Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.
It is Tuesday, five dollars Tuesday over at wager Talk.
We got a loaded show. We're gonna talk college football,
We're gonna talk MLB, and of course we're gonna talk
Thursday night football. We're gonna get you preps, so you're
ready to fire before the lines move. The Prez is
gonna join us, gonna break down Eagles and the Chiefs.
Jesse's gonna join us, talk Colorado and Houston, and he's
gonna give us not one but two tame two teams
to bet on or fade. And then Brian Power is
gonna join us. We'll talk Astros and Blue Jays and
the Commanders and the Packers. You got any questions for
any of us, put him in the chat right now.
Let's get to it. Hit the like button and let's
bring in our good friend, the Pres and Prez. You
at the big boy game this week, Eagles Chiefs. There
is a lot going on in this game. But first off,
how are you, my friend?
Speaker 2: Dude? I'm great man, I love being here. I'm excited.
A show is phenomenal. Andy. The Friday Show was spectacular.
I mean just absolutely loaded with NFL content I watch regularly.
Shout out to all my friends in the chat room.
You see the eight, Travis, how are you are? J Berry,
Robert Ass, look at you guys. I missed you all.
Justin p Mike Carr. Nice to be back, brother. Ah.
Speaker 1: Well, let's get into it. I mean, we got the
biggest matchup of the season so far unless you're unless
you think the Bills in the in the in the
Ravens game was It's gonna be hard to live up
to that. But we got a straight pick'em homie over
under forty seven, big time rematch. But we do have injuries.
For the Chiefs, the word is I'm terrified about Xavier Worthy.
They the coach, Ay Reid, said he we're going to
take it day by day. He actually didn't say he's
day to day. He said we're gonna take it day
by day. And then they're like, ah, we'll try a
brace before we do season ending shoulder surgery. Yikes, yikes,
what you read on this Eagles Chiefs game. I'm leaning Eagles,
what say you?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, I'm gonna start by telling you I'm
leaning Eagles as well, but right now I'm doing a show.
I have a new show on It's called The Best
Betting Show Ever. Every day Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
It's with myself, Joe R. Nieri and Art to Caesar.
And today we had Art to Caesar on talking specifically
about this Eagles Kansas City Chiefs game. And if you
guys are aware, the Westgate puts up a look aheadline.
So before last week's game started, they had Kansas City
minus one and a half against Philadelphia. After Week one ended,
the line was moved to Philadelphia minus one and a
half against Kansas City and Andy. All the money right
now is pouring in on the Chiefs. It has gone
from minus one and a half Philadelphia to a pick
them and the general public just can't get away from
this Kansas City Chiefs team. So let me tell you
right off the bat, I like Philadelphia in this game,
and I like this Philadelphia a lot. Full disclosure, we
had a section in the Best Betting Show Ever what
did we learn this past weekend? And I don't think
and I mentioned this, I don't think Kansas City makes
the playoffs. I think we're going to see one of
those off years in the Kansas City Chiefs franchise. This
team is absolutely decimated with injuries on offense. I don't
know who is going to be their wide receiver this week,
and we saw against the Chargers their run game was
not good either. I think this Philadelphia team is going
to be a hard team for them to handle. Philadelphia
is able to run on anybody. They're going to play
a very tight, bowl control, slow moving, methodical game. I
think Kansas City is going to really struggle against this
Philadelphia offense. Now, I understand this is a monster Kansas
City team in the annals of history. That is not
where we are for this coming Sunday. We have a
very injured Kansas City team coming home from a trip
to Brazil. We have a team that is trying to
find a wide receiver. We have a team that did
not look great on defense against the Chargers, team that
I think will play to the under all year. At conversity,
they're playing a Philadelphia team. All though they got it
done against Dallas, they did not look that great. I
think we get a better Philly team. I understand there
is revenge in play here. I just don't think Kansas
City has the guns to play with the elite teams
in the league right now. I don't think Kansas City
could beat Buffalo. I don't think they could beat Baltimore.
I don't think they could beat Philadelphia. They couldn't beat
the Chargers. I like Philly here. I like them a
lot and Andy, I like the under in this game too,
and I like the under a lot. I'm going to
be releasing one of those two plays for my clients.
I don't think Kansas City is going to be a
Juggernaue offensive team, and they weren't last year. This Kansas
City team has not scored consistently in over a year
where you could just count on them putting up twenty
seven points a game. And Philly, all they want to
do is run the bowl. That is what they do
and that is what they do best. The total is
too high. I like the under, and I think Philadelphia
wins this game outright. Take them on the money line.
Speaker 1: Can't disagree with anything. I don't know why the Eagles
and Jalen Hurts continue to be so disrespected in the markets. Yeah,
it's like they didn't win the Super Bowl anything.
Speaker 2: It's like, and the year before and the year before that,
I think they started winning ten in a row and
made a huge run. I mean, this team, off hand
has probably lost five games in two years, and here
they sit and I didn't even think they played well
against Dallas. So I think we got them after a
bad game. Yeah, Philadelphia is one of my favorite plays
of the week. Brother, I'm really excited about it.
Speaker 1: I love it. You got a lot going on. We
get the presidential address, we have the best sporting show.
It's five dollars Tuesday. What do you have going on?
A wager? Talking?
Speaker 2: Well? Just to let everyone know, I take the presidential
address in half an hour, in one hour, so it
should be up later today. Last week, if you listened
to the NFL Presidential Address, I went thirteen and three
in my ATS bets, thirteen and three, So check that out.
As far as the five dollars Tuesday goes, I have
an NFL playoff for five dollars. It is a four
percent total. I'm on an eleven and two run in
those totals, and I have a buy one, get one
free with Joe Ranieri. Andy Langless is to celebrate the
start of the best betting show ever. Basically, if you
buy a month of my All Access, you get a
month of Joe's. I can't thank you enough for having
me on. I hope to do this regularly. Andy. I
miss you guys, really love working with you. It was
a lot of fun doing at the Sunday too, by
the way.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we were live for the first early games
on Sunday. We do live bets. People coming in and out, like, seriously,
come join us. It's a lot of fun. We're just
hanging out making some live bets, just sprinkling the board,
trying to find some good scenarios. Pres had Pres grabbed
the Cardinals even money on the money line when the
Saints scored first, and we were like, no, sweat, this
is the easiest live bet.
Speaker 2: Then we've freaked out, and.
Speaker 1: Then Spencer Rattler's got a shot at the end zone
at the very end to force overtime. But listen, that's
what live betting is. It was a lot of fun.
Speaker 2: And Jesse Schule, who I think is coming on next
he's so good at prop bets. By the way, Jesse
outstanding start to the NFL season. He mentions that I
got a serious background in the studio, So I would
like if I can, if I can have a moment
of your time. So this is the wad right here,
and now this is the hockey wall, so this will
be my studio for the NHL shows. And then we've
got another wall back here for you guys, which will
have a whole lot more stop.
Speaker 1: And we have a light and then I got.
Speaker 2: I got my shirt, my boxing wall and boxing so yeah,
we got a lot more coming everyone's way as far
as background studios go. Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1: Brother, Lawrence Presby, there is nobody like him. Thank God.
I'm just kidding. I'm just kidding. Is he's still here.
Speaker 2: I'm okay with that. I'm okay with that.
Speaker 1: You know, I love you, you know all right, Lawrence Presman,
I'm I'm in. I'm complete agreement with him. I I
don't understand the lack of love for Philadelphia. I mean,
it's literally called the City of Brotherly Love, and there's
no love for it. It makes no sense whatsoever. So
all right, let's let's do the steam report here real quick.
We'll start off in football with NFL. If you are
wanting to bet, if you're wanting to grab any threes
on Green Bay, You're gonna have to do that asap
because they are disappearing. There's a couple books that have them,
but three and a halfs are popping up, So if
you want to get threes on green Bay, they are
disappearing and disappearing fast. We'll scroll down and see if
what the lines are looking like for NFL. He already
mentioned that the line is kind of flipping in that game.
I also see some money coming in on Jacksonville, so
that is hovering around the three and a half and three.
So no matter what side you want in that game,
you can find your favorite side everywhere. Cleveland and Baltimore.
Tons of movement all over the place. I'm seeing ten
and a half. I've seen a book get up to
twelve and a half. I see a book at eleven
and a half. So again, you can find the number
that you want in that game. If you want to
bet Buffalo, you're gonna have to get on that thing
real quick. It's minus six and a half. I'm seeing
sevens start to pop up FanDuel has already moved to seven.
So that's where the is going in that one. And
if you are wanting to bet the plus three on Seattle.
You're gonna have to get on that one two and
a half, so started popping up. I see pinnacles at
two and a half. I see one of the consensus books.
I see FanDuel. So those are some of the ones
that have that have moved. We'll go to WNBA real
quick because we've got a huge slate. A lot of
money coming in on Indiana. Minnesota opened up six, they're
down to minus two. Money coming in on New York
they were minus eleven, they're now minus fourteen and a half.
And there's a lot of money coming in on the
under in Golden State, in Seattle. Take a look at baseball.
Not a ton going on in baseball over money is
coming in in Washington, Miami, a little bit of money
coming in on the Mets, believe it or not, minus
one forty. They open, They're down to minus one thirty.
Not sure I get that one. And the only other
one I see is the under on the Royals and
the Guardians. Other than that, nothing of note, except to
notice that the Dodgers are minus three point fifteen and
people keep betting them up. Nobody. No, we haven't learned
our lesson that they're facing Colorado and laying minus three
thirty five is just not a good idea. Whatever, whatever,
All right, it's five dollars Tuesday. Guys. Every handy capper
can put up a five dollars Tuesday play. You can
get Lawrence's, you can get Jesse Schulez coming up, you
can get Brian Powers that is coming up. My five
dollars Tuesday play is Contender Series and it's my biggest
bet of the season, flat out. It is a four
percent best bet. I can't do it at five percent
because we don't do five percent on the five dollar plays.
It's a four percent and it is the biggest bet
I've made in Contender Series this season. So perfect example
of what you can get. You can try out a
different handicapper, you can try out your favorite handy capper.
We encourage you to get as many as you are
comfortable with. Don't overextend yourself, don't have a big chunk
of your bank rout. But what a perfect day to
invest in some handicappers and see if you vibe with
any of them, See if you like the write up,
See if we catch some winners, and then we can
talk about investing long term because we are running a
lot of long, long term, week long thirty day specials.
But it starts today with five dollars. Tuesday, always a
great day at wager Talk. All right, let's bring in Jesse.
He's rocking the Colorado jersey and Jesse, we're gonna be
talking about the Colorado game. But I gotta tell you, man,
I went six and four in NFL and hitting sixty
percent in your last ten plays, and NFL is very good.
One hundred percent is even better. So congratulations on this
run that you're having. Man, how share the secret? What
are you doing right? Uh? Picking my spots?
Speaker 4: Picking him pretty well? I guess. I guess that's dating
back to the Super Bowl. So a perfect five and
oh in the preseason, a perfect four and oh in
the regular season, and we did have the Eagles team
total in the Super Bowl for the complete ten and
oh run. Yeah, I mean, I guess being conservative not
betting on too many games. You know, I spent I
spent a lot of time on it. So it's nice
when the results end up the way you want them to.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about the results here. Let's talk about
this Week three game between Colorado and Houston. Both teams
coming off of fairly easy wins against lesser opponents. You're
rocking the Colorado jersey. I don't know if that tells
us something or if you're just trying to upset a
certain fan base. What's your breakdown on this game.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have a bit of a rocky relationship with
the Colorado fan base, and they've been letting me hear
about it during the week because I was wearing this
doing my recordings for my NFL shows and they were saying, hey, buddy,
where'd you get the jersey? And I think they were
being sarcastic. They know that I lost a big bet
last year, and I told Colorado fans that if their
team beat UCF by double digits, I would buy the
jersey and wear it on the show. And you know,
I think the jersey looks pretty damn good on me
where I look pretty damn good in the jersey. But
Colorado fans will be happy to hear that I actually
liked the Buffs this week. Houston's a six point favorite
in a game with a total of forty three, so
it's projected to be a low scoring game. I'm impressed
with Colorado so far, but there was big news this morning.
They're making a change at the quarterback position. Third string
quarterback Ryan Stob, after throwing for one hundred and fifty
seven yards and two touchdowns on seven of ten passing
in the Delaware game. Just this morning, it was announced
that he will start against Houston. This guy's been on
the roster for three years now, and I've got a
quote from Dion saying, I saw what I've seen, what
I've been seeing in practice the last few years. This
is who he is, who he has always been, and
that makes me wonder why wasn't he starting earlier. I
wasn't a big fan of Caden Salter coming in his quarterback.
And I've got to say, and this is just my opinion,
the gap. I have to feel that Dion believes the
gap between Caden Salter and Ryan Stob is pretty significant
to make the change. Because Dion's the guy that brought
in Julian Lewis, brought in Caden Salter, he doesn't want
to look like he made the wrong decision, and he
has to really truly feel that there's a serious chance
that Ryan Stobb gives them a far better chance of winning.
Speaker 1: I think he.
Speaker 4: Does I'm happy to see this move. And then he's
going to be going against a Houston team led by
Connor Wegman, who was on the other side of being
benched last year with Texas A and M. Connor Wegman
was just brutal for the Aggies last year. He hasn't
impressed so far this year. What has he thrown for
three hundred and forty seven yards and four touchdowns on
sixty five percent passing over two games. And that might
not sound too bad until you realize those two games
came against Stephen F. Austin and Rice. You'd expect him
to be averaging more than one hundred and seventy five
yards per game and a couple touchdowns per game. I
believe that Colorado has a chance to not just cover
the spread here, but win the game out right. So
we'll take Colorado plus the six. We'll sprinkle on the
money line as well.
Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, the quarterback change was kind of out
of nowhere, you know, what's up? Weird timing for something
like that to happen. So wonder if something something something
later on we'll find out happened, or it's just DMBI
and Dion So all right, Jesse, we give you the
option two teams to bet on or to fade. Are
we supporting teams or are we betting against teams? And
which two teams are we focusing on?
Speaker 4: Well, you know, I like to fade, and we got
two top five teams to fade this week. We didn't
do so well last week, zero and two on the
fades on this show. We're still three and two on
the season though for the fades. So where we went
wrong last week is I wanted to fade usf South
Florida coming off that big upset win over Boise, I
said that was a fraud you win because it involved
a fake punt for a touchdown. That game was influenced
by a bunch of turnovers and penalties, and Boise actually
outgained them, had more first downs, more time of possession.
That said, they did win that game by like four
or five touchdowns, so maybe I have made a bad
read there. But then they go out on the road
and they upset the Florida Gators last week. When we
taken this team for real, I think it's time to
take South Florida seriously. So they were a seventeen and
a half point dog against Florida. Now they're at Miami
and they're a seventeen and a half point dog. So
despite the fact that they've just beat back to back
ranked opponents, they're still getting three scores on the road
at Miami. I think Miami is a good team. I
think Miami will win the game. Seventeen and a half
looks like too much to me. I say, fade the Hurricanes.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So, Joe Niary, we were talking about on Sunday,
We're talking about the first coach to be fired in Florida,
in the state of Florida. Is it Mike McDaniel or
is it the coach of Florida University. I wonder what
the odds would be set on that one after the
loss to South Florida. So any other teams we're looking to.
Speaker 4: Fade, Well, we just talked about Florida and Billy Napier.
I'm actually gonna take Florida to cover the points against LSU.
LSU the number three ranked team in the country right
now and impressive seventeen to ten road win at Clemson
in Week one. You're thinking to yourself, man, this LSU
team is for real. And then you see Clemson at
home last week trailing sixteen to three against Troy. You
scratch your head and go how significant is that win
over Clemson. Now, Clemson did go on to win that game,
but it was far from impressive. And LSU last week
also not very impressive. And now they're playing a Florida
team that needs a win. Billy Napier has his back
against the wall. Billy Napier and Florida. They beat LSU
last year by a score of twenty seven to sixteen,
and I think they can at least hang here with LSU.
You know, Florida. Nobody wants to bet on Florida right now.
It's like the apocalypse fire, Billy Napier, But I think
you got to put it in perspective. USF is now
ranked number eighteen in the country. So they just lost
to the number eighteen ranked team in the country. You
know who was ranked number eighteen the previous week, Oklahoma.
If they lost to Oklahoma, it wouldn't be armageddon. The
sky wouldn't be falling. Maybe USF is just a little
bit better than we've given them credit for. I don't
think it's an indication that Florida can't win another game.
And I think they'll prove that this week.
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it. We got some interesting
reads between these two teams. Love the position there, Jesse. Seriously,
you mentioned that you had Eagles team total and super
Bowl ten and oer in NFL. Are you focusing on totals?
You're foking focusing on sides, just trying to find a
soft line here. There was there anything in particular that
you've been doing well on.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, I mean I'm digging through all every single game,
every single prop, every first quarter, first half total. You know,
I'm spending an awful lot of time to come up
with two or three bets a week. And that's how
you go. You don't go ten and oer and hit
one hundred percent by just flinging out five or six
games every weekend. That's just you're not going to do
it that way. So yeah, I'm not focusing on I'm
focusing on advantageous situations. Let's see Week one, perhaps unders
and fading rookie quarterbacks in the first half, specifically the
Bears last night had the Bears first half, and good
thing I did, because Bear's full game was not a
ticket you wanted to hold at the end of the game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, Yeah, great read on that game. Absolutely, great
read on that game. We did a show where we
talked about JJ McCarthy throwing an interception for a touchdown
and the way he rebounded was very, very impressive. You
a JJ McCarthy guy.
Speaker 4: I'm indifferent, But like I said, I've seen a lot
of these rookie quarterbacks, both in college, freshman's in college
and in the NFL. It seems like the first half
is when you want to fade them. The coaching staff
draws up some vanilla plays they don't want. The coaching
staff doesn't want your freshmen coming out slinging it around
the yard, putting the ball into harm's way in the
first half. If they need to air it out, they'll
do so in the second half, especially if they're trailing.
We saw that from McCarthy last night. He played great
in the second half, which didn't surprise me at all,
which is why I opted to take the first half.
So yeah, that's my rule of thumbs. If you're betting
against a guy because he's inexperienced, do it in the
first half.
Speaker 1: Great bet. It's five dollars Tuesday. What do you have
up for everyone?
Speaker 4: I've got a Major League Baseball play for my five
dollars Tuesday play. And I'm working on my NFL card.
Like I said, I put a lot of time into
those NFL plays. That's how I come up with the
high wind percentage of there.
Speaker 1: All right, Jesse Schule, everyone breaking down college football in
a hillacious run and he's got a five dollars bet.
Thank you so much, Jesse for joining us. We're going
to We're going to go to all around the world
while we're doing the hit the like button. Guys, it
really helps the algorithm out. Takes one second of your time.
But let's get some free plays out for everybody. And
I did not expect to have multiple mentions of Norway soccer,
and yet here we are. And that's why this show
and this chat is so great. We will go to
the Mets at the Phillies and we're going to take
the Phillies on the money line. We talked about them
yesterday and we talked about how the matchup today was
mana for the Mets last twenty seven point two innings,
twenty four earned runs in the last six games yikes,
swore as for Philly one earned run the last eight
innings so looking at the Phillies money line here, Yuefa.
It's been mentioned in the chat uh Kevin Dolan's gonna
go with Moldova at Norway. He's gonna go Norway minus
one point twenty five in the first half. This Moldova
team is really bad. They gave up fourteen goals in
the first four games of the group and Norway scored
four goals in the first half the last two times
these teams played. So look at a big winner there
in Norway and we'll go to WNBA the Valkyries versus
the Storm. Janelle Salon over one and a half made threes.
She's gone over in five straight games. She's taking five
point nine threes per game the last five games, shooting
thirty six point five percent from threes this season. So
those are you were free plays for today, and we're
gonna bring in Brian Power and Seth I see your comment.
We're not gonna pull it up because this is a
wager talk betting, but I appreciate it. Yes, my my
new business that I've poured my heart, sold my savings
into launches tomorrow. So I'm excited, I'm terrified, I'm nervous,
but thank you for the shout out. Let's bring in
Brian Power. Nice shirt, Brian.
Speaker 5: Oh we needed to call each other this morning. Andy,
this is awkward.
Speaker 1: It's not awkward. We just looked like we literally looked
like we worked together.
Speaker 3: Yes, exactly, a com as a matter of fact.
Speaker 1: Please yes, all right, Well let's go to that Monday
and night football game. I mean, I didn't think there
was gonna be major takeaways from it, and then I
watched the game and I'm like, oh my god, we're
leaving with a lot of questions. Caleb Williams Tale of
two Halves? Do we read too much into Caleb Williams
with his first game as a new coach because he
had moments of brilliance and then he's sailing the ball
over the wide receivers heads. What was your takeaway from
that game?
Speaker 5: He didn't look to monstrably better with Ben Johnson now
is the play caller?
Speaker 3: You know?
Speaker 5: I think the hope for the Bear is, look, Caleb
john or Caleb Williams needs.
Speaker 3: He doesn't need to be a top five quarterback the league.
But there's the Bears. What they did and.
Speaker 5: Harry Spark they upgraded two important things around him. Number
one is the five guys in front of him the
offensive line. Number two is the play caller, obviously with
Ben Johnson coming in. So Caleb Williams just be okay.
I think the Bears are a good shape. He didn't
look monstraly better.
Speaker 3: Last night, Andy than he did in his rookie season.
Speaker 5: I will say that the only kind of takeaway that
I have from last night is, and this is not
a hot take by any means, but the Vikings floor
is probably higher than we thought. You know, you look
at the Vikings profile from last season. They obviously overachieved
in close games. Nobody thought they could be as good
as they were with Sam Darnold as the quarterback, but
they moved on from Darnald nough JJ McCarthy. So you know,
I think I know that myself. I expect the Vikings
to take a step back to share it from a
one loss perspective. I'm not alone in that guard. But
their floor is probably higher. That still could be a
playoff team with JJ McCarthy.
Speaker 3: As the quarterback.
Speaker 5: Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Bears, their ceiling probably
not as high. If you were somebody who thought the
Bears were going to make the playoffs, maybe even compete
for the division title in the tough NFC North last
night's game that they had to win if they wanted
to hit their ceiling. So it's you know, just from
a perspective, I had nothing on the game, and you know,
I went, I had a nice football week overall, and
he went six and two. Shup. I mentioned that three
and one in the NFL, three and one in college,
and I'm kicking myself that I didn't go four and
zero in the NFL because I had talked to somebody
during the week and I said, you know what, Atlanta
and Chicago in a teaser is the play to make
in those two gets just teased up through the key
numbers of three and seven. Do the same with Chicago.
You had the division home dog trends. Do I Did
we really trust Atlanta in Chicago to both win?
Speaker 3: I don't know, but you know.
Speaker 5: If you tease them up through seven, I think you'll
be in good shape Lo and Behold. Neither team covered,
but both would have you know, with the long teaser
approach would have got it done. Unfortunately, I saw the
way the Atlanta line was moving. I played the Falcons
money line on Sunday. That was my only loser in
NFL Week one. And then if you caught the Power
five over the weekend, I did tell you to tease
the Bills and the Bears.
Speaker 3: It is a Sunday that Monday night, which was a winner.
So there you have. And I know no real strong
takeaway from last night other.
Speaker 5: Than I guess the Bears ceiling isn't probably as high
as those in Chicago hoped it would be.
Speaker 1: I just the body language at the end. Man, it
was like the Vikings just seem to like JJ McCarthy
way more than the Bears seemed to like Caleb Bully.
It was just a start contrast.
Speaker 3: I mean, look the NFL. It's why you know.
Speaker 5: I never if you're sitting watching a game with me,
I never want to hear, oh this is over, you
got this, this BET's a winner before it hits trouble.
I don't ever hear that. If if you say that
in front of me, I immediately eject you from the home.
I say you're not allowed to watch football with anymore.
We don't talk like that around here because you see
the Sunday night game and the Monday night game, and
you could tell the way that was going that Buffalo
was going to steal it Sunday night when they got
the ball back when Harboss should have gone for it
on fourth down and he pumped it away. And then
last night, you know, you can obviously see the the
wins of change in Chicago, so to speak.
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, this this will be interesting, This will be
fascinating to try and follow throughout the season. So I
just love that JJ McCarthy dealt with adversity well, through it,
through a bad pick six and comes comes back. I
thought that was really impressive. We're gonna break down an
MLB game and let's but let's do NFL first. Let's
talk to the let's talk the big game game here,
if you don't mind Commanders versus Packers. We mentioned that
threes or that this we're calling the line three and
a half. There's still some threes out there, but it's
moving up here, so I would say we've moved off
of the key number and we're now into three and
a half territory over under forty eight. What was your
takeaway from these two teams Week one and what do
you break down on this game?
Speaker 5: So on paper, obviously got a good matchup Thursday night, Andy,
both teams victorious in Week one, and when I look
at those games, those Week one games for these two teams,
it was clear to me, and I think to anybody
who breaks it down, both the Commanders and the Packers
benefited from their respective opponents being pretty inept offensively. I
don't have the exact number in front of me, but
the Lions early down success rate was just horrible against
the Packers. They were just not gaining any yards on
first and second down. Jared Goff, you look at the
box score thirty one of thirty nine, you.
Speaker 3: Think, oh, that's pretty efficient. That's pretty It's a high
completion percent.
Speaker 5: It was one of the least effective thirty one of
thirty nine passing performances that you'll ever see in this league. Overall,
for the week, the Lions were fourth worst in the
league at just three point eight yards per play. Then
let's talk about the Commander's twenty one six victory over
the Giants.
Speaker 3: I think if we look at Giants, if we.
Speaker 5: Took a live look at Giants Stadium right now, Andy,
we'd still see Russell Wilson that offense trying to score
from the one yard line.
Speaker 3: My word.
Speaker 5: The Giants offense was even worse than the Lions offense
at ranked third worst for Week one at three point
seven yards per play. So even though these two teams,
the Packers and Commanders let's now look ahead to Thursday,
even though these two defenses combined to give up just
nineteen points in Week one, I'm not exactly sure how
good these two defenses are because the opponents were just
so bad, and it was it more what these defenses
can do. It was it just that the Lions offense
is going to take a massive step back without Ben Johnson,
and then the Giants offense just playing sticks. What I
can tell you for certain is that both defenses, the
commanders of the Packers, really benefited from red zone inefficiency
by the respective opponents. Last week, the Giants scored three
points off two drives that got inside the five yard line.
The Lions against the Packers scored just six points on
three red zone trips. So you know, you would expect
you allow the opponent to get that fart on the field,
you're going to give up more points than that.
Speaker 3: I get that.
Speaker 5: Micah Parsons is a shiny new toy in Green Bay,
and he definitely had an impact on that game against
the Lions. The tougher sigmon here for the Packers defense
going against Jade Daniels. The Commander's offense that up four
hundred and thirty two yards in Week one, And remember, Giants,
the offense is terrible, but the Giants defense is an
outstanding front four and the Commander's offense number two for
the week, averaging six point six yards per play. They've
scored at least twenty points in all but two games
with Daniels as the starter going back to the beginning
of last year. I also like how the Packers offense
looked last week with a healthy Jordan Love. You remember
he was injured most of the year. Andy and the
receivers were dropping a lot of passes. Those receivers have
better hands, Love stays healthy. I like what this Packers'
offense is gonna do average five point seven yards per
play last week, and did not need to do much
after they scored seventeen points on those first three drives.
So my take here, guys, two good offenses. I'm not
sure about either defense in this game over is how
is my initial lean towards Commanders and Packers.
Speaker 1: Oh right, no, right, Are we sure the Giants defense
is good? We share they're motivated with Russell Wilson lineback. Sure,
they're excited to go out there for the seventeenth time.
After Russell Wilson goes three and out. I'm just just
asking him just what I.
Speaker 5: Mean on paper, they had a good Everyone was saying,
look the Giants, you know, you look at the both
sides of the ball. In totality, it's not a big talent,
but the front four, the front four is the strength
of that Giants team. And you know, holding Washington to
twenty one points isn't bad, right, I mean the way
Jane Daniels plowed last close last season, you know, so
I thought the Commander's offense performance was better than just
twenty one points seems to indicate. And I would say
the same with the Packers as it.
Speaker 1: Let's move to Major League Baseball, taking a look at
the Astros and the Blue Jays. I have not been
following these two teams. I've been following a couple of others,
so I don't know much about where these teams are
at right now. Tell us a little bit about these
two teams and what you think of this matchup today.
Everyone likes Toronto minus one fifty. You get Houston at
plus one thirty with an over under eight and a half,
such a vanilla eight and a half up with take
a stand up books, everything every game is just like
eight and a half.
Speaker 5: Now, we're gonna talk about that eight and a half
here just at the second andy. But it is a
battle of division leaders north of the border. These teams
have not met since April. If you go all the
way back to April, Astrol swept the Blue Jays in
a three game series down in Houston. All three of
those games stayed under the total. In fact, only seventeen
total runs were scored in that entire three game series.
But what you need to understand here, guys, we're gonna
be looking at a much different matchup now. Obviously the
Blue Jays their offense is a lot better now than
it wasn't April. More on that, just talk about the
series taking place in Toronto. Overs are eighty fifty seven
and six in Jay's home games this season. It's number
one in all of Major League Baseball, includes eight and
one to be over the last nine Blue Jays home games,
and a lot of that.
Speaker 3: Yes, is about these Jays bats.
Speaker 5: The average five point three to two point five point
three to two runs per game hard in me at home.
They're also number one in batting out number one, and
on base percentage number one and plugging number one WRC plus.
Speaker 3: Since the All Star break.
Speaker 5: The off day yesterday hopefully means Boba Chet back in
the lineup tonight.
Speaker 3: He missed Sunday's four to three loss to the Yankees.
Speaker 5: Machet He's gone over one and a half total basis
in eleven of his last fifteen games played, so a
lot of production there. You've also got flag Berreo comes
in five straight multi hit games and Jays were facing
Luis Garcia, second outing since coming back from an old
stint on the IL. Garcia did allow two home runs
in his first start back. Overall, it was a good
start with the two home runs. Perhaps a bit of
a red flag got Shane Bieber starting for Toronto. He
was the big trade deadline acquisition of course for the
Jays his first two starts and he went really well,
but then he had the blow up last time out.
He had a lot of five run inning. We'll see
if that's the side of things to come. What we
do know though Astros score more on the road than
they do at home. Jake Myers his return from injury,
that's a good thing. Also, even if the Strolls don't
get to biber early, always got a shot here against
what has been the Blue Jays albatross, that being the
bullpen fourth highest era since the All Star Break, five
point three eight for Jay's relievers.
Speaker 3: That's not good.
Speaker 5: All of this lands me on over eight and a half.
Of course, nine, one of the key numbers when betting
MLB totals. I'm sixty one percent this season with MLB tolls.
By the way, had the over last night in Twins Angels.
That was a pretty easy game, even though there were
a lot of late scratches. I had to go into
my write up Andy and everyone who had bought the
play got a late update for me that said, well, guys,
you know, a lot of big names aren't playing tonight.
We'll be in the lineup, but we're gonna go that way.
I think these pitchers still stick. And guess what, the
picture's still stunk. And we cashed that one by the
top of the sixth inning, So over eight and a
half in Blue Jays Astro.
Speaker 1: I always say this, Brian, it's hard to be great
every single game, but bad is bad. It's just it's
easy to be bad all the time if you're bad.
So and also, uh Boba Schett long lost cousin of Boba.
Bet I didn't know if.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I did not know that. Okay, there we go.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's an awful joke, horrible. All right, it's five
dollars Tuesday, Brian, what do you have about for clients?
Speaker 3: Well, wouldn't you know?
Speaker 5: Andy, I have a playoff for five dollars and it
is a four percent best bet for NFL Week two.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 5: I mentioned it at the outset went six and two
football last week. I'll take that every week every week, Andy,
I'd be a very happy man. And uh, three and
one in college, three and one INFL. Uh is as
far as the NFL goes. Our four percent best bet
in Week one wage office was the Packers over the Lions,
and I think this best bet that I've got here
locked and loaded for week two will be just as good.
Quite frankly, what we always try to we did this
last year. We're on board with me last year in
football season with five dollars Tuesday. What I try to
do is just get in on the line that I
think is the best. It's not gonna get better. The
number is not going to get better throughout the week.
I think that's the case with what I've got here.
Twenty three to twelve and one all sports run andy
for me over the last the two plus weeks, and
then up forty five point one units going back to
late May. We had sixty six percent of our football
plays last year in September, guys, so really no surprise
that we went six and two last week.
Speaker 3: WT Dot Buzz Slash BP.
Speaker 1: Awesome work, Brian Powered, Thank you so much. Nice record
in NFL over the weekend. Great job, so Brian Power. Everyone.
He dresses great, especially looking good in that black Wager
Talk shirt. So all right, let's talk Contender Series Dan.
We'll pull up these lines every week. I go through
the five fights and I try and make a case
for the underdog in these fights. We had a couple
of weird moments last week with the reffing. My best
bet for tonight is the biggest Contender Series bet I've
had of the season. It is a four percent at
best bet and it is only five dollars. That is
my five dollars play and we will be live on
the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel making live bets.
If you've been betting with us live, you have made
an absolute killing. We are learning so much watching the
live broadcast about these fighters that we are able to
sneak in these live bets. Joya's other Winning in the
Shadows YouTube channel. It is a lot of fun. We
rank the fighters, we do write ups, and we make
a ton of live bets and Dan, you'll like this.
We will be taste testing a new startup Beef Jerky
Company on the broadcast tonight, all their different flavors. That
is going to be live. So very excited about this one.
All right, Let's start the bottom. A female fight dia
versus four h. So Dier has fought in PFL. She
hasn't looked great. She's taller, she's longer, she can be
hit and four to oh hits really hard. Four to
oh is not very technical. She just just marches right
into the hornet's nest and throws wild. If she get
to the chin of Dire, she can knock her out.
If this goes the distance, that's gonna be dire. In
a wash, but four to oh. The path to victory
for her is get inside and get to the chin,
because she does have a knockout power. Chason Blair and
Sanchez right now, Blair is the slight underdog. He's been
to Contender series before. He's very well rounded. The odds
suggest this is gonna be a close fight. It is
gonna be close, but Chason Blair has got plenty of experience,
well rounded. His path to victory is just grinded out
get to the third round, where I think he's got
the better cardio. Freddy Vidal, this one is tough. Neither
of these guys have a lot of experience. So Freddy
Vidal is a part time fighter who missed Wait Dan,
this is tough. A guy who can't make wade and
doesn't actually fight full time. Felipe Franco doesn't have a
whole lot of experience. Maybe he trips on his feet
and twists his ankle walking out to the ring. That's
Freddy Vidal's path the victory. Cam Tigue, I can't really
make a strong case for this one. H Well, Larry
and Douglas is a monster. He hits really hard. He
doesn't throw enough volume. Cam Tigu's only pat the victory
is to throw a lot of volume and hope Larry
and Douglas doesn't land the big kill shot. But when
Douglas lands, it's with authority. But maybe cam t can
outwork them stay out of harm's way. It's a tall
task and in the main event, these are two heavyweights.
They're gonna stand in the middle of the ring and
throw really, really hard, and Aspalin just has to land
the big kill shot. But this fight may not last
more than one minute, maybe two minutes. If it does,
Guarassio is gonna get tired. Guassrio is a harder puncher.
Aspalin just got to survive in advance, maybe his cardio.
But this fight, I don't expect it to last more
than maybe half around at best. These are two big
boys who are just gonna stand there and absolutely pummel
each other. So at your breakdown on Contender Series, all right,
Johnny said, I can mention the business that I started.
I will do I'll do it more in depth tomorrow
when we're live. But for the last couple of years,
I've developed a skincare product for people with diabetes. This
is a passion business of mine. I got diagnosed with
diabetes a few years ago. Only symptom I had was
very dry, dry skin on my hands and feet. I
didn't like a lot of products on the market, so
I made my own. I've been working with a manufacturing company.
The hours and money that I've spent on it are
I would say countless, but I've counted, and it's scary
and it's exciting when we're live. I'll show you the
listening tomorrow after the show. But thank you all for
your support. Some of you in the chat are on
my launch list, and I know you guys are going
to help me out, so I really really appreciate it.
I'll do an official pitch tomorrow. But Johnny, thank you.
I did not ask to do this, I didn't expect
to do it, but thank you very much for giving
me the platform. So thank you, guys. Hit the like button,
leave us a comment. Don't forget to take advantage of
five dollars Tuesday. Every handicapper gonna put up their best bet.
Get as many as you feel comfortable with. Don't have
a ton of your bank role in play tonight, but
let's cash some winners. We're gonna do it again same
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