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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start to show by

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being transparent. And yesterday we had a winning day, or

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at least I had a winning day. I bet the

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under and the Aces game and want and O day

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for myself. So happy with that, VENO, good to be

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back with you. Hopefully you got the window, hopefully stood

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up straight and uh get how did you do for

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the rest of the day.

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Speaker 2: Well, I kind of kicked myself for not playing Connecticut,

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but you know, we found out a little late.

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Speaker 1: About poor minute.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's just crazy. I was ready to

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pull the trigger early in the day ski and then

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I got the alert that said page was that shoot around.

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So I stopped my write up mid stream and didn't

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go ahead and release that Connecticut game. But they did

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win that one. But we both I think we you know,

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like you said, we talked come out here, and after

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what we talked about yesterday, I did stand up straight,

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did release the under in Las Vegas. Atlanta came through

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for US typical playoff style game. So we got paid yesterday.

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We'll look to get paid again today.

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Speaker 1: Let's do it. We have I know we have three

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in the WNBA. We'll see if we want to talk

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a little bit of college football today. I do have

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strong opinions about the weekend games. Maybe can touch on tomorrow.

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But shout out to the chat rooms ZB Miami reminding

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everybody to hit the light button on the way in

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appreciate that case in the building. Be man. Good to

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see some of the usual suspects. And let's get to it.

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We'll go in rotation order, or we'll start with six

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oh one, six oh two mystics. Liberty opened up minus

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twelve and a half. Looks like twelve pretty much everywhere.

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Total open one sixty three. It looks like one sixty

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two and a half. And as far as in injury report,

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I see J. C. Sheldon out for Washington for the Liberty,

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Natasha Cloud is out Sovly he's out. Sabrina is still

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listed here. She is truly questionable man Veno for me,

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I mean, the Liberty haven't been playing that good and

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especially if you don't know if Sabrina is gonna play,

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I mean, even if I know she was in, the

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Liberty haven't been playing good enough for me to lay

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this anymore. I got caught with them the other day,

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and I just really want no parts. I think they

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have to show us some consistency before we start to

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expect them to win by, you know, clear double digits.

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So I would say Mystics in this situation, both teams

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are well rested. Mystics are a little bit more rested

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with three days and they haven't played since earlier in

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the season. But I think twelve is a little bit

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too much. What do you think you're Vino.

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Speaker 2: Well, I really wanted to get to the Liberty team

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total here' ski. My thought process was maybe you were

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just one game ahead of yourself the other day when

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they played Connecticut, because I just feel like, you know,

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they scored eighty one in that game. Everybody was back.

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The total the asking price here was going to be

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about eighty eight and a half against Washington. Thought to myself,

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second game with everybody back in, I think Harrison's even

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back in tonight off of the concussion protocol, so you

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get easy back. I thought getting to eighty nine would

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be a play of mine. And then again, just like

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I talked about earlier, you get the alert late this

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morning that Sabrina is now this toe injury may keep

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her out of the game, so I stopped in my

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tracks here. You know, as possible they could still get

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to that price, but I don't know that I want

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to play it that way anymore. I'm with you, I

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don't want to lay the number because the defense still

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you know, they only be Connecticut by two the other night,

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as you mentioned that, the defense still, even with Breonna Stewart,

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didn't look that great. So there's potential for Washington here.

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My hesitation with Washington overall is that they are truly

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out of it now. I know we joked a little

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bit a couple of weeks ago or the mystics tanking.

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Then they come up with a couple of big wins,

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then they go right back and blow back to back

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games against Connecticut. Then I think they played a fairly

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solid game last time out. But now they're finished at

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sixteen and twenty two. There's really not enough time for them.

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I know they're not mathematically eliminated, but for all intended purposes,

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they're eliminated here from a playoff spot. So I don't

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know what we're going to get out of Washington at

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this point in time. Could be a lot of experimentation.

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Who knows what the head coach's thoughts are as far

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as minutes are concerned, knowing that they're out of it.

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So I don't really like either side. Again, if I

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knew Yenescu was in the game, I would play over

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eighty eight and a half thinking that they're going to

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get to ninety. It's a team predicated mostly on offense.

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They've got so many good offensive players. But you know,

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we may not know till four minutes before game time again,

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so who knows, might have to wait it out. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Uh, it's tough dealing with the injury report. But I mean,

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they are playing more games this season, so I'll try

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not to get on them too much. But it's making

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it tough on the betters. I'll say that for sure.

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We'll move it over to the next game. Nobody really

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has a strong opinion in the chat for this game either.

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Next game we have Seattle and Minnesota. It opened up

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Minnesota minus seven and a half. It's all the way

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up to nine or nine and a half. Total opened

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up one sixty three and a half, and I see

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it as as one sixty five. We'll take a look

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at the injuries for Seattle. I don't see anybody for

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Minnesota only griffing out feedback in the lineup man, she

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looked good. It's really hard to put your money against

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the Links. I haven't had success doing that a lot

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this season, I'll tell you that, so I try to

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stay away from you know, even been thinking about betting

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on the other side. But every game the Links are

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the better team, they're at home, they're healthy. I mean,

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why shouldn't we take the Links here? Rob?

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Speaker 2: You know, I don't know if I can. Well, you

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know what's been okay to try and do is to

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go against them first half. They haven't been a great

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first half team. And Seattle was out.

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Speaker 1: Of the Quarder team too, by the way.

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Speaker 2: Yeah they make the second half adjustments, boy, because there's

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been games where they were down by sizeable amounts at

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halftime and they come back and win big. It just

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doesn't matter. And I know we questioned last time, you know,

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what do they have left to play for? At thirty

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and seven running away with this thing, they're going to

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be the number one seed. Why risk anything at this

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point in time? But I've said before they're so professional

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that team, like they just come out and you know

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what you're going to get from them. Each and every time,

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lineup is lineup is full again. And I remember saying

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to you the other day that I saw Courtney Williams

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come out and say, you know, we were a problem,

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but with feedback, we're a real problem now. And it's

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the truth. I just don't know. To me, Seattle's the

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more motivated team here. Again, it's been a long road trip.

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We talked about it the other day, and they got

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beat by twenty by Indiana. But they're in a spot

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where they've got to have a win here. They're clinging

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to that eight spot ahead of the Sparks. I think

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they'll put up a fight. Ski They've done it before

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against Minnesota. I mean there's I think there was an

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instance where they got absolutely pounded, but I do think

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there were a couple instances where they played this team

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pretty tough. So I'd be hesitant to lay nine points

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with Minnesota, but that doesn't mean i'd rush to the

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window with Seattle either. I looked at the total at

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one sixty four, and especially I looked at the Seattle

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team total, thinking that maybe Minnesota's defense could keep them

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under that number. But seventy seven and a half is

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a low numbers so no play here for me on

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either side. I could see it going either way. For

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those who got to the window quickly and played Minnesota,

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I think you're in better shape. Seven and a half

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is a lot better than laying nine here in my estimation.

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I see I'm looking now as we talk, sketchy at

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nine and a half out there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, some good points made by you. Also in the chat,

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they're liking it. Jeff b says, took Seattle first half.

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I hope they bounce back strong early. That's not a

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bad look after getting beat by twenty. And what you

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said about Minnesota is starting slow a little bit there.

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Brian's also thinking about it. The problem I have with

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Seattle is b Man kind of mentions it here Seattle

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eighth row game in ten days, this is their fifth

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straight road game, and then two people in the chat

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mentioning it. Be Man's one says he needs to put

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pull away for MVP and two games for Links to

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clinch the number one seed. Casey says, the way the

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Aces are playing, she feels like they're playing for fee MVP.

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I agree, Mark says Seattle first half as well, Minnesota

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third quarter. So everybody's agreeing pretty much with the game

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script for this one. I mean, Seattle first half does

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sound appealing, But like I said, then I think about

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who they're playing on the other side, and I just

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don't want to put my money down anymore. That's how

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it makes me feel. So I'm not mad at anybody,

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but this is a tough game for me. What about

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the total, I mean, it did go up from one

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sixty three and a half to one sixty five. I'm

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gonna glance at what the storm we've been doing. I

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know they've been playing faster. They're still the number one

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paced team in the league. Last five games they are in,

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they are that the number four defensive verded team in the

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same span. I mean, if they want to play up

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tempo with the Lynx, the Lynks will score on any defense.

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I could. I could understand the movement with the over

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any thust there before we move over.

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Speaker 2: Probably know they've got a couple of situations here with

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Seattle Ski. I know we talked a little bit about

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Malonga coming off the bench. She's been terrific, but she

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had an off game her last game. And one more

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problematic thing for Seattle is ever since they moved Erica

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Wheeler back to the bench. She just hasn't been the

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same offensive player two for ten the other night. I

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don't know if she's been thrown out of rhythm by

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not getting the start and the minutes that come with it.

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She's getting twenty plus still, but you know, since they

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acquired Britney Sykes, it hasn't been the same for her.

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So you would think you'd get a couple of bounce

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back performances off the bench here for Seattle, which makes

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seventy seven and a half look a shade low for

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their team total, considering the fact that Minnesota's allowed more

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than that and four of their last five. But again,

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it's just not enough to convince me to, as we

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say on the show, stand up straight with a play

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on that one.

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Speaker 1: All right, fair enough, I'll I'm moving on over to

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the next game, and that is gonna look like Chicago

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Sky Phoenix Mercury opened up minus twelve and a half

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for Phoenix, looks like minus twelve and a half still

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right now. Total open one sixty three and that looks

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like one sixty four and a half as far as

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an injury report is concerned. Nobody on there for either

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team here Raveno, the Sky did play that last game,

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or let's see, I think they're both my bad here.

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The Sky they did cover versus ass and they have

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the rest advantage in this game. They last played on

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the twenty fifth, so two day's rest for them compared

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to one for the Mercury. I'll say like this, Rov,

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you know, the Sky have been a pretty straightforward team

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this year. When Andel Rees and Aero Atkins are playing,

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they look a lot better. When they're not playing, they

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look absolutely terrible. When one of them is playing, they

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look uh, they look okay. I guess they have both

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of them in the lineup today. Like I mentioned, the

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injury report is clean. Phoenix is the better team, clear

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as day. But Phoenix has been so inconsistent, they've been

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so so iffy. They also need uh how do I say?

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They also need a win for the standings though, So

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this game is important to win. Do you think it

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is important enough to win by twelve and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's always the question, Red Ski. We're betting against numbers here.

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It's easy for us to say Phoenix should win the game.

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Will they win by twelve and a half? And I

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think to your point about the Sky, They're a way

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better offensive team when Angel Reese is on the floor,

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and it generally it's not It hasn't been because of

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her shooting or scoring, but it's been because their guards

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just don't make plays the way she makes plays as

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the point forward. Since they made that switch, when she's

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healthy in playing that position, they score better. I looked

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at over in this game because the Chicago defense has

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just been horrendous all season a long, no matter who's

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involved on the floor, and Phoenix has that ability to score.

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But one thing I'm noticing about Phoenix as the season

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grinds down here to the end, is that, you know what,

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and it's an easy philosophy, It's kind of easy to

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say about any team, but I think with Phoenix it

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holds really true. When they make threes, they score big.

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When they don't make threes, they don't score so big.

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I think that goes back to your point about inconsistency

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with this team, and I just notice it in recording

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these scores each and every night with them when their

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three point shooters are on, I think the other night,

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oh goodness, gracious, they had a five for seven out

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of Sammy wickham uh And when she's going, well, it's

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even better, but they just don't always shoot it that way.

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Chicago gives it up from three, so you would think

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that Phoenix would be in a good spot here to

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make those shots. I think over is the way I

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would look in this game. I wouldn't trust Phoenix to

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cover the number. They played four their last five on

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the road. It wasn't a true full five game road trip,

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but still it's been a little sporadic travel wise for them.

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So I think Chicago can score. I think Phoenix can score.

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I'd probably look over here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't really talk you off of that. Is

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he be Miami mentioned Cardoso size will be a problem

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in the paint. Yeah, I mean Skuys should be able

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to rebound. We'll see if they're able to get some

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of those second chance points. But I could see both

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teams putting up some points here. And it's when it

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gets you over to one sixty four and a half,

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you know, I think we have a few minutes still

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left here. Let's see if we can mark like the sky

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first half. Let's see if we can look at a

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little bit of football. I know these aren't the top

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top games today, but they're football, and we haven't. We've

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been starved for football for a while. So let's see

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if we can look at a little something here before

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we get out of here. One game I know you

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had your eye on is East Carolina and NC State.

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It it opened up minus twelve and a half and

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looks like pretty much minus fourteen right now. And there's

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a huge move on the total opened up fifty six

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and a half. I'm seeing sixty two at I'm seeing

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sixty two at like five shops, So I'll say sixty

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two is a prevailing number right now. I mean, I

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know you're an over guy, Robn know about a six

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point five and a half. Six point move on the

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total is how you're looking to play this one?

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Speaker 2: You know, three weeks ago ski on five dollars Tuesday.

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This was my first college play that I released the

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clients and the number was fifty eight and a half

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at the time, and I took it. I took the

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play down after two days. I bet it at fifty

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eight and a half because I anticipated this kind of move.

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I took the play down because I didn't want people

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betting that percentage on this play when it moved here,

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I could recommend it as a free play. I did

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so in a wager Talk video. But I'll tell you

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why these teams played in the bowl game last year,

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very last year. First of all, they're pretty much I

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wouldn't say the NC State considers ECU arrival, but ECU,

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like the little Brother, loves to play against these in

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state Power five teams North Carolina, North Carolina State, ETCA.

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They come to play. They won that Military Bowl twenty

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six twenty one, about eight months ago. Scored with a

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minute and a half left in that game.

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Speaker 1: Ski.

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Speaker 2: There were so many yards it was crazy. The score

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is not intive of how much offense there was in

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that game. First two drives of the game, NC State

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gained one hundred and twenty two yards on two drives

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and came away with nothing zero points, which is you

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don't expect that to happen again. Their next four possessions

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they scored twenty one points.

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Speaker 1: It was pretty easy.

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Speaker 2: ECU. For what it's worth, they had five drives of

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over seventy four yards in that game. East Carolina is

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a team that's going to go super fast. They made

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the coaching change last year midstream and became one of

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the fastest offenses in the nation and also started winning games.

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They're going to do the same thing here tonight. And

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I think both of these teams, again, a lot of

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the personnel offensively returns for both, So I think you'll

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get the same type of offensive performance out of each year.

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You may get a different winner in the game, but

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I think that what they'll do here is turn those

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yards into points. So when I saw they scored forty

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seven in the bowl game and had a bunch of

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mishaps that prevented them from scoring like sixty five in

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that game, and then this total was fifty eight and

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a half, I played it like I said, sixty two.

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You have to downgrade the play because you're crossing a

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bunch of key numbers. Fifty nine is key, sixty one

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is key. Now you know thirty eight twenty four is

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sixty two. You could land right on it. But I

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still think there's enough possibility to just put a little

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bit on here and use it as a free play.

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ECU n C State over the sixty two if you

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can find I don't know, you're probably looking right now.

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I thought at one point yesterday it might have gone

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down to sixty one and a half, and you can

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see one right now as I look at the on screen,

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I can see one. If you shop hard enough, maybe

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you can find it and give yourself sixty two as

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a winner.

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Speaker 1: Our good stuffrov you know. I'm uh, you know, I'll

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take the blame for not going any further in football

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today because I have something I have to do, so

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I'm gonna go ahead and set it down at after

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that game right there. But some good stuff from you.

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If you guys want to hear more about college football,

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maybe let us know in the comments or you know,

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we'll get we'll we'll get into more anyway tomorrow. But

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hit the logginning for us. That does go a long way.

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We'll appreciate it, all right. You know it's about that time.

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I don't have any graphics to put up, but I

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will ask you if there's anything you would like to promote,

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and also if you have a best bet for the show.

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We love to hear it. If you don't have one,

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it's okay.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, guys. Season packages and football are up and available

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00:19:32,839 --> 00:19:35,519
right now wager talk dot com. You can find my

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00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:40,400
college football NFL WT dot Buzz, slash RB, or just

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00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:44,799
visit wager talk dot com again. NFL and college football

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00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:47,480
plays up and available right now. Let's zip right over

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to the WNBA SKI here for best bet, and I'm

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gonna play. So I will say I haven't played yet,

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but I will play the Phoenix game over the total

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one sixty four and a half. I mean, we talked

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about it. There's plenty of reasons why you would like

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that play. And I'll also mention something that we didn't mention.

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I mean, as an MVP, talk about Collier and Asia

376
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Wilson obviously, but boyle boy, what Alyssa Thomas has done

377
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:21,279
the last two weeks is amazing. Triple doubles like there

378
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absolutely nothing for her. She's been the backbone of the team.

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I think they score here. Chicago's defense hasn't been great,

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00:20:28,599 --> 00:20:32,440
and I do think with the Sky having a full lineup,

381
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Phoenix can get a little lackadaisical on defense themselves. So

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00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,480
give me over one sixty four and a half his

383
00:20:38,559 --> 00:20:39,440
best bet for the show.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from mister Raveno, and uh, I

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00:20:44,799 --> 00:20:47,559
be honest, I've only made one bet today and I

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can't give it out because it's my five percent play.

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So I'm gonna just rock with Raveno. Said, I think

388
00:20:53,799 --> 00:21:00,160
that was a good play right there. Appreciate Youveno. I'm

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in Companese games with us. Everybody in the chat, we

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appreciate you all as well. We'll be back tomorrow and

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there is there's a lot to talk about tomorrow. So

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if you want to hear about a little bit of WNBA,

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maybe a little bit of football, come join us and

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we'll see all of you guys then

