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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It is Friday. It's time

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for another full court Press Robino of course, Hotel Lobby edition.

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This is nothing new at this point. I am. I

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am on my way to Athens, Ohio to meet Brian

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Power and like I think like fifteen of his friends.

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I didn't know he had that many friends, rob but

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apparently he's got a crew. And I guess the group

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just continues to get bigger because like they had this

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plan for a while to go to this particular game,

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and I don't think they knew that Miami of Ohio's course,

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of course, is going to be unbeaten. So the group

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just continues to grow. And thankfully they've moved the tip

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back to nine pm. Gives us all a little bit

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more time to sort of get in there and it

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should be a good time. And that's gonna be our

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feature game today. That is where the you know that'll

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the eyes of the basketball world will be on that game.

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But first got to recap the night before. I went

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one and two last night a little bit. I don't

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know if I if it would have been better had

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I added, you know, there was like I kind of

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looked through everything, I sort of passed on, kind of

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washed out, so one and two for me. Simo ends

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up getting there on a buzzer beater that was actually

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I was a second half comeback away from going oh

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to three, but that did get there. Manhattan no showed

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the second half unfortunately, and Navy was very disappointing to me.

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They nearly played their way into a loss, rob but

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they get it done. They advanced. But yeah, a couple

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of down days, we lose the parlay by a bucket.

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Of course, Simo was in the parlay. Bayou's a leg

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of the parlay gets there, so I hope he's got

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another one cueued up. But yeah, just disappointing last couple

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of days. I've had a really good two plus month

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run at this point, so hopefully we can turn it

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around today. How is your night?

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Speaker 2: Very very slight loss at them two and two on

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the night College Hoop. The slight loss comes because the

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one play that was a hair larger than the other

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three was the play that we left here in the parla.

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I need seventy five and a half. I think we

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get to seventy three against def Yu. Kind of disappointed

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in Middle Tennessee's offense there, but it is what it is.

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Got a couple of winners last night with the Sacred

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Heart game total over the number Sacred Heart and Iona

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put together about a one hundred and eleven point second

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half in that game, absolutely crazy. Everything they threw up

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went in worked out good.

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Speaker 1: For me.

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Speaker 3: In the end. Northern Iowa.

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Speaker 2: I had that team total over seventy and a half

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they got to sixty eight against Evansville. Northern Iowa did

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not get there. And then the other winner, I'm trying

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to recall at him. I can't off the top of

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my I had these days blend themselves together, but it

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was a two and two. I'm just trying to Oh, yeah,

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South Florida team total over never in doubt against Memphis

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ninety six eighty nine finals.

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Speaker 3: So there you have it.

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Speaker 2: A couple of winners with the Sacred Heart game full

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game over, the South Florida team total over, pair of

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losers with the MTSU team total over that did not

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get there in Northern I missed both of those by

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a book and so we'll get back to it tonight.

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As I mentioned all the time, since December one up

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fifty one units in college hoops. So it's been a

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four month run. Haven't had a losing month since the

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beginning of the year November, so it's been really really good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm still you know, I'm still trying to reverse

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a tough start, but sixty units in January and February

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for me, started off March really good and then the

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last two days have given some back. So but again

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this is probably from a volume stamp point for me.

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March is typically, especially these next two weeks, gonna be

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very very high volume, just because there's I truly believe

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that edge is as good as good as it's gonna

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get in this smaller conference tournament. So like this first

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week and then that first week of March madness. So yeah,

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we've got a ton of games today. We got to

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get right into it, and let's talk the game. I'm

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headed to tonight. That's Miami of Ohio, Ohio, and Rob

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you know I'm gonna be there. Of course it would

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be awesome too, you know that. Actually, you know, either

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result wouldn't really matter because in one hand, you know,

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getting to be there for Ohio winning this game would

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be pretty cool, right, because yeah, I'm sure if if

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Brian Power wasn't tuned up enough by getting the happy

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hour at five o'clock. Certainly Ohio win would would send

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him into into outer space basically, but if it doesn't happen,

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then you get to see Miami of Ohio complete the

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feet of running the table through the right season. You know,

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as I look at the matchup and I recall us chat,

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I recall us talking about this game last time. He's

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to two teams played, and my handicap is similar, Like

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for Miami of Ohio to win, I'm sorry for Ohio

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to win this game. I feel like Miami of Ohio

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has to just have an off shooting night. They have

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to shoot it poorly, and like, I just don't I

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think if they even play an average game, they're not

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losing the game. And then you look at the number

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and like, even if I take recency bias out of

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it completely, here, Rob, I'm still the most I'm getting

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to is like five and a half six. So talk

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to me about this game. You've been really good with

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Miami of Ohio totals. I just don't know that I'm

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getting enough value to play Ohio. But my gut says,

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don't do it with Miami of Ohio because it's Man,

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they've come so close to slipping up on the road

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in a couple of these scenarios that maybe that happens here.

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So intriguing game. Talk to me about this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and for waiting for Miami of Ohio

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to have a bad shooting night, it just hasn't happened.

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In conference play, they're so infrequent, it's you know, the

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worst shooting game they had was way back on January

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third against Akron, who is I think in both of

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our opinions Adam Akron and Miami on a neutral we

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lean Akron in that game. Obviously it's debatable who's better

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Miami of Ohio or Akron, but Acron did hold them

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to thirty seven percent shooting. Even in that instance, Miami

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of Ohio still found a way to win seventy six

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to seventy three. So you're asking, if you're betting Ohio,

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you're asking for Miami on the Road to be off shooting.

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We know that even when they are off shooting. I

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can give you another example a couple of weeks ago,

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only forty percent against Eastern Michigan win the game by ten.

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So even when they don't shoot it well, which again

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is so infrequent they found a way to win. It's

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hard to bet against this team laying points in this

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particular instance when you add in the crowd factor tonight

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for Ohio, you the national television spotlight. I will say this,

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Miami of Ohio has been under the Friday night spotlight

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more than once now and they haven't melted yet.

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Speaker 3: They continue to win.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's very, very difficult to bet against them

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in almost any situation for me, so I immediately looked

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the total first time around these two play till game

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final score of one hundred and sixty four ninety to

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seventy four. Miami O really not close again. Miami shot

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the ball terrific fifty two and a half from two,

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fifty percent from three.

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Speaker 3: All the weaponry was there.

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Speaker 2: Ohio even shot it pretty well from inside the arc

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Adam and still couldn't get the job done, couldn't come

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within sixteen points.

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Speaker 3: Of course, that was at.

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Speaker 2: Miami and this is in Ohio. I don't know from

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the situationals, which are what they are, can Miami withstand

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the pressure? Ohio you in their final home game, heated rivalry,

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all of that situational stuff, I guess you can build

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somewhat of a case for Ohio when it comes down

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to fundamentals and who's the better team. Over the course

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of forty minutes. There may be stretches and spurts et cetera,

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et cetera for either side here, But when it comes

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to time to rise up and who's better, Miami's just

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got better shooters, way more options.

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Speaker 1: And I think I.

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Speaker 2: Want to make this point, which is a shade off topic,

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but not really. I don't know if you saw the

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rant that Sundance Wicks went on for the head coach

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of Wyoming.

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Speaker 3: He went on this insane not insane.

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Speaker 2: I won't call it insane because he made a lot

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of sense, but went on this rant about all of

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the anti Miami of Ohio sentiment going around.

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Speaker 3: Don't deserve to be an attorney, et cetera, et cetera.

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Speaker 2: And his main point in that whole thing was that

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people don't realize how difficult it is to schedule for

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these mid majors. Nobody wants to play them, and when

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they find a team like Miami of Ohio that has,

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in Sundayance Wix's terms, retention, meaning they kept all their

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players from the year before, then God, no.

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Speaker 3: We don't want to play you. You kept all your player.

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Speaker 2: When they schedule these mid majors, if in fact they

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do schedule them at all, they're counting on nil dispersals

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to other teams. You're coaching a bunch of new kids,

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which is the case in a lot of mid major situations,

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and they think they can come in and win. They

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don't want to get a lost, So credit to Miami

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of Ohio was his point. I too think that this

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team is in the tournament no matter what happens here tonight.

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Speaker 3: I don't think they're gonna lose.

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Speaker 2: Adam, if I had to play here, I'd be playing

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the total up and over one fifty nine and a half.

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It's already been bet up a couple of points. Don't

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let it go too too far. Like I said earlier,

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the game did hit one sixty four first time around.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if I if I was playing here, i'd be

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I'd be laying it with Miami of Ohio. You know again,

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I think, I think even if you take all the

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recency out, which obviously when I when I say recency,

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I mean you're you're clearly gonna the books are clearly

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going to attack you a little bit on backing a

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thirty and oh team. Even even if you take all

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that out, I'm still coming up with like Miami of

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Ohio like minus six, right, and that would be giving

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Ohio like the full benefit of the doubt. So in reality,

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my number is actually probably higher than that. And here's

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the concern is that again, I just think the only

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way Miami Ohio loses this game is if the moment

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is just too big and they have an uncharacteristic sort

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of melt in my opinion, But Rob, you made a

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really good point. They have they're accustomed to this. Now.

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How many fridays in a row have they played the

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big game on a Friday Night? And if you look

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at their whole schedule, which again there is some merit

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to running the table in this league, it's still a

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decent league. That means you still had to beat Akron,

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you still had to beat Kent State, Toledo Bowling Green.

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You know, UMASSES is not great this year, but they're

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not a team. You know, they beat Florida State in

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the non conference. Those weren't easy games. Point is like

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they pretty much have gotten it done every step of

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the way. If you look at the conference slate on

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the road. I believe the only two where they didn't

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win by this margin was Buffalo, where they missed a

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couple of file shots and Buffalo crept back in hit

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a couple shots and suddenly it was a two point game.

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And then last week at Western Michigan, which was probably

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Miami of Ohio one of their worst halfs of conference play,

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that first half against Western Michigan where they only scored

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twenty six points. So my thing is this, you're if

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you're back in Ohio, I feel like you're I feel

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like you're waiting for that to happen, and if it doesn't,

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you're probably gonna find yourself down ten to fifteen, and

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then you're gonna be hoping you can you can somehow

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steal it at the end and cut it to four

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or five and get back door. I did. I just

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think that my probably seven times out of ten, Miami

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of Ohio is winning this game by six points or more.

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So do what you will with that. Not doubt it

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makes my card, but but I certainly I think they.

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I think they get it done. I think they complete

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the undefeated season in Athens tonight.

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Speaker 3: You write that with RedHawks gear tonight.

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Speaker 1: Now, as you can see, I don't have I put

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a green sweatshirt on. This is a Charlotte sweatshirt. I'm

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sure I'll I'm sure I'll come across some Ohio gear

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at some point, but no, I'm not. I'm not wearing red.

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00:12:45,879 --> 00:12:49,559
I may. You know, I don't always bad. I don't

240
00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:50,840
even know if I'll have to actually, like a lot

241
00:12:50,879 --> 00:12:52,399
of times see them. I go with the games. I

242
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,600
go to like I'm trying to do content, take video

243
00:12:55,639 --> 00:12:57,600
and stuff like that, and then I usually do that

244
00:12:57,600 --> 00:12:59,240
in the first half, and then by the second half

245
00:12:59,279 --> 00:13:01,240
I a lock in and watch the game. So who knows,

246
00:13:01,279 --> 00:13:03,440
maybe I'll maybe I'll bet the second half. We'll see,

247
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:05,440
but yeah, not going to be a client play for me.

248
00:13:05,879 --> 00:13:08,559
Should be great though. It's gonna be a really good one.

249
00:13:08,639 --> 00:13:12,799
I think it'll probably Ohios. Yeah, you know, it's gonna

250
00:13:12,799 --> 00:13:16,240
be Ohio's best crowd in a minute, probably. I know.

251
00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:18,679
A lot of the uppers are being sold, So Steve

252
00:13:18,759 --> 00:13:20,759
Duke real quick before you move on to the next game. No,

253
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:23,639
all of the games are not tournament games. This is

254
00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,679
the final round of play for the MAC regular season,

255
00:13:28,919 --> 00:13:32,600
so so no, they're not all tournament games, and I

256
00:13:32,639 --> 00:13:36,240
will do my best job to clarify if we're talking

257
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:39,720
about a tournament game or not. And so I'm gonna

258
00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:42,159
move on to Garth here, and this would be a

259
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:46,159
scenario where we're not talking about a tournament game. So

260
00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:49,080
he says, looking at Penn minus two and a half.

261
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:52,360
So what I find very interesting about if you're trying

262
00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:56,159
to bet the ivy's today, rob is IVY madness has

263
00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:01,960
already locked in. So in theory, the IVY League games

264
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:08,320
tonight are I believe, meaningless from a from a who

265
00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:11,519
gets into the conference tournament or not. However, they still

266
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:15,159
could alter seeding because of course I believe most of

267
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:19,240
these teams still play two more games. So tonight you're

268
00:14:19,279 --> 00:14:24,000
looking at Yeah, so you're looking at four. You know,

269
00:14:24,039 --> 00:14:26,919
you're looking at a whole slate of IVY. The next

270
00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:31,320
I believe, Oh, I'm sorry, no, this is gonna be

271
00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,639
the finale. So it looks like we're seeing the IVY

272
00:14:33,639 --> 00:14:36,799
finale tonight. Everyone is going to play one more game

273
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,159
in the IVY. I did the math wrong, and they

274
00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:44,840
all play fourteen league games. So yale, it looks like

275
00:14:44,919 --> 00:14:48,279
already has at least the one seed. I do think

276
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,799
there's a scenario where they could finish tied with Harvard

277
00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:54,080
at the top for a co championship thing. But here's

278
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:55,720
a scenario. So I want to go to Gard's game.

279
00:14:55,879 --> 00:14:58,279
He likes Penn. Looking at Penn minus two and a half,

280
00:14:58,759 --> 00:15:00,799
he says, the only thing that scares this is the first

281
00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,000
time Penn has been favored on the road. Yeah, so

282
00:15:04,039 --> 00:15:06,799
now Penn is favored on the road, and they're also

283
00:15:07,639 --> 00:15:11,320
already into IVY madness. That being said, Brown win or

284
00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,840
lose here, Rob is going to finish last in the

285
00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,240
IVY this year. If you watched Full Court Press early

286
00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,720
in the year, I told you that might happen, I

287
00:15:19,759 --> 00:15:21,320
said Brown. I thought it was the worst team in

288
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,759
this league. They of course lost Keno Lilly, they don't score,

289
00:15:25,039 --> 00:15:28,159
They've been a disaster all year. And so you know,

290
00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:30,360
Penn I think is finah. I think they're really good.

291
00:15:30,399 --> 00:15:33,399
I talked about this too, Fran McCaffrey. I figured that

292
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,159
he'd be right in the mix in his first year

293
00:15:35,159 --> 00:15:37,159
in this league, and of course he is. He has

294
00:15:37,159 --> 00:15:40,720
his team in IVY madness. So is it as simple

295
00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,480
as just laying the small number with Penn here on

296
00:15:43,519 --> 00:15:46,559
the road or do you think Brown shows up for

297
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:48,799
their senior night. A lot of these teams will have

298
00:15:48,879 --> 00:15:51,679
some seniors. I can't see any reason of that. Brown.

299
00:15:51,919 --> 00:15:54,279
I've said they're bad all year. They're bad. So it's

300
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,600
Pen or pass for me? Sideer total Rob, what do

301
00:15:56,679 --> 00:15:57,200
you got.

302
00:15:57,919 --> 00:16:01,519
Speaker 2: Well, I think you'd have to lean Penn. I believe

303
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,799
they're locked into the three. I don't believe they can

304
00:16:04,799 --> 00:16:08,480
climb to the two over Harvard. They did split their

305
00:16:08,519 --> 00:16:11,039
season series. Pen is a game behind. It would require

306
00:16:11,039 --> 00:16:13,360
a Harvard loss as well. But they are locked into

307
00:16:13,399 --> 00:16:15,840
the three because even if they lose this game, Cornell

308
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,000
could tie them. But Penn beat Cornell twice this year,

309
00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,279
so they win that tiebreaker. So Penn, when you said meaningless,

310
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:26,919
it is kind of meaningless unless you're Fran McCaffrey and

311
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:28,919
you want some kind of tune up game, which I

312
00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:31,159
think they probably would like to have a tune up

313
00:16:31,159 --> 00:16:33,600
game first time around eighty one to seventy three in

314
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:37,279
favor of Penn. Penn has played terrific down the stretch.

315
00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:40,240
I mean, Fran did a great job with this team.

316
00:16:40,279 --> 00:16:42,320
They're seven in one of excuse me, six and one

317
00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:46,159
straight up in their last seven games. And the only

318
00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,200
game they lost at them was a four point loss

319
00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:52,279
to Yale, which on the road. There's no shame in

320
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,039
that losing by forty Yale at Yale. If your Pens

321
00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:58,519
so they are probably you could honestly argue that they're

322
00:16:58,519 --> 00:17:02,000
the hottest team the IVY right now. I don't think

323
00:17:02,039 --> 00:17:05,119
you do anything to disrupt that heading into the tournament.

324
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,480
If you're a Fran McCaffrey, you don't kind of take

325
00:17:07,559 --> 00:17:11,160
the it's a meaningless game approach with this one to

326
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:13,599
maybe force your team out of the rhythm that they're in.

327
00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,880
So I could agree with Garth here, Like I say,

328
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,000
first time it was an eight point win, but let's

329
00:17:18,039 --> 00:17:23,240
remember that back on January ten when these two teams played,

330
00:17:24,039 --> 00:17:26,559
Pen really wasn't in a rhythm at that point in time.

331
00:17:26,839 --> 00:17:29,799
I think we had even talked way back then about

332
00:17:29,839 --> 00:17:32,200
France still trying to figure some things out with this

333
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:36,440
team rotationally, et cetera, et cetera. Had some talent and

334
00:17:36,599 --> 00:17:39,759
his style to be implemented. Probably takes a little bit

335
00:17:39,799 --> 00:17:43,519
of time for Penn to acclimate too, but they are now.

336
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,640
And like I say, the list of wins in the

337
00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:51,559
last seven games, including the most recent win over Harvard,

338
00:17:51,599 --> 00:17:55,200
which is huge for Penn to at least from a

339
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,279
mindset of we belong in this final four tournament. We

340
00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:02,720
can beat these guys close at Yale beat Harvard, So

341
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:04,279
I would agree the.

342
00:18:04,319 --> 00:18:07,400
Speaker 3: Number just looks small to me. How is Brown.

343
00:18:08,599 --> 00:18:11,880
Speaker 2: Only two and a half worse than Penn at this

344
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,920
particular point in time. I get that the power ratings

345
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:19,039
are seasonal. They're overall numbers. They're not really accounting for.

346
00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:21,480
Don't sit there and say, let's have our last seven

347
00:18:21,559 --> 00:18:23,920
games power ratings and put them up against it. That's

348
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,039
what we do on the other side of the counter.

349
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,400
And from that perspective, I think you're getting a better

350
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,640
team right now with Pen than what you had back

351
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,119
in January. And that team beat Brown by eight.

352
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:37,519
Speaker 1: So a couple of things. I was at that Pen

353
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,759
Yale game. Penn was the better team. They kind of

354
00:18:40,799 --> 00:18:43,240
lost it at the end. I felt like Penn pretty

355
00:18:43,279 --> 00:18:46,039
much outplayed Yale for the majority of that game. They

356
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:48,640
covered a big number. I want to say they were

357
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,920
like a ten point dog. Actually that was the game

358
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,160
so Nick Townsend got ruled out, so even they went

359
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:57,400
off eight, they still covered easily. They had a couple

360
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,279
of looks in the final minute or two to win,

361
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:03,480
like I thought Penn was, like was the better of

362
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,559
those two teams on that day. They just fell a

363
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:07,920
little bit short. And you're and as you said, that's

364
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,759
their only loss since January, right, the only loss they've

365
00:19:10,759 --> 00:19:13,039
had since January is on the road to the best

366
00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:16,240
team in the league. I think your whole handicap here

367
00:19:16,319 --> 00:19:19,079
is motivation, and I think I'm gonna further make the

368
00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:23,759
case for Penn. Penn has not played since Saturday when

369
00:19:23,759 --> 00:19:28,400
they played Harvard. IVY Madness will not start until next Saturday.

370
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:33,359
So why would Fran McCaffrey rest anyone or risk not

371
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,599
playing this game out for forty minutes? Like this is

372
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:41,880
your only game action in a in a two week span.

373
00:19:42,319 --> 00:19:45,000
So you go Saturday the twenty eight, they played Harvard

374
00:19:45,079 --> 00:19:48,920
at home, and then they'll play Harvard on Saturday the

375
00:19:49,039 --> 00:19:53,039
fourteen in the in Ithaca in the semi final round

376
00:19:53,079 --> 00:19:55,839
of IVY Madness. So you've got one game in between

377
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:59,400
those games. It's this game, rob like that you should

378
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,960
be going through. That should be full full dress rehearsal here.

379
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,119
Why would you change anything for this game? And if

380
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,400
if Pennan's gonna come out and give an effort. It

381
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,559
would be shocking for them to lose. And then if

382
00:20:11,559 --> 00:20:14,160
you're talking about them winning, they only need to win

383
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,319
by two and a half and I didn't even really

384
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,480
factor that in yet and my number still up around four.

385
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:21,799
So I think Gar's probably on to something. I may

386
00:20:21,839 --> 00:20:23,400
have to go give another look to this one. That's

387
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:25,880
a I think that's a good call, Garth. That number

388
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:32,480
feels short to me as well. All right, we can

389
00:20:32,519 --> 00:20:38,559
move on quick promo double the Firepower CVB package. You know,

390
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,519
up until the last couple of days have been rolling

391
00:20:40,599 --> 00:20:44,480
right along, and I think, you know, going into the weekend,

392
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,400
I'm certainly not deterred from a couple of losing days.

393
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,160
I actually, you know, you could argue I had them coming.

394
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,079
I think I had four straight winning days prior to that,

395
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:58,240
and like multiple winning weeks. So we'll battle through it.

396
00:20:58,279 --> 00:21:00,240
There's a bunch of spots I really like this weekend,

397
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,759
and I know Rob just continues to plug along up

398
00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:07,480
near the top of the you know, everyone at wager

399
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,680
talk college hoops. So you got two options, the three

400
00:21:10,799 --> 00:21:14,759
day or the full season take us right through through

401
00:21:14,799 --> 00:21:16,960
the NCAA tournament, and of course don't forget all those

402
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,000
little tournaments. The n I t are they gonna let

403
00:21:20,079 --> 00:21:22,119
us bet the crown this year? Rob? Is the question.

404
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,519
They pulled the odds last year, if you remember, I

405
00:21:25,559 --> 00:21:27,359
was all ready to bet that tournament and they said

406
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,160
they basically every sportsbook pulled the odds. But you know,

407
00:21:30,279 --> 00:21:32,240
we'll be grinding it out with you through March, and

408
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,599
I hope you guys join us because it truly is

409
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,680
the best time of year. And listen, I didn't spend

410
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:42,839
all these miles on the road and these little gyms

411
00:21:43,039 --> 00:21:45,759
to not come out and kill it during conference tournament weeks.

412
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:48,400
So that is what we plan to do. And Rob,

413
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:50,839
I am going to go right to you. Robert Surpus

414
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,920
was at the Long Beach State game last night. I

415
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,680
appreciate you tweeting me from the game with clips from

416
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,680
the game. I love that. I if I can do anything,

417
00:22:01,039 --> 00:22:04,440
Rob inspire people to go out watch more basketball, feel

418
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,480
like I'm doing my job. He got a great game

419
00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:10,960
between UC Davis and Long Beach last night, And I'm

420
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,039
gonna go right to you here because he wants to so,

421
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,839
first of all, appreciate the donation. Second, he wants to

422
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,720
know Belmont eleven and a half. Any thoughts, and I

423
00:22:20,799 --> 00:22:22,359
know if there's a guy that has thoughts on the

424
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,799
Belmont Bruins, rob it's you, so talking to me Drake Belmont.

425
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:29,640
This is the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament one pm Eastern

426
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:30,400
this afternoon.

427
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, day game, Adam to Robert there, I did bet

428
00:22:35,279 --> 00:22:37,079
it at minus eleven and a half.

429
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 3: The trouble is it's thirteen now.

430
00:22:39,759 --> 00:22:42,119
Speaker 2: So as we do the show, this game continues to

431
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,079
increase people on the Belmont side. Drake played last night.

432
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,079
Drake did play Belmont extremely tough the first time around.

433
00:22:49,599 --> 00:22:52,160
Believe that one was in Drake, but then the second

434
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,319
time around Belmont had their way. They won't that one

435
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:58,680
by thirteen or fourteen points. It's time for Casey, Alexander

436
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,440
and this team to turn it on. This is gonna

437
00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:03,519
end up being, in all likelihood a one bid team.

438
00:23:03,559 --> 00:23:05,799
I hate to say that, because I think that Belmont

439
00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:09,440
is as good a mid major as there is outside

440
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,319
of you know, a team like maybe Saint Louis or whatnot.

441
00:23:12,319 --> 00:23:16,960
But I still think Belmont would be competitive against the

442
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:20,799
the Vcus, the the Atlantic Tens of the world. I

443
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,480
just they are that good at this point in time. Now,

444
00:23:23,519 --> 00:23:26,480
what's what's bothersome a little bit with Belmont is the

445
00:23:26,519 --> 00:23:30,119
fact that the defense has slipped over the past. I'm

446
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:34,839
going to say seven or eight games prior to maybe

447
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:37,839
the first week in February. Through the first week in February,

448
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:39,440
Belmont you could find them at the top of the

449
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,279
defensive efficiency standings inside the Missouri Valley. You don't find

450
00:23:43,279 --> 00:23:46,839
that anymore. Starting to give up points, which is typical

451
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:52,279
Belmont of the past. But they're just so gifted offensively

452
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,960
that they overcome it. The amount of shooters. I know

453
00:23:56,039 --> 00:24:01,359
Lunblom gets a lot of accolade, but guys like Jack

454
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:05,119
Smiley and others who shoot threes on this team, and

455
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,799
the offense that they run is so good. I do

456
00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:11,119
think that they're in a prime spot here. Drake had

457
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,799
to play last night, have to show up early, you know,

458
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:18,400
basically this morning, right that's a noontime game in Saint Louis,

459
00:24:19,079 --> 00:24:21,160
So there's not a lot of rest for Drake here

460
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,039
to get back up on the horse. And Drake is

461
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,200
just you know, it's not typical Drakes. It's a bad

462
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,119
defensive team, and you just don't want to be a

463
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:33,440
bad defensive team against this offense. Belmont rested I saw

464
00:24:33,519 --> 00:24:35,559
no reason not to lay eleven and a half. I'm

465
00:24:35,599 --> 00:24:40,119
not going to discourage people from laying if you can

466
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,480
get I'm just looking here at numbers at him as

467
00:24:42,519 --> 00:24:45,400
we speak, and I mean, I believe it or not.

468
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:49,079
I see fourteens out there now, which is it's just

469
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,839
probably going to continue to go up. At that price,

470
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,480
you can't really recommend it. I think Robert, you got

471
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:56,400
a good number. If you did bet at at eleven

472
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:57,680
and a half, you got a good number. I think

473
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,759
I did as well. We'll take our seat. I think

474
00:25:00,759 --> 00:25:06,000
Belmont can win by up to fifteen points, but there's.

475
00:25:05,759 --> 00:25:07,079
Speaker 3: No wiggle room left anymore.

476
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 2: Right, you don't get those two baskets for the wiggle

477
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:12,119
room anymore. So I do like Belmont. I think they'll

478
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,400
do the right thing here. And it's just a tough

479
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:15,319
spot for Drake.

480
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,079
Speaker 1: Okay, So a couple of things you can do. One

481
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,000
hope for a slow start, or hope Drake gets a

482
00:25:22,039 --> 00:25:24,640
bucket and then try to ngame it. That's always an option,

483
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:27,960
you know, there's especially at arch madness. So I think

484
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,599
this is a good because we don't know if we'll

485
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,880
definitely come back to the Missouri Valley, Like, this is

486
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:36,200
a good spot to maybe bring up the very highly

487
00:25:36,759 --> 00:25:42,000
publicized mar you know, Missouri Valley under they all go under.

488
00:25:42,279 --> 00:25:44,519
It doesn't matter what the number is, they steam over,

489
00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:47,480
they still go under. I don't really want to talk

490
00:25:47,519 --> 00:25:50,440
about that because it's like I still think I think

491
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:52,640
you need to acknowledge it. I don't think it's like

492
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,480
something that you can just blindly bet. But let's just

493
00:25:55,519 --> 00:25:58,599
put it into the context of this handicap for a second. Okay,

494
00:25:58,839 --> 00:26:02,559
so historic in this building, offense has been harder to

495
00:26:02,559 --> 00:26:04,880
come by. So what does that mean for this game one?

496
00:26:05,279 --> 00:26:08,319
Maybe you know, if you get a seven to five start,

497
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,079
you may actually get that in play minus eleven and

498
00:26:11,079 --> 00:26:13,960
a half. Let's say it's Drake eight to five out

499
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,599
of the gate media timeout, you might get your eleven

500
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,240
and a half with Belmont. The other thing you can

501
00:26:19,279 --> 00:26:22,039
do is play Belmont first half for a half unit.

502
00:26:22,079 --> 00:26:24,559
If it doesn't come in, come over the top with

503
00:26:24,599 --> 00:26:27,119
a full unit on the second half or a you know,

504
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,519
just break it up however you want, but you'll end

505
00:26:30,599 --> 00:26:33,119
up getting the better number with Belmont. Why do I

506
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:35,400
agree with you, Rob? Why do I also like Belmont?

507
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,839
Because let's just assume this is a tough venue to

508
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,400
shoot in. Well, Belmont's beginning the rim as efficient as

509
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,240
any team in this league this year. You know, they

510
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,799
shoot the ball well. Like I think Belmont gets billed

511
00:26:46,839 --> 00:26:49,240
as this offensive team. We know they can shoot, but

512
00:26:49,279 --> 00:26:53,359
they are a very efficient rim offense. They're really the

513
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:57,759
most complete offensive team in this league. I don't think

514
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,559
like if there is a some sort of voodoo in

515
00:27:00,599 --> 00:27:03,160
this building, which there seems to be every year, I

516
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,079
think Belmont would be one of the teams that, like

517
00:27:05,599 --> 00:27:08,480
is less likely to fall victim to it because they

518
00:27:08,519 --> 00:27:10,839
get they can get to the rim and score at

519
00:27:10,839 --> 00:27:13,039
an efficient rate. You know, one thing I want to

520
00:27:13,039 --> 00:27:18,599
point out about Drake Listen set Southern Illinois kind was

521
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:20,920
kind of a decent matchup for them. That's a team

522
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,480
that struggles to score the basketball, that can't shoot, and

523
00:27:24,519 --> 00:27:25,960
of course they were able to win a game in

524
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:29,759
the sixties. Drake had lost nine straight games prior to

525
00:27:29,839 --> 00:27:33,000
that game. The other thing that you mentioned Rob Bellmont

526
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:36,279
won both of the regular season meetings, Like Drake kind

527
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:38,759
of shot the lights out in those games, and in

528
00:27:38,839 --> 00:27:42,039
the second one, Belmont still dropped one oh three and

529
00:27:42,079 --> 00:27:45,799
won by double digits. So I think you're I think

530
00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:48,640
you're asking for it if you take Drake. I guess

531
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:50,519
I could see like there is a point where people

532
00:27:50,519 --> 00:27:52,599
like people are gonna say, well, where do I push back?

533
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,559
I got to push back at some point, But I

534
00:27:55,559 --> 00:27:58,039
don't know, even at fourteen fourteen and a half, I

535
00:27:58,079 --> 00:27:59,559
don't think I want any part of Drake here. I

536
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:03,440
just think it is too good. And their ability to

537
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,519
get a fishing baskets in a in a arena that

538
00:28:06,599 --> 00:28:10,400
has been inefficient for offenses over the years. Just say

539
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,880
you know to me that that says Bellmont inn pass.

540
00:28:14,759 --> 00:28:15,519
Speaker 3: And I think you know.

541
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,160
Speaker 2: We probably don't go into depth about Belmont enough, Adam,

542
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,279
simply because they don't come up off and on this show,

543
00:28:23,319 --> 00:28:27,839
and we don't extend analysis out enough when it comes

544
00:28:27,839 --> 00:28:29,720
to their gaze. But I do want to point out,

545
00:28:29,759 --> 00:28:34,319
as much as I talk about Lundblade and Casey Alexander's

546
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,359
love for him, claiming he's the best three point shooter

547
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:40,559
he's seen in his coaching career, to your point about

548
00:28:40,559 --> 00:28:44,000
getting to the rim, Belmont's never had a big man.

549
00:28:44,039 --> 00:28:46,359
Speaker 3: And when I say never, I'll go back to my

550
00:28:46,519 --> 00:28:50,559
time when my son started there in twelve.

551
00:28:50,559 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 2: I think eleven twenty twelve haven't had a big man

552
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:58,160
like Sharnowski ever in that time. And Sharnowski just doesn't

553
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,519
get a lot of credit for what he does defensively

554
00:29:00,519 --> 00:29:03,799
and offensively at the rim, even screening guys to get

555
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:08,039
layups uncontested. It's a really good offense that, as you mentioned,

556
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:10,880
gets to the rim. I always come out here and

557
00:29:11,359 --> 00:29:15,640
talk about their three point prowess, but their entire offense

558
00:29:15,759 --> 00:29:18,119
and their ability to score inside the arc and get

559
00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:20,160
to the free throw and to make free throws is

560
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,559
a huge plus two. Drake just doesn't have enough of

561
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:23,200
that this year.

562
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 1: I think I see, I think I see by you

563
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:31,720
in the chat, but I did just text him to

564
00:29:31,759 --> 00:29:34,839
see what he wants to throw into the parlay. Jose

565
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,319
Perez is a question, and I want to talk about

566
00:29:37,319 --> 00:29:40,680
this one because there's there's talking points here. So he says,

567
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,960
by you, do you like Winthrop? I mean, I suppose

568
00:29:44,559 --> 00:29:46,960
Keith can jump in and you know, chime in in

569
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,559
the chat. But Rob, let's talk about this game. This

570
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:52,599
is a conference tournament game. This is early So we

571
00:29:53,039 --> 00:29:55,559
killed two birds with one stone right there. Because I

572
00:29:55,599 --> 00:29:59,240
know people want some daytime action conference tournament action, and

573
00:29:59,359 --> 00:30:02,279
Jose says, do you like Winthrop? And what I say is,

574
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:07,920
you know, you couple things here, like so Duncombe is

575
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:12,599
more than likely out for Winthrop. Here, everything I'm reading

576
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:16,400
says that there's it would be shocking to see him

577
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,079
play today. Now, of course, Rob, I come on here

578
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,759
last yesterday, say there's no way that that the guy

579
00:30:22,799 --> 00:30:26,359
from Lindon Wood is going to play with that hamstring injury.

580
00:30:26,839 --> 00:30:28,799
And he's out there dragging his leg up and down

581
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:31,720
the court going for like twenty I couldn't believe it.

582
00:30:31,759 --> 00:30:33,640
He played pretty much the whole game. Now, he was

583
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,640
clearly compromised, but still the fact that he got out

584
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:41,319
there and and played. You know, it is conference tournament

585
00:30:41,359 --> 00:30:44,079
time right some it's there's no tomorrow, so it's like

586
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,799
almost like if you can give it a go, you

587
00:30:46,839 --> 00:30:49,440
gotta give it. You know, there's there's no next game.

588
00:30:49,519 --> 00:30:51,480
I guess as the point I'm trying to make that

589
00:30:51,599 --> 00:31:09,480
being said it all, could we lose him? Surprising?

590
00:31:17,640 --> 00:33:07,279
Speaker 4: I think it lost.

591
00:32:25,119 --> 00:32:34,079
Speaker 2: See you guys, Okay, Adam obviously has lost all all

592
00:32:34,359 --> 00:32:38,079
ability to connect to us, So let me go ahead

593
00:32:38,759 --> 00:32:40,680
and see if he can get back here.

594
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,279
Speaker 3: I don't know, guys, I'm looking at the chat now.

595
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 2: If you can hear me, and if in fact you

596
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:50,920
can tell what's going on, let me know and I will.

597
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,960
Speaker 1: All right, Am I back. I can't tell if that

598
00:32:54,119 --> 00:32:56,400
was me or that that was you that got bumped,

599
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,839
but we are all right. It looked like our stream

600
00:32:59,839 --> 00:33:02,640
guy knocked down for a second. My internet's working perfectly,

601
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:04,880
so I don't know what that. You know, I'm connected

602
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:06,839
on like multiple things. Here can you hear me?

603
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:11,319
Speaker 2: Okay, Rob, I can't wanted me to take over for

604
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,599
a minute, take the wheel, I would have.

605
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, so here we go. Yeah, so okay, it

606
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:18,319
must have been me that that bump. Well, it seems

607
00:33:18,359 --> 00:33:20,160
like I'm back. And what I was saying before I

608
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,720
got bumped was, you know, when I saw this number

609
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:27,640
this morning, I figured that the Duncombe News was baked in,

610
00:33:28,079 --> 00:33:30,519
you know. I figured that was I had already kind

611
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:32,440
of ruled him out and thought the number was was

612
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:36,480
probably good. It looks like Charleston Southern's taking a little

613
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,000
bit of money here even since then, So I guess

614
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:43,279
my question is, I mean, this seems like a bad

615
00:33:43,319 --> 00:33:46,920
matchup for Winthrop regardless, and now you've got their best

616
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:48,799
player or one of their best players is going to

617
00:33:48,799 --> 00:33:52,200
be out. Man. I kind of wish I kind of

618
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:54,839
wish I took Charleston Southern earlier at five. I guess

619
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:58,440
is my you know, answer to Jose No, I don't

620
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:02,319
like Winthrop. I think they could be vulnerable here. And

621
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,799
I'm a little disappointed at myself for not just you know,

622
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,759
kind of jumping when I kind of knew Duncombe wasn't

623
00:34:07,759 --> 00:34:10,079
gonna play. Because I think now that I know it's

624
00:34:10,119 --> 00:34:12,159
three and a half, I think I take five with

625
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:16,320
Charleston Southern not a neutral. So sorry for the disjointed

626
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,239
breakdown there. If you're watching this on demand, I apologize,

627
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:23,079
but go ahead, Charleston Southern Winthrop finish up what you

628
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:24,360
had to say about.

629
00:34:24,079 --> 00:34:29,679
Speaker 2: That one extremely close matchup both times, Adam, Regardless Duncombe

630
00:34:29,679 --> 00:34:30,360
went crazy.

631
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:32,880
Speaker 3: One game didn't really matter.

632
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 2: Charleston has won one of these games by two, lost

633
00:34:36,519 --> 00:34:38,440
the other one by four, so you could tell how

634
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,760
competitive it is between these two. Charleston actually, for what

635
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:46,880
it's worth, outshot Winthrop in both of these games from

636
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,800
inside the ark and from beyond the arc, the better

637
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:53,960
shooting team twice now in both arenas, so it would

638
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,920
be hard, especially as you mentioned the early number plus five.

639
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,960
For those who got there early and took that, you're

640
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:06,519
in good shape. I would think here down to three

641
00:35:06,559 --> 00:35:08,880
and a half or four. Now, Still, like I say,

642
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,039
if you're going to reference the season history here, you

643
00:35:11,039 --> 00:35:13,880
would still want to take four in a tournament style

644
00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:16,679
game on a neutral floor with the team that was

645
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:17,639
the better shooting team.

646
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,039
Speaker 3: Twice Winthrop didn't.

647
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,599
Speaker 2: Have answers the second time, not that it was a

648
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:27,480
huge significant gap in shooting, but still Charleston Southern was

649
00:35:27,519 --> 00:35:30,159
the better shooting team. So reasons to go ahead and

650
00:35:30,199 --> 00:35:33,800
play Winthrop I think are less than what they are

651
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:38,159
to take points with Charleston Southern. However, all that being said,

652
00:35:38,679 --> 00:35:40,440
these games when they're lined in the three and a

653
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:44,599
half area and the extension that you could get at

654
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:46,039
the end of the game on the foul line would

655
00:35:46,039 --> 00:35:48,079
be a little bit scary for me. Winthrop, if they

656
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:50,639
had a two point lead with fifty seconds left, could

657
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,119
turn that into a five point win. And you don't

658
00:35:53,119 --> 00:35:55,159
get there because the other side came down and missed

659
00:35:55,159 --> 00:35:57,159
a three, and they made two more free throws, et cetera, etc.

660
00:35:57,679 --> 00:35:59,840
It's that close of a game. I did look at

661
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:03,320
the total here, guys, because the total was very high

662
00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:04,840
in both of these. I think it was one fifty

663
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,199
eight and one seventy in those two games. Here we're

664
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:12,360
sitting at one sixty two pretty firmly. You take a

665
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,199
look at a lot of these conference tournament games today

666
00:36:14,199 --> 00:36:18,119
and you see extreme pushes toward the under, which is

667
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,360
commonplace at conference tournament time. Just wake up, find an

668
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:25,000
opener bedding under. But here that hasn't happened, which kind

669
00:36:25,079 --> 00:36:29,159
of suggests that early money doesn't believe this is gonna

670
00:36:29,159 --> 00:36:30,760
be one of those low scoring games. It should be

671
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:34,480
high tempo. Again, they've played twice, they played the same

672
00:36:34,559 --> 00:36:36,559
way twice. Who's to think it would be a different

673
00:36:36,599 --> 00:36:40,360
way this time around. So maybe the numbers a little

674
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,119
bit too high for me to get involved at one

675
00:36:42,199 --> 00:36:46,679
sixty two, but I could see somebody playing that, So again,

676
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,199
I think I would lean dog as my preferred play here.

677
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:54,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I should be very clear because I was

678
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,800
like in the process of like, I guess getting disconnected

679
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:00,559
or whatever. Like Duncom is clearly Winter's best played eighteen

680
00:37:00,599 --> 00:37:04,440
point four points per game, nine boards. He left the

681
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:09,360
Charleston Southern game. That was when he got hurt. Winthrop

682
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,119
lost that game by two, and even earlier this year

683
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:17,280
they only won by four at home, so you know

684
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:20,239
they've they've failed to cover the at least the opener

685
00:37:20,599 --> 00:37:23,119
in either of those games, the opener of what this

686
00:37:23,199 --> 00:37:26,239
game would have been. And when the really kind of

687
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,360
barely got by Presbyterian seventy four to seventy, they were

688
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:31,599
seven and a half point favorite in the last game.

689
00:37:31,679 --> 00:37:35,039
So yeah, that is that is concerning. But I do

690
00:37:35,199 --> 00:37:38,079
feel like I've missed the number at this point, so

691
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,280
I'll be a spectator there. But I couldn't really fault

692
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:45,559
anyone for looking toward Charleston Southern Colsey. To answer your question,

693
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:48,559
I think if you could get like a four or

694
00:37:48,679 --> 00:37:51,719
four and a half, because it was four and a

695
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:54,280
half for a while, so I think i'd want four

696
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:57,440
three and a half. I just I hate that scenario

697
00:37:57,599 --> 00:38:00,559
where you could take a number and then it lands

698
00:38:00,599 --> 00:38:03,239
for and then you lose, and then you could have

699
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,480
won had you had you bet it sooner. So for me,

700
00:38:06,079 --> 00:38:08,800
it would be four or better to look at Charleston

701
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:12,920
Southern that and that's just me personally. But yeah, an

702
00:38:13,039 --> 00:38:16,880
interesting game. And again this is why this is kind

703
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:19,159
of why I haven't bet anything yet Rob for today,

704
00:38:19,199 --> 00:38:23,079
even though I like planned a bet like but there's

705
00:38:23,079 --> 00:38:26,039
gonna be especially like back to back game type scenarios.

706
00:38:27,119 --> 00:38:30,119
If someone's out, I'm gonna want to know that. And

707
00:38:31,039 --> 00:38:33,079
for me also, it's just I've had a couple of

708
00:38:33,079 --> 00:38:34,880
lines move against me the last couple of days, so

709
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:39,719
exercising a little more, I'm not gonna have the fomo here,

710
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:41,519
you know what I'm saying, Like, I'm just if I

711
00:38:41,599 --> 00:38:43,719
miss one, I missed one, And that's kind of where

712
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,599
I'm at with Charleston Southern. If I loved it, I

713
00:38:46,639 --> 00:38:49,400
would have bet it this morning. So you know, just

714
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:51,760
do what you will with that. All right, Let's go

715
00:38:52,199 --> 00:38:56,519
back to the main board for a minute. Keith Bayou

716
00:38:56,599 --> 00:38:59,760
bets Landry has has come in with his parlay leg.

717
00:39:00,159 --> 00:39:03,760
He cashed with the over and Colgate Loyola for us

718
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,280
yesterday as part of the parlay, we hit two of three.

719
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:09,280
We've got to hit one of these sooner or later.

720
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:11,800
We really need to just to get back to like

721
00:39:12,039 --> 00:39:15,559
even at this point. So let's go to the Atlantic ten.

722
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:21,039
Rob Dayton vcu By. You likes Dayton on the money line,

723
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,840
I think it's minus one thirty. I'll let you double

724
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:27,039
check your odd screen and just give me like what

725
00:39:27,199 --> 00:39:30,000
a good market price for that is. But he wants

726
00:39:30,039 --> 00:39:33,519
to call it Dayton money line. Hey, we've kind of

727
00:39:33,559 --> 00:39:36,239
talked about this team last couple of times out they're

728
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,480
playing much better and interesting stuff from Bayo. I didn't

729
00:39:40,519 --> 00:39:43,800
really think about this much, but because because Phil Martelli

730
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,480
just got there, I didn't realize that his name was

731
00:39:46,519 --> 00:39:49,960
getting tossed around for Providence. But it makes complete sense

732
00:39:50,039 --> 00:39:52,320
because of course Phil Martelli junior all those good years

733
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:56,199
at Bryant right down the road. I don't know how

734
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,320
much the stock I put into that, but I mean,

735
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:04,840
Virginia Commonwealth's last coach was pretty much already at Virginia

736
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:06,639
at this time of the year last year, Like it

737
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:10,000
was like already like a done deal, and it does happen.

738
00:40:10,159 --> 00:40:13,719
So rob your thoughts VCU Dayton and do you put

739
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:17,800
any stock into coaches starting to have one eye on

740
00:40:17,920 --> 00:40:19,480
something else at this point the season.

741
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 3: I'm not sure Martelly at his age would have one.

742
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:32,679
Speaker 2: I think he's more of a guy who, like a

743
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:36,440
lot of the younger coaches are, that are in it

744
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:39,719
to finish it and then move on. I don't think

745
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:43,360
he would abandon the team as far as not paying

746
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,159
attention to game plan et cetera, et cetera, the stuff

747
00:40:46,159 --> 00:40:48,039
that the coach is responsible for. I don't think that

748
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:50,599
the distractions would be enough to deter him from this.

749
00:40:52,599 --> 00:40:53,599
Speaker 3: VCU mission.

750
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 2: And you know that's the one thing that scared me

751
00:40:56,119 --> 00:40:58,039
off of this game. We're gonna ride with value, obviously,

752
00:40:58,199 --> 00:41:00,400
we're gonna ride with the hot team. Dayton here money

753
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:04,280
line at him. I saw minus one thirty, but.

754
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:07,760
Speaker 1: That's what I got too. We'll use minus one thirty

755
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:08,320
for the parlan.

756
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:13,760
Speaker 3: In our line of work, we do not pay a

757
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:14,800
lot of attention to.

758
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:19,159
Speaker 2: Ap top twenty fives, coaches, top twenty fives, whatever the

759
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,000
top twenty five is, and we don't pay a lot

760
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:26,480
of attention to bracketologists until it comes to situational stuff.

761
00:41:26,599 --> 00:41:30,960
And in this instance, I just find that almost every

762
00:41:31,159 --> 00:41:36,559
single bracket expert that you find, and they all put

763
00:41:36,599 --> 00:41:39,360
them together a shade differently, but they all come to

764
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,760
the same conclusion that VCU is in an absolute must

765
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:43,800
win situation here.

766
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:45,760
Speaker 3: If they want to make March Madness, this is the

767
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:47,400
sense of urgency game for them.

768
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,280
Speaker 2: Drop this one. You're not getting in. Dayton's going to

769
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,800
go buy you pretty good pun there right by you.

770
00:41:55,159 --> 00:41:59,000
They're going to go past you where that is concerned.

771
00:41:59,039 --> 00:42:02,239
So for VCU, who the sense of urgency is there,

772
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:04,880
and they're certainly good enough, Adam, there's certainly good enough

773
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,960
personnel wise to play with Dayton. I don't want to

774
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,320
bet or I don't want to step in front of

775
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:13,159
the freight train that currently is Dayton. I don't want

776
00:42:13,199 --> 00:42:15,880
to step in front of VCU. And there must win

777
00:42:16,119 --> 00:42:19,840
sense of urgency type of mindset that they have tonight.

778
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,360
It's probably why the game is lined as closely. All right,

779
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:27,079
let's just say this. The game is lined appropriately in

780
00:42:27,199 --> 00:42:29,559
my estimation. You can stand on one side of the

781
00:42:29,639 --> 00:42:32,480
fence or the other. We're choosing the Dayton side here.

782
00:42:32,679 --> 00:42:35,280
But it's the one reason why for me I got

783
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:37,719
a little bit scared of Dayton here in this game,

784
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,599
just because BCU you're probably gonna get their best effort

785
00:42:41,639 --> 00:42:44,480
of the season here tonight. If you don't, then maybe

786
00:42:44,519 --> 00:42:46,880
the coach did check out, maybe the team wilted under

787
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:48,079
the pressure, et cetera, et cetera.

788
00:42:48,159 --> 00:42:50,280
Speaker 3: But I'm not in that locker room. I can't make

789
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:50,960
that assessment.

790
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 1: Well, Rob, I'll tell you why I'm a little scared

791
00:42:56,039 --> 00:43:00,480
of Dayton here because the last time these twots played,

792
00:43:00,599 --> 00:43:03,199
I had Dayton it's a client play and got my

793
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,159
teeth kicked in in that game they never had a chance.

794
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,800
Ninety nine seventy three totally dominated. That was a Friday

795
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:14,199
night at the sea at the Seagull Center in Richmond, Virginia.

796
00:43:14,599 --> 00:43:17,079
But you can make a couple points here based off

797
00:43:17,119 --> 00:43:22,519
of that one. I've been to both. There is few

798
00:43:22,639 --> 00:43:25,760
better atmospheres than a Friday night in Dayton when the

799
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:28,679
fan base is engaged, which is almost all the time.

800
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,360
And actually, if you if you followed Dayton Twitter, they

801
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,400
were like getting on the students and stuff earlier this

802
00:43:35,559 --> 00:43:38,400
year for not like having the student section completely full.

803
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:45,280
The arena is always full Dayton. That's a great basketball city.

804
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,519
Like they're going to support that team regardless. But very

805
00:43:48,599 --> 00:43:51,079
rarely do you see like they're getting on Rob. You

806
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,360
had like date and Twitter getting on the students like

807
00:43:53,559 --> 00:43:55,960
how is the student section not completely full? Like this?

808
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,800
This team is still very good, still has a lot

809
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,000
to play for. Since that game, they've rattled off sixth straight.

810
00:44:02,079 --> 00:44:04,280
So I'll tell you what last game in the regular

811
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:09,280
season Friday Night UD Arena. Full marks for home court.

812
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:12,639
I've always said that Dayton Dayton, I always give full

813
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,760
marks for home court. That's gonna be an awesome atmosphere

814
00:44:16,079 --> 00:44:22,280
for them at home. So there's you know, like part

815
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:24,679
of me wants to just go back and say, Okay,

816
00:44:25,159 --> 00:44:28,239
you weren't wrong, You were just early right, Like your

817
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:32,960
handicap wasn't wrong. You just Dayton just wasn't playing the

818
00:44:33,039 --> 00:44:35,880
way you expected them to play. Yet now they've been

819
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,159
playing that way for six straight games. But but also

820
00:44:38,679 --> 00:44:40,719
they've been playing that way for six straight games, right,

821
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:43,119
and you have to like, can they can they run

822
00:44:43,199 --> 00:44:45,760
it and finish the regular season on a seven game

823
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:49,800
win streak. You know, during that stretch they have benefited.

824
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:54,400
Davidson's not a very good team. George Mason hasn't played well.

825
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:54,559
Speaker 4: You know.

826
00:44:54,639 --> 00:44:57,760
Speaker 1: The win over Saint Louis, to me, was just as

827
00:44:57,840 --> 00:44:59,880
much Saint Louis starting to run out of a little gas,

828
00:45:00,039 --> 00:45:01,760
Like you could you could see that coming from a

829
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:04,760
mile away. With Saint Louis, how they had played pretty

830
00:45:04,800 --> 00:45:07,039
much since the Dayton game, the first one when they

831
00:45:07,119 --> 00:45:10,280
ran them out of the gym. But like they go

832
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:13,400
on the road and get wins over George, Washington and Richmond.

833
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:16,320
That's pretty impressive to me. So I guess like I'm

834
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:18,920
with First of all, I'm not gonna play against Bayou

835
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:22,239
here because he's been really good and he won yesterday.

836
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:26,800
You know I want, I mean, I want to love

837
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:29,400
Dayton in the spot because I'm stubborn Rob and I

838
00:45:29,519 --> 00:45:31,440
loved him in the first meeting and it was a

839
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:34,800
client play for me then, and it's like, you know,

840
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:38,039
I want to like them in that regard. I just

841
00:45:38,119 --> 00:45:39,480
don't know if I could do it off the six

842
00:45:39,559 --> 00:45:41,440
game win streak, but you know what, we're gonna put

843
00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:45,079
it in for Bayou. He's in the parlay today. He

844
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:48,480
likes Dayton Flyers on the money line, and that's where

845
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:53,000
we're gonna go with that one, Adam. Yeah, we have

846
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,000
covered some of the early games, and we're gonna cover

847
00:45:56,079 --> 00:45:57,639
another one of the early games, and then we'll go

848
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,920
to Rob to get his parlay leg. But let's go

849
00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:06,719
the only Coastal. I literally thought it, Rob, I was

850
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,360
like thinking, Am I had I still almost said Colonial,

851
00:46:10,559 --> 00:46:13,320
But the Coastal is gonna start this afternoon one game,

852
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:16,840
two PM. The only sort of playing game in this league.

853
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:19,800
Believe it's the two worst teams. I think they take

854
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:22,760
everyone and so this is gonna be North Carolina A

855
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:27,320
and T and Northeastern playing in Washington, DC at two

856
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,639
pm Eastern today. Garth wants to talk total, So I'm

857
00:46:30,679 --> 00:46:33,599
gonna let you kick this one off. A and T Northeastern.

858
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,519
He likes the over What do you say about that?

859
00:46:37,519 --> 00:46:38,760
Speaker 3: Probably no reason not to.

860
00:46:39,679 --> 00:46:41,559
Speaker 2: That's what I'll say about that. They only played once.

861
00:46:42,039 --> 00:46:45,079
Coastal LI is like a lot of other conferences now

862
00:46:45,119 --> 00:46:48,119
where you don't get to play everybody in a rematch situation.

863
00:46:48,320 --> 00:46:51,119
So this game was played way back on New Year's Eve,

864
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:57,480
December thirty. First one was the total that they racked

865
00:46:57,559 --> 00:46:59,360
up in that game, eighty five to seventy four, win

866
00:46:59,519 --> 00:47:02,400
four North Eastern, one of the few wins that they

867
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:06,000
had this year. But it's the two worst defenses in

868
00:47:06,159 --> 00:47:11,159
this league. Both play with and A and T plays

869
00:47:11,199 --> 00:47:13,440
with a little more pace, but not much more pace.

870
00:47:13,559 --> 00:47:17,920
Northeastern we've talked about this season having some offensive capabilities

871
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:20,599
but zero defensive capabilities. I mean, when you start putting

872
00:47:20,639 --> 00:47:24,840
these two together in a game like this, you could

873
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:28,599
probably see a duplicate of what happened the first time

874
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:30,960
eighty five seventy four. If I just go back here

875
00:47:31,039 --> 00:47:34,480
real quick to my notes, both teams shot it really well,

876
00:47:34,559 --> 00:47:37,599
fifty six percent inside the arc for both sides. Both

877
00:47:37,639 --> 00:47:40,719
teams shot it pretty well from outside. Or excuse me,

878
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,400
it's A and T that didn't shoot it well from

879
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:46,679
outside the arc, but Northeastern did. They got to the

880
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:48,639
free thrown a little free throw line, a little bit,

881
00:47:48,679 --> 00:47:50,960
fifty nine free throws in that game. So everything you

882
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:56,079
would expect from a lack of a better term, roll

883
00:47:56,159 --> 00:47:59,559
the balls out type offensive game, that's what you're going

884
00:47:59,639 --> 00:48:02,280
to get here. You'll get the page, you'll get the opportunity,

885
00:48:02,360 --> 00:48:05,920
you'll get the written zero resistance on defense. I don't

886
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:07,880
know why you wouldn't play it over. Let me put

887
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:11,440
it this way, I certainly wouldn't play under. So again, Garth,

888
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:13,159
I would be with it. I took a serious look

889
00:48:13,199 --> 00:48:16,840
at this game, not quite sure why I didn't pull it.

890
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:20,639
There was a huge push down on the total from

891
00:48:21,119 --> 00:48:23,639
one fifty eight all the way down to one fifty two. Again,

892
00:48:23,679 --> 00:48:28,400
you're playing in an arena where the rims are somewhat strange,

893
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:31,159
so who knows how they come out shooting. I guess

894
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:33,360
that would be your counter to d you like over.

895
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:36,679
Maybe there's enough time left in a game if you

896
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:40,119
do come out slow shooting, to go ahead and get

897
00:48:40,159 --> 00:48:43,199
over this number. I just spoke earlier about a game

898
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:46,760
I had last night's Sacred Heart in Iona. Wasn't exactly

899
00:48:47,519 --> 00:48:49,880
a first half where they lit it up, but the

900
00:48:50,079 --> 00:48:53,320
second half once they got adjusted one hundred and eleven points.

901
00:48:53,599 --> 00:48:56,159
So something like that could happen here, Garth. I wouldn't

902
00:48:56,159 --> 00:48:59,360
play under, so I will support you're over here.

903
00:49:00,159 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 3: Again.

904
00:49:00,639 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 2: It's conference tournament time, where these pushes toward under are

905
00:49:05,159 --> 00:49:05,920
just commonplace.

906
00:49:06,079 --> 00:49:08,320
Speaker 3: It's what they do. They wake up. They've been under

907
00:49:08,639 --> 00:49:10,360
in all these games where there are going to be

908
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:11,159
some foreign rims.

909
00:49:13,599 --> 00:49:17,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, all I have to add here Northeastern has not

910
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:22,320
won a game since January fifteen. It's certainly but to

911
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:26,440
their I guess defense here going into this game, which

912
00:49:26,519 --> 00:49:29,000
is against another team that hasn't won many games at

913
00:49:29,039 --> 00:49:31,800
this year. They did win the regular season meeting, as

914
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:35,360
you said way back on New Year's Eve. You know,

915
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,679
Northeastern has been crippled by injuries this year. So I'm

916
00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:41,400
going off a hand, but I imagine they had a

917
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:44,039
player or two more than they have right now for

918
00:49:44,159 --> 00:49:46,800
that game. But you know they they really didn't look

919
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,480
bad against Monmouth earlier this week. I caught a good

920
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:52,159
amount of that game. You know, they put up eighty

921
00:49:52,199 --> 00:49:55,400
three points. Obviously, offense has been the main concern for

922
00:49:55,519 --> 00:49:59,199
this Northeastern team. They kind of played William and Mary tough.

923
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:01,079
This is this to me is kind of a true

924
00:50:01,159 --> 00:50:04,880
coin flip. But if Northeastern shows up, I really wouldn't

925
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,960
be that surprised if they won the game. Again, I

926
00:50:08,039 --> 00:50:09,840
think you're I think if you if you want to

927
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,880
bet that game, stick with Garth, play the total, or

928
00:50:13,039 --> 00:50:15,920
find something else to bet. All right, Rob, do you

929
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:17,320
know what you want to do with your with the

930
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:17,920
parlay Lake?

931
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 3: I do, all right, go ahead choices.

932
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 2: Once again, I say this every day comes down to

933
00:50:23,559 --> 00:50:26,800
a couple for the most part. But I'm gonna do

934
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:30,079
exactly what Garth is doing in his game, and I'm

935
00:50:30,159 --> 00:50:35,320
just gonna push back against a total move that I

936
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,840
think is just too much. At this point in time,

937
00:50:38,119 --> 00:50:42,480
Valpo plays Bradley, Valparizo plays Bradley. Tonight, Missouri Valley Conference

938
00:50:42,519 --> 00:50:44,800
still be the early game in the two game.

939
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:46,800
Speaker 3: Nightstand.

940
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,760
Speaker 2: That is the Missouri Valley Conference Arch Madness. Tonight, this

941
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:55,039
total opened and a half probably appropriate. It's been bett

942
00:50:55,119 --> 00:50:56,960
all the way down to one thirty three and a half,

943
00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:59,079
so you have an eight point move on a total

944
00:50:59,199 --> 00:51:02,360
against this particular number one thirty three and a half.

945
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:06,840
Bradley this year twenty eight and four to the over

946
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:09,760
one thirty three and a half, thirty two games played,

947
00:51:10,360 --> 00:51:13,079
twenty eight times Bradley games got over one thirty three

948
00:51:13,119 --> 00:51:15,159
and a half, including the two times they played Valpo.

949
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 3: Both went over. And they're not way back past history.

950
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,679
Speaker 2: I mean they played as recently as November third, and

951
00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:29,519
then they played February excuse me, February third and February eighteenth,

952
00:51:29,679 --> 00:51:33,559
so two games last month. Bradley's just been that team

953
00:51:33,639 --> 00:51:38,039
this year. They can score enough. Valparizo down the stretch

954
00:51:38,159 --> 00:51:41,960
was playing at an overclip where I cashed a couple

955
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:47,199
where they get underpriced. And last night again last night,

956
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:52,880
Valpo plays a grinder against Indiana State where Valparizo shot

957
00:51:53,119 --> 00:51:58,039
absolutely miserably in that game Valparizo thirty eight percent from two,

958
00:51:58,639 --> 00:52:01,159
Valparizo thirty.

959
00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:02,119
Speaker 3: Four percent from three.

960
00:52:03,159 --> 00:52:06,039
Speaker 2: The whole field goal percentage was beneath what they generally

961
00:52:06,119 --> 00:52:09,199
put up there and they got caught in a low

962
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,760
scoring game. But I don't know that even then, Adam,

963
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:14,719
that game went one twenty five. We're asking for one

964
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:17,280
thirty four here. It's not that much more than that,

965
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:20,199
and it's not that many more shot makes against the

966
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,880
brad Nothing Indiana State it's a really good defense because

967
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:25,159
they're not. But Bradley's not a good defense either at

968
00:52:25,159 --> 00:52:28,840
this point in time, far more offensive minded than Indiana State.

969
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:33,239
So for me, I just this falls into the category

970
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:39,280
of playing the number, gonna fight back against the resistance here,

971
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:41,559
because I think this is just I've said it twice

972
00:52:41,639 --> 00:52:45,360
in this show. It's a general thing that betters do

973
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:48,639
come conference tournament time. Not that betting unders is wrong

974
00:52:49,199 --> 00:52:51,599
in conference tournament time, it plays out a lot that way,

975
00:52:51,639 --> 00:52:53,880
But every so often you'll run into an instance like

976
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:58,679
this where one side, the Bradley side, is so strong

977
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:01,280
against one thirty three and a half twenty eight and

978
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:03,920
four is outrageously good seven out of it eight every

979
00:53:03,960 --> 00:53:06,039
eight times you're gonna win this bet if you play

980
00:53:06,079 --> 00:53:07,360
Bradley full game over.

981
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:08,800
Speaker 3: I'm gonna play it today.

982
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 2: It'll be my parlay leg Bradley Valpariso or Valparizo, Bradley,

983
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:17,840
I guess because Valpariso's on top in the rotation eight

984
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:20,559
fifty three, eight fifty four. That game over one thirty

985
00:53:20,639 --> 00:53:23,719
three and a half, and it's it's readily available.

986
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 3: Guys. You can find that just about everywhere at this

987
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:26,119
point in.

988
00:53:26,159 --> 00:53:32,159
Speaker 1: Time, all right, I I mean, I'll just throw it

989
00:53:32,199 --> 00:53:34,960
out that I do. I do side lean I suppose

990
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:36,920
would be Bradley. I don't know if I'll have anything

991
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:39,480
in that game, but we've only got about five minutes left,

992
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:42,440
so I'm just gonna move on to what I'll use

993
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:45,199
for the parlay. And I already know your opinion on

994
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:46,960
this team, Rob, I know you're gonna agree with it,

995
00:53:47,119 --> 00:53:49,159
because you've talked about liking this team. I'm gonna use

996
00:53:49,199 --> 00:53:52,679
Austin p I'm gonna lay the points. If you could

997
00:53:52,760 --> 00:53:55,639
check the odds screen there, I think if can I say,

998
00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:57,960
is it okay? If I say eleven minus one twenty

999
00:53:58,119 --> 00:53:59,760
because it has moved since you got on air a

1000
00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:03,000
little bit. I wanted eleven or better? Is it eleven

1001
00:54:03,039 --> 00:54:05,559
and a half most places now? Because if it is,

1002
00:54:05,599 --> 00:54:07,280
I'll just say eleven minus one twenty.

1003
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:13,199
Speaker 3: I'm showing, Yeah, I'm showing eleven and a half. You

1004
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:17,320
know what, there's a couple of this is a weird game, madam.

1005
00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:19,800
Speaker 2: There's a couple of ten and a half's yeah, and

1006
00:54:20,599 --> 00:54:23,840
commonplace books, and then there's a straight twelve. But most

1007
00:54:23,880 --> 00:54:26,480
of it's eleven and a half minus ten cents, So.

1008
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:28,920
Speaker 1: We'll go eleven minus one twenty. That's no problem. I

1009
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:31,320
always try to give the benefit of the doubt for

1010
00:54:31,440 --> 00:54:34,679
the parlay because again, it's gonna come out plus money anyway,

1011
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:38,760
and as always shop it around. I got to see

1012
00:54:38,760 --> 00:54:43,400
Stetson play last week. They played against a very uninterested

1013
00:54:43,679 --> 00:54:46,199
Florida Golf Coast Coast team. In the game I was

1014
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:49,679
at blew them out, and I did not. I was

1015
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:53,440
not particularly impressed with them, despite the fact that they

1016
00:54:53,639 --> 00:54:56,000
blew Florida Golf Coast out in that game, because I

1017
00:54:56,079 --> 00:55:00,440
just felt like FGCU. I had seen fgcu's game day

1018
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,920
before and felt like they kind of looked uninterested in

1019
00:55:03,039 --> 00:55:05,960
that game. So what was very surprising to me, Rob

1020
00:55:06,559 --> 00:55:11,360
was that Stetson came out on Wednesday and just destroyed

1021
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:15,639
Eastern Kentucky, dropped ninety two points on Eastern Kentucky. I

1022
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:18,440
I would I didn't play it. I didn't have any

1023
00:55:18,519 --> 00:55:20,159
action in that game, but I gotta be honest, that

1024
00:55:20,599 --> 00:55:23,880
was a surprising result. Probably one of the more surprising

1025
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:27,599
results to me of that whole day of games was

1026
00:55:27,679 --> 00:55:31,320
that Stetson just came out, dropped ninety and absolutely blitzed

1027
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:33,280
a team that I thought was a lot better than them.

1028
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:36,719
Now this would be a say that I thought Eastern

1029
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:40,239
Kentucky was better than Stetson. I know that Austin p

1030
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,440
is better than Stetson, and maybe from our discussion the

1031
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,199
other day, maybe better than all of these teams.

1032
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 2: Rob.

1033
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:47,960
Speaker 1: I think they're the team to beat in this league,

1034
00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:50,480
even with as good as Central Arkansas has been. And

1035
00:55:50,639 --> 00:55:54,119
what Stetson's gonna do is try to play zone. It

1036
00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:57,599
really is their only answer. Stetson's defense is not very good,

1037
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:02,199
and I just like, you can't. You can't just sit

1038
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:06,199
in a zone and expect to stay close with this

1039
00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:11,320
Austin pet They can shoot. They move the ball, top

1040
00:56:11,440 --> 00:56:17,400
fifty three point shooting team all season, top fifty. You know,

1041
00:56:17,639 --> 00:56:21,320
they assist that their assist turnover ratio is thirty fifth.

1042
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:24,400
They move the ball, they don't turn it over. They're

1043
00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:27,239
the exact type of offense that you want against a

1044
00:56:27,440 --> 00:56:31,440
bad zone, which is essentially what Stetson has. If they

1045
00:56:31,480 --> 00:56:33,320
get out of that zone, it's not going to get

1046
00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:37,519
any easier because they're just like Austin P, in my opinion,

1047
00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:42,519
is just much much better like across the board. And

1048
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:44,840
so for me, like, yeah, you have a scenario where

1049
00:56:45,039 --> 00:56:48,840
on Wednesday, Rob they were able to bomb Eastern Kentucky,

1050
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:51,440
who's been a mess pretty much all season for ninety two.

1051
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:54,239
I just don't know that you do that here. And

1052
00:56:54,320 --> 00:56:57,400
even if they do, even if they are scoring, like

1053
00:56:57,760 --> 00:57:01,360
I don't know that they hold Austin P under mid eighties,

1054
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:03,800
you know they might hit ninety in this game, So

1055
00:57:04,199 --> 00:57:06,519
I know you always say the math works out right, Like,

1056
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:12,320
I don't see how Austin P doesn't put up eighty

1057
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:15,360
five plus in this game, eighty plus eighty five plus,

1058
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:17,599
and if they do, it's just really hard to believe

1059
00:57:17,679 --> 00:57:22,320
Stetson is within ten with just how many good looks

1060
00:57:22,719 --> 00:57:25,280
that Austin P is likely to generate against this zone.

1061
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:27,920
So my number was kind of right on this. I

1062
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:30,159
did not play this yet for clients. I don't know

1063
00:57:30,239 --> 00:57:32,840
if I will, but for our parlay, Austin P minus

1064
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:35,679
eleven like this just feels like a mismatch to me,

1065
00:57:36,199 --> 00:57:40,519
and I think it's going to be a blowout. What

1066
00:57:40,719 --> 00:57:42,119
do you have it? What would you what would your

1067
00:57:42,159 --> 00:57:43,440
look be on the total in that game?

1068
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:46,519
Speaker 2: Well, I think you hit on it when you said

1069
00:57:46,599 --> 00:57:49,159
Austin P should get to like eighty five. I would

1070
00:57:49,199 --> 00:57:52,159
look their team total over I don't believe in Stetson's defense,

1071
00:57:52,199 --> 00:57:54,239
and I'm gonna just go back to where you started

1072
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:56,480
that really quick here because we're under the gun time wise.

1073
00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 3: But I was shocked.

1074
00:57:58,159 --> 00:58:00,760
Speaker 2: I mean, money came in on Eku that day. Money

1075
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:03,079
came in pretty strong on Eku. In the first score

1076
00:58:03,119 --> 00:58:06,159
I saw, Stetson was out of the gates as if

1077
00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:09,199
West Eastern Kentucky didn't know the game started, and they

1078
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:13,039
never let up. So, you know, I use that phrase

1079
00:58:14,039 --> 00:58:17,079
if somebody's got to pay. That's not necessarily the case here.

1080
00:58:17,159 --> 00:58:20,079
But I think that the idea behind this would be

1081
00:58:20,159 --> 00:58:23,000
Stetson probably had a freakish performance that was more.

1082
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 3: Of a mirage than reality.

1083
00:58:24,800 --> 00:58:27,239
Speaker 2: And even if they do score, Austin P is gonna

1084
00:58:27,239 --> 00:58:28,719
score more than they are, So I would have an

1085
00:58:28,719 --> 00:58:30,679
Austin P team total look up and over.

1086
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:35,960
Speaker 1: All, right, Yeah, I mean Austin Listen, if you're gonna

1087
00:58:36,039 --> 00:58:39,320
lay double digits with a team, usually you probably like

1088
00:58:39,400 --> 00:58:42,239
their team total over as well. I think I'm good

1089
00:58:42,239 --> 00:58:44,000
with either of those. I'm gonna lay the eleven in

1090
00:58:44,079 --> 00:58:47,000
the parlay, but but I think you could see unlimited

1091
00:58:47,039 --> 00:58:51,199
scoring from the Governors today, Rob, so I could get

1092
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,639
down with a team total over as well. What we're

1093
00:58:54,679 --> 00:58:57,719
gonna do with the parlay three teamer we're locked in.

1094
00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:02,960
We're going Austin p minus eleven minus won twenty juice

1095
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:06,000
attached to that one by you is gonna go Dayton

1096
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:09,719
money line minus one thirty and then we've got Rob

1097
00:59:09,800 --> 00:59:14,559
Bino Bradley Balpo full game over one thirty three and

1098
00:59:14,559 --> 00:59:17,840
a half. That is your three teamer for today. That

1099
00:59:18,039 --> 00:59:21,519
is your show. Hopefully the uh I'm in heaven here Rob,

1100
00:59:21,639 --> 00:59:24,800
with all the lights that basically glowing. Hopefully that wasn't

1101
00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:27,920
too distracting and we worked around a little technical difficulty.

1102
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,599
But again Rob and I will be back tomorrow morning

1103
00:59:31,639 --> 00:59:36,199
with Kelly and Vegas. Eleven fifteen am, eleven AM. Come

1104
00:59:36,239 --> 00:59:38,159
for you know, you gotta come for Gianni. He's gonna

1105
00:59:38,199 --> 00:59:41,440
rattle off probably like ten to fifteen sharp angles. So

1106
00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:43,400
you're gonna want to be in the building for that,

1107
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:46,039
and then Rob and I'll come on and talk games

1108
00:59:46,079 --> 00:59:48,599
for the rest of the hour on wager Talk Last Call,

1109
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:52,159
and per my text here, I believe we're doing it

1110
00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:54,840
on Sunday this week too, so no days off for

1111
00:59:54,920 --> 00:59:58,119
this duo. I believe we're doing Last Call on Sunday

1112
00:59:58,199 --> 01:00:00,840
as well. Thanks for tuning in, guys. We very much

1113
01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:05,960
appreciate you tuning in, commenting like subscribe, checking out the

1114
01:00:06,000 --> 01:00:08,400
plays that we have posted at wager Talk, and we

1115
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:10,000
will see you guys in the morning.

