1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: It's hard to believe that college football Week twelve is here. 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,720 We've got barking dogs off another epic week. We've got 3 00:00:08,759 --> 00:00:11,400 those TV games, talking about those top twenty five matchups. 4 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:13,800 We're gonna get the Steam report from VR. We're gonna 5 00:00:13,839 --> 00:00:16,359 check in with Marco to see if Ben Deli is 6 00:00:16,399 --> 00:00:17,320 still red hot. 7 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:17,600 Speaker 2: And courts. 8 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,120 Speaker 1: We've got best bets up next on bet on It. 9 00:00:36,119 --> 00:00:38,439 Kelly Stewart here with Yanni the Greek in the middle, 10 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,920 Marco DiAngelo there in the third chair. We're gonna go 11 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,799 over these top twenty five games, starting with number nine 12 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,880 Notre Dame minus twelve and a half taking on number 13 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:55,799 twenty three Pittsburgh Noon Eastern total fifty five and a half. Here. VR, 14 00:00:56,159 --> 00:00:59,560 this's an interesting one because you did a video on 15 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,399 the Wait to Talk social channels talking about power ratings, 16 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:06,079 and clearly these two, even though they're not far away 17 00:01:06,239 --> 00:01:09,319 in the ap pole coaches Pull and so forth, are 18 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,879 light years away from a power ratings perspective. 19 00:01:12,359 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 2: Well said Kelly, and coming off of Mice three and 20 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,239 oh last week in college football for bet on It, 21 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,480 right now, I'm twenty six and seven on the show, 22 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:26,159 seventy nine percent. I got more gold for you this week. 23 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,799 But just going to make a disclaimer. Been selective with 24 00:01:29,879 --> 00:01:32,680 those premium cards on Saturday in college football, as you 25 00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:35,239 see no reason to fire five percents, just a bunch 26 00:01:35,239 --> 00:01:37,959 of four percents and spreading out our risk, and that's 27 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,200 got me at number one in profit. With that said, 28 00:01:40,239 --> 00:01:42,640 I'm coming off of losing week in college football. Tell 29 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,000 you when I win, tell you when I lose. Twelve 30 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,159 weeks so far, we've won ten of those, and I 31 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,719 really feel strongly about this week's card. But some of 32 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:53,920 these lines have moved. And here's what I'm talking about. 33 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,280 I bet Notre Dame already. I sent it out to 34 00:01:56,319 --> 00:01:59,560 my subscribers at minus ten and the only reason this 35 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,280 wasn't a five percent play is because this is exactly 36 00:02:02,319 --> 00:02:04,799 what I thought was gonna happen. Wise, guys are gonna 37 00:02:04,799 --> 00:02:07,760 see the exact same things that I'm seeing, and they 38 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,000 are going to jump on the Notre Dame side. Why 39 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:14,319 because these are two very different seven and two teams. 40 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:18,800 And that's why I love college sports, because of those 41 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:23,199 rankings that allow us to take advantage of the narratives. 42 00:02:23,719 --> 00:02:26,960 You don't have that in pro sports. Same thing with 43 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:30,840 college basketball. And yes I am using those power ratings 44 00:02:30,879 --> 00:02:33,719 in college basketball, and for the first time I have 45 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,000 my guy making them in NBA as well. Not going 46 00:02:37,039 --> 00:02:39,039 to use them to bet, but just gonna monitor this 47 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,840 first year, but college basketball. Same dude that did college 48 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,240 football is doing college basketball as well. So we could 49 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,680 go over those maybe in wage to talk today. Now 50 00:02:47,759 --> 00:02:50,560 getting back to Notre Dame in Pittsburgh, two seven two teams, 51 00:02:50,719 --> 00:02:53,080 but very different seven and two teams. And here's what 52 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:57,039 I mean. Notre Dame top five power rating in my 53 00:02:57,199 --> 00:03:01,199 power ratings right now. Luckily the rankings have caught up 54 00:03:01,439 --> 00:03:03,599 and at least have Notre Dame in their top ten. 55 00:03:03,759 --> 00:03:05,479 But here's what you're looking at with Notre Dame. They 56 00:03:05,479 --> 00:03:08,400 have a top twenty five strength of schedule, so they've 57 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,599 played one of the toughest strength of schedules so far, 58 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,879 and they've managed to have the fifth most efficient offense 59 00:03:15,319 --> 00:03:19,439 and more importantly, the third most efficient defense, so they're 60 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,919 top five in the two most important categories. When I 61 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,319 look at the Pittsburgh side, they've had. 62 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: The sixty ninth sixty ninth. 63 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:32,319 Speaker 2: Toughest schedule, okay, and they've managed to be the fifty 64 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,439 eighth fifty eighth most efficient defense now going up against 65 00:03:36,439 --> 00:03:39,199 the top five offense, Are you kidding me? Their offense 66 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:43,199 looks pretty good. They cracked the top twenty in efficiency Pittsburgh, 67 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:47,400 but again that's against the sixty ninth toughest strength of schedule. 68 00:03:47,639 --> 00:03:51,439 They're now facing the top three defense. That's a legitimate 69 00:03:51,479 --> 00:03:55,080 top three that's done it against the top twenty five schedule. 70 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:57,879 That's what they're running into with Notre Dame. And that's 71 00:03:57,879 --> 00:04:00,960 why this totals drop in Pittsburgh will not score many 72 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,919 points on Saturday. Rest the short Notre Dame in a 73 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:07,120 one sided blowout. I like Notre Dame. I like the 74 00:04:07,199 --> 00:04:10,159 under as well. Four percent on Notre Dame at minus ten. 75 00:04:10,199 --> 00:04:12,680 We bought the half point down. I think this one's 76 00:04:12,719 --> 00:04:17,439 good up until about minus thirteen. Again, value gets extracted 77 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:19,680 with every point that moves. I'm not going to bet 78 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,639 the same at minus twelve twelve and a half that 79 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,240 I did at minus ten. But I still think Notre 80 00:04:24,319 --> 00:04:26,639 Dame gets it done on Saturday. And like I said, 81 00:04:26,639 --> 00:04:29,600 I think they keep the game under as well, because 82 00:04:29,639 --> 00:04:31,079 only one side is going to do to score and 83 00:04:31,079 --> 00:04:33,079 give me Dame minus the points. 84 00:04:34,079 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: Very interesting, Marco, I knew you had a point you 85 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:37,959 wanted to interject with really quick before we got to 86 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:38,639 your TV game. 87 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's so back up what you're thinking with Notre Dame. 88 00:04:43,319 --> 00:04:46,639 In the press conference this week, everybody's making a big 89 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,800 deal about game day being here in Pittsburgh. You know, 90 00:04:49,879 --> 00:04:53,879 that's a rarity and everything. And they ask coach Narduci, 91 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:57,839 how big is this game for the pitt Panthers this season? 92 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,399 And I didn't like his ants are at all. And 93 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,959 what he said was, this is a non conference game. 94 00:05:05,879 --> 00:05:11,879 Our focus is ACC We're looking at getting to the 95 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:15,120 ACC championship game and that's our You know, it's almost 96 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:19,120 like he's already setting up an excuse for losing to 97 00:05:19,199 --> 00:05:19,759 Notre Dame. 98 00:05:20,399 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: Dude, Notre Dame watched them beat Florida State as ten 99 00:05:23,399 --> 00:05:27,000 point dogs. They're getting Notre Dame full tension because Pittsburgh's 100 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,759 coming in on five straight wins, five straight covers. That's 101 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,639 the problem for Pittsburgh. If this was a bad Pittsburgh team, 102 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,279 then Notre Dame may be in trouble. But they got 103 00:05:35,319 --> 00:05:38,519 their full attention. This is gonna get ugly for Pittsburgh. 104 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,040 He's already making excuses because he's seen the game field. 105 00:05:41,079 --> 00:05:43,120 He knows how it's going to turn out for his team. 106 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 1: And we probably know he's good for at least one 107 00:05:46,079 --> 00:05:49,040 kicking is for losers. Moment, Marco, we're gonna get to 108 00:05:49,519 --> 00:05:54,079 a SEC matchup here. Three thirty Eastern, Number eleven Oklahoma 109 00:05:54,199 --> 00:05:56,480 is a six and a half point underdog. Number four 110 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,720 Alabama forty six and a half. Here is the total. 111 00:06:00,199 --> 00:06:04,199 I love the underdogs Oklahoma on my long list. Do 112 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:05,120 you agree with me here? 113 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,079 Speaker 3: Well, Kelly, Alabama got me the money last week. It 114 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:10,759 was a little closer than I thought it was gonna be, 115 00:06:10,879 --> 00:06:12,959 but they ended up getting the money in the end, 116 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:15,639 and I'm gonna come right back to them, and let's 117 00:06:15,639 --> 00:06:19,000 give LSU credit. We really didn't know how they were 118 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,240 going to respond, you know, with the firing of Brian Kelly. 119 00:06:22,319 --> 00:06:24,959 You know, we know that most teams do have that spark, 120 00:06:25,319 --> 00:06:27,519 but because it was such a big program and they 121 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:31,759 had such high expectations, I wasn't sure that LSU would 122 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,959 show up last week, but they did. Alabama was able 123 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,240 to win the game. Did they take LSU for granted, 124 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,240 you know, a big name like that, you would say no. 125 00:06:41,399 --> 00:06:45,439 But given the season LSU's had in this game on deck. 126 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,680 Maybe they did have one eye to Oklahoma, because if 127 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:52,240 you look at the schedule after this one, it's clear 128 00:06:52,319 --> 00:06:56,639 sailing for Alabama and to get to the SEC championship game, 129 00:06:56,759 --> 00:07:00,199 get to the national playoffs, and maybe get back to 130 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:05,040 the championship game. Alabama has struggled to run the football 131 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:09,240 the last two games, seventy two and fifty six yards 132 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:11,720 the last two. That's a little bit of a concern, 133 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,519 but let's look at what they do well in their 134 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,720 passing game has averaged just under three hundred yards per game. 135 00:07:19,199 --> 00:07:22,800 Oklahoma's had trouble with some good passing teams. When they 136 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,040 faced Old Miss in Tennessee, they gave up three hundred 137 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,160 and fifteen yards passing to Old Miss and three ninety 138 00:07:29,199 --> 00:07:32,759 three to Tennessee. So Alabama should be able to move 139 00:07:32,759 --> 00:07:36,560 the football against this Oklahoma defense. And whenever you flip 140 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,399 the script and Alabama is on defense and Oklahoma's trying 141 00:07:40,439 --> 00:07:44,279 to score, they're not facing Old Miss in Tennessee defenses. 142 00:07:44,319 --> 00:07:48,279 This week. They're facing the legit defense. Alabama has only 143 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,399 allowed one team all year to top twenty four points 144 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,720 and that was Week one in that and I'm still 145 00:07:53,759 --> 00:07:56,160 trying to figure out how they lost to Florida State 146 00:07:56,439 --> 00:08:00,639 in that opening week. Oklahoma will struggle on defense to 147 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:03,639 stop Alabama. I'm gonna go ahead. I'm laying it with 148 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,439 the Crimson tide. I've got Alabama winning thirty to seventeen. 149 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I kind of suspected that. I was joking 150 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,839 with Aaron Epstein this morning at breakfast, and I said, 151 00:08:14,959 --> 00:08:17,759 oh god, I hate being head to head with Marco 152 00:08:17,879 --> 00:08:22,079 this year. For whatever reason, I got one win, luckily 153 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,759 by the hook with Northwestern versus you and Nebraska. Otherwise 154 00:08:25,839 --> 00:08:28,519 we it has been all insided. It has been all 155 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:34,440 Marco Tiangelo when we disagree. Another SEC matchup for you 156 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:39,000 guys here on Saturday evening seven, excuse me, seven thirty 157 00:08:39,039 --> 00:08:41,200 pm Eastern. Number ten. Texas is a six and a 158 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:44,480 half point underdog at number five Georgia forty eight and 159 00:08:44,519 --> 00:08:47,600 a half. And look, just mentioned to Marco. You know 160 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,440 I love these underdogs, So of course here I am going, 161 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,360 how can I make a case for Texas? And you'd 162 00:08:53,399 --> 00:08:57,240 think Texas is coming off a bye last year? Remember 163 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:01,279 Georgia winning to Austin won thirty to fifteen. But the 164 00:09:01,279 --> 00:09:04,360 final score wasn't as bad as the beating that that 165 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:07,759 actually was. And then of course Texas had opportunities to 166 00:09:07,879 --> 00:09:12,159 beat Georgia and the SEC Championship game couldn't get it done. 167 00:09:12,279 --> 00:09:15,600 Both of those games stayed under the total. And that's 168 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:17,480 kind of where I'm looking in this one because I 169 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,279 do not trust arch Manning, I do not trust Texas, 170 00:09:21,279 --> 00:09:25,120 and I do not trust Steve Sarkisian. Steve Sarkisian versus 171 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,759 top ten teams in his career five and eighteen two 172 00:09:28,799 --> 00:09:31,879 an eight in Texas. But you know who I do trust? Oh, 173 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:37,200 that's right, I trust the Texas Longhorns defense. I think Georgia, 174 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,440 playing their level of ball against this team is going 175 00:09:41,519 --> 00:09:43,639 to go down to the wire. But I think this 176 00:09:43,759 --> 00:09:47,039 is going to be a close, low scoring game. Let's 177 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:51,799 call it Georgia twenty four, Texas twenty. Texas may get 178 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,440 the cover for you, guys. I just do not trust 179 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:58,679 sark to be able to win this football game. We've 180 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:00,919 got a Steam report coming out up here with VR, 181 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:03,159 and if you guys are new here, we do something 182 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:06,480 every single Sunday at wager Talk called the Steam Room 183 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,159 where VR comes in after wager Talk's last hall with 184 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:13,039 Ariel Epstein and he goes over everything headed in to 185 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,639 the NFL season. And now we don't do that on Saturday, 186 00:10:16,759 --> 00:10:18,480 but we give you guys a little preview of it 187 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:19,840 here on Wednesdays on. 188 00:10:19,879 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 2: Bet on It indeed, and a little preview each day 189 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,480 on wager Talk today when I go in the morning 190 00:10:25,759 --> 00:10:29,519 and share that college Basketball Steam NBA Steam currently top 191 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:33,399 three in profit, number one coming for you in college 192 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,039 basketball power rate. He's getting stronger and stronger each and 193 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,480 every day. Now here's what I did with college football, 194 00:10:38,639 --> 00:10:41,600 just like the last two weeks. Narrowed down those ten 195 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,840 moves that are the most legit this early on where 196 00:10:44,879 --> 00:10:47,480 I haven't seen resistance only in one game. I'm going 197 00:10:47,519 --> 00:10:50,080 to share it because it's a high profile game and 198 00:10:50,399 --> 00:10:54,919 we had followed through from any look ahead action. So 199 00:10:55,039 --> 00:10:57,919 let's dive right in. All of it is on Saturday 200 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:01,679 three twenty one, Air Force plus the eight three point 201 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,840 thirty three Marshall plus five minus five and a half 202 00:11:04,879 --> 00:11:07,000 forgive me all the way up to the key number 203 00:11:07,039 --> 00:11:09,960 of minus seven. So they laid the key seven on 204 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,799 Marshall three thirty nine Virginia plus six and a half 205 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,559 plus six. Seems they're getting out ahead of the public 206 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,360 because the publics on Virginia as well. 207 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:20,759 Speaker 1: Three forty two. 208 00:11:20,879 --> 00:11:23,799 Speaker 2: Florida State laid the eleven and a half, which was 209 00:11:23,879 --> 00:11:27,039 kind of like a look ahead, laid the thirteen, laid 210 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:30,360 thirteen and a half as well on Florida State. Notre 211 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:33,519 Dame talked about them a little earlier from minus ten 212 00:11:33,639 --> 00:11:36,159 opener which we got down on that's what they pay 213 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,679 me for to minus eleven that got hit yesterday three 214 00:11:39,799 --> 00:11:45,200 fifty seven Oklahoma plus the touchdown three fifty sixty three 215 00:11:45,279 --> 00:11:49,000 forgive me, Texas State not a sexy team, but got 216 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,559 hit by multiple groups at six and a half, six 217 00:11:51,799 --> 00:11:56,480 and then five and a half again Arkansas LSU. Bringing 218 00:11:56,519 --> 00:11:59,159 this one up because we did see two sided action. 219 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:03,399 Mine plus six and a half plus six plus five 220 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,440 and a half plus five got the four and a half, 221 00:12:06,519 --> 00:12:08,360 and that's when you saw the LSU money come in. 222 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,320 I thought it would happen at minus four. Didn't even 223 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,279 wait for that. They came in right away at minus 224 00:12:13,279 --> 00:12:15,440 four and a half and laid the LSU side. So 225 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:19,600 obviously a difference of opinion there UH three eighty seven, 226 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:26,159 Michigan minus ten and eleven, and finally no surprise three 227 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,679 to ninety three TCU plus six five and a half 228 00:12:29,759 --> 00:12:33,039 and five versus the Phony BYU team, which will be 229 00:12:33,519 --> 00:12:37,240 exposed eventually as shouldn't be ranked. 230 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:43,639 Speaker 1: Sooo just shouldn't even be ranked. Now, Yeah, you upt 231 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:45,919 some people in the comment section there. If you guys 232 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:47,080 have a comment for it, mean. 233 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 2: Unless you're going, you know, thirty teams out, you know 234 00:12:49,759 --> 00:12:53,080 they're not top twenty, the top thirty, top thirty. 235 00:12:53,639 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: Oh boy, oh boy. Well, if you guys disagree with 236 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:58,200 the r or if you agree with them dropping in 237 00:12:58,279 --> 00:13:01,879 the comment section interview like this next segment, which you 238 00:13:01,919 --> 00:13:04,080 should because we've been cashing it at such a great 239 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,879 rate of underdogs. Let us know what you think of 240 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,279 this week's dogs. Send us a little note and we'll 241 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,200 be sure to get back to you. Marco DiAngelo, you 242 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:15,759 gotta go first. Last week's barking Dog cashed for you, 243 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,759 and I should have tailed you and I didn't, and 244 00:13:18,879 --> 00:13:20,240 I regretted it immediately. 245 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,919 Speaker 3: All Right, till well, this week we're going to game 246 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:27,559 that VR just talked about Arkansas and LSU. I'm on 247 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:32,240 the Arkansas side. Arkansas they're two and seven. I'm gonna 248 00:13:32,279 --> 00:13:34,360 tell you this right now, and this is gonna sound stupid, 249 00:13:34,399 --> 00:13:37,679 but they're the best two and seventeen in the country. 250 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,960 They've lost seven in a row. Five of those seven 251 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,600 losses were by seven points or less. Turnovers have killed 252 00:13:44,639 --> 00:13:48,200 this team all season long. In those seven losses, they 253 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:51,080 were on the wrong side of a thirteen to four 254 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:55,720 turnover margin, and yet they still manage to have five 255 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,720 one score losses. When your minus you know, more than 256 00:13:59,759 --> 00:14:03,080 two turnovers in a game, you're supposed to lose those 257 00:14:03,159 --> 00:14:05,480 games and lose them by a margin they're not. That 258 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:09,039 tells you this team is much better than their record is. 259 00:14:09,519 --> 00:14:12,200 No LSU. They've lost three in a row. But here's 260 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:16,759 the part why I'm fading them is they did give 261 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:19,919 that good effort against Alabama. So they did rise to 262 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,600 the occasion try to get it done the first game 263 00:14:22,679 --> 00:14:23,600 without Brian Kelly. 264 00:14:23,919 --> 00:14:24,799 Speaker 2: But what was it? 265 00:14:25,279 --> 00:14:27,919 Speaker 3: They ended up losing the game because of the same reason. 266 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:31,720 It probably got Brian Kelly fire. They've got no offense. 267 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:36,399 They scored nine points last week against Alabama. I cannot 268 00:14:36,559 --> 00:14:41,399 lay points with this team. And to me, they showed 269 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:44,600 up last week. How do they come with anything this week? 270 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,799 Please don't tell me about pride. Please don't tell me 271 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,639 that they've got five wins and they're trying to get 272 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:54,519 BAWL eligible. Do you really think these kids in today's 273 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:59,360 new age of college football and nil money really are 274 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,559 excited about going to a bowl game that's gonna be 275 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,960 a shit bowl that half of them will probably opt 276 00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:07,799 out of even if they did make it to the 277 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,480 bowl game. Why because they're gonna be looking at where 278 00:15:10,519 --> 00:15:13,600 they're going next year to get paid with the nil 279 00:15:14,159 --> 00:15:16,960 I don't see this team showing up here. This is 280 00:15:17,039 --> 00:15:20,879 a rivalry game. Remember when LSU and Arkansas back in 281 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:25,440 the day was every Thanksgiving it was that Friday or 282 00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:28,720 Saturday on the docket, and this was a big rivalry game. Well, 283 00:15:29,159 --> 00:15:33,480 LSU has better, bigger rivalries, but for Arkansas this is 284 00:15:33,559 --> 00:15:36,799 still huge. I look for them to come to play 285 00:15:36,919 --> 00:15:39,759 in this one. They'll control the game with the running game. 286 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:41,759 This is a team that's run for one hundred and 287 00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:45,559 seventy five yards or more in seven of nine games 288 00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:48,519 this year, and in three of the last four they've 289 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,120 run the ball for two hundred and thirty nine yards 290 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,639 or more. If you can control the line of scrimmage, 291 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,799 you're gonna win the football game. I've got Arkansas winning 292 00:15:56,879 --> 00:16:00,840 this one. Let's take Arkansas, which could be finally in 293 00:16:00,919 --> 00:16:04,879 a shootout for LSU because the Arkansas defense least a 294 00:16:04,879 --> 00:16:07,720 little bit to be desired. I've got Arkansas winning thirty 295 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:08,519 one to twenty seven. 296 00:16:09,039 --> 00:16:13,919 Speaker 2: May I interject Kelly really quickly? Arkansas, Marco, Arkansas two 297 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,440 and seven Arkansas, based on my power ratings, would be 298 00:16:17,759 --> 00:16:20,919 a one point favorite on a neutral field against seven 299 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:21,840 and two Pittsburgh. 300 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:22,679 Speaker 3: Yes. 301 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:26,080 Speaker 2: Yes, they have a top ten strength of schedule, their 302 00:16:26,159 --> 00:16:30,440 top fifteen most efficient offense in all college football with 303 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,320 a top ten strength of schedule, and the strength that 304 00:16:33,399 --> 00:16:36,840 schedule gets even harder the last few games for this team. 305 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,639 They're legit at two and seven, as legiti as a 306 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:40,679 two and seven can get. 307 00:16:40,799 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 1: You're right, Marco, I also don't know how many LSU 308 00:16:46,159 --> 00:16:47,919 kids are going to be leaving because I just got 309 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,399 this text about seven seconds ago. Do you want to 310 00:16:51,559 --> 00:16:54,559 take a guess who the front runner is currently on 311 00:16:54,799 --> 00:16:58,600 FanDuel to be the next head coach of the LSU Tigers? 312 00:16:59,559 --> 00:17:06,799 Who Nick Saban right now? One to bring on the 313 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:13,079 baton rouge bro. That would be absolutely bananas. Uh, maybe 314 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:16,119 that might keep those kids hanging around just a little 315 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,680 bit longer. We are a dog that is on my 316 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,839 long list, so I'm happy to see it on your 317 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,319 budd dog list. You had wake Forest last week. I 318 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,119 said I liked wake Forest and they liketed to go 319 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,839 with Miszoo. But that's beside the point. Maybe I should 320 00:17:29,839 --> 00:17:32,240 be listening to you guys for my three team underd 321 00:17:32,279 --> 00:17:34,680 on parlay. But I do like Sparti this week. Can 322 00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:36,319 you tell everybody why you do as well? 323 00:17:36,759 --> 00:17:39,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, because this is the only dog I have so 324 00:17:39,279 --> 00:17:41,720 far this week, but no any more serious. 325 00:17:45,039 --> 00:17:46,480 Speaker 3: It is, but I don't. 326 00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 2: Here's here I keep it real. I didn't place a 327 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:53,160 great bet because I betted at plus seven. I thought 328 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,240 they would get steam and the seventh would be gone. 329 00:17:56,559 --> 00:17:59,160 I could get seven and a half today, so obviously 330 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,400 I didn't get the best of it, and that worries me. 331 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,839 When my sharpest shop pass seven and a half, I 332 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:06,960 would have rather seen six and a half this morning. 333 00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:09,920 With that said, I'm locked in my bets place. And 334 00:18:10,319 --> 00:18:13,279 here's why I like it. Number one. I've been high 335 00:18:13,319 --> 00:18:17,480 on Penn State, saying they are undervalued because of their record, 336 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,920 but you know they were a top thirty, top twenty, 337 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,720 top ten at one point Power rated team when they 338 00:18:25,799 --> 00:18:29,000 weren't even in the rankings anywhere, and again that was 339 00:18:29,079 --> 00:18:34,079 based on their record, and they've haven't been able to 340 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:38,160 get w's. But they've covered two of their last three games. 341 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,799 And here's the problem for Penn State right now. They've 342 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,079 just gone through a murderers row in back to back weeks. 343 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:48,519 They had to travel to Ohio State and face the 344 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,799 best team in the country, physical game, got beat up, 345 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:56,599 lost by twenty four points. Following week play a legit, 346 00:18:57,079 --> 00:19:01,720 legit Indiana at home, top three in my power ratings 347 00:19:02,319 --> 00:19:05,519 right there to win that game as two touchdown dogs, 348 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:10,440 don't get the WU lose that game heartbreaking. Now you 349 00:19:10,559 --> 00:19:14,359 got to travel to Michigan State, who's been outperforming the 350 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,480 betting market, even though they're not winning games because they're 351 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,920 not losing by margin, which tells me this is a 352 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,519 team that's continuously given me effort week in and week out. 353 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:27,839 They're just undermined, that's the bottom line. But they're outperforming 354 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,720 the betting market, and in most cases you would think 355 00:19:30,839 --> 00:19:35,200 that the betting market would catch up. But this is 356 00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:38,799 the problem is who they're playing. It's that Penn State's side. 357 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,640 And the reason Penn State's so beat up right now 358 00:19:41,759 --> 00:19:45,240 is because they've played the thirteenth toughest schedule in all 359 00:19:45,279 --> 00:19:48,759 of college football. They've managed to be top fifteen offense 360 00:19:48,839 --> 00:19:51,359 and defense with that kind of schedule, but it's not 361 00:19:51,519 --> 00:19:55,240 producing w's. And when that starts to happen over and 362 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,880 over and over again, it just gets harder to get 363 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:03,400 yourself up and play games like this. I think Michigan 364 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:07,079 State at home is able to keep this close a 365 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:12,079 lot closer than that line reflects another team that's, you know, 366 00:20:12,279 --> 00:20:18,119 decent strength of schedule, top thirty offense. Defense. Again, nothing 367 00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:20,480 a lot to brag about Michigan State. So I'm not 368 00:20:20,519 --> 00:20:22,279 going to sit here and talk about them like they're 369 00:20:22,319 --> 00:20:25,599 world beaters. But I just think this is a bad 370 00:20:25,759 --> 00:20:28,960 spot for Penn State. It's more of a fade on 371 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,680 Penn State than a bet on Michigan State. Like I said, 372 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,599 I'm locked in at plus seven. Don't like seven and 373 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:37,799 a half's out there. But if you agree with me, 374 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:41,160 you're gonna get a better number. If not, we'll see 375 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,160 what happens Saturday. But Michigan State's my dog of a week. 376 00:20:44,799 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I v are And look, I think a lot 377 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,400 of times some of these underdogs that we have and 378 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,119 the reason why we think they're barking. Isn't necessarily a 379 00:20:51,279 --> 00:20:55,200 play on the team, it's a play against another, right. 380 00:20:55,519 --> 00:20:58,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's kind of my whole theory. I one, 381 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:01,319 it's a perfect storm when it's like that's when you 382 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,039 feel really strong, when you like the side and you 383 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,400 want to fade that other team, Like those are the 384 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,319 perfect storms. But yeah, sometimes it's a play on or against. 385 00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:12,720 And I agree this is definitely a play because again, 386 00:21:12,759 --> 00:21:14,680 there's not a lot to like with Michigan State. Let's 387 00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,799 be real, other than they're they're they're they're keeping it close, 388 00:21:18,279 --> 00:21:20,200 and they're showing effort over the last couple of weeks. 389 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,279 And this is a home game, you know, and they 390 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:25,200 played they have a strong home field advantage based on 391 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,680 their record. They haven't won a single road game, you know. 392 00:21:27,839 --> 00:21:30,079 Anything they've done they've done at home, where Penn State 393 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:31,759 has played horrible on the road. 394 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,160 Speaker 3: So I like the splits. 395 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 2: There's that to lean on Michigan State, but otherwise there's not. 396 00:21:37,079 --> 00:21:39,440 And I'm not going to waste the viewers' time sitting 397 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,079 here talking up Michigan State like they're great. No, it's 398 00:21:42,079 --> 00:21:42,920 a fate of Penn State. 399 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,200 Speaker 1: What do you say last week that Wake Force was 400 00:21:45,319 --> 00:21:47,640 shit and guess what they got it done for you? 401 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 2: Yea, yet they did. 402 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,839 Speaker 1: You're stepping in it again this week with another shitty team. 403 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:54,279 Let's see if they can't get it done. 404 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:54,599 Speaker 3: For you here. 405 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,400 Speaker 2: Top seventy in my Power ratings. 406 00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:01,880 Speaker 1: Though by the comment section is gonna have a lot 407 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:05,039 of fun today. Vre mentioned a perfect storm here. I'm 408 00:22:05,079 --> 00:22:08,039 hoping I have a perfect storm with the Arizona Wilds 409 00:22:08,079 --> 00:22:11,880 catch catching six and a half. I understand they had 410 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:15,359 to come from behind to beat the University of Kansas 411 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:19,680 last week, but sometimes those types of wins do push 412 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,559 teams into the following week. Now Arizona, who missed a 413 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:27,599 bowl game last year, is Bowl eligible. They have the 414 00:22:27,759 --> 00:22:33,400 number one passing efficiency defense in the country, and that's 415 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,960 why I'm looking to back them here. Yes, Cincinnati's off 416 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,240 a bye, but prior to that buy they lost to Utah. 417 00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:44,640 I know BYU just got absolutely eviscerted by VR. 418 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 3: But. 419 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 1: BYU still looking to make a splash in the Big twelve, 420 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,519 and I think Cincinnati may be overlooking Arizona this week. 421 00:22:56,799 --> 00:23:02,359 Cincinnati gives up thirty one yards per game, more than average. 422 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:04,400 Right They're number one hundred and three in the country there, 423 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:08,039 and so keep in mind that Arizona and Fafita may 424 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,039 be able to take advantage of that. Arizona, on the 425 00:23:10,079 --> 00:23:14,400 flip side, holds opponents to sixty three yards below their average. 426 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:18,319 That is a top thirty team in FBS. I think 427 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,279 that Cincinnati at home is an advantage, right. We know 428 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:26,119 Arizona cold weather Eastern time zone does not necessarily bode 429 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,319 well for this West Coast team, but I think Arizona 430 00:23:29,319 --> 00:23:32,400 has them in a dog fight late. I know it's 431 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,559 not a technical sandwich for Marco, but it's kind of 432 00:23:35,759 --> 00:23:40,599 one of those situations that had me thinking, hmm, speaking 433 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:44,880 of sandwiches, the Deli just keeps on rocking, Marco. I'm 434 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,240 so proud of this segment because it's such a fun segment. 435 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,680 In addition to that, it's just been absolutely red hot 436 00:23:51,759 --> 00:23:52,480 all season long. 437 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Kelly, We've been nailing them here on the show, 438 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,279 but where the real magic has been happening is in 439 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,400 the bonus show, Marco's Deli that comes out on Thursday. 440 00:24:03,079 --> 00:24:07,039 We've had seven winning weeks, two losing weeks, one break 441 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,519 even week, and that has resulted after last week's five 442 00:24:10,599 --> 00:24:13,400 and oh sweep on the show to thirty two and 443 00:24:13,559 --> 00:24:17,000 seventeen for the season if you're tuning in to the 444 00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:21,400 Bonus Show. So very happy with that. And I also 445 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:26,000 want to thank everybody both here and on Marco's Deli 446 00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:29,039 with all the birthday wishes last week. I appreciate all 447 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,759 you guys with that. So let's just keep the deli going. 448 00:24:32,839 --> 00:24:35,759 And sometimes, as I said, you might not like the 449 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,920 sandwich and what it looks like smells like, but it 450 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,000 always ends up tasting good. And this week we're going 451 00:24:42,079 --> 00:24:45,400 to take a look at UTEP plus four and a 452 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,200 half playing Missouri State. Let's just start with this line, 453 00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:52,640 because something smells. I don't know if it's the stinky 454 00:24:52,799 --> 00:24:55,680 cheese I have on the sandwich, but you've got a 455 00:24:55,759 --> 00:24:59,640 six and three Missouri State team playing at home only 456 00:24:59,759 --> 00:25:02,960 lay four and a half points to UTEP who is 457 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,920 two and seven. Right there should set off some alarms 458 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,039 for you. And when we look at this one, why 459 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:14,279 is this a sandwich game? Well, Missouri State came into 460 00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,160 and I'll admit it on the show. I was wrong 461 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:20,079 with Liberty last week. Liberty was playing better at the time, 462 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,880 only had one loss in the conference. Missouri State went 463 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:28,279 in there beat Liberty at Liberty last week to get 464 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:32,519 them in contention with this conference Conference USA. And they've 465 00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:35,200 got a huge game next week because they played the 466 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:40,240 first place team next week in Kennesas State. That puts 467 00:25:40,319 --> 00:25:43,000 us in a classic sandwich. You had Liberty last week, 468 00:25:43,279 --> 00:25:45,599 who was supposed to be the class of this conference 469 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,559 coming into the season, and the team that actually is 470 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,480 the class of the conference next week. Then you throw 471 00:25:52,599 --> 00:25:55,599 in the fact that that win last week, what did 472 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,799 that make Missouri State's record? It made it six and 473 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:03,119 three the old men, Now we're Bowl eligible. Yeah, I 474 00:26:03,279 --> 00:26:05,519 just think you're a little bit too fat and sassy 475 00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:08,759 after last week. What you've got coming up next week 476 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,640 and you're playing a two and seventeam, You're gonna look 477 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:16,880 past this Texasel passo team. Five of Missouri State's six 478 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:20,480 wins have been by seven points or less. Missouri State 479 00:26:20,599 --> 00:26:23,200 six and three, but they've been held to twenty four 480 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,799 or fewer points in seven of their nine games this year. 481 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,279 That's not exactly what you want a team that doesn't 482 00:26:30,319 --> 00:26:34,039 break twenty four when they're laying points. I expect another 483 00:26:34,319 --> 00:26:37,039 nail bitter here, and I'm gonna go with UTEP to 484 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,240 pull the Upset as my sandwich game of the week. 485 00:26:40,279 --> 00:26:43,519 We're gonna go with Texas Eel Passo twenty three to twenty. 486 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:49,440 Speaker 1: You can catch Marco's Extended Deli Show. It's a standalone 487 00:26:49,519 --> 00:26:51,920 version here on the Wager talk to YouTube channel, or 488 00:26:52,599 --> 00:26:56,519 we add it into the Mega Show with NFL College 489 00:26:56,799 --> 00:27:00,519 as well as Teddy Stockwatch and Ralph's TNA. Let's get 490 00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:04,200 into those best bets because we're up against the clock here, VR. 491 00:27:04,279 --> 00:27:07,680 I'm gonna let you go first, per usual, but before 492 00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:11,240 you give everybody your best bet for college football Week twelve, 493 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,119 please let everybody know what you got going on over 494 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,079 at wager dot com. 495 00:27:14,519 --> 00:27:16,640 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I have. First off, I'm gonna mention the 496 00:27:16,759 --> 00:27:19,119 UFC pay per view card is up because I have 497 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,400 a five percent in there that I love. This card 498 00:27:22,519 --> 00:27:26,119 already fired five bets. I've been working on that card 499 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,640 for like two weeks. It's a get to the window 500 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:32,880 and bet cash Saturday for me. College football won ten 501 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,279 of twelve weeks coming off of losing week. 502 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:36,240 Speaker 3: You know what that means. 503 00:27:36,279 --> 00:27:39,160 Speaker 2: We're gonna progress towards the mean. If I find a 504 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,279 five percent, we will fire it. Otherwise those fours will 505 00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:44,799 be a package up with all fours. You know how 506 00:27:44,839 --> 00:27:47,400 they've gone six and one the week before. They just 507 00:27:47,519 --> 00:27:54,440 continue to produce money. NFL same thing, package up four 508 00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,680 percent best bets. I like the primetime games as well. 509 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:02,160 Also weekday coming off of Weep Yesterday in college football, 510 00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:06,039 those weekday primetime games have been money in college football 511 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,839 and NFL. I think I'm like thirteen and two now 512 00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:12,599 Monday Night Football, Sunday Night Football last like eight weeks, 513 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:16,839 so red hot, jump on board. College basketball's here with 514 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:20,480 the NBA. I got the college basketball power ratings are 515 00:28:20,519 --> 00:28:24,440 in full effect, getting tighter and tighter. So alter eight 516 00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,000 climb the ladder. Now up to the number three in 517 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,400 college basketball will continue to climb, So jump on board. 518 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,359 Let's close out the year strong and yeah, do some 519 00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:37,799 damage on Saturday and Sunday and got a couple, Like 520 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,119 I said, weekday games as well. Now let's get into 521 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,680 best bets. You're gonna say, so, you're serious, You're coming 522 00:28:42,759 --> 00:28:45,319 square with us. Listen, I'm gonna give you guys premium 523 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,559 because my subscribers are cool with it because they get 524 00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,720 enough volume, and I'm gonna share with I've bet and 525 00:28:51,839 --> 00:28:53,799 this is one of the bets I've already placed, and 526 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:57,839 that's oh hot, oh State. Why because it's a good spot, 527 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,359 the better team that finally under against the betting market, 528 00:29:01,839 --> 00:29:04,119 which arguably played a terrible game. But if you leave 529 00:29:04,119 --> 00:29:06,480 the box score, here's what they did. They had sixteen 530 00:29:06,559 --> 00:29:09,839 more first downs than Perdue. They held the ball for 531 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,839 thirty one twenty one more minutes than Perdue forty minutes 532 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,960 to nineteen. They completely dominated. They ran on them for 533 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,160 one hundred and seventy yards, they threw on them for 534 00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,640 three hundred three yards, They held them the ninety four 535 00:29:22,759 --> 00:29:25,200 yards passing. They just didn't put up a lot of 536 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,880 points and they turned the ball over. That's the bottom line. 537 00:29:28,319 --> 00:29:30,680 They were comfortably ahead twenty four to three at halftime. 538 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:35,400 That's what happened. Otherwise, they've been unblemish, is what Ohowa 539 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:40,000 State's been because not only have they been winning football games, 540 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,640 but they've been outperforming the betting market as the number 541 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,000 one team in the country. You know now how hard 542 00:29:46,119 --> 00:29:48,960 that is to do. Go back and look at those 543 00:29:49,039 --> 00:29:52,160 years that Alabama was so dominant, and you're going to 544 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,240 see a team that was twelve and zero, six and 545 00:29:55,400 --> 00:30:00,279 six ATS, five and seven ATS, maybe one year seven 546 00:30:00,359 --> 00:30:03,240 and five ATS but they did a really good job 547 00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:05,519 of making sure you're not gonna make money betting the 548 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,240 number one teams because they know that's who's gonna get 549 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,640 the money every single week. And yet they went out 550 00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:16,200 there and they covered every single game until last week. 551 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,480 That just tells you how good this Ohio State team is. 552 00:30:20,799 --> 00:30:23,720 I've had them number one in my power ratings. I said, 553 00:30:23,799 --> 00:30:27,799 there's no team better than them. They're at least or 554 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,359 more than a field goal better than the next best team. 555 00:30:31,039 --> 00:30:34,240 And the problem that UCLA is gonna have is they're 556 00:30:34,279 --> 00:30:37,240 now facing a defense that's about five x better than 557 00:30:37,319 --> 00:30:40,359 what they faced in Indiana, and against Indiana they only 558 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,799 were able to manage seven points. Ohio State has absolutely 559 00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,960 no one on deck but Rutgers. This is gonna be 560 00:30:48,079 --> 00:30:51,799 a celebration at home where they run up the score 561 00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:56,519 on a UCLA team because it's UCLA and they can. 562 00:30:56,839 --> 00:31:00,000 And that's exactly what's gonna happen. When I look at UCLA, 563 00:31:00,599 --> 00:31:05,079 they barely crack my top seventy power rating wise, They've 564 00:31:05,079 --> 00:31:08,200 had a tough schedule top twenty strength of schedule, but 565 00:31:08,359 --> 00:31:12,039 that put them at the seventy fifth most deficient offense 566 00:31:12,559 --> 00:31:16,559 fifty plus most deficient defense and you're going up against 567 00:31:17,039 --> 00:31:21,400 top three in both. Yeah, Ohio State rolls on Saturday. 568 00:31:21,759 --> 00:31:24,440 Thirties not enough, thirty two is not enough, thirty three 569 00:31:24,519 --> 00:31:26,799 is not enough. Like the bottom line is, once you 570 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:30,799 get up over those minus twenties, the variance is so high. 571 00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:33,319 The one point line movement one and a half two 572 00:31:33,359 --> 00:31:36,599 point line movement doesn't scare me at all. Lay the 573 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:40,640 points with Penn State. They blow out UCLA by forty plus. 574 00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:44,799 All right, I just gotta say it on this show. 575 00:31:46,079 --> 00:31:48,119 What is Georgia Tech? Please tell me what is Georgia 576 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:52,079 Tech doing? Still in the rankings at number sixteen? Right now, 577 00:31:52,519 --> 00:31:56,680 right now, I'll tell you Marco's Arkansas Marcos two and seven, 578 00:31:56,799 --> 00:32:00,480 Arkansas Florida at three and six, and Florida stayed at 579 00:32:00,519 --> 00:32:03,839 four and five. Would all be favored over Georgia Tech 580 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,960 on a neutral field, or should be again, the books 581 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:08,799 are going to do what they do to balance risk. 582 00:32:09,039 --> 00:32:11,079 But what I'm telling you is if Georgia Tech was 583 00:32:11,119 --> 00:32:14,279 favored over any of those teams, that dog would get 584 00:32:14,319 --> 00:32:16,880 double fisted money at the window from every sharp that 585 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,000 rest the shore there as tony as you get had 586 00:32:20,039 --> 00:32:22,720 to throw it. Sorry, just share a little Georgia tech information. 587 00:32:23,559 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 1: Oh incredible, Marco DiAngelo. We had an awesome birthday special 588 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,079 for you last week. What do you got going on 589 00:32:30,279 --> 00:32:34,039 this week? And who's your best bet? Because I had 590 00:32:34,039 --> 00:32:35,960 to change my best bet because we were head to head. 591 00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 3: Well again, the birthday bash last week worked out well. 592 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,759 It was very popular. We had a ton of people 593 00:32:45,839 --> 00:32:49,680 on board, and we delivered with another winning week, highlighted 594 00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:54,720 by that big five percent on Nebraska small dog got 595 00:32:54,799 --> 00:33:00,200 the money against UCLA winning that game outright, and we've 596 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:02,200 coming back with a big deal. And now this deal, 597 00:33:02,599 --> 00:33:05,920 the first offer is available to anybody at wager Talk. 598 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,799 You can pick up you know how popular the Weekend 599 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,039 Warrior has been, where you can pick up Saturday and 600 00:33:11,119 --> 00:33:14,720 Sunday college and pro football for forty nine dollars, and 601 00:33:14,759 --> 00:33:18,799 then you get Monday any football action as a free bonus. 602 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:23,279 We're offering ten days for ninety nine dollars. Get on board, 603 00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:25,799 get everything for ten days for ninety nine dollars. That's 604 00:33:25,839 --> 00:33:29,519 a great offer. But if you were on for my 605 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,880 birthday Bash, you got a taste of everything. You got 606 00:33:33,079 --> 00:33:36,839 my college, my NFL, you got the NBA, you got hockey, 607 00:33:37,039 --> 00:33:40,960 you got college basketball now very spot plays in the 608 00:33:41,039 --> 00:33:44,079 other sports early in the season, but it's paid dividends. 609 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:46,440 We're winning in the NBA. We're off to a three 610 00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:49,880 to zero start in college basketball. Been very selective and 611 00:33:50,519 --> 00:33:54,319 we're on a twenty one and nine run the last 612 00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,640 thirteen days, which has netted us a profit of over 613 00:33:57,759 --> 00:34:00,440 three thousand dollars. For the clients we want to go 614 00:34:00,759 --> 00:34:04,519 through the Super Bowl. There's thirteen weeks. You can get everything, 615 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,960 every play I have, every sport, and it throws in 616 00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:11,199 any of those extras. Remember the Breeders' Cup that forever 617 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:14,159 Young Horse made a nice score that day as well. 618 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:17,239 You get everything for thirteen weeks through the Super Bowl. 619 00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:20,639 Seven forty nine guys. That comes out to just sixty 620 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:25,639 dollars per week. We charge ninety nine dollars per week 621 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:29,119 regular rate. So jump on board any of those options, 622 00:34:29,159 --> 00:34:31,679 and we do have another five percent play coming this weekend. 623 00:34:32,079 --> 00:34:36,079 Those five percent plays thirty six and sixteen now since 624 00:34:36,159 --> 00:34:40,679 February of twenty twenty four. For this week's best bet, Kelly, 625 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,960 and I'm sure I threw you a curveball because one 626 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:48,239 of the things I always always say is give me 627 00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,440 the better defense. Getting points I'm going to sign up there, 628 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:55,360 and there's no question we're looking at the USC Iowa game. 629 00:34:55,679 --> 00:34:57,599 And when you're going to talk about the better defense, 630 00:34:58,119 --> 00:35:01,599 it is Iowa. So a lot of people are gonna say, Marco, 631 00:35:01,679 --> 00:35:04,079 you're going against yourself. Well, you know, we have a 632 00:35:04,199 --> 00:35:07,360 lot of as I like to refer to marcoisms, and 633 00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:11,239 there's one here that I got to bring up. Last week, 634 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,800 Iowa got their backers paid. All right, they lost to 635 00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:19,840 Oregon eighteen to sixteen, but cash the tickets. They closed 636 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,800 plus four and a half. And that's usually the way 637 00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,920 you're gonna cash an Iowa ticket. It's gonna be but 638 00:35:26,199 --> 00:35:29,840 ugly low scoring game and they're either gonna win that 639 00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,840 low scoring game or lose that low scoring game. But 640 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,760 if they're getting points, they get you the money. That 641 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:39,480 makes Iowa this week the poster child for lose the 642 00:35:39,559 --> 00:35:44,639 same game twice. You had Oregon come to your building 643 00:35:45,559 --> 00:35:48,519 and you took them to the limit. We know that 644 00:35:48,639 --> 00:35:51,639 these teams that come in from the PAC twelve, you 645 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:53,880 know it's a big deal when they come to your 646 00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,760 building for the first time. And they did everything but 647 00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,559 win that game. They had to lead late and just 648 00:35:59,679 --> 00:36:03,840 like State had to lead late to Indiana. They lost 649 00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:07,599 it in the waning moments of the game. How do 650 00:36:07,679 --> 00:36:10,440 you pick yourself back up from that? I don't see 651 00:36:10,559 --> 00:36:13,519 them doing it. Then you gotta fly to the West 652 00:36:13,559 --> 00:36:16,639 coast and play Southern Cal. We know what Southern Cal's about. 653 00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:20,079 It's all offense, you know, no defense. It's you know, 654 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,840 Lincoln Riley, it's you know, Oklahoma. Two point zero is 655 00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:27,199 what it is. But I'm playing the situation. I don't 656 00:36:27,199 --> 00:36:31,360 see Iowa being as physical, being as ready as they 657 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,639 were last week. And if they come out slow and 658 00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,280 they fall behind by two quick scores in this game, 659 00:36:37,559 --> 00:36:40,880 which USC can do that with that offense at any time, 660 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,639 It's gonna be tough for this Iowa team with that 661 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,880 offense to grind their way back. I see USC getting 662 00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,360 out early and just keeping the pedal to the medal. 663 00:36:51,599 --> 00:36:54,960 I'm gonna go ahead take USC U lay the points 664 00:36:55,039 --> 00:36:57,519 with this one. We're getting a soft number I feel 665 00:36:57,599 --> 00:37:01,320 with USC because of Iowa's near miss. We're gonna go 666 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,320 ahead and take USC minus the six and a half. 667 00:37:05,519 --> 00:37:07,360 Speaker 1: All right, Well, I think Marco talked me out of 668 00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:12,000 taking the points with the Hawkeyes, so I pivoted. Last week. 669 00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:16,159 We had a nice overtouchdown underdog win for us outright 670 00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:20,480 in Yukonnen. I'm putting Northwestern in. It is my barking 671 00:37:20,559 --> 00:37:23,239 dog for a reason. I'm not sure they can win 672 00:37:23,679 --> 00:37:26,639 this game. And I started looking and I said, wow, 673 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:30,320 the home team's covered five straight in the series, and well, 674 00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:34,440 technically the game is in Chicago, it's at Wrigley Field, 675 00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:38,480 so kind of thought, all right, even though it's too 676 00:37:38,559 --> 00:37:41,280 many points, I'm not sure I'm gonna get to the 677 00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:44,639 window with the Wildcats on the money line, especially because 678 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:50,480 Michigan has won eight straight meetings in this Big Ten matchup. 679 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,800 Wolverines are also coming off of bye week, so I thought, hey, 680 00:37:54,119 --> 00:37:56,039 you know what, they're gonna be well arrested here. They've 681 00:37:56,079 --> 00:37:58,320 got Maryland on deck. This really isn't a spot that 682 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:02,440 they're gonna be overlooking the Wilds. But it's still the 683 00:38:02,599 --> 00:38:06,639 Northwestern Wildcats. We all saw them on Friday night. Well, 684 00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:08,480 it was kind of a controversy, if you will, that 685 00:38:08,599 --> 00:38:12,320 thirty eight to seventeen road loss at USC maybe had 686 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,000 an opportunity to cover that game was a little off. 687 00:38:15,199 --> 00:38:18,920 But I think we have been expecting for a while 688 00:38:19,039 --> 00:38:21,760 now for Bryce Underwood to have that breakout game, and 689 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:24,880 I think we're gonna be waiting another week. This Wildcats 690 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:29,320 defense is very good at limiting explosive plays on offense. 691 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:31,519 I think this is gonna be a low scoring affair, 692 00:38:31,559 --> 00:38:34,760 which bodes well for a double digit underdog against a 693 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,119 team that is just three and six against the spread 694 00:38:37,639 --> 00:38:40,440 on the season. You're paying a premium here for the 695 00:38:40,639 --> 00:38:44,480 jersey that says Michigan. I like Northwestern plus twelve and 696 00:38:44,519 --> 00:38:47,559 a half. Appreciate you guys hanging out with us this 697 00:38:48,079 --> 00:38:50,760 week here on the college football edition to bet. 698 00:38:50,679 --> 00:38:53,880 Speaker 2: On It, like Smash That, like Bunton, and because we 699 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,119 try to share as much information as possible. The reason 700 00:38:56,199 --> 00:38:58,360 you got Ohio State is the best bet is because 701 00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:01,800 of Marco's best bet. There's a for you. I couldn't 702 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:02,079 use it. 703 00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:08,199 Speaker 1: La VR also likes the Trojans more reasons not to 704 00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:10,880 take the square dog and Iowa, so I appreciate both 705 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,960 of you. Let's get that recap graphic up because we 706 00:39:14,039 --> 00:39:16,360 know how much our audience loves it. And of course, 707 00:39:16,679 --> 00:39:20,280 if you guys are looking for that NFL edition of 708 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:22,079 bet On It, you can catch it right here. And 709 00:39:22,159 --> 00:39:25,000 if you're looking for the Mega show with all the goodies. 710 00:39:25,559 --> 00:39:28,400 We got you guys covered. Good luck until next week. 711 00:39:28,519 --> 00:39:29,159 Let's bet on it.