WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Auction Brief. There's a joy in these

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<v Speaker 1>games or not, taking you on a journey through fantasy football,

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<v Speaker 1>the law, and life. We saw your It depends on

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<v Speaker 1>how much you want.

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<v Speaker 2>And now you're legal analyst and auction draft expert here

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<v Speaker 2>to help you dominate your fantasy drafts.

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<v Speaker 1>Your host, Drew Davenport, there are full hearts.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, everybody, welcome into the Auction Brief. As the lady said,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm your host, Drew Davenport, and thank you so much

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<v Speaker 2>for joining me for another episode of the Auction Brief.

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<v Speaker 2>The calendar has turned to July. Can you feel the

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<v Speaker 2>suspense building In just a couple of months, we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to be watching football. That's awesome. But we've only got

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<v Speaker 2>about three weeks left until training camps are open, so

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to continue to talk about some stuff that's

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<v Speaker 2>going to help us in drafts before we get a

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<v Speaker 2>deluge of information from training camp that we can use

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<v Speaker 2>and start to react to. But we have a fantastic

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<v Speaker 2>lineup coming up for the Auction Brief. I've heard back

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<v Speaker 2>from some people that are going to be appearing on

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<v Speaker 2>the show, so I'm really stoked about that. Next week,

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<v Speaker 2>we have Joe Dolan coming on from Fantasy Points, and

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<v Speaker 2>if you don't know Joe and you're an auction guy,

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<v Speaker 2>you really need to get to know Joe. But also,

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to do an auction spectacular next week. It's

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<v Speaker 2>not going to be as much about players like normal.

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<v Speaker 2>We're going to flip the script because today is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be about player evaluation and then Tuesday is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be about auction talk. So we're crazy here, man,

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<v Speaker 2>We're crazy. We're doing stuff completely different, man. But I

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<v Speaker 2>think that one of the things that I continue to

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<v Speaker 2>hear from my supporters is that they love when I

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<v Speaker 2>go into player conversation, when I give my player takes

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<v Speaker 2>and how I'm approaching auctions with certain players. People just

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<v Speaker 2>absolutely love that stuff. And so I'm going to do

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<v Speaker 2>that today. We'll talk about that in just a second.

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<v Speaker 2>But we're turning the calendar to July and in the

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<v Speaker 2>next three weeks. These players have a lot of something

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<v Speaker 2>that we don't want them to have, and it's not money,

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<v Speaker 2>it's time. They had a lot of time. Over the

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<v Speaker 2>next three weeks, somebody's gonna get in trouble, and hopefully

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<v Speaker 2>we're gonna hear something about Josh Jacobs. But over the

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<v Speaker 2>next few weeks, what you need to be doing is

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<v Speaker 2>building up your opinions about what you're going to be

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<v Speaker 2>doing in August when it comes time to actually draft,

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<v Speaker 2>and then you need to be doing some mocks and

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<v Speaker 2>seeing if what you're thinking about is actually working. There

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<v Speaker 2>are too many places out there to do mos now

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<v Speaker 2>for you not to do some before you play.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to be running some.

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<v Speaker 2>I've got one coming up here next week, and so

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<v Speaker 2>I'm going to hit that hard after the fourth of July.

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<v Speaker 2>It's it's been hard to get a mock together. Frankly,

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<v Speaker 2>just to be honest with you, people are not tuned

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<v Speaker 2>in yet. It's just been hard. So I'm not I

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<v Speaker 2>just I dropped it for now. We're going to get

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<v Speaker 2>back at get back at it after the fourth of

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<v Speaker 2>July and start doing some mocks. But you got to

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<v Speaker 2>start thinking about what you're going to do, what your

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<v Speaker 2>approach is going to be, and if you like my approach, great,

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<v Speaker 2>use it, but start testing it out in those mock

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<v Speaker 2>drafts and seeing if it is achievable. And that's where

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<v Speaker 2>I want to start the show today. You know, I

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<v Speaker 2>went heavy last week with theory and let's just be honest,

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<v Speaker 2>it wasn't heavy with theory. It was ninety eight percent theory.

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<v Speaker 2>And I wanted to do that because I think it's

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<v Speaker 2>really important that we end the month of June talking

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<v Speaker 2>about how we're going to get our heads right, how

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to approach these auctions from a meta standpoint,

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<v Speaker 2>and then once we lay that down, we can start

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<v Speaker 2>getting into the details here in July about the auctions

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<v Speaker 2>but also about players, and then in August we can

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<v Speaker 2>start flying towards what our goals are going to be

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<v Speaker 2>in our twenty twenty six straight. So last week was

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<v Speaker 2>heavy on theory. This week is going to be the

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<v Speaker 2>complete opposite for my solo effort. We're going to talk

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<v Speaker 2>all of the players that I want you to be

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<v Speaker 2>dialed into for this upcoming season, and hey, I reserve

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<v Speaker 2>the right to change my opinions on some of these guys.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think that you want a fantasy analyst who

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<v Speaker 2>changes their mind sometimes, right, That's exactly what we're supposed

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<v Speaker 2>to be doing. When new information is presented, somebody gets hurt.

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<v Speaker 2>Coaches say something player starts running with the ones instead

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<v Speaker 2>of the two. Is like, this is kind of stuff

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<v Speaker 2>you want your analysts to be pliable. It doesn't mean

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<v Speaker 2>that your analyst waffles or isn't sure. It's just that

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<v Speaker 2>new information comes up and you want your analyst to

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<v Speaker 2>change their opinion. We don't want to be anchoring our opinions,

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<v Speaker 2>so it's important to get these opinions out there now

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<v Speaker 2>because then we can follow them and see whether or

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<v Speaker 2>not these opinions are actually going to work. I wrote

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<v Speaker 2>a column for the Patreon about this idea at the

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<v Speaker 2>end of last summer, saying, you know players that I've

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<v Speaker 2>changed my mind on. I'm going to do that again

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<v Speaker 2>this summer because it's really helpful for me to look

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<v Speaker 2>at my biases, look at my previous ideas about players,

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<v Speaker 2>and then figure out where I stand and why I

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<v Speaker 2>stand that way, because it's different from six weeks ago

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<v Speaker 2>or eight weeks ago when we started this whole process.

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<v Speaker 2>So I want to talk player evaluations today, and I

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<v Speaker 2>want to alert you to the fact that the salary

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<v Speaker 2>cap summit than all the details have been officially released,

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm going to be bombarding you with that over

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<v Speaker 2>the next month because it is in early August, so

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<v Speaker 2>we got about a month I've wanted to bring it

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<v Speaker 2>up now when I'm talking about the Patreon, because I'm

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<v Speaker 2>going to give preference to the people in the Patreon

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<v Speaker 2>for the leagues I'm trying to fill for the salary

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<v Speaker 2>Cap Summit. The summit, for those of you that don't know,

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<v Speaker 2>is Night one is going to be an auction draft

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<v Speaker 2>for people who have less experience, usually less than ten

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<v Speaker 2>auction drafts in their life. It's going to be one quarterback.

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<v Speaker 2>It's going to have kickers and defenses. It's going to

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<v Speaker 2>be a super straightforward league. That's Night one, and I'll

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<v Speaker 2>be doing commentary during the entire auction. Night two will

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<v Speaker 2>be another auction for more advanced auction drafters. It'll be

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<v Speaker 2>a superflex two QB league with no kickers and no defenses.

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<v Speaker 2>That'll switch things up even more so. I'll do commentary

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<v Speaker 2>both nights, and then on Night three, that's August the fourth,

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<v Speaker 2>we have a panel featuring guys like Jim Coventry, Scott Pianowski.

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<v Speaker 2>There's some other mystery guests that I have not yet

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<v Speaker 2>nailed down, but that we'll have in there as well.

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<v Speaker 2>So three nights August, second, third, and fourth. If you

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<v Speaker 2>want to be in those leagues. The first two nights.

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<v Speaker 2>It's going to be twenty four spots. I'm taking at

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<v Speaker 2>least seventy five to eighty percent from the Patreon first,

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<v Speaker 2>because that's the benefit of being part of the Patreon

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<v Speaker 2>is that you get first DIBs on this kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>And then after that I'll go to Twitter to fill

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<v Speaker 2>a couple spots and I'll do like a little drawing

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<v Speaker 2>or something like that. This is independent of the Auction

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<v Speaker 2>Brief Listener League, so don't confuse those two. But again,

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<v Speaker 2>you have to be a part of the Patreon order

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<v Speaker 2>to get into the Auction Brief Listener League. Again, around

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<v Speaker 2>seventy five eighty percent. We're not taking everybody from the Patreon,

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<v Speaker 2>but it helps to be in there. You get preferential treatment.

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<v Speaker 2>So head over there. It's Fantasy Football Lawyer on Patreon.

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<v Speaker 2>It's four dollars a month. You can find me on

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<v Speaker 2>Twitter at Drew Davenport FF. Let's be done with the preliminaries.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm really stoked about the salary Cap summit, and I

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<v Speaker 2>could keep rambling on about it, but you all know

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<v Speaker 2>you hear the details.

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<v Speaker 1>We're ready to rock.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about some players today, because like I said,

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<v Speaker 2>it's popular with people, and I have a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>fun breaking down some different categories of players. I've got

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<v Speaker 2>four categories of players that I want you to be

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<v Speaker 2>aware of in your auctions this summer auction talk. I've

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<v Speaker 2>got four different categories of players. So I know the

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<v Speaker 2>episode is titled My Guys for twenty twenty six, and

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<v Speaker 2>that's true, but I have four different categories that are

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<v Speaker 2>much different than your tip my guys conversation, and those

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<v Speaker 2>are four different categories of guys I want you to

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<v Speaker 2>start paying attention to as we go through the next

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<v Speaker 2>six to eight weeks. And again, I reserve the right

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<v Speaker 2>to change my mind on some of these guys. But

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<v Speaker 2>right now, this is how I'm feeling, and this is

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<v Speaker 2>where I believe the trends are going. We're getting into

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<v Speaker 2>that time of year where the trends are established, the

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<v Speaker 2>narratives are established, and these players are going a certain

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<v Speaker 2>direction for a reason, and I think we have enough

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<v Speaker 2>data behind us now to start saying, Okay, we're getting

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<v Speaker 2>into redraft season in July, what are we going to

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<v Speaker 2>do with some of these guys? But I want to

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<v Speaker 2>talk about guys. I like guys. I'm going to take

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<v Speaker 2>a leap of faith on guys that I don't like

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<v Speaker 2>and guys that I think are too cheap and can

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<v Speaker 2>fill the back of our roster. So I'll give you

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<v Speaker 2>those taglines in just a second here, but let's get

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<v Speaker 2>into the four different categories of players that are my

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<v Speaker 2>guys for twenty twenty six auctions. By way of introduction

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<v Speaker 2>with this topic today, I want to talk briefly about

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<v Speaker 2>Jackson Smith and Jacoba because I ended up with him

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<v Speaker 2>on a lot of teams last year. My two most

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<v Speaker 2>rostered receivers were JSN and DeVante Adams last year, and

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<v Speaker 2>Adams of course worked out because he scored eleventy billion touchdowns.

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<v Speaker 1>But and might I note that I'm hearing the.

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<v Speaker 2>Regression birds out and they are crazy again about DeVante Adams.

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<v Speaker 2>I understand that he had a supreme runout with his

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<v Speaker 2>touchdowns last year, but let's not pretend that Davante Adams

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<v Speaker 2>doesn't score touchdowns. And when people say regression, it kind

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<v Speaker 2>of drives me nuts because regression means different things for

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<v Speaker 2>different people. The term regression means that the person's going

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<v Speaker 2>to come back to the mean, but that doesn't mean

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<v Speaker 2>they're going to come back to the NFL mean. Or

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<v Speaker 2>even the mean of certain types of players. They come

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<v Speaker 2>back to their own mean, and DeVante Adams has scored

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<v Speaker 2>double digit touchdowns for most of his career, So a

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<v Speaker 2>guy that scored fourteen, it's not that crazy. Maybe he

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<v Speaker 2>comes back to ten and yeah, maybe he's not a

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<v Speaker 2>super valuable receiver, but he's not being drafted like one.

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<v Speaker 2>So don't forget that when we talk about regression. But

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<v Speaker 2>I get off track a little bit because I wanted

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about JSN, largely because I had him on

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<v Speaker 2>so many teams. Last year, I won zero titles with JASN,

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<v Speaker 2>which makes me laugh.

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<v Speaker 1>I kind of love it.

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<v Speaker 2>It's kind of like when you quadruple up near the

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<v Speaker 2>bubble and then you still end up bubbling in a

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<v Speaker 2>poker tournament. It didn't get me anything, but I made

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<v Speaker 2>perhaps the one of the best calls of my entire

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<v Speaker 2>fantasy career, and certainly one of the best calls of

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<v Speaker 2>my fantasy analyst career. And I met a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>you out there are saying, dude, we really didn't hear

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<v Speaker 2>you talking about JSN.

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<v Speaker 1>That much, and you'd be right.

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<v Speaker 2>And one of the things that I want to talk

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<v Speaker 2>about today is that I want to own that I

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<v Speaker 2>want to own the fact that I didn't hype up

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<v Speaker 2>Jasn enough. And the reason is not because I didn't

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<v Speaker 2>like him. It's because I didn't realize what kind of

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<v Speaker 2>price I was going to get for him. I didn't

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<v Speaker 2>talk about him because I assumed he was going to

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<v Speaker 2>be too expensive in my drafts, and I kept getting

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<v Speaker 2>him for way too cheap of a price. So in

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<v Speaker 2>every draft I went into, he ended up as my

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<v Speaker 2>wide receiver too. And I thought going into drafts I

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<v Speaker 2>was going to have to pay wide receiver one money

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00:11:16.279 --> 00:11:18.840
<v Speaker 2>for him, and I ended up getting him as my

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00:11:18.879 --> 00:11:22.399
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver too. So why am I talking about this? Well,

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<v Speaker 2>the lessons super important, and that's how I want to

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<v Speaker 2>lead into talking about all these player evaluations today, is

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<v Speaker 2>that the reason I didn't bang my drum for JSN

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<v Speaker 2>was simply a matter of I couldn't predict how my

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<v Speaker 2>home leagues, and most of my leagues were I ended

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<v Speaker 2>up with him, were going to just tank the value.

227
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<v Speaker 2>And I'm not saying that he was twenty one dollars,

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<v Speaker 2>but in every single circumstance where I landed JSN in

229
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<v Speaker 2>an auction, he was my wide receiver too. I got

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<v Speaker 2>him sometimes in the upper twenties, mid thirties, low thirties.

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<v Speaker 2>I was getting JSN for way too cheap for the

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<v Speaker 2>role he was expected to have. Now, I didn't know

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<v Speaker 2>he was going to break out the weight did. I

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<v Speaker 2>just thought he'd be a great wide receiver too, because

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<v Speaker 2>I thought he was going to have no problem hitting

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<v Speaker 2>eighty or ninety catches, like he was just going to

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<v Speaker 2>get a ton of targets. And that's exactly what happened.

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<v Speaker 2>But I didn't know that until I got in the room.

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<v Speaker 2>And so what's the lesson. The lesson is, you can

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<v Speaker 2>do all this preparation and all this prognosticating and you

241
00:12:15.639 --> 00:12:18.879
<v Speaker 2>might just be wrong about who's going to go for

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00:12:18.960 --> 00:12:21.919
<v Speaker 2>what values. I'm wrong all the time. I go through

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00:12:21.919 --> 00:12:24.320
<v Speaker 2>the summer and I say to myself, boy, this guy's going.

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00:12:24.320 --> 00:12:24.679
<v Speaker 1>To be cheap.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm going to have him on every team, And I

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00:12:27.120 --> 00:12:29.799
<v Speaker 2>have that guy nowhere because it's just not true. He's

247
00:12:29.840 --> 00:12:31.480
<v Speaker 2>just not cheap like I thought he was going to be.

248
00:12:32.039 --> 00:12:34.200
<v Speaker 2>And so what you have to do. The lesson here

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00:12:34.279 --> 00:12:36.360
<v Speaker 2>is not, hey, you're going to be wrong if this

250
00:12:36.399 --> 00:12:40.879
<v Speaker 2>stuff's impossible. The lesson is, know what you think about guys,

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00:12:41.039 --> 00:12:44.399
<v Speaker 2>and know what you think about value for certain types

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00:12:44.440 --> 00:12:48.279
<v Speaker 2>of players. That's the entire rub of auctions is getting

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00:12:48.279 --> 00:12:51.000
<v Speaker 2>in that room and figuring out, hey, oh my gosh,

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00:12:51.000 --> 00:12:52.559
<v Speaker 2>this is cheaper than I thought. I need to go

255
00:12:52.679 --> 00:12:55.000
<v Speaker 2>for it, or hey, this is not working out. This

256
00:12:55.080 --> 00:12:57.639
<v Speaker 2>guy is consistently more expensive than I wanted him to be.

257
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<v Speaker 2>I had no idea what kind of asset he.

258
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<v Speaker 1>Was going to be.

259
00:13:03.000 --> 00:13:04.399
<v Speaker 2>I just knew that he was too cheap, and then

260
00:13:04.440 --> 00:13:07.240
<v Speaker 2>I got him. So that's something just keep in mind.

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<v Speaker 2>Being player agnostic, all of this stuff has really rolled

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00:13:10.639 --> 00:13:13.360
<v Speaker 2>into how I got the deal on JSN. And so

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<v Speaker 2>what I want you to take away from this is

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<v Speaker 2>just that there are a lot of lessons and a

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00:13:17.840 --> 00:13:19.799
<v Speaker 2>lot of things that can be lined up and just

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00:13:19.840 --> 00:13:22.799
<v Speaker 2>that one single player from last summer. So I want

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00:13:22.840 --> 00:13:25.799
<v Speaker 2>to talk about like twenty different players today and I'm

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00:13:25.799 --> 00:13:27.679
<v Speaker 2>hoping we're going to find some more lessons in there,

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00:13:27.919 --> 00:13:30.080
<v Speaker 2>and I'm hoping we're going to find some more narratives

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00:13:30.320 --> 00:13:33.440
<v Speaker 2>that we can exploit heading into our auctions so that

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<v Speaker 2>I can bang the drum for a guy like JSN

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<v Speaker 2>or the breakout of a guy like JSN, And I

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00:13:39.279 --> 00:13:42.360
<v Speaker 2>hope I hit that for you. This summer, because, like

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<v Speaker 2>I said, I have one of my best years and

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<v Speaker 2>it was largely because of some hits like Cook, like JSN,

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00:13:48.720 --> 00:13:51.080
<v Speaker 2>like DeVante Adams, and I hope that we can bang

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00:13:51.080 --> 00:13:52.759
<v Speaker 2>the drum for those guys again this summer.

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00:13:53.320 --> 00:13:53.919
<v Speaker 1>Let's do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Here are the four categories of guys I'm looking at

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<v Speaker 2>for my auctions this summer. Number one is a category

281
00:14:02.120 --> 00:14:06.440
<v Speaker 2>that I usually refer to as arbitrage plays, and I'm

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00:14:06.440 --> 00:14:08.279
<v Speaker 2>not sure that I love the term anymore. You know,

283
00:14:08.320 --> 00:14:11.960
<v Speaker 2>I stole the term from David Dodds if anybody remembers

284
00:14:12.039 --> 00:14:13.679
<v Speaker 2>him from football guys back in the day, but he

285
00:14:13.759 --> 00:14:17.360
<v Speaker 2>was an amazing auction drafter. Loved having a conversation with

286
00:14:17.440 --> 00:14:21.039
<v Speaker 2>that guy about auctions anytime, and he coined the phrase

287
00:14:21.159 --> 00:14:25.279
<v Speaker 2>arbitrage plays where you're getting players that are being drafted

288
00:14:25.399 --> 00:14:30.399
<v Speaker 2>essentially at their floor, where they have essentially asymmetric upside.

289
00:14:30.440 --> 00:14:33.360
<v Speaker 2>And I like those plays and those are some of

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00:14:33.399 --> 00:14:36.240
<v Speaker 2>my favorite plays to try to isolate before we get

291
00:14:36.240 --> 00:14:39.320
<v Speaker 2>to auctions. So I don't know if arbitrage is correct,

292
00:14:40.159 --> 00:14:43.519
<v Speaker 2>but asymmetrical arbitrage, whatever you want to call it. For

293
00:14:43.720 --> 00:14:47.759
<v Speaker 2>ease of description, I'm just gonna call my favorite floor plays, okay,

294
00:14:48.240 --> 00:14:50.759
<v Speaker 2>and these aren't my favorite floor plays because I believe

295
00:14:50.799 --> 00:14:53.759
<v Speaker 2>these guys just have a nice floor. I believe these

296
00:14:53.799 --> 00:14:58.240
<v Speaker 2>guys have immense upside, but they're being drafted at their floor.

297
00:14:58.320 --> 00:15:01.440
<v Speaker 2>So let's not confuse the tagline. The tagline is my

298
00:15:01.600 --> 00:15:04.440
<v Speaker 2>favorite floor place. I've got six different guys that I'm

299
00:15:04.440 --> 00:15:06.799
<v Speaker 2>looking at right now that I believe are just being

300
00:15:06.879 --> 00:15:09.399
<v Speaker 2>drafted way too low. And I don't know why that is,

301
00:15:10.039 --> 00:15:13.679
<v Speaker 2>and that may change. The steam on these guys may change,

302
00:15:14.200 --> 00:15:16.440
<v Speaker 2>but I think these guys are being drafted.

303
00:15:16.399 --> 00:15:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Way too low.

304
00:15:17.320 --> 00:15:19.559
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about six different guys I consider to be

305
00:15:20.720 --> 00:15:24.759
<v Speaker 2>my favorite floor place right now. Number one is Davante Smith,

306
00:15:25.200 --> 00:15:27.679
<v Speaker 2>and I've talked about him all summer already. I'm going

307
00:15:27.759 --> 00:15:30.840
<v Speaker 2>to keep banging the drum. I don't believe that the

308
00:15:30.879 --> 00:15:34.559
<v Speaker 2>Eagles are a super conducive offense to high volume. I

309
00:15:34.679 --> 00:15:37.519
<v Speaker 2>get that, and I also don't believe that the Eagles

310
00:15:37.559 --> 00:15:39.200
<v Speaker 2>want to throw the ball a lot, and they still

311
00:15:39.240 --> 00:15:42.399
<v Speaker 2>have a really good defense. I understand the warts, and

312
00:15:42.440 --> 00:15:45.840
<v Speaker 2>I believe that those warts are why Davante Smith is

313
00:15:45.879 --> 00:15:48.200
<v Speaker 2>not going higher, and I think he should be going

314
00:15:48.279 --> 00:15:51.720
<v Speaker 2>higher right now. On football guys, their ADP has him

315
00:15:51.720 --> 00:15:54.600
<v Speaker 2>as wide receiver fourteen. They have him going for about

316
00:15:54.879 --> 00:15:57.879
<v Speaker 2>twenty six dollars in an auction. Now I know that

317
00:15:57.919 --> 00:16:00.639
<v Speaker 2>their numbers are they're essentially like an algorithm that generates

318
00:16:00.679 --> 00:16:04.840
<v Speaker 2>numbers based off of our projections. And they're also let

319
00:16:04.879 --> 00:16:08.480
<v Speaker 2>me just remind you all that anytime you see auction numbers,

320
00:16:09.240 --> 00:16:13.360
<v Speaker 2>generally whatever program is spitting those out is accounting for

321
00:16:13.399 --> 00:16:15.600
<v Speaker 2>the fact that there's only X number of dollars to

322
00:16:15.679 --> 00:16:17.919
<v Speaker 2>spend in any draft room, and they're accounting for that

323
00:16:18.000 --> 00:16:21.679
<v Speaker 2>and saying that all these players after this line are

324
00:16:21.720 --> 00:16:24.159
<v Speaker 2>going to go for a dollar. But that's not actually

325
00:16:24.159 --> 00:16:26.799
<v Speaker 2>how it works in a draft room, because yes, that's

326
00:16:26.799 --> 00:16:28.960
<v Speaker 2>going to happen at some point where the money runs out.

327
00:16:29.159 --> 00:16:33.519
<v Speaker 2>But oftentimes players will get a spike or they'll get

328
00:16:33.559 --> 00:16:36.720
<v Speaker 2>a corresponding depression and price because of what's happening in

329
00:16:36.720 --> 00:16:39.720
<v Speaker 2>the draft room. And I don't believe in generating numbers

330
00:16:39.720 --> 00:16:42.320
<v Speaker 2>like that. I believe in generating numbers by saying, what's

331
00:16:42.320 --> 00:16:46.320
<v Speaker 2>this guy worth in a vacuum? Forgetting everything else, forgetting

332
00:16:46.360 --> 00:16:47.919
<v Speaker 2>how much money is in the room, what do I

333
00:16:47.919 --> 00:16:50.200
<v Speaker 2>think this guy's worth in a vacuum? And when I

334
00:16:50.200 --> 00:16:52.320
<v Speaker 2>see twenty six dollars in DeVante Smith. I think that's

335
00:16:52.320 --> 00:16:54.720
<v Speaker 2>way too low. He went for thirty three dollars in

336
00:16:54.759 --> 00:16:56.639
<v Speaker 2>the mock we did the other night. I just think

337
00:16:56.639 --> 00:16:58.240
<v Speaker 2>twenty six is too low, and I don't think he's

338
00:16:58.240 --> 00:17:01.960
<v Speaker 2>going twenty six anywhere. Last year alone, AJ Brown had

339
00:17:01.960 --> 00:17:04.680
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and twenty one targets. DeVante Smith had one

340
00:17:04.759 --> 00:17:09.519
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirteen. And look, Smith is a really good receiver.

341
00:17:09.640 --> 00:17:12.160
<v Speaker 2>He came out of college as a phenom. He's been

342
00:17:12.200 --> 00:17:15.640
<v Speaker 2>good every time they featured him. He's only had one

343
00:17:15.720 --> 00:17:19.319
<v Speaker 2>season where he's over one hundred and thirteen targets in

344
00:17:19.359 --> 00:17:22.680
<v Speaker 2>his career, and in that season, he had one hundred

345
00:17:22.680 --> 00:17:26.480
<v Speaker 2>and thirty six targets, ninety five catches, twelve hundred yards,

346
00:17:26.480 --> 00:17:30.000
<v Speaker 2>and seven touchdowns. So one time he got an elite

347
00:17:30.000 --> 00:17:32.759
<v Speaker 2>target share and he was a top six wide receiver.

348
00:17:33.480 --> 00:17:36.440
<v Speaker 2>So let's not forget that. If this guy gets one

349
00:17:36.480 --> 00:17:39.880
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty targets, he's going to easily outperform his

350
00:17:39.920 --> 00:17:45.039
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver fourteen ADP easily. And in that season where

351
00:17:45.039 --> 00:17:47.119
<v Speaker 2>he had all those yards, because of the one hundred

352
00:17:47.119 --> 00:17:50.200
<v Speaker 2>and thirty five targets, he finished as the wide receiver

353
00:17:50.279 --> 00:17:52.480
<v Speaker 2>fourteen in PPR points per game. But he was the

354
00:17:52.480 --> 00:17:56.200
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver nine overall, so you can cut that however

355
00:17:56.240 --> 00:17:58.440
<v Speaker 2>you want it. But right now he's wide receiver fourteen

356
00:17:58.480 --> 00:18:01.000
<v Speaker 2>and ADP again. That's why he's a floor play. That's

357
00:18:01.000 --> 00:18:03.920
<v Speaker 2>why he's an arbitrage play. That's why he's an asymmetrical play,

358
00:18:04.599 --> 00:18:06.240
<v Speaker 2>because I think you're drafting him right now at his

359
00:18:06.279 --> 00:18:07.960
<v Speaker 2>floor and I think he's got a men's upside.

360
00:18:08.240 --> 00:18:11.720
<v Speaker 1>Number two. RJ. Harvey. You know, I didn't expect to

361
00:18:11.759 --> 00:18:12.119
<v Speaker 1>like RJ.

362
00:18:12.200 --> 00:18:14.799
<v Speaker 2>Harvey when it came into the summer, but we're doing

363
00:18:14.839 --> 00:18:16.920
<v Speaker 2>the thing again with the narrative, and I got to

364
00:18:16.960 --> 00:18:18.759
<v Speaker 2>just tell you that I'm turning off my brain when

365
00:18:18.759 --> 00:18:19.359
<v Speaker 2>it comes to RJ.

366
00:18:19.440 --> 00:18:19.799
<v Speaker 1>Harvey.

367
00:18:19.920 --> 00:18:21.880
<v Speaker 2>And you're gonna love category number two, by the way,

368
00:18:21.880 --> 00:18:25.039
<v Speaker 2>because we're talking about something similar to that. But I'm

369
00:18:25.119 --> 00:18:28.319
<v Speaker 2>keeping Harvey in category one because I think it's a

370
00:18:28.400 --> 00:18:30.680
<v Speaker 2>little bit ridiculous to say, well, he got a bunch

371
00:18:30.720 --> 00:18:33.119
<v Speaker 2>of receiving touchdowns and he was super efficient and he

372
00:18:33.200 --> 00:18:36.359
<v Speaker 2>ran pure. Yeah, all that stuff's true, but he also

373
00:18:36.440 --> 00:18:39.839
<v Speaker 2>came into a difficult offense. To learn Sean Payton's offense,

374
00:18:40.279 --> 00:18:42.880
<v Speaker 2>you have to get Sean Payton to trust you he

375
00:18:42.920 --> 00:18:45.720
<v Speaker 2>doesn't trust people easily, and he had to come in

376
00:18:45.759 --> 00:18:47.680
<v Speaker 2>and pick up the slack for when Dobbins got hurt,

377
00:18:47.759 --> 00:18:50.559
<v Speaker 2>and he did it very well. And now everybody's talking

378
00:18:50.559 --> 00:18:53.400
<v Speaker 2>about Jonah Coleman and a number one. I don't think

379
00:18:53.440 --> 00:18:57.200
<v Speaker 2>Coleman's going to line up for RJ. Harvey's role. And

380
00:18:57.240 --> 00:18:59.440
<v Speaker 2>I think that they're trying to protect JK. Dobbins because

381
00:18:59.480 --> 00:19:00.799
<v Speaker 2>he gets hurt it year and he's going to be

382
00:19:00.799 --> 00:19:04.480
<v Speaker 2>coming back from a Liz Frank injury. So I'm not

383
00:19:04.559 --> 00:19:07.000
<v Speaker 2>necessarily sure that R J. Harvey is going to lose

384
00:19:07.000 --> 00:19:09.319
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of touches here. In fact, I would expect

385
00:19:09.400 --> 00:19:12.119
<v Speaker 2>his role to grow a little bit. And what's crazy

386
00:19:12.240 --> 00:19:15.799
<v Speaker 2>is from week eleven on he was the RB ten

387
00:19:15.920 --> 00:19:19.480
<v Speaker 2>in PPR League seventeen points a game. He's currently going

388
00:19:19.480 --> 00:19:22.279
<v Speaker 2>as the RB twenty nine. Football Guys has him as

389
00:19:22.319 --> 00:19:25.799
<v Speaker 2>a seven dollars player. I think that's crazy, not that

390
00:19:25.799 --> 00:19:28.880
<v Speaker 2>he's seven dollars but or not that their price is wrong,

391
00:19:28.920 --> 00:19:32.279
<v Speaker 2>because I think their price accurately reflects the market, but

392
00:19:32.440 --> 00:19:36.799
<v Speaker 2>him going RB twenty nine, What the hell happened that

393
00:19:36.880 --> 00:19:38.359
<v Speaker 2>we think he's RB twenty nine?

394
00:19:39.279 --> 00:19:39.480
<v Speaker 1>What?

395
00:19:40.200 --> 00:19:43.720
<v Speaker 2>I don't get it? Yeah, he was at the goal

396
00:19:43.759 --> 00:19:45.839
<v Speaker 2>line guy. Last year, Dobbins was the goal line guy.

397
00:19:45.839 --> 00:19:48.200
<v Speaker 2>He still caught passes on third down and he was

398
00:19:48.240 --> 00:19:50.440
<v Speaker 2>still the guy that they wanted to go to in

399
00:19:50.440 --> 00:19:54.559
<v Speaker 2>those situations. I don't understand it. He finished off the

400
00:19:54.599 --> 00:19:56.880
<v Speaker 2>season as the RB ten. I'm not expecting RB ten.

401
00:19:57.240 --> 00:20:02.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm expecting RB seventeen, RB nineteen, RB twenty nine is nuts.

402
00:20:02.440 --> 00:20:04.680
<v Speaker 2>And if you can get him for seven dollars, he

403
00:20:04.759 --> 00:20:06.480
<v Speaker 2>might even be cheaper than that. But I got him

404
00:20:06.480 --> 00:20:10.000
<v Speaker 2>for ten bucks. If he's my RB three, great, if

405
00:20:10.279 --> 00:20:12.920
<v Speaker 2>even better if he's my RB four, which I think

406
00:20:13.000 --> 00:20:16.400
<v Speaker 2>is easily accomplished in an auction room. And that's why

407
00:20:16.400 --> 00:20:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I love auctions, by the way, because you can get r. J.

408
00:20:19.119 --> 00:20:21.839
<v Speaker 2>Harvey as the RB four, and if he blows up man,

409
00:20:22.000 --> 00:20:24.599
<v Speaker 2>your team just took off there with your RB four.

410
00:20:25.440 --> 00:20:27.680
<v Speaker 2>And that's the next guy I want to talk about

411
00:20:27.880 --> 00:20:31.279
<v Speaker 2>is a similar type player, and that's one Day Robinson.

412
00:20:31.680 --> 00:20:34.480
<v Speaker 2>One Day Robinson last year, of course, benefited from the

413
00:20:34.480 --> 00:20:37.240
<v Speaker 2>Molik Neighbors injury. He benefited from the fact that their

414
00:20:37.279 --> 00:20:39.519
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver corps is pretty bad there in New York,

415
00:20:40.200 --> 00:20:42.519
<v Speaker 2>and it's a much better wide receiver corps in Tennessee.

416
00:20:42.680 --> 00:20:45.039
<v Speaker 2>I get that, but he has slipped all the way

417
00:20:45.079 --> 00:20:48.720
<v Speaker 2>to wide receiver forty six. You know what you have

418
00:20:48.759 --> 00:20:51.440
<v Speaker 2>to score to be wide receiver forty six? Ten point

419
00:20:51.519 --> 00:20:54.599
<v Speaker 2>four points a game, ten point four points a game.

420
00:20:55.200 --> 00:20:57.400
<v Speaker 2>He came in and had fourteen PPR points per game

421
00:20:57.480 --> 00:20:59.839
<v Speaker 2>last year. Now I believe he ended up as wide

422
00:20:59.839 --> 00:21:02.519
<v Speaker 2>receiver thirteen. Maybe I don't know exactly, but off the

423
00:21:02.519 --> 00:21:03.880
<v Speaker 2>top of my head, but I think he was wide

424
00:21:03.880 --> 00:21:08.240
<v Speaker 2>receiver seventeen in points per game, which is not stellar.

425
00:21:08.319 --> 00:21:11.640
<v Speaker 2>It's not amazing. It's not a league winner. But he's

426
00:21:11.640 --> 00:21:13.960
<v Speaker 2>going off the borders wide receiver forty six. I don't

427
00:21:14.039 --> 00:21:18.720
<v Speaker 2>understand that whatsoever. I know there's competition. I get the warts.

428
00:21:18.799 --> 00:21:21.000
<v Speaker 2>He's got Carnal Tate ahead of him, he's got Calvin

429
00:21:21.079 --> 00:21:24.240
<v Speaker 2>Ridley behind him. He's got two second year guys that

430
00:21:24.319 --> 00:21:26.319
<v Speaker 2>are going to try to steal touches. He's got a

431
00:21:26.359 --> 00:21:28.640
<v Speaker 2>second year quarterback in cam Ward that we don't know

432
00:21:29.079 --> 00:21:31.400
<v Speaker 2>can play the position at a high level. There's a

433
00:21:31.400 --> 00:21:34.400
<v Speaker 2>lot of hurdles there, But at wide receiver forty six, do.

434
00:21:34.359 --> 00:21:37.319
<v Speaker 1>We give a crap about the hurdles wide.

435
00:21:37.119 --> 00:21:39.799
<v Speaker 2>Receiver forty six? Say that again, he's a low end

436
00:21:39.799 --> 00:21:43.880
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver four right now that I just I don't

437
00:21:43.920 --> 00:21:46.039
<v Speaker 2>get it again. You can have him for five to

438
00:21:46.079 --> 00:21:48.480
<v Speaker 2>seven dollars in an auction and that's the kind of

439
00:21:48.480 --> 00:21:51.839
<v Speaker 2>player that makes your roster all right. Player number three

440
00:21:52.000 --> 00:21:55.799
<v Speaker 2>is a running back and his name is Josh Jacobs.

441
00:21:56.319 --> 00:21:59.799
<v Speaker 2>Now there is a huge caveat to this comment. If

442
00:21:59.799 --> 00:22:01.519
<v Speaker 2>you I want to check out my current opinion on

443
00:22:01.640 --> 00:22:04.240
<v Speaker 2>Josh Jacobs over on the Patreon, you can do that

444
00:22:04.480 --> 00:22:07.400
<v Speaker 2>just four bucks a month. Bantasy football lawyer, I'm Drew Davinportan,

445
00:22:07.400 --> 00:22:10.160
<v Speaker 2>and I prove this message. But Josh Jacobs was RB

446
00:22:10.359 --> 00:22:12.839
<v Speaker 2>seven and points per game. If you take out Week seventeen,

447
00:22:12.880 --> 00:22:15.759
<v Speaker 2>we've only got four carries. And don't forget he was

448
00:22:15.839 --> 00:22:18.079
<v Speaker 2>hurt over the last third of the year when they

449
00:22:18.079 --> 00:22:21.039
<v Speaker 2>were giving Emmanuel Wilson work and spelling it more. But

450
00:22:21.119 --> 00:22:24.160
<v Speaker 2>he's their unquestioned goal line back. He was RB seven

451
00:22:24.200 --> 00:22:27.759
<v Speaker 2>and PPR points per game. His price right now has

452
00:22:27.839 --> 00:22:32.440
<v Speaker 2>to be completely about the domestic violence allegations and nothing else,

453
00:22:33.240 --> 00:22:35.920
<v Speaker 2>because there is no reason this guy should be going

454
00:22:35.960 --> 00:22:38.240
<v Speaker 2>as cheap as he is. Football guys has him at

455
00:22:38.240 --> 00:22:41.640
<v Speaker 2>twenty seven dollars. If you walk into an auction and

456
00:22:41.720 --> 00:22:44.640
<v Speaker 2>someone hands you Josh Jacobs for twenty seven dollars, just

457
00:22:44.720 --> 00:22:47.759
<v Speaker 2>take it and don't look back. He is being drafted

458
00:22:47.759 --> 00:22:51.279
<v Speaker 2>at his floor right now, and if the allegations turn

459
00:22:51.319 --> 00:22:54.039
<v Speaker 2>into something worse before your draft, then you know it's

460
00:22:54.039 --> 00:22:57.039
<v Speaker 2>no problem. I don't think something's going to happen in

461
00:22:57.079 --> 00:22:59.480
<v Speaker 2>the middle of September or the middle of November from

462
00:22:59.480 --> 00:23:02.160
<v Speaker 2>the NFL. Now, if he has more problems, we can't

463
00:23:02.200 --> 00:23:05.000
<v Speaker 2>control that. But as far as the decision goes, I

464
00:23:05.000 --> 00:23:08.480
<v Speaker 2>think it's going to come before the season, and I

465
00:23:08.519 --> 00:23:10.920
<v Speaker 2>don't really think that he's going to be impacted this year,

466
00:23:10.960 --> 00:23:15.319
<v Speaker 2>whether they file charges or not. So whoops, let that

467
00:23:15.400 --> 00:23:18.319
<v Speaker 2>slip out. But the point is it's a huge caveat

468
00:23:18.319 --> 00:23:20.759
<v Speaker 2>with Jacobs, and I get why the ADP is low.

469
00:23:20.960 --> 00:23:22.680
<v Speaker 2>I think that's going to creep up in August, so

470
00:23:22.720 --> 00:23:24.680
<v Speaker 2>we need to watch that one closely. But right now,

471
00:23:24.759 --> 00:23:27.599
<v Speaker 2>it's silly how low he's going. All Right, The next

472
00:23:27.640 --> 00:23:30.319
<v Speaker 2>guy is a name you're all familiar with. Everyone say

473
00:23:30.319 --> 00:23:36.680
<v Speaker 2>it together with me. We love Kyron Williams. Folks, I

474
00:23:36.759 --> 00:23:39.559
<v Speaker 2>am so tired of talking about Kyrien Williams. I promise,

475
00:23:39.599 --> 00:23:42.240
<v Speaker 2>and I promise you that I can almost hear you

476
00:23:42.400 --> 00:23:47.960
<v Speaker 2>groaning through the speakers because you're tired of hearing about

477
00:23:48.039 --> 00:23:50.839
<v Speaker 2>Kyrien Williams as well. But I have to talk about

478
00:23:50.920 --> 00:23:54.160
<v Speaker 2>him because the narrative is once again out of control.

479
00:23:54.599 --> 00:23:59.200
<v Speaker 2>He's currently going as the RB fifteen off the board. Now,

480
00:23:59.240 --> 00:24:01.720
<v Speaker 2>this is a guy. He has never finished that low

481
00:24:01.720 --> 00:24:06.480
<v Speaker 2>in fantasy football since his breakout. Ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever,

482
00:24:06.599 --> 00:24:09.319
<v Speaker 2>ever ever has he finished that low in fantasy football.

483
00:24:09.880 --> 00:24:13.400
<v Speaker 2>And the only argument that I can hear from people

484
00:24:13.519 --> 00:24:15.559
<v Speaker 2>is that, oh, Blake Korm's going to start taking over.

485
00:24:16.000 --> 00:24:20.920
<v Speaker 2>And let me just tell you something, No, Nah ain't happening.

486
00:24:21.160 --> 00:24:21.799
<v Speaker 1>Here's why.

487
00:24:22.440 --> 00:24:24.720
<v Speaker 2>My friend Duyen McFarland over at Fantasy Life has a

488
00:24:24.720 --> 00:24:28.519
<v Speaker 2>really cool utilization tool and it shows you when running

489
00:24:28.559 --> 00:24:31.720
<v Speaker 2>backs and receivers play their snaps and how many routes

490
00:24:31.759 --> 00:24:35.039
<v Speaker 2>they run, all that kind of stuff. Here is why

491
00:24:35.119 --> 00:24:39.359
<v Speaker 2>I know Kymen Williams is not going anywhere. Last year,

492
00:24:39.759 --> 00:24:43.720
<v Speaker 2>Williams played ninety five percent of the two minute snaps,

493
00:24:44.279 --> 00:24:47.119
<v Speaker 2>he played seventy two percent of the long down and

494
00:24:47.200 --> 00:24:50.559
<v Speaker 2>distant snaps, and he played seventy three percent of the

495
00:24:50.599 --> 00:24:54.200
<v Speaker 2>short down to distant snaps. Now, if everyone really believes

496
00:24:54.240 --> 00:24:58.279
<v Speaker 2>that Blake Korm is about to take over. Why because

497
00:24:58.400 --> 00:25:02.799
<v Speaker 2>Cayen played all the law and short down distant stuff. Essentially,

498
00:25:02.839 --> 00:25:05.640
<v Speaker 2>Blake Korm is a between the twenties grinder. Now if

499
00:25:05.640 --> 00:25:08.319
<v Speaker 2>it's his drive, and this is something that you have

500
00:25:08.400 --> 00:25:10.200
<v Speaker 2>to get used to. If you have Kyron, it's going

501
00:25:10.240 --> 00:25:13.640
<v Speaker 2>to be frustrating because if it's Koram's drive and they

502
00:25:13.720 --> 00:25:16.160
<v Speaker 2>score on that drive, he's not coming out of the

503
00:25:16.200 --> 00:25:20.160
<v Speaker 2>game for Kyron Williams and vice versa. But I think

504
00:25:20.160 --> 00:25:23.920
<v Speaker 2>it's interesting that the splits from last year weren't different

505
00:25:24.079 --> 00:25:27.160
<v Speaker 2>than they weren't as different as I thought they would be.

506
00:25:27.880 --> 00:25:30.359
<v Speaker 2>Williams still got fifty nine percent of the carries inside

507
00:25:30.400 --> 00:25:35.240
<v Speaker 2>the five, and I expected to see Williams have worse

508
00:25:35.319 --> 00:25:38.359
<v Speaker 2>stats over the second half of last season, But from

509
00:25:38.400 --> 00:25:41.960
<v Speaker 2>weeks one to seven, Kyron Williams averaged fifteen point seven

510
00:25:42.000 --> 00:25:46.480
<v Speaker 2>PPR points per game. After that, from weeks eight to seventeen,

511
00:25:46.880 --> 00:25:49.160
<v Speaker 2>Blake Korum started playing more and more, getting more and

512
00:25:49.160 --> 00:25:52.359
<v Speaker 2>more touches. That's why I cut the split there. That's

513
00:25:52.359 --> 00:25:55.480
<v Speaker 2>when Korum started playing more. And guess what Kyron Williams

514
00:25:55.519 --> 00:25:58.720
<v Speaker 2>averaged with the first seven weeks fifteen point seven from

515
00:25:58.720 --> 00:26:02.519
<v Speaker 2>weeks eight to seventeen fifty teen point nine. I bet

516
00:26:02.519 --> 00:26:04.960
<v Speaker 2>you didn't expect to hear that, because I didn't expect

517
00:26:04.960 --> 00:26:08.599
<v Speaker 2>to see that. He averaged more PPR points per game

518
00:26:08.920 --> 00:26:12.200
<v Speaker 2>when Korum started to play than he did before. So

519
00:26:12.440 --> 00:26:14.279
<v Speaker 2>it's a small sample size. We don't need to take

520
00:26:14.279 --> 00:26:17.400
<v Speaker 2>anything away from that other than Kyin Williams is not

521
00:26:17.440 --> 00:26:21.119
<v Speaker 2>going away. Sean McVay trusts him, the offense trusts him.

522
00:26:21.359 --> 00:26:24.559
<v Speaker 2>He's going to play in the high leverage situations, which

523
00:26:24.599 --> 00:26:27.079
<v Speaker 2>is short and long, down in distance and two minute drives,

524
00:26:27.480 --> 00:26:29.119
<v Speaker 2>and he's going to get the goal on carries when

525
00:26:29.119 --> 00:26:31.000
<v Speaker 2>he's in there on the drives where they score. That's

526
00:26:31.039 --> 00:26:33.119
<v Speaker 2>going to be a luck factor. But I don't think

527
00:26:33.160 --> 00:26:35.599
<v Speaker 2>it's lucky that he keeps turning in ten touchdowns in

528
00:26:35.640 --> 00:26:39.319
<v Speaker 2>top twelve PPR finishes and yet we're drafting him at

529
00:26:39.480 --> 00:26:42.480
<v Speaker 2>running back fifteen. Go get him on your team, enjoy

530
00:26:42.480 --> 00:26:43.000
<v Speaker 2>the profit.

531
00:26:43.279 --> 00:26:44.759
<v Speaker 1>Move on. Okay.

532
00:26:44.799 --> 00:26:46.359
<v Speaker 2>The last guy I want to talk about is a

533
00:26:46.400 --> 00:26:49.799
<v Speaker 2>tight end, and it's somebody that I haven't been super

534
00:26:49.880 --> 00:26:53.000
<v Speaker 2>high on really in any season of his career, but

535
00:26:53.240 --> 00:26:58.200
<v Speaker 2>right now the price is just right. Sam Laporta. Unfortunately,

536
00:26:58.279 --> 00:27:00.240
<v Speaker 2>he's making a little bit of a run up the

537
00:27:00.279 --> 00:27:02.640
<v Speaker 2>ADP boards. I don't love it as much as I

538
00:27:02.720 --> 00:27:04.759
<v Speaker 2>used to. So we're gonna keep paying attention to that

539
00:27:05.200 --> 00:27:08.240
<v Speaker 2>because if we get some glowing reports in camp that

540
00:27:08.279 --> 00:27:11.000
<v Speaker 2>he's feeling great, that everything's good with his back, that

541
00:27:11.119 --> 00:27:12.880
<v Speaker 2>I think that's going to continue to rise. And that's

542
00:27:12.960 --> 00:27:15.200
<v Speaker 2>unfortunate because we may have to beat off of that.

543
00:27:16.240 --> 00:27:18.960
<v Speaker 2>But right now, what I know is this, in his

544
00:27:19.079 --> 00:27:21.400
<v Speaker 2>rookie year, he finishes the tight end one, the tight

545
00:27:21.480 --> 00:27:23.920
<v Speaker 2>end three in points per game, but he's a top

546
00:27:23.960 --> 00:27:26.200
<v Speaker 2>three guy or the top tight end on the board.

547
00:27:26.839 --> 00:27:30.559
<v Speaker 2>The next two seasons, even the injury season, he finishes

548
00:27:30.640 --> 00:27:33.000
<v Speaker 2>the tight end nine in points per game. He's being

549
00:27:33.079 --> 00:27:35.359
<v Speaker 2>drafted right now as the tight end eight. I think

550
00:27:35.400 --> 00:27:38.559
<v Speaker 2>that's the definition of the floor play. He wasn't right

551
00:27:38.640 --> 00:27:41.440
<v Speaker 2>last year with the back look. I understand back injuries

552
00:27:41.480 --> 00:27:43.799
<v Speaker 2>are nothing to mess with, but I think it sounds

553
00:27:43.839 --> 00:27:46.519
<v Speaker 2>like a really fun plan to go into the draft

554
00:27:46.640 --> 00:27:49.400
<v Speaker 2>and just get a rock solid tight end one. I

555
00:27:49.400 --> 00:27:51.640
<v Speaker 2>think you could go in and get somebody like Travis

556
00:27:51.720 --> 00:27:54.559
<v Speaker 2>Kelcey really cheap, and then you can turn around and

557
00:27:54.599 --> 00:27:58.920
<v Speaker 2>get Laporter really cheap. In these drafts, full PPR drafts

558
00:27:59.119 --> 00:28:01.519
<v Speaker 2>where you're watching some the top tight ends go for

559
00:28:01.599 --> 00:28:04.480
<v Speaker 2>more money. You can just wait a little while and

560
00:28:04.519 --> 00:28:06.680
<v Speaker 2>then when people start running out of money, they don't

561
00:28:06.720 --> 00:28:10.640
<v Speaker 2>care about bidding on Sam Laporta or Travis Kelcey. It's

562
00:28:10.720 --> 00:28:12.880
<v Speaker 2>very possible you could walk out of your auctions with

563
00:28:12.960 --> 00:28:16.480
<v Speaker 2>both of those guys for like eight bucks ten bucks.

564
00:28:16.799 --> 00:28:19.440
<v Speaker 2>I would love to make that play, because if Laporta

565
00:28:19.480 --> 00:28:22.920
<v Speaker 2>blows up, you've got a great player. If not, Kelsey's

566
00:28:22.960 --> 00:28:24.599
<v Speaker 2>going to be a steady guy who's going to get

567
00:28:24.640 --> 00:28:28.400
<v Speaker 2>you PPR points every week. My point is, Kelsey, excuse me.

568
00:28:28.440 --> 00:28:31.319
<v Speaker 2>My point is Laporta is being drafted at his floor

569
00:28:31.400 --> 00:28:35.400
<v Speaker 2>right now. If he plays tight end, nine are better

570
00:28:35.559 --> 00:28:37.799
<v Speaker 2>is a lock, and that's about where he's being drafted.

571
00:28:38.400 --> 00:28:40.640
<v Speaker 2>All right, Well, we're getting pretty deep into the show.

572
00:28:40.759 --> 00:28:44.119
<v Speaker 2>But I want to move on to category two. Category

573
00:28:44.160 --> 00:28:46.319
<v Speaker 2>one was the most substantial one. It's the one that

574
00:28:46.359 --> 00:28:48.920
<v Speaker 2>I want to go through the most conversation about those

575
00:28:48.960 --> 00:28:51.559
<v Speaker 2>six players. The other categories are going to go a

576
00:28:51.599 --> 00:28:53.160
<v Speaker 2>little bit quicker. I'm going to go a little bit

577
00:28:53.160 --> 00:28:55.319
<v Speaker 2>more lightning round fashion. But I just want to point

578
00:28:55.359 --> 00:28:57.839
<v Speaker 2>out some things and some guys that I'm paying attention to.

579
00:28:58.319 --> 00:29:01.599
<v Speaker 2>So Category one was my arbaitra plays, my floor plays

580
00:29:01.599 --> 00:29:03.759
<v Speaker 2>the guys I think are being drafted at their floor

581
00:29:04.160 --> 00:29:15.559
<v Speaker 2>that have immense upside. Category two is my close your

582
00:29:15.680 --> 00:29:20.400
<v Speaker 2>eyes guys. By the way, have you noticed my tags

583
00:29:20.519 --> 00:29:25.960
<v Speaker 2>all summer long are just ridiculous? Oh, I'm leading into

584
00:29:26.000 --> 00:29:28.079
<v Speaker 2>it now because when I started it with guys that

585
00:29:28.119 --> 00:29:30.839
<v Speaker 2>are scoring points are scoring points, I just realized I

586
00:29:30.880 --> 00:29:33.160
<v Speaker 2>gotta just make this as stupid as possible for the

587
00:29:33.200 --> 00:29:35.640
<v Speaker 2>rest of the summer. So I'm leading into the dumb

588
00:29:35.680 --> 00:29:38.359
<v Speaker 2>taglines and they're just gonna say what I want them

589
00:29:38.400 --> 00:29:41.799
<v Speaker 2>to say with no pretense. I'm not gonna have chat

590
00:29:41.839 --> 00:29:44.759
<v Speaker 2>GPT write me up a cool headline.

591
00:29:45.359 --> 00:29:46.039
<v Speaker 1>This one is.

592
00:29:46.000 --> 00:29:49.480
<v Speaker 2>Called the close your eyes guys because I want you

593
00:29:49.480 --> 00:29:51.200
<v Speaker 2>to just close your eyes and draft these guys and

594
00:29:51.240 --> 00:29:55.319
<v Speaker 2>just stop worrying about shit. Okay, stop worrying so damn much.

595
00:29:55.680 --> 00:29:58.960
<v Speaker 2>We spend so much time picking apart these players, and

596
00:29:59.079 --> 00:30:01.960
<v Speaker 2>these guys I'm gonna you about right now. These four

597
00:30:02.000 --> 00:30:06.480
<v Speaker 2>players are extremely talented wide receivers that all have a

598
00:30:06.519 --> 00:30:09.599
<v Speaker 2>lot of the same things in common and a lot

599
00:30:09.599 --> 00:30:12.480
<v Speaker 2>of the same complaints from people for why they're not

600
00:30:12.559 --> 00:30:15.039
<v Speaker 2>drafting them. But I think all four guys you just

601
00:30:15.079 --> 00:30:17.319
<v Speaker 2>need to close your eyes and draft them. And that's

602
00:30:17.319 --> 00:30:21.240
<v Speaker 2>why they're might close your eyes guys, because I'm not

603
00:30:21.240 --> 00:30:23.359
<v Speaker 2>going to sit here and tell you that their profile

604
00:30:23.519 --> 00:30:26.079
<v Speaker 2>is rock solid, that these are guys you have to

605
00:30:26.119 --> 00:30:28.839
<v Speaker 2>have on your team. I just think these are players

606
00:30:28.839 --> 00:30:32.400
<v Speaker 2>that could explode, and if they do, you want to

607
00:30:32.400 --> 00:30:35.319
<v Speaker 2>have some shares of them. So I think you need

608
00:30:35.359 --> 00:30:39.480
<v Speaker 2>to turn off your logic brain, your analytics, your advanced analytics,

609
00:30:39.519 --> 00:30:43.519
<v Speaker 2>whatever other garbage that you're shoving into your ear holes

610
00:30:43.559 --> 00:30:45.960
<v Speaker 2>to tell you not to draft these talented players. Get

611
00:30:46.079 --> 00:30:48.960
<v Speaker 2>rid of it. Just close your eyes and forget about it.

612
00:30:49.319 --> 00:30:53.160
<v Speaker 2>Has anybody seen the movie Billy Madison from a long

613
00:30:53.160 --> 00:30:55.640
<v Speaker 2>time ago. I'm probably dating myself because this movie is

614
00:30:55.680 --> 00:30:57.920
<v Speaker 2>older than I realize now. But at the beginning of

615
00:30:58.000 --> 00:31:02.039
<v Speaker 2>the movie, when he finds out he wasn't going to

616
00:31:02.119 --> 00:31:05.200
<v Speaker 2>take over his father's company, his father says, you know,

617
00:31:05.240 --> 00:31:07.720
<v Speaker 2>what's the why is there? You know any reason I

618
00:31:07.720 --> 00:31:09.640
<v Speaker 2>should do this? Why should I hand over the company

619
00:31:09.680 --> 00:31:12.640
<v Speaker 2>to you? And you know how am I going to

620
00:31:12.720 --> 00:31:15.799
<v Speaker 2>do that? And Billy says, I don't know. Just close

621
00:31:15.839 --> 00:31:18.759
<v Speaker 2>your eyes and hand it over. That's what I want

622
00:31:18.799 --> 00:31:21.279
<v Speaker 2>you to do. Close your eyes forget about all the

623
00:31:21.319 --> 00:31:24.599
<v Speaker 2>crap and just draft these guys. Okay, Number one is

624
00:31:24.640 --> 00:31:26.799
<v Speaker 2>AJ Brown. We've already talked about him. I'm not going

625
00:31:26.839 --> 00:31:28.920
<v Speaker 2>to go into detail about this because we've already done it.

626
00:31:29.359 --> 00:31:31.279
<v Speaker 2>The first three guys I'm going to mention all have

627
00:31:31.440 --> 00:31:34.599
<v Speaker 2>the same major argument in their favor, and that is

628
00:31:34.640 --> 00:31:37.200
<v Speaker 2>that they're playing with the best passer of their career.

629
00:31:37.480 --> 00:31:40.839
<v Speaker 2>So AJ Brown is no exception. The Patriots last year

630
00:31:40.960 --> 00:31:43.440
<v Speaker 2>loved to throw the football. I think they're going to

631
00:31:43.480 --> 00:31:46.440
<v Speaker 2>continue to do that, and I think there's going to

632
00:31:46.480 --> 00:31:49.000
<v Speaker 2>be a very definite top two there of AJ Brown

633
00:31:49.000 --> 00:31:52.200
<v Speaker 2>and Romeo Dobbs. Just put AJ Brown on your team.

634
00:31:52.279 --> 00:31:54.119
<v Speaker 2>If he's broken down, if he's the guy that we

635
00:31:54.119 --> 00:31:56.359
<v Speaker 2>saw last year that can't get separation or gives up

636
00:31:56.359 --> 00:32:01.000
<v Speaker 2>on routes, whatever, whatever, you know, I don't care. I

637
00:32:01.079 --> 00:32:03.759
<v Speaker 2>don't care because I think it's very possible he goes

638
00:32:03.880 --> 00:32:07.359
<v Speaker 2>nuclear with ninety eight catches for sixteen hundred yards and

639
00:32:07.400 --> 00:32:10.519
<v Speaker 2>eleven touchdowns. I think that's within his range of outcomes.

640
00:32:10.519 --> 00:32:12.519
<v Speaker 2>So close your eyes draft A J.

641
00:32:12.640 --> 00:32:12.960
<v Speaker 1>Brown.

642
00:32:13.240 --> 00:32:16.759
<v Speaker 2>Number two is Jalen Waddle, and again I think he's

643
00:32:16.759 --> 00:32:19.440
<v Speaker 2>playing with the most talented passer of his entire career.

644
00:32:20.200 --> 00:32:22.880
<v Speaker 2>Now I'm going to stop here right there before I

645
00:32:22.920 --> 00:32:25.720
<v Speaker 2>hear you guys complain about Bo Nicks. I don't think

646
00:32:25.759 --> 00:32:28.279
<v Speaker 2>bo Nicks is a great NFL quarterback, I really don't.

647
00:32:28.680 --> 00:32:30.039
<v Speaker 2>But he's got a couple of things on his side.

648
00:32:30.079 --> 00:32:31.920
<v Speaker 2>Number one, he's got a strong arm, and number two,

649
00:32:31.920 --> 00:32:35.559
<v Speaker 2>he's got a great offensive mind behind the offense in

650
00:32:35.640 --> 00:32:39.799
<v Speaker 2>Sean Payton. Jalen Waddle is in the best offensive situation

651
00:32:39.920 --> 00:32:42.519
<v Speaker 2>he's had since his second year in the league. And

652
00:32:42.640 --> 00:32:45.319
<v Speaker 2>let me tell you, the first two years in the league.

653
00:32:45.359 --> 00:32:47.319
<v Speaker 2>He got one hundred and forty two targets his first

654
00:32:47.400 --> 00:32:50.279
<v Speaker 2>year and caught one hundred and four balls. His second

655
00:32:50.319 --> 00:32:52.400
<v Speaker 2>year he got one hundred and seventeen targets and threw

656
00:32:52.480 --> 00:32:56.400
<v Speaker 2>up thirteen hundred and seventy yards. So when he got

657
00:32:56.440 --> 00:32:59.079
<v Speaker 2>some concentrated efforts to get him the ball with a

658
00:32:59.160 --> 00:33:03.480
<v Speaker 2>quarterback who was back then still actually reasonably good too,

659
00:33:03.559 --> 00:33:06.200
<v Speaker 2>it was a few years ago, he blew up. He

660
00:33:06.279 --> 00:33:08.599
<v Speaker 2>was awesome. This guy is not old, he's not over

661
00:33:08.599 --> 00:33:10.440
<v Speaker 2>the hill. You can't make the same argument about Wattle

662
00:33:10.519 --> 00:33:13.359
<v Speaker 2>that you can't about a J. Brown because Wattle's not old,

663
00:33:13.400 --> 00:33:15.880
<v Speaker 2>he ain't washed up. He ain't even close. He's going

664
00:33:15.920 --> 00:33:19.160
<v Speaker 2>to be in the best offensive system he's ever been in. Well,

665
00:33:19.400 --> 00:33:22.440
<v Speaker 2>let me say, let me put an asterisk there because

666
00:33:22.480 --> 00:33:25.400
<v Speaker 2>Mike McDaniels systems are I love him, but they were

667
00:33:25.400 --> 00:33:28.160
<v Speaker 2>designed to get Tyreek killed the ball, not Jalen waddle

668
00:33:28.640 --> 00:33:31.000
<v Speaker 2>So I want to draw the distinction there. I think

669
00:33:31.000 --> 00:33:33.160
<v Speaker 2>he's going to be in the best offensive system he's

670
00:33:33.160 --> 00:33:35.880
<v Speaker 2>been in. For him, I think he's going to be

671
00:33:35.960 --> 00:33:39.359
<v Speaker 2>the alpha over Courtland Sutton. I still think something's being disrespected,

672
00:33:39.400 --> 00:33:40.559
<v Speaker 2>and I think they're.

673
00:33:40.400 --> 00:33:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Both going to eat.

674
00:33:41.920 --> 00:33:44.359
<v Speaker 2>But he's got the best quarterback that he's had since

675
00:33:44.480 --> 00:33:48.759
<v Speaker 2>maybe his sophomore year in the league. Everything is pointing

676
00:33:48.839 --> 00:33:51.839
<v Speaker 2>up towards is pointing up for Jalen Waddell. I just

677
00:33:51.880 --> 00:33:54.359
<v Speaker 2>think he's a guy again that is mentally talented. He's

678
00:33:54.400 --> 00:33:57.960
<v Speaker 2>getting an upgrade almost everywhere. This feels like, why wouldn't

679
00:33:58.000 --> 00:34:00.920
<v Speaker 2>I be on Jalen Wonnell third guy? I want to

680
00:34:00.960 --> 00:34:03.680
<v Speaker 2>talk about his DJ Moore And I tell you what,

681
00:34:03.759 --> 00:34:06.160
<v Speaker 2>I feel like I've spent my entire career saying I'm

682
00:34:06.160 --> 00:34:09.400
<v Speaker 2>not a DJ Moore guy, while just constantly drafting DJ Moore.

683
00:34:10.679 --> 00:34:14.079
<v Speaker 2>But I think the problem is there's a difference between

684
00:34:14.079 --> 00:34:16.920
<v Speaker 2>the public's perception of More in my perception of him

685
00:34:17.440 --> 00:34:19.880
<v Speaker 2>because I'm not a Djmore guy, but I think he's

686
00:34:19.920 --> 00:34:23.679
<v Speaker 2>better than other people think he is. So I'm constantly

687
00:34:23.719 --> 00:34:26.440
<v Speaker 2>drafting him because he's just too cheap. And when I

688
00:34:26.480 --> 00:34:29.199
<v Speaker 2>go into an auction and he's twenty two bucks, I'm like, Okay,

689
00:34:29.239 --> 00:34:32.920
<v Speaker 2>I'll take him. I don't love it, but okay, he's fine.

690
00:34:33.079 --> 00:34:36.239
<v Speaker 2>But I'm gonna say again, when his DJ Moore ever

691
00:34:36.280 --> 00:34:39.679
<v Speaker 2>had a high level quarterback. I mean, Kayleb Williams was

692
00:34:39.719 --> 00:34:42.800
<v Speaker 2>decent last year, but he had a lot of accuracy

693
00:34:42.840 --> 00:34:46.639
<v Speaker 2>problems and more clearly didn't fit in Ben Johnson's scheme.

694
00:34:46.719 --> 00:34:50.239
<v Speaker 2>He had games where he just wasn't involved. Do you

695
00:34:50.360 --> 00:34:52.719
<v Speaker 2>think that the Buffalo Bills are not going to involve

696
00:34:52.800 --> 00:34:55.280
<v Speaker 2>DJ Moore? Who the hell else are they going to

697
00:34:55.280 --> 00:34:58.000
<v Speaker 2>throw the ball to? Khalil Shaker is a nice receiver,

698
00:34:58.039 --> 00:35:02.199
<v Speaker 2>but we saw what his ceiling. Djmore is going to

699
00:35:02.239 --> 00:35:05.119
<v Speaker 2>be peppered with targets. Let's not forget our stuff on

700
00:35:05.199 --> 00:35:08.199
<v Speaker 2>Diggs Lesson. Now, I know that the offense is different

701
00:35:08.480 --> 00:35:10.679
<v Speaker 2>than the one that dig stepped into when he changed

702
00:35:10.719 --> 00:35:14.159
<v Speaker 2>to Buffalo, but Joe Brady will feed his top guy,

703
00:35:14.599 --> 00:35:17.000
<v Speaker 2>and I believe that DJ Moore is set up for

704
00:35:17.039 --> 00:35:19.320
<v Speaker 2>a nice season. And once again, I'm just gonna say

705
00:35:19.320 --> 00:35:21.760
<v Speaker 2>it again. All three of these guys have their best

706
00:35:21.840 --> 00:35:24.559
<v Speaker 2>quarterback throwing to them that they've ever had in their career.

707
00:35:25.440 --> 00:35:28.360
<v Speaker 2>So just don't make it any more complicated. Don't make

708
00:35:28.400 --> 00:35:30.480
<v Speaker 2>it any more complicated, don't shove any more stuff in

709
00:35:30.480 --> 00:35:32.800
<v Speaker 2>your ear holes. Just draft Djmore.

710
00:35:32.880 --> 00:35:33.400
<v Speaker 1>He's cheap.

711
00:35:33.599 --> 00:35:35.519
<v Speaker 2>People don't even like him. People are like, Eh, it's

712
00:35:35.559 --> 00:35:39.840
<v Speaker 2>not that dude, he's got a washed Just stop it,

713
00:35:40.079 --> 00:35:42.519
<v Speaker 2>stop it, Okay. The last guy I want to talk

714
00:35:42.519 --> 00:35:46.360
<v Speaker 2>about is is Kristian Watson. And I can hear Chad

715
00:35:46.440 --> 00:35:49.280
<v Speaker 2>and Ed Heath. I can hear you guys laughing your

716
00:35:49.280 --> 00:35:54.039
<v Speaker 2>butts off right now. Knock it off. Christian Watson is

717
00:35:54.079 --> 00:35:57.679
<v Speaker 2>a valid conversation that we need to have right now.

718
00:35:57.679 --> 00:36:00.800
<v Speaker 2>He's going as the wide receiver twenty nine, and he

719
00:36:00.840 --> 00:36:03.960
<v Speaker 2>could qualify as a floor play because I believe the

720
00:36:04.039 --> 00:36:07.599
<v Speaker 2>arbitrage play here is super simple. If the guy plays,

721
00:36:07.639 --> 00:36:11.280
<v Speaker 2>he's gonna smash wide receiver twenty nine. But I'm putting

722
00:36:11.360 --> 00:36:14.199
<v Speaker 2>him here because of the fact that we all know

723
00:36:14.239 --> 00:36:16.840
<v Speaker 2>the problems that he has and because we've never actually

724
00:36:16.840 --> 00:36:20.679
<v Speaker 2>seen Green Bay feed and alpha receiver enough to make

725
00:36:20.760 --> 00:36:22.159
<v Speaker 2>him a guy that I want to say, Okay, he

726
00:36:22.199 --> 00:36:24.280
<v Speaker 2>can be wide receiver nine or he can be wide

727
00:36:24.280 --> 00:36:28.079
<v Speaker 2>receiver eleven. I still think his upside is limited, but

728
00:36:28.519 --> 00:36:32.840
<v Speaker 2>the Packers did trim their their wide receiver tree this offseason,

729
00:36:33.280 --> 00:36:35.320
<v Speaker 2>and I do think Watson's in line for a bigger role.

730
00:36:35.559 --> 00:36:38.480
<v Speaker 2>And one thing that rich Reebar pointed out that I'm

731
00:36:38.519 --> 00:36:41.159
<v Speaker 2>hanging my hat on is that they did have him

732
00:36:41.239 --> 00:36:43.920
<v Speaker 2>running a more diverse route tree when he came on

733
00:36:43.960 --> 00:36:46.199
<v Speaker 2>the second half of last year. And if that's the

734
00:36:46.280 --> 00:36:48.000
<v Speaker 2>case and he can hit the easy button on some

735
00:36:48.039 --> 00:36:50.920
<v Speaker 2>catches during the games, that it's going to inflate his

736
00:36:50.960 --> 00:36:53.719
<v Speaker 2>PPR upside and not just rely on him being three

737
00:36:53.760 --> 00:36:57.079
<v Speaker 2>for eighty in a touchdown. So I love the play.

738
00:36:57.280 --> 00:36:59.840
<v Speaker 2>And the reason he's not in Category one is because

739
00:36:59.840 --> 00:37:01.760
<v Speaker 2>I do think it takes a leap of faith to

740
00:37:01.840 --> 00:37:04.880
<v Speaker 2>draft Christian Watson at this point. He's never been a

741
00:37:04.920 --> 00:37:06.760
<v Speaker 2>guy who's been able to hold up over a full

742
00:37:06.800 --> 00:37:10.280
<v Speaker 2>season and have a full year where he can say

743
00:37:10.360 --> 00:37:12.480
<v Speaker 2>I was healthy the whole year and produce the whole season,

744
00:37:12.880 --> 00:37:16.000
<v Speaker 2>whether in college or the pros. So it takes a

745
00:37:16.079 --> 00:37:17.960
<v Speaker 2>leap of faith. But if you can get him for

746
00:37:18.119 --> 00:37:21.519
<v Speaker 2>fifteen sixteen eighteen bucks in your auctions, I think it's

747
00:37:21.519 --> 00:37:24.119
<v Speaker 2>a deal that you got to try to take. Now,

748
00:37:24.159 --> 00:37:28.480
<v Speaker 2>I said, there's four guys AJ Brown, Jalen Waddle, DJ Moore,

749
00:37:28.599 --> 00:37:30.599
<v Speaker 2>Christian Watson, but I'm going to name one more as

750
00:37:30.599 --> 00:37:33.719
<v Speaker 2>an honorable mention. That's a Mecca Abuka. And the reason

751
00:37:33.760 --> 00:37:36.000
<v Speaker 2>I put him in this category is because again, I

752
00:37:36.039 --> 00:37:39.840
<v Speaker 2>can see all of the narratives developing with Egbuka, and

753
00:37:39.880 --> 00:37:44.159
<v Speaker 2>I understand everyone's concerns, but they let a target hog

754
00:37:44.199 --> 00:37:48.079
<v Speaker 2>and Mike Evans go and Egbuka is clearly the best

755
00:37:48.119 --> 00:37:49.079
<v Speaker 2>receiver on the roster.

756
00:37:49.159 --> 00:37:49.239
<v Speaker 1>Now.

757
00:37:49.280 --> 00:37:51.280
<v Speaker 2>I think Jayleen McMillan's going to get some run and

758
00:37:51.400 --> 00:37:54.679
<v Speaker 2>Chris Godwin's going to get his But Agbuka is a

759
00:37:54.760 --> 00:37:58.360
<v Speaker 2>really good player, and that's all you need to think about.

760
00:37:58.519 --> 00:38:00.800
<v Speaker 2>And that's why he's going to close your eye's situation

761
00:38:00.880 --> 00:38:03.519
<v Speaker 2>because I just think that there is a lot of

762
00:38:03.559 --> 00:38:06.800
<v Speaker 2>red flags, and I understand the red flags, but I

763
00:38:06.840 --> 00:38:09.719
<v Speaker 2>still believe in talent, and I believe in Baker Mayfield,

764
00:38:09.760 --> 00:38:11.440
<v Speaker 2>believe it or not. And I think I'm just gonna

765
00:38:11.440 --> 00:38:12.960
<v Speaker 2>close my eyes and try to get a book on

766
00:38:13.039 --> 00:38:16.039
<v Speaker 2>some teams. All right, we're running a little bit long.

767
00:38:16.800 --> 00:38:21.039
<v Speaker 1>What are surprised, Drew, You're running known shit your mouth.

768
00:38:21.159 --> 00:38:24.039
<v Speaker 2>We're gonna roll through these last two categories and you're

769
00:38:24.039 --> 00:38:26.519
<v Speaker 2>gonna be downe and be like, holy cow, that was fast.

770
00:38:27.039 --> 00:38:29.280
<v Speaker 1>You're ready to say, Holy cow, let's go. Let's do it.

771
00:38:29.280 --> 00:38:32.199
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna run my FWM as fast as I freaking can.

772
00:38:32.360 --> 00:38:32.760
<v Speaker 1>Let's go.

773
00:38:40.679 --> 00:38:43.880
<v Speaker 2>Category number three is some nominations of guys that I

774
00:38:44.000 --> 00:38:47.039
<v Speaker 2>really don't want on my teams this fall. These are

775
00:38:47.039 --> 00:38:49.440
<v Speaker 2>guys that I'm just gonna call out in the middle

776
00:38:49.480 --> 00:38:52.159
<v Speaker 2>rounds when I want to waste a nomination because I

777
00:38:52.239 --> 00:38:54.920
<v Speaker 2>don't want players that I want to be nominated because

778
00:38:54.920 --> 00:38:57.719
<v Speaker 2>I'm saving money or I'm saving time. These are some

779
00:38:57.800 --> 00:39:01.599
<v Speaker 2>guys that I don't want on my teams. Number one

780
00:39:01.679 --> 00:39:04.639
<v Speaker 2>is mister Kyle Pitts. I'm so sorry everybody. I'm sorry

781
00:39:04.639 --> 00:39:07.280
<v Speaker 2>Pitt's truthers, but I really believe in the splits with

782
00:39:07.360 --> 00:39:10.119
<v Speaker 2>him without Drake London last year and their quarterback situation

783
00:39:10.360 --> 00:39:14.159
<v Speaker 2>is ass. I am not in on Kyle Pitts because

784
00:39:14.159 --> 00:39:16.159
<v Speaker 2>of the splits last year. I think he is what

785
00:39:16.239 --> 00:39:18.559
<v Speaker 2>he is by now, and we have that conversation all

786
00:39:18.599 --> 00:39:20.239
<v Speaker 2>the time. I just want to say it once again,

787
00:39:20.960 --> 00:39:24.000
<v Speaker 2>let's quit trying to make players things that they are not.

788
00:39:24.719 --> 00:39:27.800
<v Speaker 2>Kyle Pitts is not the guy that we saw that

789
00:39:27.880 --> 00:39:29.239
<v Speaker 2>was fed a bunch of targets at the end of

790
00:39:29.320 --> 00:39:31.000
<v Speaker 2>last year. He's the guy that we've seen in the

791
00:39:31.000 --> 00:39:33.679
<v Speaker 2>rest of his career. Take the small sample size of

792
00:39:33.679 --> 00:39:35.559
<v Speaker 2>the big sample size and tell me which one you

793
00:39:35.559 --> 00:39:38.599
<v Speaker 2>think is going to play out this season. The next

794
00:39:38.639 --> 00:39:42.519
<v Speaker 2>guy I want to talk about is Cede Lamb. Oh,

795
00:39:42.519 --> 00:39:43.599
<v Speaker 2>that's crazy, that's hot.

796
00:39:43.639 --> 00:39:47.320
<v Speaker 1>What a hot take? Are you a hot takesman? Man?

797
00:39:47.360 --> 00:39:47.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm really not.

798
00:39:48.280 --> 00:39:51.519
<v Speaker 2>But the conversation I have with Jim Coventry earlier in

799
00:39:51.519 --> 00:39:55.360
<v Speaker 2>the summer really got me to thinking about Lamb versus Pickett,

800
00:39:55.679 --> 00:39:57.960
<v Speaker 2>and I think it's a little bit crazy that people

801
00:39:58.000 --> 00:40:00.920
<v Speaker 2>have not given us the discount on CD Lamb. So

802
00:40:01.039 --> 00:40:02.840
<v Speaker 2>he's going to be a guy that I call out

803
00:40:03.360 --> 00:40:06.559
<v Speaker 2>somewhat early, maybe second or third round, if I'm feeling

804
00:40:06.639 --> 00:40:09.559
<v Speaker 2>like the room is too hot. Now somebody else is

805
00:40:09.559 --> 00:40:11.079
<v Speaker 2>going to call him out for me at some point.

806
00:40:11.239 --> 00:40:12.719
<v Speaker 2>But it's just a guy I don't want on my

807
00:40:12.800 --> 00:40:15.920
<v Speaker 2>team at this point. I think he's a nice low

808
00:40:16.039 --> 00:40:18.480
<v Speaker 2>end wide receiver one or high end wide receiver two

809
00:40:19.039 --> 00:40:22.840
<v Speaker 2>with Pickens involved. That's just how I see his value,

810
00:40:23.360 --> 00:40:26.159
<v Speaker 2>and I don't know that I want to spend fifty

811
00:40:26.199 --> 00:40:29.400
<v Speaker 2>dollars on CED Lamb, so I want somebody else to

812
00:40:29.440 --> 00:40:32.239
<v Speaker 2>spend forty six forty eight fifty to fifty one dollars

813
00:40:32.320 --> 00:40:36.079
<v Speaker 2>on CD Lamb. I agree with Jim Coventry that the

814
00:40:36.239 --> 00:40:39.199
<v Speaker 2>years of the one hundred and fifteen catches or one

815
00:40:39.280 --> 00:40:42.440
<v Speaker 2>hundred and five catches and sixteen times, that stuff is

816
00:40:42.519 --> 00:40:45.039
<v Speaker 2>not coming back. I don't believe that's coming back. While

817
00:40:45.119 --> 00:40:48.320
<v Speaker 2>George Pickens is there. I'd much rather have Pickens. I'm

818
00:40:48.320 --> 00:40:49.920
<v Speaker 2>gonna get Lamb out there and see if I can

819
00:40:50.239 --> 00:40:52.519
<v Speaker 2>have him go for forty six forty eight fifty bucks.

820
00:40:53.079 --> 00:40:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Another guy that I'm gonna probably have on zero of

821
00:40:55.880 --> 00:40:58.400
<v Speaker 2>my team's is Treveon Henderson. I know a lot of

822
00:40:58.480 --> 00:41:01.079
<v Speaker 2>you out there love him and believe a second year breakout,

823
00:41:01.599 --> 00:41:03.480
<v Speaker 2>but I'm here to tell you Mike Vrabel does not

824
00:41:03.639 --> 00:41:07.519
<v Speaker 2>give a rats ass about your second year breakout. We

825
00:41:07.599 --> 00:41:10.840
<v Speaker 2>should have seen a move to Henderson at the end

826
00:41:10.840 --> 00:41:13.400
<v Speaker 2>of last year if that's what the coaching staff wanted

827
00:41:13.440 --> 00:41:16.639
<v Speaker 2>to do. Instead, what they have on their hands is

828
00:41:16.679 --> 00:41:19.119
<v Speaker 2>a guy that they know as an explosive player that

829
00:41:19.159 --> 00:41:21.280
<v Speaker 2>they want to rotate in and they want to play.

830
00:41:21.719 --> 00:41:24.280
<v Speaker 2>But he's not ever going to be the quote unquote

831
00:41:24.360 --> 00:41:28.000
<v Speaker 2>guy ahead of Rimandre Stevenson. Last year, after Week fourteen,

832
00:41:28.039 --> 00:41:31.079
<v Speaker 2>when you'd expect them the Week fourteen was there by

833
00:41:31.480 --> 00:41:34.280
<v Speaker 2>you'd expect them to start working in Henderson a little

834
00:41:34.320 --> 00:41:37.519
<v Speaker 2>bit more. Stevenson played sixty six percent of the snaps

835
00:41:37.519 --> 00:41:40.519
<v Speaker 2>the rest of the way. I mean, you know, their

836
00:41:40.559 --> 00:41:42.239
<v Speaker 2>trend was not there at the end of last year.

837
00:41:42.239 --> 00:41:43.960
<v Speaker 2>I don't know why we think the trend's gonna happen

838
00:41:44.079 --> 00:41:47.400
<v Speaker 2>this year. All Right, I'm out on Trevon Henderson, especially

839
00:41:47.400 --> 00:41:50.400
<v Speaker 2>at his price. He's not super expensive, and if he's not,

840
00:41:50.960 --> 00:41:52.880
<v Speaker 2>then okay, maybe I'll take him as an RB four.

841
00:41:52.960 --> 00:41:55.679
<v Speaker 2>But I'm just I'm just not that interested. The last

842
00:41:55.679 --> 00:41:57.480
<v Speaker 2>group of guys are some guys that I'm just going

843
00:41:57.559 --> 00:42:01.960
<v Speaker 2>to group together as injury problems. But injury problems from

844
00:42:01.960 --> 00:42:04.519
<v Speaker 2>the standpoint that not that I think to myself, oh,

845
00:42:04.559 --> 00:42:07.239
<v Speaker 2>these guys are injury prone, but from the standpoint that

846
00:42:07.280 --> 00:42:10.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't think fantasy gamers are spending enough time talking

847
00:42:10.320 --> 00:42:14.000
<v Speaker 2>about how these guys could be absolute rocks on your roster.

848
00:42:14.400 --> 00:42:16.800
<v Speaker 2>They could just weigh you down and prevent you from

849
00:42:16.840 --> 00:42:20.039
<v Speaker 2>being nimble and light on the waiver wire. And these

850
00:42:20.039 --> 00:42:24.480
<v Speaker 2>guys are Malik Neighbors, Alec Pierce, Quin Shawn Judkins, and

851
00:42:24.559 --> 00:42:28.000
<v Speaker 2>Cam Scatibo. None of these guys are remotely appealing to

852
00:42:28.039 --> 00:42:31.199
<v Speaker 2>me at their current prices. Now, Pierce has dropped a

853
00:42:31.239 --> 00:42:33.719
<v Speaker 2>little bit because people have seen and heard about the

854
00:42:33.719 --> 00:42:37.039
<v Speaker 2>problems he had. But folks, they are really underplaying that

855
00:42:37.159 --> 00:42:39.719
<v Speaker 2>issue with that Alec Pierce. If you want to see

856
00:42:39.719 --> 00:42:41.760
<v Speaker 2>something that's going to bother you and make you not

857
00:42:41.880 --> 00:42:45.639
<v Speaker 2>draft him at all, go google a picture of him

858
00:42:45.920 --> 00:42:47.360
<v Speaker 2>and take a look at his right leg and his

859
00:42:47.440 --> 00:42:52.079
<v Speaker 2>left leg. It's scary, it's not good. They're just completely

860
00:42:52.119 --> 00:42:55.159
<v Speaker 2>different looking, and that means that he still has a

861
00:42:55.159 --> 00:42:57.559
<v Speaker 2>long way to go in his recovery. They're not saying

862
00:42:57.679 --> 00:42:59.519
<v Speaker 2>very good things either. They're not like, oh yeah, he'll

863
00:42:59.519 --> 00:43:02.599
<v Speaker 2>be there week, like they're saying cautious stuff about Alec Piers.

864
00:43:03.039 --> 00:43:06.079
<v Speaker 2>Be careful and don't forget you have a double complicating

865
00:43:06.119 --> 00:43:09.360
<v Speaker 2>factor with Piers because he's got Daniel Jones also recovering

866
00:43:09.360 --> 00:43:13.320
<v Speaker 2>from a major leg injury, a significant problem with then Achilles,

867
00:43:14.000 --> 00:43:15.239
<v Speaker 2>So he's got two hurdles.

868
00:43:16.000 --> 00:43:17.519
<v Speaker 1>Milak Neighbors. We've already talked about this.

869
00:43:17.599 --> 00:43:20.039
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to be labor the point, but the

870
00:43:20.079 --> 00:43:22.639
<v Speaker 2>guy had a pretty complicated knee surgery that needed a

871
00:43:22.679 --> 00:43:25.599
<v Speaker 2>cleanup just a couple of months ago. That's a problem.

872
00:43:25.719 --> 00:43:27.639
<v Speaker 2>And I don't think he's starting the season on the field.

873
00:43:27.679 --> 00:43:29.159
<v Speaker 2>I think he's at least going on the put for

874
00:43:29.159 --> 00:43:31.880
<v Speaker 2>four to six games at least, and then he's got

875
00:43:31.880 --> 00:43:34.400
<v Speaker 2>a three to five week ramp up. When do you

876
00:43:34.400 --> 00:43:36.039
<v Speaker 2>think you're going to see the real Milik Neighbors? And

877
00:43:36.119 --> 00:43:38.360
<v Speaker 2>are you still going to be in your league at

878
00:43:38.360 --> 00:43:40.679
<v Speaker 2>that point? And by the way, we might not see

879
00:43:40.719 --> 00:43:44.400
<v Speaker 2>the real Milik Neighbors until twenty twenty seven. So I

880
00:43:44.440 --> 00:43:45.840
<v Speaker 2>don't know that I want to take that bet. Where

881
00:43:45.840 --> 00:43:48.360
<v Speaker 2>he's being drafted, he's still the wide receiver thirteen right now, Like,

882
00:43:48.400 --> 00:43:50.679
<v Speaker 2>come on, just get out of here with that nonsense.

883
00:43:51.159 --> 00:43:52.639
<v Speaker 2>If you want to take him and you want to

884
00:43:52.639 --> 00:43:53.960
<v Speaker 2>stick him on the back of your roster and not

885
00:43:54.000 --> 00:43:57.880
<v Speaker 2>consider playing humntil week ten, be my guest. But that's

886
00:43:57.920 --> 00:43:59.960
<v Speaker 2>difficult to do. It's easy to say when you're drafting,

887
00:44:00.039 --> 00:44:02.079
<v Speaker 2>it's difficult to do. And as far as the two

888
00:44:02.159 --> 00:44:06.400
<v Speaker 2>running backs go Quinn Shawn Judkins and Cam' Kataboo. They're

889
00:44:06.440 --> 00:44:09.599
<v Speaker 2>good players, but they're too expensive. They're going as mid

890
00:44:09.719 --> 00:44:12.559
<v Speaker 2>level RB twos. And I just don't think that you

891
00:44:12.719 --> 00:44:16.239
<v Speaker 2>recover from these kinds of nasty leg injuries that easily.

892
00:44:16.840 --> 00:44:20.840
<v Speaker 2>I think people are not factoring in their recovery from

893
00:44:20.840 --> 00:44:22.920
<v Speaker 2>injury on all of these guys. They're not going to

894
00:44:22.960 --> 00:44:25.840
<v Speaker 2>be on my teams unless I get a significant discount. Okay,

895
00:44:25.880 --> 00:44:28.480
<v Speaker 2>so category number three is just guys I really don't

896
00:44:28.519 --> 00:44:42.159
<v Speaker 2>want excellent tagline. Once again. In category number four, boring

897
00:44:42.480 --> 00:44:45.840
<v Speaker 2>roster finishers. And unfortunately, you know, I thought about sticking

898
00:44:45.880 --> 00:44:48.199
<v Speaker 2>this in the middle of the show because you're supposed

899
00:44:48.239 --> 00:44:51.360
<v Speaker 2>to end strong, but I think you guys like hearing

900
00:44:51.400 --> 00:44:53.039
<v Speaker 2>this stuff, so I just left it at the end.

901
00:44:54.000 --> 00:44:55.320
<v Speaker 1>Boring roster finishes.

902
00:44:55.400 --> 00:44:57.280
<v Speaker 2>It might be a little bit of a boring topic,

903
00:44:57.320 --> 00:44:58.679
<v Speaker 2>but I'm going to get through it in a lightning

904
00:44:58.760 --> 00:45:00.960
<v Speaker 2>round because we are pushing. I'm here and I want

905
00:45:01.000 --> 00:45:03.960
<v Speaker 2>to make sure that we get through some of these players.

906
00:45:04.320 --> 00:45:07.320
<v Speaker 2>Number one is Chris Godwin. He looks like he's going

907
00:45:07.360 --> 00:45:11.280
<v Speaker 2>for about ten eleven bucks on football guys. He's wide receiver,

908
00:45:11.400 --> 00:45:14.960
<v Speaker 2>forty right now. I love that bet. I love that bet.

909
00:45:15.199 --> 00:45:17.199
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to pay eighteen bucks for Chris Godwin,

910
00:45:17.480 --> 00:45:20.079
<v Speaker 2>but I also believe that it takes a while to recover.

911
00:45:20.199 --> 00:45:23.360
<v Speaker 2>We saw Godwin wasn't himself last year. I like taking

912
00:45:23.400 --> 00:45:26.960
<v Speaker 2>the bet on Godwin. I want to keep that under twelve.

913
00:45:27.719 --> 00:45:29.719
<v Speaker 2>I'm hoping it's under fifteen. I really don't want to

914
00:45:29.719 --> 00:45:31.840
<v Speaker 2>pay fourteen bucks for Chris Godwin. That's not really what

915
00:45:31.880 --> 00:45:35.400
<v Speaker 2>I want to do, but I can see the utility there.

916
00:45:35.719 --> 00:45:37.800
<v Speaker 2>I just think he's in the in the range where

917
00:45:37.840 --> 00:45:39.639
<v Speaker 2>he can have seventy eighty catches and if he really

918
00:45:39.639 --> 00:45:42.000
<v Speaker 2>picks up where he left off before that nasty injury

919
00:45:42.360 --> 00:45:45.000
<v Speaker 2>with the departure of Mike Evans, I think we could

920
00:45:45.000 --> 00:45:48.199
<v Speaker 2>see a Chris Godwin that is a boring guy to

921
00:45:48.199 --> 00:45:49.679
<v Speaker 2>have at the back of your roster, but who is

922
00:45:49.760 --> 00:45:52.840
<v Speaker 2>really helpful in fantasy football. The second guy I want

923
00:45:52.880 --> 00:45:55.159
<v Speaker 2>to talk about is Jalen Warren. And you know, I'm

924
00:45:55.159 --> 00:45:58.400
<v Speaker 2>really rethinking this one after my conversation with Drake because

925
00:45:58.440 --> 00:46:00.800
<v Speaker 2>he likes Rico Dowdell. But I'm going to come back

926
00:46:00.800 --> 00:46:03.159
<v Speaker 2>to the same thing that I say all the time.

927
00:46:03.559 --> 00:46:05.639
<v Speaker 2>I have a lot of faith in people who do projections,

928
00:46:05.679 --> 00:46:07.519
<v Speaker 2>and a lot of the projections I'm seeing are forty

929
00:46:07.519 --> 00:46:11.559
<v Speaker 2>to fifty catches for Jalen Warren. I believe that wholeheartedly.

930
00:46:12.039 --> 00:46:14.440
<v Speaker 2>I think he's I don't think the Steelers decided that

931
00:46:14.480 --> 00:46:18.400
<v Speaker 2>Rick rico'dowell was their past catching guy. Now I believe

932
00:46:18.480 --> 00:46:20.320
<v Speaker 2>Drake when he says that he can do it, and

933
00:46:20.360 --> 00:46:22.039
<v Speaker 2>I think he can do it, and there are times

934
00:46:22.079 --> 00:46:24.519
<v Speaker 2>last year that it really frustrated me that the Panthers

935
00:46:24.559 --> 00:46:27.039
<v Speaker 2>didn't give him more receptions. So I think he can

936
00:46:27.079 --> 00:46:29.119
<v Speaker 2>do it, but I'm not saying that that means he

937
00:46:29.320 --> 00:46:31.840
<v Speaker 2>is going to do it. I think Warren slides back

938
00:46:31.880 --> 00:46:34.079
<v Speaker 2>into the pass catcher role. Maybe they take some pounding

939
00:46:34.079 --> 00:46:36.880
<v Speaker 2>off of Warren on the early downs, but he's still

940
00:46:36.880 --> 00:46:39.039
<v Speaker 2>going to catch forty or fifty passes. I think that

941
00:46:39.119 --> 00:46:41.079
<v Speaker 2>makes him a boring guy at the back of your roster,

942
00:46:41.159 --> 00:46:45.360
<v Speaker 2>but a guy I want as solid depth, especially deeper leagues.

943
00:46:45.719 --> 00:46:49.000
<v Speaker 2>The next guy is Jacoby Myers. Boy, oh boy, this

944
00:46:49.039 --> 00:46:51.639
<v Speaker 2>is a hard one because I understand and when I

945
00:46:51.679 --> 00:46:53.800
<v Speaker 2>talk to Rich Reebar, I listened to smart people like that,

946
00:46:53.840 --> 00:46:56.880
<v Speaker 2>and rich said something that stuck with me. He said,

947
00:46:57.000 --> 00:47:00.679
<v Speaker 2>of the three Jacksonville wide receivers. Myers is guy I'm

948
00:47:00.679 --> 00:47:03.639
<v Speaker 2>willing to let go because he really didn't cross fifteen

949
00:47:03.719 --> 00:47:06.480
<v Speaker 2>VPR points even with Jacksonville when they were humming last year.

950
00:47:07.239 --> 00:47:10.000
<v Speaker 2>And I get it, like he's absolutely right, but he's

951
00:47:10.039 --> 00:47:12.679
<v Speaker 2>super cheap right now. If he's going for around six

952
00:47:12.760 --> 00:47:16.599
<v Speaker 2>seven dollars eight bucks, like whatever, that's so cheap for

953
00:47:16.639 --> 00:47:19.760
<v Speaker 2>a guy of his caliber. And I heard something interesting

954
00:47:20.079 --> 00:47:24.880
<v Speaker 2>from Jacksonville beat writers recently who said that usually when

955
00:47:25.000 --> 00:47:28.000
<v Speaker 2>Hunter rotates in, the guy that's going to come off

956
00:47:28.000 --> 00:47:31.719
<v Speaker 2>the field is Brian Thomas, possibly Parker Washington. They never

957
00:47:31.880 --> 00:47:35.239
<v Speaker 2>mentioned Jacoby Myers coming off the field because they love

958
00:47:35.280 --> 00:47:38.039
<v Speaker 2>what he does and he's so reliable. He's just he

959
00:47:38.119 --> 00:47:41.480
<v Speaker 2>hits his marks. He's just the true pros pro and

960
00:47:42.360 --> 00:47:45.119
<v Speaker 2>they paid him for a reason. They like Jacoby Myers.

961
00:47:45.280 --> 00:47:47.360
<v Speaker 2>I'm not saying he's going to be some fantasy beast,

962
00:47:47.719 --> 00:47:50.039
<v Speaker 2>but I think he's once again going to be underrated.

963
00:47:50.199 --> 00:47:52.320
<v Speaker 2>He's going to be playing for a very good offense,

964
00:47:52.559 --> 00:47:55.679
<v Speaker 2>something he's never had before because he's been a Raider

965
00:47:55.960 --> 00:47:58.719
<v Speaker 2>his whole career. He steps into a full season with

966
00:47:58.760 --> 00:48:02.559
<v Speaker 2>that offense an off seat with Liam Cohen's offense, and

967
00:48:02.599 --> 00:48:05.119
<v Speaker 2>they're they're praising him for always hitting his marks and

968
00:48:05.159 --> 00:48:08.480
<v Speaker 2>being a pro guys Jacoby Myers, it's super easy get

969
00:48:08.559 --> 00:48:12.199
<v Speaker 2>him as your wide receiver five six, whatever. It's easy

970
00:48:12.280 --> 00:48:14.480
<v Speaker 2>in an auction. The next guy I want to talk

971
00:48:14.480 --> 00:48:17.519
<v Speaker 2>about is Romeo Dobbs, and I might as well couple

972
00:48:17.599 --> 00:48:21.440
<v Speaker 2>him together with another guy by the name of Quinton Johnston,

973
00:48:22.119 --> 00:48:24.880
<v Speaker 2>because both of these guys are going pretty low. Johnston's

974
00:48:24.880 --> 00:48:29.079
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver forty seven, Dobbs's wide receiver fifty. I firmly

975
00:48:29.119 --> 00:48:31.199
<v Speaker 2>believe that Dobbs is going to be the number two

976
00:48:31.199 --> 00:48:33.639
<v Speaker 2>wide receiver in New England. I don't think there's any

977
00:48:33.679 --> 00:48:35.880
<v Speaker 2>doubt about that he's going to be the number two.

978
00:48:36.440 --> 00:48:39.039
<v Speaker 2>And in Quentin Johnston, I believe he's going to be

979
00:48:39.079 --> 00:48:42.559
<v Speaker 2>the number two. I understand people want Trey Harris to

980
00:48:42.559 --> 00:48:44.559
<v Speaker 2>do stuff, and it would really bother me if Keenan

981
00:48:44.599 --> 00:48:46.719
<v Speaker 2>Allen signs back with the Chargers. I don't think that's

982
00:48:46.719 --> 00:48:50.199
<v Speaker 2>going to happen. But people love Trey Harrison and I'm

983
00:48:50.199 --> 00:48:51.639
<v Speaker 2>not saying I'm going to be right about this. Trey

984
00:48:51.639 --> 00:48:53.960
<v Speaker 2>Harris might come on and he might be good, but

985
00:48:54.159 --> 00:48:58.159
<v Speaker 2>they repeatedly talk about Quentin Johnston's yack abilities. That's the

986
00:48:58.199 --> 00:49:00.840
<v Speaker 2>stuff he did in college. I think he was miscast

987
00:49:00.880 --> 00:49:02.840
<v Speaker 2>a little bit as a rookie, and I think Mike

988
00:49:03.039 --> 00:49:05.800
<v Speaker 2>McDaniel knows how to use him. And I think wide

989
00:49:05.800 --> 00:49:09.639
<v Speaker 2>receivers forty seven's crazy. He's much better than that. After

990
00:49:09.679 --> 00:49:12.519
<v Speaker 2>he got hurt, he didn't look as good. The offensive

991
00:49:12.519 --> 00:49:15.679
<v Speaker 2>line fell apart, everything fell apart for the Chargers last year,

992
00:49:15.880 --> 00:49:17.599
<v Speaker 2>and I think if things go well, we're going to

993
00:49:17.599 --> 00:49:19.519
<v Speaker 2>see the guy that we saw in the first three

994
00:49:19.599 --> 00:49:22.199
<v Speaker 2>or four games of the season. And I think he's

995
00:49:22.199 --> 00:49:24.679
<v Speaker 2>got top twenty four upside. I really do. And he's

996
00:49:24.719 --> 00:49:26.320
<v Speaker 2>getting some steam right now. So we're going to pay

997
00:49:26.320 --> 00:49:28.960
<v Speaker 2>attention to Johnston's ADP because he is getting some steam.

998
00:49:29.400 --> 00:49:30.920
<v Speaker 2>The last couple of guys I want to talk about,

999
00:49:30.960 --> 00:49:32.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to end on a boring note, but

1000
00:49:33.119 --> 00:49:34.960
<v Speaker 2>a couple of tight ends that I think are flying

1001
00:49:35.039 --> 00:49:38.880
<v Speaker 2>under the radar. Number one is Brenton Strange. He came

1002
00:49:38.880 --> 00:49:41.519
<v Speaker 2>back from injury last year and finished the season in

1003
00:49:41.519 --> 00:49:44.360
<v Speaker 2>his final stretch as the tight end twelve. So when

1004
00:49:44.400 --> 00:49:45.960
<v Speaker 2>he was healthy at the end of the year last year,

1005
00:49:46.000 --> 00:49:48.719
<v Speaker 2>he was a tight end one. He's not being drafted

1006
00:49:48.719 --> 00:49:50.920
<v Speaker 2>as a tight end one. He could easily go in

1007
00:49:50.960 --> 00:49:52.800
<v Speaker 2>category one, where he's a floor play. I think you

1008
00:49:52.840 --> 00:49:55.719
<v Speaker 2>can take Strange and hope that he has some upside.

1009
00:49:55.800 --> 00:49:58.000
<v Speaker 2>I'm putting him here as a boring roster finisher because

1010
00:49:58.000 --> 00:49:59.880
<v Speaker 2>you can get him for a buck. There's no reason

1011
00:50:00.079 --> 00:50:01.880
<v Speaker 2>you need to be paying more than one or two

1012
00:50:01.960 --> 00:50:04.280
<v Speaker 2>dollars for Brenton Strange. And I think that he has

1013
00:50:04.639 --> 00:50:08.360
<v Speaker 2>tight end twelve and up potential. I don't think he's

1014
00:50:08.360 --> 00:50:10.280
<v Speaker 2>going to be tight end three, but I think he

1015
00:50:10.280 --> 00:50:13.239
<v Speaker 2>can be tight end nine to twelve over a full

1016
00:50:13.280 --> 00:50:15.599
<v Speaker 2>season if he stays healthy. And the other guy that

1017
00:50:15.599 --> 00:50:17.239
<v Speaker 2>I want to talk about is Chig a con Quo.

1018
00:50:17.880 --> 00:50:20.760
<v Speaker 2>I've always believed in his athletic ability, and that's what

1019
00:50:20.840 --> 00:50:23.159
<v Speaker 2>everyone believes in, but he's never been able to put

1020
00:50:23.159 --> 00:50:25.400
<v Speaker 2>it together as a pass catcher. But he hasn't been

1021
00:50:25.400 --> 00:50:28.079
<v Speaker 2>in a good situation. And I'm not sure that Jayden

1022
00:50:28.159 --> 00:50:31.000
<v Speaker 2>Daniels is that awesome, but you know what, he likes

1023
00:50:31.039 --> 00:50:35.400
<v Speaker 2>the tight end. He made a fantasy relevant guy by

1024
00:50:35.440 --> 00:50:38.119
<v Speaker 2>the name of zach Ertz last year, and we don't

1025
00:50:38.159 --> 00:50:41.360
<v Speaker 2>think a guy with a Conquo's athletic ability has the

1026
00:50:41.440 --> 00:50:44.000
<v Speaker 2>chance to really break the position with a guy who

1027
00:50:44.039 --> 00:50:46.000
<v Speaker 2>likes throwing to the tight end. I think it's silly

1028
00:50:46.039 --> 00:50:48.800
<v Speaker 2>to not take some shots on a con quo. So

1029
00:50:49.000 --> 00:50:53.199
<v Speaker 2>the boring roster finishers Chris Godwin, Jaalen Warren, Jacoby Myers,

1030
00:50:53.280 --> 00:50:57.320
<v Speaker 2>Quentin Johnston, Romeo Dobbs, Brenton Strange, and Chig a con quo.

1031
00:50:58.039 --> 00:50:59.920
<v Speaker 2>All right, well, that's going to do it. I feel

1032
00:50:59.920 --> 00:51:02.840
<v Speaker 2>like I didn't really get to talk about much stuff

1033
00:51:02.880 --> 00:51:07.480
<v Speaker 2>this week because I'm normally weaving this tapestry of theory

1034
00:51:07.679 --> 00:51:09.679
<v Speaker 2>and trying to layer stuff on top of it, and

1035
00:51:09.679 --> 00:51:11.880
<v Speaker 2>this week I just went through and just rammed a

1036
00:51:11.880 --> 00:51:14.480
<v Speaker 2>bunch of players down your throat. So I hope you

1037
00:51:14.599 --> 00:51:16.719
<v Speaker 2>enjoyed it. I think this is an episode, like I said,

1038
00:51:16.719 --> 00:51:19.880
<v Speaker 2>that's popular every summer, and so I really want to

1039
00:51:19.880 --> 00:51:21.400
<v Speaker 2>go through some of these players, and I want to

1040
00:51:21.480 --> 00:51:24.159
<v Speaker 2>follow these guys as we get into August. I'm going

1041
00:51:24.239 --> 00:51:27.159
<v Speaker 2>to try to do a quick recap episode at some

1042
00:51:27.239 --> 00:51:29.639
<v Speaker 2>point in early August where we're talking about these guys

1043
00:51:29.840 --> 00:51:31.719
<v Speaker 2>and seeing whether or not I'm still in or out.

1044
00:51:32.000 --> 00:51:34.719
<v Speaker 2>But again, if you want to get my innermost thoughts

1045
00:51:34.719 --> 00:51:37.199
<v Speaker 2>about this stuff and get more detail about it, you

1046
00:51:37.280 --> 00:51:40.360
<v Speaker 2>got to be in the Patreon Fantasy Football Lawyer Patreon

1047
00:51:40.480 --> 00:51:42.400
<v Speaker 2>just four bucks a month. I think it's worth it,

1048
00:51:42.800 --> 00:51:44.920
<v Speaker 2>so get over there and sign up. Thank you so

1049
00:51:45.000 --> 00:51:48.840
<v Speaker 2>much for joining me today for this conversation about my guys.

1050
00:51:48.880 --> 00:51:52.800
<v Speaker 2>We've got four categories, my favorite floor plays with high upside,

1051
00:51:53.880 --> 00:51:56.159
<v Speaker 2>my guys that I just want you to close your

1052
00:51:56.159 --> 00:51:59.000
<v Speaker 2>eyes and draft, my guys that I don't want to

1053
00:51:59.079 --> 00:52:03.519
<v Speaker 2>draft that I think are boring but excellent roster finishers.

1054
00:52:03.760 --> 00:52:05.239
<v Speaker 2>So that's been a fun conversation.

1055
00:52:05.280 --> 00:52:05.719
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget.

1056
00:52:05.760 --> 00:52:08.559
<v Speaker 2>You can find me on Twitter at Drew Davenport FF

1057
00:52:09.119 --> 00:52:12.400
<v Speaker 2>on the Patreon at Fantasy Football Lawyer. Just four bucks

1058
00:52:12.440 --> 00:52:14.119
<v Speaker 2>a month to get over there and check that out.

1059
00:52:14.239 --> 00:52:16.440
<v Speaker 2>Don't forget about the salary Cap summit coming up on

1060
00:52:16.480 --> 00:52:18.760
<v Speaker 2>August second, third, and fourth. If you want to be

1061
00:52:18.760 --> 00:52:20.320
<v Speaker 2>in one of those salary cap leagues and get in

1062
00:52:20.360 --> 00:52:22.800
<v Speaker 2>the Patreon, you're gonna have a much better shot. And

1063
00:52:22.840 --> 00:52:24.960
<v Speaker 2>don't forget we'll have a listener league. We'll talk about

1064
00:52:24.960 --> 00:52:27.639
<v Speaker 2>that in early August. And of course, don't forget my

1065
00:52:27.719 --> 00:52:31.559
<v Speaker 2>serious show is starting on July the twelfth. It's just

1066
00:52:31.599 --> 00:52:35.000
<v Speaker 2>about ten days away. Don't forget to tune in Sunday

1067
00:52:35.000 --> 00:52:37.760
<v Speaker 2>the twelfth from three to five on Sirius XM will

1068
00:52:37.800 --> 00:52:40.320
<v Speaker 2>be my first show with Drake, so stoked for that

1069
00:52:40.400 --> 00:52:42.920
<v Speaker 2>as well. So we got a lot of exciting stuff

1070
00:52:42.960 --> 00:52:45.199
<v Speaker 2>coming up. Thank you so much for being a follower

1071
00:52:45.239 --> 00:52:48.840
<v Speaker 2>a supporter. I really really appreciate all of you, every

1072
00:52:48.840 --> 00:52:51.800
<v Speaker 2>one of you who interacts with me, listens to the show,

1073
00:52:52.039 --> 00:52:55.360
<v Speaker 2>and supports my work. It makes all the long hours

1074
00:52:55.360 --> 00:52:58.079
<v Speaker 2>worthwhile and I'm having a blast doing this job and

1075
00:52:58.159 --> 00:53:00.079
<v Speaker 2>I have all of you to thank for it.

1076
00:53:00.119 --> 00:53:01.360
<v Speaker 1>So that's going to do it for this week.

1077
00:53:01.400 --> 00:53:05.440
<v Speaker 2>The Auction Brief is adjourned, and I am out. The

1078
00:53:05.480 --> 00:53:11.159
<v Speaker 2>Auction Brief is adjourned. That'll do it for this week's episode.

1079
00:53:11.360 --> 00:53:13.400
<v Speaker 1>See you next time on the Auction Brief.