WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Well Whiskey coming day don't From power Line blog dot

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<v Speaker 1>com and produced by Ricochet dot Com. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>Three Whiskey Happy Hour with your bartenders Steve Hayward, John

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<v Speaker 1>You and power Lines International Woman of Mystery Lucretia.

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<v Speaker 2>Gott A giving Wilon where you're in loud.

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<v Speaker 3>Down and lod Welcome everybody to a special Turkey Day

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<v Speaker 3>edition of the Three Whiskey Happy Hour, where, if you

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<v Speaker 3>haven't already fallen asleep by watching three terrible NFL games

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<v Speaker 3>yesterday while eating turkey and red wine guaranteed to make

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<v Speaker 3>even the Philadelphia Eagles look like a boring team, put

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<v Speaker 3>you to bed. We have for you now now a

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<v Speaker 3>special out of order holiday episode of the Three Whiskey

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<v Speaker 3>Happy Hour, And as usual, I'm joined by my co

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<v Speaker 3>host Steve Hayward, who is if you can't see him,

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<v Speaker 3>and I hope he posts a photo of this has

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<v Speaker 3>some deliciously inviting landscape behind him.

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<v Speaker 2>Where are you, Steve? I am still in Italy. I

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<v Speaker 2>didn't come home like you guys did. I'm in Positano

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<v Speaker 2>on the Amalfi Coast, where I've spent today. Mostly I've

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<v Speaker 2>spent the day outside of my balcony writing until it

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<v Speaker 2>started raining. But it's great.

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<v Speaker 3>I hope people are following Steve's feet on Facebook, where

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<v Speaker 3>he's been posting pictures of the Italian countryside and food

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<v Speaker 3>and Lucretia, where are you.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm home. I am happy to be home. No. I

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<v Speaker 4>had a lovely time in Italy, especially with our friends,

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<v Speaker 4>the Baron and the Baroness. I got to spend some

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<v Speaker 4>quality time with the Baron after the poor Baroness had

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<v Speaker 4>to go to Japan, which was really sad. But what

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<v Speaker 4>a lovely man he is. And I'm just I'm sort

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<v Speaker 4>of still warm and basking in the fun of it all.

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<v Speaker 4>But I'm back to the usual Lucretia grind, cooking, cleaning,

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<v Speaker 4>playing with the cat, you know, playing with the dog,

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<v Speaker 4>that sort of thing. So life is boring again.

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<v Speaker 3>But I have to say listeners that Lucretia was in

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<v Speaker 3>an uncommonly good mood in Italy, because if you looked

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<v Speaker 3>at the Steve's substack, there's a photo of Lucretia and

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<v Speaker 3>I at a very high window in a castle in Kante.

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<v Speaker 3>She's not trying to throw me out.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, that's what commenter said, is it's dangerous for you

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<v Speaker 2>John to be standing so close to Lucretia near an

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<v Speaker 2>open window. I guess he thinks you're a clumsy Russian

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<v Speaker 2>or something.

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<v Speaker 3>No, she thinks she equates he obviously she or she

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<v Speaker 3>obviously creates Lrisha. Lucretia with the effectiveness of the KGB

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<v Speaker 3>just something.

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<v Speaker 2>I never doubted.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so well, I'm back in the good old United States.

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<v Speaker 3>But we did have a wonderful trip talking about natural rights,

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<v Speaker 3>common good, constitutionalism, and the elections all in Italy. And

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<v Speaker 3>we're going to talk about our reflections on the election,

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<v Speaker 3>which I think are actually enhanced by being in another

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<v Speaker 3>country and seeing it from the outsider's perspective and trying

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<v Speaker 3>to explain to them what happened in the November election.

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<v Speaker 3>But before we get to that, let's just talk. Let's

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<v Speaker 3>mark a little bit that we're here on Thanksgiving weekend

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<v Speaker 3>and start with Steve, what do you have to be

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<v Speaker 3>thankful for? Howard did you celebrate Thanksgiving in Italy? Points

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<v Speaker 3>to any listeners who know the Italian word for Turkey,

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<v Speaker 3>it's a kino, which makes no sense at all. I'm

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<v Speaker 3>sure the Turkey must have come over from Europe from

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<v Speaker 3>the United States. I don't think they had turkeys before

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<v Speaker 3>the discovery of the New World.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure.

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<v Speaker 3>But anyway, Steve, did you have turkey?

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<v Speaker 2>Did you drink?

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<v Speaker 3>You watch bad football?

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<v Speaker 2>What do you do? No? No, we we had some

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<v Speaker 2>pizza and some good Italian or derbs and things like that.

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<v Speaker 2>I we didn't know. That's just that's just every day

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<v Speaker 2>in the Hayward house.

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<v Speaker 3>Or why did you go two thousand miles for that?

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<v Speaker 2>Well not really, don't eat that much pizza at home.

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<v Speaker 2>Oddly enough, Well, there wasn't any turkey around that I saw,

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<v Speaker 2>or turkeno or whatever you call it. By the way, Tino,

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<v Speaker 2>by the way, it's one of the I mean, there's

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<v Speaker 2>no reason to waste more than ten seconds on this,

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<v Speaker 2>but it's one of the attacks of the left on Thanksgiving,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, because a colonial set colonials of oppression thing, right,

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<v Speaker 2>But that you know, they didn't really have turkey at

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<v Speaker 2>the first Thanksgiving in Massachusetts. It was just some wild

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<v Speaker 2>bird they found there, so who knows what it was.

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<v Speaker 2>But no, So I've just had Italian pluisine, and I

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<v Speaker 2>have to say that I like coming here. I've never

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<v Speaker 2>been to the Mouthy Coast, and I wanted to try the.

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<v Speaker 3>Other example of o. Steve Hayward is a Barbarian and

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<v Speaker 3>a Cretn But.

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<v Speaker 2>Go on, Well, it's the off season here and most

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<v Speaker 2>of the hotels are a lot of other places are

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<v Speaker 2>still open, and I'd say at least three quarters of

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<v Speaker 2>the restaurants are closed, in part because they're doing major

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<v Speaker 2>road construction and nobody can get to them. It's a

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<v Speaker 2>little tricky getting around. So but we're having a great time.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's good.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm reading about crazy football games, but I did not

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<v Speaker 2>see any of them.

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<v Speaker 4>Isn't it funny how nobody ever challenges other cultures, other

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<v Speaker 4>countries' longstanding traditions. So if Turkey was or wasn't at

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<v Speaker 4>the first Thanksgiving, does it really matter the fact that

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<v Speaker 4>there's this lovely American It's hard to establish traditions that

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<v Speaker 4>are sort of country wide nationwide, but Thanksgiving has become

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<v Speaker 4>one of those. And I think that every time somebody

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<v Speaker 4>wants to make some snarky comment about colonialism or imperialism

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<v Speaker 4>or you know, Native American genocide or something like that,

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<v Speaker 4>I just smack them. I'm tired of it, really. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>Thanksgiving is an absolutely lovely tradition, and I saw some

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<v Speaker 4>dull article in the Washington excuse me, what's it called?

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<v Speaker 4>The Wall Street Journal? The Wall Street Journal the other

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<v Speaker 4>day about don't pretend to be grateful if you're not grateful,

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<v Speaker 4>because that's more harming to your soul. I think they

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<v Speaker 4>use the word soul. That's more. That's more harming to

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<v Speaker 4>your well being than if you're just acknowledged that you

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<v Speaker 4>have nothing to be grateful for.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, I think in your well, I think

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<v Speaker 2>from a point of view of the cultural left, Europe

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<v Speaker 2>may be worse than America because it's holidays go back

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<v Speaker 2>many you know, Millennia are more right. Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 2>I was in I was in Rome one year, many

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<v Speaker 2>years ago. I think it's August fifteenth as the feast

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<v Speaker 2>of the Assumption, and the whole country closed down. I

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<v Speaker 2>mean there was nothing open.

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<v Speaker 4>But nobody celebrates it.

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<v Speaker 2>They just well, okay, yeah, well that could be right.

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<v Speaker 2>But the point is there are explicitly religious holidays here

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<v Speaker 2>and ours are sort of that typical America and mix

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<v Speaker 2>a religious and secular together, which confuses you know, our

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<v Speaker 2>Supreme Court.

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<v Speaker 3>Needless to say, I did the fun of being a

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<v Speaker 3>visiting professor for a semester in Italy, and it was

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<v Speaker 3>the best because all Roman Catholic holidays were state holidays, right,

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<v Speaker 3>so we got we had almost we had vacation after vacation.

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<v Speaker 4>I think Germany had more. Actually it was very interesting.

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<v Speaker 4>I think Germany has more state religious holidays. I guess

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<v Speaker 4>for Luther or something. I don't know. But every other

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<v Speaker 4>day you couldn't do anything because it was a federal

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<v Speaker 4>holiday and you had to stay home. I do want

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<v Speaker 4>to say something before we move off this topic about

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<v Speaker 4>my I'm going to be serious for a moment. It

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<v Speaker 4>is my firm belief that the most important what would

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<v Speaker 4>you call it, the most important virtue, I guess, is

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<v Speaker 4>gratitude and the absolutely beyond any anything else in the

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<v Speaker 4>world that someone who is grateful, shows gradude, lives with gratitude,

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<v Speaker 4>is happy. And I think that if I were going

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<v Speaker 4>to in two sentences define what's wrong with the left

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<v Speaker 4>is they're bitter and resentful and they're not grateful for

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<v Speaker 4>what they have. And you see that all of the time,

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<v Speaker 4>whereas the people who are happy, the people who are content,

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<v Speaker 4>it doesn't matter what they have or how much they have,

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<v Speaker 4>they're disgrateful for having it. And so that's my Thanksgiving

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<v Speaker 4>Day message.

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<v Speaker 2>Great, you're here.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm very grateful. I mean, we live if you live

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<v Speaker 4>in the United States. My priest likes to have this

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<v Speaker 4>little thing in some of his homilies, and he stands

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<v Speaker 4>up in front of the parish and and imagine this

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<v Speaker 4>long continuum of all the people in the in the world.

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<v Speaker 4>You can even see me doing this, But and imagine

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<v Speaker 4>all the people in the world. And you can look

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<v Speaker 4>in one direction or the other. If you look in

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<v Speaker 4>this direction, you can look at the people who have

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<v Speaker 4>more than you, who are better off than you, et cetera,

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<v Speaker 4>et cetera. If you look in the other direction, you

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<v Speaker 4>can see the people who who don't enjoyed the same

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<v Speaker 4>material and other blessings, freedom and so forth. And if

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<v Speaker 4>you live in the United States, you are in the

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<v Speaker 4>top half of one percent if you live in the

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<v Speaker 4>United States of the people who look back on everyone else.

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<v Speaker 4>And you know, that's just something to be also to

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<v Speaker 4>be grateful for that we live in a country with

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<v Speaker 4>amazing blessings.

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<v Speaker 2>Although I'll add one last contrast from over here in Italy.

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<v Speaker 2>It finally occurred to me driving the terrifying roads yesterday

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<v Speaker 2>to get out here on this very formidable coastline, and

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<v Speaker 2>also looking at the buildings I've been in and so forth.

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<v Speaker 2>If Italy had OSHA and NITSA and all other safety bureaucracies,

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<v Speaker 2>three quarters of this country would be shut down in

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<v Speaker 2>an instant, because you know, we're whiny, you know whats

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<v Speaker 2>and there's still some Roman virtue intact here.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, Allison and I were discussing the fact that you're

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<v Speaker 4>driving through these crazy streets that are I mean, they're

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<v Speaker 4>more narrow than my bathroom, right, and they've got cars

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<v Speaker 4>on either side of them in motorcycles and mopeds and scooters,

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<v Speaker 4>and they're driving these vans and people are in and

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<v Speaker 4>out and there's no right of travel, right of way.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, it's just crazy. The entire time you're on

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<v Speaker 4>the roads, and you never see even a fender bender.

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<v Speaker 4>You never see an accident, you never see anybody crashing.

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<v Speaker 4>You never know. Steve was watching my face as we

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<v Speaker 4>were driving down this really narrow road. Then there's this

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<v Speaker 4>whole line of motorcycles parked and the mirror on the

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<v Speaker 4>van was like a quarter of an inch away from

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<v Speaker 4>these motorcycles. As we're driving down. I'm probably only going

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<v Speaker 4>about forty kilometers, but Still it's just you know, these

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<v Speaker 4>people are One thing is they don't text while they're driving.

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<v Speaker 4>They pay attention. You could not pay attention.

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<v Speaker 2>So yeah, but I still don't see how any cars

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<v Speaker 2>in this country have their mirror still on them. But

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<v Speaker 2>they do. Somehow they all do.

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<v Speaker 4>You don't see it. You don't see them scratched. You

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<v Speaker 4>don't see in those tiny places where they make those

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<v Speaker 4>redible terms with the vans and the so forth. You

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<v Speaker 4>know how if you can go into a parking garage

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<v Speaker 4>in the United States and there'll be a pole you

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<v Speaker 4>get to push the button and that pole will just

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<v Speaker 4>be absolutely covered with little crashes. You can tell that that.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, literally thousands of cars ran into that pole

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<v Speaker 4>as someone who was driving up trying to get their

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<v Speaker 4>drinner to go to parking. None of that. In Italy.

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<v Speaker 4>Nobody ever hits anything. It's amazing. They don't need.

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<v Speaker 3>For those listeners who are studying to take the Italian

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<v Speaker 3>driver's license exam, you can stop taking notes now let's

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<v Speaker 3>get to this. Although I do want to reinforce what

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<v Speaker 3>Lucretia just said, I don't I think, at least on Thanksgiving,

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<v Speaker 3>we should appreciate despite all our nation's problems. How truly

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<v Speaker 3>lucky we are to live in the United States at

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<v Speaker 3>this time in history. As you said, if you were

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<v Speaker 3>to draw a graph of and my utilitarian graph of

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<v Speaker 3>human happiness and welfare, we would definitely be at the

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<v Speaker 3>tail end, all the way at the right hand side

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<v Speaker 3>of the X and Y axis.

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<v Speaker 2>I see what you did there, John, I see it.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to take the.

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<v Speaker 4>Base utilitarian sentence. Is there such a thing.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what we're measuring? Utles? Yeah? Yeah, no.

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<v Speaker 3>I thought one thing we might talk about is actually

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<v Speaker 3>the substance of the panel that we held at the

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<v Speaker 3>University of Florence between in front of a packed audience

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<v Speaker 3>of Italian students and faculty. I have to say that

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<v Speaker 3>they were, I think, really really deeply fascinated about our elections,

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<v Speaker 3>maybe more so than their own elections. Maybe actually what

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<v Speaker 3>happens the United States is of such critical economic and

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<v Speaker 3>security importance to Western Europe that they should be more

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<v Speaker 3>interested in our elections than their own. But we had

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<v Speaker 3>a great panel, and I want to repeat some of

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<v Speaker 3>the things that were said, which I think I think

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<v Speaker 3>set Stephen Lucretia off and hear what they had to say.

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<v Speaker 3>Have you here let's hear what they have to say

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<v Speaker 3>about So one of the panels said that we shouldn't

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<v Speaker 3>make too much of the election because one it was

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<v Speaker 3>really really close. It's starting to look like President Trump

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<v Speaker 3>won by one point five percent around there between one

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<v Speaker 3>point less than two percent, maybe about two million votes

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<v Speaker 3>or three million out of about out of one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and fifty million votes. So in one sense, this panel said,

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<v Speaker 3>we're not talking about a landslide. We're talking about actually

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<v Speaker 3>one of the closest margins of popular vote victory in

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<v Speaker 3>the last century. I think he said, out of the

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<v Speaker 3>forty eight last presidential elections, this was the forty seventh,

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<v Speaker 3>the largest smallest majority that the winner had held of

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<v Speaker 3>the popular vote. So this panelist said, rather, he was

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<v Speaker 3>worried that President Trump and Republicans would overread the election

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<v Speaker 3>and that they should view it as a plea for

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<v Speaker 3>moderation in policy, which is actually something that conservative said

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<v Speaker 3>about Biden right, that Biden also misinterpreted the twenty twenty election,

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<v Speaker 3>Revelt Celtz, and that rather than see it as a

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<v Speaker 3>mandate for ideological horse stable cleaning, we should just see

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<v Speaker 3>it as a plea for more moderate policies. Rather than

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<v Speaker 3>a man, and not to think of it as a

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<v Speaker 3>as a huge mandate of a kind that Reagan got

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<v Speaker 3>in eighty or eighty four. So, uh, Lucretia, how about you.

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<v Speaker 3>I think you were seething. I could feel the heat

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<v Speaker 3>from your end of the pen. I was the moderator,

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<v Speaker 3>by the way, I could see the flames emerging from

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<v Speaker 3>Crecia's air while this was being said.

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<v Speaker 5>But luckily for the call for the okay, yeah, Luckily

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<v Speaker 5>for the panelists, we didn't have a second round because

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<v Speaker 5>we ran out of time, so we don't know what

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<v Speaker 5>the creature was going to say in response to.

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<v Speaker 4>This, So those comments were actually in response to many

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<v Speaker 4>of the things I said originally. Excuse me, by the way,

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<v Speaker 4>let me just mention quickly that excuse me I had

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<v Speaker 4>been I had been prepared with remarks when I came in.

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<v Speaker 4>And then our good friend Eduardo was kind of behind

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<v Speaker 4>moderating this whole or organizing this whole thing, asked me

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<v Speaker 4>to since I was the only woman on the panel

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<v Speaker 4>to speak about women's issues, which you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, Throught was on the panel. Steve Steve's loves to

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<v Speaker 3>talk about women's women's issues, and I'll come why we

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<v Speaker 3>don't let him talk about the clean era, because eventually

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<v Speaker 3>he starts talking about women's issues.

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<v Speaker 4>I'll come back to what I had to say about

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<v Speaker 4>women in a moment, but that's quite all right. But

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<v Speaker 4>it was it was me who said that we could

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<v Speaker 4>we could consider the electional landslide, and I stand by

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<v Speaker 4>that because it's not in terms of simple number. So

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, we were told that Clinton had a mandate

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<v Speaker 4>with forty three percent of the vote, and not a

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<v Speaker 4>single person on the left or the squishy middle the

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<v Speaker 4>right rhinos ever challenged that for even a moment. But

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<v Speaker 4>it's really a deeper question. It's not merely a numerical question.

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<v Speaker 4>I would say, first the fact that Trump won despite

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<v Speaker 4>every effort by the left to destroy him electorally, personally, legally, financially.

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<v Speaker 4>You go on and on and on, and I mean

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<v Speaker 4>they brought their a game to try to destroy him,

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<v Speaker 4>and he came out Victoria victorious, which I understand was

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<v Speaker 4>also an element in his victory because you know, there

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<v Speaker 4>are a lot of people out there who said, if

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<v Speaker 4>they can do that to Trump, anyway, we can go.

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<v Speaker 4>Lots of people have spoken about that, but you know

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<v Speaker 4>what I mean by that, So knowing that everything was

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<v Speaker 4>stacked against him. Let me one more tangent Off and

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<v Speaker 4>Steve may have something to say about this, But it

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<v Speaker 4>came out last week that the New York Times, the

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<v Speaker 4>Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post were pressuring very hard

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<v Speaker 4>for the more accurate polls like the I don't want

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<v Speaker 4>to say Atlas shrug, that's not what it's called, Atlas whatever.

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<v Speaker 4>Falgar and Rasmussen, who who really are in many ways

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<v Speaker 4>the gold standard of for accuracy, They were being pressured

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<v Speaker 4>to wait their weight their samples better and then Real

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<v Speaker 4>Clear Politics was being pressured to weight their polls. In

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<v Speaker 4>other words, they were being asked to uh. Instead of

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<v Speaker 4>just doing what they do, which is a simple average

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<v Speaker 4>of political polls uh. They were being asked to wait

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<v Speaker 4>for Falgar and those other kinds of polls down. It

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<v Speaker 4>was absolutely critical to the left to maintain the fiction

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<v Speaker 4>that Kamala Harris had a bump, that Kamala Harris was surge,

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<v Speaker 4>and all of those things, because that was really their

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<v Speaker 4>only hope of convincing people that they could go to

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<v Speaker 4>the polls and vote for Kamala hair. So, knowing all

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<v Speaker 4>of that, sorry, that was a long way to get

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<v Speaker 4>to where we are. People are tired of what they

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<v Speaker 4>saw the Biden Harris administration do. They're tired of runaway

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<v Speaker 4>power and money spending by bureaucrats. They're tired of the

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<v Speaker 4>open borders. I was at of friends who lives I've

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<v Speaker 4>mentioned that those friends before. They're the ones who were attempted,

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<v Speaker 4>kidnapped by illegals and being led by a cartel. Mentioned

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<v Speaker 4>that a long time ago. There's a pathway. They don't

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<v Speaker 4>live permanently in this house. There's a pathway through their

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<v Speaker 4>yard where they've actually cut through a gate and put

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<v Speaker 4>their own gate, cut through a fence, putting their own

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<v Speaker 4>gate illegal aliens and the cartels, and put a gate

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<v Speaker 4>in that they have the lock, the key to the

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<v Speaker 4>lock on the gate. I mean, it's if you live

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<v Speaker 4>in the southern southeastern part of Arizona. Any I suppose

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<v Speaker 4>anywhere south in Arizona. You know how bad illegal immigration is.

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<v Speaker 4>But the rest of the country got to feel that too.

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<v Speaker 4>They saw the absolutely uneven handed there's probably a better

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<v Speaker 4>word for it, administration of justice. You know, a mother,

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<v Speaker 4>a young mother of three, goes to jail for twelve

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<v Speaker 4>years for protesting outside of an abortion clinic and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>all of the scum and the George Floyd sub human

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<v Speaker 4>scum never suffered a single thing for the most part.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, they're just tired of it. So to dismiss

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<v Speaker 4>this result as anything other than astounding, in my opinion,

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<v Speaker 4>is just to have your head in the sand. Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm done, Steve, I talk too much.

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<v Speaker 2>Go ahead, well, Steve, Yeah, First of all, I think

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<v Speaker 2>you're right that each call it a landslide, and the

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<v Speaker 2>people want to say yeah, but on the numbers, it's

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<v Speaker 2>really not. Are miss something important? So it's true that

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<v Speaker 2>it looks like Trump will probably finish slightly below fifty

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<v Speaker 2>percent of the total vote cast. But of course Bill

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<v Speaker 2>Clinton never broke fifty percent. He only got forty nine

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<v Speaker 2>percent in his second election in nineteen ninety six. That's

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<v Speaker 2>because Pero was running again and still got five percent

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<v Speaker 2>of the vote or something like that. But if you

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<v Speaker 2>go back to Reagan in eighty Reagan only got I

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<v Speaker 2>think like fifty point five percent of the total popular vote.

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<v Speaker 2>And the reason and if you hadn't had, oh, let

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<v Speaker 2>me go through a few numbers. So the reason he

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<v Speaker 2>got four hundred and eighty nine electoral votes is the

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<v Speaker 2>voters were distributed more evenly way back in that election.

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<v Speaker 2>But on the other hand, if you hadn't had a

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<v Speaker 2>third party candidate run like John Anderson, Reagan might well,

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<v Speaker 2>or I should put it this way, Carter might well

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<v Speaker 2>have won four or five more states. He might well

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<v Speaker 2>have won New York. I think a lot of Anderson

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<v Speaker 2>did well in New York, and Reagan won the state narrowly.

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<v Speaker 2>I think a partner might have won Oregon. The point

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<v Speaker 2>is everyone called that a landslide because it was so

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<v Speaker 2>shocking and unexpected election. A couple are things about the

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<v Speaker 2>eighty election with Reagan Reagan. One, let's see Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi,

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<v Speaker 2>and Alabama by less than thirty thousand votes in each state.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not the red state landslide we think of those

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<v Speaker 2>southern states today. It was actually quite close. But he

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<v Speaker 2>did take them from Carter, because remember Carter sweeping the

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<v Speaker 2>South is the only reason he won the nineteen seventy

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<v Speaker 2>sixth election. And nowadays, this was the beginning of a realignment.

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<v Speaker 2>It was the beginning of Democratic voters were saying we

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<v Speaker 2>could vote for Republicans for president and later for other

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<v Speaker 2>offices as well, And so you know, it seems to

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<v Speaker 2>me that what is important is the vote shifts that

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<v Speaker 2>take place. It's one thing if Trump had only won

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<v Speaker 2>by motivating the Republican base of suburban nights and capturing

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<v Speaker 2>traditional Republican constituencies. But as we now know, he did

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<v Speaker 2>massively well among groups he's not supposed to do well

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<v Speaker 2>with Asians, Hispanics, black, Native Americans. He got a majority

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<v Speaker 2>of the Indian vote. To put it that way, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>American Indian vote, right. I guess all those land acknowledgements

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<v Speaker 2>didn't work, and so you know if the geography. Oh,

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<v Speaker 2>and the Democrats lost the most votes in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>raw numbers in their strongholds in California, in New York

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<v Speaker 2>and Illinois, which ought to terrify them, it seems to me.

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<v Speaker 2>And then finally, no one thought, as Lucreatius said, that

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<v Speaker 2>Trump had any hope of winning, or if he did,

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<v Speaker 2>it would be like twenty sixteen by an inside straight

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<v Speaker 2>with narrow victories in the electoral college, but not the

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<v Speaker 2>popular vote, and so that is shattered and lying on

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<v Speaker 2>the ground. So with a closely divided country like we have,

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<v Speaker 2>it seems to me that the shift of this kind

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<v Speaker 2>is it really does qualify as at least earth shaking,

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<v Speaker 2>and by the way, earth shaking is what leads to landslides.

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<v Speaker 2>And last thought is yeah, I mean the critics are

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<v Speaker 2>right to say. The big question is can Republicans hold

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<v Speaker 2>onto these votes? And then you know, I could see

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<v Speaker 2>you know, bad economy or some bad events happening and

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<v Speaker 2>Republicans doing the midterms. I'd bet on that now. But

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<v Speaker 2>I do think that, you know, next few election cycles

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<v Speaker 2>that will be interesting to see. And by the way,

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<v Speaker 2>my ideal matchup for twenty twenty eight would be jd

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<v Speaker 2>Vance against Pete Bhudha Judge and then I think you

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<v Speaker 2>will get a real, honest to god optor vote landslide.

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<v Speaker 2>They're the perfect exemplars of the country's divisions, and I

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<v Speaker 2>think I know who would win that one.

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<v Speaker 4>John, let me follow under the JD vancing really quick.

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<v Speaker 4>That remember that, for as long as I can remember,

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<v Speaker 4>since Trump's victory in twenty sixteen, people would say this

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<v Speaker 4>is a Trump victory, a Trump victory, only you know,

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<v Speaker 4>his somewhat strained relationship at times with the Republican Party

420
00:23:39.079 --> 00:23:42.200
<v Speaker 4>itself would has led people to say, well, Trump can

421
00:23:42.240 --> 00:23:44.079
<v Speaker 4>do it, but nobody else can. And there were a

422
00:23:44.079 --> 00:23:46.640
<v Speaker 4>lot of people who kind of went against DeSantis for

423
00:23:46.680 --> 00:23:51.480
<v Speaker 4>that reason. The brilliance of him choosing JD. Vance is

424
00:23:51.519 --> 00:23:53.759
<v Speaker 4>that there is, in fact a standard bearer for the

425
00:23:54.480 --> 00:23:58.039
<v Speaker 4>Trump Republican Party, and instead of it having to become

426
00:23:58.079 --> 00:24:00.319
<v Speaker 4>a new party. I know I've said this before, we

427
00:24:00.400 --> 00:24:03.119
<v Speaker 4>talked about it, there's not going to have to be

428
00:24:03.480 --> 00:24:07.039
<v Speaker 4>a third party, a Trump Party, a make a you know,

429
00:24:07.079 --> 00:24:10.480
<v Speaker 4>a mega party. The Republican Party is now the mega

430
00:24:10.480 --> 00:24:13.240
<v Speaker 4>party and it has a standard bearer because of JD.

431
00:24:13.400 --> 00:24:15.079
<v Speaker 4>Vance in the future in my area.

432
00:24:15.640 --> 00:24:18.279
<v Speaker 2>Can I add one more thought to that point. You

433
00:24:18.279 --> 00:24:20.680
<v Speaker 2>know Patrick Graffini, who's a Polster and a you know,

434
00:24:20.759 --> 00:24:23.720
<v Speaker 2>serious numbers guy. He makes a pretty persuasive case that

435
00:24:24.359 --> 00:24:27.359
<v Speaker 2>the advanced debate with Waltz was actually a key turning

436
00:24:27.359 --> 00:24:30.480
<v Speaker 2>point in the fall campaign. Normally vice presidents of debates

437
00:24:30.519 --> 00:24:33.359
<v Speaker 2>don't matter at all. He thinks that one did, and

438
00:24:33.640 --> 00:24:35.839
<v Speaker 2>that's a curious fact. The other thing I'll add is,

439
00:24:36.400 --> 00:24:38.119
<v Speaker 2>you know, the Republicans are going to have you know

440
00:24:38.160 --> 00:24:40.359
<v Speaker 2>what like a three or four seat majority in the House,

441
00:24:40.359 --> 00:24:43.559
<v Speaker 2>which is razor thin. That's because Trump's appointing too many

442
00:24:43.599 --> 00:24:47.200
<v Speaker 2>Republicans to the cabinet. But for the second election in

443
00:24:47.240 --> 00:24:50.000
<v Speaker 2>a row, Republicans won what you might call the House

444
00:24:50.160 --> 00:24:54.000
<v Speaker 2>popular vote. Republican candidates nationwide got three percent more vote

445
00:24:54.000 --> 00:24:56.960
<v Speaker 2>than Democrats they did in twenty twenty two. The reason

446
00:24:56.960 --> 00:24:58.839
<v Speaker 2>the numbers are closer or for you know, a bunch

447
00:24:58.839 --> 00:25:00.880
<v Speaker 2>of quarks, but also the way the districts are drawn

448
00:25:00.920 --> 00:25:03.559
<v Speaker 2>and so forth. But that looks like a durable sign

449
00:25:03.799 --> 00:25:08.799
<v Speaker 2>of a solid base Republicans. That is arguably larger than Trump's.

450
00:25:08.920 --> 00:25:14.480
<v Speaker 4>Question Steve, about that, I mean, so the generic congressional vote,

451
00:25:14.720 --> 00:25:17.119
<v Speaker 4>is that what you're talking about? Yes, right now, Well,

452
00:25:17.240 --> 00:25:21.480
<v Speaker 4>so the generic congressional polling has never had Republicans up

453
00:25:21.480 --> 00:25:24.000
<v Speaker 4>by three? Am I correct in that? Okay, that's correct.

454
00:25:24.000 --> 00:25:25.880
<v Speaker 2>The usually run at least two points ahead of what

455
00:25:25.920 --> 00:25:27.039
<v Speaker 2>the generic ballot says.

456
00:25:27.160 --> 00:25:32.000
<v Speaker 6>Yes, sorry, yeah, well I thought just my own two

457
00:25:32.039 --> 00:25:35.400
<v Speaker 6>cents and then maybe one more round on the election

458
00:25:35.440 --> 00:25:39.839
<v Speaker 6>and what it means for in the left's favorite policies

459
00:25:39.920 --> 00:25:42.759
<v Speaker 6>like TI you.

460
00:25:42.720 --> 00:25:44.960
<v Speaker 3>Know, there's this just this is your guys world. There's

461
00:25:45.000 --> 00:25:48.920
<v Speaker 3>this theory in political science about what they call critical

462
00:25:48.960 --> 00:25:53.200
<v Speaker 3>elections and they don't. There's lots of argument about what

463
00:25:53.559 --> 00:25:55.680
<v Speaker 3>causes a critical election or even how you mention it.

464
00:25:56.079 --> 00:25:59.839
<v Speaker 3>I mean measure it, but you know they are basically

465
00:25:59.839 --> 00:26:03.960
<v Speaker 3>they agree on or you know, Washington's election, which has

466
00:26:04.000 --> 00:26:07.960
<v Speaker 3>to be the first one. Then Jefferson Lincoln, uh, and

467
00:26:08.000 --> 00:26:14.119
<v Speaker 3>then after Lincoln is a sorry Jackson Lincoln, and then

468
00:26:14.160 --> 00:26:18.200
<v Speaker 3>a long period of Republican stability. The next one is

469
00:26:18.240 --> 00:26:21.559
<v Speaker 3>not till FDR and then I think this was hard

470
00:26:21.599 --> 00:26:29.119
<v Speaker 3>for Wells is a kind of an anomaly. So the

471
00:26:29.279 --> 00:26:32.640
<v Speaker 3>and then Reagan is the last one. So this doesn't

472
00:26:32.640 --> 00:26:34.880
<v Speaker 3>mean like the Republicans or the Democrats win all the

473
00:26:34.920 --> 00:26:37.920
<v Speaker 3>elections in that period. But the way you can tell

474
00:26:38.039 --> 00:26:42.160
<v Speaker 3>allegedly coined to these theories is that even even people

475
00:26:42.200 --> 00:26:45.640
<v Speaker 3>in the opposing party like Eisenhower winning, they don't try

476
00:26:45.680 --> 00:26:49.720
<v Speaker 3>to upset the basic choices or values of that time.

477
00:26:49.839 --> 00:26:52.440
<v Speaker 3>So Eisenhower didn't try to get rid of social Security,

478
00:26:52.519 --> 00:26:56.079
<v Speaker 3>for example. So I will I do think this was

479
00:26:56.119 --> 00:27:00.000
<v Speaker 3>an important election. I actually read it as a reaffort

480
00:27:00.359 --> 00:27:03.960
<v Speaker 3>that we're still in the Reagan period. Obama and Biden

481
00:27:04.079 --> 00:27:09.319
<v Speaker 3>are the anomalies, and you don't see people saying really,

482
00:27:09.359 --> 00:27:11.759
<v Speaker 3>I mean saying we should raise taxes would be and

483
00:27:11.759 --> 00:27:13.880
<v Speaker 3>getting away with a majority support with that would be

484
00:27:13.880 --> 00:27:16.960
<v Speaker 3>a sign that the Reagan peeriod was over or saying yes,

485
00:27:17.039 --> 00:27:20.519
<v Speaker 3>we really want big government. Only government can solve our problems.

486
00:27:20.519 --> 00:27:23.400
<v Speaker 3>But even Biden and Obama when they ran, they would

487
00:27:23.400 --> 00:27:25.559
<v Speaker 3>not say things like that. They all couched it as

488
00:27:25.960 --> 00:27:28.319
<v Speaker 3>so I still I think, I actually I don't see

489
00:27:28.400 --> 00:27:30.960
<v Speaker 3>us entering some different.

490
00:27:30.720 --> 00:27:31.880
<v Speaker 2>Kind of time yet.

491
00:27:32.000 --> 00:27:34.759
<v Speaker 3>I mean, maybe this or conservative populism would have been

492
00:27:35.240 --> 00:27:37.359
<v Speaker 3>saying that, maybe it will become that by the next election,

493
00:27:37.400 --> 00:27:39.960
<v Speaker 3>But so far to see this as a reaffirmation of

494
00:27:40.000 --> 00:27:44.799
<v Speaker 3>the values Americans voted into office in nineteen eighty. Okay,

495
00:27:45.400 --> 00:27:47.160
<v Speaker 3>but go ahead, Lucretia, do you want to talk about that?

496
00:27:47.200 --> 00:27:49.599
<v Speaker 3>And also you want to talk about what this means

497
00:27:49.599 --> 00:27:51.359
<v Speaker 3>for some of what this election means for some of

498
00:27:51.440 --> 00:27:54.799
<v Speaker 3>the liberals favor pieties like DEI for example.

499
00:27:54.799 --> 00:27:57.359
<v Speaker 4>And I think the answer all goes together to some extent,

500
00:27:57.440 --> 00:28:02.359
<v Speaker 4>John I, whether it's a critical election, whether Obama was

501
00:28:02.400 --> 00:28:05.519
<v Speaker 4>a critical election that moved the entire populace into a

502
00:28:05.559 --> 00:28:10.200
<v Speaker 4>different direction, like say FDR. I leave that to the

503
00:28:10.240 --> 00:28:13.559
<v Speaker 4>real political scientists to decide that. That's a little bit

504
00:28:13.640 --> 00:28:18.000
<v Speaker 4>uninteresting to me. But what I will say is that

505
00:28:18.079 --> 00:28:24.000
<v Speaker 4>the left has been incredibly successful since at least George H. W.

506
00:28:24.200 --> 00:28:28.599
<v Speaker 4>Bush and to some extent in destroying some of Reagan's

507
00:28:29.599 --> 00:28:34.920
<v Speaker 4>better possibilities for a true political realignment, not so much

508
00:28:34.960 --> 00:28:38.680
<v Speaker 4>of voters, but of actual policies. I mean, Reagan did

509
00:28:38.720 --> 00:28:42.000
<v Speaker 4>some things, but he never stopped the march of the left.

510
00:28:42.039 --> 00:28:48.319
<v Speaker 4>He never stopped our culture, our institutions from becoming more

511
00:28:48.359 --> 00:28:51.720
<v Speaker 4>and more leftist all the time. So that's what I

512
00:28:51.799 --> 00:28:57.359
<v Speaker 4>consider different than what you're saying. And excuse me, even

513
00:28:57.759 --> 00:29:01.160
<v Speaker 4>I mean, to the great extent, even Trump is not

514
00:29:01.319 --> 00:29:04.839
<v Speaker 4>going to dismantle He's not going to have Elon Musk

515
00:29:04.920 --> 00:29:08.519
<v Speaker 4>dismantle the federal government and fire eighty percent of the

516
00:29:08.559 --> 00:29:12.000
<v Speaker 4>workers like Elon Musk was able to do. For Twitter, right,

517
00:29:12.960 --> 00:29:15.000
<v Speaker 4>we could do that, We could do it very easily.

518
00:29:16.319 --> 00:29:22.200
<v Speaker 4>But I do think that the fact that the less lies,

519
00:29:22.359 --> 00:29:24.400
<v Speaker 4>and I believe that's true. You said it yourself. They

520
00:29:24.519 --> 00:29:28.039
<v Speaker 4>always had to hide what they really wanted to do.

521
00:29:28.160 --> 00:29:31.720
<v Speaker 4>I mean, Obama, I'm going to transform America. He said it,

522
00:29:31.759 --> 00:29:34.359
<v Speaker 4>he meant it, and people took that to mean something good,

523
00:29:34.440 --> 00:29:36.920
<v Speaker 4>when of course he had in mind the destruction of

524
00:29:36.960 --> 00:29:41.880
<v Speaker 4>the entire country. And so I think that Trump is

525
00:29:41.920 --> 00:29:45.440
<v Speaker 4>the only one who has truly been able willing to

526
00:29:45.559 --> 00:29:49.079
<v Speaker 4>call out the left on what's really happening, and they

527
00:29:49.960 --> 00:29:52.640
<v Speaker 4>they're still shocked by it. They're still shocked that somebody

528
00:29:52.640 --> 00:29:58.079
<v Speaker 4>would doubt their lies, doubt their attempt to dissemble and

529
00:29:58.160 --> 00:30:01.200
<v Speaker 4>be disingenuous about things. In you mentioned is I think

530
00:30:01.240 --> 00:30:04.480
<v Speaker 4>the perfect example of it. I can remember a time.

531
00:30:05.559 --> 00:30:07.759
<v Speaker 4>Actually it's probably still true at my university. Let me

532
00:30:07.880 --> 00:30:11.480
<v Speaker 4>scratch that start up. It's impossible for you to challenge

533
00:30:11.519 --> 00:30:15.960
<v Speaker 4>the idea that there's something fundamentally evil and racist about

534
00:30:16.000 --> 00:30:19.920
<v Speaker 4>the entire DEI project. To do so makes you a

535
00:30:20.000 --> 00:30:22.680
<v Speaker 4>Nazi or something worse than a Nazi if there is

536
00:30:22.720 --> 00:30:27.759
<v Speaker 4>something so. The fact that Trump is willing and able

537
00:30:27.920 --> 00:30:31.960
<v Speaker 4>to begin to dismantle DEI at the federal government, and

538
00:30:32.039 --> 00:30:37.640
<v Speaker 4>everybody else is looking at it. Michigan's going to dismantle theirs.

539
00:30:37.759 --> 00:30:44.279
<v Speaker 4>You know, all of that is I think the success

540
00:30:44.359 --> 00:30:51.880
<v Speaker 4>of Trump's election is it's so deep that people like me,

541
00:30:52.359 --> 00:30:54.200
<v Speaker 4>I've never been afraid, but you know what I mean,

542
00:30:54.440 --> 00:30:57.880
<v Speaker 4>people like me can actually go out there and say, no,

543
00:30:58.279 --> 00:31:00.640
<v Speaker 4>this is crap. We don't need to do this anymore.

544
00:31:00.920 --> 00:31:03.200
<v Speaker 4>We need to go back to a meritor a system

545
00:31:03.200 --> 00:31:06.319
<v Speaker 4>of merit. And let me one last thing, and I'll

546
00:31:06.359 --> 00:31:09.319
<v Speaker 4>let Steep, go that the fact that they have gone

547
00:31:09.519 --> 00:31:12.880
<v Speaker 4>so hard after some of Trump's appointees, like the Pete

548
00:31:12.960 --> 00:31:17.839
<v Speaker 4>haigesf thing, what a you know, a whole pile of crap,

549
00:31:17.960 --> 00:31:21.279
<v Speaker 4>that whole he raped a woman thing? Is you know,

550
00:31:21.559 --> 00:31:24.400
<v Speaker 4>they haven't given up on that tactic because they've got

551
00:31:24.759 --> 00:31:27.759
<v Speaker 4>nothing else. All Right, Sorry, Steve, go ahead, Steve.

552
00:31:28.799 --> 00:31:30.279
<v Speaker 2>I don't really have too much to add to that.

553
00:31:30.519 --> 00:31:32.519
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I can keep going on realignment theory and

554
00:31:32.519 --> 00:31:34.599
<v Speaker 2>all the rest of that, but we'll really bore listeners.

555
00:31:34.680 --> 00:31:37.000
<v Speaker 2>I think there is one more thing though, and maybe

556
00:31:37.039 --> 00:31:39.359
<v Speaker 2>you wanted to go in this direction, is it is

557
00:31:41.079 --> 00:31:44.680
<v Speaker 2>one thing is what's this? Realignments also involved new coalitions

558
00:31:44.680 --> 00:31:46.880
<v Speaker 2>of voters. And that's why, by the way, eighteen ninety

559
00:31:46.920 --> 00:31:50.240
<v Speaker 2>six is considered a realigning election, as McKinley for Republicans

560
00:31:50.400 --> 00:31:53.240
<v Speaker 2>assembled a new coalition of voters going forward, and the

561
00:31:53.279 --> 00:31:55.640
<v Speaker 2>new deal does the same. Okay. One of the odd

562
00:31:55.680 --> 00:31:57.799
<v Speaker 2>things is if you look at Trump's cabinet picks, you

563
00:31:57.839 --> 00:32:01.000
<v Speaker 2>have some really solid people. You have some former Democrats

564
00:32:01.039 --> 00:32:04.599
<v Speaker 2>like Tulca Gabbard. Then you also have this Labor secretary pick,

565
00:32:04.680 --> 00:32:09.440
<v Speaker 2>this former Republican. Well, see, the thing is is Uh.

566
00:32:09.680 --> 00:32:12.319
<v Speaker 2>Everyone says she's pro labor and pro unions in a

567
00:32:12.319 --> 00:32:14.880
<v Speaker 2>way that has actually pleased even Randy Winegarden of the

568
00:32:14.920 --> 00:32:17.880
<v Speaker 2>American Federation of Teachers, who I think is a stalinist.

569
00:32:17.960 --> 00:32:21.000
<v Speaker 2>Really Uh, and that's what's going on here. I mean

570
00:32:21.079 --> 00:32:21.319
<v Speaker 2>that thing.

571
00:32:22.519 --> 00:32:27.640
<v Speaker 4>Don't forget my favorite, my epithet for her, the world's

572
00:32:27.720 --> 00:32:29.079
<v Speaker 4>worst female person.

573
00:32:30.960 --> 00:32:34.279
<v Speaker 2>That proud. Okay, here's the thing we've been hearing for

574
00:32:34.400 --> 00:32:35.160
<v Speaker 2>years now.

575
00:32:35.519 --> 00:32:35.640
<v Speaker 4>Uh.

576
00:32:35.960 --> 00:32:39.480
<v Speaker 2>That part of well, it's part of the working class, right. Uh.

577
00:32:39.799 --> 00:32:41.079
<v Speaker 2>And you have a lot of the people who are

578
00:32:41.079 --> 00:32:45.960
<v Speaker 2>in the nationalist conservative movement who are saying the conservative Republicans, Trump, whoever,

579
00:32:46.079 --> 00:32:49.160
<v Speaker 2>need to be more pro labor or more pro union.

580
00:32:49.240 --> 00:32:51.200
<v Speaker 2>And I think this is very problematic in a bunch

581
00:32:51.240 --> 00:32:55.079
<v Speaker 2>of ways. But this is an odd way. Possibly it

582
00:32:55.119 --> 00:32:58.720
<v Speaker 2>may be deliberate of wanting to, you know, reshape the coalitions.

583
00:32:59.000 --> 00:33:01.279
<v Speaker 2>I mean it was other time. Maybe we'll talk about

584
00:33:01.279 --> 00:33:06.759
<v Speaker 2>the tariff questions, and that's completely heterodox Republican economics. And

585
00:33:07.319 --> 00:33:08.839
<v Speaker 2>you know, Trump was kind of restrained about it in

586
00:33:08.880 --> 00:33:10.880
<v Speaker 2>his first term. He did some but I think now

587
00:33:10.880 --> 00:33:12.720
<v Speaker 2>we're going to get We're going to get it for real.

588
00:33:12.960 --> 00:33:17.200
<v Speaker 2>And that's would have been heresy up until Trump arrived

589
00:33:17.200 --> 00:33:17.799
<v Speaker 2>on the scene.

590
00:33:19.400 --> 00:33:22.119
<v Speaker 3>I mean that's true. I think you're seeing an economic

591
00:33:22.119 --> 00:33:25.480
<v Speaker 3>policy that would not really have been Reagan's economic policy.

592
00:33:25.599 --> 00:33:26.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

593
00:33:26.640 --> 00:33:26.720
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

594
00:33:27.000 --> 00:33:30.480
<v Speaker 3>And so that you have a kind of realignment of

595
00:33:30.480 --> 00:33:33.440
<v Speaker 3>the issues too, that may be part of a realignment

596
00:33:33.519 --> 00:33:36.160
<v Speaker 3>of the coalition, although, like I said, I don't think

597
00:33:36.240 --> 00:33:37.720
<v Speaker 3>we've seen enough yet in this election.

598
00:33:38.319 --> 00:33:42.519
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Let me add, you know, it's just as Trump

599
00:33:42.599 --> 00:33:45.920
<v Speaker 2>is going to Royal foreign policy with his heterodox views.

600
00:33:46.319 --> 00:33:48.880
<v Speaker 2>I'll add the good, the really unalloyed good part of

601
00:33:48.920 --> 00:33:51.240
<v Speaker 2>it is. You know, I know Chris Wright quite well,

602
00:33:51.279 --> 00:33:54.759
<v Speaker 2>his Energy Secretary designate, and Doug Burgham. I hear nothing

603
00:33:54.759 --> 00:33:57.279
<v Speaker 2>but good things about Actually Chris because he does a

604
00:33:57.279 --> 00:34:00.119
<v Speaker 2>lot of his oil drilling in North Dakota, knows Governor

605
00:34:00.440 --> 00:34:02.880
<v Speaker 2>quite well. So they don't need to get to know

606
00:34:02.920 --> 00:34:05.039
<v Speaker 2>each other. And I think they're not only going to

607
00:34:05.799 --> 00:34:09.320
<v Speaker 2>be aggressive about energy production at home. I think, together

608
00:34:09.800 --> 00:34:11.840
<v Speaker 2>with Trump and other people in the White House, they

609
00:34:11.840 --> 00:34:14.920
<v Speaker 2>are going to smash the little bits the entire international

610
00:34:15.000 --> 00:34:17.920
<v Speaker 2>energy climate nonsense. And in fact, you already see them

611
00:34:17.920 --> 00:34:20.000
<v Speaker 2>in retreat. But I think they're gonna smash what's left

612
00:34:20.000 --> 00:34:22.400
<v Speaker 2>of it into nothing before they're done, and that'll be

613
00:34:22.440 --> 00:34:23.719
<v Speaker 2>a great thing to watch.

614
00:34:28.920 --> 00:34:31.760
<v Speaker 4>About women. Wait, because I was forced to talk about women,

615
00:34:31.840 --> 00:34:35.440
<v Speaker 4>let me just say this really quickly, John, You know,

616
00:34:35.559 --> 00:34:40.360
<v Speaker 4>I could not be ungracious and decline the opportunity. Uh So,

617
00:34:40.400 --> 00:34:43.400
<v Speaker 4>what I really said was women were expected to vote

618
00:34:43.400 --> 00:34:46.039
<v Speaker 4>for kam Lem and Ding Dong. They didn't. I mean

619
00:34:46.039 --> 00:34:48.119
<v Speaker 4>they didn't in the numbers that they were expected to

620
00:34:48.360 --> 00:34:51.719
<v Speaker 4>that as a matter of fact, Trump is not going

621
00:34:51.760 --> 00:34:57.079
<v Speaker 4>to make them all wear handmaiden's costumes and take away

622
00:34:57.159 --> 00:34:59.440
<v Speaker 4>all of their rights and turn them into sex slaves.

623
00:34:59.440 --> 00:35:02.599
<v Speaker 4>And I don't know whatever else. I think that I

624
00:35:02.639 --> 00:35:06.400
<v Speaker 4>offended a few of the women lawsuits in the audience

625
00:35:06.599 --> 00:35:12.880
<v Speaker 4>because I was sort of unwilling to unwilling to couch

626
00:35:13.000 --> 00:35:18.400
<v Speaker 4>my remarks in the feminist terms. And anyway, I very

627
00:35:18.480 --> 00:35:21.400
<v Speaker 4>quickly brought it back to a subject that you know, matters.

628
00:35:21.800 --> 00:35:25.760
<v Speaker 4>Who cares about women? Sorry, I'm just kidding. All right,

629
00:35:25.840 --> 00:35:26.400
<v Speaker 4>that's enough of that.

630
00:35:27.760 --> 00:35:30.199
<v Speaker 2>Well, we did have that one. The student questions audience,

631
00:35:30.280 --> 00:35:32.320
<v Speaker 2>by the way, were great, but there was that one

632
00:35:32.440 --> 00:35:35.719
<v Speaker 2>lady who sounded like she attended an American university because

633
00:35:35.719 --> 00:35:38.199
<v Speaker 2>it's all about the patriarchy and being hostile to women.

634
00:35:38.320 --> 00:35:40.000
<v Speaker 2>That's sy What are you gonna do with this?

635
00:35:40.159 --> 00:35:40.239
<v Speaker 1>Oh?

636
00:35:40.320 --> 00:35:40.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's fun.

637
00:35:43.079 --> 00:35:45.679
<v Speaker 3>I will I will say that this, as far as

638
00:35:46.119 --> 00:35:49.960
<v Speaker 3>I can remember, this was Steve's favorite panel ever in history,

639
00:35:50.320 --> 00:35:53.760
<v Speaker 3>because at the end of the session all the students

640
00:35:53.960 --> 00:35:58.719
<v Speaker 3>crowded around Steve and basically ignored the rest of us after.

641
00:35:58.960 --> 00:36:02.000
<v Speaker 4>He was too lazy to get and Steve.

642
00:36:02.079 --> 00:36:02.719
<v Speaker 2>Steve did not.

643
00:36:02.960 --> 00:36:06.079
<v Speaker 3>This is also a first Steve refused to go to dinner.

644
00:36:06.800 --> 00:36:09.159
<v Speaker 3>Steve wanted to stay behind and talk with all the

645
00:36:09.239 --> 00:36:12.559
<v Speaker 3>students and had to be torn away from his new

646
00:36:12.679 --> 00:36:17.880
<v Speaker 3>Italian fan club. So let's move on, actually to another

647
00:36:17.960 --> 00:36:22.719
<v Speaker 3>related issue involving the new administration. What do you guys

648
00:36:22.880 --> 00:36:28.679
<v Speaker 3>make of this Department of Governmental Efficiency DOGE that's been

649
00:36:28.800 --> 00:36:32.320
<v Speaker 3>created by President Trump is being headed by Elon Musk

650
00:36:32.440 --> 00:36:37.639
<v Speaker 3>and Vivek Ramaswami. A strange committee that has no government authorities,

651
00:36:37.719 --> 00:36:40.239
<v Speaker 3>not actually to be located inside the government. It's going

652
00:36:40.280 --> 00:36:45.360
<v Speaker 3>to be outside the government and supposed to identify ways

653
00:36:45.440 --> 00:36:49.320
<v Speaker 3>to save money and shrink the government. Gosh, I remember

654
00:36:49.400 --> 00:36:52.199
<v Speaker 3>Reagan did something like this called the Grace Commission, And

655
00:36:52.480 --> 00:36:55.679
<v Speaker 3>I remember even Al Gore said that he was, yeah,

656
00:36:56.119 --> 00:36:58.639
<v Speaker 3>we may forget that we forget most things about al Gore,

657
00:36:58.679 --> 00:37:00.840
<v Speaker 3>but al Gore is vice president was also in charge

658
00:37:00.880 --> 00:37:05.440
<v Speaker 3>of a government committee to reduce fraud, waste, and abuse he.

659
00:37:05.440 --> 00:37:06.000
<v Speaker 2>Would call it.

660
00:37:06.880 --> 00:37:08.960
<v Speaker 3>So let's start with Steve this time. Steve, what do

661
00:37:09.079 --> 00:37:11.679
<v Speaker 3>you think of this committee? Do you think is just

662
00:37:13.039 --> 00:37:16.360
<v Speaker 3>political posturing? There's no real chance that such a committee

663
00:37:16.360 --> 00:37:19.400
<v Speaker 3>would actually succeed, That it will crash on the same

664
00:37:19.559 --> 00:37:23.719
<v Speaker 3>shoals of bureaucracy that have defeated numerous other efforts to

665
00:37:23.960 --> 00:37:26.159
<v Speaker 3>slim down the federal government. How much money can you

666
00:37:26.239 --> 00:37:30.320
<v Speaker 3>really save when we're spending so much money on entitlements

667
00:37:30.360 --> 00:37:31.960
<v Speaker 3>and interest on the national debt.

668
00:37:32.800 --> 00:37:34.679
<v Speaker 2>Steve, Yeah, all right, Well, well, first of all, let's

669
00:37:34.760 --> 00:37:36.800
<v Speaker 2>just stipulate and not waste time on the fact that

670
00:37:36.920 --> 00:37:39.159
<v Speaker 2>the real money is in the entitlements, and you're not

671
00:37:39.320 --> 00:37:41.760
<v Speaker 2>really going to shrink the deficit and the debt until

672
00:37:41.840 --> 00:37:43.239
<v Speaker 2>we get a handle on those, and that's not going

673
00:37:43.320 --> 00:37:46.239
<v Speaker 2>to happen anytime soon. I think that, unfortunately, it may

674
00:37:46.360 --> 00:37:50.480
<v Speaker 2>require a major financial crisis on the level the one

675
00:37:50.519 --> 00:37:52.320
<v Speaker 2>we had in two thousand and eight. But let's leave

676
00:37:52.360 --> 00:37:55.360
<v Speaker 2>that for another side. Trump is appointing people who understand

677
00:37:55.400 --> 00:37:57.760
<v Speaker 2>this problem, like our old friend Kevin Hassett is going

678
00:37:57.840 --> 00:38:00.119
<v Speaker 2>to go back in and he understands as well, so

679
00:38:00.239 --> 00:38:03.239
<v Speaker 2>we'll see. But look, I mean the Grace Commission you mentioned, John.

680
00:38:03.360 --> 00:38:05.280
<v Speaker 2>I wrote a piece about the lessons of the Grace

681
00:38:05.320 --> 00:38:08.880
<v Speaker 2>Commission for DOGE for our Political Question Substack a few

682
00:38:08.880 --> 00:38:11.320
<v Speaker 2>weeks ago. The Grace Commission is kind of thought of

683
00:38:11.360 --> 00:38:13.760
<v Speaker 2>as a bus They identified I think three hundred and

684
00:38:13.800 --> 00:38:16.559
<v Speaker 2>twenty five billion dollars of savings over three years that

685
00:38:16.760 --> 00:38:20.239
<v Speaker 2>was real money in nineteen eighty five, and the General

686
00:38:20.239 --> 00:38:23.440
<v Speaker 2>Accounting Office as it was called then, they said, yeah,

687
00:38:23.519 --> 00:38:25.880
<v Speaker 2>it looks more like ninety billion to us. A lot

688
00:38:25.920 --> 00:38:29.280
<v Speaker 2>of these savings aren't real, and there it is true

689
00:38:29.320 --> 00:38:32.039
<v Speaker 2>that some things were accounted for by the weird and

690
00:38:32.119 --> 00:38:36.519
<v Speaker 2>byzantine accounting of the federal government. And you can also say, well,

691
00:38:36.559 --> 00:38:39.679
<v Speaker 2>that's the government covering for itself. It's probably a valid

692
00:38:40.119 --> 00:38:42.800
<v Speaker 2>criticism to make. But the point is a commission, whether

693
00:38:42.840 --> 00:38:46.719
<v Speaker 2>it's official or not, that has the president's backing, especially

694
00:38:46.880 --> 00:38:50.320
<v Speaker 2>with an administration of this disposition, might actually make some headway.

695
00:38:50.360 --> 00:38:52.480
<v Speaker 2>So I'm optimistic about it. I'm sure they'll come up

696
00:38:52.519 --> 00:38:55.199
<v Speaker 2>with some really wild ideas that will be crazy. We

697
00:38:55.320 --> 00:38:57.119
<v Speaker 2>to'll probably come up with some good ones that get through.

698
00:38:57.599 --> 00:38:59.920
<v Speaker 2>But I think the model it ought to be followed.

699
00:39:00.199 --> 00:39:02.159
<v Speaker 2>I said, fine, if you don't like an unofficial commission,

700
00:39:02.519 --> 00:39:05.400
<v Speaker 2>let's have an official one. Why don't we recreate for

701
00:39:05.519 --> 00:39:08.880
<v Speaker 2>cutting the budget the something like the Base Closure Commission

702
00:39:08.920 --> 00:39:11.239
<v Speaker 2>of the nineteen nineties. I don't know if you remember that, John,

703
00:39:11.320 --> 00:39:14.440
<v Speaker 2>you were, you know, down Washington, right. And for listeners

704
00:39:14.480 --> 00:39:16.800
<v Speaker 2>who don't remember this, you know, after the Cold War

705
00:39:16.840 --> 00:39:19.239
<v Speaker 2>we had a lot of military bases we didn't need anymore.

706
00:39:20.079 --> 00:39:21.920
<v Speaker 2>It cost a lot of money. But the problem is

707
00:39:22.079 --> 00:39:24.760
<v Speaker 2>if you say let's close you know, Norton Air Force

708
00:39:24.840 --> 00:39:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Base in San Bernardino, the local California Congressional delegation will

709
00:39:29.119 --> 00:39:31.480
<v Speaker 2>scream and yell, oh, you can't do that. It's important

710
00:39:31.480 --> 00:39:34.920
<v Speaker 2>to the local economy. It has these functions and the

711
00:39:35.039 --> 00:39:37.880
<v Speaker 2>dynamics of politics and the House for such especially the House,

712
00:39:38.480 --> 00:39:40.719
<v Speaker 2>such that there'd be lag rolling going on. You know,

713
00:39:40.840 --> 00:39:42.840
<v Speaker 2>you give me your vote to keep this base open,

714
00:39:42.880 --> 00:39:45.320
<v Speaker 2>and all vote for your base, so you couldn't break

715
00:39:45.360 --> 00:39:48.039
<v Speaker 2>the logjam. And it was dick army, you know. It

716
00:39:48.119 --> 00:39:50.159
<v Speaker 2>came in part of the Gigrich Revolution. Is said, I

717
00:39:50.199 --> 00:39:52.840
<v Speaker 2>have an idea, Let's have a base closure commission that

718
00:39:52.960 --> 00:39:55.719
<v Speaker 2>tries to weigh on the merits what basis should be closed.

719
00:39:56.159 --> 00:39:58.119
<v Speaker 2>And the deal that Congress had to vote for to

720
00:39:58.159 --> 00:40:00.920
<v Speaker 2>set it up was the commission will send back their

721
00:40:01.039 --> 00:40:03.599
<v Speaker 2>list of base closures and Congress has to vote it

722
00:40:03.800 --> 00:40:07.880
<v Speaker 2>up or down, with no amendments, no fiddling around, no exceptions.

723
00:40:08.280 --> 00:40:13.039
<v Speaker 2>And that worked. Now it's hard hard, well, I know there, No,

724
00:40:13.159 --> 00:40:17.039
<v Speaker 2>I know, yes, I understand. No, listen, I understand how

725
00:40:17.079 --> 00:40:20.400
<v Speaker 2>the politics went on the commission itself. However, in terms

726
00:40:20.440 --> 00:40:23.599
<v Speaker 2>of actually doing something rather than nothing, it is a

727
00:40:23.719 --> 00:40:27.519
<v Speaker 2>relative success, I think. But forget whether that particular case.

728
00:40:27.599 --> 00:40:30.760
<v Speaker 2>How about a budget cutting commission? Uh, and again it'd

729
00:40:30.800 --> 00:40:33.440
<v Speaker 2>be subject to massive political pressure. But what about that

730
00:40:33.599 --> 00:40:36.239
<v Speaker 2>vehicle of saying to Congress, Okay, here's things we can

731
00:40:36.320 --> 00:40:39.119
<v Speaker 2>start to cut up or down, vote no, you know, no,

732
00:40:40.679 --> 00:40:43.039
<v Speaker 2>no amendments and so forth. And maybe that's something we

733
00:40:43.119 --> 00:40:43.679
<v Speaker 2>got to propose.

734
00:40:43.920 --> 00:40:46.119
<v Speaker 4>We didn't we had that. What the heck was it

735
00:40:46.519 --> 00:40:50.360
<v Speaker 4>the guy from Texas that brought about sequestration. They tried

736
00:40:50.400 --> 00:40:51.159
<v Speaker 4>that one that was.

737
00:40:52.079 --> 00:40:54.239
<v Speaker 2>But that was that was but that was sort of

738
00:40:54.960 --> 00:40:57.079
<v Speaker 2>yes and no, that was sort of automatic cuts that

739
00:40:57.199 --> 00:40:59.039
<v Speaker 2>kicked in and we tried it again. By the way,

740
00:40:59.119 --> 00:41:04.119
<v Speaker 2>under George w USh, I think under Obama, but actum Obama.

741
00:41:04.280 --> 00:41:07.800
<v Speaker 4>OK. So I'm going to disagree with Steve never mind

742
00:41:07.840 --> 00:41:11.880
<v Speaker 4>about Brack. By the way, I I can't get upset

743
00:41:11.880 --> 00:41:14.800
<v Speaker 4>about Brack because I of course live right next to

744
00:41:15.079 --> 00:41:19.079
<v Speaker 4>an army base that has lost since we lost John McCain. Uh,

745
00:41:19.559 --> 00:41:22.360
<v Speaker 4>we've got idiots for senators now, or at least in

746
00:41:22.719 --> 00:41:26.159
<v Speaker 4>Mark Kelly. We have lost quite a few missions from

747
00:41:26.360 --> 00:41:28.960
<v Speaker 4>Fort wa Chuka over the years because we don't We've

748
00:41:29.039 --> 00:41:32.679
<v Speaker 4>lost them to you'll never guess Alabama. But anyway, that

749
00:41:32.880 --> 00:41:40.519
<v Speaker 4>being said, Uh, the Lucreatia compound was immeasurably benefited by

750
00:41:40.559 --> 00:41:46.239
<v Speaker 4>the last BRAC because they talked seriously about shutting down.

751
00:41:47.000 --> 00:41:49.840
<v Speaker 4>Uh that so, so we were able to buy a

752
00:41:50.000 --> 00:41:53.480
<v Speaker 4>new piece of property to build a house on at

753
00:41:53.639 --> 00:41:58.159
<v Speaker 4>a tiny fraction because BRACK was looming. And then Brack

754
00:41:58.239 --> 00:42:01.320
<v Speaker 4>came through and said it was going to you know,

755
00:42:01.840 --> 00:42:03.679
<v Speaker 4>my army base was going to stay open, and so

756
00:42:04.280 --> 00:42:07.039
<v Speaker 4>we sold the house we were living in for a

757
00:42:07.239 --> 00:42:11.039
<v Speaker 4>ridiculous amount of money. So I'm happy about Brack and

758
00:42:11.119 --> 00:42:13.000
<v Speaker 4>all of that. I'm not saying that, but there was

759
00:42:13.039 --> 00:42:15.000
<v Speaker 4>a lot more politics to it than you're giving it

760
00:42:15.079 --> 00:42:18.760
<v Speaker 4>credit for, Steve. But anyway back to your argument that

761
00:42:18.840 --> 00:42:21.239
<v Speaker 4>it should be official and not official. The first thing

762
00:42:21.360 --> 00:42:24.599
<v Speaker 4>I thought of when I saw a Department of Government

763
00:42:24.719 --> 00:42:30.280
<v Speaker 4>Efficiency inside of the government was laughing out loud, right,

764
00:42:30.559 --> 00:42:33.000
<v Speaker 4>I mean, the only reason you can take it seriously

765
00:42:33.119 --> 00:42:37.199
<v Speaker 4>is because it's an unofficial commission. And you know, because

766
00:42:37.280 --> 00:42:40.599
<v Speaker 4>every it's like something out of a Joseph Heller novel,

767
00:42:40.719 --> 00:42:43.920
<v Speaker 4>the Department of Government Efficiency that's going to cut government.

768
00:42:43.960 --> 00:42:46.880
<v Speaker 4>But the fact a, I know that probably most of

769
00:42:46.880 --> 00:42:49.679
<v Speaker 4>the people that work for DOGE are going to be paid,

770
00:42:49.800 --> 00:42:56.159
<v Speaker 4>but Vivek and Elon are both volunteers. They're taking no

771
00:42:56.280 --> 00:42:59.639
<v Speaker 4>money for this. They're doing this out of altruism, whatever

772
00:42:59.679 --> 00:43:03.000
<v Speaker 4>you want. So let's hope that out of this they

773
00:43:03.039 --> 00:43:05.519
<v Speaker 4>can do things like I saw today that they're planning

774
00:43:05.599 --> 00:43:11.880
<v Speaker 4>on moving many, many, many, many of the bureaucrats that

775
00:43:11.880 --> 00:43:14.440
<v Speaker 4>they're not getting rid of out of Washington, d C

776
00:43:14.599 --> 00:43:17.559
<v Speaker 4>or the Washington DC area and into parts of the

777
00:43:17.599 --> 00:43:21.719
<v Speaker 4>country where they're actually relevant. And think what that will

778
00:43:21.760 --> 00:43:25.119
<v Speaker 4>do for housing prices in Washington, d C, which are

779
00:43:25.159 --> 00:43:29.079
<v Speaker 4>the highest. Think what that will do for you Maryland

780
00:43:29.159 --> 00:43:35.400
<v Speaker 4>and those really poorly governed states, Maryland, to some extent Virginia,

781
00:43:35.639 --> 00:43:38.679
<v Speaker 4>but much more the case Maryland, Delaware. All of those

782
00:43:38.719 --> 00:43:41.440
<v Speaker 4>places will actually have to do, if they're successful at

783
00:43:41.480 --> 00:43:44.760
<v Speaker 4>this do without those incredible tax revenues that come in

784
00:43:44.880 --> 00:43:48.519
<v Speaker 4>from all of those overpaid federal employees working in Washington,

785
00:43:48.599 --> 00:43:51.440
<v Speaker 4>d C. Who not only are overpaid, but the cost

786
00:43:51.519 --> 00:43:55.199
<v Speaker 4>of living the cola increases are the cola extra pay

787
00:43:55.320 --> 00:43:57.400
<v Speaker 4>is ridiculous. So that's my thought on the matter. I

788
00:43:57.440 --> 00:44:00.159
<v Speaker 4>don't want it to be official, Steve Well.

789
00:44:00.199 --> 00:44:05.000
<v Speaker 3>One thing that's going to be required is congressional approval

790
00:44:05.039 --> 00:44:08.960
<v Speaker 3>and cooperation. One of the proposals I saw Elon Musk

791
00:44:09.559 --> 00:44:12.280
<v Speaker 3>came out with two days ago was let's get rid

792
00:44:12.280 --> 00:44:16.079
<v Speaker 3>of the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. I totally agree, but

793
00:44:16.800 --> 00:44:18.800
<v Speaker 3>you'd have to get Congress to pass the law. You know,

794
00:44:18.880 --> 00:44:22.239
<v Speaker 3>the president can't just shut an agency down and return

795
00:44:22.320 --> 00:44:24.599
<v Speaker 3>the money, although that might bring us to an interesting

796
00:44:24.880 --> 00:44:29.000
<v Speaker 3>constitutional confrontation because there's also a word that President Trump

797
00:44:29.079 --> 00:44:33.360
<v Speaker 3>wants to revive the empowerment power and actually claim that

798
00:44:33.480 --> 00:44:37.920
<v Speaker 3>the president has the constitutional authority not to fully spend

799
00:44:38.559 --> 00:44:43.159
<v Speaker 3>appropriated funds. This actually was something that Thomas Jefferson did

800
00:44:43.360 --> 00:44:47.320
<v Speaker 3>and many presidents did all the way through till Richard Nixon,

801
00:44:48.800 --> 00:44:53.280
<v Speaker 3>and because of Watergate, Richard Nixon provoked a bill passed

802
00:44:53.320 --> 00:44:55.760
<v Speaker 3>by Congress called the was it called the Budget Empowerment

803
00:44:56.079 --> 00:44:58.000
<v Speaker 3>and Control control.

804
00:44:58.400 --> 00:44:59.159
<v Speaker 2>That prohibits it.

805
00:44:59.320 --> 00:45:01.599
<v Speaker 3>And also this Supreme Court is in decision a case

806
00:45:01.639 --> 00:45:04.599
<v Speaker 3>called Train, which I teach in class, which also held

807
00:45:04.639 --> 00:45:08.559
<v Speaker 3>that the president had no constitutional authority to refuse to

808
00:45:08.679 --> 00:45:12.280
<v Speaker 3>carry out an appropriation. Although who knows, we may see

809
00:45:12.280 --> 00:45:14.239
<v Speaker 3>a different outcome of this went to the Supreme Court

810
00:45:14.719 --> 00:45:15.159
<v Speaker 3>this time.

811
00:45:15.639 --> 00:45:18.800
<v Speaker 2>Steve Well, is that that that Train case was that

812
00:45:18.960 --> 00:45:22.800
<v Speaker 2>Russell Train, the administrator of a certain particular agency was

813
00:45:22.840 --> 00:45:23.960
<v Speaker 2>see that you don't remember.

814
00:45:24.280 --> 00:45:28.320
<v Speaker 3>It is to go unnamed Steve unnamed Well.

815
00:45:28.920 --> 00:45:31.159
<v Speaker 2>That was very sneaky of you. I know it was.

816
00:45:31.199 --> 00:45:33.159
<v Speaker 2>I was trying to get back at you for the utilitarianism,

817
00:45:33.239 --> 00:45:37.920
<v Speaker 2>cost benefit and market the outset. Look. I mean, I've

818
00:45:37.920 --> 00:45:38.599
<v Speaker 2>always thought that.

819
00:45:38.960 --> 00:45:43.039
<v Speaker 3>By the way, it is Trained versus City of New York. Okay,

820
00:45:43.679 --> 00:45:46.079
<v Speaker 3>yes it is, and it is an environmental law case.

821
00:45:46.079 --> 00:45:49.119
<v Speaker 3>I'm sure Training is one of the figures that you

822
00:45:49.280 --> 00:45:51.960
<v Speaker 3>have in portraiture on in your Office of the UK

823
00:45:52.119 --> 00:45:53.599
<v Speaker 3>Administrators every years.

824
00:45:53.800 --> 00:45:56.400
<v Speaker 2>I believe Russell Train was the first administrator of the

825
00:45:56.440 --> 00:46:03.000
<v Speaker 2>e PA when Nixon created it and anyway. So look,

826
00:46:03.039 --> 00:46:06.239
<v Speaker 2>I've always thought that, but I haven't looked at it closely.

827
00:46:06.320 --> 00:46:08.119
<v Speaker 2>So this is just off the top of my head

828
00:46:08.719 --> 00:46:13.639
<v Speaker 2>that that Budget can Empaunment Control Act was perhaps unconstitutional

829
00:46:13.800 --> 00:46:17.480
<v Speaker 2>or at least challengeable. Maybe not, I don't know. Yeah,

830
00:46:17.920 --> 00:46:23.519
<v Speaker 2>And as an empirical matter, federal spending really started galloping

831
00:46:23.559 --> 00:46:26.440
<v Speaker 2>ahead after that act passed. I mean had already grown

832
00:46:26.480 --> 00:46:28.960
<v Speaker 2>a lot through you know, great Society and the Nix's

833
00:46:29.000 --> 00:46:32.039
<v Speaker 2>to presidencies. But that took off the last restraints the

834
00:46:32.119 --> 00:46:35.079
<v Speaker 2>executive had to you might say, arm wrestle with Congress

835
00:46:35.199 --> 00:46:39.039
<v Speaker 2>overspending because now you've got to veto everything, and they

836
00:46:39.159 --> 00:46:41.440
<v Speaker 2>passed over your vetos and anyway, So I think that's

837
00:46:41.440 --> 00:46:43.599
<v Speaker 2>been a very bad thing. Oh, by the way, the

838
00:46:43.639 --> 00:46:45.800
<v Speaker 2>other side of the deal was Congress was supposed to

839
00:46:45.840 --> 00:46:48.800
<v Speaker 2>have this new budget process where they pass it's elaborate,

840
00:46:48.840 --> 00:46:52.199
<v Speaker 2>but you pass thirteen separate appropriation bills for the major

841
00:46:52.679 --> 00:46:55.119
<v Speaker 2>cabinet agencies and departments of government. And I think they've

842
00:46:55.199 --> 00:46:59.000
<v Speaker 2>only gone according to process twice in almost fifty years.

843
00:46:59.800 --> 00:47:04.480
<v Speaker 2>And some presidents Republicans usually Reagan, complain about very late

844
00:47:04.639 --> 00:47:07.960
<v Speaker 2>in his administration too late in my opinion, you know,

845
00:47:08.039 --> 00:47:09.880
<v Speaker 2>sit still for this and this is what's led to

846
00:47:09.920 --> 00:47:13.039
<v Speaker 2>the government shutdowns and these omnibus bills every year that

847
00:47:13.119 --> 00:47:16.440
<v Speaker 2>are just a travesty. So I think it'd be very

848
00:47:16.519 --> 00:47:18.840
<v Speaker 2>much worth challenging it. And you know, let Trump get

849
00:47:18.880 --> 00:47:21.559
<v Speaker 2>sued by fifty different people all over the you know,

850
00:47:21.639 --> 00:47:24.960
<v Speaker 2>all over the country, and it could be fun to

851
00:47:25.280 --> 00:47:27.679
<v Speaker 2>see how that turns out. It certainly it'll fight worth having.

852
00:47:28.559 --> 00:47:30.440
<v Speaker 4>So I would go back for a moment to what

853
00:47:30.519 --> 00:47:33.280
<v Speaker 4>we discussed near the beginning, and that is whether or

854
00:47:33.280 --> 00:47:36.239
<v Speaker 4>not this is a mandate and a landslide, because if

855
00:47:36.320 --> 00:47:39.119
<v Speaker 4>you're going to talk about the Budget Impendment and Control

856
00:47:39.199 --> 00:47:41.559
<v Speaker 4>Act of nineteen seventy four.

857
00:47:42.039 --> 00:47:43.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, fifty years old, right.

858
00:47:44.079 --> 00:47:48.239
<v Speaker 4>No, No, nineteen seventy four Watergate. So right, Here's here's

859
00:47:48.360 --> 00:47:51.320
<v Speaker 4>my quick off the cuff theory about all of that,

860
00:47:51.559 --> 00:47:56.159
<v Speaker 4>and that is that Nixon's Nixon's failures in many ways,

861
00:47:56.239 --> 00:48:00.440
<v Speaker 4>and the failures of Republicans afterwards to challenge the growing bwocracy,

862
00:48:00.559 --> 00:48:05.360
<v Speaker 4>to challenge the left's cultural takeover of our federal government

863
00:48:05.719 --> 00:48:08.519
<v Speaker 4>had to do with the fact that Nixon was was

864
00:48:08.960 --> 00:48:14.000
<v Speaker 4>bowed and defeated by the legal system. Now, you know,

865
00:48:14.159 --> 00:48:17.400
<v Speaker 4>we could spend all day talking about Watergate. I don't

866
00:48:17.400 --> 00:48:19.679
<v Speaker 4>intend to do that today, but one could have made

867
00:48:19.719 --> 00:48:23.400
<v Speaker 4>the argument just as easily that Nixon didn't deserve what

868
00:48:23.519 --> 00:48:25.719
<v Speaker 4>happened to him. He certainly didn't, he wouldn't have he

869
00:48:25.760 --> 00:48:29.400
<v Speaker 4>shouldn't have been impeached, et cetera, et cetera. Regardless he did,

870
00:48:29.559 --> 00:48:32.800
<v Speaker 4>he was defeated, and he and he resigned. Trump, on

871
00:48:32.880 --> 00:48:38.280
<v Speaker 4>the other hand, refused, absolutely refused to be defeated. And

872
00:48:38.960 --> 00:48:40.880
<v Speaker 4>I mean, how many of us really thought that that

873
00:48:41.519 --> 00:48:44.679
<v Speaker 4>every single one of those law fair cases against Trump

874
00:48:45.079 --> 00:48:48.519
<v Speaker 4>would fail and fail as miserably as they had. I'm sure,

875
00:48:48.840 --> 00:48:52.159
<v Speaker 4>I know I was worried. I was. I thought they

876
00:48:52.199 --> 00:48:54.280
<v Speaker 4>were all bogus, but I was worried that they would

877
00:48:54.280 --> 00:48:57.079
<v Speaker 4>be successful. Not only were they not successful, they made

878
00:48:57.159 --> 00:49:03.280
<v Speaker 4>him stronger, and so thinking about thinking about an assault

879
00:49:03.559 --> 00:49:07.800
<v Speaker 4>on entrenched bureaucracy and government spending in all of those things.

880
00:49:08.199 --> 00:49:11.800
<v Speaker 4>From the point of view of someone victorious versus someone

881
00:49:12.440 --> 00:49:16.599
<v Speaker 4>constantly hampered by law fair or you know, even Reagan

882
00:49:16.719 --> 00:49:22.079
<v Speaker 4>with around contra, I think Trump has a chance because

883
00:49:22.119 --> 00:49:25.480
<v Speaker 4>he doesn't give a damn and why should he. You know, everybody,

884
00:49:25.639 --> 00:49:28.920
<v Speaker 4>every other Republican wants. You know, people don't like them

885
00:49:29.239 --> 00:49:33.880
<v Speaker 4>and Trump. I mean, why would Trump like a single

886
00:49:34.039 --> 00:49:37.119
<v Speaker 4>person on the left or in the squishy middle that

887
00:49:37.159 --> 00:49:39.719
<v Speaker 4>didn't stand up for him? He owes those people nothing,

888
00:49:40.360 --> 00:49:43.079
<v Speaker 4>and Elon muscows those people nothing. You know, talk we

889
00:49:43.400 --> 00:49:45.800
<v Speaker 4>never talk about the fact that Elon Musk, even more

890
00:49:45.840 --> 00:49:51.000
<v Speaker 4>so than Trump, is being persecuted and prosecuted from every angle.

891
00:49:51.199 --> 00:49:54.159
<v Speaker 4>I think I saw something that almost every single agency

892
00:49:54.639 --> 00:49:58.000
<v Speaker 4>has some kind of what would the right word be,

893
00:49:58.519 --> 00:50:05.599
<v Speaker 4>persecution against Elon Musk for some violation of some stupid regulation. Right,

894
00:50:05.719 --> 00:50:06.719
<v Speaker 4>So who cares?

895
00:50:07.320 --> 00:50:09.119
<v Speaker 2>Can I just add a little bit to that. I

896
00:50:09.159 --> 00:50:13.639
<v Speaker 2>have a somewhat different narrative than Lucretia, but it parallels hers.

897
00:50:14.480 --> 00:50:17.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, there's a moment after the seventy two landslide

898
00:50:17.280 --> 00:50:20.480
<v Speaker 2>when Nixon, This is well documented in a couple of

899
00:50:20.559 --> 00:50:23.360
<v Speaker 2>places that most people never pay attention to. But after

900
00:50:23.440 --> 00:50:26.840
<v Speaker 2>that massive landslide, which had little, very little coattails, he

901
00:50:26.880 --> 00:50:29.280
<v Speaker 2>didn't bring in a lot of Republicans with him. But

902
00:50:29.440 --> 00:50:32.280
<v Speaker 2>Nixon had so much contempt for Congress and his own

903
00:50:32.320 --> 00:50:35.320
<v Speaker 2>party in Congress that he actually amused aloud to people

904
00:50:35.320 --> 00:50:37.800
<v Speaker 2>about maybe I should start a third party. Now this

905
00:50:37.920 --> 00:50:40.280
<v Speaker 2>went nowhere, of course, but the point is that kind

906
00:50:40.320 --> 00:50:43.280
<v Speaker 2>of sounds like trump pianism, right is populism or rejection

907
00:50:43.400 --> 00:50:46.719
<v Speaker 2>of both party establishments. And why this is important is

908
00:50:47.760 --> 00:50:51.519
<v Speaker 2>part of the fury against Nixon from the left, beside

909
00:50:51.559 --> 00:50:54.400
<v Speaker 2>the fact that they hated him viscerally, was that he

910
00:50:54.599 --> 00:50:58.119
<v Speaker 2>did intend on a serious attack on the bureaucracy and

911
00:50:58.239 --> 00:51:01.599
<v Speaker 2>on the indiscipline of Congress. Cresci's dodggerhead. She knows the story.

912
00:51:01.840 --> 00:51:04.000
<v Speaker 2>It's the story John Marine and others tell very well.

913
00:51:04.719 --> 00:51:07.960
<v Speaker 2>And you know, the view was among that spread even

914
00:51:08.039 --> 00:51:11.079
<v Speaker 2>to some Republicans, is Mixon has to be stopped. And

915
00:51:11.159 --> 00:51:13.840
<v Speaker 2>here was the excuse to do it. Right now, in hindsight,

916
00:51:14.440 --> 00:51:17.000
<v Speaker 2>I think there's the growing I'll just mention here in

917
00:51:17.039 --> 00:51:20.280
<v Speaker 2>passing that I just finished today writing a long review

918
00:51:20.559 --> 00:51:23.280
<v Speaker 2>of a memoir of Pennkachigian, who was you know that's

919
00:51:23.519 --> 00:51:26.360
<v Speaker 2>a speechwriter for Reagan. But also I didn't know this.

920
00:51:26.679 --> 00:51:29.320
<v Speaker 2>He was one of the diehards in the Nixon White House,

921
00:51:29.360 --> 00:51:31.960
<v Speaker 2>along with Bruce Hurschinson and three or four other people

922
00:51:32.039 --> 00:51:35.519
<v Speaker 2>saying mister President, don't resign. You fight this to the end,

923
00:51:35.559 --> 00:51:38.119
<v Speaker 2>and we think you can beat it, but al Hag

924
00:51:38.199 --> 00:51:39.559
<v Speaker 2>and others said, no, no, you got to go to

925
00:51:39.760 --> 00:51:41.599
<v Speaker 2>never mind the details of that. But I thought I

926
00:51:41.679 --> 00:51:43.400
<v Speaker 2>was interesting to learn that about Ken, who I know

927
00:51:43.559 --> 00:51:46.800
<v Speaker 2>slightly and is a very good guy. But I think now,

928
00:51:47.000 --> 00:51:50.119
<v Speaker 2>looking back in hindsight, more and more serious people say,

929
00:51:50.280 --> 00:51:54.039
<v Speaker 2>you know, boy, did we get all that? Not entirely wrong?

930
00:51:54.159 --> 00:51:56.480
<v Speaker 2>But there was another side of that story. Nixon might

931
00:51:56.519 --> 00:51:59.400
<v Speaker 2>well have survived. It would require several things to have

932
00:51:59.480 --> 00:52:02.079
<v Speaker 2>been done differently than they did. And I'll bet if

933
00:52:02.159 --> 00:52:05.559
<v Speaker 2>Nixon were alive today, he'd be looking at Trump. He'd

934
00:52:05.599 --> 00:52:09.159
<v Speaker 2>be nodding his head and saying, damn, that guy is

935
00:52:09.320 --> 00:52:12.199
<v Speaker 2>good and I should have been like that. So I

936
00:52:12.280 --> 00:52:14.280
<v Speaker 2>don't know, a few stray thoughts and all that.

937
00:52:14.760 --> 00:52:18.559
<v Speaker 3>And just to follow a note of dissent, I think

938
00:52:18.719 --> 00:52:21.960
<v Speaker 3>Nixon is actually a bad fellow and should not have remained.

939
00:52:23.280 --> 00:52:26.280
<v Speaker 3>We could we could have that debate later, I mean

940
00:52:28.440 --> 00:52:30.920
<v Speaker 3>the construction of justice. And he was on the tape.

941
00:52:31.880 --> 00:52:35.320
<v Speaker 2>Uh well, we won't get off into that. I helped

942
00:52:35.559 --> 00:52:37.679
<v Speaker 2>Shepherd on once to talk about I will just say,

943
00:52:37.840 --> 00:52:41.599
<v Speaker 2>uh uh in Nixon's first term was a disaster substantively,

944
00:52:41.719 --> 00:52:43.880
<v Speaker 2>And that's why, you know, my old Palace, stad Evans said,

945
00:52:43.880 --> 00:52:46.159
<v Speaker 2>I didn't like Nixon until after Watergate, because you know,

946
00:52:46.800 --> 00:52:49.800
<v Speaker 2>after wage and price controls and the EPA and opening

947
00:52:49.880 --> 00:52:52.039
<v Speaker 2>the China, Watergate was a breath of fresh air. I

948
00:52:52.079 --> 00:52:52.639
<v Speaker 2>always liked that.

949
00:52:53.679 --> 00:52:56.199
<v Speaker 3>So why don't we turn to the Let's see, we

950
00:52:56.280 --> 00:53:01.320
<v Speaker 3>have a actually last issue, which is President Trump had

951
00:53:01.360 --> 00:53:06.360
<v Speaker 3>a little phone call with the president of Mexico and apparently,

952
00:53:06.480 --> 00:53:11.400
<v Speaker 3>according to the Trump side of the call, the president

953
00:53:11.440 --> 00:53:16.119
<v Speaker 3>of Mexico's agreed to reduce immigration into the United States

954
00:53:16.360 --> 00:53:19.320
<v Speaker 3>and to try to stop the flow fuendol into the

955
00:53:19.400 --> 00:53:23.920
<v Speaker 3>United States. So that brings to my two questions, what

956
00:53:24.039 --> 00:53:26.440
<v Speaker 3>do you think is really going to happen with Trump

957
00:53:26.519 --> 00:53:27.159
<v Speaker 3>and immigration?

958
00:53:27.920 --> 00:53:28.840
<v Speaker 2>Are there enough resource?

959
00:53:28.960 --> 00:53:33.880
<v Speaker 3>Congress is going to provide enough resources for the Immigration

960
00:53:34.000 --> 00:53:38.159
<v Speaker 3>and Citizenship Service, now headed by fellowing Tom Homan, to

961
00:53:38.239 --> 00:53:42.679
<v Speaker 3>actually go out and remove millions of illegal aliens in

962
00:53:42.760 --> 00:53:44.880
<v Speaker 3>the country. Will it may actually make a difference?

963
00:53:45.760 --> 00:53:46.679
<v Speaker 2>That's one? And then two.

964
00:53:46.800 --> 00:53:51.920
<v Speaker 3>Is Trump already having an effect on immigration just by

965
00:53:52.119 --> 00:53:54.480
<v Speaker 3>threatening to do it? And is it going to be

966
00:53:54.519 --> 00:53:58.000
<v Speaker 3>able to change the flow of immigration and I guess

967
00:53:58.159 --> 00:54:01.199
<v Speaker 3>drugs into the country, whereas Mexico just going to wait

968
00:54:01.199 --> 00:54:03.760
<v Speaker 3>a mout that it did last time. So let's start

969
00:54:03.760 --> 00:54:04.320
<v Speaker 3>with lucretia.

970
00:54:05.119 --> 00:54:08.079
<v Speaker 4>Yep, I think so. And here's one of the things

971
00:54:08.119 --> 00:54:11.760
<v Speaker 4>you have to remember, is there really is how do

972
00:54:11.840 --> 00:54:17.360
<v Speaker 4>I but it makes a difference what the official attitude

973
00:54:17.400 --> 00:54:20.519
<v Speaker 4>I don't want to even say policy attitude coming from Washington,

974
00:54:20.599 --> 00:54:23.119
<v Speaker 4>d C. Is So I know I've said this before,

975
00:54:23.119 --> 00:54:25.920
<v Speaker 4>I say it quickly. When SB ten seventy passed in Arizona,

976
00:54:26.559 --> 00:54:31.679
<v Speaker 4>illegal immigration stopped behind my house. It was a nightly thing.

977
00:54:32.320 --> 00:54:34.800
<v Speaker 4>There was trash, there was do you know that it

978
00:54:34.960 --> 00:54:38.199
<v Speaker 4>was constant, the flow of illegal immigrants behind my house.

979
00:54:38.280 --> 00:54:41.480
<v Speaker 4>It stopped literally after SB ten seventy was passed. It

980
00:54:41.719 --> 00:54:45.039
<v Speaker 4>never quite picked up as much. They found different routes

981
00:54:45.159 --> 00:54:48.800
<v Speaker 4>after much of it was overturned. Here's the point. If

982
00:54:48.880 --> 00:54:52.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, if you're an illegal immigrant and Biden is

983
00:54:53.039 --> 00:54:56.000
<v Speaker 4>promising that you can come in, Biden is promising you

984
00:54:57.880 --> 00:55:01.320
<v Speaker 4>that you will be transpor to someplace else in the

985
00:55:01.360 --> 00:55:03.400
<v Speaker 4>country and then you can go there and you can

986
00:55:03.480 --> 00:55:07.239
<v Speaker 4>get welfare, you can get you know, EBT cards or whatever,

987
00:55:07.360 --> 00:55:10.159
<v Speaker 4>all of the different things that happened. Why not come

988
00:55:10.280 --> 00:55:13.119
<v Speaker 4>here And you can say, well, you shouldn't be breaking

989
00:55:13.199 --> 00:55:15.559
<v Speaker 4>the law. But if you're from a poor country. On

990
00:55:15.639 --> 00:55:18.000
<v Speaker 4>the other hand, if you make it very very clear

991
00:55:18.119 --> 00:55:21.519
<v Speaker 4>that you come here, you're likely to be deported. You're

992
00:55:21.599 --> 00:55:23.679
<v Speaker 4>not going to be sent to live with some distant

993
00:55:23.760 --> 00:55:29.280
<v Speaker 4>family member. So you stop the large swath of persons

994
00:55:29.320 --> 00:55:32.280
<v Speaker 4>who were just coming here genuinely looking for a better life.

995
00:55:34.079 --> 00:55:36.440
<v Speaker 4>I am being sincere about that, despite the fact that

996
00:55:36.440 --> 00:55:39.760
<v Speaker 4>they're felons. They were. But when you stop that massive

997
00:55:39.840 --> 00:55:43.760
<v Speaker 4>amount of illegal immigration, because people know that it's not

998
00:55:43.960 --> 00:55:47.480
<v Speaker 4>going to be easy if they get here, then it's

999
00:55:47.639 --> 00:55:51.639
<v Speaker 4>harder for the cartels and all those other people that

1000
00:55:51.840 --> 00:55:56.559
<v Speaker 4>are exploiting you know, child sex trafficking, women's sex trafficking,

1001
00:55:57.039 --> 00:56:01.440
<v Speaker 4>et cetera, and the fentanyl and the drugs. It's harder

1002
00:56:01.480 --> 00:56:05.800
<v Speaker 4>for them to mask their activities under the flow of

1003
00:56:05.880 --> 00:56:10.239
<v Speaker 4>illegal immigrants. That's what I would say, is thing one.

1004
00:56:10.440 --> 00:56:13.800
<v Speaker 4>Thing two. I am not entirely convinced that you would

1005
00:56:13.880 --> 00:56:19.320
<v Speaker 4>need to raise the to increase the resources being given

1006
00:56:19.400 --> 00:56:23.079
<v Speaker 4>to ICE and HSI and so forth. Why because massive

1007
00:56:23.199 --> 00:56:28.760
<v Speaker 4>numbers of those people are currently babysitting processing taking care

1008
00:56:28.800 --> 00:56:32.800
<v Speaker 4>of illegal immigrants as they come across the border. They're

1009
00:56:33.039 --> 00:56:39.519
<v Speaker 4>no longer doing enforcement activities. They're basically welfare workers and

1010
00:56:39.679 --> 00:56:42.159
<v Speaker 4>so if you and they don't like it. By the way,

1011
00:56:42.239 --> 00:56:45.760
<v Speaker 4>they're not happy. I talk to agents all the time.

1012
00:56:45.800 --> 00:56:48.440
<v Speaker 4>They're not happy doing paperwork all day long. They're not

1013
00:56:48.599 --> 00:56:52.559
<v Speaker 4>happy taking care of children who are supposedly, you know,

1014
00:56:52.960 --> 00:56:55.880
<v Speaker 4>being reunited with their parents and things like that. They

1015
00:56:55.920 --> 00:56:58.960
<v Speaker 4>would much rather be out there enforcing the law. And

1016
00:56:59.280 --> 00:57:05.760
<v Speaker 4>you know they've ICE has simply hemorrhaged agents over the

1017
00:57:05.880 --> 00:57:09.800
<v Speaker 4>last four years. And so my point is, maybe it's

1018
00:57:09.840 --> 00:57:15.199
<v Speaker 4>going to take additional resources, maybe not. And then I

1019
00:57:15.280 --> 00:57:18.880
<v Speaker 4>think you'd actually find National Guard activity in some of

1020
00:57:18.960 --> 00:57:22.239
<v Speaker 4>these states, if it all can be done legally and constitutionally,

1021
00:57:22.559 --> 00:57:25.480
<v Speaker 4>willing to help out. Not in Arizona. While we've got

1022
00:57:25.519 --> 00:57:28.639
<v Speaker 4>that twit Katie Hobbs as governor, but she won't last

1023
00:57:28.760 --> 00:57:32.840
<v Speaker 4>much longer. So anyway, that's my thought. Steve's laughing at me.

1024
00:57:33.000 --> 00:57:35.519
<v Speaker 4>She's a twain. That's the nicest thing I can say

1025
00:57:35.559 --> 00:57:35.920
<v Speaker 4>about her.

1026
00:57:36.239 --> 00:57:38.039
<v Speaker 2>No, I'm laughing at the image of somebody put up

1027
00:57:38.039 --> 00:57:40.119
<v Speaker 2>in the chat. Was that you or John? Oh? Well? Anyway,

1028
00:57:40.320 --> 00:57:43.000
<v Speaker 2>definitely not me. Yeah, Well, there's a I mean, there's

1029
00:57:43.000 --> 00:57:44.559
<v Speaker 2>true other things to be said about it. Who knows

1030
00:57:44.599 --> 00:57:47.000
<v Speaker 2>what actually happened on the call, but to announce publicly

1031
00:57:47.079 --> 00:57:49.880
<v Speaker 2>that they're going to agree, and then the president of Mexico,

1032
00:57:49.880 --> 00:57:53.400
<v Speaker 2>who's right left I think, has so try to yeah,

1033
00:57:53.559 --> 00:57:56.400
<v Speaker 2>but it's right trying to put some distance between them.

1034
00:57:56.440 --> 00:57:58.960
<v Speaker 2>But I think there's a you know, it's fun sometimes

1035
00:57:59.000 --> 00:58:00.880
<v Speaker 2>to declare someone has said something because who you know,

1036
00:58:01.000 --> 00:58:04.320
<v Speaker 2>you maneuver and put some people in a box. But

1037
00:58:04.519 --> 00:58:06.639
<v Speaker 2>a couple of things here. I mean, I've been going

1038
00:58:06.679 --> 00:58:08.840
<v Speaker 2>crazy for more than ten years saying, wait a minute,

1039
00:58:09.400 --> 00:58:12.639
<v Speaker 2>people don't get from you know, South American all around

1040
00:58:12.679 --> 00:58:15.320
<v Speaker 2>the world up to the American border without assistance. Mexico

1041
00:58:15.880 --> 00:58:19.039
<v Speaker 2>at the very least permits this to happen and more

1042
00:58:19.199 --> 00:58:22.480
<v Speaker 2>likely facilitates it. And you know, nothing happens for no

1043
00:58:22.599 --> 00:58:24.079
<v Speaker 2>good reason. That's the way I've been putting it this.

1044
00:58:24.400 --> 00:58:26.360
<v Speaker 2>You don't having you know, million people a year coming

1045
00:58:26.400 --> 00:58:29.280
<v Speaker 2>to the border spontaneously their help. We know there's some

1046
00:58:29.559 --> 00:58:33.320
<v Speaker 2>NGO groups and probably funded by the drug cartels.

1047
00:58:32.800 --> 00:58:35.400
<v Speaker 4>And who maybe you're wrong on our federal government and.

1048
00:58:35.480 --> 00:58:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Our federal sure all kinds of sources for it. And

1049
00:58:39.280 --> 00:58:42.199
<v Speaker 2>so that's if you can get Mexico to stop that,

1050
00:58:42.239 --> 00:58:44.199
<v Speaker 2>and if they can't stop it, by the way, or

1051
00:58:44.320 --> 00:58:48.119
<v Speaker 2>won't stop. It doesn't matter, which it gives Trump a

1052
00:58:48.199 --> 00:58:51.639
<v Speaker 2>good pretext to say, the government of Mexico is no

1053
00:58:51.960 --> 00:58:55.519
<v Speaker 2>no longer has control over its sovereign territory. And therefore,

1054
00:58:55.639 --> 00:58:57.880
<v Speaker 2>and this has been talked about for years, I'm going

1055
00:58:57.920 --> 00:59:02.320
<v Speaker 2>to declare the Mexican cartel supporters terrorism and authorized direct

1056
00:59:02.400 --> 00:59:06.280
<v Speaker 2>military action against them. Now you can easily see Trump

1057
00:59:06.360 --> 00:59:08.719
<v Speaker 2>doing this, and Tom Holman is like a real breath

1058
00:59:08.760 --> 00:59:10.920
<v Speaker 2>of fresh air speaking of a breath of fresh air.

1059
00:59:12.039 --> 00:59:14.199
<v Speaker 2>And so I mean, I think Trump has all the

1060
00:59:14.239 --> 00:59:17.519
<v Speaker 2>high cards in this debate. And by the way, you John,

1061
00:59:17.559 --> 00:59:19.440
<v Speaker 2>I think you asked the question, what if Congress doesn't

1062
00:59:19.480 --> 00:59:24.000
<v Speaker 2>appropriate the funds? Well, I think then President Trump calls

1063
00:59:24.119 --> 00:59:25.880
<v Speaker 2>up Governor Abbit and says, you know, you guys, do

1064
00:59:25.960 --> 00:59:29.360
<v Speaker 2>what you want with your state police. Now, California won't,

1065
00:59:29.679 --> 00:59:33.199
<v Speaker 2>Arizona won't. I'm not sure about New Mexico. Texas will.

1066
00:59:34.320 --> 00:59:37.440
<v Speaker 2>And at that point things get interesting because the pressure

1067
00:59:37.440 --> 00:59:39.480
<v Speaker 2>will be on the other states, you know, because the

1068
00:59:39.800 --> 00:59:43.119
<v Speaker 2>I think a lot of the because of Texas's measures

1069
00:59:43.159 --> 00:59:45.559
<v Speaker 2>that have had some effect. You hear that a lot

1070
00:59:45.639 --> 00:59:48.679
<v Speaker 2>more of the migration has shifted to California and New Mexico,

1071
00:59:48.880 --> 00:59:52.719
<v Speaker 2>not sure about your state, Lucretia. But so that begins

1072
00:59:52.800 --> 00:59:56.519
<v Speaker 2>to another red state blue spate division, right, And so

1073
00:59:56.760 --> 00:59:58.760
<v Speaker 2>it'll be interesting to watch. We'll just have to see

1074
00:59:58.800 --> 01:00:05.559
<v Speaker 2>what happens. As Trump like to say so often, Christia.

1075
01:00:05.400 --> 01:00:12.960
<v Speaker 4>No, no, I agree again. Never well again, never underestimate

1076
01:00:13.159 --> 01:00:16.719
<v Speaker 4>a welcoming attitude versus you're not welcome here. You can

1077
01:00:16.800 --> 01:00:21.199
<v Speaker 4>come through legally and you're welcome. And never underestimate how

1078
01:00:21.320 --> 01:00:25.800
<v Speaker 4>important it was that huge numbers of Hispanics, first generation

1079
01:00:26.719 --> 01:00:30.320
<v Speaker 4>Hispanic citizens, voted for Trump, and how important that is

1080
01:00:30.400 --> 01:00:34.199
<v Speaker 4>as well, because the left has I think, uh managed

1081
01:00:34.239 --> 01:00:40.840
<v Speaker 4>this sort of disingenuous kind of attitude. Well, you can't

1082
01:00:40.920 --> 01:00:43.360
<v Speaker 4>come out against immigration, and so the why the stupid

1083
01:00:43.400 --> 01:00:46.920
<v Speaker 4>Republicans always passed immigration bills. Oh well, we can't afford

1084
01:00:46.960 --> 01:00:50.320
<v Speaker 4>to alienate our Hispanic voters. And they've just been wrong

1085
01:00:50.360 --> 01:00:54.199
<v Speaker 4>about that. So and Trump knows it. And that is

1086
01:00:54.280 --> 01:00:56.000
<v Speaker 4>going to be a big thing, I think, keeping them

1087
01:00:56.079 --> 01:01:00.719
<v Speaker 4>from preventing Trump from uh pursuing at least some of

1088
01:01:00.800 --> 01:01:02.760
<v Speaker 4>these policies. And again, I don't think it's going to

1089
01:01:02.800 --> 01:01:07.400
<v Speaker 4>take as much force as people are arguing. That's again

1090
01:01:07.519 --> 01:01:09.760
<v Speaker 4>that's it's a straw man argument.

1091
01:01:09.800 --> 01:01:12.519
<v Speaker 2>In my opinion, it's one, you know one. Two more

1092
01:01:12.599 --> 01:01:14.320
<v Speaker 2>footnotes to this one is, you know I mentioned on

1093
01:01:14.360 --> 01:01:15.800
<v Speaker 2>the panel the other day, and I'm not sure my

1094
01:01:15.880 --> 01:01:18.880
<v Speaker 2>number is exactly right that Trump would deport I predicted

1095
01:01:18.920 --> 01:01:21.679
<v Speaker 2>Trump would deport fewer people than Obama did. I don't

1096
01:01:21.679 --> 01:01:23.679
<v Speaker 2>know what the Obama numbers were. They were pretty large.

1097
01:01:23.719 --> 01:01:26.639
<v Speaker 2>They're partly phony, but they're important for this reason.

1098
01:01:27.280 --> 01:01:27.400
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

1099
01:01:27.599 --> 01:01:30.440
<v Speaker 2>The Obama administration, by the way, they did it quietly.

1100
01:01:30.559 --> 01:01:32.639
<v Speaker 2>They didn't want to make a big deal about deporting

1101
01:01:32.719 --> 01:01:36.119
<v Speaker 2>people or stopping them at the border. They claimed large

1102
01:01:36.199 --> 01:01:38.960
<v Speaker 2>numbers of deportations of people who crossed the border, and

1103
01:01:39.000 --> 01:01:41.000
<v Speaker 2>they turned them back and made them go back right away.

1104
01:01:41.599 --> 01:01:45.079
<v Speaker 2>The Biden administration didn't turn anybody back that we're aware of.

1105
01:01:45.119 --> 01:01:48.280
<v Speaker 2>They let everybody in. And so the Obama people liked

1106
01:01:48.320 --> 01:01:50.519
<v Speaker 2>to brag that they were tough on immigration when it

1107
01:01:50.599 --> 01:01:54.840
<v Speaker 2>suited their purposes. And the Obama administration, the Biden administration

1108
01:01:54.960 --> 01:01:56.280
<v Speaker 2>set it for you, every come in. You know, we

1109
01:01:56.360 --> 01:01:59.239
<v Speaker 2>don't care. So that's one important point, I think. But

1110
01:01:59.719 --> 01:02:02.480
<v Speaker 2>what you hear the Trump people is they know, as

1111
01:02:02.519 --> 01:02:05.519
<v Speaker 2>a practical matter, you can't deport a or nine million people.

1112
01:02:05.599 --> 01:02:09.119
<v Speaker 2>That's just physically impossible. They want to target a million

1113
01:02:09.199 --> 01:02:12.400
<v Speaker 2>people for deportation, and they want to target the people

1114
01:02:12.400 --> 01:02:16.400
<v Speaker 2>who have bogus asylum claims, criminal records, have no vetting

1115
01:02:16.440 --> 01:02:19.519
<v Speaker 2>of what countries they come from, people who are economic migrants,

1116
01:02:19.639 --> 01:02:21.800
<v Speaker 2>and they think that will send a signal for people

1117
01:02:21.840 --> 01:02:24.119
<v Speaker 2>to stop coming and maybe a lot of other people

1118
01:02:24.719 --> 01:02:27.039
<v Speaker 2>will decide to go back where they came from. You

1119
01:02:27.119 --> 01:02:30.360
<v Speaker 2>know the old self deportation line in Mitt Romney's in

1120
01:02:30.400 --> 01:02:34.599
<v Speaker 2>felicitous phrase, and you know that'll be a significant change.

1121
01:02:34.400 --> 01:02:35.920
<v Speaker 4>In thous about it.

1122
01:02:36.000 --> 01:02:39.519
<v Speaker 2>I like it, I know what you do. It just

1123
01:02:39.679 --> 01:02:40.880
<v Speaker 2>it was clunky at the time.

1124
01:02:41.760 --> 01:02:46.320
<v Speaker 4>Okay, well that's what's changed. You know, rhinos can't even

1125
01:02:46.440 --> 01:02:48.320
<v Speaker 4>argue like Rodney did.

1126
01:02:48.480 --> 01:02:51.400
<v Speaker 2>You know there's a reason rhinos are endangered species.

1127
01:02:51.480 --> 01:02:57.320
<v Speaker 3>So we've come to the end of our episode. We're

1128
01:02:57.440 --> 01:03:00.880
<v Speaker 3>going to maybe maybe we'll just plug it now. We

1129
01:03:01.039 --> 01:03:04.719
<v Speaker 3>have more rounds about natural versus positivism that are going

1130
01:03:04.840 --> 01:03:09.239
<v Speaker 3>up on Steve's substack Political Questions, which you are all

1131
01:03:09.360 --> 01:03:14.239
<v Speaker 3>welcome to read and to subscribe to. And maybe, since

1132
01:03:14.400 --> 01:03:18.000
<v Speaker 3>I hope December will be a slower month, although there's

1133
01:03:18.039 --> 01:03:20.480
<v Speaker 3>no signs of it being, maybe we will get a

1134
01:03:20.599 --> 01:03:24.400
<v Speaker 3>chance to have that debate on the podcast, but for now,

1135
01:03:24.519 --> 01:03:29.079
<v Speaker 3>I think we have to end this special Thanksgiving episode.

1136
01:03:29.599 --> 01:03:33.679
<v Speaker 3>Lucreciate you have some Babylon Bee headlines for us, Yes.

1137
01:03:33.559 --> 01:03:37.599
<v Speaker 4>I do, so we didn't discuss not that who cares anymore.

1138
01:03:38.000 --> 01:03:43.320
<v Speaker 4>Kamala Harris's recent whatever it was, she was talking to

1139
01:03:43.320 --> 01:03:45.159
<v Speaker 4>a lot I don't even remember, but she was very

1140
01:03:45.239 --> 01:03:49.360
<v Speaker 4>obviously not sober, or at least brain did. I don't

1141
01:03:49.400 --> 01:03:53.719
<v Speaker 4>know if there's a difference, but the Babylon b Kamalan

1142
01:03:54.000 --> 01:04:04.280
<v Speaker 4>Kamala officially unburdened by sobriety. Don't let anyone take your power,

1143
01:04:04.719 --> 01:04:08.920
<v Speaker 4>tipsy aunt, Kamala tells confused five year olds at Thanksgiving

1144
01:04:09.039 --> 01:04:15.079
<v Speaker 4>table Thanksgiving kids table. Yeah, you do that. I put

1145
01:04:15.119 --> 01:04:17.679
<v Speaker 4>in the chat and maybe Steve wants to post it

1146
01:04:17.840 --> 01:04:21.280
<v Speaker 4>because I think it's hilarious. It's the headline is it's

1147
01:04:21.320 --> 01:04:24.840
<v Speaker 4>official Trump now has the hottest cabinet of all time,

1148
01:04:25.039 --> 01:04:31.440
<v Speaker 4>and it's Pam Bundy, Christine Levitt, Christy Nome and Tom Homan.

1149
01:04:32.119 --> 01:04:34.599
<v Speaker 4>And if you go into the actual article, it says

1150
01:04:34.679 --> 01:04:40.280
<v Speaker 4>I just can't stop googling that borders our guy, the

1151
01:04:40.400 --> 01:04:42.159
<v Speaker 4>hottest cabinet of all time. I guess you have to

1152
01:04:42.199 --> 01:04:42.760
<v Speaker 4>see the picture.

1153
01:04:42.920 --> 01:04:43.599
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, I'll.

1154
01:04:45.719 --> 01:04:49.440
<v Speaker 4>Back to your question about Mexico. Trump proposes twenty five

1155
01:04:49.480 --> 01:04:57.840
<v Speaker 4>percent tariff on imports from California. Report. We didn't even

1156
01:04:57.880 --> 01:05:01.159
<v Speaker 4>discuss this either. I mean, what a what a this?

1157
01:05:01.679 --> 01:05:03.480
<v Speaker 4>Let me let me stop for just a moment. The

1158
01:05:03.679 --> 01:05:07.800
<v Speaker 4>idea that the Kamala Kamalam Dingdong campaign spent what is it,

1159
01:05:08.079 --> 01:05:09.840
<v Speaker 4>one point five.

1160
01:05:10.599 --> 01:05:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Billion billion dollars billion.

1161
01:05:12.719 --> 01:05:16.800
<v Speaker 4>Dollars in one hundred days to lose as badly as

1162
01:05:16.840 --> 01:05:18.880
<v Speaker 4>they did, and then the way they spent money, it

1163
01:05:19.039 --> 01:05:21.480
<v Speaker 4>was like you know, giving your your sixteen year old

1164
01:05:21.840 --> 01:05:26.079
<v Speaker 4>kid at your credit card with no limit. And the

1165
01:05:26.199 --> 01:05:28.880
<v Speaker 4>interesting thing about it is the left is just those

1166
01:05:28.960 --> 01:05:32.039
<v Speaker 4>big left donors are are furious about the way their

1167
01:05:32.079 --> 01:05:35.320
<v Speaker 4>money was wasted. So they're not they may not even

1168
01:05:35.480 --> 01:05:40.039
<v Speaker 4>invest money into the twenty twenty six elections because they're

1169
01:05:40.119 --> 01:05:45.159
<v Speaker 4>just disgusted. So report Kamala is twenty twenty eight campaign

1170
01:05:45.320 --> 01:05:50.079
<v Speaker 4>already seven hundred million dollars in debt. That's pretty funny,

1171
01:05:50.079 --> 01:05:55.480
<v Speaker 4>if you have to admit just a couple more. Trump

1172
01:05:55.559 --> 01:05:58.880
<v Speaker 4>announced his plan to deport five thousand illegal immigrants in

1173
01:05:59.000 --> 01:06:03.119
<v Speaker 4>one three owned high on the civic You kind of

1174
01:06:03.199 --> 01:06:06.679
<v Speaker 4>have to be a border town really to appreciate that one.

1175
01:06:10.119 --> 01:06:13.480
<v Speaker 4>So just a little Thanksgiving one. A couple man does

1176
01:06:13.519 --> 01:06:16.679
<v Speaker 4>his part to prepare Thanksgiving by not going into the

1177
01:06:16.800 --> 01:06:18.320
<v Speaker 4>kitchen so you won't be in the way.

1178
01:06:19.239 --> 01:06:19.599
<v Speaker 1>I like that.

1179
01:06:20.320 --> 01:06:22.159
<v Speaker 4>Yeah you don't get it, do you, John?

1180
01:06:22.800 --> 01:06:25.320
<v Speaker 3>No, I don't. It's where the servants go who prepare

1181
01:06:25.360 --> 01:06:25.880
<v Speaker 3>my news.

1182
01:06:26.480 --> 01:06:28.320
<v Speaker 2>Yes, just check.

1183
01:06:28.559 --> 01:06:34.159
<v Speaker 4>I knew they went somewhere. I love pumpkin pie. This

1184
01:06:34.440 --> 01:06:37.400
<v Speaker 4>is man spring gallon of ready Whip over pumpkin pie.

1185
01:06:37.519 --> 01:06:40.559
<v Speaker 4>I will simply not I don't eat ready Whip, obviously,

1186
01:06:40.719 --> 01:06:44.039
<v Speaker 4>but I simply will not eat pumpkin pie unless it

1187
01:06:44.159 --> 01:06:45.679
<v Speaker 4>has real whip cream on top.

1188
01:06:45.960 --> 01:06:47.559
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah it's not.

1189
01:06:48.239 --> 01:06:53.000
<v Speaker 4>It's there's no point. And I put in the chat

1190
01:06:53.119 --> 01:06:56.199
<v Speaker 4>this is not a Babylon b I'm not sure where

1191
01:06:56.239 --> 01:06:58.039
<v Speaker 4>I got it, but I was sending it to Steve

1192
01:06:58.119 --> 01:07:01.280
<v Speaker 4>for his weekend pictures. And it's a picture of Kamala

1193
01:07:01.599 --> 01:07:04.360
<v Speaker 4>and Oprah standing in front of a big crowd of people.

1194
01:07:04.480 --> 01:07:08.119
<v Speaker 4>It says paid two million dollars to rent Oprah and lost.

1195
01:07:08.719 --> 01:07:11.199
<v Speaker 4>And then the picture below is Trump in the in

1196
01:07:11.320 --> 01:07:14.280
<v Speaker 4>the brand new garbage truck. Put a sticker on a

1197
01:07:14.360 --> 01:07:15.880
<v Speaker 4>garbage truck and one.

1198
01:07:16.800 --> 01:07:18.159
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's about right.

1199
01:07:19.159 --> 01:07:22.400
<v Speaker 3>All right, Well, Steve, I hope you have you the

1200
01:07:22.519 --> 01:07:25.719
<v Speaker 3>next thirty seconds to think of some new sign off line,

1201
01:07:25.760 --> 01:07:28.599
<v Speaker 3>because we're gonna close it on with yeah, and we're

1202
01:07:28.599 --> 01:07:31.519
<v Speaker 3>gonna have to come up with another one once Biden's gone,

1203
01:07:31.599 --> 01:07:34.840
<v Speaker 3>which is that happened months ago, but the finally he'll

1204
01:07:34.840 --> 01:07:37.079
<v Speaker 3>be gone at the end of the year. Always drink

1205
01:07:37.119 --> 01:07:40.199
<v Speaker 3>your whiskey, meat, Let's go, Brandon and Steve.

1206
01:07:40.800 --> 01:07:43.000
<v Speaker 2>So my first draft for now I'm gonna work on

1207
01:07:43.039 --> 01:07:46.159
<v Speaker 2>it is unburdened by what has been. We won't give

1208
01:07:46.280 --> 01:07:50.039
<v Speaker 2>up the power we never had. I like that very good?

1209
01:07:51.519 --> 01:07:53.559
<v Speaker 2>All right, everybody next.

1210
01:07:53.239 --> 01:07:54.360
<v Speaker 3>To everybody.

1211
01:08:24.159 --> 01:08:27.359
<v Speaker 2>Ricochet join the conversation.

1212
01:08:27.840 --> 01:08:27.880
<v Speaker 1>S
