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<v Speaker 1>You in a Tom Petty mood today on a Monday afternoon.

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<v Speaker 2>What's going on? What's going on with you and there?

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<v Speaker 2>What's the deal?

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<v Speaker 1>I guess kind of not officially, but yeah, the first

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<v Speaker 1>two songs going with a little Tom Petty, So maybe we'll.

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<v Speaker 2>Keep it going. Maybe not. No, you can roll with it,

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<v Speaker 2>but you do.

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<v Speaker 1>You are aware this is a family friendly program, right, Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>And your first Tom Petty bump songs about weed. Dude,

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<v Speaker 1>just be better. Mary Jane's a sweet girlfriend of his.

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<v Speaker 2>It's weed.

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<v Speaker 1>Just say no, kids, I'm just I'm the one that

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<v Speaker 1>has to clean up for your poor musical choices by

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<v Speaker 1>reminding the masses that we're here to take care of

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<v Speaker 1>families and children.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that our demographic? Yeah, just say no. It's all

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<v Speaker 2>I'm saying. I think that sheet said like thirty five

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<v Speaker 2>seventy Maile, Okay, fair enough.

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<v Speaker 1>Our next guest passes on grass like Greg Fokker form

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<v Speaker 1>Meet the Parents, Tom haberstro Monday Afternoon.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello Tom, how are you?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm good man. I like that you make that presumption

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<v Speaker 3>about me.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, if you'd like to discuss your wheat smoking habits

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<v Speaker 1>on air, Tom, I'm happy to make the space no.

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<v Speaker 3>This is a family program. You're absolutely right, I think, yeah, yeah, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>It is what an interest?

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<v Speaker 1>Now this is still this is still live radio. This

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<v Speaker 1>is not a podcast. We have to behave ourselves in

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<v Speaker 1>a way that people like you and Zach Harper do not.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we have to remind ourselves that we're professionals, because

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<v Speaker 3>everything in our lives just screams on professionals. So thank

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<v Speaker 3>you for the reminder.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. No, you guys are very professional.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, you can drop a bomb here there,

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<v Speaker 1>or you can discuss things on podcasts that you can't

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<v Speaker 1>discuss on radio, right, I mean that's kind of the deal.

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<v Speaker 3>You tell me, Spence, you're the one with the radio show.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, when I go on podcasts, it seems like there's

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit more freedom to use certain terms.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that fair to say?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah? Yeah, you know what, I'm just surprised you went

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<v Speaker 3>with weed. That kind of feels like another maybe like

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<v Speaker 3>a graduate level program compared to just marijuana, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>like feels like it feels like it's a little inside baseball.

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<v Speaker 2>Nice job, my bad bubonic product.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a bunch of terms so we could use

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to. But we can move on speaking

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<v Speaker 1>of Zach Harper. He does not like you're Kevin Garnett.

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<v Speaker 1>Is Cooper flag comp Just so you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, well, Zach is way smarter than me on all

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<v Speaker 3>things basketball, so I would trust him on all those things.

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<v Speaker 3>But you know what, he's also a Minnesota Timberwolf lifer,

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<v Speaker 3>so he probably understands that comparing anyone to KG is

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<v Speaker 3>like any Bulls fan hearing people compare anybody to Michael Jordan.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, fair enough, fair enough, And it's funny because of

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<v Speaker 1>all the comps that I've heard, they're Garnet. One actually

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<v Speaker 1>tracks when you watch the way that Cooper can guard

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<v Speaker 1>and how well he moves. I mean, look, I think

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<v Speaker 1>you know, whether it's Kawhi or whether it's gone at

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<v Speaker 1>Whenever you compare an eighteen year old to Hall of famers,

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to get pushed back.

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<v Speaker 2>Is there anything.

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<v Speaker 1>About the way Duke went out that could potentially affect

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<v Speaker 1>the way people view Cooper at all?

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think so, Considering he's the youngest guy on

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<v Speaker 3>the court by why margin, he was going against a

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<v Speaker 3>lot older guys, And as much as I want to

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<v Speaker 3>pin it all on him, I thought that the over

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<v Speaker 3>the back call that they whistled on him was very borderline.

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<v Speaker 3>Didn't feel like the right call at that stage. The

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<v Speaker 3>physicality in the game feels like that was something you

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<v Speaker 3>might call him the beginning of the game to set

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<v Speaker 3>the tone for the rest of the game. But the

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<v Speaker 3>way that Houston was being physical with Duke, I was

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<v Speaker 3>flabbergasted at that call. And look, he missed the shot

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<v Speaker 3>there at the end, but he's made those shots time

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<v Speaker 3>and time again, so I don't think that that was

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<v Speaker 3>a bad shot. What really stands out to me is

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<v Speaker 3>Malowatch having zero rebounds in over twenty minutes of action

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<v Speaker 3>and that Duke had no rebounds after the four minute mark.

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<v Speaker 3>That's that's insane. And some of that falls on Cooper

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<v Speaker 3>Flag for sure, but it's one game. It's a huge game,

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<v Speaker 3>and if the Duke Blue Devils went out in like

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<v Speaker 3>the second round or then the Sweet sixteen, I would

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<v Speaker 3>have a lot harsher words to say for Cooper Flag

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<v Speaker 3>and John Shire and Duke. That was an epic collapse.

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<v Speaker 3>But I wouldn't put this put this all on Cooper

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<v Speaker 3>Flag and it wouldn't change my evaluation of him.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the type of lost tom. I don't care if

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<v Speaker 1>it's you know, Pete Van Sicklin and Ernie Verena and

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<v Speaker 1>Staples in nineteen ninety five. It doesn't matter what level

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<v Speaker 1>you played, it doesn't matter how long it's been. A

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<v Speaker 1>loss like that, I don't think ever fully leaves you.

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<v Speaker 1>Like if you're John, if you're Conking Nipple, the Malawatch

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<v Speaker 1>kid or Cooper, like, all of them are probably gonna

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<v Speaker 1>go on those All three of those kids are lottery picks.

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<v Speaker 1>They're gonna make millions of dollars and play basketball for years.

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<v Speaker 1>But the way they went out, I'm not sure a

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<v Speaker 1>loss like that ever fully leaves you.

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<v Speaker 3>It's traumatic, it's the best way to describe it. As

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<v Speaker 3>a basketball players, you're always gonna think about it, Like

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<v Speaker 3>if you're up six with thirty six seconds left. For

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<v Speaker 3>the rest of your career, you're gonna be thinking about

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<v Speaker 3>San Antonio. You're gonna be thinking about what happened against

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<v Speaker 3>the Houston Cougars. And that's the fact of the matter.

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<v Speaker 3>For any athlete who has ever suffered a loss like that,

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<v Speaker 3>you are always going to have it in the back

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<v Speaker 3>of your mind. Now, time heals all wound, so eventually

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<v Speaker 3>it'll fade for memory, and it won't be so harsh

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<v Speaker 3>and searing of a loss over time. But I can't

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<v Speaker 3>imagine that anyone who suffers that kind of loss. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>I'll tell you what I don't know. If you watch

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<v Speaker 3>the White Lotus, oh yeah, it seems I mean the

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<v Speaker 3>text that I got from all my buddies in North Carolina,

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<v Speaker 3>it was the duke shirt with the Dad rack Cliffs

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<v Speaker 3>with the gun to his head. And I was sitting

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<v Speaker 3>there being like, that feels like we're in a simulation now,

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<v Speaker 3>because how is White Lotus picking the one team that

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<v Speaker 3>has the most depressing most I can't believe that just happened,

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<v Speaker 3>lost the most brutal loss of the tournament, and it

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<v Speaker 3>happened right before the finale of White Lotus, which feels

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<v Speaker 3>like we are part of this simulation where it's all

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<v Speaker 3>connected in some way, just like in the White Lotus

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<v Speaker 3>season finale. No spoilers, but that was one of the

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<v Speaker 3>big themes, was how we're all connected in some way,

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<v Speaker 3>And that finish by the Blue Devils did feel like

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<v Speaker 3>this was preordained somehow that it would promote the White

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<v Speaker 3>Lotus season finale that last night. And I'm still gathering

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<v Speaker 3>my thoughts on both the Duke loss on Saturday night

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<v Speaker 3>and White Lotus on Sunday night. But both of them

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<v Speaker 3>felt like big events in the year twenty twenty five, and.

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<v Speaker 1>I was wrong about both. Just to be clear, I

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<v Speaker 1>did not see either coming. But yeah, we'll leave the

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<v Speaker 1>spoiler alerts for White Lotus offware today. I do have

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<v Speaker 1>one more question, Tom, and I don't think there's anything here.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me be clear.

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<v Speaker 1>My personal opinion and my personal belief is that Cooper

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<v Speaker 1>is leaving.

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<v Speaker 2>He's going.

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<v Speaker 1>He's a generational player that's going to be the number

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<v Speaker 1>one pick, and he is healthy, so you.

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<v Speaker 2>Gotta go do that, Okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, the other side of it is he is a

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<v Speaker 1>young eighteen year old he turned eighteen I think three

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<v Speaker 1>and a half months ago, and a taste in your

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<v Speaker 1>mouth like that to leave college maybe something that motivates

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<v Speaker 1>him to come back because of his age and five

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, this is a conversation we would not even

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<v Speaker 1>be having. However, I could actually foresee whether it's you know, Cooper, Khan,

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<v Speaker 1>k Nipple, the Malawatch Kid, all three of them saying, look,

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<v Speaker 1>we know we're lottery picks, but we're all young, we're teenagers.

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<v Speaker 1>And if Duke wants to step up with an NIO

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<v Speaker 1>package that will pay them more for one year than

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<v Speaker 1>what all of them could make as rookies in the NBA,

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<v Speaker 1>to run it back and try to get John Shire's

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<v Speaker 1>first National championship. I guess I would say stranger things

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<v Speaker 1>have happened based off the current landscape. And I'm sitting

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<v Speaker 1>here shaking my head because I'm now imagining this scenario

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<v Speaker 1>on May twelfth, when the NBA lottery is held and

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<v Speaker 1>the Jazz get number one, and then the next day

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<v Speaker 1>Cooper Flag announces that he's going back to Duke.

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<v Speaker 2>I do not know what it would be like around here.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you?

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<v Speaker 3>What do you?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh man? Oh man? I don't even want to think

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<v Speaker 2>about it.

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<v Speaker 1>But any shot in hell that that actually goes down.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's even less likely now than it was

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<v Speaker 3>before that collapse, because I think there's no upside in

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<v Speaker 3>coming back. There's this. The only way that you have

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<v Speaker 3>redemption or that you win that equation is if you

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<v Speaker 3>win the National Championship, right Like, anything short of that

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<v Speaker 3>is just making more salts in the wound. And I

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<v Speaker 3>think when you lose in the final four in epic

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<v Speaker 3>fashion like that there's only one way to forget that

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<v Speaker 3>whole thing and to make those wrongs right is to

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<v Speaker 3>win it all the next year, and just with a

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<v Speaker 3>one and done style format of the NCAA tournament, I

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<v Speaker 3>just I don't see the upside there being worth it,

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<v Speaker 3>because in the NBA you can make the argument that

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<v Speaker 3>like a team that much better than everybody else, in

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<v Speaker 3>a seven game series, you have a better shot of

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<v Speaker 3>asserting your dominance in a seven game series, not in

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<v Speaker 3>a one and done where something flukey can happen and

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<v Speaker 3>everything collapses like a house of cards. So I think

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<v Speaker 3>before that Cooper Flag championship or the final four loss,

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<v Speaker 3>I would say there's better odds if they win at

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<v Speaker 3>all that he would come back and do it again

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<v Speaker 3>like Djokim Noah and Al Horford did. Then if they

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<v Speaker 3>had this cataclysmic loss in the final four, and I

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<v Speaker 3>would just say, there's also this dynamic of dabansa next

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<v Speaker 3>year where if he Cooper Flag comes back, and Canipple

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<v Speaker 3>comes back and Malawatch comes back, there's an excellent draft

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<v Speaker 3>class coming through next year that they're going to have

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<v Speaker 3>to be competing for draft picks next year, and not

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<v Speaker 3>only competing for draft picks or draft slot. You're competing

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<v Speaker 3>for millions of dollars in first year salary or at

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<v Speaker 3>least rookie scale salaries. So I think the risk for

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<v Speaker 3>Cooper Flag actually got even higher in deciding to come back.

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<v Speaker 3>So I agree with you. I don't think it's going

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<v Speaker 3>to happen, and I think it's even more of a

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<v Speaker 3>long shot, A long shot that turns into even more

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<v Speaker 3>of a long shot if they lose that game in

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<v Speaker 3>horrific fashion. I think it's a I don't even I

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<v Speaker 3>don't think it's gonna happen. But you know what, stranger

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<v Speaker 3>things have happened, like blowing a what was it a

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<v Speaker 3>nine point lead with a minute twenty left? What was

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<v Speaker 3>the what was the largest gap there probability? I think

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<v Speaker 3>it's the six point lead with thirty two seconds left.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they were up nine with a minute. They were

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<v Speaker 1>outscored nine to zero over the final thirty five seconds.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, strictly from a basketball standpoint, I felt

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<v Speaker 1>really bad that john Shire didn't I felt bad for

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<v Speaker 1>the players that john Shire didn't dial up a different

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<v Speaker 1>inbounds play. They tried the same inbounds play over and

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<v Speaker 1>over and over. They were trapped in the corner. They

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<v Speaker 1>overcame a Houston player reaching over the end line to

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<v Speaker 1>try to swap the ball out of I think it

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<v Speaker 1>was Nipple's hands where Duke got a teck and possession,

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<v Speaker 1>like the pion James kid is a really good player,

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<v Speaker 1>just looked panicked to try and inbound the basketball. I honestly, Tom,

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<v Speaker 1>I have respect for Duke basketball and John Shire.

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<v Speaker 2>I thought their coach let them down down the stretch.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and then you forget about the Canipple kickout of

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<v Speaker 3>bounds that went the wrong way, yep, And it was

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<v Speaker 3>it was a it was a crazy finish to that game.

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<v Speaker 3>And you're still watching like wow, wow, like how did

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<v Speaker 3>that happen? And there have been times where what was

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<v Speaker 3>it the I seem to remember Maryland coming back against

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<v Speaker 3>Duke down ten? What was it the other way around

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<v Speaker 3>where it was like wojo, and like I'll never forget

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<v Speaker 3>if you're up by ten with a minute left. Ever

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<v Speaker 3>since that loss happened, I've never forgotten it. Like I've

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<v Speaker 3>always in my head no matter who it is who's playing,

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<v Speaker 3>no ten point lead with a minute left is safe,

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<v Speaker 3>Like I want it to be fifteen. And this is

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<v Speaker 3>the same sort of game. Well, I will for a

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<v Speaker 3>long time look at a six point lead differently with

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<v Speaker 3>thirty three seconds left NBA or college basketball, because that

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<v Speaker 3>just happened in one of the biggest stages. So look,

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's been a rough collapse for the Duke program.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, when you talk about losing to NC State

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<v Speaker 3>a year ago, and then losing to UNC and then

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<v Speaker 3>losing here, It's been a really tough road for Duke.

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<v Speaker 3>But I am not crying for them, as as a

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<v Speaker 3>wake forest, a lump based here in Charlotte who grew

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<v Speaker 3>up a tar Heel fan. I'm not shedding any tears,

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<v Speaker 3>But like you, I had Duke winning it all and

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<v Speaker 3>maybe that was an emotional hedge for me.

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<v Speaker 1>The game you're talking about, I remember it now. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the miracle minute. That was Jay Williams. That was that

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<v Speaker 1>Maryland team with Jan Dixon and Steve Blake Boozer. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I was on Duke, as was Mike dun Levy and

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Duhont. Duke came down, came back from ten minutes,

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<v Speaker 1>from ten points down with a minute twenty left to play.

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<v Speaker 2>That was two thousand and one. I do remember that game.

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<v Speaker 4>Now that you mention it, yes, that was that's the

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<v Speaker 4>game where it's kind of scarring where once once that

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<v Speaker 4>happens and you've seen it with your eyes, you're just like, yeah, no, no,

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<v Speaker 4>ten point lead with a minute left is safe.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, there's I think if this was a

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<v Speaker 3>bunch of eighteen year olds going at it, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>like seniors in high school, and Cooper Flag had that

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<v Speaker 3>kind of collapse, I'd probably put a little bit more

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<v Speaker 3>weight like why couldn't it be dominated more down the stretch.

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<v Speaker 3>But because some of these guys are you know, fifth

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<v Speaker 3>year seniors and twenty two year olds, twenty three year

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<v Speaker 3>olds in some cases, like I'm not sweating it for

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<v Speaker 3>Cooper Flag, but it does give me a lot of excitement,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, a lot of debate going into the draft

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<v Speaker 3>that otherwise wouldn't have been there if he had run

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<v Speaker 3>the table. I feel like we would just be running

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<v Speaker 3>out of things to say about Cooper Flag because he's

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<v Speaker 3>that good. And now we can actually, you know, to

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit of me down that bone of is

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<v Speaker 3>there something that we're missing, because I think it is

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<v Speaker 3>healthy a little bit of a little bit of doubt

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<v Speaker 3>or a little bit of criticism is healthy for a

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<v Speaker 3>prospect where the bar isn't so high that he cannot physically,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, reach those expectations, because the only one that's

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<v Speaker 3>ever done it, in my opinion is Lebron James. And

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's just hyping someone to that degree. We

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<v Speaker 3>did it with Zion Williamson, we did it with Anthony Davis.

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<v Speaker 3>Cooper Flag, to me, feels like as big of an

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<v Speaker 3>American prospect as we've had in decades. And Wenby doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>count because I don't think America really knew what we

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<v Speaker 3>were talking about with Wemby because he was French and

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<v Speaker 3>because he hadn't played college hoops over here. But this,

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<v Speaker 3>this feels like Cooper Flagg losing in the final four.

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<v Speaker 3>It feels like it might be some healthy adversity for him.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe I'm just I'm rose color glasses here, but I

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<v Speaker 3>think for Utah the I do not see Cooper Flag

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<v Speaker 3>returning to Duke for another year, even if let's say

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<v Speaker 3>another another team that he's not super en series about.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the odds of him returning actually decreased after

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<v Speaker 3>that catachlysmic loss.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell me what before we do some NBA, Before we

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<v Speaker 1>say you lose a lot of conversation about this tournament. Specifically,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there was one, maybe two overtime games. I

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<v Speaker 1>think there was one game winner. There were no Cinderellas.

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<v Speaker 1>Now all four number one seeds leads high quality basketball.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought Saturday was awesome, and I'm excited for the

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<v Speaker 1>game tonight. But what's the Tom Haberstrow take on the

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<v Speaker 1>NCAA March Mattis Tournament of twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's better to have big name programs in

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<v Speaker 3>the final four than having a Cinderella run and then

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<v Speaker 3>end in like the Elite eight. Like I think, all

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<v Speaker 3>things considered, this is going to be great for ratings.

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<v Speaker 3>It was great for the national conversation. And while as

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<v Speaker 3>much as I'd like a good Cinderella, a good Saint Peter's,

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<v Speaker 3>a good George Mason, when it comes to the final four,

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<v Speaker 3>I feel like we all collectively understand that they don't

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<v Speaker 3>really have a real chance of this whole thing. Whereas

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<v Speaker 3>all four of these teams that were in the final four,

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<v Speaker 3>you wouldn't be surprised if anyone made the distance, and

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<v Speaker 3>that kind of intrigue and that kind of those stakes

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00:17:10.839 --> 00:17:13.440
<v Speaker 3>felt bigger with the final four being all the top

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<v Speaker 3>seeds basically, And I would say it's the same thing

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<v Speaker 3>for the NBA as much as we don't as much

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<v Speaker 3>as we say and claim that we want parody, I

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<v Speaker 3>think what fans really want secretly is Steph Curry going

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<v Speaker 3>against Lebron James for the eighteenth time. I think people

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<v Speaker 3>want that, they want rivalries, they want brand names, household names.

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<v Speaker 3>In the end, and there's a little hipster in everybody

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<v Speaker 3>that wants Hey, wouldn't it be cool if it was

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<v Speaker 3>Memphis versus Indiana in the NBA Finals this year? At

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<v Speaker 3>the end of the day, I think Boston LA or

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<v Speaker 3>Cleveland LA in the finals more people would care about

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<v Speaker 3>that than if it was even Okay See. I feel

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<v Speaker 3>like people would want to say, it'd be great to

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<v Speaker 3>see Okay see up there Cleveland. What a great NBA

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<v Speaker 3>Finals that would be. But at the end of the day,

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<v Speaker 3>that would draw pass the audience of a Lakers Cleveland

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<v Speaker 3>or a Lakers Boston series. And the same thing goes

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<v Speaker 3>for college basketball. We want the blue bloods, we want

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<v Speaker 3>the big name programs, we want the number one seeds

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<v Speaker 3>there at the end. But I can understand the argument

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<v Speaker 3>that the Cinderella is the fact that we didn't get

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<v Speaker 3>really any Cinderellas into the Sweet sixteen or close to it,

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<v Speaker 3>I can understand. I think the optimal thing is a

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<v Speaker 3>couple Cinderella's early on, and then we see the big

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<v Speaker 3>dogs down the stretch.

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<v Speaker 1>So Oklahoma City in the midst of a historic run.

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<v Speaker 1>They just went nineteen and one over a twenty game stretch,

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<v Speaker 1>but they had lost back to back games at full strength.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, all their players played at Houston, and then

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<v Speaker 1>they got trounced by the Lakers. And I will say,

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<v Speaker 1>as a fan of this game, watching two players like

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<v Speaker 1>Lebron and Luca and dialing in on them and watching

351
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<v Speaker 1>them kind of figure it out is pretty fascinating with

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<v Speaker 1>the way they think about the game. But any concern

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<v Speaker 1>at all, as we only have a handful of games

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<v Speaker 1>left four or five for most teams with where Oklahoma

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<v Speaker 1>City finds themselves or is just a couple l's is all?

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's two l's with incredibly hot shooting on

357
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<v Speaker 3>the other side, like those are tough shots. The fact

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<v Speaker 3>is that it took two sun like the surface of

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<v Speaker 3>the Sun shooting nights to beat OKAC and not to

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<v Speaker 3>say that they aren't beatable, But if they weren't such

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<v Speaker 3>outliers from downtown where they're combined against Houston and the Lakers,

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<v Speaker 3>they shot over fifty percent from three point land, and

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<v Speaker 3>that's that's the recipe, and that's the recipe for against

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<v Speaker 3>the ninety six Bulls or the twenty seventeen Warriors, Like

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<v Speaker 3>you need to have an outrageously hot shooting night in

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<v Speaker 3>order to topple the Oklahoma City Thunder. And you can sit

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<v Speaker 3>here and say like they exploited a weakness, et cetera,

368
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<v Speaker 3>et cetera, But it's a make or miss league, and

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<v Speaker 3>that means the same for Okace and the rest of

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<v Speaker 3>the team. Is that if the opponents, like the Lakers

371
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<v Speaker 3>in the Houston Rockets are gonna shoot lights out against you,

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<v Speaker 3>they're gonna win. They're gonna win every once in a

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<v Speaker 3>while against the Thunder. But in a seven game series,

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<v Speaker 3>I don't see the Lakers hitting twenty two threes on

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<v Speaker 3>fifty five percent shooting from downtown. And if they do that,

376
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<v Speaker 3>then yeah, they're gonna win the series against Oka See,

377
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<v Speaker 3>but I just don't see that being sustainable.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you about a couple of teams out

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<v Speaker 1>this way that I don't really think we've discussed very much.

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<v Speaker 1>And the Clippers went through this stretch where they lost

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<v Speaker 1>six of seven, and then since then they're fourteen and

382
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<v Speaker 1>three in their last seventeen with wins over the Pistons,

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<v Speaker 1>the Knicks, the Calves, the Grizzlies, a couple wins over

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<v Speaker 1>the Knicks, and I could keep going. I mean, there's

385
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<v Speaker 1>some wins over bad teams in there. But you know,

386
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<v Speaker 1>every time Kawhi is healthy and every time he decides

387
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<v Speaker 1>to be engaged, we're all reminded of like, oh, yeah,

388
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<v Speaker 1>that's who he is when he decides if basketball is

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<v Speaker 1>important and he actually is healthy.

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<v Speaker 2>Are you buying any of this?

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<v Speaker 1>Are they a legitimate threat to do some sort of

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<v Speaker 1>special thing?

393
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<v Speaker 2>Come playoff time?

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<v Speaker 3>Man, I'm going to let you in on a little

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<v Speaker 3>teaser here that if you subscribe to my newsletter, Tom

396
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<v Speaker 3>Thefinder dot com, you'll see it in there, but I'll

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<v Speaker 3>give it to your listeners here. And just with the

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00:21:24.640 --> 00:21:27.039
<v Speaker 3>knowledge that I'm going to give you something, please go

399
00:21:27.119 --> 00:21:30.119
<v Speaker 3>subscribe Tom Thefinder dot com for your pay doesn't matter.

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<v Speaker 3>This stat blew me away when I was working on

401
00:21:33.359 --> 00:21:38.079
<v Speaker 3>it over the weekend. I wanted to know when Luca

402
00:21:38.480 --> 00:21:42.039
<v Speaker 3>and Lebron are on the floor, or when Fred VanVleet

403
00:21:42.079 --> 00:21:45.119
<v Speaker 3>and Alburn Shangoun are on the floor, or John Morant

404
00:21:45.160 --> 00:21:49.119
<v Speaker 3>and Jaren Jackson Junior on the floor Haliburton and Siakam. Basically,

405
00:21:49.519 --> 00:21:52.960
<v Speaker 3>when each team has their star players on the floor,

406
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<v Speaker 3>what is the point differential? How much do they outscore

407
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<v Speaker 3>opponents with their stars on the floor. And the fact

408
00:22:00.559 --> 00:22:05.400
<v Speaker 3>of the matter is the Clippers have the best on

409
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<v Speaker 3>court net rating for their stars on the floor, meaning

410
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<v Speaker 3>when James Harden and Kawhi Leonard are on the floor

411
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<v Speaker 3>for the Clippers, they're outscoring opponents by whopping thirteen point

412
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<v Speaker 3>two points every one hundred possessions. You look at any

413
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<v Speaker 3>star collection in the NBA for all the title contenders Cleveland, Okay,

414
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<v Speaker 3>see Boston Lakers, Minnesota. You look at when the Cleveland

415
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<v Speaker 3>Cavaliers have their four all stars on the floor, and

416
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<v Speaker 3>I'm counting Jared Allen there too, Garland, Mitchell, Evan Mobley

417
00:22:38.160 --> 00:22:41.880
<v Speaker 3>and Jared Allen. They're at plus ten. Kawhi and James

418
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<v Speaker 3>Harden and Zubots on the floor, Norm Powell on the floor,

419
00:22:46.559 --> 00:22:50.039
<v Speaker 3>Derreck Jones Junior, when Harden and Kohi are on the floor.

420
00:22:50.599 --> 00:22:53.839
<v Speaker 3>They're at plus thirteen. No one else is higher than that,

421
00:22:54.480 --> 00:22:57.960
<v Speaker 3>and that really shows that when those two are healthy,

422
00:22:58.079 --> 00:23:00.839
<v Speaker 3>James Harden and Kawhi Leonard, they're going to compete at

423
00:23:00.880 --> 00:23:03.200
<v Speaker 3>the highest levels. And I mean against okay, see, I

424
00:23:03.279 --> 00:23:06.440
<v Speaker 3>mean against the Lakers, I mean against anybody. And one

425
00:23:06.440 --> 00:23:09.799
<v Speaker 3>thing that's interesting that kind of got obscured by the

426
00:23:10.200 --> 00:23:14.519
<v Speaker 3>huge Lakers win yesterday is that Lebron James and Luka

427
00:23:14.599 --> 00:23:19.559
<v Speaker 3>Doncic have the lowest star net rating among all the

428
00:23:19.559 --> 00:23:24.039
<v Speaker 3>title contenders. They're barely above zero, barely above zero, and

429
00:23:24.200 --> 00:23:27.079
<v Speaker 3>that is interesting. I know that it's an you know,

430
00:23:27.160 --> 00:23:29.880
<v Speaker 3>Luka Doncic just got acquired, he's working back from his injury.

431
00:23:30.400 --> 00:23:33.799
<v Speaker 3>But most of the title contenders have their stars. When

432
00:23:33.799 --> 00:23:36.640
<v Speaker 3>they're on the floor, they blow out opponents by double digits.

433
00:23:37.119 --> 00:23:39.720
<v Speaker 3>And the Lakers are a huge outlier in this. That

434
00:23:39.799 --> 00:23:44.759
<v Speaker 3>Lebron James and Luka Doncic are basically breaking even when

435
00:23:44.799 --> 00:23:47.759
<v Speaker 3>they're on the floor together, and that, you know, one

436
00:23:47.880 --> 00:23:53.839
<v Speaker 3>game sample size of yesterday barely nudged them above the

437
00:23:54.160 --> 00:23:57.799
<v Speaker 3>mendos or the break even line, and that's really interesting.

438
00:23:57.839 --> 00:24:00.240
<v Speaker 3>No one else is in the same territory as Ron

439
00:24:00.279 --> 00:24:02.599
<v Speaker 3>and Doncic on the floor. They've got to figure out

440
00:24:02.599 --> 00:24:05.839
<v Speaker 3>a way to maximize those two guys. And last night

441
00:24:05.960 --> 00:24:09.279
<v Speaker 3>was incredible and Austin Reeves has been great. But it

442
00:24:09.400 --> 00:24:14.079
<v Speaker 3>is interesting that the Lakers there have been some blowouts

443
00:24:14.119 --> 00:24:18.279
<v Speaker 3>that they've been enduring since that trade. Is this is

444
00:24:18.319 --> 00:24:21.279
<v Speaker 3>a source of concern for the Lakers and definitely a

445
00:24:21.359 --> 00:24:26.359
<v Speaker 3>source of appreciation for what Kawhi Leonard and he's healthy,

446
00:24:26.480 --> 00:24:28.559
<v Speaker 3>and James Harden and he's healthy, what they can do.

447
00:24:29.680 --> 00:24:32.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, whenever Kawhi's healthy for an extended period of time,

448
00:24:32.440 --> 00:24:35.079
<v Speaker 1>I'm always just reminded of, like, Yeah, there was a

449
00:24:35.119 --> 00:24:37.960
<v Speaker 1>moment in time in his career that we actually considered

450
00:24:38.000 --> 00:24:41.799
<v Speaker 1>him maybe the best player in this league outside of Lebron.

451
00:24:42.759 --> 00:24:44.839
<v Speaker 1>And I'm realizing this in real time. And I'll ask

452
00:24:44.880 --> 00:24:46.720
<v Speaker 1>you about one more team before he sets you loose.

453
00:24:47.400 --> 00:24:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Like the Clippers, the Timberwolves went through a stretch they

454
00:24:50.720 --> 00:24:53.480
<v Speaker 1>went two and six over an eight game period. They

455
00:24:53.519 --> 00:24:56.680
<v Speaker 1>even lost to the Utah Jazz, which does not happen

456
00:24:56.799 --> 00:25:00.200
<v Speaker 1>very much. Yeah, and then after that they're all so

457
00:25:00.359 --> 00:25:04.119
<v Speaker 1>fourteen and three in their last seventeen with some good wins,

458
00:25:04.799 --> 00:25:07.519
<v Speaker 1>including win over the Nuggets, and I could keep going,

459
00:25:07.599 --> 00:25:11.039
<v Speaker 1>you know, two wins over Denver. So are you buying

460
00:25:11.319 --> 00:25:15.519
<v Speaker 1>the recent serge from Minnesota? What are their chances to

461
00:25:15.599 --> 00:25:18.359
<v Speaker 1>make some noise come playoff time as that's right around

462
00:25:18.359 --> 00:25:18.759
<v Speaker 1>the corner.

463
00:25:19.799 --> 00:25:22.640
<v Speaker 3>So for my title tiers that just came out this morning,

464
00:25:22.759 --> 00:25:26.119
<v Speaker 3>I actually upgraded the Clippers to a four star tier

465
00:25:26.960 --> 00:25:30.680
<v Speaker 3>and the other team on that tier the Minnesota Timberwolves.

466
00:25:31.160 --> 00:25:34.000
<v Speaker 3>They're elite on both ends of the floor. They're tenth

467
00:25:34.160 --> 00:25:38.640
<v Speaker 3>on offense adjusted for their opponent schedule and fifth defensively

468
00:25:39.519 --> 00:25:44.200
<v Speaker 3>adjusted for their opponents strength. So this team is top

469
00:25:44.240 --> 00:25:48.079
<v Speaker 3>five on defense, top ten on offense, and with their

470
00:25:48.119 --> 00:25:51.240
<v Speaker 3>health on their side, now that they're healthy, they're really

471
00:25:51.319 --> 00:25:54.640
<v Speaker 3>deep and they're good. And nas Reed I think is

472
00:25:54.640 --> 00:25:57.680
<v Speaker 3>the better option if to Rudy Gobert in crunch time

473
00:25:57.720 --> 00:26:00.599
<v Speaker 3>and in the postseason, rather than Julius Randall. But that's

474
00:26:00.599 --> 00:26:02.759
<v Speaker 3>a good problem to have, like when you got two

475
00:26:02.880 --> 00:26:06.400
<v Speaker 3>studs there. And I'm lower on Julius Randall than most people.

476
00:26:06.920 --> 00:26:08.960
<v Speaker 3>But when you have the option to have a stretch

477
00:26:09.839 --> 00:26:13.079
<v Speaker 3>five or a stretch four like nas Reed instead of

478
00:26:13.119 --> 00:26:15.400
<v Speaker 3>a bully like Julius Randall, if you need to go

479
00:26:15.440 --> 00:26:17.559
<v Speaker 3>one on one and a guy to get you a bucket.

480
00:26:17.880 --> 00:26:22.839
<v Speaker 3>Probably lean towards Julius Randall. If Anthony Edwards is, you know,

481
00:26:22.880 --> 00:26:25.720
<v Speaker 3>fatigue down the stretch or dealing with foul trouble, don't

482
00:26:25.720 --> 00:26:27.680
<v Speaker 3>want to get a charge against him or anything like that.

483
00:26:27.759 --> 00:26:31.079
<v Speaker 3>You got options. And this team with doctor Devincenzo also

484
00:26:32.000 --> 00:26:34.160
<v Speaker 3>stepping up his game being one of the most efficient

485
00:26:34.200 --> 00:26:37.119
<v Speaker 3>scorers in the NBA over the last couple of months,

486
00:26:37.559 --> 00:26:40.640
<v Speaker 3>this team is a four star contender. I still think

487
00:26:40.640 --> 00:26:42.960
<v Speaker 3>that the Golden State Warriors are in a tier above

488
00:26:43.480 --> 00:26:46.680
<v Speaker 3>along with OKC, Boston and Cleveland. I got four teams

489
00:26:46.720 --> 00:26:50.559
<v Speaker 3>in the five star tier and that lost yesterday by

490
00:26:50.839 --> 00:26:55.039
<v Speaker 3>the Golden State Warriors. Iman Thompson, what a performance by

491
00:26:55.039 --> 00:26:58.119
<v Speaker 3>the Houston Rocket is to absolutely shut down Steph Curry.

492
00:26:59.519 --> 00:27:01.960
<v Speaker 3>It's it's gonna be an absolute dog fight in the

493
00:27:01.960 --> 00:27:04.720
<v Speaker 3>Western Conference. I'm not ready for it, Like I'm I'm

494
00:27:04.839 --> 00:27:07.480
<v Speaker 3>already stressing out by all the good teams that are

495
00:27:07.480 --> 00:27:10.759
<v Speaker 3>gonna get eliminated in this play in tournament. We're looking,

496
00:27:11.440 --> 00:27:14.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm telling you, this is crazy. We're looking at the

497
00:27:14.319 --> 00:27:18.160
<v Speaker 3>possibility of the Lakers getting the number two seed in

498
00:27:18.200 --> 00:27:22.599
<v Speaker 3>the Western Conference or being eliminated in the play in tournament.

499
00:27:24.440 --> 00:27:26.839
<v Speaker 3>That's what the next week is gonna tell us, because

500
00:27:26.839 --> 00:27:28.640
<v Speaker 3>they have the opportunity to get the number two seed

501
00:27:28.799 --> 00:27:30.880
<v Speaker 3>or the number eight seed. And if you're in the

502
00:27:30.960 --> 00:27:35.200
<v Speaker 3>number eight seed, your two losses away from being eliminated

503
00:27:35.200 --> 00:27:37.440
<v Speaker 3>from the playoffs before they even start. And that's where

504
00:27:37.440 --> 00:27:39.160
<v Speaker 3>we're at with the Lakers. They can be anywhere from

505
00:27:39.200 --> 00:27:42.440
<v Speaker 3>number two and number eight. And that's just that goes

506
00:27:42.440 --> 00:27:46.000
<v Speaker 3>for Minnesota, that goes for Golden State, the Ghost for Houston, Memphis.

507
00:27:46.359 --> 00:27:48.359
<v Speaker 3>It's gonna be crazy and I can't wait for it.

508
00:27:48.960 --> 00:27:50.559
<v Speaker 2>Tom, Where can people go find all the work?

509
00:27:50.559 --> 00:27:56.400
<v Speaker 3>Buddy my x feed Tom Haverstrow also Tom underscore Haberstrow

510
00:27:56.440 --> 00:27:58.799
<v Speaker 3>on Instagram. If you love Top Chef, got a Top

511
00:27:58.880 --> 00:28:00.880
<v Speaker 3>Chef podcast going right now now that's kicking in the

512
00:28:00.920 --> 00:28:03.519
<v Speaker 3>high gear, So go check that out in tomdefinder dot com.

513
00:28:03.680 --> 00:28:05.440
<v Speaker 2>Do you really think Zach is smarter than you are

514
00:28:05.480 --> 00:28:08.119
<v Speaker 2>when it comes to basketball?

515
00:28:08.240 --> 00:28:11.400
<v Speaker 3>Uh? Yeah, he's a big bully, that guy. I don't wanna.

516
00:28:11.440 --> 00:28:12.799
<v Speaker 3>I don't want to get on his bad side.

517
00:28:13.079 --> 00:28:16.039
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, all right, yeah, Well, I appreciate the time, man,

518
00:28:16.079 --> 00:28:16.599
<v Speaker 1>have a good week.

519
00:28:16.640 --> 00:28:20.519
<v Speaker 2>We'll chat all right with Tom Haberstrom,
