Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to Props and Parlays.
Speaker 2: Your host Andy being enjoyed as always by my fellow
prop betting expert Andrew McGinnis, will breaking down Chiefs in
the Jags.
Speaker 1: A lot of big name guys here.
Speaker 2: Some disappointments for fantasy football and for props so far
this year.
Speaker 1: We'll get into some of those.
Speaker 2: But ADRIW actually think this is a fairly beatable game.
I think there's a couple of premium props that I
really like and then some that I lean So I
think we can.
Speaker 1: I think we can dig up some pretty good ones. Here.
Speaker 3: Are you?
Speaker 1: How are you doing today?
Speaker 4: Doing well?
Speaker 3: You know, Andy, I like looking at Monday night game
and like you said, we see some opportunities, so some
prop opportunities. I know, we do the show Mondays and
it's the last game of the week. People are excited.
But as people have seen with you and I, some
weeks we just don't have a lot. And you know,
this is one of those weeks where it was a
handful I like, and then that's about it. You know,
I don't really have many leans and like this and
that it's mostly like these are the plays I like,
and that's what I've decided on.
Speaker 4: But it is kind of interesting.
Speaker 3: I will say it's it's definitely funny to live in
a world where people are just bashing on the Chiefs.
Like I was talking with a friend over the weekend.
People love to like bash on greatness and anything like.
It was a guy that loves soccer. He was kind
of educating me on epl and stuff, and I was like, well,
the same thing as Lebron James. People don't like him
because he's great. Well, look at the Chiefs right now, Like,
do you think there's value on some of these chief props.
Speaker 4: In general because of like how low people are on
them right now?
Speaker 2: Overall, Yes, there's one in particular that I think they
think they're getting disrespected on. And I mean, look, look,
look what happened. This guy is falling on the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: And if they win tonight, what are they tied for
the lead in the division With the Chargers losing, It's
just like yeah, here we go.
Speaker 2: Oh and they're gonna get Rashid Rice back, and like
I've said, they're gonna end up with probably the best
receiving corps at.
Speaker 1: The end of the season.
Speaker 2: Them and the Bucks are gonna are gonna have the
two best wide receiving corps. So well, let's let's get
into some of these props here, and let's start with
the passing props. Here, two quarterbacks, Trevor Lawrence and Patrick Mahomes.
I'm I'm a little bummed because the books have caught
onto that Trevor Lawrence just doesn't throw two touchdown passes
in a game, and so under one and a half
touchdown passes, unfortunately is like minus one sixty in the markets.
But this is a play that's three and one. This year,
taking the under one and a half, the Chiefs have
only given up four touchdown passes. So I don't know
if you want to use that as a parlay, if
you just want to lay the juice, but I'm in
on Trevor Lawrence to not throw two touchdown passes. He
did the same stuff last year. You know, he was
injured in some of these games, but that prop went
six and four in the ten games that he played.
So I still think you can look at Lawrence and
under one and a half passing touchdowns if we want
to all wind it up and take them under two
and a half and put that in the same game
parlay or anything like that.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be upset. What do you like in the
passing props?
Speaker 3: One that suck out to me was just the Patrick
Mahomes over the thirty six and a half passing attempts.
You know, with Mahomes over the years, he did have
a handful of running backs that you know, the game
plan would create them to have very, very dragged out
in long possessions. These days with this Chiefs team, if
they do have those long possessions, it's just due to
short passes, you know, It's it's due to long drives
because they're not having those explosive deep balls.
Speaker 4: But we saw what happened with a Pacheco last.
Speaker 3: Week, and you know, a handful of carries and I
think thirty plus yards, not much going on there in
the running game which will force him to continue to
throw the ball. He's there past this number in three
or four games, and I think that you know whether
or not they're they're leading by a ton, or it's
a close game or not, I feel like this number
is certainly manageable, Andy, and just based on the game
plan that we've seen. Talk about the receivers and how
you expect them to have, you know, one of the
best in the game here soon.
Speaker 4: I think that'll take time.
Speaker 3: I think that's down the road and maybe that's where
the attempts go under because they're actually having some game
breaking plays. But as for now, we're kind of seeing
the the slicing and dicing sharp plays from the Kansas
City Chiefs, which you kind of love if you're a
guy playing the attempts. So looking at how the run
backroom's been operating these days for the Chiefs, I'll take
the over on Mahomes attempts.
Speaker 1: I'm with you.
Speaker 2: You don't normally I don't normally say, oh, you're getting
a lot of value on Mahomes props.
Speaker 1: I think you are. I'm with you one hundred percent
on this one. I'll also throw at you. It's basic.
But over two what is it?
Speaker 2: Two forty eight and a half passing worthy comes back
for the Chiefs all a sudden, Mahomes goes for a season.
Speaker 1: High two hundred and seventy yards.
Speaker 2: Jagsy have a decent pass defense, but they really haven't
played a great quarterback. They gave up three hundred and
nine to Purty last week, so I was really surprised
you don't see. You don't see low numbers on big
name quarterbacks. Normally you're paying a premium for them to
go over. I'll also throw him to not have an
interception minus one thirteen basically a pick them. And he's
only had one interception this year. Remember when he just
kept throwing all these interceptions because receivers kept dropping them
and he just kept bouncing off hands.
Speaker 1: It was like this not his FA interception. Yes, guy's
got ten interception in nine games. Not happening this year.
So I'm with you.
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, I think is very attackable, and like you mentioned,
the running backs are gonna get to those here in
a bit. They've been very, very disappointing. They're not getting
much going and with worthy back it just has opened
up everything. So yeah, Andrew and I are in on
Patrick Mahomes tonight. Let's move to the receivers that will
be catching passes. I drafted this man in the second
round of my fantasy league that I'm with all my
college buddies, and it's the worst fantasy football team I
have ever had in my entire life. Andrew, I'm talking
about Brian Thomas. Just this guy's a fade under fifty
six and a half. He's not going over this yet.
This season, Chiefs are ninth best defending wide receivers, and
it's just not happening.
Speaker 1: There's I don't know what is if he's not.
Speaker 2: Getting along with the coaching staff, he's not getting along
with the quarterback. It's just been a disaster. So Brian
Thomas is a fade until we see it, which is
too bad because he's as skilled as it gets. We've
seen it. It just it's it's not coming together for him.
What do you like for receiving props?
Speaker 3: You know, it's it's it's something that we can't help
ourselves but bring up, which is fantasy football. Andy, It's
hard not to when a player's kind of given you
a hard time. You know, Here's what I wanted to
bring up, and and this is kind of look, I
don't have a lot of the receiving game I like
just honestly the big name guys. But what I wanted
to bring up here was how much we've seen the
running game be so uneventful for the Chiefs that do
we start to look towards some of their running backs
as just pass catchers, like something tells me that it
could be a good idea to explore the Isaiah Isaiah
Pacheco over one and a half receptions. If I'm gonna
sit here and tell you over thirty six and a
half past attempts for Patrick Mahomes, and we did see
one reception last week. Okay, out a checko. But if
we're seeing this running game be completely inexistent at this point,
do we look towards the absolute by low at one
and a half or do we just wait until the
next segment and say, hey, maybe that running number is
pretty low. But the way I look at it is this,
if he's not running the ball very well, maybe they say,
let's just start using this guy as a pass catcher,
you know, a couple short passes, a couple dump offs,
dink and dunk over one and a half. And I'll
make this very clear, this is most certainly a reception,
not yards play. And it's not because the yards is
a lot more and much to get. It's because he
could go negative. I mean, we're talking about just catch
the ball here, so I wouldn't talk anybody out of that.
But other than that, I think we might see kind
of going with the reliable ones like I like Travis Kelcey,
but I don't really like the receptions. I actually like
the yards here. We've actually been seeing him lately kind
of break out for that fifteen to twenty yarder each game,
and I think that if he can be that guy
for them, it's probably mean something's going on with the team.
They don't really need him being that guy anymore. But
maybe look at his longest reception or something like that.
But what do you think about kind of tie tying
and correlating together the over on pass attempts and then
maybe taking a look at some running backs to get involved.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, if you're having attempts, I like the
running backs. I like Xavier Worthy over four and a
half receptions. He's he's gonna play. They've come out and
said he's gonna play. They said it just you know,
his ankle swelled up on the Chief's flight to Jacksonville.
I mean, I think my ankle probably swells so on
a flight to Jacksonville. I wouldn't worry too much about him.
I think it's much ado about nothing. So he's added
to the injury report, but it looks like he's gonna play.
I Actually, you know, yesterday when I was doing notes
for the show, I have Travis Kelcey over three and
a half receptions, but that line has moved up to
four and a half, so it's kind of a stay away.
But yeah, you're right, Kelsey has been better than you know,
I think people expected.
Speaker 1: He's not the elite guy was, but he's been better.
Speaker 2: And the Jags give up five receptions per game to
tight ends, So the Jags pass defense is not as
good as the rush defense, and Patrick Malmes and Andy Reid
will surely take note. So yeah, if you like the attempts,
then yeah, you got to pick some guys who are
gonna catch the passes. So yeah, Kelsey worthy some of
these these running backs. Yeah, absolutely, I would.
Speaker 4: I would.
Speaker 1: I would take a look in that direction.
Speaker 2: Andrew, what do you have up today? It's Monday, We've
got a great Monday night football game. It's NHL season.
You gotta be chomping at the bit with NHL.
Speaker 1: Right around the corner. What do you have up for
everyone at wager talking?
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's funny, you know, like once hockey season's about
to be over, in the playoff time, I'm like, you
know what I'm done with it. I could use a
little bit of a break, and then one or two
months later I'm like, man, bring it back. So, guys,
I have a news show I'm actually launching tonight at
ten pm Eastern, which will run every single weekday. It's
called the pre Scout, looking at the next day, looking
at all the games, going over the car, taking questions
from the live chats. So you guys have us with
puck time at eleven am. We want the night crowd
at ten pmmes and you guys can join me with
that big futures pack out today in the NHL. Any
futures bet that I make pre flop preseason, you guys
will get in that one package. You can join me
with that, and looks like we'll just have one best
bet up as far as the prop market's concerned for
tonight's game. If I kind of do follow up to
anything else, you guys will get that. As far as
all access clients are concerned. And Andy, you're running super
hot in UFC. And I love when we're doing a
Monday show and you say you've got a UFC play
ready because that means you're locked and loaded. You've been
looking ahead here. We got a great deal as well,
the five hundred dollars off a year pass one and
twenty five dollars a month plus twenty five percent bonus coupon,
so if anybody wants to jump in long term as well,
and works great for someone like yourself. So many sports
you're doing, not one, not two, multiple different sports managing
bankrolls properly.
Speaker 4: What do you have going right now?
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're running great in UFC best bets. We hit
our five percent easily on Saturday, and we already have
one up for this week. These next two weeks are
really really great cards, very very excited. So five percent
best bet is up and we have our Monday Night
Football best bet that is up six and one in
primetime games this season, not undefeated when I'm almost there.
Speaker 1: Six on one we had.
Speaker 2: We had a great week. We're five and two this week.
I've said my goal for this year is fifty eight
to fifty nine percent range with NFL props. This weekend
did a great job getting us really close there, so
we're gonna cash to night. We cashed our bet last.
Speaker 1: Week on Monday Night Football.
Speaker 2: We hit both of our primetime props this week so
we're six and one in primetime. It's only fifteen bucks,
So you want to cash with us, go ahead and
jump on board. That's over WT Dot Buzz Slash al again.
Five and two this week so far on props, and
we're looking to get this one home for a really
really nice six and two week as well as.
Speaker 1: Our five percent UFC best bet.
Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about these running backs here, Andrew
I'll go first.
Speaker 1: I think they're too low.
Speaker 2: In Kareem Hunt on his rushing yards. I got twenty
seven and a half here. This guy's gotten thirty plus yards.
The last three games. They've been awful. They were really
doing nothing. But I think this is a slight overreaction.
I actually think this Jags team is way overrated. This
is not a great three to one record. The teams
they've beaten have not been that impressive. Looks like Kansas
City got back to their winning ways last week. They
look really good, albeit against a really bad team. I
think there's a chance that Kansas City is up in
the fourth quarter and they're running the clock and running
the ball. So I like Kareem Hunt over his twenty
seven and a half. I can't believe we're still playing
Kareem Hunt at this point, but listen, he's getting the
carries Pachecko.
Speaker 1: I don't know what happened.
Speaker 2: I don't know if he just hasn't recovered from that
leg injury last year, but he's not been effective. And
as long as kream Hunt's getting the ball and as
long as the Chiefs trust him, I will too.
Speaker 1: What do you like for rushing props?
Speaker 3: I love it, Andy, because there was a time and
a place when we were betting his number at like
eighty yards, and now it's like he's still has value
just that lower yards.
Speaker 4: So it's kind of it's kind of.
Speaker 3: Hey, no matter where you are, what you're doing, this
guy's bringing the value to us. Yeah, it's it's it's
kind of interesting because, like you said, you could try
and pick off a Kareem Hunt or even say, you
know what we're let's buy low on p check go like, man,
this number is low. But I'll tell you what this
with this Chiefs running team running game right now, I
would go hunt or nothing, but it seems to me
like it's just really not going well.
Speaker 4: I'll tell you what. I've got them ranked. What is it?
Speaker 3: Twenty second as far as the rushing yards allowed per game,
and we talk about undervalue potentially on the rushing running
backs for the Chiefs, maybe there could be a bit
overvalue here for Travis etn I mean, looking at sixty
five and a half, that numbers continues to can kind
of get hung around that number. But I like the
over and the biggest reason is just the carries, the usage,
how often he's getting put out there. And look, I
know I might not have the best track record of
bashing on quarterbacks because a guy named Drake may just
lit it up last night.
Speaker 4: Who's the guy I've given a hard time too, But.
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence hasn't really been a guy this season Andy
that they've wanted throwing the ball every single play, Let's
put it that way. And the games that they've had success,
they've still put up twenty five plus points. He doesn't
have a ton of yards, he doesn't have a ton
of attempts. He's just very consistent, playing smarter. So that
leads to the running game being active. So this to
me is one of those ones. Take the RB one
and take the over. I think he has a good
game tonight.
Speaker 1: We're gonna go over.
Speaker 2: So many time touchdown props and we're gonna build our
same game parlay. We haven't hit the long shot yet,
but we're going to. We just need to hit one
of them this season, and then we're gonna do a
look ahead to next week. Let's take a look at
some of these anytime touchdowns here, Adrew. I'll go first,
Jags have only allowed one rushing touchdown, but seven passing.
That leads me to these plus money plays on guys
like Travis Kelcey and Marquise Brown. Kelsey's plus one eighty
Marquise Brown plus two fifty five again eighty Reid Patrick
Mahomes are gonna notice things like this where they're they're
the Jags just are not allowing rushing touchdowns, so that
comes through the air. Think if you're looking at the
Chiefs and you're expecting them to score, you know, three
maybe four touchdowns tonight, I think you look at the
receivers and the tight ends.
Speaker 3: What do you think, yep, tight ends one hundred percent.
I'd look towards that. I don't want to go against
it what you said, but I do think it's funny
just because how much we've been bashing on the running backs.
I think we it would be hilarious to see Kareem
Hunt get in, like to see both running backs just
have like abysmal games and then just see a goal
line play where they and like you said, with the Chiefs,
they pretty much have to be like on the goal
line to be willing to run the ball, and.
Speaker 4: Especially against this team.
Speaker 3: But I actually do see some value there on the
plus one ninety price tag there. This is my quote
unquote long shot of the day here plus two ninety
five travel Hunter to get into the end zone.
Speaker 4: Andy, what do you think.
Speaker 2: They got to do something with him? I mean, at
some point you to, hey, we traded everything for him.
And meanwhile, Abuka for the Bucks is just torching the league.
He's a top fifteen you know, he's a He's a
top fifteen wide receiver. Meanwhile, Travis Hunter, let me pull
up Travis Hunter's stats here and see exactly what they're
using him for.
Speaker 3: But it's not as much like you hit it on
the head though. It's not as much what he's doing poorly.
He's just not being used.
Speaker 1: By using it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, three one, three and six catches doesn't his
his longest, his longest or his most yards is forty
two yards it was last week.
Speaker 1: He doesn't have a touchdown. Yeah, they're gonna have to.
Speaker 2: Design some plays to get him in the end zone.
So and maybe that's when you just start playing every week,
just say they're gonna run some plays to try and
get him in space.
Speaker 3: And I bet you can get plus three hundred at
one book for sure. I see plus ninety five where
I am.
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, absolutely, yeah.
Speaker 2: I wanted to take etn but the books are way
out in front of that. It's basically even money, and
I don't want to I don't want to lay.
Speaker 1: That kind of price.
Speaker 2: Tonight's that's a good with Kelsey up to plus one
ninety on draftings, Marquis Brown plus one ninety.
Speaker 1: So I think those would be the places that I
would look here.
Speaker 2: So let's see, let's build a same game. Parlay here
had a nice cash for clients. I cashed the over
half an NFL announcer to attack an uber each driver
in my home city of Indianapolis.
Speaker 1: That was fun.
Speaker 4: Whoa U.
Speaker 1: Yike, I'm just saying, just saying.
Speaker 2: It was a small sprinkle and cash the over all right,
all right, let's do it.
Speaker 1: Sorry, uh, it's a big story around here. It happened
just like.
Speaker 3: No, no, And you know what, everybody always takes the
everybody always takes the side of the celebrity until you
see the the the notification on your phone.
Speaker 4: He is arrested. He was the one that was started
things out.
Speaker 3: It's like, okay, okay, maybe we don't always take the
side of the guy that's famous.
Speaker 4: Maybe that's the right idea.
Speaker 3: We can't always the other guy can't really make his
case for himself.
Speaker 1: Well around here, it was like, well, you know, downtown's
getting dangerous. You know, you gotta watch out.
Speaker 2: Then it's like, oh no, actually, Downtown's perfectly fine unless
Mark Sanchez is walking around black out. All right, let's
do a same game parlay. We each pick two legs.
I'll go first. I mentioned him, Andrew. I'm going uh,
I'm going Travis Kelsey anytime touchdown plus one ninety. I
just can't ignore that seven passing touchdowns in one rushing
touchdown allowed by Jacksonville, so primetime game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, give me Kelsey to get in there. Plus one ninety.
All right, what's your what's your what's your leg?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 3: You're sorry about that. I just lost, just lost you
for a second there. I'm gonna go with the thirty
six plus passing attempts. I like that one a lot.
It's one of my best plays of the day. It's
a free play of the day. I'm gonna rock with
that for Patrick Mahomes. Thirty six plus passing attempts.
Speaker 1: Thirty six plus passing attempts.
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get some defense involved here, Andrew, give me
carl Laftis to have a sack.
Speaker 1: It's plus one thirty six. This guy is a.
Speaker 2: Sack in three out of four games. He's the most
athletic guy that's on that defensive line. He's been getting
the most pressure, and if anyone's gonna get a sack,
I think it's gonna be car Laftis. So can't ignore
that three out of four games.
Speaker 1: Lawrence is mobile. He can move around.
Speaker 2: And the fun thing about sacks is if a quarterback
runs out of bounds behind the line of scrimmage, the
nearest defender.
Speaker 1: Gets credited with a sack.
Speaker 2: So you have that little thing going for you there.
So all right, car Laftis to have a sack. That
gets us to nine to one. What's your last leg here?
We're gonna get a really juicy one.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I feel like I've only really been taken overs with
these since we started. I'm gonna give you an under
on receiving yards. Travis e under on his receiving yards.
Let me know what you number you're gonna be able
to get me, Andy, I see like thirteen and a half,
twelve and a half, thirteen and a half. Look, if
I'm so high on him continuing to get those carries,
if they're feeding him the ball in the ground game,
we've seen you know, they have countless options to pass
the ball to. He has not really been that guy
this season, at least not in his last two games,
and as a pass catcher role. And if he does,
it's a bailout. It's just to avoid getting sacked. It's
a quick catch. They're not gaining any forward progress. So
maybe we'll try and mix the juju up here a
little bit. Andy, I'm throwing it in an under on
the same game, parlay. Travis etn not to do much
here in the receiving game today.
Speaker 1: It's a good one gets us a seventeen to one.
Speaker 2: So we got Travis Kelsey anytime touchdown score Patrick Mahomes
thirty six plus attempts, one plus sack for George Carlaftis
and under twelve and a half receiving yards for Travis etn.
Speaker 1: There is seventeen to one, seventeen to one, baby, let's go.
Let's go. We hit this for free roll in the
rest of the season. So we're gonna do Look Aheads.
Speaker 2: This is the most important part of the show that
we do to get ready for next week.
Speaker 1: We're gonna do that. Guys.
Speaker 2: Please hit the like button really helps the algorithm out.
Put a prop down in the comments section.
Speaker 1: Let us know what you like tonight.
Speaker 2: Give me a long shot, parlay me one of your
favorite props that you like for tonight. Always love reading
these comments and seeing what you guys are on. But again,
hit the like button. If you haven't subscribed to the
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Speaker 1: To help you get ready for your bets.
Speaker 2: All right, let's take a look at the look Aheads
here and we.
Speaker 1: Go to Thursday Night Football and I believe.
Speaker 2: I believe it's Dan's Eagles on Thursday Night Football. It's
gonna be. Yeah, the Eagles and the Eagles at the Giants.
Dan's team coming off of a loss that I told
and I actually think they needed to lose that game,
and they need they needed to I need some yeah,
a little wake up call something to rebound. And now
they go to the Giants who looked pretty bad. So
in that game, I'm going right back to Jalen Hurts
anytime touchdown.
Speaker 1: Barkley under I hate to say it, Saquon Barkley is
not looking very good this year.
Speaker 3: Andrew, Yeah, I was gonna say it is. Could this
could be a get right game?
Speaker 4: You know?
Speaker 3: This could be one of those I've I've I've said
it before on the show. I noticed that in games
where the points spread is like a touchdown or higher,
I noticed the running game just completely goes off for
the Eagles and we see Jalen Hurts and not need
to throw the ball very much. In games that are
closer to a pick is when Jalen Hurts has to
actually be a quarterback. So maybe this is an opportunity
for them to feed the ground game to get Barkley
back going again. Do you think that I look maybe
towards hurts rushing yards then and you're if you're not
feeling it with the Barkley number. I've just noticed over
a lot of games, and this isn't really a small
sample that when the Eagles are decent sized favorites, it
seems like, you know, the numbers. I understand they would
be inflated due to the spread for the running game,
but I feel like they seem to always do really
well on the ground. So but if you go on
the headlines, like I was searching the prepping for this show,
look look at the headlines. Dan, I don't know if
you can pop on here right now, but the headlines
are insane, Like they're actually like Barkley is done.
Speaker 4: This guy was unbelievable.
Speaker 3: Like the headlines I saw on all these articles, I
am like, what is going I was like, did like
something happened with Sigmon Barkley?
Speaker 4: Is he okay? Is he something going on? Like calling
for him to retire? Yeah? Like everybody.
Speaker 3: The way they were talking about him was nuts, Like
these articles should we be worse?
Speaker 1: Like he's like threeo point seven yards per carry?
Speaker 4: That's not good?
Speaker 2: Yeah, they got bigger fish to fry. Come on, this
is the super Bowler bus team.
Speaker 1: Why would you run this guy into the ground right now?
Offensive line injuries, Dan. This is why we love NFL overreactions.
I just love it.
Speaker 4: I mean, I said they were gonna lose the Broncos.
Speaker 1: I said they're gonna lose to the Giants. So we'll see.
Oh oh boy, oh boy. I don't know.
Speaker 2: I don't know if Philly, the Philly fan base could
take losing to the Giants.
Speaker 1: All right, Broncos and the Jets. This is over in London.
Speaker 2: I have happily stayed away from from any of these
overseas games. I'll do the same thing. I will tell
you this a rinse and repeat. Andrew is justin fields
to not throw an interception. He doesn't throw the ball
a ton, and when he misses, he misses high or
very low.
Speaker 1: He just doesn't throw a lot of hospital balls.
Speaker 2: That being said, I had him over one and a
half touchdown passes and under interceptions yesterday, and we get
there in the garbage, just garbageist way possible complete blowout.
Speaker 1: He gets two touchdowns late.
Speaker 2: I probably will not be playing justin fields props probably
nothing in this game for me.
Speaker 1: I don't like these overseas games. What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't like the overseas games as well. I
also don't like it when they're boring. I prefer to
like wake up and watch a high scoring game. The
Jets continue to kind of struggle against the run. They're
very similar to where I was about talking about the Chiefs.
I think they're next to them either one notch higher
one notch lower. So maybe look towards some rushing props
if you're looking at the Denver Broncos. But that's all
I've gotten now. I think it could be good, though.
What's the number here I have?
Speaker 1: That's a great look.
Speaker 2: Andrew Dobbins is five point two yards per carry.
Speaker 1: It's a great look against that.
Speaker 3: Yet's twenty seventh in the league rushing gyards per game allowed.
Speaker 2: It's actually better than I thought they would. Be Cardinals
and the Colts. I will go right back to Daniel
Jones over his passing. He somehow, I don't know how
he didn't go over, but he missed his over by
like fifteen yards. But Andrew, they had a blocked punt
where they got the ball on like the five yard line,
so it basically took away a scoring drive, and then
they were up so big they yanked him in the fourth,
So not even playing the full game and having a
drive that started on the other team's five, he almost
gets there.
Speaker 1: This sets up for a really nice Daniel Jones over.
Speaker 3: What do you think I got a guy dropping a
ball an inch before scoring a touchdown at minus two.
Speaker 4: Hundred, I got nothing in this game, Andy, all Right?
Speaker 2: Cleveland and Pittsburgh, Boy, this is as ugly as it gets.
If Jalen Warren, If Jalen Warren is healthy and playing, I'll.
Speaker 1: Take his over receiving.
Speaker 2: I think he slides back into that role than that
looks like they looks like Gabriel really likes Njoku. He
threw a lot to in Joku, so probably another big
game for him and he takes on this game.
Speaker 3: That's what I was gonna say. I had I had
in Djoku. The first two weeks of the season went
one and one with the props. Haven't gone back to
him since. But he seems to be like that guy
that nobody really wants to make a big play with,
but everybody feels comfortable with. So it would be a
receptions not yards for me with him. I think that
he can get get what was it, Yeah, six receptions,
so look towards him most likely. And I don't want
to put any jinks out on it on this andy.
And I've never usually bet these as I know, as
you know. But the Gabriel to not throw an interception?
Speaker 4: Is it just me?
Speaker 3: Or were they like super super safe with him yesterday?
Speaker 4: Like I didn't.
Speaker 2: I gotta tell you it was a brilliant game plan.
Yeah from them, there was hand the ball off a
million times. Don't let your quarterback throw dangerous passes. Yeah,
I'm with you one.
Speaker 3: Hundred, you know, And you want the young guy to
throw an interception, people are going to be down on him.
Maybe maybe he starts off a couple of games in
a row of keeping the ball safe.
Speaker 1: The Rams and the Ravens.
Speaker 2: This poor Ravens team cannot get anything going, but they
can sure give up a lot. I'm going back to
Matthew Stafford over one and a half touchdown passes. Matthew
Stafford to not throw an interception. I think you can
play Kiren Williams. I think you could play Blake Koram.
I mean, this Ravens team is bad on defense.
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I would look towards actually Stafford under
on his yards just because I think he's not gonna
need a lot. I think the running game is going
to be utilized quite a bit here this Ravens team.
We do know what they're capable of as far as
their rushing defense is concerned, but that was a team
that was capable of that when you know they were
playing well, they're putting out points themselves and they had
you know, long drives and holding on a possession. If
they if they allow their opponent to drive down the
field consistently, they're going to give up yards as well.
So yeah, it's a tough tough time a year right
now to be a Ravens fan. And I hate the
shout out Aariel Epstein, but it's tough time to be
a Ravens and Yankees fan right now.
Speaker 4: So sorry Ariel, but tough time.
Speaker 1: She's going through it. She's going through it.
Speaker 2: Her do you feed her social media feed is a
lot of rage.
Speaker 1: Let's move to the Seahawks and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Holy Cow.
Speaker 2: Jackson Smith and Jigbu continues to be Fantasy football.
Speaker 1: Darling continues to be props Darling.
Speaker 2: We'll see what happens with Jacksonville tonight, but uh, Donald
to throw an interception.
Speaker 1: Also, can you can you can you get a better.
Speaker 2: Price for Donald to throw an interception at the worst
possible time. I feel like there's interceptions and then there's
Darnald interceptions when it's just like a backbreaking, like horribly
timed interception. So I would take that, But I gotta
wait and see what happens with Jacksonville tonight and he
takes on Seattle.
Speaker 3: Uh, I think for Seattle. I'm trying to just go
over some numbers right now. Looking don't want to say
the wrong thing, but yeah, like see this is insane here, Andy,
Like even in a game with four passing touchdowns thirty
five points, the complete was only at twenty eight and
a half for Sam Darnold. So right now they ranked
the Seattle ranks whereas it t year twenty sixth in
the league in pass completions per game. That's been why
they've been kind of what they have been this season
is that they've had a really really good balance. Right now,
they're not completing a ton of passes, they're not throwing
the ball at the time. They've got a really good
balance of the passing and the run game. So in
this matchup, I'd probably look towards unders in the passing game.
And you know, if you can put up that many
points and still on the complete like twenty six twenty
seven passes, I'm not really convinced that you need to
throw the ball that much.
Speaker 2: Go to the Cowboys and the Panthers. I don't believe
for a second that the Cowboys defense is fixed. I
just keep fading this Dallas defense and I will take
Carolinas Bryce Young to throw over one and a half
touchdown passes we cashed on justin fields. Granted it was
in complete garbage time, but I'm going.
Speaker 1: To stick to it.
Speaker 2: That play was plus one fifty on the Dallas Cowboys
opposing quarterback to throw, so I would go to him.
Gotta wait and see what happens with the running back
situation with Caroline. Obviously, Reco Dowdell was amazing yesterday. Maybe
Chuba Hubbard plays and I believe Dowell got a little
banged up in that game, so gotta wait and see
what happened there. I have no idea what to make
of that wide receiver for Dallas that went ballistic yesterday.
Speaker 1: Out of absolutely nowhere. I literally never heard of the guy.
But I don't know.
Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with Dallas besides Javonte
Williams overs, What do you think.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take over? On field goals in this game?
Cowboys kicking a ton of field goals Carolina. They start
to look good for a drive, then they get stalled
hat to kick a.
Speaker 4: Field goal over one and a half field goals.
Speaker 3: In general for the Dallas Cowboys, Brandon Aubery has been
a good parlay leg. Like you're getting like minus two
hundred range with this prop now, so it might not
be worth the first single back for some of you
out there, but yeah, I think we'll get over three
and a half field goals. Your book should offer that.
As far as the game props is concerned, A great
that's a great one.
Speaker 2: The Chargers and the Dolphins a couple teams I really
don't know what to make out of. I mean, this
is a Dolphins team that just blew it to the Panthers.
Speaker 1: But I will say this two is thwe for touchdowns.
Speaker 2: Man, he threw for three of them, and his Chargers
team offensive line is struggling to sustain drives here. I
would take two over his touchdowns. And as far as
the Chargers go, Man Herbert.
Speaker 1: Is just not.
Speaker 2: When you have that many injuries on the offensive line,
sometimes there's just nothing you can do. So I'm struggling
to take any props on the Chargers right now, but
songs two is healthy.
Speaker 1: I'll take his over touchdowns. What about you?
Speaker 3: Yesterday is frustrating because don't we all wish we just
had Wattle props? It wouldn't have been nice and easy
if Wattle. Yeah, I feel like everybody, like all the
people that just wake up and like lock their props
in a minute before the games, like, oh, Waller is
definitely gonna are Wattle is definitely gonna have a day.
And you know, of course he ends up doing that.
So you know what that means, Andy, we look towards
the under in this one.
Speaker 4: That's what you do.
Speaker 3: Uh you know it's it's it's kind of like the
first game with a fresh quarterback. You know, you want
to back them, and then they have a win shut
out to Jackson Dart. Then the next week they lose.
This is probably what we're gonna look towards. You know, hey,
you know what, No Hill, we need Wattle to step up. Okay,
team's game plan. Wattle's gonna be their guy. He's gonna
get a ton of receptions.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: The whole Waller thing though, that was kind of shocking
for me. I think Devon h Change just starts becoming
part of the other receiving game even more than he
already was. And he's a guy looked towards as far
as receptions and not yards. He's he's gonna be taking
a lot of passes. And maybe they'll they'll start being
more of a slice and dice team. Maybe this Miami
Dolphins team, and and it only took like a year
and a half for them to figure this out. Maybe
they aren't that same explosive team they once were that
can get up the field score a touchdown in three plays.
Speaker 4: Maybe they can't be that team anymore.
Speaker 2: Shout out to the running backs of Miami. Thirteen carries,
fourteen yards. Nice, nice, nice rushing attack there. Tua had one.
Tua had one rush for five yards. It was better,
better average than the running backs.
Speaker 1: All right, we move on to San Francisco and Tampa.
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield over one and a half touchdown passes continues
to be a gem. San Francisco. Their defense, you can
get after him. San Francisco is gonna be resta. We'll
see what happens with these injuries. I got to wait
and see it. But if Piersall comes back in the lineup,
I'll be taking Piersall. Whoever's a quarterback for San fran
I'll take them. Tampa's got one of the best rush
defenses in the league, but you can throw all over them.
So you're taking passing and receiving props against this Tampa thing.
Speaker 1: What's your take.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just gonna look towards Baker Mayfield completions. He's
throwing the ball a ton right now. You look at
the passing touchdowns of course, but yeah, whether it's a
highlight player, if it's a short pass, he's thrown the
ball a ton, So well, they'll probably hanging good number
there for us based on how this game is protected
to be a close game, and we'll see if he
keeps throwing.
Speaker 1: Moving on to.
Speaker 2: Wow Titans and the Raiders. I will have nothing on
this game.
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not betting this game, Andy, and it's
not because, oh you can't bet good games. It's me
being completely transparent. I haven't watched a wink of either
of these two teams this season.
Speaker 4: That's just the truth.
Speaker 2: I've had to watch the Titans because they're in the
Colts Division.
Speaker 1: I had to watch the Raiders because they played the Colts.
It's brutal, it's brutal. I will say this, this could
be a sneaky game that ends twenty eight.
Speaker 2: To twenty four, just because both defenses are bad and
they finally get stuff going.
Speaker 1: But I won't be betting it to find out.
Speaker 2: We move on to New England and New Orleans Saints team.
I'll give him that frisky twenty six points against the Giants. Okay,
Spencer Rattler, I see you throwing for a touchdown, no interceptions.
He did rush the ball six times. I think you
can go back to that. Is this the letdown spot
of all letdown spots for the Patriots? I mean, just
just screams that they lose to New Orleans a week
after beating the Bills.
Speaker 1: I guess.
Speaker 2: I guess if I'm looking at the Patriots, I have
no idea what to do with the rushing Gibson is
probably out.
Speaker 1: That was tough. To watch last night.
Speaker 2: But Trey Van Henderson gets six carries, Stevenson gets seven carries,
may He's got three. Do we believe Stefan Diggs's back
or was that just a revenge game?
Speaker 1: I don't know. I probably won't have much in this game.
Speaker 3: I mean, I'll say this, if people aren't betting Hunter
Henry longest reception already, you're missing out. And I know
that's not the most popular bet on the board. I
said it last week. He's a guy that's you'll see
two receptions forty five yards. I mean, this guy, when
he gets involved, he catches a good one. On the
other side of what you said there, is it a
letdown for the Patriots or is it a letdown for
the Saints?
Speaker 1: That's right.
Speaker 3: You say this yourself, Andy, this is your phrase. It's
easier to ask bad teams to be bad than good
teams to be great. The Saints are not going to
be great back to back weeks. I got your own
quote on you.
Speaker 1: I I will just say this.
Speaker 2: I wouldn't say the Saints were great yesterday. I mean
Jackson Dart literally put the literally dropped the ball as
he was running with nobody around. Of course, the Cardinals
did that as well. We move on to the Bengals
at the at the Packers, you want to talk about
the most garbage stats of all time Yesterday, Justin Fields
and Taylor put on quite the show, as did Jake
Browning and Jamar Chase.
Speaker 1: I mean, give me a break. How Jamar Chase ended.
Speaker 2: Up with two touchdowns, six catches, one hundred and ten
t Higgins ends up with a touch I think this
is a Green Bay classic Josh Jacobs spot where they
just run the ball at will.
Speaker 1: Detroit rushed the ball.
Speaker 2: Thirty three times yesterday on them, So give me all
the Josh Jacob props.
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, look at the points spread here in this one.
You got the rest. You're coming off a tie game.
This game could be a game that the Packers come
out hot early. Like I might be looking at first
half team total first half for them, looking at guys
to get off to explosive starts. I think that Josh Jacobs,
he's somebody that we could look at. But I might
even just look at Jordan Love as far as his
rushing yards to concern, this Bengals team has not been
good against the run, and I think that off that game.
I know the defense give up forty points, but Love's
not gonna be happy with some stuff that took place
as well late in that game. So he's gonna kind
of have that dog in him as well. So sometimes
in a fourteen point spread, I'll say, hey, there's no
need for a quarterback to sacrifice his body like that.
I'm kind of interesting and interested in what that Love
rushing prop in the world be. But we'll see here Love,
I love betting props against the Bengals because the Bengals
could still be involved in a game and every single
player on the other team could still hit their overs.
Speaker 4: That defense is just leaky.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll take Jordan Love to not throw an interception
as well in that one. All Right, here's a fun
one Detroit, Kansas City Prime Time. What easy, easiest cash
on the board yesterday was David Montgomery to have a touchdown.
We did that with parlayed with the Lions to win.
Here monros Saint Brown has just been incredible. I would
take him over his receptions. He's been arguably one of
the best. He's been a top three receiver this year,
so I would take him. And then we got to
wait and see what happens with Kansas City. What are
you thinking with this Lions team?
Speaker 3: Yeah, like I said last week, a Monroe is winning
me like two fantasy leagues. I think we saw Samuel
Borda have a great game yesterday, and I know we
don't want to be Monday morning quarterback literally here, but
you know, looking forward at that game, they're gonna need
him over the top. Look look at this point spread here.
The Chiefs again, we talk about it to the Chiefs
are a team people are kind of bashing on right now,
and they're still a pretty good team. You know, we'll
see what happens in the game tonight. As far as
that game is concerned, We're gonna to see what happens
with Haunt to Bachecko. But Andy, I think that they're
going to have to run the ball next. In this
game against the Lions, you can't be just strictly passed.
They will absolutely blitz you. They will they'll go after Mahomes.
You need to keep that running game a part of
the game. And so I think that maybe there could
be some Bilo spots on Hunt or Procheckum moving towards
this game.
Speaker 1: We get two Monday night games. Real quick.
Speaker 2: My Monday Night football best bet is up at wager
Talk eight and two NFL run. We're six to one
in primetime best bets this season. Andrews got an NHL
futures pack. Look for his Monday Night football pack. Both
those players are up at wager talk dot com. Buffalo
and LAMB Atlanta coming off the by Buffalo coming off
a brutal, brutal loss, I would look at Drake London
to have a big game. We saw Steffan Diggs tear
the Bills apart, and that that the Buffalo Bills defense
continues to be banged up and they just give up
a lot of stats. Drake London would be where I
would attack this.
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: The Falcons number one team in opponent passing yards allowed?
Speaker 1: Wow?
Speaker 3: Can we confirm that? Can we can we get some
double checking on that? I was I was looking across
the board here. You know who's number two Buffalo? So
kind of interesting to look at this number here. But
having said all of that, give me Josh Allen over.
So this guy is not gonna be happy. He's a
bounce back guy. That game, he did not look pleased whatsoever.
I think his receivers were letting him down a little
bit late in the game yesterday. But I'll be looking
towards longest completion. I'll be looking towards Josh Allen. I
think this Atlanta team has a way to just kind
of get exposed by kind of the elite teams and
Buffalo saying focused after an outright loss as they had yesterday,
I think they're a good team to back.
Speaker 2: I will also point out that not saying that that
Bill's stat is a little fraudulent, but they have played
the Saints and justin Fields so but yes, you're right,
the Falcons have given up the fewest yards and finally
Washington and Chicagos. I'll keep playing Caleb Williams to not
throw an interception. That's been a nice one.
Speaker 1: Other than Matt you can go back to Roma Dunza.
Speaker 2: He just continues to catch touchdown passes from Caleb. And
then krossky Merritt has cemented himself as the number one
back in Washington and Chicago Bears rush defense not been
very good, So krossky Merritt is going to be a
star next week.
Speaker 3: What do you think I was gonna just say the
only guy in the Bears, and really between these two
teams I've been looking at is a Donza. So he's
been consistent, relatively the same numbers each week, but just
kind of you know, we talk about this in other sports, Andy,
but at football it's a bit weirder because you don't
want to be sweating like a guy to just bear
go over a number. But I've kind of been noticing
that with him, like he's going over by a handful
of yards. It's not really the same as a guy
going over by one shot in hockey, Like you kind
of don't really want to be betting on a guy
that's barely going over.
Speaker 4: But a Doonsday is kind of that guy.
Speaker 3: If you give him over on a certain number, he
just gets there for you. So maybe he gets there
in this matchup. And I like the fact that they're dogs.
We're throwing the ball a the time. I think he'll
be useful over the top.
Speaker 4: I like it.
Speaker 2: Andrew, tell everyone about your new NHL show and what
you have up for everyone.
Speaker 3: Super excited, guys, hope you joined me on this new
show ten pm Eastern Monday through Friday. It's called the
pre Scout. We're going over the next night's games. So
when you want to hear you talk about shelf life,
this is shelf life for you.
Speaker 4: We're gonna attack the board.
Speaker 3: We're gonna look at all the opening numbers, analyze each matchup.
Most importantly, interact with you guys in the live chat
box as well, and we'll have some guests. Best bet
tonight in the NFL, though, we will have some a
prop bet up and of course the futures package in
the NHL, we have one that is a seven to
one futures prop in the NHL.
Speaker 4: Don't miss it on that guys, is it no?
Speaker 1: That would be live.
Speaker 2: I was trying to think, like Toronto fans to be
disappointed at the end of the season, but that's like
minus seven.
Speaker 4: That's minus yeah.
Speaker 2: That's all right, great stuff, and thank you everyone for
joining us. Hit the like button, leave us a comment,
blow tell us what props you like tonight, which ones
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and all your bets. We'll see you next week.
Speaker 1: Take care,