker 2>There's there's a lot of stories that the two of

665
00:35:07.519 --> 00:35:09.360
<v Speaker 2>you guys did not get along in that merger.

666
00:35:10.239 --> 00:35:14.480
<v Speaker 3>You know, we've we've had out disagreements, but we are friends.

667
00:35:15.599 --> 00:35:20.719
<v Speaker 3>And I would say for of our the time we've

668
00:35:20.719 --> 00:35:21.920
<v Speaker 3>known each other, we've been friends.

669
00:35:23.000 --> 00:35:25.639
<v Speaker 1>I met that was rough though knowing both it was a.

670
00:35:25.599 --> 00:35:27.360
<v Speaker 3>Little it was a little yeah, I thinks a little

671
00:35:27.360 --> 00:35:30.920
<v Speaker 3>bumpy at one point, and I think.

672
00:35:32.599 --> 00:35:37.079
<v Speaker 4>I'm I'm not I have more tolerance for risk than Peter.

673
00:35:37.119 --> 00:35:40.320
<v Speaker 3>It is, so I was sort of maybe more kind

674
00:35:40.320 --> 00:35:41.719
<v Speaker 3>of pedal to the metal, and Peter.

675
00:35:41.679 --> 00:35:44.320
<v Speaker 4>Was like, well, let's a little let's be a little

676
00:35:44.360 --> 00:35:45.079
<v Speaker 4>cautious here.

677
00:35:45.480 --> 00:35:48.280
<v Speaker 2>He may have been right actually, so which just ironic

678
00:35:48.320 --> 00:35:51.000
<v Speaker 2>since he encouraged you to gun your car that made

679
00:35:51.039 --> 00:35:51.280
<v Speaker 2>you guy.

680
00:35:52.119 --> 00:35:53.679
<v Speaker 3>I don't think that was what he had in mind,

681
00:35:55.440 --> 00:36:01.880
<v Speaker 3>but yeah, he uh. I'm probably slightly more risk tolerant

682
00:36:01.880 --> 00:36:02.440
<v Speaker 3>than Peter is.

683
00:36:04.039 --> 00:36:05.199
<v Speaker 4>But I think.

684
00:36:07.559 --> 00:36:09.679
<v Speaker 3>Between all of us we managed to make PayPal work,

685
00:36:09.719 --> 00:36:12.480
<v Speaker 3>which is what that was the important thing.

686
00:36:13.039 --> 00:36:16.079
<v Speaker 2>But back to the abyss and the broken glass. I mean,

687
00:36:16.280 --> 00:36:19.840
<v Speaker 2>do you only enjoy this if you're just the odds

688
00:36:19.840 --> 00:36:20.400
<v Speaker 2>are failure?

689
00:36:21.400 --> 00:36:21.599
<v Speaker 4>No?

690
00:36:23.719 --> 00:36:28.079
<v Speaker 3>No, I'm liking life more and more actually, as there's

691
00:36:28.840 --> 00:36:31.800
<v Speaker 3>less staring into the abyss and less glastering, I'm finding

692
00:36:31.800 --> 00:36:36.239
<v Speaker 3>that to be a good thing. So I hope never

693
00:36:36.320 --> 00:36:40.519
<v Speaker 3>to return to the experiences I had in two thousand

694
00:36:40.519 --> 00:36:41.599
<v Speaker 3>and eight and two thousand nine.

695
00:36:41.960 --> 00:36:43.599
<v Speaker 2>So I know, back in I think it was two

696
00:36:43.639 --> 00:36:45.280
<v Speaker 2>thousand and eight, you talked about if you were to

697
00:36:45.320 --> 00:36:47.679
<v Speaker 2>start other companies. One that you had an idea for

698
00:36:47.840 --> 00:36:51.119
<v Speaker 2>was an electric plane that could take off and land vertically.

699
00:36:51.679 --> 00:36:51.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

700
00:36:51.960 --> 00:36:55.320
<v Speaker 2>Does that seem are you now like, fuck, No, I

701
00:36:55.400 --> 00:36:56.719
<v Speaker 2>am not starting another company.

702
00:36:56.719 --> 00:36:58.079
<v Speaker 1>Are you still thinking of that?

703
00:36:58.079 --> 00:36:58.840
<v Speaker 4>That's how I feel?

704
00:37:00.119 --> 00:37:05.039
<v Speaker 3>That is, yeah, I've actually I mean, there are three

705
00:37:05.079 --> 00:37:10.119
<v Speaker 3>things that I think, well, arguably, for that I think

706
00:37:10.480 --> 00:37:13.599
<v Speaker 3>could be done. I think I could probably do it.

707
00:37:13.719 --> 00:37:16.480
<v Speaker 3>Maybe you know, have a better than even chance of success.

708
00:37:17.280 --> 00:37:17.880
<v Speaker 4>One is the.

709
00:37:19.480 --> 00:37:23.320
<v Speaker 3>An electric jet sort of this would be kind of

710
00:37:23.440 --> 00:37:25.800
<v Speaker 3>something cool because one of the things that I guess

711
00:37:26.280 --> 00:37:28.199
<v Speaker 3>where the idea where these things tend to come from,

712
00:37:28.280 --> 00:37:31.639
<v Speaker 3>is like I'll read something that seems like a sad

713
00:37:31.679 --> 00:37:34.360
<v Speaker 3>thing in technology, and they're like, well, how could we

714
00:37:34.400 --> 00:37:36.199
<v Speaker 3>make it not a sad thing? So when I read

715
00:37:36.239 --> 00:37:39.159
<v Speaker 3>about the concord being retired, and I was like, oh, geez,

716
00:37:39.159 --> 00:37:41.719
<v Speaker 3>you know, we don't even have supersonic transport.

717
00:37:41.840 --> 00:37:42.440
<v Speaker 4>That's terrible.

718
00:37:44.360 --> 00:37:47.039
<v Speaker 3>And I actually didn't have a chance to find the concord,

719
00:37:47.159 --> 00:37:50.239
<v Speaker 3>so you.

720
00:37:50.199 --> 00:37:51.519
<v Speaker 4>Know, that just seemed like terrible things.

721
00:37:51.519 --> 00:37:55.039
<v Speaker 3>So initially I thought, well, I started reading up about it,

722
00:37:55.079 --> 00:37:57.800
<v Speaker 3>and I read that that the concord it was really

723
00:37:57.840 --> 00:38:01.840
<v Speaker 3>designed in the sixties and so eric now have improved

724
00:38:01.880 --> 00:38:06.239
<v Speaker 3>a great deal with competential fluid dynamics, engine efficiencies improved massively,

725
00:38:06.559 --> 00:38:08.679
<v Speaker 3>and even if you just changed the engines on the concord,

726
00:38:08.800 --> 00:38:10.199
<v Speaker 3>you could double the range.

727
00:38:11.480 --> 00:38:12.079
<v Speaker 4>Or thereabouts.

728
00:38:12.480 --> 00:38:16.119
<v Speaker 3>And so I thought, well, okay, what if what if

729
00:38:16.159 --> 00:38:19.519
<v Speaker 3>you were figured out a really efficient design that could

730
00:38:19.519 --> 00:38:26.719
<v Speaker 3>make it economically competitive to have a supersonic aircraft, and

731
00:38:26.719 --> 00:38:28.239
<v Speaker 3>and and then I started looking at it more and more,

732
00:38:28.320 --> 00:38:32.480
<v Speaker 3>and then I started doing the math on all of it.

733
00:38:32.480 --> 00:38:34.840
<v Speaker 3>It seemed like, well, you just really want to go

734
00:38:34.920 --> 00:38:38.280
<v Speaker 3>higher and higher. You know, the lower you're in the atmosphere,

735
00:38:38.519 --> 00:38:44.280
<v Speaker 3>the more drag you have. Atmospheric density decays exponentially, So

736
00:38:44.840 --> 00:38:48.280
<v Speaker 3>as you go up, your air density just drops drops dramatically.

737
00:38:48.320 --> 00:38:51.559
<v Speaker 3>And it's it's really easy to go fast. And I

738
00:38:51.599 --> 00:38:53.679
<v Speaker 3>mean and your speed is just a force balance. It's

739
00:38:53.760 --> 00:38:56.039
<v Speaker 3>whatever your the output thrust of the engine is real,

740
00:38:56.800 --> 00:38:58.360
<v Speaker 3>you know, balanced against.

741
00:38:58.079 --> 00:39:01.639
<v Speaker 4>The drag that you're expect. So as you go higher,

742
00:39:01.679 --> 00:39:03.199
<v Speaker 4>you just go faster for the same course.

743
00:39:05.599 --> 00:39:12.000
<v Speaker 3>And and and then there's a slight outward acceleration you experienced,

744
00:39:12.000 --> 00:39:13.360
<v Speaker 3>which is also slightly helpful.

745
00:39:13.679 --> 00:39:14.559
<v Speaker 4>Like a satellite.

746
00:39:14.599 --> 00:39:16.440
<v Speaker 3>You know, when satellite is going mark twenty five, it

747
00:39:17.000 --> 00:39:21.599
<v Speaker 3>just goes on forever once it's south the atmosphere. So anyway,

748
00:39:21.960 --> 00:39:27.639
<v Speaker 3>this may be slightly worriast, but the electric fan gets better,

749
00:39:27.920 --> 00:39:29.800
<v Speaker 3>the electric aircraft gets better at the higher you go,

750
00:39:30.960 --> 00:39:33.400
<v Speaker 3>whereas a combustion aircraft does not.

751
00:39:33.599 --> 00:39:38.320
<v Speaker 4>You have you start starving it, starving it from from from.

752
00:39:38.159 --> 00:39:43.559
<v Speaker 3>Oxygen and and only you know, but the area is

753
00:39:43.599 --> 00:39:46.559
<v Speaker 3>mostly nitrogen. So when you as you're going through the air,

754
00:39:46.599 --> 00:39:48.199
<v Speaker 3>you're you're sort of sucking in all this all this

755
00:39:48.360 --> 00:39:52.840
<v Speaker 3>nitrogen which is kind of slowing you down, and you're

756
00:39:52.880 --> 00:39:56.559
<v Speaker 3>trying to combust the oxygen. Anyway, So with with aircraft,

757
00:39:57.079 --> 00:40:00.920
<v Speaker 3>with combustion aircraft, you hit an optimal altitude that's in

758
00:40:00.920 --> 00:40:07.320
<v Speaker 3>the sort of thirty five to maybe fifty five macs altitude,

759
00:40:07.559 --> 00:40:10.199
<v Speaker 3>whereas an electric aircraft you could you'd want to go

760
00:40:10.400 --> 00:40:14.079
<v Speaker 3>like maybe eighty thousand feet And anyway, it's a long

761
00:40:14.119 --> 00:40:16.400
<v Speaker 3>long way of saying you can get super efficient and

762
00:40:16.440 --> 00:40:20.360
<v Speaker 3>super fast with electric aircraft, and the vertical takeoff lining

763
00:40:20.440 --> 00:40:25.119
<v Speaker 3>works well with being super sonic and anyway, so I

764
00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:27.199
<v Speaker 3>think I think you could you can make a really

765
00:40:27.519 --> 00:40:31.199
<v Speaker 3>breakthrough aircraft that's several generations beyond what currently exists.

766
00:40:31.519 --> 00:40:32.559
<v Speaker 1>But are you going to do that?

767
00:40:33.880 --> 00:40:34.800
<v Speaker 4>Not anytime soon.

768
00:40:35.199 --> 00:40:37.199
<v Speaker 3>It's possible that I may do it at some point

769
00:40:37.199 --> 00:40:40.360
<v Speaker 3>in the future because between SpaceX and Tesla, I kind

770
00:40:40.360 --> 00:40:44.159
<v Speaker 3>of have the ingredients, so.

771
00:40:45.679 --> 00:40:50.920
<v Speaker 4>Very tempting easy after this, Yeah, but the.

772
00:40:52.679 --> 00:40:54.960
<v Speaker 3>I think maybe it's worth something worth considering in a

773
00:40:54.960 --> 00:40:58.800
<v Speaker 3>few years that's so that's one idea. Then this, I

774
00:40:58.840 --> 00:41:04.239
<v Speaker 3>think we could really improve transport by having a prefabricated

775
00:41:05.559 --> 00:41:07.480
<v Speaker 3>kind of double decker or actually, what war would really

776
00:41:07.519 --> 00:41:12.480
<v Speaker 3>make sense is a steel box beam over the center

777
00:41:12.519 --> 00:41:15.039
<v Speaker 3>divider with a lane on the inside and lane on

778
00:41:15.079 --> 00:41:18.440
<v Speaker 3>top that's made in prefabricated sections and stalled down the

779
00:41:18.440 --> 00:41:20.480
<v Speaker 3>center divider, and you can get two lanes, and you

780
00:41:20.480 --> 00:41:23.800
<v Speaker 3>can have the traffic you know, all onery or all

781
00:41:23.800 --> 00:41:27.639
<v Speaker 3>the other and massively improve life in places like Los Angeles,

782
00:41:27.679 --> 00:41:29.920
<v Speaker 3>where I was just stuck in traffic going to me

783
00:41:29.960 --> 00:41:34.239
<v Speaker 3>an hour ago, three miles. So I don't know who's

784
00:41:34.239 --> 00:41:36.039
<v Speaker 3>in charge of the Dam four or five construction, but

785
00:41:36.039 --> 00:41:43.239
<v Speaker 3>they're a bloody idiot and I hate them. It is

786
00:41:43.280 --> 00:41:45.880
<v Speaker 3>the worst construction product I've ever witnessed in my life.

787
00:41:47.519 --> 00:41:48.440
<v Speaker 4>It cursed them daily.

788
00:41:51.239 --> 00:41:52.719
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so that's two. What are the other two?

789
00:41:52.800 --> 00:41:53.880
<v Speaker 4>You would do? Well?

790
00:41:53.880 --> 00:41:57.039
<v Speaker 3>The other one, well one of the third one would

791
00:41:57.079 --> 00:42:04.880
<v Speaker 3>be I think you could make fusion work, and I mean,

792
00:42:04.920 --> 00:42:07.239
<v Speaker 3>and I mean by that, I mean magnetic confinement fusion,

793
00:42:08.519 --> 00:42:10.159
<v Speaker 3>your relatively standard.

794
00:42:09.719 --> 00:42:15.280
<v Speaker 4>Fusion, if you will. And and then the fourth one.

795
00:42:16.000 --> 00:42:21.599
<v Speaker 1>Photo sharing out subscription commerce in a box.

796
00:42:21.639 --> 00:42:27.199
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, the fourth one I'm considering just open sourcing basically

797
00:42:27.239 --> 00:42:30.119
<v Speaker 3>just describing the idea, saying that this is what will

798
00:42:30.199 --> 00:42:33.679
<v Speaker 3>be done, and if somebody wants to do it, then

799
00:42:34.199 --> 00:42:37.480
<v Speaker 3>then they can do it. But I'm thinking like maybe

800
00:42:37.480 --> 00:42:39.400
<v Speaker 3>I should patent it and then offer an open source

801
00:42:39.440 --> 00:42:41.159
<v Speaker 3>the pattern to anyone that can make a credible case

802
00:42:41.199 --> 00:42:44.840
<v Speaker 3>that they could actually do it, some sort of debating it.

803
00:42:44.880 --> 00:42:47.159
<v Speaker 3>But it would be for for a fifth mode of transport.

804
00:42:47.239 --> 00:42:51.880
<v Speaker 3>So right now we've got of terrestial transport. We've got planes, trains, automobiles,

805
00:42:51.920 --> 00:42:54.519
<v Speaker 3>and boats for getting around Earth.

806
00:42:55.880 --> 00:42:58.679
<v Speaker 4>And but what if there was a fifth mode?

807
00:42:59.199 --> 00:43:01.679
<v Speaker 3>And I have a name for it, name for it

808
00:43:01.719 --> 00:43:02.760
<v Speaker 3>which is called the hyper loop.

809
00:43:03.079 --> 00:43:04.280
<v Speaker 4>The hyper loop hyper loop.

810
00:43:04.400 --> 00:43:07.239
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, is it like a Jetson's tunnel.

811
00:43:08.000 --> 00:43:11.320
<v Speaker 4>It's something like that. Yeah, like you just get.

812
00:43:11.119 --> 00:43:12.039
<v Speaker 1>In at whisks you.

813
00:43:13.039 --> 00:43:17.119
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Well, and I'll tell you the characteristic. So this

814
00:43:17.199 --> 00:43:20.239
<v Speaker 3>is partly prompted by the California train thing. Like we

815
00:43:20.320 --> 00:43:24.280
<v Speaker 3>know we've got like a bullet train that that's like,

816
00:43:24.559 --> 00:43:27.199
<v Speaker 3>it's the has the dubious distinction of being the slowest

817
00:43:27.199 --> 00:43:30.519
<v Speaker 3>bullet train and the most expensive.

818
00:43:30.039 --> 00:43:35.280
<v Speaker 4>Promile calcul We got some bulletins there.

819
00:43:37.440 --> 00:43:40.760
<v Speaker 3>So we're setting records at both you know, both ends

820
00:43:40.800 --> 00:43:44.159
<v Speaker 3>of the wrong the wrong ends of the of the spectrum.

821
00:43:44.400 --> 00:43:48.400
<v Speaker 3>And you know, apparently it's gonna be like sixty billion

822
00:43:48.440 --> 00:43:50.679
<v Speaker 3>dollars or something to go from San Francsco.

823
00:43:50.719 --> 00:43:51.000
<v Speaker 4>To LA.

824
00:43:51.039 --> 00:43:52.920
<v Speaker 3>And if it's if they're saying sixty now, it's going to.

825
00:43:52.960 --> 00:43:56.519
<v Speaker 4>Be more later. And as furse, it's really slow to try.

826
00:43:56.400 --> 00:43:58.760
<v Speaker 2>To put this in perspective. One hundred million got you

827
00:43:58.800 --> 00:43:59.360
<v Speaker 2>into space.

828
00:44:00.039 --> 00:44:01.920
<v Speaker 3>Well, it got me started. I mean it got it

829
00:44:01.960 --> 00:44:03.679
<v Speaker 3>got me to yeah, Siddly got me.

830
00:44:03.679 --> 00:44:06.519
<v Speaker 4>To space, and quite get me. It's all bit very close. Yes, yeah,

831
00:44:06.559 --> 00:44:07.559
<v Speaker 4>something like that. Yeah.

832
00:44:07.639 --> 00:44:10.519
<v Speaker 3>In terms of cap of a venture capital investment, it's

833
00:44:10.519 --> 00:44:13.480
<v Speaker 3>been a couple hundred million in total including outside investors.

834
00:44:13.880 --> 00:44:16.800
<v Speaker 4>So and it's basically has been profitable for the last

835
00:44:16.800 --> 00:44:17.360
<v Speaker 4>few years.

836
00:44:17.760 --> 00:44:22.480
<v Speaker 3>So I think we can do something that's probably ten

837
00:44:22.519 --> 00:44:25.039
<v Speaker 3>percent of the cost. And and and I try to

838
00:44:25.039 --> 00:44:27.400
<v Speaker 3>think of what are the attributes that you'd want in

839
00:44:27.480 --> 00:44:30.639
<v Speaker 3>a new motor transport. In fact, what is the theoretically

840
00:44:30.679 --> 00:44:33.760
<v Speaker 3>fastest way that you could get from LA to San

841
00:44:33.760 --> 00:44:39.800
<v Speaker 3>Francisco And and so so the system I have in mind,

842
00:44:39.960 --> 00:44:42.119
<v Speaker 3>which is you've you're sort of you're guessing in the

843
00:44:42.199 --> 00:44:44.480
<v Speaker 3>right direction sort of.

844
00:44:44.639 --> 00:44:47.039
<v Speaker 4>How do you like something that can.

845
00:44:46.960 --> 00:44:54.039
<v Speaker 3>Never crash, it is immune to weather, It goes three

846
00:44:54.159 --> 00:44:56.960
<v Speaker 3>or four times faster than the sort of bullet train

847
00:44:57.039 --> 00:45:01.000
<v Speaker 3>that's being built. Well, it goes about let's say an

848
00:45:01.039 --> 00:45:06.079
<v Speaker 3>average speed of twice what.

849
00:45:04.760 --> 00:45:06.199
<v Speaker 4>What what an aircraft would would do.

850
00:45:06.320 --> 00:45:09.400
<v Speaker 3>So you go from downtown l A to downtown San

851
00:45:09.440 --> 00:45:15.639
<v Speaker 3>Francisco in under thirty minutes, and it would cost you

852
00:45:17.519 --> 00:45:21.960
<v Speaker 3>much less than an air ticket or cart, much less

853
00:45:21.960 --> 00:45:23.840
<v Speaker 3>than any of the mode transports. Is the fundamental energy

854
00:45:23.840 --> 00:45:27.639
<v Speaker 3>cost is so much lower. And I think we could

855
00:45:27.639 --> 00:45:30.239
<v Speaker 3>actually make it self power, self powering if.

856
00:45:30.039 --> 00:45:33.440
<v Speaker 4>You just if you put solar panels on.

857
00:45:33.480 --> 00:45:40.079
<v Speaker 3>It, you generate back of the envelop this you generate

858
00:45:40.159 --> 00:45:44.519
<v Speaker 3>more power than you than you would consume in the system.

859
00:45:44.840 --> 00:45:47.039
<v Speaker 3>And there's a way to store the power so that

860
00:45:47.039 --> 00:45:51.480
<v Speaker 3>it would run twenty four to seven mm without using batteries.

861
00:45:53.039 --> 00:45:55.360
<v Speaker 3>So there's a different you can you know, different ways

862
00:45:55.360 --> 00:45:56.280
<v Speaker 3>to store energy.

863
00:45:58.119 --> 00:45:58.480
<v Speaker 4>Anyway.

864
00:45:58.519 --> 00:45:59.960
<v Speaker 1>So that's do you think this is possible?

865
00:46:00.039 --> 00:46:02.920
<v Speaker 4>This is not just yes? Absolutely absolutely.

866
00:46:04.039 --> 00:46:07.800
<v Speaker 2>Wow, serve over time you retire your five children, you

867
00:46:07.840 --> 00:46:13.760
<v Speaker 2>ever just want to hang out with the kids, Yes.

868
00:46:13.639 --> 00:46:15.400
<v Speaker 4>I do.

869
00:46:15.639 --> 00:46:16.800
<v Speaker 3>I do want to hang with the kids. I don't

870
00:46:16.800 --> 00:46:18.400
<v Speaker 3>want to retire, but I do want to have with kids.

871
00:46:19.800 --> 00:46:22.880
<v Speaker 3>My goal is to retire right for forcenility.

872
00:46:24.360 --> 00:46:25.599
<v Speaker 4>It's a tough you know it.

873
00:46:26.159 --> 00:46:30.280
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's like, yeah, it's like getting hypoxia. You

874
00:46:30.280 --> 00:46:34.599
<v Speaker 3>don't like, you don't realize your your decisions suck until

875
00:46:34.599 --> 00:46:39.679
<v Speaker 3>you're dead. So so I don't intend to retire, maybe

876
00:46:39.920 --> 00:46:43.199
<v Speaker 3>like at eighty or something. And uh, it would be

877
00:46:43.280 --> 00:46:45.559
<v Speaker 3>cool to be born on Earth and die Mars.

878
00:46:46.119 --> 00:46:48.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you've said before you want to retire on Mars.

879
00:46:49.000 --> 00:46:50.320
<v Speaker 1>This is more or less feasible.

880
00:46:51.159 --> 00:46:55.079
<v Speaker 3>Well, actually I was asked do I It's more like

881
00:46:55.199 --> 00:46:57.400
<v Speaker 3>if I were to retire. It's not like I want

882
00:46:57.440 --> 00:47:00.280
<v Speaker 3>to retire, But if I were to retire on the

883
00:47:00.320 --> 00:47:02.119
<v Speaker 3>vote of sability, I'd like it to be Onlas.

884
00:47:02.159 --> 00:47:02.760
<v Speaker 4>That would be cool.

885
00:47:03.960 --> 00:47:06.280
<v Speaker 2>It's funny because you're saying earlier that you're slightly more

886
00:47:06.920 --> 00:47:09.920
<v Speaker 2>risk taking than Peter. Peter wants to be on a

887
00:47:09.960 --> 00:47:13.440
<v Speaker 2>boat that's like an island out somewhere that has no laws.

888
00:47:13.519 --> 00:47:15.480
<v Speaker 1>You want to be on Mars. It is the slightly

889
00:47:15.599 --> 00:47:16.880
<v Speaker 1>risky or crazy version.

890
00:47:17.559 --> 00:47:21.440
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think Peter entertains a lot of interesting ideas.

891
00:47:21.639 --> 00:47:23.440
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure he necessarily wants to be on an

892
00:47:23.519 --> 00:47:26.880
<v Speaker 3>island off shore. I mean, last time I saw him

893
00:47:26.880 --> 00:47:32.239
<v Speaker 3>he was in San Francisco. So but I think he

894
00:47:32.360 --> 00:47:35.800
<v Speaker 3>likes to He sort of entertains interesting ideas, and he's

895
00:47:35.840 --> 00:47:36.760
<v Speaker 3>not bound by convention.

896
00:47:36.960 --> 00:47:38.239
<v Speaker 1>Certainly, that's for sure.

897
00:47:38.320 --> 00:47:40.239
<v Speaker 2>All Right, we want to get some questions from the audience,

898
00:47:40.360 --> 00:47:42.840
<v Speaker 2>So we've got a couple of microphones if anyone wants

899
00:47:42.880 --> 00:47:44.880
<v Speaker 2>to line up while we're waiting on people.

900
00:47:45.679 --> 00:47:47.559
<v Speaker 1>You're an investor in Stripe.

901
00:47:47.360 --> 00:47:50.159
<v Speaker 3>And very tiny investor, very tiny in vester, and I

902
00:47:50.159 --> 00:47:51.079
<v Speaker 3>have no idea what they're doing.

903
00:47:53.239 --> 00:47:54.880
<v Speaker 1>This is the only subject where I know more than you.

904
00:47:55.119 --> 00:47:57.039
<v Speaker 1>I talked to them the other day. But would lead

905
00:47:57.119 --> 00:47:59.679
<v Speaker 1>me to the question, do you think PayPal is finally screwed?

906
00:48:01.840 --> 00:48:04.559
<v Speaker 4>Well, if PayPal doesn't do something, it will be screwed.

907
00:48:04.800 --> 00:48:06.519
<v Speaker 1>Yes, there has not been a lot of innovation.

908
00:48:06.920 --> 00:48:07.000
<v Speaker 2>No.

909
00:48:07.159 --> 00:48:09.000
<v Speaker 3>In fact, if you look at the product plan that

910
00:48:09.039 --> 00:48:15.599
<v Speaker 3>I wrote in two thousand, there's hardly any difference.

911
00:48:15.599 --> 00:48:17.760
<v Speaker 4>In fact, it's slightly worse than that.

912
00:48:19.199 --> 00:48:20.199
<v Speaker 1>I've gone backwards.

913
00:48:20.480 --> 00:48:24.199
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I payfal should be where all the money is.

914
00:48:24.719 --> 00:48:26.119
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and it's not.

915
00:48:26.559 --> 00:48:28.920
<v Speaker 4>It's definitely not all right, go ahead.

916
00:48:30.719 --> 00:48:32.960
<v Speaker 7>I first wanted to thank you, Sarah for believing in LA.

917
00:48:33.239 --> 00:48:34.639
<v Speaker 7>I was actually up at one of the events in

918
00:48:34.679 --> 00:48:36.239
<v Speaker 7>San Francisco, and I think we have two to three

919
00:48:36.239 --> 00:48:37.719
<v Speaker 7>times as many people here.

920
00:48:37.679 --> 00:48:38.599
<v Speaker 4>So thank you.

921
00:48:42.119 --> 00:48:43.159
<v Speaker 1>It is the same.

922
00:48:43.239 --> 00:48:45.519
<v Speaker 2>It's actually one hundred people fewer than we fit in

923
00:48:45.599 --> 00:48:49.440
<v Speaker 2>our San Francisco venue, but it's sold out the fastest.

924
00:48:49.920 --> 00:48:52.039
<v Speaker 1>So Ben Horwit sold out in about four hours and

925
00:48:52.079 --> 00:48:52.960
<v Speaker 1>you sold out in three.

926
00:48:53.079 --> 00:48:56.239
<v Speaker 7>All right, and you have a writer here, Michael, so

927
00:48:56.360 --> 00:48:57.519
<v Speaker 7>thank you for believing in LA.

928
00:48:57.760 --> 00:48:59.599
<v Speaker 1>I think we are the only blog with a full

929
00:48:59.599 --> 00:48:59.920
<v Speaker 1>time writer.

930
00:49:01.440 --> 00:49:02.599
<v Speaker 4>My question is for you Alon.

931
00:49:02.679 --> 00:49:05.079
<v Speaker 7>First of all, thank you for doing these big things to,

932
00:49:05.239 --> 00:49:07.880
<v Speaker 7>you know, improve humanity. I work for Space Adventures when

933
00:49:07.880 --> 00:49:10.000
<v Speaker 7>I was in college, and I really believe in the

934
00:49:10.079 --> 00:49:14.760
<v Speaker 7>Space Frontier, the abyss, so to speak, the good abyss indeed,

935
00:49:15.320 --> 00:49:18.079
<v Speaker 7>But just thinking about LA for a moment, what do

936
00:49:18.159 --> 00:49:20.679
<v Speaker 7>you think we can do to improve the ecosystem here

937
00:49:21.199 --> 00:49:21.880
<v Speaker 7>in l A.

938
00:49:22.079 --> 00:49:27.039
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think better freeways would be huge. Honestly, I

939
00:49:27.920 --> 00:49:29.719
<v Speaker 3>wish there was Like, who do I complain to.

940
00:49:29.760 --> 00:49:37.320
<v Speaker 4>About the freeways? Yeah, somebody's got responsible for it. Yeah,

941
00:49:38.400 --> 00:49:39.000
<v Speaker 4>don't do that.

942
00:49:39.360 --> 00:49:42.239
<v Speaker 1>Rather than build jets and hyperloops, than be the mayor

943
00:49:42.280 --> 00:49:42.679
<v Speaker 1>of l A.

944
00:49:43.159 --> 00:49:46.920
<v Speaker 3>But I think if somebody could seriously, it's like improving

945
00:49:46.960 --> 00:49:49.599
<v Speaker 3>the transport system. That's going to be for anyway, who

946
00:49:49.599 --> 00:49:51.320
<v Speaker 3>lives in LA. What's going to be the number one cribe?

947
00:49:51.760 --> 00:49:52.760
<v Speaker 3>It's the damn highways.

948
00:49:53.679 --> 00:49:56.000
<v Speaker 7>Sort it up to do that, but no one would

949
00:49:56.039 --> 00:50:01.199
<v Speaker 7>fund me. Yeah, any gridlock dot Org.

950
00:50:01.760 --> 00:50:03.679
<v Speaker 3>I'm open to finding someone if they if they want

951
00:50:03.719 --> 00:50:05.960
<v Speaker 3>to do the box being thing over the center divider,

952
00:50:06.719 --> 00:50:08.960
<v Speaker 3>which would be I mean a regulatory challenge, but I

953
00:50:09.039 --> 00:50:10.639
<v Speaker 3>mean I think people you could get people to vote

954
00:50:10.639 --> 00:50:12.880
<v Speaker 3>for it. I vote for it in like three seconds,

955
00:50:13.599 --> 00:50:14.920
<v Speaker 3>and it's just you got to do it in a

956
00:50:14.960 --> 00:50:17.480
<v Speaker 3>way that it doesn't impede the existing traffic flow. And

957
00:50:17.719 --> 00:50:19.840
<v Speaker 3>so it's got to be prefabricated sections that just get

958
00:50:19.920 --> 00:50:20.880
<v Speaker 3>dropped in place like Lago.

959
00:50:22.079 --> 00:50:25.039
<v Speaker 1>Why did you move to LA Because.

960
00:50:24.760 --> 00:50:27.880
<v Speaker 3>The southern California has the biggest concentration of airspace engineers

961
00:50:27.880 --> 00:50:31.000
<v Speaker 3>in the world. Oh, and it was a choice. I

962
00:50:31.039 --> 00:50:34.119
<v Speaker 3>mean I lived in the Baria for ten years and

963
00:50:34.400 --> 00:50:37.320
<v Speaker 3>lived in Palo Alto. I lived like three blocks away

964
00:50:37.320 --> 00:50:39.920
<v Speaker 3>from the PayPal office. That's why PayPal's on University Avenue.

965
00:50:39.920 --> 00:50:43.960
<v Speaker 3>Because I lived on Forest. This is really convenient. So

966
00:50:45.480 --> 00:50:47.840
<v Speaker 3>I moved down to la just because the odds of

967
00:50:47.960 --> 00:50:50.199
<v Speaker 3>success with the rocket company were pretty low to begin with.

968
00:50:50.639 --> 00:50:56.000
<v Speaker 3>And if I insisted that experienced airspace engineers moved from

969
00:50:56.039 --> 00:50:58.679
<v Speaker 3>southern California to the Bay Area and kind of leave

970
00:50:58.719 --> 00:51:01.360
<v Speaker 3>their job and buy a house in the area, which

971
00:51:01.400 --> 00:51:04.159
<v Speaker 3>is really expensive, and then the odds of success would

972
00:51:04.400 --> 00:51:09.000
<v Speaker 3>would go what would be decreased even further. So that

973
00:51:09.000 --> 00:51:12.239
<v Speaker 3>that that's why I moved to LA is all right?

974
00:51:12.320 --> 00:51:13.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I want to try to get through as many

975
00:51:13.880 --> 00:51:15.920
<v Speaker 2>of these questions as possible. But because we did not

976
00:51:15.960 --> 00:51:17.960
<v Speaker 2>have Eline for much longer, so let's ask him real

977
00:51:18.039 --> 00:51:19.039
<v Speaker 2>quick and answer real quick.

978
00:51:19.159 --> 00:51:22.320
<v Speaker 8>Okay, all right, okay, A young huge fan of yours,

979
00:51:22.360 --> 00:51:25.000
<v Speaker 8>so thank you so much for inspiring young entrepreneurs all

980
00:51:25.000 --> 00:51:25.639
<v Speaker 8>over in the world.

981
00:51:26.519 --> 00:51:27.079
<v Speaker 4>Quick question.

982
00:51:27.199 --> 00:51:30.320
<v Speaker 8>One of the area of innovation is in the area

983
00:51:30.320 --> 00:51:33.079
<v Speaker 8>of education, right, so I'd love to hear your thoughts

984
00:51:33.119 --> 00:51:34.400
<v Speaker 8>on what are some of the ways that we can

985
00:51:34.480 --> 00:51:37.760
<v Speaker 8>disrupt or to an area of education.

986
00:51:38.239 --> 00:51:38.519
<v Speaker 4>Right.

987
00:51:40.440 --> 00:51:45.639
<v Speaker 3>Well, what Sebastian Thron is doing and Selma con I

988
00:51:45.639 --> 00:51:51.280
<v Speaker 3>mean I think that's really that stuff is really disruptive. Sorry,

989
00:51:51.440 --> 00:51:54.920
<v Speaker 3>and so so what Sebastian Thron and and and Connor

990
00:51:54.920 --> 00:51:57.679
<v Speaker 3>doing is that that's great stuff sort of online learning,

991
00:51:59.559 --> 00:52:03.079
<v Speaker 3>and I think there's a to agree that you can

992
00:52:03.079 --> 00:52:09.719
<v Speaker 3>gamify learning. I think that's really helpful. Most you want

993
00:52:09.719 --> 00:52:13.880
<v Speaker 3>to make learning not a chore. If if people are

994
00:52:13.960 --> 00:52:15.639
<v Speaker 3>drawn to it like they're drawn to video.

995
00:52:15.440 --> 00:52:18.760
<v Speaker 4>Games, then then I think that would really help.

996
00:52:19.800 --> 00:52:21.920
<v Speaker 2>What do you think about Peter's whole getting people to

997
00:52:21.960 --> 00:52:23.039
<v Speaker 2>drop out of college?

998
00:52:23.119 --> 00:52:26.239
<v Speaker 3>Then yeah, I think I think going to college is,

999
00:52:26.639 --> 00:52:28.920
<v Speaker 3>you know, entirely optional. I mean, it's if you've got to,

1000
00:52:29.400 --> 00:52:32.199
<v Speaker 3>if you've got a good idea, I'd say drop out

1001
00:52:32.239 --> 00:52:35.320
<v Speaker 3>and try it out. You know, you always go back

1002
00:52:35.320 --> 00:52:35.719
<v Speaker 3>to college.

1003
00:52:35.719 --> 00:52:41.159
<v Speaker 1>Nobody's always there, all right, HANDA Mercedes have both sort

1004
00:52:41.199 --> 00:52:43.519
<v Speaker 1>of said to me very clearly they feel hydrogen feel

1005
00:52:43.519 --> 00:52:46.440
<v Speaker 1>sales in the future. But I believe strongly in batteries.

1006
00:52:46.800 --> 00:52:49.840
<v Speaker 2>I know, why do you think there's so much Why

1007
00:52:49.840 --> 00:52:51.679
<v Speaker 2>do you think they're so committed to hydrogen is like

1008
00:52:51.719 --> 00:52:53.920
<v Speaker 2>the next step, whereas batteries, I really feel like we

1009
00:52:53.960 --> 00:52:54.840
<v Speaker 2>can make this happen.

1010
00:52:56.360 --> 00:52:58.920
<v Speaker 3>I don't really know, because the math is so super

1011
00:52:58.920 --> 00:53:02.639
<v Speaker 3>obviously in favor of bad trees that it's like it's

1012
00:53:02.679 --> 00:53:04.679
<v Speaker 3>like staring facts in the face and saying they're uture

1013
00:53:05.719 --> 00:53:08.400
<v Speaker 3>if you take the best case scenario for fuel cell

1014
00:53:08.599 --> 00:53:10.440
<v Speaker 3>and you say, you know, forget about it. It's like,

1015
00:53:10.519 --> 00:53:13.679
<v Speaker 3>assume it's fully optimized. So you're you're you can you

1016
00:53:13.880 --> 00:53:17.400
<v Speaker 3>can envelope it from a physics standpoint and say and

1017
00:53:17.440 --> 00:53:18.599
<v Speaker 3>give it the best case situation.

1018
00:53:18.679 --> 00:53:20.199
<v Speaker 4>How does that compare to state of.

1019
00:53:20.199 --> 00:53:23.400
<v Speaker 3>The utlithium ion or current current lithium on in production

1020
00:53:24.239 --> 00:53:27.199
<v Speaker 3>and it loses. So so it's like success is not

1021
00:53:27.239 --> 00:53:31.760
<v Speaker 3>one of the possible outcomes. Why embark upon that? It's crazy.

1022
00:53:31.840 --> 00:53:34.239
<v Speaker 3>I think part of it is like that there's they

1023
00:53:34.280 --> 00:53:36.039
<v Speaker 3>felt for a long time that there was this need

1024
00:53:36.079 --> 00:53:39.960
<v Speaker 3>to be doing something, and since fuel sales were ten

1025
00:53:40.039 --> 00:53:41.880
<v Speaker 3>years in the future and always would be, then they

1026
00:53:41.880 --> 00:53:43.880
<v Speaker 3>could always say they're working on fuel sales and that

1027
00:53:43.960 --> 00:53:45.280
<v Speaker 3>and that would satisfy people.

1028
00:53:46.639 --> 00:53:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Deliver.

1029
00:53:47.280 --> 00:53:50.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it test called it. Full cells.

1030
00:53:53.679 --> 00:53:54.639
<v Speaker 1>Are great, Goo ahead.

1031
00:53:55.320 --> 00:53:57.079
<v Speaker 4>Tay there. My name is Richard Cooper Seen.

1032
00:53:57.119 --> 00:53:59.000
<v Speaker 9>I was an early executive at Facebook, where I headed

1033
00:53:59.079 --> 00:54:02.039
<v Speaker 9>up all of the international business development, corporate development, and strategy,

1034
00:54:02.559 --> 00:54:05.199
<v Speaker 9>and so you know, thinking big was something that you know,

1035
00:54:05.239 --> 00:54:08.159
<v Speaker 9>has been a part of my DNA from those days

1036
00:54:08.159 --> 00:54:09.920
<v Speaker 9>and before, and so as I look at all the

1037
00:54:09.960 --> 00:54:12.880
<v Speaker 9>things that you've been building obviously it resonates very much.

1038
00:54:12.920 --> 00:54:15.199
<v Speaker 9>So in order to build the things that you're building,

1039
00:54:15.239 --> 00:54:17.599
<v Speaker 9>obviously you need sources of capital and you have, you know,

1040
00:54:17.639 --> 00:54:20.599
<v Speaker 9>a sort of network of people around you. I recently

1041
00:54:20.639 --> 00:54:23.199
<v Speaker 9>partnered with a group called liquid net and they think

1042
00:54:23.239 --> 00:54:27.480
<v Speaker 9>about providing liquidity on a nine figure and up kind

1043
00:54:27.480 --> 00:54:30.719
<v Speaker 9>of basis. And they've created this really dynamic platform where

1044
00:54:30.760 --> 00:54:33.599
<v Speaker 9>they have seven hundred partners who all have an average

1045
00:54:33.639 --> 00:54:37.199
<v Speaker 9>of twenty billion dollars under management, which equals about fourteen

1046
00:54:37.280 --> 00:54:40.519
<v Speaker 9>trillion dollars. And what they're trying to do is identify

1047
00:54:40.599 --> 00:54:44.519
<v Speaker 9>really tremendous technology companies, biotech farm and that kind of thing,

1048
00:54:44.920 --> 00:54:48.360
<v Speaker 9>and space being sort of the next frontier. My question

1049
00:54:48.400 --> 00:54:50.480
<v Speaker 9>to you is where do you think, you know, the

1050
00:54:50.480 --> 00:54:53.159
<v Speaker 9>next big buckets of efficiency are for you in your

1051
00:54:53.199 --> 00:54:57.599
<v Speaker 9>capital formation efforts visa v you know, really finding that

1052
00:54:57.639 --> 00:54:59.559
<v Speaker 9>way to Mars and finding that way to kind of

1053
00:54:59.559 --> 00:55:03.440
<v Speaker 9>create the next the next wave of humanity out in

1054
00:55:03.519 --> 00:55:06.079
<v Speaker 9>the in the in the wider universe. And you know,

1055
00:55:06.119 --> 00:55:08.239
<v Speaker 9>we have a platform that provides for that. My question

1056
00:55:08.360 --> 00:55:11.000
<v Speaker 9>is where do you find, you know, efficient sources of

1057
00:55:11.079 --> 00:55:13.840
<v Speaker 9>capital or is a platform like what we have something

1058
00:55:13.880 --> 00:55:15.719
<v Speaker 9>that would serve your needs well.

1059
00:55:15.960 --> 00:55:18.599
<v Speaker 3>In my case, I find the public markets to be

1060
00:55:18.800 --> 00:55:21.960
<v Speaker 3>a pretty effective source of capital. It's it's worked out

1061
00:55:21.960 --> 00:55:25.559
<v Speaker 3>well for for Tasla, and Solar City will probably go

1062
00:55:25.639 --> 00:55:30.320
<v Speaker 3>public later this year, and so generally you know, so

1063
00:55:30.320 --> 00:55:34.400
<v Speaker 3>so and and and SpaceX could go public at any point.

1064
00:55:34.440 --> 00:55:37.280
<v Speaker 3>It's doesn't need space has been capsual a positive for

1065
00:55:37.280 --> 00:55:39.280
<v Speaker 3>a few years, so it doesn't really need doesn't really

1066
00:55:39.320 --> 00:55:43.719
<v Speaker 3>need additional capital. It's actually, as far as I'm concerned,

1067
00:55:43.760 --> 00:55:46.400
<v Speaker 3>I at this point, I do not feel myself to

1068
00:55:46.400 --> 00:55:47.440
<v Speaker 3>be capital constrained.

1069
00:55:49.199 --> 00:55:50.599
<v Speaker 4>But going public is.

1070
00:55:50.960 --> 00:55:54.079
<v Speaker 9>More efficient for you than then sort of staying private.

1071
00:55:54.159 --> 00:55:55.960
<v Speaker 9>You know, thinking about what's been happening in the in

1072
00:55:55.960 --> 00:55:59.039
<v Speaker 9>the public markets and sort of the gyrations and the

1073
00:55:59.039 --> 00:56:01.159
<v Speaker 9>need for public closure and all that kind of stuff,

1074
00:56:01.159 --> 00:56:02.079
<v Speaker 9>you think that's more efficient.

1075
00:56:02.920 --> 00:56:04.679
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I actually don't find it too much of a

1076
00:56:04.679 --> 00:56:08.920
<v Speaker 3>problem to be to be a public company. And I'm

1077
00:56:08.920 --> 00:56:12.400
<v Speaker 3>gonna kind of run the private companies like their public

1078
00:56:12.440 --> 00:56:18.840
<v Speaker 3>companies in terms of you know, having the uh, you know,

1079
00:56:19.119 --> 00:56:23.840
<v Speaker 3>the appropriate controls in place and mechanisms for effective governance.

1080
00:56:24.760 --> 00:56:26.840
<v Speaker 3>I don't I don't think it's actually that bad to

1081
00:56:26.880 --> 00:56:30.719
<v Speaker 3>be a public company. And unless if, if, unless you're

1082
00:56:30.719 --> 00:56:33.280
<v Speaker 3>gonna sort of get really concerned about the day to

1083
00:56:33.320 --> 00:56:36.559
<v Speaker 3>day fluctuations and the stock price. So as long as

1084
00:56:36.599 --> 00:56:38.960
<v Speaker 3>you just say, look, it's the stock price, you can

1085
00:56:39.000 --> 00:56:42.400
<v Speaker 3>fluctuate day to day and I don't care, then.

1086
00:56:42.480 --> 00:56:44.679
<v Speaker 4>You know that that's the only time it's an issue.

1087
00:56:44.800 --> 00:56:46.480
<v Speaker 3>Just you just shouldn't worry about the day to day

1088
00:56:46.519 --> 00:56:47.559
<v Speaker 3>fluctuations too much.

1089
00:56:47.800 --> 00:56:49.360
<v Speaker 2>What do you think about the trend of the dual

1090
00:56:49.400 --> 00:56:52.880
<v Speaker 2>class shares and this whole idea like being pushed by

1091
00:56:52.880 --> 00:56:55.280
<v Speaker 2>a recent Horwitz and others have basically you need a

1092
00:56:55.320 --> 00:56:56.440
<v Speaker 2>fortress to go public.

1093
00:56:57.960 --> 00:57:02.079
<v Speaker 3>I think they came somewhere to a dual class. I mean,

1094
00:57:02.119 --> 00:57:06.480
<v Speaker 3>Tesla has a single class, and and there's there's summer

1095
00:57:06.760 --> 00:57:08.719
<v Speaker 3>to a dual class. I think it can be taken

1096
00:57:08.760 --> 00:57:10.639
<v Speaker 3>to a bit of an extreme in some cases where

1097
00:57:11.079 --> 00:57:14.039
<v Speaker 3>it's a dual class to one class basically doesn't count.

1098
00:57:14.920 --> 00:57:18.679
<v Speaker 3>I think that's that's probably a bit unreasonable. We we

1099
00:57:18.840 --> 00:57:20.880
<v Speaker 3>we you know, you need there needs to be some

1100
00:57:21.079 --> 00:57:25.559
<v Speaker 3>path towards ultimately I think having a single class because

1101
00:57:25.559 --> 00:57:29.920
<v Speaker 3>you just get the succession problem, and it's just it's

1102
00:57:29.960 --> 00:57:34.840
<v Speaker 3>just rare that say somebody's successor, particularly if that's their kid,

1103
00:57:36.159 --> 00:57:37.320
<v Speaker 3>is is the right person.

1104
00:57:37.360 --> 00:57:37.599
<v Speaker 1>It is.

1105
00:57:37.679 --> 00:57:43.320
<v Speaker 3>It does happen, but it's unusual and so, but I

1106
00:57:43.360 --> 00:57:45.360
<v Speaker 3>mean there are cases where it's been well managed, to say,

1107
00:57:45.360 --> 00:57:48.280
<v Speaker 3>like with with Ford, like Ford was the only company

1108
00:57:48.400 --> 00:57:50.840
<v Speaker 3>not to go not to go bankrupt, and what could

1109
00:57:50.920 --> 00:57:53.480
<v Speaker 3>argue that the Ford family was a stabilizing influence on

1110
00:57:53.599 --> 00:57:57.679
<v Speaker 3>the company and had more long term thinking and and so,

1111
00:58:00.039 --> 00:58:01.719
<v Speaker 3>like I said, I think there's merits to having a

1112
00:58:01.760 --> 00:58:06.519
<v Speaker 3>dual class of ownership as long as it's not taken

1113
00:58:06.559 --> 00:58:07.599
<v Speaker 3>to an extreme right.

1114
00:58:08.360 --> 00:58:10.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm getting a sign that we can only take one

1115
00:58:11.000 --> 00:58:11.480
<v Speaker 1>more question.

1116
00:58:11.599 --> 00:58:12.639
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I apologe.

1117
00:58:12.679 --> 00:58:15.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm actually supposed to be at a screening for a

1118
00:58:15.440 --> 00:58:17.920
<v Speaker 3>film at about Haiti, and that's actually where I inadvertently

1119
00:58:17.960 --> 00:58:19.880
<v Speaker 3>went first and.

1120
00:58:19.840 --> 00:58:23.480
<v Speaker 4>Why I was so late. But I absolutely have to

1121
00:58:23.519 --> 00:58:26.119
<v Speaker 4>show up there because so.

1122
00:58:26.119 --> 00:58:29.440
<v Speaker 2>I apologize you guys, but you're getting the last one,

1123
00:58:29.639 --> 00:58:29.960
<v Speaker 2>all right.

1124
00:58:30.480 --> 00:58:32.920
<v Speaker 10>So I work in the space industry out here as well,

1125
00:58:32.960 --> 00:58:35.719
<v Speaker 10>so I appreciate the things you're doing with SpaceX. You

1126
00:58:35.800 --> 00:58:39.079
<v Speaker 10>tweeted yesterday that you thought we're going to be at

1127
00:58:39.119 --> 00:58:41.480
<v Speaker 10>Mars and forty years and we haven't been to the

1128
00:58:41.480 --> 00:58:44.039
<v Speaker 10>moon in forty years, so I was wondering what SpaceX's

1129
00:58:44.079 --> 00:58:44.800
<v Speaker 10>plan is for that.

1130
00:58:45.280 --> 00:58:47.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Actually I was saying that I thought we could

1131
00:58:48.119 --> 00:58:53.679
<v Speaker 3>conceletedly be Admas around twelve to fifteen years from now, and.

1132
00:58:55.280 --> 00:58:57.159
<v Speaker 4>SpaceX is continuing to develop the.

1133
00:58:57.079 --> 00:59:04.159
<v Speaker 3>Technology beyond Falcon nine and heavy and on, you know,

1134
00:59:04.239 --> 00:59:07.320
<v Speaker 3>on paper at least, I think we've got a system

1135
00:59:07.440 --> 00:59:09.639
<v Speaker 3>that could achieve.

1136
00:59:10.880 --> 00:59:11.719
<v Speaker 4>Mas colonization.

1137
00:59:13.920 --> 00:59:15.960
<v Speaker 3>There's a long way from having such a system on

1138
00:59:16.039 --> 00:59:20.760
<v Speaker 3>paper or electronically, really really have it on paper, uh.

1139
00:59:21.039 --> 00:59:22.800
<v Speaker 4>And actually making it real.

1140
00:59:24.280 --> 00:59:27.320
<v Speaker 3>But it was only maybe a year or two ago,

1141
00:59:27.519 --> 00:59:30.639
<v Speaker 3>that less than two years ago, that that I concluded

1142
00:59:30.679 --> 00:59:35.679
<v Speaker 3>that it was possible to have to.

1143
00:59:35.599 --> 00:59:39.360
<v Speaker 4>Create a self sustaining civilization on Mars. That's yes.

1144
00:59:39.599 --> 00:59:42.119
<v Speaker 2>So I read earlier a quote from you that said

1145
00:59:42.360 --> 00:59:44.760
<v Speaker 2>that that Mars was just this side of impossible.

1146
00:59:44.880 --> 00:59:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Is it further than this side of impossible?

1147
00:59:47.159 --> 00:59:49.159
<v Speaker 4>I believe it's possible, just extremely difficult.
