Speaker 1: All right, Sweet sixteen continues here, and so do we
on the best betting show ever Jon Area, alongside the
one and only Mister Artist.
Speaker 2: Season here is the pres has.
Speaker 1: Gone Mia, no idea, didn't ask, don't want to know.
We've got way too much going on here with college hoops, NBA,
only a handful of NHL games, but we got some
afternoon baseball again, so a little stopping for everyone here today. Art, Well,
let's start with how it went last night for you
guys at the books in the opening of the Sweet
sixteen here, Well, how'd you guys do?
Speaker 3: We did really well? You know, we had a ton
of money on that Illinois Houston over shockingly and felt
like they could have played a whole extra game and
it wouldn't have gotten there. People seem to be on Arkansas,
so you know, obviously Arizona blowing them out the way
they did was good. Also, we were fighting some Arkansas
money on them to win the Regent, so it's good
to get them out of there. It was also, I
must say, good to get Houston out of there as
far as the future goes as well. That was a
good knock them out.
Speaker 2: Really.
Speaker 3: Now it's just Duke and Illinois. We're worried about where
we do really well on Michigan and Arizona, so we're
set up well on those two to one seeds. So yeah,
it was a positive.
Speaker 1: Dat good day for you guys yesterday. How did you do,
by the way, because really, I mean it was two dogs, right,
so you had Illinois and you had Iowa too, ends
up getting it done there.
Speaker 2: How was that game?
Speaker 1: It was not a game we spent a lot of
time talking about during the week, but it felt like
certainly a lot of people like Nebraska, but I guess
you just can't discount this Iowa team either.
Speaker 3: No, you certainly can't. You know, for us, it was interesting.
We took early sharp money on Iowa at plus two
and a half, and then when we were at minus
one and a half on Nebraska, we had another group
take Nebraska minus one and a half, so we settled
it too. We saw actually a pretty good two way
action on the game. You know, all these games got
that under, so obviously that game got beat under as well,
and it flew over. So yeah, it was just yeah,
it was just one of those where that was a
game where it's kind of easy to book because you
were pretty much going to be at two and you
were going to take pretty good action on both sides.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: Just a bit of advice for the professors at Nebraska.
Helped the guys on the basketball team count of five,
that would be great, and you need to have five
guys on the court. You're allowed to have five guys.
Four is not a good idea when you're looking to
get a defensive stop.
Speaker 3: No one noticed that.
Speaker 2: Did you see them all on the sideline Logan One
was like, oh, was that me? Was I supposed to be? Yeah?
Speaker 3: The guy was waiting to check in.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what though.
Speaker 1: Kudos uh to you know, Ben mcconk kudos to IOWA
for recognizing it and taking advantage of it because a
lot of teams might have missed that and played right
into it. So kudos to them. Unbelievable though. Good win
by Iowa. Now and number nine seed. How did you
do in Major League Baseball the opening day yesterday?
Speaker 2: Any any action one way or the other? Now?
Speaker 3: You know, it's been a little slow. Obviously we're only
a couple of days into this, and I think people
are really still in March madness mode. So I think
the baseball betting obviously will pick up here, you know,
in the next couple of weeks, but it's been a
little bit of a slow start as far as the
action we've seen.
Speaker 1: You and I were texting yesterday back and forth, and
I'm I'm going Paul Paul Skins as era is now
sixty seven point five on the season, and O'Neil Cruz,
why are you having a shortstop play center field? I
have no idea, not that he was any going to
shortstop either, but can't you just dh him and call
it a day?
Speaker 2: Honestly?
Speaker 3: I mean, and you know they kept saying on the
telecast too, he's one of their most important players for
them to have, which a lot of people expect Pittsburgh
to have a really good year. Obviously, they have really
good pitching in some of that young talent. If he's
one of their most important players, they're gonna win sixty five.
Speaker 1: Games of all play centerfielder, like the centerfielder needs to be.
Speaker 2: I can't over there.
Speaker 1: He took two steps in, oh and then that pop
up like you gave them four out, you know, five out?
He gave them two extra outs alone. No wonder whyse
Schmes is just like I'm out of here. I'm done
with this. But we got early afternoon baseball here today,
So why don't we kick it off with what the
sharp bets are looking like today? And you know you
can start with the sports outside of the of the
Sweet sixteen.
Speaker 2: What are you seeing if anything right now? Aret?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, like I said, the NHL two games,
so there's really not much to report. NBA a couple
of totals. They took over two thirty eight the Clipper
game now two thirty nine and a half. Also over
the Bulls game two thirty eight, so that's also two
thirty nine and a half, two of the biggest totals
on the board early for the baseball. I mean, we're
gonna do this pretty much every day, which we've done
the last couple of year. You know, Dodger overnight numbers
are gonna go up twenty cents, already gone up to
two forty, the overs starting to get bet up. Dodger
team totals are gonna get bet so you've seen that.
You've seen Padre money as well. Remind us one twelve
now approaching a dollar twenty. We're one eighteen on that game.
So that's really the early stuff a little bit of
Blue Jay money as well. Blue Jays went from one
to sixty to I believe one's seventy two. So those
are really the big move so far in the baseball
all right.
Speaker 1: Did you have on your Bengo card the Marlins opening
the season as a two dollar favorite against anybody?
Speaker 3: And I love alc I love Alcatrer, but that seems insane.
Speaker 2: Wow.
Speaker 1: I know it's the Rockneys, but holy crap, Wow, unbelievable.
Speaker 2: What's going on there?
Speaker 1: By the way, kudos to us we did mention yesterday,
did not understand the fate of schooball in the market yesterday,
proving once again that just because chasing steam in Major
League Baseball maybe a good reminder that that's not always
the smart way to go either.
Speaker 2: There are are there.
Speaker 1: As many head fakes in Major League Baseball as we
get in some of these other sports.
Speaker 3: Let's say no, because obviously, you know, football is a
totally different game because you're talking about key numbers. You know,
if they're gonna head fake on three or seven in
the NFL, obviously that's something to keep your eye on.
There can I guess there can be a little bit
maybe it's something where they're trying to push a pitcher
one way or the other. But I don't think it's
as prevalent as it is in other sports.
Speaker 2: School Boy, I was free money yesterday.
Speaker 1: Uh oh, all right, let's talk about some of the
sweet sixteen Action four games here tonight. First one, I
believe is the Johnny's at Duke Kieran. The public loves
themselves and Johnny's apparently are what are you seeing.
Speaker 3: I'm shocked by this because Duke is always miss Republic
and yeah, we've seen nothing different at the super Book.
I mean, it's been a lot of Saint Johnny. It's
Saint John's public money. You know, we were Duke six
and a half on the opener, got to seven. Now
we're back to six and a half. We need Duke
in the game, which rarely you.
Speaker 2: Say, yeah, that's kind of crazy there.
Speaker 1: And then I believe, good Old what a coaching matchup,
uh Hurley versus his two guys that have been absolutely
staples when it comes to the NCAA tournament. Here's the
stat last four years, Hurley and yukon.
Speaker 2: Fifteen and one against the spread.
Speaker 1: All right, they are literally mister March there but I
don't know do we trust Yukon? Does the public trust Yukon?
Where's the money? Is it split down the middle?
Speaker 2: In this one?
Speaker 3: We need Yukon, but there is good two a action
on the game. Now, Yukon's not as big of a
need as let's say, Duke. Total really came down here
as well. One thirty seven now one thirty four, tick
back up to one thirty five this morning, so you
obviously start to see a buyback on some of these
totals that have moved three and four points. This is,
like I said, really good two way action. We'd actually
do pretty well on both teams in the future market.
So for us, it's gonna kind of be like the
Ioway Nebraska game, where game will probably be one and
a half two all day and we'll just book the
game that way.
Speaker 1: Well, you got Johnny's and Duke on at seven ten
I believe, seven thirty five Eastern time.
Speaker 2: Bama and Michigan.
Speaker 1: We're starting to see a little more Michigan money come back.
Speaker 2: Now. I saw this down as low as eight and
a half. Are you still there?
Speaker 1: I mean it opened ten ten and a half Michigan,
and then we saw a lot of Alabama money. Are
we starting to see the Michigan money back in what's
happening at the super book?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we did get to ten and now
we're nine. We never got to eight and a half.
We've been as low on Michigan as nine. So I mean, listen, Michigan.
You know they're gonna be popular with the money line parlays.
People are gonna put their minus five dollars in parlay
with baseball games and you know, NBA games and all
that type of stuff. Like I said, we're rooting for
Michigan because Michigan really is like our best future position.
So we'd like to see Michigan go as far as
they possibly get.
Speaker 1: In this also the highest total one seventy three right
now in a And I wouldn't sweat an under like
I wouldn't sweat an under in Arkansas and Arizona last night.
How about Tennessee and Iowa State? Iowa State. It hasn't
been a ton of movement. But what are you seeing
here so far this week with this game?
Speaker 3: Yeah, we opened three and a half, got to his
highest four and a half. I mean, I guess Jefferson's playing.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 3: I mean the last time we saw him he was
on a scooter in a walking boot. I don't know
how he's playing, but I guess he's gonna give it
a go. So we did take Tennessee money at four
and a half. The line probably is where it should be,
you know, three and a half four, and this is
one that's kind of seem pretty good. Two way action
total was bet down early and now got bet up
this morning, so we're back up to one forty on
that total, which feels like a high total for those
two teams who play a similar style and kind of
like to slug it out. But we thought that maybe
with Nebraska and Iowa and that flew over, so be
interesting to see what happens there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if it even if Jefferson go, how what is
I think it's going to hurt them more offensively that
it will defensively in that game. But why Tennessee likes
to turn the ball over a lot this year and
that's a recipe for disaster against Iowa State here. But uh,
that game is going to be also in the ten
o'clock Eastern time hours. So any look ahead to the
Elite eight? Did you get now that we have a
couple of these matchups here. Did you get any action overnight?
There art no action.
Speaker 3: But you know, we open Illinois seven against Iowa, and
we open Arizona six against Purdue. You know, I would
expect both those favorites to be parlayed on Saturday if
people are just going to do two teamers or find
a baseball game they like and make some three teamers
out of it. Once again, Arizona really good for us
in the future book, So we'll be rooting for Arizona
to make the final four. You know, as far as
that other matchup goes Illinois, we want to see Illinois
out of there. They're now put in the position of
like a duke where we don't do well on Illinois.
So we'll be rooting for Iowa to knock Illinois out
of there.
Speaker 1: And look's gonna get him done there, all right, h
Art parlay of the day here, I know that. How
did we do yesterday? I know you said you also
had a ton of Minnesota money against my Panthers last night.
They did get him to overtime, but Minnesota did end.
Speaker 2: Up winning that game. Uh, what did we I think
I had? Charlotte Charlotte ended up beating the Knicks, which
was good.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've been brutal this week. You guys won both yours.
I lost mine.
Speaker 2: Oh damn one of three.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but this is what we always say, right, beat
up straight, you'll do fine.
Speaker 2: This is you're just adding fueling a fire. And a
guy in the chat that's like, all right, your pick suck.
You shouldn't get tell me about free ones.
Speaker 3: Waiting for he's probably he's got me zeroed in.
Speaker 2: Oh my.
Speaker 1: But like you said, if you if you're round Robinham,
you're still ahead of the game here, that is sure.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: So today's action a lot of stuff on the board, Art,
Where are you going for our two teamer today?
Speaker 3: I'm with you. I think Iowa State's gonna cause a
lot of issues for Tennessee. Give me Iowa State minus the.
Speaker 1: Four ooh all right, and I am gonna go again
fifteen and one in the last four NCAA tournaments.
Speaker 2: Give me Yukon. I ain't stepping in front of that.
Give me Yukon to get it done.
Speaker 1: This is right up there alley there, all right, Art,
So what happens now?
Speaker 2: Next week?
Speaker 1: Of course, we're gonna be getting ready for what I
basically want national championships.
Speaker 2: What do we got in the store for ourselves?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean next week obviously we're gonna have plenty
of talk about the Final four, you know, we'll bring
and then I think next week we'll really get into
the full swing of baseball, you know, because obviously Final
four doesn't go to Saturday, so pretty much, I think
Final four, I mean, we'll talk about the early opening
numbers on those, but you know, that'll probably be more
towards later the week where we're really starting to dive
in to the money coming in. Then I think I
think next week early it's pretty much, hey, let's get
into the swing of baseball here. And then obviously NBA
and NHL are ending soon and we're going to be
in playoff mode, which is going to be great.
Speaker 2: I love it all.
Speaker 1: Right, before I get you out of here, I want
to do I wanted to show you this and reiterate
it to the to the viewers here because I've been
mentioning with the predictive markets, and I did a video
on this. Uh, you know a lot of people question
how do you you know why to predict the mark?
How do you use that and how do you use
it with the sports book? You know, I got these
ag I'm DraftKings, I'm Fandel the West Gay what So.
One of the ways I looked at it, Art was
and let's face it, you've got three dogs here tonight,
Art that have, based upon what the money line spread,
is one in five, one in three chants of winning outright?
Speaker 2: Uh in in most spots.
Speaker 1: I think the biggest dog is Alabama, but their money
line is still about for twenty, you know, plus twenty
plus four dollars, So you're basically in a one in
five shot at Alabama. You play this game five times,
Bama's gonna win one out of every five, right, I'm
seeing right now, Art, get a load of this. This
is for the national championship market. Alabama is trading at
one cent. Tennessee is trading at one cent if they
win these games here tonight. Now, one cent doesn't equal
one in five to me, are it doesn't make the math?
Speaker 2: Ain't math infor me? Here?
Speaker 1: If if Alabama or Tennessee pull out the upset or
even the Johnnies, as you can see, at three cents,
we wake up tomorrow with any one of those dogs
as outright winners, and I don't need them to win
the national Championship. I just need him to get by
tonight because that one cent or three cents turns into
fifteen cents or more in a heartbeat when we're down
to eight teams.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, just to think about those teams. I
know they're a little bit higher than the one sent teams,
but it feels like Saint John's. Yeah, if they get
by Duke, and let's say they get Yukon, They've had
a lot of success against Yukon. I mean, right, they're
not afraid of Yukon. And listen, obviously Yukon blew them
out in that one revenge spot. But Saint John's two
out of three against Yukon, and we know there's really
no coaching edge, maybe even a slight coaching edge to Patino,
But I mean that that is a team that's gonna
be tough to get by Duke. But man, it feels
like their number would really shoot up, and that line
against Yukon would be a tight line. I mean, you
can be favor to be favored in the game, but
it'd be small.
Speaker 1: One cent you're acting is if they should just get
on the bus and go back home.
Speaker 2: There's no point in play. This is not a ten
thousand to one under. You're talking about.
Speaker 1: Three teams in a notoriously tough spot.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 1: To be a favorite and expect to win anything is
We saw a couple of dogs last night win not
as big as the ones here tonight.
Speaker 2: But if the Johnny's beat Duke, if you're.
Speaker 1: Taking any one of these teams tonight with the points,
if you're on Alabama, if you're on Tennessee, or if
you are on the Johnny, get over to the prediction markets.
Speaker 2: And throw a couple of bucks down on.
Speaker 1: These at one cent and three cents, Because to me, Art,
that's how you leverage the books there. Take the points
all you want with your book, but if you're using
the prediction markets one and three cents on teams that
are live dogs in these spots, aren't come on.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm with it, And like I said, I
just Saint John's one definitely stood out to me, but
I couldn't even argue you know a couple of the
other ones. I mean, listen, I know I picked the
Iowa state, but Tennessee can beat them. I mean, you know,
I don't expect Alabama to beat Michigan. But Tennessee can
absolutely win that game. I you know, why can't they? Yeah,
that could happen.
Speaker 1: The money line price Art with Tennessee is what but uh,
let's see here, Tennis is plus plus one sixty.
Speaker 2: Let's call it all right.
Speaker 1: Plus one sixty means they're going to win this game
more often than you realize.
Speaker 2: And at one cent. Again, I don't need them to
win the national Championship. I just need them to win
tonight and then I can cash out the profits tomorrow. Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how you utilize the
predictive markets. Art, get out of here, big day for you.
Appreciate it as always. We will catch you again on
next week. On Tuesday, we'll dive into a whole lot
of Major League Baseball, and of course, look the crown
a national champ man.
Speaker 2: So byl R. Appreciate it as always.
Speaker 3: Yeah, see you on Tuesday, Joe, all right.
Speaker 1: Art the Caesar, there you go, as always, we appreciate it. Guys,
make sure you smash that like button, hit the subscribe button,
and of course become part of the wager Talk family.
Speaker 2: Here for the best betting show.
Speaker 1: Ever, all right, we've got no pres I guess we've
got some business that we got to take care here,
and I'll start with mine.
Speaker 2: It's pretty simple.
Speaker 1: We nailed our major League baseball start to the season yesterday.
We told you here on the show Schooble, No way
am I fading Schooble on opening day against Paveta. And
now I've got not one, but two games that have
similar value here today on the board. It's always fun
this time of year because the books and the betters,
we're all on the same page, kind of a level
playing field right now, and some of these numbers it's
just too much value to pass up here. So we've
got two major League Baseball games that are locked and loaded.
I've got them together in a package. Head over to
wagertalk dot com. Pick those up. I'm already locked and
loaded on a four percent college basketball Sweet sixteen play
that is available there. I've added another play here because
the market is now forcing my hand to have to
do so you can get those over at wager talk
dot com and I will have an NBA top play
up as soon as I can get a clue as
to a couple of games of who I think is
in and out. I will have those ready for you
guys again, all available at wager talk dot com. So
let's run down a couple of games here for you tonight.
I'll just do a couple in each college basketball, Major
League Baseball, and NBA. Let's start with college basketball here tonight.
Speaker 2: Not that hard, guys.
Speaker 1: We got one, two, three, four games that remain here tonight.
In the sweet sixteen, we'll focus on that Tennessee Iowa
State game you just saw me show arts. Now, Tennessee
is a plus one fifty dog here getting four points.
It looks like now, well, plus one fifty in the
on the money line tells me the Tennessee about a
forty percent a little more than that chance of actually
winning this game here tonight. That's what the implied probability
tells us. Well, if that's the case, and that the
prediction market future for the national titles is what Tennessee
getting one or two cents right now, you gotta think
Tennessee is gonna play if they win this game outright,
is gonna play either Michigan or Alabama.
Speaker 2: Kind of like the chances here.
Speaker 1: Call me crazy of Tennessee at least improving in that
market do they win this game.
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take the points.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take them on the money line, and I'm
gonna take them in that prediction market futures when it
comes to who's going to be the national champion. I
definitely think we can gain at least from a one
or two cent market to at least a oh, I
don't know, four or five percent market here. I think
that is great opportunit unity there across the board. Take
the points, sprinkle on the money line, and then put
a little in that futures market there into predictive and
get all three markets working for you, because I do
believe Rick Barnes as an opportunity here to advance to
the Elite eights. Nobody is talking about Tennessee although down
to stretch guys. Outside of the game against Vandy, this
has been one of the best teams certainly in the SEC.
They have figured some things out to cut down on
the turnovers. I like Tennessee here in this spot to
get it done. But take them, take the points, take
the money line, and take them in that futures market
there over at Calshi or polymarket or whichever.
Speaker 2: One you use.
Speaker 1: As far as Major League Baseball goes here tonight, guys,
we've got one afternoon game and that's the Yankees at
the Giants. I do like the over there, keeping in mind,
of course, that the Yankees seven runs pretty much all
condensed on in that game in Game one. There now
Schlitler versus Robbie Ray. Here, Robbie Ray still pitching at
the ripe old age of what one hundred, feels like.
He's been around for a very very long time. But
the ball travels much better there at Oracle during the
day than it does at night, So keep that in mind.
I think this total continuing to rise. It was seven
and a half overnight. I saw eights this morning, and
I would look to go up and over in this
spot with those two pitchers. There also Reagan's versus Chris
Sale another interesting one. I think there's a ton of
value on Kansas City in this game Reagan's and Chris Sale.
To me, Reagan's coming off an injury plague season, so
did Chris Sale. I like both lineups here a lot,
Both bullpens kind of on par with one another, although
I do like the Royals bullpen a little bit better.
But I think this is a coin flip game and
you're getting a pretty good plus money price there on
Kansas City, so certainly worth maybe looking at getting them
at plus money or maybe take the half a run
in the first five with Kansas City, because I definitely
think they can go toe to toe here with Atlanta
in Atlanta and as far as the NBA goes here tonight, guys,
plenty of monster numbers up on the board. We just
found out New Orleans is going to be missing all
sorts of people here tonight. They just got boat raced
by Detroit last night. Now you're traveling to Toronto to
take on the Raptors who can't be trusted. But this
game was seven to seven and a half and now
it is nine to nine and a half. It's kind
of hard to trust New Orleans in this spot after
getting pretty beat up by the Detroit Pistons last night.
Speaker 2: We also just.
Speaker 1: Learned that Jalen Brown is out for the Boston Celtics.
That line was up as high as five and a half.
It is settled back.
Speaker 2: Down to around four now.
Speaker 1: Boston is seven and two now with Tatum back in
the lineup.
Speaker 2: But who are we kidding.
Speaker 1: Atlanta has won what fourteen of the last fifteen games
coming off of that overtime win against Detroit. That's gonna
be a good one there. But it also wouldn't shock
me if that lands under. Both of these teams extremely
good defensively, and I don't think there's gonna be a
ton of pace in this game, and now that Jalen
Brown is out, maybe an under is in store.
Speaker 2: So I would look at that.
Speaker 1: And for the second time in three days, the Miami
Heat taking on the Cleveland Calves five and a half,
this game has jumped up to and listen, nobody has
been worse against the spread at home this year, especially
as a favorite than the Cleveland Cavaliers. Miami has been
great as a road dog against the spread here.
Speaker 2: Miami is also finally healthy.
Speaker 1: Heimi Hokez Junior was the only question they had. He's
already been upgraded the playing tonight. So yeah, I kind
of like Miami to keep this thing close here in
this series. By the way, with these two teams, it
always appears to be the road team that ends up
keeping it close, if not pulling the outright victory there.
So I'll take the points with Miami and that will
do it there, a little something for everybody there. But
take advantage, guys of these dogs tonight and the predictive
markets and the books goad if you like any of them,
if you like the Johnnies tonight, if you like Tennessee,
if you think Alabama's got a puncher's chance, and the
market obviously does because it was bet.
Speaker 2: Down to about eight and a half at one point.
Speaker 1: The future market there, the title market, in these predictive spots,
plenty of value, guys. There's no reason not to take
the points, not to take them on the money line,
and not to sprinkle a little something in those markets
at those prices there. That is how you can get
all those markets working for you, and that is how
you be really profitable.
Speaker 2: Come March madness there.
Speaker 1: So make sure you hit that light button, make sure
you go grab the top plays are available right now.
Take advantage guys over at wager talk dot com again too,
in Major League Baseball that I've got locked and loaded
for you. Go grab those over on mypagewt dot buzz
forward Slash j R. Go get that NBA play I'm
gonna throw on up here in just a minute. And
of course I've got a couple of sweet sixteen games
and angles you guys are gonna want to hear about,
so appreciate it always that always love guys. Appreciate you
stopping by and hanging with us as usual. We'll be
back on Monday. If not, we'll have to send a
search party out for the pres Either way, Art will
be back and get ready Major League Baseball and will
be that close the crowning and national champion and the
postseason both Stanley Cup and NBA just around the corner.
A lot going on here in the sports world. Enjoy today,
enjoy the games, Enjoy the weekend, and we'll see you
again next week on the best betting show ever.
Speaker 2: Enjoy