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Speaker 1: And greatans. Everyone, Hello, how are you happy Friday?

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Speaker 2: To you?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Podcast on this ninth day of January,

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Year of our War, twenty twenty six. My name is

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Tom Sullivan. We've got a lot to cover today. The

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uproar in Minneapolis is I don't know. I have to

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wait to see. It's a Friday. Maybe Friday night it's cold.

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We'll see what happens tonight. This morning in Minneapolis there

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was a very small I mean like something like ten

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to fifteen people were across the road from the Federal

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Building in Minneapolis, compared to hundreds that have been there

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the last few mornings. So maybe that is starting to

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settle down. We've got Republicans voting to extend Affordable Care

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Act subsidies, Republicans voting to limit the President's War Powers Act.

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We've got the jobs report out today for jobs reports,

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it's a clean report that we've had in months. And

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the President had a big meeting with oil executives at

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the White House today about let's go into Venezuela and

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start doing some business. So we've got a lot to

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cover today. I will start with Venezuela. I want to

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start with the lady. By the way, there's a new

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video out and the video is one that was taken

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by the officer who actually did the shooting, and it

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shows him talking briefly to the woman who was shot,

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walking around behind the vehicle, seeing that her wife was

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outside of the vehicle, also videotaping, and very aggressive, very

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anti ice in their faces to bring it on, bring

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it on. And from his perspective, he walked back around

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in front of the vehicle and that's when the lady

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started going toward him, and you can hear the car

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hit him, not severely, but but you can hear the impact.

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And so this is this is going to be debated

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till the cows come home. It just is about which perspective.

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But I think it also has to do with a

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lot of confirmation bias. If you're anti ice, you're going

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to see something different than the people that are supportive.

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But I have to tell you about this lady. People

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are talking about that she's some sort of observer. And

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I ran across a story out of a local TV

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station in Minneapolish. Here's the here's the report. It starts

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with the anchor introduced in the reporter who's at this

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meeting that they have in Minneapolis of people that are

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supposed to be observers of ice listen to this tonight.

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Speaker 3: Is still not clear if Renee Good was what's known

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as a constitutional observer, but her death is prompting hundreds

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of community members to get trained to document ice. Mariy

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Glover was at another constitutional observer training in Minneapolis tonight

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and Morey, has the message changed since your last story

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on Tuesday night.

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Speaker 4: Well, these trainings have been in the work for about

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a year, but within the last twenty four hours more

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than two hundred people have signed up to take part

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in tonight's event.

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Speaker 5: It's horrifying. My first thought was of Kent State.

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Speaker 6: For some at the Cedar Cultural Center on Thursday night,

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the death of Renee Good has been a call to action.

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Speaker 7: I was planning to do this training anyway, but that

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was the that and set told me that it was

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time to do it now. It was now or not

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at all.

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Speaker 6: More than three hundred people showed up for the second

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of thirty constitutional observer trainings by the Immigrant Defense Network

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across Minnesota over the next few weeks. Other than having

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a moment of silence for Good, organizers say they're not

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changing their training for community members to observe and document

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ICE activity after Goods death because they always train observers

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not to interfere with federal agents and to obey their commands.

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Speaker 5: We're very clear, we're not here to stop any enforcements.

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We're here to observe and DOCUMENTUM Vice president JD.

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Speaker 6: Van's claims Good was part of a large left wing

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network to make it impossible for immigration agents to do

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their jobs, but organizers say observers are there to make

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sure the rights of detained individuals are not violated.

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Speaker 5: People are here, coming in the hundreds to be armed

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with basic civil rights on how an whyless is happening

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and what can they do?

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Speaker 6: Organizers say constitutional observers are also armed with identification badges

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and whistles to let the community know when an ICE

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enforcement is happening, and they say their work is needed

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more now in Minneapolis than ever.

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Speaker 7: Tensions have escalated, violence has escalated now. The role of

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the legal observer is even more important.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 4: The next training is scheduled in Duluth next week, porting

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live in Minneapolis more in Clever Fox and I.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I thought that was

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the most of it was. It was just strange what

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they're doing. But there's lots of questions to be asked.

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First of all, there's no such thing as a constitutional observer.

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I don't know who made that up, but the reporter

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talked about the fact that's what they're calling themselves, and

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they get whistles and they get some sort of id

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card whooped to do. But he also quickly mentioned the

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fact that this is being put on by the Immigrant

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Defense Network. I don't know who they are, but it

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makes you wonder who are they and where are they

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getting their money? And they're teaching these people to go

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out and basically get in well they said, not get

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in the way, but just to observe and document.

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Speaker 5: What does that do?

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Speaker 1: I don't know either, but it's bizarre, and that's what

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this Apparently. The lady who was shot sounds like she

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was one of these people that went and I don't know.

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They seem very naive to me to think that that

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is that is going to be the answer to all

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of us. The officials in Minneapolis are very fired up

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and they're very fiery. The mayor him, of course, is

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just one fiery news conference after another. I do now

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I am convinced. I swear he loves it. He loves

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the spotlight, he loves the attention. So he's some equal.

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Oh this is terrible, I'll tell you. But he's thinking, ma'am,

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this is great. Look at me, Look at me. So

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let's see. This is a lady from the city Council

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in Minneapolis, just to give you somebody besides the.

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Speaker 8: Mayor and Americans. We agree that schools must be places

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of safety, learning, and belonging. This is not a partisan issue,

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it's a moral one. We demand that ice operations be

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kept away from schools so students, educators, and staff can

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learn and work in safety and peace.

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Speaker 1: Well, how can you disagree with that? Of course, we

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would like to keep all law enforcement activity out of

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the schools and the kids can learn safety and peace.

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Here is the Teachers Union president giving her thoughts on

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this matter.

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Speaker 9: My name is Castina taylort Na, last name Taylor tay lr.

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I am an educator in Minneapolis public schools and the

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president of the Educational Support Professionals Chapter of the Minneapolis

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Federation of Educators. Let me make one thing crystal clear

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before we go any further. We need ice out of Minneapolis.

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Now we need ICE out of Minnesota. Now, we need

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Ice away from our schools.

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Speaker 5: Now.

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Speaker 9: Since arriving, ICE has been a dangerous and out of

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control force, putting every Minnesotan in danger. A mother was murdered,

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an elementary school was forced to lock down.

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Speaker 1: So let's get to the heart of what the whole

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thing about schools. Apparently ICE was stopping somebody that they

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were targeting as an illegal in the country, and it

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was a young man and he ran. He ran in

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the fact that he was in a car, and he

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took off and they wound up in a chase. It

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was five miles of chasing this guy, and he wound

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up crashing his car in front of, or maybe even

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on the grounds of a high school in Minneapolis. And

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so that's how ICE got to the school. It wasn't

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that they were there on just happened to come by.

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They were chasing the guy five miles who crashed right

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into the school. So that's where that whole story comes around.

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But there, I mean, they didn't tell that part of

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the story. Here's another, shall we say, flowery version of

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what was going on in Minneapolis yesterday.

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Speaker 10: I think what is very very blatantly clear in this

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case is the public saw federal Ice agents shoot Renee

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Good in the early mornings of Wednesday. And since the

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killing of missus Good by federal Ice agents, we've seen

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the Trump administration work over time to try to craft

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this narrative, national narrative that Renee Good was a grisser

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and was at fought for her own murder when she

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simply was just dropping off her children and making sure

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that other neighbors children made it to school safely. Because

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our kids here have not been able to go to

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school in peace. Families haven't been able to leave their

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home without risking being abducted, and god knows what else

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by federal agents.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they've got very creative imaginations. They're not sticking

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with the facts. They're not telling the story. Actually neither side.

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I mean, I'll even go after I don't like Christinome

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and she was calling this woman a domestic terrorist. No,

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but she was violating the law and she was part

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of a group that was going around blocking Ice wherever

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they went. That day. She did drop off her six

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year old at school, but then went to these following

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Ice around Minneapolis and blocking them wherever they went so

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by the time she was blocking the road where we

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all saw on the videotape, that was the third time

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that the police have dealt with her. That's why they

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got out and walked up to her cars to get

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out of the car. So that there's much you know,

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you got to tell the whole story. I think in

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order to however you feel about this, at least you

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should have the facts and not the creative ideas. So

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now they're in a fight over who is going to

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do the investigation. Normally, when a federal officer enforcing federal

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law is involved in a shooting, the standard is that

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the FBI will investigate and it will go to federal

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court if necessary. The state, however, and Governor Walls is

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leading the charge on this about the state wants to

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be the one that investigates. And what I'm suspecting here

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is that the state, the state wants to do the

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investigation because they've already called the officer or murderer, They've

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called him every name under the book. They've already come

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to a conclusion that he's guilty of murder. And what

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they want is they want to put him on a

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trial in a Minneapolis City courthouse. They want him to

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be subjected to Minneapolis state law, and they want to

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prosecute him and hang him out to drive. Meantime, the

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FEDS are acting weird as well, because normally the FED,

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the FEDS, and the and the state and the city

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police all work together on an investigation. The lead investigator

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is the FBI in a federal officer's situation like this.

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But but they work together, and now the FED has said, no,

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we're not going to give you anything. We're not going

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to cooperate with you. You cannot have any of our material.

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And so it seems like they're both being like children

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on a playground. They both could help each other in

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the investigation, but there are political reasons that they want

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to keep Minneapolis and the state of Minnesota from prosecuting

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this guy, and the state Minnesota wants to prosecute them

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for political reasons. It just seems obvious to me. John

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Miller talks a little bit about this.

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Speaker 11: Oh, it's a complicated question because the FBI is in

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charge of the investigation. Normally, in cases like this, the

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FBI would work with the local authorities on the investigation.

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We're seeing a statement saying that they've been cut out

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of the case, which is concerning. On the other hand,

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the Vice President's points are that there is the supremacy

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clause which would come into any discussion about whether the

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state can enforce rules or laws against federal agents in

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the performance of their duty. There's the immunity that comes

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with that, which is not absolute. And remember, the states

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in this country and the federal government are separate sovereigns.

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If the Attorney General of Minnesota launched an independent investigation,

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interviewed their own witnesses, collected their own forensics, examine their

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own videos, and charged this agent, that could happen, but

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it would be met by challenges by the federal government

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in court about those very issues and would have to

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be litigated.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so State of Minnesota can go ahead with the prosecution.

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They can do what they want, but if it ever

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got to court, there would be a motion to move

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it over to federal court immediately and it would be granted.

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It's done. That's standard procedure. So minne Appolis, Minnesota, wants

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to make an example out of this officer, there's no question.

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And the officer, well, let's go back to John Miller,

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because he's got the background on the officer who did

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the shooting.

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Speaker 11: Experienced agent. He's got ten years with the federal government,

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but prior to that, he was in the military in

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Iraq as part of a machine gunning squad. He has

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been in stressful situations. He's on the Special Response Team.

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He's a firearms qualified trainer. This is not a new

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agent who went through the shortened training. This is a

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very experienced street agent. One of the questions the Vice

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President raises is if he was so affected by that incident,

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should he have been out on the street. I doubt

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that's the case. One of the things that you could

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consider is having had that experience in his own mind.

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When he sees his partner is got both of his

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hands on that car as it starts to take off,

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is he thinking I cannot let happen to him? What

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happened to me where I was seriously injured. I read

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his testimony in that trial about being dragged for one

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hundred yards like a speeding car on and off the sidewalk,

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swerving to shake him off. Could that have been going

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through his mind. We don't know what it is in

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his head, but I think it's something that would be

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considered when they investigate this case.

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Speaker 1: Well they it will come down to what it always

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comes down to, and that is I felt my life

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was in danger. Period, end of story. That's all he

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has to say, and he gets off. It's that simple.

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You have to always rely upon what was in the

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officer's mind and you and I don't know what that was,

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but he all he has to say, I felt like

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my life was in danger. And everything will move on.

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You might feel like your life is in danger. According

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to congress Woman in PayPal, she represents Seattle, she's a

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far far she's part of the squad. We haven't talked

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about the squad in a while, but she's listened to

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what she had to say. Talk about inflammatory rhetoric.

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Speaker 12: But the truth is that every single person in the

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United States of America, US citizens, white, black, brown, whoever

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you are, you have to worry now that an ICE

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agent is going to come and shoot at you and

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kill you.

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Speaker 1: So do you think maybe that was a little inflammatory

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and you think, are you worried about the fact that,

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oh my god, rush an ICE agent could just jump

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out from behind a bush and shoot at me and

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kill me. I mean, the chances of that are pretty high.

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Aren't they. I mean, she's just trying to scare people.

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She is just trying to scare people. The lot of

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the same kind of rhetoric coming out of city Hall

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in Minneapolis and out of the Governor's office in Mine, Minnesota.

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It's gotten absolutely ridiculous. So they've got this new video

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out today, and it was if you take a look

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at the officer who shot the woman, he had it.

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He pulled his gun out with his right hand from

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his holster, but in his left hand you could see

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he held up it looked like he was filming from

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a camera. Well guess what that video from his camera

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came out today. It did show that he was Again

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I said this yesterday, I'll say it again. I think

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he's going to get off. I don't think they will

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find him. I don't think this is even going to

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go to a trial again. All he's got to say

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is I feared for my life. But in addition to that,

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I look at what he did, and John Miller said

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he was an experienced guy, ten years with Ice, but

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they need to do some training with this guy. I

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would think, what was he doing in front of that

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vehicle as the other Ice officers were confronting the driver.

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You are putting yourself in harm's way unnecessarily by standing

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in front. And that's number one. Number two is most

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police departments have very strict rules about never shooting into

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a vehicle. I mean, there are some rare exceptions to it,

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but what happens is exactly what happened here is that

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the vehicle. Now you've got a two thousand pound machine

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barreling down the road. Who knows who it's going to hit.

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What it's going to to hit? A parked car, but

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there was also a pedestrian on that sidewalk. So I

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mean two, well three mistakes. One standing in front, under

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the vehicle, even walking in front of the vehicle, you're

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taking your chances. Number two, shooting inside a vehicle. And

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number three, when he took the shots, two of his

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colleagues ice officers were right there. Next year it was crossfire.

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He was shooting toward them, which is a huge no

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no when it comes to police tactics. So Carrier Bond,

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the former DOJ lawyer, weighed in on this new video

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that's out there.

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Speaker 2: I think if I'm the officer standing in front of

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that car, I think the car's about to hit me

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and run me over, and I'm probably going to respond accordingly. Again,

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we have to go back to what the court the

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legal standard here is, which is the reasonableness of the

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officer on the scene, the person who's standing there, their perspective.

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The court takes into a totality of circumstance approach, but

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it all comes down to that person's perspective and was

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it reasonable and light what was happening. So, as I

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watched that video, and I'm, you know, looking at it

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from that perspective, it's clear the car was coming right

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towards him, or at least appeared to be.

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Speaker 5: And so I.

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Speaker 2: Think this is a very helpful piece of footage as

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we but most importantly the Department of Justice and the

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FBI consider as they move forward and looking at the situation.

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Speaker 1: All right, So we hope the things settle down in Minneapolis.

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We'll see as nightfall comes around tonight. In other news today,

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the President had a number of top executives from major

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oil companies in the US at the White House this

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afternoon and wanted to basically well, he said to them,

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in a very salesman's way. He had them sitting around

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a table in the East room, and he said, well,

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I'm glad you're here, and you know you're going to

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invest billions of dollars into Venezuela, and if not, then

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then we move on without you, or some do that.

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I'm paraphrasing, So he was basically telling them, telling them

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either invest or you're not going to be part of

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this whole deal. Well, let's start with Chris right. Well,

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Secretary of Rubio was there, so was the vice president,

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so Steven Miller was there, the chief of staff was there,

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so it was a large group of people, but Chris Wright,

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the Energy Secretary, kind of kicked off the event.

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Speaker 13: When's it going to be at one point two million?

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Could be just several months from now, it could be

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up fifty percent in the first twelve or eighteen months

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of this fifty percent increase in their production. That's a

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better supplied world market.

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Speaker 1: He was asked in a separate interview before this meeting

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started about are we just going in and stealing the

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oil from the people of Venezuela, and he said, absolutely not.

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Speaker 13: This is not sealing of their oil. We're marketing their

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oil at a better price than they can market the oil,

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and we're bringing those funds back to Venezuela, but just

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at our discretion, so we can use it as leverage

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to get better behavior.

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Speaker 1: Robert Wolf, who used to run ubs in New York,

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was asked about those whole idea of getting US oil

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companies to invest money in Venezuela.

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Speaker 5: The President said makes sense.

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Speaker 14: He wants lower oil prices, but for executives at oil companies,

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that doesn't make sense to have oil, which the President

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talked about at fifty dollars a barrel. Literally, you don't

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want to do cap X when it's fifty dollars a

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vital You have a negative return on investments.

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Speaker 13: There's some oil executives who are saying, and we can

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see profitable in a thirty five bucks.

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Speaker 14: Yeah, well most The second thing I would say is

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most people are not raising the hand to drill for

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heavy crude in Venezuela, where you have to explore, then

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you have to drill, then you have to refine the costs.

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Speaker 5: Anna sat here the other days.

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Speaker 14: I know, but they all look, there's a big news.

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Then the last thing I will say, and the most important,

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is the risk is exorbitant.

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Speaker 5: Yesterday had a Russian a Russia submarine.

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Speaker 14: I mean the idea of the extra security that you.

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Speaker 5: Your anti US investment in Venezuelan oil.

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Speaker 14: I think that no, it's not me being anti. If

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I was an oil executive, I would say no unless

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the government was going to supply a lot of capital

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for it at really low interest rate.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: These oil companies have been burned, their assets have been

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stolen in previous endeavors with Venezuela, and right now they

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seem to be doing just fine. The problem that we're

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trying to drive the price lower. The president wants to

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get the price down. I understand why, but at some

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point it's not profitable and they start shutting in their

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wells and in order to dry up supply. So most

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oil companies say, well, they say that they can't make

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a profit under sixty dollars a barrow well. Oil has

403
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been below sixty for weeks in fifty five to sixty

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dollars a barrow. President wants to get to fifty dollars

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a barrel, and the oil companies are screaming saying, we're

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not going to bother at fifty. It's going to cost

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us more to get the oil producer market it, ship

408
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it and do all the other things. You got to

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do then our cost. It's going to cost us more

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than what we can sell it. For Phil Flynn, who's

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an old friend of mine from the Chicago work. He's

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an oil trader in Chicago, and let's see what he

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has to say about this meeting.

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Speaker 15: I can't even tell you how historic this meeting could

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be today. You know, with President Trump eighteen eighteen to

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twenty of the biggest companies of traders and producers, not

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only oil producers, but shell producers, pipeline and traders. Really

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to set the stage to make a case for the

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investment in Venezuela, not only for economic viewpoint, but from

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a patriotic viewpoint as well, to show that this could

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be an amazing opportunity to turn this hemisphere around and

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have a future for the people of Venezuela. You know,

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there's two stools that thought of that number. One one

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hundred billion dollars might not go a long way in

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rebuilding Venezuela. But let me tell you this, that step

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in the direction when President Trump comes out with a

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number like that, usually people fall in line. So I

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expect that investment to be the starting point to rebuild

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this infrastructure. And I think it's going to go beyond oil.

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Think it's going to go towards production, grain buying, and

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other products that the US will be selling to Venezuela.

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You know, you know, I think when people throw out

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prices like that, that's a moving target when it comes

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to the profitability.

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Speaker 5: I listen.

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Speaker 15: I think today energy companies are going to want some

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guarantees of security, right, not necessary for their capital, but

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for their people. The US energy industry is used to

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taking risks around the world, and I think they see

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the upside of this opportunity. You know, as far as

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you know the government in place, I think the US

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energy companies should feel pretty confident with the success of

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the US military, the way that they took Maduro out,

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the way they listened to the US energy companies because

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they wanted Darcy Rodriguez there, because they've worked with her before,

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at least in the short term, until we get that

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country stable, get a free election, but that'll take some time.

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And in the meantime, the way to help that is

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get their economy going, and the best way to do

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that is to invest in their oil industry.

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Speaker 1: So there were cameras the media still going on as

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we're recording this podcast. There were cameras and microphones there.

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One of the executives of Darren Woods, the CEO of

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Exxon Mobile, the biggest oil company in the world. Listen

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to his reaction to the idea of going into Venezuela.

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Speaker 16: Thank you, mister President. I appreciate the invitation and the opportunity,

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frankly for the entire industry to show up and provide

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a perspective. Frankly, we've been kind of unresponsive to the

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press regarding Venezuela. I guess today's the opportunity to address

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the press directly with respect to a number of questions

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that've been asked of exam Mobile. First and foremost, obviously,

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is the interest that we have in Venezuela. And I

463
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think you know the way I would position that. I

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think one of the reasons why we see many of

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the industry players here is we're in a depletion business

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for a product that is in great demand, and we'll

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be in demand for many, many, many decades to come.

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And as a depletion business, the biggest challenge we have

469
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is finding resources. There's an opportunity in Venezuela. With all

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the resources there is, we don't have that challenge of

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finding we have the challenge of developing those resources. So

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I think it's on it's the best interest of these

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companies and frankly society as a whole for the industry

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to be interested in understanding what the opportunity here represents.

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I'll just share a philosophy that xCE On Mobile has

476
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:05,440
when we enter countries. Because we do business all around

477
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the world in a number of different regimes, we take

478
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:11,680
a very long term perspective. The investments that we make

479
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,440
span decades and decades, so we do not go into

480
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:21,319
any opportunity with a short mindset short term mindset. There's

481
00:29:21,319 --> 00:29:23,960
a value proposition that we have to meet. There has

482
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:27,240
to be a win win win proposition. Obviously, it has

483
00:29:27,279 --> 00:29:29,440
to be a win for the company and our shareholders,

484
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,799
and a generator return for the investments that we make

485
00:29:32,359 --> 00:29:35,319
has to be a win for the government. The resources

486
00:29:35,359 --> 00:29:38,400
are important source of revenue that help support the people

487
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,559
of the places that we do business, and that has

488
00:29:41,599 --> 00:29:42,720
to be a win for the people.

489
00:29:42,759 --> 00:29:43,359
Speaker 5: We have to be.

490
00:29:43,319 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 16: Wanted there and to be a good neighbor, and those

491
00:29:45,519 --> 00:29:49,400
three things ensure a stable, long term platform for the

492
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:54,000
large investments that we make for the long term. With

493
00:29:54,079 --> 00:29:57,279
respect to Venezuela in particular, we have a very long

494
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,839
history in Venezuela. In fact, we first started Venezuela back

495
00:30:00,839 --> 00:30:06,119
in nineteen nineteen forties. We've had our assets seized there twice,

496
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,400
and so you can imagine to re enter a third

497
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:13,200
time would require some pretty significant changes from what we've

498
00:30:13,279 --> 00:30:16,200
historically seen here and what is currently the state. If

499
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,359
we look at the legal and commercial constructs and frameworks

500
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:24,279
from place today in Venezuela, today, it's uninvestable and so

501
00:30:24,319 --> 00:30:27,920
significant changes have to be made to those commercial frameworks,

502
00:30:28,039 --> 00:30:31,599
the legal system. There has to be durable investment protections,

503
00:30:31,839 --> 00:30:33,920
and there has to be a change to the hydrocarbon

504
00:30:35,039 --> 00:30:39,039
laws in the country. We're confident that with this administration

505
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:43,039
and President Trump working hand in hand with the Venezuelan government,

506
00:30:43,119 --> 00:30:48,160
that those changes can be put in place. And with

507
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:52,519
respect to the Venezuelan government that perspective, we don't have

508
00:30:52,559 --> 00:30:55,240
the view on. We haven't talked to the Venezuelan government,

509
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:59,799
and obviously we have yet to assess the people's perspective.

510
00:30:59,799 --> 00:31:04,160
With perspectax On Mobile entering the company country in the

511
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,279
short term, there are things that can be done while

512
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:11,119
these longer term issues are being worked for us. We

513
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:14,039
haven't been in the country for almost twenty years. We

514
00:31:14,079 --> 00:31:16,880
think it's absolutely critical in the short term that we

515
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:20,200
get a technical team in place to assess the current

516
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,640
state of the industry and the assets, to understand what

517
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,519
would be involved to help the people of Venezuela get

518
00:31:25,519 --> 00:31:29,519
production back on the market. With the invitation of the Venezuelan

519
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:33,039
government and with appropriate security guarantees, we are ready to

520
00:31:33,079 --> 00:31:35,920
put a team on the ground there. We also have

521
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:41,279
an integrated set of capabilities from production to refining to trading,

522
00:31:41,319 --> 00:31:44,039
and I think we can be of assistance to getting

523
00:31:44,079 --> 00:31:47,039
the Venezuelan crew to market and realizing the market price

524
00:31:47,119 --> 00:31:51,079
to help again with the financial situation at Venezuela level.

525
00:31:51,559 --> 00:31:53,640
So those are my short term perspective that I have.

526
00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,599
I'd say and be closed with a thank you as

527
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,079
President for the work that you've done secure not only

528
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,119
the national security, the energy security of the region. And

529
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,480
then thank you Sectu Ruvio, Sectary right, Sectuary Burgham for

530
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:07,400
your leadership in this matter. Thank you.

531
00:32:08,119 --> 00:32:10,559
Speaker 1: Well, I don't know what you heard. I heard he

532
00:32:10,599 --> 00:32:15,480
said it's uninvestible and they had a long change list

533
00:32:15,559 --> 00:32:18,039
of things that have to change before they would consider

534
00:32:18,279 --> 00:32:23,279
going into Venezuela conical. Phillips was also very skeptical. Those

535
00:32:23,319 --> 00:32:25,279
are the two biggies that were in the meeting today.

536
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,599
There were a lot of others that were smaller companies,

537
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:32,680
but the two giants basically are going, we're not so

538
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:36,400
sure that this. In fact, he said, it's not investible

539
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,920
right now. But he was trying to be politically nice,

540
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:43,359
and the host was the President, so he said, well,

541
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:46,279
I'm sure with your with your efforts and everything else

542
00:32:46,319 --> 00:32:48,319
that you know, you'll be able to put get some

543
00:32:48,359 --> 00:32:51,480
of this done. But they're not saying we're jumping to

544
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,440
do to do the work. We don't want to. We

545
00:32:53,519 --> 00:32:57,359
don't want to do this unless there's a lot of changes,

546
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:00,720
and that's going to take a long time. So I

547
00:33:00,759 --> 00:33:04,640
was surprised the President had an open camera meeting because

548
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:08,519
I kind of thought it might go this way. All right,

549
00:33:08,759 --> 00:33:11,200
jobs report came out today. This is the first time

550
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:15,000
we've had the jobs report on time for three months.

551
00:33:15,519 --> 00:33:21,359
Fifty thousand payrolls were added last month. It was estimated

552
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,839
to be seventy three thousand, So seventy three thousand is

553
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:26,839
a big slowdown. It was slower than that. It was

554
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:30,480
fifty thousand. It's okay, it's nothing to jump up and

555
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:33,759
down about. Unemployment rate went from four point five down

556
00:33:33,839 --> 00:33:39,240
to four point four percent. The long term unemployed rate

557
00:33:39,359 --> 00:33:45,680
the U six eight point four percent unemployment rate, Average

558
00:33:45,759 --> 00:33:50,319
hourly earnings three point eight percent. That's better than the

559
00:33:50,359 --> 00:33:53,519
inflation rate. Not much, but it's better, meaning you're making

560
00:33:53,559 --> 00:33:56,680
more than your wages are going up more than inflation

561
00:33:56,839 --> 00:34:03,880
is going up. They revised October jobs report to a

562
00:34:04,039 --> 00:34:07,960
loss a minus one hundred and seventy three thousand payrolls.

563
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:13,119
That revised November down as well, to fifty seven thousand jobs.

564
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,800
The participation rate number of people actually out there participating

565
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,639
in the job market sixty two point four. That dropped

566
00:34:21,679 --> 00:34:26,039
a little bit. When you look at where the jobs

567
00:34:26,079 --> 00:34:30,960
were restaurants and bars, it's a restaurant. The bartender and

568
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:34,440
waiters did the best. They led the month, rising twenty

569
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:41,920
seven thousand, healthcare up twenty one thousand, Retail in December

570
00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:48,239
declined by twenty five thousand, and the government added just

571
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,400
two thousand for the month. So as far as the

572
00:34:51,519 --> 00:34:56,239
jobs report go, Natasha sarin Over at Yale, this was

573
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:57,360
her observation of it.

574
00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,639
Speaker 17: What you're seeing is you're definitely seeing signs of the

575
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,840
label market is continuing to cool, and that is the

576
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:05,480
case with the fifty thousand number. And importantly, this is

577
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:07,840
the first number that we've gotten in recent months that

578
00:35:08,119 --> 00:35:11,079
isn't contaminated by the government shutdown in it's aftermath, So

579
00:35:11,119 --> 00:35:13,719
I actually think it's an important read. But what you

580
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:15,719
also know when we also saw that in the Jolt

581
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,280
data that we saw earlier this week, is that we

582
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,039
are continuing to be in this sort of like low

583
00:35:21,199 --> 00:35:24,760
higher low fire economy, and even with a relatively low

584
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:28,400
unemployment rate, you aren't seeing hiring in the economy. And

585
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:29,920
I think that has to do with the fact that

586
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:31,960
there's just a lot of uncertainty right now. You're not

587
00:35:32,039 --> 00:35:34,719
exactly sure if you're a firm or if you're an employee,

588
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:36,519
whether or not it makes sense to kind of take

589
00:35:36,519 --> 00:35:38,639
the leap because you're not sure whether jobs are going

590
00:35:38,679 --> 00:35:40,599
to be there to support you over the course of

591
00:35:40,639 --> 00:35:41,800
the choices that you might make.

592
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:45,360
Speaker 1: So the job where was okay, it wasn't great. It

593
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:49,079
shows the labor to make market is still soft, and

594
00:35:49,159 --> 00:35:53,880
like Natasha said, there is still a very low fire,

595
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:58,000
low higher type of job market that's out there. The

596
00:35:58,559 --> 00:36:01,920
other big economic news they did not happen. Everybody was

597
00:36:02,039 --> 00:36:05,039
guessing that the first day back for the Supreme Court

598
00:36:05,159 --> 00:36:08,679
justices in the term for twenty twenty six, and they

599
00:36:08,679 --> 00:36:13,920
were expected to make an announcement about their decision on tariffs,

600
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,480
and that is going I think we're going to have

601
00:36:17,519 --> 00:36:22,159
a huge impact on the economy, but especially on as

602
00:36:22,199 --> 00:36:28,159
President Trump's economic lead is his tariff policies. Anyway, they

603
00:36:28,159 --> 00:36:30,000
didn't do it. I don't know when they're going to

604
00:36:30,039 --> 00:36:32,199
come out with it, but they did not announce it today,

605
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:36,800
So everybody was braced and then nothing happened. Wall Street

606
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:43,000
was open for business as usual and fairly positive throughout

607
00:36:43,599 --> 00:36:47,320
the trading session. The Dow finished up two hundred and

608
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:53,079
thirty seven. The Dow close forty nine thousand and five four,

609
00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:58,239
so we're getting closer to that fifty thousand mark. SMP

610
00:36:58,599 --> 00:37:01,480
was up forty four, the Deck was up one hundred

611
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,039
and ninety one. Price of gold good day, up fifty

612
00:37:05,159 --> 00:37:10,679
six dollars to forty five seventeen, and oil second day

613
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:14,679
in a row of a decently big increase, up more

614
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,920
than a buck to fifty nine dollars now for one

615
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:22,320
barrel of oil. Thank you for coming by today. Have

616
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:26,480
yourself a terrific weekend. We'll be back here on Monday.

617
00:37:26,559 --> 00:37:28,079
Hope you are too. We'll see you though,

