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Speaker 1: Who are.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.

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It is five dollars Tuesday. Every caper as a playoff

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for just five bucks. Board is packed with winners and

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packed with action. Whether you're looking to jump on one

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sharp player, just try out several new handicappers. Today is

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the way to do it. Let's break it all down

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and help you cash in. We're gonna be joined of

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course by Gianny talk about Steam Report, how Keen Profit's

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gonna join us, talk about the WNBA game tonight between

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the Fever and the Links, and Teddy Covers will join

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us talk Guardians and Cubs. Then Dan and I will

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move on to our next NFL season win total with

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how about damn Cowboys? Cowboys seven and a half wins?

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All right, Dan, did we have anyone win yesterday's picking

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the exact score?

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Speaker 3: Andy?

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Speaker 4: Not only did we have one person when we had

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I mean basically everyone winning yes today, So it was it.

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Speaker 1: Was quite the pick by the chat.

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Speaker 2: So sometimes you come up with an idea and it

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goes great, and then something happens that you never expected.

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And having eleven people pick the same score and have

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it be correct was quite quite the accomplishment, So shout

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out to Greg Wheeler Bowl one, JD three seven one,

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Air DUC twenty three, Major Richardson nine oh, Dust, Jose Perez, Brooke,

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Gary m Solutions to world problems. What a great what

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a great handle that is at Paul G eighty nine hundred.

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So we're gonna have to pick one person that gets

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the swag, and then Dan is reaching out to everyone else.

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We'll get you guys hooked up with something. So I'm

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gonna randomly pick one and it's gonna be Brooke Brook

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ten nine. Brooke, Congratulations, you have won. You're going to

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be getting the wag, your talk Swag package. Everyone else,

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don't worry, we got something for you. But but bear

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with us. We did not expect eleven people to be

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right on the on a game after going a bunch

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of days without anybody, So congrats to everyone, and we

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are going to do it again today. We're going to

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have a game where you got to pick the winner

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and the exact score. So congratulations everyone out there. All right,

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let's talk to Gianni and find out where the Bundy's

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going today while we do it, while we get started.

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Hit the like button. Guys, you know what to do.

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Hit the like button and leave us a comment. Tell

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us what you're enjoying about the show. Johnny, good morning,

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Happy five dollars Tuesday to you, sir.

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Speaker 3: My man. All right, busy, so busy today, and yesterday

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was like nothing to do. I was pissed because I

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got up so early for more or less nothing. I

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kind of organized my shelves a little bit, but today

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just been firing since the time I woke up with

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fire one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight nine ten,

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like fifteen sixteen baseball plays already. So if you're ever

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going to buy my package, today's probably the day to

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buy a baseball package for sure, because they're coming in

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on some of the sides I already leaned on from yesterday.

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I think I released two four percent to subscribers, so

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we're ready.

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Speaker 2: To go today. All right. I love the shirt you're wearing.

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That's the start us. That is an awesome, awesome shirt.

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Where did you get that? How long have you had it?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 3: Actually they still sell them now because they really Yeah,

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when this started us, before they knocked down and started us,

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they sold it to boy Properties, which is a low casino.

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They own like Suncoast, I think the the Orleans, those

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kinds of properties, so they still have it in their

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gift shops. I couldn't believe it. We were just having

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so threw there to grab something and I saw it.

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I was like, oh, I'm grabbing that down. Make sure

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for sure. They should have never knocked that place down,

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should have kept it, should have built around it. That's

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the cathedral. Yeah, sports betting and gambling in Vegas, other

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than the original the Flamingo, which only in Vegas do

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they knock down an original. But they shouldn't have knocked

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down the Flamingo or the start Us. They should have

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built around those two cathedrals.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. Agree. Let's take a look at where

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the money is going. We only got one w NBA

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game tonight, kind of limited on the sporting events, so

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I'm guessing it's all MLB today.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, nothing at all on that WNBA game. What I

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am seeing is under money under under under and I

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don't know if the early money may have been sharp

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at that high number, But since then, a couple of

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the accounts, you know, the recreational accounts that do bet WNBA,

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they seem to like that game under because regardless of

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what sign they had, whether they're taking or laying, they're

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they're parlaying it and teasing it with the under. So

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obviously they expect the low scoring game, at least the

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betting public does. In the market kind of reflects that

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it opened one sixty seven and a half. That initial

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move I think went up and then it started coming

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back down, and it's just kept coming down as more

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public money that's into it.

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Speaker 2: Looking at the MLB standings, you look like a profit.

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With the Dodgers, they're already up to sixty two point

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four percent win percentage. This is what we talked about

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at the beginning of the year, and a lot of

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these teams that were over sixty percent are dropping more

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and more. Yankees are down to fifty seven percent wins,

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Astros are doing well. They're at fifty nine point five,

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Phillies are at fifty eight, Cubs down to fifty eight

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point three, and there are those Tigers. They're still holding

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strong at sixty two point four, but they're five and

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five in their last ten. That's not a winning proposition

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when they're going to be the favorites in all of

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those So what teams. Are you kind of monitoring or

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is it just kind of kind of hold still right now?

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Are there any teams that you're really looking at that

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are going to regress up or down?

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Speaker 3: No, but there's a couple of teams that are still.

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Like you know, I was high on on Minnesota when

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they were underperforming early, and they're still underperforming now. They're

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going to come back and win the division? Probably not?

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Is that future bet toast? Probably again, it's just one

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future out of probably fifteen that we bet. But I

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thought when the season started they were still playing well

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below market expectations and they're still there. In fact, like

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I said that the guy that I trust most, he

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has he still has it going. Detroit winning that one

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now easily at about fifty eight to fifty nine percent

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is where he expects them to end. And then Minnesota

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will probably be about two games above five hundred, which

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probably will not be enough even to get a wild card.

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So they're not going to make the playoffs, but they

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should be playing better than they are right now. I'll

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just go through it real quickly for you guys, because

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this is goal Like you look at a team like

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right now, like Minnesota again, they're playing below Kansas City.

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They're like, those teams are doing exactly what they're supposed

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to be doing. Even the White Sox White Socks won

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a little bit less than they should but they're expecting

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to win about thirty five percent when the season's over.

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They're only about it thirty three. Even the Yankees. You

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look at the Yankees, they're right where they should be.

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My guy has them winning fifty seven percent of their games.

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They're right at fifty seven. And the team behind them,

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he has Toronto and Tampa at fifty four and fifty

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three and a half. So you expect both Tampa to

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drop a little bit and Toronto's playing about where they

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should be. And finally Houston at sixty percent, they're playing

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above expectations. He has them winning the division at about

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fifty six percent, and Seattle right behind them. Seattle's playing

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even a little bit, a little bit below what they

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should And finally, real quickly in the NL, the Cubs

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supposed to win that division at fifty eight percent, that's

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where they are at fifty eight percent. Philadelphia supposed to

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win that division at fifty seven percent. They're at fifty

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eight percent, and the Dodgers last, but not least. He

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has them winning barely over sixty two percent of their games,

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and like you said, they're at sixty two percent. So

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again not to like say I was right, but that's

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what you can expect. We have enough history now with

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baseball seasons to know again there will be outliers. There's

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always those athletes, those teams that outperform the betting market

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that DeFi probability. That the key that you got to

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remember is the sports better is you can only defy

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probability for so long. You can't continue doing that. It's

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kind of like we talk about when you see someone

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on a hot run they're ten to one. That's not sustainable.

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They're not going to continue hitting over ninety percent of

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their bets. Like you can have those outliers, but they're

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just not sustainable. And in baseball you have a long

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enough season where the truth will unfold. That's the key

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that you got to remember with baseball. Other sports it's

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not the case. And I know a lot of bettingston

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gets that have got burned in the past by looking

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on paper. This team is not a twelve win football team.

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They should be an eight win football team. This team

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to regress, but there's just not enough time. In baseball.

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We don't have that problem. Brother, These teams have more

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than enough time to regress and progress, and they're right

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around again, right where they should be. I'm looking for

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someone at the bottom that I could share with you

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guys that that should move up, But I really don't

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see it. Everyone is kind of right where they should be.

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They really aren't. They're right around where they should be.

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You see Colorado, Colorado's at twenty two percent and he

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has them winning about twenty eight. So Colorado's that one

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team that you want to look in the second half

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of the season to probably do a little better than

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they did in the first half of the season.

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Speaker 2: After All Star break. Uh Me, personally, I'm looking at

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teams that are kind of waving the white with the

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white flag and looking at they're bringing up a bunch

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of young guys to see what they got in prospect.

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So we're coming up on the All Star break, what's

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the strategy. Is there a shift in strategy once we

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get past the All Star break?

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Speaker 3: No, I mean that's so key what you said. It's

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so hard to determine what the team's going to do.

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You know, once August rolls around mid August, and if

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they're out of it, you know, what kind of motivation

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do you have from the veterans and what do you

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have from the young guys coming up like there to

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make a statement, try to make the team. So you're

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guessing a lot as far as things that you can't

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even quantify motivation, that's the difficulty. But historically, second half

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win totals have done very well. I know last year

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we've bet a handful of them. They ended up doing

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very well. So the approach, at least what I saw

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the last couple of years from the second half season

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win totals, it's kind of betting off the first half

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win totals exactly what I talked about, what we touched

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on some of those teams that are outperforming or underperforming,

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and what they're going to do with the All Star

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break is bet those underperforming teams over and bet those

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overperforming teams under. And now they even have half a

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season of sample size to take advantage of because some

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of them have outperformed, some of them have underperformed. So

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now you even have it played out on the field,

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like before the season starts, it's just on paper. We

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haven't seen anything. This is what we're projecting to happen. Now,

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the projection has become a lot easier because we're gonna

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have eighty plus games as data. That's a huge sample.

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That's why I highly recommend looking at those second half

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totals and using that approach, not being afraid to bet

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the overs on those teams like Colorado, those teams that

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have come out doing so bad, and not being afraid

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to bet the under on teams like Detroit when that

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second half season win totals come out, because again, now

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not only do we have our own projections from the

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beginning of the year, but we have data half a

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season to go by. So yeah, I think those are

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some of the best bets on the way as far

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as futures come. Like I I it's worth me tying

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up my money. Nobody likes to tie up that much

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of their bank roll. But when October rolls around end

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of September and all of a sudden, you get a

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flash flush of cash in your accounts. It's a good

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feeling when football comes. So subscribers, rest assured you will

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have second half season win totals like you did last year.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely, it's five dollars Tuesday. G I know you mentioned

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it earlier, but I tell everyone once again what you

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have up at wager talk.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I got a four percent in Major League Baseball

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for you. It's a nice total. There's even half a

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run better out there. But you know I did the bat.

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I gave you guys, the best of it, meaning like

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I was able to go under eight and a half.

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But we're going to grade it it under eight, so

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there's good line still a valuable I don't think it's

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gonna last all that long because I did choose the

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one that multiple groups are on. It's one of those

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days where I swear to you we bet fifteen plus

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baseball plays, and on at least double digit of those,

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it's multiple groups, so maybe five or six or manipulation.

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But we're looking at some legit moves today, so I'm

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excited to send those out over the next sixty minutes

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to subscribers.

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Speaker 2: Love it, Geohnny the Greek, thank you so much. Good

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luck on five dollars Tuesday. Good look on this, Thanks

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for having me slowly. We'll see you again tomorrow. All right, guys,

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i'd like button and again take advantage of five dollars Tuesday,

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you can grab a best bet from any handicapper for

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just five bucks. Perfect time to try your favorite handicapper,

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sample some new ones, stack up plays again across multiple sports.

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Make sure we're betting responsibly. Stay within your bankroll, but

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take advantage of this deal while it's up. You're not

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gonna find a better deal in the industry than five

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dollars Tuesday, so take advantage. Get as many as you want,

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but again, make sure we're protecting our bankroll. Let's go

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to all around the world, give out some free plays

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before we talk to Hakeem profit. Here got a couple

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MLB plays and a golf play. We will go to

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the Braves and the Angels first, going to take the

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Angels over one and a half on their team total

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the first five innings. This is the play I think

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you can look for today and tomorrow. Holmes is gonna

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start today. It was gonna be fwent Test Flentest is

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going tomorrow. That's a guy we want to fade, but Holmes.

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He's better than fent But Holmes has allowed to or

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more in five out of his last six starts. At

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this total is only one and a half, so Angels

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have put up a decent amount of runs the last

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few games, so i'd look at Angels today and tomorrow.

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Of course, we'll talk about the Angels tomorrow when they

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go up against Flintest going to the John Deer Classic.

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Ben Griffin top twenty only minus one fifteen. This is

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one of the hottest guys on tour. Six straight finishes

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fourteenth or better, fifth at this tournament last year, and

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he's number one in total strokes gained in this field

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the last three months. So Ben Griffin in the top

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twenty is a guy I got circled at really good odds.

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Never're gonna take a look at the Cubs and the

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Guardians Guardians under three and a half team total. I

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believe someone in the chat pointed this one out as well.

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This is a free play from Brian Leonard on the

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wager Talk Free picks page. Cleveland really struggling against lefties

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and they face Boyd who has a two point six

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five ERA and a one point one whip. So looking

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at the Guardians under three and a half on the

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team total, we have a lot of free plays loaded

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on the wager Talk Free picks page. Just go there

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and you'll get a lot a lot of baseball plays today.

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All right, let's bring in a good friend, a keen Profit.

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We're gonna talk the Fever and the Links. Get his

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thoughts on w NBA. How are you this morning, Skip,

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I'm okay.

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Speaker 5: I enjoyed my show last night at least, so I'm

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a little late this morning and I'm catching up on

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some NBA news I'm seeing on my timeline. So a

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lot of movement, a lot of stuff going on will

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should be interesting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's talk this Fever and the Links. Of course,

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big stories. Caitlyn Clark, I guess she's the game time decision.

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I would expect her to play in this one. Fever

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need wins. But this is a really tough matchup for

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the Fever. Here Minnesota minus six and a half over

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under at one sixty four and half. What your take

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on this game.

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Speaker 5: I think Kaitlyn Clark will play. I think the line

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will come back down. I think a lot of people

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will go bet the Fever, and I'm not one of them.

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If Kaitln Clark plays, I don't even care. I think

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the Link started much better.

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Speaker 2: Team.

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Speaker 5: They're fourteen to two. I want to say they haven't

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lost the game without and the Feasa Collier could be mistaken.

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Maybe they lost one, but they've shown they're the best

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team in the league. They're healthy, and for the Fever,

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one thing I'll say is if Kayln Clark does play,

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I mean she's been playing terrible lately. I want to

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say she's made one out of the last twenty something threes.

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She's been very bad on the road especially, and I

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don't expect her to come in in one game and

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look amazing because that's what they'll need to beat this

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Links team. And if she doesn't play, I know in

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the last game they looked a little bit better. They

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beat the Dallas Wings, but that's still a Dallas Wings defense.

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Arry does give them better point guard player than said Colson,

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but versus a team like Minnesota, it is a much

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different tests defensively. So my recommendation right now would be

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wait until Cayden Clarks rolled in if you like the Links,

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and then go and bet that side at the best number.

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Once it drops. You like the Fever, you want to

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get in right now. So I don't like the Fever.

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I think the Links at the right side I do too.

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Speaker 2: I think they get a lot of a lot of

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publicity and a lot of times we don't talk about

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the x's no's with this team. They've kind of been

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struggling this year. A team I've been kind of pleasantly

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surprised by Chicago Sky without Cardosa. Pace has been up,

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the scoring has been up. I'm fighting this team kind

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of polarizing and kind of interesting. I thought they'd be

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terrible without Cardosa. So what's been your take on the

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Chicago Sky as of recently.

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Speaker 5: I wish I had the stats in front of me,

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but pretty much, I like what they're doing with Angel Reach.

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They really lack guard talent and they're starting to make

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her be more of a playmaker. And you know, some

355
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of these passes she's throwing Yolkish like passes. I just

356
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think they're finally using her right and because of it,

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they're able to have more success. I mean, she's had

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the best four game stretch I think of her young career,

359
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and that's contributing to wins. They won two out of those.

360
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I think two out of three games or maybe two

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two is better than what they were looking like to

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start the year. So using her better is starting to

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make the Sky look better, in my opinion.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's can I get your thoughts on some NBA

365
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free agency things. I don't know if you saw the

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Bucks wave Damian Lillard.

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Speaker 1: That's what I just saw.

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Speaker 2: Uh boy? Is that the first step before Giannis goes

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and all of a sudden the Bucks are in a

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gigantic rebuild. That was a curious move.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I mean I hate to compare it to the Lakers,

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but Lakers take care of their stars. Like you don't

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see the Lakers going into you know, Lebronz, Oh, let's

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just dump him off, or Kobe's oha dump him off.

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I know they're different talents than Damian Lillard, but isn't

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this the guy who tried to come back and you know,

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from his injuries, to come in and play in the

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playoffs for this team, and you were paying him by

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waiving him. I just don't think that's good business. And

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when people in your organization, other top players like Yanni,

382
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see you're not doing good business, he's probably not gonna

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want to stick around. I mean, that's universal I think

384
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in business. So I don't like it. I don't, clearly

385
00:19:22,599 --> 00:19:25,079
honest didn't like it. We'll see if he sticks around.

386
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I don't think he will.

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Speaker 2: I thought what the Nuggets did was pretty interesting. They

388
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,119
shipped off Porter Junior, they had Cam Johnson, they had

389
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Bruce Brown, any other curious interesting moves. The Lakers losing

390
00:19:40,079 --> 00:19:42,519
Dorian Finney Smith I thought was a.

391
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Speaker 5: Talking care lesson Noah during the Finnish Smith. He's a

392
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fake defender, That's what I'm calling him. He's I don't know.

393
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He was a little bit over hyped for me. He

394
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wasn't doing enough of what I needed was he was

395
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doing some things. But I think we'll be all right

396
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without Dory Phinney Smith. The Nuggets, I feel like they

397
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got a big upgrade, you get. I mean, they pretty

398
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much got the same player, but he plays defense too.

399
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:04,359
Speaker 2: Now.

400
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, and then you add Bruce Brown back for them.

401
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:11,000
That's another wing who can defend you subtract Russell Westbrook.

402
00:20:11,079 --> 00:20:13,200
I mean, all I'm seeing is plus plus plus plus

403
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,720
plus for the Nuggets, and I absolutely do not like

404
00:20:15,759 --> 00:20:16,960
the Nuggets, so I hate to see it.

405
00:20:18,599 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 2: Houston, my gosh, are they just loading up and loading up?

406
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,279
This could be really really Yeah, this could be a

407
00:20:26,319 --> 00:20:29,480
really fun regular season to monitor between Houston and Thunder

408
00:20:29,559 --> 00:20:33,359
that that that could be a crash course waiting to happen.

409
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:34,799
So yeah, your agreement.

410
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:35,640
Speaker 1: Houston Hawks too.

411
00:20:36,839 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 2: I was gonna ask you about the Hawk because now

412
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I love the Hawks and I love what they're doing,

413
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,440
and they got the perfect time to jump in the East, Like,

414
00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,799
look at all the teams that just aren't gonna be

415
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be competitive. What a perfect what a perfect time for

416
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,720
the Hawks. What do you who do you like better

417
00:20:50,799 --> 00:20:52,200
what they've done? Houston or Atlanta?

418
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Speaker 5: I really like what I see over in Atlanta, And

419
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,160
like you said, it's just a perfect SCENARIOO scenario for

420
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:01,599
them to be able to jump up in the East

421
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and do better. So I always say this is personally,

422
00:21:05,279 --> 00:21:07,240
wherever there's trade, there's a way. And now he's starting

423
00:21:07,279 --> 00:21:09,279
to get some help around him. So I love to

424
00:21:09,319 --> 00:21:14,480
see that for the Rockets. I may be, you know,

425
00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:16,680
one of the few, but I am not a Jayalen

426
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,039
Green fan. I was happy to see them get rid

427
00:21:19,039 --> 00:21:22,039
of him and move to go get KD because if

428
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:25,200
you watch the playoffs, they were starving for offense. They

429
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,400
could play defense, they can get stops, but nobody can

430
00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:29,680
score the ball, and that's what you get. And Kevin

431
00:21:29,759 --> 00:21:33,839
Durant's certified bucket getter, and they still were able to

432
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,640
keep most of their other good pieces. So I love

433
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,279
what I'm seeing in Houston. I think they'll be very competitive,

434
00:21:39,759 --> 00:21:43,160
but the West is stacked. It's nothing like that that

435
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:46,680
easy path over there in the East this year. So bust,

436
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,359
I think I would like a little bit more right now,

437
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:49,079
just for that reason.

438
00:21:50,039 --> 00:21:52,200
Speaker 2: I agree. I agree. This is I mean, this is

439
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,720
Trey Young's shot man, this is this is a chance

440
00:21:54,759 --> 00:21:56,359
to make some big waves and show you can do it.

441
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,119
They get Jalen Johnson back a team. That team is

442
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gonna be really really good, man, really really good.

443
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,160
Speaker 5: So one thing, Yes, I saw a question in the chat.

444
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,119
They said they want to know my opinion or something

445
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,880
on the Lakers. I'll tell you my wishless for the Lakers.

446
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,880
How about that? Okay, I'm hoping they get DeAndre Aiden

447
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,319
who he was just what he was just Wave two right,

448
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:19,680
So he's available come Wednesday to sign on somebody, and

449
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,680
he's in talks with the Lakers, has the same agent

450
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:23,960
as Luca. I want him as a Sinner, and I

451
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,440
would like Andrew Wiggins as a wing. If I can

452
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,400
get those two, I really like the Lakers chances this season.

453
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,759
If I don't, I may not like their chances this season.

454
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So that's how I'm feeling about it right now.

455
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,680
Speaker 2: Conspiracy theory Lebron somehow ends up in the Eastern Conference.

456
00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 5: Well, if they don't get AIDEN, he could force his

457
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:47,720
way out. I mean, we've seen this plenty of times.

458
00:22:47,799 --> 00:22:49,839
Lebron's gonna do whatever he want has to do to

459
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:53,039
try to win, whether it's going to another team or whatever.

460
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,759
So it was interesting that the report came out before

461
00:22:56,759 --> 00:23:00,200
the AIDEN news and said, you know, he's monitoring to

462
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:01,640
see if we can be a championship team, and then

463
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,200
as soon as the AID and news came out, it

464
00:23:03,319 --> 00:23:05,960
was like, uh, you know, he's probably gonna stick around.

465
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,000
So I think he'll be there.

466
00:23:08,839 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 2: All right, Not that I want him to, I know,

467
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,400
I know, I know. All right, it's five dollars Tuesday, teller,

468
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,160
and what you have up for comments please or for clients.

469
00:23:17,839 --> 00:23:20,799
Speaker 5: I haven't played anything yet. I'm gonna, like I told

470
00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:23,039
you my plan for this Commissioner's Cup game already. When

471
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:25,000
I do put a five dollars play up, he'll be

472
00:23:25,039 --> 00:23:28,519
for the Thursday WNBA games. And I just want to

473
00:23:28,559 --> 00:23:30,200
do my due diligence and make sure I have a

474
00:23:30,279 --> 00:23:32,599
nice winner for you. Guys, we had success last five

475
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,680
dollar Tuesday on another nice one like that, so be

476
00:23:35,799 --> 00:23:39,720
on the lookout. Maybe in the next two hours I'll

477
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,240
be playing a WNBA play for Thursday. And also, if

478
00:23:43,279 --> 00:23:45,720
you want to hear more about WNBA every single day,

479
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,839
come check out the show I do with Robbin Know

480
00:23:48,839 --> 00:23:51,839
at ten thirty eight and Pacific Standard time Monday through Friday.

481
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,440
We go through the entire board and it's a good conversation.

482
00:23:55,559 --> 00:23:57,680
A lot of info can help you and your decision

483
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,160
making process for your bets.

484
00:24:00,279 --> 00:24:03,680
Speaker 2: All right, Ski, profit love doing this and yeah, we're

485
00:24:03,759 --> 00:24:06,000
exciting free agency. Maybe next week can bring we can

486
00:24:06,039 --> 00:24:07,839
break down some of the teams a little bit more. Hey,

487
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,039
season win totals will be right around the corner. And

488
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,880
Ski and I did it, Ronald, I believe it's in

489
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,079
the chat as well. We did the Eastern Conference of

490
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,720
Western Conference team totals season win totals last year, so

491
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:22,960
looking forward to doing that. Last day, guys, for the

492
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,160
seven days for sixty nine dollars special that we have

493
00:24:26,279 --> 00:24:28,400
up less than ten dollars a day. You can use

494
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,720
this on one handicapper or we're giving the option to use

495
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,480
it for flex picks, so you can take one handicapper

496
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,920
one day, another handicapper the next day, one haitiicapper for

497
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,920
three days. You have the option, you have the power

498
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,960
to decide which handicapper that you want to use each day,

499
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,720
So seven days we do this every fourth of July,

500
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,319
seven days for sixty nine dollars, all access or flex

501
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:52,559
picks from your favorite wager Talk handicappers only six nine dollars.

502
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,519
Take advantage of that. At wager talk dot com. It

503
00:24:55,599 --> 00:24:58,000
is five dollars Tuesday. My five dollars play is a

504
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,519
team total in MLB. We keep looking at these totals,

505
00:25:01,519 --> 00:25:03,559
and these team totals run a twenty four and ten

506
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:07,480
run in these totals. We're thirty five and twenty in

507
00:25:07,559 --> 00:25:10,200
totals in twenty twenty five. So this has been a really,

508
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,640
really good spot. There's a couple that jumped off the board,

509
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,160
but one in particular made the card as the five

510
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,559
dollars play, So grab that if you're interested in an

511
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:21,079
MLB team total, really really love the play. Wasn't sure

512
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,519
I was gonna even have a play up for five

513
00:25:23,559 --> 00:25:26,440
dollars Tuesday, but line came out and it was way

514
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,519
too good to pass up. So that is what I

515
00:25:28,559 --> 00:25:32,240
have up at wager talk dot com. Let's bring in

516
00:25:32,519 --> 00:25:36,799
Teddy covers. We're gonna talk Guardians and Cubs, and then

517
00:25:36,799 --> 00:25:39,640
we're gonna talk a little season win total here with

518
00:25:39,759 --> 00:25:42,680
the Cowboys myself and damned, I'm certainly gonna get Teddy's

519
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,119
opinion on this one. Teddy, how are you, sir?

520
00:25:47,599 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 1: What's the right answer? Stress out?

521
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 6: It's not the right word. But the win report comes

522
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:56,200
out tomorrow, you know, Oh, today's final decision day. So

523
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,920
we're actively content blend on again.

524
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 1: You know what it's for me.

525
00:26:01,279 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 6: It all starts with the shortlist, you know, you go

526
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:04,359
through all the teams, you say, a right, these are

527
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,039
some overs I'm looking at. These are some unders I'm

528
00:26:06,039 --> 00:26:08,119
looking at, and then you start winning them out. Which

529
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:09,720
is going to be a strong play? What might be

530
00:26:09,759 --> 00:26:11,039
a five percent big ticket?

531
00:26:11,759 --> 00:26:12,519
Speaker 1: This one? Maybe?

532
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,039
Speaker 6: Maybe this one hits the cutting room floor. So most

533
00:26:16,079 --> 00:26:18,559
of those decisions have been made, but not all of them.

534
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:22,759
So today's about making the final decisions, making the final cuts,

535
00:26:22,799 --> 00:26:25,720
deciding exactly I'm pretty sure what I'm going to use

536
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,319
for my five percent, but there's another candidate that I'm

537
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:32,640
still considering. And of course, the report comes out and

538
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:35,960
noon tomorrow, so we may we may not sleep between

539
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:37,480
now and then and he because of course we've got

540
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:39,039
to type it all up too. And you know, the

541
00:26:39,039 --> 00:26:42,920
write ups for these are significant. So you know what

542
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,559
I like the pressure. I'm good under pressure in general.

543
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,400
But today's pressure day. You know, it's it's final cut dawn.

544
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 2: That's anxiety. Man. Teddy lives for this. I'm always excited

545
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,640
when NBA playoffs cover aufter Teddy, it's easy win report.

546
00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:59,359
And of course every time you're on the show, we

547
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:03,680
get excited. Let's let's break down. Let's go to MLB

548
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:06,559
real quick, Guardians and the Cubs and the Cubs, and

549
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:08,400
of course I'll ask you a little bit of NFL.

550
00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:11,200
We got Williams going for the Guardians, Boyd for the Cubs.

551
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:15,200
Looks like we got a few Cubs lovers in the

552
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,960
chat here. What's your breakdown here? Cubs minus one eighty

553
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:20,599
five favorite, sure.

554
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,839
Speaker 1: And we've seen a lot of Cubs money since last night.

555
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:24,319
Speaker 6: Last night, what I looked at it was a minus

556
00:27:24,319 --> 00:27:27,160
one sixty five for Chicago, minus one sixties out there.

557
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,240
So oh, the overnight and early morning money has come

558
00:27:30,279 --> 00:27:33,559
for Chicago, and that line looked cheap. At the time

559
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:38,960
for Chicago. That's not necessarily the case for today. There's

560
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:41,319
a handful of bets that stand out to me for

561
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:46,480
this bogame, and it starts with some let me tell

562
00:27:46,519 --> 00:27:50,200
you why I'm not taking Chicago. All right, Boyd has

563
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:53,799
been great this year. All right, The Guardians can't hit lefties.

564
00:27:54,279 --> 00:27:57,119
Boyd leads the by cannon lefties.

565
00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:57,799
Speaker 1: I mean, they're.

566
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:03,400
Speaker 6: Number twenty in the league over the last month in

567
00:28:03,559 --> 00:28:07,920
WRC plus against lefties. They've really struggled against opposing southboard

568
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,480
a pause, and Boyd leads the Cubs. He's got eleven

569
00:28:11,559 --> 00:28:13,599
quality starts, and you go through his game log, it's

570
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:19,160
every time he's been solid, solid, solid. But one thing

571
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:23,079
that I look for is, hey, Boyd revived his career

572
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,720
in Cleveland last year. If anyone knows how to take

573
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,880
advantage with weaknesses, if anyone knows how to hit this guy,

574
00:28:29,279 --> 00:28:31,599
in theory, it should be the Guardians.

575
00:28:32,279 --> 00:28:34,559
Speaker 1: And the Cubs aren't playing good baseball, you know.

576
00:28:35,039 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 6: I mean they're four and seven their last eleven bag

577
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,400
got shut out again in their last contest. Yeah, they

578
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,160
lead to Maya. What top three in run scored this

579
00:28:43,279 --> 00:28:46,799
year for Chicago, but not lately that lineup, there's been

580
00:28:46,839 --> 00:28:49,000
a lot more missed than hit. They've been held the

581
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:51,440
two runs or ethnic eleven times over the course of

582
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:55,359
the last month. So it's not a lineup that's clicking

583
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,960
on all cylinders right now. For the Cubs, they're not

584
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:01,599
playing great baseball. At the same time, we look at

585
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:05,440
Gavin Williams and the Guardians and we've been waiting for

586
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,559
this for two years for Cleveland, you know, when they

587
00:29:07,599 --> 00:29:12,279
finally you know, the Guardians way overachieved last year compared

588
00:29:12,279 --> 00:29:14,319
to this Tisco profile. They won all the one run

589
00:29:14,359 --> 00:29:17,119
games they're bulping, you know, was out of their minds.

590
00:29:17,279 --> 00:29:18,880
They got clutch hits, et cetera, et cetera.

591
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 1: This year.

592
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 6: For the first month and a half, two months of

593
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,680
the season, it was the same thing for Cleveland, where

594
00:29:26,039 --> 00:29:28,759
they continue to find ways where the stats say you

595
00:29:28,759 --> 00:29:31,160
should be here or yeah, the stats that you should

596
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:32,720
be here, and they're playing at this level up here.

597
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 1: That has not been the case in recent weeks.

598
00:29:36,079 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 2: All right.

599
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:40,279
Speaker 1: Cleveland has been struggling, and they've been struggling, you.

600
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 6: Know what, eleven and twenty. It's not a short term

601
00:29:42,519 --> 00:29:44,000
issue for the Guardians.

602
00:29:44,279 --> 00:29:44,799
Speaker 1: They did have.

603
00:29:44,839 --> 00:29:47,039
Speaker 6: Yesterday off and the manager said, hey, we're gonna we're

604
00:29:47,079 --> 00:29:49,079
gonna reset. We played thirteen games in a row here

605
00:29:49,079 --> 00:29:50,720
before the break. It's our chance to come back and

606
00:29:50,759 --> 00:29:54,000
make some noise. And I agree with that assessment, but

607
00:29:54,079 --> 00:29:56,519
it's not a team that I trust right now. And

608
00:29:56,599 --> 00:29:59,039
Gavin Williams, you look at his day. The guy's been

609
00:29:59,039 --> 00:30:00,559
pitching out of trouble all year.

610
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:02,319
Speaker 1: He's walked.

611
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 6: Let me just double check that I read. In his

612
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:08,200
last fourteen starts, he's walked two or more batters thirteen times.

613
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,920
At one start were we only had one walk, and

614
00:30:12,759 --> 00:30:16,880
he's walked consistently three, four or five for his last

615
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:20,839
three starts three or more walks four Williams and that

616
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,519
dates back. You know, had a six walkouting and a

617
00:30:23,559 --> 00:30:25,720
four walk outing and a five walk outing in May.

618
00:30:25,759 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: It's not anything new or unique. So when I'm looking

619
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:33,519
at this game and so where are we gonna go

620
00:30:33,599 --> 00:30:33,920
with it?

621
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:35,799
Speaker 6: You know, part of me is I thought the initial

622
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,119
lean for Chicago that the line was just too low,

623
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:39,000
and it's not anymore.

624
00:30:39,359 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna lay it with the Cubs. So

625
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:41,799
we want to run line the Cubs.

626
00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 6: Well, the wind's blowing in today, I don't necessarily love

627
00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:47,839
Boyd in this matchup. For as good as he's been,

628
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,480
I worry that Cleveland's gonna see him. I could certainly

629
00:30:50,519 --> 00:30:52,640
make a case for the Cleveland team total under three

630
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,680
and a half, but I think the best bet here,

631
00:30:56,039 --> 00:30:57,440
and I just doubble checked it and make it real.

632
00:30:57,519 --> 00:31:00,960
It's real, you know, Gavid Williams more walks minus two

633
00:31:01,039 --> 00:31:05,240
seventy I'll lay that juice here. When a pitcher who

634
00:31:05,359 --> 00:31:09,279
consistently is he's not eating up innings, he says his

635
00:31:09,279 --> 00:31:12,279
command hasn't been there, he's afraid to pitch the good hitters,

636
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:15,039
and he's walked two more batters again thirteen of his

637
00:31:15,119 --> 00:31:17,319
last fourteen starts. I can lay two to seventy with

638
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,240
that against the Cubs team that's patient at the plate.

639
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:22,680
That to me is probably the best bet for this bargain.

640
00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:24,839
And you might want to ladder that two or more

641
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,640
walks minus two seventy three or more walks plus one

642
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,519
point fifteen get a nice plus price on four or

643
00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:33,119
more walks for Williams. And then like they're pulling him

644
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:35,640
every time he's walking batters, he's lasting into the sixth

645
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,240
inning four of his last five starts, and you know

646
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,720
he can go back to May and he's going five

647
00:31:40,759 --> 00:31:44,480
plus innings in what the seven of his last nine.

648
00:31:44,559 --> 00:31:48,480
So Williams over Walks is the one that makes the

649
00:31:48,519 --> 00:31:51,480
most sense to me for this one. A little bit

650
00:31:51,519 --> 00:31:54,079
of Cleveland team total under, maybe a little bit of

651
00:31:54,079 --> 00:31:56,839
Cubs maybe, but Williams is the pitcher.

652
00:31:56,599 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: That I want to fade in this one, and that

653
00:31:58,720 --> 00:31:59,799
would be the way I would do it.

654
00:32:01,079 --> 00:32:03,119
Speaker 2: You don't have to convince me on a player prop

655
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:06,119
or Teddy. I'm all aboard. I'm all aboard this one.

656
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,359
So yeah, I love that one. I love I love

657
00:32:08,359 --> 00:32:11,640
a good Walks bar, especially that one and a half number. Yeah,

658
00:32:11,799 --> 00:32:14,359
those are like if the walks are almost kind of

659
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:16,839
like NBA made threes whenever you get guys that are

660
00:32:16,839 --> 00:32:19,000
like one and a half threes, like okay, yeah, I think,

661
00:32:19,079 --> 00:32:20,559
yeah they can make two. And once it gets a

662
00:32:20,599 --> 00:32:22,400
two and a half, you're like, hey, that's a lot.

663
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:23,680
That's a lot. But I love that one.

664
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 6: Great player, Well, you gotta late, I mean to get

665
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:27,319
over one and have you're talking about minus two seventy.

666
00:32:27,319 --> 00:32:30,799
I mean it's a significant lay, but I expected to cash,

667
00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:32,160
you know, and when.

668
00:32:33,799 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: I really do.

669
00:32:34,839 --> 00:32:39,319
Speaker 6: So that's that's my best bet for Cubs Guardians tonight. Uh, Cleveland,

670
00:32:39,319 --> 00:32:41,160
definitely a team I'm looking to continue to fade.

671
00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 2: Let's talk a little bit of NFL. Can you give

672
00:32:44,519 --> 00:32:46,640
us any tidbits? For example, Dan and I are talking

673
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,720
about the Cowboys seven and a half Wednesday. Do you

674
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,960
have anything on the Cowboys or any other little interesting

675
00:32:52,079 --> 00:32:54,039
tidbits of information you've unlocked.

676
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,480
Speaker 3: There's at this stage, there's yeah, there's a million.

677
00:32:58,599 --> 00:33:00,759
Speaker 6: And I got so much stuff the NFL in my

678
00:33:00,799 --> 00:33:04,319
head right now. One tidbit. So the Cowboys are not

679
00:33:04,359 --> 00:33:06,400
in my short list. I'm not looking at the Cowboys over.

680
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,200
I'm not looking at the Cowboys under. I think the

681
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,519
seven and a half is an appropriate line for Dallas.

682
00:33:12,079 --> 00:33:14,119
And if I had to make a bed, look, there

683
00:33:14,119 --> 00:33:16,400
are some books already at eight. And I'll tell you this,

684
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:21,480
here's a tidbit, all right, this is legitimate. I've been

685
00:33:21,519 --> 00:33:24,279
doing this for twenty four. This is my twenty I

686
00:33:24,359 --> 00:33:26,440
had twenty four previous NFL win reports.

687
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 1: In the early days, there was some line.

688
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:35,359
Speaker 6: Variants the early two thousands. By twenty ten, the line

689
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:39,799
variants by this, you know, is slim. This year, as

690
00:33:39,839 --> 00:33:42,400
I'm like, okay, what line can I release? This at

691
00:33:42,599 --> 00:33:45,559
there's a huge amount of line variants in the market still,

692
00:33:45,759 --> 00:33:47,160
and a part of the reason is that so many

693
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:48,119
books are putting.

694
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: Up alternate lines.

695
00:33:49,519 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 6: You see over four and a half, over five and

696
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:53,079
a half, over six and a half, and they are

697
00:33:53,039 --> 00:33:55,400
adjusting the juice at the same book.

698
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:57,079
Speaker 1: You know, I can go here and got over four

699
00:33:57,079 --> 00:33:58,720
and a half into this book under six and a half.

700
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 6: So there are ladder plays you can make that haven't

701
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,880
really been available in this markets the same way in

702
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:12,360
recent in recent decades, there is variance in the markets

703
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,519
that you haven't seen in recent decades. And there are

704
00:34:16,519 --> 00:34:19,880
a lot of books that are only posting half win numbers,

705
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,159
you know, nine and a half, ten and a half,

706
00:34:22,199 --> 00:34:24,920
eight and a half. There are other books that are

707
00:34:25,039 --> 00:34:28,880
very willing to post the nines and eights and tens.

708
00:34:29,639 --> 00:34:34,000
And you're seeing great opportunities as a better because some

709
00:34:34,079 --> 00:34:37,719
books won't let you push and other books will. The

710
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,000
push is very valuable when it comes to season win

711
00:34:40,079 --> 00:34:44,199
totals in this better's opinion. So some of those well

712
00:34:44,199 --> 00:34:45,920
the markets are ten and a half, but this book's

713
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,239
at ten, you know. Or the markets are nine and

714
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:50,920
a half, this book's at ten. The tens are worth

715
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,480
paying attention to in those instances. So in terms of

716
00:34:53,599 --> 00:34:58,880
line variants, much more significant in twenty twenty five than

717
00:34:59,079 --> 00:35:02,360
in any recent year that I put this report out.

718
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 1: When it comes to Dallas, there's upside for Dallas.

719
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,760
Speaker 6: But at the same time, anytime you're talking about a

720
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:14,360
team that has a big portion of their salary cap

721
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,320
locked up in a handful of players like the Cowboys do,

722
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:19,360
that's a red flag.

723
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:23,679
Speaker 1: Hey, those guys get hurt, your season's ruined. Be your

724
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:24,519
death isn't there?

725
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 6: And Dallas is multiple guys on these max deals.

726
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 1: The roster makeup because of that leaves them with a

727
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,760
fair few holes, at least in this better opinion.

728
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, it's five dollars Tuesday. Tell clients what

729
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:41,760
you have up at wager talk.

730
00:35:42,599 --> 00:35:46,239
Speaker 6: I got a fight dollar best bet in MLB for today.

731
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,440
We won last Tuesday with our fight dollar best bet.

732
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:49,920
I expect to do it again tonight. I think it's

733
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:53,400
a rock solid winner. And obviously, the NFL Season Win

734
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,920
Report comes out tomorrow, and I got a promo code.

735
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Speaker 1: For you guys.

736
00:35:57,079 --> 00:36:01,199
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737
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738
00:36:04,639 --> 00:36:07,679
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739
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:09,639
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741
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,039
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742
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743
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744
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745
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746
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,599
one hundred bucks off, or get the Wind Report again.

747
00:36:35,639 --> 00:36:39,039
It comes out tomorrow noon Pacific three pm Eastern, and

748
00:36:39,079 --> 00:36:42,280
that's one ninety nine, one oh three and fifty two

749
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,599
lifetime sixty six percent over the twenty four years I've

750
00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:49,119
been doing it, seventeen and four eighty one percent with

751
00:36:49,199 --> 00:36:52,159
the five percent Big tickets. We won the five percent

752
00:36:52,199 --> 00:36:54,400
Big ticket last year. We had another winning season with

753
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,119
the Winter Report last year, and it's coming out tomorrow,

754
00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:59,679
So take advantage promo code NFL one.

755
00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 1: I know it's July. It's July today, right, Yes, I

756
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:07,960
know it's July. It's time. The seasons are right around

757
00:37:08,039 --> 00:37:08,480
the corner.

758
00:37:09,199 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 2: Get on board, all right, Teddy covers, everyone take advantage

759
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,559
of that promo code and big day when Teddy comes

760
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:18,039
out with his Season one report. Thank you so much, Teddy.

761
00:37:18,559 --> 00:37:21,079
We're gonna bring in Dan. But real quick, a lot

762
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:26,360
of you have we'll say, asked about the steam room.

763
00:37:26,679 --> 00:37:32,320
First off, guys, calm down. If there's no steam, there's

764
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,440
nothing to report. Jihanni comes on and he talks about

765
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,840
the games that are taking a lot of action and

766
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:41,000
significant line moves. In some days, there's just nothing to

767
00:37:41,039 --> 00:37:43,760
really talk about, and so we're not going to force

768
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,119
anything like Giohnny's not gonna come on and give you

769
00:37:46,159 --> 00:37:50,039
nonsensical numbers or things that you know don't really exist

770
00:37:50,199 --> 00:37:52,320
or get you hyped up. Sometimes there are just days

771
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:54,840
when there's not a lot of excitement, and that's just

772
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:58,880
part of the business. I know somebody preferred to me

773
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,920
as a mean name. That's a great way to not

774
00:38:02,039 --> 00:38:06,320
get your question answered. But if if there's no follow up,

775
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,039
then there's nothing to follow up on. So there's not

776
00:38:09,119 --> 00:38:11,480
much that Gianny or I can do if the markets

777
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,280
are not giving us all the information. So and the

778
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,159
other thing about the Steam report is a lot of

779
00:38:16,159 --> 00:38:19,159
times these numbers have already moved. You can't play them

780
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,599
like we're just telling you Hey, this is what the

781
00:38:21,639 --> 00:38:24,920
big line move was, but the value might have already

782
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,039
been sucked out of it. So be careful when you're

783
00:38:27,079 --> 00:38:30,000
paying attention to the Steam report where the money is going,

784
00:38:30,079 --> 00:38:31,800
because a lot of this money and a lot of

785
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:34,199
this movement has taken place overnight. We're here to try

786
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,000
and make you guys better at what you do, but

787
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,840
we're not going to force anything, and I'm certainly not

788
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:43,719
gonna force Giohanny to make something when there's really nothing there.

789
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,119
So some days it's just not going to be the

790
00:38:46,119 --> 00:38:49,360
most exciting steam report in the world. All right, let's

791
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:54,760
bring in Dan here. So sorry, Dan, I didn't know

792
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:59,320
I was gonna catch strays for Giohnny's to you, I

793
00:38:59,440 --> 00:38:59,679
like a.

794
00:38:59,639 --> 00:39:03,199
Speaker 4: Class I amuse you. Maybe that's maybe that's what Maybe

795
00:39:03,199 --> 00:39:03,920
that's what they meant.

796
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:08,280
Speaker 2: Andy, Hey, listen, gotta be on your toes. Sometimes it's

797
00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:08,920
like it's.

798
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:11,079
Speaker 4: Like, hey, we want Gianni to come on here and

799
00:39:11,119 --> 00:39:13,400
lie to us and tell us that steam is going

800
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,039
when it's not gonna some Sometimes, like you said, Andy,

801
00:39:16,079 --> 00:39:18,519
if it was an everyday thing, oh my god, there's

802
00:39:18,559 --> 00:39:21,599
this huge bet, there's this I mean, sometimes the board

803
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,280
just falls the way that it does and maybe leading

804
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,840
up to game time there will be some heavy steam

805
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,440
and then maybe that's why you buy Gianni all access.

806
00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:31,760
But he gets to your free here every single day.

807
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:36,400
But but Andy, uh, you'll entertain some people, you'll piss

808
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,000
off the other what like three third, you know, a

809
00:39:39,079 --> 00:39:41,480
third of people, and then the final segment.

810
00:39:41,639 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 1: Who cares about the final segment.

811
00:39:43,039 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 2: That's the way that I always look. Yeah, yeah, absolutely,

812
00:39:46,079 --> 00:39:49,639
So listen Monday mornings and football season, that's gonna be

813
00:39:49,639 --> 00:39:53,679
your most important morning. That's when I mean Monday morning

814
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:55,639
shows during football season is going to be one of

815
00:39:55,679 --> 00:39:58,960
the most important pieces of content. Is going to be

816
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,480
college for ball line movement, NFL line movement. That's when

817
00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:04,920
we come here. But it's the first day of July.

818
00:40:06,079 --> 00:40:08,280
There's like some men Bob games and that's about it.

819
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:08,840
Not a lot.

820
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:10,760
Speaker 4: There's no pleasing you. You want a ball on a

821
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:12,280
Blintz smoking a pancake.

822
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:13,840
Speaker 1: There's no pleasing some people.

823
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:17,119
Speaker 2: Anny, all right, well, let's please some people by talking

824
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:22,360
about the Dallas Cowboys. They're over underwin total is seven

825
00:40:22,639 --> 00:40:25,800
and a half here. The Cowboys were seven to ten

826
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:30,320
last year. Dan four of their wins were two Giants wins.

827
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:37,519
Panthers and Browns. Yikes, yikes, yikes, yikes. PFF ranked their

828
00:40:37,519 --> 00:40:40,440
offense twenty eighth last year in their defense twenty eighth.

829
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:44,199
Offseason moves. A lot of it was kind of keeping

830
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,159
some of the guys that they had from last year.

831
00:40:46,960 --> 00:40:50,840
Defensive linemen were signed, some linebackers, they re signed some

832
00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:54,920
of their secondary George Pickens, which Pickens joins them. Yet

833
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:59,920
they have the backfield of Javante Williams and Miles Sanders. Curious,

834
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:03,639
that'll be inter I'm a Javonte Williams fan. I'll be

835
00:41:03,679 --> 00:41:06,440
interested to see if they can get somewhere out of him.

836
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:10,480
So I'll go over the schedule here real quick. They

837
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:12,599
have they have, They have a brutal stretch after their

838
00:41:12,599 --> 00:41:16,320
bye week, but they start at your Eagles, then they

839
00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:22,400
go Giants at Bears, Packers at Panthers, Commanders at Broncos, Cardinals.

840
00:41:22,559 --> 00:41:26,199
Then they get their bye week in the middle at Raiders,

841
00:41:26,239 --> 00:41:31,000
and here they go Eagles, Chiefs at Lions, Vikings, Chargers

842
00:41:31,039 --> 00:41:37,000
at Commanders. Holy smokes, what a brutal, brutal stretch. And

843
00:41:37,039 --> 00:41:39,639
then they do get the gift of at Giants in

844
00:41:39,679 --> 00:41:43,280
the last week. So seven and a half I'm guessing

845
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,760
a lot of this is Dak gonna be healthy. Of course,

846
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,199
you can say that about everybody, but there's obviously quarterbacks

847
00:41:49,199 --> 00:41:50,840
that we have a lot more questions about. What do

848
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:52,800
you break down on this Cowboys team? I know you

849
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:55,400
follow them a little bit more close to some other

850
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:57,000
teams just because they're in your division.

851
00:41:57,639 --> 00:41:59,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I'm sure that people will think I'll just

852
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,880
come on here and right away start talking smack on

853
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,599
Dallas because I'm an Eagles fan. No, you know, I

854
00:42:04,679 --> 00:42:06,440
like betting on the Eagles just the same as I

855
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:08,840
like betting against them. I like that I follow the

856
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:10,800
NFC East so closely. I feel like I have a

857
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,800
good handle on these teams, and that kind of reflects

858
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:16,719
in my spread picks throughout the year. The thing is,

859
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,000
for me, an, you laid out the numbers there on

860
00:42:19,119 --> 00:42:24,920
how absolutely abysmal that offense was, and because it was

861
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:28,159
so bad, they say, hey, let's take the mastermind behind

862
00:42:28,159 --> 00:42:31,599
it and make them our head coach. I don't get

863
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,599
the Brian Schottenheimer thing, you know what I mean? Like,

864
00:42:34,639 --> 00:42:37,440
I think there were a thousand different ways you could

865
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:40,159
do and if you're trying to reinvent the Cowboys which

866
00:42:40,199 --> 00:42:41,920
I think is really what needed to happen. After you're

867
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,239
moving away from McCarthy and you've kind of, you know,

868
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,920
teetered in that mediocrity of just not being able to

869
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,800
break through in the playoffs, why would you not go

870
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:53,159
out and do something new. So that's my first knock

871
00:42:53,199 --> 00:42:55,760
again against the Cowboys heading endo this year. I like

872
00:42:55,840 --> 00:42:57,760
what they did in the offseason. I mean bringing in

873
00:42:57,760 --> 00:43:00,679
George Pickens is never going to be a bad thing.

874
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:03,320
But one of the things that Pittsburgh learned with George

875
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,599
Pickens is even when he was the number one option,

876
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,079
he's not happy about his production. He's not happy about

877
00:43:09,079 --> 00:43:11,119
his role in the offense. So now that he's going

878
00:43:11,199 --> 00:43:14,199
to be standing in the shadow of Cedee Lamb, how

879
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:16,760
is that going to play out? From a personality perspective?

880
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:19,480
It could be a match made in heaven. But I

881
00:43:19,559 --> 00:43:22,480
hate to simplify it down andy and boil it down

882
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,559
to well, it depends on the quarterback play. But in

883
00:43:25,599 --> 00:43:28,519
the case of the Dallas Cowboys, it really does. I mean,

884
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:33,199
majority of their entire bank role is tied up in

885
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,760
Dak Prescott and Cede Lamb. So if that connection is great,

886
00:43:37,079 --> 00:43:39,719
this team will be fine. The problem that worries me

887
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,719
is you hear the Dallas Cowboys and you see a

888
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:46,840
number seven and a half, and that just begs you

889
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:50,119
just by thinking in your mind, it's the Dallas Cowboys.

890
00:43:50,159 --> 00:43:52,519
How do they not win eight games? This number is

891
00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:55,000
begging you to take the over. I'm also not going

892
00:43:55,039 --> 00:43:57,159
to disagree with the guy who wins with season win

893
00:43:57,320 --> 00:43:59,880
reports each and every year that the Cowboys weren't even

894
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:02,679
all on his damn list. In Teddy covers what he

895
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,159
was talking about seven and a half, the number makes sense.

896
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:11,519
I probably lean towards the over just sight unseen, but

897
00:44:11,639 --> 00:44:13,880
then you break down those stretches in the schedule Andy

898
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:18,519
that are completely just brutal. So you know, I don't

899
00:44:18,519 --> 00:44:22,760
know how you could not be lukewarm at best on

900
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,559
the Cowboys heading into this season because things really haven't

901
00:44:25,639 --> 00:44:28,480
changed that much. You added a couple different names. I

902
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,079
think I'm gonna be pumped up about Miles Sanders being

903
00:44:31,119 --> 00:44:34,519
added to your running back by committee, I'm not, you know,

904
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,519
and their offensive line each year has come back down

905
00:44:37,519 --> 00:44:38,119
to earth and.

906
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:39,360
Speaker 1: That was the lifeblood of the team.

907
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 4: So the ever slightest lean simply because it's the Dallas

908
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,199
Cowboys and I think the Washington Commanders are gonna take

909
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:48,119
a step back this year, so maybe they pick up

910
00:44:48,119 --> 00:44:53,920
a win there. I lean towards this over, but it's.

911
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,119
Speaker 1: Tepid at best. Andy, I hate this number.

912
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:58,000
Speaker 4: I think this is gonna be an impossible team to

913
00:44:58,039 --> 00:45:01,199
handicap in their games this season, favored in six of them.

914
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,280
So if you're playing that game, how do you get

915
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,199
over seven and a half. If Dak Prescott plays up

916
00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:09,239
to the level that we've seen him previously that he

917
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:12,800
wasn't playing it last year before his injury, this could

918
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,639
go over. But this isn't one you add to your card.

919
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:17,840
I think you crossed this one off the list.

920
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:22,039
Speaker 2: Personally, yeah, I'm gonna ever so slightly lean to the under,

921
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,360
just because I mean, you have two Giants games that

922
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:29,000
should be wins. At Raiders should be a win, and

923
00:45:29,039 --> 00:45:31,960
then I just can't really pick, you know, easy wins.

924
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,239
I mean that stretch of Eagles Chiefs at Lions, Vikings

925
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:40,679
Chargers that's got winless or just one win out of it.

926
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:44,440
The Dak injury is always a thing their offensive line.

927
00:45:44,519 --> 00:45:49,159
They lost Martin. This coaching move I don't understand in

928
00:45:49,199 --> 00:45:54,199
the slightest and listen at Bears, Packers at Panthers, Commanders

929
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,800
at Broncos. That's not easy as well. I think wins

930
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:01,000
are gonna be really, really tough for the team. The

931
00:46:01,079 --> 00:46:03,480
number seems about perfect. I will ever so slightly lean

932
00:46:03,559 --> 00:46:05,880
to the under, but yeah, this is not going to

933
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:08,920
be uh, this is not going to be the the

934
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:11,239
the the huge play.

935
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 6: Oh.

936
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 2: I'm putting this up at four percent. Yeah, numbers, number

937
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,480
seems about right, but I will ever so slightly lean

938
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:20,440
to the under. But you lean over, I lean under.

939
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:22,760
I can't say it's a huge disagreement where we're.

940
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,239
Speaker 4: I mean again again, Andy, when you're talking about like

941
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,159
these also help you. How are you gonna bet this

942
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:28,000
team this year?

943
00:46:28,079 --> 00:46:28,280
Speaker 1: Right?

944
00:46:28,639 --> 00:46:30,679
Speaker 4: And if you're looking at this Dallas Cowboys team being

945
00:46:30,679 --> 00:46:33,199
favored in only six games, if you like this over,

946
00:46:33,519 --> 00:46:35,000
you just take them on the money line and when

947
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:36,719
they're in the when they're a dog in the ten

948
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,199
other games, in the in the eleven other games, right.

949
00:46:39,679 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 1: You know what I mean.

950
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,440
Speaker 4: There's there's way better ways to bet this than tying

951
00:46:42,519 --> 00:46:44,519
up for it just to tell your buddies, Hey, I

952
00:46:44,519 --> 00:46:46,199
told you they were gonna win eight games.

953
00:46:46,039 --> 00:46:47,599
Speaker 1: That's the way that I kind of view it.

954
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,519
Speaker 2: All right, so we're gonna we're gonna slightly disagree, but

955
00:46:51,559 --> 00:46:52,920
really we agree that this line is.

956
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,400
Speaker 4: We agree that this is gross. I don't want to

957
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:58,320
bet this Cowboys. I mean, it's just it's it's too

958
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,400
it's too gross. Even ten he said this wasn't even

959
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:05,320
on his long list. So yeah, just crossed this one off.

960
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:07,920
Speaker 2: All right, we'll leave in the comment section if you

961
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:10,199
if if you got a team that that we want

962
00:47:10,199 --> 00:47:13,679
to go over, Bruce, Andy, can I get a birthday pick? Yeah,

963
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,199
go for that that first five team total on the

964
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:19,320
Angels over if you can't get the uh. If you

965
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:23,320
can't get the the uh, the first five, take a

966
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:25,239
look at the over. I think the I think the

967
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:27,960
Angels put up some runs today. I think they're gonna

968
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:30,760
do it today and tomorrow. So all right, you know

969
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:33,000
what we're gonna pass on trying to do a pick

970
00:47:33,079 --> 00:47:35,360
the correct score. We need to sort out all the

971
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:39,360
winners from UH from from the last one. So give

972
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,400
us a day UH to to sort out everything. But

973
00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:44,719
please leave us a comment. Just tell us who you

974
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:46,920
like tonight, UH. Tell us who you like on the

975
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:49,360
Cowboys if you like the over under in the comment

976
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:52,039
section after the show is over. We'll get back to

977
00:47:52,079 --> 00:47:55,199
giving away more swag on Wednesday. Take advantage of five

978
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,840
dollars Tuesday. I've got a team total best bet that

979
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,880
is up in MLB. Every handicapper has a five dollars play.

980
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,440
So whether you pick one, whether you're picked five, whether

981
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,920
you pick ten, make sure you're managing your bankroll and

982
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,360
we don't have too much in play on a Tuesday night,

983
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:10,760
hit the like button, subscribe to the channel. Good luck

984
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:12,559
on your plays, and we'll see everyone tomorrow. Take care,