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Speaker 1: Okay, let's just dive right in. Imagine a high speed train. Okay,

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but this train, well, it's maybe up to five point

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six kilometers wide, and it's made of ancient ice from

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another star system, and it's currently tearing through our solar

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system at fifty eight kilometers per second.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that speed is it's staggering. That's the situation that's

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got scientists all over the world scrambling pointing basically every

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telescope they can at it.

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Speaker 1: We are tracking this incredibly rare visitor right from way

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outside our stellar neighborhood.

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Speaker 2: Exactly, and the scientific mobilization to understand it has been

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well unprecedented. This is only the third one like it

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we've ever confirmed. Wow, and it's forcing us to, you know,

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rewrite the book on how comets work. Almost in real time.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about three ils. It's sort of burst onto

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the scene back in July twenty twenty five, first spotted

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by the ATLS survey, that's.

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Speaker 2: The Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System. Their job is

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scanning the sky for potential threats, but they found this instead.

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Speaker 1: And here is where it gets really wild, especially for

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anyone trying to keep up the sheer amount of scientific

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information about this thing has just exploited that.

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Speaker 2: Speed of discovery is really key here. When it was

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first spotted, maybe four research papers something like that. Right now,

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just a few months later, we're looking at nearly seventy papers,

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seventy covering everything from what it's made of to well

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some pretty out there ideas.

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Speaker 1: Like alien origins, which we'll definitely get to.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's this incredibly dynamic, almost frantic race against time

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because we know we don't have long before it heads

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back out into deep space.

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Speaker 1: So our mission today for you listening is to try

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and cut through all that noise, synthesize everything we know,

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everything you need to know about this elusive visitor before

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it gets closest to the sun.

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Speaker 2: Consider this your deep dive, the shortcut to getting up

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to speed on this interstellar anomaly.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so let's set the stage, as you said, Third

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interstellar object three I. We had Uhamua back in twenty seventeen,

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which was weird in its right, totally weird, and then

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Comet Borisov in twenty nineteen.

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Speaker 2: Right, which looked more like a typical comment but still

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from another star.

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Speaker 1: And this one three IAT lists. The parameters are just

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mind bending. That speed fifty eight kilometers a second, that's

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what like one hundred and thirty thousand miles an hour roughly.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and the age estimate astronomers think this thing is

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incredibly ancient, somewhere between three and eleven billion.

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Speaker 1: Years old, eleven billion years.

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Speaker 2: It's potentially been traveling since the very early days of

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star formation in the universe, a leftover from way back.

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Speaker 1: Then, three maybe eleven billion years, drifting through space just

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to zip through our little solar system for a few months.

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I mean, the perspective on that is just hard to grasp,

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it really is. Okay, let's start decoding this thing section.

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Speaker 2: One, right, and we have to start with the urgency.

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That incredible speed dictates the speed of the science. You know,

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that jump from just a handful of papers to nearly

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seventy Yeah, that really highlights what armors call a target of.

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Speaker 1: Opportunity, meaning drop everything else.

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Speaker 2: Exactly, drop everything, because if you wait, if you stick

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to normal scheduling, the object's gone. The data is lost forever.

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Speaker 1: And when you say drop everything, we're talking about interrupting

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carefully planned observations on the biggest, most in demand telescopes

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on and off the planet. Like getting time on Hubble.

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Speaker 2: Oh, it's notoriously difficult. You write proposals years in advance.

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You're competing with thousands of other scientists for just a

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few hours of observation time.

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Speaker 1: It's like the Mount Everest of telescope.

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Speaker 2: Time pretty much. But Hubble and other major facilities they

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have specific time set aside for these kinds of emergencies,

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for targets that are unique, scientifically, crucial and fleeting.

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Speaker 1: And three ISO made the cut.

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Speaker 2: Oh, absolutely, it was deemed worthy of basically skipping the

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entire queue. That level of response that tells you just

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how important the scientific community thinks understanding this object is

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getting a sample, even remotely of material from another star system.

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That's huge.

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Speaker 1: Hubble delivered almost immediately, didn't it. It got an image

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back on July twenty first, the object was still pretty

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far out then.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, four hundred and forty six million kilometers from Earth,

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still way out there.

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Speaker 1: I saw that image, and what's cool is you can

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actually see this speed. The background stars aren't pinpricks.

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Speaker 2: They're streaks, right, little lines of light.

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Speaker 1: Exactly because the telescope had to lock onto this fast

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moving comet and track it across the sky during the exposure,

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the stars trailed in the background. It's a visual confirmation

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of just how quickly it's moving.

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Speaker 2: And even visually it was already looking interesting. The comma

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the dust cloud around the nucleus have this really distinctive

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tear drop shape. But the absolutely critical finding from Hubble

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the game changer was the size.

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Speaker 1: Ah right, Because the first estimates were bigger, much bigger. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Those initial sort of back of the envelope calculations were

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based purely on how bright the object looked overall. They

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assumed most of that light was reflected off the solid nucleus,

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the icy.

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Speaker 1: Core, which is u usually the standard starting point.

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Speaker 2: I guess it is, but it's a problem if the

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object is really active, like this one clearly was, if

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it's spewing out a lot of gas and dust, and then.

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Speaker 1: That cloud reflects sunlight too, making the whole thing look brighter.

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Speaker 2: Precisely, most of the light you're seeing isn't from the

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nucleus itself, it's reflected off that huge enveloping dust cloud,

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the coma. So once the Hubble team carefully subtracted the

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light contribution from that massive coma.

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Speaker 1: The estimated size of the actual solid bed. The nucleus

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had to shrink dramatically.

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Speaker 2: We went from those early guesses that it might be

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you know, ten kilometers wide, maybe even bigger.

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Speaker 1: Which would be a monster comet.

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Speaker 2: A very significant object, yes, down to a much more

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refined estimate. The nucleus diameter is somewhere between four hundred

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and forty meters, so less than half a kilometer and

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maybe five point six kilometers at the absolute upper end.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that's a massive reduction, and that changes the whole conversation,

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doesn't it, especially around how rare it is, and as

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you mentioned those alien.

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Speaker 2: Theories, it completely reframes the statistical arguments. Ok A smaller

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object is much more likely to be just a natural

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piece of interstellar debris wandering by. We'll definitely circle back

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to that whole controversy.

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Speaker 1: But this smaller size, this intense activity, it points towards

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needing to understand its composition, right, what's actually in.

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Speaker 2: This thing exactly? And that's where the James Web Space

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Telescope came in. JWST, the Infrared Powerhouse.

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Speaker 1: Web took a look on August six, used its Near

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Infrared Spectrograph NIRSpec. That's the instrument you want for sniffing

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out molecules, especially icy ones.

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Speaker 2: That's right. A study led by astrochemist doctor Martin Cordner.

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Near infrared light is perfect because different molecules, different ices,

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absorb and emit infrared light at very specific wavelengths. It's

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like a chemical fingerprint.

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Speaker 1: So what did web find in that early look composition wise?

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Speaker 2: Well, first, it confirmed the coma was complex. The gas

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and dust weren't coming off smoothly uniformly. It showed complex

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morphology suggesting uneven heating or different materials exposed on the

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like patches.

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Speaker 1: Of different stuff boiling off at different rates.

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Speaker 2: Sort of Yeah. And crucially, at that distance, still quite

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far from the sun, it found that carbon monoxide CO

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and carbon dioxide CO two were sublimating, turning directly from

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ice to gas much more readily than water.

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Speaker 1: Ice was okay, So CO and CO two are more

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volatile than water. They turn into gas at colder temperatures,

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much more volatile.

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Speaker 2: Yes, this tells us that these ices CO and CO

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two must be near the surface of the nucleus, maybe

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mixed in the pop layers. There are the first things

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to boil off as the comet feels even the faintest

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warmth from the approaching sun. Water ice needs things to

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get significantly warmer.

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Speaker 1: But web also spotted something physically weird, didn't it Something

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about the dust?

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Speaker 2: Ah? Yes, the sunword dust anomaly. This was unexpected. Normally,

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you know, a comet's tail points away from the sun.

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Speaker 1: Right pushed by sunlight pressure in the solar wind, like

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a wind sock exactly.

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Speaker 2: But the Jawst observations and others found a surprising amount

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of dust, a significant amount appearing to emanate towards the

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sun on the sunward side of the nucleus.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that sounds wrong, Like the wind sock is pointing

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into the wind. How does that work?

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Speaker 2: It required some pretty sophisticated modeling to figure out it's

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not actually defying physics, thankfully. The leading hypothesis involves a

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couple of things. First, remember that intense outgassing of CO

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and CO two we just talked about.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the hypervolatils boiling off.

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Speaker 2: That escaping gas, especially the CO two, could be acting

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like little rocket engines, blasting dust grains off the nuclear

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surface with considerable force in all directions, not just away

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from the sun.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so the initial launch isn't just passive exactly.

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Speaker 2: And then second, as these dust grains travel away from

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the nucleus, they might be fragmenting, breaking into smaller pieces.

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How would they fragment could be collisions, could be the

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solar radiation itself breaking down fragile structures, But smaller fragments

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scatter sunlight much more efficiently, so you get this halo effect,

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and the increased reflection from these fragmented grains, especially on

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the sunward side where the sunlight is hitting them directly,

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creates the appearance of more dust coming off in that direction.

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Speaker 1: Ah, So it's partly an optical illusion caused by the

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dust breaking up and reflecting more light back at us,

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combined with the forceful.

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Speaker 2: Ejection that seems to be the best explanation. It's in

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fact really exacerbated by how incredibly active this object is,

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how much gas is powering this process.

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Speaker 1: It paints a picture of a really volatile, maybe even

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structurally weak object, doesn't it already showing signs of stress

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way out there?

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Speaker 2: Absolutely fragile and hyperactive seem to be the key takeaways

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early on.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk more about that activity search, because it

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wasn't just web that noticed something unusual let's bring in tests.

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Speaker 2: Right, the Transiting Exoplanet Survey satellite tests.

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Speaker 1: Now Tess's day job is hunting for planets around other stars.

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It stares at huge patches of sky looking for the

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tiny dips in starlight when a planet passes in front

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of its star. How does an exo planet hut and have?

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Speaker 2: Studying a comet tests is a fantastic example of getting

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more science out of a mission than originally planned. Because

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it stares at these wide feels for long periods, about

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a month at a time.

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Speaker 1: It just happened to be looking in the right place

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at the right time exactly.

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Speaker 2: Is High precision cameras actually captured three i allis between

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May seventh and June second, well before the official discovery

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in July by the ground based ATLA survey.

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Speaker 1: Wow, So it gave us prediscovery data like fighting old

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security footage of an event.

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Speaker 2: Precisely, it's like a time machine for the comet's early behavior.

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And that backward look provided by tests led to probably

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the biggest surprise so far, the brightest paradix.

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Speaker 1: The brightness paradox. Okay, with the paradox, well, a.

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Speaker 2: Team of researchers Feinstein Nunin Seligman among them, used this

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test data to measure the object's brightness its visual magnitude

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during that May June period. Now, during that test observation window,

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the object was getting closer to the Sun. It moved

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inwards by about zero point nine astronomical units, So.

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Speaker 1: The distance from the Earth to the Sun closer. That's

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a significant move inwards.

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Speaker 2: It is, and basic physics tells you as it gets closer,

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it intercepts more sunlight, gets warmer, and should get brighter

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as more ice supplements.

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Speaker 1: Makes sense, So what was the expected brightness increase?

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Speaker 2: Based on how typical solar system comments behave They calculated

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that its flux, the total energy it received and reflected,

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should have increased by a factor of about one point

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five over that period. That would make its visual magnitude

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around twenty point five by the end of the observation. Remember,

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lower magnitude numbers mean brighter objects.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so expect one point five times brighter magnitude twenty

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point five. That's the baseline. What did tests actually see.

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Speaker 2: The reality was stunning. Its magnitude didn't just reach twenty

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point five, It surged all the way to nineteen point

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two eight.

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Speaker 1: Well, wait, nineteen point two eight is much brighter than.

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Speaker 2: Twenty point five, significantly brighter. That brightness corresponds to a

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flux increase, not by a factor of one point five,

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but by a factor of five, five times brighter than

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expect just from getting closer to the sun.

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Speaker 1: Five times. Okay, that's not subtle. What causes that kind

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of explosive brightening. It wasn't like a single outburst, right,

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It was a sustained increase.

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Speaker 2: It seemed to be sustained over that period. Yeah, it

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implies the amount of material boiling off, the amount of

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dust and gas being produced was far far higher than

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you'd expect from just water, ice, or even CO and

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CO two at that distance.

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Speaker 1: So when you combine that extreme brightness increase from tests

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with the smaller nucleus size we got from Hubble, what's

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the conclusion? How can a small object be so incredibly

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active so far out?

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Speaker 2: It leads directly to what's being called the hypervolatile hypothesis.

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Speaker 1: Hypervolatile meaning stuff even more volatile than CO two.

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Speaker 2: Exactly, if you have a relatively small nucleus, maybe only

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a few kilometers wide at most, generating five times the

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expected activity, it must be releasing materials that need almost

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no heat to turn into gas. The analysis suggested this

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object might have already been significantly active when it was

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still six Au away from the Sun.

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Speaker 1: Six au. That's near Jupiter's orbit way out there.

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Speaker 2: For context, water ice really only starts sublimating in earnest

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around three au, maybe four Au. For some comets, even

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CO two needs things to warm up a bit more

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than they are at six AU.

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Speaker 1: So to be active way out at six AU, you

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need something with an incredibly low boiling.

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Speaker 2: Point, precisely things like solid nitrogen N two or maybe

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even solid hydrogen H two, though hydrogen is trickier. These

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are called exotic or hypervolatile aces. They're very common in

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the coldest, outermost regions of stellar systems, like our Kuiper

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Belt or Ort cloud.

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Speaker 1: So the thinking is three ietulusts formed in a similar

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super cold region around its parent star, preserving these hypervolatiles.

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Speaker 2: That's the implication. It's chemically distinct. It's been kept in

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a pristine deep freeze for billions of years, loaded with

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this incredibly sensitive material, and then as soon as it

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felt even the faint warmth of our sun boom, it

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just exploded. Into activity.

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Speaker 1: So tests didn't just give as a time machine. It

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gave us a fundamental clue about the chemistry just by

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measuring brightness. That's amazing, it really is.

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Speaker 2: And test data also helped tackle another puzzle, the rotation.

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Speaker 1: Puzzle, how fast is it spinning?

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Speaker 2: Exactly? By analyzing the light curve how the object's brightness

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varies over time as different sides of rotate into view,

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you can figure out its rotation period and get clues

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about its shape and stability.

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Speaker 1: Right like with Umamua, its light curve was quite extreme,

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suggesting that weird elongated shape.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Umua's light curve was relatively clean, though dramatic. Three

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I Atlas initially was the opposite. The test light curve

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data was quite noisy, very messy.

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Speaker 1: What does a noisy light curve suggest?

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Speaker 2: It could mean a highly irregular shape, or maybe it's

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not spinning smoothly, perhaps it's tumbling end over end. It

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made it really hard to pick out a clear repeating

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pattern at first, so tricky to pin down the spin.

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Speaker 1: Very tricky. With test alone, they did find some tentative

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hints possible signals suggesting periods around twenty nine hours and

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maybe sixteen hours, but it wasn't definitive from that data set.

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Speaker 2: That's where you need the big guns on the ground, right,

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dedicated observations exactly.

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Speaker 1: You need specialized ground based telescopes capable of taking very rapid,

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frequent measurements, high cadence observations to really nail down the rotation.

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And they did follow up observations confirm the shorter period,

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the sixteen hour one. Yes, the sixteen hour spin period

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seems to be the correct one.

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Speaker 2: And knowing that rotation is vital, why does it tell

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us more than just how fast it's turning?

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Speaker 1: It can Yeah, a relatively fast rotation period for an

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object potentially made of loosely bound ice and rock could

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put significant stress on its structure. It might make it

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more prone to flying apart, especially as it gets closer

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to the sun and the outgassing ramps up. It adds

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to that picture of fragility. Okay, so we have this

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picture emerging small nucleus ancient incredibly hyperactive due to exotic ices,

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possibly fragile spinning every sixteen hours. Let's get deeper into

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the actual chemistry. Now, what specific molecules have we detected?

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Speaker 2: Right? This springs us to section three chemical fingerprints and

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some really strange physical properties. And for the chemical finger fronts,

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the Gemini South telescope in Chile played a crucial role.

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Speaker 1: Gemini South up high in the Andes great seeing.

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Speaker 2: Conditions there fantastic site. On August twenty seventh, they used

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their multi object spectrograph GMOs to get not just images

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but also spectra of the coma.

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Speaker 1: And tail and visually did it confirm the activitiy? Oh?

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Speaker 2: Yeah. By late August the tail was clearly visible, stretching

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about eleven hundred and twentieth of a degree across the

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sky in their images, a clear visual confirmation of that

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massive activity surge. The test data hinted at earlier, but.

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Speaker 1: The real prize was the spectrum the chemical breakdown absolutely.

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Speaker 2: The analysis led by Binyang found a very clear emission

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signature in the CN.

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Speaker 1: Band CN that's cyanide.

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Speaker 2: Cyanide, yes, a molecule made of one carbon and one

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nitrogen atom. Detecting CN emission is pretty standard for commets.

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It's a common molecule, but actually confirming it in an

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interstellar object is critical verification.

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Speaker 1: How does a chunk of ice end up releasing cyanide gas?

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It sounds vaguely sinister.

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Speaker 2: Huh, it does, but it's a natural process. The nucleus

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ice likely contains frozen hydrogen cyanide HCN. It's a simple molecule,

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very common in interstellar space and protoplanetary discs.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So HTN is frozen inside.

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Speaker 2: Then what as the comet nears the sun. The water

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ice starts sublimating, turning to gas. This gas flow carries

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the frozen HTN along with it, away from the nucleus

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surface into the coma. Once the HCN molecule is out

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in the coma, floating free, it gets zapped by ultraviolet sunlight.

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That solar radiation has enough energy to break the bond

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between the hydrogen and the cyanode group.

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Speaker 1: So sunlight breaks apart the HCN, leaving the CN.

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Speaker 2: Exactly and that free CN molecule then gets energized by

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sunlight and emits light at very specific wavelengths, creating that

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characteristic spectral signature that Gemini detected.

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Speaker 1: And does when you detect CN tell you anything it does.

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Speaker 2: That CN signature typically becomes strong when a comet gets

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within about two point five to three AU from the Sun.

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That's the distance where water sublimation really kicks in strongly

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enough to release sufficient HCN. And that distance range fits

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perfectly with where three Ilus was located in late August

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when Gemini observe.

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Speaker 1: It, so it's like a location marker based on chemistry.

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Did they figure out how much cyanide was coming on?

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Speaker 2: They did. They measured the production rate at about eight

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00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:24,960
hundred six tillion cyanide molecules per second.

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Speaker 1: Six tillion. That's a lot of zero.

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Speaker 2: It's eight followed by twenty three zeros, an absolutely mind

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boggling number in everyday terms.

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Speaker 1: But how does that compare to say, comets from our

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own solar system? Is that a lot or a little

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for a commet?

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Speaker 2: Interestingly compared to many of the brighter commets we see

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originating from our ort cloud or Kuiper belt, that CN

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production rate actually puts three Ilus on the lower end

380
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of the scale loor end.

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Speaker 1: But we just said it was hyperactive and five times

382
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brighter than expected. How can it be both hyperactive and

383
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a low producer of cyanide?

384
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Speaker 2: That's the key, right It points back to that small

385
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hypervolatile nucleus. It might be inc credibly efficient at releasing

386
00:19:01,319 --> 00:19:04,319
gas because of those exotic ices near the surface, leading

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to the high brightness and activity. But maybe the overall

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abundance of specific molecules like hcn within the nucleus isn't

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exceptionally high compared to some giant orc cloud comment.

390
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Speaker 1: Okay, that makes sense, high efficiency, maybe not huge.

391
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:22,079
Speaker 2: Reserves, which leads directly to another critical classification they made

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carbon chain depletion.

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Speaker 1: Carbon chain depletion. What does that mean?

394
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Speaker 2: Scientists look at the ratio of different carbon bearing molecules. Specifically,

395
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:33,480
they measured the amount of di carbon, which is C

396
00:19:33,599 --> 00:19:37,119
two two carbon atoms bonded together, relative to the amount

397
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of cyanide cn C.

398
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 1: Two versus cn What does that ratio tell you?

399
00:19:41,079 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 2: Di carbon C two is thought to form from the

400
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,519
breakdown of more complex, longer carbon chain molecules frozen in

401
00:19:46,559 --> 00:19:49,240
the nucleus ice. So a higher C two to cn

402
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,640
ratio suggests the comet formed in an environment richer in

403
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,720
these complex organic precursors.

404
00:19:55,039 --> 00:19:56,960
Speaker 1: And three I. At last, what was its ratio?

405
00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,720
Speaker 2: It was classified as one of the most carbon chained

406
00:19:59,799 --> 00:20:03,920
pla pleated commets ever observed. Its C two cn ratio

407
00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:05,480
is less than point zero nine.

408
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:09,200
Speaker 1: Less than point zero nine C two molecules for every

409
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,319
CN molecule, so very little.

410
00:20:11,079 --> 00:20:14,839
Speaker 2: C two extremely little. In simpler terms, it's severely lacking

411
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,039
in the stuff that breaks down to form C two.

412
00:20:17,079 --> 00:20:20,960
It seems chemically quite primitive or formed under very specific conditions.

413
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:25,160
Speaker 1: What kind of conditions lead to that being carbon chain depleted?

414
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 2: It suggests the place where three I at lass originally

415
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:31,480
formed around its parent star was probably unique. Maybe it

416
00:20:31,559 --> 00:20:34,839
formed at extremely low temperatures, so cold that these more

417
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,279
complex carbon chains simply couldn't condense effectively.

418
00:20:37,799 --> 00:20:39,640
Speaker 1: Onto the ice greens, or maybe something else.

419
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 2: Another possibility is that it formed in a region heavily

420
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:46,400
shielded from the ultraviolet radiation of its host star. Usually

421
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UV radiation helps process simpler molecules into more complex ones

422
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,160
over time. If it was shielded, that processing wouldn't happen

423
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:54,000
as much.

424
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Speaker 1: And didn't comet Borisov, the previous interstellar comet, also show

425
00:20:57,079 --> 00:20:58,240
this intriguingly.

426
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Speaker 2: Yes, Boresov was all so found to be carbon chain depleted,

427
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,640
though maybe not quite as severely as three IE lists.

428
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:08,400
It's starting to hint at a potential pattern for interstellar

429
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:09,200
Comment two for.

430
00:21:09,279 --> 00:21:12,519
Speaker 1: Two suggests it might be common for these interstellar visitors,

431
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:16,119
but well, a sample size of two is still tiny exactly.

432
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 2: We need more visitors, But it's a fascinating clue about

433
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,599
the chemical environments in the outer reaches of other star systems.

434
00:21:23,279 --> 00:21:25,519
It might be telling us that the conditions needed to

435
00:21:25,519 --> 00:21:28,839
build up complex carbon chemistry are less common out there.

436
00:21:29,319 --> 00:21:31,680
Or maybe these depleted objects are just the ones most

437
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,720
easily ejected in this chemistry.

438
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Speaker 1: This lack of complex binding agents maybe ties back to

439
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:38,640
that fragility you mentioned.

440
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,559
Speaker 2: It absolutely could. There was a great quote from astronomer

441
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,200
Karen Meach describing objects like this. She said, they are

442
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:47,359
really very fragile, dirty snowballs.

443
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:49,079
Speaker 1: Ragile, dirty snowballs. I like that.

444
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:52,160
Speaker 2: It's a perfect description, and it's a stark warning. If

445
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,240
this hyperactive, chemically simple, potentially loosely bound ice ball gets

446
00:21:56,279 --> 00:21:58,720
hit with too much thermal stress as it whips around

447
00:21:58,720 --> 00:21:59,240
the sun.

448
00:21:59,279 --> 00:22:00,519
Speaker 1: It could just cintegrate.

449
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,759
Speaker 2: It could break apart, and if that happens, you'd suddenly

450
00:22:03,759 --> 00:22:07,039
expose huge amounts of fresh ice from the interior, stuff

451
00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:10,240
that hasn't seen sunlight in billions of years. That would

452
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:15,119
cause a massive sudden surge and outcasting a spectacular flare up.

453
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The whole astronomical community is kind of holding its breath,

454
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watching to see if it holds together through perihelium.

455
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,839
Speaker 1: Okay, beyond the chemistry, there was another technique used something

456
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:28,240
really specialized to probe its physical structure.

457
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:32,160
Speaker 2: Yes, polarimetry. This was only the second time polarimetry had

458
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:36,160
ever been successfully used on an interstellar object, after boris

459
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:37,319
off polarimetry.

460
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Speaker 1: Okay, break that down. What are we measuring.

461
00:22:39,039 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 2: It's complex, but basically, sunlight is unpolarized. The light waves

462
00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:46,599
vibrate in all directions. When that sunlight hits the dust

463
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,640
grains in the comet's coma and scatters towards our telescopes,

464
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the light becomes partially polarized. The way it's polarized, the direction,

465
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:57,400
and the amount depends critically on the physical properties of

466
00:22:57,440 --> 00:22:58,960
the dust grains it's scattered off.

467
00:22:59,279 --> 00:23:02,079
Speaker 1: Soasuring the polarization of the light you can figure out

468
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:02,839
stuff about.

469
00:23:02,599 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 2: The dust exactly. It tells you things you can't easily

470
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:09,599
get from just brightness or standard spectroscopy, things like the

471
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,680
average size of the dust grains, their shape, whether they're

472
00:23:12,759 --> 00:23:16,240
smooth or fluffy, their composition, to some extent, the structure

473
00:23:16,279 --> 00:23:18,400
of the regolith on the nuclear surface. If you could

474
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:22,400
measure that directly and even the overall shape of the coma, so.

475
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 1: A powerful tool for understanding the physical nature of the dust.

476
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,799
What did the polarimetry team led by Zuri Gray find

477
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:31,279
four three ils?

478
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 2: They announced their findings on September fifth, and it was

479
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,720
another major anomaly. They found that three I atlass exhibits

480
00:23:37,759 --> 00:23:41,440
an exceptionally deep and narrow negative polarization branch.

481
00:23:41,519 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 1: Okay, deep narrow negative polarization. Let's unpack negative polarization right.

482
00:23:45,519 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 2: When light scatters, imagine a plane defined by the Sun,

483
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:51,359
the comet, and the observer US on Earth. That's the

484
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,759
scattering plane. If the scattered light tends to vibrate perpendicular

485
00:23:54,759 --> 00:23:58,319
to this plane, we call that positive polarization. That's more

486
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:02,319
typical for many asteroids and some comets, and negative polarization

487
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,039
means the light preferentially vibrates parallel to the scattering plane.

488
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,839
It usually happens at certain viewing angles. But the depth

489
00:24:08,839 --> 00:24:12,400
and narrowness of this negative branch for three idealas was extreme.

490
00:24:12,559 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: How extreme? What does it mean physically?

491
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,799
Speaker 2: It means this specific light scattering behavior has never been

492
00:24:17,839 --> 00:24:21,920
seen before, not in any comet, not in any asteroid ever.

493
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,359
Observed within our own solar system. Nothing quite matches it

494
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:26,599
never wow.

495
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 1: Okay, So what does that imply about the dust.

496
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,839
Speaker 2: This deep and negative polarization strongly suggests the dust grains

497
00:24:32,839 --> 00:24:37,319
are structurally very complex. They're likely not simple compact spheres

498
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,319
or chunks like typical silicate dust. They might be highly porous,

499
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:46,319
extremely irregular, fluffy aggregates think microscopic snowflakes or fractal structures.

500
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,279
It's a physical fingerprint indicating the dust formed in a

501
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,599
very different environment or from different materials than typical solar

502
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:53,359
system bodies.

503
00:24:53,519 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 1: So if positive polarization is like light bouncing off relatively

504
00:24:57,039 --> 00:25:00,599
smooth pebbles, negative polarization is like light getting trapped and

505
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,519
bouncing around inside incredibly intricate, fluffy dust bunnies.

506
00:25:04,759 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 2: That's a really good analogy.

507
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 1: Yeah.

508
00:25:06,279 --> 00:25:09,839
Speaker 2: It fundamentally sets three Ilis apart, and importantly, it also

509
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:11,640
sets it apart from comet Borisov.

510
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 1: Worsov didn't show that.

511
00:25:12,839 --> 00:25:17,319
Speaker 2: Now Borisov showed positive polarization more similar, though not identical,

512
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:21,400
to comments in our solar system. This confirms that three

513
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:26,200
Iolis and Borsov, despite both being interstellar visitors, likely came

514
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,519
from different types of environments or are fundamentally different types

515
00:25:29,519 --> 00:25:33,480
of objects. Three ils might represent a whole new class

516
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,519
of small planetary body based on this unique light scattering signature.

517
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,279
Speaker 1: Its dust is just alien, physically different.

518
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,319
Speaker 2: Alien in the truest sense, originating elsewhere and having measurably

519
00:25:44,319 --> 00:25:45,599
different physical properties.

520
00:25:45,799 --> 00:25:49,079
Speaker 1: And yet amidst all this incredibly high tech analysis from

521
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:53,240
Hubble web Gemini, there was this other anomaly that popped

522
00:25:53,279 --> 00:25:55,359
up thanks to amateurs, the green hue.

523
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,839
Speaker 2: Yes, this was a wonderful example of pro am collaboration

524
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,720
and just kenops. In early September, there was a lunar eclipse,

525
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:03,559
which meant dark.

526
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:05,839
Speaker 1: Skies, perfect comet watching condition.

527
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:11,079
Speaker 2: Exactly, and experienced amateur astronomers Michael Jaeger and Jeral Raymond

528
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,880
were taking long exposure photos from Namibia and they noticed

529
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:18,720
this beautiful, distinct green glow around three iAtlas.

530
00:26:19,039 --> 00:26:21,799
Speaker 1: A green comet. That's pretty classic, right. We know why

531
00:26:21,839 --> 00:26:23,559
comets sometimes turn green, we do.

532
00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 2: The green color is typically caused by the fluorescence of

533
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:30,519
diatomic carbon C two, that molecule we discussed earlier. When

534
00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:34,000
C two molecules released from the nucleus get energized by sunlight,

535
00:26:34,279 --> 00:26:35,079
they glow green.

536
00:26:35,319 --> 00:26:38,640
Speaker 1: Okay, so amateur sea green sciences green means C two.

537
00:26:38,759 --> 00:26:39,640
Well that's the problem.

538
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 2: The problem is the conflict with the spectroscopy. Remember the

539
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:46,680
Gemini results showed three aat liss is extremely carbon chain depleted.

540
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,720
It produces very very little C two compared to cn ah.

541
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:54,039
Speaker 1: So the chemical analysis says hardly any C two, but

542
00:26:54,079 --> 00:26:57,559
the photos say glowing green, which means C two. That

543
00:26:57,599 --> 00:26:58,240
doesn't add up.

544
00:26:58,319 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 2: It's a direct conflict in the data, presenting a fascinating

545
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,599
little mystery. Right now, there are a couple of possibility. Okay,

546
00:27:04,599 --> 00:27:07,720
look what one is That C two production has suddenly

547
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,480
rapidly ramped up in the short time between the Gemini

548
00:27:10,519 --> 00:27:14,319
spectroscopy run in late August and the amateur observations in

549
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,440
early September. Maybe the increasing heat finally started breaking down

550
00:27:18,519 --> 00:27:21,680
whatever parent molecules produce ce two more efficiently, so.

551
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: The chemistry changed quickly.

552
00:27:23,039 --> 00:27:26,400
Speaker 2: It's possible comets can change activity levels rapidly. The other

553
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,519
possibility is, well, maybe there's another explanation for the green

554
00:27:29,599 --> 00:27:33,359
hue in this specific object. Maybe some other molecule or

555
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:37,279
dust property is causing a green glow under these conditions,

556
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:40,200
something we haven't seen before. Because this object's composition is

557
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:40,920
so unique.

558
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 1: So either rabid chemical evolution or completely new source of

559
00:27:45,039 --> 00:27:48,640
green in comets. That's a great little cliffhanger for future research.

560
00:27:48,759 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 2: It really is. It perfectly illustrates how dynamic this whole

561
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,920
field is. Right now, we're getting conflicting data points in

562
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:54,640
near real time.

563
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,119
Speaker 1: Okay, this feels like a good point to pivot to

564
00:27:57,279 --> 00:28:00,400
the inevitable controversy that seems to follow these in interstellar

565
00:28:00,519 --> 00:28:04,799
objects around section four, the alien hypothesis.

566
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 2: Ah yes, and that inevitably brings us to astrophysicist Avi Lobe.

567
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 1: Lobe is a prominent Harvard astrophysicist, well respected but also

568
00:28:13,759 --> 00:28:19,079
known for pushing boundaries, sometimes controversially, especially regarding interstellar objects

569
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,839
and the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.

570
00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 2: He definitely makes headlines. His initial argument concerning three il

571
00:28:25,279 --> 00:28:28,680
as emerged back in July, shortly after discovery, and it

572
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:32,079
was critically based on those early much larger size.

573
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,519
Speaker 1: Estimates ten kilometer estimates exactly low.

574
00:28:34,559 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 2: Ebb argued, from a statistical standpoint, based on our best

575
00:28:38,039 --> 00:28:41,400
understanding of how much stuff rocks, ice should be floating

576
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,519
between the stars, the probability of a natural object as

577
00:28:44,599 --> 00:28:47,680
large as ten kilometers wandering into our solar system during

578
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,000
our observational lifetime was extremely low.

579
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,559
Speaker 1: So he was saying, finding something this big naturally is

580
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,079
so unlikely, we should question if it is natural.

581
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,599
Speaker 2: That was the core of his initial challenge. He basically

582
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:02,160
set up a dichotomy. Either our models of interstellar object

583
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,440
density are fundamentally wrong by a huge margin, or this

584
00:29:05,559 --> 00:29:07,720
object isn't just a random piece of rock and ice,

585
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:12,960
and the alternative you propose was the controversial alternative alien technologer.

586
00:29:13,839 --> 00:29:16,960
Just days after his initial statistical argument, he co authored

587
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:20,000
a follow up paper. The title was pretty direct, is

588
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:23,559
the interstellar object three I eight less? Alien technology?

589
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,279
Speaker 1: Can't get much clearer than that? Do they elaborate on

590
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:27,079
what kind of tech?

591
00:29:27,599 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 2: They explored possibilities referencing concepts like the dark forest resolution

592
00:29:32,599 --> 00:29:34,680
to the Fermi paradox.

593
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,559
Speaker 1: Right, the Fermi paradox being if aliens are common, where

594
00:29:37,599 --> 00:29:40,200
are they? And the dark forest idea.

595
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 2: Is it's a somewhat chilling idea that the universe might

596
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,359
be like a dark forest full of hunters in prey.

597
00:29:46,039 --> 00:29:49,759
Advanced civilizations might stay silent and hidden like prey to

598
00:29:49,839 --> 00:29:54,200
avoid attracting attention from potential cosmic predators. Broadcasting your existence

599
00:29:54,279 --> 00:29:54,960
is too risky.

600
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 1: So Low and his co authors suggested three I eight

601
00:29:58,039 --> 00:30:01,279
less could be some kind of hidden pro maybe deliberately

602
00:30:01,319 --> 00:30:03,559
targeting our system or just passing through silently.

603
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:07,279
Speaker 2: They explored that possibility, Yes, maybe using a gravitational assist

604
00:30:07,279 --> 00:30:10,319
to fly by maneuver. Importantly, they did include a caveat

605
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:13,240
in the paper, stating the exploration was partly for educational

606
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:17,519
purposes and quote fun to pursue, irrespective of its likely validity.

607
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: Fun to pursue. Oh okay, But science isn't just about

608
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,640
fund speculation. It's about data. And this is where the

609
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,000
scientific rebuttal came in. Strong, wasn't it?

610
00:30:28,359 --> 00:30:31,519
Speaker 2: Absolutely? The most immediate and critical flaw pointed out by

611
00:30:31,519 --> 00:30:34,640
many in the community was Love's continued reliance on that

612
00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:37,920
outdated larger ten kilometer size.

613
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 1: Estimate, even after Hubble had refined it.

614
00:30:40,119 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 2: Yes, by the time the alien technology paper was circulating,

615
00:30:43,759 --> 00:30:48,079
the Hubble observations had already drastically reduced the maximum possible

616
00:30:48,119 --> 00:30:52,640
size down to five point six kilometers and likely much smaller, and.

617
00:30:52,599 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: A smaller object is statistically much.

618
00:30:54,599 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 2: More compt Exactly the entire premise of his statistical improbability

619
00:30:58,759 --> 00:31:02,039
argument essentially collapse apsed once you plugged in the best available,

620
00:31:02,079 --> 00:31:06,160
observationally constrained size data. Science demands you use the most current,

621
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,599
most credible data, and the argument as presented failed that

622
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:10,519
fundamental test.

623
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 1: So the community's reaction was basically correct the input data

624
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,720
and the need for an exotic explanation evaporates.

625
00:31:17,039 --> 00:31:19,599
Speaker 2: That was the core of the scientific rebuttal on the

626
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,480
size front. And then there was the orbital mechanics.

627
00:31:22,119 --> 00:31:26,519
Speaker 1: Argument, right because some of Lobe's hypotheses, especially for Umu Mua,

628
00:31:26,599 --> 00:31:31,200
previously involved needing some kind of non gravitational acceleration like

629
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:33,480
a push from engines or a solar fail to explain

630
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,519
its trajectory. Did that come up here?

631
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 2: It did indirectly, but geoscientist akm asenal Hawk published a

632
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,920
detailed rebuttal focusing specifically on the trajectory of three I Atlas.

633
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:48,279
He argued very compellingly that the object's path, including its

634
00:31:48,279 --> 00:31:52,119
flybys of Venus, Mars, and Jupiter, could be perfectly well

635
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,440
explained by natural cometary dynamics alone.

636
00:31:55,119 --> 00:31:57,599
Speaker 1: Meaning the push it gets from gas and dust escaping

637
00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,160
that outgassing.

638
00:31:58,559 --> 00:32:02,240
Speaker 2: Force precisely show that the observed trajectory did not require

639
00:32:02,279 --> 00:32:05,839
any kind of artificial, non gravitational push or engineered maneuver.

640
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:10,559
The subtle deviations from a purely gravitational path were entirely

641
00:32:10,599 --> 00:32:13,319
consistent with the kind of outgassing forces we expect from

642
00:32:13,319 --> 00:32:16,279
a hyperactive commet like this one. No need to invoke

643
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:17,279
alien engines.

644
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 1: So natural physics works just fine to explain where it's going.

645
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:25,039
Speaker 2: That's the strong consensus view. While three iotlis is undeniably weird,

646
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,799
its composition, its activity, its polarization are all highly unusual,

647
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,000
its motion seems to follow the known laws of commentary

648
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:37,000
physics quite well. The lesson really is caution against jumping

649
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:40,920
to extraordinary conclusions, however fun they might be. Before all

650
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,880
the natural explanations based on the best data have been

651
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:44,920
thoroughly exhausted.

652
00:32:45,039 --> 00:32:47,799
Speaker 1: A good reminder for all science. Really. Okay, So where

653
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:52,079
did that leave us now? As this fascinating, ancient, hyperactive, fragile,

654
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:56,200
maybe green, definitely weird object heads towards the Sun, what's

655
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:57,000
the final act?

656
00:32:57,519 --> 00:33:00,799
Speaker 2: Well, the next major milestone is perihelion, its approach to

657
00:33:00,839 --> 00:33:02,640
the Sun that happens on October THIRTYEF.

658
00:33:02,839 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 1: How close does it get?

659
00:33:03,799 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 2: It'll pass about one point four au from the Sun,

660
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,559
so a bit further out than Earth's orbit, closer than

661
00:33:08,599 --> 00:33:10,640
Mars's orbit. That's when the heating will be most.

662
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,279
Speaker 1: Intense primetime for activity.

663
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 2: But there's a catch, isn't there?

664
00:33:14,119 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 1: Unfortunately yes, right around perihelion and for a period afterwards,

665
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,160
the comet will be too close to the Sun in

666
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:22,119
our sky to observe safely from Earth or with space

667
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,839
telescopes like Hubble and Web. It gets lost in the

668
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:28,519
Sun's glare, so just when it's likely most active, we

669
00:33:28,599 --> 00:33:30,160
can't really watch it closely.

670
00:33:30,039 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 2: For that peak period. Mostly No, it's frustrating timing. It

671
00:33:34,279 --> 00:33:37,240
essentially dips behind the Sun from our perspective, cutting off

672
00:33:37,279 --> 00:33:40,759
detailed observation until it emerges from the glare sometime in

673
00:33:40,839 --> 00:33:41,599
early December.

674
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,039
Speaker 1: But astronomers are obviously not giving up. The race isn't over.

675
00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:47,359
What's planned for when it reappears in December.

676
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 2: Oh, the observation campaigns are already lined up. It's going

677
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:53,960
to be intensive. NASA's solar observing missions like SOHO and

678
00:33:54,039 --> 00:33:58,240
maybe even Mavin at Mars might catch glimpses of its activity.

679
00:33:58,279 --> 00:34:00,880
Closer to the Sun, and the other Comming Sphere X

680
00:34:00,960 --> 00:34:02,640
mission could contribute.

681
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:05,759
Speaker 1: To and the big ground and space telescopes.

682
00:34:05,119 --> 00:34:08,760
Speaker 2: Absolutely Renewed observation time has already been allocated on Hubble,

683
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:12,079
on James Webb and on the Gemini Observatory. Once it's

684
00:34:12,079 --> 00:34:14,800
safely observable again in December, they'll be hitting it hard,

685
00:34:15,079 --> 00:34:17,519
tracking how its activity changes as it moves away from

686
00:34:17,519 --> 00:34:19,559
the Sun and starts to cool down again. We'll have

687
00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:22,519
several months of prime observation as it recedes back towards

688
00:34:22,559 --> 00:34:23,480
interstellar space.

689
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:28,320
Speaker 1: That post perihelium phase sounds crucial. So as we wait

690
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:30,559
for it to round the Sun and come back into view,

691
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,400
what are the big questions left hanging? What should you,

692
00:34:34,599 --> 00:34:36,039
our listener be pondering?

693
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, there are some great ones. First, the chemistry as

694
00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:43,440
it cools down after perihelium. Will those hypervolatiles the nitrogen

695
00:34:43,519 --> 00:34:46,599
or whatever it is continue to dominate or did the

696
00:34:46,639 --> 00:34:49,880
intense heating near the Sun finally bake off those surface

697
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,719
layers and trigger a massive release of good old water

698
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:56,679
ice from deeper inside. Watching the chemical signature change as

699
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,719
it receives will tell us a lot about its layered structure.

700
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 1: And then there's the elephant in the room. Will it survive.

701
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 2: That's the big one, the fragility factor. Did it hold

702
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,320
together through the thermal and gravitational stresses of perihelium or

703
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,119
did it break apart? As Karen Meach warned, If it

704
00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:15,280
did fragment, we might see a spectacular brightening event as

705
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,840
it emerges from the Sun's glare as all that fresh

706
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:21,199
interior ice gets exposed, or we might see multiple fainter

707
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:25,320
fragments instead of one object. Its physical state post perihelium

708
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,159
is a huge question mark, and the.

709
00:35:27,159 --> 00:35:29,800
Speaker 1: Ultimate question, I suppose is the origin always.

710
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 2: Can we refine our understanding of where it came from

711
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,239
by continuing to study its unique chemical fingerprint, that extreme

712
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:41,239
carbon depletion, and its bizarre physical properties, especially that unique

713
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,599
negative polarization signature. Can we maybe start to narrow down

714
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:47,000
the type of star system it might have originated in.

715
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:51,440
Every weird data point is another clue, another coordinate helping

716
00:35:51,519 --> 00:35:54,719
us trace this ancient wanderer back to its home among

717
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:55,280
the stars.

718
00:35:55,679 --> 00:36:00,199
Speaker 1: That deep negative polarization, the light scattering that we've ever

719
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,639
seen before in our own systems, comets or asteroids. That

720
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,000
really feels like the most profound physical clue we have

721
00:36:06,119 --> 00:36:06,559
right now.

722
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,679
Speaker 2: Doesn't it it's arguably the most unique physical characteristic. Yes,

723
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,880
because it's not just weird. It actually links three iatlists

724
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,519
to something else, something within our own solar system, but

725
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:16,960
far far out.

726
00:36:17,039 --> 00:36:17,559
Speaker 1: What's the link?

727
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:23,280
Speaker 2: That specific pattern of deep, narrow negative polarization, while unique

728
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:27,079
among typical comets and asteroids, bears a striking resemblance to

729
00:36:27,119 --> 00:36:30,960
the polarization measured from some of the most distant mysterial

730
00:36:31,079 --> 00:36:34,639
objects in our own solar system, the Transneptunian objects or

731
00:36:34,679 --> 00:36:37,440
t and os, and the centaurs that orbit out beyond

732
00:36:37,519 --> 00:36:39,519
Neptune in the frigid outer darkness.

733
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:43,119
Speaker 1: Wait, so it's dust physically behaves like the dust from

734
00:36:43,159 --> 00:36:45,880
the most remote objects in our solar system, even though

735
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:47,360
it came from another star entirely.

736
00:36:47,559 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 2: That's the profound connection the polarimetry suggests. It implies a

737
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,960
potential shared heritage, not of the same parent star, but

738
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:57,360
perhaps the same kind of formation environment.

739
00:36:57,119 --> 00:37:00,679
Speaker 1: Meaning things formed in the absolute coldest, most remote, maybe

740
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:05,000
most radiation shielded outskirts of stellar systems, whether ours or

741
00:37:05,039 --> 00:37:07,559
another one billions of years ago, might end up with

742
00:37:07,599 --> 00:37:09,559
physically similar dust structures.

743
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:13,760
Speaker 2: That's the provocative thought, isn't it that this subtle physical property.

744
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:17,239
The way light scatters off microscopic dust grains might be

745
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:19,920
telling us something fundamental about the conditions and the most

746
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,480
remote nurseries where icy bodies form regardless of which star

747
00:37:23,599 --> 00:37:26,880
they orbit. Three eye Loss isn't just a visitor. It's

748
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,480
like a physical sample delivered to our doorstep from the

749
00:37:29,559 --> 00:37:32,960
dark frozen fringes of another stellar system, formed billions of

750
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,840
years ago. Ponder what that similarity implies about the commonality,

751
00:37:37,119 --> 00:37:40,199
or perhaps the specific conditions required for forming these kinds

752
00:37:40,199 --> 00:37:42,519
of icy bodies across the entire galaxy.

