Speaker 1: Welcome to wage You Talk today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows, where we talk the talk and walk
the walk. It is Monday, DULO recap over wild Card weekend.
It was wild put the wild and wild Card weekend.
We're gonna dive into NBA look ahead, some of the
lines that have come out for NFL Playoffs and National Championship, Big,
big betting week Let's bring in Dan, Dan, give us
the rundown. Who do we have today?
Speaker 2: I'm glad, let's talk about it. Let's only talk about
what we had today, Andy, and nothing that happened yesterday, No, no, nothing,
nothing Eagles related. What we have come in your way
on the program today. As we turn the page towards
the divisional playoffs, folks, we're gonna obviously get some early
steam thoughts from Jehanny the Greek, who is back. That
is right. You can be happy in the comments they
were asking for Yanni all last week. He was at
a wedding, folks, but he's back right here, ready to rock.
Crack Man, you know Bill Krackenberg. He's coming on. He's
got an NBA prop for you, and we'll also get
his thoughts what we saw during wild Card weekend, what
he's seeing as we move forward, any potential future opportunities
that you should be firing on in the NFL playoffs.
Steve Merrill coming on Double Header Action the night. He's
gonna talk Celtics versus Pacers, Sixers, Raptors, and we'll also
get his thoughts on tonight's Monday Night Football edition. If
you're looking for prop plays on that, Andy and Andrew
McGinnis recorded this morning the Props and Parlays edition, so
they break down your full prop slate for what figures
to be a exciting offensive evening. And then we're gonna
end things man with a little something special. Typically if
you watch the show, you know that's our Monday lineup
Coming on today is the Great Joe ran Airy because
the National Championship is set. We'll also get Yonnie's thoughts
on that and anything that he's seeing. But it is
Miami versus Indiana. And if you saw on Thursday, Joe
came on with his pom poms a blazon for his
Miami Hurricanes. And as you know, if you watch the show,
alumnus of Indiana Whoo Hoosiers is Andy. So we're gonna
have Joe and him do a little head to head.
But you guys are going to benefit off of the
fact that it is Miami and Indiana because we got
a hell of a special we'll share with them as well.
So great Monday show, and none of that involves talking
about the Philadelphia Eagles prevent offense they played yesterday. Andy,
So let's roll.
Speaker 1: I'll just say this, if you're gonna be a wide
receiver that complains all year long, at least catch the
biggest pass of the season at catch the biggest pass,
because that was a that was a house call.
Speaker 2: I would rack it three times. Three times. On third down,
they hit aj Brown directly in the hand. Although you know,
I'll play a little bit of Devil's advocate. It's hard
not to be checked out if you're a Deevia wide receiver.
If you you know, don't you're not. You don't complete
a catch early on in the game, and then you're
head coach, who what does he do other than be
a quasi cheerleader, comes up and screams in your face
about how you should have caught the ball. You know,
Deevil wide receivers, you probably give him a little bit
more loving than screaming on their face in national television.
Speaker 1: Andy, Oh, well, he could have totally redeemed himself, but catching.
Speaker 2: You totally redeemed yourself.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I went back and watched that play a couple of times.
I don't think the defenders are going to catch him
one one.
Speaker 2: Guy had a bat catches He's just and perfect, perfect
ball by Jalen Hurts. I know he's not beyond reproach,
but yeah, that was That was a tough one to
watch as a as a Philadelphia Eagles fan and the
guy who backed them and a guy who bet San
Francisco team total under, and that one at least uh,
you know, had a chance of getting home. So uh,
it was a rough day for me. Yes, Ray, my
team loses. I get kicked in the teeth with the
Chargers bet. Uh you know you you uh you struggle.
I had Green Bay as well. So horrible wild card weekend, Really, Andy,
the worst possible outcome for wild Card weekend that that
could have happened was it was losing all your bets
and having your team lose. Pretty rough.
Speaker 1: Oh yikes. Well, if Seth joins us in the chat,
we'll tell you about how Seth had a loss that
turned into one of the biggest wins. Uh, it'll have.
But let's bring in Yanni and Yanni back from you
love at the at the wedding.
Speaker 3: Yah, how was the wedding.
Speaker 4: It was a good, good time, good time.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 5: I got buried yesterday was I tell you when I win,
I tell you when I lose. And I went four
and one. It was a nice forur and one on Saturday.
And yesterday just just went bad. I mean we had
Jacksonville first half Jacksonville game that didn't turn out. We
had the Eagles on the money line at minus two
twenty that went up to like minus too eighty at
one point, just didn't go well. You know, play some
decent bets. I wouldn't really change that and just didn't
go my way. But you know, back to the grind,
and that's where risk management into play, because like, if
you've been with me over the last two.
Speaker 4: Weeks, we've made money.
Speaker 5: But if you got buried yesterday and destroyed your bank roll,
you got to wake up this morning and check yourself
and reset, you know what I mean, you have another
opportunity to do it the right way because this will
continue to happen no matter how good of a year
you have, you're gonna have those tough days, tough weeks,
tough months, and if you don't survive those, then it
doesn't even matter, Like the rest isn't going to come
into play. I'm confident when December thirty first rolls around,
I'll have turned the profit for twenty twenty six. But
if you're getting buried throughout, if you're ruined, like we
say risk of ruin and you're ruined, then you can't
take advantage.
Speaker 4: And that's where me sharing my information.
Speaker 5: Is the toughest because I know for me, I handle
my risk the same, it doesn't change. But I know
for for guys just learning the process, some of them
got buried yesterday and I feel responsible for that, you know,
I mean, because it was for my information. But all
I can do is again focus on the one goal
at hand, and that's what I said. If our goals
are aligned and your goal is to turn a profit
in twenty twenty six, I won't disappoint you.
Speaker 4: But if you need to pay your.
Speaker 5: Rent this month, this week, or that kind of stuff,
I'm not your guy, you know, I mean, go chase
that game of the year, and I hope he hits
it for you.
Speaker 4: But we're here to grind and yeah, hopefully we do
some damage. Man this week. I'm excited.
Speaker 1: I'm excited my Game of the Year goes off to No,
I'm just kidding. We don't have a Game of the
Year tonight. I'm kidding. So, you know, Yadi, I felt
like some of these games yesterday, it was like you
have systems, you have theories about who's going to do what,
and then it just turns into chaos in the playoffs
sometimes like those games just felt really really chaotic. It
was like you had the Packers, you felt great, and
then all of a sudden, you didn't. You have the Chargers.
Who know show? So I don't know. What do you
take away from a weekend like that? Put every ear
view mirror looking forward to this week or takeaways?
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's so simple.
Speaker 5: What our takeaway is that, unlike NBA, unlike NHL, unlike
Major League Baseball, the cream will not always rise to
the top. In the NFL, the number one power rated team,
the number two power rated team, number three power rated
team will not always win.
Speaker 4: The Super Bowl.
Speaker 5: Because there's so much randomness to a sixty minute football game.
They're not playing a five game series. They're not playing
a seven game series where you have at least a
little bit working for you, bigger sample size and you
expect a more like the for it to play out
towards the mean.
Speaker 4: The better team should have the advantage.
Speaker 5: But in a sixty minute game, a bad call, a turnover,
like so many random occurrences could change the outcome of
you having placed a great bet and ending up losing.
That's where you got to be able to brush it off.
And that's why I always urge my subscribers pay attention
to the line we got down at and what it
closed that And let's be honest with ourselves. Did we
place a good bet and just didn't get there or
was it a bet we probably shouldn't have got involved
in because we didn't at least get any closing line value. Again,
that's my goal to make sure I'm getting in where
we're getting the best of it and trusting that long
term we're going to turn a profit. But if you
got buried again yesterday and you were on two days
ago Green Bay, and you were on some of those
bad beats, you got to understand that that's what's going
to happen in a sixty minute game, and that's where
risk management comes into play. That's where I bring these
two together. As you're walking through the window as confident
as you are, one side of you is going to
be like, dude, I need to find any extra change
on the ground because I love this game so much,
I want to double up. But the other side of
you has to read yourself that, dude, the ref makes
a bad call, the coach makes a bad play call,
anything could happen, and my good bet goes down the toilet.
Speaker 4: And I always try to remind.
Speaker 5: Myself of that because I'm one of those betters that
does have some gamble in me. I'm not in this
by accident. So I've been known to reach in my
pocket two, three, four, five times when I should have stopped,
probably after the third time. So I remind myself that
I could do everything right. I could place a good
bet at the right time, get the most closing line
value where before the game even starts, I know mathematically
I have the advantage, just like when you walk in
the casino, they know mathematically they have the advantage. When
you play slots, they have the advantage, and you play
blackjack roulette, whatever it is. They know they have the advantage.
Doesn't mean the house can't lose in any particular session,
but they know they have the edge. That's the best feeling,
and as a better you have that feeling as well
if you're getting good losing line value and doing everything
right managing your risk. But they can still go out
there and disappoint you. And that's where the risk management
comes in, so that even if you'd lose, it's just
another bet you gotta get to. If you're using it
as an investment, vehicle, sports betting, you got to get there.
If you're using it for entertainment, then then you should
smash your laptop, break the TV, do all that emotional
shit and get it out of your system and move
on to Monday night football. But again, if you're doing
this for business, then got to approach it like a
business and realize some days my business, I'm going to
open it up and I'm going to have to pay employees, insurance,
reant all that shit, and I'm just not going to
make money. But Friday night, when I open up, I'm
going to ten x twenty x my return.
Speaker 4: So it's all good.
Speaker 5: Business is business, it's all relative regardless the business.
Speaker 4: But if you approach it like a business.
Speaker 1: It'll pay.
Speaker 5: Like one approach it like entertainment, it's going to cost you.
I know, I'm a broken record, bro, but these tested
like angles have have have survived the test of time.
So I just try to repeat what I've learned from
from those that actually are doing it for real.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, I mean it's a lot of this is just
about the right systems in place.
Speaker 2: And you'll tell you.
Speaker 5: This is a man told me said this to me
years ago and it never really clicked, and he said,
if you're a winning sports better, then the name of
the game for you is this is an exercise invariance.
How much can you survive? Like what are you built for?
Because that's what you're about to experience, like sports betting.
If you're going to be a winning sports better, if
this is the course of career you're choosing, then you're
gonna have to face variants over and over and over again.
And really understand what that word means, because no matter
how profitable you could be, the goat you could be
that the sharpest better of all time, very is going
to test you. That will test you, and that's where again,
risk management comes into play, and if you factor that
out of the equation, then you're already ahead of the game.
If you already know I'm going to bet this amount
every single bet, regardless how I did yesterday, how I'm
doing this week.
Speaker 4: You're just fine. But if you're waking up every morning
and deciding the bet size.
Speaker 5: You're doing it wrong. You're doing it wrong, and you're
probably over betting your edge. If every day you're picking
a different bet size, that's the stuff you have to
figure out so you don't when you have a bad
day like yesterday. It's not crippling. It just pisses you
off a little bit, rubs you wrong. You don't feel
great like I do this morning, but you know you
got a job to do it and today there's nothing
but opportunity on the board.
Speaker 1: Well let's talk about that. See if we got anything,
it's not a huge college football card. So I guess
let's start with the heavy hitters. We got the National
Championship and we got the NFL opening lines. I know
these games kind of hard to take a decent bet
right when the lines open out, but are you seeing
any movement in any of these games?
Speaker 5: Here's what you're going to see. You're ready, Here's what
you're gonna get. Money's going to come in on Indiana
because power rated wise, Indiana should be a double digit
favorite in this game because Miami is barely a top
ten team. Again, you could get hot, we've seen it
in all sports and they're winning football games. But power
ratings or power ratings, they have no bias at all.
And at the end of the day, Indiana should be
about a double digit favorite over Miami. So I am confident,
very confident that minus seven and a half minus eight.
Speaker 2: Will not be there.
Speaker 6: This will.
Speaker 5: The question is will it get to ten and what
it happens then at ten? Does it go through ten
or is there some buyback at ten?
Speaker 4: But rest are short.
Speaker 5: The betting stinks are going to bet the favorite, then
they're probably going to go over as well. Early in
the week, And here's what you're going to be hearing
between now and the nineteenth, because we have seven days.
So by the end of this week, you're going to
start hearing we're heavy on Team Ay. That's probably going
to be Indiana because they're the favorite, and you're gonna
hear every book crying and telling you we need Miami.
We need Miami. If Miami wins, that would be a
great outcome for the book. If Miami wins on the
money line, that would be even a better outcome for
the book.
Speaker 6: That's where you're gonna keep.
Speaker 5: Hearing over and over and over again, and we need
a low scoring game.
Speaker 4: By Monday. When this game kicks off, they're going to
be right close to fifty to fifty.
Speaker 5: Where as long as they don't get middled, the books
are going to make a ton of money on this game,
regardless of outcome, because the balance is going to come in.
Most betters don't bet until two hours before kickoff.
Speaker 4: That's the average.
Speaker 5: Eighty percent of the money doesn't come in on the
NFL Sunday until two hours.
Speaker 4: And closer to kickoff, So the early.
Speaker 5: Money is going to be the sharps and the wise
guys score are going to get out ahead of the
market and take Indiana at minus seven and a half
in minus eight.
Speaker 4: The question is what do they do when this gets
the ten.
Speaker 5: Is Indiana a legit position or they just taking advantage
of the narrative which forced the book the odds makers
to bring out a lower number than the power ratings.
Reflect and then that's when you'll see the betting scent
gets really speak. That's when we'll find out do they
like Miami catching ten or do they really think this is,
you know, a three touchdown blowout. But that's how I
see this one breaking down. That you're going to see
the early money on Indiana. It's almost guaranteed you're going
to see the over money as.
Speaker 4: Well, because that's what the bias is of the public.
Speaker 5: But it won't we won't get any clear pictures until
sometime next week. NFL Tonight, good two way action and
no surprise, it's been like that for every single game
so far. We've got four dogs right and what three overs,
two unders. Coming into this NFL Wildcard round, here's what
we were told that the under bet the under bet
the under sixty percent of the time since two thousand
and one Wildcard games have gone under. If it's the
first meeting, its close to eighty percent of the time.
That's all they kept pounding in our head under under under. Well,
markets correct themselves, and the NFL's pretty efficient market, and
that's exactly what it did. It corrected itself and we
got the first game went over, the second game went over,
the third game went over, the fourth game almost went
over had the Eagles scored, and then we finally got
it under. So it looked like they brought out these
totals a little bit lower because of the narrative of
that total.
Speaker 4: And I think that's what we're looking at here. Under
money came in.
Speaker 6: Right.
Speaker 5: You look at what the opening line, the total was
about thirty nine and a half. Now it's down to
thirty eight. Why because that's been the narrative in the
wild card round. But be careful because again, markets do
correct itself. Now, as far as the signed goes, three
and a half was an opener, went to three, got
to three and a half a couple times, but anytime
we saw three and a half, it got picked off.
So if the books are heavy on Houston, all they
have to do is jacket up a half a point
in another to get Pittsburgh money from the sharp betters.
So that's what I'm gonna be paying attention to. What
do they do with this three. Are they gonna keep
it juiced towards Pittsburgh or is that going to change
because right now that seems to be the side that's
attracted the sharp money.
Speaker 4: At three and a half and even the public money
at three.
Speaker 5: I see a little heavier on Pittsburgh, but nothing huge.
And it was like that throughout this this entire Wildcard round,
like no side had more than about fifty seven sixty
percent of the money.
Speaker 4: It was very, very balanced.
Speaker 5: The only bet that really stood out was over in
Buffalo Jacksonville like where the betters were just parlaying it
with the over, teasing it with the over betting straight
on the over. But every other side in total Andy
were very close to fifty to fifty, fifty five to
forty five, where when you factor in the eleven to ten,
there's really no advantage, Like the put themselves in a
good spot, and this late in the season, that's what
you should get. Tight NFL lines where they're not gonna
move unless there's some significant injury or a significant narrative.
And that's what we're gonna have to look at next week,
like what happened this week and what's the narrative going
in the next week. Did a the Rams look weak
or did they look like they overlooked Carolina?
Speaker 4: Did Chicago?
Speaker 5: Were they the better team at home or did they
just get lucky against Green Bay like, those are the
questions we're gonna have to try to figure it out
between now and next week, and so far, I haven't
seen much movement at all. The only thing I did
see was a move towards Buffalo at pick them, but
then at one and a half I saw Denver money
come in, and that's about it. Every other line, I
haven't seen anything since the opener. And again Seattle seven
and a half like it opened seven took one limit bet,
but it's been seven and a.
Speaker 4: Half every since then everywhere else, So not much movement
at all all.
Speaker 1: Right, Well, before I let you go anything in college
basketball in this limited slate, what.
Speaker 4: Did I see in college basketball? Yeah?
Speaker 5: I did see North Carolina n C Central at minus one,
minus one and.
Speaker 4: A half, that got bet. What else did they?
Speaker 5: They bet coppon State, copp and State at the money
line and at minus one, so that I think that
should have flipped favorites there. And then they're taking Delaware
State Delaware State.
Speaker 4: Plus ten plus ten.
Speaker 5: That's right now actually coming off across my DMS, Delaware
State plus ten against Howard, And yeah, that's pretty much
it in college basketball. In the NBA, it's already gone,
probably someone not playing. They took all the points with
Indiana against Boston that was like eight. Now it's at six.
They went under Brooklyn Dallas at two twenty one. That
number's gone as well, and they took the five and
a half's out with Charlotte. But with the NBA, I've
been very, very selective, profitable in twenty twenty five twenty
twenty six season because I've been selective. But when it
comes to the NBA until the playoffs get here, it's
gonna be a couple picks here and there with good results,
but it just can't follow all the moves.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I believe Jalen Brown is out in that game.
That's why you had that as well. So yeah, if
you did get the early number you got, you had
some inside info about the health and rest of mister
Jalen Brown at tonight. So uh yeah, come here for
the NFL playoffs and get your coppin state Delaware state.
You got free, Yohanny. What do you have up for
everyone on this Monday Yeah?
Speaker 5: Right now, absolutely nothing but my long term stuff. I
am working on this Monday night football game. If I'm
able to confirm it, I will fire Otherwise not.
Speaker 4: Gonna rush anything.
Speaker 5: We've got a lot of time I had in twenty
twenty six to do damage. Like I said, if our
goals are aligned for twenty twenty six, we're gonna do
just fine.
Speaker 4: So no rush.
Speaker 5: But if you see a package off, that means I
got confirmation, so make sure you check back and tomorrow
for Tuesday, the steam sheet will be the finale of
Tuesday package, so make sure you check that out because
I don't have a lot of good stuff in it.
So best of luck this week, and again apologize for
that terrible Sunday, but when in doubt, zoom out and
overall we're doing pretty damn good.
Speaker 4: So best of luck.
Speaker 2: Bounce back incoming for our man, Yanni. And that's that's
what going to Philadelphia will do to you, man. You
know I hate it was just the stink of the
City of Brotherly Love rubbing off on our man Yanni.
It's I'm I'm pissed off this morning.
Speaker 3: Andy.
Speaker 2: I gotta throw some yes Philadelphia. You know that I
was having his back there. Bill Krackenberger is coming up,
and you know he always has some takes as well,
looking forward to hearing what his thoughts were and how
he did over wild Card weekend and how he's gonna
be betting in the NFL moving forward. But before that,
shout out to Seth. Best thing you ever could have done,
lose a three day pass to Andy. Yeah, because then
he bounced right back with this run that you're on
right now.
Speaker 7: Andy.
Speaker 2: Ten and three just a beautiful thing right now. Andy,
I think you're going for the trifecta tonight, are you not?
And then both can get that, or they could check
out this fun deal that we're gonna have with you
and Joe Vernari. Who's gonna back up the end of
the show. But let folks know about how Sunday was
for you, because as bad as it was for me,
you didn't have to watch your colts lose and you
were absolutely killing the books.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so Seth on Friday show, shout out to Seth.
Seth said, I'll bet you a three day pass. I'll
take Oregon plus three and a half. I get Indiana
minus three and a half. Well, I know, Seth. At halftime,
I get a text and it's just a picture of
the receipt of him buying the three day pass. It's like,
damn it, this one's over.
Speaker 2: You're trying to reverse with Jinks.
Speaker 1: And then we go on this insane run. We hit
a five percent play in the NFL on Saturday, then
we hit another five percent play in the NFL on Sunday,
and Seth is also cashing in like four percent cricket
plays overnight. I think it was a four percent NBA
play just the weekend of all weekends. So it was
the best loss that Seth has ever had.
Speaker 2: So we had, Likeorry, Buddy, I'm sorry I embarrassed you
on air by having my Indiana completely smack you. But
I'm just gonna go on this insane hot run. And
I think Andy tonight you got a five percent of
rocket as you're trying to go for the trifecta, right.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so you know when you're seeing the card, well
that's when you you lean in, you know. We Yeah,
we pull back when we're not on a good run.
So you hit the five percent on Saturday, hit the
five percent on Sunday, Yeah, we're coming right back to it.
In fact, this was one of the games that we
felt we had the strongest reads on, so and we said, hey,
after Saturday's game, if we hit it, we're coming back
and trusting our read on Sunday. If we hit that,
we're coming back on Monday. So we're going for three
in a row. Join us. But I'll just tell everyone
about the special right now, because you don't need to
buy that one play because it's thirty five bucks. Joe
and I are running a special where you get both
his plays and my plays for seven days for ninety
nine bucks. It's an absolutely smoking deal. Yeah, he and
I are going head to head. So, and the nice
thing about it, dan is Joe does money lines, spreads,
you know, totals. I do props. We have a tennis play,
we have cricket, we have other sports. So we're not
gonna have any conflicting plays. We're not gonna have anything overlapping.
You're gonna get the best of both worlds. But when
Miami and Indiana collide the week leading up to it,
we're gonna help build your bank roles. So ninety nine bucks, yeah,
ninety nine bucks, buy my plays and you get Joe's
for free. By Joe's plays, you get mine for free.
And we're starting off with a five percent play tonight.
So Joe on board, and Joe's gonna join us a
little bit later to get our thoughts.
Speaker 2: So I love that man. That'll be fun having Joe
back up them. We still got Bill Krackenberger, he's coming
up now. And then Steve Merrill gonna get you some
NBA plays and Andy has all around the world. We
had a question someone was asking, Hey, did you guys
talk Steelers and Texans yet? We're gonna ask Joe his thoughts.
We're also gonna ask Steve and we'll be getting some
thoughts on some Monday night football from a man, Bill
crack Him Burger Bill crack Man in the house. That's
where you can follow him on Twitter. Bill, How was
a wild card weekend for you? Because, as you know
this this this Philly guy's hurting a little bit this morning,
and so is the bankroll. How did it go for you?
Speaker 3: Brother?
Speaker 8: I had overall another smashing week at Wagers Talk twenty
three and thirteen, you know, just to just really roll
them along here this this football season. Now, as far
as the games went, I only had one game that
I give out, and I bet I bet Green Bay.
Speaker 3: I bet that.
Speaker 8: One line was pick him, give him him out when
it was pick him And uh yeah, I'm kind of
a heartbreaking loss there. You know, even though I had
the like I said, even though I had the good week,
I had some heartbreaking losses. Josh Allen, I had him
over on his rushing yards. He took two knees at
the end, that one, all of a sudden, that lost
Now after I was a winner, So uh, that was
one of the props I had. But yeah, no, it
still it's a grind normally, but this year, this football
season has been more of than a grind. It's been
a cash machine. So basketball last week, college basketball is great.
So I'm having a winning season now in college basketball,
and just with the NFL props things going on. You know,
I almost made a video yesterday Saturday, Saturday morning, I
almost made a video, like eight in the morning. I
was thinking about making a video to help people, but
most people are beyond help. Was the video is going
to be? Guys, you don't have to bet all these sides.
There's three games today, two games tomorrow, a game Monday.
Speaker 3: You don't have to bet every game just because it's
on TV.
Speaker 8: And it's just so hard to help a lot of
people because of that human condition. And listen, I'm not
saying I mother Teresa, I've been there.
Speaker 3: I've been there. I have absolutely been there.
Speaker 8: I was at DJ in my younger days, my teens,
I thought I knew everything. You know, when I was
twenty twenty one, twenty three, I thought I knew everything.
It took me finding somebody shaking me and showing me
the way and how to beat sports books, how to
get around. I wish I didn't get thrown out, how
to get to around of sports books, for winning, for
using your brains, for playing smart. And that's exactly the
way I approach sports betting. Gianni says some great things
there which I can second. He's absolutely right. This is
a business. This ain't fun for me. This ain't social
for me. It's the old Bronx tail thing. I don't
care about any player in the league. I have no
favorite team. See if you can't pay your rent through
your MORTGAGEE if they'll pay your mortgage. No, they don't
care about you. Why do you care about them? I'm
a broken record. I'm sorry, but this is absolutely a business,
uh to me, and UH it's been it's it's been
a great business. It's been a great business. I'm talking
about the sports betting side. It's been a great business
for me. My life is very good. From beating bookmakers,
beating casinos. You know, it's I'm doing this thirty some
near thirty years now, and I've worked for the sharpest
syndicates in the world, the sharpest sports betting syndicates that is.
And we you know, there's no sixty eight percent plays
and locks and seventy five percent that that's not the
way we work.
Speaker 3: As you guys see that follow me.
Speaker 8: Thank you for the guys that are watching that do
follow me and have been along with me on the
picks at wager talk. You see what you see what's
happening now, you see it is a long term game.
Like Giohnny says, you're getting closing line value, You're getting,
you know, the sharp sides of the place from basically
you know, I still deal with I think I deal
with two of the sharpest syndicates ever. And you're getting
you're getting the place, You're getting the place. I have
guys that work for me that read socials. They find
out more things from Beat Report than anything. So if
you know the right Beat reporters to follow, you know
the right I'm referrn to college basketball, right now with
the injuries, you know, who's playing so much time, who's
not playing a team? Is playing for this or not
playing for that. There's a lot of situations that, you know,
people say to me, you know, hey, Bill, why do
you sell picks?
Speaker 3: Well?
Speaker 8: Why do I sell picks? Well, let me just tell you.
First off, I love beating book makers. I love you
guys beating bookmakers because I hate them. I hate most
of them, really I do. They cry like little bitches
when they lose. They everyone's supposed to be a sucker.
Everyone's supposed to be a loser. So when you win,
they say, oh my god, this guy's winning here. What's
he doing. He must be doing something wrong, he must
be cheating past posting.
Speaker 3: No, no, no.
Speaker 8: Our information, if you're with me, Bill Krackenberger, is better
than the bookmaker's information. I have been thrown out of
casinos and you walked out the door because the line maker,
the guy that runs the place, has told me that
multiple times. It's amazing. I'm going by stations. I'm in
palace station. One day, I bet plus seventeen on a
college football game. I think it was army game. I'm
not positive the game. It went to fourteen and a
half in five minutes. They came over and said, hey,
we need that ticket or rest of You're not allowed
to bet with us no more. I said, why, Well,
the quarterback was out and you probably knew, and you
know we don't like that. Well, what about the guys
that laid the seventeen? Do they get their money back
to I'm like, I just can't stand Stations what they
did to me. I can't stand Caesars, what they did
to me, throw me out for use of my brain.
Treasure Island is just for just walking in. If you
have a pulse, if you slip your arm, your finger
and you bleed red, they don't want you to building.
Oh my god, this guy bleeds red. Get him out
of here.
Speaker 3: No, and these casinos treat you like a sucker. Local guys.
Speaker 8: I had local guys that were people have lost money
to them lifetime, and they went on a little roll
to get their money back. Following me and they're like, Bill,
do you believe this guy threw me out? I won
back eight grand of the thirty thousand I lost in
the last two years. Like, you know, everyone's supposed to
be a sucker. Everyone's supposed to be a loser. And
I remember I was dealing with a guy one time
and he got me some accounts to play in. This
was years ago, and he's like, Billy, my guys are
the best. They're great, and sure enough, we want a
large amount of money from the six guys. This guy
owned multiple car dealerships, so he's a he's a big,
a big better. And we won back a lot of money.
I'm not gonna say the amount. I was going to
say the mult but it's just a lot of money.
And he comes to me and says, Bill, we can't
do this no more. These are my friends. I played
golf with these guys and they're really mad that we
won so much. It's like it's like a six weeks
in a row, seven weeks in a row.
Speaker 3: I said to him, they're your friends. Are you gonna
be your mind?
Speaker 8: They're your friends, only your friends, because you're there, you're
losing money to them. And you see, but someone in
that that has that kind of money a multimillionaire. Of course,
he was, you owt like a dozen uh dealerships like that.
Speaker 3: He just wants to be social. If you want to
be social and just give.
Speaker 8: Your bookmaker and your man money just to hang out
with him and play golf.
Speaker 3: Give me a break. They're not your friends. They're your
deadly enemy. Just like war.
Speaker 8: It's like a ball of restricter and a mongoose, absolutely
absolute thermo fucking war.
Speaker 3: It got me curshing now.
Speaker 2: I mean, I love it. That's that's the energy that
I needed this morning. I'll I'll be real with you, Bill,
because like I said, it was, it was a tough
weekend from the betting front, even tougher. You know when
your team loses and uh and you don't have to yeah,
and and I don't know what what Eagles fans were thinking,
like hitting themselves into thinking, oh, this offense is just
magically gonna wake up. The way that they lost that
game build was how they've been losing games all this year.
So you know, we're not like a Monday morning quarterback
kind of show. You know, we're a betting show. But
you know, we were trying to kid ourselves into thinking
that this Eagles team would just wake up because it's
what they've done other years. Tying into that though, Bill,
before we get your NBA player prop, let folks know
what you got rocking over at your page wt do
buzz slash crack.
Speaker 9: Uh.
Speaker 2: This this this window here as we head on into
the divisional round, how do you attack it? Are you
looking how this is lining up? Seeing what we learned
on Monday? And you're you thinking any like Super Bowl exactas?
Are you just going game by game? How do you
move forward as we move forward through these playoffs in
a year that really feels wide open, how are you
looking to attack the card outside of obviously what we're
getting from the syndicates, what we're getting from the sharp action.
Speaker 8: Listen, this is the most efficient line in the world.
You guys want to all, but you're actually right. You
know this, it's not really what I do. I did
have the Green Bay pick them, but I overcame that
by having a monthster Week and other areas, and I
haven't really even looked at the sides here. I've seen
Buffalo as a pick them, I've seen a little bit
of action on that and still pick them over at
circa though very sharp sports book. You know, it's funny.
This is how this goes to show you. So you
look at the line, you look at the screen. I
look at my Odds Logic screen. I see pick them
minus a dollar ten at Circa. Well, guess what Pinnacle
has plus a dollar ten. On the other way, it's
an absolute even scalp. You can lay a dollar ten
take it off in two different sharp sports books. That
shows you what's going on early in this market. There's
no locks and no NFL sides. I'll look at player
props like I always do. We look to to destroy
the sports books on player props like we always do.
That's the way I'm going to attack this weekend. I
may have a first I've done very well in first
half totals lifetime in this year, but it's situational depending
on what the line goes through key numbers. You know,
there's key numbers on first half totals twenty twenty three,
twenty four. So if the market because it goes out
of whack because of the public, that will you know.
Speaker 3: The public's funny. They can win both ways.
Speaker 8: I tell you, guys, I interview one of the largest
sports books in the world. I interviewed the director of
risk so we don't get on air on my Fox
show till Sunday morning.
Speaker 3: And when I interviewed them, I.
Speaker 8: Said, Wow, you guys had to get you guys had
to destroy it yesterday because everyone had the RAM.
Speaker 3: I was in a sportsbook in town.
Speaker 8: I had some friends in town, so I was amongst
the locals and mixed in with some tourists, and I
just seen people with Rams jerseys. Everyone's screaming and yelling
when the Rams did anything, when Carolina scored or did
something positive, the place was silent, and it was like, Wow,
this is one way. And you know, everyone throws the
Rams and oh, this is easy. They're gonna they're going
to destroy them because they they want revenge from the
first game, and let's just throw them in the money line, parlay.
They're lucky, they got lucky. If you had them in
the money line, you're not lucky lucky, you actually won.
But the point is, I thought the books killed it.
Their book didn't kill it, and I knew why when
he's immediately when he said it, before he said it.
So I'm looking on their live their live line. They
had plus twelve to one at one point for the Bears.
They had plus ten to one for a very long
time money line, so I guess it was twenty one
to three. Situational so betters knowing, you know, even the
public knowing, Wow, this Bear team, they've come back, you know,
seven times this year. We got to throw a hundred
bucks to win twelve hundred dollars, or one hundred dollars
to win one thousand dollars, or fifty bucks to win
five hundred in on volume wise cumulatively, the book got
killed on that bet. I was like, wow, I didn't
know that that actually happened, But I did see that
you guys were hanging plus ten to one when the
market was plus eighth to one. I did see that
they lost so much money from the public betting that
it actually surprised me. The public was sharp enough to
take the money line underdog, and the book actually like
broke even to the game where other books around town destroyed.
Speaker 3: It absolutely destroyed it.
Speaker 8: You know, these Tonight's games like a fifty to fifty game,
Like Johnny said, either way, but the key thing is
the public really hasn't even come in yet, so they
bet the games a couple hours before game time, or
better yet, five minutes before game time. When that's when
the public bets, they're betting into the most efficient market
in the world. You're better off flipping a coin just
flip a coin heads, Houston, Tails, Pittsburgh. That's all I
can tell you. I'll have a on the game, and
I have nothing to give you guys right now, nothing
in the NBA, nothing to give, no freebies out right now.
Speaker 3: I apologize, but yeah.
Speaker 2: It's one of those days. It kind of seems like,
you know, you heard Yanni. They hadn't really fired on anything.
He had a college basketball or something here or there.
But yeah, weird with that Brown injury too, or not
the injury, but the announcement he's gonna be out. You
see that Pacers line move. So it does kind of
feel like a day where where not much is being fired.
So no player prop from our man crack today, but
he may have one posted over his page wt Dot
Buzz Backslash crack Man and Bill. As we move forward
through the end of this year, Man, you've got to
be pretty pumped up for wrapping up this playoffs. It's
it's props central, right, I mean, that's that's what was
going on, So people should expect props heading over to
your page.
Speaker 8: I've been saying right in this space for months, guys,
get with me for the props, get lock me up
till the end till till the end of the Super Bowl.
All I can tell you is like, uh, there's no
other words to say. I'm not a really good self promoter.
But if you have an allergy to money, then I
understand you probably wouldn't.
Speaker 3: Want to hang around me.
Speaker 8: But if you like money, you like Betty Player props,
you like terrorizing books and book makers, get on board
right now.
Speaker 2: Love it. That's Bill, Crack him Burger. You can check
him out. He's recording K I V and Crack right
following this, so big thanks to Bill. Best of luck
to him moving forward there. And yeah, Andy, maybe maybe
I should have asked at the top, hey do you
have an NBA prop? Because the comments were saying I
was keep my eyes over here and they're like NBA prop,
NBA prop coming up. And then if you listen, if
you use your brain, Andy, I heard no NBA prop,
So so don't worry. Andy had some free plays coming up,
and the great Steve merrill Is is coming.
Speaker 1: Let's do uh, let's do all around right now, let's
do some love. We got we got some props in there,
and he's got your back.
Speaker 2: Here's some problems for you.
Speaker 1: We have tons of props. By the way, like Andrew
and I did did the show breaking Down Monday Night Football,
the prop line that is out, there's the same game
parlay and then there's tons of props in the NBA
and ANHL, So you got a lot, all right, Steelers Texans.
I just love this, Dan. I'm liking this more and
more of this. Aaron Rodgers over half yard rushing. Hey,
it's the playoffs, he's not it's throw caution the way.
It could be his last game ever, and he's had
nine six and twenty in his last three games. This
is one play, Dan, where Hunter and Anderson come off
the edge, up the middle whatever, flush Aaron Rodgers out
and it's just really slow like, but he gets there
somehow and he gets over this total. It's just one run.
So fall forward, air and cash this one. This was
a four percent client best bet on Jay Huff under
five and a half rebounds and assists. Our line was
six and a half the other day. They've lowered it
to five and a half today. I still think you
can play it. This is the pacer center who's he
just doesn't do much when he's out there. He's gone
under and seven out of his last state games, one
point six potential assists the last five games, he's averaging
ten rebound chances and he's only grabbing four rebounds. That's
awful for a center. This guy's a center, so he's
just not that great. You can take his under And
then this comes off the free picks page at wager
Talk Oilers of Blackhawks. The first period over one and
a half. The Oilers are over and four out of
the last five Blackhawks over in eight of their last
nine first periods. That comes from Buster Over at the
wager Talk Free picks page. There's some free play. Now,
let's bring Sandale and get some yes.
Speaker 2: One quick thing before we bring in Steve as you
were talking there, because that Aaron Rodgers. It's just like
a perfect like a half yard, you know what I mean.
So I went back one. He's had twenty two starts
in the playoffs, ass has Aaron Rodgers. This play has
cashed in twenty of them, twenty two going.
Speaker 1: To be a client play. This has got to be
a client play. It's too perfect.
Speaker 2: It's just pretty insane. Actually, if you look, I'm looking
on Pro Football Reference and one of those uh, there
was not a snap you technically got into the game
because he kneeled down towards the end, and that was
way back in what is that two thousand and eight?
Uh So it's actually twenty one technically games that he
played and that cast, and twenty of them we got
to go a half yard? Just needs a half who
always goes over a half yard. That's Steve Merrill. He
always goes the full nine yards or ten yards? What's
what's the saying? All I know is happy to have
you here, Steve. How's it going on Monday? How is
your weekend?
Speaker 3: Bro?
Speaker 6: It was it the whole nine yards?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 6: A yard short? You lose a playoff game like Jacksonville,
And I don't switch the NFL? Who nine yards because
of that nine yards?
Speaker 3: Dade?
Speaker 2: Yeah? By bringing your Eagles, I think, no, no Eagles talk.
I think it's assuming the whole nine yards is assuming
they have a push push play ready to go. So
that's why you only have to go the full nine yards.
Speaker 6: You can only one who, I mean, I know the
worst person on earth andy to ask this, So I'll
ask you. But how is what Buffalo did at like
on the ten yard line there possibly legal nowadays in
the NFL, and I mean it's all started because of
Dan Alexander.
Speaker 1: But it is legal. There's no rule against.
Speaker 6: When I was a kid, when I was growing up,
you couldn't carry a running back or whatever and advance
them or a quarterback.
Speaker 1: Yess you can.
Speaker 3: You can.
Speaker 6: I don't think you could. Even I was wondering about
this too. I don't think you could do that in
high school. Still, it's probably a safety issue. The rules
are always different, you know, like you're down when your contact.
Speaker 3: You know you need.
Speaker 1: College high school.
Speaker 6: But I'm saying like, I don't think we could do that,
And I don't know in the NFL you could do
that twenty years ago either. I think that's been changed.
If it looks weird, If it looks weird to me,
it's a violation.
Speaker 2: Why why would you not just get like correct and
I know where you're going to be, I know, I
want to be politically correct. Why would you not just
get someone of diminutive stature and have them be the
ball holder, pick them up and carry them. Man, you
have one person on roster who is like a horn
swaggle individual, let's put it that way, and you have
him carry the ball. You pick him up and you
run him for it. That'd be a hell of a play.
Speaker 6: The original refrigerator pair, you put him in the refrigerator,
put him in the refrigerator.
Speaker 2: The college dorm room refrigerator pair.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 6: No, Hey, Andy, you're onto something. Because I asked a
Major League Baseball umpire this question one time a few
years ago. I go, because I love these ideas, like
I go, you've been bring Pete grayback? Whoever the four
foot kui was for this? And no, it was a
you know, the Saint Louis Browns in nineteen forty, you know,
and they walked him. Dead serious about this. I've said
this for decades on radio shows, and the umpire squashed
it down. I'll tell you why. But I was like,
in come the playoffs. You put one guy in your
MLB roster. That's like, MANI me the shortest human being
you can find. If you get bases loaded, like you know,
the world said extra innings, you pinch hit him. And
this umpire told me i'd be dead serious. He did
two World Series thirty years. He goes, they could still
throw a strike to him. They're that good. I don't know.
I don't buy that. And you maybe think of the
five hundred pound sumo wrestler and goalie for NHL games.
Speaker 2: You just get him on spot by not put him
into goalie. Put it and pease asking did anyone have
the Chargers last night? If there was a team who
lost and didn't cover, I was probably on him. So yes,
I had the Chargers last night. That's that's how my
weekend went. I don't think that was a bad beat
for anybody. That was like the one game in which
probably a team did not deserve because the other games.
Did you see that stat last night before the Chargers game?
For NFL playoff games, we'd already had more fourth quarter
lead changes than any postseason in history with insane I
had to look at that five times and make sure
I was reading it right. I was only hoping they
would have had at least one more lead change and
that was in the Philadelphia Eagles game. But unfortunately that
that that didn't happen. So Steve, we need a little
palette cleanser. Let's talk a little NBA. We will get
your thoughts before we head on. I know you have
a bit a show up right now on the channel
on this Texans and Steelers game. We haven't touched much
about it, so we'll touch upon that. But first NBA action,
we got a double header for you. I'll just let
you off the lea shy and we'll let you break
down both of them. Here, Steve.
Speaker 6: A small NBA card and I like five or six games.
We do have a national TV game on Peacock Peacock
Boston and Indiana, and we also have another Eastern Conference
matchup between Philly and Toronto. And on paper, both of
these look like great games. So did you dig a
little deeper? And hey, it's early January, load management, injuries,
and we have a lot of uncertainty of both games.
Let's see if we can find an edge. We'll start
with the national TV game at seven forty Eastern on
Peacock Network, Boston at Indiana. Don't look now. The Indiana
Pacers have won back to back games after thirteen straight losses,
after a couple of weeks in which Carlo going to
get his one thousands win, they finally do it. And then,
as teams often do, when that knife bottoms, when you
don't have to catch that fall of knife anymore, the
bottoming process has occurred, they back off another win in fact,
they had lost thirteen straight, but if you dug deeper,
three of their final five losses they had covered the spread,
so it did look like they were trying to turn
the corner. They wonted Charlotte as a five point dog, obviously,
nothing crazy about that, and then they beat Miami at
home as a six point dog on Saturday. So back
to back straight up dog wins. Yesterir in decent current form,
defense starting to play a little bit better. They've gone
under and five of their last six, and Jalen Brown
is doubtful for the Celtics, and that's one of the
reasons we seen this line crash down from an opener
of nine down to five and a half for six.
I'm gonna fade the injury though, I'm gonna fade the
hotter Indiana team, and I'm gonna look at Boston in
this game. We talk about this all the time, you know,
last week here on Monday, gave out two free plays
on wager Talk today and both rebucking the injury trend,
and we went two and zero with them Denver Nuggets
without half their starting lineup. The line went from nine
to twelve to fifteen to seventeen, they won outright, and
then the LA Clippers were plus one harding was announced
out after I did the video went to three. They
won outright. So once again, if you just blindly play
these shorthanded teams, it's amazing you get adjusted line value.
Indiana is still one of the worst offensive teams in
the league. In fact, that the second worst offensive team
in efficiency out of all thirty in with al Jalen Brown. Yes,
the Boston offense will take a hit. He's their leading scorer,
but other guys can step up. We see that all
the time in the NBA. I'd actually lean towards the
Celtics minus the five and a half to minus six
as we fade the Pacers off back to back straight
up dog wins and oh, by the way, Boston coming
in here awful loss against San Antonio. Also lost in
Denver a couple games back. Big step down in class
here for the Celtics. They're short handed, but as we
see NBA teams normally step up in that role. All right,
we'll go to the other game here also at seven
to forty Eastern Philadelphia at Toronto. This line hasn't moved much.
Philly open three. It's now three and a half road
favorite totals held steady a little bit lower from the
opener of two twenty two and a half down to
two twenty one. And here again we do have some
injury information popping up mid afternoon. A couple guys are
questionable well for both teams are questionable. Of course, we
know MBAT always battling injuries. For Philadelphia, Paul George is
questionable with the knee. He's the fourth leading scorer about
sixteen points a game this season. But Toronto brandom Ingram
Thumb questionable play RJ. Barrett Ankle questionable to play to
the better players for Toronto. So a lot of uncertainty
in this game. Total has dropped a bit. But as
I always say, all the backups in the NBA can
score in their sleep and when they get a chance
to shine and use against more offense less defense. I
look for maybe a little bit of a playground atmosphere
in this game. If both teams are shorttheaded as they
might be, take a look at over two twenty one,
even a two twenty and a half now available at
circa as this line continues to drop, but I think
both offense are still capable of scoring, especially if it's
a street ball preseason mentality tonight in Toronto. Don't forget,
by the way, if you want to get my official
best bets every day, including a bonus free play, they're
on my page Steve merrillwager talk dot com. You can
get there quicker, wt dot Buzz, slash sm free play
every day on my page at wager talk dot com,
and also free Monday night football video Texan Steelers here
in the channel right now deep dob into that and
we're doing every NFL playoff game every week every day.
Don't miss out. Click subscribe, click the bell here for
an instant alert thumbs up like in a positive comment below,
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Speaker 1: I love your angle on the Boston Celtics. Like these
lines they just feel like sucker bets. It's like, oh,
the main guys out, Oh, we'll drop it five points,
and then all of a sudden, this really motivated bench
player comes in and.
Speaker 6: It's I mean, it's your Indiana Pacers, right, So I
was thinking of you as we are breaking that down.
What is your take on this team? They snap a
thirteen game streak, back to back wins. I almost kind
of feel like, now they they regress again.
Speaker 1: You know, well they should. I mean, so we started
off the year where so many people hurt that we
were just bad, and now there's no reason to win games, right,
there's no reason we have the worst record in the league.
And we have this really strange, unique situation where we
could draft one of the you know, a franchise altering
guy coming out of the draft if the cards fall right,
and then we bring back Halliburton. This is very reminiscent
of the Robinson Duncan situation where you have a main
guy injured, you tank, and then you bring back you know,
your superstar. So I hope they keep losing and yeah,
you're right, they've been a moneyline disaster, but in ats
they've actually not been that bad. But tonight they should be.
Speaker 6: And that's the thing. You know, you could see this
game they would have been nine, now it's five and
a half. You could see them losing by seven. Right,
That's like it's gonna probably fall right in between what
the line should have been.
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely, just experiment with guys, new lineups, things like that.
What are your thoughts on NFL playoffs, give the broad
picture of wild card weekend? Anything you have for tonight.
Speaker 6: Yeah, so I've got that video. People can check that out.
About ten minute deep dive into the Texas Steelers game.
And you know, on the surface, it's always risky playing
against home dogs. I think Mark Lawrence said, since nineteen
eighty they're thirty five and fifteen coming in. We saw
Carolina cover from start to finish, Chicago cover Jacksonville was
almost a pick im. I guess you could say maybe
they were a home dog at one point, but the
fact of the matter is it's a seventy percent angle
for forty some years now. So it does make you
a little going against the Steelers as a home dog.
Of a full field goal a very key number. But
then as I broke this game down more, I mean,
Houston's the best statistical defense in the NFL yards allowed
and points allowed. Pittsburgh was one in five. They got
out gained against five of the six playoff teams they
played this year, but over one hundred yards a game
on average, Houston was plus margin. The Texans started zero
to three. They're just the seventh playoff team team to
ever make the playoffs after KNOWNA three started. When they go,
I think like I only lost two games since, by
the way, only one of the other six teams have
ever won a playoff game, So I've got kind of
conflicting feelings for both sides in this one. But if
I had to play it, I would rather lay it
with the better team, and I do think that's the
Houston Texans.
Speaker 1: Couldn't agree more. If you had a bet on one
team to win the Super Bowl right now, right this
very second, you don't have time to think about right
off the top of your head.
Speaker 6: Was it so real, real quick? I said. The two
best teams are the Rams Seahawks. Obviously the Rams barely
got there, huge break though for both. For the Rams, though,
it's really setting up well here because I think Denver's
a phony one. I think Chicago's a pony two seed
with that defense. And you know, had San Francisco not
pulled the upset, then LA would have had to go
play Seattle this week. So both the Seahawks and the
Rams both caught a break avoiding each other for another round.
So I definitely think it's gonna be the winner of
that NFC championship game. Which is likely going to be
their Seattle or LA.
Speaker 1: All right, you know your free plays, we know your
free videos. Tell everyone plays wise bets. Why is what
you have up for everyone?
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's a light Monday in basketball here. Check out
my page all week does. We will have tons of
college and pro basketball best bets and that last play,
the last cup for my best bet card goes up
as a free play. So it really is a reason
to go every day if you're doing your own handicap
and building your bank roll. Check out my page with
the daily free play Steve Merrill wager talk dot com
and get there quicker, wt dot buzz slash sm.
Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, thank you so much. I mean, I hope
the FEDS step in. People are now cheering for tanking.
I truly hate the FEDS.
Speaker 2: That's gonna solve and everything the FED.
Speaker 1: Because we're sitting Andrew Nemart tonight. The FEDS need to
get involved FED. Wow, h amazing. All right, Well, I
don't think the FEDS are going to get involved, so but.
Speaker 6: I will say this guy's real quick. They want the
FEDS involved in as as far as the federal government
involved with this college in IL and all this stuff.
And I've heard some people I respect a lot, even
personal friends that aren't big government people, saying that. I
was like, what are we talking about? I was like,
when are the It's like, I guess, I guess because
Tubberville's a senator is white, there's getting some traction to,
you know, former college coach. But I'm like, if an
organization wants to pay somebody, who's it to tell you
like that, the market should correct this, right, And I
think it will. I think it's ridiculus. I don't think
you can keep paying kids six seven million bucks if
they're not performing. It's gonna self correct. But yeah, be
careful what you wish for when you want the FEDS
involved in anything, especially from a regulatory standpoint. And we've
seen that, you know all seriously, and we've seen it
with the legalized sports betting. Like we all like, this
is great minus one twenty f five lines Illinois, one
of the tax winnings against losses, right, like we're starting to.
Speaker 7: Parlay.
Speaker 6: Yeah, because they don't a little I'll leave it with this,
and this is a great sports betting analogy to a
little bit of knowledge is a very dangerous thing in
any aspect of life, Like you know the women that
always do better in the Super Bowl polls because they
don't even care. They just pick it based on the
colors of the Jersey, Whereas, like this is true, the
worst financial stock pickers and like all the world are doctors.
There's been studies on this because they're smart people, but
that's not their expertise. But they're too damn smart to
think they need help. But you get where I'm going
with it, Like a little bit of knowledge is a
dangerous thing, and I think that sums up Congress and
the federal government to a t A little bit of knowledge, a.
Speaker 2: Little mic drop, a little mic drop out of Steve there.
Steve always appreciated anybody. Good luck this Monday, and uh
and Andy, we told people we had a treat for
bos to end the program here today. And I for one,
am excited because I get to sit on sideline and
I'm just humped about this National championship matchup. But if
you remember what happened on Thursday Jove, Naiary came on
the show and he was sporting some great Miami Hurricanes gear.
Would it be the last time that he would do it?
Speaker 3: It?
Speaker 2: Apparently Will not be Andy. As the national championship is
set and we got Jouvenari in the house, It's Iu,
It's Miami, empetre check Joe. How we feel it.
Speaker 7: Feeling better than Eagle fans. I'll tell you that.
Speaker 2: Come up with the Hurricanes and you gotta hit me
with that.
Speaker 9: I mean, it's you know, I sat here on the
show with you guys last week and said, we can't
find anybody that wants to Betstamp Like no, but literally
nobody is coming up to the window and betting the.
Speaker 7: Forty nine ers.
Speaker 9: Boy oh boy, it feels a lot similar to what
I'm hearing about the University of Miami at the window
right now, finding it very difficult to find anybody coming
to the window to back the U. As this line
continues to climb. What eight eight and a half right
now is the welcome to public darling of college football?
The Indiana Whosers and.
Speaker 1: Every step of the way I get nervous with this
Indiana team, and then every time they like overcome with
flying colors. I thought going at Oregon was going to
be a loss.
Speaker 3: Nope.
Speaker 1: Did they have to comeback against Penn State? Did they
have just the I mean the dissection of of Oregon.
I will tell you, guys, that's pretty good.
Speaker 2: It's impressive. It's a one up of the T shirt show.
I thought the T shirt was great. Is even better
I have.
Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever been in a bar with
a bigger explosion of a single of a single play
than that pick six. That pick six was, I just
it was so everyone been there for hours and hours,
and everyone's hype for the game. He throws the first pick,
the roof came off. That placer was just like, you
can't spot Indiana seven points, Like this game is like
kind of over. So I'm always like nervously skeptical about
my team, Joe, but I will I will stand by
my guns.
Speaker 6: Ice.
Speaker 1: After watching your team play, I said, I think whoever
wins an IU Oregon probably has the upper hand. The
defense of Miami's really good. But I just don't know
if they have the offense to keep up. Now that
I use there, that's kind of my worry. That's kind
of my worry is defense can slow down IU, But
do you have the offense to put up twenty four
to twenty seven points? Is that what it's gonna take
to win what's your what's your target point total you're
gonna need.
Speaker 9: So it's funny because it's the we've seen the open
seven and a half, we've seen the eights eight and
a half. We have not seen a whole lot going
on with the total in this game, right forty eight
forty eight and a half. I do find it hard
to believe that this game will be a some sort
of wild shootout Andy. So I don't I get why
the total hasn't risen near fifty just yet here because
given the.
Speaker 7: State of both of these defenses.
Speaker 9: It's the thing with Indiana is that nobody Indiana has
not had to play from behind in any way, shape
or form.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 9: They have pretty much put the teams away early. In
Oregon's case, they buried themselves. In Alabama's case, they just
laid down and there was never really any pressure on Indiana. Meanwhile,
Miami Miami had to go and beat SEC great defense
Texas A and M on the road. Then they had
to take on neutral site Ohio State, one of the
best defenses in the country right now, they had to
go and do a shootout with one of the best
SEC teams in Old miss So not only have they
won rock fights.
Speaker 7: Not only have they had to go on the road
and be four and oh so far, but.
Speaker 2: Now they get to go at home.
Speaker 9: Andy, this is home, which I'm trying to figure out
if people understand what that hard Rock is going to
be like for this game, it is, Make no mistake
about it. It was a home game for your Indiana
in that in that game against Oregon because I couldn't
find any Oregon fans in the stands there. It was
Indiana all over the place. I'm telling you you're gonna be
hard press to find Indiana fans at at hard Rock
coming in. They'll want to be there, but I probably
the U fans are going to show up and show out.
This will be a whole the first home game, by
the way for Miami in a very long time. And
oh yeah, by the way, I think they only lost
once at home this year, so I think think, I
think the home factor is is gonna also play a
role in this, which is why this eight to eight
and a half is kind of laughable.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, obviously you and I are gonna get
go ahead, go head to head in some some form
or fashion. If you're betting Indiana, you're probably gonna have
to do it now. If you want to bet Miami,
just wait because, like you said, for just toping your
number and value, just wait for Miami and wait till
you start to see some buyback.
Speaker 2: So one thing that I say is I'm looking forward
because we will get Joe back on Thursday and he's
gonna talk you NFL. But you know, we'll circle back
see where the line is sitting at. But one thing
that I'm super pumped for is I think this is hilarious.
When I saw it dropped into the chat, I was like,
this is a no brainer. So this week, because these
two are going head to head and for all intensive purposes,
are not fans of each other, this week they're actually
going to be teaming up for your benefit. This Bogo deal,
I think is incredible. Ninety nine dollars gets you either
of these guys, and then you'll get access from the
other one. And I think what's exciting about this is Joe,
you're not betting cricket and darts, and yes you dabble
in player profits, but you're a side guy. You're a
total guy. You're a situational guy. So this Bogo special,
it's it couldn't be different from the two approaches you
get from you guys. So because your two teams are
facing off, we get the benefit and ride with both
of you.
Speaker 3: Guys.
Speaker 2: Joe, what are you gonna be rocking with this week?
Speaker 7: Yeah, Having said that, I do like in Indiana to win.
Speaker 3: Now, I'm only kidding.
Speaker 9: We have Yeah No to me, I think it's it's
all about diversity, right, and diversification here with anything when
you're investing in sports, right, having the ability to be
able to do some of those you know sports that
Andy has been crushing over the years here the darts
and the cricket, the prop bets, you know, I you
know that's that's his lane and he is fantastic at it.
My lane's a little bit different with the with the
sides and the totals and those types of things. So
you get to cover the whole gamut. So you're basically
getting two for the price of one across every sport.
And what difference does it make? We always laugh at it, Andy, like,
I'm fairly certain when you cash a darts ticket the
money is just as green as if you cash a
side bet.
Speaker 7: So it's the same thing.
Speaker 9: Here, only it's across a bigger scope, which gives guys
an opportunity here to diversify that portfolio.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I mean, we don't do this hardly at all, but
when the when, the when, when the situation arises, we
have to do something really special for this. So like
if I wouldn't get one for seven days, is an
absolutely smoking deal. You get all sports, all percentages, and
I have a five percent tonight, So immediately you're starting
off with a five percent play bo. So yep, yep,
I haven't decided. I've decided if I'm coming down to
see you Joe for the game, or if I get
to hang with my my buddy so I hung out
with on Friday. I think I think it would be
proper to break what I did for the semi final.
Speaker 9: I'll tell you this, This goes for any of the
Indiana fans planning on coming down to South Florida. I
did have a buddy that just spent eleven thousand on
a ticket just to get into the building.
Speaker 7: Just to get into the building, it's eleven k.
Speaker 9: Prior to Miami winning, you could get into the stadium
for about thirty five hundred bucks, which is about the
going rate when Miami won. Yeah, now you're looking at
about eleven k just to get inside of the rocket.
Speaker 2: Wow, Jo, I you better hope that you and Andy
have a hell of a week if Andy wants to.
Speaker 7: Get it before come down to Miami. I'm just saying
the Vickershaka is alive.
Speaker 9: And that's what I'd only cost seventy five thousand to
go to the University in Miami just to get into
the building.
Speaker 7: It's gonna cost you eleven twelve semester. I forget about it.
Speaker 3: Good luck.
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I'll pass. I'll pass. David says, Joe's awesome.
Had his picked Saturday on Fire. We got a shout
out for hit A plus money, boxing, Boxing best Bet.
Those are some other ones you get, So Joe, we're
gonna do this again on Thursday. But for now, guys,
locking that seven days. It's at the specials page. It's
on Joe's page, my page. You get seven days of
both Joe's and play My Place. Just by we get
one free smoking and special and then we get lined up.
Speaker 3: For the big game.
Speaker 1: So thanks for joining us, Joe. Best of luck this
week on all of our plays.
Speaker 2: Gotta love it, gotta love it.
Speaker 1: Great well done, great, well done.
Speaker 2: That's the production value out of the Joe Grenieri studios
is second to none.
Speaker 1: Really good.
Speaker 2: It was one thing having the you queued up the
actual duck good war, Yeah, good war.
Speaker 1: Before you go, should announce the winner of Friday Friday
the Pelicans and Wizards.
Speaker 2: Yes, nobody was on Andy except for probably like two
or three people. And one of those two or three people,
Brook ten nine added to your page. Right, this second
will be or soon excuse me, will be your three
day flex pass. You can obviously use that on any
handicap or you're choosing. But Andy did win you the play,
and he's got a five percenter tonight. Probably want to
use that flex pass on my man, Andy Lay.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was.
Speaker 1: What was hilarious was when you gave me that game
and I made the case. I was like, well, the
books are telling you a story. This doesn't make any sense.
The Pelicans should never be road favorites. And then afterwards
I was like, yeah, they shouldn't be road favorites. Were
like the Pelicans killed him.
Speaker 2: Like the point of the sell me segment is you
have to make a case, whether you like it or not,
and then you actually sold yourself on the play. You
were like, actually, that's pretty that makes a hell of
a lot of sense.
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, Lonnie, if you locked in for the last
two days, you have done quite quite well for yourself,
sir as well.
Speaker 2: Liam. Yeah, good, good encapsulation. That's a very very good encapsulation.
Speaker 6: All right.
Speaker 1: Uh do you know where? Do you know where I'm
going right after this?
Speaker 3: Dan?
Speaker 1: I am going to the Caesars Casinos to cashing in
all those tickets from winning the Ashes Let's Go Cricket Tournament.
Very excited about that.
Speaker 2: You know where I'm going? And You're gonna go into
goddamn moving box. That's what I'm going to do. Yeah,
we're moving from Los Angeles back to Philadelphia. This is
the week, so folks, my attendance on the show may
be a little bit spotty over over the next few days.
At the end of the week, I will be traveling,
so I will not be on the show, but I
will be here for so you're freaking But we'll be
back on Monday, locked and loaded from the the Eagle's nest.
I might have to take down a bunch of that
Eagle ship behind me. I don't know if I'm gonna
be able to look at it when I when I'm
back home. So fun stuff though, man, and great show
and best of luck. Man. I hope that five percent
cash is for you. Been a hell of a weekend,
so this has to be.
Speaker 1: The first time. If if somebody hits three in a
row on one weekend at wager Talk.
Speaker 2: We'll have to We'll have to have Ralph Michaels, we'll
be able to pull the day. There's anyone, if there's
anyone who will be started, the stat Daddy will put
a chart up on five percent success, right, Yeah, that's yeah.
Speaker 1: Well, my favorite part about you steaming about the Eagles
is that you were wearing a shirt that the first
thing actually says, be calm.
Speaker 2: So calm, be brave. It'll be okay, It'll.
Speaker 1: Be okay, all right, guys, thank you so much for watching.
Hit the like button, subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel.
I am going to cash the tickets. I invite you
to do the same with my five percent, but don't
buy one play get that Bogo special with myself and
Joe Nary start cashing today with both of our plays.
Thank you so much for watching, Dan and I will
be back to do it tomorrow. Dan on his moving week.
The only thing worse than moving is moving across country.
My heart goes out to you, Dan, so just thank
you Battle and I need Battle, and Monday it'll all
be over. So thanks for watching. Good luck on your
best to night. Take care,