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<v Speaker 1>Picture this. You are sitting in a commercial airliner, a

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<v Speaker 1>DC nine, cruising at about fourteen thousand feet. It's April

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen seventy seven, Southern Airways Flight two forty two. You've

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<v Speaker 1>been flying for just a few minutes, really, just a

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<v Speaker 1>quick hop from Huntsville to Atlanta, and suddenly the sky

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<v Speaker 1>just turns violent.

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<v Speaker 2>And we're not talking about a little turbulence here.

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<v Speaker 1>No, I mean baseball sized hail is just battering the fuselage.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so loud that passengers later described it as like

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<v Speaker 1>being trapped inside a metal barrel while someone outside just

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<v Speaker 1>throws rocks at it.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a terrifying image, it really is.

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<v Speaker 1>And up in the cockpit that same hail completely shatters

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<v Speaker 1>the thick windshield and then comes the most terrifying sound

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<v Speaker 1>of all, which is just well silence. Both engines die, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>all the electrical power cuts out. You're essentially in a

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<v Speaker 1>forty ton metal tube in the pitch dark, plummeting in

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<v Speaker 1>fifty six feet per second.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it is the absolute definition of an aviation nightmare.

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<v Speaker 2>You know. We like to think of commercial flight as

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<v Speaker 2>this perfectly engineered, highly predictable.

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<v Speaker 1>Systems, right, like everything is under control.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly, and most of the time it is. But when

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<v Speaker 2>you introduce the ultimate unpredictable variable, which is just the

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<v Speaker 2>raw physical power of mother nature, that illusion of total

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<v Speaker 2>control can shatter just as quickly as that cockpit windshield did.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And to understand how highly trained professionals end up

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<v Speaker 1>in these utterly terrifying scenarios, We've put together a deep

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<v Speaker 1>dive today using this massive stack of sources.

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<v Speaker 3>Not a lot to cover, we do.

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<v Speaker 1>We're looking at declassified National Transportation Safety Board crash reports,

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<v Speaker 1>some incredibly harrowing transcripts from cockit voice recorders, and this

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<v Speaker 1>really fascinating MIT study on pilot psychology.

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<v Speaker 3>It's some pretty heavy material, it is.

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<v Speaker 1>But our mission today is to essentially put on our

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<v Speaker 1>accident investigator hats and take you inside three true stories

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<v Speaker 1>of commercial plane crashes. We want to understand exactly what

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<v Speaker 1>happens when fierce weather, complex machinery, and human psychology all collide.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think the real through line in all these

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<v Speaker 2>investigations is that these aircraft were highly reliable, right, and

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<v Speaker 2>the pilots were extensively drained.

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<v Speaker 1>They weren't amateurs, not at all.

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<v Speaker 2>We are rarely looking at a single glaring error. In

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<v Speaker 2>these cases, we're looking at a cascade. We're looking at

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<v Speaker 2>how advanced technology can actually create illusions and how the

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<v Speaker 2>human brain processes or fails to process those illusions under

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<v Speaker 2>just unimaginable pressure.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's start by going right back into that terrifying

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<v Speaker 1>cockpit of Southern Airways Flight two forty two.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's do it.

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<v Speaker 1>The pilots were flying toward this massive thunderstorm system. They're

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<v Speaker 1>looking at their weather radar and they spot what looks

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<v Speaker 1>like a clear hole right like a safe passage straight

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<v Speaker 1>through these towering thunderheads. So they steered directly for it.

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<v Speaker 1>But that hole, it actually did not exist.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and this is where we encounter a physical phenomenon

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<v Speaker 2>called radar attenuation.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, break that down for us.

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<v Speaker 2>So in nineteen seventy seven, the weather radar on that

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<v Speaker 2>GC nine it worked by sending out radio waves. Those

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<v Speaker 2>ways bounce off precipitation like rain or hail, and then

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<v Speaker 2>they returned to the receiver, which basically paints a picture

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<v Speaker 2>of the storm.

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<v Speaker 3>On the pilot screen.

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<v Speaker 2>That makes sense, But the rain and the hail in

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<v Speaker 2>this specific storm cell were so incredibly dense that the

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<v Speaker 2>wall of water actually absorbed the radar signal entirely.

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<v Speaker 1>Wait, let me take sure and visualizing this right, So

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<v Speaker 1>the radar waves hit the storm, but instead of bouncing

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<v Speaker 1>back to the plane to say, hey, there's a huge

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<v Speaker 1>storm here, they just got swallowed up.

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<v Speaker 2>That is the tragic irony of the whole thing. The

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<v Speaker 2>waves couldn't penetrate the wall of water to see what

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<v Speaker 2>was behind it, and the water was just too thick

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<v Speaker 2>to reflect the signal back properly.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow.

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<v Speaker 2>So to the radar receiver, a lack of a returning

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<v Speaker 2>signal just means a lack of weather. It painted a

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<v Speaker 2>blank black space right in the absolute most violent core

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<v Speaker 2>of the storm.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's basically like a mirage in the desert. You

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<v Speaker 1>know you're dying of thirst, you see a shimmering oasis,

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<v Speaker 1>you run toward it, but it's just a trick of

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<v Speaker 1>the light.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a great way to put it.

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<v Speaker 1>Only here the pilot saw a safe, clear passage precisely

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<v Speaker 1>because the danger was so overwhelmingly dnse that it actually

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<v Speaker 1>blinded their instruments. They flew directly into a monster.

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<v Speaker 2>They really did, and that decision triggered this massive mechanical cascade.

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<v Speaker 2>The Pratt and Whitney investigator who looked at the engines

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<v Speaker 2>after the crash, a guy named Al Weaver. He uncovered

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<v Speaker 2>a really fascinating mechanical failure.

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<v Speaker 1>Right because the engines.

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<v Speaker 2>Dined exactly and the hail didn't actually fly into the

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<v Speaker 2>engine and destroy the internal workings directly, which is what.

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<v Speaker 3>You might think.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I assumed you just shreded the insides.

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<v Speaker 2>No, what the massive hail did was it dented the

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<v Speaker 2>engine cowlings, you know, the aerodynamic outer casings, and that

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<v Speaker 2>physical denting is what blocked the bleed valves.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, wait, I'm stuck on this part. I mean, hail

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<v Speaker 1>is just ice right, It's a metal casing. How does

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<v Speaker 1>a dented outer casing cause an entire jet engine to

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<v Speaker 1>literally shut down? That seems like a pretty massive design flaw.

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<v Speaker 2>It definitely sounds counterintuitive, but it all comes down to

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<v Speaker 2>flu dynamics. Jet engines operate by sucking in air, compressing

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<v Speaker 2>it incredibly tightly with these spinning blades, mixing it with fuel,

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<v Speaker 2>and then igniting.

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<v Speaker 1>It right sucks, squeeze, bang, blow right exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>So to keep that immense pressure balanced, engines have these

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<v Speaker 2>bleed valves that release the excess pressurized air. Okay, when

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<v Speaker 2>those valves got blocked by the hail damage, the air

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<v Speaker 2>just couldn't vent. So the pressure built up inside the

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<v Speaker 2>compressor stage until it became so great that the airflow

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<v Speaker 2>violently reversed direction. It literally blasted forward.

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<v Speaker 3>Out the front of the engine.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh wow.

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<v Speaker 2>In aviation, this is called an engine surge or a

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<v Speaker 2>compressor stall. The engines basically start violently choking.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so the engines are choking, they aren't getting the

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<v Speaker 1>right airflow. But why did they completely destroy themselves? Like

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<v Speaker 1>couldn't the pilots just I don't restart them once they

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<v Speaker 1>glid it out of the hail.

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<v Speaker 2>And that brings us to the fatal human factor in

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<v Speaker 2>this chain. When an engine surges and chokes like that,

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<v Speaker 2>the standard procedure is to pull the throttles back to

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<v Speaker 2>reduce the fuel and clear the surge.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to ease off.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly, but you have to put yourself in that cockpit.

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<v Speaker 2>They are being battered by a massive storm, They're losing

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<v Speaker 2>altitude rapidly, and air traffic control has literally just instructed

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<v Speaker 2>them to climb to fifteen thousand feet.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh man, So they need power.

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<v Speaker 2>Right under intense psychological pressure to just keep the plane

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<v Speaker 2>in the sky, the captain advanced the throttles to gain power.

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<v Speaker 1>He pushed the throttles up when the engine was already

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<v Speaker 1>actively choking.

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<v Speaker 2>He did, and it forced the engines to try and

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<v Speaker 2>suck in even more air, which exacerbated that pressure build

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<v Speaker 2>up to truly catastrophic levels.

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<v Speaker 1>Because the air still has nowhere.

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<v Speaker 2>To go exactly, So, this intense blocked pressure bent the

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<v Speaker 2>internal steel compressor blades back and forth, vibrating them violently

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<v Speaker 2>until the metal suffered fatigue and just snapped oh cock.

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<v Speaker 2>The engines then ingested their own broken steel blades. They

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<v Speaker 2>literally shredded themselves from the inside out. In a matter

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<v Speaker 2>of seconds, they had turned a commercial jet into a

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<v Speaker 2>forty ton glider.

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<v Speaker 1>With what maybe six minutes of glide time.

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<v Speaker 3>Left, Yeah, barely anything.

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<v Speaker 1>So they are frantically searching for an airport. And this

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<v Speaker 1>is where the technological illusions strike again, because they were

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<v Speaker 1>actually quite close to Cornelius Moore Airport, which had a

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<v Speaker 1>runway that probably would have saved them. It was right there,

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<v Speaker 1>but the Atlanta air traffic controllers couldn't direct them there

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<v Speaker 1>because Cornelius More didn't have a specific beacon to show

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<v Speaker 1>up on the controllers' radar screens. The controllers literally could

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<v Speaker 1>not see the airport on their scopes to guide this

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<v Speaker 1>crippled plane to it.

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<v Speaker 3>Which is just heartbreaking.

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<v Speaker 2>So, left with absolutely no radar guidance and zero engine power,

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<v Speaker 2>the first officer, who was actually a former Navy pilot,

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<v Speaker 2>he had to attempt a completely improvised visual landing on

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<v Speaker 2>a rural stretch of Highway ninety two in New Hope, Georgia.

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<v Speaker 1>And the touchdown, from what I read it was initially smooth,

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<v Speaker 1>but they were just coming in way too fast, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>with obviously no engine reverse thrust to slow.

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<v Speaker 3>Round because the Asians were gone.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so they bounced, they hit a gas station, and

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<v Speaker 1>the plane just broke apart in a massive fireball.

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<v Speaker 2>Ye.

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<v Speaker 1>Seventy two people lost their lives that day.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a tragedy.

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<v Speaker 2>So on flight two forty two, we really see what

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<v Speaker 2>happens when technology, you know, the weather radar of the

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<v Speaker 2>air traffic control scopes, essentially goes blind. But what happens

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<v Speaker 2>when the technology doesn't just go blind but actively masks

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<v Speaker 2>the danger, like pretending everything is perfectly fine. That's what

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<v Speaker 2>we see decades later, way up at thirty three thousand feet.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, Let's move to August two thousand and five. This

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<v Speaker 1>is West Caribbean Airways flight seven oh eight. We are

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<v Speaker 1>on a late night charter flight from Panama to Martinique.

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<v Speaker 1>The plane is an MD eighty, heavily loaded with passengers

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<v Speaker 1>returning from vacation.

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<v Speaker 3>A very different scenario.

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<v Speaker 1>Very different, But the atmosphere in the cockpit is really heavy.

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<v Speaker 1>The airline itself is in deep financial trouble. The captain

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<v Speaker 1>actually hasn't been paid in six.

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<v Speaker 3>Months, six months, it's unbelievable.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he is actually working a second job at a

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<v Speaker 1>local bar just to feed his family. So you have

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<v Speaker 1>a crew that is financially stressed, deeply exhausted, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>flying right through hurricane.

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<v Speaker 2>Season weather, and you really cannot separate that psychological backdrop

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<v Speaker 2>from the mechanical events that follow. You have a captain

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<v Speaker 2>whose cognitive bandwidth is just already stretched to the absolute limit.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh absolutely, So as they encounter this stormy weather, they

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<v Speaker 2>decide to climb to thirty three thousand feet to try

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<v Speaker 2>and get above the worst of the turbulence. The outside

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<v Speaker 2>temperature plummets, and the captain notices ice starting to form

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<v Speaker 2>on the windshield wipers. So to protect the plane, he

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<v Speaker 2>turns on the anti icing.

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<v Speaker 1>System, which is totally standard procedure. You do not want

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<v Speaker 1>ice accumulating on the wings and destroying your aerodynamic lift.

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<v Speaker 3>No ice is lethal.

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<v Speaker 1>But turning on the anti icing system on a jet

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<v Speaker 1>like the MD eighty, yeah, it isn't like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>flipping on the electric rear defroster in your sedan. It

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<v Speaker 1>relies on bleed air.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, those exact same compressor stages we talked about earlier.

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<v Speaker 2>To heat the wings and the engine cowlings to actually

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<v Speaker 2>melt the ice, the plane physically bleeds off intensely hot

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<v Speaker 2>compressed air from the engines and routes it right through

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<v Speaker 2>the wing.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, hold on, I want to make sure you understand

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<v Speaker 1>the physics here too. Yeah, if you are stealing compressed

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<v Speaker 1>air from the engine to heat the wings, doesn't that

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<v Speaker 1>mean you have less air going into the combustion chamber

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<v Speaker 1>to create actual thrust.

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<v Speaker 2>You've hit the nail on the head. You are directly

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<v Speaker 2>robbing the engines of thrust to generate heat.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow.

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<v Speaker 2>And because the plane was incredibly heavy with passengers and

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<v Speaker 2>fuel and the air at thirty three thousand feet is

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<v Speaker 2>extremely thin. Anyway, the engines were already working near their

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<v Speaker 2>maximum capacity just to maintain altitude.

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<v Speaker 1>They're already struggling.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly, so when they turned on the anti ice, they

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<v Speaker 2>essentially stole the last remaining horsepower. The plane just didn't

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<v Speaker 2>have enough thrust to stay at.

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<v Speaker 3>Thirty three thousand feet. It slowly began to loose speed,

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<v Speaker 3>but the.

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<v Speaker 1>Pilots didn't notice because of the autopilot.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, and this is the invisible trap. The autopilot's primary directive,

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<v Speaker 2>which was programmed by the crew, was to maintain an

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<v Speaker 2>altitude of thirty three thousand feet no matter what.

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<v Speaker 3>No matter what.

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<v Speaker 2>As the plane lost speed from the lack of thrust,

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<v Speaker 2>it naturally started to sink. So to stop the sink,

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<v Speaker 2>the autopilot quietly angled the nose of the plane higher

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<v Speaker 2>and higher. It increased the angle of attack to generate more.

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<v Speaker 1>Lift, so it's compensating.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, the autopilot was trading speed for altitude and entirely

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<v Speaker 2>masking the decay and speed from this exhausted crew.

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<v Speaker 3>It pitched the.

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<v Speaker 2>Nose up so high that the plane was pushed to

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<v Speaker 2>the absolute brink of an aerodynamic stall.

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<v Speaker 1>And the stall is basically the point where the air

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<v Speaker 1>can no longer flow smoothly over the wings, and the

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<v Speaker 1>wings simply stopped flying exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>They become dead weight.

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<v Speaker 1>And the really tragic detail in the crash report here

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<v Speaker 1>is that the manufacturer Boeing had actually issued a bulletin

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<v Speaker 1>warning about this exact scenario, you know Autopilot's masking speed

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<v Speaker 1>decay at high altitudes in the MD eighty. But the

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<v Speaker 1>financially troubled airline apparently never passed that vital bulletin down

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<v Speaker 1>to their pilots.

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<v Speaker 2>It's infuriating. So the trap is set by the technology,

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<v Speaker 2>and then the weather is what finally springs it. The

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<v Speaker 2>plane is barely hanging in the thin air, pitched up,

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<v Speaker 2>flying nangerously slow. They fly over the storm system and

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<v Speaker 2>suddenly encounter a twenty mile.

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<v Speaker 1>Per hour updraft, just a sudden gust of wind, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Gust of vertical wind, and it pushes the nose up

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<v Speaker 2>just a fraction more, and that's all it takes. The

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<v Speaker 2>airflow over the wings completely separates. The plane enters a full.

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<v Speaker 1>Stall, and because of the violent disruption of air entering

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<v Speaker 1>the engines during the stall, both engines experience what's called

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<v Speaker 1>a rollback right, like they automatically throttle down to protect themselves.

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<v Speaker 1>So the captain, who's already exhausted, he's stressed about his finances,

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<v Speaker 1>he hears this blaring stall warning. He feels the violent

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<v Speaker 1>shaking of the aircraft, and he looks down to see

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<v Speaker 1>his engine dials dropping, and he immediately assumes he has

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<v Speaker 1>suffered a dual engine flame out.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is just a textbook tragic case of a

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<v Speaker 2>cognitive tunnel vision. Under extreme stress, the human brain latches

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<v Speaker 2>onto a narrative and it simply discards all contradictory.

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<v Speaker 1>Evidence, like he made up his mind instantly he did.

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<v Speaker 2>The twenty one year old co pilot, meanwhile, looks at

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<v Speaker 2>his instruments, sees the extreme nose up attitude and the

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<v Speaker 2>decaying speed, and he correctly identifies the real problems.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a stall. It's a stall.

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<v Speaker 1>But the captain doesn't listen.

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<v Speaker 3>He doesn't even acknowledge him.

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<v Speaker 1>Because to recover from an aerodynamic stall, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>push the nose down, You have to point the plane

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<v Speaker 1>toward the ground to pick up speed and get the

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<v Speaker 1>air flowing smoothly over the wings.

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<v Speaker 2>Again, yes, you have to fight your instincts, but.

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<v Speaker 1>The captain, thinking he's lost his engines and wanting to

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<v Speaker 1>stay in the air as long as possible, he does

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<v Speaker 1>the exact opposite. He pulls back on the control column.

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<v Speaker 1>He wrestles the plane to hold the nose.

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<v Speaker 2>Up, and by pulling back he destroyed any chance of recovery.

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<v Speaker 2>The plane plummeted nine thousand feet in just thirty seconds.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my god, nine thousand feet Because.

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<v Speaker 2>The nose was held aggressively up. The plane didn't really

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<v Speaker 2>die of like a dart. It fell flat, almost like

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<v Speaker 2>a leaf dropping from a tree. For three agonizing minutes.

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<v Speaker 2>It crashed in a remote region of Venezuela, claiming the

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<v Speaker 2>lives of all one hundred and sixty people on board.

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<v Speaker 1>It is chilling. I mean, the radar hit the storre

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00:14:00.120 --> 00:14:02.759
<v Speaker 1>arm on flight two forty two, the autopilot hit the

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00:14:02.759 --> 00:14:04.799
<v Speaker 1>stall on flight seven oh eight. We've looked at the

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00:14:04.840 --> 00:14:07.799
<v Speaker 1>mirage of radar and the invisible trap of the autopilot

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00:14:07.840 --> 00:14:11.799
<v Speaker 1>at cruising altitude. But you know, the most dangerous phase

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00:14:11.840 --> 00:14:14.279
<v Speaker 1>of flight isn't necessarily up in the clouds.

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<v Speaker 3>No, it's really not.

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<v Speaker 1>It's when the runway is right in front of you,

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00:14:16.840 --> 00:14:19.399
<v Speaker 1>and the psychological pressure to just finish, the job becomes

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<v Speaker 1>totally overwhelming.

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<v Speaker 2>And that brings us to American Airlines Flight fourteen twenty

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<v Speaker 2>in June nineteen ninety nine.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into this one.

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<v Speaker 2>The flight is delayed over two hours, leaving Dallas Fort

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<v Speaker 2>Worth for Little Rock, Arkansas. The crew is bumping right

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00:14:32.600 --> 00:14:36.000
<v Speaker 2>up against their fourteen hour legal duty limit, so the

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00:14:36.000 --> 00:14:39.360
<v Speaker 2>clock is ticking loudly. If they don't get this plane

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00:14:39.360 --> 00:14:42.759
<v Speaker 2>on the ground soon, they will legally time out. They'll

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00:14:42.759 --> 00:14:45.440
<v Speaker 2>have to cancel the flight and strand all the passengers.

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00:14:45.519 --> 00:14:48.440
<v Speaker 1>You can just feel the pressure mounting. You have dispatchers

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00:14:48.480 --> 00:14:52.159
<v Speaker 1>back at airline headquarters playing this high stakes global game

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00:14:52.200 --> 00:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>of chess right trying to squeeze flights through tightening weather

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00:14:56.200 --> 00:14:58.159
<v Speaker 1>windows just to keep the network moving.

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<v Speaker 3>Everyone wants to get it done, and you just want.

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<v Speaker 1>To get home. The crew is exhausted and wants to

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00:15:03.320 --> 00:15:07.399
<v Speaker 1>go to a hotel. It's this massive invisible weight pressing

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00:15:07.440 --> 00:15:09.759
<v Speaker 1>down on the slight deck. And you know you've probably

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00:15:09.759 --> 00:15:12.399
<v Speaker 1>felt a mild version of this yourself. Oh absolutely, You're

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00:15:12.480 --> 00:15:15.960
<v Speaker 1>driving home late at night, you're exhausted, and a blizzard starts.

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<v Speaker 1>You know you should pull over at a motel, but

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00:15:19.360 --> 00:15:22.000
<v Speaker 1>your brain insists I'm only ten miles away. I can

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00:15:22.000 --> 00:15:25.960
<v Speaker 1>make it. Now. Multiply that pressure by one hundred passengers

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00:15:26.159 --> 00:15:28.679
<v Speaker 1>and a massive corporation breathing down your neck.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, and in aviation psychology, this is known as get

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00:15:31.799 --> 00:15:36.159
<v Speaker 2>their itis. It is a mission oriented mindset where the

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00:15:36.200 --> 00:15:41.559
<v Speaker 2>intense desire to complete the task completely overrides rational safety protocol.

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00:15:41.639 --> 00:15:43.279
<v Speaker 1>It's a deadly mindset.

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00:15:42.919 --> 00:15:43.960
<v Speaker 3>Extremely so.

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00:15:44.039 --> 00:15:46.639
<v Speaker 2>As flight fourteen twenty approaches Little Rock, the pilots are

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<v Speaker 2>navigating what the dispatcher called a bowling alley, basically a

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00:15:50.759 --> 00:15:54.440
<v Speaker 2>narrow clear path between two massive, violent thunderstorms.

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00:15:54.639 --> 00:15:55.799
<v Speaker 1>But storms move.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly as they get closer to the airport, those storm

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00:15:58.720 --> 00:16:01.159
<v Speaker 2>cells start merging right over the runway, and.

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00:16:01.159 --> 00:16:04.759
<v Speaker 1>The passengers describe the approach as terrifying. The cabin was

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00:16:04.840 --> 00:16:08.519
<v Speaker 1>pitch black, and then suddenly these massive kaboom type lightning

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00:16:08.559 --> 00:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>strikes just illuminated everything.

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00:16:10.320 --> 00:16:12.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, horizontal rain battering the windows.

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<v Speaker 1>The plane is being violently thrown around. The wind on

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00:16:15.200 --> 00:16:17.720
<v Speaker 1>the ground is shifting so wildly that air traffic control

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00:16:17.720 --> 00:16:20.240
<v Speaker 1>has to switch their landing runway at the very last minute,

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00:16:20.639 --> 00:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>which forces the pilots to execute a complex turning visual

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00:16:24.240 --> 00:16:27.320
<v Speaker 1>approach right as the weather goes from bad to severe.

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00:16:27.000 --> 00:16:29.960
<v Speaker 2>And the crosswinds are gusting up to forty five miles

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00:16:30.000 --> 00:16:30.360
<v Speaker 2>per hour.

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<v Speaker 1>That's huge.

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00:16:31.279 --> 00:16:33.960
<v Speaker 2>It is well beyond the airline's safety limit for landing

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00:16:33.960 --> 00:16:36.399
<v Speaker 2>on a wet runway that was capped at ten knots

360
00:16:37.039 --> 00:16:38.440
<v Speaker 2>or about eleven miles per hour.

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00:16:38.519 --> 00:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>They were at forty five.

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00:16:39.840 --> 00:16:43.039
<v Speaker 2>Yes, but in the chaos of the shifting runway and

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00:16:43.080 --> 00:16:47.000
<v Speaker 2>the blaring alarms, the pilots get confused about the dry

364
00:16:47.080 --> 00:16:51.279
<v Speaker 2>versus wet wind limits. They become entirely task saturated, They

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00:16:51.320 --> 00:16:53.519
<v Speaker 2>lose sight of the airport in the rain, and.

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<v Speaker 1>The cockpit voice recorder captured a quote that just stops

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00:16:55.919 --> 00:16:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you in your tracks. The captain, who has over ten

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00:16:59.159 --> 00:17:03.039
<v Speaker 1>thousand hours of flight experience, gets frustrated wrestling the plane

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00:17:03.039 --> 00:17:06.279
<v Speaker 1>and says, out loud, I hate droning around visual at

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00:17:06.359 --> 00:17:10.000
<v Speaker 1>night in weather without having any clue where we are. Yeah, wait,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to stop here. If an incredibly experienced veteran

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<v Speaker 1>cat it admits out loud that he has no clue

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<v Speaker 1>where he is while getting battered by a severe storm,

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00:17:18.279 --> 00:17:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Why on earth didn't he abort the landing? Why not

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00:17:21.240 --> 00:17:24.079
<v Speaker 1>push the throttles up, go around and fly to another airport.

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00:17:24.119 --> 00:17:27.079
<v Speaker 2>Well, that is the million dollar question that investigators had

377
00:17:27.079 --> 00:17:29.680
<v Speaker 2>to answer. And to understand why he didn't pull up,

378
00:17:29.720 --> 00:17:32.839
<v Speaker 2>we have to look at a truly fascinating and terrifying

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00:17:32.880 --> 00:17:34.759
<v Speaker 2>study conducted by MIT.

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00:17:34.960 --> 00:17:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Okay, what did they find.

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00:17:36.240 --> 00:17:39.880
<v Speaker 2>Researchers tracked two thousand encounters between commercial jets and severe

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00:17:39.960 --> 00:17:43.400
<v Speaker 2>thunderstorms at Dallas Fort Worth Airport. They found that out

383
00:17:43.400 --> 00:17:46.759
<v Speaker 2>of those two thousand encounters, two out of three pilots

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00:17:46.799 --> 00:17:51.000
<v Speaker 2>deliberately flew into the thunderstorms rather than diverting around them.

385
00:17:51.160 --> 00:17:53.799
<v Speaker 1>Two out of three commercial pilots chose to fly into

386
00:17:53.839 --> 00:17:55.720
<v Speaker 1>a severe storm. That is staggering.

387
00:17:55.880 --> 00:17:58.720
<v Speaker 2>It is the MIT researchers dug into the data to

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00:17:58.759 --> 00:18:01.799
<v Speaker 2>find the risk factors what made a pilot more likely

389
00:18:01.839 --> 00:18:05.319
<v Speaker 2>to press on into danger, and they found three main triggers.

390
00:18:06.160 --> 00:18:08.440
<v Speaker 2>If the flight was running behind schedule, if the flight

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00:18:08.519 --> 00:18:11.319
<v Speaker 2>was taking place at night, and if the plane immediately

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00:18:11.319 --> 00:18:13.119
<v Speaker 2>in front of them had successfully landed.

393
00:18:13.160 --> 00:18:15.599
<v Speaker 1>And in flight fourteen twenty had almost all of those right.

394
00:18:15.640 --> 00:18:18.079
<v Speaker 2>They were two hours late, it was pitch black, and

395
00:18:18.119 --> 00:18:21.200
<v Speaker 2>they felt an overwhelming compulsion to finish the job. The

396
00:18:21.240 --> 00:18:25.000
<v Speaker 2>psychology of get their itis completely normalized the danger they

397
00:18:25.000 --> 00:18:26.960
<v Speaker 2>felt they simply had to land, so.

398
00:18:26.880 --> 00:18:29.839
<v Speaker 1>They forced the jet down through the storm. But in

399
00:18:29.880 --> 00:18:34.400
<v Speaker 1>the frantic overloaded moments right before touchdown, you know, fighting

400
00:18:34.400 --> 00:18:37.039
<v Speaker 1>the violent crosswind, trying to spot the runway lights, and

401
00:18:37.119 --> 00:18:41.119
<v Speaker 1>the blinding horizontal rain, both the captain and the first

402
00:18:41.119 --> 00:18:46.519
<v Speaker 1>officer miss one single crucial item on their pre landing checklist.

403
00:18:46.359 --> 00:18:47.039
<v Speaker 2>Just one thing.

404
00:18:47.720 --> 00:18:50.200
<v Speaker 1>They forget to arm the ground spoilers.

405
00:18:49.680 --> 00:18:53.440
<v Speaker 2>And that omission is fatal. The spoilers are the large

406
00:18:53.440 --> 00:18:56.480
<v Speaker 2>rectangular panels on the top of the wings that automatically

407
00:18:56.480 --> 00:18:58.720
<v Speaker 2>flip up the moment the wheels touch the ground right.

408
00:18:59.400 --> 00:19:01.799
<v Speaker 2>A lot of people think spoilers act like parachutes to

409
00:19:01.839 --> 00:19:05.599
<v Speaker 2>cause aerodynamic drag, but their primary purpose is to literally

410
00:19:05.680 --> 00:19:08.759
<v Speaker 2>spoil or destroy the lift of the wings.

411
00:19:08.519 --> 00:19:11.839
<v Speaker 1>Because by destroying the lift, you dropped the full heavyweight

412
00:19:11.839 --> 00:19:13.480
<v Speaker 1>of the aircraft right under the tires.

413
00:19:13.599 --> 00:19:16.839
<v Speaker 2>Yes, without weight on the tires, the wheel brakes simply

414
00:19:16.880 --> 00:19:20.599
<v Speaker 2>cannot grip the runway. The anti skid system actually won't

415
00:19:20.640 --> 00:19:23.559
<v Speaker 2>let the brakes engage if the wheels aren't firmly planted.

416
00:19:23.680 --> 00:19:26.400
<v Speaker 1>So, because the exhausted crew forgot to arm those spoilers

417
00:19:26.640 --> 00:19:28.599
<v Speaker 1>when they touched down at over one hundred miles per

418
00:19:28.599 --> 00:19:31.640
<v Speaker 1>hour on a soaking, wet runway. The wings were still

419
00:19:31.640 --> 00:19:33.839
<v Speaker 1>acting like wings, They were still flying, they were still

420
00:19:33.880 --> 00:19:37.400
<v Speaker 1>generating lift. The plane was technically on the ground, but

421
00:19:37.480 --> 00:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>it had almost no weight on its wheels. The brakes

422
00:19:40.200 --> 00:19:43.440
<v Speaker 1>were entirely useless. The MD eighty skidded down the runway,

423
00:19:43.480 --> 00:19:46.519
<v Speaker 1>shot off the end, plunged down a twenty five foot embankment,

424
00:19:46.799 --> 00:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>and violently slammed into a steel catwalk. It's awful eleven

425
00:19:50.519 --> 00:19:54.640
<v Speaker 1>people died, including that highly experienced ten thousand hour captain.

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00:19:54.839 --> 00:19:59.240
<v Speaker 2>It is just a devastating demonstration of task saturation. I mean,

427
00:19:59.519 --> 00:20:02.319
<v Speaker 2>the human brain is a powerful computer, but it can

428
00:20:02.400 --> 00:20:05.960
<v Speaker 2>only handle a finite number of inputs. When the extreme

429
00:20:06.000 --> 00:20:08.480
<v Speaker 2>weather demanded one hundred and ten percent of their cognitive

430
00:20:08.519 --> 00:20:12.279
<v Speaker 2>bandwidth just to keep the wings level, basic procedural memory

431
00:20:12.319 --> 00:20:14.920
<v Speaker 2>like reaching over and pulling a lever to arm the spoilers,

432
00:20:14.960 --> 00:20:15.880
<v Speaker 2>It's simply fanish.

433
00:20:16.079 --> 00:20:18.160
<v Speaker 1>It really makes you think when you look at the

434
00:20:18.319 --> 00:20:22.160
<v Speaker 1>entirety of these three investigations, a really chilling pattern emerges

435
00:20:22.480 --> 00:20:24.640
<v Speaker 1>in every single case. It wasn't just a physical storm

436
00:20:24.680 --> 00:20:27.720
<v Speaker 1>that brought the aircraft down. It was the lesal intersection

437
00:20:27.799 --> 00:20:30.480
<v Speaker 1>of weather complex systems and human limits.

438
00:20:30.559 --> 00:20:31.200
<v Speaker 3>It really was.

439
00:20:31.400 --> 00:20:34.680
<v Speaker 1>It was the weather radar completely masking a deadly hailstorm

440
00:20:34.720 --> 00:20:38.119
<v Speaker 1>on flight two forty two. It was the autopilot silently

441
00:20:38.200 --> 00:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>hiding a lethal stall on flight seven oh eight. And

442
00:20:41.000 --> 00:20:43.920
<v Speaker 1>it was the sheer psychological pressure of get their itis

443
00:20:44.240 --> 00:20:46.799
<v Speaker 1>blinding a veteran crew on flight fourteen twenty.

444
00:20:46.880 --> 00:20:49.240
<v Speaker 2>And you know, these findings force us to ask a

445
00:20:49.279 --> 00:20:52.400
<v Speaker 2>really difficult question about the future of aviation. We are

446
00:20:52.519 --> 00:20:56.759
<v Speaker 2>constantly adding new layers of technology to cockpits, predictive weather radar,

447
00:20:56.839 --> 00:21:00.160
<v Speaker 2>automated wind shear detection, highly intelligent.

448
00:20:59.720 --> 00:21:01.079
<v Speaker 1>Auto pilots, right wher sounds.

449
00:21:01.279 --> 00:21:04.039
<v Speaker 2>The goal is always to make flying safer, but the

450
00:21:04.119 --> 00:21:08.480
<v Speaker 2>unintended consequence may be that we are actually desensitizing pilots

451
00:21:08.519 --> 00:21:11.559
<v Speaker 2>to the raw reality of the sky. If an advanced

452
00:21:11.599 --> 00:21:14.319
<v Speaker 2>system only sounds a blaring alarm when the aircraft is

453
00:21:14.359 --> 00:21:18.559
<v Speaker 2>actually inside the hazard, does that incredible technology actually encourage

454
00:21:18.559 --> 00:21:20.799
<v Speaker 2>a pilot to fly much closer to the edge of

455
00:21:20.839 --> 00:21:23.640
<v Speaker 2>disaster than they ever would have dared to in an older,

456
00:21:23.680 --> 00:21:24.599
<v Speaker 2>analog plane.

457
00:21:24.799 --> 00:21:26.960
<v Speaker 1>It's the idea that a better safety net might actually

458
00:21:27.119 --> 00:21:30.079
<v Speaker 1>encourage the acrobat to take riskier leaps, but it also

459
00:21:30.119 --> 00:21:32.759
<v Speaker 1>makes me wonder about the ultimate conclusion of this trend.

460
00:21:33.359 --> 00:21:36.880
<v Speaker 1>If human psychology and task saturation are the weak links,

461
00:21:37.640 --> 00:21:41.000
<v Speaker 1>the industry's eventual answer might just be to remove the

462
00:21:41.079 --> 00:21:46.200
<v Speaker 1>human entirely like fully autonomous AI driven commercial flights.

463
00:21:46.359 --> 00:21:48.279
<v Speaker 3>It's something people are talking about.

464
00:21:47.960 --> 00:21:51.079
<v Speaker 1>Because an AI doesn't need a paycheck, it doesn't get exhausted,

465
00:21:51.359 --> 00:21:53.920
<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't suffer from get their itis. It will

466
00:21:53.920 --> 00:21:56.240
<v Speaker 1>abort a landing without a second thought.

467
00:21:56.440 --> 00:22:00.519
<v Speaker 2>That is a fascinating and frankly provocative prospect. An AI

468
00:22:00.720 --> 00:22:03.920
<v Speaker 2>definitely wouldn't feel the pressure of delayed passengers. But the

469
00:22:03.920 --> 00:22:06.359
<v Speaker 2>counter argument is exactly what we saw on flight two

470
00:22:06.400 --> 00:22:10.039
<v Speaker 2>forty two. What a perfectly logical AI understand that a

471
00:22:10.039 --> 00:22:13.000
<v Speaker 2>blank space on a weather radar isn't clear skies, but

472
00:22:13.079 --> 00:22:16.079
<v Speaker 2>actually a wall of hail so thick it defies the sensors.

473
00:22:16.160 --> 00:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>That's a great point.

474
00:22:17.119 --> 00:22:21.519
<v Speaker 2>Human pilots, for all their psychological vulnerabilities, possess intuition. When

475
00:22:21.519 --> 00:22:25.200
<v Speaker 2>the technology lies, or when nature produces a completely unprecedented

476
00:22:25.279 --> 00:22:28.960
<v Speaker 2>chaotic event. Human intuition might be the only thing capable

477
00:22:28.960 --> 00:22:31.359
<v Speaker 2>of improvising a landing on a rural highway to save

478
00:22:31.400 --> 00:22:32.160
<v Speaker 2>twenty lives.

479
00:22:32.519 --> 00:22:36.119
<v Speaker 1>It is a profound balance between the flawless logic of

480
00:22:36.160 --> 00:22:39.880
<v Speaker 1>a machine and the adaptable survival instinct of a human.

481
00:22:40.880 --> 00:22:43.640
<v Speaker 1>We really owe an incredible debt to the investigators who

482
00:22:43.680 --> 00:22:46.759
<v Speaker 1>comb to the wreckage to uncover these lessons, and to

483
00:22:46.799 --> 00:22:49.680
<v Speaker 1>the survivors who share their story so the industry can evolve.

484
00:22:49.759 --> 00:22:52.279
<v Speaker 1>We really do well thank you for joining us on

485
00:22:52.319 --> 00:22:55.240
<v Speaker 1>this deep dive. The next time you fly, as you

486
00:22:55.279 --> 00:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>sit back and listen to the hum of the engines,

487
00:22:57.440 --> 00:22:59.519
<v Speaker 1>take a moment to look out at the clouds. Think

488
00:22:59.559 --> 00:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>about the incredible invisible forces at play outside that window,

489
00:23:03.279 --> 00:23:06.400
<v Speaker 1>the complex psychology of the humans managing them, and maybe

490
00:23:06.480 --> 00:23:08.359
<v Speaker 1>take a little comfort in knowing just how much we've

491
00:23:08.400 --> 00:23:10.839
<v Speaker 1>learned from the storms of the past. See you next time.
