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Speaker 1: Welcome to wage You Talk today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talk the talk and walk

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the walk. It is Monday, DULO recap over wild Card weekend.

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It was wild put the wild and wild Card weekend.

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We're gonna dive into NBA look ahead, some of the

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lines that have come out for NFL Playoffs and National Championship, Big,

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big betting week Let's bring in Dan, Dan, give us

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the rundown. Who do we have today?

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Speaker 2: I'm glad, let's talk about it. Let's only talk about

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what we had today, Andy, and nothing that happened yesterday, No, no, nothing,

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nothing Eagles related. What we have come in your way

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on the program today. As we turn the page towards

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the divisional playoffs, folks, we're gonna obviously get some early

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steam thoughts from Jehanny the Greek, who is back. That

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is right. You can be happy in the comments they

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were asking for Yanni all last week. He was at

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a wedding, folks, but he's back right here, ready to rock.

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Crack Man, you know Bill Krackenberg. He's coming on. He's

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got an NBA prop for you, and we'll also get

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his thoughts what we saw during wild Card weekend, what

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he's seeing as we move forward, any potential future opportunities

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that you should be firing on in the NFL playoffs.

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Steve Merrill coming on Double Header Action the night. He's

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gonna talk Celtics versus Pacers, Sixers, Raptors, and we'll also

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get his thoughts on tonight's Monday Night Football edition. If

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you're looking for prop plays on that, Andy and Andrew

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McGinnis recorded this morning the Props and Parlays edition, so

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they break down your full prop slate for what figures

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to be a exciting offensive evening. And then we're gonna

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end things man with a little something special. Typically if

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you watch the show, you know that's our Monday lineup

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Coming on today is the Great Joe ran Airy because

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the National Championship is set. We'll also get Yonnie's thoughts

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on that and anything that he's seeing. But it is

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Miami versus Indiana. And if you saw on Thursday, Joe

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came on with his pom poms a blazon for his

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Miami Hurricanes. And as you know, if you watch the show,

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alumnus of Indiana Whoo Hoosiers is Andy. So we're gonna

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have Joe and him do a little head to head.

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But you guys are going to benefit off of the

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fact that it is Miami and Indiana because we got

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a hell of a special we'll share with them as well.

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So great Monday show, and none of that involves talking

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about the Philadelphia Eagles prevent offense they played yesterday. Andy,

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So let's roll.

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Speaker 1: I'll just say this, if you're gonna be a wide

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receiver that complains all year long, at least catch the

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biggest pass of the season at catch the biggest pass,

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because that was a that was a house call.

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Speaker 2: I would rack it three times. Three times. On third down,

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they hit aj Brown directly in the hand. Although you know,

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I'll play a little bit of Devil's advocate. It's hard

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not to be checked out if you're a Deevia wide receiver.

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If you you know, don't you're not. You don't complete

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a catch early on in the game, and then you're

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head coach, who what does he do other than be

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a quasi cheerleader, comes up and screams in your face

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about how you should have caught the ball. You know,

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Deevil wide receivers, you probably give him a little bit

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more loving than screaming on their face in national television.

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Speaker 1: Andy, Oh, well, he could have totally redeemed himself, but catching.

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Speaker 2: You totally redeemed yourself.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I went back and watched that play a couple of times.

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I don't think the defenders are going to catch him

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one one.

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Speaker 2: Guy had a bat catches He's just and perfect, perfect

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ball by Jalen Hurts. I know he's not beyond reproach,

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but yeah, that was That was a tough one to

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watch as a as a Philadelphia Eagles fan and the

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guy who backed them and a guy who bet San

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Francisco team total under, and that one at least uh,

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you know, had a chance of getting home. So uh,

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it was a rough day for me. Yes, Ray, my

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team loses. I get kicked in the teeth with the

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Chargers bet. Uh you know you you uh you struggle.

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I had Green Bay as well. So horrible wild card weekend, Really, Andy,

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the worst possible outcome for wild Card weekend that that

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could have happened was it was losing all your bets

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and having your team lose. Pretty rough.

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Speaker 1: Oh yikes. Well, if Seth joins us in the chat,

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we'll tell you about how Seth had a loss that

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turned into one of the biggest wins. Uh, it'll have.

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But let's bring in Yanni and Yanni back from you

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love at the at the wedding.

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Speaker 3: Yah, how was the wedding.

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Speaker 4: It was a good, good time, good time.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 5: I got buried yesterday was I tell you when I win,

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I tell you when I lose. And I went four

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and one. It was a nice forur and one on Saturday.

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And yesterday just just went bad. I mean we had

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Jacksonville first half Jacksonville game that didn't turn out. We

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had the Eagles on the money line at minus two

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twenty that went up to like minus too eighty at

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one point, just didn't go well. You know, play some

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decent bets. I wouldn't really change that and just didn't

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go my way. But you know, back to the grind,

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and that's where risk management into play, because like, if

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you've been with me over the last two.

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Speaker 4: Weeks, we've made money.

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Speaker 5: But if you got buried yesterday and destroyed your bank roll,

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you got to wake up this morning and check yourself

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and reset, you know what I mean, you have another

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opportunity to do it the right way because this will

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continue to happen no matter how good of a year

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you have, you're gonna have those tough days, tough weeks,

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tough months, and if you don't survive those, then it

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doesn't even matter, Like the rest isn't going to come

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into play. I'm confident when December thirty first rolls around,

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I'll have turned the profit for twenty twenty six. But

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if you're getting buried throughout, if you're ruined, like we

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say risk of ruin and you're ruined, then you can't

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take advantage.

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Speaker 4: And that's where me sharing my information.

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Speaker 5: Is the toughest because I know for me, I handle

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my risk the same, it doesn't change. But I know

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for for guys just learning the process, some of them

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got buried yesterday and I feel responsible for that, you know,

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I mean, because it was for my information. But all

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I can do is again focus on the one goal

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at hand, and that's what I said. If our goals

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are aligned and your goal is to turn a profit

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in twenty twenty six, I won't disappoint you.

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Speaker 4: But if you need to pay your.

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Speaker 5: Rent this month, this week, or that kind of stuff,

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I'm not your guy, you know, I mean, go chase

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that game of the year, and I hope he hits

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it for you.

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Speaker 4: But we're here to grind and yeah, hopefully we do

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some damage. Man this week. I'm excited.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited my Game of the Year goes off to No,

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I'm just kidding. We don't have a Game of the

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Year tonight. I'm kidding. So, you know, Yadi, I felt

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like some of these games yesterday, it was like you

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have systems, you have theories about who's going to do what,

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and then it just turns into chaos in the playoffs

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sometimes like those games just felt really really chaotic. It

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was like you had the Packers, you felt great, and

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then all of a sudden, you didn't. You have the Chargers.

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Who know show? So I don't know. What do you

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take away from a weekend like that? Put every ear

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view mirror looking forward to this week or takeaways?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's so simple.

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Speaker 5: What our takeaway is that, unlike NBA, unlike NHL, unlike

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Major League Baseball, the cream will not always rise to

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the top. In the NFL, the number one power rated team,

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the number two power rated team, number three power rated

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team will not always win.

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Speaker 4: The Super Bowl.

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Speaker 5: Because there's so much randomness to a sixty minute football game.

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They're not playing a five game series. They're not playing

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a seven game series where you have at least a

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little bit working for you, bigger sample size and you

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expect a more like the for it to play out

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towards the mean.

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Speaker 4: The better team should have the advantage.

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Speaker 5: But in a sixty minute game, a bad call, a turnover,

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like so many random occurrences could change the outcome of

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you having placed a great bet and ending up losing.

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That's where you got to be able to brush it off.

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And that's why I always urge my subscribers pay attention

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to the line we got down at and what it

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closed that And let's be honest with ourselves. Did we

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place a good bet and just didn't get there or

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was it a bet we probably shouldn't have got involved

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in because we didn't at least get any closing line value. Again,

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that's my goal to make sure I'm getting in where

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we're getting the best of it and trusting that long

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term we're going to turn a profit. But if you

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got buried again yesterday and you were on two days

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ago Green Bay, and you were on some of those

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bad beats, you got to understand that that's what's going

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to happen in a sixty minute game, and that's where

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risk management comes into play. That's where I bring these

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two together. As you're walking through the window as confident

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as you are, one side of you is going to

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be like, dude, I need to find any extra change

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on the ground because I love this game so much,

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I want to double up. But the other side of

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you has to read yourself that, dude, the ref makes

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a bad call, the coach makes a bad play call,

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anything could happen, and my good bet goes down the toilet.

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Speaker 4: And I always try to remind.

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Speaker 5: Myself of that because I'm one of those betters that

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does have some gamble in me. I'm not in this

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by accident. So I've been known to reach in my

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pocket two, three, four, five times when I should have stopped,

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probably after the third time. So I remind myself that

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I could do everything right. I could place a good

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bet at the right time, get the most closing line

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value where before the game even starts, I know mathematically

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I have the advantage, just like when you walk in

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the casino, they know mathematically they have the advantage. When

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you play slots, they have the advantage, and you play

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blackjack roulette, whatever it is. They know they have the advantage.

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Doesn't mean the house can't lose in any particular session,

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but they know they have the edge. That's the best feeling,

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and as a better you have that feeling as well

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if you're getting good losing line value and doing everything

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right managing your risk. But they can still go out

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there and disappoint you. And that's where the risk management

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comes in, so that even if you'd lose, it's just

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another bet you gotta get to. If you're using it

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as an investment, vehicle, sports betting, you got to get there.

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If you're using it for entertainment, then then you should

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smash your laptop, break the TV, do all that emotional

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shit and get it out of your system and move

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on to Monday night football. But again, if you're doing

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this for business, then got to approach it like a

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business and realize some days my business, I'm going to

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open it up and I'm going to have to pay employees, insurance,

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reant all that shit, and I'm just not going to

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make money. But Friday night, when I open up, I'm

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going to ten x twenty x my return.

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Speaker 4: So it's all good.

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Speaker 5: Business is business, it's all relative regardless the business.

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Speaker 4: But if you approach it like a business.

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Speaker 1: It'll pay.

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Speaker 5: Like one approach it like entertainment, it's going to cost you.

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I know, I'm a broken record, bro, but these tested

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like angles have have have survived the test of time.

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So I just try to repeat what I've learned from

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from those that actually are doing it for real.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, I mean it's a lot of this is just

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about the right systems in place.

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Speaker 2: And you'll tell you.

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Speaker 5: This is a man told me said this to me

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years ago and it never really clicked, and he said,

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if you're a winning sports better, then the name of

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the game for you is this is an exercise invariance.

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How much can you survive? Like what are you built for?

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Because that's what you're about to experience, like sports betting.

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If you're going to be a winning sports better, if

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this is the course of career you're choosing, then you're

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gonna have to face variants over and over and over again.

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And really understand what that word means, because no matter

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how profitable you could be, the goat you could be

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that the sharpest better of all time, very is going

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to test you. That will test you, and that's where again,

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risk management comes into play, and if you factor that

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out of the equation, then you're already ahead of the game.

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If you already know I'm going to bet this amount

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every single bet, regardless how I did yesterday, how I'm

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doing this week.

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Speaker 4: You're just fine. But if you're waking up every morning

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and deciding the bet size.

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Speaker 5: You're doing it wrong. You're doing it wrong, and you're

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probably over betting your edge. If every day you're picking

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a different bet size, that's the stuff you have to

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figure out so you don't when you have a bad

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day like yesterday. It's not crippling. It just pisses you

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off a little bit, rubs you wrong. You don't feel

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great like I do this morning, but you know you

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got a job to do it and today there's nothing

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but opportunity on the board.

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Speaker 1: Well let's talk about that. See if we got anything,

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it's not a huge college football card. So I guess

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let's start with the heavy hitters. We got the National

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Championship and we got the NFL opening lines. I know

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these games kind of hard to take a decent bet

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right when the lines open out, but are you seeing

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any movement in any of these games?

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Speaker 5: Here's what you're going to see. You're ready, Here's what

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you're gonna get. Money's going to come in on Indiana

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because power rated wise, Indiana should be a double digit

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favorite in this game because Miami is barely a top

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ten team. Again, you could get hot, we've seen it

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in all sports and they're winning football games. But power

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ratings or power ratings, they have no bias at all.

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And at the end of the day, Indiana should be

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about a double digit favorite over Miami. So I am confident,

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very confident that minus seven and a half minus eight.

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Speaker 2: Will not be there.

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Speaker 6: This will.

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Speaker 5: The question is will it get to ten and what

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it happens then at ten? Does it go through ten

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or is there some buyback at ten?

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Speaker 4: But rest are short.

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Speaker 5: The betting stinks are going to bet the favorite, then

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they're probably going to go over as well. Early in

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the week, And here's what you're going to be hearing

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between now and the nineteenth, because we have seven days.

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So by the end of this week, you're going to

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start hearing we're heavy on Team Ay. That's probably going

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to be Indiana because they're the favorite, and you're gonna

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hear every book crying and telling you we need Miami.

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We need Miami. If Miami wins, that would be a

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great outcome for the book. If Miami wins on the

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money line, that would be even a better outcome for

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the book.

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Speaker 6: That's where you're gonna keep.

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Speaker 5: Hearing over and over and over again, and we need

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a low scoring game.

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Speaker 4: By Monday. When this game kicks off, they're going to

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be right close to fifty to fifty.

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Speaker 5: Where as long as they don't get middled, the books

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are going to make a ton of money on this game,

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regardless of outcome, because the balance is going to come in.

300
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Most betters don't bet until two hours before kickoff.

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Speaker 4: That's the average.

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Speaker 5: Eighty percent of the money doesn't come in on the

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NFL Sunday until two hours.

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Speaker 4: And closer to kickoff, So the early.

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Speaker 5: Money is going to be the sharps and the wise

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guys score are going to get out ahead of the

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market and take Indiana at minus seven and a half

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in minus eight.

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Speaker 4: The question is what do they do when this gets

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the ten.

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Speaker 5: Is Indiana a legit position or they just taking advantage

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of the narrative which forced the book the odds makers

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to bring out a lower number than the power ratings.

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Reflect and then that's when you'll see the betting scent

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gets really speak. That's when we'll find out do they

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like Miami catching ten or do they really think this is,

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you know, a three touchdown blowout. But that's how I

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see this one breaking down. That you're going to see

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the early money on Indiana. It's almost guaranteed you're going

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to see the over money as.

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Speaker 4: Well, because that's what the bias is of the public.

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Speaker 5: But it won't we won't get any clear pictures until

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sometime next week. NFL Tonight, good two way action and

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no surprise, it's been like that for every single game

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so far. We've got four dogs right and what three overs,

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two unders. Coming into this NFL Wildcard round, here's what

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we were told that the under bet the under bet

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the under sixty percent of the time since two thousand

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and one Wildcard games have gone under. If it's the

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first meeting, its close to eighty percent of the time.

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That's all they kept pounding in our head under under under. Well,

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markets correct themselves, and the NFL's pretty efficient market, and

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that's exactly what it did. It corrected itself and we

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got the first game went over, the second game went over,

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the third game went over, the fourth game almost went

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over had the Eagles scored, and then we finally got

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it under. So it looked like they brought out these

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totals a little bit lower because of the narrative of

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that total.

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Speaker 4: And I think that's what we're looking at here. Under

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money came in.

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Speaker 6: Right.

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Speaker 5: You look at what the opening line, the total was

344
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about thirty nine and a half. Now it's down to

345
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thirty eight. Why because that's been the narrative in the

346
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wild card round. But be careful because again, markets do

347
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correct itself. Now, as far as the signed goes, three

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and a half was an opener, went to three, got

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to three and a half a couple times, but anytime

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we saw three and a half, it got picked off.

351
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So if the books are heavy on Houston, all they

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have to do is jacket up a half a point

353
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in another to get Pittsburgh money from the sharp betters.

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So that's what I'm gonna be paying attention to. What

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do they do with this three. Are they gonna keep

356
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it juiced towards Pittsburgh or is that going to change

357
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because right now that seems to be the side that's

358
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attracted the sharp money.

359
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Speaker 4: At three and a half and even the public money

360
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at three.

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Speaker 5: I see a little heavier on Pittsburgh, but nothing huge.

362
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And it was like that throughout this this entire Wildcard round,

363
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like no side had more than about fifty seven sixty

364
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percent of the money.

365
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Speaker 4: It was very, very balanced.

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Speaker 5: The only bet that really stood out was over in

367
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Buffalo Jacksonville like where the betters were just parlaying it

368
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with the over, teasing it with the over betting straight

369
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on the over. But every other side in total Andy

370
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,160
were very close to fifty to fifty, fifty five to

371
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forty five, where when you factor in the eleven to ten,

372
00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:01,319
there's really no advantage, Like the put themselves in a

373
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,759
good spot, and this late in the season, that's what

374
00:18:03,799 --> 00:18:08,079
you should get. Tight NFL lines where they're not gonna

375
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:14,240
move unless there's some significant injury or a significant narrative.

376
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And that's what we're gonna have to look at next week,

377
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like what happened this week and what's the narrative going

378
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:22,880
in the next week. Did a the Rams look weak

379
00:18:23,079 --> 00:18:25,119
or did they look like they overlooked Carolina?

380
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:26,160
Speaker 4: Did Chicago?

381
00:18:26,279 --> 00:18:28,160
Speaker 5: Were they the better team at home or did they

382
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,880
just get lucky against Green Bay like, those are the

383
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,880
questions we're gonna have to try to figure it out

384
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,519
between now and next week, and so far, I haven't

385
00:18:36,559 --> 00:18:38,440
seen much movement at all. The only thing I did

386
00:18:38,519 --> 00:18:42,599
see was a move towards Buffalo at pick them, but

387
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:45,079
then at one and a half I saw Denver money

388
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:48,880
come in, and that's about it. Every other line, I

389
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:53,599
haven't seen anything since the opener. And again Seattle seven

390
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:57,119
and a half like it opened seven took one limit bet,

391
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,160
but it's been seven and a.

392
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,519
Speaker 4: Half every since then everywhere else, So not much movement

393
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:02,880
at all all.

394
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,799
Speaker 1: Right, Well, before I let you go anything in college

395
00:19:04,839 --> 00:19:07,799
basketball in this limited slate, what.

396
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 4: Did I see in college basketball? Yeah?

397
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,920
Speaker 5: I did see North Carolina n C Central at minus one,

398
00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:13,720
minus one and.

399
00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 4: A half, that got bet. What else did they?

400
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,039
Speaker 5: They bet coppon State, copp and State at the money

401
00:19:19,079 --> 00:19:21,559
line and at minus one, so that I think that

402
00:19:21,599 --> 00:19:25,400
should have flipped favorites there. And then they're taking Delaware

403
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,039
State Delaware State.

404
00:19:27,079 --> 00:19:29,079
Speaker 4: Plus ten plus ten.

405
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:32,119
Speaker 5: That's right now actually coming off across my DMS, Delaware

406
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:36,640
State plus ten against Howard, And yeah, that's pretty much

407
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,759
it in college basketball. In the NBA, it's already gone,

408
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,839
probably someone not playing. They took all the points with

409
00:19:43,039 --> 00:19:46,359
Indiana against Boston that was like eight. Now it's at six.

410
00:19:46,759 --> 00:19:50,680
They went under Brooklyn Dallas at two twenty one. That

411
00:19:50,839 --> 00:19:53,559
number's gone as well, and they took the five and

412
00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:57,359
a half's out with Charlotte. But with the NBA, I've

413
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,640
been very, very selective, profitable in twenty twenty five twenty

414
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,960
twenty six season because I've been selective. But when it

415
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:06,759
comes to the NBA until the playoffs get here, it's

416
00:20:06,759 --> 00:20:09,680
gonna be a couple picks here and there with good results,

417
00:20:09,759 --> 00:20:12,039
but it just can't follow all the moves.

418
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I believe Jalen Brown is out in that game.

419
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,160
That's why you had that as well. So yeah, if

420
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:21,240
you did get the early number you got, you had

421
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:25,799
some inside info about the health and rest of mister

422
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,640
Jalen Brown at tonight. So uh yeah, come here for

423
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,559
the NFL playoffs and get your coppin state Delaware state.

424
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:36,119
You got free, Yohanny. What do you have up for

425
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:37,759
everyone on this Monday Yeah?

426
00:20:37,839 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 5: Right now, absolutely nothing but my long term stuff. I

427
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,559
am working on this Monday night football game. If I'm

428
00:20:45,559 --> 00:20:48,680
able to confirm it, I will fire Otherwise not.

429
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:50,039
Speaker 4: Gonna rush anything.

430
00:20:50,279 --> 00:20:52,519
Speaker 5: We've got a lot of time I had in twenty

431
00:20:52,559 --> 00:20:55,119
twenty six to do damage. Like I said, if our

432
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,759
goals are aligned for twenty twenty six, we're gonna do

433
00:20:57,920 --> 00:20:58,400
just fine.

434
00:20:58,720 --> 00:20:59,599
Speaker 4: So no rush.

435
00:20:59,759 --> 00:21:01,440
Speaker 5: But if you see a package off, that means I

436
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,119
got confirmation, so make sure you check back and tomorrow

437
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,480
for Tuesday, the steam sheet will be the finale of

438
00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:10,599
Tuesday package, so make sure you check that out because

439
00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:12,039
I don't have a lot of good stuff in it.

440
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,720
So best of luck this week, and again apologize for

441
00:21:15,839 --> 00:21:19,319
that terrible Sunday, but when in doubt, zoom out and

442
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:20,880
overall we're doing pretty damn good.

443
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:21,759
Speaker 4: So best of luck.

444
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:26,319
Speaker 2: Bounce back incoming for our man, Yanni. And that's that's

445
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,680
what going to Philadelphia will do to you, man. You

446
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,720
know I hate it was just the stink of the

447
00:21:31,759 --> 00:21:34,680
City of Brotherly Love rubbing off on our man Yanni.

448
00:21:34,799 --> 00:21:36,640
It's I'm I'm pissed off this morning.

449
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 3: Andy.

450
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:41,079
Speaker 2: I gotta throw some yes Philadelphia. You know that I

451
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,920
was having his back there. Bill Krackenberger is coming up,

452
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:47,039
and you know he always has some takes as well,

453
00:21:47,559 --> 00:21:49,799
looking forward to hearing what his thoughts were and how

454
00:21:49,839 --> 00:21:52,160
he did over wild Card weekend and how he's gonna

455
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,400
be betting in the NFL moving forward. But before that,

456
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:57,559
shout out to Seth. Best thing you ever could have done,

457
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,279
lose a three day pass to Andy. Yeah, because then

458
00:22:01,319 --> 00:22:04,079
he bounced right back with this run that you're on

459
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:04,519
right now.

460
00:22:04,559 --> 00:22:04,839
Speaker 7: Andy.

461
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:09,400
Speaker 2: Ten and three just a beautiful thing right now. Andy,

462
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,759
I think you're going for the trifecta tonight, are you not?

463
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,839
And then both can get that, or they could check

464
00:22:15,839 --> 00:22:17,440
out this fun deal that we're gonna have with you

465
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,559
and Joe Vernari. Who's gonna back up the end of

466
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:21,839
the show. But let folks know about how Sunday was

467
00:22:21,839 --> 00:22:23,680
for you, because as bad as it was for me,

468
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,440
you didn't have to watch your colts lose and you

469
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,279
were absolutely killing the books.

470
00:22:28,759 --> 00:22:32,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, so Seth on Friday show, shout out to Seth.

471
00:22:33,079 --> 00:22:36,039
Seth said, I'll bet you a three day pass. I'll

472
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:39,160
take Oregon plus three and a half. I get Indiana

473
00:22:39,279 --> 00:22:42,519
minus three and a half. Well, I know, Seth. At halftime,

474
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:44,559
I get a text and it's just a picture of

475
00:22:44,599 --> 00:22:47,119
the receipt of him buying the three day pass. It's like,

476
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:48,440
damn it, this one's over.

477
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,680
Speaker 2: You're trying to reverse with Jinks.

478
00:22:51,599 --> 00:22:54,640
Speaker 1: And then we go on this insane run. We hit

479
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,079
a five percent play in the NFL on Saturday, then

480
00:22:57,079 --> 00:23:00,000
we hit another five percent play in the NFL on Sunday,

481
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,200
and Seth is also cashing in like four percent cricket

482
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,599
plays overnight. I think it was a four percent NBA

483
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:08,599
play just the weekend of all weekends. So it was

484
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:13,039
the best loss that Seth has ever had.

485
00:23:13,079 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 2: So we had, Likeorry, Buddy, I'm sorry I embarrassed you

486
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,759
on air by having my Indiana completely smack you. But

487
00:23:19,799 --> 00:23:21,720
I'm just gonna go on this insane hot run. And

488
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:23,400
I think Andy tonight you got a five percent of

489
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,920
rocket as you're trying to go for the trifecta, right.

490
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, so you know when you're seeing the card, well

491
00:23:30,039 --> 00:23:32,880
that's when you you lean in, you know. We Yeah,

492
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,799
we pull back when we're not on a good run.

493
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,319
So you hit the five percent on Saturday, hit the

494
00:23:37,319 --> 00:23:39,759
five percent on Sunday, Yeah, we're coming right back to it.

495
00:23:40,319 --> 00:23:41,839
In fact, this was one of the games that we

496
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,839
felt we had the strongest reads on, so and we said, hey,

497
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,160
after Saturday's game, if we hit it, we're coming back

498
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:48,880
and trusting our read on Sunday. If we hit that,

499
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:51,119
we're coming back on Monday. So we're going for three

500
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:53,319
in a row. Join us. But I'll just tell everyone

501
00:23:53,319 --> 00:23:55,000
about the special right now, because you don't need to

502
00:23:55,039 --> 00:23:57,480
buy that one play because it's thirty five bucks. Joe

503
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,720
and I are running a special where you get both

504
00:23:59,759 --> 00:24:02,799
his plays and my plays for seven days for ninety

505
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,599
nine bucks. It's an absolutely smoking deal. Yeah, he and

506
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,680
I are going head to head. So, and the nice

507
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:11,559
thing about it, dan is Joe does money lines, spreads,

508
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:15,440
you know, totals. I do props. We have a tennis play,

509
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:17,799
we have cricket, we have other sports. So we're not

510
00:24:17,799 --> 00:24:20,880
gonna have any conflicting plays. We're not gonna have anything overlapping.

511
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:22,799
You're gonna get the best of both worlds. But when

512
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,720
Miami and Indiana collide the week leading up to it,

513
00:24:26,079 --> 00:24:29,000
we're gonna help build your bank roles. So ninety nine bucks, yeah,

514
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,680
ninety nine bucks, buy my plays and you get Joe's

515
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,119
for free. By Joe's plays, you get mine for free.

516
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,200
And we're starting off with a five percent play tonight.

517
00:24:37,319 --> 00:24:39,440
So Joe on board, and Joe's gonna join us a

518
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,480
little bit later to get our thoughts.

519
00:24:41,559 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 2: So I love that man. That'll be fun having Joe

520
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,519
back up them. We still got Bill Krackenberger, he's coming

521
00:24:47,599 --> 00:24:49,640
up now. And then Steve Merrill gonna get you some

522
00:24:49,759 --> 00:24:52,680
NBA plays and Andy has all around the world. We

523
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:54,759
had a question someone was asking, Hey, did you guys

524
00:24:54,839 --> 00:24:58,200
talk Steelers and Texans yet? We're gonna ask Joe his thoughts.

525
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:00,759
We're also gonna ask Steve and we'll be getting some

526
00:25:00,799 --> 00:25:03,119
thoughts on some Monday night football from a man, Bill

527
00:25:03,279 --> 00:25:06,119
crack Him Burger Bill crack Man in the house. That's

528
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,960
where you can follow him on Twitter. Bill, How was

529
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,200
a wild card weekend for you? Because, as you know

530
00:25:11,599 --> 00:25:14,319
this this this Philly guy's hurting a little bit this morning,

531
00:25:14,319 --> 00:25:16,279
and so is the bankroll. How did it go for you?

532
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 3: Brother?

533
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 8: I had overall another smashing week at Wagers Talk twenty

534
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:26,359
three and thirteen, you know, just to just really roll

535
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:29,599
them along here this this football season. Now, as far

536
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:33,240
as the games went, I only had one game that

537
00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:35,319
I give out, and I bet I bet Green Bay.

538
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 3: I bet that.

539
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,400
Speaker 8: One line was pick him, give him him out when

540
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:42,440
it was pick him And uh yeah, I'm kind of

541
00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:44,400
a heartbreaking loss there. You know, even though I had

542
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,440
the like I said, even though I had the good week,

543
00:25:46,759 --> 00:25:49,640
I had some heartbreaking losses. Josh Allen, I had him

544
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,759
over on his rushing yards. He took two knees at

545
00:25:52,759 --> 00:25:54,839
the end, that one, all of a sudden, that lost

546
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:58,240
Now after I was a winner, So uh, that was

547
00:25:58,279 --> 00:25:59,880
one of the props I had. But yeah, no, it

548
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:06,880
still it's a grind normally, but this year, this football

549
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,240
season has been more of than a grind. It's been

550
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:14,640
a cash machine. So basketball last week, college basketball is great.

551
00:26:14,839 --> 00:26:17,880
So I'm having a winning season now in college basketball,

552
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,440
and just with the NFL props things going on. You know,

553
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:25,079
I almost made a video yesterday Saturday, Saturday morning, I

554
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:27,119
almost made a video, like eight in the morning. I

555
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:31,000
was thinking about making a video to help people, but

556
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,799
most people are beyond help. Was the video is going

557
00:26:34,839 --> 00:26:38,640
to be? Guys, you don't have to bet all these sides.

558
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:42,240
There's three games today, two games tomorrow, a game Monday.

559
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,119
Speaker 3: You don't have to bet every game just because it's

560
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:45,559
on TV.

561
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,039
Speaker 8: And it's just so hard to help a lot of

562
00:26:49,039 --> 00:26:52,559
people because of that human condition. And listen, I'm not

563
00:26:52,599 --> 00:26:54,400
saying I mother Teresa, I've been there.

564
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 3: I've been there. I have absolutely been there.

565
00:26:58,039 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 8: I was at DJ in my younger days, my teens,

566
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,599
I thought I knew everything. You know, when I was

567
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,200
twenty twenty one, twenty three, I thought I knew everything.

568
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:11,039
It took me finding somebody shaking me and showing me

569
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,079
the way and how to beat sports books, how to

570
00:27:13,079 --> 00:27:15,440
get around. I wish I didn't get thrown out, how

571
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:17,200
to get to around of sports books, for winning, for

572
00:27:17,319 --> 00:27:21,599
using your brains, for playing smart. And that's exactly the

573
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,960
way I approach sports betting. Gianni says some great things

574
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:29,279
there which I can second. He's absolutely right. This is

575
00:27:29,319 --> 00:27:32,599
a business. This ain't fun for me. This ain't social

576
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,720
for me. It's the old Bronx tail thing. I don't

577
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,119
care about any player in the league. I have no

578
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,640
favorite team. See if you can't pay your rent through

579
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,200
your MORTGAGEE if they'll pay your mortgage. No, they don't

580
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,240
care about you. Why do you care about them? I'm

581
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:49,680
a broken record. I'm sorry, but this is absolutely a business,

582
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,359
uh to me, and UH it's been it's it's been

583
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,440
a great business. It's been a great business. I'm talking

584
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:58,279
about the sports betting side. It's been a great business

585
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:02,440
for me. My life is very good. From beating bookmakers,

586
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:07,480
beating casinos. You know, it's I'm doing this thirty some

587
00:28:07,599 --> 00:28:09,680
near thirty years now, and I've worked for the sharpest

588
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:12,839
syndicates in the world, the sharpest sports betting syndicates that is.

589
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,559
And we you know, there's no sixty eight percent plays

590
00:28:17,559 --> 00:28:21,400
and locks and seventy five percent that that's not the

591
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:22,119
way we work.

592
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 3: As you guys see that follow me.

593
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:28,039
Speaker 8: Thank you for the guys that are watching that do

594
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:31,279
follow me and have been along with me on the

595
00:28:31,279 --> 00:28:33,440
picks at wager talk. You see what you see what's

596
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,559
happening now, you see it is a long term game.

597
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:41,200
Like Giohnny says, you're getting closing line value, You're getting,

598
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,119
you know, the sharp sides of the place from basically

599
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,759
you know, I still deal with I think I deal

600
00:28:48,759 --> 00:28:52,640
with two of the sharpest syndicates ever. And you're getting

601
00:28:52,759 --> 00:28:54,720
you're getting the place, You're getting the place. I have

602
00:28:54,799 --> 00:28:58,119
guys that work for me that read socials. They find

603
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,720
out more things from Beat Report than anything. So if

604
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:05,720
you know the right Beat reporters to follow, you know

605
00:29:05,759 --> 00:29:07,799
the right I'm referrn to college basketball, right now with

606
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:11,279
the injuries, you know, who's playing so much time, who's

607
00:29:11,319 --> 00:29:13,640
not playing a team? Is playing for this or not

608
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,000
playing for that. There's a lot of situations that, you know,

609
00:29:17,039 --> 00:29:20,400
people say to me, you know, hey, Bill, why do

610
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:21,160
you sell picks?

611
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 3: Well?

612
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 8: Why do I sell picks? Well, let me just tell you.

613
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:27,440
First off, I love beating book makers. I love you

614
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,359
guys beating bookmakers because I hate them. I hate most

615
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:33,920
of them, really I do. They cry like little bitches

616
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:37,359
when they lose. They everyone's supposed to be a sucker.

617
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,920
Everyone's supposed to be a loser. So when you win,

618
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:44,480
they say, oh my god, this guy's winning here. What's

619
00:29:44,519 --> 00:29:46,759
he doing. He must be doing something wrong, he must

620
00:29:46,839 --> 00:29:49,319
be cheating past posting.

621
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:50,319
Speaker 3: No, no, no.

622
00:29:51,079 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 8: Our information, if you're with me, Bill Krackenberger, is better

623
00:29:56,039 --> 00:29:59,400
than the bookmaker's information. I have been thrown out of

624
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:04,200
casinos and you walked out the door because the line maker,

625
00:30:04,319 --> 00:30:06,319
the guy that runs the place, has told me that

626
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:11,640
multiple times. It's amazing. I'm going by stations. I'm in

627
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,960
palace station. One day, I bet plus seventeen on a

628
00:30:15,079 --> 00:30:18,359
college football game. I think it was army game. I'm

629
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,079
not positive the game. It went to fourteen and a

630
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:23,880
half in five minutes. They came over and said, hey,

631
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:25,920
we need that ticket or rest of You're not allowed

632
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:27,839
to bet with us no more. I said, why, Well,

633
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,640
the quarterback was out and you probably knew, and you

634
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:32,799
know we don't like that. Well, what about the guys

635
00:30:32,799 --> 00:30:34,960
that laid the seventeen? Do they get their money back

636
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:39,599
to I'm like, I just can't stand Stations what they

637
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,039
did to me. I can't stand Caesars, what they did

638
00:30:42,119 --> 00:30:43,839
to me, throw me out for use of my brain.

639
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,359
Treasure Island is just for just walking in. If you

640
00:30:47,359 --> 00:30:50,400
have a pulse, if you slip your arm, your finger

641
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:52,480
and you bleed red, they don't want you to building.

642
00:30:52,519 --> 00:30:54,839
Oh my god, this guy bleeds red. Get him out

643
00:30:54,839 --> 00:30:55,079
of here.

644
00:30:55,240 --> 00:31:00,559
Speaker 3: No, and these casinos treat you like a sucker. Local guys.

645
00:31:00,839 --> 00:31:03,799
Speaker 8: I had local guys that were people have lost money

646
00:31:03,799 --> 00:31:06,279
to them lifetime, and they went on a little roll

647
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,400
to get their money back. Following me and they're like, Bill,

648
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,359
do you believe this guy threw me out? I won

649
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,920
back eight grand of the thirty thousand I lost in

650
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,440
the last two years. Like, you know, everyone's supposed to

651
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,039
be a sucker. Everyone's supposed to be a loser. And

652
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,000
I remember I was dealing with a guy one time

653
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,599
and he got me some accounts to play in. This

654
00:31:26,759 --> 00:31:28,960
was years ago, and he's like, Billy, my guys are

655
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,799
the best. They're great, and sure enough, we want a

656
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:33,880
large amount of money from the six guys. This guy

657
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,480
owned multiple car dealerships, so he's a he's a big,

658
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,839
a big better. And we won back a lot of money.

659
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:41,720
I'm not gonna say the amount. I was going to

660
00:31:41,759 --> 00:31:44,200
say the mult but it's just a lot of money.

661
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,960
And he comes to me and says, Bill, we can't

662
00:31:49,039 --> 00:31:52,440
do this no more. These are my friends. I played

663
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:54,559
golf with these guys and they're really mad that we

664
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:56,680
won so much. It's like it's like a six weeks

665
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:58,480
in a row, seven weeks in a row.

666
00:31:58,799 --> 00:32:01,039
Speaker 3: I said to him, they're your friends. Are you gonna

667
00:32:01,039 --> 00:32:01,799
be your mind?

668
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,839
Speaker 8: They're your friends, only your friends, because you're there, you're

669
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,759
losing money to them. And you see, but someone in

670
00:32:08,839 --> 00:32:11,640
that that has that kind of money a multimillionaire. Of course,

671
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:15,960
he was, you owt like a dozen uh dealerships like that.

672
00:32:16,799 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 3: He just wants to be social. If you want to

673
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:20,319
be social and just give.

674
00:32:20,119 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 8: Your bookmaker and your man money just to hang out

675
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:24,440
with him and play golf.

676
00:32:24,839 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 3: Give me a break. They're not your friends. They're your

677
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:29,119
deadly enemy. Just like war.

678
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:32,079
Speaker 8: It's like a ball of restricter and a mongoose, absolutely

679
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,240
absolute thermo fucking war.

680
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 3: It got me curshing now.

681
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,039
Speaker 2: I mean, I love it. That's that's the energy that

682
00:32:39,079 --> 00:32:41,960
I needed this morning. I'll I'll be real with you, Bill,

683
00:32:42,039 --> 00:32:44,000
because like I said, it was, it was a tough

684
00:32:44,039 --> 00:32:46,759
weekend from the betting front, even tougher. You know when

685
00:32:46,799 --> 00:32:52,640
your team loses and uh and you don't have to yeah,

686
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:56,240
and and I don't know what what Eagles fans were thinking,

687
00:32:56,359 --> 00:32:58,920
like hitting themselves into thinking, oh, this offense is just

688
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,079
magically gonna wake up. The way that they lost that

689
00:33:01,119 --> 00:33:03,920
game build was how they've been losing games all this year.

690
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:06,279
So you know, we're not like a Monday morning quarterback

691
00:33:06,599 --> 00:33:08,599
kind of show. You know, we're a betting show. But

692
00:33:09,079 --> 00:33:11,640
you know, we were trying to kid ourselves into thinking

693
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,000
that this Eagles team would just wake up because it's

694
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,200
what they've done other years. Tying into that though, Bill,

695
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:20,279
before we get your NBA player prop, let folks know

696
00:33:20,319 --> 00:33:22,400
what you got rocking over at your page wt do

697
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:23,880
buzz slash crack.

698
00:33:24,279 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 9: Uh.

699
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 2: This this this window here as we head on into

700
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,720
the divisional round, how do you attack it? Are you

701
00:33:32,039 --> 00:33:34,319
looking how this is lining up? Seeing what we learned

702
00:33:34,319 --> 00:33:37,839
on Monday? And you're you thinking any like Super Bowl exactas?

703
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,759
Are you just going game by game? How do you

704
00:33:40,839 --> 00:33:43,559
move forward as we move forward through these playoffs in

705
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,319
a year that really feels wide open, how are you

706
00:33:46,359 --> 00:33:49,599
looking to attack the card outside of obviously what we're

707
00:33:49,599 --> 00:33:51,920
getting from the syndicates, what we're getting from the sharp action.

708
00:33:52,759 --> 00:33:55,359
Speaker 8: Listen, this is the most efficient line in the world.

709
00:33:55,799 --> 00:33:59,359
You guys want to all, but you're actually right. You

710
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,599
know this, it's not really what I do. I did

711
00:34:01,599 --> 00:34:05,000
have the Green Bay pick them, but I overcame that

712
00:34:05,079 --> 00:34:09,639
by having a monthster Week and other areas, and I

713
00:34:09,679 --> 00:34:11,760
haven't really even looked at the sides here. I've seen

714
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,239
Buffalo as a pick them, I've seen a little bit

715
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,719
of action on that and still pick them over at

716
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,480
circa though very sharp sports book. You know, it's funny.

717
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:23,519
This is how this goes to show you. So you

718
00:34:23,519 --> 00:34:25,400
look at the line, you look at the screen. I

719
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,559
look at my Odds Logic screen. I see pick them

720
00:34:27,599 --> 00:34:31,079
minus a dollar ten at Circa. Well, guess what Pinnacle

721
00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:35,199
has plus a dollar ten. On the other way, it's

722
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,880
an absolute even scalp. You can lay a dollar ten

723
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,480
take it off in two different sharp sports books. That

724
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:44,760
shows you what's going on early in this market. There's

725
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:50,880
no locks and no NFL sides. I'll look at player

726
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,760
props like I always do. We look to to destroy

727
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,039
the sports books on player props like we always do.

728
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:59,239
That's the way I'm going to attack this weekend. I

729
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,840
may have a first I've done very well in first

730
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:07,079
half totals lifetime in this year, but it's situational depending

731
00:35:07,119 --> 00:35:09,039
on what the line goes through key numbers. You know,

732
00:35:09,079 --> 00:35:13,119
there's key numbers on first half totals twenty twenty three,

733
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:16,159
twenty four. So if the market because it goes out

734
00:35:16,159 --> 00:35:19,480
of whack because of the public, that will you know.

735
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,559
Speaker 3: The public's funny. They can win both ways.

736
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:24,880
Speaker 8: I tell you, guys, I interview one of the largest

737
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,519
sports books in the world. I interviewed the director of

738
00:35:27,639 --> 00:35:31,199
risk so we don't get on air on my Fox

739
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,599
show till Sunday morning.

740
00:35:33,519 --> 00:35:35,280
Speaker 3: And when I interviewed them, I.

741
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,360
Speaker 8: Said, Wow, you guys had to get you guys had

742
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:41,360
to destroy it yesterday because everyone had the RAM.

743
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,280
Speaker 3: I was in a sportsbook in town.

744
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,760
Speaker 8: I had some friends in town, so I was amongst

745
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:51,039
the locals and mixed in with some tourists, and I

746
00:35:51,199 --> 00:35:54,000
just seen people with Rams jerseys. Everyone's screaming and yelling

747
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,360
when the Rams did anything, when Carolina scored or did

748
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,239
something positive, the place was silent, and it was like, Wow,

749
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:04,559
this is one way. And you know, everyone throws the

750
00:36:04,639 --> 00:36:06,960
Rams and oh, this is easy. They're gonna they're going

751
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:09,719
to destroy them because they they want revenge from the

752
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,480
first game, and let's just throw them in the money line, parlay.

753
00:36:12,599 --> 00:36:14,119
They're lucky, they got lucky. If you had them in

754
00:36:14,119 --> 00:36:16,760
the money line, you're not lucky lucky, you actually won.

755
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:20,360
But the point is, I thought the books killed it.

756
00:36:21,079 --> 00:36:25,239
Their book didn't kill it, and I knew why when

757
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:27,119
he's immediately when he said it, before he said it.

758
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:30,639
So I'm looking on their live their live line. They

759
00:36:30,639 --> 00:36:34,079
had plus twelve to one at one point for the Bears.

760
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,840
They had plus ten to one for a very long

761
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:39,039
time money line, so I guess it was twenty one

762
00:36:39,039 --> 00:36:44,679
to three. Situational so betters knowing, you know, even the

763
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,679
public knowing, Wow, this Bear team, they've come back, you know,

764
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:50,320
seven times this year. We got to throw a hundred

765
00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,079
bucks to win twelve hundred dollars, or one hundred dollars

766
00:36:52,119 --> 00:36:54,599
to win one thousand dollars, or fifty bucks to win

767
00:36:54,639 --> 00:37:00,000
five hundred in on volume wise cumulatively, the book got

768
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:02,639
killed on that bet. I was like, wow, I didn't

769
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:05,159
know that that actually happened, But I did see that

770
00:37:05,199 --> 00:37:07,840
you guys were hanging plus ten to one when the

771
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,159
market was plus eighth to one. I did see that

772
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:13,880
they lost so much money from the public betting that

773
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,199
it actually surprised me. The public was sharp enough to

774
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:21,119
take the money line underdog, and the book actually like

775
00:37:21,159 --> 00:37:25,079
broke even to the game where other books around town destroyed.

776
00:37:25,079 --> 00:37:26,719
Speaker 3: It absolutely destroyed it.

777
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 8: You know, these Tonight's games like a fifty to fifty game,

778
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:35,159
Like Johnny said, either way, but the key thing is

779
00:37:36,159 --> 00:37:39,440
the public really hasn't even come in yet, so they

780
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,960
bet the games a couple hours before game time, or

781
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:47,719
better yet, five minutes before game time. When that's when

782
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:51,079
the public bets, they're betting into the most efficient market

783
00:37:51,159 --> 00:37:53,519
in the world. You're better off flipping a coin just

784
00:37:53,519 --> 00:37:57,400
flip a coin heads, Houston, Tails, Pittsburgh. That's all I

785
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:01,559
can tell you. I'll have a on the game, and

786
00:38:01,599 --> 00:38:03,719
I have nothing to give you guys right now, nothing

787
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,800
in the NBA, nothing to give, no freebies out right now.

788
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:08,760
Speaker 3: I apologize, but yeah.

789
00:38:08,599 --> 00:38:10,920
Speaker 2: It's one of those days. It kind of seems like,

790
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,519
you know, you heard Yanni. They hadn't really fired on anything.

791
00:38:13,559 --> 00:38:16,039
He had a college basketball or something here or there.

792
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,280
But yeah, weird with that Brown injury too, or not

793
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,239
the injury, but the announcement he's gonna be out. You

794
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,400
see that Pacers line move. So it does kind of

795
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,760
feel like a day where where not much is being fired.

796
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,920
So no player prop from our man crack today, but

797
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:33,159
he may have one posted over his page wt Dot

798
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:37,760
Buzz Backslash crack Man and Bill. As we move forward

799
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:40,199
through the end of this year, Man, you've got to

800
00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:42,559
be pretty pumped up for wrapping up this playoffs. It's

801
00:38:42,639 --> 00:38:45,199
it's props central, right, I mean, that's that's what was

802
00:38:45,199 --> 00:38:47,599
going on, So people should expect props heading over to

803
00:38:47,599 --> 00:38:48,159
your page.

804
00:38:48,679 --> 00:38:52,719
Speaker 8: I've been saying right in this space for months, guys,

805
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,760
get with me for the props, get lock me up

806
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:57,599
till the end till till the end of the Super Bowl.

807
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:02,400
All I can tell you is like, uh, there's no

808
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,119
other words to say. I'm not a really good self promoter.

809
00:39:05,559 --> 00:39:07,840
But if you have an allergy to money, then I

810
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:09,440
understand you probably wouldn't.

811
00:39:09,079 --> 00:39:09,800
Speaker 3: Want to hang around me.

812
00:39:10,079 --> 00:39:13,559
Speaker 8: But if you like money, you like Betty Player props,

813
00:39:13,599 --> 00:39:18,039
you like terrorizing books and book makers, get on board

814
00:39:18,119 --> 00:39:18,519
right now.

815
00:39:19,599 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 2: Love it. That's Bill, Crack him Burger. You can check

816
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,480
him out. He's recording K I V and Crack right

817
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:28,599
following this, so big thanks to Bill. Best of luck

818
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:31,679
to him moving forward there. And yeah, Andy, maybe maybe

819
00:39:31,679 --> 00:39:33,599
I should have asked at the top, hey do you

820
00:39:33,599 --> 00:39:36,840
have an NBA prop? Because the comments were saying I

821
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,480
was keep my eyes over here and they're like NBA prop,

822
00:39:39,639 --> 00:39:42,280
NBA prop coming up. And then if you listen, if

823
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:45,960
you use your brain, Andy, I heard no NBA prop,

824
00:39:46,119 --> 00:39:50,280
So so don't worry. Andy had some free plays coming up,

825
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:52,159
and the great Steve merrill Is is coming.

826
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,559
Speaker 1: Let's do uh, let's do all around right now, let's

827
00:39:54,599 --> 00:39:56,920
do some love. We got we got some props in there,

828
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:58,280
and he's got your back.

829
00:39:58,559 --> 00:39:59,639
Speaker 2: Here's some problems for you.

830
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 1: We have tons of props. By the way, like Andrew

831
00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:06,039
and I did did the show breaking Down Monday Night Football,

832
00:40:06,079 --> 00:40:07,960
the prop line that is out, there's the same game

833
00:40:08,039 --> 00:40:10,039
parlay and then there's tons of props in the NBA

834
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:13,000
and ANHL, So you got a lot, all right, Steelers Texans.

835
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,360
I just love this, Dan. I'm liking this more and

836
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,079
more of this. Aaron Rodgers over half yard rushing. Hey,

837
00:40:19,159 --> 00:40:22,440
it's the playoffs, he's not it's throw caution the way.

838
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,119
It could be his last game ever, and he's had

839
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,840
nine six and twenty in his last three games. This

840
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:32,119
is one play, Dan, where Hunter and Anderson come off

841
00:40:32,159 --> 00:40:34,760
the edge, up the middle whatever, flush Aaron Rodgers out

842
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:38,599
and it's just really slow like, but he gets there

843
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:42,039
somehow and he gets over this total. It's just one run.

844
00:40:42,199 --> 00:40:45,920
So fall forward, air and cash this one. This was

845
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,519
a four percent client best bet on Jay Huff under

846
00:40:48,559 --> 00:40:50,840
five and a half rebounds and assists. Our line was

847
00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:52,440
six and a half the other day. They've lowered it

848
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,239
to five and a half today. I still think you

849
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:56,840
can play it. This is the pacer center who's he

850
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:58,840
just doesn't do much when he's out there. He's gone

851
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,199
under and seven out of his last state games, one

852
00:41:01,199 --> 00:41:05,079
point six potential assists the last five games, he's averaging

853
00:41:05,119 --> 00:41:08,440
ten rebound chances and he's only grabbing four rebounds. That's

854
00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:12,639
awful for a center. This guy's a center, so he's

855
00:41:12,679 --> 00:41:15,280
just not that great. You can take his under And

856
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,199
then this comes off the free picks page at wager

857
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:20,280
Talk Oilers of Blackhawks. The first period over one and

858
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,119
a half. The Oilers are over and four out of

859
00:41:22,119 --> 00:41:24,840
the last five Blackhawks over in eight of their last

860
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:28,079
nine first periods. That comes from Buster Over at the

861
00:41:28,079 --> 00:41:32,320
wager Talk Free picks page. There's some free play. Now,

862
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:34,920
let's bring Sandale and get some yes.

863
00:41:35,519 --> 00:41:37,639
Speaker 2: One quick thing before we bring in Steve as you

864
00:41:37,679 --> 00:41:39,760
were talking there, because that Aaron Rodgers. It's just like

865
00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:42,599
a perfect like a half yard, you know what I mean.

866
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:47,519
So I went back one. He's had twenty two starts

867
00:41:47,559 --> 00:41:52,039
in the playoffs, ass has Aaron Rodgers. This play has

868
00:41:52,119 --> 00:41:57,199
cashed in twenty of them, twenty two going.

869
00:41:57,199 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: To be a client play. This has got to be

870
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:00,760
a client play. It's too perfect.

871
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,440
Speaker 2: It's just pretty insane. Actually, if you look, I'm looking

872
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:07,920
on Pro Football Reference and one of those uh, there

873
00:42:08,039 --> 00:42:11,400
was not a snap you technically got into the game

874
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:14,000
because he kneeled down towards the end, and that was

875
00:42:14,079 --> 00:42:16,639
way back in what is that two thousand and eight?

876
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:21,639
Uh So it's actually twenty one technically games that he

877
00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:24,079
played and that cast, and twenty of them we got

878
00:42:24,079 --> 00:42:26,960
to go a half yard? Just needs a half who

879
00:42:27,039 --> 00:42:30,519
always goes over a half yard. That's Steve Merrill. He

880
00:42:30,559 --> 00:42:33,159
always goes the full nine yards or ten yards? What's

881
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:35,920
what's the saying? All I know is happy to have

882
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,159
you here, Steve. How's it going on Monday? How is

883
00:42:38,199 --> 00:42:38,679
your weekend?

884
00:42:38,679 --> 00:42:38,800
Speaker 3: Bro?

885
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:40,639
Speaker 6: It was it the whole nine yards?

886
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:41,039
Speaker 3: Yeah?

887
00:42:41,639 --> 00:42:44,199
Speaker 6: A yard short? You lose a playoff game like Jacksonville,

888
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:49,199
And I don't switch the NFL? Who nine yards because

889
00:42:49,199 --> 00:42:49,960
of that nine yards?

890
00:42:50,039 --> 00:42:50,280
Speaker 3: Dade?

891
00:42:50,559 --> 00:42:55,159
Speaker 2: Yeah? By bringing your Eagles, I think, no, no Eagles talk.

892
00:42:55,199 --> 00:42:58,000
I think it's assuming the whole nine yards is assuming

893
00:42:58,039 --> 00:43:00,360
they have a push push play ready to go. So

894
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,519
that's why you only have to go the full nine yards.

895
00:43:02,599 --> 00:43:04,280
Speaker 6: You can only one who, I mean, I know the

896
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:06,199
worst person on earth andy to ask this, So I'll

897
00:43:06,199 --> 00:43:08,480
ask you. But how is what Buffalo did at like

898
00:43:08,679 --> 00:43:11,440
on the ten yard line there possibly legal nowadays in

899
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,039
the NFL, and I mean it's all started because of

900
00:43:14,119 --> 00:43:14,880
Dan Alexander.

901
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:17,639
Speaker 1: But it is legal. There's no rule against.

902
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 6: When I was a kid, when I was growing up,

903
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,039
you couldn't carry a running back or whatever and advance

904
00:43:23,079 --> 00:43:24,000
them or a quarterback.

905
00:43:24,559 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 1: Yess you can.

906
00:43:25,639 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 3: You can.

907
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:28,159
Speaker 6: I don't think you could. Even I was wondering about

908
00:43:28,159 --> 00:43:29,360
this too. I don't think you could do that in

909
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,440
high school. Still, it's probably a safety issue. The rules

910
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:33,599
are always different, you know, like you're down when your contact.

911
00:43:33,679 --> 00:43:34,239
Speaker 3: You know you need.

912
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:35,360
Speaker 1: College high school.

913
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,840
Speaker 6: But I'm saying like, I don't think we could do that,

914
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:40,199
And I don't know in the NFL you could do

915
00:43:40,199 --> 00:43:42,360
that twenty years ago either. I think that's been changed.

916
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,199
If it looks weird, If it looks weird to me,

917
00:43:46,199 --> 00:43:46,920
it's a violation.

918
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:51,159
Speaker 2: Why why would you not just get like correct and

919
00:43:51,199 --> 00:43:53,320
I know where you're going to be, I know, I

920
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,440
want to be politically correct. Why would you not just

921
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:59,119
get someone of diminutive stature and have them be the

922
00:43:59,119 --> 00:44:02,760
ball holder, pick them up and carry them. Man, you

923
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:06,000
have one person on roster who is like a horn

924
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:09,039
swaggle individual, let's put it that way, and you have

925
00:44:09,159 --> 00:44:10,760
him carry the ball. You pick him up and you

926
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:14,239
run him for it. That'd be a hell of a play.

927
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:17,280
Speaker 6: The original refrigerator pair, you put him in the refrigerator,

928
00:44:18,119 --> 00:44:19,960
put him in the refrigerator.

929
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 2: The college dorm room refrigerator pair.

930
00:44:23,199 --> 00:44:23,400
Speaker 3: Yeah.

931
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:25,280
Speaker 6: No, Hey, Andy, you're onto something. Because I asked a

932
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:27,800
Major League Baseball umpire this question one time a few

933
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,320
years ago. I go, because I love these ideas, like

934
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:33,000
I go, you've been bring Pete grayback? Whoever the four

935
00:44:33,039 --> 00:44:34,679
foot kui was for this? And no, it was a

936
00:44:35,079 --> 00:44:37,280
you know, the Saint Louis Browns in nineteen forty, you know,

937
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,480
and they walked him. Dead serious about this. I've said

938
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:43,000
this for decades on radio shows, and the umpire squashed

939
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:44,239
it down. I'll tell you why. But I was like,

940
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:45,880
in come the playoffs. You put one guy in your

941
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:49,039
MLB roster. That's like, MANI me the shortest human being

942
00:44:49,039 --> 00:44:51,920
you can find. If you get bases loaded, like you know,

943
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:55,519
the world said extra innings, you pinch hit him. And

944
00:44:55,599 --> 00:44:57,840
this umpire told me i'd be dead serious. He did

945
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,440
two World Series thirty years. He goes, they could still

946
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,480
throw a strike to him. They're that good. I don't know.

947
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:06,079
I don't buy that. And you maybe think of the

948
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,039
five hundred pound sumo wrestler and goalie for NHL games.

949
00:45:09,039 --> 00:45:11,800
Speaker 2: You just get him on spot by not put him

950
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:14,960
into goalie. Put it and pease asking did anyone have

951
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,880
the Chargers last night? If there was a team who

952
00:45:18,159 --> 00:45:21,360
lost and didn't cover, I was probably on him. So yes,

953
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:23,639
I had the Chargers last night. That's that's how my

954
00:45:23,679 --> 00:45:26,280
weekend went. I don't think that was a bad beat

955
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,239
for anybody. That was like the one game in which

956
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,599
probably a team did not deserve because the other games.

957
00:45:30,679 --> 00:45:33,400
Did you see that stat last night before the Chargers game?

958
00:45:33,599 --> 00:45:35,880
For NFL playoff games, we'd already had more fourth quarter

959
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:39,119
lead changes than any postseason in history with insane I

960
00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:41,000
had to look at that five times and make sure

961
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,079
I was reading it right. I was only hoping they

962
00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:45,599
would have had at least one more lead change and

963
00:45:45,639 --> 00:45:47,960
that was in the Philadelphia Eagles game. But unfortunately that

964
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,480
that that didn't happen. So Steve, we need a little

965
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:54,119
palette cleanser. Let's talk a little NBA. We will get

966
00:45:54,159 --> 00:45:56,039
your thoughts before we head on. I know you have

967
00:45:56,039 --> 00:45:58,480
a bit a show up right now on the channel

968
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,960
on this Texans and Steelers game. We haven't touched much

969
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:04,159
about it, so we'll touch upon that. But first NBA action,

970
00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:06,159
we got a double header for you. I'll just let

971
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,320
you off the lea shy and we'll let you break

972
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:09,639
down both of them. Here, Steve.

973
00:46:11,599 --> 00:46:13,880
Speaker 6: A small NBA card and I like five or six games.

974
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,880
We do have a national TV game on Peacock Peacock

975
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:20,880
Boston and Indiana, and we also have another Eastern Conference

976
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:22,960
matchup between Philly and Toronto. And on paper, both of

977
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:24,480
these look like great games. So did you dig a

978
00:46:24,519 --> 00:46:27,360
little deeper? And hey, it's early January, load management, injuries,

979
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:28,880
and we have a lot of uncertainty of both games.

980
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:30,960
Let's see if we can find an edge. We'll start

981
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,039
with the national TV game at seven forty Eastern on

982
00:46:33,119 --> 00:46:36,400
Peacock Network, Boston at Indiana. Don't look now. The Indiana

983
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:39,639
Pacers have won back to back games after thirteen straight losses,

984
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:42,119
after a couple of weeks in which Carlo going to

985
00:46:42,159 --> 00:46:44,119
get his one thousands win, they finally do it. And then,

986
00:46:44,119 --> 00:46:46,280
as teams often do, when that knife bottoms, when you

987
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,519
don't have to catch that fall of knife anymore, the

988
00:46:48,559 --> 00:46:52,239
bottoming process has occurred, they back off another win in fact,

989
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,599
they had lost thirteen straight, but if you dug deeper,

990
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:58,480
three of their final five losses they had covered the spread,

991
00:46:58,519 --> 00:46:59,840
so it did look like they were trying to turn

992
00:46:59,880 --> 00:47:03,239
the corner. They wonted Charlotte as a five point dog, obviously,

993
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:05,800
nothing crazy about that, and then they beat Miami at

994
00:47:05,800 --> 00:47:09,079
home as a six point dog on Saturday. So back

995
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:11,880
to back straight up dog wins. Yesterir in decent current form,

996
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:14,159
defense starting to play a little bit better. They've gone

997
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,039
under and five of their last six, and Jalen Brown

998
00:47:17,159 --> 00:47:19,119
is doubtful for the Celtics, and that's one of the

999
00:47:19,119 --> 00:47:21,280
reasons we seen this line crash down from an opener

1000
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:23,719
of nine down to five and a half for six.

1001
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:26,599
I'm gonna fade the injury though, I'm gonna fade the

1002
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,280
hotter Indiana team, and I'm gonna look at Boston in

1003
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,000
this game. We talk about this all the time, you know,

1004
00:47:31,079 --> 00:47:33,880
last week here on Monday, gave out two free plays

1005
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:37,119
on wager Talk today and both rebucking the injury trend,

1006
00:47:37,159 --> 00:47:39,400
and we went two and zero with them Denver Nuggets

1007
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:41,760
without half their starting lineup. The line went from nine

1008
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:44,519
to twelve to fifteen to seventeen, they won outright, and

1009
00:47:44,559 --> 00:47:47,039
then the LA Clippers were plus one harding was announced

1010
00:47:47,039 --> 00:47:48,719
out after I did the video went to three. They

1011
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,239
won outright. So once again, if you just blindly play

1012
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,960
these shorthanded teams, it's amazing you get adjusted line value.

1013
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,400
Indiana is still one of the worst offensive teams in

1014
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:58,440
the league. In fact, that the second worst offensive team

1015
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:02,199
in efficiency out of all thirty in with al Jalen Brown. Yes,

1016
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:04,480
the Boston offense will take a hit. He's their leading scorer,

1017
00:48:04,639 --> 00:48:06,519
but other guys can step up. We see that all

1018
00:48:06,559 --> 00:48:08,880
the time in the NBA. I'd actually lean towards the

1019
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:10,880
Celtics minus the five and a half to minus six

1020
00:48:11,199 --> 00:48:13,639
as we fade the Pacers off back to back straight

1021
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:15,599
up dog wins and oh, by the way, Boston coming

1022
00:48:15,639 --> 00:48:18,960
in here awful loss against San Antonio. Also lost in

1023
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,719
Denver a couple games back. Big step down in class

1024
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:23,920
here for the Celtics. They're short handed, but as we

1025
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:27,480
see NBA teams normally step up in that role. All right,

1026
00:48:27,519 --> 00:48:29,400
we'll go to the other game here also at seven

1027
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:32,719
to forty Eastern Philadelphia at Toronto. This line hasn't moved much.

1028
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:34,920
Philly open three. It's now three and a half road

1029
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:38,039
favorite totals held steady a little bit lower from the

1030
00:48:38,039 --> 00:48:39,599
opener of two twenty two and a half down to

1031
00:48:39,599 --> 00:48:42,360
two twenty one. And here again we do have some

1032
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,840
injury information popping up mid afternoon. A couple guys are

1033
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:48,880
questionable well for both teams are questionable. Of course, we

1034
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:52,559
know MBAT always battling injuries. For Philadelphia, Paul George is

1035
00:48:52,679 --> 00:48:55,400
questionable with the knee. He's the fourth leading scorer about

1036
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:59,079
sixteen points a game this season. But Toronto brandom Ingram

1037
00:48:59,159 --> 00:49:03,199
Thumb questionable play RJ. Barrett Ankle questionable to play to

1038
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:06,199
the better players for Toronto. So a lot of uncertainty

1039
00:49:06,199 --> 00:49:08,639
in this game. Total has dropped a bit. But as

1040
00:49:08,679 --> 00:49:11,239
I always say, all the backups in the NBA can

1041
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,119
score in their sleep and when they get a chance

1042
00:49:13,159 --> 00:49:15,559
to shine and use against more offense less defense. I

1043
00:49:15,679 --> 00:49:17,639
look for maybe a little bit of a playground atmosphere

1044
00:49:17,639 --> 00:49:19,519
in this game. If both teams are shorttheaded as they

1045
00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:22,079
might be, take a look at over two twenty one,

1046
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:24,400
even a two twenty and a half now available at

1047
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,719
circa as this line continues to drop, but I think

1048
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:29,239
both offense are still capable of scoring, especially if it's

1049
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:33,840
a street ball preseason mentality tonight in Toronto. Don't forget,

1050
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,199
by the way, if you want to get my official

1051
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,639
best bets every day, including a bonus free play, they're

1052
00:49:37,679 --> 00:49:40,360
on my page Steve merrillwager talk dot com. You can

1053
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:43,360
get there quicker, wt dot Buzz, slash sm free play

1054
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:45,920
every day on my page at wager talk dot com,

1055
00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:49,239
and also free Monday night football video Texan Steelers here

1056
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:51,519
in the channel right now deep dob into that and

1057
00:49:51,519 --> 00:49:54,119
we're doing every NFL playoff game every week every day.

1058
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:56,599
Don't miss out. Click subscribe, click the bell here for

1059
00:49:56,639 --> 00:49:59,599
an instant alert thumbs up like in a positive comment below,

1060
00:49:59,639 --> 00:50:01,679
and I'll keep the free play coming for videos for

1061
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:04,840
both basketball and football right here on wager Talk TV.

1062
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 1: I love your angle on the Boston Celtics. Like these

1063
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:13,480
lines they just feel like sucker bets. It's like, oh,

1064
00:50:13,519 --> 00:50:16,639
the main guys out, Oh, we'll drop it five points,

1065
00:50:16,679 --> 00:50:19,079
and then all of a sudden, this really motivated bench

1066
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:20,519
player comes in and.

1067
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 6: It's I mean, it's your Indiana Pacers, right, So I

1068
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:25,000
was thinking of you as we are breaking that down.

1069
00:50:25,039 --> 00:50:27,360
What is your take on this team? They snap a

1070
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:29,880
thirteen game streak, back to back wins. I almost kind

1071
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,480
of feel like, now they they regress again.

1072
00:50:32,679 --> 00:50:36,119
Speaker 1: You know, well they should. I mean, so we started

1073
00:50:36,159 --> 00:50:38,480
off the year where so many people hurt that we

1074
00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:41,440
were just bad, and now there's no reason to win games, right,

1075
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,079
there's no reason we have the worst record in the league.

1076
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:47,920
And we have this really strange, unique situation where we

1077
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:52,639
could draft one of the you know, a franchise altering

1078
00:50:52,639 --> 00:50:54,880
guy coming out of the draft if the cards fall right,

1079
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:57,920
and then we bring back Halliburton. This is very reminiscent

1080
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:02,079
of the Robinson Duncan situation where you have a main

1081
00:51:02,119 --> 00:51:04,920
guy injured, you tank, and then you bring back you know,

1082
00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:08,000
your superstar. So I hope they keep losing and yeah,

1083
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:11,159
you're right, they've been a moneyline disaster, but in ats

1084
00:51:11,199 --> 00:51:14,320
they've actually not been that bad. But tonight they should be.

1085
00:51:14,599 --> 00:51:15,920
Speaker 6: And that's the thing. You know, you could see this

1086
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:17,800
game they would have been nine, now it's five and

1087
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:19,880
a half. You could see them losing by seven. Right,

1088
00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:21,679
That's like it's gonna probably fall right in between what

1089
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:22,519
the line should have been.

1090
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:28,320
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely, just experiment with guys, new lineups, things like that.

1091
00:51:28,599 --> 00:51:31,280
What are your thoughts on NFL playoffs, give the broad

1092
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:34,079
picture of wild card weekend? Anything you have for tonight.

1093
00:51:35,079 --> 00:51:36,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, so I've got that video. People can check that out.

1094
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,000
About ten minute deep dive into the Texas Steelers game.

1095
00:51:39,039 --> 00:51:40,880
And you know, on the surface, it's always risky playing

1096
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:43,760
against home dogs. I think Mark Lawrence said, since nineteen

1097
00:51:43,800 --> 00:51:46,920
eighty they're thirty five and fifteen coming in. We saw

1098
00:51:47,119 --> 00:51:51,360
Carolina cover from start to finish, Chicago cover Jacksonville was

1099
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:53,159
almost a pick im. I guess you could say maybe

1100
00:51:53,159 --> 00:51:55,440
they were a home dog at one point, but the

1101
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:57,239
fact of the matter is it's a seventy percent angle

1102
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:59,559
for forty some years now. So it does make you

1103
00:51:59,559 --> 00:52:02,639
a little going against the Steelers as a home dog.

1104
00:52:02,679 --> 00:52:04,760
Of a full field goal a very key number. But

1105
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:06,679
then as I broke this game down more, I mean,

1106
00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:09,840
Houston's the best statistical defense in the NFL yards allowed

1107
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:13,000
and points allowed. Pittsburgh was one in five. They got

1108
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,000
out gained against five of the six playoff teams they

1109
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:16,800
played this year, but over one hundred yards a game

1110
00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:20,880
on average, Houston was plus margin. The Texans started zero

1111
00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:23,039
to three. They're just the seventh playoff team team to

1112
00:52:23,039 --> 00:52:25,039
ever make the playoffs after KNOWNA three started. When they go,

1113
00:52:25,079 --> 00:52:28,079
I think like I only lost two games since, by

1114
00:52:28,119 --> 00:52:29,800
the way, only one of the other six teams have

1115
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:31,599
ever won a playoff game, So I've got kind of

1116
00:52:31,599 --> 00:52:33,800
conflicting feelings for both sides in this one. But if

1117
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:36,239
I had to play it, I would rather lay it

1118
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:37,880
with the better team, and I do think that's the

1119
00:52:37,920 --> 00:52:38,760
Houston Texans.

1120
00:52:40,599 --> 00:52:43,159
Speaker 1: Couldn't agree more. If you had a bet on one

1121
00:52:43,159 --> 00:52:45,119
team to win the Super Bowl right now, right this

1122
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:46,760
very second, you don't have time to think about right

1123
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:47,440
off the top of your head.

1124
00:52:47,559 --> 00:52:49,519
Speaker 6: Was it so real, real quick? I said. The two

1125
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:52,039
best teams are the Rams Seahawks. Obviously the Rams barely

1126
00:52:52,039 --> 00:52:56,639
got there, huge break though for both. For the Rams, though,

1127
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:59,199
it's really setting up well here because I think Denver's

1128
00:52:59,199 --> 00:53:01,880
a phony one. I think Chicago's a pony two seed

1129
00:53:01,880 --> 00:53:04,760
with that defense. And you know, had San Francisco not

1130
00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:07,760
pulled the upset, then LA would have had to go

1131
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:09,719
play Seattle this week. So both the Seahawks and the

1132
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:12,559
Rams both caught a break avoiding each other for another round.

1133
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:14,519
So I definitely think it's gonna be the winner of

1134
00:53:14,559 --> 00:53:16,679
that NFC championship game. Which is likely going to be

1135
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:17,599
their Seattle or LA.

1136
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:21,559
Speaker 1: All right, you know your free plays, we know your

1137
00:53:21,559 --> 00:53:24,360
free videos. Tell everyone plays wise bets. Why is what

1138
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:25,639
you have up for everyone?

1139
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:28,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's a light Monday in basketball here. Check out

1140
00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:30,800
my page all week does. We will have tons of

1141
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,199
college and pro basketball best bets and that last play,

1142
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:34,880
the last cup for my best bet card goes up

1143
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:36,360
as a free play. So it really is a reason

1144
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:38,320
to go every day if you're doing your own handicap

1145
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:40,320
and building your bank roll. Check out my page with

1146
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:43,280
the daily free play Steve Merrill wager talk dot com

1147
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:48,800
and get there quicker, wt dot buzz slash sm.

1148
00:53:47,599 --> 00:53:52,400
Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, thank you so much. I mean, I hope

1149
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:55,280
the FEDS step in. People are now cheering for tanking.

1150
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:57,960
I truly hate the FEDS.

1151
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:01,639
Speaker 2: That's gonna solve and everything the FED.

1152
00:54:02,920 --> 00:54:06,360
Speaker 1: Because we're sitting Andrew Nemart tonight. The FEDS need to

1153
00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:11,639
get involved FED. Wow, h amazing. All right, Well, I

1154
00:54:11,639 --> 00:54:14,679
don't think the FEDS are going to get involved, so but.

1155
00:54:15,119 --> 00:54:16,639
Speaker 6: I will say this guy's real quick. They want the

1156
00:54:16,639 --> 00:54:19,000
FEDS involved in as as far as the federal government

1157
00:54:19,039 --> 00:54:21,519
involved with this college in IL and all this stuff.

1158
00:54:21,559 --> 00:54:23,320
And I've heard some people I respect a lot, even

1159
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:26,000
personal friends that aren't big government people, saying that. I

1160
00:54:26,079 --> 00:54:27,840
was like, what are we talking about? I was like,

1161
00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:30,280
when are the It's like, I guess, I guess because

1162
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,639
Tubberville's a senator is white, there's getting some traction to,

1163
00:54:32,679 --> 00:54:35,800
you know, former college coach. But I'm like, if an

1164
00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:39,719
organization wants to pay somebody, who's it to tell you

1165
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:41,760
like that, the market should correct this, right, And I

1166
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:43,880
think it will. I think it's ridiculus. I don't think

1167
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:45,760
you can keep paying kids six seven million bucks if

1168
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,320
they're not performing. It's gonna self correct. But yeah, be

1169
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:50,199
careful what you wish for when you want the FEDS

1170
00:54:50,199 --> 00:54:54,519
involved in anything, especially from a regulatory standpoint. And we've

1171
00:54:54,519 --> 00:54:56,199
seen that, you know all seriously, and we've seen it

1172
00:54:56,199 --> 00:54:58,000
with the legalized sports betting. Like we all like, this

1173
00:54:58,039 --> 00:55:01,400
is great minus one twenty f five lines Illinois, one

1174
00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:04,599
of the tax winnings against losses, right, like we're starting to.

1175
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:07,159
Speaker 7: Parlay.

1176
00:55:07,519 --> 00:55:10,719
Speaker 6: Yeah, because they don't a little I'll leave it with this,

1177
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:12,800
and this is a great sports betting analogy to a

1178
00:55:12,800 --> 00:55:14,760
little bit of knowledge is a very dangerous thing in

1179
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:17,320
any aspect of life, Like you know the women that

1180
00:55:17,360 --> 00:55:19,199
always do better in the Super Bowl polls because they

1181
00:55:19,199 --> 00:55:20,840
don't even care. They just pick it based on the

1182
00:55:20,880 --> 00:55:24,079
colors of the Jersey, Whereas, like this is true, the

1183
00:55:24,199 --> 00:55:27,719
worst financial stock pickers and like all the world are doctors.

1184
00:55:28,039 --> 00:55:32,119
There's been studies on this because they're smart people, but

1185
00:55:32,159 --> 00:55:34,679
that's not their expertise. But they're too damn smart to

1186
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:36,400
think they need help. But you get where I'm going

1187
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:37,800
with it, Like a little bit of knowledge is a

1188
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:40,239
dangerous thing, and I think that sums up Congress and

1189
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,199
the federal government to a t A little bit of knowledge, a.

1190
00:55:43,119 --> 00:55:46,920
Speaker 2: Little mic drop, a little mic drop out of Steve there.

1191
00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:51,320
Steve always appreciated anybody. Good luck this Monday, and uh

1192
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:53,480
and Andy, we told people we had a treat for

1193
00:55:53,599 --> 00:55:56,920
bos to end the program here today. And I for one,

1194
00:55:56,920 --> 00:55:59,519
am excited because I get to sit on sideline and

1195
00:55:59,559 --> 00:56:02,400
I'm just humped about this National championship matchup. But if

1196
00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:05,400
you remember what happened on Thursday Jove, Naiary came on

1197
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:10,039
the show and he was sporting some great Miami Hurricanes gear.

1198
00:56:10,039 --> 00:56:11,880
Would it be the last time that he would do it?

1199
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:13,079
Speaker 3: It?

1200
00:56:13,119 --> 00:56:17,039
Speaker 2: Apparently Will not be Andy. As the national championship is

1201
00:56:17,119 --> 00:56:21,400
set and we got Jouvenari in the house, It's Iu,

1202
00:56:21,880 --> 00:56:24,920
It's Miami, empetre check Joe. How we feel it.

1203
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:29,360
Speaker 7: Feeling better than Eagle fans. I'll tell you that.

1204
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:33,280
Speaker 2: Come up with the Hurricanes and you gotta hit me

1205
00:56:33,360 --> 00:56:33,639
with that.

1206
00:56:33,840 --> 00:56:37,280
Speaker 9: I mean, it's you know, I sat here on the

1207
00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:40,599
show with you guys last week and said, we can't

1208
00:56:40,639 --> 00:56:44,880
find anybody that wants to Betstamp Like no, but literally

1209
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:48,360
nobody is coming up to the window and betting the.

1210
00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 7: Forty nine ers.

1211
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:54,039
Speaker 9: Boy oh boy, it feels a lot similar to what

1212
00:56:54,119 --> 00:56:58,199
I'm hearing about the University of Miami at the window

1213
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:02,840
right now, finding it very difficult to find anybody coming

1214
00:57:02,880 --> 00:57:06,159
to the window to back the U. As this line

1215
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:09,480
continues to climb. What eight eight and a half right

1216
00:57:09,519 --> 00:57:13,880
now is the welcome to public darling of college football?

1217
00:57:14,079 --> 00:57:18,679
The Indiana Whosers and.

1218
00:57:21,000 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: Every step of the way I get nervous with this

1219
00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:27,400
Indiana team, and then every time they like overcome with

1220
00:57:27,679 --> 00:57:31,079
flying colors. I thought going at Oregon was going to

1221
00:57:31,119 --> 00:57:32,280
be a loss.

1222
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:32,719
Speaker 3: Nope.

1223
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: Did they have to comeback against Penn State? Did they

1224
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:40,440
have just the I mean the dissection of of Oregon.

1225
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:45,760
I will tell you, guys, that's pretty good.

1226
00:57:46,159 --> 00:57:49,320
Speaker 2: It's impressive. It's a one up of the T shirt show.

1227
00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:52,920
I thought the T shirt was great. Is even better

1228
00:57:54,119 --> 00:57:54,639
I have.

1229
00:57:55,119 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever been in a bar with

1230
00:57:57,320 --> 00:58:01,599
a bigger explosion of a single of a single play

1231
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:06,280
than that pick six. That pick six was, I just

1232
00:58:06,440 --> 00:58:09,800
it was so everyone been there for hours and hours,

1233
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:13,159
and everyone's hype for the game. He throws the first pick,

1234
00:58:13,519 --> 00:58:15,679
the roof came off. That placer was just like, you

1235
00:58:15,719 --> 00:58:18,519
can't spot Indiana seven points, Like this game is like

1236
00:58:18,599 --> 00:58:24,360
kind of over. So I'm always like nervously skeptical about

1237
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:26,199
my team, Joe, but I will I will stand by

1238
00:58:26,239 --> 00:58:26,840
my guns.

1239
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:27,159
Speaker 6: Ice.

1240
00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:30,239
Speaker 1: After watching your team play, I said, I think whoever

1241
00:58:30,280 --> 00:58:33,079
wins an IU Oregon probably has the upper hand. The

1242
00:58:33,079 --> 00:58:35,199
defense of Miami's really good. But I just don't know

1243
00:58:35,239 --> 00:58:37,880
if they have the offense to keep up. Now that

1244
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,840
I use there, that's kind of my worry. That's kind

1245
00:58:40,840 --> 00:58:44,679
of my worry is defense can slow down IU, But

1246
00:58:44,760 --> 00:58:48,159
do you have the offense to put up twenty four

1247
00:58:48,119 --> 00:58:50,760
to twenty seven points? Is that what it's gonna take

1248
00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,039
to win what's your what's your target point total you're

1249
00:58:53,039 --> 00:58:53,480
gonna need.

1250
00:58:54,719 --> 00:58:58,000
Speaker 9: So it's funny because it's the we've seen the open

1251
00:58:58,159 --> 00:59:00,599
seven and a half, we've seen the eights eight and

1252
00:59:00,599 --> 00:59:02,440
a half. We have not seen a whole lot going

1253
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,960
on with the total in this game, right forty eight

1254
00:59:05,079 --> 00:59:07,760
forty eight and a half. I do find it hard

1255
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:11,199
to believe that this game will be a some sort

1256
00:59:11,199 --> 00:59:15,559
of wild shootout Andy. So I don't I get why

1257
00:59:15,960 --> 00:59:19,719
the total hasn't risen near fifty just yet here because

1258
00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:20,360
given the.

1259
00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:22,920
Speaker 7: State of both of these defenses.

1260
00:59:23,719 --> 00:59:28,320
Speaker 9: It's the thing with Indiana is that nobody Indiana has

1261
00:59:28,360 --> 00:59:31,679
not had to play from behind in any way, shape

1262
00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:32,159
or form.

1263
00:59:32,239 --> 00:59:32,400
Speaker 2: Here.

1264
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:36,400
Speaker 9: They have pretty much put the teams away early. In

1265
00:59:36,559 --> 00:59:40,360
Oregon's case, they buried themselves. In Alabama's case, they just

1266
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:45,679
laid down and there was never really any pressure on Indiana. Meanwhile,

1267
00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:51,800
Miami Miami had to go and beat SEC great defense

1268
00:59:51,960 --> 00:59:54,440
Texas A and M on the road. Then they had

1269
00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:57,639
to take on neutral site Ohio State, one of the

1270
00:59:57,639 --> 01:00:01,320
best defenses in the country right now, they had to

1271
01:00:01,360 --> 01:00:03,360
go and do a shootout with one of the best

1272
01:00:03,519 --> 01:00:07,000
SEC teams in Old miss So not only have they

1273
01:00:07,079 --> 01:00:08,639
won rock fights.

1274
01:00:08,760 --> 01:00:10,880
Speaker 7: Not only have they had to go on the road

1275
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:14,119
and be four and oh so far, but.

1276
01:00:14,199 --> 01:00:16,480
Speaker 2: Now they get to go at home.

1277
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:20,159
Speaker 9: Andy, this is home, which I'm trying to figure out

1278
01:00:20,159 --> 01:00:23,159
if people understand what that hard Rock is going to

1279
01:00:23,239 --> 01:00:26,000
be like for this game, it is, Make no mistake

1280
01:00:26,039 --> 01:00:29,119
about it. It was a home game for your Indiana

1281
01:00:29,760 --> 01:00:33,199
in that in that game against Oregon because I couldn't

1282
01:00:33,199 --> 01:00:35,320
find any Oregon fans in the stands there. It was

1283
01:00:35,360 --> 01:00:38,679
Indiana all over the place. I'm telling you you're gonna be

1284
01:00:38,719 --> 01:00:42,360
hard press to find Indiana fans at at hard Rock

1285
01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:45,760
coming in. They'll want to be there, but I probably

1286
01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:49,039
the U fans are going to show up and show out.

1287
01:00:49,119 --> 01:00:51,719
This will be a whole the first home game, by

1288
01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:54,840
the way for Miami in a very long time. And

1289
01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:56,960
oh yeah, by the way, I think they only lost

1290
01:00:57,039 --> 01:01:00,639
once at home this year, so I think think, I

1291
01:01:00,639 --> 01:01:04,159
think the home factor is is gonna also play a

1292
01:01:04,239 --> 01:01:06,840
role in this, which is why this eight to eight

1293
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:08,440
and a half is kind of laughable.

1294
01:01:11,079 --> 01:01:12,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, obviously you and I are gonna get

1295
01:01:13,119 --> 01:01:17,039
go ahead, go head to head in some some form

1296
01:01:17,119 --> 01:01:19,599
or fashion. If you're betting Indiana, you're probably gonna have

1297
01:01:19,639 --> 01:01:22,400
to do it now. If you want to bet Miami,

1298
01:01:22,480 --> 01:01:24,760
just wait because, like you said, for just toping your

1299
01:01:24,880 --> 01:01:27,719
number and value, just wait for Miami and wait till

1300
01:01:27,960 --> 01:01:29,320
you start to see some buyback.

1301
01:01:29,519 --> 01:01:33,599
Speaker 2: So one thing that I say is I'm looking forward

1302
01:01:33,599 --> 01:01:36,400
because we will get Joe back on Thursday and he's

1303
01:01:36,440 --> 01:01:39,280
gonna talk you NFL. But you know, we'll circle back

1304
01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:41,519
see where the line is sitting at. But one thing

1305
01:01:41,519 --> 01:01:44,280
that I'm super pumped for is I think this is hilarious.

1306
01:01:44,320 --> 01:01:46,159
When I saw it dropped into the chat, I was like,

1307
01:01:46,199 --> 01:01:49,639
this is a no brainer. So this week, because these

1308
01:01:49,639 --> 01:01:53,599
two are going head to head and for all intensive purposes,

1309
01:01:53,639 --> 01:01:56,679
are not fans of each other, this week they're actually

1310
01:01:56,679 --> 01:02:00,719
going to be teaming up for your benefit. This Bogo deal,

1311
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,480
I think is incredible. Ninety nine dollars gets you either

1312
01:02:03,559 --> 01:02:05,800
of these guys, and then you'll get access from the

1313
01:02:05,800 --> 01:02:08,920
other one. And I think what's exciting about this is Joe,

1314
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:13,519
you're not betting cricket and darts, and yes you dabble

1315
01:02:13,559 --> 01:02:15,599
in player profits, but you're a side guy. You're a

1316
01:02:15,639 --> 01:02:18,920
total guy. You're a situational guy. So this Bogo special,

1317
01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:21,920
it's it couldn't be different from the two approaches you

1318
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:24,239
get from you guys. So because your two teams are

1319
01:02:24,239 --> 01:02:26,840
facing off, we get the benefit and ride with both

1320
01:02:26,880 --> 01:02:27,000
of you.

1321
01:02:27,039 --> 01:02:27,239
Speaker 3: Guys.

1322
01:02:27,320 --> 01:02:29,000
Speaker 2: Joe, what are you gonna be rocking with this week?

1323
01:02:29,519 --> 01:02:31,719
Speaker 7: Yeah, Having said that, I do like in Indiana to win.

1324
01:02:31,800 --> 01:02:32,599
Speaker 3: Now, I'm only kidding.

1325
01:02:33,239 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 9: We have Yeah No to me, I think it's it's

1326
01:02:37,000 --> 01:02:41,719
all about diversity, right, and diversification here with anything when

1327
01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:45,320
you're investing in sports, right, having the ability to be

1328
01:02:45,360 --> 01:02:47,880
able to do some of those you know sports that

1329
01:02:48,000 --> 01:02:51,440
Andy has been crushing over the years here the darts

1330
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:55,199
and the cricket, the prop bets, you know, I you

1331
01:02:55,199 --> 01:02:58,400
know that's that's his lane and he is fantastic at it.

1332
01:02:58,639 --> 01:03:01,400
My lane's a little bit different with the with the

1333
01:03:01,480 --> 01:03:04,079
sides and the totals and those types of things. So

1334
01:03:04,440 --> 01:03:07,159
you get to cover the whole gamut. So you're basically

1335
01:03:07,199 --> 01:03:10,920
getting two for the price of one across every sport.

1336
01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:14,079
And what difference does it make? We always laugh at it, Andy, like,

1337
01:03:14,159 --> 01:03:17,559
I'm fairly certain when you cash a darts ticket the

1338
01:03:17,679 --> 01:03:20,000
money is just as green as if you cash a

1339
01:03:20,159 --> 01:03:20,679
side bet.

1340
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:22,320
Speaker 7: So it's the same thing.

1341
01:03:22,159 --> 01:03:25,920
Speaker 9: Here, only it's across a bigger scope, which gives guys

1342
01:03:25,920 --> 01:03:29,320
an opportunity here to diversify that portfolio.

1343
01:03:30,639 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1344
01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:33,039
Speaker 1: I mean, we don't do this hardly at all, but

1345
01:03:33,119 --> 01:03:37,039
when the when, the when, when the situation arises, we

1346
01:03:37,159 --> 01:03:40,000
have to do something really special for this. So like

1347
01:03:40,039 --> 01:03:41,800
if I wouldn't get one for seven days, is an

1348
01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:45,119
absolutely smoking deal. You get all sports, all percentages, and

1349
01:03:45,159 --> 01:03:47,440
I have a five percent tonight, So immediately you're starting

1350
01:03:47,440 --> 01:03:50,719
off with a five percent play bo. So yep, yep,

1351
01:03:51,199 --> 01:03:53,679
I haven't decided. I've decided if I'm coming down to

1352
01:03:53,719 --> 01:03:55,079
see you Joe for the game, or if I get

1353
01:03:55,119 --> 01:03:57,119
to hang with my my buddy so I hung out

1354
01:03:57,159 --> 01:03:59,519
with on Friday. I think I think it would be

1355
01:04:00,039 --> 01:04:03,440
proper to break what I did for the semi final.

1356
01:04:06,320 --> 01:04:08,199
Speaker 9: I'll tell you this, This goes for any of the

1357
01:04:08,480 --> 01:04:12,639
Indiana fans planning on coming down to South Florida. I

1358
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:17,800
did have a buddy that just spent eleven thousand on

1359
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:20,440
a ticket just to get into the building.

1360
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:24,360
Speaker 7: Just to get into the building, it's eleven k.

1361
01:04:25,039 --> 01:04:29,760
Speaker 9: Prior to Miami winning, you could get into the stadium

1362
01:04:29,760 --> 01:04:32,320
for about thirty five hundred bucks, which is about the

1363
01:04:32,360 --> 01:04:36,960
going rate when Miami won. Yeah, now you're looking at

1364
01:04:37,000 --> 01:04:41,239
about eleven k just to get inside of the rocket.

1365
01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:44,840
Speaker 2: Wow, Jo, I you better hope that you and Andy

1366
01:04:44,840 --> 01:04:47,159
have a hell of a week if Andy wants to.

1367
01:04:46,800 --> 01:04:52,440
Speaker 7: Get it before come down to Miami. I'm just saying

1368
01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:55,000
the Vickershaka is alive.

1369
01:04:55,519 --> 01:04:58,800
Speaker 9: And that's what I'd only cost seventy five thousand to

1370
01:04:58,880 --> 01:05:02,039
go to the University in Miami just to get into

1371
01:05:02,079 --> 01:05:02,639
the building.

1372
01:05:02,679 --> 01:05:08,320
Speaker 7: It's gonna cost you eleven twelve semester. I forget about it.

1373
01:05:08,400 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 3: Good luck.

1374
01:05:10,119 --> 01:05:15,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I'll pass. I'll pass. David says, Joe's awesome.

1375
01:05:15,559 --> 01:05:18,079
Had his picked Saturday on Fire. We got a shout

1376
01:05:18,079 --> 01:05:21,440
out for hit A plus money, boxing, Boxing best Bet.

1377
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:23,199
Those are some other ones you get, So Joe, we're

1378
01:05:23,199 --> 01:05:25,320
gonna do this again on Thursday. But for now, guys,

1379
01:05:25,320 --> 01:05:27,679
locking that seven days. It's at the specials page. It's

1380
01:05:27,679 --> 01:05:30,519
on Joe's page, my page. You get seven days of

1381
01:05:30,559 --> 01:05:34,239
both Joe's and play My Place. Just by we get

1382
01:05:34,239 --> 01:05:37,719
one free smoking and special and then we get lined up.

1383
01:05:37,679 --> 01:05:38,239
Speaker 3: For the big game.

1384
01:05:38,280 --> 01:05:40,559
Speaker 1: So thanks for joining us, Joe. Best of luck this

1385
01:05:40,599 --> 01:05:44,239
week on all of our plays.

1386
01:05:44,880 --> 01:05:47,159
Speaker 2: Gotta love it, gotta love it.

1387
01:05:47,159 --> 01:05:49,519
Speaker 1: Great well done, great, well done.

1388
01:05:49,679 --> 01:05:53,079
Speaker 2: That's the production value out of the Joe Grenieri studios

1389
01:05:53,119 --> 01:05:54,440
is second to none.

1390
01:05:54,719 --> 01:05:55,239
Speaker 1: Really good.

1391
01:05:55,719 --> 01:05:58,880
Speaker 2: It was one thing having the you queued up the

1392
01:05:58,960 --> 01:06:01,679
actual duck good war, Yeah, good war.

1393
01:06:02,400 --> 01:06:05,079
Speaker 1: Before you go, should announce the winner of Friday Friday

1394
01:06:05,239 --> 01:06:06,760
the Pelicans and Wizards.

1395
01:06:06,840 --> 01:06:10,559
Speaker 2: Yes, nobody was on Andy except for probably like two

1396
01:06:10,679 --> 01:06:13,360
or three people. And one of those two or three people,

1397
01:06:13,960 --> 01:06:18,840
Brook ten nine added to your page. Right, this second

1398
01:06:19,599 --> 01:06:22,760
will be or soon excuse me, will be your three

1399
01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:26,000
day flex pass. You can obviously use that on any

1400
01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:28,360
handicap or you're choosing. But Andy did win you the play,

1401
01:06:28,440 --> 01:06:30,800
and he's got a five percenter tonight. Probably want to

1402
01:06:30,840 --> 01:06:32,840
use that flex pass on my man, Andy Lay.

1403
01:06:33,639 --> 01:06:34,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was.

1404
01:06:34,719 --> 01:06:36,760
Speaker 1: What was hilarious was when you gave me that game

1405
01:06:37,039 --> 01:06:38,400
and I made the case. I was like, well, the

1406
01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:40,360
books are telling you a story. This doesn't make any sense.

1407
01:06:40,400 --> 01:06:43,119
The Pelicans should never be road favorites. And then afterwards

1408
01:06:43,159 --> 01:06:46,360
I was like, yeah, they shouldn't be road favorites. Were

1409
01:06:46,400 --> 01:06:48,920
like the Pelicans killed him.

1410
01:06:49,199 --> 01:06:51,239
Speaker 2: Like the point of the sell me segment is you

1411
01:06:51,280 --> 01:06:53,000
have to make a case, whether you like it or not,

1412
01:06:53,159 --> 01:06:56,840
and then you actually sold yourself on the play. You

1413
01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:58,719
were like, actually, that's pretty that makes a hell of

1414
01:06:58,719 --> 01:06:59,360
a lot of sense.

1415
01:07:01,519 --> 01:07:03,719
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, Lonnie, if you locked in for the last

1416
01:07:03,719 --> 01:07:07,639
two days, you have done quite quite well for yourself,

1417
01:07:07,679 --> 01:07:09,880
sir as well.

1418
01:07:10,039 --> 01:07:16,000
Speaker 2: Liam. Yeah, good, good encapsulation. That's a very very good encapsulation.

1419
01:07:16,679 --> 01:07:17,000
Speaker 6: All right.

1420
01:07:17,159 --> 01:07:18,719
Speaker 1: Uh do you know where? Do you know where I'm

1421
01:07:18,719 --> 01:07:19,440
going right after this?

1422
01:07:19,559 --> 01:07:19,679
Speaker 3: Dan?

1423
01:07:19,880 --> 01:07:25,599
Speaker 1: I am going to the Caesars Casinos to cashing in

1424
01:07:25,639 --> 01:07:30,360
all those tickets from winning the Ashes Let's Go Cricket Tournament.

1425
01:07:30,519 --> 01:07:31,960
Very excited about that.

1426
01:07:32,280 --> 01:07:35,079
Speaker 2: You know where I'm going? And You're gonna go into

1427
01:07:35,519 --> 01:07:38,400
goddamn moving box. That's what I'm going to do. Yeah,

1428
01:07:38,440 --> 01:07:41,800
we're moving from Los Angeles back to Philadelphia. This is

1429
01:07:41,840 --> 01:07:44,480
the week, so folks, my attendance on the show may

1430
01:07:44,519 --> 01:07:47,599
be a little bit spotty over over the next few days.

1431
01:07:47,599 --> 01:07:49,400
At the end of the week, I will be traveling,

1432
01:07:49,440 --> 01:07:51,119
so I will not be on the show, but I

1433
01:07:51,119 --> 01:07:54,760
will be here for so you're freaking But we'll be

1434
01:07:54,800 --> 01:07:58,039
back on Monday, locked and loaded from the the Eagle's nest.

1435
01:07:58,440 --> 01:07:59,719
I might have to take down a bunch of that

1436
01:07:59,719 --> 01:08:01,199
Eagle ship behind me. I don't know if I'm gonna

1437
01:08:01,199 --> 01:08:03,119
be able to look at it when I when I'm

1438
01:08:03,119 --> 01:08:06,519
back home. So fun stuff though, man, and great show

1439
01:08:06,559 --> 01:08:08,440
and best of luck. Man. I hope that five percent

1440
01:08:08,480 --> 01:08:10,599
cash is for you. Been a hell of a weekend,

1441
01:08:11,079 --> 01:08:12,840
so this has to be.

1442
01:08:12,760 --> 01:08:16,000
Speaker 1: The first time. If if somebody hits three in a

1443
01:08:16,079 --> 01:08:18,239
row on one weekend at wager Talk.

1444
01:08:18,159 --> 01:08:20,560
Speaker 2: We'll have to We'll have to have Ralph Michaels, we'll

1445
01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,359
be able to pull the day. There's anyone, if there's

1446
01:08:23,399 --> 01:08:26,359
anyone who will be started, the stat Daddy will put

1447
01:08:26,359 --> 01:08:30,039
a chart up on five percent success, right, Yeah, that's yeah.

1448
01:08:30,079 --> 01:08:33,359
Speaker 1: Well, my favorite part about you steaming about the Eagles

1449
01:08:33,399 --> 01:08:34,880
is that you were wearing a shirt that the first

1450
01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:36,760
thing actually says, be calm.

1451
01:08:36,640 --> 01:08:41,560
Speaker 2: So calm, be brave. It'll be okay, It'll.

1452
01:08:41,239 --> 01:08:46,439
Speaker 1: Be okay, all right, guys, thank you so much for watching.

1453
01:08:46,520 --> 01:08:49,079
Hit the like button, subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel.

1454
01:08:49,119 --> 01:08:50,880
I am going to cash the tickets. I invite you

1455
01:08:50,920 --> 01:08:53,279
to do the same with my five percent, but don't

1456
01:08:53,279 --> 01:08:55,960
buy one play get that Bogo special with myself and

1457
01:08:56,039 --> 01:08:58,600
Joe Nary start cashing today with both of our plays.

1458
01:08:58,600 --> 01:09:01,039
Thank you so much for watching, Dan and I will

1459
01:09:01,119 --> 01:09:03,600
be back to do it tomorrow. Dan on his moving week.

1460
01:09:03,960 --> 01:09:06,000
The only thing worse than moving is moving across country.

1461
01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:08,319
My heart goes out to you, Dan, so just thank

1462
01:09:08,319 --> 01:09:12,079
you Battle and I need Battle, and Monday it'll all

1463
01:09:12,079 --> 01:09:14,279
be over. So thanks for watching. Good luck on your

1464
01:09:14,319 --> 01:09:15,119
best to night. Take care,