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Speaker 1: You are live.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk the walk.

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It's Thursday and it's UFC week, So we're gonna start

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off with Yanni. We're gonna talk some UFC. Dan, we

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got a loaded show. Get on in here, Dan, you

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look a million times better than you did yesterday.

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Speaker 3: I feel a million all we had to all we

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had to do, beat Prez's ass in the comment off,

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and shout out to those who watch wager Talk today.

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We'll circle back and explain to those who didn't watch

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yesterday's show the feet that we pulled off, but we

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doubled up the best betting show ever, so.

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Speaker 1: We'll circle back to that.

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Speaker 3: But you know, folks, we got free plays coming your way,

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all kinds of action coming your way. We're gonna start

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off with Yanni. We're gonna talk UFC three twenty four

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with him. Of course, he's gonna give you the steam report.

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What have we seen here in some of these NFL games,

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as back down to four and four and a half,

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essentially painted in that Broncos and Patriots game, who is

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betting it and how much they bet and Yanni's gonna

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let you know he's also going to talk little hoops

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as well. And then we got Joe Rnari coming by

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licking the wounds of the Miami loss against you. But

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you guys cashed for people who hopped on that seven

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day special all week long, so I don't think anyone

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is bemoaning. Joe's gonna give you a play in some

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NFL action and he's gonna talk that NBA Prime doubleheader, Warriors, Mavericks, Lakers, Clickers.

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You know, we got WTF and LFG and we need

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to get a win in that.

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Speaker 1: Andy's got all around the world.

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Speaker 3: So loaded show here on a Thursday, and Andy, Yes,

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I am feeling a million percent better.

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Speaker 2: Nice uh to be shout out Andy for cashing that

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one but two tennis play. Uh listen. My goal for

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this time of year is to show you guys how

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to make money in these sports and in these markets

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that you're probably not paying attention to. And we cleaned

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up on doubles tennis at the Australian Open. Uh. Also, yeah,

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we just cast another four percent cricket telling you guys,

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you want to build your bankroll, you want this to

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be a serious thing. These are the sports that you

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do it in. So yeah, appreciate everybody that jumped on board,

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and let's get into it. Dan, come on, let's do.

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We have to get back on track with WTFLFG the

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single worst pick in history.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday we lost by sixty points. We took a like

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a half. We had to take sixty and a half

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to cover. Holy shit, that was bad. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: The play of the day was taking Brooklyn plus eleven

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and a half and you would have lost if you

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took them plus fifty and a half. Would you would

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have imagine losing that altline. So it was truly terrible.

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But you lose by the hooker, you lose by fifty,

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it doesn't matter. Get us back on track. What's today's play.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, on these plays, we're now sitting fifteen and nine,

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so still profitable.

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Speaker 1: We're on a two game skid.

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Speaker 3: We're looking to bounce back, and we're going to talk

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a little europe of action here for you guys. And

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this one goes at twelve forty five. After we have

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a sixty point loss. We have to go to some

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premier team, right, No, let's talk the game that's featuring

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one of the worst teams in Europa League maccabee. Tel

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Aviv is taking on Freiburg, this one again going at

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twelve forty five. Freiburg coming into this game sitting closer

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to the top of the table the German side there

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therefore and two tel Aviv's still searching their first win

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in Europa oh and six. Now, all the juice in

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this game tells you Freiburg is going to absolutely smoke

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this team, and that surely is the likely outcome. However,

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the Jews is also saying that there should be a

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lot of goals in this game, and that's the part

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that I don't quite get in this Freiburg tel Aviv game.

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I just yes, this is a major mismatch. Yes, tel

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Aviv should probably get run off of the pitch here. However,

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both of these teams is their first Europa League action

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since December eleventh. There was a bit of a break,

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so now they're returning to play here in Europa and

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Freiburg while they're at the top of the table, it's

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not like they're this offensive stallward they are are nine

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goals in six games. Tel Aviv has only they scored

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two games in their six matches or two goals.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me.

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Speaker 3: In their six matches also, Freiberg at home only one

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goal allowed all year. So as I'm handicapping this game, Andy,

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this feels much more to me like a return to

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play for Freiburg, written like a two nil win, more

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likely a one nil win. I don't think a tie

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is in play here, but I'm actually looking towards the

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under in this one. The over is juiced crazily, which

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I just find wild. At under two and a half.

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This is something that tel Aviv has gone under routinely,

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simply because they don't score and they're playing a good

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defensive side. And I'm not gonna tell you that tel

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Aviv is good on the road, but they're better defensively

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in away matches than they are at home. For whatever reason,

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it's just been a team who has traveled at least better.

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They've allowed half the goals on the road that they

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have at home. I think it's a snooze fest. Andy,

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coming up here at twelve forty five under two and

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a half is plus one thirty five. And if you

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really think mccabee has no shot in this match, Freiburg

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to win. Pairing that with the under two and a half,

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that's plus two thirty but the official play for me

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in this game under two and a half plus one

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thirty five WTF or LFG in this disgusting match for

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you guys off.

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Speaker 2: The top, I did not have a three minute breakdown

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of Freiburg Tel Aviv on my being gone.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry today.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's what the segment is all about. You

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got you got LFG for me? Yeah, two bad teams

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and I'm looking at it and yeah, there's multiple ways,

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like if you if you actually want to play this, Yeah,

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there's some ways you can same game parlay it, like

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you can take Freiburg ty no bet with under three

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and a half to to you know, if you really

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want to have action on this game, there's multiple ways

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to same game parlay. But for two and a half. Yeah, snoozer,

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I get.

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Speaker 3: Two LUs one five starts at twelve forty five Freiburg

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mccabee Tel Aviv under two and a half comment below

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are you following or are you fading? And we have

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talked more than enough about that, Andy, But I love

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that Seth is already cashing right out of the gate here.

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Speaker 2: It is weird back to back days that you can

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say tennis golf cricket, NBA, it's bad.

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Speaker 3: So that's the betting with Andy Lang experience though, you

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know what I mean like that, this is what we do.

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We cash on tennis and golf while everybody else is

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betting NBA and betting all these other sports.

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Speaker 1: It's what we do.

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Speaker 3: And you know, we might as well bring Yanni in

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right here, because this is something that Yanni you've specialized

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in year over year. Get down on these sports, get

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down on these leagues. I mean you've come on here

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and given us uh you know, these these Russian soccer

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leagues or Russian hockey leagues. You bet them until the

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odds maker says, I don't want your action anymore, especially

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if you have an edge, because it's a hell of

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a lot easier finding an edge and these kind of

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sports than you know, coming on here and trying to

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bet the AFC and any NFC championship game, which we're

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all gonna do anyway. But these these lower volume sports man,

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while you can cash on him and before the bookie

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said I don't want your action anymore, that's where you

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should be firing a lot of your bank roll, right

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of course.

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Speaker 4: I mean you could just say ask the limits it

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tells you where they're most vulnerable. There's a reason they're

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willing to take, you know, six figures on an NFL side,

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but they're not willing to take you a dying on

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certain totals, and it's because they feel that those markets

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are more efficient and harder to be and those smaller

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markets are definitely easier to be less wise guys are

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attacking them, so you're not trading against the best on

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the planet like you're doing in a lot of these

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other sports and other prop markets in other sports, so

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your competition is even a lot easier in those markets.

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Speaker 1: The negative is books don't really write.

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Speaker 4: A lot of volume on those matchups, so your action

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sticks out. And if they're not writing tickets on the

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other side and you're beating them constantly, that's going to

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get you limited or kicked down. That's the only negative.

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But that's the job. It's like being an advantage blackjack player.

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Your jobs to get in as many hands as possible.

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Their jobs to get rid of you and not.

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Speaker 1: Let you play. It's the same with sports betting.

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Speaker 4: Your job's to find soft lines and books that don't

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move quick enough. Their job is to move you. When

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you beat the clothes get rid of you. So it's

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been cat and mouse. I don't get mad at books

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for doing that. I just always thought that was the game,

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kind of like Cops and robbers.

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Speaker 2: Johanny, we got a question in the chat.

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Speaker 1: John.

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Speaker 2: We're going to get to this in just second. It's

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about unit size, and we could we could spend an

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hour talking about it, but I want to get your

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take on some of the line moves in the big

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games NFL and get the Steam report, and then we'll

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address bet size because it's really important, one of the

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most important things. So John, we will get to that.

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Tell us what you're seeing in NFL.

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Speaker 4: We'll start there, all right, Well, what you got to

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remember is this late in the season, unless there's something

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significant happening, like in the Denver match up, you're not

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going to get too big of a line move, and

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if you do, it's usually going.

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Speaker 1: To get corrected back the other way because.

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Speaker 4: There's always multiple opinions when it comes this late in

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the season, and you're gonna see not again, not too

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many big line moves. But the Denver and New England

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is one of those rare situations where we're going in

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the championship weekend and you just lost a quarterback. So

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it took a little while for the market to figure

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out where this is going to settle, because immediately it

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went to five and a half, then went up to six,

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I think even six minus one fifteen's and then you

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started seeing it come back down once everybody started doing

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their math, once the quants got involved and told us

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what Stidham's worth, you started seeing the markets set all

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around four and a half five and that was two

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sided action, meaning early money came in on New England

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immediately because they want to get out ahead of.

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Speaker 1: Injury and information.

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Speaker 4: Once the adjustment was made and the other groups saw

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it was a little too significant, you saw Denver money

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come in, and.

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Speaker 1: That's why we're looking now four and a half.

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Speaker 4: Across the board as far as the total goes. If

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you watch bet on It, you already know what I'm on.

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And I got my subscribers out ahead of the market.

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We went over forty one, it's now as high as

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forty three, So I did my job. Now they got

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to go out there and do theirs. In the second game,

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Rams and Seattle, this one also a little surprising at

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the significant line move and here's what I mean. It

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opened two and a half, it went to that key

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number of three and now has come back. I thought

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once it got to three it was going to stay there.

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But the fact that it's now two and a half

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kind of is a telling sign. They're getting good balanced

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action and that's what should happen. These two teams played

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each other twice already. Both games were random outcomes, meaning

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they were a coin flip who who's going to win

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the game. And I think it's one of those where

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the mark the books say, you guys, figure it out

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and it'll put them in a good.

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Speaker 1: Position unless this game lands three.

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Speaker 4: As far as the total, again, we haven't seen any

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movement at all. Forty six and a half, forty seven

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still sitting right around there, and that's exactly what we're

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going to get when it comes this late in the

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NFL playoffs. If you saw the steam sheet they put

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we put out earlier, Seattle and Denver as again both

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got hit. But when it comes to the NFL Playoffs

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sides and totals, you'll see sharp action on both sides

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a lot, especially once the line moves like I wouldn't

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be surprised to see under money come in on New

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England Denver on Sunday, especially if the weather's bad and.

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Speaker 1: It's forty three or forty three and a half.

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Speaker 4: Again, wines are tight in the NFL this late in

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the season, not a lot of value as far as

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the books think.

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Speaker 1: So you know, for me, I like these games. I'll

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be honest with you. I already had my package.

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Speaker 4: Up, already fired one to four, looking to confirm the

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second game as well, because I just use my numbers,

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and if my number is different from what the market is,

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I'm going to trust them and fire. And we're looking

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at at some differences in both these games. And I

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think because of the narrative, like we have a special

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narrative with these conference tournament championships New England Denver, we

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have a backup quarterback situation. That's a factor we all

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have to consider. Everyone's going to have a different opinion

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on it. Ram Seattle third matchup. Again, everyone's going to

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have an opinion because we're all going to conclude different

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based on how we saw those first two games. Did

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we think one team got lucky? Did we think one

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team should have won? But like that, that's the beauty

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of markets.

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Speaker 1: You know, we're all.

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Speaker 4: Better into the same market, but we're seeing it differently.

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So again, not much sharp action on the signs of totals,

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except for, like I told you, getting out ahead of

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the market and then it's all going to come in

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on props and possible team totals come Saturday or Sunday.

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Speaker 2: Shout out to Garth. Appreciate the donation there. Brother, Garth

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donated five dollars that goes to charity and Johanny Garth

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is in our discord. This guy bets volleyball. He's fifty

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fifty and twenty eight.

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Speaker 1: Money.

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Speaker 2: Garth's doing the Lord's work here, brother. Thank you Garth

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for the donation. If any donations, we pick a charity

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and it goes to So appreciate you Garth for donating. Johnny,

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we see anything in college Yeah, oh yeah, please.

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Speaker 1: The Omaha super Nova's taking on the Columbus fury. I

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appreciate that. Yeah, oh great, he passed green book right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he posts the links to watch it now. I'm

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watching volleyball on like Monday. Well, of course you are,

284
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of course, why not don't have Monday night football? See

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anything in college basketball for the people today?

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Speaker 4: Onie, Yeah, we do have definitely have hoops action, NBA

287
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and college basketball. So far in college basketball, some of

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the moves seven seventy one Campbell seven to seventy Appalachian State,

289
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:27,639
I think that one probably went off. I think it

290
00:14:27,679 --> 00:14:31,960
was an early game eight twenty one Missouri State plus six,

291
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,720
eight eighteen Southeast Missouri minus five and a half, seven

292
00:14:36,799 --> 00:14:39,559
seventy four, James Madison minus three and a half, eight

293
00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:44,600
thirty eight, utech plus two in the NBA. Actually have

294
00:14:44,679 --> 00:14:48,600
an NBA package up. Been very successful with NBA in

295
00:14:48,679 --> 00:14:52,960
twenty twenty five, twenty twenty six, currently up over forty units,

296
00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:54,879
sixty two percent.

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Speaker 1: On my premium.

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Speaker 4: Has been very very selective and I confirmed two moves

299
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today four four percent side and a three percent total.

300
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Speaker 1: There's a two pack up at wager Talk.

301
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Speaker 4: Under Charlotte Orlando that got steamed early. It's getting steamed again.

302
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If you look at your board, it's probably gonna light

303
00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,399
up because it's coming across my DM as we speak.

304
00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,360
They went under to twenty nine, under to twenty eight

305
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,240
and they're about to go under to twenty seven. Charlotte Orlando,

306
00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:25,320
someone must be out and then the Minnesota Chicago that

307
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one also, we saw the over get hit and that

308
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:30,840
at two thirty nine and a half, it's about to

309
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get steamed under. That's also got some kind of injury

310
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,039
situation because that's also in my DM right now to

311
00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,519
take the ten on Chicago, take the ten on Chicago.

312
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So something's going on with Minnesota because they're about to

313
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take the ten and go under there. And then finally Lakers,

314
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,600
Lakers flip the favorite. But now it's coming back.

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00:15:51,879 --> 00:15:52,000
Speaker 1: Uh.

316
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Speaker 4: But two groups that I provide accounts for did take

317
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,639
the Lakers plus two on the overnights. It'd be interesting

318
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to see if they do anything else. Again, I didn't

319
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:04,919
use that as a premium because I don't really trust

320
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,840
those overnights A lot of times they're used to manipulate

321
00:16:07,879 --> 00:16:08,480
the market.

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Speaker 1: But that's some of the hoops we got going on

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00:16:10,759 --> 00:16:11,279
for today.

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Speaker 2: Uh, Yanny, I'll shed some light here. Josh Giddy is

325
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,519
probably gonna play for Chicago. He was almost played in

326
00:16:17,559 --> 00:16:20,840
the last game if they ruled him out last second,

327
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so he's gonna play. That's the injury there the Clippers

328
00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:26,360
and Lakers is all about Kawhi Leonard. He's been moved

329
00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:28,919
to question. But what was the other game injury? I'm

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00:16:28,919 --> 00:16:30,759
looking at the injury report right now, I think there

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was one other one you said.

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Speaker 1: We said Minnesota, Chicago, UH Clipper Orlando, Charlotte, Orlando.

333
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Speaker 2: Charlotte, UH, Orlando, Charlotte. I don't see any thing as

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of now.

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Speaker 1: They want a ton of under money for whatever reason.

336
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,279
Speaker 2: A ton of under Okay, Franz. Franz and Pollo are

337
00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,720
healthy and back, and it looks like LaMelo's in the

338
00:16:52,759 --> 00:16:56,279
starting lineup. So all right, let's do uh, let's do

339
00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,440
the bet size thing, Dan, if we could pull up

340
00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:00,840
the question and then we got plenty of time today, Yannie,

341
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:01,600
So I do this bet size?

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Speaker 1: YEAHFC.

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00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:07,440
Speaker 2: You gotta talk UFC after this. So when you talk

344
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bet size, you say to win amount. So one hundred

345
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,440
dollars bet on a minus one twenty five, You bet

346
00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:15,559
one hundred and twenty to win one hundred. If you

347
00:17:15,599 --> 00:17:19,039
play the dog, you play to win one hundred. Why

348
00:17:19,079 --> 00:17:22,039
not use one hundred or risk? Fis just bet size,

349
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:23,359
your attack and your approach.

350
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Speaker 4: Yeah, for me, it started with just that's just how

351
00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:30,319
we did everything back in the day. You got to

352
00:17:30,319 --> 00:17:33,160
remember it. You didn't punch in your number, used to

353
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,599
call your book maker, and you just flat bet and

354
00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:38,400
the big was already automatic.

355
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Speaker 1: They just assumed that's what you were betting. Like.

356
00:17:41,079 --> 00:17:44,960
Speaker 4: You didn't say give me three thirty two twenty five

357
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,160
point fifty. You just flat bet them, and they added

358
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,319
the big when you lost. So when I would call

359
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,680
the book, I would say, give me Dallas for five hundred,

360
00:17:53,039 --> 00:17:56,880
give me six Ers for two hundred. They already they

361
00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,400
take five hundred two hundred. If I lose, that's five

362
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,200
point fifty. That's too twenty. So I broke in for

363
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,359
years as a mover. That's just how we did it

364
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:10,519
because we dealt with bookmakers over the phone. Then when

365
00:18:10,519 --> 00:18:12,519
I got to Vegas and I started betting at the

366
00:18:12,559 --> 00:18:16,759
window for these groups, that's how they did it. When

367
00:18:16,839 --> 00:18:20,319
they flat bet, they would bet the dog. I had

368
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:22,640
a five dime limit at the start US. I was

369
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,720
a runner to start us, and they would give me

370
00:18:24,759 --> 00:18:28,359
five dimes on NFL and then they would move the

371
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,960
line so I had a receiver and I would get

372
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,440
the play and it would say, you know, get us

373
00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:33,880
down the Eagles minus three.

374
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Speaker 1: I would get to the window.

375
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,559
Speaker 4: I'd bet Eagles minus three fifty five hundred to win

376
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:39,359
five thousand.

377
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:43,039
Speaker 1: Then they'd come in and say take team a.

378
00:18:42,559 --> 00:18:46,079
Speaker 4: Moneyline plus one zho five five dimes go up bet

379
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:48,640
five dimes. So I learned from the guys that I

380
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,880
was moving for that's how they manage their risk. Now,

381
00:18:53,559 --> 00:18:56,480
I continued that, because I figured these guys are smarter

382
00:18:56,559 --> 00:18:59,119
than me, and if there was a higher ROI, they

383
00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,759
had figured it out already. Now, if you find that

384
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,599
your results are better, that's why I always say, you

385
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:08,799
want to document your results. You're not winning, you're not

386
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,519
a professional sports better unless you're documenting your results. If

387
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:16,920
you can't tell me what you did on December twenty seventh,

388
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,720
twenty twenty five, then you're not doing this for real.

389
00:19:20,079 --> 00:19:22,200
You have to document your results. That's the only way

390
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:24,119
you can know whether you're winning or losing. And you

391
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:28,720
could look back and try to correct behavior that you

392
00:19:28,839 --> 00:19:32,519
know costs you. So for me, that's just how I

393
00:19:32,599 --> 00:19:35,599
learned to do it. That's how guys that made money

394
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,440
betting sports and moved markets did it. And it's worked

395
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:43,079
for me and I've been able to increase my bank

396
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:47,079
roll and compound it using that approach. And but like

397
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:49,880
I said, you use what's best for you. Maybe some

398
00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,880
guys may be more dog heavy or more favorite heavy,

399
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,079
and it may benefit them the flat better certain way,

400
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,519
but based on my style of betting, and I think

401
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,440
more dogs, So I don't know how that works out.

402
00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:06,519
If it works out, more benefit me because I do

403
00:20:06,599 --> 00:20:09,400
it that way. But again, I think you should do

404
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:13,960
whatever produces the greatest ROI for you, and the way

405
00:20:14,039 --> 00:20:17,400
you'll know that is by tracking your results. And so far,

406
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,519
I just haven't seen any data in front of me

407
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,960
that urges me to change it the way I'm doing it.

408
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,640
But yeah, if anybody has any great ideas, I'm open

409
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:27,680
to it, that's for sure.

410
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:33,640
Speaker 2: I will bet more on the sports that we have

411
00:20:33,759 --> 00:20:36,480
done best in and that's not breaking news, but like

412
00:20:36,839 --> 00:20:39,799
you know, some of these I'm gonna bet more on

413
00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:42,319
our overnight cricket play than I am on my daily

414
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:46,240
NBA props boom because the NBA daily that's a grind,

415
00:20:46,519 --> 00:20:50,079
like like you're you're gonna bets every single day. But

416
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,000
when we have a cricket play that maybe one or

417
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,160
two a week and it's a specialized market and we

418
00:20:55,279 --> 00:20:57,599
have honestly one of the best in the world on

419
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,559
our team, I'll bet more on the special you know,

420
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:04,079
kind of individual sports. So but uh, yeah, Yanna, I

421
00:21:04,079 --> 00:21:06,920
have degree. What it really does differ from person to person.

422
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,799
I've given up trying to tell people, hey, this is

423
00:21:08,839 --> 00:21:09,880
the right way to do it, this is how you

424
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,759
should do it. I've given up on that. Everyone does it.

425
00:21:12,799 --> 00:21:16,799
They're their own way. So all right, UFC three twenty four.

426
00:21:16,839 --> 00:21:19,000
We're back, Baby, We're back.

427
00:21:19,799 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 1: We're back.

428
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,839
Speaker 2: We did the full breakdown video at Yadya. I know

429
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,200
you've been doing, uh doing shows. Let's go to the

430
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:30,400
big one. Patty pimblet Justin Gagee. Patty is coming in

431
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,359
Many's two thirty. I'm seeing and uh oh, Justin Gagee

432
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,400
has already dropped the retirement word. Oh fuck.

433
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:42,160
Speaker 4: My man, block brother. Hope you're starting off twenty twenty

434
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,319
six the right way. If not, we got a long

435
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,279
way to go. Just grind, grind, grind. You'll do just fine.

436
00:21:49,519 --> 00:21:52,319
You're in here every day, bro, so you're just sharpening

437
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,680
off every single day. You got to surround yourself by

438
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,839
people that are actually doing it. And trust me, by

439
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,079
osmosis is just rubs off on you. For me, it's

440
00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:04,599
Patty to Batty, Bro, I'm not going to jump off

441
00:22:04,599 --> 00:22:08,400
that ship. I hear all the argument. Strength of schedule

442
00:22:08,759 --> 00:22:12,240
gauge he's been proven, he's got the five round experience,

443
00:22:12,319 --> 00:22:20,400
he's got the much tougher strength of schedule, he's been tested,

444
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,400
he's going those championship rounds, all of it. He's got

445
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,720
the power, he's the better striker. I'm hearing it all.

446
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,839
Hell's he a two to one dog. Listen, man, keep

447
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,880
disrespecting Patty the Batty, and I'll just keep cashing with

448
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:38,400
Patty the Batty because he continues to outperform.

449
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:38,759
Speaker 1: The betting market.

450
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 4: And I've learned from the Contender Series to not not

451
00:22:45,519 --> 00:22:49,640
guys for their strength of schedule. I used to credit

452
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:54,279
guys for a strong strength of schedule and penalize guys

453
00:22:54,279 --> 00:22:57,519
for week strength of schedule. When I switch that up

454
00:22:57,599 --> 00:23:01,440
and instead I credited guys with a strong stunkan schedule,

455
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,279
but didn't penalized guys with the weak strength of schedule,

456
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:08,480
my results really started improving on Contender Series because what

457
00:23:08,559 --> 00:23:11,119
I've learned is some guys they just can't get a fight,

458
00:23:11,599 --> 00:23:14,160
like either in these small promotions or what have you,

459
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,559
and nobody wants to fight them. Now with Patty, obviously

460
00:23:17,559 --> 00:23:21,000
in the UFC that's not the case. But you can

461
00:23:21,039 --> 00:23:22,839
only fight who's in front of you, and he's got

462
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,160
seven UFC fights, he's won all seven of those and

463
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,200
five of O's. He's got performance bonuses in where he's

464
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,440
done the damage. So it hasn't been like Fight of

465
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,759
the Night where he's absorbed damage. It's been performance bonus

466
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:37,279
where he's sliced right through the competition. Bro, That's all

467
00:23:37,319 --> 00:23:40,119
you could ever ask for. So for me, I don't

468
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,960
knock him for that strength of schedule. I think after

469
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,720
he beats Gaigee, we're gonna hear, oh, Gaygee has passed

470
00:23:45,759 --> 00:23:48,319
his prime, he's retiring, he's thirty seven. It's gonna be

471
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,920
more excuses, and then we're gonna get value on Patty

472
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:54,000
to Battie once again, because if Patty gets Gaygey down,

473
00:23:54,039 --> 00:23:57,240
it's over. He's gonna slice through his guard and choke

474
00:23:57,319 --> 00:23:58,599
him out so quickly.

475
00:23:59,279 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 5: Uh.

476
00:23:59,799 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 4: Just ground game just is non existent. And the difference

477
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:13,599
between the striking for Patty and Justin isn't even comparable

478
00:24:13,839 --> 00:24:16,519
to the difference between the two on the ground, Like

479
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,839
Patty is not at a huge disadvantage in the striking

480
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:24,039
compared to the disadvantage that Gage's gonna find himself if

481
00:24:24,039 --> 00:24:26,559
they're on the mat, He's in a whole different world

482
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:30,000
where with Patty and the striking three inch reach advantage,

483
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:34,680
youth speed, and he's never been knocked out, I don't

484
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,599
think he's going to be at a big disadvantage. And

485
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,960
like I said, if he gets the takedown, it's game,

486
00:24:40,039 --> 00:24:40,720
set and match.

487
00:24:41,839 --> 00:24:44,519
Speaker 2: I will be on the under in some fight, not

488
00:24:44,599 --> 00:24:47,160
to go in some kind of parlay, because if Justin

489
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,319
Gage wins, it's going to be by a flash knockout.

490
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:54,000
But once Patty gets the back, Night night, O'Malley sung

491
00:24:54,039 --> 00:24:55,960
you dong? Am I crazy that I like the dog

492
00:24:56,039 --> 00:24:56,599
in that one?

493
00:24:57,279 --> 00:24:59,319
Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you right now, I bet the dog.

494
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:01,519
I released the dog. Do my subscribers.

495
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:05,799
Speaker 4: This is one of those plus TV bets that I'm

496
00:25:05,839 --> 00:25:08,640
comfortable making because I'm confident I got the best of

497
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,839
it and I probably not gonna cash it.

498
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:12,799
Speaker 1: Here's what I mean by that.

499
00:25:13,079 --> 00:25:16,519
Speaker 4: When you take like a plus two hundred, Okay, even

500
00:25:16,599 --> 00:25:19,680
during your best runs, when you're running your hottest, you're

501
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,839
gonna throw that ticket out six out of ten times,

502
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,279
so you're gonna trash it more than you're gonna cash it.

503
00:25:24,839 --> 00:25:26,279
Speaker 1: But it's still a great bet.

504
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 4: And I think this is where this stets up because

505
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:31,519
I don't think O'Malley should be greater than minus one fifty.

506
00:25:31,519 --> 00:25:33,799
Speaker 1: I really don't. I don't think he. I think it's

507
00:25:33,799 --> 00:25:34,599
sixty forty.

508
00:25:34,839 --> 00:25:37,319
Speaker 4: When you look at these two, strength of schedule is

509
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,480
exactly the same. They have almost the exact same UFC

510
00:25:40,559 --> 00:25:44,839
record against the exact same strength of schedule. Their opponents

511
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,079
won sixty eight percent of their fights, have almost the

512
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:51,000
exact same volume of UFC fights. Their wins come against

513
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,759
opponents that won sixty six percent both of them striking,

514
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,119
they're even comparable, except believe it or not, your Dong

515
00:25:58,279 --> 00:26:02,079
seems to have more power. His knockdown a rate is

516
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,960
a little better. The only negative is that he doesn't

517
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,599
really have a ground game. He's from Alpha Male, so

518
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:11,279
he should be able to wrestle, but he only averages

519
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,279
like one takedown at ten for five minutes, and I

520
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:16,680
don't think he's gonna be able to really change that up.

521
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,720
But the threat of the takedown, because you have to.

522
00:26:19,759 --> 00:26:22,640
You saw what Morob did to O'Malley, so I think

523
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,920
everyone has to threat the takedown for O'Malley just to

524
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,559
make the striking easier on yourself. So that's why I

525
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,440
like you done like I said anything plus one fifty

526
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,319
or better. I think it's plus ev and I got

527
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:36,799
like plus one eighty, So there was no way I

528
00:26:36,839 --> 00:26:38,680
was going to let that go. I like a lot

529
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,839
of dogs, and I'm comfortable betting them off this card

530
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,079
because again with the dogs, if you're not comfortable throwing

531
00:26:45,079 --> 00:26:48,599
away more tickets than you're going to cash and be profitable,

532
00:26:48,799 --> 00:26:51,599
then you got to be very selective and probably stay

533
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,279
off a dog, especially bigger dogs. But if you're comfortable

534
00:26:56,079 --> 00:26:57,920
knowing you're getting the best of it, but you're still

535
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,839
gonna throw that ticket away, you know, four out of

536
00:27:01,039 --> 00:27:03,880
you know, six times, but that's okay because those two

537
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,000
times that you do cash you'll be ahead.

538
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:10,039
Speaker 1: Then it's okay. Like I'm comfortable doing that. I don't

539
00:27:10,039 --> 00:27:11,200
mind taking a plus.

540
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,960
Speaker 4: Four hundred knowing I'm gonna throw that ticket out, you know,

541
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,000
seven out of ten times when I'm.

542
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 1: Running good, you know.

543
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:21,640
Speaker 4: But it's just I'm built for that, and some aren't,

544
00:27:21,759 --> 00:27:24,720
you know, Like I'm not built for long term stuff.

545
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,279
Everybody's built differently, and I'm okay with it.

546
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,279
Speaker 2: Last underdog, I like Derek Lewis plus two sixty. I

547
00:27:32,319 --> 00:27:36,359
think he's worth a sprinkle guy hits that hard, just

548
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,519
you just need one shot to land, So that'd be

549
00:27:38,559 --> 00:27:41,319
that's the other dog I got my eye on, so I.

550
00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:44,640
Speaker 1: Like I like him as well. How can you fade

551
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:45,559
Derek Lewis?

552
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 4: Okay, I get it these forty one, but they're heavyweights

553
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:50,799
so it doesn't matter as much.

554
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:51,839
Speaker 1: And you saw it.

555
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 4: He's coming in having won three of his last four fights.

556
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,440
He's got the power and this is a step up

557
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,799
for a cost stuff. So for me, his wins come

558
00:27:58,799 --> 00:28:01,000
against guys who won fifty three percent of their fights

559
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,799
in the UFC. Derek Lewis is a different animal. It's

560
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:05,160
dogg or pass Costa.

561
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 5: You know.

562
00:28:05,759 --> 00:28:09,839
Speaker 4: Again, minus three hundreds don't usually lose much. But he

563
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,160
shouldn't be minus three on here.

564
00:28:11,279 --> 00:28:11,680
Speaker 1: No way.

565
00:28:12,559 --> 00:28:15,079
Speaker 2: All right, Johnnie, thank you so much for sticking around

566
00:28:15,759 --> 00:28:17,960
to yes today. What do you have up for everyone

567
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:18,599
to wage your talk?

568
00:28:19,279 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 1: We're in action. I have a two pack to night.

569
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,279
Speaker 4: In the NBA, like I said, I'm really doing well

570
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:27,720
in NBA over sixty percent in twenty twenty five.

571
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 1: I have the steam sheet up.

572
00:28:29,519 --> 00:28:33,039
Speaker 4: There's NFL in there, there's college basketball, there's NBA in there,

573
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:34,519
and there's even NHL.

574
00:28:34,839 --> 00:28:37,039
Speaker 1: So a nice steam sheets up for you today.

575
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:43,839
Speaker 4: There's Saturday, the Sunday NFL UH Division Conference Championship package.

576
00:28:44,319 --> 00:28:46,519
I may have a five percent, not sure if I'm

577
00:28:46,519 --> 00:28:49,440
going to confirm it. At least two four percent one's

578
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:53,200
already in there. And then I also have the UFC

579
00:28:53,279 --> 00:28:56,359
package with a five percent that's already in the package.

580
00:28:56,599 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 1: Three premiums already in there.

581
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:01,279
Speaker 4: Don't wait, you know, we get ahead of the market

582
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,279
and should have a couple more before Saturday because I

583
00:29:04,319 --> 00:29:06,759
really like this card. So yeah, things are good, man,

584
00:29:06,799 --> 00:29:10,079
coming off another winning day. Just keep grinding so I

585
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,960
get twenty twenty six. Baby, Let's keep grinding.

586
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,519
Speaker 2: Love it, Joanni, Thank you so much. Appreciate you, brother. Well,

587
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:22,440
see you tomorrow on football and NBA Friday. We have

588
00:29:22,519 --> 00:29:25,640
a new guest in our company, slack Dan. I call

589
00:29:25,759 --> 00:29:31,240
him twelve eight Johnny. It's when Johnny Detroit sends us

590
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:35,279
a special to promote at twelve oh eight, even though

591
00:29:35,279 --> 00:29:36,839
the show starts at twelve.

592
00:29:37,359 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 3: Well, to be fair, I mean, and it's not like

593
00:29:40,759 --> 00:29:43,079
Johnny doesn't have a million and one things going on,

594
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,640
but it does seem like clockwork that it's like, oh Andy,

595
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:46,720
we're ten minutes in the show.

596
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 1: I actually have a really good promo for you.

597
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 3: It's a good promo though, and we were able to

598
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,920
get a graphic done for it, big twenty five percent

599
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:55,720
off coup on it. And it is a great time

600
00:29:55,759 --> 00:29:58,119
to buy because you have just been seeing it great

601
00:29:58,400 --> 00:29:59,880
in these more niche sports.

602
00:30:01,279 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, everybody on the team has been running great. Yan

603
00:30:04,519 --> 00:30:07,359
has just been doing fantastic in cricket. Yan and I

604
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:10,319
tackled tennis and we've just absolutely crushed. We've been given

605
00:30:10,359 --> 00:30:11,640
out a lot of free plays, and I know you

606
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:14,960
guys have been seeing that cashing five percent. NFL best

607
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,079
bet is up. We hit what is it, three out

608
00:30:18,079 --> 00:30:20,880
of our last four, so we're seeing the playoffs really well.

609
00:30:21,799 --> 00:30:24,640
You get twenty five percent off anything. This is daily packages,

610
00:30:25,079 --> 00:30:27,200
This is three days, seven days, but it also is

611
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,119
going to include a year long pass, and we know

612
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,680
that's a pretty big commitment. Yea, We strongly recommend it

613
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,440
because instead of just buying these seven days and seven days,

614
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,519
you lock in a year. It's by far the best deal.

615
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:39,680
We're gonna run this all the way through January, So

616
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,160
if you need a couple of days to think about it,

617
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:44,119
I understand. But if you think you're gonna do it.

618
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,319
Do it now. That way you get plays starting today's

619
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,400
that's really key. You don't want to miss out on

620
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,799
any of the plays. So we're number one last three days,

621
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,559
we're number one last seven days. We're up thirty six

622
00:30:56,640 --> 00:31:00,000
units in twenty twenty six. Told you that two thousand

623
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:01,920
and twenty six was going to be our bounce back year.

624
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:04,720
It was really bummed with how twenty twenty five went.

625
00:31:04,759 --> 00:31:07,680
But it's all plays and then nice think about a year.

626
00:31:08,119 --> 00:31:09,599
You don't have to decide when am I going to

627
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:11,240
jump in? When am I gonna jump in? When do

628
00:31:11,319 --> 00:31:14,200
I get plays? Just all get emailed. You see our

629
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,079
analysis with everything.

630
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 1: Now, or you're gonna get the Super Bowl prop package.

631
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,599
Speaker 3: You're gonna get all of that stuff and andy nine

632
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,799
days away from the start of NCAA men's lacrosse season.

633
00:31:24,839 --> 00:31:28,079
We're thirty two days away from the Premier League for

634
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,440
the Premiere Lacrosse League championship series.

635
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 1: That's always historically knock on Wood.

636
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 3: Been a pretty good bankrolld builder for us, So no

637
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:38,079
brainer to hop on that lang twenty five man exciting

638
00:31:38,119 --> 00:31:38,759
time for sure.

639
00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 2: All right, let's bring in who is number two? This

640
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:46,680
is awesome Joe and I number one, number two, last

641
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:50,519
three days, Joe's seen the board really well. So Joe,

642
00:31:50,519 --> 00:31:53,480
I know you're bummed about Miami, but.

643
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:56,640
Speaker 1: Bring it out right out of the gate. Here. You

644
00:31:56,759 --> 00:31:58,640
bring it all right out of the gate for Joe. Joe.

645
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,279
Speaker 2: Come on, Well, no, no, I'm I'm gonna I'm gonna

646
00:32:02,319 --> 00:32:04,400
make Joe feel better. I've been I'm looking at a

647
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,720
weather map right now. Basically the entire country is gonna

648
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:12,759
be at zero degrees except for this one that's.

649
00:32:12,519 --> 00:32:15,119
Speaker 1: In Florida's correct.

650
00:32:16,799 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm literally having firewood delivered today. I'm gonna stack

651
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:21,119
it in.

652
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: The living room.

653
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 2: Dan is getting how much snow?

654
00:32:25,359 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like fifteen inches coming this weekend? Fifteen inches. Yeah. Yeah,

655
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,000
I'm sorry. I couldn't hit you guys over the air conditioner.

656
00:32:33,039 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 5: What you say, rumber long that.

657
00:32:37,519 --> 00:32:40,599
Speaker 1: A little bit? Hold on it? My bad. I'm so sorry, yeah,

658
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:46,240
so sorry. But yeah, Oh that's that's horrible. That's hard.

659
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,279
Speaker 5: Here, I am breaking sand traps on the eighteenth hole

660
00:32:49,359 --> 00:32:51,480
when you guys are out there laying rock salt.

661
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:53,079
Speaker 1: That's a shame. That's awful.

662
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:58,319
Speaker 2: Well played, Joe, well played. Just real quick thoughts on

663
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:00,720
the game. It was an absolutely fantast the game. Your

664
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:04,319
team got the cover. I'm glad the game was close.

665
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,359
Your team is going to be both. Our team is

666
00:33:06,359 --> 00:33:08,000
going to be around for a while. That's a that's

667
00:33:08,039 --> 00:33:10,759
a good good system, good coaching staff. What were your

668
00:33:10,759 --> 00:33:11,519
thoughts on the season.

669
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, listen, good teams win, great teams cover Andy, and

670
00:33:17,319 --> 00:33:19,559
I think we had a.

671
00:33:19,519 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 1: Little bit of a little bit of both there.

672
00:33:22,079 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 5: So while it certainly sucked, they only played a half.

673
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:28,240
Would have been nice if they played, you know, the

674
00:33:28,279 --> 00:33:31,720
first half. But all in all, listen, college football is

675
00:33:31,799 --> 00:33:35,319
better when you get some new blood in there, like Indiana,

676
00:33:36,279 --> 00:33:38,559
who is now of course, going to get everyone's best

677
00:33:38,559 --> 00:33:42,000
shot moving forward. And Signetti is just a walking meme.

678
00:33:42,119 --> 00:33:46,119
It's fantastic and the u Is, make no mistake about it.

679
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:50,000
The u Is back in college football is much better

680
00:33:50,079 --> 00:33:50,640
for it.

681
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: With those teams.

682
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 5: I mean, let's face it, Ohio, States of the World

683
00:33:54,319 --> 00:33:55,519
getting a little boring here.

684
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,799
Speaker 2: Hope it gets down to fifty in MI. This is

685
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:01,559
total crap.

686
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 1: I will leave the.

687
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 5: House as it does there. I don't even have clothes

688
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:11,599
for that that that I might go hibernation at that point.

689
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 2: Oh my god, I ordered two space heaters the other

690
00:34:16,079 --> 00:34:20,480
day off of Amazon. Oh my god. Well, let's break

691
00:34:20,519 --> 00:34:23,119
down a couple of games here. We got NBA Primetime,

692
00:34:23,119 --> 00:34:28,159
we got Warriors, MAVs, Lakers, Clippers. This is all four

693
00:34:28,199 --> 00:34:32,559
of these teams have very interesting paths moving forward. Shame

694
00:34:32,639 --> 00:34:34,960
for Jimmy Butler and the Warriors. That team is cooked.

695
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,599
Mavericks are kind of in this no man's land, but

696
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:39,960
it's all about Cooper flag with them. But what are

697
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,719
we doing with this game tonight? In particular, how do

698
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:43,880
you see this one going down?

699
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,079
Speaker 5: Well, we've seen two moves so far here. We've seen

700
00:34:47,119 --> 00:34:49,559
I moved to the under. This was up at two

701
00:34:49,599 --> 00:34:51,679
thirty five and a half. And we've seen a move

702
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:52,880
to the under.

703
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:53,880
Speaker 1: Uh.

704
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,119
Speaker 5: And we have seen, of course, a little bit of

705
00:34:56,119 --> 00:34:59,760
a freeze here on Golden State. What cracks me up

706
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,679
here there is the amount of tickets and money heading

707
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:06,079
to Dallas. Has anybody watched Dallas played basketball this year?

708
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:08,599
Are you kidding me here? Now? I get it they're

709
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:12,280
a home dog, but this is exactly the kindest spot

710
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:17,119
andy that we see in the NBA where everyone loved

711
00:35:17,159 --> 00:35:20,280
Golden State right in that last game against Toronto and

712
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,440
they got absolutely smoked so now everyone's like, oh boy,

713
00:35:23,559 --> 00:35:28,199
that's it the overreaction, let's run away from Listen. You

714
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,800
know they didn't trade Kaminga, so he's in the rotation now.

715
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:34,920
The kid hadn't played in five months, wasn't even in

716
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,199
the building, and still managed to drop twenty plus filling

717
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,440
in for Jimmy Butler in the last game.

718
00:35:40,519 --> 00:35:43,440
Speaker 1: This will be his second game in there.

719
00:35:43,559 --> 00:35:46,280
Speaker 5: And it's not like the Golden State Warrior starters had

720
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,199
to play forty minutes in.

721
00:35:48,159 --> 00:35:49,320
Speaker 1: That blowout game.

722
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,559
Speaker 5: So this is exactly the kind of spot where you're

723
00:35:52,599 --> 00:35:57,400
buying low on Golden State here. Yes, they're a road favorite,

724
00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:01,119
but the Maverison not a good team in any way,

725
00:36:01,199 --> 00:36:04,679
shape or form. And I got no worries thinking maybe

726
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,440
the Warriors are sick and tired of hearing about Oh

727
00:36:07,519 --> 00:36:11,199
I knew Jimmy Butler's out, you know. Yeah, No, there

728
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,639
are going to need to be points in this game,

729
00:36:13,679 --> 00:36:15,840
and there's only one team I trust to score him,

730
00:36:16,199 --> 00:36:18,119
and that would be the Golden State Warriors.

731
00:36:20,039 --> 00:36:23,800
Speaker 2: I get it. Yeah, makes total sense. This talk of

732
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:29,079
Anthony Davis trade. Who's trading for Anthony Davis?

733
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 5: Anthony Davis trades, They're reevaluating him in five weeks and

734
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:38,159
then they'll make a determination on whether he's coming back.

735
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,320
Speaker 1: Like, why that you are?

736
00:36:40,519 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 5: You are low key tanking to begin with? Who are

737
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:44,159
we kidding here, Dallas?

738
00:36:44,159 --> 00:36:44,559
Speaker 1: Like you're not.

739
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,559
Speaker 5: What are you vying for? You're vying for ping pong balls.

740
00:36:47,559 --> 00:36:50,280
That's the only thing that matters to you right now.

741
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,800
So I don't get it. I think, uh, I think, Dallas,

742
00:36:55,159 --> 00:36:58,239
the future looks bright, but you're gonna have to make

743
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,920
some decisions in the offseason. It would be one thing

744
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,360
if they had Lively available to them. You know, they've

745
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,800
they've had to deal with a ton of injuries, and

746
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,119
they gotta get Kyrie back, so the least they can

747
00:37:08,159 --> 00:37:11,760
get the reps together him and Cooper, and I believe

748
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,360
that they will be fine in the future, but this

749
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:19,400
year is all about making sure you keep him upright

750
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,400
and not on the you know, on the injured list.

751
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: Here at all costs for Cooper.

752
00:37:24,199 --> 00:37:30,760
Speaker 2: Flagg Data Davis. It's so true. Yeah, I mean, the

753
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,119
poor guys has to wear goggles the rest of his

754
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:38,480
career because of the eye injury. So let's move on

755
00:37:38,599 --> 00:37:44,199
to the next game. We're talking Lakers Clippers Battle of LA.

756
00:37:44,639 --> 00:37:47,960
This Lakers team you look at the record and you're like, oh,

757
00:37:48,119 --> 00:37:49,960
they're pretty good, and then you watch them play and

758
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,320
you're like that they're not that good. But it's basically

759
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,840
a pick him here over under two twenty three and

760
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:59,119
a half. What are we doing with the Battle of

761
00:37:59,119 --> 00:37:59,880
Los Angeles?

762
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,639
Speaker 5: Well overnight line, so the Clippers at minus two. But

763
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,320
really this is all going to hinge upon whether Kawhi

764
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,840
Leonard is available tonight in Inglewood. Now he has been

765
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:13,559
there because he left the road trip from from the

766
00:38:13,599 --> 00:38:16,960
East Coast to come back to get that knee worked on.

767
00:38:17,119 --> 00:38:21,079
But the prevailing thought is that he is going here tonight. Otherwise,

768
00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:23,119
as far as I'm concerned, the Lakers would have been

769
00:38:23,119 --> 00:38:26,159
the favorite already at this point. So I do think

770
00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:29,400
he is going to play tonight, and if he does,

771
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,360
I mean, listen, they were so bad at one point,

772
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,440
don't forget back in the end of December. I think

773
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:40,400
they had six wins at that point in the season

774
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:44,840
until December twentieth at the Crypto and they destroyed the

775
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:46,519
Lakers and then they won.

776
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:48,320
Speaker 1: Thirteen of their next sixteen games.

777
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:52,400
Speaker 5: So but I want nothing to do with the Clippers, unless,

778
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:56,199
of course, we get ourselves, you know, what Kawhi Leonard

779
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,840
is going, and he is ready to go here. I

780
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,960
want nothing to do with them without Kawhi, but I

781
00:39:02,039 --> 00:39:06,239
do think that if he's not going, the Lakers are

782
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:08,440
going to go off as the favorite in a big way.

783
00:39:08,639 --> 00:39:11,960
Either way, I'm not sure that I see more than

784
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:13,880
two hundred and twenty three and a half points in

785
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,519
this game. Also, it feels like this could be an

786
00:39:16,639 --> 00:39:19,000
under first one or one hundred and five hundred and

787
00:39:19,039 --> 00:39:19,800
seven wins.

788
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:25,039
Speaker 2: I couldn't agree more. And Brian, Yeah, he brings it up.

789
00:39:25,079 --> 00:39:28,119
Luca points, rebounds and assists consistently. I don't know what

790
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:31,199
why he hates the Clippers so much, but he just decimated.

791
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:32,119
Speaker 1: He always has.

792
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:35,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's always been money there. But it's not like, listen,

793
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:37,960
the Lakers are rolling either. I mean, they beat a

794
00:39:38,079 --> 00:39:43,920
jet lagged Raptors team and then they beat nobody playing

795
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,840
for the Denver Nuggets team, and before that they were

796
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:48,119
on a one in five run.

797
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:51,199
Speaker 1: So it's not like the Lakers are red hot.

798
00:39:51,079 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 5: Not until they get Reeves back. I wouldn't be looking

799
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:56,679
at overs. And I'm not sure if Kawhi plays, they

800
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:57,599
win this game tonight.

801
00:40:00,119 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 2: So we had your boy, pres got us involved in

802
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:08,000
a comment off who could get the most comments yesterday,

803
00:40:09,079 --> 00:40:11,840
and the people came through. Actually on both shows, they

804
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:13,280
both did really really good.

805
00:40:13,639 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 3: To be fair, we stacked the det's deck against PRES

806
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,599
because we just said please comment press as a douche,

807
00:40:18,639 --> 00:40:23,320
and then the comments just lit up every time, every time.

808
00:40:23,519 --> 00:40:27,159
Speaker 5: Every every time, every time. Yeah, you have no idea

809
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:30,280
what it was like listening to him. Try to explain

810
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:34,880
that on the best betting show ever. Imagine, Yeah, the ears.

811
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:38,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was great. Well, twenty minutes I'll never get

812
00:40:38,639 --> 00:40:39,159
back in my.

813
00:40:39,119 --> 00:40:42,840
Speaker 3: Life quoted every single afternoon, best betting show ever. It's

814
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:45,039
a great compliment to this stuff on the channel here. So

815
00:40:45,079 --> 00:40:47,679
if you haven't checked it out already, checking out Joey

816
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,320
Art disease or PRES. And they got Merrill coming on

817
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,239
Thursdays and Fridays now, so a great show.

818
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:53,639
Speaker 1: Definitely checked that out.

819
00:40:54,159 --> 00:40:56,840
Speaker 5: Best part about that is that you'll hear nothing from

820
00:40:56,880 --> 00:41:00,480
the press because Merril and I just all the entire time.

821
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,039
Speaker 1: Fair, really good stuff.

822
00:41:02,159 --> 00:41:05,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's the key. It's the key. Joe, you're running

823
00:41:05,679 --> 00:41:08,039
you're running hot as well, number two up there on

824
00:41:08,039 --> 00:41:10,679
the leaderboard. Always a good thing for yourself and for clients.

825
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:11,880
What do you have up for everybody?

826
00:41:12,119 --> 00:41:15,159
Speaker 5: Well, I am locked in both the NFL games this week,

827
00:41:15,199 --> 00:41:18,360
and I got them in early because there were a

828
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:22,639
couple of plays and edges that to me is just

829
00:41:22,679 --> 00:41:24,159
too good to pass up. One of them is a

830
00:41:24,199 --> 00:41:27,159
five percent, the other is a four percent, So both

831
00:41:27,199 --> 00:41:29,920
of those are available over at wager talk dot com.

832
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:34,719
Got a great run in college basketball as well right now.

833
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:36,400
Speaker 1: I got two plays here tonight that.

834
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:39,159
Speaker 5: Are available over at the page, and we got two

835
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:43,840
NBA games as well. So yeah, just rolling right now,

836
00:41:44,199 --> 00:41:47,519
not only in college basketball, but of course the the

837
00:41:47,639 --> 00:41:52,440
NBA this season has been absolutely fantastic. But go get

838
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:56,199
yourself that five percent play in the NFL this week

839
00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:59,239
and jump on it here, because I'm not sure how

840
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,800
much longer are we're going to be able to take

841
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:03,719
advantage of this of the market.

842
00:42:05,519 --> 00:42:08,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, probably not too many more NFL games on

843
00:42:08,119 --> 00:42:14,360
the horizon. Joe and Neary running hot and staying hot

844
00:42:14,679 --> 00:42:17,079
down in Florida, all the rest of us suffer.

845
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:22,119
Speaker 1: So yeah, my cognition to back up, Are we good? Yeah,

846
00:42:22,159 --> 00:42:23,440
you're good? You're good? Yeah?

847
00:42:23,639 --> 00:42:27,800
Speaker 5: Right, Mark seventy one, and I'm sweating right now.

848
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:32,320
Speaker 1: This is brutal. This is terrible little violin for you.

849
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:36,119
Speaker 2: Insufferable. Thanks Joe, always good to talk to.

850
00:42:36,119 --> 00:42:39,519
Speaker 1: You, brother. Enjoy guys, Thank you appreciate it.

851
00:42:39,599 --> 00:42:45,000
Speaker 3: Brother. Yeah, man, so very rare that you have a

852
00:42:45,039 --> 00:42:48,079
guy like Joe hitting across all of these different sports.

853
00:42:48,119 --> 00:42:50,159
So you want to hop on that now. I mean,

854
00:42:50,159 --> 00:42:52,519
you guys did that seven day special. You can take

855
00:42:52,519 --> 00:42:54,800
advantage of that special that we have going this weekend

856
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:58,320
as well. Ten dollars per day week of all accessing

857
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,039
it three days. Essentially you're paying for three days, you

858
00:43:01,039 --> 00:43:03,840
get seven days of play. So that's on everybody's pages

859
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,280
as well. It's definitely worth checking out on a guy

860
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:06,920
like Joe.

861
00:43:08,079 --> 00:43:11,519
Speaker 2: Imagine if you got that seven days special, like Seth said,

862
00:43:11,559 --> 00:43:14,440
like last Saturday, and now Joe and I are number one,

863
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,000
I mean in wager Talk units fifty combined. Yeah, it's

864
00:43:18,079 --> 00:43:19,159
the last three days.

865
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 1: Yeah.

866
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,719
Speaker 3: And so often, like when we run those combo specials,

867
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:25,400
sometimes it's like a kiss of death, you know what

868
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:26,920
I mean, where it's like god, damn it, you know

869
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:29,519
what I was seeing it? Really well, the exact opposite.

870
00:43:29,639 --> 00:43:33,159
You guys went on freaking heaters. When people are on board,

871
00:43:33,519 --> 00:43:34,079
gotta love it.

872
00:43:34,159 --> 00:43:37,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, we ain't slowing down. We ain't slowing down. This

873
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:41,639
is our year, man. So I literally asked Yanni to

874
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:45,159
partner up to get me more markets for tennis doubles.

875
00:43:45,519 --> 00:43:47,800
This is a this is gonna be the the twenty

876
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,559
twenty six market. So let's do some free plays in

877
00:43:50,599 --> 00:43:53,400
all around the world and then we'll get out of here.

878
00:43:55,199 --> 00:43:58,599
Let's see how to go we catch that women's doubles

879
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,039
on all around the world. I will look at the

880
00:44:01,119 --> 00:44:04,440
lines tonight. They're in Australia, so the start times are

881
00:44:04,559 --> 00:44:06,719
very strange and the lines come out at weird times.

882
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,400
Here's what I got. Daron Fox over one and a

883
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,480
half made threes. He's gone over in five straight. He's

884
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:15,679
he's averaging four point six attempts and he's shooting fifty

885
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,000
one percent. He's in a pretty nice groove. And Utah

886
00:44:18,039 --> 00:44:22,840
gives up the most attempts and makes from three. So

887
00:44:23,119 --> 00:44:27,320
spurs jazz. Daron Fox over. I'm going to UFC. We've

888
00:44:27,679 --> 00:44:31,079
I saw some people mentioned in the chat. Kreeloff this

889
00:44:31,199 --> 00:44:34,480
Krelov bukoskis fight under one and a half rounds. It's

890
00:44:34,599 --> 00:44:37,599
under one and a half rounds. Dan, do you know

891
00:44:37,639 --> 00:44:39,159
about Nikita Krelov.

892
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 3: Do you know do not know about Nikida Kreelov. Everything

893
00:44:42,039 --> 00:44:44,199
I know about UFC is I learned from you, Kyle,

894
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:47,079
Anthony and Yanni, so I can not know about Kreloff.

895
00:44:47,639 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 2: So Nikita Kreeloff is from Russia slash Ukraine. He's been

896
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:56,039
in forty one professional fights. These don't even count the

897
00:44:56,039 --> 00:45:00,719
ones that there's no documentation of. He once fought like

898
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:05,519
six times in one month way back when his translation

899
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,480
and then he disappeared a couple of years ago. He

900
00:45:08,559 --> 00:45:10,719
just disappeared. Nobody knew where he was. People thought he

901
00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:13,239
actually was dead. There were rumors that he went.

902
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 1: To he was in the war.

903
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:16,480
Speaker 2: And then he just shows up and he's like, I

904
00:45:16,519 --> 00:45:18,880
would like to be a UFC fighter again. And he

905
00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:21,639
has gotten knocked out in both fights in the first

906
00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:28,679
round since his return under. This guy's chin is gone

907
00:45:29,039 --> 00:45:32,119
and he's a violent fighter. This is not going over

908
00:45:32,159 --> 00:45:34,199
one and a half rounds, but Coscas can finish. He

909
00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:38,320
smoked Paul Craig in the last fight. We had a

910
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:40,960
nice cash on but Coscas to finish. So this this

911
00:45:41,039 --> 00:45:44,079
is violence galore in this fight. Take the under and

912
00:45:44,119 --> 00:45:47,360
then Alprin Sengoon to have a double double as long

913
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:49,480
as Steven Adams is out. This is worth it. It's

914
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:52,480
just barely plus money plus one oh five over in

915
00:45:52,519 --> 00:45:54,880
the last two games without Adams in the lineup, and

916
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:57,360
now he's like their center. The only other guy who's

917
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,159
Clint Capella. So he's playing thirty three minutes and he's

918
00:46:00,159 --> 00:46:03,039
had a double double in the last two games against Philly.

919
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:07,199
So Alprin Sengoon should get there just just by getting

920
00:46:07,199 --> 00:46:08,920
all the minutes that he gets. So those are your

921
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:13,079
free plays. So all right, that's gonna do it. Dan

922
00:46:13,119 --> 00:46:16,519
and I are gonna get ready for the imminent storm,

923
00:46:16,559 --> 00:46:18,800
as I'm sure most of you that live in the

924
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:20,559
US are gonna do it. But we are gonna be

925
00:46:20,559 --> 00:46:24,320
back tomorrow. We've got it's technically football Friday, but now

926
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:29,280
it's football NBA UFC Friday. So we got a big,

927
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:29,719
big show.

928
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:32,280
Speaker 3: So it's starting to turn just back into Friday, Andy,

929
00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:34,719
rapidly approaching to be just Friday.

930
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:38,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's Unfortunately, we're gonna make Fridays. We're gonna make Fridays. Dope,

931
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:40,760
They're gonna be awesome. So thank you very much, Dan,

932
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,599
Glad you're feeling better, and thank you all in the chat.

933
00:46:43,559 --> 00:46:45,760
We don't want to drop off on the comments, so

934
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:47,800
if we made you some money, if you've enjoyed the content,

935
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:49,519
please just leave a quick comment. It can be the

936
00:46:49,559 --> 00:46:52,559
smiley face, a letter. It just helps us out. And

937
00:46:52,599 --> 00:46:54,960
please hit the like button. That's the easiest thing you

938
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:57,679
can do, Just boop. Hit the like button helps the

939
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:05,719
agorithm out on YouTube. Overheard me on the subway say

940
00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:06,679
are you great?

941
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:11,199
Speaker 1: This week smashed my risk board? How you were playing

942
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,239
risk on the subway? Rob beyond me?

943
00:47:14,079 --> 00:47:16,480
Speaker 2: It's great, It's great. Love the chat. You guys bring

944
00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:18,400
the heat every single day. And tomorrow we're gonna get

945
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:20,960
you ready for the weekend, same time, same place. Good

946
00:47:21,039 --> 00:47:23,559
luck on all your bets and we'll see you when tomorrow.

947
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:23,960
Take care,