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Speaker 1: What's going on. Thank you so much for listening to

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this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon

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to three on WBT Radio in Charlotte. And if you

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smartphone or tablet. And again, thank you so much for

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your support.

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Speaker 2: Yeah a second, let me just check the market here

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real quick.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So yeah, it's sell off continues. But this is

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the short term gain or pain, sorry, short term pain.

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This is the short term pain for the long term gain.

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And I'm just curious how long is the short term pain?

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I know, is it like a month, two, three, four, five, six,

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or does it have you even thought about that? Is

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this a litmus test that you're putting me and anybody

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else through? And right now I'm speaking to people who

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really love Donald Trump. And once again, just to be clear,

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I voted for Donald Trump. However, Donald Trump is an

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elected politician. He is the head of the government. I

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don't trust my government. I don't trust anybody that is

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in that office to tell me the truth at all times.

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I think American history is pretty replete with examples of

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why we should not. Now I've been told that U

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and I went over this all yesterday, and I apparently

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have to keep hammering away to say, I don't know

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if Donald Trump's tariff regime is going to work.

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Speaker 2: It freaking better.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say that it better because a lot

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of people are going to get hurt really badly if

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it doesn't.

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Speaker 2: So I hope it does. I hope he is the

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one guy who.

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Speaker 1: Can crack the code that virtually every economist of the

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last century has said, this is not a good economic

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policy to pursue. It creates inflation, it drives up prices,

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it's attacks on your own people like all of all

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of that that school of thought, every one of them

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are wrong, and and Donald Trump is right. That's what

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I'm being told I have to I have to believe. Now,

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you may not know this about me, but I am

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a bit I have a bit of an anti authority

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streak in me. Now, It's true. From the very beginning,

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I was like this a bit of contrarianism, oppositional defiance,

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whatever you want to call it, and so when Gov.

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Coe people tell me things, I'm a little skeptical. And

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so when somebody comes along and says the way that

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we have been doing this stuff for you know, one

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hundred years, and the you know, the free and fair trade,

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this idea that trade is a rising tide that lifts

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all boats and has lifted you know, the globe out

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of poverty, which, by the way, it has just for

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the case you weren't aware of that, Like, there are

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fewer people living in poverty now than ever before, and

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we have a larger population than ever before on the

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face of the planet. And I would submit that that's

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that's probably better than the alternative, right where more people

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become impoverished. But that whole, that whole philosophy, the whole

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idea that setting up protectionist policies ends up hurting the

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country that sets them up. As I said yesterday, maybe

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I'm just a fish that doesn't know it's wet because

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this is the water I've been swimming in. Because this

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has been the accepted understanding of economic theory my entire life.

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Because the mistakes were made in prior generations, they learned

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from those mistakes said let's not do that let's repeal

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those things, let's you know, change course. And they said

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this is a better course. And now we're going back

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to say no, no, no, that's all been wrong. What

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the original thing that they shifted away from. That's what

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we need to go back to. And that's what that's

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what we're all being brought along for. And that's why

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I said, Donald Trump better be right, because he's pinned

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his legacy on it. He's pinned your fortunes literally on it,

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your standard of living, my standard of living. He is,

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you know, risking global trade wars. He's upending everything. And

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I know people who love Donald Trump and trust him.

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I know that you are trusting that he knows what

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he's doing. And maybe for you, it's not even a

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thought that crosses your mind that he may be wrong

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on this. There's no way he could be wrong on it.

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But again, I have a little bit of skepticism about it.

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And here's the thing. You're not going to shame me

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for it. I've seen your emails and your tweets and

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all this. You're not going to shame me for being

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skeptical of it. Because when I'm skeptical of the Democrat

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in the White House.

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Speaker 2: You love it.

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Speaker 1: But if I'm skeptical of Donald Trump, now I'm a globalist,

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do you hear yourselves? It's just and I'll say this like,

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I don't have any animosity or anything.

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Speaker 2: It's just this is not so.

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Speaker 1: If you're going to set this up as a litmus

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test and you're going to say that if I don't

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agree with Trump on every single thing that he does,

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that flies in the face of not just what I

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prior believed and still do, but also all of the

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U the understanding of economists, Austrian economists and such that

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I'm now supposed to just discard all of those those beliefs,

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those ideas because Trump is saying something else.

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Speaker 2: Now you can do that. That's totally fine if you would.

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Speaker 1: You know, you hadn't had any thoughts about these things before,

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and now Trump says no, no, no, everybody's wrong. I'm right,

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and you're like, okay, I'm gonna go with Trump. Okay,

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but it's not going to change. It's that doesn't force

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me to change too, and threatening my job is not

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going to do it either. I made a good living

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before I got back to WBT. So your threats about

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that stuff don't. Actually they don't land the way you

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may think they do. And if this isn't, if you

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haven't thought these things, said, these things, emailed these things,

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And I'm obviously not talking to you. I'm just letting

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others know that it doesn't work on me. I don't

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need to cheer lead for policy that I don't think

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is correct, and me pointing out the problems or raising

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the questions of the policy doesn't mean I hate Trump,

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and it doesn't mean that I want him to fail,

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and it doesn't mean I hate American and it doesn't

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mean I'm a globalist all of these things. Okay, So

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I just want to set that, set that out on

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the table before we begin, because this is going to

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be a bumpy ride, that's what the White House says.

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So if you don't want to hear about the bumps,

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then I guess you know, tune out from the news

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for however long the short term pain is. And again

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I don't know how long that short term pain is

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going be. There was a famous quote, I think it

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was Reagan. He said, you know, he's looking for.

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Speaker 2: A one arm economist. Do you ever hear this joke?

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The one armed economist?

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: If you're listening to this show, you know I try

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to keep up with all sorts of current events, and

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I know you do too, And you've probably heard me

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say get your news from multiple sources. Why well, because

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it's how you detect media bias, which is why I've

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been so impressed with ground News. It's an app, and

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it's a website, and it combines news from around the

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world in one place, so you can compare coverage and

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verify information. You can check it out at check dot ground,

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dot news slash pete. I put the link in the

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podcast description too. I started using ground News a few

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months ago and more recently chose to work with them

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as an affiliate because it lets me see clearly how

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stories get covered and by whom. The blind spot feature

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shows you which stories get ignored by the left and

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the right. See for yourself. Check dot ground, dot news

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slash pete. Subscribe through that link and you'll get fifteen

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percent off any subscription. I use the Vantage plan to

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get unlimited access to every feature. Your subscription then not

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only helps my podcast, but it also supports ground News

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as they make the media landscape more transparent. Kevin writes

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in to Pete at the Pete klenershow dot com. He says,

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I really do hope this is six dimensional chess with

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these tariffs. But Pete, remember this is the same guy

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that said Haitians are eating the dogs and eating the cats.

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Speaker 2: That one, that one statement flip the switch in my head.

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I hoped, I hoped I was wrong, but had suspected

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something isn't quite right.

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Speaker 1: All right, So I said, I would tell you about

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the one armed economist. I believe it was Ronald Reagan,

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and he made a joke about how he wished he'd

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only had one arm economists on staff, because whenever he

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would talk to his economists, they would say, well, on

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the one hand, this could happen and it would be good.

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But on the other hand, this could happen and it

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would be bad. And then on the other hand, this

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and that and whatever, right, and what's the uh, what's

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the premise of the joke? There the truth, the truth

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that makes the joke funny, which is that it is

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nearly impossible to predict a national global economy and the

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reactions and the movements and all of that because of

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all of the factors in an economy. I keep hammering away.

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At this point, the free market is all of us.

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It is you, it is me. That is the free market.

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When you go to the store, from the from the

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the time you choose to go right to the sale

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that they may be offering, to the products that you

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purchase at every single step along that way, along that journey,

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there are an infinite number of factors at play. Impulse

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buying at a grocery store, stuff like that marketing you saw.

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Do you remember did I need to get that coffee?

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I don't remember. I'll just go ahead and buy it.

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You see, like there were all these factors that central

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planning can never account for. So stay free. And the

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more that you get GOV co involved in these kinds

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of command control decisions, the less free the free market

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you will be. That's always been sort of my baseline.

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That's like my default position is always towards more freedom.

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That's not to say I cannot be persuaded. As I

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have repeatedly said, but people don't hear, which is that

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if this all turns out to be to play out

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exactly as everybody is telling me it's going to play out,

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and this is all going to be awesome for America,

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then I will obviously change my opinion because I don't

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hold opinions that I know to be false. But my

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question is, if it doesn't turn out that way, do

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the proponents change their opinions or is somebody else to

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blame for that? Is it going to be another sort

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of not my fault like Gary mcfatten our sheriff pulls.

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It's always somebody else's fault if it doesn't work out.

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You know, there was a call I got years ago

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during the two thousand and eight election. It was right

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after the two thousand and eight election. I was sitting

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right in this chair and a guy called in and

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he said he never thought he would see the day

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when America would elect a black president. And I asked

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him why, and he said, well, as a as a

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black man, I didn't think that white Americans would ever

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vote for a black candidate. This is after Obama had won.

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And so I asked him, does your opinion of Americans

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white Americans? Does that now change? And he said no.

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So even even when the evidence came back and proved

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that his opinion, his belief was incorrect, he still couldn't

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change his opinion. That's bigotry, by the way, that's what

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that is. So that's what I guard against for myself. Again,

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your mileage may vary. All right, Let's go over and

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talk with Clyde. Hello, Clyde, welcome to the show.

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Speaker 4: Thank god after me, Thank you, sir.

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Speaker 2: What's going on?

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Speaker 4: I think he's playing a big game of chicken in

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this deal. And if you're not going to see all

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these tariffs on there for very long, he knows how

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to make deals, and I'm thinking within a few days

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you're gonna start seeing a bunch of them disappear because

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he's pulling out these people for screwing us for years

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that nobody else has had to go the ads to

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address this problem. But I think he's just playing chicken

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with these guys and they're going to blink first on

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this deed.

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Speaker 1: So when playing chicken, I'm thinking in terms of like,

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you know, two guys in the fifties, you know, with

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their hot rods driving towards each other, and then one

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of them is going to pull away, you know, So

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what happens if neither side pulls away.

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Speaker 4: Well, then that's the problem. And you're exactly right, you

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don't know what's going to happen, but you've got the

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leverage on this, and we you know, the riches and

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so forth, and I think it's what's gonna happen. That's

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just my opinion.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I mean that's speculative, and I'm hoping that

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if that is the play, which by the way, the

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White House said it wasn't that they're not trying to

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negotiate this stuff. But maybe they are, and they're just

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lying and saying that they're not trying to negotiate.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: And that's the concern is that they may not have

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a strategy. You're assuming that that is the strategy and

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hoping that it is the case, and because if it's not,

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then it's it's going to get very bad.

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Speaker 4: That's true. And I'm just hoping that's, you know, the

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way he's dealt with things in the past, and he's

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got this little brain power that we don't know about.

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I'm thinking that's exactly what he's gotten in mind.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's hope so Clyde have a great weekend, sir.

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I appreciate it, hiybody, Yeah, I see it. China announced

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today that it's imposing tariffs on us. It's increasing its

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tariffs imposed thirty four percent tariffs on the US. That's

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the same amount that Trump put on them. So reciprocal,

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you might say, although ours were reciprocal, but now there's

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a reciprocal You see how trade wars start because there

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is a there is an incentive to escalate. The new

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tariffs from China against the US go into effect April tenth,

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according to the Wall Street Journal. And then there's this

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from the communists over there, this gravely VI he's there

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talking about this is hang on a second.

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Speaker 2: This is their.

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Speaker 1: Foreign Ministry spokesperson Gaun who said, I think I pronounced

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that right.

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Speaker 2: He says, I think it's a He says.

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Speaker 1: This gravely violates World Trade Organization rules and undermines the

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rules based multilateral trading system. And we have a lot

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of experience doing this too, so we would know, like, guys,

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you're you're not the ones to make this argument China,

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you guys are not the ones to make it. And

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remember rule number one when dealing with communists is what

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communists lie, they lie. So I don't care what you're

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rat estional is you want to slap the tariffs on

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and retaliation, go for it. I expected that, I expect

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by the way, me personally, I have no idea if

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this will happen, and I hope it doesn't. But my

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expectation is that a whole bunch of other countries are

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going to hit hit us with uh these taxes too,

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with the tariffs also, that's my expectation. Now, I hope

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I'm disappointed, not disappointed, but I hope I'm wrong. So like,

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because if I'm wrong, then they don't hit us with

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all of the tariffs and we've got a good resolution.

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Speaker 2: That's awesome.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, no, I'm I'm yeah, maybe uh maybe that's

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a little pessimistic, but that's how I think these other

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countries are going to start reacting if they can't get

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their own carve outs.

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Speaker 2: As Clyde said, so.

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Speaker 1: Now everyone's going to go and negotiate with Donald Trump

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separately to try to get the deals and all of this. So,

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by the way, I have a question regarding because Clyde

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also mentioned that, you know, no one else has stood

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up to these other countries and did this thing. And

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and it's important to keep in mind that there is

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a difference between a trade deficit and barriers that includes tariffs,

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trade barriers. A trade barrier yes, can can impact the

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trade deficit, but a deficit does not automatically mean that

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there are barriers in place or tariffs in place. That's

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not an automatic thing. It's like a square is a rahmbus,

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but a rambas is not a square kind of a thing.

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A barrier can, yes, create more trade deficit, but a

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trade deficit doesn't automatically mean that they've got barriers. It

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might just mean, for example, if I'm digging a lot

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of coal, by country is dirt poor, but we got

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a lot of coal, and so are people. My people

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are digging coal. We don't have any factories to do

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anything with it because we are poor. We have no investment,

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we have no roads, we have a barely functioning government

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or whatever. And so we dig out this coal and

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America comes along and says, hey, we'll buy that coal. Okay,

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this was like a decade or so ago before we

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band all the coal, but you get the idea here,

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so like, we'll buy that coal. So they buy all

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of the coal. So now my poor country is selling

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all of this coal, but we have no money to

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buy anything from America.

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Speaker 2: So we have a surplus. We have a trade surplus.

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Speaker 1: Because we don't have any money to buy the stuff

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that you're making because we're poor, So are we.

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Speaker 2: Are? Are we cheating? Are we taking advantage of America?

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Speaker 1: Are?

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Speaker 3: Like?

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Speaker 1: This is the problem with this way of thinking about

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a trade deficit. A trade deficit is different than just

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like a fiscal deficit on your government books. And I

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think a lot of people are conflating these things together

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that somehow it's a loss of money and it simply

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means that we are buying more from another country than

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they are buying from us. And by the way, the

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data that the White House was using is only for goods,

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it's not for services, and America is seventy seven percent

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service based economy.

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Speaker 2: So keep in mind.

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Speaker 1: Here's a great idea. How about making an escape to

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a really special and secluded getaway in western North Carolina.

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Just a quick drive up the mountain and Cabins of

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Asheville is your connection. Whether you're celebrating an anniversary, a honeymoon,

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maybe you want to plan a memorable proposal, or get

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family and friends together for a big old reunion, Cabins

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of Asheville has the ideal spot for you where you

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can reconnect with your loved ones and the things that

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truly matter. Nestled within the breath taking fourteen thousand acres

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of the Pisga National Forest, their cabins offer a serene

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escape in the heart of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Centrally

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located between Ashville and the entrance of the Great Smoky

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Mountain National Park. It's the perfect balance of seclusion and

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proximity to all the local attractions with hot tubs, fireplaces,

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361
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offashville dot com and make memories that'll last a lifetime. Alrighty,

362
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:40,400
so let's get to some of the emails. First Joseph,

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who says, Pete, you're letting the markets and the business

364
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pundits activate your spiritual boomer.

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Speaker 2: That's not true. It's been two days.

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Speaker 1: So when I started the show, I made a joke

367
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about the markets being down again as they were yesterday,

368
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and so I asked the question, how long is the

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short term paint? And so this is the attack on

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me for asking how much pain are we actually looking

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at and for how long?

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Speaker 2: And for just asking the question.

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Speaker 1: I am what did he say here activating my spiritual

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boomer dude? I'm a gen xer pound sand dude. It's

375
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,839
like that doesn't that doesn't work on me. The gen

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x like I am more towards the individual than the

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collective than the Boomers were. So this globalist con has

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been going on for forty years. It's not going to

379
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go quietly, but it must go. The two hundred dollar

380
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,559
fifty inch flat screen isn't worth a hollowed out nation

381
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of gig workers and onlyfan models. That is a false choice.

382
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,319
But duly noted that we will own nothing and be happy,

383
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which sounds a lot like somebody else I've heard recently

384
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:57,559
talking about a new reset of the global order. No, look,

385
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,640
I'm sure, I'm sure everybody's going to be very satisfied

386
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:06,960
going back to a factory job twisting caps onto toothpaste tubes.

387
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Sewing Nike sneakers and such, and then making you know,

388
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,400
eighty ninety one hundred thousand dollars a year for that

389
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factory job, and only being able to afford you know,

390
00:23:21,279 --> 00:23:23,519
a single television in the home.

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Speaker 3: Right.

392
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,839
Speaker 2: See, I can play the false choice game too, Joseph.

393
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 1: Come on, man, Greg says, My biggest gripe with Donald

394
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Trump being the nominee in this recent election is his

395
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:40,039
loyal MAGA following. There are a lot of independent thinkers

396
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,359
and smart folks in Maga, sure, but most of the

397
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,359
mega people I know are much more shallow on the issues,

398
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,400
and they just love Donald Trump no matter what. And

399
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,039
by the way, that is always the case in you know,

400
00:23:52,079 --> 00:23:54,119
in any election with any candidate, there are people that

401
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:57,480
just love the candidate and you know, the facts don't

402
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:01,519
matter or whatever. That's enough, that's their god. They look

403
00:24:01,559 --> 00:24:05,799
at it like a team sport. I think there's a

404
00:24:05,839 --> 00:24:09,359
main source or sorry, I think that's a main source

405
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:12,680
of this crazy tariff Dumpy just released. He knows that

406
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,799
he will remain the savior to most of his base

407
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,119
no matter what he does. My point is a politician

408
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,799
that doesn't fear losing his base is sure to be

409
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,960
reckless and take large risks like the one we are

410
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:24,799
witnessing now.

411
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Speaker 2: But I hope it works.

412
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:33,279
Speaker 1: Rick says, I suspect that Thomas Sole is highly regarded

413
00:24:33,319 --> 00:24:36,720
across the political spectrum, but particularly so among those who

414
00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:39,920
lean to the right. His book Basic Economics is an

415
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,680
excellent source of information to help one better understand how

416
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:47,480
economics work. In Basic Economics the book, there is a

417
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:51,799
chapter on international trade. He explains very clearly why tariffs

418
00:24:51,839 --> 00:24:57,000
have unintended negative consequences and cites historic examples. I recommend

419
00:24:57,039 --> 00:25:00,240
this book highly. I do actually have Thomas Sol gave

420
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,440
an interview a couple of m there's a couple of

421
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,440
years ago, but it was I think during the first

422
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,839
I've got it here someplace in the stack of stuff.

423
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:14,079
His commentary on the first round of tariffs that Trump

424
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:20,880
did in the first term. So let's see here is Chuck.

425
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,640
It sounds like you climbed on the fence, Pete.

426
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Speaker 2: See.

427
00:25:24,519 --> 00:25:27,880
Speaker 1: This is the kind of stuff I get when when

428
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:31,400
I disagree with anything Donald Trump does. I don't have

429
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,279
to attack Donald Trump. I don't have to say anything

430
00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:36,319
negative about him. No, No, it's just hey, he did something.

431
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,720
It's like I don't Yeah, I'm not a fan of

432
00:25:38,759 --> 00:25:44,319
that policy. And it's like you suck pete Like guys, really,

433
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,480
so you're saying that I have to agree with every

434
00:25:48,519 --> 00:25:53,960
single thing Donald Trump says and does. That's ridiculous. That's ridiculous.

435
00:25:54,079 --> 00:25:56,480
There isn't anybody you should agree with one hundred percent

436
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:56,920
of the time.

437
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:00,519
Speaker 2: Goes on.

438
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,599
Speaker 1: He is not a politician. He is the president. No, chuck,

439
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,480
he's a politician. In fact, he said he was. He

440
00:26:07,519 --> 00:26:10,480
said he was. He made a comment at a stump

441
00:26:10,519 --> 00:26:14,519
speech a couple of years ago, and he talked about politicians,

442
00:26:14,519 --> 00:26:16,240
and then he said, well, I guess I guess I'm

443
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,519
one of those politicians. Now, huh Yeah. When you run

444
00:26:19,559 --> 00:26:22,319
for a political office and then you win that political

445
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,640
office and hold it and then run again for reelection

446
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:31,200
and win it again, you're a politician. He's not not

447
00:26:31,279 --> 00:26:37,200
a politician just because you like him. Politicians have been

448
00:26:37,279 --> 00:26:40,440
running this kacas show for how long He's had to

449
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,880
fight dang near everyone every step of the way. Why not,

450
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:45,519
good Lord, give him a chance?

451
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 2: What have I said?

452
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 1: What have I said for the last twenty four hours

453
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:53,640
since they unveiled this regime?

454
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:54,279
Speaker 2: What have I said?

455
00:26:56,240 --> 00:27:01,519
Speaker 1: This goes against everything that I have ever learned about

456
00:27:01,759 --> 00:27:07,200
tariffs and international economics. And maybe I'm wrong, and maybe

457
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:09,519
all those other people have been wrong all this time.

458
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,160
And if you think that that's the case, good on you.

459
00:27:12,279 --> 00:27:14,599
It doesn't matter to me. I really don't care if

460
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,880
people disagree with me, But apparently people think people really

461
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:18,440
do care if.

462
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 2: I disagree with them. So I hope it works.

463
00:27:21,759 --> 00:27:23,920
Speaker 1: It would be fantastic if whatever it is that they're

464
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:27,039
trying to do works and it redounds to the benefit

465
00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:30,920
of Americans, and then I will discard all that I

466
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,960
knew or thought I knew about international economics and tariffs.

467
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:39,039
Speaker 2: That's what I've said. But this is too far. This

468
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,920
is a bridge too far, all right?

469
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 1: So spring is here a time of renewal and celebrations.

470
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:48,039
You've got graduations, weddings, anniversaries, and the special days for

471
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,480
mom and dad. Your family's making memories that are going

472
00:27:50,519 --> 00:27:52,920
to last a lifetime. But let me ask you, are

473
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:56,119
all of those treasured moments from days gone by? Are

474
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,480
they hidden away on old VCR tapes, eight millimeter films,

475
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:04,000
photo slides? Are they preserved? Because over time, these precious

476
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memories can fade and deteriorate, losing the magic of yesterday.

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they can be enjoyed for generations to come. I urge

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are accepted to get all the details that create a

487
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video dot com. I was also advised yesterday to stop

488
00:28:46,559 --> 00:28:50,880
scaring people by talking about the tariffs and the concerns

489
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:51,759
that I have about them.

490
00:28:52,039 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 2: No, I'm I'm.

491
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:57,039
Speaker 1: Not gonna stop talking about the concerns I have about

492
00:28:57,079 --> 00:28:57,759
what I'm seeing.

493
00:28:58,279 --> 00:29:00,359
Speaker 2: That's like, literally what I do.

494
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:07,599
Speaker 1: You're talking about a reset of the global international trade order.

495
00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:15,839
I think it's worth a couple of conversations now, Eric,

496
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:16,519
Welcome to the show.

497
00:29:16,519 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 3: Hello, Eric, Hey, Pete, Hey, what's up. It's not that

498
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:26,000
here's my point or my problem with the argument that

499
00:29:26,039 --> 00:29:31,160
you've been taking is which argument that the terrorists, like

500
00:29:31,359 --> 00:29:34,519
you know that all these economics are economicists that you

501
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:37,519
know they they're against terrorists. It's bad, it's going to

502
00:29:37,559 --> 00:29:38,359
be terrible. All that.

503
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 2: I've not made that argument.

504
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 3: Okay, here's much. Let me just talk my point.

505
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, but if you're gonna but it sounds like

506
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,119
you don't know what my argument what I've said, So

507
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:51,920
if you're going to make a point that's like encounter

508
00:29:52,039 --> 00:29:54,680
to it's a counter argument is something I've said, I

509
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:55,920
would like it to be something.

510
00:29:55,680 --> 00:30:00,119
Speaker 3: I've said, Well, haven't you said that you know, all

511
00:30:00,119 --> 00:30:03,680
these economists throughout the years, through you know, one hundred

512
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,240
years of history or saying tariffs are bad.

513
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, that they write they for well, they do a

514
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,920
number of things that are you know, unintended consequences. They

515
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,680
create inflation, they stifle innovation, They are tax on the uh,

516
00:30:16,359 --> 00:30:17,640
the domestic population.

517
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,960
Speaker 3: Okay, well here's here's my problem is Okay, we know

518
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,279
I think I think we agree that all these other

519
00:30:27,279 --> 00:30:30,000
countries are using tariffs. Now I know you've made the

520
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,519
point because I listened yesterday that said well that's bad too,

521
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,680
But the problem is they're doing it. So how can

522
00:30:36,759 --> 00:30:41,440
we fight that do we just unilaterally say, which is

523
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,559
what we've been doing for forty years and not have

524
00:30:43,599 --> 00:30:46,519
a lot of tariffs. So countries have taken advantage of that,

525
00:30:46,599 --> 00:30:50,000
So what's our response? How can we correct that? Right?

526
00:30:50,119 --> 00:30:52,519
Speaker 1: So if and I said this yesterday too, that if

527
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:57,480
the approach was to actually do reciprocal tariffs. For example,

528
00:30:58,039 --> 00:31:01,359
you got a country that you know, sells a lot

529
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:07,440
of bananas into our country, and uh we and then

530
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,279
we try to sell something into their country, say you know,

531
00:31:10,759 --> 00:31:14,960
I don't know banana milkshakes, and they are like, well,

532
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,119
we're going to tear if you're banana milkshakes. Okay, well

533
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:18,799
then we're going to tear if you're banana is at

534
00:31:18,839 --> 00:31:23,640
the same rate. But like, that would be a reciprocal tariff, right.

535
00:31:26,079 --> 00:31:28,759
Speaker 3: Right, But isn't what Trump's I agree, I agree. I

536
00:31:28,799 --> 00:31:31,319
would have liked to see Trump just do reciprocal. If

537
00:31:31,799 --> 00:31:34,960
Vietnam is charging US thirty percent, we would do thirty.

538
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:37,440
But I think his approach was, Okay, I'm not going

539
00:31:37,519 --> 00:31:41,119
to go that hard line yet, so I'll say I'll

540
00:31:41,119 --> 00:31:42,880
cut these guys at break and say we won't we

541
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,599
won't do full reciprocal yet. But I just this this

542
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:48,680
is the argument from the one side that doesn't like

543
00:31:48,759 --> 00:31:52,119
this seems to be like a unilateral surrender, like let's

544
00:31:52,119 --> 00:31:54,880
just keep doing what we're doing, which look what has

545
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:55,319
bought us.

546
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 2: No, that's not, but.

547
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,039
Speaker 1: That's not I have not heard anybody say let's just

548
00:31:58,119 --> 00:32:00,640
keep doing what we're doing. There's no dis agreement that

549
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,480
if you've got an unfair trade practice going on and

550
00:32:03,519 --> 00:32:07,319
you want to target with reciprocal tariffs, that that is

551
00:32:07,359 --> 00:32:10,680
a legitimate thing to pursue, right to go after another

552
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,039
country or to you know, to slap them with tariffs,

553
00:32:13,079 --> 00:32:15,279
which apparently that's the only thing you can do with tariffs.

554
00:32:15,279 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 2: It's only slapping. I don't know why, but you only slap, right,

555
00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:20,720
So that's yeah.

556
00:32:20,759 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, So like I like, I'm I've not seen anybody

557
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:27,039
making the making the case that we have to you know,

558
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,599
keep on the same path. Everybody has known what Donald

559
00:32:29,599 --> 00:32:32,119
Trump has thought about tariffs for you know, decades, right,

560
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:34,839
He said the same thing about tariffs, but he also

561
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,880
seems to just like tariffs as the end in and

562
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:44,200
of itself. He sees tariffs as just a good thing

563
00:32:44,359 --> 00:32:48,559
to do, and it may not even be a means

564
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:52,440
to a different end, because if you could go to zero,

565
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,440
like for example South Korea. South Korea, you know what

566
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:59,279
their their tariff is on America. It's like less than

567
00:32:59,319 --> 00:33:03,039
one percent, and we just nailed them with the ten

568
00:33:03,039 --> 00:33:07,960
percent baseline plus more. Brazil has a We have a

569
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:12,480
surplus trading against Brazil and they got hit with terriffs.

570
00:33:13,119 --> 00:33:13,599
Speaker 2: That's what I mean.

571
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:17,559
Speaker 1: This doesn't make sense, unless, of course, it's just because

572
00:33:17,759 --> 00:33:18,640
you like terrafs.

573
00:33:19,119 --> 00:33:20,759
Speaker 2: That's the problem.

574
00:33:21,519 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree if that, I don't know that kind

575
00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:26,559
of detail, and if that's true, then yeah, I don't

576
00:33:26,599 --> 00:33:29,160
agree with that. I agree with I think where you're

577
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,279
at that you said, yes, I agree with doing reciprocal

578
00:33:32,519 --> 00:33:35,759
in Paris, but I just don't think we just do nothing,

579
00:33:35,799 --> 00:33:37,799
which is pretty much is what's been happening for the

580
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:43,400
last whatever since maybe NaSTA nineties, and it seems like

581
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:45,480
that's not the way to go. And Trump's at least

582
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:46,319
trying to address it.

583
00:33:46,519 --> 00:33:46,759
Speaker 4: Yeah.

584
00:33:46,839 --> 00:33:50,119
Speaker 1: No, Look, he is definitely trying to, you know, turn

585
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:54,079
over the tables and prompt a a you know, a

586
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:58,359
radical realignment of some kind. And the problem is, I

587
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:00,400
don't know what that what that looks like. I don't

588
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,720
know what the end goal is, and I keep getting

589
00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:05,200
mixed messages, and then I'm told, well, that's part of

590
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,320
the strategy is for everybody to be confused, and so

591
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,800
then when I express the confusion, I'm then attacked because

592
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,280
I'm confused, and I'm told basically shut up and just

593
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:19,400
follow along, It'll all work out, and like, I'm not

594
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,599
going to do that, so I keep So I'm just

595
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,079
pointing out the confusion and the questions that I've got.

596
00:34:25,639 --> 00:34:28,920
Like Brazil, I think you mentioned somebody mentioned Vietnam. I

597
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,199
think you may have mentioned just mentioned Vietnam. You know,

598
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,519
Vietnam just moved a whole bunch of or companies moved

599
00:34:34,519 --> 00:34:38,000
a whole bunch of their production lines out of China

600
00:34:38,199 --> 00:34:42,639
into Vietnam in order to comply with Trump's tariff stuff

601
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,400
last time. So now they've moved everything to Vietnam, and

602
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:46,760
now Vietnam just got nailed.

603
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,599
Speaker 2: So it's like, what do you like? What is it

604
00:34:49,639 --> 00:34:50,639
that we're trying to do?

605
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,880
Speaker 1: And you know, if the tariffs go up and they

606
00:34:54,199 --> 00:35:00,440
reduce consumption of these foreign made products in America, and

607
00:35:00,519 --> 00:35:02,679
those companies are going to try to stay in business

608
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:04,800
and make sales, who do you think they're going to

609
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:08,519
sell to? I suspect they're going to sell to their neighbors,

610
00:35:09,199 --> 00:35:11,559
and that's a concern Also that I've got is that

611
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,519
you're basically pushing these uh, these other countries to deepen

612
00:35:15,559 --> 00:35:19,360
their ties with communists China and help communists China when

613
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:22,079
it actually looks like right now they're in some severe problems.

614
00:35:22,119 --> 00:35:24,599
They're having severe problems.

615
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:27,119
Speaker 3: True, but don't don't we have the leverage. I mean,

616
00:35:27,199 --> 00:35:31,880
everybody wants to we have some Yeah, yeah, it is China.

617
00:35:32,119 --> 00:35:34,559
I mean, they're not going to let other like France

618
00:35:34,639 --> 00:35:37,639
or some of these other countries get into their market either.

619
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:40,519
So it feels I feel like we have the leverage

620
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:41,039
if we can.

621
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:45,639
Speaker 1: Let they'll let Southeast Asian nations like they're going to

622
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:49,320
just like their belt in Road initiatives, they're going to

623
00:35:49,599 --> 00:35:52,960
they're going to try and deepen those ties with their

624
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:58,000
neighbors because they're trying to create h hegemony there or

625
00:35:58,039 --> 00:36:00,960
hegemony there. You know, they're trying to as certain control

626
00:36:01,039 --> 00:36:04,800
over that sphere, that hemisphere. And so my concern is

627
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:09,320
that this gives them a really good, a really wide lane.

628
00:36:09,039 --> 00:36:09,519
Speaker 2: To run in.

629
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with you that. I'm also in the

630
00:36:15,679 --> 00:36:19,199
camp of Okay, there's definitely some skeps is a little

631
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:22,119
worry of where's this going to go? But again it's

632
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:25,199
this hasn't been ever tried. Like, I think it's worth

633
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:27,679
the effort. Yes, this could turn out badly, but I

634
00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:29,679
think something had to be done, right.

635
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:33,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, Look again, I can agree that that the course

636
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:36,840
needed to be corrected. I can agree that reciprocal tariffs

637
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:39,800
would be appropriate when you're dealing with barriers put up

638
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:44,239
by other countries. Absolutely, but I like, I don't know

639
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,800
if this is the way that is that you best

640
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:51,480
achieved that. And again, like as I said, like, there

641
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:55,239
are unintended consequences to this, and this has like tariffs

642
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,960
have been done over the course of the last you know, millennia.

643
00:36:59,039 --> 00:37:02,119
These things have been done, and America has a history

644
00:37:02,199 --> 00:37:05,960
that economists look at and they see the results and

645
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,000
it's like, yeah, this is generally not a great thing.

646
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:14,199
And also, these figures that the Trump administration has been

647
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:19,440
using are not They don't include services, and we quote

648
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:23,760
export a lot of services, and people disagree with that,

649
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:25,880
and that's a fundamental question.

650
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:27,039
Speaker 2: I think that's at the heart of this.

651
00:37:27,079 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 1: Also is that there are people that want to see

652
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:35,239
America go back to a predominantly manufacturer manufacturing export country

653
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:40,239
versus a services export country. And so that's why they

654
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:42,119
like this idea is they think it's going to get

655
00:37:42,119 --> 00:37:45,119
them there, it's going to get us there, but we're already.

656
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,800
We're still the number two manufacturing country in the world

657
00:37:48,519 --> 00:37:52,360
behind China. All right, that'll do it for this episode.

658
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:54,519
Thank you so much for listening. I could not do

659
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:56,679
the show without your support and the support of the

660
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:59,760
businesses that advertise on the podcast, so if you'd like,

661
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,000
please support them too and tell them you heard it here.

662
00:38:02,159 --> 00:38:04,679
You can also become a patron at my Patreon page

663
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,360
or go to thepetecleanershow dot com. Again, thank you so

664
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,199
much for listening, and don't break anything while I'm gone.

