1
00:00:22,879 --> 00:00:26,399
Speaker 1: And Hi, how are you welcome to the Big podcast

2
00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,280
on this Yes, it's Friday, what about you? It feels

3
00:00:30,359 --> 00:00:34,079
like a Friday. Today is Friday, the twelfth day of September,

4
00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:37,679
Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty five. My name is

5
00:00:37,719 --> 00:00:41,799
Tom Sullivan. And no, it's it's been a rough week

6
00:00:42,119 --> 00:00:46,280
and it's all been about the shooting and killing of

7
00:00:46,359 --> 00:00:50,439
Charlie Kirk and then the manhunt. And now the man

8
00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:55,920
hunt has come to Fruition. They have arrested the suspect

9
00:00:56,159 --> 00:01:00,520
and he's in custody in Utah. So we'll start with that,

10
00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,240
give you the very latest on all of that. There

11
00:01:03,399 --> 00:01:10,359
was a news conference last night and they had the

12
00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,879
press person came out and said these are the four

13
00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:14,640
people that are going to speak, and there was a

14
00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:19,680
Cash Patel, the head of the FBI, flew in. She

15
00:01:19,879 --> 00:01:24,760
talked about the head of the Utah I don't know,

16
00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,640
Commissioner of Public Safety, basically the head of the state police.

17
00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:31,400
They had the local sheriff, they had the local police,

18
00:01:31,519 --> 00:01:35,359
they had all that and instead forgive me, but this

19
00:01:35,439 --> 00:01:40,560
is it just bothers me to no end. Politicians need

20
00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:46,000
to step back when it comes to crime and information

21
00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:50,640
that the professionals have to share with us. And so

22
00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:56,599
this governor in Utah, Spencer cox is his name. Never

23
00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,719
heard of the guy before, but man, he got his

24
00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,040
fitteen minutes of fame. He came out last night and

25
00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:07,599
basically did all the things that were basically the lines

26
00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,280
that the FBI should have done, talking about well, if

27
00:02:10,319 --> 00:02:12,280
now you need to contact the FBI, you call one

28
00:02:12,319 --> 00:02:15,599
eight hundred. Uh. Yeah, it was. It was crazy what

29
00:02:15,719 --> 00:02:20,080
he was doing, and he was I'm sorry. I know

30
00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,159
a lot of people said, oh, what a great job

31
00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:28,280
the governor did, I mean again today, No, he he

32
00:02:28,479 --> 00:02:31,199
basically was spelling the beans on things that I think

33
00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:34,240
a lot of the investigators were going, no, no, no, no, no,

34
00:02:34,479 --> 00:02:37,039
we have the guy in custody. Now you need to

35
00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:40,240
protect the evidence and the and the trials so that

36
00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:45,159
you can convict this guy. Uh. But it was over

37
00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:49,680
the top. He is when you look in the dictionary

38
00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:54,000
under media hog, there's another word for it. I think

39
00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:57,240
his photo was there he took I mean it just

40
00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,719
there were all the all the the law enforcement people

41
00:03:01,759 --> 00:03:05,080
were there who had good information, and he took control

42
00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:07,599
of the news conference. Sorry, it bothers me a lot

43
00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:12,759
when politicians shoved their way into the Kleague lights and

44
00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,159
that's what it was. The lights and the cameras were there,

45
00:03:15,599 --> 00:03:18,800
and he could not help himself. But I'll tell you

46
00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:23,759
something about this guy. Utah is a very Republican state,

47
00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:31,199
and the legislature there is controlled by the Republicans, both houses,

48
00:03:31,479 --> 00:03:38,319
both chambers. But this is a guy who isn't all

49
00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:45,400
that Republican to me. He vetoed a bill aimed to

50
00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:50,680
prevent transgender youth athletes from participating in women's sports. Now

51
00:03:50,719 --> 00:03:56,439
he vetoed it, and now the legislature overrode his veto

52
00:03:56,560 --> 00:04:03,080
Thank goodness, But he's for transender athletes competing against women.

53
00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:12,159
They say he's a moderate Republican, but he endorsed Mark

54
00:04:12,319 --> 00:04:15,639
Rubio back in twenty sixteen, and then when Rubio dropped out,

55
00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:21,439
he put his weight behind Ted Cruz. And when Ted

56
00:04:21,519 --> 00:04:23,920
Krue didn't make it and Donald Trump with the nominee,

57
00:04:24,399 --> 00:04:27,279
he wrote, this is the governor of Utah. He wrote,

58
00:04:27,399 --> 00:04:31,839
we care a lot about decorum, We care about our neighbors.

59
00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:37,399
We are good kind people. He Trump does not represent

60
00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:43,040
neither goodness nor kindness. Should I think he's disingenuous. I

61
00:04:43,079 --> 00:04:46,720
think he's dangerous. I think he represents the worst of

62
00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,759
what our country stands for. I won't vote for Hillary,

63
00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:54,680
but I won't vote for Trump either. So twenty twenty

64
00:04:54,759 --> 00:05:00,360
rules around and same thing, claims he did not vote

65
00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,279
for Donald Trump. So I mean, this guy, I don't

66
00:05:03,319 --> 00:05:05,360
know who he is. I don't know what the deal

67
00:05:05,439 --> 00:05:12,079
is with him. I've never seen a politician drooling at

68
00:05:12,079 --> 00:05:15,959
the chance to stand up there and ignore the law

69
00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:20,560
enforcement experts that have all the data standing behind him.

70
00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:24,399
So anyway, that's how the event last night, which they

71
00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,360
basically said nothing, and then today, of course they said

72
00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:35,000
a lot. And that is repeated by John Miller, former NYPD.

73
00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,839
This is what his reaction to the news that they

74
00:05:38,879 --> 00:05:45,279
have arrested a twenty two year old, a guy out

75
00:05:45,439 --> 00:05:50,160
of a little town called Washington, Utah. Done by Saint George, Utah.

76
00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:53,600
It's actually closer to Las Vegas than it is to

77
00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:58,800
Salt Lake City. His father, I'm not sure if he

78
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:03,279
is or was, but he's related somehow to the Sheriff's department,

79
00:06:04,399 --> 00:06:10,319
and he based I mean, he had to know that

80
00:06:10,319 --> 00:06:12,639
that was his son. The photos that we all saw

81
00:06:13,519 --> 00:06:16,480
and they released a video and it was from far away,

82
00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,839
didn't really show who the person was. But here's the father,

83
00:06:21,399 --> 00:06:26,600
and he called a friend of his who is a

84
00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:33,000
chaplain with the US Marshall's Office, the Fugitive Warrant Group.

85
00:06:33,199 --> 00:06:37,000
The US Marshalls are amazing how they can find people.

86
00:06:37,399 --> 00:06:39,879
And he called up his friend who's a chaplain with

87
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:45,199
US Marshall Marshall's office, and there he's the one who

88
00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,519
called the FBI and zoom, they were there in absolutely

89
00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:54,879
no time. But this brings up the question if you

90
00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:02,319
found out that your loved one, your spouse, your parents,

91
00:07:02,639 --> 00:07:08,279
your children, your niece's nephews, your next door neighbor, would

92
00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:15,879
you call the police and tournament, I'm sorry to my children,

93
00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:20,480
but yes, if you're if you're the kind that committed

94
00:07:20,519 --> 00:07:26,000
this murder, absolutely there's something wrong with you. So, uh,

95
00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,959
this is how it went down, and here's John Miller's reaction.

96
00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,399
Speaker 2: So we learned a great deal and it explains a

97
00:07:33,439 --> 00:07:36,959
lot about what happened overnight. So you know, the timeline

98
00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:40,240
we pieced together from the press conference is last night

99
00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:44,240
they do a press conference at eight pm. They put

100
00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:46,959
out the video which is meant to draw more people

101
00:07:46,959 --> 00:07:49,839
to the website so that they will be pushed from

102
00:07:49,839 --> 00:07:54,079
the video to those additional images that were released of

103
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:58,680
the individual with the baseball hat and the sunglasses. Now

104
00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:02,879
they had seven in leads to sort through before that

105
00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:07,959
press conference. That press conference generated another four thousand leads.

106
00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:14,560
Among those leads, the following unfolds. The family member, who

107
00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:19,160
we believe was the father, talked to the son about this,

108
00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:24,560
had his suspicions, spoke to the son, and then called

109
00:08:24,639 --> 00:08:30,639
a minister. The minister was associated with law enforcement as

110
00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:36,200
kind of the chaplain for the County Fugitive Task Force. Then,

111
00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:40,039
after speaking to the father, calls the task force, speaks

112
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,720
to one of the sheriffs in a Deputy US Marshall,

113
00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:47,240
and passes on this information which is then passed to

114
00:08:47,279 --> 00:08:51,919
the FBI, which moves very quickly. By ten PM, the

115
00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:58,320
FBI has observed the suspect, taken him into custody and

116
00:08:59,159 --> 00:09:03,720
then starts put this together. So all of this unfolded overnight.

117
00:09:03,919 --> 00:09:07,000
Other key things that came out during the press conference

118
00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:14,840
was additional information about a roommate who says that they

119
00:09:14,879 --> 00:09:19,519
had followed conversations on the group chat platform known as

120
00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:24,120
Discord and was able to share these messages with FBI

121
00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:29,200
agents that are presumably from the suspect talking about a

122
00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:32,360
rifle being left at a drop point, wrapped in a towel,

123
00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:38,600
and other details which added to the evidence that they'd collected.

124
00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:43,519
And we learned additional details about that rifle, the Mauser

125
00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:47,080
ninety eight bolt action rifle, which is the one that

126
00:09:47,159 --> 00:09:51,600
federal authorities discovered in the wooded area near the campus

127
00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:56,559
after the shooting prior to knowing this information, and that

128
00:09:56,639 --> 00:10:02,639
the bullets had inscriptions on them, including the words hey

129
00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:07,879
fascist catch on one bullet and bella Chow, which may

130
00:10:07,919 --> 00:10:11,519
be a reference to an Italian folk song which has

131
00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:15,039
been emblematic of resistance for a long time. So a

132
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:18,799
lot of information, big developments, and it all came together

133
00:10:18,919 --> 00:10:20,240
in just a few hours.

134
00:10:20,639 --> 00:10:23,360
Speaker 1: It did come together fast. But you heard John talking

135
00:10:23,399 --> 00:10:26,679
about the roommate and about the fact that they were

136
00:10:26,759 --> 00:10:30,879
communicating back and forth, the roommate apparently showing the messages

137
00:10:30,919 --> 00:10:35,200
to the FBI on the Discord server, which is basically

138
00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:40,000
a gaming platform, but a lot of people, apparently a

139
00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:43,279
lot of young people use that to communicate send messages

140
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,519
back and forth. And so a lot of that about

141
00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:47,600
the gun and the towel and all that sort of

142
00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:52,159
stuff was communicated to this guy who I think was

143
00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:57,600
his roommate. And now the question is was the roommate

144
00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:01,840
involved in this here's Andy mc kay, former number two

145
00:11:01,879 --> 00:11:03,519
guy at the FBI.

146
00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,960
Speaker 3: From the text messages that we learned about, it seems

147
00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:11,440
to indicate that the roommate had some knowledge about what

148
00:11:11,519 --> 00:11:13,799
he was doing. A question is did he know about

149
00:11:13,799 --> 00:11:16,399
the entire plan, and if he did know about it,

150
00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:21,320
if he assisted it, supported it, provided you know, any

151
00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:28,039
kind of if he was in agreement with Robinson and

152
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,919
took any step in furtherance of the crime in terms

153
00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,840
of providing support or whatever that might have been, he

154
00:11:33,879 --> 00:11:39,240
could certainly be considered a co conspirator. So doesn't mean

155
00:11:39,279 --> 00:11:42,600
he will get charged. But but boy, if I was

156
00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,919
running this investigation, I'd be wanting to take a very

157
00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:48,440
close look at him now. The fact that he's already

158
00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:53,039
been interviewed, that he provided some information about these chats

159
00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:57,000
to investigators and explain them indicates that he's at this

160
00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:01,159
point anyway in a very cooperative posture, which is good.

161
00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:04,240
But we'll have to see, you know that. I still

162
00:12:04,279 --> 00:12:07,000
think that one he could really go in either direction. Yeah,

163
00:12:07,039 --> 00:12:09,440
we don't know the answer to that. It's certainly possible

164
00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,759
that as soon as they heard from the people in Washington,

165
00:12:12,919 --> 00:12:17,399
Utah about this, about Robinson's identity, they would immediately do

166
00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,720
a full scrub on him and could would then have

167
00:12:19,879 --> 00:12:22,399
identified where he lives and then could have come across

168
00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,480
the roommate that way, so that that pushes him in

169
00:12:25,519 --> 00:12:30,279
one direction towards potentially co conspirator. But if Robinson reached out,

170
00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:32,440
you know, the question, because how long did he know

171
00:12:32,519 --> 00:12:34,840
about this rifle and did he understand what the rifle

172
00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:37,120
had been used for, It's hard to imagine he didn't.

173
00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,320
So yeah, we still a lot more to be learned

174
00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,440
about that. It sounds like, again from what we heard

175
00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,840
before the press conference, that a family member had suspicions,

176
00:12:48,279 --> 00:12:50,799
likely based off of seeing the photographs, but that has

177
00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:54,639
not been confirmed to us at this time. And and

178
00:12:54,799 --> 00:12:59,279
confronted him, had a conversation with him, and in that conversation, Robinson,

179
00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,679
you know, madeid statements that amount to a confession, whether

180
00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:06,799
he acknowledged doing it, took responsibility for it, something along

181
00:13:06,799 --> 00:13:11,279
those lines. Those statements will be devastating to him down

182
00:13:11,279 --> 00:13:16,279
the road. They'll be admissible to some extent, certainly at

183
00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:19,279
this point where he's going to be where he's first

184
00:13:19,279 --> 00:13:21,879
going to be charged with an offense. I expect you'll

185
00:13:21,919 --> 00:13:25,679
see those statements in the affidavit that supports the initial charge,

186
00:13:25,799 --> 00:13:29,480
and they could also, depending on the vagarities of Utah

187
00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:33,360
evidence law, could also come be admitted if at trial.

188
00:13:33,399 --> 00:13:36,279
If he goes to trial, there would be a fight

189
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,559
over that. But nevertheless, the government has a lot to

190
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:39,039
work with.

191
00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,279
Speaker 1: So he kept referring to Robinson Robinson as the last

192
00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,919
name of this twenty two year old the shooter that's

193
00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:49,320
now in custody. And he brings up this question about

194
00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,399
the roommate. If I was the roommate, I'd be very concerned.

195
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,639
Right now, he's cooperating, but how much did he know

196
00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,320
about what his roommate was doing? What did he know

197
00:13:59,399 --> 00:14:03,399
about thee Why did he not say something two days ago?

198
00:14:04,399 --> 00:14:07,840
So this is getting to be rather die seeing. The

199
00:14:07,879 --> 00:14:11,840
whole question about this is another copycat off of Louisian

200
00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:19,039
Luigi Maggione who shot the executive healthcare executive in Midtown Manhattan,

201
00:14:19,559 --> 00:14:23,279
about how he had the bullet casings he etched on them.

202
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:27,919
What was it denied? Defend to do something anyway? Messages

203
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:32,120
on bullet casings, So this gun that was used was

204
00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,960
a bolt action gun, so he manually had to eject

205
00:14:38,279 --> 00:14:43,120
the casing. There were four bullets I believe in the

206
00:14:43,159 --> 00:14:47,039
gun on the casing from the bullet that he fired

207
00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:51,799
and killed Charlie Kirk with was still in the gun.

208
00:14:52,639 --> 00:15:05,919
And that one said notices bulges o wo, which is

209
00:15:06,759 --> 00:15:12,440
an emoji basically of somebody looking all surprised. Another one

210
00:15:12,519 --> 00:15:17,200
that had not been fired, said, hey, fascists, catch A

211
00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:23,279
third one said bella Chow and repeating Bellachow, Bellachow, bella Chow.

212
00:15:23,759 --> 00:15:27,840
It's an anti fascist Italian song that comes back from

213
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:32,679
World War two years And finally to mean that goes

214
00:15:32,679 --> 00:15:36,320
around on the internet is the fourth one said, if

215
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:41,120
you read this, you are gay lapping my ass off lmao.

216
00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:47,080
And that that's another problem for this guy when he

217
00:15:47,159 --> 00:15:52,080
gets into court. Jim Trusty, former federal prosecutor, brings that up.

218
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,120
Speaker 4: So the Bullets Bill, you know that evidence is going

219
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,840
to loom large because in a very very concrete, tangible way,

220
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,799
it does a couple of things. Number One, it seems

221
00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:03,759
to establish so there's a lot of kind of warped

222
00:16:03,799 --> 00:16:07,639
language and symbol It seems to establish what we already knew,

223
00:16:07,759 --> 00:16:11,679
which was this was a politically motivated assassination, and that's

224
00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,879
forever going to be a big part of the story

225
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:16,759
if you're pursuing a first degree murder conviction as a

226
00:16:16,799 --> 00:16:22,000
predicate to the death penalty. And secondly, just that simple LMAO,

227
00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:26,120
you know, laughing my ass off. If I'm a prosecutor,

228
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:30,120
at the end of that trial, that phrase is going

229
00:16:30,159 --> 00:16:32,159
to be in front of that jury over and over again.

230
00:16:32,279 --> 00:16:35,320
You were telling that jury that this is a monster,

231
00:16:35,559 --> 00:16:38,360
that this is a kid who thinks it's hilarious, that

232
00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:42,759
he's got this narcissistic kind of oblivion to the depravity

233
00:16:42,799 --> 00:16:45,480
of what he's about to engage in as he goes

234
00:16:45,519 --> 00:16:48,840
and murders somebody who had the temerity and speaking freely

235
00:16:48,919 --> 00:16:53,320
and celebrating as Christianity. So I think if I'm handling

236
00:16:53,399 --> 00:16:55,639
that trial, and it sounds like we may be heading

237
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:59,120
towards a state trial, which I think is probably appropriate here,

238
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,519
and then you're going to have those bullets in that

239
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,839
language on the bullets going back all over again.

240
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,240
Speaker 1: He mentioned it probably going to be a state trial,

241
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:11,240
and from the lawyers that I've heard from, of course

242
00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,279
they could do federal charges, but Utah does have the

243
00:17:14,319 --> 00:17:18,079
death penalty, and the governor is as he was babbling

244
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,319
on last night about the fact that this is definitely

245
00:17:20,319 --> 00:17:22,880
going to be asking for the death penalty. He's not

246
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:30,680
the prosecutor, but also the President Trump talking about the

247
00:17:31,079 --> 00:17:34,240
day when he was revealing that they had somebody in custody.

248
00:17:34,279 --> 00:17:37,079
He was talking about that he would like to believe

249
00:17:37,079 --> 00:17:40,559
I'm paraphrase, and he basically wanted to see the death penalty.

250
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:45,079
He's personally hurting from the death of Charlie Kirk knew

251
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:49,880
him well, thought of him as almost family. So the

252
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:54,519
state version, though, is state prosecutors are used to doing

253
00:17:54,759 --> 00:17:59,880
murder cases, Feds are not. That's pretty uncommon, so it's

254
00:18:00,039 --> 00:18:02,200
probably better that this is going to be in the

255
00:18:02,279 --> 00:18:06,759
state court. We'll find out the charges apparently are going

256
00:18:06,799 --> 00:18:09,920
to be filed on Tuesday. So they got him in

257
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:13,319
custody and they will keep him in custody until those

258
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:18,680
charges come down on Tuesday of next week. Mary O'Toole

259
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:28,720
is PhD, former profiler for the FBI. She did the

260
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:33,519
Elizabeth Smart abduction, the unibomber, the Green River killer. She's

261
00:18:33,799 --> 00:18:38,599
a long time in profiling these criminals and this was

262
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:42,079
her observation about this guy that they have picked up.

263
00:18:42,839 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 5: Let me start by saying this, I was impressed by

264
00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:53,359
the information that indicated the shooter had been thinking about

265
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,279
this for some time. They even use the word it

266
00:18:56,319 --> 00:18:59,799
went back maybe for years years with an s on it.

267
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,799
So one of the things investigators are going to be

268
00:19:02,839 --> 00:19:07,720
looking at is during that pathway towards violence, what was

269
00:19:07,759 --> 00:19:10,279
he doing, who was he talking to? And I think

270
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:15,960
important about this is was he simply focused on Charlie

271
00:19:16,039 --> 00:19:20,400
Kurt or were there other possible victims along the way

272
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,480
that he was also interested in? And that's all going

273
00:19:23,519 --> 00:19:27,440
to become information they can obtain through his social media

274
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,880
or talking with people. It would be quite interesting to

275
00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:33,799
me if someone this young in his early twenties was

276
00:19:34,279 --> 00:19:38,960
only focused on one person, which means that Charlie was

277
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:43,519
one of maybe multiple people that he could have targeted.

278
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:48,359
That becomes important because if there are multiple possible victims,

279
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,880
there could have been other people that he talked with about, Hey,

280
00:19:53,079 --> 00:19:57,000
I'm thinking about doing this, or this person I hate

281
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:00,319
because of their ideology. So they really have to get

282
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:03,720
a much tighter and they will idea of that pathway

283
00:20:03,799 --> 00:20:07,519
to violence. What he was thinking, what plans were was

284
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:11,559
he making involving possible other victims? And who might he

285
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,960
have been talking to about that? Because the whole idea

286
00:20:15,039 --> 00:20:18,759
of leakage, which I think is critical here, is to

287
00:20:18,839 --> 00:20:22,200
announce ahead of time what somebody is about to do.

288
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:26,240
That's where we get the warning behaviors. Warning behaviors mean

289
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:30,519
we see it, we hear it beforehand, and that occurred here.

290
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:34,400
But what were the other warning behaviors with this young

291
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:39,920
shooter because those warning behaviors will become very important, unfortunately

292
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:43,480
for the next shooter. So I think that they're still

293
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:47,279
very much in the preliminary stages of finding out what

294
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,240
his plans were, and who he was talking to, and

295
00:20:50,319 --> 00:20:55,119
maybe who purposely or even inadvertently was helping him.

296
00:20:55,519 --> 00:20:57,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, so that brings up the roommate again, but also

297
00:20:59,079 --> 00:21:02,960
where else was he going to try to do this this?

298
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:07,279
I think this story has potential to explode from here

299
00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:11,279
into many different angles. I saw an interview last night

300
00:21:12,319 --> 00:21:14,400
of a young man by the name of Hunter Kozak,

301
00:21:15,039 --> 00:21:17,920
and if you saw any of the video leading up

302
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:22,079
to the shooting at the college, there was the way

303
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,559
that Charlie Kirk did those was he had people, he

304
00:21:24,599 --> 00:21:27,039
had a microphone that was set up in front of

305
00:21:27,079 --> 00:21:30,920
the stage. He sat on a chair on the stage

306
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,880
and the person that would come up would ask him

307
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,039
questions or debate him, and he would debate them back.

308
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,880
And there was a young person who came up and

309
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:44,640
asked the first question. Charlie Kirk talked to him, and

310
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,400
then the second person stepped up. The second person to

311
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:52,519
step up was this guy, Hunter Kozak, and he was

312
00:21:52,680 --> 00:22:01,240
asking Charlie Kirk about gun violence. Here's Hunter Cosey back today,

313
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,319
still trying to process what happened.

314
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:08,559
Speaker 6: It's a tragedy and I don't It's hard to grapple

315
00:22:08,599 --> 00:22:11,680
with and I'm part of a community that's striving to

316
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,039
grapple with it right now. And people have obviously pointed

317
00:22:15,079 --> 00:22:19,759
to the irony that I was. The point that I

318
00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:24,079
was trying to make is how peaceful left was great

319
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:29,279
before he got shot, and that that only makes sense

320
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:32,480
if we stay peaceful. And as much as I disagree

321
00:22:32,519 --> 00:22:34,440
with Charlie Kirk, I'm on the record for how much

322
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,839
I disagree with Charlie Kirk, But like man, dude, he

323
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,799
is still a human being. Have we forgotten that?

324
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:47,759
Speaker 1: Apparently? Yes? And here's the problem. This guy's from the left.

325
00:22:47,759 --> 00:22:50,799
But that's what Charlie did. He loved to talk to

326
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:55,000
people that had different views, different ideologies, and so this

327
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,680
guy's from the left is trying to convince Charlie that

328
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:02,160
the left is peaceful and then he gets shot. So

329
00:23:02,519 --> 00:23:08,920
this guy was standing facing Charlie, maybe ten feet in

330
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,599
front of him when Charlie was killed. So he's got

331
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:16,599
all that to deal with as well. Back to the

332
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:20,480
news conferences today or the news conference today, Chris Wecker,

333
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:26,119
former top official at FBI, was worried about the fact

334
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,720
that you've got to be careful when you hold these

335
00:23:28,759 --> 00:23:31,920
news conferences, and like I said, the governor was out

336
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:36,559
there just flapping his lips. Here's Chris Wecker's view of

337
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,359
how that whole thing went for the FBI.

338
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 7: I was an assistant district attorney, and so I look

339
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,880
at it from both angles. I mean, investigators want to

340
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,440
talk about the case, and they want to satisfy the

341
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:50,720
public interest in all of the details. But this is

342
00:23:50,759 --> 00:23:52,559
a point where you have to have a lot of discipline.

343
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,319
You are protecting a trial. The attorneys are going to

344
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,640
be very circumspect if they go to true to form here,

345
00:24:00,079 --> 00:24:02,680
and they will they will make sure that they get

346
00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:05,279
some information out there, and there are guidelines on this,

347
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:09,160
especially in the federal system, from the US Attorney's Manual

348
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:11,839
and d o J guidelines. You put out the basic

349
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,039
facts and you know what what would essentially be in

350
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:18,920
the arrest warrant or the indictment itself, and make sure

351
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,559
that you tell them that this is these are accusations only,

352
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,240
and this this is not you know, we're not holding

353
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,519
a trial in the public arena here. And as I

354
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:31,279
said earlier, now you've got to protect your witnesses and

355
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,519
any you know, and any evidence that's being produced, and

356
00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:37,319
make sure that their their recollection is not based on

357
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,799
details that are being fed out from from the podium.

358
00:24:41,319 --> 00:24:43,039
We all know a lot about it right now, but

359
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,160
but there are a lot of details that only witnesses

360
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,680
will know, and they don't want to put that type

361
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,839
of information out there. So you've got to protect the

362
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:53,440
prosecution now and have some discipline and resist the urge

363
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,400
to put it all out there. That's going to be

364
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,559
hard for some people because some of these folks, because

365
00:24:59,599 --> 00:25:02,799
I think some of them very much enjoy the press activity,

366
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:04,839
and that the attorneys are going to be the ones

367
00:25:04,839 --> 00:25:07,680
that are pulling back on the rain the potential prosecutors here.

368
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:10,599
Speaker 1: Chris Wecker was being nice saying, there are some people

369
00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:16,519
that enjoy the press activity. Yes, these politicians, man, they

370
00:25:16,599 --> 00:25:20,240
cannot help themselves. And I saw where the governor of

371
00:25:20,319 --> 00:25:23,039
Utah is going to be all over cable television tonight.

372
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,640
So he's just absolutely loving this.

373
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 6: It's sad.

374
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: It's sad how how he just let the offit, let

375
00:25:31,519 --> 00:25:35,119
the law enforcement officials handle the governor. So at this point,

376
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:39,880
thankfully the person is in custody. The question is about

377
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:43,319
the roommate. Did he work with anybody else? All of

378
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:46,200
that will be fascinating to see whether he had a

379
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:51,519
target list or not. Apparently he may have, we don't know.

380
00:25:54,039 --> 00:25:58,240
It's Friday, so the economy financial Friday. A couple of things.

381
00:25:58,319 --> 00:26:02,920
One is consumer sentiment came out today and took a

382
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,920
big drop down four point eight percent for the year.

383
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,880
It's down twenty one percent, So consumers all of a

384
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:17,319
sudden getting very disappointed out there about the economy. Gary Cohne,

385
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:22,960
who was the chief economic advisor to President Trump in

386
00:26:23,039 --> 00:26:26,039
Trump one point zero former I believe he was the

387
00:26:26,079 --> 00:26:31,000
CEO of Goldman Sachs when Trump tapped him back in

388
00:26:31,079 --> 00:26:36,240
twenty seventeen. Anyway, he was on talking about the economy

389
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:41,039
this morning. He's now vice chairman of IBM. And I thought,

390
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:46,000
whenever Gary Cone pontificates about the economy, I like to

391
00:26:46,599 --> 00:26:47,319
share it with you.

392
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,559
Speaker 8: So I think you ask a really interesting question. So

393
00:26:51,079 --> 00:26:55,680
I think tariff do serve some important purpose. And you

394
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:56,720
and I've talked about that.

395
00:26:56,799 --> 00:26:57,039
Speaker 1: We have.

396
00:26:57,799 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 8: The one thing that we learned and we all need

397
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:05,680
to remember is during COVID we realized how fragile our

398
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:09,240
supply chain is in the United States. So when we

399
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,799
take a look back and say, what can't we allow

400
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,119
to happen ever again in this country. We cannot allow

401
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:19,519
ourselves as a nation to be exposed to certain goods

402
00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:23,480
where the supply chain gets clogged up or stops and

403
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:25,640
really slows down our economy.

404
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,759
Speaker 9: It's been five years. Have we made progress on that?

405
00:27:27,799 --> 00:27:28,039
Speaker 1: We have?

406
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,039
Speaker 8: We have made progress on that. So you know, you

407
00:27:30,079 --> 00:27:33,079
can go back into the prior administration and the Chips Act.

408
00:27:33,519 --> 00:27:36,920
We knew that chips were one of the biggest bottlenecks

409
00:27:37,039 --> 00:27:40,440
that came out of the COVID crisis. Everything that was

410
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,880
just about everything that was manufacturing in the United States

411
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,799
ceased manufacturing because we no longer had access to chips.

412
00:27:46,839 --> 00:27:50,240
Because the supply chain slowed down. It was quite obvious

413
00:27:50,279 --> 00:27:53,680
that we needed to manufacture chips here domestically so we

414
00:27:53,759 --> 00:27:58,200
could continue to build. From toasters to sophisticated weaponry, all

415
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:01,000
of them had chips in it. The piece of the

416
00:28:01,039 --> 00:28:06,240
equation where we are forcing and incentivizing and incentivizing is

417
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:11,440
important key parts of the supply chain components back into

418
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,799
the United States. I think everyone agrees is a really

419
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,880
important part of what the administration is doing, and we

420
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,559
should applaud that because we are a safer and sound all.

421
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,559
Speaker 9: The way to the point of taking a steak in intel.

422
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,440
Speaker 8: Look, I'm not sure I would argue that taking a

423
00:28:26,519 --> 00:28:28,799
steak in intel is the right thing to do, but we.

424
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: Already gave money, we might as well get a stake.

425
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,079
Speaker 3: I agree.

426
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 8: Once you give them money, the question is do you

427
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,759
want equity or do do you want debt? You know,

428
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:41,039
and by the way, and I'll remind you guys, it was.

429
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,039
It wasn't the best few months of my life. But

430
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,000
in two thousand and eight the banks went through this

431
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:50,000
when Hank Paulson tarped the banks. You know, the US

432
00:28:50,119 --> 00:28:53,319
government put capital, They put debt into each of the

433
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:57,240
banks you had, whether you needed it one or not,

434
00:28:57,319 --> 00:28:59,319
whether you'd gone out and raised capital the week before,

435
00:28:59,359 --> 00:29:02,960
which the I was with, had you got capital injecting

436
00:29:03,039 --> 00:29:05,480
your bank, you owe them a very high coupon, and

437
00:29:05,519 --> 00:29:09,400
they attached warrants to it. So this idea that the

438
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,160
federal government needs should get a return on capital for

439
00:29:12,319 --> 00:29:14,720
something they do to stimulate economic.

440
00:29:14,279 --> 00:29:16,279
Speaker 9: Grants is not the only thing that makes it publicly

441
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,359
platable for taxpayer dollars.

442
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 8: Honestly it does well. What should makes it publicly platable

443
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:27,720
for taxpayer dollars is the sovereign protection and the security

444
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:30,880
we get by being able to control our supply chain

445
00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:35,119
that we saw how vulnerable you were in coades. We

446
00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:37,400
should not have to live through that again. But the

447
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:39,880
flip side is, and you look at tariffs as a whole,

448
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:42,160
you know, I think what you have to tell you

449
00:29:42,279 --> 00:29:44,880
is take a step back and look at how corporate

450
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:48,359
America is dealing with this terriff equation. And I think

451
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,599
this is not as well understanding. I think it's a

452
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:53,640
very interesting phenomena that's going on right now. So if

453
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,480
you look at corporations today, and they look at their

454
00:29:56,519 --> 00:29:59,519
input costs and they're buying goods and the cost of

455
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:03,039
those are going up, and they feel like their ability

456
00:30:03,079 --> 00:30:07,559
to raise their prices to end consumers is very limited. Yes,

457
00:30:07,599 --> 00:30:11,359
they can slowly InCor manually raise prices, but they're being

458
00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:15,440
charged tariffs overnight. Companies are being forced to figure out

459
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:19,920
how to deal with that equation or that conundrum. They

460
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:21,880
have actually figured out how to deal with that conundrum.

461
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:23,920
And I think we see it in the data we

462
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:25,960
did we scratch your head, so what are we seeing.

463
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,079
We're seeing companies they can't deal with the cost of goods,

464
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,440
the cost of goods, the input costs, they can't deal

465
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,000
with the sales costs. But what companies have figured out

466
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:35,759
in the last decade or so, when this has been

467
00:30:35,799 --> 00:30:38,960
going on pre tariff, what got accelerated by tariff, is

468
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:42,359
companies are figuring out that they can be dramatically more

469
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,480
efficient and run with less human capital.

470
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,799
Speaker 1: Well, let me translate, running with less human capital simply

471
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:54,799
means they're not hiring and maybe they're laying off, but

472
00:30:54,839 --> 00:30:57,640
they're trying to get by with fewer people working for

473
00:30:57,680 --> 00:30:59,599
the company. And that is why we're starting to see

474
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:04,039
the labor markets become soft. Is these companies, some of

475
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,480
them are passing on the tariffs. They're saying, sorry, consumers,

476
00:31:07,599 --> 00:31:10,519
we can't do anything. You're just going to have to

477
00:31:10,519 --> 00:31:13,000
pay more, and they're hoping that you will continue to

478
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:17,319
buy their products at higher prices. Other companies are trying

479
00:31:17,359 --> 00:31:20,880
to figure out how to eat it. What Gary Cohne

480
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,440
was talking about is that a lot of companies are

481
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,359
looking at this and going, oh, I know where we

482
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:30,480
can save money. It's the most expensive part. It's the

483
00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:33,039
biggest expense we have on our profit and law statement.

484
00:31:33,079 --> 00:31:38,200
It's called humans labor employees. So if we have fewer

485
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:42,599
of them, then our costs go down and we can

486
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:46,279
still price our products for the same price. That consumers

487
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,759
won't balk because it's going to be roughly at the

488
00:31:49,799 --> 00:31:52,680
same price. So that's what Gary Cone is saying is

489
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,319
going on is there are companies out there, the companies

490
00:31:55,359 --> 00:31:57,720
out there doing all kinds of things trying to figure

491
00:31:57,759 --> 00:32:02,440
out how to deal with the tariffs. But he's saying

492
00:32:02,519 --> 00:32:04,799
that a lot of big companies are doing it by

493
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:10,359
basically maybe layoffs, but basically not replacing people that are leaving.

494
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:16,319
They're shrinking their workforce then in addition to Gary Cohne,

495
00:32:17,079 --> 00:32:20,559
there's a woman named Abby Joseph Cohen. And for those

496
00:32:20,599 --> 00:32:22,559
of you that have been around for a few years,

497
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:27,079
you go, oh, I remember her. She was the Wall

498
00:32:27,079 --> 00:32:30,720
Street guru. She was the chief economist at Goldman Sachs

499
00:32:31,359 --> 00:32:36,440
and she called the economy. Oh yes, she called the

500
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:40,839
economy so perfectly. She became quite famous back in the

501
00:32:41,279 --> 00:32:44,839
I want to say, seventies, eighties, even into the nineties. Well,

502
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:49,839
she's still around, and she was asked today about the

503
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:54,400
economy and what she sees out there today.

504
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 9: As you know, I'm a long term bull on the

505
00:32:56,799 --> 00:33:00,559
United States. I think that our economy is by far

506
00:33:01,039 --> 00:33:03,640
the most impressive in the world, but there are always

507
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,640
things to watch out for. And I loved watching the

508
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:10,680
interview that you did yesterday with Lloyd Blankfine, because I

509
00:33:10,759 --> 00:33:13,799
have memories of sitting in a room with Lloyd and

510
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:16,640
we'd all go in and everybody sort of knew what

511
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:20,599
the consensus was and broad expectations in the market, but

512
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:25,000
our conversation in that room was always what are we missing?

513
00:33:25,319 --> 00:33:27,400
What could go wrong? And so if you think of

514
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,400
a bell curve, the market tends to trade in the

515
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:33,400
center of that Bell curve. But the real opportunities and

516
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,119
the real risks are at the extreme ends of that

517
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,000
Bell curve. And one of the things I'm looking at,

518
00:33:39,119 --> 00:33:42,240
quite frankly, because I like to be prepared for risks,

519
00:33:42,599 --> 00:33:46,920
is what's happening with the United States visa VI China.

520
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:50,079
This is a long term concern. I'm worried, for example,

521
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,400
about the way we seem not to be investing as

522
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,720
much as we used to in science and technology and

523
00:33:56,799 --> 00:34:01,599
also education, and the Chinese are doing a blockbuster job

524
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:05,680
in their own economy investing in these categories. So is

525
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:09,400
this something that investors need to worry about this week. No,

526
00:34:09,559 --> 00:34:12,320
but it's something to keep on the radar. Apparently the

527
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,800
money is not being well spent because the pipeline that

528
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:19,239
we have in the United States K through twelve in

529
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:23,320
math and science and so on just isn't doing it

530
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:27,039
for us. And we find that our PhD programs are

531
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:31,880
very heavily filled by non Americans. Now, this has been

532
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,400
going on for quite a long time. We extend student

533
00:34:35,519 --> 00:34:39,480
visas to people, and fortunately in the past many of

534
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,800
these people have stayed in the United States. You know,

535
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,920
sixty two or sixty three percent of the working PhDs

536
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:50,760
in the US in medicine and engineering and applied science

537
00:34:51,119 --> 00:34:55,159
are in fact immigrants, not children of immigrants, but immigrants.

538
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,360
And it's part of the secret sauce. The US has

539
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:03,280
always benefited immigration flows, going back obviously to the founding

540
00:35:03,599 --> 00:35:06,679
of the nation. And if we mess that up, and

541
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,800
at the same time we are not enhancing domestic education,

542
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:14,119
that is not a recipe for success. I was one

543
00:35:14,159 --> 00:35:18,360
of those who was extremely concerned about tariffs, and as

544
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:20,880
I always do, I go back and say, have I

545
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,679
missed something? And one of the things that we need

546
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:26,239
to keep in mind is that the tariffs have not

547
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,960
yet been fully implemented. We haven't yet seen the impact.

548
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,440
Now I hope that we in fact have what the

549
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:39,639
consensus is saying, which is basically a one time increase

550
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:44,039
in price level but not in inflation, but we don't

551
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,079
know that yet. And one of the things to keep

552
00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:49,920
in mind is that those one time increases in tariff

553
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:53,400
costs will be rolling. We've only seen part of it

554
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,599
thus far. We'll see more in the second half of

555
00:35:56,639 --> 00:35:59,840
the year, and as all those inventories that got built

556
00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:03,320
up up in anticipation of the tariffs get run down,

557
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:07,000
we may see some cost increases as well as well

558
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:10,000
as the supply chain disruptions. But if it turns out

559
00:36:10,079 --> 00:36:13,960
that I was unnecessarily pessimistic, I will be among the

560
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:15,000
first to say.

561
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,039
Speaker 1: Ok So. Always good to hear from Abby Joseph Cohen.

562
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:21,920
We haven't heard from her for a long long time.

563
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:26,440
Wall Street today, Yesterday we set all kinds of new records,

564
00:36:26,679 --> 00:36:31,559
and today we did not. The market went the other direction,

565
00:36:31,599 --> 00:36:33,519
at least as far as the down down two hundred

566
00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:37,360
and seventy three down now at forty five thousand and eight,

567
00:36:37,599 --> 00:36:42,519
thirty four, SMP down just three points. NASDAK up ninety

568
00:36:42,559 --> 00:36:45,920
eight points. Gold was up six dollars to thirty six

569
00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:51,679
seventy nine. Price of oil up twenty cents sixty just

570
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,679
under sixty three dollars now for one barrel of oil.

571
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,400
That's it for today. That's it for this week. Thank

572
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,079
you for coming by. If you have a great weekend,

573
00:37:01,079 --> 00:37:15,719
and we'll be back on Monday. Hope to see you them.

