Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to Week fourteen of the NFL. This is
your NFL presidential address, and I am Lawrence President. I'm
excited to be here. We got a lot of NFL
games to go through. What do you get on this show?
You get bets on every single NFL game and a
pass here or there, which I consider to be a
bet because hey, if you don't lose money, you kept
it and you can bet it on another game. Let's
start right off the bat with a pass. Dallas playing
in Detroit. This is a Thursday night game and I'm
not passing on this game. I'm actually betting large on
this game. I have a five percent play on this game.
Five percent plays are the biggest plays we give out
at wager Talk. So guys, my apologies. I can't break
this game down. However, I do have a promo code
for you. Yes, I do half price. If you want
that play, just head over to wagertalk dot com and
use the promo code half price. Okay, enough with all
of that, Let's get to some picks. Washington in Minnesota,
and this is well, who wants to win the game?
Kind of a game? Why are we overthinking this? I
bet Minnesota under fourteen and a half points team total
last week against Seattle. They still have yet to score.
I think they're going to struggle to score here as well.
We actually saw Washington's defense step up and play well
last game, and Minnesota's defense is excellent. Forty two on tap.
Where are these points coming from? This is one of
my favorite totals of the week. Don't overthink it. Just
bet the under. Miami playing New York the Jets plus
two and a half and a team that looks like
they want to win. Why, Well, because like all horrible franchises,
they don't get it. But that's okay. It's not like
they need a quarterback in the future. Maybe they should
win the next four games and really screw up their
draft pick. Miami. Well, same old thing. Let's go nine
and seven or eight and eight or whatever equals to seventeen.
Eight and eight and nine and seven do not equal seventeen.
But you get my point. Two horrible franchises who don't
understand the importance of losing when you can't make the playoffs.
So who's gonna win this game? Who's gonna cover? Well,
I'm going to look to take under the total of
forty and a half. Yes I am. I'm not gonna
lay points on a Miami team in beautiful warm weather
heading north playing in the frigid tundra. And I'm definitely
not gonna bet on the New York Jets. I was
on the New York Jets under in our last game.
It was seven to nothing with two minutes to go
in the first half, and everything went wrong. The game
went over. Well, I'm going to go back to the
under here. I think we're gonna see shitty weather. I
don't think the New York Jets are going to put
up a ton, and same with Miami. The total forty
and a half. Let's go under. Tennessee going into Cleveland
Cleveland minus four, a total here of thirty four and
a half. This game is an outright pass, guys. The
problem with getting late in the season is, all of
a sudden, a lot of teams are playing meaningless games.
We were able to find a bet in the meaningless
Washington Minnesota game. We were able to find a bet
in the meaningless Miami New York Jets game. I got
nothing for you on this Tennessee Cleveland game. Pittsburgh going
into Baltimore and I like Baltimore here minus the sixth.
There are five and a halfs out there, and yes,
kudos to Pittsburgh were picking up Adam thieland today how
much do I care? Zero amount? This Pittsburgh Steeler team
is terrible. I took Butalo as my ats bet last
week against Pittsburgh. I'm gonna do the same with Baltimore.
This game is in Baltimore, and I don't think this
game is gonna be close. Now. I understand that Baltimore
is not the team that we thought they were, but
this Pittsburgh Steelers team is on a free fall. Their
defense is good, not great, Their offense is bad not terrible.
That's pretty much how I break them down. As for Baltimore,
I think their defense is getting better as the year progresses,
and I think their offense is finding its way. We
know Baltimore is gonna get points in this game. I
don't think Pittsburgh's gonna get a whole lot. I would
look to take the Pittsburgh Steelers team total under I
think it's gonna be around seventeen and a half, and
I think Baltimore wins this game going away. I also
think they win the division, so take a look at
that as well. Let's take the Baltimore Ravens minus five
and a half. As for Seattle playing Atlanta, I'm gonna
look at Atlanta here, plus seven and a half. Home dog,
horrible team. Their coach is likely going to get fired.
They can't find any offensive rhythm, and their defensive mediocre. However,
this is not a good spot for Seattle. They got
the Rams coming up. They're hungry. This is one of
those look ahead spots. It's on the road. I know
Seattle is a road warrior team. It's just simply too
many points. And not only that, but Atlanta's running an
extremely conservative offense, which, although doesn't necessarily result in thirty
one points a game, it does result in thirty one
minutes of possession a game. This is an Atlanta team
that is running the ball, is slowing the clock down,
and is trying to play small ball. So with that said,
take the plus seven and a half. Now let's talk
about the Jacksonville Indianapolis game. And this line freaks me out.
I have absolutely no idea why the Indianapolis Colts are
avered here. You want to talk about disrespect, this is
like calling the present that is the type of disrespect
Jacksonville is getting right now. This team has won three
games in a row. They held Tennessee to three points
and the Chargers to six. They're scoring over twenty points
in every game they played. They've won four of their
last five. Indianapolis they've lost two in a row. They've
lost three of their last four, and they have a
quarterback with a broken leg. Why is the home team
a dog here? I don't understand it at all. One
of my favorite bets of the week, A circa bet
for sure, likely a client play Jacksonville Jaguars plus the
one and a half or two against the Indianapolis Colts.
Let's move our attention to Chicago and green Bay. I
like the dog hare guys. Now. I don't like them
a ton because I think Chicago is getting it done
with smoking mirrors. But the bottom line is whoever they
put in front of them is getting it done. And
green Bay, this team's already lost to Carolina at home
and Cleveland on the road. I don't think this green
Bay team is very impressive. The green Bay Detroit game
came down to fourth downs. Green Bay converted two, Detroit
miss two. Green Bay last won the game. I think
Green Bay might win this game against Chicago, but man,
given the weather and given Chicago's run offense, where did
this come from? I mean, they might have the best
runoffense in the league right now. They're going to run
the ball. They're gonna slow this game to a bloody
croll forty four and a half. I'd like to take
the under, but I'm not going to. Instead, we're just
going to focus our tension on the dog. Can Chicago
win this game out right? Sure, they're beating everybody they play. Plus,
we've already seen Green Bay lose. I think green Bay
gets it done, but I think this game is within three.
Take Chicago plus the six and a half. New Orleans
plus eight and a half playing Tampa Bay. The problem
here is there's too many injuries in Tampa Bay. I'm
gonna bottom line this game. New Orleans is one and
eleven this year. In the first quarter, that's what we're
gonna bet. We're gonna bet Tampa Bay in the first quarter.
That's it. We're gonna move on Denver minus seven and
a half playing Vegas. This Las Vegas team is so bad.
I can't even wrap my head around it. I look
at this and I say, Okay, we got a total
of forty and a half. Las Vegas Raiders are not
putting up fourteen points in this game. Take Las Vegas
Raiders team total under. As for the side, Man, I
don't know. This Denver team keeps winning, but they don't
win by margin. They're barely lucky. It'll win these damn games.
I guess I'd have to take the dog. I don't
want to, Ah, screw that. We're just gonna take the
Las Vegas Raiders team total under Rams playing in Arizona
minus eight of the Rams against this Arizona team. Man,
this is a guys. Obviously we all like the Rams.
Obviously we think they're a Super Bowl contending team. Clearly
Matt Stafford is the best player on the field. Clearly
they have a better defense than Arizona. Of course, they
have a better offense than Arizona. But minus eight in
a division game on the road is simply too many points.
I'm gonna look to bet under the total of forty
eight in this game. That's where I'm going. I don't
think Arizona puts up a ton I know the Rams
were shredded by Carolina. I'm giving them a mulligan. That
Rams d is a top three unit in all of football.
They're allowed to have a bad game. They did have
a bad game. They got that bad game out of
the way. This Arizona team is horrible. Forty eight is
way too high. If the Rams put up thirty, Arizona
has to put up eighteen. We're gonna take the under.
Now we turn our attention to Cincinnati, led by Joe Burrow,
coming off of a win, feeling good about themselves, heading
into Buffalo, playing a Buffalo team that played their first
almost perfect game last Sunday. And why do I say
almost They had too many turnovers. They still won that
game handly. Pittsburgh was not able to move the ball
on that Buffalo team, and Buffalo drove the ball on
every single drive. This was the Buffalo team we were
expecting to see, and I think we see them again
this week. With that said, minus five and a half
might be a little much. I do like Buffalo minus
minus five and a half, but I'm also looking at
the over fifty two fifty three. I know bad weather,
I get it, but man, this Cincinnati defense is gone. Well,
I got to believe, Butflo's gonna get into the thirties,
and we know Joe Burrow can keep up. My Leen
is on Buffalo, my Leen is on the over. Now
we turn our attention to Houston, who feels the same
way as Jacksonville right now as they head into Kansas City,
do they feel the same way? Why are they plus
three and a half? Guys? This is a Houston team
that all they're doing is winning games. Their defense is
the best defense in the league. This Kansas City team
has been in must win mode for weeks now and
they can't win. So we've already established that they aren't
winning and must win mode. Why should we assume all
of a sudden that this Kansas City team is gonna
win this game and cover three and a half. Well,
we're not gonna assume that. I want to tell you first,
I like the under in this game forty two. Anytime
Houston is playing, I'm looking to play the under. And
we know this Kansas City defense can shut teams down.
I'm telling you now, I would not be surprised if
this game is lower scoring than the Cleveland, Tennessee game,
which only is thirty three as their total. That's right,
I can see this game being like a seventeen thirteen, sixteen,
fourteen times. I really like the under here and I
like Houston at plus three and a half. As far
as Philadelphia playing the Chargers, I'm taking the home dog.
I know my producer Dan is upset about that. I
know he's a Philadelphia Eagles fan. I get it. I
was on Philadelphia and Thanksgiving. Something is wrong in Philly.
They just can't seem to move the ball. Now, it's
hard to blame it all on Jalen, but I'm blaming
it all on Jalen anyway. He is not a quarterback.
Now that's tough to say, given that he is a
Super Bowl winning quarterback. But just for the record, so
is Trent Dilfer, So is Jeff Hostedler, so is Dougie Williams.
There are many shitty Super Bowl quarterbacks, and Jalen Hurts
happens to be another one of those. This guy I
can't over I mean, honestly, if you had a nine
foot wide receiver standing on a ladder, he would figure
out a way to overthrow the guy. If you had
a little person buried in a hole, he'd figure out
a way to underthrow that guy. Jalen Hurts is the
reason Philadelphia is as bad as they are right now.
And this Chargers team, this is a good, good team.
This team can run with anybody's throw, with anybody. They
played defense, they got a great coach. I'm getting three
points at home. I'm taking them, take the Chargers. That's it, guys,
real quick. I forgot to ask, please hit the thumbs
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thanks for tuning into the NFL presidential address. You're number twenty.
We will see you all next week.