Speaker 1: Hey guys, Andy here before we get to the video,
just real quick. We recorded this video earlier and then
me and Corbin and Jim were talking afterwards, and we
have a five percent play that needs to be played
this weekend. It's our only five percent play that we've
done this weekend. We did not talk about it during
the video, but it's just it's too good of a spot.
So we have a five percent best bet that is
going off on Sunday. So that is a part of
the pack that is up on wager Talk. So we're
gonna make adjustments to it. All of our normal props
are gonna be in there, but there's gonna be a
five percent first one of the season. It's just time
to fire away a big one. So join us, partner
up with us. Props have been very, very good to us.
The month of November could not be going any better.
So let's profit off of this five percent best bet
that is up. We did great with our best call
last week on Michael Wilson, and it's time to not
screw around and make some money. So that is going
to be attached to the Sunday Props pack that is
up at wager Talk. Thanks for joining us and enjoy
the video. Welcome to the Prop Line NFL Week twelve, Andy,
Corbin and Jim. We're gonna break down props on all
this Sunday games. No time to waste, Let's get right
into it. If you guys like button, tell us favorite
prop in the comment section. Tell us if you agree
or disagree with any of our takes. Gentlemen, last week,
I said that I had my most confident player prop
of the season last week. This week I have my favorite,
not the one I want to bet on, but my
favorite that just speaks volumes and I can't wait to
get to it. But we're gonna start with Corbyn, your Packers,
and then in the Minnesota Vikings coming to you first.
This is great. This is great. Whenever we go to
the Packers, Corbyn's moaning, grown we go to the Jets,
Jim's moaning and groaning. Now are my colts and it's
it's rainbows and unicorns. This is awesome.
Speaker 2: I've been really positive about the Packers this year up
until a point, and we have fallen off so much.
I said it last week, I hate Jordan Love. I
can't stand this man anymore.
Speaker 3: I want it.
Speaker 2: I would said I would take Rogers back, and you
all laughed at me, and then Jordan Love did what
Jordan Love's been doing for a while. He was woeful. Jesus,
where do we start with props? Rushing props, if you could, please, sir.
I think the Viking. I think our run defense. I
was applauding it, and I think we are reverting back
very quickly to having no run defense. So I'm gonna
take both the Viking's rushings over as Actually, I really
like the Mason over twenty three and a half. He
seems to be picking up momentum. Again, I mentioned it.
I remember I mentioned it last week and we talked
about how he fell off. But you look at this number,
it's twenty three and a half. It's really not that much.
With a like even if he gets a couple of
five yard carries, he's half the way there pretty much.
The concern is, obviously, I think he's only had like
four and six rush attempts, But the way our defense
is looking against the run, it's just looking inevitable. Again
three straight weeks, nine out of ten. A couple of those,
obviously Aaron Jones was injured. But I really like that
and then onto Aaron Jones fifty two and a half
over in two of the last three, ninety seven and
forty seven yards against us. Obviously it's a revenge spot.
We let him go, and I think he's gonna want
to strike against us again. I slightly worry that this
total is not in the forties. You can do an
olt of like the two together, so you can get
Mason like ten or fifteen plus rushing and then Jones
at like forty. So that's where I'm looking at for
those two. Kind of hard on the Packers side of
the ball. Don't know what's going on with Jacobs. Jacobs
has been not there all year, quite like Emmanuel Wilson numbers,
but I don't have any, so I can't comment on those.
And then it's JJ McCarthy unders. Even though our run
defense has failed or is failing before my very eyes
are past, defense has still been quite good. So I'm
looking at both McCarthy under one hundred and eighty eight
passing yards. You can see on the chart right there
at four or five, he's gone under except that one
big game. Hackers never seem to fly away with games,
even if they're the better team. I've said it before.
We kind of seem to play to the level of
our opposition. We play the week teams and we're fumbling
around and we're missing opportunities, and then the field goals
involved in it's just so close. And then we play
the good teams and it's somehow like we up our games.
So I don't have any concern that the Vikings may
be down, but I don't think they're going to be
down drastic enough to completely abandon the run. I also
like the under seventeen and a half pass completions again,
same theme, four or five under. I think they're probably correlated.
So take ever all that's the three and a half
props I'm looking at.
Speaker 3: Jim, I only need two props to make money in
this game. One of them starts in passing and it's
JJ McCarthy and just play it. Just play it. It's
one of those that if you just play, you are
very very very happy. Don't care about the defense. Just
play him to throw one interception second one plus one
ninety five on Aaron Jones anytime touchdown. I think that
number is crazy. Corbyn already touched on it. It's in Lambeau.
There's nothing more insulting to do the Lambeau leap as
a visitor you used to play there. It's the script
just writes itself. I know it hasn't been good, but
like Corbyn said, the Packers defense is regressing. They will
have if they get in the red zone, they're gonna
have design plays for Aaron Jones. They just are Jones
and Justin Jefferson. That's it.
Speaker 2: He's also good because obviously he can catch the bulls.
You have the receiving forrat as well as the rushing
the James.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm pretty surprised we haven't talked Christian Watson.
They bumped his his number up to forty nine and
a half. This has been a couple of cashes on us,
but he was lower than this. I think I might
go back to his longest reception twenty three and a half,
who's done this in three out of four games, had
a seventeen yard one. But he's their big play guy.
And I know, you know, Corbyn, you're not a big
fan of of Jordan Love. But I'm not sold on
this Vikings team. I'm not sold on this defense. And
with the amount of injuries that you guys have at
wide receiver. It's kind of last man statement. Even we
actually have quite a few people back.
Speaker 2: I saw the Dobbs is listed, I saw Witses listed,
I saw obviously we have Musgrave, we have Golden should
be back this week.
Speaker 1: So it's just a lot of questionables.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, like okay, there, get back again. It's a
case of they that from what I've read, they will
be playing. But again it's American sports. Any injury could
change anything very quickly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and listen, I'm hitting the panic button on Justin
Jefferson with JJ McCarthy in the lineup, look at it.
Say it out loud. Justin Jefferson's receiving yards is sixty
five and a half. What would we how much money
would we have put on this at the beginning of
the season, Like this would have been like a million
unit play and he's gone under the last three games.
There's there's a real panic in this. I mean, JJ
McCarthy's passing yards is one to eighty six and you
can get you know, Jordan Addison under thirty nine and
a half and Justin Jefferson and TJ. Hockinson did the
math ain't mathon on that one? So a few other
games I like a little bit better, but yeah, I
like the Unders. I'm with you Corbyn on the JJ McCarthy.
All right, we go to my Indianapolis Colts and the Chiefs.
I mean, seriously, guys, one of the biggest games of
the year. I mean the playoff implications here. You could
be staring at Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid not in the
playoffs if they lose this one. Jim, I'll come to
you first. What do you like in this game?
Speaker 3: Not to harp on it and put the Colts down,
but I do not like this bot for the Indianapolis
Colts one bit. This is on the road in Arrowhead.
We have a Dome team traveling to one of the
hardest places to play. And what do you say about
a wounded animal. It's when they're the most dangerous, and
right now the Chiefs are very, very wounded animal. I
think the Chiefs defense is gonna make this day really,
really tough for Daniel Jones. And where I'm gonna go
with it is I'm gonna go George Carr, Laftus and
Aaron not Aaron or Chris Jones to get a sack
in this game. They think they are going I caught it,
so that's where I'm gonna go defensive side of the ball.
I think we could also look at Daniel Jones rushing.
He's gonna have to take off this pass rush has
sneakily gotten pressure. You know, Jones showed up last week
and looked like the Jones of old. So is that
an injury thing? Is that it's now or never? But
I think this is a bit of a tough spot
for Indy to get this win here, and coming off
that last game, we saw some chinks in the armor
of the Daniel Jones experience. So that's where I'll go
with this one.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are a wounded animal because they keep shooting
themselves in the foot. I will say that like this
my home's just why has he lost the ability to
connect on those long balls this year? It's so unlike him.
I'll give my thoughts and perhaps here Corbyn, what are
you like in this one?
Speaker 2: I'm going back to Kelsey again. He cashed first last week.
I still don't quite understand why this total is only
fifty two and a half. As you guys said, it
feels or it almost is. I must win game now
for the Chiefs, and who's he gonna trust in those
clutch moments when he's gonna need something, It's gonna be
Kelsey six straight. They're going to force the ball to
him if it's not happening, must win cults are bad
versus the past. It kind of ticks all my boxes.
This actually might be one of my favorite plays of
the week, Corbyn.
Speaker 1: I was going to bring up alt lines on doing
a Tyler Warren Travis Kelcey like maybe both like yeah,
like both have forty plus yards, So yeah, I was
looking at Kelsey, at Kelsey and Tyler Warren Warren fifty
one and a half. I don't know what to do
with Alec Pierce. He's been absolutely fantastic this year. Daniel
Jones relies on him and it's kind of one of
those when he goes over, he really goes over. Dare
I say potential ladder play here? Fifty five and a half.
I mean, this is a guy that's gone eighty four, one,
fifteen and ninety eight in three out of his last
four games. He catches these like twenty yard passes on
you know, third and eight. He's been really really good,
staying healthy, really good hands drop rate is is, you know,
basically non existent. So the Chiefs are a tough one
to figure out. Like, I don't know what to do
with Kareem Hunt. We got buck Buckner's not going to
be playing for the Colts. He's a big run stuffer,
and that's a big, big los It's one of those
big losses that nobody really talks about. And then all
of a sudden there's Kareem Hunt running for seventy yards.
Speaker 2: I think that's what they'll bring it up.
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. I mean, I would like to take cream
Hunt over, but numbers don't lie. He hasn't been that good,
but he did go over against against Denver. But I
think all those lines are dialed in. I like the
tight ends and I like Alec Pierce. So all right,
we'll move on to the Bengals and the Patriots. I
swear the Patriots have been the luckiest team with the
schedule all year culminating with they get the Bengals and oh,
by the way, Jamar Chase is suspended like randomly for
one game, and of course the Patriots are the ones
playing and it's laughable. So I don't know if the
Bengal at the time of recording this. Yeah, the books
are putting out numbers on both Flackl and Borrow. It
makes this game really hard. Corvin, do you have anything
in this one?
Speaker 2: I have something that I want, but it's not out
there yet. I want no crops again. Yeah, went over
again last Oh it's got a number on here, five
and a half.
Speaker 3: Oh that you take that number. That's a great number that.
Speaker 2: Is up there with one of my favorite plays. Again
you mentioned it, No Chase. He's been getting loads of targets,
five receptions last game, rinse and repeat, especially against the
Patriots past defense. I've been saying it for a few
weeks now. I really don't think it's that great, all.
Speaker 3: Right, Jim, you look any of these Drake May is
gonna carve up this secondary of Cincinnati. It's just Drake
made for two touchdowns is one ninety two. I don't
know where you do what you do with that. You
have to parlay it with something or you go to
his yards, like is Henderson gonna get this really crazy
workload on the ground.
Speaker 1: Now.
Speaker 3: I know Cincinnati's given up a ton of yards rushing
as well, but to me, it's just a prime Drake
May spot here I mean, there's gonna be guys running
so open in the secondary. He's gonna have to try
to miss Hunter Henry over the middle. He really is
gonna have to try. So give me Drake May. We
got again have to wait to see the starting quarterback
is or Cincinnati. That changes everything.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I my quarterback's on buy this week. I'm on
one of my fantasy teams. So I went and picked
up Flaco and Burrow, thinking, oh okay, and then Jamar
Chase is out and Jamar Chase is out. I was like, great,
of course, thank you guys. Be a little sneaky, all right,
move on to the Steelers and the Bears. Corbyn, what
do you like in this one?
Speaker 2: I again, we've mentioned it. I think it's really hard
to like. I still haven't seen any confirmed Rogers news
if he's playing or not, so I to me, that
wipes out Steelers props instantly. The only thing I can
somewhat look at is the rushing props for the Bears.
I find I still find it really hard to pick
what to do between Swift and Manongai. To me, it
doesn't make sense how they how Manonga is kind of
fallen off since he had that good game or so
without Swift. The thing I settled on was doing an
alt parlay, so you're getting the best of both worlds.
So Manungai twenty plus you can kind of see it.
He's gone over that twenty plus in every game, even
the recent ones. You can see twenty three, twenty eight,
twenty four kind of range and put that with Swift
forty plus rushing and they've each gone over this the
last five that they've played. So that's what I settled
on because I couldn't. I don't feel like I can
play Manongai at thirty four and a half, as much
as I like him and the matchup, just because it
still seems like Swift has just gone back to having
the majority of the share. So that's why I did
the parley of both to try and get something.
Speaker 3: So Jim, I'll preface this by saying I hate both
of these teams from my perspective. However I did there's
one thing that's sticking out to me. Jalen Warren rushing
and receiving. If this Rogers injury is legit and he
does and he's affected by it, right, he's really got
DK and that's it is he going to be able
to force ball downfield. If not, I think we see
some run with Jalen Warren in the passing game. So
we put these numbers together. I mean, his rushing number
is not horrible either, but you go rushing and receiving,
I can most certainly see him going over this. The
other thing reason why I like this is I am
just so sold on Caleb Williams. I believe he's going
to make some mistakes in this name that are going
to give the Steelers short field and extra possessions. So
if I can get an extra possession with a guy
who I know is the bell cow back in the
running and passing game, I like this over eighty rushing
and receiving.
Speaker 2: Yeah, if Rogers plays, I think Frian Moof is another
one you've got to come back to. Will He already
checked down to those tight ends. He's going to be
even quicker to check down to them now. But again,
I had no lines when I was looking to say.
Speaker 1: I know where did they come up with this? Three
and a half receptions on Luther Burden give me the
under he has four and that was against the Commanders,
who are really bad. I know this Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense.
On the year, numbers have not been good. They've been
just a little bit better the last couple of weeks.
I don't know. Luther Burden seems like one of these
guys where everyone loves him and then they give him
three catches and it's like, well, if he's that good,
if he's that awesome, you guys love him that much,
why aren't you giving him? You know you weren't you
getting him the ball six seven times? So that's the
only one I really like in that one.
Speaker 3: All right, I really thought Corbin was gonna be all over.
How Rogers owns the Bears?
Speaker 2: Oh I I have actually in my notes I will practice.
I've wrote Rogers can do anything he wants, Rogers owns,
and then I wrote checkdowns in brackets.
Speaker 1: There you go. Yeah, you gotta stay, you gotta be
careful to steal it's it's his non throwing hand.
Speaker 2: But I yeah, it was out of the game last week.
So if his hand was that unimportant, then people have carried.
Speaker 1: On all right, Jim your jets, Oh good.
Speaker 3: I'm knocking everyone as can it be negative? I'm not
going to be negative.
Speaker 1: Just as lucky as the Patriots are the Jets now
get to go to at Baltimore to a team surgey
trying to make the playoffs.
Speaker 3: This is tough for me. I know how I want
to attack this game, but it's a question of what
do you do? So I'm hoping you guys can clarify
this a little bit for me here. First of all,
Lamar goes over under his passing touchdowns last week. You
go right back to it. You take him over one
and a half touchdowns if he's going to throw touchdowns.
I'll say it before and I'll say it again. We
cannot cover a tight end to save our lives. However,
Baltimore has to be one of those teams that has
two tight ends. So which one do we go with?
Do we go with both? I think the numbers are low.
I actually really prefer the Isaiah likely twenty four and
a half. He just has more of a big play
opportunity than Mark Andrews does. And Andrews with age, one
little tweak, one little injury likely seems sees all the snaps.
Also think you could sprinkle these guys for touchdowns when
the red zone is where we really.
Speaker 2: Fail likening it. He's been running it. They've had some
nice plays with him running in.
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're getting him involved, so he's gonna have some
design plays that likely play as well. Is great. I
was trying to figure out what to do with the
Jets receivers, so in their debut, we have all these
new names. We have Addie Mitchell, who couldn't catch the ball, however,
was open, so we have to take that he was open.
So if we fix the drops, maybe it's weak one Jitters.
Is he the one that Tyrod Taylor is gonna be
pressing to throw? Either that or you got to look
at Mechi. I think it's one of the two guys.
This defense still is gonna leave some holes. And if
they're leading and they blow the doors off this team,
we're gonna have some garbage time stats that are going
to be prime for these wide receivers, absolutely prime. I mean,
right now, we're sitting at Mitchell at forty at plus
one twenty four, Mechi at twenty five at plus one hundred.
I'll take Mechi on that twenty five yards at plus money,
garbage time down by thirty. They don't trot about there
and go. That's how I see this game going.
Speaker 1: I can tell you what to do with the Jets
wide receivers. Gym cut them.
Speaker 3: Yeah, we give were those teams with five running backs?
You just put five running backs out there.
Speaker 2: Well, speaking of running backs, I like I feel like
Andy was going to mention this Keeton Mitchell over twenty
one and a half rushing. I think Andy touched on
it last week. I remember him doing the graph of
him being back healthy three or four doesn't need that
many carries to get there against this Jets team, whod
just all four against the run as well, we mentioned it.
I think Baltimore are going to be very far ahead
at many points in this game. So I really like
that play as well. Do you want to say anything
else on this before I jump to my next one?
Speaker 1: Andy, No, I love Keaton Mitchell. He's great. I mean,
Derrick Henry has been, you know, looking pretty good. But
it takes Derrick Henry. It's taking Derrick Henry a long
time to get up to speed when they give him
the ball. It's just taking But which is why he's
so bad at third and ones and fourth and ones
like he's he's he has to be the worst running
back in the league at those short yardage and I
think it's because everybody's compact and he just can't get
that that momentum going once he gets up to speed.
Look out, but it's just taking him longer to get
up to speed. And yeah, Keith Mitchell looks looks the
best right now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then I'm gonna go back to it. Lamar
Jackson no interception. The Jets have zero. They have zero
on the year, fat zero. Lamar hit two last I
had two interceptions last week, and I think that's a
perfect spot. I don't think he's gonna be friend the
ball a ton It said minus four hundred there, I've
checked it around. It's minus two hundred.
Speaker 1: It's minus one ninety six. DraftKings.
Speaker 2: Take that and parlay it with something. I love it.
So they're my two plays in this game.
Speaker 1: I'm taking Lamar under his rushing yards. He's not that healthy.
We saw him have ten at Cleveland. Talk about a
game where don't get your quarterback hurt, like hand the
ball off to Derrick Henry and Keaton Mitchell. But like
I mean, Lamar's got what hamstring, knee and ankle sounds
like me these days. So I would just take Lamar
under his rushing yards. I don't know why they would
be do it, but Corven, I'm with you, Keith Mitchell,
this is one of my favorite plays this week. I
think this will be a client play. Moving on to
the Yeah, moving on to the Giants and the Lions.
I know where I'm going with this one. Jim, where
are you going with this one?
Speaker 3: I'm going right back to it, right back to mister
Winston over his passing. It's just, oh, do we have
dart officially?
Speaker 1: No?
Speaker 3: Out right?
Speaker 1: They just they just shut down. You're just putting out
props on.
Speaker 3: Both Thanks for that, a guy who's out. We have
props for beautiful, but I can't get sack props on
a Friday night. Awesome, Thanks guys. It's Jameis Winston over
his passing. He just went under, just went under. First week,
there was a real conscious effort to run the ball
from this replacement coaching staff, and I think we kind
of knew how that's gonna play out. Like it was like,
let's try it, let's run the ball, let's protect our
quarterback all this time, and I have a feeling this
is just gonna pivot one hundred and eighty degrees the
other way, where it's just Jamis, go for it. Whatever
you're gonna do, throw, just throw it. So I love
the two twenty four. We can look at passing touchdowns
on the Detroit side. Very worried with this team has
to make adjustments as far as that goes. But I
still think they have plenty of horses in the stable
to just run through the Giants in this That Giants
rushing defense is a sieve. The question always is with
Detroit is who do you play and how do you
play them? Because it should be by committee? Am I wrong?
Or are they scaling back Montgomery's touches late? Is rush
at the time where they start giving them the carries late?
Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's just gamescript dependent. I
mean like they have his rush attempts at twelve and
a half and you're kind of spotty six fifteen, eleven thirteen.
So I don't know what they're doing with Montgomery.
Speaker 3: That's all I got.
Speaker 1: All right, Corbyn, what do you like.
Speaker 2: If you could go to the receiving props and to
Jameson Williams please, I am torn, but I like both
of them over sixty one and a half receiving and
over twenty six and a half longest reception. They kind
of go hand in hand. He kind of needs that
longest reception to get to this number, so I'd probably
take the longest just to be sure. We mentioned that
the Giants defense is all for and against the pass
and against the run. Lions at home they love Jameson Williams.
I think he gets at least one big catch. I
think it all just kind of sets up for him,
particularly well in this matchup against the Giants.
Speaker 3: I think.
Speaker 2: So that's the only proper I like in this game.
Speaker 3: Well, when they come out, oh you still to go
go ahead?
Speaker 1: Any No, go ahead.
Speaker 3: When the props come out. As far as tackles go,
Bobby Okarake, if we believe that the Lions are going
to be up and pound the ball, I believe third
in the league and tackles, so we have to see
what that number is going to be. But if it's
Detroit up big and pound in the rock, look at
Okarake tackles.
Speaker 1: I think this is a moner of Saint Brown's Get
Right Game seventy seven and a half, coming off of
a brutal game where Jared Goff was throwing the ball
all over the place Washington. He didn't really need to
do much. And that was the Jameis and Williams. We're
gonna get him the ball to two pretty lackluster games,
and I mean, he doesn't go three games in a
row with you know, bad stats. So a Mona Saint
Brown over and coming on with you, Jamison Williams and
a Monra over. You got Jared Goff back indoors now
against this Giants team. That's terrible, all right. My favorite
prop of the year the one that I just I
just laughed and laughed and laughed. I'm surprised you guys
didn't bring it up.
Speaker 3: It's in this game, La.
Speaker 1: It's in this game. What makes me laugh is, uh,
the books, some of the books don't have half an
interception for Jamis. They have one and a half. I've
never seen I've never seen the books put out Nope,
we know you're gonna throw one, but you have to
bet on him to throw two. So shout out to
bet MGM DraftKings over an interception is minus one ninety.
But yes, the books saying we're not gonna give you
over one inter seven, the book saying nope, you have
to play jamis two interceptions. And by the way, I'm
not taking the under uh on one and a half.
Speaker 3: Interceptions, So I'm betting that right now. Just so you know,
I did not realize that the one and a half draft. Yes,
I will take the No, I'll take the over a half.
Speaker 1: Oh you want to even five and a half.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, you're gonna put that out there. I'm
gonna take it.
Speaker 1: That's great, all right, Move on to the Seahawks and
the Titans. Believe or not, there's actually a proper in
this game. I love for the Titans, But Corbett, I'm interested.
Speaker 2: If you have one you like, I have two that
I like, one for each team. Charbone over thirty nine
and a half rushing is the first one that I
want to look at again. Like I mentioned for the
Bears can do some kind of combinations with charbon a
twenty plus and Walker forty plus. If you were if
you prefer you luck and you went under last week
and you're like, oh, like, do you come back to it?
It was like eleven carries for thirty seven against the Rams,
who are a far better rush defense than the Titans.
If he has eleven rush attempts again, I think he
flies over thirty nine and a half. So I really
like that. And then my second one Isaja Spears over
seventeen and a half receiving yards. I'm expecting the Titans
to be down, and when they're down, they're throwing the
ball to Spears. He's gone over his last five games
that he's played. I bet this prop every game. I
think I've seen it this year for him, and I'm
just going to continue to go with it.
Speaker 1: So I'm going to jump in here because Corbyn. Mine
was the two and a half receptions on Spears. Yeah, yeah,
kind of similar there by the way guys hit the
like button for breaking analysis, Corbyn thinks that the Titans
rush defense is not quite as good as the Rams,
so make sure you like and subscribe.
Speaker 2: No kidding, some top tier analysis guys, you're not going
to find anywhere else. Someone is going to say that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was the one that the Taji spears. I
think that's client play worthy, So Jim game.
Speaker 3: Tennessee Titans rush defense is ranked twenty six in the NFL,
giving up an average of one hundred and thirty four points.
Speaker 1: It's so bad. It's so bad.
Speaker 3: You guys are downplaying how bad it is all right.
Absolutely love Sharbone over this thirty seven. This is my
favorite play in this game. I also think this is
one you ladder, I really do. This could be a charbonet,
just marathon. If Kenneth Walker is officially gonna be ruled out,
even if he's banged up, why are you gonna put
the extra load on him? And this Tennessee Titans team
is bad. They're just bad. Camboard's probably gonna toss one
up to the other team he got away with not
getting one last week. I think we go right back
to him to throw an interception. And you could look
at the defense as well, for Seattle to get some
sacks against the rookie quarterback. He's still giving up those sacks,
just holding the ball way too long.
Speaker 1: I'm we're recording this on Friday, guys, So I'm just
looking at the injury report here and Walker. This is
It's not good that Walker was a late add to
the injury report late in the week. That's bad. Glute, yeah, glute.
So he pulled his ass muscle, which is not good.
And you're right, Jim, why would you have you have
you shere? Honestly, Car, have you never pulled a glute.
It hurts.
Speaker 3: I don't know how he's gonna play, dude.
Speaker 1: It's the the stabbing pain that goes through It's it's
unlike any other muscle that you've pulled like it is
like being stabbed in the hip. There is no reason
why you would play him. A lot of snaps against
the Titans and Jim, don't you threaten me with a
good time with laddering up?
Speaker 3: Zach Charbonay So six yeah, like sixty sixty five.
Speaker 1: The ladder play we talked about last week.
Speaker 3: Michael snashit Michael Wilson's.
Speaker 1: Fifty two and a half and he ended with one
eighty five. So I think that's a really really good
look there.
Speaker 3: Plus two eighty five on Sharbona for sixty.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I think we got to look hard at
that one. So Sunday NFL props are on the board.
Got the week started off right with a nice win
on Witty Marks over. His rushing was a little bit
of a square play, but it got there in the end.
So NFL props have been good. This includes all plays
on Sunday, including primetime games, which we are now twenty
and eleven. It's the streak that really has confused me
the most in twenty twenty five. Why primetime NFL games
are good to us, But they've just been great. So
props have been real good. November has been very good.
We're seeing sports really, really well. So jump on board
our Sunday props if you're watching this before, we're gonna
have NBA. We're gonna have NHL props and for watching
some on Friday, to forget ten am start on Saturday.
For UFC, we have two best bets. We are officially
seven and oh in our last seven bets, so a
nice seven and oh, run god, I'd love to get
that thing to nine and oh going going into the holidays.
But seriously, partner up with us on props. Props is
where you build your bankroll, especially in NFL. So all right,
move on to the Jags and the Cardinals. Would you
guys allow me to go first?
Speaker 3: Please?
Speaker 2: Please do.
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go to receiving yards and I would
like to take my guy Michael Wilson to go over.
I can't believe this wasn't a more aggressive adjustment from
the books the game with Harrison out and Harrison is
out again, going up against the Jags defense that is
much much better against the run than they are against
the past. So yeah, I don't know what we need
to see. Like, if they're competitive, he's gonna get a
lot of targets. If they're getting blown out, he's gonna
get even more targets and they cannot run them. This
is a Cardinals team that cannot run the ball. So
Michael Wilson, absolutely, I mean it totally. What was it
forty six and a half or so. I don't know
why this isn't seventy or eighty, Like, what's changed? They're
playing another bad defense that against the past. He's their
number one. It's him and McBride. Yeah, it's Michael, Michael Wilson.
Let's do it again, Michael, you're my boy. Corbyn, you
nailed it.
Speaker 2: Lader it again.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, just do it? Anything else? Is that all
you like? No?
Speaker 2: That's what I literally have wrote word for word what
you just said.
Speaker 3: Okay, So, Jim, I'm gonna throw another stat at you
from last week without Harrison Greg Dortch six receptions for
sixty six yards. Okay, I think you look at both
of these wide receivers. The numbers are just criminally low.
You could go receptions. The six is an outlier, but
it's without Harrison in the game. So if you are
their opponents, who are you taking out of the game.
You're taking out McBride. Now it didn't go so well
last week, then again, the game was never really closed
forty one to twenty two, So you don't really care
if dram Drey McBride catching those twelve yard outs, Like
who cares at home with Jacksonville. Jacksonville on the road
always worries me. Like you said, hard to run on,
get that passing going. I think you look at both
these quarterbacks. You can get Greg receivers. You can get
Greg Dortsch at twenty five minus one twenty right now.
So if they decide to take Wilson out of the game,
I still think you play that Wilson play, but you
also play Dorsch up to some number that you feel
comfortable with because one of these two guys is gonna
fly over their total, absolutely fly over their total. You
get both home love numbers.
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna throw in there if we like these
guys and Jocobe Brisett's passing yards is way too low
to forty two and a half there's two forty three's.
I mean, why would you not look at the over here?
All he's done is go over every single time. The
man said an NFL record, But in twenty years, how's
that for a trivia question? Who has the single game
record for most completions? You're gonna be like, oh, Brady,
maybe an overtime getting Peyton Manning, No, Jacoby Brisett. Nobody
likes fantasy football stories, but I'm gonna tell one here.
I have one of the worst fantasy football teams that
has ever been put together. It's embarrassing. I played a
team that hasn't lost a game. They have Jonathan Taylor
and Christian McCaffrey on their team. Okay, I played him
last week. Jonathan Taylor was on by and I started
Trey McBride at Jacoby Brissette against him and handed him
his first loss. To Jacoby Brissette. Yeah yeah, like this
guy's gonna walt into the super Bowl and win it,
and here I am sitting on two wins. We don't
talk spreads on this show. Can someone explain to me
why the Raiders are four point favorites over any team?
I don't care who's starting at quarterback for the Brett Corban.
Do you know the Raiders? This Raiders team is four
point favorites over somebody. What are we doing here? Coming
to you? What do we do? Props? Look at this
passing yard's number on.
Speaker 2: Sas I think.
Speaker 1: It's too low, I'm with you.
Speaker 3: It is with you.
Speaker 2: So I have three props in this game and they're
all passing related. The first one was Sanders over one
hundred and eighty five. Again, they there's no chance of
being being pulled because they've got no one else. They
are being forced to play him. So I've got the
whole game with him, so I don't have to worry
about that. Is he going to be inaccurate? Yes? Is
he going to throw an interception? Probably, which was my
next favorite play because he already threw one and he
had four completions on sixteen attempts. But again, he hasn't
practiced with any of these players at all, Like they
are putting way too much stock into last week where
they've thrown him off the bench where he thought he
didn't have a cat and Hill's chance of playing, and
now he's had a full week to plan. He knows
all the routes, the players are more familiar. I think
this number is criminally low. Wise with the interception again,
because I think they're gonna have to throw the ball.
I think he's just going to throw one, just by
being a rookie and just natural course. And then my
third prop is Gino Smith to throw an interception all
bar two games, He's done it. Brown's are the best
passing defense, eight most interceptions on the year. Just play
all three and I think you go to and one
of the best. That's what I got, Jim.
Speaker 3: I agree, Gino to throw a pick was one that
I had. I think it's comical that Sanders to throw
a pick is uh longer of a price than the
Gino because.
Speaker 2: Just this deception parlay, I'm gonna I'm.
Speaker 1: Go, yes, yes, yes.
Speaker 2: What they are both.
Speaker 3: That number is too low for Sanders. And I'll look
at Harold's Fan because he's pretty much their only option.
I don't think that's going to be able to get
the ball to Judy consistently. Also, in that game last week,
there was two drops by Fan on those drives for Sanders,
so he was able to put the ball on Fan
and and get him the ball. It just happened to
equate to drop. So this number at twenty nine and
a half is just way too low. If we think
Sanders is going to go over one fifty eight, and
again the ugliest prop of the week that hit our
boy Tyler Lockett.
Speaker 1: Can't hit him.
Speaker 3: Who's going to be winning this game? We agree that
the Raiders have no business being favored Cleveland stellar defense.
Gino throws a pick could be a pick six. I
think the Raiders are going to be down. So if
that's the case, he's going to have to rely on somebody.
You don't think the Browns from the best. They're going
to take away Bowers, of course they are, So who
else is catching the ball? I think you go to
the guy who's comfortable with. Nineteen and a half is
lower than it was last week for some reason, and
that makes no sense. This is a criminally low number.
Speaker 1: It if we're playing Dallas now, they're playing.
Speaker 3: Thirty three last week with the amount of targets he
had just makes no sense to me. They're not taking
into account garbage time and Gino just trying to get
rid of the ball before he gets killed. He's looking
for Lockett in those situations. One last one, Max Crosby.
Max Crosby is going to get to Shador Sanders. Everybody
thinks that Shadoor is this mobile quarterback who can run,
and to be honest with you, he's not that fast.
He's really not. And he's gonna think he can get
out of jams that he can't get out of. In
the NFL, we see this with all rookie quarterbacks. Mass
Crosby should have a field day against Shadoor Sanders in
this game.
Speaker 1: Corbyn, what's the parlay plus two twenty both of these
guys to throw one interception? You all right? I'm in.
Speaker 3: I'll place on a lot of bets on this show today.
Speaker 2: Jim's just sat that one was firing under the table,
like place bet, place bet, place.
Speaker 1: Path Michael Mayer over two and a half receptions. We
talked about it last week. The guy just keeps catching
three passes exactly. I like it would almost be funny
if they if you could find a prop three exactly,
not two, not four, just three exactly. He's the one
where guys are covered up a little dump off. Oh
there's a little planned you know, throw to the outside.
I want to go back to this passing yards here guys.
This has been one of my favorite like like trends,
and I'm glad that you guys are finally get on board.
Is when you take the ugly. Nobody wants to bet
on this guy to go over, so the books put
it at a laughable number like this is so up
my alley to take Shade over one hundred and fifty
eight and a half, Like you said, for a full
week of practice. It's the Raiders. I'm gonna go down
here to the So they're thirty first, and yeah, they're
thirty first in interceptions twenty second, pass completions, twenty second
longest pass, twenty second, receptions, twenty second longest reception nineteenth,
in defending passing touchdowns like yards after catch nineteenth, like
passing yard seventeenth, pass tense seventeenth. You threw him in
against Baltimore. They threw him in against Baltimore. Who Baltimore
is it? You know? In this push for a playoff spot,
they're playing the raid. The Raiders had their team kneel
down and then they kneeled down at the end, just
giving up, not even trying with a couple of minutes
last week. So all right, we move on to the
Eagles in at the Cowboy. Great game. What a great
game here, Jim, coming to you first, What do you
make of this game?
Speaker 3: Uh, Dallas is running into a buzz saw here in
this game. This Philly defense has woken up. This Philly
team seems to have woken up. We're starting to see
aj Brown sightings. I think Dak's in trouble here. We
also have Dak a late addition to the your report,
and we've seen that when Dak is banged up, he
doesn't have the same mental decision making. I'm not knocking
the guy, but this pass rush for Philadelphia is gonna
be able to get to him and make his life
a nightmare. I would be looking at Dak interceptions. I
think he's gonna toss one up possibly too to this team.
I expect them to be down the big hubbub about
I was dying on the broadcast. But like, oh, Quincy
Williams this uh or Quinn Williams, there's one, there's two
that's that's changed this defense. I'm not buying it with
this Dallas defense one bit. You can't tell me that
Wilson and Williams change the culture of this defense. There's
still a sieve and they're gonna prove it. Is this
Sakue Barkley game. Is this where gets right in a dome?
I mean, it's gotta come at some point again, but
this every time wasn't against the Dallas defense.
Speaker 1: We're waiting for it.
Speaker 3: You know, it's just like, when are we going to
see it here? When are we going to see it? Now?
Respectable number? It's not his total, but maybe Saquan anytime touchdown,
maybe that's the way you go with it. I think
I'll have ample opportunity to break a big one against
this defense.
Speaker 1: Uh can I do my impression of the announcers last
week with Quinn and Williams and Gino takes a snap,
he's holding the ball, he's holding the ball. He's still
holding the ball. He's holding the ball. He's still holding
the ball, and he gets sacked by Quinn and Williams
and Collinsworth. Oh, Mike, Quinn and Williams is just rejuvenated
this defensive line. I mean, look at the pressure he
got on Gino and they're like, Gino didn't have a chance.
It was so hilarious that fawning over in sacking Gino.
Smith said they're holding the ball for a mile or
Corbin coming to you, Jena huts.
Speaker 2: Not an interception again, tad juicy, but Parlay it was something.
This is when I've got away from the last couple
of weeks. I'm not entirely sure why, and I heavily
regret it. Just get back on the train. Didn't throw
one in the heads head earlier this year. The only
time he did was against that Giants in that weird
game right right at the end. It was a really
weird interception. Cowboys only have five interceptions on the year. Again,
Eagle's probably going to be up, probably going to be
trying to be running the bull. Who knows how many
times Gen is actually going to throw it. So that's
what I'm looking.
Speaker 1: At, because the reason we got away from at Corbyn
was the juice. We got nervous about the juice and
then listens the juice is. I know, it's like, yeah,
you don't want to tell people play something at minus
one ninety and then you look at it and you go,
I mean, look at this ninety. So I was looking
at Jimmy mentioned did Dak where is his rushing props? Uh? Yeah,
I don't late injury report is not rushing. He went
over his rush attempts because of Neil downs, like like
strictly because of Neil downs. And we even talked about
that last last week. Rushing yards under eleven and a half.
He's not taken off, not against this defense.
Speaker 2: What's his injury? You guys said you read that it's
a shoulder.
Speaker 1: I believe, Okay, he's one of those guys though, where
like when he's injured, it's just throw it away, don't
take any unnecessary hits, run out of bounds, like just
you know, playing it safe, which I think is the
right thing to do. I always thinking when guy, you know,
I know it's tough when guys play through injury, but
you're the quarterback like they kind of need you, so
don't take any unnecessary chances.
Speaker 3: So Hip, actually excuse me? Hip.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna say I thought it was lower.
I thought it was lower body shoulder could have popped up.
All right, guys, buckle up. We have Kirk Cousins against
the Saints, and the Saints are favored. I have no
this is this falls under Jim and I. When we
did the UFC video Corbyn, we use the phrase NFO.
No freaking opinion. I have no freaking opinion on this game,
because this one I have no idea what to make
of this one. Corby, do you have anything?
Speaker 2: I have one player that I want to tell you.
It's a player that you have mentioned a few times
on the show, Mooney unders Where have they pulled these
numbers from?
Speaker 1: They?
Speaker 2: You can tell me Drake they have reflated his numbers
too much. I love his under four and a half receptions.
I don't see how he gets to that number personally.
And we knock on the Saints, but they're actually the
eighth best team versus the past stats wise. Now are
they actually because of how many passes they faced him?
I don't actually have them eight, but I don't have
them as the horrendous, like bottom five kind of a venue.
I just like, where does he get four and a
half receptions? Where does he get forty five and a
half yards? I think you can take evil or and
be quite happy.
Speaker 1: I think I'm dar't know. Mooney's been in and I
mean's just been a disaster. I feel bad for him.
He's just been hurt the entire year, just can't get healthy.
And now Drake London's out and he has his chance
to shine, and now Kirk Cousins is throwing him the.
Speaker 2: Ball numbers that much. I just I don't see it, Jim.
Speaker 3: I want to say Bjeon Robinson, but I'm so sick
of losing money on the guy this season. I just
can't do it. It should be a Bijon day.
Speaker 2: Never trust the Falcon trust.
Speaker 3: You can't trust the damn Falcons. You can't. And like
you said, the Saints are playing better than what we
thought they were gonna be this year. We all had
the Saints predicted as the worst team in the league.
I don't think and was there any other team we
thought was gonna be worse than the Saints.
Speaker 1: Preseason we talked about the Browns, but we talked about
their defense not being very good. We had the Raiders
kind of pegged, but yeah, the Saints. The Saints were
pretty bad.
Speaker 3: But they they've all kicked their coverage on this one.
I think that they've done actually respectable. You know, yeah,
just ugly game. Just pass on this game. Let it
be just just for the record.
Speaker 2: They're two and eight, so yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1: But I don't, Jim, I know what you mean. They're
playing hard that like they there's something there the cap
hell that they're in. I'm with you, I sneakily. I
almost wanted to take Beijon under his rushing yards just
because Kirk Cousins isn't scaring anybody, and they're like, okay, no,
Drake London, we're gonna like what We're gonna let you
hand the ball off to Bejon forty times and let
him run for two hundred yards in a way stack
the box. I think, I think Bijon under is really sneaky,
but I'm not betting it. So all right, we move
on last game while we're breaking down bucks in the Rams.
What a great game this is. Guys, please hit the
like button, leave us a comment below. It really helps
the algorithm out. Tell us what your best bet is.
Tell if you agree, disagree. Tell me how much money
you made off of Michael Wilson last week? Uh and
and there's only one answer, not enough. That's the only
that's the only answer to how much money you made
off of Michael Wilson is not enough. So all right,
we're gonna do Buccaneers at the Rams. What my god,
a great primetime game been waiting all day for Sunday night, Corbyn,
what do you think of Buccaneers and Rams.
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be an absolute pass best on
both sides of the ball. I love Stafford over this week.
I like him to have two plus passing touchdowns. It's
a parlay piece. I think his normal lines two and
a half. Again, I would consider sprinkling that just because
I think it's going to be. I quite like like
the Bucks rush defense, particularly when they have Vida Veil.
We mentioned it before. I think he's going I think
him to throw two past some touchdowns is a great
parlay piece. He struggled against the Hawks last week and
he still had two and he went and over two
hundred and sixty seven and a half passing yards as well,
and just it just it feels like the perfect spot
for Stafford to have a big game. Other than Stafford,
I quite like Ca do and again went under last week.
Just got to come back to it. As painful losses
are and trying to come back to them, even when
they lose thirty six and a half thirty seven and
a half five of the last six. Again, I'm expecting
them to be down. I think Baker's going to be
throw the ball, and I think a good option.
Speaker 1: Jim.
Speaker 3: This Rams the defense does not get talked about enough
in this league. They are young, they are fast, they
are opportunistic, and they are aggressive. So you've heard me
for weeks talk about Baker two touchdowns, Baker two touchdowns,
Baker two touchdowns. I'm actually not on it this week.
I'm gonna flip. I'm gonna go Baker to throw an interception.
Oh yeah, we're gonna flip on Baker this week, coming
off a game where he did throw them one. I
know he hasn't thrown a lot, but there's something about
the Bucks offense that just I think the losses of
everybody that they've had to deal with is finally catching
up to this team. And it's way less of an
explosive offense. It's more of a dink and dunk down
the field, try to convert third and short offense. So
they've lost their big playability and his Rams defense is
freaking legit, man. Their pass rush is fantastic, the linebackers
play great, the secondary plays well, and I would be
remiss if I didn't talk about Kyrien Williams any time.
Touchdown again. I know the passing touchdowns are there for Stafford.
Speaker 1: But.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll take it. Yeah, you don't care how you
get him in punt return, kick return, don't care wildcat quarterback.
The guy just gets in the end zone. We think
that the Rams are going to score points. We believe
they are. I get Corbyn saying about the rushing defense,
but it's tyrone at the goal line and in the
root zone, just what they do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was looking at Baker kind of under his
pass completions like he does. Like look at the teams
that he goes over against New England when we talk
about New England really great rush defense, not great pass
Detroit at Detroit, shootout at Seattle was kind of an anomaly.
But at Houston, you know he when he's you go under,
when you know at Buffalo when they run the ball
a lot, at New Orleans when they run the ball
a lot. So this is a Rams defense that's really good.
I'm wondering about Baker on his past completions and then
on the receiving yards. It's twenty twenty five and I'm
betting overs on Sterling Shepherd, but I can't ignore fifty
four yards in his last game against Buffalo. You said,
Jim covers kind of bare from the white for Tampa.
It's a great defense. So who who do? What do
great defenses do? They try and take away the big players,
and I think Sterling Shepherd could find some holes in
the defense. I mean, listen, numbers don't lie here. He's
only gone under three of these games. So I just
some of these guys that we were betting on. I mean,
if you told me at the beginning of Oh, You're
gonna be betting overs on Jacoby Brissett and Sterling Shepherd, no question.
Ty j Spears over absolutely.
Speaker 3: So Tyler Lockett.
Speaker 1: Lock it over. Absolutely.
Speaker 3: It's where the books are painted. Edge you two. These
lines are just wrong. That's what those bets are, the
wrong lines.
Speaker 1: It's beautiful. Oh come on, are they really putting out
lines on Chris Godwin? Stop it under? If you can
find an under on Chris Godwin, I'll happily take it.
I feel bad for that guy. So all right, that
is going to do it for the proper. Thank you
so much for watching guys again. Sunday, NFL pack is up.
Got a great start to the NFL week with a
nice winter. On Thursday, let's keep it going on Sunday again,
ten a m. Start for UFC. We got two best
bets that are up. NBA NHL props are up as well.
Thank you very much guys for watching like subscribe. Good
luck on your bets. We'll see every next week.
Speaker 2: Take care, good luck,