Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It is Monday. It's time
for total basis extensive slate we have here today. This
was clearly the Major League Baseball rain out sort of
make up mutual off day, and I was just telling
these guys we haven't had any rain here in the
Northeast and months, so all the usual candidates for rain
out that would be making up a game today are
not playing. So it's left us with three games. So
what that means for you guys is we're gonna cover
all the games easily, and it's probably a good day
if you have any If you have any questions that
are like futures related or like just general sort of
betting questions, we can probably fit one in. But we're
gonna just be kind of going through the slate. We're
still gonna get a parlay out. I think we've kind
of each agreed to take one game and still fire
out our three teamer. So this is probably what the
show is gonna be like come playoff time anyway, so
we might as well give it a try and see
how it goes. So, Brian Leonard, I'm gonna start with
you right down the list. We're gonna get to all
three games. First game is gonna be again not a
whole lot of meaning here, so you're gonna have to
find a good way in. But it's Nationals Braves, and
it looks like we've got Mackenzie Gore, Chris Sales, So
a couple of Southpaws going in Atlanta tonight. Do you
see an angle into Nationals Braves.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a rematch to the last time this
two teams pitched, and Chris Sale might need shutout innings
of that game. Sale right now, and the Atlanta Braves
a won eighth straight games. They're at home to finish
off the season. They cannot still have a break given
season they're still going to even if they sweep the
rest of their games, I'll still have a losing year.
But hey, this is a team that we rode off
a long time ago. A lot of heart out of
this Atlanta team, so I gotta give him some credit there.
Come in about a two fifty favorite right here. Total
is seven slightly to the over, and I am going
to try to find a way to play the Washington
Nationals in this game. In that game, the Sale through
eight innings of shut out ball. Gore also through five
innings of shut out ball. And if you take a
look at what Gore has done on the season, comes
in with a four run ERA four point one five
expected one point three to two, whip, a lot of
good extension, eighty five percentl strike out right eighty second
with Rady eighty second. Is that Jackson velast. He's only
in the eighteenth barrel eighteenth in hard hit twentieth means
he can be hit. And he does throw a forty
nine percent of his pitches as fastball, which is something
you always have to take a look at. But if
you take a look at the Washington bullpen today, they're
in much better shape. I know they don't have a
very good bullpen, but nobody pitched yesterday at all. They
did have to use everybody just about on Saturday, and
in fact, Foreer had to throw forty three pitches. He
probably won't be available, but the rest of the guys will.
And when you take a look at the Atlanta Braves bullpen,
they're in really bad shape. In this one, they had
the last let's just go down the list. Iglacias pitched
the last two days. Kinley pitched two out of last
three Lee the last two Johnson the last two, died
the last two and Stratton too out the last three.
So then we got to say, well, you know, they
do have the really good pitcher on the mound to
start the game, and they do. Chris Sale has been terrific.
Comes in two point three five ERA two point seven
three expected at one point seven whip and he's been
really good at everything he does. But he's basically a
two pitch pitcher right now, a slider and his four
same great pitcher. Hate the situation here for Atlanta. I
am going to play since the line is seven means
the run line is worth a little bit more money
than it normally does. I'm gonna say, Washington plus the
one and a half looks like minus one oh five
out there, So give me Washington plus one and a
half minus one oh five in this game. It's gonna
be there. We already know what's gonna be a low
scored game to get that extra half a run for
a team who's probably gonna bat nine times where the
opponent only bats eight. I can't pass that up.
Speaker 3: What's up, guys, Yeah, it's a Monday. Take a look
at waygytalk dot com to see what we have up.
I have one MLB play up right now. I'm sure
these guys will or have already. Brian's right, this game
doesn't really mean anything, but man Atlanta has. If Atlanta
played like this to start the season, maybe they'd be
playing for something right now. But they're red hot right now.
One of the best pitchers on the mound, Mackenzie Gore,
started the season a cy young candidate. He was in
my top ten all starting pictures for the whole first
half of the season, and then since the All Star
break just dropped off a cliff. So on a curve
of thirty, I have Chris Sayle rank three, and I
have Mackenzie Gore rank seventeen out of all starting pictures
curve of thirty, Washington's bullpen is worst in MLB in
current form ranked thirty, where Atlanta's is ten, and hitting
wise Atlanta's four and I got Washington twenty two. So
I think Atlanta would be the only way to go
for me. Odds are way too juicy to do that,
So a minus one and a half for the Atlanta
Braves maybe either that or a first five minus the
half run perhaps would be how I would go on
this if I bet it.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I have to say I was very much wrong about
the Braves. I said on this show going into this
month that they would probably roll over in September, that
they really were just going to be the team that
you would probably want to fade because I felt like
it was veterans, they.
Speaker 4: Had nothing to play for.
Speaker 1: And the Atlanta Braves have won eight straight games now,
it's not going to really really there's nothing of note
to take away there. They've really been here to torment
the Tigers more than anything. But credit to the Braves.
I thought this team was gonna I just didn't see
much of a reason for them to care show up
to the ballpark to finish out this season, and they
have won eight straight. I believe since the Guardians finally
lost a game, this is now the longest active winning
streak in the league. So they're playing, you know, they're
playing good ball, I guess. Short term. That being said,
I actually kind of look at this as a letdown
spot for Atlanta a little bit, like I do think
they were embracing the spoiler role a little bit the
last couple of weeks, especially over the weekend. So this
weekend they swept the Tigers. Brian Lenards happy about that somehow. Man,
it definitely is a Monday. All my stuff just froze.
I don't know how, Like all my screens just froze.
I wanted to queue up the Braves win streak right
here because I was gonna make a point, and everything froze. Okay,
here we're back. So yes, they had the sweep of
the Nationals in as part of that eight game winning streak,
but the winning streak started against the Astros and then
this weekend they went up to Detroit and won three
three straight games. Now they come back home to play
the Nationals again, who they just smacked around and beat
four times in a row. So you have to ask yourself, like,
for you know, is this a little bit of a
kind of like not the best spot for the Braves.
Speaker 4: Brian already pointed out the bullpen is very, very tired.
Speaker 1: Last two days six to five win over the Tigers,
six to two win yesterday used most of their leverage arms,
so that's certainly a concern. The only concern I have
for the Nats is they really don't line up well against.
Speaker 4: Left handed pitching.
Speaker 1: So I'm assuming this total is what's the total here
is its seven.
Speaker 4: I don't think I could get Yeah, I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't think I could get down with the seven,
But I do think it might be a low scoring game,
So I think I'll roll with Brian here.
Speaker 4: NAT's plus one and a half does make some sense.
Speaker 1: You get the extrat that I'm not gonna give Atlanta
like a huge bump for being at home in a
game that's like just doesn't have much meaning. I don't
think they're gonna have a ton of juice in the ballpark.
The bravest thirty six and thirty nine at home this
season not much different than what they are on the road.
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think Brian's kind of nailed this one.
Speaker 1: Nats plus one and a half definitely getting good line
value with the visitors, the extra at bat, the run
to work with, So so yeah, I could see that
being being the right side. This is an interesting question,
Memphis money. Do you guys pay for sites to help
with your capping? That's it, I said, I just saw
this in the chat, and I think this is very
interesting because I think I think people want to know this.
Speaker 4: They've asked me from time to time.
Speaker 1: Uh my answer is absolutely if I if I find
something like, and this is maybe more so for college basketball, Like,
let's put it this way. If I find a product
that's typically a numbers sort of based product that's going
to help me generate like a baseline or a projection
or or or something to go off of, I will.
Speaker 4: It doesn't matter what it costs. I'm happy to pay it.
Speaker 1: The nice thing is for baseball, a lot of that
stuff is free. A lot of like the best stuff
out there for MLB fan graphs that you know, a
lot of that stuff is free. College basketball, they figured
out how to monetize it. Everything costs money. But yes,
if I think it's going to potentially help me generate
a number, then I'll do it. So I'll throw it
to you guys, because there's no Yeah. I mean, I
think the answer is yes, if it's a good enough product.
The problem is there's a lot of bad products out there.
Speaker 2: Yeah. I spent a lot of money on it. I
played fantasy Baseball, so I pay for fantasy websites that
give you more detailed analysis. I pay for pitching websites
that tell me what changes the pitchers are making. I
paid Fangraphs. I've talked about that park all park pal website.
There's a lot of them out there that I gladly
pay for because it saves me time and money, and
that gives me more time to handicap the games and
search for the best lines possible. And it's just not
in baseball, it's for other sports too. And I've also
in the past bought plays from other handicappers that handicap
something that I don't and that way gives me another edge.
Or you know, I'm not going to release the place
like some people do, but I uh that. Yeah, there
are people to do that, but I will use it
for my betting. And if you know, I bought back
before I started handicapping hockey, I bought hockey plays from
other guys that had success in the past because I
didn't handicap it. I don't follow soccer, but if I
did a little bit, i'd probably buy some. We got
some good soccer guys on the site. I'd buy those two.
So yeah, I'm just like everybody else. I'm trying to
get the biggest edges I can and trying to win
as much money I can on a daily basis, and
all these things add up and saves me time and money.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I pay for fangrafts. And also there's a Japanese
site that I pay to get all the statistics for
Japanese baseball. It's in Japanese, but in this day and age,
it's very easy to convert if you can't read Japanese.
But I'd leave it in Japanese. Its just do it
that way. Yeah, there's a couple.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: And for me, especially when it comes to like once college,
who gets here and stuff, if I can find some
if I I like, because there's so it's almost like
there's a new one every day and then and then
the thing you have to really be careful with is
like what is their import data or what data are
they inputting to get, you know, like what they're what
they're saying or something. For me, it's like if I
can find stuff that I don't think the books are
pricing into the number, like that is super valuable. That's
that's the kind of info I want, Like it's you know,
so for me, like man, if if there was something
that was just like just really really good up to
data like following injury type stuff, I would pay for
that in a heartbeat. My buddy Corby and I tend
to do it on our own and like just he's
message people on.
Speaker 4: Instagram before players, hey are you playing tonight?
Speaker 1: It actually and we've gotten responses believe it or not,
but yeah, any Nan says aiss access to all staff
based websites.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I I did not. I was.
Speaker 1: I'm not an early adapter to AI, but like our
one of our bosses, Johnny Detroit, has been sort of
talking about AI for years and and the stuff that
it does is absolutely terrifying. How how much info you
can just sort of get if you know what to
put in AI, it spits out. You're like, oh wow,
that's like accurate. It took two seconds. You're shaking your head. Brian, Yeah,
that's scary. It's it's scary.
Speaker 2: How I've got my brother in law since retired, but
he was shot in the in the UH in duty
when he was a cop, and I just got on
just tell me about blah blah blah blah and what
and it came back and he was just amazed and
they knew so much about him and the incident. It's
just it's it's very easy to do. But unfortunately, uh,
maybe going a little bit too fast for us. But Hey,
I won't be around when all that happens anyway, so
but we'll, uh, there's a lot of good information out there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is like probably the best point Steve.
Steve makes a really good point here, garbage and garbage out.
You have to you have to know what info is
going in and sort of like how you're evaluating it.
And that's why I'll never be like a quote unquote
just numbers handicapper. I'm always just gonna use them as
a starting point because it's it's very difficult to just
trust numbers. And in my opinion, like you can have
the number, it can give you a starting point, but
I've I've got to be able to like talk myself
into a side or it's got to make sense for me,
or I can't bet it, whereas I do think a
lot of people just are like, well, my number is this,
so this is a bet. I can never That'll never
be me. I just I can't wrap my head around
just doing that. But Yeah, for a great point by Steve.
And that was a very good question. I you know,
I was kind of like told myself today, you know,
because we've got some extra time, I was gonna look
in the chat and if there was something interesting, I
was going to uh bring it up. That was a
great question. I think Memphis Money asked that. That was
a really good question right there. All right, and if
you have any other ones, like I said, we're you know,
we've got a little extra time today, we'll hit them.
In the meantime, let's go to game number two. We
are headed out west. It's going to be so it
looks to be like they definitely scheduled a couple games
in places that they didn't think it was going to
rain because I'm telling you, like this was clearly like
the day where it's like, Okay, if you have a
rain out, we can't get it in. You're gonna have
to go play today. And so the other two games
are West Coast, nice beautiful San Diego, probably not getting
many rainouts of Petco Park. So it's Brewers, Padres, Freddy Peralta,
Nick Poveta kick us off, Brian Letter.
Speaker 2: First off, I think you're giving the Major League Baseball
schedule maker too much credit. We've seen that.
Speaker 1: Do they still do it by hand? Didn't they do
it by hand for a long time?
Speaker 2: They had used a couple I believe a moment and
a man married couple did it for a lot of years.
But yeah, if they do something right, it's probably luck
involved because they put up games against Monday night football
and these other things. And yeah, anyway, Paralton Paveta to
the guys. You know, they're in the cy Young category
and they're fighting for VOTs. They're not going to win,
but they both having really good seasons, and congratulations to
both of them, especially san Diego who got Veta for
virtually nothing in the off season. Great great signing for them.
But Paralta and Paveta too, if you guys have great seasons.
We've got Paveta here at about a one nineteen one
twenty favorite and you've got Peralta about seven on the total,
slightly to the over Keep in mind Milwaukee has now
clinched their spot. Not that they're not going to try
the rest of the season, but they're stuck where they're at.
They were one hundred percent in. The Cubs are stuck
where they're at. They're one hundred percent in. No changes
going on there, so we will see some changes in Milwaukee.
I know they were going to put Menzerowski in the
bullpen and unfortunately they just had the injury to Woodriffs,
so now they may not be able to do that,
but they've got so many guys in the mind that
could pitch in the playoffs. They're pretty goods, still in
pretty good shape. But it's it's sad to see would
have come all this way back and now not be
able to likely pitch in the playoffs. We're all to
two point sixty five ERA three point three one expected
one point oh seven whip. The only thing is is
walk rate's a little a little high in the twenty
six percentile only in the ground ball rate. But he
tends to pitch towards if it's if it's the guy
that gets he thinks he can just put him on,
he'll go to the next guy. And it seems to
have worked out something well for him in his career.
Nick Pavetta two point eight one ERA A three point
nine five expected zero point ninety seven whip. If you
take a look at his stat gas bag, it really
does not show that he has been that good this year.
In fact, the last two years he was four point
one four and four point oh four eras and the
whips were much higher. His barrel rates ten percentile, hard
hit rate sixteenth percentle ground ball rate tenth percent, hele
amag jaxa velocity twenty second. He's begin hit pretty well
this year. Now he does throw six different pitches. That
helps sens an eighty fifth percentile. Streak out and walk
rates are good. But when you see a guy with
a two point eight one you already with one hundred
and seventy six innings, you'd like to see a little
bit more red on a stackcast page, which tells me
he may be a little bit overrated coming into this game.
So there may be some value on Milwaukee, But do
you really want to play the Brewers when they've just clinched.
They've had their party. And I do like the way
the manager thinks he puts in a lot of guys
all season long, gives him a lot of breaks. I
doubt if we will see some of the veterans in
today's game, and so that's a concern. So I'm not
finding any value here. But maybe one of you will
be able to get selfa get us part of a
parly bet here.
Speaker 3: Yeah. I don't know why the Brewers are underdogs, but
probably the only reason would be because they're not really
playing for anything in San Diego is these guys are
human beings, and you know, urgency is a little thing there.
You know, there's a difference between having your spot already
secured and going out there and hitting and hitting in
the bottom of the ninth with two outs and bases loaded.
It's a big difference inside your head. So these guys
are human beings. No urgency for Milwaukee, but they're still
very talented and these guys do care a lot about
their own stats. They do this, they use this in
negotiating new contracts, and so if the starters are out there,
they're going to be trying their darness to hit the ball.
Granted they will have almost no urgency to do so.
The Padres, despite being in an urgent situation or playing
like Doggie, do they look awful. They just look terrible.
This team looks like a team. This team looks like
they're in the position at the Atlanta Braves, and they're
playing awful. Despite having extremely high level talent in their
lineup and extremely talented bullpen and a pretty good rotation.
These guys are just playing awful. And I don't know
how to explain why Pavetta has looked great this year,
but against these Brewer batters, he does not look very good.
He's got sixty three at bats against. He's got a
three to seventeen average against them, a nine to thirty
four ops against, which is really bad. Probata has great
stats against these padres, a one to twenty five average
against in a four point fifty four OPS. So I'd
like to play Milwaukee, but I can't given the fact
that they're not really playing for anything. But I do
want to play their team total somehow. Maybe a team
total over first five innings over one and a half
would be a pretty good bet. I'll think about king
Milwaukee my parlay my parlay leg maybe plus one and
a half with Milwaukee. It'll probably be quite juiced, but
since it's the parlay leg, I think I could. I
think I could do that. I think even if they lose,
I think they're not going to lose by a big margin.
So I think Milwaukee plus one and a half will
be my parlay leg for this.
Speaker 2: You're laying about two on that, Yeah.
Speaker 3: I figured it would be bad. I'll consider that. I'll
think about that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna I'm actually gonna bump you to the
to the last game. Well, I'm gonna take Brewers. Money
line here, I'm just that so you'll get the last game,
I think. So my whole thing is I agree with
a lot of what you said, and I'm just gonna
I'm just gonna make your decision easy and take Brewers.
Speaker 4: What are we looking at like plus one ten or so?
Speaker 2: Plus one on?
Speaker 1: Where are we at.
Speaker 2: Bruis maybe one of eight or so. But yeah, So
what I.
Speaker 4: Don't understand here is why why now?
Speaker 2: Out?
Speaker 1: Why now? Is suddenly like the Brewers have been locked
into this spot for weeks? Really, I mean yeah, so
maybe they rest a couple guys. They've been doing that
for weeks and everyone plays. So to me, to me,
the odds like nothing that this is no different than
the spot the Brewers have been in for the past
three weeks. Essentially they've had they've they've had the Division
one for weeks. They've essentially been the best team in
the National League for weeks. So it's like, I don't
understand why now they're suddenly like, oh, we're just gonna
price them like they don't care. It's like, well, they've
been playing, they've essentially been in this same situation for
like the past couple of weeks, they've still played pretty
good balls. Last ten games six and four to today's
game is no different than any of the last ten
games for the Brewers, even if something to quote unquote
official now the Cubs have had zero shot at that
division for a month, so that's that's irrelevant. I don't
really think they're a huge difference between finishing with the
best record in the NL and the second best record.
I think we, as like people that evaluate the league
care about that more than the players do. I think
it's more or less like, oh yeah, if we finish
with the best record.
Speaker 4: It's nice.
Speaker 1: But it's just not something that's like, you know, I
don't think they're going out there like we got to
hold the Phillies off. I just don't think that's how
these teams think. I think, again, if it happens, it's great.
So I just think you're gonna get the same effort
you've gotten from the Brewers game in and game out,
which has been very very good. Team is ninety five?
Where do they go? Ninety five and sixty one a
one to eighty one plus what eighty one run differential?
Forty five? And thirty three against good teams. Those are
above five hundred teams. That's what the Padres are still.
You know, whether they've been playing good or not. I
mean they've played better over the weekend. They won both
of their weekend games after losing the opening to the
White Sox. Although I do agree with Tokyo brand and
they haven't. I haven't exactly been impressed with Padres baseball
in a while. I think every once in a while
to win a game or two, but the overall sort
of like what I'm watching on the field is is
he's right in the respect it doesn't match up to
the talent they have in that organization.
Speaker 4: Then you come to this matchup.
Speaker 1: I still think of getting the better arm in Peralta,
and the Padres used some pen the last couple of
days to close out those two games against the White Sox.
Speaker 4: So the price is just off, like what happens will happen.
Speaker 1: But I just don't think you should like I just
don't think the Brewers should be plus one ten here,
and I feel like the reason they're plus one ten
is because this mindset that like, oh okay, there's nothing
to play for yet they haven't had anything to play
for for three weeks. So I'm going to make my
parlay lake Brewers plus one ten, And I think you
guys agree with me anyway, So I feel like I
made your decision easy there TV yep, oh all right,
And I think there was a point that turnbuckle Toby,
where did it go? He made a good point about
the pricing in this game. He said, what do you
think about the Brewers at plus Buddy? Well, I just
gave my there. But yeah, they're they're they're slight. They're
minus one o five for the first five plus one
o five for the full game. That's also interesting because
the full game sets up better for the Brewers. I
think the Brewers bullpen sets up a little bit better
than the Padres does here.
Speaker 4: Based on usage.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think there's a lot of value from
a straight value number standpoint, Brewers plus one ten makes
a lot of sense in my opinion.
Speaker 4: And again Sean makes the point.
Speaker 1: But like we kind of we kind of talk about
this a lot, like the whole need to win, have
to win, as Brian Leonard says, if you need to
win at this point in the year, you weren't that
good in the first place. I still think the Padres
are a good team, but and he's saying, yeah, like
Milwaukee Pops and Bottles last night. Yeah, I still don't
think they should be an underdog here. So again, not
the best slate, but uh, I'll take them plus money.
Still think they're a better team than the Padres, and
the setup is good enough for plus one ten. Okay,
let's go to.
Speaker 4: The last game again.
Speaker 1: If you have a just a general question, well, we're
happy to hit it here in the last half hours.
So we do have one more game to talk about.
This will be Tokyo Brandon's parlay leg so I'll let
Brian start us off in San Francisco, a team that
I guess is still still in the mix, at least
for now, three games out of that last wild card spot,
although there's a bunch of traffic ahead of them, so
I don't know if they can overcome that, but they
are three back. They did win yesterday, and so I
guess you would call this a must win for the
Giants at home against the Cardinals.
Speaker 4: How are you seeing this one?
Speaker 2: San Francisco currently with a zero point two percent chance
to make the playoffs. Yeah, we've got San Francisco, mcgravy
and Verlander. Yeah, San Francisco is about a one forty
five favorite total seven and a half over twenty eight
under one fifteen or so. First thing that pops out
of me about this game. We've got Gore and Sale
with a total of seven, Oralta and Paveda with a
total of seven. McGreevy and Verland are total seven and
a half. That's too low. I mean, I know Verlander's
pitching well right now, and mcgreevy's a guy I like.
But granted, San Francisco don't runs don't come very easy,
but they don't cover very easy in San Diego either,
And we're getting this line at seven and a half
over twenty. To me, if I were to play this game,
I would play the over. We're taking a look at
here at McGreevy four point oh eight era four point
four to seven expected at one point two whip if
if Stack has Page is really interesting because the fastball
velocity ex fastball velocity, whiff strikeout relates are really low,
but his walk rate's really good, barrel rate, hard hit rate,
ground ball rate, and extension really hot. He's a hard
guy to feel figure out. He throws seven pitches, which
is if you locked watching me in the past. I
love young guys that don't depend on one pitch is
twenty five percent. He throws the most overall, so he
really uses every pitch he's got. Justin Erlander, who would
have thought three point seventy five ERA at this time
of the year three and ten record? Last year he
had one point seven to five higher ERA and he
went five and six. Just tells you wins and losses
don't mean anything. But anyway, ERA three point seven five,
ERA four point one five expected one point three four
whip on his stack gass Page. Ground ball rates terrible
at twelve percent. Extension is terrible at fourteen percent, but
it's you don't have hit too many home runs in
San Francisco, so that hasn't affected him. Everything else he's
hard to ranged seventy four percent. Everything else is basically
league average. It's a little bit lower. So he's pitched
better than what we've thought. But do you take the
small sam size for Orlander? Or do you take the
large sample size? Saint Louis isn't a bad hitting team.
They've got their third basement back now. I like the
alver in this game over that seven and a half
of mich one twenty to me is a bargain if
you're gonna play a total. I think this is the
nicest total on the board. We'll see what TV has
to say.
Speaker 3: So both of these teams are playing pretty poorly right now.
I've got San Francis. San Francisco is one of the
only teams in MLB that I have ranked twenty fifth
or worse in both hitting and bullpen So they're not
playing very well. They're not playing like a team that
still has a possibility of making the playoffs, although they
pretty much don't have a possibility after last week that
they played just so awfully last week and kind of
lost their chance. In my opinion. St. Louis playing better actually,
and although they don't have much to play for, they're
ranked higher in batting and bullpening current form right now.
McGreevy and Ferlander, Yeah, I got them both ranked pretty
much neck and neck. I got them both ranked eighteen
out on a curve of thirty, So neither one is
really putting fear into their opponents. Looking at very Lander's
last few games, though he's pitched quite well, he's only
given up one earned run in his last three starts.
That's pretty impressive. McGreevy in his last three starts has
given up seven, but one of those was a six
a six burger against these San Francisco Giants, So what
does that say. Well, I doubt he's going to give
up six runs in two games in a row against
the same team. A lot of people say the second
matchup favors the hitters, but I don't know if I
buy into that so much, because the pitcher gets to
know the batters as well, and the pitcher's the one
has to do more thinking than the batter, So I
don't know. I think second matchup pretty even depends on
who the picture is. In my opinion, I'm gonna take
Saint Louis plus one and a half for my Parlay
Lake here. I think I think even if Saint Louis loses,
I think it'll be a tight game because they have
the better bullpen and they have the better hitting in
my opinion, so uh yeah, I'll take Saint Louis plus
one and a half for my Haarley leg here. I
think mcgreevy's pitching a little better than his stats show.
Speaker 2: I'm very happy on that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm very happy with how the parlay came out.
If you were like, hey, Trey, give me a three
team or for today, I would have picked all your
guys legs. I would have said Nats plus one and
a half, Brewers and Cardinals and Cardinals.
Speaker 3: Underdogs. Yeah, but underdogs are winning lately. It's it's weird,
but in MLB, a lot of underdogs are winning lately.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I just think there's a there's a high level
of randomness at this point in the season, and a
lot of these games, I mean, we are in the
home stretch for a lot of these teams, and and
I just think that there's not as big of a
difference between favored or underdogs. So you know, you're you're
probably getting much better bang for your buck on the
dogs in a lot of these cases. As far as
this matchup's concerned, I talked about so I made a
four percent best bet on the Cardinals last time a
grievy pitch he went out shut down the Reds. He's
a guy that I'm I'm very high on going into
next year. I think I think he is is very
close to figuring it out, and he may and last start,
his last time out may have been was was kind
of for me, like okay, like he he sort of
really like understands what he wants to do now. Brian
brought it up. Really good pitch micks, seven different pitches.
You don't see that often. You don't see that often
from young guys, especially when they get to the majors.
You know, sometimes like these these five to six pitch
guys at Triple A, it's like, well, yeah, you don't
need to have you can kind of throw whatever, and
if you have a couple of good pitches, you're fine.
Then you get to the big leagues and it's like, Okay,
I can't throw my cutter here because that's gonna get crushed.
I can't throw my change up here because I leave
it in the zone and they'll figure it out. And
so you see, like a six pitcher five pitcher become
a two or three pitch pitcher and typically it doesn't
go well. And so that's like, that's something that's really
made me excited about McGreevy is he's throwing five six pitches.
He seems to throw most of them well, and he
throws them all off of his fastball, which is very
He locates extremely well, so he locates the fastball, which I.
Speaker 4: Think is huge for him.
Speaker 1: It goes back to like all of these different pitchers
right now that are having success that maybe shouldn't have success,
there's one sort of common thread, and it's like, it
doesn't matter if they have ninety six, ninety seven, ninety eight.
It's all about where you're throwing the fastball, right Like.
It's the reason guys like Ben Lively, I know he's
hurt right now, have been able to come back and
be awesome. Since they've come back, they can you know,
they put the fastball. They might throw ninety one ninety two,
but they can put it wherever they want, and suddenly
the rest of their repertoire is very effective.
Speaker 4: I see a lot of that when I watch mc
grievy pitch, because.
Speaker 1: He's not getting swing and miss, he's not really getting
you the chase, but he can kind of put the
pitches where he wants, and you see, you know, he's
not not walking anyone. Guys are having a hard time
barreling him up. Doesn't really give up a ton of
hard hit, and I think it's made him, It's going
to make him a very effective pitcher going forward as
he can continue to like tweak that locate better. And
he was a great last time out against the Red
So in this scenario, Verlander, he's been awesome. But I
still think there's a blow up in there somewhere. Who knows,
maybe he gets to the end of the season when
it doesn't happen. But he's to me like I thought
he was gonna get crushed at some point. Play I
played against Verlander last week with the Diamondbacks. They couldn't
hit him. I don't know what that was about, but yeah,
I'm with you TV. It's got to be the Cardinals here.
And I don't mind. I don't mind the one and
a half in the parlay there was another Here's here's
a question. I mean, we have to at least bring
this up. I have an answer here. I'll go to
Brian Leonard first, though Mark Kinsen he said, in all seriousness,
what happened to the Tigers. I have a pretty good
answer here, but I want you guys to go first
to Brian Leonard. What happened to the Tigers? And if
you want to throw some thoughts about the Guardians pulling
it off, feel free to do so.
Speaker 2: Tigers were never as good as they were or when
we thought they were good, and they're not as bad
as they are right now, but they're starting to feel
the pressure. There was no pressure on them all says
as long. It's tough to play with pressure. Look at
the mess MAT's had the second highest payroll in baseball
and yet they're may not make the playoffs now. I
said it when Detroit was great, I said, they've got
the best, in my opinion, one of the best two
managers in Major League Baseball. But they had a lot
of guys that were having career years in the first
half of the season. They've all fallen apart. Other than
the first basement, He's been very good all season long.
But a lot of these pitchers, you know, Detroit's had
a lot of injuries. For pitchers. De Troy's god like
three guys that I really like, but because of injuries,
they haven't been able to really pitch this year and
next year. I really like this pitching staff for Detroit.
I think I think Detroit's gonna run away with this
division next year, but it's this year. They just it's
a pressure thing. And even for us when we're handicapping
games and we're on losing streaks. It happens to everybody.
You get tightensed up and you'll say, well, instead of
putting that five plays, I'll put out one play. And
you know, okay, you put out the one play and
it loses and the other four win. You're questioning yourselves
and that's the way the Detroit Tigers are doing. They're
questioning themselves right now and it's really getting into their heads.
And Cleveland with the run there on. Although I blame
yesterday's loss on the manager, is he Sebrawski's in there
is a lefty. He hadn't pitched in two days. I
know he did warm up, but they they replaced him
with Festa. And then Lee turned around and went from
his week of position of batting right handed to his
strong power position of batting left handed. Hits a two
run homer and the los I call him the tribe.
Cleveland loses. But I've not been happy with the Cleveland
manager this year, but he did. He's gotten them more
than they are and that's better than what I ever
thought they would get there. But yeah, Detroit somewhere in
the middle. But next year, Next year is the time
you want to bet on the Tigers before the season.
Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty much agree with Brian. They were playing way
over their heads in the first half of the season.
Speaker 2: They're pretty they're an above.
Speaker 3: Average team with that's well put together and a good manager.
But the problem with the Tigers is if they can't
manufacture runs, small ball runs, then they can't win. And
if they don't win win scoobls on the mound, then
they're probably gonna lose the series. That's just the way
the Tigers are. They don't have much of a rotation.
They have a lot of scrappy guys who can when
they get The thing with the Tigers was in the
first half, all of them have had hitting streaks at
the same time. So that's that's why they were such
a juggernaut. And now they're kind of coming back to earth.
They're just they're they're an above average team. They're not
a World Series team in my opinion. They're they're they're
they're they're on the brink of a playoff team basically,
and they played way over their heads in the in
the beginning of the season, and I think now, like
Brian said, they're playing worse than they actually are. But yeah,
they're they're an above average team, so that's probably whether
where they will end up.
Speaker 1: So I think they're a below average team from a
talent standpoint, And I've said this since the beginning of
the year. I felt like I felt like that you
can you can go back to that Mariner series right
before the All Star break when they get swept and
then they obviously had five All Stars, so they you know,
they kind of and like Brian was saying, they had
such a big lead, it was like, all right, you know,
well they kind of mailed it in for that Mariner series.
Then they had guys who go to the All Star Game,
so of course those guys coming back there was a
little bit of a hangover. Suddenly they lost eight straight
games or whatever it was nine in a row. Still
didn't matter, still had a huge lead, but they've never
like if you go back to the beginning of the year,
I was watching Tiger's spring training games and one of
the things they said was like they kept saying like
this team is built on pitching and defense, Like they
pretty much admitted in the spring, like yeah, we're not
really sure about this, like our lineup, we don't we
don't know that we have like they said without saying that,
if we're gonna win games, it's gonna have to be
two to one type games.
Speaker 4: Small like TV was saying small.
Speaker 1: Ball, aj Hinch out managing the other manager, stuff like that,
And I just think right now, like he's it's not
like they're not trying, but like like you were saying, Brandon,
you get past Schooball, like yeah, you got a generational
talent starting pitcher Cy Young, candidate Cy Young, like you know, winner,
Like he's is as good as it gets. After that,
it's like, you know, Hint is just out there trying
to mix and match. He doesn't have a great lineup.
It's a it's a below average talent lineup. The his
his sort of allotment of pitchers isn't as good as
it was last year. And I think you're just starting
to see like, okay, you can't. You know, there's a
reason that a a quote unquote bullpen game. There's a
reason not everyone's doing it right like there that no
other team is really like all all getting to a
point in to a series or a rotation where they're like, yeah,
let's go with a bullpen game. It's because it typically
doesn't work. And last year I think it was like
incredible the rate at which the Tigers were winning, piecing
together like nine innings from their bullpen, and now they're
trying to do it at times this year it's just
not working. And and the offense, like you guys were
saying they were having career years in the first half.
This was never a great offense anyway. So to me,
like the Tigers, I I gotta be honest, I don't.
I don't know that they're like much of a playoff team.
I think if they do get in at this point
that they're just I don't see any they don't have
any talent, So I don't and and unless they like
all of the start and get back to like just
doing everything correctly and winning games two one, like, they're
not better than these other teams that they're gonna be
playing against.
Speaker 4: So that's my that's sort of my take on that.
Speaker 1: I just think that the lack of talent has caught
up with them and they can't overcome it anymore. And
now you mix in the pressure that Brian has brought up,
it's like the it's a literal it's the literal recipe
for disaster, and that's what you're seeing play out good
question markins and that was that was that was a
good That was good. Now how do you action that? Like,
what's actionable off that? Since this is a betting show,
I don't know. I'm probably fading the title. Well, let
me go back to you, Brian. If the Tigers get in,
are you worried about them? Is it almost like do
you think they get rejuvenated by holding out to the
playoff spot?
Speaker 4: I'm talking about next week once we have playoffs.
Speaker 2: Actually, if Detroit gets in, I probably will be on
them because the value of everybody's thinking they backed into
the playoffs, Well, all that pressure is off. Once they're
in the playoffs. Hey, then it's a whole new ball game.
You see that in college basketball a lot of times
when you get to the tournament time when you're playing tea. Yeah, yeah,
when you're when you're playing in those games. So they
get a second chance. And that's the way I look
at it. Tried staying personality what they've had all season
for the most part, but the pressure has been high
on them. But if I could catch them against a
popular team like the Yankees or something to that, fact
or even Toronto. Then I'm looking to I think there's
there will be value on Detroit. Don't know if we'll
get there, but if we get enough value, it's worth
playing well.
Speaker 1: Before we go to TV. Because I want you guys
to both do you do you have anything? Do you
want to very quickly give us something you're looking for
for this series starting tomorrow? Because obviously, like what bigger
series is there in Major League Baseball right now than
Tiger's at Guardians the next three days. So are you
looking for a way into that series? Have you thought
about it yet?
Speaker 2: I had not seen the matchups yet. I don't think
Cleveland's announced them, but you Troit, as has said, who's
going to go? Normally, I play against what happened the
last time they play, for example, with the with the
sales situation, and we talked about the game earlier, and
these teams know each other very well. Home valued is
very low in this division. So I'll try to find
probably find ways to play Detroit and if I'm not
gonna win with my favorite team, at least I can
max the money.
Speaker 3: Yeah, regarding the Tigers, I think they're if they get in,
I think they're already in the playoffs, right, I mean.
Speaker 4: No, not even close.
Speaker 1: They are.
Speaker 4: They are on their way out the door if they
don't win a game this week or like a game
this week.
Speaker 1: But they're only one game ahead of the Guardians, and
I think they would be tied for the last wild
card spot right.
Speaker 2: It's amazing tis Houston right now and they have the
tiebreaker and they really Schandle, congratulations to you on that.
By the way, Trick Saddle's look looking looking good.
Speaker 1: A great result for the Mariners this weekend.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, it's like ten games ahead in their division.
Speaker 2: That's a half up at one point.
Speaker 3: Fifteen and a half. Amazing how far they fell. But
look at their starting rotation. They got Jack Flerty arguably well,
he's definitely a top two pitcher in MLB. He's either
one or two. And then after that, uh, I mean Scooble, Scooball. Sorry,
after that, they got Flaarty, miz In Montero and those guys.
Those none of those guys you would call an ace.
I wouldn't call any of those guys a second starter.
Bad rotation. Uh, and their bullpen's not very good either,
So yeah, I wouldn't put a lot of hope in Detroit. Uh,
Cleveland's playing like crazy right now, Likeconi had another like
eight inning, one hit or one.
Speaker 2: Earned long man. That guy.
Speaker 3: Since he was since he was at Arizona, he's been
a thorn in my side because I want to fade
him so bad because his peripherals look so horrible. But
then he goes out there and he throws like he
did the other day, like eight inning, one earned run
or three hit, one earned game. You know, I don't
know what to make of that guy, but he's He's
number four in their rotation. They got Biby Williams and
Logan Allen. Those are not guys that strike fear into
anyone either. The thing about Cleveland is they're raking right now.
So yeah, I mean, who thought a month ago that
Cleveland even had a shot of making the playoffs. Probably nobody.
But now they're just playing like fire. They're playing like
Detroit played in the first half. So pretty crazy stuff.
I think Detroit and San Francisco, those two teams are
absolute fades from here on out, in my opinion.
Speaker 4: So interesting. I just pulled up the division market.
Speaker 1: It looks like a lot of these places still have
the Tigers priced like minus won sixty minus went sixty
five minus went seventy.
Speaker 4: To win the division. I guess I understand why.
Speaker 1: Well, you're gonna get schoobled twice, most likely because he's
pitching tomorrow, and then you would have to think that
it's his ball on Sunday if it's a meaningful game.
So they've they've got it set up where it's gonna
be Schooble tomorrow and then Schooble again on Sunday unless
they don't need him for some reason.
Speaker 3: He's been getting tagged lately though.
Speaker 1: Well, what I was gonna say is, I still think
I would fade them all for all six of their
games are on the road against teams that might need
to win. They're gonna go three against the Guardians, three,
three at Fenway. That's what they end with, three at
the Guardians, three at Fenway. Like that's I don't know
that I make them a minus one seventy price to
win that division under those circumstances, when you'll have the
Guardians at home, and then the Guardians get to close
at home with Texas who looks like they've they've mailed
the season in.
Speaker 4: At this point yeah, good pint so.
Speaker 3: Google's been getting hit lately too. He's not invincible.
Speaker 2: If they if they use have to use Scooball on
the finals ton Day, that means he pitches the third
game of the series. Oh that throws them and batshit
if they've got to use.
Speaker 3: School, I mean, yeah, Flairity is not horrible, but I
mean he's it's kind of unpredictable as well. He's really
good at home and pour on the road. But yeah,
not a guy you want to like you want your
playoff hopes dependent on, right.
Speaker 1: I actually think that that's like potentially worth the worth
of bet, like, if you're trying to, if you're if
you're Since we have again we have a little exture
time will dig into some of the other markets. Like,
I think that pricing is off. I understand what they're
I think they've put I think the books are and
I only looked one place to obviously shop around. I
think they're looking at saying well, we've got a price
Schooble being like whatever a favorite in twice, but actually,
what what is Schooble favored on the road against the
Guardians and the Red Sox at this point minus one sixty.
Speaker 4: What's he gonna be. What do you think the line
tomorrow is going to be higher than that?
Speaker 2: Bryan depends on who he's going against.
Speaker 1: It looks like it's gonna be Gavin Waits Williams.
Speaker 2: There'll be one ace of the Guardians. It's against a
She's probably.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. I don't think you're gonna get
higher than in that game right now. I'm guessing that
that price opens something like minus one fifty minus one
forty minus one fifty. And then you're talking about at
you know, at Fenway could be different. If the Red
Sox have nothing to play for on Sunday, that's a
little bit different. I think the Guardians, if you can
get like plus so I'm looking just I looked at
one spot, it's like plus one twenty five.
Speaker 4: You can probably find better than that.
Speaker 1: If you can find better than that, absolutely worth worth
a bet because.
Speaker 3: It'll be higher than that. I think it'll be one sixty.
Speaker 2: Book.
Speaker 1: No, I'm talking about the Guardians to win the division.
Speaker 4: Guardians to win the division should be like okay, because.
Speaker 1: You're gonna get six home games from the Guardians, three
of which are against the Rangers. Team that has completely
given up. I mean they just they looked totally uninterested
at playing baseball this whole week. I think they've now
lost seven straight. And we've talked about that team on
this show, being like, what'd you say, Brian, twenty five players,
twenty five cabs, Like they all just go their separate way,
like a.
Speaker 2: Lot of veterans on that team that have fought very hard.
I mean, yeah, I can see them, you.
Speaker 1: Know what I'm saying. So, like you're talking, you're telling
me that the Guardians, that's what they're gonna get the
last week of the season, season on the line, and
they're gonna get an uninterested Rangers team coming in, and
the Tigers are going to have to go to Fenway Park,
where actually the Red Sox might have to hold off
one of these other teams, right, Like, where are we
at with them in the standings?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean they're only a game ahead of the Guardians,
So there's a there's a scenario where suddenly they're fighting
to hold off Houston or one of these other teams
for that last wildcard spot.
Speaker 4: So that's this is I think it's a very interesting
set up.
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, the.
Speaker 3: Red Sox definitely need it. Uh, Texas Range are definitely
playing uninspired ball. I haven't seen anyone. I mean, the
teams that I'm definitely fading down the stretch would be
the Tigers, the Giants, uh, and possibly the Padres. Man
I've I've an the Padres looks so bad, so bad
right now. But yeah, I agree, I agree with you
that Cleveland certainly could could win all six of those
games conceivably.
Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you what if they if they win tomorrow,
you're you're you just ended up with like insane value
on that bet. Like if you if you think the
Guardians can win tomorrow, that division bet, in my opinion
is is a very good bet because they will be
in the driver's seat in the Al Central if they
can pull off the win tomorrow, and then you're sitting
there with like potentially like plus one thirty on them
to win the division.
Speaker 4: Yeah, anyway, it's good.
Speaker 1: It's good conversation. I wasn't really thinking about that, but
I look that lineup and I'm just like, oh, they
they have are putting way too much faith in Schooble
right there, pricing that where it is that they're basically
the books are basically telling you they think the Tigers
are gonna win tomorrow, and I don't know if I
I don't know if I fully agree with that, So
I'm gonna go. If we don't, I'm just gonna see
if there's another MLB question. I know we're kind of,
you know, rambling. We already did the We already did
the three games. So if you've missed, probably a good
time to like promote the site, since that's w'ere.
Speaker 4: You know, we are supposed to do that at some point.
Speaker 1: So if you've missed any part of the show, as always,
it is up on the Wager Talking to YouTube channel
on demand live and on demand, feel free to head
on over there, like subscribe.
Speaker 4: It does help the show tremendously. I doubt.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm gonna end up with a
Major League Baseball play today, but I may have something
in KBO TV. Do you guys have anything up for
sale right now?
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 3: I have an MLB player, and I probably will have
KPO in Japanese Baseball out as well later on.
Speaker 2: I have nothing up right now, but I am going
to fill you in on a bet. I'm going to
make it's not baseball related. In the w NBA Playoffs,
Indiana beat Vegas the first game. They can't couldn't stop
Boston underneath and too much speed from the guards of Indiana.
You can get Indiana to win that series right now
at plus two dollars. That's the bet I'm making in that.
Obviously a lot of people aren't interested. But hey, like
I said, I will bet anything I can as long
as I can get it get a profit on it.
So yeah, so I'm going to be on.
Speaker 3: No.
Speaker 1: I love that. So sorry, Brian, I didn't mean to
cut you off.
Speaker 2: What nuts to bet Indiana to beat the Las Vegas
Aces in the series. They're a huge underdog going into
game one and if I watch Aces all the time,
to watch all the games, Marco is a season ticket holder. Yeah,
they don't match up. They didn't match up with Seattle.
They were lucky to win that last series. They haven't
matched up here. They got the best player in basketball
and Asian Wilson, but not a good matchup for them
against Indiana. Indiana's playing a lot of I mean, you've
got to root for a team that's loses what their
three best players and now they're still playing so well.
Great coaching job there.
Speaker 1: I tried to jump in because you talking about that
reminded me of something I wanted to bring up, so
I will. I'm hoping Brian goes and maybe roots this
home for me in person at some point this week.
But I want to talk about the Triple A playoffs
that start this week, and Brian and I were having
this conversation off air the other day, but I think
it's worth pointing out. So if you're unfamiliar with how
this works. The way Triple A Baseball does their playoffs,
they have a first half champion and a second half champion,
and then those two players or I'm sorry, those two
teams play at a best of three each side Pacific
Coast League internationally, and then the winners go out to
Vegas and play a one game sort of winner take all.
They call it the Triple A Championship Game. The interesting
thing about that is to me is you get the
first half team in the playoffs, but these teams are
so different throughout the course of the year, and so
Las Vegas was the first half chance.
Speaker 4: In the PCL.
Speaker 1: But a lot of those guys have been up now,
a lot of those guys Kobe tom Is, Darryl Harne Is,
like that were big parts. Even Kurtz for the first
month of the season, there were big parts of that.
Speaker 4: Winning the first half or not. You know, j T.
Speaker 1: Gin he's been up like you know, the list goes on,
are no longer with the team. So now you have Tacoma.
They weren't much of anything in the first half. Suddenly
in the second half, the Mariners get healthy and they
have all these good players down at Triple A even
right now, like Lodi Tavares can't find his way onto
a big league club. What was he like a huge
part of a World Series team two years ago, can't
get out a Triple A.
Speaker 4: The Mariners just have too many good players.
Speaker 1: So you have a scenario where Tacoma second half champions
forty seven and twenty seven. That was what the Rainiers
were in the second half. Vegas in the second half
thirty four and forty. Even Brian was like, this team's
playing like garbage. Like he goes to a couple of games,
says they're not playing any good, but they're gonna play
this quote unquote playoff series where they're gonna get priced
as equals and now to add another layer to it,
the game is in Vegas, so you're probably you might
even have Tacoma an underdog there. It'll depend on the pitching,
but that's kind of what we were chatting about off air.
Might have a good opportunity to bet to Coma over
the next couple of days, depending on who the pitchers are,
and hopefully.
Speaker 4: Brian will go and root it home for us in person.
Speaker 1: Anyway, Sorry, I had to didn't mean off to get
off topic there, but I'm just telling you I'll be
looking for a way to play Tacoma at some point
in that series, and their issue has been pitching, so
it'll have to be I don't know who I would
necessarily want as a starter from a pitching standpoint, but
it'll be more like if like we see our guy
Tokyo Brandon, if we see them run Aaron Brooks former
Kia Tiger out there, I'll probably faid.
Speaker 3: Speaking of speaking of future bets, let's just do a
round table real quick of who you think is going
to win the World Series.
Speaker 1: In like two seconds or less, because we're we're we're
going to wrap this up thirty second.
Speaker 3: I think the Phillies are going to win it. Even
without Wheeler Man their rotation, they still got three guys
in the top ten, and if their bullpen can come around,
I think I think it's the Phillies going to win
it this year.
Speaker 2: Thick the Dodgers. They've got more, really more, much more
depth than Philadelphia has, and they're playing They're playing great
ball now and the these pitching rotations being set up
very well. Suzuki will be back this week. I think
he may be pitching out of the bullpen, and their
bullpen definitely.
Speaker 3: Needs some help, trying to need some help.
Speaker 2: They need to do something with him. Yeah, something's wrong.
Speaker 1: I'll say the Blue Jays and more more because I'll
say that they can get there, and then maybe they
get there, then I have a chance. I do think
I am kind of with you guys. I think the
winner probably comes from the National League, but the American
League is much softer. I think the Blue Jays have
best lineup one to nine. I think Treya Savage could
be a very interesting piece for them if they use
him correctly. I always like a team that potentially has
a really good middle relief arm. I'm hoping that's sort
of how they use him. Bring him in fifth inning
and just let him go for three innings. And you
know he didn't pitch like great yesterday. But I still
think what we've seen at the big league level stuff
is nasty. Again, It's just it's a very in my opinion,
the American League is weak, and I know the Yankees
are playing good ball right now, but I still think.
Speaker 4: I still think.
Speaker 1: I just like the Blue Jays lineup one to nine.
I think, are they going to get Bashette back at
some point? Not no season, no, no, but I mean
at some point in the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Can you give any playoffs I would I don't know yet.
I will say this is not based on betting value.
This is who I think is going to win. Yeah,
if the Dodgers are minus five hundred favorite, I'm not
betting him. So so yeah, we don't. We don't know
yet what the what the numbers are going to be.
I doubt there'll be any value one of the Dodgers
at all, or the Yankees because of the big cities
that they play, maybe even the Cubs also, but I
will we will look at that next week when we
get to the playoffs show.
Speaker 4: I will say this just very quickly.
Speaker 1: I mean, and I just use the Blue Jays to
have something different because I agree with you on the Dodgers.
I'd rather have Dodgers five to one right now than
Blue Jay's eight to one. That's that's what you're looking
at to win the World Series. So I think I
agree with that Dodgers call. They're playing their best ball
the year they have the best roster. Hard hard to
believe if they are playing to their potential that they're
not there again, So.
Speaker 3: Hard to count because the pitch the team with a
great rotation and a good bullpen and the best hitting
catcher in MLB.
Speaker 4: So financially, that would be the best for me. That
would be the best for my wallet. I'll tell you that.
Speaker 1: I I that would be the best for my wallet
because I still have them in futures to do just that.
Speaker 4: So all right, we are. We made it an hour.
Speaker 1: I didn't know if we would make it an hour today,
but it's like we always can find something to talk
about baseball related. Hopefully you guys had so you know,
could could Hopefully we gave you something that was actionable
at the at the very least, we did parlay all
three of these games together, so we'll see if we
can can hit a three team around a day. There's
only three games. Brian Leonard says, Nationals plus one and
a half. I'm gonna go with Brewers as a small
underdog plus one ten Tokyo. Brandon's gonna gonna close it
out with Cardinals plus one and a half.
Speaker 3: Yea.
Speaker 1: That parlay place pays five forty five plus five forty
five and right now, we had a good week on
the parlays last week, even with the loss on Friday.
Speaker 4: For every one dollar, if you.
Speaker 1: Were to bet these evenly all year, for every one dollar,
it's returned seven dollars and fourteen cents. So pretty happy
about that that we've been able to parlor fire out
a three teamer since April and we're essentially up seven
point one to four units. That's that that I think
that that's underrated. I didn't think we'd be up at
this point because it's hard to hard to win three teamers.
So Steve Duke, is this our last week? No, We're
going to be here through the playoffs, at least through
most of it, at least through the earlier rounds when
there's a lot to talk about. So yeah, Well, we'll
we're we're not going anywhere. And Adrian I said this
last week, I'm allowed to tease this. Now I'm going
to bring this show right into college basketball. So this
this it'll the title will change. Someone was like total Baskets.
It's not going to be Total Baskets.
Speaker 4: I have different title.
Speaker 1: The title will change, the panel will change, but the
show is going to be pretty much exactly the same.
So it's going to be myself, Brian Power, Rob Vino,
and we're going to do our best to answer questions
on three hundred and sixty four Division one college basketball teams.
So it is it is going to be a challenge,
but we're up for it. So yeah, we're not going anywhere,
and we the three of us, will absolutely be with
you through the playoffs. So looking forward to that. But yeah,
another good show. We've got the three teamer. I'll read
it off one more time. It is Nats plus one
and a half, Brewers money Line, Cardinals plus one and
a half plus five forty five. Hopefully we got another
winner right there. Check out the site. TV's got a
play up for sale. I'll probably have a career in baseball.
Speaker 2: Play.
Speaker 1: Brian's gonna have stuff as well, we always do and
we will see you guys tomorrow morning for the normal show,
the full slate dynam We'll see you guys in the morning.
Speaker 3: S