Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start the show by
being transparent. Yesterday was a nice bounce back day, almost
a sweet It's sad that the one loser was the
five dollars Tuesday play that just sucks, but overall was
a good day. I went eight in one. The loser
was the first half under in Houston and Minnesota. Other
than that, Heat minus three and a half was good,
The Heat game over was good, The Utah game over
was good. I made that bad after a marketing was
ruled out. Lebron over twelve and a half rebounds and
assists was good. Really over seven and a half points good,
Buddy over eight and a half points. I think that
was the best bet for this show. That was good.
Brook Lopez under two and a half rebounds I did
get there with that was good. And Champenny over five
a rebounds look good. So eight in one day. That
is a bounce back that I was looking for there, Rober,
you know, good with you? How you doing here today?
Speaker 2: Eight and one?
Speaker 3: I thought I was doing good at six and two yesterday,
but eight and one is exceptional.
Speaker 2: Good work out of you? I had two and zero
in the NBA.
Speaker 3: We did drop the Bulls team total over as the
best bet yesterday here on the show that got there
rather easily. They got back to you know, walkers and
tennis balls like I thought they might for that one game.
Speaker 2: The Clippers did, and the Bulls were never in doubt.
Speaker 3: We came back with that King's heat game full game over.
You know, we both discussed it pretty thoroughly, made a
lot of sense. College hoop was a really good day
as well for and two. I won't listen to them
all because we want to get to this show here,
but yeah, college basketball continues to be on a really
really good role here SKI since the first December.
Speaker 2: So happy with the.
Speaker 3: Way with the way things went yesterday.
Speaker 1: All right, let's see if we can find somewhere of
that money on the slate for today. I think we
have about seven games again, so we'll start at the top.
Calves and Hornets. This went opened up minus. I don't
know about this opening I'm seeing right here, because I'm
pretty sure I saw two and a half, but it
looks like it looks like three and a half now
total open two thirty six looks like two thirty seven
and a half injury report. There will be no Garland.
There will be no sam Merriw for the Cavaliers tonight.
No Mats Strews either for the Hornets. Salowan probable man questionable.
Fumbley and kJ Simpson are both out. This is a
Hornets team who's had a couple of days off, but
they were just on a pretty long road trip here, Rob.
You know, let's see one, two, three, four, five game
road trip. They return back home here tonight after two
days off on facing a Calvs team who was just
blown off the earth by the thunder one four, one six.
Curious how you see this one shaken out?
Speaker 2: Well, I tell you the truth.
Speaker 3: I want to wound up being conflicted here because the
other day you brought up a little bit of a
notation on the Cleveland Cavaliers season, how when they get
blown out they generally respond that would lead you to
and they did that day you mentioned it. The Calves
did respond in a big way. I wanted to get
to Charlotte because they've been so good lately. Three and
two on that West coast road trip, which Miles Bridges
made a big deal out of. He said he hasn't
been on the Hornets when they've ever won, had a
winning record off of a West Coast road trip. That
team's playing with a little bit of confidence right now,
which makes me want to get to Charlotte. However, even
with the day walk at his first back off of
a five game road trip, We'll have to see how
they handle that. The Cavaliers' injuries are bothers. Some ski
that the fact that it's that trio, it's Garland, it's Merrill.
And how about coach Kenny Atkinson when he was asked
about what they have to do better, he said, we
need to get Sam healthy.
Speaker 2: Didn't say Darius Garland. He said we got to get
Sam healthy.
Speaker 1: They don't have a good record with al Sam. He's
think they're like eight and twelve.
Speaker 3: And he's that beyond the arc presence, that shooting presence
that they need to have in there. Donovan Mitchell has
since you know, pretty much taken over high score almost
every game. Did have a bad game his last time out,
So if there's a bounce back effect here for Donovan Mitchell,
I wouldn't be surprised.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 3: I can look at this and I could make a
play from both angles. I really would like to get
to Charlotte because they seem like a team united reading
these quotes.
Speaker 2: They like each other, they're playing hard for each other.
Speaker 3: There's no real drama in that.
Speaker 2: Locker room whatsoever. And you like teams like that.
Speaker 3: Plus three at home could be enough, but I fear
that Cavalier bounce back trend that they've had this season.
So not much on the total here, and not much
on the side either, just because I want to play Charlotte,
but I just can't get there with them yet at
plus three.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think, first of all, to what you said
about Merrill. He has been extremely important to this Cavaliers team.
As I mentioned, they're eight and twelve without him, and
you know, it's the spacing that he provides, you know
that shooting. So I like Jalen Tyson over fifteen and
a half points. That's the person's gonna have to step
up and hit some of those shots. I mean, he's
shooting like forty above forty five percent from three this season.
He's been playing well lately. Yeah, I like Jalen Tyson
over fifteen and hilf points definitely without Guardland, without Mary
out there tonight. Other than that. You know I talked
about I feel like it versus six Ers. Maybe it
was off of a loss on the road or something
like that. Like you said, it's been there. What they've
been doing all season long, that bounce back, I can't
you know, I like a good flat spot, Rob. You
know Hornets, they've been playing so good they did. Oh,
they're so happy they finally had a winning West Coast
road trip. They just exhale tonight. I don't know. I
think the calves are the right side in this game, Rob.
You know, calves would be my preferred look if I'm
picking aside anything from the chat before we move on.
Let's see, I don't have anything on this, Rob. I
don't want to talk about it. But if you want
to talk about asking me about the One Big, Beautiful
Bill Act of twenty twenty five, I have nothing I
want to say.
Speaker 2: Interesting have to read into that.
Speaker 3: I didn't know it had any gambling repercussions or sports
spending repercussions. Yeah, I'm not sure we've got guys that
wager talk. You could probably ask that question too and
get an immediate answer. But and I spent we spend
into the middle of the at least on the East
coast here, I spent till one thirty two am every
morning watching hoop or football, and this other stuff is
secondary to me.
Speaker 2: So I'm not sure I have a good answer for that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I don't watch politics, I don't watch
the news. I know what you're talking about. But somebody
else can give you a better answer than I can.
Let's see. Appreciate that, Jill. Yeah, I don't think I
talked about it with you here. Rob, you know about
the Lebron I think I figured it out after we
talk what pe for giving me some some some problems
for that Lebron angle, because I felt pretty strong about
it after I saw some some numbers. But we'll talk
about it soon in the future, all right, Next game up.
Pacers and Celtics opened up minus eleven and a half
and it's down to ten and a half or eleven total.
Open two twenty six and a half and is down
to two twenty six. Injury report, we have mattherin and
Topping out for the Celtics. We have Brown and Monot
I'm sorry, Brown probable not out. Yeah, I think this
is one that I'm not going to get involved with.
I do have quite a bit players here. I thought
about Pascal. He's been playing well. I think he can
take advantage here. But ultimately I did not get involved
anything here from you, Robbie know, Pacers and Celtics.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of like the Celtics. Ski.
Speaker 3: One of the reasons why is because nine days ago
they lost to this team.
Speaker 2: Can't be losing to the Pacers ninety eight ninety.
Speaker 3: Six, so it's a pretty It's a quick enough turnaround
nine days for Boston to remember this. They're off of
that one oh four, one o three again Detroit the
other day. To you, Boston showed a little bit more
in the way of physical presence than I probably gave
them credit for because Detroit's becoming known around the league
as an extremely physical team. There were some comments after
the game by Jalen Brown about how physical they are
and you have to match their intensity. But Rick Carlile,
I don't know, Ski, if this, to me this is
the sign of a sinking ship, not that it hasn't
sunk already, but he usually gives and this could be
classified as one of them those kind of rob Rob,
We're doing the best we can type quote. It says
this team's battled all year along with a big deficit
of talent, with a lot of guys hurt and stuff
like that. Last couple of years, this team has committed
to a standard for playing hard and a commitment to
a team, and we haven't waivered from that.
Speaker 2: I'm not so sure.
Speaker 3: And this team just doesn't have enough guys at this
point in time. Then the bass stolen from them eighteen
times the other day. You can't have the ball taken
from you eighteen times. This isn't you know third grade
lunch where the same kid gets his lunch taken every day.
You got to be able to handle the ball, and
Carlisle mentioned it that they have to be better with
the ball. I think Boston's gonna come ready here to play.
They've been playing really well. I think they have a
sour taste in their mouth from that lost nine days
ago and probably want to get back on the floor
after losing to Detroit. They've been playing well recently. I
see some ten and a half's out there. A lot
of elevens, but some ten and a halfs if you
shop it right. I think Boston gets the job done
here by margin'd.
Speaker 1: Good stuff on that. Let's see Tommy likes Jay Heff
over fourteen and a half punch rebounds and assists. They
centers dominated against the Celtics system. Play for him, says
Heff just had twenty five point rebounds in it says
ten days ago against the same team. Appreciate you sharing it.
Definitely would take a look into that. Nets and Knicks.
This one opened up minus eleven looks like eleven and
a half or twelve, depending where your shop total came
all the way down from two twenty six to twenty
one injury report. Looking at the Knicks, I don't see
anybody on there for the net Smith is out the Knicks.
I mean they've been they've been ass rob you know,
there's no way to sugarcoat it. They've lost. I think
what nine of their last eleven games, they've held a
players only meeting. Now is that going to be enough
to write the ship? I mean this is a Nets team.
I think they've had very little trouble taken care of
Do you think they take care of them tonight?
Speaker 3: I know that you've said that the Wizards have no
interest in winning games.
Speaker 2: I don't know, Brooklyn.
Speaker 3: I've read something this morning that said the Brooklyn Nets
are well into draft prep mode right now. That could
just be because the records thinks that could be because
they know they're gonna not gonna win gags.
Speaker 2: But the most important piece ski.
Speaker 3: Of this whole thing is what Jason Hart had to
say about his team. He talked about the players only meeting.
He talked about how since the Cup they've pretty much
been lousy. But Jason Hart said, we have to go
go out there and find a sense of urgency. At
this point, forty games into the season, Normally you don't
put much into struggles because.
Speaker 2: There's highs and lows.
Speaker 3: But at this point we have to play desperate because
that's where we're at right now. We all need to
do some soul searching, some looking in the mirror.
Speaker 2: Right now.
Speaker 3: We're playing embarrassing basketball. We're not executing on the offensive end. Defensively,
we've been abysmal. We've been a terrible defensive team all
year long. Lots of times when you read that, and
I know you've said it before, that makes me think,
Rob Vino, that they're gonna play some defense here, But
I don't know, are they capable of just f in
the switch and playing defense tonight. Maybe because it's Brooklyn,
maybe if they're that fired up. But man, they got
run out of the gym by Dallas on Monday, and
that's kind of frightening here.
Speaker 2: I get what Heart's saying.
Speaker 3: I would like to get behind it, but in order
to get behind it, you have to lay eleven.
Speaker 2: And a half. I'm not so sure I'm ready to
lay eleven and a half with.
Speaker 3: A team where one of their own player, and he's
like one of their best defensive players, saying that they
stink on that end.
Speaker 2: We'll see.
Speaker 3: This might be one isolated incident where they do play
really good defense. I did take a look at the
Brooklyn Nets team total with a thought of playing it
under one oh three and a half. Is that number?
Are the Knicks good enough to hold them to one
oh three or less?
Speaker 2: Maybe? But I'm gonna have to watch and see tonight.
Speaker 1: If I'm picking a side, it would be the Knicks.
As bad as they've looked, I'll be trusting him after
they you know, talked about it and got embarrassed again,
got booed on their home court. I would only pick
them in this game, But I do think, I do
think it's I agree with the total coming down, and
I think the Knicks do play a lot better defense
today than what we've seen from them, you know, for
the past month or so. All Right, next game of
Pistons and Pelicans opened up seven and a half, looks
like nine and a half here to it open two thirty.
Seven and a half is down all the way to
two thirty and a half. Cunningham is questionable, Avert is questionable,
and this is still going up. That's crazy. Zion questionable,
Evado questionable. Herb Jones out. Yeah, this is a game.
I'll just not waste anybody's sign. I don't even want
to talk about this game rap, you know. So if
you have anything for them, I'll let you have this one.
Speaker 2: No, I'll just quickly say what I've said about Detroit
all season long. They want to win every game. For me,
it would be Detroit or nothing.
Speaker 3: I will add one just slight outside thought here, Ski
that Tobias Harris, his his career, very good third piece
with the Clippers goes to Philadelphia. For some reason, they
didn't accept him. James Harden wouldn't pass him. The ball
winds up in oblivion. Not even a really key component
here in Detroit, third leading scorer on the team once again,
which is what he is. He's a good third piece,
and Kate Cunningham raving about how professional he is and
how great it is to have that guy on their team.
So I don't know what went wrong in Philly, but
certainly Tobias Harris adding a lot of veteran leadership and
point production. I would play Detroit or nothing here just
because I know they're going to play all forty eight minutes.
Speaker 1: Fair. I'll move over to Hawks and Grizzlies, where I
do have a stronger opinion. It opened up minus two
for the Grizzlies, see one and a half everywhere. Total
has gone up from two thirty four. That's how it's
two thirty nine and a half. Looking at the injury
report here, Brazingia is how recess, saw Aldama, doubtful, Clark, Edie,
Jerome Pippen all out this Grizzlies team. They've had a
couple of days off before this game. But we know
they've done some They've done some traveling, some fight seeing,
maybe some partying. Who knows they have had a couple
of days off, But man, I don't know, you know,
I just don't just because they're at home. I don't
think this is a good spot for them. The Hawks,
I know that they've lost what four games at least
in a row. I think they're going to come into
this one pretty hungry and not jet lag. So I
think the Hawks on the right side here tonight. You know, Also,
the Grizzlies not very good defending. Above the breakthrough, I
can see ni kill. I can see the kill Alexander Walker,
big night, I can see I see the Hawks puting
up a lot of points, so I can understand why
this total has gone up as well. Which way are
you looking at Hawks and Grizzlies.
Speaker 3: Well, immediately, without even doing any handicapping to play Hawks
simply because of the Germany trip, Memphis was there.
Speaker 2: For a while.
Speaker 3: Those games were spaced out so long, like they played
in the afternoon one day, then they wait four days
and play again at nighttime and come back home. It's
about a six hour, five or six hour time difference
over there. So I wanted to get to Atlanta. But
then I started looking into the game, and I started
reading these quotes about Jo's returned to the lineup, and
I mean, it's as if this team is zero and
zero and starting or one to zero and starting the
season all over again. He came back in that second game,
he played really good. But the players and the coach,
the way they rave about John Moran after that game,
head coach Thomas is so his energy is contagious. He
did a great job quarterback and the team setting up
other guys for success. Early in the game, he pushes pace,
he shares the ball. It's snowballed into a great team effort.
It gives this group a ton of confidence as we
go back. Jos one of those those guys who's carried
the energy in practice. He's been very good. I'm super
happy to see him out there. And then Morank goes
on to say, because the other thing I was bothered
by Ski is the trade talks that involve him, and
would he really care. He had a quote where he
said he's extremely loyal, grizzly tattoo on my back. I
don't want to be leaving. That's up to management, really,
but he wants to stay. I don't know if he
comes to play. It kind of scared me a little
bit because Atlanta's not playing well right now.
Speaker 2: So I didn't play the game either.
Speaker 3: Way I could understand the move in the total because
I think they'll probably be points here as good as
Job's return may have been and as uplifting as it
may be to this team, as if they've gotten a
new fresh start on the season. They still don't play
really good defense. So two thirty nine and a half,
I think that total is accessible here. Haven't played it,
but that would be my best look over to thirty nine.
Speaker 1: Wern agreement on the total. You know, Grizzlies they go
one in one and you know they they gotta do
it start all over again. Be okay, Ralph, you know, yeah,
we can start the season now.
Speaker 2: We're good.
Speaker 1: It's it's crazy Thunder and Bucks. This one opened up
minus nine is down to I'm sorry, it's up to
nine and a half or ten total open two twenty
eight and that's down as lost to twenty five. Caruso Hardenstein,
Aaron Wiggins, J. Dubb, Jalen Williams. Topic all out for
this Thunder team. For the Bucks, you have KPJ Miles Turner,
both questionable starring Prince out. You know a lot of
people missing for that, Okay, see side. I think there's
some some extra buckets to be had somewhere around there,
not matter if you want to look at h Well, actually,
I'm gonna tell you I bet lou Dort over eight
and a half points. You know, the one thing, how
does loud Dort score. He's gonna go out and just
really just spot up for the most part. You know,
he might have some cutting, might go to the basket
a little bit, but you know, he starts up a lot.
Milwaukee's not good against the above the break three, so
Loudort been really good on the roads. Well, I like
lou Dort over eight and a half points tonight in
thunder Verse books. You know, what do you think about
this one?
Speaker 3: I kind of lean towards Milwaukee plus the points based
off of the OKC massive number of injuries right now,
but those injuries really didn't come into play Monday when
they scored one thirty six against Cleveland. I just don't
know that they can sustain that level of offense. A
lot of guys out here, and one thing I think
we need to take note of starting today, Doc Rivers, Glenn,
excuse me, Glenn Rivers. He made a change to the
lineup and put Kevin Porter Junior as the sixth man
and move Kyle Kuzma in to start last game and
said that they just needed size. He said, if I
if I have to have size on the floor, I've
got to separate my guards. So KPJ goes to the
bench and comes off as six man, which he seemed
fine with. He played pretty well in that game, still
got twenty eight minutes, but Kuzma, Giannis and Miles Turner
with a couple of AJ Green and Ryan Rolands at guard.
Speaker 2: That lineup kind of worked. On Monday at beat the Hawks.
Speaker 3: CJ McCollum had a chance to tie that game, I
think in the end, but missed the shot. So I'm
gonna give the Bucks a little bit of a closer
look as far as their games go, just to see
how this bigger lineup goes and how the rotation goes.
I think maybe nine and a half is a little
too much. One other thing to say here really quick
is ever since Milwaukee beat OKAC in the Cup, Oklahoma
City's absolutely whacked that team. I think they've got three
straight wins, all by double digits. So if you're just
looking at matchup, and I didn't go to the depths
of seeing how many times. Jannis may Or may not
have been inside the lineup during those games. But okay,
see took that couple of personal a couple of years back,
and it's beaten Milwaukee ever since. I think the Bucks
plus nine and a half might be the right side here.
Speaker 1: All right, last game, you know, Raptors and Kings opened
up minus four. It looks like five and a half
for the Raptors. Total open two twenty two and a
half and it's up as high as two twenty six
and a half. You have RJ Berry, CMB, Jaka Perto,
Jakobe Walter all questionable for the Kings. Kegan Murray is
out here, the King. Both teams did play last night. Well,
the way the Kings played last night. Yeah yeah, the
Kings played last night too versus Miami. Yeah one on
that game, I had get the heat end of it.
So both teams on the back to back in this one. Now,
I'm gonna go to DeMar de Rosen.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: He's been playing well lately. You just screl with I
think like twenty three something like that. Last night he's
averaging around twenty two and a half going up against
his former team. Just asked to get nineteen plus tonight.
I think that's a solid ass. I know you'll get
the effort from him first the raptors. So that's how
I choose to play it anything from you here being
no Kings and Raptors.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is the game I love the most. When
it comes time, we will go to best bet segment.
I'll just repeat this one over again.
Speaker 2: But I played over.
Speaker 3: It's two twenty six and a half. It had half
to get the two forty six and a half for
me to stop thinking about playing over. I know last
night and when you're going with Scottie Barnes at center,
they were so fast last night. All guards and wings,
that's all they have. We talked a lot about Perdle
not being available for rim defense. It's been a while
since peerl hasn't been a factor, but that lineup last night.
When I watched against Golden State, I was like, dear lord,
it's just Greyhound Basketball and Sacramento. For what it's worth,
Doug Christy did a pretty good job managing minutes last night.
Speaker 2: Nobody played a lot for a second.
Speaker 3: In fact, he took some criticism in that game for
leaving Zach Levine on the bench second half. I think
Levine only saw the floor for seven or eight minutes
I think was the grand total, so they had including somebonus.
So of course, coming off injury, played less than seventeen,
but they should be fresh. They have no problem running.
It's still a bad defensive team. I think Toronto's just
gonna run again, same lineup, same style. It put up
one forty five last night. That game got to two
seventy two. I was a little taken back watching it, thinking, Wow,
this team is super fast.
Speaker 2: So if they're gonna go.
Speaker 3: With Scotti Burnes at center, not only do they play
super fast, but you know, the next thing on the
other side is he's not stopping anybody from getting to
the rim. As good as he is defensively, he's not
a rim protector. I like these two teams to get
up and over. I think it'll probably climb a little
higher Ski So I got in at a little better
number earlier this morning, but still I think there's plenty
of room at two twenty six and a half.
Speaker 1: Very good stuff, Ravino. That's going to wrap up the
NBA slate for today. So before moving over the best bets,
let's toss this up there I'm pretty sure this is
still good. Ravino seven day all access for sixty nine dollars.
That's seven days for the price of three. We'll get
all sports. You know, NBA college basketball going I know, well,
I'm not sure if Youno does hockey, but yeah, you
still have NFL come up this weekend. I know college
football is over, but still a lot going on over here.
A wager talk, so that is a good way to
get involved, Reino. I'm going to pass it to you
and ask you if there's anything else you would like
to promote, and if you have, you know the best bet.
We love to hear it. If you don't, don't worry
about it.
Speaker 2: Promotion. I think you covered hockey. That triggered a thought
in my mind. Ski. I remember we talked about the
green Room on Spotify last week.
Speaker 3: And the first time I ever heard you talk hockey,
it was like Larry in there giving all these ups.
Speaker 2: I'm like, man, yeah, I'm going to turn the Ski
for hockey advice now.
Speaker 3: And then I saw the Australian Open on overnight and
I'm thinking maybe I should text him and see if
he's got anything in tennis. But for me, best bet
is going to be the Sacramento Toronto over. I just
think that fundamentally it sets up as a fast paced game.
Both teams can make shots. Minutes were good on Sacramento side,
they should be good to go and Toronto, wow, they
look like they could get one hundred and thirty again tonight.
So give me Toronto Sacramento over two twenty six and
a half his best bet for the.
Speaker 1: Show, Good stuff Broo. For myself, I will promote that
I have a five percent play going tonight, So if
you would like to be involved, you know where to
find it over at wager Talk. And my best bet
I will leave for the show. We'll go with, We'll
go with, We'll go with logic a little bit here, Rob.
You know, Cavs missing some shooting there with Sam Marrow.
They need somebody to step up. Going with Jalen Tyson
over fifteen and a half points. He's the best shooter
out there on the court tonight for the Cavaliers, and
they're desperately going to need a spacing going up against
a three point defense that's not great. So Tyson over
fifteen and a half points will be my best bet
for the show. You know, as always I appreciate you
taking the time to break these games down with me.
I always want to let you know how much it
helps my process. I'm sure it helps everybody else as well.
See this comment right there, because the breakdowns are appreciated
everybody else out there in the chat, we appreciate you too.
If you enjoyed the show, hit the like button for us.
Leave a comment definitely helps out the show. We'll be
back again tomorrow, so best of luck everybody on all
your action and we'll catch you all then.