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Speaker 1: You're listening to Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network, where you

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get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else to

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thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival

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Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot

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com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival

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Network now more than ever.

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Speaker 2: And welcome.

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Speaker 3: You are listening to the Financial Survival Network. I'm your host,

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Carrie Lutz. Well, silver prices trading at thirteen maybe fourteen

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year high is at this point I just looked at

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my screen thirty six and a half bucks. I mean,

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finally the world's catching on. But someone who's caught on

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a long time ago, who's actually predicting history before it

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gets written.

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Speaker 2: Bob hoy, Bob. Great to have you back on the show.

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Speaker 4: Hi, Carrie.

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Speaker 5: Good to be with you and our listeners out there.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely and it's always great to connect with you. So

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let's not talk about politics or the politics in the

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direct outcropping or outgrowth of economics.

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Speaker 2: What's happening now? Where are we now?

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Speaker 3: I mean we got thirty three hundred dollars gold that

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seems to be resistance at this point, thirty six and

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a half bucks silver. We're talking us, of course, where

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does that leave us?

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Speaker 5: Well, we'll just this has been a great financial bubble.

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Speaker 6: And the first one was the South Seat bubble in

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seventeen twenty and then the ones that followed, like.

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Speaker 5: Twenty nine was number five, were number six, and each

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of them carried It is remarkably similar patterns as you

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went through it, although although the speculating public doesn't have

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a roadmap, it is able of doing it. Within this,

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you have.

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Speaker 4: Real gold price.

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Speaker 5: Deflated by the CPI rather into inflation, and.

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Speaker 6: In a great bubble, in the final stage of it,

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the final year, the deflated pricycled from.

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Speaker 5: And then it goes up, and the go.

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Speaker 6: Goes real price has been going up. And then also

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I like to use gold divided by this TRB commodity

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in this and I assume that the CRB is.

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Speaker 4: A proxy for mining costs. And in this case, you.

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Speaker 5: Don't have to focus focus on the dollar price of gold.

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Speaker 4: You look at the deflated price of gold.

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Speaker 6: And if gold bullion is outperforming the mining costs in

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the gold mining business is making money, isn't it so?

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And that has been the case in all of the

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post bubble depressions. Everything else is under pressure base metals, industry, commerce, agriculture,

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but goals real price going up makes the gold mining

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sector very viable, and so it is.

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Speaker 5: It's important to follow Goes real price.

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Speaker 7: And then the next one is the real price of copper,

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representing base metals all together.

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Speaker 5: And uh, copper real price goes up with the bubble

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and down with the bust. And to give you idea

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of how copper stocks.

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Speaker 6: Can can do, our base metal stocks can do the

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eighteen seventy three boom.

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Speaker 4: We usually we.

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Speaker 6: Stumbled on an index of mining and smelting companies from

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that period, and that index had a high of around

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four hundred.

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Speaker 5: In seventeen eighteen seventy three, and fifteen years later it

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was down to about forty.

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Speaker 6: The the base metal miners were disaster by that measure.

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And then the other one that you get is that

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gold the senior currency becomes chronically firm, and of course

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US dollar is the senior currency, and countries like Argentina

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that oh huge amount to dollars into doing payable in

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New York really don't like the firm dollar. And this

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is what really firms said that if you've got the

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bubble over, and then the world financial.

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Speaker 5: System turns to servicing debt.

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Speaker 6: And if most of the debt or a majority of

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the debt has been written in US dollars doing payable

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in New.

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Speaker 5: York, that's what makes a chronically firm senior currency. And

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it's it's going to be exasperating.

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Speaker 6: To the Federal Reserve, who's the only policy they the fence.

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There is only no one policy depreciation and whatever is

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going on now, the remedy is to depreciate the currency.

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So here you have you're going to have the frustration

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of the Federal Reserve not being able to depreciate its

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own currency.

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Speaker 4: I mean policy making will be by the bye. So

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so that's that one. And then and so this it

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all adds up two and the four key points are.

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Speaker 6: I say that in aggregate they are marking the transition

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from a great financial bubble to a great depression.

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Speaker 5: And I'll use that term meaning that, you know, a

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great depression. But and but within this, as I say,

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and to.

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Speaker 6: Repeat, the gold mining becomes very prosperous and it's wonderful.

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Speaker 5: And actually the big gold rushes when there was surface alluvial.

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Speaker 6: Gold available to discovered eighteen ninety five or eighty ninety seven,

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the Klondike eighteen forty five, the California gold Russias, Well,

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they were a natural phenomenon because you had a high real.

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Speaker 5: Price for gold and the world knows it.

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Speaker 6: And then at the same time, with a great depression,

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you had a huge number of men unemployed.

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Speaker 5: So then that's where when alumia.

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Speaker 6: Gold was discovered at a surface, they prospectors they went

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to California.

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Speaker 8: In eighteen forties, and then in the Klondike in eighteen

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ninety eight or whenever that one was in ninety seven.

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Speaker 6: So it's fascinating that the great gold gold rushes in

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history have occurred with high unemployment.

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Speaker 5: And a high price for gold. So now would once

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look for another great gold rush.

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Speaker 6: Probably all of the major surface gold alluvial gold deposits

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have been found, probably.

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Speaker 4: And so there's not going to be that kind of

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a rush. So it seems to me that.

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Speaker 5: The gold rush could occur in the stock markets.

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Speaker 6: For a big gold star gold companies, Middland sized ones,

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and even juniors.

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Speaker 5: And this is where.

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Speaker 4: More than a year ago we put together a.

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Speaker 5: List of how they look like promising junior gold stocks.

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They were included produced small producers, reproduction.

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Speaker 9: And boss them outright edecoration items and some of those

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have done rather well.

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Speaker 10: And one of our the lists on that it's called

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Casego Resources, and I am involved with the company it now.

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Speaker 11: It has coming into visibility because it's cut and training.

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Speaker 5: Up and out of the h exchange here and onto

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the ts X and that then opens the marketability for

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the company greatly. At the same time, the company is

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preparing for UH drilling down in. The property is in

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Colombia and close to the Brazilian border, so it's quite

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a bit south there, and the locals like us, and

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even there's a little content like it's an amusing.

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Speaker 4: A little story care the local contingent of FAARC, the

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sort of terrorist.

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Speaker 6: Group from Peru or wherever there's a local little contingent

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of fa r C there and the local natives in

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our camp it's like them because they.

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Speaker 5: Keep the environmentalists away. So everything is.

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Speaker 12: Fine for that area of Columbia to be working in.

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Speaker 6: And the company's stock has just started to increase in volume,

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as it said, because it gets it's coming out of

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the age and there's work started, so there's actually quite

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an increase in volume in the stock here today.

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Speaker 5: So that's one of our lists.

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Speaker 13: That have moved in this week to the forefront.

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Speaker 4: So pass that on to our listeners.

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Speaker 2: Very exciting.

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Speaker 3: So is there any way for these brilliant bureaucrats to

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actually rescue the system or is it too far gone?

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Speaker 5: Oh? Overall? No, I think it is what.

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Speaker 6: I call, and I haven't published this yet, what I

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call it tyrannical century.

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Speaker 12: And if we just.

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Speaker 6: Take a look of history since the early nineteen hundreds.

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Speaker 5: It's been wars.

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Speaker 11: Conductive upond countries, and then that's been the bearcrats and

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politicians will conduct the war against their own citizens. So

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it's been wars and chronic currency depression, inflation and intrusion

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in private life and each of these.

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Speaker 13: But this is the third one, Terry. The first one

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was with Rome in the third century. And you say, okay,

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well where's your price index? Well, you don't have a

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price index.

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Speaker 6: But the Romans were very good at documenting their currency depreciations.

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And there was one horrendous depreciation where.

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Speaker 5: Our currency was a five.

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Speaker 9: And no.

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Speaker 5: Denomination with fifty.

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Speaker 6: Silver and it ended up with three denomination.

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Speaker 4: With just a silver wash.

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Speaker 14: And then that court inflation went wild, and Diocletian was

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the emperor then, and he was he had an able

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administration and wanted to do things, so he put on

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price and wage controlled and that turned out to be a.

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Speaker 5: Disaster, and then the whole thing collapsed, marking the end.

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Speaker 6: Of the first Tyrannical century. Then the next one started

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in fifteen hundred when all of the silver and gold

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bullions started to come over from the New World and arriving.

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Speaker 4: In Seville support of civilia. Spain was the supreme power.

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Speaker 5: Then and it was unprecedented wealth.

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Speaker 4: But this shows you what governments are like. The greatest

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windfall in history was not enough. They had to brawl

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like man and depreciate the currency, and that then marked.

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Speaker 2: The end of.

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Speaker 4: Spain as the supreme power. It just collapsed.

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Speaker 6: And the next one started in the early nineteen hundreds.

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You had all of the stories about Marxism and Leninism

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and theories, and.

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Speaker 4: You also had governments in Ain becoming.

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Speaker 5: Overactive and resorting.

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Speaker 4: To the printing brash shore we say currency evaluation and

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it's run its course. But twenty years.

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Speaker 5: And we should look for guidance on this one is England.

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Speaker 15: And the.

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Speaker 5: Into the early thirteen hundreds because it did it. It

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was you know, it had it did all of the

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inflation things. And then oh sorry, early sixteen others, and

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then that's when the reform started. People just said enough

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big doll and England.

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Speaker 6: Had a very gentle reform and it was wonderful.

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Speaker 4: They called it. The following year Rater described it as

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a glorious revolution, and they gained The year following.

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Speaker 5: They came in with their Bill of Rights. So what

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we're looking for now is another glorious revolution.

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Speaker 9: And politics in the reading countries really could do with

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another glorious revolution and send I think it is underway.

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Speaker 6: So this is the big picture stuff on on that.

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Speaker 5: And so what this means is that quite likely a

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couple of decades of depression.

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Speaker 6: The usual three to four year business cycle prevails, but

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recovery is are week and the recessions are noticeable.

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Speaker 4: But for those in gold business and those who appreciate

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societal freedom, it's going to be getting into very very

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good times.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: Well, there's always winners, there's always losers. I just want

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to share with you an experience I had. I actually

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was in Spain, visited Madrid and looking at it viewing

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it from the historical lens of this was the greatest

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empire on earth, the wealthiest, and they managed to blow

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it and collapses, economic collapses, wars. Finally the Spanish Revolution,

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Franco becomes the dictator, and then he dies in the seventies,

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and then it opens up. And I was in Madrid

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and looking at it through that lens, it's amazing to me.

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The city works, it is clean, it's safe in most places,

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and the traffic is not terrible. The infrastructure is really great.

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They keep building and extending their subways. So perhaps countries

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can come back from the abyss. Although obviously this was.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Spain seemed to miss some of the nastiness of

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the eighties. And also it's interesting that Philip. I guess, yeah,

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King and Emperor Philip, what's the powerful guy in the

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big Spanish boom. That's why the Philippinanes are cast the

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Philippines named after it, right.

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Speaker 3: It's amazing, like so obviously I wouldn't call them exactly

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a world power.

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Speaker 2: They're one of the pigs. After all.

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Speaker 3: The debts out of control there, just like everywhere else

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in the world. I think what many people don't get

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is that every country of the world is drowning in

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the up to their eyeballs and debt, with the exception

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of Russia. So whatever happens the global reset, it's got

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to happen for everyone. It can't just happen for one.

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I was just at the Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas,

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and let me tell you, Bob, there was more money there,

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you know, sponsored by Blackstone, and it's just rolling in

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cash like you cannot believe, you know, these booths it

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was wasn't in the convention.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, in a winning game. It's the amount of whilst

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generated is stangering it is.

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Speaker 3: I have a what was a relatively small position, but

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it keeps getting bigger and bigger. I have a theory

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about this, and I'm going to run it by you.

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They can't reset the system to gold and silver if

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they just They're never going to do that because it

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means kind of giving up control. You know, there's a

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lot of reasons not to do it. But if you

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look at the greatest performing asset in the history of

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the man, perhaps it's bitcoin ten cents ten cents fourteen

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years ago would now be worth about one hundred and

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seven or eight thousand dollars. Who's to say it can't

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go a hundred or a thousand times more. And what

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if the United States was sitting on the largest pile

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of bitcoin of anybody in the world. We knew they've

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seized it from numerous drug dealers, money lunderers, you name it,

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everybody they are.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they're just sitting on them.

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Speaker 5: I got to point out therey that with the Great

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Reformation have I been calling it, they the public will

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force the Federal Reserve to go to a gold standard

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gold convertibility. Yeah, and they And of course in England

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they went off of seventeen.

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Speaker 6: Ninety seven Napoleonic crazy period, they stop payments, went off

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gold or with a financial crisis, and then oh yeah,

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eighteen nineteen or so they pledged to get back on gold, and.

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Speaker 4: I think by eighteen twenty five they were fully.

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Speaker 5: Fully on gold convertibility for there or pound.

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Speaker 2: And that might well be the case.

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Speaker 3: But what I really believe is going to happen here

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is that bitcoin will go to somewhere between ten and

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fifty million per coin. The US will then turn around

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and seek to pay off their debt using a bitcoin

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based coin, And that I believe is how this thing ends,

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rather than a collapse, which which in modern world we

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can't have it. We can't have a currency, a global

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currency collapse, because how do you get back from it?

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Speaker 2: You know, there's no way to ever.

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Speaker 5: He's someone that I entertained myself with carriers, as they say,

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a chain as the example, they oh dollars due on

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debt due and payable into New York. So the the

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amount of money the debt bubble is effectively a short

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position of US dollars because if you have brought money

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in New York, that loan is due and payable in

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US dollars in New York, in London area in New York.

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Speaker 4: And this has been.

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Speaker 5: The case in the past where the you know, earlier

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it was sterling pound sterling and and.

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Speaker 4: London was the financial center. And this is the way

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it works.

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Speaker 2: And all in the.

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Speaker 5: Bubble is over. The world changes to paying down debt

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and you got to pay it down into the world

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financial center in senior currency units. And you know, going

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from here's one that Gresham, the great creator from fifteen hundreds,

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after which.

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Speaker 15: Five days some writer guys called it Gresham's law, but

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he pointed out in letters he was the financial agent

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for the British Crown in the money market in Antwerp,

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and he wrote letters to the.

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Speaker 6: Crown advising and this is where he pointed out that

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the worst thing in the world is to be servicing

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debt from a weak currency to a firm senior currency.

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Speaker 4: And at that time it.

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Speaker 5: Was Antwerp and the Guilder and he actually got through

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to the count Elizabeth and they did firm up Stirling

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and that.

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Speaker 4: Made debt service a whole lot better. So this is

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this is pretty old stuff, but it's it's it's the

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way financial markets work.

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Speaker 3: Well, everything old is new again. But the dollar has

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been weak, you know, it broke a hundred? Is it

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coming back up? What's going to happen here?

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Speaker 5: Well, I thought that they that spoke up to one

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ten at year end was celebrating the beginning of Trump's

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term of as president. And then that was that it

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was overbought.

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Speaker 6: And then then it got hit, you know, very hard,

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in a very fast time.

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Speaker 4: So our current look now for the.

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Speaker 5: R DX is it just got trashed and now we

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think it can We prefer that it.

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Speaker 6: Would trade and narrow range sideways for a few months

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and we'll see what happens there and then also we

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want to keep in mind that a lot of the

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good stuff happens as you get into mid year. Remember

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the old thing selling me and go Away, and.

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Speaker 5: All of the great financial bubbles as they occurred in

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London peaked in May or June, and then did it

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around in the summer months and then got nailed in

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the fall beginning in late.

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Speaker 13: September, and most of them had their dreadful time in

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October and.

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Speaker 4: Then sort of settled out and set a base and

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cleared the markets in the middle of November.

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Speaker 6: It's step one the eighteen twenty five bubble where the

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forced liquidation went right through November and actually into the

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first week in January. And I couldn't find any reason

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for it. It just happened that way.

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Speaker 5: So we are at the time of the year one

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good times may be found. And then beginning in the fall,

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you go.

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Speaker 12: Into October and that typically has been the time if

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there's going to be a discovery of a disaster, the

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discovery of the meat in the fall.

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Speaker 5: So that's what we want to keep our eye on, Carrie.

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Speaker 2: In the fall.

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Speaker 3: Well, it's always then, right, it always happens, it seems like.

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But also we had some crashes in March as well,

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but we're past March. We're on to We're on to

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the bigger and better things here.

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Speaker 2: Bob.

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Speaker 3: Well, I know you got this list you hinted at.

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Speaker 2: How do we get the list?

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Speaker 5: Okay, yeah, just getting sending a request to me, Bob

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along at Shaw dot ca A or two. You're off

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00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:06,759
us and just request the list of juniors, Bob Roy's

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list of juniors, and we'll be glad to send it

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to you.

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Speaker 2: Excellent, all right, Bob. It's always a pleasure.

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Speaker 3: If you've got a question for Bob or myself, you

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want that list, Klatcarrie LUTs dot com. I know I've

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got a couple of requests pending. I'll forward them off

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to you, Bob and you can ship them out. Appreciate

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your coming on. We will talk to you again soon,

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but the things are definitely getting interesting.

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Speaker 4: They are kery fun to talk with you.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your

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00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,759
solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to

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00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:47,359
Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network

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00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 2: Now more than ever

