1
00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:03,359
Speaker 1: I don't do very many financial based videos on this channel,

2
00:00:03,359 --> 00:00:06,360
but I came across a study by JP Morgan that

3
00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:09,640
I just thought I had to share with you. And

4
00:00:09,679 --> 00:00:14,519
it's all about the differences about retirement spending. About things

5
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,679
we've heard for years and years and years and years

6
00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,519
that might actually be wrong, or at least according to

7
00:00:20,559 --> 00:00:24,800
this latest study. Now you've probably all heard the advice

8
00:00:24,879 --> 00:00:29,280
plan for seventy to eighty percent of your pre retirement income,

9
00:00:29,559 --> 00:00:32,359
you need at least a million dollars budget carefully keep

10
00:00:32,399 --> 00:00:38,079
spending steady. Well, this madeor study by JP Morgan Asset

11
00:00:38,359 --> 00:00:42,079
Management says otherwise. I will post the link to it

12
00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,479
in the comments so you can take a peek for yourself.

13
00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,920
But in fact, they found three big surprises in how

14
00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:53,719
real people actually spend their money in retirement. So today

15
00:00:53,799 --> 00:00:57,200
I'm going to walk you through them. They're clear, simple,

16
00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,719
and a few tips along the way to help you

17
00:00:59,759 --> 00:01:03,039
to prepare. So if you're new to my channel, my

18
00:01:03,119 --> 00:01:07,079
name is Marian Debernski and this is Life Starts at Retirement.

19
00:01:07,439 --> 00:01:11,840
My typical videos are about retirement lifestyle and how to

20
00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,200
make your retirement remarkable, but this is a little bit

21
00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,319
more on the financial advice, and it was really too

22
00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:23,319
good not to share, So let's dive in. Most people

23
00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:29,680
assume that retirement spending stays about the same every year,

24
00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:34,680
but increases with inflation. In fact, I've watched so many videos,

25
00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:39,280
video after video after video where the financial planner simply

26
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:44,920
increases your financial plan by the rate of expected inflation

27
00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:50,079
until you die. But the data from this study from

28
00:01:50,159 --> 00:01:54,239
JP Morgan tells a very different story, and that it's

29
00:01:54,319 --> 00:01:58,480
actually a curve that happens. So it starts high in

30
00:01:58,519 --> 00:02:01,120
the early years, when you're acting, of when you're traveling,

31
00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,319
when you're checking things off your bucket list, and then

32
00:02:04,319 --> 00:02:08,800
it gradually declines through your seventies and eighties as life

33
00:02:09,199 --> 00:02:13,680
slows down. But of course it's not always the same

34
00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,919
for everyone. There's twists and turns in each person's One

35
00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,080
the biggest twist that we always think about is the

36
00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:27,439
healthcare challenges or healthcare spending as you age. So although

37
00:02:27,479 --> 00:02:33,439
your total spending might drop as you age, specific categories,

38
00:02:33,879 --> 00:02:38,120
especially healthcare, can rise. So this just means that your

39
00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:40,680
retirement plans just to be needs to be more than

40
00:02:40,719 --> 00:02:44,400
just a flatline budget. It needs a little bit more

41
00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:48,319
of that flexibility. Now I have a video about your

42
00:02:48,439 --> 00:02:51,719
go Go, Slow Go and no Go years that really

43
00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,000
explains this a little bit better. I'll link that in

44
00:02:55,280 --> 00:03:02,000
the comments. So the surprise number two about from this

45
00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:08,120
JP Morgan study was that retirement isn't necessarily all or nothing.

46
00:03:08,199 --> 00:03:10,879
And this is fairly recent. I'm going to say, within

47
00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:16,639
the last ten to maybe twenty years, that people when

48
00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:20,879
they retire don't necessarily now work for the same company

49
00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,680
for forty forty five years and then hoof, one day,

50
00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:28,599
they're gone. This study found that over half half of

51
00:03:28,759 --> 00:03:32,800
US households are what they call partially retired, so that

52
00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,479
means they've left their full time work behind. They still

53
00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:40,240
earn some income, maybe part time income, consulting, side hustles

54
00:03:39,879 --> 00:03:43,000
and something, so they're still having a part time income. Now,

55
00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,599
this is where I am. I left corporate Canada in

56
00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,439
two thousand and seven. I went out on my own

57
00:03:48,439 --> 00:03:51,479
as a mortgage broker. Worked really really hard, worked full

58
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,039
time for years and years, but I was out on

59
00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:59,000
my own. Today, I still do private lending. I don't

60
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,080
do much where would I still do private lending. I

61
00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,879
have a group of individuals that I work with. I

62
00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,039
have this YouTube channel and I speak on cruise ships

63
00:04:08,039 --> 00:04:11,840
as a destination or a cultural insights speaker. So I'm

64
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,960
one of those half, although I'm in Canada, but I'm

65
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:18,160
one of those households that still earns income from a

66
00:04:18,199 --> 00:04:22,920
part time income source. But here's the kicker. These households

67
00:04:23,079 --> 00:04:29,360
just like mine tend to spend more, especially for some reason,

68
00:04:29,439 --> 00:04:31,839
especially if they earn under one hundred and fifty thousand

69
00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:35,040
dollars a year. Now, why would that be? Why would

70
00:04:35,079 --> 00:04:37,319
these households tend to spend more? And I think it's

71
00:04:37,319 --> 00:04:44,319
simply because this extra income gives us permission to enjoy

72
00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:47,079
life a little bit more. We have more dinners out,

73
00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,600
we travel more, we have hobbies, we spend more I

74
00:04:49,639 --> 00:04:53,759
do on my grandkids. So instead of spending less in retirement,

75
00:04:53,759 --> 00:04:57,439
the people that are doing working part time actually spend more,

76
00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:00,720
at least in the beginning. But then, for reason the

77
00:05:00,879 --> 00:05:03,920
hire income households those earning one hundred and fifty thousand

78
00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:08,040
dollars or more don't show the same bump. Their spending

79
00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:11,560
stays flatter. And just I guess I'm going to say,

80
00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,199
if you're earning over one hundred and fifty thousand dollars more,

81
00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,360
it's more than just a part time gig. And if

82
00:05:18,399 --> 00:05:19,920
it's not, please let me know how you do that.

83
00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,920
But anyhow, but so what does this mean for you? Well,

84
00:05:23,879 --> 00:05:28,519
if your reply, if you are planning on retiring gradually

85
00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,360
or to retire on some part time income, just be

86
00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:36,000
prepared for that little spending spike, build it into your

87
00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:40,879
plan and just be aware of it. And here's the

88
00:05:40,879 --> 00:05:45,480
big one that they say is a shock. Now, I

89
00:05:45,519 --> 00:05:49,839
think this is typical, but they say spending is not consistence,

90
00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:55,160
it's volatile. In the years before and after retirement, over

91
00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:59,519
sixty percent of households experience of swing of over twenty

92
00:05:59,639 --> 00:06:04,480
percent more up or down compared to their previous spending.

93
00:06:04,519 --> 00:06:07,279
So think about it. In our twenties to twenty to

94
00:06:07,439 --> 00:06:10,800
about forty ish, we're spending a fair amount of money.

95
00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:12,879
We're just getting out on our own. We've got a

96
00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,560
new job, we have to get a new car. Oftentimes,

97
00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,279
then we meet someone, maybe get married, have children, buy

98
00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:20,959
our first home. There is a fair amount of spending

99
00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:26,600
in those early years. Forty late forties even to fifties

100
00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:31,040
were for me anyhow, that was probably my highest of

101
00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:36,879
my working spending years. We bought new vehicles, we traveled

102
00:06:36,879 --> 00:06:39,959
a lot, we upgraded our home, so there was a

103
00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:44,839
lot of bigger purchases for us. And then into retirement

104
00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,920
for us just simply because we travel so much, again

105
00:06:47,959 --> 00:06:52,800
we have a bump in spending, but it's different. And

106
00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:56,439
again because I work part time, that spending is still volatile.

107
00:06:56,519 --> 00:06:58,680
One month we'll spend a ton and then one month

108
00:06:58,959 --> 00:07:01,720
we're back at home, we're at the trailer doing not

109
00:07:01,959 --> 00:07:05,480
as much. So it's so volatile. It's up and it's down.

110
00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:10,000
And then finally, even people in their late seventies or eighties,

111
00:07:10,439 --> 00:07:13,720
they still seem to see a major shift in how

112
00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,120
much they spend year to year. Now, that could be

113
00:07:16,839 --> 00:07:19,959
maybe a big medical bill, in particular for anyone that's

114
00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:22,879
in the US. Canada we have free it's not free,

115
00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:27,000
but free healthcare, so we don't have that same spending worry.

116
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,120
It could have been a home report repair, it could

117
00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:33,519
have been a wedding, sadly a funeral, or just maybe

118
00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:36,079
it's a once in a lifetime trip. So the point is,

119
00:07:37,199 --> 00:07:40,920
retirement spending is not as predictable as we've been led

120
00:07:40,959 --> 00:07:43,040
to believe. We've been led to believe here it is,

121
00:07:43,079 --> 00:07:45,959
there's inflation and a way you go, so your plan

122
00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:50,560
needs to be able to handle the bumps. Now, how

123
00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,759
do you use this information to your advantage? Well, first

124
00:07:53,759 --> 00:07:58,199
of all, ditch the flat spending estimate. Plan in phases

125
00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:02,480
early retirement, retirement, and later years. Again, they're called your

126
00:08:02,519 --> 00:08:06,000
go go years, your slowgo years, and your no go years.

127
00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:11,519
And as based on your lifestyle and your health, expect volatility.

128
00:08:11,759 --> 00:08:14,920
You know, build in a buffer in your retirement plan,

129
00:08:14,959 --> 00:08:18,160
whether it's an emergency fund or maybe a few more

130
00:08:18,199 --> 00:08:21,639
liquid investments. Make sure you can handle surprises in any

131
00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:26,079
of these years. And number three, don't underestimate the cost

132
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:29,720
of freedom. If you're planning a fun and active retirement,

133
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:34,840
especially early on, be honest with yourself about the cost.

134
00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:39,159
Now having said that, you've earned it, enjoy it. Don't

135
00:08:39,159 --> 00:08:43,799
feel guilty one little bit, just plan for it. So,

136
00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,960
just as a bit of a recap retirement, spending is curved,

137
00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,840
not flat, it's higher in partial retirement. If you're working,

138
00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:54,240
especially if you're working part time, you can give yourself

139
00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,200
permission to spend a little bit more and it's volatile.

140
00:08:57,279 --> 00:09:01,320
Big swings are normal even late in life. So this

141
00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:06,360
study challenges the traditional retirement advice and honestly, I think

142
00:09:06,399 --> 00:09:10,799
that's a good thing, because retirement isn't about hitting just

143
00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:15,799
one magic number. It's about living fully. It's about living

144
00:09:15,799 --> 00:09:18,840
with confidence, finding out who you are, knowing that your

145
00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,960
plan fits your real life. So let me just ask

146
00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,519
you this. Are you planning for a flat retirement or

147
00:09:25,519 --> 00:09:28,639
a flexible one? Have you accounted for the curve, the spikes,

148
00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:33,480
the surprises. If not, now's the perfect time to revisit

149
00:09:33,519 --> 00:09:37,279
your plan, your budget, and your priorities. So drop me,

150
00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,759
come it. Let me know how your retirement is, if

151
00:09:39,759 --> 00:09:42,799
any of these three surprises caught you off guard, or

152
00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:46,200
which one have you already experienced? And if you found

153
00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,080
this video helpful, don't forget to hit that like button.

154
00:09:49,159 --> 00:09:54,399
Subscribe for more real talk about retirement now, Oh, make

155
00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:59,080
your retirement remarkable. I'm Morey Dbranski. This is life starts

156
00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:12,039
at retirement. I'll see you next week.

